Latest / Targeting Winners: A College Football Betting Podcast / Get Ready for an Exciting College Football Saturday!

Transcript

Get Ready for an Exciting College Football Saturday! · Targeting Winners: A College Football Betting Podcast

0:03
Good morning everybody, it is Saturday week 6 rolls on.
0:08
We're excited to be here. Are you caffeinated?
0:10
Because we sure are. So let's get to it guys.
0:15
Last night was a fun filled Friday night in college
0:18
football. What did you guys watch?
0:21
What did you guys observe? Any thoughts, comments,
0:24
complaints, 'cause you know, I got at least one complaint.
0:28
So, Tim, good morning, all right?
0:32
And the floor is yours buddy, go for it.
0:34
I guess Mormons don't care if they cover the spread or not.
0:36
So. And I say, oh, well, BYU, they
0:41
got, they commit less turnovers. They commit less penalties.
0:45
Someone forgot to tell them that, too.
0:47
I guess last night they had more penalties, more turnovers, and
0:49
they can't cover. And they still, you know, won by
0:53
a couple of scores, but they could not cover.
0:55
So yeah, such is my life. Backdoor covers suck so.
1:00
You're usually good for a couple of years, so get you, get the
1:02
one out of the way, you know? You're just This is my second
1:06
one, so all. Right.
1:07
So then you're done. You're done.
1:08
All your no more backdoor covers for you.
1:10
You've used your maximum allowable per.
1:12
Season, My goodness. Oh, and two for backdoor covers.
1:15
Nice. Pete, good morning out there in
1:18
Michigan. How are you and and did you
1:21
notice anything or would like to complain about anything from
1:23
Friday night? I'd like to complain about the
1:25
fact that I can't find a win to save my life here.
1:27
That's what I'd like to complain about 'cause that I did not
1:29
expect scoring of, of, of that magnitude by both teams last
1:33
night. So clearly my math is all for
1:35
something here. So I am hoping to resurrect
1:37
myself today and and kind of redeem, redeem myself.
1:41
But yeah, that was, I just did not expect that.
1:44
I mean, you know, the first stuff looked OK, West Virginia
1:46
wasn't doing much, but, you know, it it, it kind of turned
1:49
on me. And once that started and the
1:51
turnovers and all of that, we're not helping us.
1:53
We're not helping my case at all.
1:54
So it was just one of those games that went the wrong
1:57
direction on me. So, yeah, I mean, I, it was, it
2:00
was interesting to watch West Virginia.
2:01
I mean, we mentioned earlier when we were talking before this
2:04
way their 11th quarterback or whatever, you know, I mean, and
2:07
we're going to see them in what, 2 weeks.
2:08
So it would be interesting to see them live.
2:10
So I'm looking forward to, to seeing them play.
2:12
But anyway, I need to find some wins today.
2:14
That's when my thing says I need some wins.
2:16
Yeah, well, I have a worst record than both of you guys so,
2:18
so I don't feel too bad. But West Virginia's quarterback,
2:23
I hope that dude's got like some good health insurance because I
2:25
don't know how many QB draws they ran or whether he just
2:28
wasn't looking to pass the ball, but that poor guy's gonna get
2:33
killed unless Rich Rod comes up with something a little
2:36
different offensively. MY1 gripe I noticed a lot.
2:41
You know, Tim, you and I used to start complaining about the, you
2:43
know, the jet sweep at the 1 yard line and, and our favorite
2:47
play to complain about is fourth and one and you line up in the
2:50
shotgun. Has anybody in five weeks of
2:52
college football seen one successful wide receiver screen?
2:56
Do they not teach wide receiver blocking at all?
2:59
Because I saw Western Kentucky do three of them yesterday and
3:02
they got a combined 0 yards on all three.
3:04
I I think that might be my new least favorite play in football
3:08
'cause I have yet to see one work, so I I don't know.
3:12
One more little gripe. I hope it's for nicknames, but
3:16
BYU quarterback. His name is Bear.
3:17
He has a brother named Tiger if I heard that correctly.
3:21
That's another gripe just for that.
3:23
Well, let's move on. That's legit.
3:26
Aren't they, aren't they all related to like that guy Hank,
3:28
which I last I checked is not the name of an animal, but maybe
3:32
he's got a nickname like Sloth. I I don't believe he can run
3:35
that much. I don't know.
3:36
I don't know, but yeah, anyway, it's terrible.
3:39
Bear Tiger. No, no.
3:40
But anyway, ah, Drew is in. Drew, Congrats on your Notre
3:45
Dame -4 1/2 last week, probably the easiest game any of us will
3:50
have this year. So that was awesome.
3:52
Go Irish. Yeah, other than the whole wide
3:55
receiver screen thing. You know, at least I I already
4:00
have surpassed my win total from last week.
4:03
Thank you, San Diego State for actually displaying offense.
4:07
Didn't expect that, but yeah, good times. 2 unit play hits and
4:12
probably lose everything today. But anyway, all right, man, it's
4:16
Saturday. Conference play is pretty much
4:18
in full swing. We don't have the marquee
4:20
matchups that we had last week, but we still got some good ones.
4:23
So let's go to our Big 10 dude and and the Big Blue dude.
4:28
So Pete, start us off Wisconsin at Michigan.
4:31
What are we looking at here? Thank you Sir.
4:33
I hesitate to make a play at this point, but anyway, so over
4:36
under this game is 43 1/2. You know, Michigan has not been
4:41
lighting the scoreboard up a whole lot.
4:43
That's I mean, clearly with a with a young quarterback, they
4:45
are leading into what they were going to do anyway, which is run
4:47
the ball and play defense. That's what they do playing
4:50
against Wisconsin, who kind of does the same thing.
4:53
It's it's screaming under to me. That said, I don't trust myself
4:58
at this point, but it's screaming under to me, even
5:01
though the number's relatively low.
5:02
But it kind of I, you know, see something like AI don't know, 27
5:06
to 10 or something. Would not be surprising to me in
5:08
this game. You know, I expect that Michigan
5:10
will they better get up in this game.
5:12
And if they're going to do that, which I expect they will do,
5:15
they're going to slow it down. They're going to run the ball.
5:17
And of course that defense is going to do what it does.
5:19
So, you know, I wouldn't expect a a, a, a really high scoring
5:23
output from either team, to be honest with you.
5:25
I don't think Michigan's actually capable of scoring at a
5:28
very high level at the moment. But so, yeah, something like 20
5:31
to 7 to 10 or something like that would not be shocking to
5:33
me. So I do like the under here at
5:35
43 1/2. Tim, thoughts on that one?
5:40
Yeah, I don't like that. Yeah, I don't know how Wisconsin
5:44
puts up more than Tyler P You're being generous giving Wisconsin
5:47
10 this. You know, I hate to say it and
5:51
and I don't think we like to see people lose their lose their
5:54
jobs or anything, but there could be a handful of coaches
5:59
updating their resumes tomorrow morning.
6:01
Luke Fickle could very well be one of them.
6:03
We're on what, Year 3? And he has done nothing but run
6:07
this program into the ground. Actually, he hasn't run at all,
6:10
which is the problem. He's passed his program into the
6:12
ground, but he's he's. He's not the right fit there.
6:14
I mean, he didn't fit his style, didn't fit in the beat in the
6:17
1st place. I know they were probably trying
6:18
to change it up and do something different.
6:20
It's it's not working. It's it's like when Michigan
6:22
brought Rich Rod in back in the day.
6:24
It was just a totally different style.
6:25
Doesn't match the identity or culture of the organization or
6:28
the school. So I yeah, I would not be
6:30
surprised if they're looking for a new head coach after this
6:34
year. All right, graphics guru.
6:38
What? What's next?
6:44
That's me. All right, University of
6:46
Kentucky, add the Georgia Bulldogs.
6:50
This, this is one of mine here. This is mostly a fade on what
6:55
Kentucky is doing, especially on the offensive side of the ball.
6:59
They've had Zach Calzetta. And who's this other guy?
7:02
Cutter Bully. Neither one has has been pretty
7:05
successful. Like QB, their wide receivers
7:07
are really, really lacking in skill and experience.
7:10
So this team has got no pass game to speak of.
7:13
They can run with a little bit of success, but as much as we
7:17
bash the Georgia defense for they can't get any pressure as
7:20
it's not the defense of the 2022-2023 team.
7:23
They're really good at stopping the run so that so Kentucky
7:25
shouldn't be able to pass or run in this game.
7:29
And with Georgia laying 20 1/2, this this could be a game a get
7:34
right spot for Georgia here. I do worry that there may be a
7:37
little bit of let down after that loss to Bama, but the other
7:41
side of that is, well, they've got a loss.
7:44
They're going to need to to beat up some teams that that they
7:46
have the ability to beat on. This should be one of those
7:50
games here. So I'm looking for something
7:53
maybe like 38 to 7, something like that.
7:56
This, this should be a get right spot for Georgia.
7:58
Now Gunner Stockton hasn't thrown any picks yet this year.
8:03
I think they are going to get some pressure here.
8:05
So I took the 20 1/2. This has been a 20 1/2 most of
8:08
the week. I don't know what it is now as
8:10
we're just under 3 hours from kickoff, but as long as it stays
8:14
20 1/2 here, I'm rolling with this.
8:17
I'm I'm going another 2 units here on Georgia minus the 20
8:20
1/2. Double unit.
8:23
Well, we're on such a roll with the double unit from San Diego
8:26
State. I mean, I might as well blow it
8:28
all in one game and get back to what I'm used to doing.
8:30
So yeah, let's go for. It Yeah, Drew was on San Diego
8:33
State, too. Oh, thank you, Drew for the
8:36
faith after my O and three last week for getting back on board
8:39
with me, man. But yeah, that was that was a
8:41
nice catch. That was that was almost as easy
8:45
a cover as what you had with Notre Dame last game.
8:49
So yeah, let's go Georgia. Screw Kentucky.
8:54
They're terrible. Any thoughts on that game guys?
8:56
Love the bet. And I mean, I think I don't see
8:59
how Georgia doesn't absolutely # them here.
9:00
I mean, I, I cannot imagine anything other than that.
9:03
I was looking at over unders 48 1/2.
9:04
I was considering the under just because I don't think Kentucky's
9:06
going to do much of anything here.
9:08
But then again, every time I say that now, the team that I say is
9:11
going to do nothing scores 3 touchdowns plus.
9:13
So I stay back away from it here because it's just, you know,
9:16
somehow I will will Kentucky to win by betting the under here.
9:20
But yeah, I mean, if Georgia doesn't # them there's a
9:23
problem, right? I mean, they need to get right
9:25
in this game. They need to pound them.
9:26
They should pound them. And so, yeah, I could see them
9:29
winning by easy, easy 30 points here.
9:31
That would not be surprising at all.
9:34
Tim, I know you love you some Georgia Bulldogs.
9:36
Any thoughts? I mean, I kind of, I was pretty
9:41
much mirroring with what Peter just said here.
9:43
Well, I don't think Kentucky's going to do much of anything
9:45
either. But that being said, the way
9:46
Iowa's been going, when we didn't think they're going to
9:49
score and they shouldn't, they shouldn't do Greatest Show on
9:52
Turf. But yeah, I'm, I'm in the same
9:54
boat with Pete. I was thinking.
9:55
About Stockton will throw his first pick like 3 minutes into
9:58
the game and Kentucky will get. Upset with nothing after.
10:01
Oh, OK, that's right. I forgot.
10:02
It's 2 units, it's probably 4 picks.
10:04
So yeah, what? Happened.
10:05
Maybe we should take, maybe we should take Kentucky in the
10:07
points right now, then I don't know.
10:08
Not a bad idea. I don't usually get more than A1
10:12
game-winning streak so yeah I would.
10:13
I would fade that I guess. Air Force and Navy, I think this
10:19
is one of yours too, Darren. Or is this here?
10:23
This one is 1 of mine. So surface Academy game under
10:26
over under is 52 1/2. You know, Air Force can score
10:31
and then they've shown it. Then again, I, I did, I did like
10:33
watch, enjoy watching Hawaii beat them last week.
10:36
So that was kind of fun. But you know, 52 1/2 is a, is A
10:39
to me, at least historically is a pretty high number for a
10:42
service Academy. Yes, these have these games have
10:44
evolved a little bit, but still right.
10:47
These teams when they play each other, tend to trench down, beat
10:51
the crap out of each other. It's a very physical type of
10:53
game that I don't expect to be much different this time.
10:57
And I think the passing rate will, you know, stay in the
10:59
lower side. I think they're going to run the
11:00
ball at each other quite a bit. And I, I do, you know, I, I
11:03
really think if you think about how this script is going to play
11:06
out, you'll end up with something like a 2420 kind of
11:09
game with it's kind of what I'm thinking, maybe 2717, something
11:12
like that. So I think there's a pretty big
11:14
cushion here on this, on this under.
11:16
I actually feel very confident about this one.
11:18
I almost did 2 units on it but I am taking the under on 5052 1/2.
11:24
Any thoughts Tan I I haven't seen much of either team yet so
11:27
far this year. Well, if thankfully you have,
11:31
that means you haven't had to watch Air Force.
11:32
So that's always kind of gouging your eyeballs out of your head.
11:37
But yeah, like Pete said, you you get a service Academy, like,
11:41
yeah, you just go under and you and you don't even think about
11:43
it. But yeah, these these teams are
11:45
not really changing what they're doing.
11:47
Air Force is trying to air it out a little more, but that's
11:49
usually because they're giving up 40 plus points a game and
11:52
they don't have a choice. I mean, literally like 113 play,
11:57
11 minute drive is probably going to get this to the under.
12:02
And these two teams are more capable of doing that than most
12:05
teams in the FBS. So yeah, I, I, I never thought
12:09
I'd see a day where a service Academy total.
12:11
Would be in the 50s. Exactly.
12:15
That's a gift. I, I, you know that Jerry
12:18
Maguire, you had me at hello when Pete was like under.
12:20
Yeah, you had me at under. I mean it just.
12:23
Don't worry now that we said this, they'll they'll come,
12:24
they'll score combined 65 points today.
12:26
I mean, that's. 4945, yeah. Something ridiculous.
12:35
Yeah. At that point I quit.
12:36
So we're good. Right there.
12:40
We go Tim, you and I both have this game but I'm gonna let you
12:42
have the floor because my dumb ass bet like 5 games this week.
12:47
Right. Well, this is another one of
12:49
those where the the Florida State game with, with Alabama
12:52
seems like it was like 5 years ago.
12:56
They seem to have recovered big game last week.
12:59
They still they don't turn the ball over, they don't commit a
13:01
lot of penalties. And you add that to with
13:04
Vanderbilt beating them last year, you just have to think all
13:09
the Alabama players are like, we're going to beat these nerds
13:11
into the ground. And I'm expecting, yeah, I know
13:14
Vanderbilt's undefeated and all that.
13:16
So, but I, I think Alabama big here.
13:21
I'm thinking probably by at least 24.
13:25
I'm, I'm thinking big. They're just going to like
13:26
destroy them just to make up for last year.
13:30
So that's basically what I'm going on.
13:32
And with the fact that Vanderbilt does commit a lot
13:34
more penalties in Alabama as well, So and the turnover ratio
13:39
ratio does favor Bama a little bit.
13:41
They're both on the positive side of it.
13:43
But so I guess Bama forces more. But yeah, everything to me is
13:49
looking for Alabama in a romp. I I agree with you, I threw a
13:57
unit on Bama at 10 1/2 as well. And for all you DraftKings
14:01
users, just a heads up, they are offering a 33% profit boost on
14:06
either this game or the Miami, FL state game.
14:10
So if you have DraftKings in your state and are interested in
14:13
betting either of those two games, hop in, get that, get
14:16
that profit boost 'cause you know, we, we never turned down
14:19
the chance for free money. But yeah, the only thing I'll
14:23
add to everything that Tim said was my my only concern with Bama
14:26
is that they haven't shown that they can stop the run.
14:28
And Vanderbilt and Diego, they got no problem running and they
14:34
do it successfully. So hopefully Alabama has come up
14:36
with something to at least minimize the damage that
14:39
Vanderbilt is going to try and do on the ground.
14:41
On the flip side, and I get Vanderbilt is the talk of the
14:45
college football world and they're talking a lot of smack
14:48
and they think they're going to go in there and blow out the
14:50
tide. That's all well and good, but
14:53
strength of schedule ratings, you know, Bam has played the 5th
14:56
of his schedule so far. Vanderbilt is 107th.
14:59
Don't don't tell me their win over South Carolina was
15:01
impressive. South Carolina is down this
15:03
year. They also beat Virginia Tech,
15:05
but we know they're a train wreck.
15:07
They've already they were the first coach to get fired this
15:09
year. I don't think they've seen
15:11
anything like what Alabama is going to show them offensively.
15:15
You know, we talked about Stockton for Georgia not having
15:18
any picks. Well, neither does Ty Simpson.
15:20
I, I don't think he ends up with any picks after this game as
15:24
well. Tim, I agree with you.
15:26
I think I mean, and if and if you're a revenge spot believer,
15:31
obviously that would, would, would lead you to bet Bama here.
15:33
But I think this is going to be a game along with another game
15:37
I've got later on where, where the underdog might get, might
15:41
get a little bit of a reality check today here.
15:43
So I agree with you, Tim, I did 1 unit using the DraftKings
15:47
profit boost on Alabama -10 1/2. Pete, any thoughts on this?
15:54
Yeah, I mean, logic, logic would suggest that Bama should
15:57
firebomb them, right? That that's what you would and
15:59
the whole revenge factor and all of that.
16:01
So that would not be surprising. I to me, if that's true.
16:04
And if we think that's going to happen, that line is really
16:06
short. Like I would lay that all day
16:08
long because that's a really short line.
16:10
Now the over under is 55 1/2. I kicked this sucker around.
16:13
It was just, I don't know what the Vanderbilt's going to do,
16:16
right? I mean, I think Alabama will
16:18
probably score 40 points by themselves or something like
16:21
that. So the question was, you know,
16:23
'cause I was thinking over Will Vanderpool, they'll score at all
16:26
or are they gonna score enough to get over that line?
16:28
I thought maybe, you know, I would be surprised if Vanderbilt
16:32
keeps it close. But hey, if we're at halftime
16:34
and it's a close game, it could get really interesting in the
16:36
second-half. So it could be a lot of fun to
16:38
watch. If it's close, 'cause I think it
16:39
could get a little nasty on the field.
16:41
It could be interesting. So we'll see how this thing
16:43
plays itself out. But I I love the bat.
16:45
I think that's a short line. And if what happens, if what you
16:48
think is going to happen actually happens, then yeah,
16:50
it's a, it's a great, it's a great play.
16:51
So I love it. Yeah, it opened like 13 1/2,
16:54
fourteen and then got bet all the way down to like 10 1/2.
16:58
Went back, yeah, 11 1/2 and now back.
17:01
I think it's 11 1/2 now, but like Tim and I jumped on it at
17:03
10 1/2. The other thing, what was what
17:05
was the? What was the total you had?
17:07
55 1/2 is what I saw. OK, the other thing to think
17:10
about is, you know, we all remember Bam was like a 24 point
17:13
favorite when they rolled into Vandy and got beat.
17:17
Can you see Bama running up the score if they have the chance
17:20
to? Yeah, as much Vanderbilt is
17:23
talking. That's why I was leaning toward
17:25
the over on that right just alone if they get up and if they
17:27
dominate this game like they can, they are.
17:29
Why would they? Why would they stop?
17:31
They were not going to throttle back at all, so yeah.
17:33
I think their team total, I, I, I don't call.
17:35
I thought I saw it in the week like Alabama's team total 33
17:38
1/2. I would go over that, yeah.
17:41
Oh, yeah, I'll go. That.
17:41
I love that. Yeah.
17:43
Well, the game last year wasn't the game last year like 3835 or
17:46
something. Like that 4035, Yeah, it was
17:49
crazy something. Like that?
17:51
Yeah, and Vanderbilt's better so but and you know, but I guess,
17:54
you know, we also Vanderbilt's probably gonna try and run the
17:56
ball to keep Bama's offense off the field.
17:58
Maybe that slows it down. But if this game goes like the
18:01
spread is telling you it should go, why would Bama just run out
18:05
the clock against these guys? I mean this this seems to be
18:07
like a full blown rivalry now. So Bama team total over, game
18:12
over, Alabama covering all sounds good in theory I guess.
18:17
Right. This is mine.
18:20
OK? I hate both these teams with a
18:22
passion. But this line the other day got
18:27
all the way down to Texas 4 1/2, and I'm like, you know what?
18:30
That's too low. So I'm throwing a unit on Texas
18:34
here. Do I like Arch Manning?
18:36
Not at the moment, but do I like the fact that Trey Weisner is
18:42
coming back and Emmett Mosley is set to make his his debut at
18:47
wide receiver for Texas? I do like that a lot.
18:51
I know weather is supposed to be a factor here.
18:55
And you know, everybody complained about how Arch
18:57
Manning played in that week one game against Ohio State.
19:00
But, you know, we're big fans of Box 4 breakdowns here.
19:03
If you take a look at that game. I mean, they had, I wrote it
19:07
down, they had 130 more yards than Ohio State did.
19:11
Ohio State only got 11 first downs on this team.
19:17
They also rushed for 166 yards. And Ohio State only had 34
19:20
carries for 77 yards. So the the focus was on how bad
19:24
Arch Manning looked, but the box score shows that pretty much
19:27
everybody else on Texas did their job and that was Ohio
19:30
State and arguably one of the best defenses in the country and
19:33
that they were moving the ball. They just couldn't get, you
19:35
know, they just couldn't get the scores turnovers at bad times.
19:38
I believe you had a pick in there somewhere.
19:41
But if you look at Florida, and maybe this is me betting with my
19:47
cold black heart, but I took them in the seven and a half two
19:51
weeks ago when they were playing Miami.
19:53
I have never seen a team look so bad offensively than what I saw
19:58
from Florida. They got dominated on both lines
20:00
of scrimmage and they were already banged up on defense
20:03
going into that game and they ended up getting a couple more
20:06
players hurt. Aaron Gates, one of their
20:10
secondary guys, is now out for the season.
20:13
The big one, Dejon Johnson, he got hurt.
20:15
He's out for the season. So there's two guys in the
20:17
secondary that start that are gone.
20:20
Maybe Arch Manning can take advantage of that with Mosey's
20:22
return. Who knows?
20:23
A defensive line. Caleb Banks got hurt, he's out.
20:27
Their linebacker, LJ McCray is out.
20:29
And yeah, this defense is good. But at some point, these
20:31
injuries are going to have to start to catch up with Florida
20:35
offensively. They look ass and if we're
20:38
giving out a bronze ass cheek award for today, I guess give it
20:41
to the Florida offense. Billy Napier's press conference,
20:44
he says I am still calling the plays.
20:46
Well, you can guess how that went over on Florida Twitter.
20:50
They are ready to just guys. I do I, I read it for like 5
20:53
minutes. I'm like, did this, this is not
20:56
OK. I I, I'm kind of worried for
20:57
Napier as he's walking into the stadium today.
21:00
But yeah, this spread got down to 4 1/2.
21:02
I was willing to play it at 6 1/2 where it opened, but then I
21:05
saw it start to drop. I'm like, I'm going to wait.
21:07
I'm going to wait. FanDuel had four and a half the
21:10
other day. Other books had five and a half.
21:12
Mike, screw it. I'll lay the little bit of extra
21:14
juice here. I'll lay the four and a half.
21:16
I, you know, we, we know there's always a time when Florida seems
21:20
to suck it up and play great for Napier.
21:22
They did it last year. I thought it was going to be two
21:24
weeks ago against Miami. Horrible call on my part.
21:28
I don't think this is going to be the game.
21:29
I mean, you struggled against LSU in Miami.
21:32
Well, guess who statistically got a better defense than those
21:34
two teams? Yeah, that burnt orange team
21:37
right there. So, yeah, give me Texas.
21:41
Lay the four and a half. I think it's 5 1/2 this morning.
21:43
I would still go up to 6 1/2. I'm not saying arch breaks out
21:47
here, but he certainly could with the injuries that that
21:51
Florida got in the secondary. So give me a unit on Texas.
21:55
Tim's there anyway. Well, I mean, do you think if
22:00
they win, if Florida wins this game and maybe wins a couple
22:04
more down the road, do you think Billy Napier keeps his job?
22:07
Sure, I hope so. So let's.
22:09
Because who are you? Who are you going to get besides
22:11
him? And I heard a lot of talk about
22:13
firing James Franklin at Penn State.
22:16
But the one question everybody brought up was, well, who?
22:18
If you have somebody lined up, OK, fine, go ahead and get rid
22:21
of him. But you know who?
22:23
Who are you going to get? Who are you going to take?
22:25
I don't know, but this can be funny if like they've come
22:28
together, they all want to fire them, they win a few games in a
22:31
row, all let's keep them, let's give them one more year.
22:32
If they can just keep doing that for like the next 5 or 10 years,
22:35
that'd be lovely. But I don't know.
22:38
PV. Any thoughts on the line on this
22:39
one? No, that's the caveat here.
22:41
I mean, Texas is a better team. Texas should win this game.
22:43
I like that line. I like laying those points.
22:46
I think it's a really good play over under 42 1/2, which I just,
22:49
I don't like that number at all. I don't know where that's going
22:52
to go. That's sad, right?
22:54
You know, this team has come together for this guy before.
22:59
If it's going to happen, this is it, right?
23:01
This is it. I mean, this is it's a swan
23:03
song. If they get if they get killed,
23:04
which they very well could get blown the hell off the field if
23:07
that happens. He's definitely done.
23:11
Yeah. I mean, it'll be the end, right?
23:12
But so if if this team, these players seem to like the guy a
23:16
lot, I mean, so if they're going to show up at all, it will be
23:20
today. So it'll be interesting to see
23:22
if that happens or not. I don't actually expect that to
23:24
happen. I think they're done.
23:25
I think it's 10 years done. I think it's time to change to
23:28
your point, I don't know where they go next, but that, you
23:30
know, I think he's got to go. So yeah, I fully expect.
23:33
And once again, I you can say the same for Texas because Texas
23:36
hasn't looked great either in a team that everybody was talking
23:38
about as a potential national championship team, right?
23:41
Well, they're going to have to put up or shut up here too.
23:43
I mean, they can't keep trudging through these games.
23:45
You know, they need to show that they can do it and this is the
23:49
time to do it right. So it's interesting the
23:51
storyline and both this is going to be a great game.
23:53
The storyline I think is interesting on both sides.
23:55
So coach fighting for his life with a team that might, might
23:58
try to play for him and a team that I've talked about Texas
24:02
before after the Ohio State game.
24:03
This is a team that continuously steps on their own freaking toes
24:07
over and over and over again. They're in a position to beat
24:09
good teams and they just can't get over the hump.
24:12
They can't score in the red zone.
24:14
They turn the ball over. Just bad things happen.
24:17
So I would not be surprised or shocked if somehow Florida
24:21
pulled this off because Texas threw a late pick or did
24:24
something idiotic. Would not be surprised.
24:25
But I do like the bags. I think logic speaks to Texas
24:30
just beating the crap out of them today.
24:32
That's that's what I think. But anyway.
24:36
I'm going to move on to 1 of mine.
24:37
Hey guys, is UCLA any good this year?
24:42
Yeah, they're great. No, so I guess Penn State ought
24:46
to be able to beat them 'cause if they were ranked, yeah, Penn
24:50
State would have a problem. But as usual, I think this is my
24:53
weekly fate of UCLA for the rest of the year.
24:57
I think they're getting 25 1/2. You know, James Franklin beats
25:02
up on the lesser teams, and when he plays a good team, you know,
25:05
show me. Let's see something.
25:07
He hasn't won. So anyone with any kind of a
25:10
ranking. So yeah, I'm expecting just a
25:12
really big win, even though I'm ignoring the two time zones.
25:17
UCLA sucks, Penn State does not. Penn State always beats up on a
25:21
littler teams. So it just looks like they
25:24
should be able to cover this. 25 1/2.
25:27
That's basically all the research I did.
25:28
I'm fading UCLA every week the rest of the year.
25:32
The floor is yours, boys. Yeah, hard to argue.
25:36
That, I mean, I, they, they really, I think they're going to
25:38
absolutely destroyed them and they, and they should, and James
25:41
Franklin and they get, they, he did his thing.
25:43
So he, that's fine. That's over.
25:45
And so now I expect Penn State will be back to what they are,
25:48
which is really good. So I expect they will play
25:51
really well. I think they're going to look
25:52
good for the rest of the year. It'll be interesting if they can
25:55
get in the playoff and we see what happens, especially if they
25:58
end up meeting Oregon again 'cause I'd like to see that game
26:00
again in the playoff. That would be very interesting
26:03
to see. So I, you know, I mean, nobody
26:06
beats up James Franklin more than me, but I think his team
26:08
will play for him today and I think they'll actually kill him.
26:10
So I love, I love that. Yeah, I mean, Tim, shout out to
26:13
you, man. Sometimes the simplest handicaps
26:16
are the best. I, I mean, James Franklin, he
26:18
always seems to know the point spread and again, that that's
26:22
why you're not going to fire him because he beats everybody else
26:25
except that any team ranked in the top five.
26:29
Yeah, even the the time zone thing doesn't even really worry
26:32
me here either. UCLA showed a little bit of of
26:36
something in the second-half last week, but that was
26:39
Northwestern. Penn State, I'm going to say is
26:41
a little bit better. Yeah.
26:45
The Nico thing has not worked out.
26:46
They fired their offensive coordinator this week.
26:48
UCLA did. So now we've got 2 new
26:50
coordinators and a new head coach.
26:53
No idea what this offense is going to look like, but against
26:55
the Penn State defense, it probably doesn't matter.
26:59
And you're at the point in the season now where if you have a
27:01
loss, you need to show this committee who's gonna come out
27:05
with their rankings. And whenever the first one is
27:08
like a month or so from now, you know, you need to to boat race
27:11
these teams that you're supposed to boat race.
27:13
So I totally expect Penn State to to roll here.
27:19
If I didn't have 9 bets already, Tim, I would be piling on to
27:22
this one, as well as your Alabama bets.
27:24
This, this could get ugly. OK.
27:28
Oh boy, here we go. Bye.
27:31
See you later guys. See you later.
27:33
Have a good. Day.
27:36
I'm out of coffee so I'm I can go get another cup you'll.
27:38
Probably still be waiting. By the time I get back.
27:41
Go brew a new pot, you got plenty of time.
27:43
Actually this is another very, very little research on this one
27:47
as well. I've seen this this meeting
27:50
about 30 plus Times Now. So look, if Miami wins, they're
27:55
going to blow our doors off. If Florida State wins is going
27:57
to be close. I think the first option is more
28:01
likely. I took Miami, I'd love to lose
28:05
this bet. I'll be fine with it.
28:06
But yeah, I think they're I think they can cover that 4 1/2.
28:10
That's what I got them at. I know everyone says these
28:13
rivalry games are close, but one defense did not look good
28:17
against Virginia. Miami's offensive line, they're
28:21
massive. So God, this is tall order.
28:27
And yeah, it's going to be a long night.
28:29
So I have to call a jig bottle of Jim Beam and a shot class
28:33
ready to go. I'll be fine.
28:34
I'll be take. The FSU Homer thing off of your
28:38
screen. You can't bet against your team
28:40
in a game like this and. Call yourself an FSU if it
28:42
jinxes of hey whatever, but. Listen, you bet with your head,
28:45
not with your heart. Credit to Tim.
28:47
More balls than a ping pong tournament in China.
28:50
Good job, buddy. I'm just going to say this, this
28:55
was almost, you know, Tim, I sent you the money line sprinkle
28:58
for the week and I went a little bit with a bigger underdog.
29:01
This was the second game that I had here.
29:05
I think the best thing that and further, it's not that you guys
29:07
couldn't stop the run. You couldn't tackle anybody.
29:09
I mean, Virginia players were bouncing off you guys like a
29:11
pinball machine last year. And I think the best thing that
29:14
happened to Florida State was losing that Virginia game
29:17
because now they're desperate. They don't want a second
29:19
conference loss. You're going to get their best
29:22
effort tonight. Does it mean they win?
29:24
I have no frigging idea because if I did, I would bet
29:26
accordingly. But I think you're going to see
29:29
the best game Florida State has played since the Alabama win.
29:34
They, they need it. They're desperate.
29:36
They, they have the bet. We we know there's a crystal
29:38
ball moment waiting to happen. Would it surprise you if it's
29:41
tonight? I I respectfully disagree, but
29:47
I'll be pulling for your team because I have Louisville
29:51
winning the ACCI need Miami to get a loss.
29:53
But yeah, I I think ulterior motives there, But I I honestly
29:58
do think you're getting Florida State's best effort tonight
30:02
because they have to. They, they, they, they.
30:04
We're going. To get that anyway, but I mean
30:05
it's. Well, not necessarily.
30:07
I mean, I mean, your defense didn't look like they were
30:09
really interested in tackling anybody on Virginia.
30:11
But, you know, can we still trust Cristobal?
30:15
Can we still trust Carson Beck? I think I can trust that.
30:19
Florida State's coming out with their best effort tonight.
30:21
Yep, agree. I agree on a percent.
30:23
I, I think you're going to see a really good showing out of your
30:25
team. Whether they win or not, it's
30:26
hard to tell. But yeah, I think they're going
30:29
to, they're going to step up and play and that's all you're going
30:31
to ask, right? At the end of the day, if
30:32
Miami's better, they're better. I mean, but I'd like to see Beck
30:35
running for his life the whole game.
30:36
That'd be fantastic. So I think you might see some of
30:38
that over under 53 1/2. I thought seriously about the
30:42
under here because I'm thinking the Florida State's going to
30:44
play well. This is going to be a physical
30:46
game and I think that it could lay lay the going under that
30:50
number I think is very likely if Florida State's going to win
30:52
this game. Once again, I'm not playing it
30:54
because I just don't know. But I think it should be a lot
30:56
of fun to watch and I think it will.
30:57
I think it will be a close game. I do truly believe that.
31:01
Right. All right, my last one, here's
31:05
what I think is not going to be a close game.
31:07
I, I got on this a few days ago and it was 14 1/2 some place.
31:10
It's already up to 16 1/2. I'm sorry, Mississippi State,
31:13
Pete, you already cast your over win total on them.
31:15
So I know you could care less about the Bulldogs from here on
31:17
out. They already did what they
31:18
needed to do. I talked about the Georgia
31:21
Kentucky game being maybe a reality check for some of these
31:24
teams. Dude, I, I've got 2 units on
31:27
Texas A&M rolling tonight. I take it up to 16 1/2.
31:31
And Tim, this is going to be a Heisman boosting game for you.
31:35
This is going to be a conference boosting game for you, a win
31:38
total boost for you as well. You know, we talked about
31:41
strength of schedule in the Bama Vanderbilt match up.
31:44
A and Ms. played the 9th toughest schedule, Mississippi
31:47
State the 89th and I remember they had a, they had a nice last
31:50
second win against Arizona State in there as well.
31:53
The offense for Mississippi State has looked good.
31:55
Blake Shaven's played well, he's healthy.
31:57
Fluff Bothwell, my favorite name for running back of all time is
32:00
playing well. They've already picked off 7
32:03
passes. But again, sometimes we talk
32:05
about the mindset coming off a game from last week.
32:08
They should have beaten Tennessee.
32:11
They should have won that game and then losing it in overtime.
32:15
Could that be crushing? Yeah, possibly.
32:17
The other thing I don't like, they're starting right tackle
32:19
Albert Reese is out, so that's not going to help Blake Chapin
32:23
too much. And A&M's got 14 sacks on the
32:26
year in four games. So this is a defense that that's
32:28
living in the backfield week after week.
32:32
And Mississippi State has yet to have a buy.
32:34
This is going to be their 6th game in six weeks.
32:38
I don't know reality. I think Mississippi State
32:40
finally remembers. Oh, hey, our win total was only
32:42
3 1/2. They're they got 4.
32:44
If they end the season with five, that's certainly a
32:46
possibility. The rest of their schedule's
32:48
brutal, but I think going to Kyle Field here is going to be
32:51
going to be too much for them. My 3rd 2 unit play of the week
32:55
guys what the hell is it? I don't know what's going on,
32:57
especially with our records. This year, 2 units, especially
33:00
with mine. Yeah, let's do.
33:02
It I have, I had the Houston Cincinnati game when I was in or
33:05
the Houston Colorado game when I was in Disney.
33:07
I should have just stopped there and hit the one.
33:08
Yeah, apparently I'm just all left up and, you know, out of
33:11
coffee. I don't know.
33:12
I, I just think this is, you know, another reality check game
33:15
here. I think George rolls, I think
33:16
A&M rolls. I think all Tim's bets take a
33:19
bump in the right direction for him.
33:21
This yeah, up up to 16 1/2 where I believe it currently is.
33:25
Don't go to 17. You don't want to have a push
33:27
potentially. But you know, the back door
33:30
thing is is always out there with the spread this big.
33:32
But yeah, man, yeah. Yeah, Reality, maybe.
33:37
Yeah, I mean, that's right. Normalization.
33:40
I mean, it's been a weird year. It's been difficult to bet some
33:42
of these games. There's been a lot of bizarre
33:43
things happening, especially with the points.
33:45
I just, I usually have a pretty good feel by now of what people
33:48
are going to score. I don't, and that's weird.
33:51
So, yeah, but I think it's got to normalize at some point.
33:53
It's got to become what it's supposed to be, right?
33:55
Which you would expect a team like A&M to absolutely roll
33:58
here, Right. Thank you, Mississippi State.
34:01
Good, good year for them, honestly, at the end of the day,
34:03
they cannot win another game. Nobody expected that.
34:05
They played well. Hats off.
34:07
Good year. But this ain't your place, man.
34:09
You're going to you're going to get throttled.
34:10
And and I love that that I'd lay those points all day long.
34:13
So that's that's excellent. So, yeah, that's what I would
34:16
expect. A&M is going to kill them.
34:17
I mean, over and over. It's like 55 1/2.
34:19
It's like it's too big of a number because I don't know what
34:21
Mississippi State's going to do, although I think it's probably
34:23
leading over, but who knows? But yeah, I would agree with
34:25
that, Tim. You're the A&M guy in in this
34:27
little group here with the thoughts.
34:30
Oh yeah, keep it rolling A&M. Hopefully Marcel will get up
34:34
there. Maybe have like to see him have
34:37
another 100 yard running game. Maybe we get a couple of passing
34:40
touchdowns with a running touchdown.
34:42
Keep no turnovers. Just keep his touchdown.
34:47
The turnover ratio looking good. You know, like we said, we
34:50
talked about the other day, it's got to catch up with Mendoza and
34:55
Dante Moore up there in Oregon. So Yep, keep my eyes been bent,
35:00
looking good. So hopefully sooner or later
35:03
they start talking about them more because they're not talking
35:05
about them at all. I can't, which I really can't
35:08
believe you look at some of the numbers he's put up.
35:09
But hopefully this is another national televised game.
35:13
Keep it rolling, rolling into that Texas scam at the end of
35:15
the year, that'll be on everyone's set.
35:17
If they can win all those games, they have to give it to them or
35:21
at least invite them to New York, and then we'll see what
35:24
happens from there. But.
35:25
Jim, I have a question for you. Pete had mentioned earlier about
35:28
you changing your FSU Homer for next week.
35:31
Would you possibly change that to A&M Homer because.
35:34
You have like. I'm just saying with your 11
35:37
futures bets involving Texas A and MI, just thought maybe a a a
35:41
name change at the bottom like Pete said is A is a solid idea.
35:46
Well, it wouldn't be a Homer. You can't.
35:48
You can't keep that one up there.
35:49
After this week, you got Marcel Homer.
35:51
Especially if. You're cheating.
35:52
Yeah. I mean, a Marcel Homer.
35:53
Yeah. I don't care what Aggie Homer.
35:55
Marcel. What do you call it?
35:56
But I think if you're going to bet against FSU, like Pete said,
36:00
yeah, I don't know how you can put FSU.
36:01
Homer as you, especially if anyone doesn't care how you can.
36:05
And God forbid, dominate this tonight and actually really like
36:08
show win, win big tonight, man, that's got to come down.
36:11
That's not you can't keep that up well.
36:12
If they do that, they're going to show me something.
36:14
I just, we always say we know our teams, right.
36:18
Yeah, that's that's fair. That's fair.
36:19
So. So do you want to talk about the
36:22
Western Kentucky money line sprinkle you gave out there?
36:25
Darren yeah, there we go. Look at that nice looking
36:31
goatee. Yeah.
36:33
I mean, I we on Thursday's show, I was like, yeah, I I think
36:38
Western Kentucky was the better team.
36:39
I did watch a lot of that game. But to be fair, that was kind of
36:43
a lucky hit because as we had talked about before we started
36:47
here, Delaware had two key turnovers and missed a last
36:53
second 42 yard field goal to end this game in overtime.
36:55
So if you rolled with that play, Congrats.
37:00
But there was a fair, well, more than a fair amount of luck
37:04
involved there. So, yeah, I mean, we'll take a
37:07
win whenever here on this show, I guess, especially given my
37:10
record to start the season. But yeah, yeah, lesser Kentucky,
37:14
the the money line weekday sprinkle I guess has hit because
37:19
of course we have another one today because.
37:21
Oh yeah, let's keep the sprinkles coming.
37:22
Oh, like a money line sprinkles. All right, for you adventurous
37:27
guys who who may have hit on anything Thursday or Friday, I'm
37:32
going to roll with Purdue here on the money line.
37:35
I think the spread is somewhere around 8 and a half, 9/9 and 1/2
37:38
depending on where you shop. But you can get almost 3 to one
37:41
on the money line here. We're we're kind of down on
37:44
Illinois and while they did show out a little bit against Duke,
37:47
Duke is not anything like the anybody thought they should be.
37:53
We saw maybe what Illinois looked like when they went to
37:55
Indiana. They did pull out that last
37:58
second win against USC. So maybe there's a little bit of
38:00
a let down there. I remember last year Purdue,
38:02
Purdue was God awful and they only lost 50 to 49 at Illinois.
38:08
They tried to go for two to win the game and did not get it.
38:11
This is a much better Purdue team here.
38:16
Do I expect them to win? I I don't know if I would expect
38:19
them to win, but everything is is ripe for a little money line
38:24
sprinkles. So if you're ahead and you got a
38:26
little money, at what time is this game even at noon?
38:29
All right, So if you guys hit on anything Thursday or Friday
38:32
night and you want to sprinkle a little half unit on on something
38:36
ridiculous, give Purdue a look, man, I don't know Pete, you're
38:40
the Big 10 guy. I don't know what your thoughts
38:41
are. I know you're kind of anti
38:43
Illinois as well, but are you enough pro Purdue to to somewhat
38:48
maybe agree with that pick? I'm not pro either team.
38:52
So at the end of the day, I could, I could, I could, I could
38:55
see, I could see that happening. I mean, over under 54 1/2.
38:58
I actually thought about going over on this just because of
39:00
last year's scoring and Purdue's a better team.
39:03
So I would expect. But then again, the way I'm
39:05
going at it, it'll probably end up to be a, you know, 20 to 14
39:07
game. But yeah, I would, that would
39:10
not shock me at all. I don't, I don't think.
39:11
I think Illinois is very hot and cold.
39:14
I think that they they could absolutely get beat here, would
39:18
not shock me a bit. So yeah, I mean, that's I think
39:21
that's a pretty reasonable logical sprinkle.
39:24
I think it makes some sense here.
39:25
I think it definitely could happen.
39:26
Yeah, I just, you know, if you're playing these, these are
39:28
probably like half unit plays, Max.
39:31
I mean, yesterday's West Kentucky was only getting three.
39:33
It wasn't an insane money line play by any stretch of the
39:36
imagination. So maybe on those lesser ones,
39:38
if you're feeling frisky or have a little extra sprinklage in
39:42
your bankroll, you know, go for it.
39:44
But usually, you know, there's a reason these teams are severe
39:47
plus money because it usually doesn't work out.
39:50
So for all these that we're going to give out, and Tim, you
39:53
did tell us pre show there will be multiple graphics with your
39:56
Dome and Pete. Yeah.
39:59
All right. So because, you know, I don't
40:00
want to be the only one putting myself out there picking
40:02
ridiculous underdogs. But you know, Tim was like, I
40:07
need your money line sprinkle of the week.
40:08
I'm like, I'll get it to you. Like 5 minutes later I'm like, F
40:11
it. Let's go Purdue, baby.
40:13
I'm just going to say going back to the prior game here, I I
40:16
would not mind an FSU money line at home.
40:18
I would not mind that. I would not.
40:20
Mind. Yeah, I I agree with that.
40:22
I agree with that. I'll have to get those graphics
40:25
out for next week and you can see them on YouTube.
40:27
So if you like and subscribe to our YouTube channel, you'll be
40:29
able to see all my guys. It is 9:40 in the morning.
40:31
Who wants to look at that? Come on, I don't even want
40:36
another cup of coffee now. All right, RPO segment, who
40:47
wants to start it off? Got Iowa State plus 1 1/2 at
40:52
Cincinnati. What you thinking?
40:55
I'll jump on that one real quick.
40:57
Over under 55 1/2 on on that one.
40:59
I, I took a look at it. I mean, I, I think it's likely
41:01
an underwrite. Cincinnati's offense has been
41:03
inconsistent once again, because I said that plus score 50.
41:06
But I don't expect that to happen.
41:08
I think it will be a closer game.
41:09
I think it it will be under that number.
41:12
So I'm leaning that direction, not playing it, but I I would
41:14
not be surprised if it was under that number actually maybe
41:16
handling into that number. I would take Cincy all day long.
41:20
Iowa State just lost two of their starting corners for the
41:22
year. Brandon Sorsby, like Pete said,
41:24
has been inconsistent, but when he's on, he's pretty on.
41:27
That's a night game at Nippert Stadium.
41:30
I would take Cincinnati all day here.
41:33
All right, Clemson -14 at North Carolina, I'm going to run with
41:37
Clemson. I'll take it.
41:39
This is the toilet bowl. I wouldn't watch this one with a
41:42
gun in my head. I, I, I, I called the Belichick
41:44
thing before the season even started that that's a dumpster
41:47
fire that was always going to happen.
41:48
And Clemson's burning and sinking at the same time, too.
41:51
Both of these teams, I think both of them need a coaching
41:54
change immediately. So we'll see how that goes.
41:56
But yeah, this is, this is not even worth watching to me.
41:59
This is 2 garbage teams. I will go a step further and I
42:03
would rather watch a 20 minute repeating loop of a monkey
42:07
taking a dump then watching this.
42:10
And not just a regular dump, like the monkeys kind of
42:13
constipated and he's really angry that he can't take a dump
42:16
and he's just repeatedly punching himself in the head in
42:19
an effort to get the dump out that.
42:21
Would be Belichick in the sideline?
42:24
I know if this is the only game on.
42:28
I'm doing something else. Exactly.
42:30
Yeah, no interest in this at all.
42:33
Kansas State Plus. 5 1/2 at Baylor.
42:36
I like Baylor As for some reason after the first couple of weeks
42:40
that's like the way they look. I'm I I'd probably run with
42:42
Baylor on this one. I would lean Candace stay here.
42:48
Dylan Edwards did come back last week, and Kansas State certainly
42:52
looked a lot better offensively. And Baylor's defense is kind of
42:56
bad. Pete, I don't know what the
42:59
total is here, but an over would be a consider.
43:02
Yeah, it's probably high. But yeah, yeah, I'm saying I I
43:04
would have considered over at 61 1/2, which to me is just too
43:07
high if it. Was like me too high.
43:08
Yeah, mid. 50s I would consider it.
43:10
This is just as. High Boise State plus 21 at
43:14
Notre Dame. Your boys there.
43:16
What are you thinking? Over nothing else.
43:18
I still don't trust Notre Dame's defense.
43:23
Yeah, I wouldn't play this one either.
43:26
But again, this is kind of like a maybe like a playoff
43:28
eliminator game of sorts. We know if Notre Dame loses,
43:31
they're not going. And like we talked about
43:33
earlier, in a game like this where Boise State is kind of
43:37
well respected after last year, Notre Dame probably needs to
43:40
cover this as well. So yeah, another big, I mean,
43:43
they ran a fake punt when they were up like 30 points against
43:47
Arkansas. Yeah, they're going to need to.
43:51
I would take Notre Dame because they need to cover.
43:53
But with Notre Dame's defense, I mean, if this was like 49 to 27
44:00
or something, it wouldn't surprise me one bit.
44:02
I would mean Notre Dame in the. Old, I mean, it's a big number
44:05
over under 62 1/2, but still, could they clear that?
44:08
Quite, quite possibly they could.
44:09
My confidence level is not high, but I think that that over, I'm
44:12
leaning that direction is probably in play.
44:14
I do expect Notre Dame to score a bunch at home, so we'll see
44:17
what Boise can do. But yeah, I think it'll be a
44:19
pretty high scoring game, at least on the Notre Dame side.
44:22
At Virginia, +7 at Louisville. I want to run to the window with
44:25
Louisville on this one. I like Louisville here, Aaron.
44:29
Yeah, I do too. Virginia coming off that that
44:32
big double overtime win against FSU, who knows what they're
44:36
going to be like or what they have left in the tank.
44:38
I haven't been fully impressed with Miller Moss, but the the
44:42
defense is played actually a lot better than I thought.
44:45
The running backs are remotely healthy, but they're both should
44:49
be able to go this week. So yeah, I mean, I would look
44:51
for a 6 1/2, but I would I would still lay the seven with
44:55
Louisville here. Yeah, I think it'll be a game
44:58
similar to what we watched last year.
45:00
I think it's gonna be a high scoring game.
45:01
So 61 1/2 I think you know, over under is in play.
45:04
Once again, not playing it, but I am definitely leading at the
45:06
over here. I think this could be a very
45:07
high scoring interesting, fun game to watch.
45:09
I think if I if this games I don't at the same time as some
45:12
of this other garbage, I'll probably watch this so anyway.
45:15
Yeah, Washington -5 1/2 at Maryland.
45:19
I'd run with Washington on this one.
45:21
Any thoughts Pete? Same.
45:23
I think they're going to be pissed off, I think to come out
45:25
and fight and then and fire the ball all over the God damn
45:27
place. So over under 53 1/2.
45:29
I mean, I was seriously considering the over here just
45:32
because what I think Washington themselves will do.
45:34
So yeah, I I would take Washington away those points all
45:37
day. Darren.
45:38
Yeah, it's it's Washington or nothing.
45:41
There's just something about Maryland I don't trust yet.
45:44
You know, if they ball out today and prove me wrong, so be it.
45:46
But I'm not putting my money on on either side here.
45:49
I'm running away. Michigan State plus 12 at
45:53
Nebraska. I'm passing on this one.
45:56
Darren, any thoughts? Michigan State or nothing for
46:00
me. I just think that's too many
46:03
points for Nebraska to be laying here.
46:06
But not not an actual bet, not even really like a strong lean.
46:10
But if you're like, bro, you have to pick this game, all
46:13
right? I'm putting like the smallest
46:15
unit I can think of on Michigan State.
46:19
I mean, for my futures bet, I need Nebraska to win this game,
46:21
which I think they will do now. They're going to cover that
46:24
number was like 11 1/2 or whatever it is now 12 there.
46:27
It's 11 1/2 here. Yeah, it's I don't think they'll
46:30
cover that number. I think we should state will
46:31
keep it close. But I do think Nebraska will win
46:33
this game. They better for my sake or is
46:34
another Battana crapper. Texas Tech -12 1/2 at Houston.
46:41
I'm leaning in Houston. I'm probably going to run with
46:43
Houston. I like those points at home.
46:44
I don't know, Darren, what do you think?
46:46
I agree this this was almost the money line sprinkle the week but
46:51
I didn't want to go too crazy here.
46:53
I only watched Houston one time and that Colorado game.
46:55
I like what I saw but again, that's Colorado.
46:58
Texas Tech much different animal here but that may I agree with
47:02
you man that that might be too many points.
47:04
I would be in Houston here as well.
47:06
I almost played that 100 is only 51 1/2, which I think is light
47:09
on this game, to be honest with you.
47:10
I I think they're going to, I think I'm heavily leading on the
47:13
over. I almost play.
47:14
I still might play it, I'm not sure.
47:15
But yeah, I and I do kind of like Houston at home for sure.
47:19
So I think I like that. I I like taking the points with
47:23
Houston and home as well. So this is an interesting game
47:25
to me. And we got Duke -3 at California
47:29
Pass Hard pass. Damn, what do you think?
47:35
I would take California Air if you wanted another money line
47:38
sprinkle possibility. Duke traveling across the
47:41
country hasn't really looked like you know their their little
47:44
transfer quarterback that they paid like 4 million or 8 million
47:46
for or whatever. Not lived up to it so far.
47:49
I don't get why Duke is a favorite here.
47:53
Yeah, I would I would take Cal. I mean, if it if it drops to 2
47:57
1/2 because a lot of Cal money comes in, I would just, you
48:00
know, screw it, do the money line if you can still get the
48:03
three. Yeah, I would take the three
48:04
here. I think Cal wins just came out
48:06
right. Peter yeah, I said I really
48:10
don't care at this game. I, I think they're both not sure
48:12
of good teams and I don't really care, so I'm out.
48:17
You'll get brutal honesty on this show, people.
48:23
All right, Pete, let's round it up.
48:25
What do we got this week from you?
48:27
Yeah, a loss already, which I don't want to talk about, but
48:29
anyway, so we've got that that BYU West Virginia game scoring
48:32
that I didn't expect. So that's a loss.
48:34
Air Force Navy under 52 1/2, leaning into the service
48:38
Academy, kind of beat the crappy out of out of each other
48:41
approach. And then Michigan, Wisconsin,
48:43
under 43 1/2, which will probably bite me in the ass
48:46
because obviously it's a blue here.
48:47
I'd love to see them score 40 points.
48:49
So that ain't going to happen. So going on that under 1 unit 43
48:52
1/2. All right, Speaking of Friday
48:55
night losses, I too, well, the Mormon screwed me over last
48:59
night, but I also have Miami -4 1/2 over Florida State.
49:03
Penn State -25 1/2 / U CLAI got Alabama big over Vanderbilt -10
49:10
1/2. Darren.
49:12
Yeah, my picks on the ear deserve their own bronze ass
49:15
cheek award. But anyway, at least we've
49:17
already surpassed the win total from last week with a 2 unit
49:21
win. San Diego State, I'm beating
49:23
Colorado State, but for today I got 2 units.
49:25
Georgia -20 1/2 over Kentucky. Texas -4 1/2 over Florida.
49:29
Bama -10 over Vanity. That plus 123 is taking
49:33
advantage of the profit boost on DraftKings and tonight's Game 2
49:36
units. Texas A&M laying 14 1/2 over
49:40
Mississippi State. All right, well, that'll wrap it
49:43
up. Thank you for watching,
49:44
everybody. Thank you for listening.
49:46
If you're listening and you'd like to watch, you can watch
49:48
Catch us on YouTube. You can like subscribe, leave a
49:50
comment, leave your bets. Again, thank you for listening
49:54
and we will catch you guys next week.
49:57
Good luck everyone.