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UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo | MMA DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays & Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:05
  Speaker 1: All system's going clear, we lift on what's going on?
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: Everybody Happy Thursday, Friday, Saturday. Whenever you're listening, we are
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: talking some fights. One week off last week, I think
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: it was like thirteen in a row prior to that,
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: so I always enjoyed the break because we obviously put
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: in a lot of work throughout the week. But then
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: comes Saturday. I always missed some UFC and sometime in
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: May on my screens, but happy to be back. We
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: have I think four or five in a row until
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: the fourth of July, this one in China. That means
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: for eight m Eastern start time. One am over here.
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: If you will be up, let me know in the
• 1:08
  Speaker 1: YouTube comments. I am curious to see who will be up.
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: Who will be waking up, hoping they have a sweat.
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: But thirteen fights, fingers crossed and keep all thirteen because
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: if we do, I think it's a solid DFS card.
• 1:17
  Speaker 1: How we were doing, Big Marley, what are your thoughts on
• 1:19
  Speaker 1: this one?
• 1:20
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm pretty good.
• 1:22
  Speaker 3: I'm thinking I'm gonna wake up maybe my usual worktime
• 1:25
  Speaker 3: a little bit earlier than I usually would on a weekend,
• 1:28
  Speaker 3: see how my card is going, and then decide. I
• 1:31
  Speaker 3: phone and fall back a sleep or not. But I
• 1:33
  Speaker 3: think it's a good DFS card. Another tricky card for sure,
• 1:38
  Speaker 3: but a tough one to want.
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: To wake up at four am for no doubt about that.
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: Solid DFS in real life we talk about a lot.
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: Many probably have watched a lot so they know that
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: they're not correlate they can, but why I think this
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: is a great main event about one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight,
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: nine fights of the thirteen expected to finish. And look
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: how that the first four all expected to go to
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: decision then all finishes, So even if you just want
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: to set your alarm a couple hours after the first couple.
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: Not only that, we have a fatable main event, which
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: I think always adds a more fun dynamic. I don't
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: like when the main events like ninety percent own plus.
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: Definitely a fatable one right here. And yeah, a lot
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: of line movement on this card. When we go bottom
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: the top, like always, we'll mention it like we usually do.
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: But plenty of line movement we've had since opening. So
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: there's no fight that I think you need to go
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: all in on. But it's very clear the two five
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: star fights. Big Marley has minus six hundred to finish,
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: minus six hundred to finish. After that, the most likely
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: to finish on the card minus two hundred. Now it's
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: minus two fifteen. But yeah, I think the's are definitely
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: the best two two mid tier fights expected to finish
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: to expect to go the distance, and ownership should be
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: relatively spread out. So I'm ready for it again. Set
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: make sure to set your alarms or get your lineups
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: in on Friday, which I will be doing and hoping
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: there is no cancelations, any broad slay review or anything
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: before we go fight by fight.
• 3:01
  Speaker 3: No, I think you kind of did a good broad
• 3:04
  Speaker 3: slid overview looking forward to pregnant down on you.
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: All right, we will start bottom the top like always.
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: We're going to the pixtures up man, and we're going
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: to the women's division. Jacquelin Now marine minus one thirty
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: five taking on Lomo Luke me plus one fifteen. This
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: is minus or plus one fifty to finish. We have
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: a marine almost all the finishing upside at plus one
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: ninety five, where Lomas plus five eighty. I talked to
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: my movement in the beginning. This is one that had
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: some imrim open minus two fifty days later, she was
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: plus one twenty five. That was the lowest she got.
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: Then she's taking some money back. It is now minus
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: one thirty five, but minus two fifty to plus one
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: twenty five to now minus one thirty five. All the
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: finishing upside is on the A marine side. So what
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: are you doing to this? Uh? To kick off the
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: card in this one?
• 3:57
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm gonna be on the A marine side in
• 3:59
  Speaker 3: this one. I just think that if she wins, she
• 4:02
  Speaker 3: is gonna score well. I think she does have a
• 4:04
  Speaker 3: big grappling advantage in this fight. I think she could
• 4:07
  Speaker 3: win with a first round submission and score ninety five
• 4:10
  Speaker 3: plus points. And I also think she could win a
• 4:12
  Speaker 3: decision and still score ninety plus points. Either way, I
• 4:16
  Speaker 3: think she puts up a big score if she gets
• 4:18
  Speaker 3: her hand raised. So I'm all in on that. I
• 4:21
  Speaker 3: don't really I'm not confident she gets her hand raised,
• 4:24
  Speaker 3: so I'm not going to the window to lay a
• 4:27
  Speaker 3: bet on her. But I think she scores well. Whereas
• 4:30
  Speaker 3: if she does grapple heavy in the first round and
• 4:33
  Speaker 3: then she slows down, I don't really know how round
• 4:36
  Speaker 3: two in rounds three look, maybe those go to Loma Laguni.
• 4:40
  Speaker 3: But in dfs. I don't think Loma's gonna score well
• 4:44
  Speaker 3: unless Amrim's completely gassed out, because I don't think she's
• 4:47
  Speaker 3: gonna want to take Ammeriem down even if she is gassed.
• 4:51
  Speaker 2: So Loma's a striker.
• 4:52
  Speaker 3: She's gonna keep it on the feet as long as
• 4:54
  Speaker 3: she can, and I don't think she's even gonna score
• 4:56
  Speaker 3: points in the first round, so I'm gonna just pass
• 4:58
  Speaker 3: on the Loma side. I think you could get some
• 5:02
  Speaker 3: exposure in M and me mainly just hoping that Amrin
• 5:06
  Speaker 3: gases Loma's completely unknowned, and then maybe she could put
• 5:09
  Speaker 3: up eighty ninety in a late win if she gets
• 5:11
  Speaker 3: a TKO or something, but I'm not gonna take my
• 5:14
  Speaker 3: chances there. I'll go overweight on Amriem. I think she
• 5:17
  Speaker 3: puts up a big score maybe first round submission.
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: Glad I went to you first, because I mean I
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: kind of see it the same in the sense of
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: her DF as like if I'm marine wins, she has
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: plenty of upside to eighty two hundred to get there
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: in the mid tier, so I'm easily gonna play her.
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: She's finished all ten of her wins a PI submission,
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: whereas Loma is just an ownership play. And if I'm
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: Marine Gases her UFC debut against Sam Hughes couldn't get
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: the first round, submission, lost rounds two and three. She gassed.
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: I mean, I think Loma was probably better than Sam
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: Hughes too, So she needs to implement that same game plan,
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: try and make her work and run one, survive and
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: wins win round two to three. Reversals maybe on in
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: the cards for Loma. If I'm Marine gases, maybe here
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: on offense take done. But you're probably right were Why
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: would she do that? Even if I'm Marine, is gas.
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: So I don't like Loma much, But there's plenty of
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: fighters on this card I actually don't like too much.
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: So if I got one or two, like two lineups
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: and twenty ten percent one in ten teams, I would
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: be fine with that, I think. But if I have zero,
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: I'm most definitely fine. I'm Marine that my preferred side.
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: The ownership will go to her, and she has plenty
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: of upside in this fight with the wrestling and grappling.
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: We'll keep it rolling again. The first four fights all
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: expected to go the distance. Not my favorites. This is
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: a coin foot fight minus one ten apiece on both sides,
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: with Conja, Zoo and Rodrigo Era plus one eighty for
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: this fight to finish. The second most likely to go
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: the distance on the card Zoo plus four to twenty
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: five inside the distance, Beara plus three hundred, another line
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: that has moved a lot Vera open minus two fifty
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: and now all the way to minus one ten. Are
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: you buying the line movement on the Zoo side? Thoughts
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: on this fight for DFS.
• 6:58
  Speaker 3: I mean, I'd bought maybe the plus one ninety or
• 7:02
  Speaker 3: whatever you would have got on Zoo, but I think
• 7:04
  Speaker 3: that at this point, if I had to bet the fight,
• 7:07
  Speaker 3: I'd rather take the Vera side. Both these guys look
• 7:10
  Speaker 3: pretty solid, though, but Zoo looks like he is only
• 7:14
  Speaker 3: gonna want to strike. He does have heavy hands. He's
• 7:17
  Speaker 3: gonna be pressing forward trying to knock bear out. He
• 7:19
  Speaker 3: doesn't strike me as like a high volume type of guy,
• 7:22
  Speaker 3: but I do think he's gonna have the striking the
• 7:25
  Speaker 3: striking advantage really at all times. Vera is the more
• 7:29
  Speaker 3: well rounded fighter. He can hang on the feet, but
• 7:31
  Speaker 3: he needs to be on the inside. He's really good
• 7:33
  Speaker 3: on the clinch, and he's also take down heavy, and
• 7:36
  Speaker 3: I think that's really good for him in this matchup,
• 7:39
  Speaker 3: because Zoo was taken down sixteen times in his road
• 7:42
  Speaker 3: to the UFC fight. I mean, anyone who can be
• 7:45
  Speaker 3: taken down sixteen times, I'm interested in playing against them.
• 7:49
  Speaker 3: I think that Ara has that kind of upside where
• 7:51
  Speaker 3: he could just really hang on to this guy, get
• 7:54
  Speaker 3: him in the clinch, grab onto his waist, slam him,
• 7:56
  Speaker 3: pick him right back up, slam him again.
• 7:59
  Speaker 2: He's got that in him, I think.
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: So.
• 8:01
  Speaker 2: I'm in on the Verer's side.
• 8:02
  Speaker 3: I think he puts up a big score in most
• 8:05
  Speaker 3: of his wins, where Zu needs a knockout for his
• 8:10
  Speaker 3: big wins.
• 8:10
  Speaker 2: I think he could win a striking based decision.
• 8:13
  Speaker 3: But if he's spending periods on his back where he's
• 8:16
  Speaker 3: not scoring, I just don't think he's going to put
• 8:19
  Speaker 3: up a score in the decision where he might not
• 8:21
  Speaker 3: even hit over ten next in the decision win. So
• 8:23
  Speaker 3: you're really hoping that he gets a knockout and VARA's
• 8:26
  Speaker 3: only lost once. I don't even remember. I don't think
• 8:29
  Speaker 3: he was knocked out. He might have been knocked out
• 8:31
  Speaker 3: in that fight, but I like what I saw from Vera.
• 8:34
  Speaker 3: I think he can avoid that type of a matchup
• 8:36
  Speaker 3: and get this fight to the ground where he wants it.
• 8:38
  Speaker 3: So Vera's my pick to win, my preferred play, but
• 8:42
  Speaker 3: that line movement does have me a little bit worried.
• 8:45
  Speaker 3: So I kind of like Zoo as well because he
• 8:47
  Speaker 3: is cheaper. You got to find underdogs on this card.
• 8:48
  Speaker 3: I think it's a little bit tough to do.
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: I'm definitely on the Vera side. In the fact, it's
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: kind of like that the first fight with a Marine
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: Loma in the sense of if Vera wins, I think
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: he has a lot more likelihood of being optim then
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: if Zoo wins. And you said it, I mean Zoo
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: was taking out sixteen times in a row to UFC
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: fight in four times as a primary striker A. That
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: shows he can actually get up, which is what you want.
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: But Vera's gonna want to wrestle in this one. I
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: think better inside the distance propit plus three hundred and
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: the more likely wrestler. It is the second most likely
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: fight to go the distance. I am trying to get
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: some upside. Two of the four in the mid tier
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: expected to finish the first two fights we talked about
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: are the ones that aren't supposed to and am Marine
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: has upside even though the fight's not supposed to finish,
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: So I want upside. I think the upside comes from
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: the wrestler in Vera, I am worried about the line
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: movement continuing to go the wrong way, which probably makes
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: me either underweight on this fight or just even with
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: the field Vera maybe a little overweight, and then probably fading.
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: Zoo as a STRIKEERFT plus four to twenty five inside
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: the distance in a fight heavily kind of heavily favored
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: to go the distance. He could get a third round knockout,
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: but spend the first two rounds off his back. I
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: just think there's too many bad scenarios where he's defensively
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: wrestling not able to get off his own offense. At
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: seventy nine hundred, I do not have much interest there,
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: So there or pass is kind of how I'm seeing it,
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: But I do think they're pretty interesting due to the
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: takedowns that Zoo has allowed the past couple fights. We'll
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: keep it rolling to the next fight on the card,
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: the most likely fight to go the distance. We have
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: jing Yan taking on Angela Hill jing Yan minus one
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: ninety Angela Hill plus one sixty five plus three hundred
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: for this fight to go the distance, also known as
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: plus minus six hundred for its or no plus three
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: hundred for this fight to finish. So it's minus four
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: hundred for this fight to go the distance jing Yang
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: plus four to fifty inside of the distance Hill plus
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: six hundred jing Nan. It probably is. I mean, I'm
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: definitely butchering the name. You guys know who I'm talking about.
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: We did have a lot of money, not a lot
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: of money, but some money come in on the over.
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: The fight did open minus three fifty to finish. Now
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: it is minus four hundred. Angela Hill also has taken
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: some money. Jing Nan opened mind two fifty, got as
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: low as minus three hundred, and now she is minus
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: one ninety, so some buyback on the hillside. It's easy
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: for me, like, I don't like the upside in this fight,
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: but I will play a little Angela Hill at seventy
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: five hundred in case seventy five is enough. Also, she
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: lands five point three to seven significant strikes per minute.
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: That's good to make it better. Though she's taken on
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: the striker, So I think I'm not saying to say
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: sneaky wrestling upside, but if she landed too, I wouldn't
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: be surprised. So it's mainly a live dog. At seventy
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: five hundred that throws okay volume, but I know she'll
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: fight for my dollar like she always has at forty
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: one years old. So Hiller passed. I don't love Hills upside,
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: but seventy five could be enough on some cards.
• 11:42
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm I'm gonna exil jing Nan. I just did.
• 11:46
  Speaker 2: I don't get the line. She is from Asia.
• 11:49
  Speaker 3: She was a champion in another organization, and I think
• 11:53
  Speaker 3: that is what's carrying the line completely. I mean, she
• 11:55
  Speaker 3: has a bunch of knockouts on her record, but I'm
• 11:57
  Speaker 3: not expecting her to go out there and knock out Hill.
• 12:00
  Speaker 2: So I think this is going to be a close
• 12:01
  Speaker 2: striking match.
• 12:04
  Speaker 3: Hill's forty one, so maybe we don't get the volume
• 12:07
  Speaker 3: we got from her in the past, and that makes
• 12:09
  Speaker 3: me not really want too much of her On DFS,
• 12:11
  Speaker 3: I only I put a five star on her because
• 12:14
  Speaker 3: I put a one star on the fight. I'm just
• 12:16
  Speaker 3: not going to play this fight, but if I did,
• 12:19
  Speaker 3: it would be Hill. I think for me, if I
• 12:23
  Speaker 3: was gonna make a one hundred and fifty. I would really
• 12:25
  Speaker 3: try to avoid the fight completely and hope that jing
• 12:28
  Speaker 3: Nan does win a decision, because I really don't think
• 12:31
  Speaker 3: that she ends up on the optimal lineup. But if
• 12:34
  Speaker 3: he'll wins, I do think that she could and probably
• 12:37
  Speaker 3: would score over ten x that seventy five hundred dollars score.
• 12:41
  Speaker 3: So I'm gonna be a Hill or pass on this one.
• 12:44
  Speaker 3: I picked Hill by split decision because I would just
• 12:47
  Speaker 3: much rather be holding the Hill ticket man when they're
• 12:49
  Speaker 3: when they're going to read off the cards on this one.
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: For sure, you and I are pretty locks up for
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: these first three fights, which you love to see before
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: we do talk about the next fight. Let me just
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: go help over to the Shiping Nation home pages. You
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: can see right on this ban or the best deal
• 13:03
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• 13:05
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• 13:16
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• 14:02
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  Speaker 1: absolutely love to have you at the Nation. All right,
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: let's pop back over to the Stone and we are
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: hopping to the next fight on the card, the last
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: one that is not expected to finish. Race Uria minus
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: two to seventy taken on Luis Guriel plus two thirty.
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: This fight is come on plus one twenty five to finish.
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: Souria plus one eighty inside the distance grewle plus five
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: twenty five. Another fight with the good amount of line movement.
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: Suria open minus two hundred now minus two to seventy.
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: This fight open plus one hundred to finish now plus
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: one twenty five. So Saruya and the over has taken money.
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: Many of you probably watching realizing that Luis Gurriel name,
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: and that is because he just fought on May sixteenth
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: against Daniel Barres. Wanted decision, but he did absorb one
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: hundred significant strikes in that fight, which usually would worry me. However,
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: it doesn't really worry any too much in this fight
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: because it's a wrestler in Serruria. As you can see,
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: five point zero six takedowns per fifteen against a striker
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: in Serruri, I think is a very strong play at
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: eighty eight hundred with a lot of upside and does
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: not break the bank. Gurlay is just a dog that
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: I think will have the advantage when he's on the feet.
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: I don't love him, but I don't love too many
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: dogs on this card, so I'll probably get a little.
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: But Seruriam my preferred play, and he has as much
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: upside as anyone I think you could argue on this card.
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: So what do you see?
• 15:44
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I like this fight.
• 15:45
  Speaker 3: I like it a lot more than I usually do
• 15:47
  Speaker 3: for a plus one hundred to end inside the distance,
• 15:51
  Speaker 3: because I think it's pretty much a pure striker versus
• 15:54
  Speaker 3: grappler matchup where Gurule should be winning when it's on
• 15:57
  Speaker 3: the feet and Saruia should be winning when the fight's
• 15:59
  Speaker 3: on the ground. I am going to fix Eruya to
• 16:02
  Speaker 3: win because I think that I usually prefer a grappler
• 16:05
  Speaker 3: over a striker.
• 16:07
  Speaker 2: If it is even fifty to fifty.
• 16:08
  Speaker 3: But I think he is a pretty dang good grappler
• 16:10
  Speaker 3: who's gonna attempt a lot of takedowns to get this
• 16:13
  Speaker 3: fight to the ground. And then also, Garul he absorbed
• 16:17
  Speaker 3: a hundred strikes, but he's also now flying across the
• 16:20
  Speaker 3: world on short notice to fight on a four AM card.
• 16:23
  Speaker 3: I just think all that's against him. Sure, for him,
• 16:26
  Speaker 3: it's gonna be great. You're gonna get an extra check,
• 16:29
  Speaker 3: you get a hotel in China.
• 16:31
  Speaker 2: I'm sure he's never been there.
• 16:32
  Speaker 3: I have no idea, but he gets a vacation, and
• 16:35
  Speaker 3: I'm thinking seru he gets a win, which is what
• 16:37
  Speaker 3: the UFC wants as well. Saruya is my preferred play,
• 16:41
  Speaker 3: but on a card where we are kind of hunting
• 16:43
  Speaker 3: on underdogs, Garula does have ninety plus hundred plus upside.
• 16:47
  Speaker 3: He could get a knockout here, but or if Suruya
• 16:51
  Speaker 3: just can't land takedowns. I was impressed with Garule's last fight.
• 16:54
  Speaker 3: He landed a lot more volume than I was expecting
• 16:56
  Speaker 3: him to. If he did anything near that here at
• 16:59
  Speaker 3: the he would put up a big score as well.
• 17:01
  Speaker 2: So he is I don't really like.
• 17:04
  Speaker 3: Him, but he's still one of my kind of favorite
• 17:06
  Speaker 3: underdogs on the card to target in DFS.
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: Would you rather click him at a little worse money line?
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: I guess a decent amount worse or Angela Hill.
• 17:15
  Speaker 3: So it really depends on Saruria. If Sarria is in
• 17:18
  Speaker 3: my lineup, then I'm picking away.
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: Yeah, but if you have neither Saruya or jing Nan, I.
• 17:24
  Speaker 3: Would prefer Grulay over Hill if there is, if it didn't.
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: Matter, all right, Yeah, I don't know. It's it's tough
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: for me. I'm gonna see if the line does keep
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: going against him. I do think he has more upside.
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: But then I look at the inside of the distance
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: prop plus six hundred for Hill, and it was plus
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: five twenty five, which seemed pretty bad for the Grulay side.
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: I just I mean, yeah, with Gruley did look good
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: the last performance. I'm wondering if that doesn't make him
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: a little more popular. I don't think he's popular, but
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: a little more than he otherwise would have been. But
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: it just makes me really like Seruia. I just think
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: he's gonna wrestle early and often, and there's a lot
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: upside there at eighty eight hundred, so solid fight to
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: target for sure.
• 18:02
  Speaker 3: Yeah, And I like Gurule mor than Hill because I
• 18:04
  Speaker 3: am going to be overweight on Suruya, So it's kind
• 18:06
  Speaker 3: of more as a hedge. Like if Suruia isn't on
• 18:09
  Speaker 3: the optimal lineup, I feel like it might be because
• 18:11
  Speaker 3: he lost.
• 18:12
  Speaker 2: And let me get grula exposure in that.
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: Makes a lot of sense. And to add on to that,
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: Suria will be way more popular than jing Nan. You
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: can get a decent amount of leverage on the Grulay side,
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: whereas Hill probably will be higher own than jing Nan
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: in a vacuum. So yeah, I think that all makes
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: a lot of sense. Good fight to target, even though
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: the over is taking money. All right, let's get into
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: these nine consecutive fights that are expected to finish another
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: big favorite. Cody had at minus three sixty five taking
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: on a Ricci long plus two ninety minus one thirty
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: five for this fight to finish head and plus one
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: twenty inside the distance to reach you long plus four
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: fifty some line movement in this one had an open
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: minus three hundred now minus three sixty five. This fight
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: open minus one thirty to finish now minus one thirty five.
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: How does head in that ninety three hundred compared to
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: others in the upper tier? And what do you think
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: about this fight?
• 19:01
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I think the uppertuary is just really tough this week.
• 19:03
  Speaker 3: You're kinda I mean, you're taking shots or coin flips
• 19:08
  Speaker 3: almost but I would rather just take hadd An over
• 19:12
  Speaker 3: your Dong save the two hundred dollars and maybe some
• 19:15
  Speaker 3: ownership as well, and just get different rather than taking
• 19:19
  Speaker 3: any confidence stands on any one of them. Really in
• 19:23
  Speaker 3: this fight, I think A Richie Lang is a really
• 19:25
  Speaker 3: good fighter.
• 19:25
  Speaker 2: He's aggressive.
• 19:26
  Speaker 3: I think he's a good striker, he could get takedowns.
• 19:30
  Speaker 2: But Hadden's just better everywhere.
• 19:33
  Speaker 3: I just think he is a much better box or
• 19:36
  Speaker 3: really clean striking, can land a really high volume as well.
• 19:40
  Speaker 3: I don't think he's really necessarily a one punch put
• 19:43
  Speaker 3: out of reach you Long's lights, but he's gonna just
• 19:46
  Speaker 3: add up over and over and he could get knockout
• 19:49
  Speaker 3: in any round. And also he could lay the takedowns
• 19:53
  Speaker 3: if he wanted to. So I like Hadden and he
• 19:56
  Speaker 3: could put up one hundred plus in the decision. I also,
• 20:02
  Speaker 3: I think they're all the same, really, all those guys
• 20:05
  Speaker 3: from ninety three, ninety four, in ninety five. Yeah, they're
• 20:10
  Speaker 3: all the same to me. So maybe he's the lowest
• 20:12
  Speaker 3: home I'm thinking, So that makes maybe makes me like
• 20:16
  Speaker 3: him the most. But I also think Pavlovich has a
• 20:19
  Speaker 3: lot of plus or that first sixty second upside where
• 20:25
  Speaker 3: I don't know that hadn't can match that if he
• 20:26
  Speaker 3: does give it, what.
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: Would you said is takedown propet That was definitely what
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: I was going to ask you in this one, because
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: they're reach you along as a striker and a solid
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: striker with some power. But hey, how much do you
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: think I'd say one and a half one and a
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: half solid. I'm in the same agreement in the sense of,
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: like I do not like Songing Dong Munch. When we
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: get there, I'm going to be underweight the main event.
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: Any two hundred or Ghost Song drop down in the
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: head and leave two hundred plus and it feels good.
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: It's a little harder with Pavlich at ninety four hundred,
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: but like pav isn't wrestling. If that gets out of
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: the first round, he's US one oh five. Hadden can
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: easily outscore him there. So yeah, I think Hadden's very solid.
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: I can leave one hundred going down to pav I
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: had him will be lower on. I can leave two
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: hundred plus from Song and he'll be lower on that way.
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: So that's how I'm gonna be using Hadden to get different.
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: I do think like Zang though right here for four
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: hundred less, any Hadden team can easily go down to Zang.
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: I think he's probably the best play in the upper
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: tier will be higher own, But yeah, I think my
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: favorite way to play Hadden is leaving one hundred or
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: two hundred and just not getting up to pav or Sing.
• 21:32
  Speaker 1: You don since good volume. He can strike, he can
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: mix in wrestling plus one twenty to finishes in bad.
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: He has plenty of outs at the optimal even at
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: ninety three hundred. How much a RICHI Long, do you
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: think you're gonna play? Because the line keeps going against him,
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: he's sixty nine hundred. I don't think thirty and a
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: loss is enough. But like, I don't like too many
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: of these dogs, so I don't know. Maybe you can
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: talk me into a little Reachi Long when I didn't
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: plan on getting maybe anything.
• 21:59
  Speaker 3: If ten or last lineups this week, I'm not gonna
• 22:02
  Speaker 3: get any I reach you Long twenty lineups. I might
• 22:06
  Speaker 3: get one or two, but I'm trying not to get
• 22:09
  Speaker 3: him because I feel really good about adding.
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree, I don't want too much to reach
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: you Long either. I think Adam gets the job done
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: in this one, the undertaking a little little money as well.
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: Appreciate it. Ever, hanging out. All we ask again is
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: the like Bunton and subscribe button. It helps us out
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: a ton and again in the YouTube comments, if you
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: will be getting up or staying up or whatever it
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: may be for these fights, let me know. I'm curious
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: for a m Eastern in China. Next fight on the card,
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: we got a mid tier fight that is the most
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: likely to finish again, the most likely to finish in
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: the mid tier. That is pretty much a coin flip
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: Meng Ding minus one fifteen take Canando Jose Susa minus
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: one five. I was reading off of fight odds Jose
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: and Rique meng Dang, you guys know what we're talking about.
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: We're talking this fight. It opened minus one sixty to
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: finish his minus one seventy Ding plus one thirty inside
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: the distance Enrique plus two sixty five. I'm gonna throw
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: to you first because I'm I'm definitely a lot higher
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: than a three star on this fight. So I'm curious
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: to hear what made you put a three star and
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: then break it down.
• 23:16
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't know.
• 23:16
  Speaker 3: Actually, I feel like it is probably more of a
• 23:18
  Speaker 3: four star for me. I do like both sides of
• 23:20
  Speaker 3: this fight. I'll change it to a four star right now,
• 23:24
  Speaker 3: But I think that it's the Henrique side. I put
• 23:32
  Speaker 3: the four stars on him because I am picking him
• 23:34
  Speaker 3: to win.
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: Uh.
• 23:35
  Speaker 3: He was the underdog when I was looking at the fight,
• 23:38
  Speaker 3: so that really helped me pick him to win. But
• 23:40
  Speaker 3: also a line movement going his way. I think that
• 23:44
  Speaker 3: it just makes sense to be to be high on him.
• 23:47
  Speaker 3: But on his side, I kind of think you need
• 23:49
  Speaker 3: a knockout for any big score from you know, a
• 23:53
  Speaker 3: ninety plus point score from Henrique. You need a knockout
• 23:56
  Speaker 3: because I don't think he's gonna wrestle at all, and
• 23:59
  Speaker 3: I also don't think he's a high volume striker. I
• 24:01
  Speaker 3: think he's gonna be the one pushing forward, being the
• 24:04
  Speaker 3: bowlly in the fight and laying in some big shots.
• 24:07
  Speaker 2: But if he doesn't get a knockout and he went I.
• 24:10
  Speaker 3: Don't even know that he would win a striking based
• 24:12
  Speaker 3: decision because I think that Ding is more active. I
• 24:16
  Speaker 3: think Henrique is also more likely to slow down throughout
• 24:19
  Speaker 3: the fight, and Ding will just get more aggressive. I
• 24:21
  Speaker 3: also think Ding would be the more likely wrestler in
• 24:24
  Speaker 3: this one. I think he should wrestle, so Ding could
• 24:28
  Speaker 3: score well in the decision, but I have Henri Kue
• 24:31
  Speaker 3: knocking him out in the first round, and that's really
• 24:34
  Speaker 3: the only way he does score ninety plus points. But
• 24:37
  Speaker 3: since I'm picking that to happen, I'm gonna be high
• 24:40
  Speaker 3: on the Henrique side.
• 24:41
  Speaker 2: But I do like Ding as my hedge.
• 24:44
  Speaker 3: If Henri k doesn't get the first round knockout, I'm
• 24:47
  Speaker 3: not even gonna feel good about him winning the fight.
• 24:49
  Speaker 3: I might look at the live odds and try and
• 24:51
  Speaker 3: bet Ding at that point, But I do think that
• 24:54
  Speaker 3: henriy K is a pretty decent talented striker, and I
• 24:58
  Speaker 3: think that Ding's aggressed of this early could get them cut.
• 25:01
  Speaker 2: So give me Riki.
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm do the Enrique if having to choose to
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: a lot of that's the line movement you mentioned it
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: from the top plus two ten, so it open minus
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: two to fifty Ding plus two ten sosa and now
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: we're looking at uh, yeah, Ding was the favorite at
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: minus two fifty, and now we're looking at a coin
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: flip fight, coin flip fight where the six hundred dollars
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: cheaper fighter in a Rique is taking that much money
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: on a card. That money does mean salary does mean
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: a little bit. So all of that leads me to
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: the Riku side. However, if like then it comes down
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: to ownership. Were play an ownership based game, if it
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: was like thirty eight percent Enrique and twenty two percent Ding,
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: then I'll flip my stance and like, all right, give
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: me Ding in a coin flip fight at almost half
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: the ownership with a better inside the distance prop. So
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: it really comes down to how you project the ownership
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: in this one. Even if it's thirty and Riku twenty
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: four Ding, give me Enrique for the six hundred savings
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: and the line movement, but regardless, like, I just want
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: to good amount of both of them. I also picked
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: Enrique with a lot more experience thirty five and nine
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: versus eight and one, even though neither as far the other.
• 26:07
  Speaker 2: Way around you mean Ding.
• 26:09
  Speaker 3: I actually had to switch some stuff, but it's Ding
• 26:12
  Speaker 3: that is the more experienced one.
• 26:14
  Speaker 4: See oh, Mike, I on mine on my notes earlier
• 26:21
  Speaker 4: it had it had Henrique at eighty four hundred, So
• 26:24
  Speaker 4: I had to go switch the names.
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: Up, all right, Yeah, I'm gonna have to. So I
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: take that back a little bit right there about the experience.
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: I'm still going the line movements, but yeah, I gotta
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: change that thanks, thanks for letting me know. Is do
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: I have the ding stuff right for like the big
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: reach advantage? I think I have that right at least.
• 26:44
  Speaker 2: Yeah. That well, Oh no, I bet Henrique's got the
• 26:48
  Speaker 2: reach advantage.
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: No, what we're gonna take it?
• 26:53
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I would say Henrique is seventy nine inches. All
• 26:56
  Speaker 3: the stone stuff I couldn't change, so it was only
• 27:00
  Speaker 3: in Google sheets I'm.
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: Trying to find. Uh. Of course now it's not even
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: not even loaded. I'm gonna get back to that and uh,
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: when you're breaking down this next fight, now, I'll clarify
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: to make sure that the heighten and reach is right
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: or wrong, and we'll get that updated. Great fight to target,
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: nonetheless though, my favorite mid tier fight. All right, next
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: fight on the card, we have another good one to target,
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: Luis Felipe dis minus one seventy two taking an each
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: lee plus one forty seven fight open minus two hundred
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: to finish now minus two to fifteen ds plus one
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: fifteen inside the distance after opening, plus one thirty five
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: lee open plus two to fifteen inside the distance now
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: plus two forty terms of line movement on this one
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: daz open minus two hundred shortly after like twenty five
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: minutes was a minus one forty five favorites, and then
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: he has taken a little money since, but minus two
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: to fifteen to finish. That is the third most likely
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: on the card. I like both sides of this quite
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: a bit because I don't like many dogs. I think, naturally,
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: I'm just going to have a lot more Lee. I
• 28:06
  Speaker 1: shouldn't say a lot more. I'm going to have more
• 28:08
  Speaker 1: Lee for one KSE savings, but maybe the field does
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: as well. So I'm in on this fight. What about you?
• 28:14
  Speaker 2: Yeah?
• 28:14
  Speaker 3: I think another good fight to target, mostly because it's
• 28:19
  Speaker 3: a low level. Lee is probably the lowest level fighter
• 28:23
  Speaker 3: on the card. I don't know that he even is
• 28:25
  Speaker 3: deserving of a UFC shot. All of his competition that
• 28:30
  Speaker 3: he was fighting was just super low level. None of
• 28:32
  Speaker 3: them will be over Stepcage in the octagon, so I
• 28:36
  Speaker 3: think that it's all really on the DA side.
• 28:38
  Speaker 2: What does he do in this one?
• 28:39
  Speaker 3: I think he can come out, get a takedown, dominate
• 28:43
  Speaker 3: the first round, probably maybe get a submission in that round.
• 28:47
  Speaker 2: He is a good grappler and he's a big strong dude.
• 28:50
  Speaker 3: But him being a big strong dude is going to
• 28:53
  Speaker 3: take away from his gas tank and after the first round.
• 28:55
  Speaker 3: I just really don't feel good about his work rate,
• 28:58
  Speaker 3: so I would be hoping that heshes in the first round.
• 29:01
  Speaker 2: I think he has a pretty okay chance.
• 29:03
  Speaker 3: Of doing that actually, But then if he doesn't, the
• 29:07
  Speaker 3: more he slows down, I do think Lee could come
• 29:11
  Speaker 3: back and just be the more fresher guy. He looks
• 29:13
  Speaker 3: like he prefers to fight on the ground more as well,
• 29:17
  Speaker 3: but I just wasn't impressed with anything about him, so
• 29:19
  Speaker 3: I think it would just be he would look impressive
• 29:22
  Speaker 3: against a gas Diaz, and if Diaz gases, then Lee
• 29:26
  Speaker 3: could put up a good score. But I'm gonna try
• 29:28
  Speaker 3: not to play Lee. I want to be heavy on
• 29:30
  Speaker 3: Diaz in this one and just kind of hope that
• 29:33
  Speaker 3: talent and overall skill prevails and it doesn't go deep
• 29:37
  Speaker 3: into the fight.
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: That all makes sense, And like I said, I wouldn't
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: be surprised if Diaz is lower on when it is
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: all said and done too, which only makes him more appealing.
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: But eighty six hundred and seventy six hundred, that's just
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: a fight. I want to load up quite a bit.
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: The under is taking money as well, so no strong lean.
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: I just know if I was overweight both I would
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: like that, and yeah, I was, all that's gonna have
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: to get change. So's is the one with the reach
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: advantage like you expected. So this fight right here, it's
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: completely just the opposite. It messed me up with the
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: line and the pricing and all that. So yeah, I'll
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: get that updated throughout the show or right after the show.
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: All right, let's go to another mid tier fight, this
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: one also expected to finish Alex Perez minus It was
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: minus one forty five and now I just refresh and
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: it's minus one twenty seven. So a bet on Sumadarji
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: just came in recently. Plus one oh seven Sumadarji on
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: the way back, minus one fifteen for this fight to
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: finish Perez plus one eighty five inside the distance Sumadargi
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: plus three fifteen. I definitely know I'm playing some Alex
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: Perez two point two one stakedowns per fifteen minutes plus
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: one eighty five inside the distance. That all looks good
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: to me. And yeah, seventy seven Sumadarji now a plus
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: one oh seven underdog. I mean that's the value side
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: if you're just looking at money line to the price,
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: So to see where this line continues to go if
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: it does close to pick them. Even if it did,
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: I would almost be happy because I think that would
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: make Perees less owned, and I think his upside still
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: stays there. And I mean, I guess if it continues
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: to move Summa Dargi's ownership up, it makes me like
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: him a little less. But he can strike, so I'm
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: still gonna play something at seventy seven hundred, but Perez
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: is my preferred play. I don't love seeing the line
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: movement go against him, but I kind of do if
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: it makes sense if ownership does react that way. What
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: do you think of this one?
• 31:29
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree, and I like the pres side. Perez
• 31:33
  Speaker 3: and a Mariem are my two like closest bets right now.
• 31:39
  Speaker 3: Maybe the line movement helps me get there. But Sumadargy
• 31:44
  Speaker 3: is the more flashy, maybe better overall striker, but he
• 31:48
  Speaker 3: needs to be at range where Perez could hang.
• 31:51
  Speaker 2: On the feet.
• 31:52
  Speaker 3: He just needs to close the distance more often and
• 31:54
  Speaker 3: his big edge would come on the ground.
• 31:56
  Speaker 2: I think he's gonna have a massive wrestling edge.
• 31:58
  Speaker 3: And well, they both submitted six times, but Suemadergi just
• 32:03
  Speaker 3: really has a poor submission defensive game. And I think
• 32:07
  Speaker 3: it could lead to him either getting submitted or Perez
• 32:10
  Speaker 3: could just dominate this fight on the ground and really
• 32:12
  Speaker 3: score one hundred and ten plus points in a decision win.
• 32:16
  Speaker 2: So I like Perez.
• 32:17
  Speaker 3: I will be overweight on the Perez side. I hope
• 32:20
  Speaker 3: that the ownership does keep I mean keep raising Sumadhargi's ownership,
• 32:26
  Speaker 3: and I'm gonna try and stay away from him, not
• 32:28
  Speaker 3: exactly stay away. I want a little bit of exposure.
• 32:30
  Speaker 3: The more lineups I have, the more Sumadargie I want.
• 32:34
  Speaker 3: But if I'm looking at a single entry, it's not
• 32:36
  Speaker 3: gonna be Sumadargi on my team. It's gonna be Perez
• 32:38
  Speaker 3: that I'm clicking on.
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: Agree, I mean, I guess I shouldn't say. If I
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: had a single entren that landed on Summadarji in the
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: line somewhere on here, I think I'd be fine. Again,
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: that's just more so due to the lack of underdogs
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: the seven k rains that I like. But Perez is
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: my preferred play. We'll be keeping a close eye on
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: the line movements. We're talking some line movement this next
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: fight on the card. Jake Matthews has taken a good
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: amount of money as you can open minus two twenty
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: five on Monday, was minus three fifty and now finds
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: himself as a minus four to forty five favorite taking
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: on Carlson Harris plus three forty five on the way back,
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: minus won seventy five for this fight to finish, Matthews
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: minus one oh five inside the distance Harris plus four
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: hundred Matthews in round one plus two seventy five. It's
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: another one where I can go song It Dong drop
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: down to Jake Matthews, leave three hundred fine. Pav drop down,
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: leave two hundred fine, had him drop down, leave one
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: hundred fine. Matthews has not been a great DFS scorer historically,
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: but I mean he's taken over two dollars cents open
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: a dollar this past week, minus one oh five inside
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: the distance. I think he's better than Carlson Harris everywhere.
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: So I'm gonna play a little bit again game log watching.
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: He doesn't really get there too much. I think he's
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: only scored one hundred maybe once, but yeah, I think
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: this is a good matchup where he could so I'm
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: gonna play some Matthews find leaving money on the tape
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: is a way to get different with them. Don't love
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: Carlson Harris, especially the more that the money comes in
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: against him. What do you see in this one?
• 34:08
  Speaker 3: Yeah, this is just one where I'm not trying to
• 34:10
  Speaker 3: play Matthews at ninety two hundred. I just don't think
• 34:12
  Speaker 3: he is in the same tier as those other guys.
• 34:15
  Speaker 3: I would much rather have had in Pavlovich. I would
• 34:19
  Speaker 3: rather even pay three hundred dollars more for your dom.
• 34:22
  Speaker 3: Not only that, I would rather go down the tier
• 34:24
  Speaker 3: to the eighty eight to nine k guys as well.
• 34:28
  Speaker 3: So I'm just not gonna play Matthews this week, which
• 34:31
  Speaker 3: could lead to me playing Harris. I think Matthews is
• 34:34
  Speaker 3: better everywhere, I do agree with that, but I just
• 34:37
  Speaker 3: don't think his work rates high enough and he probably
• 34:40
  Speaker 3: is going to strike more than grapple in this one.
• 34:42
  Speaker 3: So I would think Matthews has a better chance at
• 34:44
  Speaker 3: scoring sixty than he does one hundred, and I'm just
• 34:48
  Speaker 3: not gonna go there. But Harris is dangerous. I mean,
• 34:50
  Speaker 3: he's got power. He could knock out Matthews, and Matthews
• 34:53
  Speaker 3: is kind of flaky. You wouldn't shock me to see
• 34:55
  Speaker 3: him get a takedown and get submitted.
• 34:57
  Speaker 2: Because of it.
• 34:58
  Speaker 3: But if Harris does win, I think he has a
• 35:01
  Speaker 3: better chance of scoring one hundred points. So if I
• 35:04
  Speaker 3: need to go that real, real cheap this week, I
• 35:07
  Speaker 3: think Harris is actually my guy. I'm not feeling good
• 35:09
  Speaker 3: about it, don't really want to be overweight, but I'll
• 35:12
  Speaker 3: probably have some Harris exposure.
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: All right. I have had more interest in Harris on
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: Monday when the line was three fifty two eighty five
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: than I do now seeing Jake Matthews take a dollar
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: since then. So yeah, we're different on that fight, but
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: we've been pretty similar on almost every other fight we've
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: talked about. Again, I appreciate everyone hanging out like bought
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: subscribe button helps us out a ton. Hope everybody had
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: a great week thus far. And uh yeah watching some
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: fights Saturday morning, and hope we have some extra cheese
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: in the bank account when it's all said and done.
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: Next fight on the card, Kai Osakura minus two sixty
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: taken on Cameron Smotherman plus two to twenty minus won
• 35:51
  Speaker 1: seventy for this fight to finish, Osacura minus one oh
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: five inside of this since Smotherman plus four hundred two
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: primary strikers going at it in turns of line movement
• 36:01
  Speaker 1: in this one. Asakur open minus three hundred now minus
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: two sixty, so little money has come in on the
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: Smotherman's side. Man, it is weird seeing Kayasakura fight Smotherman
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: in his third UFC fight after he went Pantosia right
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: away for the title and then Tim Elliott back to
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: back second round submission losses. But it seems like the
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: UFC is not done with him yet because they who
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: can I hand pick? That's not gonna wrestle, that's not
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: gonna grapple, all right, Cameron Smotherman, So he's gonna get
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: the fight he wants. I'm gonna play both sides though,
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: even though Asakura striker a talented one, very well could
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: get a knockout. I'm gonna play some Smotherman too, because
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: dog stick on this card. His money line's like a
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: lot better than when you compare him to Harris and
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: some others down there. So yeah, I'm gonna play both sides.
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: I think both guys live for a knockout. Smotherman wins
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: a decision, could get there that way, but I think
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: he's more likely to get a knockout than win a decision.
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: But I'm in on both guys. What about you.
• 36:57
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm gonna be more just or pass in this one.
• 37:01
  Speaker 3: I do think some other man is alive. For a
• 37:03
  Speaker 3: big score, it would need to be a knockout. I
• 37:05
  Speaker 3: just don't feel good about that happening. But I think
• 37:08
  Speaker 3: he could just point fight his way to a striking
• 37:11
  Speaker 3: base decision and maybe score around ten x Osacura is
• 37:16
  Speaker 3: just the better, more dangerous striker. I would worry about
• 37:20
  Speaker 3: volume maybe in a fifteen minute striking match, but I
• 37:23
  Speaker 3: also think he could just take down some other man
• 37:26
  Speaker 3: not only be the better grappler, but it is a
• 37:29
  Speaker 3: ground and pound stoppage at some point because other man
• 37:32
  Speaker 3: is so bad on the ground. So this one's gonna
• 37:35
  Speaker 3: be Assacur or pass for me, and it's really just targeting.
• 37:39
  Speaker 2: Against some other man.
• 37:40
  Speaker 3: This one looks like such a clear UFC wants this
• 37:43
  Speaker 3: guy to win.
• 37:44
  Speaker 2: Who can we give him.
• 37:45
  Speaker 3: Let's just give him the guy who face planned it
• 37:47
  Speaker 3: on the scales last time, So give me Assacur. I
• 37:50
  Speaker 3: think it'll be a knockout in the first two rounds.
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, man, that was really scary this mother
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: maan way in last time. So I think I think
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: it's a fun fight ths are finally gonna get the
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: fight he wants. Three fights left. We are getting into
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: two of the three biggest favorites on the card. Sergey
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: Pavovitch minus six hundred, tied for the biggest favorite, Tellison
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: tak share plus four to twenty five minus six hundred
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: for the fight to finish. The tied for the most
• 38:16
  Speaker 1: likely on the card have the best inside the This
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: is prop and minus three fifteen take share plus five hundred,
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: and have the best run one prop open plus one
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: thirty five now plus one oh five. A lot of
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: money has came in on Pavlovitch open minus two fifty
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: now minus six hundred. I didn't plan on playing any
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: Talison initially, but I don't know. Actually, the more I'm
• 38:41
  Speaker 1: looking into it, it's really just I don't like many dogs.
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: Pav's gonna get a good amount of ownership Tellison's plus
• 38:47
  Speaker 1: four to twenty five money line and plus five hundred
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: by finish, Like if he wins, it's by finish, and
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: he's almost surely on the optimal and I think his
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: ownership will be probably single digits. So just using gear
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: Logic alone, odd Converter and stuff like that, even just
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: his money line at plus five hundred, Like you're he's
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: better likely as a higher chance to win than his
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: ownership alone, and then you get leverage on top of
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: that for a very cheap price tag at sixty eight hundred.
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: So I didn't really expect to talk myself into some talison.
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: But the more lineups I play, the more I definitely
• 39:19
  Speaker 1: would get some Pavovich. I mean, he probably knocks him
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: out in round one, but his last three fights have
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: gone the distance, granted against a lot better competition then
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: Tic Shia. So what are you doing with pav.
• 39:31
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gonna use him if I can afford him.
• 39:33
  Speaker 3: He is my favorite play on the slate if if
• 39:38
  Speaker 3: salary doesn't matter, because I feel really good about him
• 39:41
  Speaker 3: getting a first round knockout. Text share is gonna be
• 39:43
  Speaker 3: too tall and Pavlovich is gonna be too too powerful.
• 39:48
  Speaker 3: I just don't think that it's gonna be good for
• 39:50
  Speaker 3: text share. He's not talented enough to just eat the
• 39:53
  Speaker 3: shots and keep coming forward against a guy like Pavlovich,
• 39:57
  Speaker 3: So I don't think I will play him. I'm not
• 39:59
  Speaker 3: gonna have one hundred and fIF lineups this week. If
• 40:01
  Speaker 3: I was, then I would definitely play some tech shira,
• 40:04
  Speaker 3: but with like ten or less lineups, I'm probably not
• 40:06
  Speaker 3: trying to get there. I would rather almost go like
• 40:09
  Speaker 3: all In Pavlovich if I could even afford that. I
• 40:11
  Speaker 3: don't know that I can afford ninety four hundred dollars
• 40:13
  Speaker 3: on this card because of all the underdogs that I
• 40:15
  Speaker 3: don't like. And I did build a lineup before we
• 40:19
  Speaker 3: got on here, and I couldn't get to ninety four
• 40:21
  Speaker 3: hundred as I was building it, So maybe I won't
• 40:24
  Speaker 3: be able to.
• 40:24
  Speaker 2: Afford as much as I want.
• 40:26
  Speaker 3: But I think he gets the first round knockout, and
• 40:28
  Speaker 3: I think actually he's real live for that first sixty
• 40:32
  Speaker 3: seconds and getting one hundred and twenty seven points. If
• 40:36
  Speaker 3: that happens, it's gonna be hard for him to not
• 40:39
  Speaker 3: be on the optimal lineup, I think. So I gotta
• 40:41
  Speaker 3: get exposure. I'll find ways to get there. But we've
• 40:45
  Speaker 3: already mentioned I'm completely fine going down to Haddan for
• 40:48
  Speaker 3: one hundred more. But I also like Asakura for four
• 40:52
  Speaker 3: hundred less. I like, we haven't talked about him yet,
• 40:55
  Speaker 3: Bazang for five hundred less, Seruria for six hundred less,
• 41:00
  Speaker 3: So I'm okay with those guys and not getting up
• 41:02
  Speaker 3: to Pavlovich. If Pavlovic doesn't get a first round knockout,
• 41:07
  Speaker 3: I think all those guys outscore them. So this would
• 41:09
  Speaker 3: be one where I kind of cap my ownership at
• 41:12
  Speaker 3: his first.
• 41:13
  Speaker 2: Round knockout odds or somewhere around there.
• 41:16
  Speaker 3: Maybe I'll add in a little bit extra for that
• 41:18
  Speaker 3: first sixty minute equity. When I looked, the fight ending
• 41:22
  Speaker 3: in the first sixty seconds was plus five point fifty,
• 41:27
  Speaker 3: which is about fifteen percent as a whole.
• 41:30
  Speaker 2: Most of that will be Pavlovitch.
• 41:32
  Speaker 3: Equity, but tex Shar's got a little bit equity in
• 41:34
  Speaker 3: there too, So maybe I'll bump up his first round
• 41:38
  Speaker 3: odds a little bit for that reason.
• 41:39
  Speaker 2: But I'd say I cap them around sixty.
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: Do you plan on playing any text share and if so,
• 41:44
  Speaker 1: like how much?
• 41:47
  Speaker 2: I'd say ten lineups. I don't twenty lineups. I do
• 41:52
  Speaker 2: no more than twenty percent. I guess I'm closer to ten.
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: Okay, Yeah, I think that all that all makes some sense.
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna my talis and exposure, which could have been
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: like two or three percent, maybe like ten or fifteen percent.
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: For all the reasons I did mention I'm gonna play Sergey.
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: He's definitely live in round one, but ninety four hundred
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: it's a big price tag, and I do think he
• 42:12
  Speaker 1: is higher on than like Cody Hadden, for example, or
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: Jake Matthews. So when I am chalkier, I am personally
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: fine dropping down two hundred or one hundred as a
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: way to get different there. But in a vacuum pad
• 42:23
  Speaker 1: one of the best plays on the slate, best inside
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: the distance prop, tie for the best money line, and
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: the best round one prop. Let's get into my personal
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: best favorite play on the card. Obviously, price is included
• 42:37
  Speaker 1: in that. Ming Yang Zang minus two fifty taking on
• 42:40
  Speaker 1: a Lonzo Manifield plus two ten despight also minus six
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: hundred to finish Zang minus two twenty five inside the
• 42:46
  Speaker 1: distance Menifield plus three to twenty five, and Zang round
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: one plus one ten, saying open plus one thirty five
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: in round one now plus one ten. Every single Zang win,
• 42:56
  Speaker 1: all nineteen of them, have ended in round one, and
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: if it gets outside around one, he's not doing too well.
• 43:03
  Speaker 1: I think he's gonna get a first round knockout in
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: this one. But if he doesn't, that's why I'm gonna
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: play some Menifield that's seventy three hundred as well. Man.
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: The problem is he's thirty eight years old. He's looked
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: like dust as of late. He's not very active on
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: the feet. But I think Zang's gonna bring the pressure
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: and force Alonso to do something. So yeah, I ideally
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: would be overweight on both sides. I wouldn't be surprised
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: if Zang was the highest owned fighter on the card,
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: which then only makes me like Manifield even more for
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: the leverage, and I'm definitely still eating some Zang chalk,
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: But yeah, great fight to target. I will be awake
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: for this one and hoping to see some violence. What
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: do you see in this one?
• 43:41
  Speaker 2: Yeah?
• 43:42
  Speaker 3: I think Dana White went to the executive table and
• 43:44
  Speaker 3: was like, all right, guys, we're going to Asia. I
• 43:46
  Speaker 3: need to get Zang a win. I need to get
• 43:48
  Speaker 3: Yadonga win and a win. Now, go figure out what
• 43:51
  Speaker 3: you can do for me, and Minifield is gonna take
• 43:54
  Speaker 3: that first round knockout loss. Minyang's gonna score one hundred
• 43:59
  Speaker 3: and five and ten points, and I think he's on
• 44:01
  Speaker 3: the optimal lineup. So he is my probably favorite play
• 44:04
  Speaker 3: second favorite play on the slate.
• 44:06
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna be loading up on him.
• 44:08
  Speaker 3: But Manifield has big power himself, So any lineup that
• 44:12
  Speaker 3: doesn't have Mi Yang I probably do want Manifield in it.
• 44:15
  Speaker 3: This is my favorite fight to target. I don't think
• 44:18
  Speaker 3: he gets out of the second round. I doubt it
• 44:20
  Speaker 3: gets out of the first round though, and I think
• 44:21
  Speaker 3: min Yang gets the whim.
• 44:24
  Speaker 1: Totally agree with you. Definitely a fight, though I want
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: to load up on quite a bit again, just gonna
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: show it off one more time. We're head into the
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: main event, but if you join late, you skip forward
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: just to get our main event thoughts. Ship a nation
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• 45:15
  Speaker 1: reports from both sites. Slate plan tier rankings, fight rankings.
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: Oh listen an MMA education video Big Marley and I
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: did last summer which definitely still applies education MMA. You
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• 45:29
  Speaker 1: everything you need for the Great Sport of MMA DFS.
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: All right back to the Stone and the main events.
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: The biggest favorite on the card actually tied for the
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: biggest favorite with Surgei, but the highest priced is Song
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: Andong minus six hundred taken on Davison Figorto plus four
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: to twenty five minus one thirty five for this fight
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: to finish, Song plus one hundred inside of distance Figy
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: plus six twenty five. Crazy to see. Figure is absolutely
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: owning the flyweight division not too long ago, and now
• 45:59
  Speaker 1: find them himself is a big underdog here. I just
• 46:02
  Speaker 1: figuraedo fights. I do not like targeting much nowadays because
• 46:06
  Speaker 1: he relies on his power. He doesn't want to push himself,
• 46:09
  Speaker 1: like push the pace of the fights too much, which
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: then usually leads to the other fighter not doing too much,
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: and Song doesn't wrestle himself anyway and averages four point
• 46:18
  Speaker 1: four to two significant sprit significant strikes per minute, So
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: minus one fifty for the fight to finish over four
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: and a half is minus one nineteen. It's actually minus
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: one thirty five to finished. Now some the over has
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: taken money, which I think it does go to decision.
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: I think Song wins. I think he wins a striking
• 46:37
  Speaker 1: based decision, and if that is the case, I'll bet
• 46:41
  Speaker 1: on Zang, Sergei, Asa Kura, Matthews, Felipe Ming Dang like
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: I'll bet on all these guys, Saruya outscoring him. Five
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: round fights always do get ownership. I'm not I rarely
• 46:54
  Speaker 1: ever fade like a five round fighter with this much
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: or that this big of a favorite. So I'll play
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: some like. But man, it might need to be a
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: v lay host Josh Emmon performance where he just gets
• 47:04
  Speaker 1: multiple knockdowns or starches them early. I don't love it
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: at ninety five hundred. I'd rather leave money on the
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: table as a way to get difference. With all that
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: being said, and I'll throw it to you with to
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: answer this question, first, and then break it down. What
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: are the chances a song comes in at like twenty
• 47:20
  Speaker 1: eight percent or twenty seven percent and people see that
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: same thing because they'll just go to Sergain in the
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: Vacuum or whatever. Because if that's the case, then it
• 47:28
  Speaker 1: brings me to a little more appeal. So I don't
• 47:31
  Speaker 1: like Figgy a song of my preferred play even though
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: I don't love it, But there is a chance that
• 47:35
  Speaker 1: I think ownership could be well lower than most of
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: the industry projects. And if that's the case, then it
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: boosts my interests a little bit.
• 47:45
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean I think I put on like mid thirties.
• 47:48
  Speaker 3: I definitely think he could end up being mid twenties. Really,
• 47:51
  Speaker 3: for the reason I mentioned on Pavlovich, I struggled to
• 47:53
  Speaker 3: get to Pavlovich, but if I can afford ninety four
• 47:57
  Speaker 3: ninety five hundred, I prefer Pavlovich straight up over your Dong.
• 48:02
  Speaker 3: So it's gonna be really hard for me to get
• 48:04
  Speaker 3: Pavlovitch and you Dong into lineups together. So I personally
• 48:07
  Speaker 3: just don't think I'm gonna play this fight. Figuredo's good everywhere,
• 48:11
  Speaker 3: but no work rate at all. He's gonna need a
• 48:14
  Speaker 3: finish to beat you Dong because you don't. It's just
• 48:17
  Speaker 3: better everywhere, and he's gonna have a higher work rate.
• 48:20
  Speaker 3: He's also ten years younger. The fights in Asia, they
• 48:23
  Speaker 3: want him to get his hand raised, so I think
• 48:25
  Speaker 3: he is gonna get his hand raised. But I don't
• 48:27
  Speaker 3: know that he's even gonna score a hundred points. I
• 48:30
  Speaker 3: think he could score one hundred points and probably still
• 48:33
  Speaker 3: not end up on the optimal lineup, but I think
• 48:35
  Speaker 3: he might be more likely to score ninety in a
• 48:39
  Speaker 3: win in this one, and he's not gonna make the
• 48:41
  Speaker 3: optimal lineup at ninety. So I'm gonna try and get
• 48:44
  Speaker 3: away from this fight and hope that the optimal lineup
• 48:47
  Speaker 3: is already locked up.
• 48:48
  Speaker 2: And if that's the case.
• 48:49
  Speaker 3: Maybe I have a sweat to an anti sweat, just
• 48:52
  Speaker 3: hoping that this fight is a your Dong win and
• 48:56
  Speaker 3: nothing crazy.
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: I'm with you, I'm gonna die. Ideally, I would be
• 49:01
  Speaker 1: having the nuts going into the main event with Song
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: needing them one oh five, and I feel pretty good
• 49:06
  Speaker 1: about it. Not locked up, I definitely will not be
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: playing figgi and twenty and below. If I played one
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: hundred and fifty, I'm probably playing every fighter on this car.
• 49:14
  Speaker 1: That's what most pros do, it seems. But yeah, I
• 49:18
  Speaker 1: won't have too much of this fight. I will have
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: some song, and it really determines. Again, if you think
• 49:23
  Speaker 1: song comes in twenty five percent, then I think being
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: overweight makes sense. If you think he comes in thirty
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: seven percent, I want to be underweight that number. So
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: that just shows how important ownership is in the great
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: sport of mma. That's all I got, Big Marley. Any
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: final thoughts before we get on out of here.
• 49:41
  Speaker 3: Now, I'm in hoping I wake up to a sweat
• 49:43
  Speaker 3: and then can enjoy the rest of the card. But
• 49:46
  Speaker 3: good luck to you title, good luck to everybody listening.
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: Let's ship it, appreciate it ever hanging out like always
• 49:51
  Speaker 1: thumbs up on the way off is out a ton
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: subscribe button. Lets you know when we go live for
• 49:56
  Speaker 1: all of our shows, we'd love to have you at
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: the Nation again, multiple different deals like we showed. Definitely
• 50:01
  Speaker 1: do get in the discord if you join. All of
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: our content will be up tomorrow afternoon ish, and make
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: sure to get those lineups in Friday nights or early
• 50:10
  Speaker 1: early Saturday with the four am start time in China.
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: That'll do it. For us. Awesome stuff, Big Marley always great,
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: talking fights with you, Good luck, everybody, be safe for
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: Big Marley. Untitled n B.
• 51:01
  Speaker 2: Most of five Friends, still funds, still steps, still