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Super Bowl LX Cross-Sport Betting Special · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:07
  Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, presented by Draft Kings. The crown
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: is yours. We are an Action Network podcast. I'm Brandon Kravitz,
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: back at it with my crew, the first Lady of
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: the Pod, Kendri Middleton, and the Prime Minister of DJEN Nation, Stucky.
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: On today's episode, we've got a special guest joining us,
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: Matt Moore, the Mayor of Buckets. We're talking cross sport
• 0:30
  Speaker 1: plays in the NFL and the NBA Wild Props and
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: whatever else is on Matt's big brain. Stucky, give us
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: one thing that we learned about college basketball this week.
• 0:43
  Speaker 2: The freshmen are so good. I mean it's insane.
• 0:45
  Speaker 3: I mean, you go back to Woggler for Illinois against Nebraska,
• 0:51
  Speaker 3: hostile environment, just took control of that second half. And
• 0:56
  Speaker 3: then I mean Darren Peterson last night he actually played
• 0:59
  Speaker 3: in the second half for Kansas. He's one of the
• 1:01
  Speaker 3: smoothest players I've ever seen. Hit two huge threes late.
• 1:04
  Speaker 3: And the freshman I mean, you look Matt's here. I mean,
• 1:08
  Speaker 3: you look at the NBA draft board for next year,
• 1:13
  Speaker 3: You're gonna see freshman, freshman, freshman, freshman, freshman, freshman all
• 1:18
  Speaker 3: down the line. We got a matchup of two this
• 1:21
  Speaker 3: week on Saturday to Carolina Caleb Wilson and Boozer. That'll
• 1:27
  Speaker 3: be a really fun matchup. But the freshman this year unbelievable.
• 1:31
  Speaker 3: Like Woggler and Peterson, they look like and these these
• 1:34
  Speaker 3: freshman guards that I mean, they're they're playing like they've
• 1:38
  Speaker 3: been in college basketball for three to four years and
• 1:42
  Speaker 3: they're so poised and it's pretty amazing. So if you're
• 1:46
  Speaker 3: just getting into college basketball or won't until after uh
• 1:50
  Speaker 3: you know, the super Bowl or even until March, freshmen
• 1:53
  Speaker 3: are going to have a massive say in who ends
• 1:58
  Speaker 3: up in Indianapolis and who ends up cutting down the net.
• 2:01
  Speaker 2: So there's so many.
• 2:02
  Speaker 3: I mean, you go down the board of these the
• 2:07
  Speaker 3: top ten, I mean I didn't even mentioned Flemings for Houston,
• 2:11
  Speaker 3: who has come out of nowhere.
• 2:12
  Speaker 2: I mean Arizona, what's that?
• 2:14
  Speaker 4: Top five? Flemings going top five?
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: Max? All right, I didn't know that we were going
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: to hit this, but Matt Moore's big board. Let's let's
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: get it going.
• 2:21
  Speaker 3: Arizona starts three by like three freshmen, and I mean
• 2:24
  Speaker 3: they haven't lost yet. It's it's pretty remarkable. But I
• 2:29
  Speaker 3: have why is it Wogler getting more hype and that
• 2:31
  Speaker 3: is he starting Is that starting to build up?
• 2:33
  Speaker 4: I haven't heard much about him, honestly, I don't know why.
• 2:36
  Speaker 4: There's probably something that's got to do with either his
• 2:38
  Speaker 4: wingspan or something on the medical history, but there hasn't
• 2:41
  Speaker 4: been as much I've heard on him. Or they may
• 2:43
  Speaker 4: not expect him to come out this year, but because
• 2:45
  Speaker 4: it is a freaking loaded draft, I want to know
• 2:49
  Speaker 4: from you. So I talked two people that were at
• 2:52
  Speaker 4: k at kub Yu this week, and they were both
• 2:54
  Speaker 4: they both said the same thing that you said, which
• 2:56
  Speaker 4: is like Peterson's just so polished, like he has so
• 2:59
  Speaker 4: much his game. And that's really if you're a franchise
• 3:03
  Speaker 4: and you're looking to bring in a guy as you're
• 3:04
  Speaker 4: number one, that's a really big boost to you because
• 3:07
  Speaker 4: you just don't have to worry about all of the
• 3:09
  Speaker 4: times that the coach is driven nuts by how that
• 3:11
  Speaker 4: player plays, because it's like, no, he just knows how
• 3:13
  Speaker 4: to handle the ball, he knows how to get to
• 3:15
  Speaker 4: his spots, et cetera. I just continue to feel like
• 3:18
  Speaker 4: Boozer is the best player in the draft. Like I'm
• 3:20
  Speaker 4: I am surprised that Peterson continues to be odds on
• 3:24
  Speaker 4: favor to go number one. What's the hole in Boozer's games, Stucky.
• 3:29
  Speaker 3: Yeah, there's not man and you have de bans at
• 3:31
  Speaker 3: devonsa two who out at BYU A lot of people love, Yeah,
• 3:36
  Speaker 3: I mean Boozer. I feel like Boozer might be more.
• 3:43
  Speaker 2: I don't really, there's not many holes.
• 3:44
  Speaker 3: I mean he's he's also a terrific passer, which he
• 3:47
  Speaker 3: is credit for, and he plays like a man like
• 3:50
  Speaker 3: he looks like you know, I mentioned all these guards,
• 3:52
  Speaker 3: but Boozer looks like you know, a guy who's four
• 3:56
  Speaker 3: years older than everyone. Yeah, in the ACC and he's
• 3:59
  Speaker 3: a freshman. There's no ru holes in his game.
• 4:01
  Speaker 2: I don't know. I mean I'm not too up to
• 4:03
  Speaker 2: date in the NBA.
• 4:04
  Speaker 3: He he might it might be more for him, like
• 4:06
  Speaker 3: does he fit like his actual role, Like as far
• 4:10
  Speaker 3: as position, I'd like because a guy like Peterson.
• 4:14
  Speaker 4: Can plug and play.
• 4:15
  Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, plug and play.
• 4:16
  Speaker 3: I mean he's a pro score already, So maybe Boozer
• 4:21
  Speaker 3: there's you have more fit questions based on the roster.
• 4:23
  Speaker 2: And I don't know. I'm not an NBA expert, but
• 4:26
  Speaker 2: there's no real.
• 4:27
  Speaker 4: Holes that the bad news is there right now? On
• 4:30
  Speaker 4: Tankathon Darren Peterson slaved to go to the King, so
• 4:33
  Speaker 4: ripped to his career. But that's just done.
• 4:35
  Speaker 2: So who are the top three right now that are
• 4:37
  Speaker 2: going to know?
• 4:38
  Speaker 4: It's it's Peterson, Boozer de Bonsa, No, no.
• 4:40
  Speaker 3: I mean that. Who do you think the top three
• 4:41
  Speaker 3: are going to be? Like the three most likely? I
• 4:45
  Speaker 3: know there's a lottery, but the three most.
• 4:46
  Speaker 4: Like I mean, yeah, the lottery is the problem, right.
• 4:50
  Speaker 4: I think it's probably gonna be like Atlanta because they
• 4:52
  Speaker 4: got the Pelicans. Pick Atlanta, Sacramento and Utah are probably
• 4:59
  Speaker 4: the the most likely to go top three.
• 5:02
  Speaker 2: The dream scenarioes.
• 5:04
  Speaker 3: I missed the days when the Kings, the Kings were good,
• 5:08
  Speaker 3: Like there's there's just like college basketball is better, I
• 5:12
  Speaker 3: mean college best was better. When Memphis is good and
• 5:15
  Speaker 3: Memphis is tarbic, Memphis is under five hundred.
• 5:17
  Speaker 4: Kendra was not alive the last time the Kings were legitimately, well,
• 5:19
  Speaker 4: they were good two years ago, but before that, Kendra
• 5:22
  Speaker 4: was not alive.
• 5:22
  Speaker 3: I mean, like real, real legit. I missed that when
• 5:26
  Speaker 3: the Blazers and the Kings.
• 5:28
  Speaker 2: That was fun. My NBA fandom beat this is right, right.
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: I just want to This is a really good promotion
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: for those out there listening that love all sports. BBOC
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: buckets make that part of your action network and podcasting
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: and youtubing collection. I wrote into the rundown for Kendra
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: to give us a quick recap on the Grammys, and
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: I thought for sure she'd had something to say about it.
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: I don't know many people that are as excited about
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: the Bad Bunny halftime show as she is, and yet
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: get I get a note here that says, I have
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: no idea. I was watching goalies fighting around. How do
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: you not have Grammys? Takes your boy Bad Bunny one
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: Album of the Year.
• 6:11
  Speaker 5: I know, but I was not watching the Grammys. I
• 6:14
  Speaker 5: don't watch any of the award shows. I know that
• 6:16
  Speaker 5: I'm like pretty into the pop culture thing, but I'm
• 6:18
  Speaker 5: not into that side of the pop culture thing. I
• 6:20
  Speaker 5: was watching the Stadium series. I was watching goalies fight
• 6:23
  Speaker 5: surrounded by a pirate cosplay at Gasparola. Actually so sorry, Yeah.
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: How about that? It was It was as cold as
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: the ice itself, and takes you had to cool.
• 6:33
  Speaker 5: The ice during intermission because they thought that it was
• 6:36
  Speaker 5: gonna be you warm enough down there for them to
• 6:38
  Speaker 5: be able to keep this whole contraption that they built,
• 6:41
  Speaker 5: but they actually had to cool or warm the ice
• 6:43
  Speaker 5: to keep it like the best possible temperature during the
• 6:46
  Speaker 5: breaks because it was so cold in Florida. But that
• 6:48
  Speaker 5: game was I don't know if you guys know this
• 6:50
  Speaker 5: about me. Outside of football and F one, hockey is
• 6:53
  Speaker 5: like my favorite thing. I covered hockey all through college.
• 6:55
  Speaker 5: I opened penalty box doors in D three club Polly
• 7:00
  Speaker 5: Hockey at Auburn. So yeah, I'm a big hockey goal.
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: Wow.
• 7:05
  Speaker 4: My wife is this like very She's short, and she's
• 7:10
  Speaker 4: she teaches literature out of college and is like a
• 7:16
  Speaker 4: super mom and like a gentle she's on the PTA,
• 7:19
  Speaker 4: but you take her to an Avalanche game and the
• 7:22
  Speaker 4: woman turns into a raging psychopath.
• 7:26
  Speaker 5: Like.
• 7:28
  Speaker 4: Immediately immediately, I've blasting. I took her to guy scores
• 7:32
  Speaker 4: a goal in the first couple of minutes with the
• 7:33
  Speaker 4: other team and hits the glass and like boom, two
• 7:36
  Speaker 4: fingers right up, just like.
• 7:40
  Speaker 5: You're married.
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: I love the idea that like seven rows down, someone's like,
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: I think that woman's on the PTA.
• 7:45
  Speaker 4: With total psycho is.
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: She's swinging her shirt over her head right now, what
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: is going on?
• 7:52
  Speaker 4: She's throwing hammers.
• 7:53
  Speaker 5: It's not good, that's amazing.
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: We're about to dive into our cross sport plays for
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: Super Bowl sixty, but first a word from our very
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: own Kendri Biddleton.
• 8:03
  Speaker 5: The Favorites podcast has teamed up with DraftKings sportsbook, where
• 8:07
  Speaker 5: new customers can bet five dollars and get three hundred
• 8:09
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• 8:12
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• 8:15
  Speaker 5: Bet live on star player props and in progress games
• 8:18
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• 8:20
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• 8:23
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• 8:26
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• 8:29
  Speaker 5: the crown is yours.
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: Matt Moore the dawn of the round ball here with
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: us on our Tuesday episode of The Favorites. Cross Sport plays.
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: Always a fun way to bet the Bowl Before we
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: get into it, Stucky, if you had one question about
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: the NBA this season, since you have not paid any
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: attention to it, so we've basically just dropped you from
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: outer space into the world of the NBA pre trade deadline,
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: pre All Star break. What would be one question that
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: you would have for Matt as we make him feel
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: nice and at home here.
• 9:01
  Speaker 4: You can't say why does the NBA exist? That's like,
• 9:04
  Speaker 4: just to be clear, you can't ask that question.
• 9:06
  Speaker 3: Step my my, My question always is why is the
• 9:09
  Speaker 3: season so long?
• 9:10
  Speaker 2: Why?
• 9:10
  Speaker 4: Why aren't they short? I.
• 9:15
  Speaker 2: By the way, I didn't even know the Grammys were
• 9:17
  Speaker 2: last night, so I just I look.
• 9:19
  Speaker 3: I saw this morning though, that that I like that
• 9:24
  Speaker 3: stet girl Olivia Dean won Best New Artist, That that
• 9:27
  Speaker 3: song is so catchy.
• 9:28
  Speaker 2: I love that song. Man is good.
• 9:32
  Speaker 3: I avoid all award shows like the Plague because I
• 9:36
  Speaker 3: never especially music ones, Oh my gosh, because I never
• 9:38
  Speaker 3: feel older, because I.
• 9:39
  Speaker 5: Don't know any that. Can you give me a list
• 9:41
  Speaker 5: of your three favorite artists because I feel like this
• 9:44
  Speaker 5: is something I don't know about you that will help
• 9:46
  Speaker 5: me understand you.
• 9:49
  Speaker 2: Three favorite artists.
• 9:51
  Speaker 5: It can be artists, band like whatever. But what do
• 9:53
  Speaker 5: you listen to?
• 9:56
  Speaker 3: I mean, of all time, my music is all over
• 10:01
  Speaker 3: the board. But I would say, like, and I'll give
• 10:04
  Speaker 3: you three that across all spectrums. How about like Tupac
• 10:10
  Speaker 3: counting crows and taking back Sunday.
• 10:14
  Speaker 5: That is the most millennial thing you could have ever said.
• 10:16
  Speaker 5: So I feel okay, amazing, Yeah, all right?
• 10:20
  Speaker 3: Uh oh the NBA, so I will ask I guess
• 10:28
  Speaker 3: I got coming into the year which confused me.
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: What.
• 10:30
  Speaker 2: I don't know what happened with the Hawks.
• 10:31
  Speaker 3: I thought they were like the sneaky the sneaky pick
• 10:34
  Speaker 3: of like, oh, they can take advantage of this week East?
• 10:37
  Speaker 3: But who is Like the Calves are seven and a
• 10:41
  Speaker 3: half back. I thought the Calves would be at the top.
• 10:42
  Speaker 3: I'm just looking at the standings and the Pistons are
• 10:47
  Speaker 3: five and a half games up. I mean, who do
• 10:49
  Speaker 3: you think eventually comes out of the East? Is Tatum
• 10:53
  Speaker 3: coming back? Like I make sense of the East makes
• 10:55
  Speaker 3: I mean the West is going to be.
• 10:57
  Speaker 2: Like can someone take down the Thunder?
• 10:59
  Speaker 3: Probably not, but the East to me is probably way
• 11:01
  Speaker 3: more interesting, especially if people look into maybe better future or.
• 11:04
  Speaker 2: Just yeah that the East come playoff time.
• 11:07
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I've got a position on Celtics. All the matter
• 11:10
  Speaker 4: tricks that I've got. Basically, the Celtics underperformed for two
• 11:13
  Speaker 4: months and they've been updated, like they played some guys
• 11:16
  Speaker 4: that were struggling to move those guys out move better.
• 11:17
  Speaker 4: Guys in their rotation gets a little bit tighter every
• 11:20
  Speaker 4: single month. As far as Tatum goes, uh, that's a
• 11:23
  Speaker 4: little bit of a like that's geting to be a
• 11:25
  Speaker 4: little bit an awkward question in Boston, and nobody really
• 11:27
  Speaker 4: knows what's going on. My understanding is that Jason Tatum
• 11:31
  Speaker 4: would like to come back, and I'm not sure that
• 11:34
  Speaker 4: the Celtics are sure that that's a good idea, and
• 11:35
  Speaker 4: that's causing a little bit of tension. Jalen Brown's played
• 11:38
  Speaker 4: like an MVP this season. We don't know how that's
• 11:39
  Speaker 4: gonna shake out. Chalk Answers Nicks just because they have
• 11:41
  Speaker 4: more experience, Like Detroit is that team that's like way
• 11:44
  Speaker 4: overperforming this season. They're awesome, they're a lot of fun.
• 11:47
  Speaker 4: They have the number two defense in the NBA. They're dogs,
• 11:51
  Speaker 4: they're a lot of fun to watch. Kids awesome, but
• 11:52
  Speaker 4: they don't have enough shooting, Like, they don't have enough firepower.
• 11:55
  Speaker 4: It's why they're trying to make a move of the
• 11:56
  Speaker 4: deadline to upgrade their scoring punch Nicks. We'll see what
• 12:00
  Speaker 4: they do by Thursday if they don't get Giannis, which
• 12:04
  Speaker 4: I'm not expecting at this point because Giannis is on
• 12:06
  Speaker 4: the block. I think Nix is probably the safest option. Celtics,
• 12:11
  Speaker 4: I think has the best value. And if you're looking
• 12:13
  Speaker 4: for a long shot, it's the Calves who last night
• 12:15
  Speaker 4: though they might be trading for James Harden, which anytime
• 12:19
  Speaker 4: that you're like, we'll look at make a playoff run,
• 12:21
  Speaker 4: who you're adding James Harden, I'm out. I'm out. So
• 12:25
  Speaker 4: a little bit worried about that one because I did
• 12:27
  Speaker 4: bet some Calves on long shot sixers. A little bit
• 12:29
  Speaker 4: dangerous too. Joe Embids actually playing this year, playing really great,
• 12:32
  Speaker 4: Tyres Max has been an absolute beast. Now, don't bet
• 12:35
  Speaker 4: the Yeah, don't bet the Raptors. That's kind of your East.
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: Look.
• 12:39
  Speaker 4: It's like Nick's Celtics or Calves are still the best value.
• 12:42
  Speaker 4: And that's where we were at preseason.
• 12:44
  Speaker 3: One of the questions where where's Gianni's gonna go? And
• 12:47
  Speaker 3: that's the question.
• 12:48
  Speaker 4: Yeah, So James, I talked to people last night and
• 12:53
  Speaker 4: here's what what I've heard. Everyone thinks like they've had
• 12:56
  Speaker 4: all these deep conversations with Minnesota, Golden State in Miami.
• 12:59
  Speaker 4: That's the three teams that have the most conversation. There
• 13:01
  Speaker 4: are other teams that have called, obviously including the Cavaliers.
• 13:06
  Speaker 4: The problem is is that in the summer, the Heat
• 13:10
  Speaker 4: open up two more draft picks that they can trade
• 13:12
  Speaker 4: because there's limits on which ones you can trade right now,
• 13:14
  Speaker 4: and the Knicks open up two more draft picks. So
• 13:16
  Speaker 4: if you're the Bucks and Giannis is not making you
• 13:19
  Speaker 4: move him right now, and he's not, he's like, if
• 13:20
  Speaker 4: you want to keep me, it's fine, but eventually we
• 13:22
  Speaker 4: need to get this figured out. They get to operate
• 13:24
  Speaker 4: on their timeline. So my understanding is that the GM
• 13:28
  Speaker 4: of the Bucks is surveying options, getting everything set so
• 13:32
  Speaker 4: that this summer he can go back and be like, no, no, no.
• 13:34
  Speaker 4: In February, this is what you offered. Or in February
• 13:37
  Speaker 4: I had this offer, You're gonna have to be that
• 13:39
  Speaker 4: offer right now. They are collecting offers right now. There's
• 13:42
  Speaker 4: a lot of skepticism the deals is actually gonna get
• 13:44
  Speaker 4: done before Thursday this summer, though I continue to believe
• 13:48
  Speaker 4: that if Minnesota doesn't grab him by the deadline, I
• 13:51
  Speaker 4: think the Knicks are still the most likely scenario here.
• 13:53
  Speaker 4: Knicks flame out in the playoffs. They trade Karl Anthony
• 13:55
  Speaker 4: Towns and Ogna Noobi for extra assets to go to Milwaukee,
• 13:58
  Speaker 4: and Yiannis ends up where he wanted to go the summer,
• 14:01
  Speaker 4: which is to the New York next.
• 14:02
  Speaker 2: I feel like this, I feel the Warriors would make
• 14:05
  Speaker 2: sense just in that you have Steph Carey, who's what
• 14:08
  Speaker 2: thirty thirty I.
• 14:10
  Speaker 4: Don't know, thirty thirty five next.
• 14:12
  Speaker 3: Year, and like how many years left does he haven't? Wait,
• 14:19
  Speaker 3: he's thirty seven?
• 14:20
  Speaker 4: Oh yeah something my bad?
• 14:22
  Speaker 3: So at a high level a couple, so like after
• 14:27
  Speaker 3: he's done, I feel like that's like, who cares?
• 14:31
  Speaker 2: Just blow it up. You're gonna to start all over.
• 14:33
  Speaker 2: It's gonna get poppy. Do you just try to go
• 14:36
  Speaker 2: after it?
• 14:37
  Speaker 4: For the words the Warriors have literally told the Bucks
• 14:40
  Speaker 4: will be any offer anything you want, will give you anything.
• 14:45
  Speaker 4: The problem is they just don't have as much. They're
• 14:47
  Speaker 4: basically like, do you want to bank on us not
• 14:49
  Speaker 4: being able to put together a halfway decent team of
• 14:53
  Speaker 4: a sub five hundred team after Steph retires? Like that's
• 14:58
  Speaker 4: the gambit because they have nothing else. It's like, hey,
• 14:59
  Speaker 4: do you want Jimmy Butler's corpse and Jonathan kaminga who
• 15:02
  Speaker 4: no one wants? Cool?
• 15:04
  Speaker 2: Yep?
• 15:04
  Speaker 3: So all right, we got anything on Yea, let's talk football.
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: Let's do it. So let's talk across sport plays here
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: we've got. Before we get to that, let's talk about
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: the Booty call over on Draft Kings kai Shaun Booty
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: to have a forty plus yard receiving touchdown at twelve
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: to one. I guess he kind of figure Matt that
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: if he's going to catch a touchdown pass, it's probably
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: going to be deep down the field. So is this
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: one that you would take a look at?
• 15:30
  Speaker 4: So I wanted to talk to Ta Stucky who said
• 15:33
  Speaker 4: he's gonna be the grinch on the show, and I
• 15:34
  Speaker 4: want to ask him and Kendro, I want your thoughts
• 15:36
  Speaker 4: on this too. My understanding is that Seahawks play zone right,
• 15:43
  Speaker 4: Seahawks play, they show cover two, yeah, and then they
• 15:48
  Speaker 4: show cover They show cover two and then they move
• 15:50
  Speaker 4: into cover three a lot. Is that accurate?
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: Yes?
• 15:52
  Speaker 2: Yeah, a lot of the Skies cover just eighty percent zone.
• 15:54
  Speaker 3: But like it's a super Bowl, you what do you
• 15:56
  Speaker 3: have to keep in mind for this is that two
• 15:59
  Speaker 3: weeks to it's the last game of the season. The
• 16:02
  Speaker 3: other team knows your tendencies, you know their tendency, So
• 16:05
  Speaker 3: there's you know, you don't want to get too far
• 16:07
  Speaker 3: away from what you do.
• 16:09
  Speaker 5: But do you need that Creativity is the name of
• 16:11
  Speaker 5: the game in the Super Bowl for sure.
• 16:13
  Speaker 3: Yeah, So I wouldn't be shocked if you do see
• 16:15
  Speaker 3: more man because there is a world where you that
• 16:19
  Speaker 3: Seahawks say, Okay, they're expecting zone. Their game blends probably
• 16:24
  Speaker 3: going to be a lot of zone type calls and
• 16:27
  Speaker 3: now let's go man because we don't think that their
• 16:29
  Speaker 3: receivers can beat our corners. So you could see more
• 16:35
  Speaker 3: man for sure. I mean if I believe showed more
• 16:38
  Speaker 3: man less against the Rams and than usual, so you
• 16:41
  Speaker 3: definitely could see some curve balls. But in general, yes,
• 16:45
  Speaker 3: they're a zone heavy defense that doesn't allow explosive plays
• 16:50
  Speaker 3: that I mean that would be my like that I
• 16:53
  Speaker 3: would need better than twelve to one. I'm gonna be
• 16:55
  Speaker 3: the gridge on this because usually betting on these things
• 16:57
  Speaker 3: to happen, the odds are usually terrible. I mean, how
• 17:00
  Speaker 3: many how many catches of forty plus yards do you
• 17:03
  Speaker 3: think Booty had in the regular season? Just guesser zero zero, Yeah,
• 17:10
  Speaker 3: he's zero forty yard catches. You need a forty yard
• 17:14
  Speaker 3: catch and a touchdown. The Seahawks allowed. You know, they
• 17:17
  Speaker 3: don't allow it's supposed to play. They allowed i think
• 17:20
  Speaker 3: four fifty yard passes all seasoned long.
• 17:24
  Speaker 4: Yeah, and like all of his deep passes were to
• 17:26
  Speaker 4: the sideline. That's why I asked about the zone is
• 17:29
  Speaker 4: because I was like, Okay, if you're in cover three,
• 17:31
  Speaker 4: you're literally taking away that area of the field that
• 17:34
  Speaker 4: he's going to probably be able to get to there
• 17:35
  Speaker 4: because there's no gap between the cover two and the safeties, right.
• 17:39
  Speaker 3: Yeah, and you have you also have Matt Collins who
• 17:41
  Speaker 3: came back, who he'll occasionally take. He might take some
• 17:47
  Speaker 3: of those away. We saw that against Denver, so he
• 17:50
  Speaker 3: might take some of those deep shots away from Booty.
• 17:54
  Speaker 3: So yeah, I would need better than twelve to one
• 17:57
  Speaker 3: to bet that for sure.
• 17:58
  Speaker 4: On the other end, if you just think they're gonna
• 18:00
  Speaker 4: play more more man and you think you know, yeah, they're.
• 18:03
  Speaker 3: Gonna play more man than yeah, there's gonna be May's
• 18:06
  Speaker 3: gonna take his shots.
• 18:07
  Speaker 4: Yeah, he's so good on the deep ball.
• 18:09
  Speaker 3: But the other thing is is like if the game
• 18:11
  Speaker 3: is close and low scoring, then maybe not because the
• 18:15
  Speaker 3: Patriots have to be worried about you know, their offensive
• 18:18
  Speaker 3: line and May turning it over you saw that against Denver, right,
• 18:21
  Speaker 3: like on third downs, they basically were saying like, we're
• 18:25
  Speaker 3: not getting stripped, we're not getting putting the ball in
• 18:27
  Speaker 3: harm's way. So depending on game state, you might not
• 18:30
  Speaker 3: see as many of those shots. But like, if the
• 18:34
  Speaker 3: Seahawks are scoring and this game is back and forth,
• 18:36
  Speaker 3: May's he's gonna take his his deep shots. He has
• 18:41
  Speaker 3: one of the best deep balls in the NFL. But
• 18:43
  Speaker 3: I would need a better price than this.
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: Kendrick, do you think Stucky the Grinch talked Matt Moore
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: off the ledge here with Kayshaun Boody.
• 18:51
  Speaker 5: His energy really shifted in real time on this podcast.
• 18:54
  Speaker 5: He went from being like you're gonna be the grinch
• 18:56
  Speaker 5: y and Stucky said, Okay, let me let's sit down
• 18:59
  Speaker 5: for this and I'm gonna hold your hand while we
• 19:02
  Speaker 5: talk about it.
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: Accurate.
• 19:05
  Speaker 4: Matt, Yeah, I think so. I think I had questions stuck.
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: He answered, all right, let's keep it moving then. JSN receptions,
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: here's one I can get down with. Well, we're taking
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: JSN straight up against Jalen Brown rebounds. This is kind
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: of fun stuff that you can bet when it comes
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: to Super Bowl Sunday. Jalen Brown and the Celtics taking
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: on the New York Knicks, and Brown averages five point
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: four rebounds per game against the Knicks the last three seasons.
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: This guy, with Jason Tatum not in the lineup this year,
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: has been a rebounding machine. Get we see him get
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: it up to double digits quite frequently. JSN certainly capable
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: of doing that in the receiving game. I wish there
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: was a nice long shot at the number being exactly
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: the same. I would be willing to bet that. But
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: who do you think comes out on top JSN receptions
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: versus Jalen Brown rebounds?
• 19:57
  Speaker 4: I love the JSN here, right, our guy Brandon Anderson's
• 20:01
  Speaker 4: over and he's all over JSM props for this Super Bowl,
• 20:05
  Speaker 4: in part because I think he just wants any way
• 20:06
  Speaker 4: to just hate on the Patriots as much as humanly possible. Yeah,
• 20:11
  Speaker 4: our producer notes the tie is only plus eight hundred,
• 20:13
  Speaker 4: which is a little bit nice.
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: I would digs at the very least.
• 20:17
  Speaker 4: Which goes to Stucky's points about these markets. But the
• 20:21
  Speaker 4: key here is like, yeah, Jalen averages a lot of rebounds,
• 20:23
  Speaker 4: but he does it versus non teams that are not
• 20:25
  Speaker 4: dominant on the glass. That's like, there's a couple of
• 20:28
  Speaker 4: teams in the league that are just simply built on rebounding,
• 20:31
  Speaker 4: and the Knicks are one of them. There's such a
• 20:32
  Speaker 4: dominant rebounding team. One of the things, though, I think
• 20:36
  Speaker 4: is that the Knicks are playing better defense lately, so
• 20:38
  Speaker 4: that creates more misses, which obviously creates a better opportunity.
• 20:41
  Speaker 4: But the Celtics also play at a really glacial pace.
• 20:43
  Speaker 4: They're one of the slowest teams in the league. Nixill
• 20:46
  Speaker 4: let them play that slow. They're not looking to push
• 20:48
  Speaker 4: the ball, and their wings are so good at rebounding.
• 20:51
  Speaker 4: Not just Ognobi, but McHale Bridges is actually a sneaky
• 20:54
  Speaker 4: good rebounder, and Miles McBride actually routinely does a really
• 20:58
  Speaker 4: good job of man the defensive glass at least, so
• 21:02
  Speaker 4: you don't have these offensive opportunities. I do know't think
• 21:03
  Speaker 4: there's gonna be a lot of chances for Jalen to
• 21:05
  Speaker 4: get the ball and race up the floor. So to me,
• 21:08
  Speaker 4: this is like JSN. This is a great one. Everyone
• 21:11
  Speaker 4: on the bucket side loves taking JSN receptions over Jalen
• 21:14
  Speaker 4: Brown rebounds.
• 21:16
  Speaker 3: I would say my one pushback on it would be
• 21:23
  Speaker 3: you know, like you go back to There's been a
• 21:26
  Speaker 3: couple of games where I mean I go back to
• 21:29
  Speaker 3: that the Vikings game. I know they won in blaw fashion,
• 21:32
  Speaker 3: but Jason only had two catches on four targets for
• 21:35
  Speaker 3: twenty yards and Floor has basically bracketed them a lot.
• 21:40
  Speaker 3: So what is the game This is one of the
• 21:42
  Speaker 3: most fascinating things of this game to me. What is
• 21:45
  Speaker 3: the game plan of the Patriots in how they handle Jsn?
• 21:51
  Speaker 3: There are because there's two clear schools of thought. You
• 21:55
  Speaker 3: could have Gonzales on him and follow him your best corner.
• 22:02
  Speaker 3: Now did the Seahawks counter and put them more in
• 22:03
  Speaker 3: the slot and move them around more coming out of
• 22:06
  Speaker 3: the backfield sometimes, like do some more creative things with
• 22:08
  Speaker 3: them or do the Patriots say do.
• 22:12
  Speaker 2: They take the Belichick approach?
• 22:13
  Speaker 3: Like Belichick back in the day, like Matt you would
• 22:17
  Speaker 3: remember this when they like the when the Pats would
• 22:20
  Speaker 3: play the Chiefs, you would take you know, your and
• 22:25
  Speaker 3: this goes I mean, this goes back Belichick with this
• 22:27
  Speaker 3: goes Ben frabe lot. There's a lot of ties to Belichick.
• 22:29
  Speaker 3: Obviously in the stat this goes back to twenty twenty
• 22:32
  Speaker 3: five years. You would take your best corner, and you don't.
• 22:37
  Speaker 3: You don't put them on the best receiver. So like
• 22:38
  Speaker 3: this out they would handle Tyreek Hill. You take your
• 22:41
  Speaker 3: second corner and you put them on Hill. Tyreek killed it.
• 22:44
  Speaker 3: In this case, it would be jess And and then you
• 22:46
  Speaker 3: take a safety over top and you basically bracket him
• 22:50
  Speaker 3: the entire game. And then you have your top corner,
• 22:53
  Speaker 3: you know, on Shaheed or Cup whoever's on the outside there.
• 22:58
  Speaker 3: And then is there a game, Look, go ahead, Darnold,
• 23:03
  Speaker 3: throw to anyone else to beat us, and we'll tip
• 23:06
  Speaker 3: our hat and you're gonna have to do it against
• 23:07
  Speaker 3: our best corner, but we're gonna have JSN bracketed. That's
• 23:10
  Speaker 3: what I would do, Like I would just say, like, look,
• 23:12
  Speaker 3: I trust our run defense. I we can't have JSM
• 23:16
  Speaker 3: beat us. And that's what Belichick definitely would do, right
• 23:20
  Speaker 3: he takes away your strong hand. But I don't know
• 23:23
  Speaker 3: what the Patriots gonna do. That's one of the most
• 23:24
  Speaker 3: fascinating things. And it's not to say JSN still can't
• 23:28
  Speaker 3: go off. And then the Seahawks, I'm sure, are going
• 23:31
  Speaker 3: to try to use him in different formations where it's
• 23:33
  Speaker 3: more difficult to bracket in. But that's the only thing
• 23:37
  Speaker 3: I would worry about is if like there's an all
• 23:39
  Speaker 3: out sellout approach to stopping JSN, then he might just
• 23:43
  Speaker 3: be more of a decoy in the game.
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: So one of the interesting things with JSN and Jalen
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: Brown head up is that both of them was so
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: Jalen Brown's rebounds prop typically sits around seven and a half.
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: That's exactly where JSN is in this particular matchup up.
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: So that is one of the most.
• 24:02
  Speaker 4: That it's almost like it's almost like they knew that.
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: It is almost it's almost like they had that one scouted. Kendrick,
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: What do you got?
• 24:09
  Speaker 5: So? Another thing I put in here before the show
• 24:11
  Speaker 5: that we kind of talked about before we hopped on
• 24:13
  Speaker 5: here octopus. You like the octopus this year for a yes,
• 24:17
  Speaker 5: fifteen to one. What do you think about it?
• 24:20
  Speaker 4: I love it? I like, I think there's actually pretty
• 24:22
  Speaker 4: good idea because Shihit is like the guy here, like,
• 24:25
  Speaker 4: I'm just like such a good rashide shaheat guy that
• 24:29
  Speaker 4: to me. And I did want to get Kravitz and
• 24:32
  Speaker 4: Stucky's thoughts on this too as well as yours on
• 24:34
  Speaker 4: like when you look at the Patriots defense, What are
• 24:37
  Speaker 4: the odds that we get an end around for a touchdown?
• 24:40
  Speaker 4: I don't think the Seahawks ran almost at all with
• 24:43
  Speaker 4: the receivers. But if you're talking about there's being something
• 24:45
  Speaker 4: different that they're going to throw out there this this year,
• 24:48
  Speaker 4: maybe that's the way to go about it. And with
• 24:50
  Speaker 4: you've got this opportunity for like with we'll talk about
• 24:54
  Speaker 4: this with somebody else, because he's gonna be my MVP
• 24:56
  Speaker 4: pick too. Is like, if you've got the pot return
• 24:58
  Speaker 4: possibility along with the posibility of him catching a pass,
• 25:01
  Speaker 4: along with the possibility of an end around, doesn't like
• 25:04
  Speaker 4: Shaheed for me fundamentally with his speed, that changes the
• 25:07
  Speaker 4: odds of the oven octopus a little bit higher because
• 25:09
  Speaker 4: of his versatility.
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: So the octopus is that And by the way, I
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: learned this right before the show. I'd never bet the octopus.
• 25:17
  Speaker 2: How did you know this octopus?
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: I've heard the word like it's an animal that swims
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: in the ocean. I didn't know. And a two point
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: conversion I didn't know about. This feels like a bad
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: bet to me, especially with Rashid Shahed, who has not
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: really been used much in the run game since he's
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: become part of the Seattle Seahawks. So I I just
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: it feels like too much of a long shot for me. No,
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: I do not need the octopus to explained. I get it.
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: It's a touchdown at a two point conversion from the
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: same person. It's going to be random enough within the
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: flow of the game for him to score a touchdown. Period.
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: Now I need him to score a touchdown.
• 25:55
  Speaker 6: And get the two point conversion that I feel like
• 25:58
  Speaker 6: we're asking too much of. You know why called octopus though,
• 26:01
  Speaker 6: because there's because there's eight tentacles on an octopus and
• 26:05
  Speaker 6: there would be eight points scored within the.
• 26:11
  Speaker 3: I will say this, I'm gonna be the grinch every Look,
• 26:14
  Speaker 3: if you want to just have fun and bet it recreationally.
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: What's the number on this, by the way, one?
• 26:20
  Speaker 3: If you want to do that, Like, just have fun,
• 26:23
  Speaker 3: do it. But these odds are horrible.
• 26:25
  Speaker 5: Okay, So what about for there to be a successful
• 26:28
  Speaker 5: two point conversion?
• 26:29
  Speaker 4: Horrible?
• 26:30
  Speaker 2: Also? What are the odds usually?
• 26:32
  Speaker 3: So everyone wants to bet these things to happen, right,
• 26:35
  Speaker 3: and like everyone every year is going to bet like
• 26:36
  Speaker 3: there's a safety, there's there's horrible odds on that? Is
• 26:41
  Speaker 3: there a two point conversion. Is there an octopus? Everyone
• 26:42
  Speaker 3: wants to bet on these things to happen, right, but
• 26:44
  Speaker 3: there's usually all the values on the no. But I
• 26:48
  Speaker 3: mean an octopus. I think if you go back to
• 26:50
  Speaker 3: like nineteen ninety and the odds of an octopus happen happening,
• 26:56
  Speaker 3: it's happened in like two and a half percent of games.
• 27:00
  Speaker 2: Really two two and a half percent.
• 27:02
  Speaker 3: I didn't I don't quote me on that, but it's
• 27:05
  Speaker 3: somewhere there on there. So you can be a fifty
• 27:06
  Speaker 3: to one sure, but fifteen to one no.
• 27:11
  Speaker 5: And then you can't off even more. How about that
• 27:14
  Speaker 5: you take hold.
• 27:14
  Speaker 2: On let me go to two point conversion?
• 27:16
  Speaker 3: Two point and the Patris have been good against outside
• 27:18
  Speaker 3: runs for whatever this year two point conversions. This year
• 27:23
  Speaker 3: there were eighty six games that had a two point
• 27:26
  Speaker 3: conversion attempt in the regular season. There was two hundred
• 27:29
  Speaker 3: and eighty four games. I think there's only one two
• 27:31
  Speaker 3: point version in the playoffs. So that's thirty percent of
• 27:33
  Speaker 3: games that had I just any.
• 27:36
  Speaker 5: Money were successful though, because you have to.
• 27:37
  Speaker 2: Be then you have to be successful.
• 27:39
  Speaker 3: So I would take that bet that bet, you know,
• 27:43
  Speaker 3: plus three hundred is it for a successful two point
• 27:45
  Speaker 3: version like that's I wouldn't maybe considered is there just
• 27:48
  Speaker 3: going to be a two point conversion attempt not successful?
• 27:51
  Speaker 5: Because then if you go no, it's minus four twenty five.
• 27:55
  Speaker 2: Yes, I would bet no. Yeah, so I would bet no.
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: That sounds like it's sanely good value. By the way,
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: she he'd to scored two touchdowns if you like him
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: to win the MVP seventeen to one. I feel like
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: that would be the better bet one.
• 28:07
  Speaker 5: We have MVP. Yeah, you have MVP stuff.
• 28:10
  Speaker 3: And I lost saying Pats and Pats and Seahawks are
• 28:12
  Speaker 3: three for they're both three for three on the year
• 28:14
  Speaker 3: and two point conversions stuff, but that's only fifteen percent
• 28:19
  Speaker 3: of the games that they've gone for two. He's so
• 28:22
  Speaker 3: they're not two point conversion all, Like these coaches aren't.
• 28:24
  Speaker 3: Aren't coaches that go for?
• 28:26
  Speaker 4: I ask you because you're the guy I always joke
• 28:29
  Speaker 4: about with the obsession with sneaking, how often do the
• 28:32
  Speaker 4: Patriots sneak?
• 28:35
  Speaker 3: May is not a great sneaker, So they're not.
• 28:38
  Speaker 4: But they did their value.
• 28:40
  Speaker 3: They did it last week, but he didn't get it,
• 28:42
  Speaker 3: but he got it.
• 28:43
  Speaker 4: They say the Philly fans are gonna lose their mind.
• 28:46
  Speaker 4: If I don't note this, in the last fifteen years,
• 28:47
  Speaker 4: there's been one octopus. It was Jalen Hurts in twenty
• 28:50
  Speaker 4: twenty three when they lost to the camp.
• 28:52
  Speaker 3: Yeah, there has been won in a SUPERWL that happened,
• 28:54
  Speaker 3: and like, these things do happen. If you want to
• 28:55
  Speaker 3: bet that, fine, Like there was a stafety that happened
• 28:57
  Speaker 3: in the first play of the game with the Broncos
• 28:59
  Speaker 3: Super Bowl. But I will say I bet that I
• 29:03
  Speaker 3: do like on something that happened. You mentioned the sneak,
• 29:06
  Speaker 3: so I like there's two you can get the the
• 29:11
  Speaker 3: Seahawks over four and a half players rush attempt at
• 29:14
  Speaker 3: like plus one thirty five. I like that because you're
• 29:17
  Speaker 3: gonna have Darnold's definitely gonna get I shouldn'tay definitely, but
• 29:21
  Speaker 3: likely to get one. You know, Walker is gonna get one,
• 29:23
  Speaker 3: and Olani will get a couple, and then you have
• 29:28
  Speaker 3: Barner who does their sneaks, and then I think they're
• 29:32
  Speaker 3: gonna probably get a receiver, right, Shaheed probably gets to
• 29:35
  Speaker 3: carry at some point. So I think they go over
• 29:37
  Speaker 3: four and a half, but the better bet might be
• 29:39
  Speaker 3: over seven and a half total, because if the Seahawks
• 29:42
  Speaker 3: get the five. This should go over seven and a
• 29:45
  Speaker 3: half because you're you're gonna have May, Stevenson and uh
• 29:52
  Speaker 3: uh Henderson and that's that's eight and that's that's sick.
• 29:57
  Speaker 3: That's if the Patriots don't have anyone other anyone on
• 29:59
  Speaker 3: a rush, you get a you get a rush. You
• 30:00
  Speaker 3: could have one of the receivers like this is when
• 30:02
  Speaker 3: you pull out some different stops and these run defenses
• 30:04
  Speaker 3: are so good that you're gonna have to get creative
• 30:06
  Speaker 3: running the ball, and maybe there's and then you have
• 30:09
  Speaker 3: the chance of a backup in blah blah blah if
• 30:12
  Speaker 3: it's a blowout. But there's a chance that the Patriots
• 30:16
  Speaker 3: over these two weeks come up with a Toush push, right,
• 30:21
  Speaker 3: they come up with a guy that is their barner
• 30:25
  Speaker 3: and is they're going to be their fourth and one
• 30:27
  Speaker 3: sneak guy because May isn't great at it and he
• 30:29
  Speaker 3: really did fail at it. So like, give two weeks
• 30:31
  Speaker 3: to come up with they should have a Toush push guy.
• 30:35
  Speaker 3: So you could see another Patriot get a rush attempt
• 30:38
  Speaker 3: that way. So I like the over over total players
• 30:42
  Speaker 3: rush attempts in the game.
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: You said that numbers four and a half.
• 30:47
  Speaker 3: Four and a half of the Seahawks plus one thirty
• 30:50
  Speaker 3: five seven and a half total players, I think there's
• 30:56
  Speaker 3: a good chance that goes over. I'm just saying, like,
• 30:58
  Speaker 3: if the Seahawks go over four and at they get
• 31:00
  Speaker 3: to five, all.
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: Right, let me give you Let me give you guys
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: a separate one that's along the same lines, and then
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: we can kind of take a go around the horn
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: and take a vote on which one we like better.
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: Over two and a half players to attempt to pass
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: in the Super Bowl, you obviously have you started too
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: with the two quarterbacks Darnold and May. In three of
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: the last four Super Bowls we have seen a third
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: player attempt to pass. And there's a couple of different
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: ways that you can get there. Either punter could attempt
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: one on a fake. You could get either back up
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: in and either mop up duty or injury duty. Cooper
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: Cup has thrown a pass this year, so you get
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: one of those wide receiver trick plays. So over on
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: rushing seven and a half for total players to collect
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: a rush in the game, or over two and a
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: half players to attempt a pass, Kendra, where would you
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: land on that?
• 31:52
  Speaker 5: I went to add this in our notes and saw
• 31:53
  Speaker 5: that somebody already had, so I was very much looking
• 31:56
  Speaker 5: at this already. I think that we Cooper Cup, yeah,
• 31:59
  Speaker 5: but also maybe de Mario Douglas. I know that that's
• 32:02
  Speaker 5: something that has happened for the Patriots prior. They've definitely
• 32:05
  Speaker 5: had a receiver line up, so I could I could have.
• 32:09
  Speaker 5: I could totally see this happening, especially because, like I
• 32:11
  Speaker 5: said a few minutes ago, the name of the game
• 32:13
  Speaker 5: in the Super Bowl is creativity. You've had, you know,
• 32:16
  Speaker 5: two weeks to deep dive into everything that either team
• 32:19
  Speaker 5: has done all season long. You have to surprise people
• 32:22
  Speaker 5: at some point, and I think that this is definitely
• 32:24
  Speaker 5: one of the ways to do so.
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: Matt, where do you land on that?
• 32:27
  Speaker 4: I mean, if we're talking, I want to go back
• 32:30
  Speaker 4: to the over two and a half quarterbacks. If we
• 32:34
  Speaker 4: just accept, as it accompany that the gods have just
• 32:38
  Speaker 4: decided we must suffer beneath another Patriots run, that we
• 32:42
  Speaker 4: must just suffer through this absolutely miserable existence with the
• 32:47
  Speaker 4: Patriots being good again, with the how their schedule has
• 32:51
  Speaker 4: shaped up, and Brandon Aston had an absolutely banger tweet
• 32:54
  Speaker 4: about the number of fired coaches and terrible teams this
• 32:57
  Speaker 4: team has.
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: Faced it's eleven, isn't it?
• 32:59
  Speaker 4: Every thing lined up for them? Like, wouldn't the most
• 33:03
  Speaker 4: Patriots outcome be that Sam Darnold gets injured.
• 33:09
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: See, that's the thing that I like about the past
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: prop more than the rush prop is that the threshold
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: is simply lower. I think you need two players to
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: step up and collect a run that we're not expecting.
• 33:22
  Speaker 4: Like if you if you hate the Patriots, that's the
• 33:25
  Speaker 4: bet to go for.
• 33:26
  Speaker 5: And Drake May's shoulder.
• 33:29
  Speaker 3: Yeah no, but if you get a quarterback hurt, then
• 33:31
  Speaker 3: you're gonna probably get another rush attempt from from the quarterback.
• 33:36
  Speaker 3: But I don't think there's I think there's a there's
• 33:39
  Speaker 3: Barner's get a carry. I think you just need one
• 33:41
  Speaker 3: other player. And you're saying no receivers are going to
• 33:44
  Speaker 3: run the ball in the game. I don't think that's
• 33:46
  Speaker 3: the case. So I mean you going back to the
• 33:50
  Speaker 3: past attempts. I don't I don't know. I don't have
• 33:52
  Speaker 3: a strong day. I can tell you to thirty five,
• 33:55
  Speaker 3: what are the odds on?
• 33:55
  Speaker 2: Yes?
• 33:58
  Speaker 5: Is it plus two fifty? Is something like that? I
• 34:01
  Speaker 5: put it in our notes.
• 34:05
  Speaker 2: Plus two fifty wouldn't be I think it is.
• 34:07
  Speaker 5: Plus two fifty.
• 34:08
  Speaker 3: I don't set one sekay like thirty five percent of
• 34:13
  Speaker 3: games had at least three players attempt to pass during
• 34:17
  Speaker 3: the season.
• 34:18
  Speaker 2: And you have to keep in mind.
• 34:20
  Speaker 3: That includes complete blowouts, right when you have teams that
• 34:25
  Speaker 3: are just destroying the other team and it's a huge
• 34:28
  Speaker 3: mismatch right now, that could happen here, But the likelihood
• 34:31
  Speaker 3: that you're actually blowing out the team mountain and then
• 34:33
  Speaker 3: throwing it with your backup. Now, I know the Eagles
• 34:36
  Speaker 3: did it. That's how the Eagles. That's how this got there.
• 34:37
  Speaker 3: Last year, the Eagles are up by so much that sorry,
• 34:41
  Speaker 3: Matt that that that pike, It threw it late. He
• 34:44
  Speaker 3: completed a pass. So there's a chance now, So that
• 34:48
  Speaker 3: only happened in what thirty five percent games had at
• 34:51
  Speaker 3: least three players throw the ball.
• 34:54
  Speaker 4: By the way, draft I, I'm sorry, I just have
• 34:56
  Speaker 4: to interject real quick, this is the meanest fucking prop
• 34:58
  Speaker 4: I've ever seen ever. The draftings has a prop up
• 35:02
  Speaker 4: for Seahawks to attempt to pass from inside the Patriots
• 35:04
  Speaker 4: one yard line.
• 35:06
  Speaker 1: Oh, that's so mean, trolling to the max.
• 35:11
  Speaker 4: It's it's plus six hundred. No, there's no no on it. Unfortunately,
• 35:18
  Speaker 4: Oh my god.
• 35:19
  Speaker 2: There's no way they let Donald throw it at the one.
• 35:21
  Speaker 5: That's so yeah, that's a good point. There's no way
• 35:25
  Speaker 5: they let Donald.
• 35:26
  Speaker 2: Why I would?
• 35:27
  Speaker 3: I would, They're just gonna sneak barner. I wish there
• 35:31
  Speaker 3: was a no on that. So yeah, I mean, thirty
• 35:35
  Speaker 3: five games have wre and then that includes both. Now,
• 35:38
  Speaker 3: maybe because there's a little bit more injury risks and
• 35:40
  Speaker 3: this is the Super Bowl, you tend to get a
• 35:42
  Speaker 3: little bit more creative, but.
• 35:45
  Speaker 2: I'd lean now I prefer rushing myself.
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: All right, guys, let's get into the nitty gritty here.
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: Let's stalk coin toss.
• 35:51
  Speaker 5: I was just gonna say this.
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: Minus one minus one o three on both sides. And
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: if you follow gambling Twitter, everybody thinks they're a genius.
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: Most are gonna tell you that getting in anything less
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: than even money on an actual coin flip is perhaps
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: the dumbest thing that you can bet. I would say
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: that it's significantly less foolish than playing almost any other
• 36:13
  Speaker 1: table game at a casino. The house edge for roulette
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: is five point three percent. Minus one oh three is
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: significantly less than that, So it's not that dumb. Winner
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: of the coin toss by the way, twenty five and
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: thirty four straight up in the game. So if you
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: like that voodoo trend, just don't bet the coin toss.
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: Just bet the team. Bet against the team that wins
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: the coin toss. Twenty fifteen to twenty twenty four, the
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: coin toss winner lost the game. Last year the winner
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: also lost. There was a break in between those two years.
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: So Matt, you are our guests. Will you be betting
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: the coin toss and do you have anything that you
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: look at or lean into and making this decision, or
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: do you literally just toss a coin.
• 36:56
  Speaker 4: As the king of Hey, here's this dumb bet. I like,
• 37:00
  Speaker 4: even I think this is too dumb. This is too dumb.
• 37:03
  Speaker 4: This is so I get it.
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: I get it mathematically, it's not that bad.
• 37:08
  Speaker 4: Comparatively, I get the super Bowl. Like if you're at
• 37:10
  Speaker 4: the super Bowl party and you're like, hey, I got
• 37:12
  Speaker 4: you know, I've got money on the court, Like, it's
• 37:14
  Speaker 4: a really great You're performatively rooting for the coin toss
• 37:17
  Speaker 4: in front of your friends. That's a great that's a
• 37:19
  Speaker 4: great bit. That is an awesome bit. I just am like,
• 37:24
  Speaker 4: it's over so quickly, it's over. So the best things
• 37:27
  Speaker 4: take time.
• 37:28
  Speaker 3: Yeah, before play, I'm waiting to bet the coin to
• 37:31
  Speaker 3: I would never bet the coin toss shot her. So
• 37:36
  Speaker 3: but like we I actually pick a coin toss every year,
• 37:39
  Speaker 3: so like it.
• 37:40
  Speaker 2: We'll do a bar.
• 37:43
  Speaker 3: A sheet and then we'll have we'll print them all
• 37:47
  Speaker 3: out and I'll come up with like ten to fifteen questions,
• 37:50
  Speaker 3: right coin toss. You know, who has the first completion,
• 37:54
  Speaker 3: who throws the first interception, who has the first touchdown?
• 37:58
  Speaker 2: Who wins? You know over under, like a bunch of
• 38:02
  Speaker 2: who has the longest catch the first sack. You can
• 38:05
  Speaker 2: go up with it a bunch of different questions and
• 38:08
  Speaker 2: then they're worth different varying amounts of points, and then
• 38:11
  Speaker 2: everyone fills them out before the game and at the end,
• 38:13
  Speaker 2: and then everyone puts in whatever you want to do
• 38:15
  Speaker 2: ten twenty fifty hundred dollars. A person at the end,
• 38:18
  Speaker 2: whoever has the most amount of points wins. So that's
• 38:19
  Speaker 2: a way to bet on the coin toss.
• 38:21
  Speaker 3: But I would never want to lose a bet before
• 38:24
  Speaker 3: the game starts. That's just on something that is literally
• 38:28
  Speaker 3: a coin toss. But then I would say it would
• 38:30
  Speaker 3: be terrible. So no plus money, yes, but I bet it,
• 38:33
  Speaker 3: but no, Well.
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: They would never give you that on a coin toss.
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: But is there anything.
• 38:38
  Speaker 2: You'll be steamed? Tails? Tails?
• 38:41
  Speaker 1: Yeah, that's a good question for for Evan Abrams. Has
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: the coin toss ever been steamed?
• 38:46
  Speaker 3: I think there was a time that you could get
• 38:48
  Speaker 3: like even money. Plus I don't know. Sometimes there's a
• 38:53
  Speaker 3: they'll have boosts.
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: Like you would say promotionally that yeah, some of.
• 38:56
  Speaker 2: Books have promotions for it, and then ups one on
• 39:03
  Speaker 2: the coin. But what I don't it's the coin toss waxing.
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: I'm looking at my old notes and I saw something
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: about waxing and waning moons. Is there anything on that
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: with the coin toss?
• 39:14
  Speaker 5: The full moon was yesterday, but I don't look at that.
• 39:18
  Speaker 5: I usually, for some reason, every time I win the
• 39:21
  Speaker 5: coin toss, the rest of my bets are shit, and
• 39:24
  Speaker 5: every time I lose the coin toss, I win the
• 39:26
  Speaker 5: rest of them. So it's kind of like a prediction
• 39:29
  Speaker 5: thing for me, just as like a superstition. But I
• 39:31
  Speaker 5: usually for the coin toss wind up going heads because
• 39:35
  Speaker 5: I feel like everybody wants it to be tails, because
• 39:37
  Speaker 5: of tails never fails. But what people don't take into
• 39:40
  Speaker 5: consideration is that when you're flipping like a US coin,
• 39:43
  Speaker 5: the headside is usually a little bit heavier, and so
• 39:46
  Speaker 5: with these coins that are like pretty neutral most of
• 39:49
  Speaker 5: the time as far as weight, Like you're taking tails
• 39:52
  Speaker 5: just for a superstition thing.
• 39:54
  Speaker 4: You are.
• 39:54
  Speaker 1: You just layered in sharp analysis for the coin, toss.
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: I want you to know that you might be the.
• 39:59
  Speaker 5: Only person I think give me the big bucks man.
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: That's fantastic.
• 40:01
  Speaker 5: I have been trying to see this coin for days.
• 40:04
  Speaker 5: I looked at last year's and it was very even,
• 40:06
  Speaker 5: and I had heads last year, so.
• 40:09
  Speaker 1: Well, it rotated tails and heads over the last four years,
• 40:12
  Speaker 1: so no trend there. However, the last time Seattle played
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: New England in the Super Bowl, it did land on tails.
• 40:18
  Speaker 2: So if we talk about the pointoffs for one more minute,
• 40:22
  Speaker 2: you know, I knew.
• 40:22
  Speaker 4: That that was more nball.
• 40:24
  Speaker 5: Just go for me on the anthem.
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: It's stuck. You don't worry. We can all feel it.
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: We can all feel it. It's it's sort of like
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: sand sipping through the hourglass. All right, let's let's wrap
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: on this.
• 40:35
  Speaker 4: Well, I gotta give out one more NBA thing on
• 40:38
  Speaker 4: the show. I have to give out one more NBA thing.
• 40:40
  Speaker 4: That's why he brought me on the only thing I
• 40:41
  Speaker 4: have value. Its the only reason I exist on this planet. Okay,
• 40:44
  Speaker 4: that and going ahead to have with Stucky on counting
• 40:47
  Speaker 4: crows lyrics, there's one that Sakham points and rebounds versus
• 40:51
  Speaker 4: Trayvon Henderson rushing and receiving Seacam's price minus one thirty.
• 40:55
  Speaker 4: So I think it's interesting on this is Chris Raybond
• 40:57
  Speaker 4: gave out this week on Action Network and catch it
• 40:59
  Speaker 4: in the app up fifty plus yards for Henderson at
• 41:03
  Speaker 4: plus seven fifty long shot on him for one of
• 41:06
  Speaker 4: the props. So you can kind of take a position
• 41:09
  Speaker 4: that's almost it's not pure here, there's a lot of
• 41:12
  Speaker 4: there's some variance in there, but I almost kind of
• 41:15
  Speaker 4: like taking taking Siakam as the seat as the Seahawks
• 41:19
  Speaker 4: win that battle of the rushing game and then Henderson
• 41:22
  Speaker 4: breaks it according to Chris's prop. So I think there's
• 41:25
  Speaker 4: actually a little bit of value on looking at that
• 41:27
  Speaker 4: one and deciding at least which side of that coin
• 41:30
  Speaker 4: you're on.
• 41:30
  Speaker 1: Yeah, when I was looking at that one, Sorry, sorry stuck,
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: no more, no more coins. This one feels like free money.
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: With the way that Seattle is able to gobble up
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: an opponent's run game and Traveon Henderson has not been
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: involved in the receiving game. I do think that the
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: Patriots could possibly get creative here, as Kendro is mentioning,
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: because if they don't use Henderson here, I think their
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: ability to create explosive plays is going to be pretty
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: much non existent. But we just haven't seen it recently. Sam,
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: I mean, you kind of know what you're gonna get
• 42:05
  Speaker 1: from him. I feel like this is priced correctly, but
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: to me feels like the side so you're saying that
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: you think is the bet and yet and then moon
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: shotting Travion? Am I reading that correctly? Yeah?
• 42:17
  Speaker 4: Follow Do you go check out Chris Raybonds either that
• 42:19
  Speaker 4: or just figure out which side is more compelling to
• 42:21
  Speaker 4: you on that one based off of it, because it's
• 42:24
  Speaker 4: like if you like, if you if you if you think,
• 42:26
  Speaker 4: if you don't think that he's gonna do that, he's
• 42:29
  Speaker 4: gonna be able to hit that, he's gonna be limited,
• 42:31
  Speaker 4: right if you don't think that, if you want to
• 42:33
  Speaker 4: take on this one, just take Chris Raybonds prop.
• 42:36
  Speaker 3: I do think that the Patriots have to these Anderson
• 42:38
  Speaker 3: more in this game, and they will. We'll try to
• 42:41
  Speaker 3: find him.
• 42:41
  Speaker 5: I mean the.
• 42:43
  Speaker 3: Led the league in percentage of dropbacks that are dumped
• 42:47
  Speaker 3: down to running backs. Like that's they give up pros
• 42:50
  Speaker 3: to running backs. Throws the tight ends. Now, they could
• 42:52
  Speaker 3: change up things here, but the Patriots have to find ways.
• 42:56
  Speaker 3: They're not gonna have to run the ball just on
• 42:58
  Speaker 3: a down to down basis canstantly. The Seahawks run defense
• 43:01
  Speaker 3: is historically dominant, and the Patriots have been able to
• 43:04
  Speaker 3: run the ball against great run defenses all year and
• 43:07
  Speaker 3: this is the best. So I think they need Henderson,
• 43:12
  Speaker 3: whether it's in the run game or you know, out
• 43:15
  Speaker 3: of the backfield in creative ways. They need his explosive ability.
• 43:18
  Speaker 3: They need him to hit an explosive player too, So
• 43:21
  Speaker 3: I'm curious to see how they do use him. And
• 43:25
  Speaker 3: then if they what is that that split in the backfield, Like,
• 43:29
  Speaker 3: I mean, they didn't use them at all, They trusted
• 43:31
  Speaker 3: It's more in pass protection. Seahawks have a good they
• 43:34
  Speaker 3: can get pressure a good defense line, but they don't
• 43:35
  Speaker 3: really blitz as much. So you could as as the Broncos,
• 43:38
  Speaker 3: and they're not a high blifting team. So I think
• 43:40
  Speaker 3: this could be a game where there is some upside
• 43:43
  Speaker 3: with Stevenson and then speaking upside, do you guys have that?
• 43:48
  Speaker 2: Henderson?
• 43:49
  Speaker 3: Yeah, upside With Henderson speaking of upside, you guys have
• 43:52
  Speaker 3: a long shot m v P.
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: Look, Oh yes, I do. Go ahead, Matt, you go first.
• 43:58
  Speaker 1: I feel the need for.
• 44:00
  Speaker 4: I love rascheat Shaheed MVP here thirty to one. I
• 44:03
  Speaker 4: love it. Pot return no kickoff returns. Kasetucky commented pre
• 44:07
  Speaker 4: show about how rarely it just never happens in the
• 44:09
  Speaker 4: NFL anymore, which is insane. These rules are absolutely bonkers.
• 44:14
  Speaker 4: But pot return possibilities, receiving possibilities. I talked about the
• 44:17
  Speaker 4: end a round capability. I just I want somebody like that,
• 44:20
  Speaker 4: if you throw in the special team's angle of this
• 44:24
  Speaker 4: and that, if this is a low scoring game where
• 44:26
  Speaker 4: neither quarterback looks good, if it's just like a defensive
• 44:29
  Speaker 4: battle back and forth, but Shaheed gets a pot return
• 44:32
  Speaker 4: touchdown and then has a lot of receiving yards and
• 44:36
  Speaker 4: or another touchdown. Love for sheet shaheat here thirty to one,
• 44:39
  Speaker 4: give me Shaheed, I.
• 44:41
  Speaker 3: Would say, yeah, but you mentioned kickoffs, like it's like
• 44:44
  Speaker 3: twenty to one for kickoff re turn for touchdown, Just
• 44:47
  Speaker 3: to give you numbers on that. During the regular season,
• 44:51
  Speaker 3: there were I think over two thousand kick return six
• 44:54
  Speaker 3: went for a touchdown zero point three percent, So I
• 44:57
  Speaker 3: mean she did have one of them. Gibson did have
• 44:59
  Speaker 3: one of them for Patriots of the six, but I
• 45:03
  Speaker 3: need a little bit more than twenty two to one there,
• 45:07
  Speaker 3: and like defensive special team score I think is plus
• 45:10
  Speaker 3: two thirty five plus two fifty. Yes, I mean during
• 45:13
  Speaker 3: the regular season happened like one every four games. You
• 45:15
  Speaker 3: might say, like these quarterbacks, they're a little more chance
• 45:18
  Speaker 3: of mistakes, but you know, it only happened in three
• 45:21
  Speaker 3: Seahawks games, twenty percent of their total games. It happened
• 45:23
  Speaker 3: in five Pats games. So I mean I even better
• 45:26
  Speaker 3: odds than that happened overall. One in four NFL games
• 45:29
  Speaker 3: had a defensive or special team score this year. My
• 45:33
  Speaker 3: long shot, I think it's going to be a lower
• 45:35
  Speaker 3: scoring game. I think it's going to be close. If so,
• 45:42
  Speaker 3: I could see Shahid. But I do think like if
• 45:48
  Speaker 3: you have the Patriots in New Seahawks, these are two
• 45:49
  Speaker 3: electric punt returners, right, you know that you're going to
• 45:51
  Speaker 3: try to keep them all away from them, try to
• 45:54
  Speaker 3: not give them opportunities for returns.
• 45:57
  Speaker 2: But I'll throw out two emon Warre.
• 46:03
  Speaker 3: He I mean, is like a linebacker and a defensive
• 46:06
  Speaker 3: back that can make plays in so many different ways.
• 46:08
  Speaker 3: He's McDonald's chess piece. I think he's gonna use him
• 46:11
  Speaker 3: in a lot of creative ways here. He could make
• 46:13
  Speaker 3: a play or two in many different ways. Could be
• 46:15
  Speaker 3: a strip sack, could be a pick.
• 46:18
  Speaker 4: Or.
• 46:20
  Speaker 3: You know, maybe it's basically a quarterback, a wide receiver,
• 46:22
  Speaker 3: or like it's been, like a random linebacker or safety,
• 46:24
  Speaker 3: but or defensive end. I'll throw out Christian Gonzalez just
• 46:30
  Speaker 3: because if this is really low scoring and it comes
• 46:33
  Speaker 3: down to like that random play that happens or a
• 46:35
  Speaker 3: pick six, Like I said, Christian Gonzalez might either be
• 46:41
  Speaker 3: on JSN by himself, and in that case he's gonna
• 46:44
  Speaker 3: get a lot of opportunities to make plays, or they
• 46:48
  Speaker 3: might bracket JSN and then it's going to be they're
• 46:50
  Speaker 3: gonna he's gonna get targets against a way, you know,
• 46:54
  Speaker 3: a way way worse receiver than JSN, and he's gonna
• 46:58
  Speaker 3: get opportunities there. So maybe he can jump around get
• 47:02
  Speaker 3: a pick or two. So those will be two just
• 47:04
  Speaker 3: super long shots you want.
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: To throw on Christian Gonzalez one hundred to one. Kendrick,
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: what about you, long shot MVP?
• 47:11
  Speaker 5: I gave out Milton Williams on my show on Saturday.
• 47:14
  Speaker 5: You're telling me that, yes, Drake May is the best
• 47:17
  Speaker 5: player on the Patriots, but I would say he's the
• 47:20
  Speaker 5: most valuable. But Milton Williams is the best. He outside
• 47:24
  Speaker 5: of Drake is their number one playmaker on that team.
• 47:27
  Speaker 5: Whi's the most likely defensive super Bowl we've seen, and
• 47:29
  Speaker 5: I don't even know how long if both of these
• 47:32
  Speaker 5: quarterbacks turn back into shells of themselves what we've seen
• 47:35
  Speaker 5: from Drake May with the fumbles in the postseason, the
• 47:36
  Speaker 5: person we know Sam Darnold can be with the interceptions.
• 47:39
  Speaker 5: If this is a bad quarterbacking game, which a lot
• 47:41
  Speaker 5: of people are thinking, there's potential for it to beads
• 47:44
  Speaker 5: the first first chance they're getting on this stage, if
• 47:48
  Speaker 5: they both get nervous defensive football, and you're gonna give
• 47:51
  Speaker 5: me the Patriots second best player with those odds, he
• 47:54
  Speaker 5: could get a fumble, he could get a sack, he
• 47:56
  Speaker 5: could have both. If there's any argument that he may,
• 48:00
  Speaker 5: someone can make it's Milton Williams.
• 48:01
  Speaker 4: For me.
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: I am looking defense as well. I'm gonna flip to
• 48:06
  Speaker 1: the other team, DeMarcus Lawrence ninety to one odds on
• 48:09
  Speaker 1: favorite to lead the game in sacks. And here we
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: have Drake May that's been sacked sixty two times. That's
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: number one in the NFL. He's had six fumbles in
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: the playoffs. Five of those have come on strip sacks.
• 48:21
  Speaker 1: Four of those came on May's blind side. Will Campbell's
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: been an issue. DeMarcus Lawrence Super Bowl MVP ninety to one.
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: If Seattle does win in a blowout, it's going to
• 48:31
  Speaker 1: be because their defense just reaks havoc on that Patriots
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: offensive line. I don't necessarily think the game is going
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: to go that way, but if we're talking long shot,
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: I'm trying to predict an extreme game script, and the
• 48:42
  Speaker 1: most extreme with that is still possibility is that Seattle
• 48:47
  Speaker 1: just runs away with this and they do it defensively.
• 48:49
  Speaker 2: I will say.
• 48:50
  Speaker 3: Lawrence would have I think the Seahawks won a game
• 48:53
  Speaker 3: forty four to twenty two earlier this year, and I
• 48:55
  Speaker 3: think Lawrence would have won MVP if they was the
• 48:58
  Speaker 3: Super Bowl thirty four yard strip sack touchdown, and then
• 49:03
  Speaker 3: he had a twenty two yard strip sack recovery touchdown,
• 49:08
  Speaker 3: so he had two touchdowns in the first or almost
• 49:09
  Speaker 3: like identical plays. I think if you go back to
• 49:12
  Speaker 3: that game, he would have won MVP.
• 49:14
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 49:15
  Speaker 3: I mean, Darnold was ten of twelve for one hundred
• 49:17
  Speaker 3: and seventy eight yards a touchdown interception. I don't think
• 49:19
  Speaker 3: it would have been him. Maybe Jasen, but he had
• 49:21
  Speaker 3: five catches in a touchdown, he had ninety yards. I
• 49:24
  Speaker 3: think Lawrence would have won it that game. That's an
• 49:27
  Speaker 3: exercise I do. I go back and look who would
• 49:29
  Speaker 3: have won the MVPs for each team and.
• 49:33
  Speaker 4: What you can get. Will the Super Bowl MVP have
• 49:35
  Speaker 4: zero touchdowns? That would be a great bet. That'd be
• 49:38
  Speaker 4: a great one, great one to look at me.
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: You have definitely seen that in the past. Matt, Do
• 49:42
  Speaker 1: you have a question about bad Bunny from I do?
• 49:45
  Speaker 4: I do have a question about bad Bunny as an
• 49:46
  Speaker 4: old guy. I gotta ask Kendra this because this market
• 49:49
  Speaker 4: is up and I need to I need advice on
• 49:51
  Speaker 4: this because I think it's a great question. Okay, halftime opener?
• 49:55
  Speaker 4: All right, to set this up, here are the last
• 49:58
  Speaker 4: five did squabble up as the intro or the intro
• 50:03
  Speaker 4: was actually bodies and then into Squabble Up Usher open
• 50:09
  Speaker 4: with My Way is the intro, and then caught up.
• 50:12
  Speaker 4: You're not gonna do the biggest song, right, Like, that's
• 50:14
  Speaker 4: never gonna be the opener.
• 50:14
  Speaker 5: Oh god no.
• 50:16
  Speaker 4: Uh Rihanna's was bitch better to have My Money, which
• 50:18
  Speaker 4: was amazing I did.
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: Not have, by the way, did not have Matt Moore
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: saying bitch better have my money on my Can we.
• 50:26
  Speaker 2: Clip that and have that?
• 50:28
  Speaker 4: Next episode by Doctor Derey Snoop Dogg at All was
• 50:32
  Speaker 4: in twenty twenty two. That was the that's like a
• 50:35
  Speaker 4: that fits the kind of the range I think of
• 50:36
  Speaker 4: what we're talking about. And then the weekend was Starboy.
• 50:39
  Speaker 4: It opened though with a choir rendition to call out
• 50:42
  Speaker 4: my name. So, like, what I'm interested in on this
• 50:44
  Speaker 4: market is like, okay, if they're gonna count the first
• 50:47
  Speaker 4: song played, which isn't necessarily they don't even perform versus
• 50:51
  Speaker 4: the performance one, be real careful with this one. The
• 50:54
  Speaker 4: odds on favorite right now is Meragunto Okay, that one's
• 51:00
  Speaker 4: that one's the favorite right now, and then the next
• 51:02
  Speaker 4: highest is by A. L. B. Dablay I believe is
• 51:06
  Speaker 4: the root word. Kendra, what's the first song that's gonna
• 51:09
  Speaker 4: be played by Bad Bunny.
• 51:10
  Speaker 5: It has to be Monico. There is no other option
• 51:14
  Speaker 5: in my opinion, because I feel like he is a
• 51:16
  Speaker 5: theatrical performer, and I expect that violin intro to be him,
• 51:23
  Speaker 5: with like the lights and everything, giving people a minute
• 51:25
  Speaker 5: to feel him coming out, feel like the show that's
• 51:27
  Speaker 5: about to go down. He has to start with Monico.
• 51:30
  Speaker 5: It's the most iconic entrance to a song he has,
• 51:33
  Speaker 5: and the shot of that happening, I think, if I
• 51:36
  Speaker 5: am correct, Gifford sent me nineteen hundred yesterday, so I
• 51:39
  Speaker 5: think it has to be Monico's.
• 51:41
  Speaker 4: That's great, awesome.
• 51:43
  Speaker 1: I was researching the heads and tails of a coin
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: while you guys were talking about that, and there is
• 51:48
  Speaker 1: a slight bias to heads because of the weight. So
• 51:50
  Speaker 1: Kendra spot on analysis earlier on in the show. She's
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: winning bets for you at the start of the game,
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: middle of the game, possibly even the end of Milton
• 52:00
  Speaker 1: Williams comes through with a big one for the New
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: England Patriots. All right, now, let's zoom to the future
• 52:07
  Speaker 1: Super Champions Parlay. You can go super Chalky here. You
• 52:13
  Speaker 1: can also I will allow other sports to be thrown
• 52:17
  Speaker 1: in let's make it three legs. Super Bowl winner, two
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: other champions over the next year NBA, Major League Baseball,
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: NCAA tournament. Throw the Masters in there, real quick, off
• 52:33
  Speaker 1: the top of the dome, around the horn. Matt will
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: start with you.
• 52:37
  Speaker 4: Okay, I want Seahawks Celtics underrate like I get OKAC.
• 52:43
  Speaker 4: I know I'm telling either not as good as last year.
• 52:45
  Speaker 4: I haven't had a repeat champion since twenty eighteen. A
• 52:49
  Speaker 4: lot of injury issues for OKC this year. Good time
• 52:52
  Speaker 4: to get in on some of these longer shots. I
• 52:54
  Speaker 4: don't want the Nuggets because their route is too hard
• 52:56
  Speaker 4: in the West. If they get Jason Tatum back, that's great.
• 52:59
  Speaker 4: And then the Color Avalanche in the NHL. Their only
• 53:02
  Speaker 4: real problems are overtime and the power play, which I
• 53:05
  Speaker 4: think they're gonna address it the deadline. So give me
• 53:07
  Speaker 4: those three. Give me Seahawks, Celtics, Avalanche.
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: Kendre.
• 53:13
  Speaker 5: You said I can do three of the any of
• 53:15
  Speaker 5: the big leagues.
• 53:16
  Speaker 1: Three, but one of them has to be the Super Bowl, Okay.
• 53:19
  Speaker 5: So I'm gonna go Seahawks, Dodgers, and Houston Rockets.
• 53:23
  Speaker 1: Oh all right, I like that writing all these down
• 53:26
  Speaker 1: Seahawks Rockets, Seahawks, Rockets, and the Dodgers. Yep, yeah, the
• 53:32
  Speaker 1: Dodgers feel like such an easy bet here. All right, Stucky,
• 53:34
  Speaker 1: what about you?
• 53:35
  Speaker 2: I mean it's still baseball.
• 53:38
  Speaker 3: Like there were almost should have lost to the JS arguably.
• 53:42
  Speaker 2: I mean they were on the ropes. I'll say, let's
• 53:47
  Speaker 2: make it fun.
• 53:49
  Speaker 1: Seahawks Mariners, oh oh yeah, you go to All Seattle.
• 53:54
  Speaker 2: And thunder the ex Sonics, dig.
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: That the All Seattle parlay. All right, I'm gonna go
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: with the Spurs. I think the come up has arrived
• 54:07
  Speaker 1: for Victim and Binyama. The New England I'll uh, he
• 54:13
  Speaker 1: doesn't need to be he's an alien. I'm gonna take
• 54:16
  Speaker 1: the New England Patriots to win the Super Bowl, okay,
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: maybe the only man in America taking that side these days.
• 54:22
  Speaker 1: And Scottie Scheffler to win the Masters. That'll be my.
• 54:26
  Speaker 4: Golf.
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: Okay, all right, I golf on you. I was gonna
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: take the Dodgers, but that just felt too easy. Matt,
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: thanks so much for hanging out with us today. Make
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: sure that you go and follow up on Matt.
• 54:37
  Speaker 2: What are you doing for though?
• 54:38
  Speaker 5: What do you?
• 54:38
  Speaker 2: We gotta ask you that I'm.
• 54:40
  Speaker 4: Watching NBA games. It's what I'm doing for.
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: Are you serious?
• 54:46
  Speaker 2: You mean my replays?
• 54:48
  Speaker 4: I got work, I got work, I got I gotta
• 54:50
  Speaker 4: do film. I'm doing film work on Jeremy Buyer of
• 54:52
  Speaker 4: the Suns, doing a big breakdown a him. That's what
• 54:55
  Speaker 4: I'm doing.
• 54:55
  Speaker 3: No, I will.
• 54:56
  Speaker 4: We're making not We're making nachos with the kids and
• 55:00
  Speaker 4: and out, and the kids are gonna have some friends over.
• 55:01
  Speaker 5: I'm mad and disappointed. Why look because he because he's
• 55:05
  Speaker 5: gonna not watch the super Bowl.
• 55:07
  Speaker 4: Here's the thing, We're gonna be honest. This isn't a
• 55:09
  Speaker 4: This isn't a real super Bowl.
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: Oh my god, go back to buckets.
• 55:14
  Speaker 4: I'm just saying, like, this isn't a real Like we
• 55:17
  Speaker 4: know these teams are not that good, right, stucky, Like
• 55:20
  Speaker 4: we know these teams are not that good.
• 55:22
  Speaker 2: Uh, there's a wide open year like it could have been.
• 55:26
  Speaker 4: The Chiefs gave everybody one off. It's nice.
• 55:32
  Speaker 3: I like the Raves that are down year with injuries.
• 55:34
  Speaker 3: But if they got in this is why we was
• 55:36
  Speaker 3: so devastating. They could won the super Bowl.
• 55:37
  Speaker 4: Yeah, the super Bowl chance gave them one.
• 55:43
  Speaker 3: Shers probably didn't have the Steelers didn't have that ceiling.
• 55:47
  Speaker 3: This is the Panthers didn't, but like everyone else.
• 55:51
  Speaker 5: You forced America to watch the Taylor Swift Super Bowl.
• 55:54
  Speaker 5: I don't want to hear it.
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: Oh my god, Matt. This is like being invited to
• 55:58
  Speaker 1: a wedding and then saying the chicken socked. Okay, this
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: is not yes, yeah.
• 56:04
  Speaker 4: This is not just saying we all know it's a
• 56:07
  Speaker 4: fake year. It's okay. There's astra seasons.
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: All the time. Horrible behavior by you. Go back to buckets,
• 56:13
  Speaker 1: Matt Moore, Ladies and gentlemen. That'll do it for today's
• 56:15
  Speaker 1: episode special thanks to our producers David Paine and Gifford Gold.
• 56:18
  Speaker 1: The Favorites will return on Thursday afternoon right here on
• 56:21
  Speaker 1: the Action Network YouTube page, when we finally hand out
• 56:25
  Speaker 1: our non heads or tails plays for Super Bowl sixty
• 56:29
  Speaker 1: between the Pats and the Seahawks were getting so close.
• 56:33
  Speaker 1: We'll see you next time here on the Favorites presented
• 56:35
  Speaker 1: by DraftKings, The Crown is yours.
• 56:48
  Speaker 4: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.
• 56:52
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• 56:55
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• 56:58
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