Latest / Financial Survival Network / Stock Markets Down - BRICS Up - Dollar Down -- Charles Nenner #5884
Transcript
- 0:00Inside information. Nobody tells you. I don't think in the media know this.
- 0:02So there's a lot of going on on the service. So if you
- 0:05try to figure out why we don't have enough context with the why, No,
- 0:08the market knows everything right. You're listening to Carrie Letts's Financial Survival Network,
- 0:13where you get valuable information. You just can't find anywhere else to thrive
- 0:18in today's trying times. You need the Financial Survival Network now more than ever.
- 0:24Go to Financial Survival and Network dot com and get your free newsletter in
- 0:29gift Financial Survival Network now more than ever, and welcome. You aren't listening
- 0:39to watching the Financial Survival Network, I'm your host, Carry Lutts. Hey,
- 0:44we've got Charles Nanner on with us today giving us some insight into where
- 0:49these markets are heading. Highly recommend you go over to Charles Nanner that's n
- 0:55E N n er dot com. Sign up for his trial subscription. Been
- 1:00a subscriber for years. It's something I start in most days. Whenever there's
- 1:04an update whatever I'm doing, Charles, I put everything aside and read it
- 1:11to see what the heck's going on. We're talking pre call AI biggest threat
- 1:17to Wall Street that has ever existed, because basically, what do you need
- 1:22a portfolio manager for? What do you need an analyst for stock broker whatever?
- 1:29You just get yourself an AI bought and they are your portfolio manager.
- 1:34Where do you think this trends heading well? As you maybe remember, I
- 1:38went to this business of the mid eighties f TI finished being a medical doctor.
- 1:42It was only a couple of years and I thought, like the medicine
- 1:46it ever happened. So I developed this intelligence that what are called neural networks,
- 1:52and except the clients, most people didn't take it seriously. And interesting
- 1:56thing is they still don't take it seriously. So I think I'm against up
- 2:01like the thousands of brokers with grace suits and at the shakecases who saying whatever
- 2:07they want and ever the quotes, whatever paper they see, and they just
- 2:10try to suppress the artificial intelligence in financial markets. So I'm fine with that.
- 2:16I just want it surprising that this exists a ready for a long time
- 2:22and also now and it doesn't get to the surface that our computers who can
- 2:27calculate things that we cannot, mostly because they are not emotional. So it's
- 2:34like against It will take still many years because people and I still have clients
- 2:39who say, why you think is going to happen? And it says,
- 2:43I don't deal with what why it's going to happen, I deal with what
- 2:46happened. So so so one example is with a lot of hatch funds that
- 2:51everybody is afraid to the back fun crash, you know, the back found
- 2:54theory says that art situation that we cannot predict, you're going to bring down
- 3:00the market. So they all tried to predict White happens. And I tried
- 3:02to convince them, why don't you deal with me where it happens, who
- 3:06guess why it happens. But there's so much conducent the white happened, they
- 3:08cannot forget why it happened. The old basics what white happened, not when
- 3:13it happens. So it's still early in the game. So but at some
- 3:19point, look, it's just like they played chess. They play that game
- 3:23Go, and they far exceed human capabilities to the point where when you have
- 3:30two computers playing Go against each other, the game becomes unrecognizable. The big
- 3:37guys out there, the big alder players, all of them are they using
- 3:40AI, Well, they use my researchers based on AI and since they very
- 3:46much into results, they really don't care why it happens, what happens,
- 3:51who says what, who does? What? They just want to know doesn't
- 3:54go up, how many days it goes up, how many weeks good up?
- 3:58How I want to percent it goes up, and how much it goes
- 4:00down. But if I may say, the little investor who doesn't really study
- 4:05history of financial markets is still listening to the media, and and I have
- 4:12to say, this is the funny thing of the media, is how did
- 4:14they get in this finance? I was in New York on the vacasion and
- 4:17as a CNBC and CNBC said, well, for I remembered, for its
- 4:24stock goes up, for it goes down all kinds of reasons, and that's
- 4:27strange it can happen. So that's how I started my career. And twenty
- 4:30years later when I was invited a lot of cbcs is how did you get
- 4:33in the business? And I thought it would throw me out, and says,
- 4:36you know what, I was listening to you guys, I think this
- 4:39is donss let me check it. Now you invite me to explain to you
- 4:41what I checked out and so so you're really making sense of things. It's
- 4:49just kind of your nature. And so what tools are available to the average
- 4:56person now that can really help you besides your research, What else can I
- 5:01use to help me outperform the market and stay away from crashes. Well,
- 5:08the first problem is that you will be listening to the media, and like
- 5:13one Buffett said, I never saw a journalist who became a billionaire, you
- 5:18know, otherwise they will all, you know, going to business if they
- 5:20do that. So I had been to television of Bloomberg TV, and all
- 5:25will like these people. But if you know who sits there writes the stories,
- 5:28right that nineteen twenty twenty one one years old old students, Yeah,
- 5:32that just write up a story that says Bloomberg says or you know, whatever
- 5:38says. So, so it's it's kind of a hopeless situation. People want
- 5:43I don't say they want to be fooled, but it's still fooled and they
- 5:46don't feel the being fooled. Yeah. Well, so if I could sum
- 5:49it up, the problem is they're way cons more concerned about why than when.
- 5:57Right, It's like, you don't there's a lot you know, I
- 6:00don't need to understand my car. When I put the key in the ignition
- 6:04and turn it, all I need to know is that it's running and it'll
- 6:09take me where I need to go. As far as something goes wrong or
- 6:14how it works, we'll leave it to the engineers and the mechanics to figure
- 6:17all that stuff out. I just wanted to take me from point A to
- 6:21point B. And so basically the emphasis, the focus of the average investor
- 6:29is completely in the wrong arena. They're trying to figure out why when they
- 6:33should be trying to figure out how much I can make or lose if I'm
- 6:38right, And then they have to illusion. If I say, you know,
- 6:41with the korn goes up a lot is to give an example, this
- 6:44says, well, I don't know about korn. It says, what do
- 6:46you know about golds? You play goals? You know anything about gold?
- 6:48Actually, no one knows anything about gold. You know this, it's built
- 6:54an illusion. But you know, billies of billies on a billion dollars go
- 6:58on every year based on this. Should that they keep going Yeah, yeah,
- 7:01Well that's what makes the world go around, I guess, and cost
- 7:05people a lot of money and a lot of heartache and a lot of grief.
- 7:10So looking at markets ahead stock market, so it performed unbelievably well so
- 7:16far in twenty twenty three, better than most of the so called experts out
- 7:20there we're predicting. But now it looks like we've come to a bump in
- 7:26the road, doesn't it. Well, that is just if you take out
- 7:30what the magnificent seven you know, Yeah, these seven stocks are responsible for
- 7:35like the whole thing, what it was. Yeah, so we're not up
- 7:41that much. We sold the mark. Yeah, the right at our downside
- 7:45I start, which is speak four three, and that's that fifty thousand.
- 7:49We we cover here a little bit of shorts and we've sutside down. If
- 7:55you see a substantial clothes below these lambs so much. Well, so we
- 7:59know there's a days Okay, so we're heading lower there, huh, So
- 8:03it would appear now I want I want to mention something that you probably won't
- 8:07hear. You hear a lot about how we're going to be resh. Yeah,
- 8:13let's come within thirty percent chance of recession sixty three onsens. Okay,
- 8:16So let me let me give you the information m recession thart if there's a
- 8:22birth and guield cer which means it's a two year note against any your note
- 8:26has a higher yield. The recession never starts where the two year years is
- 8:31higher than attenion yield. The recession starts when it's going back to zero above
- 8:37zero. Now that has been true about every recession of the last sixty years.
- 8:41People just don't study it. So right now we're not recession. The
- 8:46two year right still having a higher yield than at ten year it was around
- 8:50dan recession and it has been in hot the cases. So can you says
- 8:56now? But again, well is there anything now? You don't anything better?
- 9:01So let's assume that who tells you that? Because now it's work said,
- 9:03people listen to them. They don't know what it means, but it
- 9:07means this p respicially a pike. Yeah, just insuads then profits at one
- 9:13of So you have tooke attention, but it doesn't help. It's going to
- 9:16be twenty percent, thirty percent, ten percent. So what are you gonna
- 9:18do? Nothing? Yeah, all right, okay, I'll buy it.
- 9:22So the recessions, they decided to throw a recession, but nobody came,
- 9:26h no, But it's not throwing. Don't believe them. They can manipulate
- 9:31all the stuff. Yeah, otherwise bicycle cycle work wouldn't work right. But
- 9:35what we know is again the ten years stuff going to have a high yield
- 9:41that are two years, then you have a recession. Okay, so when
- 9:45that happens, when the yield curve flips, then we know what's the lag
- 9:50time for the recession? Charles between that, well, there's no the length
- 9:54time. It's difficult. You just have to wait. He'll at ten year
- 9:58when to do your work, looking where any yields go, where the two
- 10:01yield is going, and when it reverses, you have to anticipate, but
- 10:07especially if it goes back to zero, you have to be very careful.
- 10:11Now afielder the cycle where we have a decide to keep it, what's going
- 10:16to happen. So that's why we cautious ready in the market, because we
- 10:20have a treatable low. Soon in a few weeks of the thirty year yield
- 10:26and a ten year yield, I think the whole thing is going to reverse.
- 10:30So then we have to pay attention. So does that mean that the
- 10:33dollar is going higher as well? What's what's gonna What's going to be the
- 10:37outcome of the dollar? Old tongue what's that. I'm sorry, but the
- 10:43moment that it's lomatured on size of down at the dollars. So we were
- 10:46out of the dollar, you're out of the dollar. Okay, So how
- 10:52low can the dollar go from where it is now? That I don't I
- 10:56don't have ready in ourn exit conversation. I'll be ready with that. One
- 11:00will follow so many market instead of everything ready in my head. Yeah,
- 11:03it's a dollar said, quite a run over the past ten years. You
- 11:07know, Well maybe, but if you look at the bank power totally collapse.
- 11:11Yeah, well that's a difference. I'm so on talking only relative to
- 11:16other currencies, which you know, they're all on it. We're all on
- 11:18a sinking ship. It doesn't really matter, does it. No, it
- 11:22doesn't matter. Well, sinking ship. And I think the brick situation is
- 11:26going to take over soon. I have very big clients resists of the resilt.
- 11:28Well, yeah, so you think the brick's really going to take resil
- 11:31real has no, they're really gonna take over because that this reality is so
- 11:35strong a reason for Well to postpone because part of the Brick country. So
- 11:39people already investing in the reality getting prepared. Ah, interesting interesting. Yeah,
- 11:46well you know, hey, no currency last forever? Right? No?
- 11:52And then we have the gold situation. What it is? Why is
- 11:54it goal going up? Maybe? Remember like years ago, your country is
- 11:58asked the United States to give them big goal holding right, double range.
- 12:03I heard from baby clients why it is? This is why it is that
- 12:07because they think that the United States is short of gold, they don't have
- 12:11to pull in. The United States continues to push down the prior. Yeah,
- 12:16go holds. You know the bubble their shortened goldn't it doesn't take off.
- 12:20So a lot of things going on, and nobody can tell you.
- 12:22I would would if I would have this bank as client. And I give
- 12:24you one more example. You know the story about credit Swiss, Right,
- 12:28yes, okay, so loads Billy White Swiss closed down and almost went to
- 12:35the bankupsy. The situation was this, they had big clients from the United
- 12:39States and what about they were about to be sued by United States, and
- 12:43it calculated it would be better to close those but it's peace to pay.
- 12:46We had the top billions to the United States, so that's why they closed
- 12:50down. Really inside information that nobody tells you. I don't think if the
- 12:54media know this. So there's a lot going on on the surface. So
- 12:56if you try to figure out why we don't have enough context of the why
- 13:00the market knows everything right now the people that know everything, Yeah, yeah,
- 13:03all right, So we're gonna see gold. What's ahead for gold?
- 13:09It is coming, It is coming. It's disappointed for a lot of people
- 13:11who played on the long side on the short side. But if people every
- 13:15time it goes up to buy and they lose a lot of money and then
- 13:18it get out again. It's coming late in the year, the blue market
- 13:20will start again. Okay, all right, I'll buy that. Any other
- 13:24markets. What about oil and not gas? Well, longer term net gas
- 13:28is going higher again, and but kutos also going higher again. You'll be
- 13:33surprised how high can go again. And the inflation is coming back. Cycles
- 13:37battoped on the inflation and they don't mention it yet. One of these days
- 13:43the inflation that must come out, and everybody is going to be in a
- 13:45crisis because nobody pays attention. And if you look at my cycle work again,
- 13:50what you said is you're gonna have a free twelve. What you forgot
- 13:52to say is it's a free twelve for thirty days, so you get it
- 13:54for free. So it's worth while seeing how these cycles look, even if
- 13:58you don't want to continue with it. Have an idea how the investors look,
- 14:03you know, the knowledgeably investors looking how to approach markets. Yeah,
- 14:07highly recommended, highly highly recommended for sure. So all right, food prices,
- 14:13we soybeans and all that, what do we have to look forward to
- 14:18if inflation is going up, it's going to take them as well? Right,
- 14:22Yeah, it's nothing the small gas prudes, the food prices for next
- 14:28touple of weeks, I exactly. The commodities coord we soybeans on adoptment and
- 14:31got to gotee down. Interesting all right, all right, and any other
- 14:39markets we should be looking at, Well, we're still with the bitcoin cycles.
- 14:43Don't that good? And it's just trading about twenty nine thousand were totally
- 14:46out to go the cycle. If it's all on twenty eight thousands, they
- 14:50have a big down move again and all this expectation of the bitcoin is not
- 14:54is not gonna happen at the moment. But the major I think that ophing
- 15:00is it's like you know, the strays. Yeah, and as stock Mark,
- 15:05it's also especially up stop markets at True Oil. We you know,
- 15:07we do a lot with the USO. That's a stunt that follows the true
- 15:11people who don't want to trade qualities. And we have un g at e
- 15:16E TP that follows natural guests and it goes excellent. All right, So
- 15:22wait, wait away. If I mentioned i'm a bit, I'm a bit
- 15:24out of a track record. If you go to a website, you see
- 15:28a track record and you'll be astonished how what that looks like? Track record?
- 15:33Yeah, I know you've got quite the track record for sure. So
- 15:37all right, so we want to be very cautious about the market, and
- 15:43we want to really be looking at at this bricks currency where it's going to
- 15:50head. A question about China, I mean, I know it's in the
- 15:54news a lot. They're flooding and buildings collapsing right and left. You get
- 16:02what are your charts telling me about China? The funny thing is China looks
- 16:06more deflationary than inflationary, and some of the big clients at the heab over
- 16:11there, they think it's it starts to be a big mess. It's getting
- 16:14out of control, so meltdown. I mean, I know the real estate
- 16:18I remember like five years ago you said, Kerry, go buy small apartments,
- 16:23vacation apartments, rent them out condas vacation homes. You still think that's
- 16:30a good a good thing to do. No, because they said two bushes
- 16:34that work with me. They started selling them already a while ago. The
- 16:40site it's still holding for another seven eight months. But then you really have
- 16:45to be out. Yeah, all right, so housing housing is going to
- 16:49take a hit as well. Huh yeah. But the good thing is now
- 16:53if you sell, you know, you can get two year no to five
- 16:56percent, so you can san of I'm getting the rentals to two of you
- 17:03to even a five you know, maybe four of so you get paid to
- 17:07wait. So and then that's a nice yeah, and then you jump back
- 17:14in. All right, Well, go over to Charles Nanner dot com get
- 17:18your thirty day free trial. You will be really happy you did. Charles
- 17:22always appreciate you coming on sharing your wisdom with us. You've got a question
- 17:26for Charles myself. The email addresses k l at Kerry LUTs dot com.
- 17:33The link to Charles's site in the show notes this interview on Financial Survival Network
- 17:37dot com. While you're there, sign up for your free newsletter Charles,
- 17:41we'll talk to you again real soon. Thanks so much. Welcome, byebye,
- 17:45thanks for listening to carry Let's Financial Survival Network, your solution to today's
- 17:51trying times. For the latest, go to Financial Survival Network dot com.
- 17:56Financial Survival Network now more and ever