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Over a hundred years of data and very few exceptions.
#recession #deflation #inflation #retailsales #industrial #consumer
US Industrial Production fell for the second month in a row, dropping the Fed's index below the same period a year ago. A negative yearly change in IP has accompanied all 18 of the economic contractions in the NBER's library. Only six times in over a century has IP been negative on an annual basis without any full-scale recession.
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