Latest / The Financial Exchange Show / How are markets reacting to the return of President Trump?
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- 1:05Veterans Development Corporation face. He's the Financial Exchange with Chuck
- 1:10Zada and Mark Vandetti.
- 1:13Speaker 2: Chuck, Mark and Tucker with you here on the day
- 1:16after the US presidential election. Despite concerns that, hey, this
- 1:21thing might linger for days on end and we might
- 1:24not know the winner for weeks, Hey polls close and
- 1:30four or five hours later, pretty obvious what was happening,
- 1:33I believe was called by the APU. Somewhere around two
- 1:35or three AM. I had gone to bed. I just
- 1:38I can't stay up all night. Just I got to
- 1:41sleep a little bit. So ultimately, where we think things
- 1:46are at the moment, and I say think just because
- 1:50you still don't have all the votes counted, it's it
- 1:53takes a while in certain places, not in Florida, which,
- 1:56by the way, Florida count's like fifteen million votes in
- 2:00like two hours. They got really good after at it
- 2:03after two thousand, which was a little bit embarrassing for
- 2:06Florida in terms of, you know, things drawing out a
- 2:08couple months. But ultimately, where we stand right now is
- 2:14that Donald Trump is set to return as president of
- 2:18the United States, and so he is going to be
- 2:22coming in basically the only outstanding questions that are out
- 2:28there right now, and I think they're probably going to
- 2:30be answered in his favor over the course of the
- 2:33day today are Arizona and Michigan, and so basically a
- 2:38clean sweep by Donald Trump of the battleground states, likely
- 2:44taking Michigan in Arizona in addition to Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, North Carolina,
- 2:49and Georgia. Uh so you've got all those and Nevada.
- 2:53Sorry I left if there's any Nevaden's or Nevaden's, Nevadian's, Nevadidians,
- 3:01if any of you are listening from Nevada, sorry for
- 3:03not including you originally. So this is what we're seeing
- 3:07is Donald Trump is going to be the next president,
- 3:10the forty seventh president of the United States. In terms
- 3:14of what he is going to be working with, the
- 3:18Senate is going to be Republican, probably with anywhere between
- 3:22fifty three and fifty five seats in the majority. We
- 3:26still do have a number that are outstanding where it
- 3:29looks like Pennsylvania and Nevada both have the potential to
- 3:34be Republican pickups. Michigan as well, Arizona looking like it
- 3:39might stay Democrat in that seat. But it's unclear if
- 3:43it does so. Again, somewhere between fifty three and fifty
- 3:46five seats in the Senate for Republicans, so not a
- 3:52filibuster proof majority, but not one that is a one
- 3:55seat majority as well. The bigger question that is still
- 3:59outstanding right now is the House of Representatives, which at
- 4:03the moment, and I'm just quoting from Decision Desk HQ,
- 4:08just because they have been pretty consistently kind of the
- 4:11first on all of these calls over the last twelve
- 4:13to fourteen hours. Right now they are projecting and again
- 4:19this is their project. I have no insight into this,
- 4:21so don't think that I have any idea, you know,
- 4:24how any of this is actually going to turn out,
- 4:26because they're still counting votes. They are projecting right now
- 4:30the slimmest of slim Republican majorities, which is a two
- 4:33hundred and eighteen to two hundred and seventeen seat majority
- 4:37in the Senate. Obviously that can still be skewed by
- 4:40you know, several seats either way. We don't know at
- 4:42this point, but it looks like there is a possibility
- 4:46that Republicans end up with a trifecta, though a very
- 4:49narrow one in the House. And so the question that
- 4:53we all have, and the reason why you're tuning into
- 4:55us is Okay, what does this mean gnomically and market wise?
- 5:02That's why you listen to our shows. It's not to
- 5:04hear our political opinions because we're not particularly good at them.
- 5:07Like it's it's not what we do. But let's talk
- 5:09about how If we're going to talk about where Trump
- 5:12is going to go with the economy, I think we
- 5:15ultimately need to talk about how we got here. And
- 5:20I think Mark it stems from again, if you look
- 5:23at exit polling and basically any polling you know over
- 5:25the last year or two, continued broad dissatisfaction with the
- 5:30current state of the economy. And you know, we can
- 5:34talk all we want about hey, unemployments at you know,
- 5:36four point one percent and inflations back into like the
- 5:38two and a half to three range. You know that
- 5:40this looks like a good economy on the surface. The
- 5:44point that I've made a few times and that I
- 5:48think is important And sorry, Mark, I'll let you talk.
- 5:51Speaker 3: Oh no, that was I was email from a salesperson
- 5:54who won't take no for an answer. So I'm sort
- 5:56of shaking my head at my looking at my computer, screamage,
- 5:58I shouldn't just I apologies, No, no, you should just respond
- 6:01No I did twice yesterday, Oh didn't. God bless him
- 6:04he keeps well. You know, the lesson we can all
- 6:07take away from the election last night.
- 6:09Speaker 2: Is don't give up.
- 6:10Speaker 3: Comebacks are possible. Trump lost a billion dollars. He came
- 6:13back and made five or six. He lost the presidency,
- 6:17came back all the second guy in history.
- 6:19Speaker 2: To win it.
- 6:19Speaker 3: This is a remarkable American story that I think everybody
- 6:23can appreciate that. That's my too political sense, and I'll
- 6:27leave that at that.
- 6:28Speaker 2: And so I think in terms of, you know, again,
- 6:31how did we get here? The last five years have
- 6:35been exhausting economically for a lot of families. And so
- 6:40you go back to twenty twenty when the COVID nineteen
- 6:43pandemic hit, and think about all the fear that was
- 6:46there in March of twenty twenty, when you've got things
- 6:51closing down, you know, the NCAA basketball tournament shuddering, you know,
- 6:54fights are being canceled, like everything's going wrong. And just
- 6:58what came after that that the high on it employment
- 7:01and then the concern about Hey, are these jobs ever
- 7:03gonna come back? What's it gonna look like? You know,
- 7:05there was a lot of fear at that point in time.
- 7:10Twenty twenty one, you still have high unemployment for the
- 7:13first two thirds, three quarters of the year. You know,
- 7:16unemployment was above five and a half percent through I
- 7:18think either August or September, and it was only towards
- 7:22the back part of the year that it got down
- 7:24into a you know, relatively low range. And twenty twenty
- 7:28one was also the year of, Hey, I'm trying to
- 7:30order all this stuff and no one has it. Everything
- 7:34was delayed. Mike ordered mirrors that are still in transit
- 7:37from somewhere and it's five years later at this point. Uh,
- 7:40you know, like everything was taking months. You're trying to
- 7:43build a house and hey, we can't get a gas
- 7:46meter to finish construction. Like everything was delayed.
- 7:50Speaker 3: I don't think his mirror experience is reflective of supply
- 7:53chain issues elsewhere.
- 7:54Speaker 1: Though.
- 7:55Speaker 4: That was a pun.
- 7:56Speaker 2: So that's good, that's good. You you normally do the puns.
- 7:59I do.
- 8:00Speaker 5: I do.
- 8:00Speaker 2: I appreciate you chiming in though, Uh, twenty twenty two,
- 8:04inflation peaks at over nine percent. You know, Russia invades Ukraine.
- 8:08Gas prices go through the roof. Everyone's complaining about prices, rightly.
- 8:13So it's just it's it's a tough year because prices
- 8:17are going up faster than wages. Twenty twenty three, Silicon
- 8:22Valley Bank blows up. People get you know, nervous about
- 8:24banks in the first half of the year. Inflation is
- 8:27still too high for the bulk of the year, and
- 8:31unemployment is down to you know, a really low level,
- 8:34but inflation is still high. And finally this year you
- 8:38get to a point where you're like, okay, inflation is
- 8:40back down. It's not perfect, it's not two percent, it's
- 8:44two and a half to three. And unemployment's still low.
- 8:47But unemployment's been rising all year, and the labor market
- 8:51has been slowing. We've been seeing signs of you know,
- 8:53the labor markets slowing all year, and so there's concerns about, hey,
- 8:57is it still easy to get a job? You know,
- 9:00you know, what's the economy look like. So I think
- 9:03despite the headline numbers of hey, CPI is at two
- 9:07and a half percent and unemployment is at four point one,
- 9:12it's felt really hard to get here.
- 9:16Speaker 3: I hope this experience changes the way the economics profession
- 9:19thinks about the big three inflation, unemployment, and GDP. We
- 9:23have just learned, as if we needed to learn it
- 9:25again after the experience of the nineteen seventies.
- 9:27Speaker 2: That inflation sucks because.
- 9:28Speaker 3: Inflation is the thing that everybody feels. I don't always
- 9:31feel it when unemployment goes up, thank.
- 9:32Speaker 2: God, right, because you might. Unemployment's binary. You lose your
- 9:36job or you don't.
- 9:36Speaker 3: Or your neighbor maybe. But still even though it's not,
- 9:39it doesn't hit home literally, even if.
- 9:41Speaker 2: Your neighbor loses their job. Ultimately, there's a huge party.
- 9:46The majority of you is a party is like oh,
- 9:48I'm sorry, Like that's too bad. There's a huge part
- 9:51of it. It's like, well, thankfully it wasn't me.
- 9:54Speaker 3: So we don't feel unemployment necessarily directly. We don't feel
- 9:57GDP when it slows down necessarily directly. Everybody experiences the
- 10:02pain of inflation. Economists struggle with this. If you open
- 10:05any undergraduate or graduate textbook, there's always part of the
- 10:08chapter on inflation on why.
- 10:10Speaker 1: Is it bad?
- 10:11Speaker 3: And economists are sort of puzzled, well, why doesn't everybody
- 10:13just why doesn't everybodys salary just go up with prices,
- 10:17and so you're paying twice as much but making twice
- 10:19as much. In theory, it shouldn't do any real harm.
- 10:21In theory, I'm oversimplifying a little bit. They're not that naive,
- 10:24but this should hit home, especially for policymakers at the FED,
- 10:27that inflation, above all else is the thing people hate.
- 10:30And I view yesterday's startling result in part a verdict
- 10:35on the Fed's mismanagement of this situation, which Biden gets
- 10:38tagged for because he was there when it happened.
- 10:41Speaker 2: And to be fair, the Biden administration also did the
- 10:44last round of stimulus. Y said, well, yes they did.
- 10:46That was it was superfluous.
- 10:48Speaker 3: As it turns out, it was fuel on the fire.
- 10:50Trump did the ironically, Trump did the first two handed
- 10:53this on fire.
- 10:55Speaker 2: You know this, I say it was right.
- 10:58Speaker 3: He started the process of inflation.
- 11:01Speaker 2: Story.
- 11:01Speaker 3: If you don't believe me, that's right now. If you
- 11:04don't believe me, go look at month over monk changes inflation.
- 11:06They started to go up before or as Biden was
- 11:08taking office. But Biden fueled the flames. It was excessive
- 11:12and unnecessary, and again he was in the office. He
- 11:15was in office at the time it happened, so he
- 11:17gets blamed with the lesson for me is guy's inflation above.
- 11:20When I say guys, I'm talking to the Federal Reserve
- 11:22of the men and women there inflation above all. Else
- 11:25is what's on the minds of people at any given time.
- 11:27Speaker 2: There's a believe that there's a really interesting question to
- 11:30ask here as well. So let's take a quick break.
- 11:33But when we come back, two things first, I think
- 11:35a really interesting question in terms of how does this
- 11:39election then affect the type of response will get to
- 11:44downturns in the future. Yes, And then we'll talk a
- 11:49little bit about what the Trump win means for the
- 11:53economy and what we think is coming in twenty twenty five.
- 11:57Speaker 1: Well streamwatch a full update on the markets performing todate
- 12:00weekdays at ten thirty only here on the Financial Exchange
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- 14:02Speaker 2: So at the end of the last segment, I said, look,
- 14:04there's gonna be a really interesting question that I think
- 14:09we're gonna ask about future potential downturns. And that question is, hey,
- 14:16if a downturn happens in the future, not if when
- 14:19a downturn, because there's there's always gonna be one that
- 14:21happens in the future at some point. How does this
- 14:26election impact how Congress the president, whoever's in charge, will
- 14:34respond to it. And the place that I get to is,
- 14:39ultimately they are going to be much more willing to
- 14:45aim too small on the recovery package than too large.
- 14:49And here's how I get there. In twenty twenty, twenty
- 14:54twenty one, the US economy needed some kind of boost
- 14:58because of the huge slowdown from COVID, the boost was
- 15:02too large, and coupled with you know, Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Again, ultimately,
- 15:07regardless of that, you still were gonna have inflation in
- 15:09the six to seven percent. At least it might not
- 15:12have gotten to nine, but you know, at least six
- 15:14to seven That inflation and the subsequent way that we've
- 15:21tried to deal with it, I think ultimately was the
- 15:25end of the Harris campaign. And I contrast that to
- 15:30coming out of two thousand and eight, the Great Financial Crisis,
- 15:33the biggest you know, economic calamity that we've seen in
- 15:37almost one hundred years, and we all remember, like the
- 15:42really tepid economic recovery afterwards, how unemployment didn't get back
- 15:47down below five percent, Like you look at the numbers
- 15:51on unemployment after the Great Financial Crisis, and unemployment didn't
- 15:57get back down below five percent until January of twenty sixteen.
- 16:02You know, it took eight years to get back there.
- 16:06And ultimately, remember there was there was an election in
- 16:08twenty twelve. It was Barack Obama against Mitt Romney, and
- 16:13Obama beat Romney soundly. It was like last night, we
- 16:16knew by like ten thirty or eleven that night, like
- 16:19how things were going to go. And ultimately, if so,
- 16:23if you are a president or a member of Congress
- 16:27or whatever it might be, and you're looking at you know, hey,
- 16:32there's a recession in twenty twenty five, twenty twenty seven,
- 16:35twenty twenty, whenever it might be, you know, like again,
- 16:38you never know when these are gonna pop up. If
- 16:42you're looking out for your political career, isn't the instinct
- 16:47going to be, Hey, I saw what inflation did to
- 16:52Harrison Democrats in twenty twenty four. We're not going to
- 16:56go too big because ultimately you had a tepid response
- 17:01and a tepid recovery in the early two thousands or
- 17:05the early twenty tens, and it didn't end up costing
- 17:08the president's job done.
- 17:10Speaker 3: The problem was the size of the package in this
- 17:12case relative to the size of the stimulus package relative
- 17:15to supply. There was a huge supply demanded balance that
- 17:19characterized the early stages of COVID. And if you think
- 17:23about supply shifting causing prices to rise, which it will
- 17:27all LSEQL, and then pushing demand out, you get higher
- 17:30price level and higher output. And many economists, I'm doing
- 17:33this thing with curves with my hand. You can't see it.
- 17:36That's why I'm speaking haltingly. But you do have to
- 17:38think it through in terms of the frameworks framework of
- 17:41basic economics. But I do you think that's what Congress does,
- 17:45because yeah, it's what their advisors tell them. What they
- 17:49knew supply was constrained. So the problem here was that
- 17:52they disregarded the warnings about the degree to which supply
- 17:56was being constrained by COVID. We all saw the stories
- 17:59about cargo container ships piling up at ports and stuff.
- 18:02It was well known in their indices with measure it.
- 18:05They disregarded that and said, you know, damn the supply constraints.
- 18:08Full speed ahead.
- 18:09Speaker 2: This is what I'm getting. But they still they said, Okay,
- 18:13you might be thinking this, but we're gonna do it anyway. Yeah,
- 18:16this is where I'm going with this is ultimately their
- 18:20instincts were, Hey, we need to do this because if
- 18:22we do this, it's going to help with our political
- 18:25survival in the future.
- 18:26Speaker 3: Well, they're also being told that if we don't do this,
- 18:29run a hype. They were using the expression high pressure economy.
- 18:32That expression comes out of the thirties when we had
- 18:35the exact opposite. For example, in the thirties, we had
- 18:38huge overhang of supply. You couldn't stimulate demand enough. That's
- 18:41where canes and economics comes from. Kines observed and others
- 18:44who completed his work observed that we had a demand shortfall,
- 18:47and the prescription for virtually any recession since then, no
- 18:50matter the depth or proximate cause, has been stimulate demand.
- 18:56That you've heard the expression aggregate demand, that's where it
- 18:58comes from.
- 18:59Speaker 4: In this very.
- 19:00Speaker 3: Unique case, we had aggregate supply because there is another
- 19:03part of that relationship that was going in the opposite
- 19:06direction of aggregate demand, which caused this unique surgeon inflation,
- 19:10which was foreseeable. Plenty of economists warned about it. Congress
- 19:14and Biden chose to disregard the warnings.
- 19:17Speaker 2: And I guess my question is if they disregard those
- 19:21then would they do it again? Would they do it
- 19:22again the other way? Because they saw the chase the
- 19:25responsible shouldn't you were always fighting the last battle? Yeah,
- 19:29because part of the reason I think this happened is
- 19:31because we went too small before quick break here Wall
- 19:35Street Watch and asked Todd are next?
- 19:41Speaker 1: Like us on Facebook and follow us on Twitter at
- 19:44TFE show. Breaking business news is always first right here
- 19:49on the Financial Exchange Radio Network. Time now for Wall
- 19:54Street Watch a complete look and what's moving markets so
- 19:57far today? Right here on the Financial Exchange Change Radio Network.
- 20:01Speaker 6: Well, markets are surging in reaction to Donald Trump's presidential
- 20:05election win. Investors are also ready for the fed's decision
- 20:08on interest rates tomorrow afternoon at the conclusion of their meeting.
- 20:13Right now, the Dow is up by three and a
- 20:15quarter percent over thirteen hundred points, s and P five
- 20:19hundred is up over two percent or one hundred and
- 20:21eighteen points, and the NASDAC is up nearly two and
- 20:24a half percent higher, or four hundred and forty eight points.
- 20:28Russ A two thousand up nearly five percent or one
- 20:31hundred and eight points. Ten year treas reeled up by
- 20:34fifteen basis points at four point four to four percent,
- 20:38and crude oil is mostly flat, trading just below seventy
- 20:41two dollars a barrel. Numerous stocks are making big moves
- 20:47in reaction to the outcome of the presidential election, including
- 20:50Trump Media and Technology stock. That stock is up by
- 20:54six percent, while Tesla is seeing a twelve percent jump
- 20:57with Elon Musky and Trump's on one of his biggest backers.
- 21:01Bank stocks including JP Morgan, Chase, Bank of America, and
- 21:04Goldman Sachs are rallying on hopes of lighter touch regulation
- 21:08and higher interest income under President Trump. Bank of America
- 21:11up by six percent, JP Morgan up by nine percent,
- 21:14and Goldman is up by twelve percent. Several crypto stocks,
- 21:18including coinbas and MicroStrategy, are seeing gains, and clean energy
- 21:22companies are seeing losses and worries that Trump could try
- 21:25to repeal a key climate law, including Plug Power, Sun
- 21:28Run for Solar, and in Phase Energy all down on
- 21:31the day. Meanwhile, CBS Health posted mixed third quarter results,
- 21:35citing higher medical costs that weighed on net income. The
- 21:39company held off and providing a formal outlook as it
- 21:42expects elevated medical costs to continue to pressure its performance
- 21:46this year, CBS jumping by eleven percent. Elsewhere, shares a
- 21:51Novo Nordisk down by one percent after the pharmaceutical company
- 21:54posted higher sales of its weight loss drug WeGo V
- 21:57than expected, and shares in super microcomputer continue to trade
- 22:03downward now down twenty three percent today after the AI
- 22:07server maker guided for lower quarterly sales on Tucker Silva.
- 22:12And that's Wall Street Watch.
- 22:14Speaker 1: This is Ask Todd on the Financial Exchange Radio Network.
- 22:18If you have an existing estate plan or in the
- 22:20market for one, Todd Letsky is here to answer your
- 22:23questions and help you plan for a later life. Ask
- 22:25Todd is presented by Cushing and Dolan, serving Massachusetts and
- 22:29New England for more than thirty five years, helping families
- 22:32with the state and tax planning, medicaid planning, and probate law.
- 22:35Visit Cushingdolan dot com. Now here's Todd.
- 22:39Speaker 2: Lutsky as problems. We've got Todd Lutsky from the law
- 22:43firm of Cushing and Dolan with us. Now the segment
- 22:47here is called Ask Todd because it is your chance
- 22:50to ask Todd your estate planning questions. I'm sure you
- 22:54might have some with the Trump election. Hey, what does
- 22:57the estate planning landscape look like for the future? How
- 23:00might it change? Gives a call it eight eight eight
- 23:03to zero five two two six three. That is the
- 23:07number to call in order to speak with Todd about
- 23:10your state planning questions. We got the phone lines open
- 23:13again at eight eight eight to zero five two two
- 23:17six three. Mister Lutsky, how are you doing today?
- 23:22Speaker 4: I am doing great.
- 23:23Speaker 2: You I'm good. Do you know why the lifeguard didn't
- 23:27rescue the hippie?
- 23:30Speaker 3: No?
- 23:30Speaker 2: Cause he's too far out man.
- 23:34Speaker 4: That's good.
- 23:35Speaker 2: Todd, I want to talk to you a little bit
- 23:37about gifting. We're getting towards the end of the year
- 23:39right now, and when it comes to the current state
- 23:44of being able to make gifts to individuals, what's the.
- 23:48Speaker 7: Law of the land today, the current landscape for making
- 23:53just it doesn't matter the size of the gift.
- 23:54Speaker 4: Are we talking about smaller, bigger gifts?
- 23:56Speaker 2: How much is allowed without having to pay tax?
- 23:58Speaker 8: Like?
- 23:58Speaker 2: How what that's the law of the land today.
- 24:01Speaker 7: That's that's fair because that really covers two questions. We'll
- 24:04try to take care of both of them. So one,
- 24:07many folks who don't really you can don't really care
- 24:10about the impact of the gift, right, So if it's
- 24:13if it's a present interest exclusion gift. Today it's eighteen
- 24:16thousand dollars per year per person. January one tax law change,
- 24:23nineteen thousand per year per person. I say these are
- 24:26the simple gifts and the freebies because they require no
- 24:30filing of a seven h nine gift tax return, no
- 24:33reporting to the irs of any kind. You simply write
- 24:36to check and it's tax free to the giver and
- 24:40of course, as always, tax free to the recipient. However,
- 24:45people say, well, what if I have a lot more
- 24:47money I want to give. What if I want to
- 24:49give away one hundred thousand, or if I want to
- 24:51give away a million, can I Yeah, Now you move
- 24:55to what is called a taxable gift. So let's use
- 24:59a million million dollars as an example. If I had
- 25:02a million dollars and I wanted to get it out
- 25:03of my estate. Maybe it's going to bring my estate
- 25:05down to reduce my state estate tax. Maybe it's going
- 25:08to help reduce my federal estate tax. So I want
- 25:11to make this gift, and let's just say it's cash
- 25:14for now, if I move a million dollars out of
- 25:17the estate. Now I've made a taxable gift, call it
- 25:20a million, eighteen thousand, So I can bring back in
- 25:22the present interest exclusion for you. If I give away
- 25:25a million eighteen thousand dollars, the first eighteen I just
- 25:29said was a freebie. Now you back that out and
- 25:32the taxable gift is a million dollars, and that gets
- 25:36reported on the seven h nine gift tax return that
- 25:39the giver files, not the recipient. Okay, now I've made
- 25:43a million dollar gift. I don't want to pay tax
- 25:45on that. What's that bottom line tax do on that
- 25:49million dollar transfer?
- 25:51Speaker 4: Well, it's going to be zero.
- 25:52Speaker 7: But why because we now shift over to what is
- 25:55known as a federal gift tax exemption, which happens to
- 25:59mirror the federal estate tax exemption of thirteen million, six
- 26:03hundred thousand and change roughly today. Now that's going up
- 26:08January one as well. But today that's so much I
- 26:10can give away. So if I have thirteen point six
- 26:13and I give away a million, I just eat into
- 26:15that thirteen point six by one million, leaving me an
- 26:18exemption of twelve point six and zeroing out my tax
- 26:22liability on that gift, so pretty.
- 26:24Speaker 4: Easy to do. Can you give away more than a million? Sure?
- 26:27Can the whole thirteen six?
- 26:28Speaker 2: If you like talking with Todd Lutski from the law
- 26:31firm of Cushing and Dole, And if you've got questions
- 26:33for Todd about your estate plan, we got the phone
- 26:36lines open here at eight eight eight two zero five
- 26:39two two six three. That number again is eight eight
- 26:42eight to zero five two two six three. Still got
- 26:47some room on the phone line, so again that number
- 26:50is eight eight eight to zero five two two six three.
- 26:54Speaker 4: Todd.
- 26:55Speaker 2: If someone is trying to incorporate a gifting strategy into
- 27:00their estate plan, what are some of the constructions that
- 27:03you've seen that could potentially be successful?
- 27:05Speaker 7: So the first there's so many things to think about, though, Chuck,
- 27:09but I'll just try and give you a quick heads up. Right,
- 27:12think about what you're gifting.
- 27:14Speaker 4: Is it cash?
- 27:16Speaker 7: Is it low basis stock that I bought years and
- 27:18years ago and I'm going to have a huge built
- 27:20in gain. Is it rental property that I have had
- 27:24and depreciated the basis to zero with a huge built
- 27:27in gain. So you want to think about the type
- 27:30of asset I gift gifting away high basis assets is
- 27:35better than low basis assets. So to the extent you
- 27:38can do that, do that like what cash or stock
- 27:42that I just bought that has a high basis That
- 27:44way you're getting it out of your estate without incurring
- 27:49or trapping. I should say a built in capital gain
- 27:53because remember, folks, the capital gains tax that you're building
- 27:56in could be higher than the estate tax you're trying
- 28:00to avoid.
- 28:01Speaker 4: Lots to think about, folks, for sure.
- 28:03Speaker 2: Talking with Todd Lutsky from the law firm of Cushing
- 28:05and Dolan. If you've got a question for Todd, We've
- 28:08got the phone lines open at eight eight eight to
- 28:11zero five two two six three. That number again is
- 28:15eight eight eight to zero five two two six three.
- 28:19We're going to take a quick break here, but when
- 28:23we come back, it's going to be right to your
- 28:26questions with Todd again, still a little bit of room
- 28:29on the phone lines at eight eight eight to zero
- 28:33five two two sixty three. Quick break, then your questions
- 28:36with Todd.
- 28:38Speaker 1: Ask Todd with Todd Lutsky every Wednesday at ten thirty
- 28:42only here on the Financial Exchange Radio Network. You're listening
- 28:47to Ask Todd with Todd Lutsky. On the Financial Exchange
- 28:51Radio Network.
- 28:56Speaker 2: All right, let's get right to the callers here. We
- 28:58got ed in Newberry ed. What's your question for Todd Lunsky.
- 29:02Speaker 8: Well, maybe I'm misunderstanding what you just said, but we
- 29:06have five kids. If I each give each of them
- 29:09a nineteen thousand dollars gift or ninety five thousand dollars,
- 29:13I understand it's tax free for them. But won't I
- 29:17have to pay taxes on that money when I pull
- 29:19it out with my account.
- 29:20Speaker 7: Well, if you pull it out of an IRA, yes,
- 29:23But if it's sitting in your investment brokerage account, no, right,
- 29:27because distributions out of your brokerage account are not taxable. Now,
- 29:30if you have to sell something to liquidate the investment
- 29:33to generate cash, well, sure you have a capital gain
- 29:36if you sell something, or a capital loss depending on
- 29:38what you sell. But no, there's no tax on withdrawing
- 29:42money from your non IRA account. It's just whatever you incur.
- 29:46So if you've got a core account with cash sitting
- 29:48in it, you can give And by the way, the
- 29:50nineteen is next year, eighteen is this year, So yeah,
- 29:54you can give away eighteen thousand per year per person. No,
- 29:58tax for you, no filing for you, no gift tax
- 30:01for you, no filing for you, and no income tax
- 30:04or gift tax to the recipient at all. So hope
- 30:08that helps. Definitely have at that. But folks, you know,
- 30:13gifting is not easy. We're starting to learn this right now,
- 30:16just as we start to touch the tip of the
- 30:17gifting iceberg. If you will, we'll be exploring these all
- 30:20month long. But you can get ahead of the curve
- 30:22by getting the guide making the most of gifting your assets.
- 30:25Don't make mistakes like, oh, I added a joint name
- 30:28to an account.
- 30:29Speaker 4: That's easy. Was that a problem?
- 30:31Speaker 2: I don't know.
- 30:32Speaker 7: Well, I put a joint name on a rental property
- 30:35with my kid. I decided to put my kid's name
- 30:37on the property. Oh my gosh, did I make a
- 30:39completed gift?
- 30:40Speaker 4: Do I have.
- 30:40Speaker 7: Income tax problems? Did I expose assets to creditors unnecessarily?
- 30:45So many things can happen when you make simple moves
- 30:48or simple things that you think are simple, like gifting.
- 30:52Please learn how to gift the right way. Get the
- 30:55guide eight six six eight four eight five six nine
- 30:59nine or Legal Exchange show dot com. Making the most
- 31:03of gifting your assets eight six six eight four eight
- 31:07five six nine nine or Legal Exchange Show dot Com.
- 31:11Speaker 2: Tod, I've got another one here for you. We've got
- 31:12Carol in Old Orchard Beach. Carol, what's your question for Todd?
- 31:17Speaker 5: Well, it's fairly similar, but I don't have a million
- 31:21to gift someone. I'm probably gonna have about that much
- 31:23sluv on myself as I go into retirement. Hopefully that'll
- 31:27take me through. But my question is a smaller amount.
- 31:30If I want to give like one of my kids,
- 31:33let's say ten thousand dollars, how do I do it
- 31:36so that I'm not taxed on that ten thousand and
- 31:39when I give it to him, he doesn't you know,
- 31:42it doesn't add to his income and therefore he gets
- 31:44taxed so on it.
- 31:45Speaker 7: You're right, it was very similar to the last question, Carol.
- 31:48But that's okay, So let me do it this way.
- 31:50The ten thousand you're giving, is it cash?
- 31:54Speaker 5: Well, okay, let's I guess I've got to make myself clear.
- 31:57What if I write a check? I mean yes, I.
- 31:58Speaker 7: Can go out catch yeah, absolutely, So all you need
- 32:01to do to accomplish your goal of getting that ten
- 32:04thousand dollars to your beneficiary is simply go to your bank,
- 32:09write a check, pay to the order of hand it
- 32:12to him. You do not need to file any federal
- 32:16gift tax return. You are not required to do it,
- 32:18nor do you have to. Secondly, so that means there's
- 32:21no gift tax for you. Your child who receives the
- 32:24money does not have an income tax liability because gifts
- 32:30are never an income taxable event, So does it matter
- 32:35how much they receive. The recipient has no gift tax,
- 32:38and the recipient has no income tax. Simply write the
- 32:42check and you can do that. So great question. I
- 32:45hope that helps, Todd.
- 32:47Speaker 2: We'll keep the train moving here. We've got Tom in
- 32:51Charlestown with a question for you. Tom, you're on with
- 32:54Todd Lutsky.
- 32:55Speaker 9: Thank you, Good morning, Todd. Last week you spoke about
- 33:00leaving your IRA to your state, and I have two
- 33:03questions about that. One is is it subject to probate
- 33:09in order to get it out of the estate. And secondly,
- 33:12since it is subject to probate, if you find yourself
- 33:15in a situation where you qualify for medicaid but medicaid
- 33:20is going to have a lean, will that lean attached
- 33:23to that IRA that you've left.
- 33:24Speaker 10: To your estate.
- 33:25Speaker 4: Great question.
- 33:26Speaker 7: So two answers, one in order to name the estate
- 33:30the beneficiary. Yes, you are going to go to probate,
- 33:34no way to avoid it for that one item, then
- 33:37that item, and again that only happens when you die,
- 33:40so you have to be married. Let's say you pass away, Tom,
- 33:43you never went to the nursing home. The asset flows
- 33:46through probate into your testamentary trust. So yes, you have
- 33:50to have a testamentary trust in place as well to
- 33:52receive the money through probate. But then it is in
- 33:57trust for the benefit of your spouse who can enjoy
- 34:00the income and the principle. And the next day gets
- 34:03sick and go to a nursing home and it is
- 34:06immediately protected from the nursing home. And lastly, there will
- 34:11be no lean on that money. So it really is
- 34:14a home run for the one bad part. I got
- 34:18to go to probate. But the pros in my mind
- 34:21generally outweigh the cons here, so hopefully that helps.
- 34:24Speaker 4: Todd.
- 34:24Speaker 2: I've got another one for you here. Let's go to
- 34:26Steve in Maine. Steve, what's your question for Todd?
- 34:31Speaker 8: Yeah, Hi, Todd, I.
- 34:32Speaker 10: Have a question for you. So, my mom has owned
- 34:34that beach home for about thirty years. It's not her
- 34:36primary residence. It's worth a little under a million dollars,
- 34:40and after she passes, she's giving it to my brother
- 34:43and I, but she just wants us to sell it
- 34:47just so we don't have to share it, which is challenging.
- 34:49Would it be better taxes if she were to sell
- 34:52it before she passes, or would it make any difference.
- 34:55Speaker 7: Yeah, it'll be horrible, horrible to sell it before she passes.
- 34:58So please, folks, this is exactly what we talk about.
- 35:02Thirty years ago, she bought this property. I don't know,
- 35:05maybe she paid one hundred grand for it. Maybe she
- 35:07paid fifty grand for it, say one hundred grand. We've
- 35:10got nine hundred thousand dollars of built in gain here.
- 35:14You give away an asset like this. When I talked
- 35:16earlier about high basis and low basis, right, this is
- 35:19low basis. You give this away, you're trapping nine hundred
- 35:22thousand dollars of gain during life. Don't give it away.
- 35:26Don't sell it during life because you got the nine
- 35:28hundred thousand dollars of built in gain to pay tax
- 35:31on instead. Hang on to it right, plan for it,
- 35:34put it in a trust, whatever you want, die owning it,
- 35:38and when you dine it passes to you kids. You
- 35:41kids will now get it with a brand new basis
- 35:44of a million dollars fair market value. Date of death
- 35:47eliminates the built in gain. Sell it you guys, pay
- 35:50no capital gains tax, or if one of you want it,
- 35:53buy out the interest of the other one. You have
- 35:55every option available to you. Don't just sell it.
- 36:00Speaker 2: Give it away now, Todd, any other final thoughts on gifting.
- 36:05We got a little bit of time here, and any
- 36:07last thoughts before we wrap up.
- 36:09Speaker 7: Yeah, I think I just want to spend a little
- 36:11more time on Steve's question, just because I didn't know
- 36:14if there was another caller. But on Steve's question again,
- 36:16folks this, if you have the time, right, you should
- 36:19not just not give it away but stick it into
- 36:22an irrevocable medicaid trust. I don't know how old she is,
- 36:26or she didn't mention anything about her health. Right, if
- 36:28we have time, I would put that into an irrevocable
- 36:32medicaid trust so that I can get a clock running
- 36:34so that yes, I'm keeping it, but I also don't
- 36:37want to lose it in case she needs long term
- 36:39care before she dies. This kind of irrevocable trust, unlike
- 36:43gifting trusts, will allow the asset to be protected and
- 36:47included in the estate when you pass away, therefore still
- 36:51preserving that step up in basis I just talked about
- 36:54for the kids who then can sell it with no
- 36:58capital gains tax.
- 37:00Speaker 2: Through Lutsky, Thank you so much for joining us today.
- 37:02We appreciate the time.
- 37:03Speaker 4: It's always a pleasure. Thank you.
- 37:11Speaker 1: This has been Asked Odd on the Financial Exchange Radio network.
- 37:14Ask Todd with Todd. Lutsky has been presented by Cushing
- 37:17and Dolan, serving Massachusetts and New England for more than
- 37:20thirty years, helping families with the state and tax planning,
- 37:23Medicaid planning, and probate law. Call eight hundred three nine
- 37:26three four thousand and one or visit Cushingdolan dot com.
- 37:29The views expressed in this segment are solely those of
- 37:31Cushing and Dolan. Armstrong Advisory does not provide any legal
- 37:34or tax advice. Please consult with your illegal or tax
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