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WEEK 7 College Football Picks: Are They on TARGET? · Targeting Winners: A College Football Betting Podcast

0:02
Welcome everybody, it is week 7 in college football.
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We are almost at the halfway point of the regular season.
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Thank you for joining us on the Targeting winners college
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football betting podcast. My name is Darren, I am joined
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as always by my Co host Tim. How we doing today?
0:20
Goodman, how you doing? Living the dream, brother.
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Living the dream. Living and again of.
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Course in this dream I don't work, but that's irrelevant.
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And also joined by Pete. Pete, how we doing today?
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How the hell are we in week 7 already?
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Does that seem insane to me? I mean, it's going by so quick.
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It's a bad part about football. Guys, go by quickly.
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Yeah, wow. I mean, it's, yeah, that's
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heading toward mid-october. It's it's crazy.
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Whatever. That's cool.
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So good to be here. Excited to maybe make a few
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winning bets this week. That's my goal.
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Maybe one or two would be nice. Anyway, good to be here.
0:52
You go. All right, so guys, Week 6 has
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come and gone. Not as many marquee matchups as
0:58
as Week 5 gave us, but still some interesting games.
1:01
Tim, we'll start with you if you want to recap your week and any
1:05
thoughts, good, positive, bad, negative or indifferent.
1:09
What windows in week 6? Give a quick year.
1:12
Welcome to the fans of UCLAI. Think I just made them both
1:15
eligible by promising to fade them.
1:18
So yeah, they promptly go out and actually start covering.
1:20
And then they beat, what, number 5 in the country last week?
1:24
So I'm going to stop fading them.
1:26
I actually looked at some of the highlights from the first couple
1:29
of weeks and it's a different team.
1:31
They are actually playing harder for this new coach.
1:35
My God, the offensive coordinator looks 12.
1:39
Rick Neuheisel's kid. Yeah, yes.
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I knew that was as soon as I saw him, I was like, that's God, I
1:44
Rick Newhouse's kid. That has to be or else, you
1:48
know, so. But yeah, so that was, you know,
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it's fun to see, you know, get a team that, you know, prefer, you
1:54
know, everyone thinks sucks and they pull out a big win.
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They carry the offensive coordinator off the field.
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And he says he the biggest problem is he kept forgetting to
2:02
put the microphone in front of his face when he's calling plays
2:04
because he's never done that before.
2:05
So that was pretty nice to see. I love it.
2:08
So Miami game went pretty much as much as I thought it was.
2:11
So you know, other than that disaster.
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So but hopefully they get right this week against Pittsburgh.
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I don't know if you have any thoughts there or what are you
2:24
doing. You know, the Penn State game
2:27
was, was was shocking to say the least.
2:30
I hear, you know, you faded UCLA or faded UCLA twice in a row.
2:33
I hear they're sending you like an honorary master's degree or
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something. I mean that.
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You're yes. Yes, they're probably your
2:39
biggest supporter. So yeah, I mean, congratulations
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on that doctorate degree or whatever they're sending you.
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I'll close my Venmo if they want me to keep fading them they can
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send me some money. That's the least they can do.
2:51
Nil. You should get a part of that, I
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think. Yeah.
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I mean, I put the YouTube multi view to the test for probably a
2:58
good saw at 11-12 hours. The Penn State game, obviously
3:03
the biggest shocker of the week. Nothing really stunned me too
3:11
much other than that, other than the fact that I actually finally
3:14
won some games. So yeah, now I know what Pete
3:16
feels like when he actually has a winning week.
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So, you know, gave out three, two unit plays, they all hit and
3:22
we're never doing that again because the gambling gods are
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ready to have me go down like a $10 hooker.
3:28
So we're not we're not pushing luck anymore.
3:32
Back to some normal 1 unit goodness.
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But yeah, I mean, I said a lot of the games weren't great.
3:39
Some of them were. I think outside of the Penn
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State game, everything kind of went according to plan.
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I can't remember. Was there anything really
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ridiculous that kind of took a? No, not really.
3:50
When I think of Ridiculous from last week, yeah, I think of Penn
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State. So.
3:53
Yeah, so without further ado, our our Big 10 fan, Pete, I I
3:59
know in the text you've been waiting for this time.
4:05
I, I didn't bring any snacks, Tim.
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I don't, I don't know if you've got like a book to read or
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something, but. Pete.
4:13
The floor is yours man. Your thoughts from from week 6?
4:17
Yeah, I'll keep it relatively short.
4:19
I mean, a couple things. I mean, first of all, the
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Seminoles never got off the bus. That was very, very I, I do find
4:26
that unexpected. I mean, I know Tim, you bast
4:28
your own team before that and all that.
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I I expected them to show up and do something.
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And that was, that was ugly. That was really, really ugly.
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So anyway, that was bad. But I'm trying to figure out who
4:39
had a worst week, me or James Franklin, right.
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My my picks were abhorrent. And I'm, I'm a little frustrated
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with that, but I'm not being paid to make them.
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And, yeah, all that good stuff, you know?
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So James Franklin, obviously I've spent years now bashing
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this man because he does have the just amazing ability to step
5:03
in his own shit without provocation at times when it's
5:09
just illogical. Yeah.
5:13
OK, so they lost the week before.
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Fine, that that wasn't the end of the world, right?
5:18
Not a great game, but not the end of the world.
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Those games you'll lose. Fine, OK, But to, to, to go to
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UCLA against a team that I want to use the word inept, but inept
5:30
might be way too strong for them.
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This team stinks. I mean, they're in a obviously
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in a, they're obviously in transition here, right?
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As Tim just said, they're their coordinator.
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Looks like he's 12. He might be 12.
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I mean, you've got a team that's just trying to get through the
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year, you know, and you show up with a team that's just not
5:51
prepared. That team was not ready to play
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that game at all. And if I hear one more person
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talk about Drew Aller being anything in terms of a potential
6:03
NFL quarterback or God forbid, the Heisman, you've got to be
6:07
drinking some hard stuff. He is not good.
6:09
He was not good last year. He is not good now.
6:12
He has never had any ability to carry that team.
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But you know, I did try to be nice to James Franklin in the
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play offs last year 'cause I thought his team played for him
6:20
and I actually thought he did a decent job coaching.
6:23
I take it all back. Whatever the hell that was last
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week was just freaking abysmal. That was the worst coaching job
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I've seen in I don't know how long.
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Like just to not have your team ready at all to play a pitifully
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terrible team with. I think there were 12 fans in
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the stadium. I don't know, I watched like
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half of that game. There was nobody there.
6:45
Like what? What the hell is wrong with you?
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And then to make it worse, right, so you can suck, which he
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does on a regular basis. I've said before, excellent
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recruiter, terrible coach. Hire him as an AD or something,
7:00
I don't know. But he's not a coach.
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But to make it even worse, the shit he did after the game,
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right? His social media crap and
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talking about the next game and it's just just tone deaf.
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So honestly, I mean, it's Penn State.
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The guy can recruit. He's got them in the national
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spot, likely like he has for for a number of years now.
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They're not gonna he's in the hot seat, but they're not gonna
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fire the guy. Who the hell are you gonna get
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right? They're not gonna fire the guy.
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But I mean, honestly, if he was at a place where they were a
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little more ruthless, he would be gone.
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And he should be gone because the the clown suit that he's
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wearing on the screen right now is what he should be wearing
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that that was just absolutely ridiculous.
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He sounds like he has no confidence in his team
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whatsoever. And if he's outwardly saying
7:47
acting that way, what the hell does his team think in the
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locker room about that? So I think his team has given up
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on him. I didn't get this is going to be
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a long year. This team is overrated and and
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it's just a it's a disaster. So I don't know where this goes
8:00
in the future. Well, I think he should be fired
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probably, but ain't going to happen.
8:05
I don't know who they'd get so, but it just it's everything I've
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talked about with this guy for years, right?
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You cannot lose a game that OK, maybe you could lose and it's
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fine because it's a good competition and go and shit the
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bed the next week against a crappy team.
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You just can't do that. So anyway, that's my James
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Franklin bash. Without getting personal, I just
8:27
think it's once again I'm trying to debate who was worse last
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week, him or me. My pitch picks were terrible, so
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I I pick myself anyway, moving on.
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Well, you know what they could get, you know, they they could
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get the coach, you know, targeting winner's favorite Biff
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Poggi. He's on the Michigan payroll.
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I thought that he can't. He can't take him away.
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They need him. He doesn't need the pile on,
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pile on Pete. I think Franklin had a better
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week because you're not paying a defensive coordinator a couple
8:56
1,000,000 bucks to to fail to stop the the fail to stop Nico
9:01
trying to stop. UCLA in that offense, which
9:04
isn't one. Yeah, that's great.
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I'm pretty sure we could have hit the field and maybe slowed
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him down. I I don't know what that was.
9:09
Yeah. Like Tim said, he looks like
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he's 12, he didn't even know how to operate his headset, and he
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just beat your $2,000,000 defensive coordinator.
9:16
Unbelievable. Yeah.
9:18
Yeah. Unbelievable.
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Probably the shocker of the year so far, possibly for the entire
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year. Yeah.
9:24
Tim, do you need like a deep breath or some oxygen or
9:27
anything like that? I think you should give him some
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applause. I mean, he he's been waiting for
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that for for. There you go.
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That before we get into tonight, anybody.
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I mean, not that Tim you were, I could top that.
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But we got anything else or shall we get right into?
9:45
No, Maybe. Let's jump right into it.
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All right, let's go over some of the games that we that we're
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that we don't have actual bets on here for Thursday.
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So the first one we got Louisiana Tech laying sticks at
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Kennis Floss State. Anybody have any thoughts on
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that at all? No thoughts.
10:00
Out of that one, no. Kind of like Wayne's on that
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one. Suck next.
10:04
One, well, no. Well, it's Conference USA.
10:07
I'll just say this. I, I have no idea who's starting
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at Louisiana Tech for quarterback and good job
10:12
Kennesaw State. You, you've got three wins and I
10:15
don't know what the total is on this, but couple pretty good
10:17
defensive clubs, believe it or not.
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So I guess if I if, if you need to play this game, I would
10:21
probably lean under. But yeah, I don't know, Pete, if
10:24
you've got that total up there in front of you, but around
10:29
4546, I would guess. I thought it was 45 1/2.
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I could be wrong, but it was it was in that ballpark, yeah.
10:35
Yeah, maybe leaning under there if you if you need to play an
10:39
actual good game. And Tim, this one is should be
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of interest to you. You're East Carolina, you're
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picked to win the American Conference this year.
10:47
Yes, they're playing tonight, as a matter of fact, getting 6 1/2
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at Tulane. Do you have any thoughts back in
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your Pirates? Let's go Pirates.
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It's going to be, you know, you know, take the home team on on a
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weekday is usually the rule of thumb here.
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So but no 6 and that opened up at 7:00.
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So they've been taking some some action there.
11:11
So yeah, you can get 7. Why not take it?
11:15
You can get. Seven, I think I would even take
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the 6 1/2 if you had to. I mean, one one thing we know
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about Tulane, they always seem to be good.
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Remember last year they had the whole AAC, what what it was
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called last year, championship in front of them.
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They had a trip to the playoff in front of them and then they
11:29
crapped the bet against Memphis and Army and back-to-back weeks
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and that took care of that. So I don't know if this is the
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game where they crap it again, but like Tim said, 7th
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preferable. But I'm not against taking 6 1/2
11:40
here with the Pirates. They've been good at home.
11:42
I mean, Tulane's been good at home.
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So I, I don't know. I mean, I, I think I, if I had
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to glean anywhere, I didn't play this game, but I would probably
11:48
take Tulane and lay the points probably just because two lane's
11:51
been pretty solid at home. So I would just lean into that.
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But I don't really have a bat here.
11:55
I didn't look too deeply into it.
11:57
And third game of the night, Jacksonville State on the road
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at Sam Hewson State. They are laying 7 to the
12:02
Bearcats. I have 0 interest in this game
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at all. The Sam Hewson's offense is
12:08
never going to start doing anything.
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It's got to be today. Yeah, this would be it.
12:13
I don't think they're going to get.
12:15
I don't, I, I can't trust you with these teams.
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I mean, if you're handing out the butt cheeks, the bronze butt
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cheeks, this would be it, Sam Houston.
12:24
We want to talk the if you want to know where the bronze butt
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cheek award is going to this week, that's UTEP last night
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'cause they they still just another fine defensive
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performance wasted by a coach who has no idea what quarterback
12:35
he wants to use. Nope, comes out.
12:37
His press conference says I'm starting Malagai Nelson starts
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the other guy. He stinks.
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But then Malagai Nelson, he continues to stink.
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It's like somebody on Twitter is like fire the fire the offensive
12:48
coordinator, What is he doing? And then somebody who actually
12:50
follows UTEP football says, dude, the head coach calls the
12:53
plays. So apparently he needs to go.
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But if you're a member of the throng of people that is UTEP
12:59
Twitter, you are not happy. All right, Timmy, let's get
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let's get the graphic up for the one game we are giving a play
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out on here. There we go.
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Southern Miss. Yeah, I got a terrible number
13:13
here. I am actually laying 3 here with
13:16
Southern Miss tonight. A couple weeks ago, I in the
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same week bet on Boston College and Air Force teams with two
13:23
awful defenses. I promise never to do that
13:26
again. Georgia Southern is pretty much
13:28
near the bottom in a plethora of defensive categories.
13:34
Southern Miss. You may know them as Marshall 2
13:36
point O. They have Charles Huff and half
13:38
of last year's team for them now.
13:44
I don't know. I mean, Braylon Braxton's
13:45
playing playing pretty well. Mt DS3 picks completing almost
13:48
2/3 of his passes and they've got some depth of the skill
13:51
positions. They've already got 4 running
13:53
backs with at least 27 carries, 6 receivers with at least 10
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catches. Little bit of concern with their
13:59
past defense. Not sure if JC French and his
14:03
squad of Eagles is going to be able to do anything about that.
14:06
Plus Southern Miss defense is actually playing really well. 15
14:08
sacks. They leave the conference with
14:10
eight picks. So I think if Southern Mist can
14:13
get maybe get a handful of stops here, I think they should be
14:17
able to have no trouble moving the ball up and down South.
14:20
I'm going to lay the three with Southern Miss and you know,
14:24
we'll just hope for the best guys.
14:26
Any thoughts? Yeah, I mean, over under is 59
14:30
1/2, which I think is a pretty, pretty big number.
14:32
And to your point, I think Southern I was leaning slightly
14:35
over, but Southern Miss defense has been playing pretty well.
14:38
All right. So that was my caveat.
14:40
There was like my initial thought was over, but I do think
14:43
that, you know, it is possible that Southern Miss defense could
14:46
could slow down towards the Southern.
14:47
So maybe that's not such a good play.
14:49
So I stayed away from it. I said initial thought over, but
14:52
I I don't think I would bet this.
14:53
I think it could go either way on that line.
14:54
So it's it's a little off, but I do I do like your bet.
14:58
Jimmy, any thoughts? Well over 59 1/2 if you're
15:03
looking at the graphic on the screen.
15:05
If at the first game Southern Miss 170 to nothing, they would
15:08
have covered that by themselves. So.
15:10
I'll take that tonight, by the way.
15:12
Yeah, if you bet on this game from 1941 and you happen to be
15:19
listening, we'd love to hear from you and hear about this
15:21
game, you know, and and Pearl Harbor and Watergate and all
15:25
that. So give us a shout.
15:27
But the. Yeah, two in all.
15:29
It's the first meeting since what, 1990, I think is that I
15:32
didn't put that up there, but just thought it was funny. 70 to
15:37
nothing, the good old days. So at least teams score now, at
15:41
least you get like 70 to 3 now. It's like, you know, it's rare
15:44
that you actually get this shut out because there's enough crap
15:47
going on that there's always like these backdoor scores and
15:50
all that but yeah, Southern myths.
15:54
I I had them to win that, win that conference so.
15:58
That's right. You.
15:59
Do All right, so that's it for Thursday.
16:01
Moving on to Friday. We got a couple games here.
16:03
We'll take a quick look at South Florida getting 1 1/2 at North
16:08
Texas having quite the year, which we kind of figured when
16:11
Sam Houston's defensive coordinator came over and
16:14
brought like 5 or 6 of his his Sam Houston defenders with him.
16:18
They're playing well. Pretty good game here, guys.
16:21
Got any thoughts on this one? Like to stay on the road?
16:26
Go ahead, Tim. No, I'll say, I guess South
16:28
Florida on the road. You know, I'd like to see how
16:32
they can keep this going. They've actually had an
16:34
impressive start to the season. They're getting 2 1/2.
16:38
I'd almost lean to take them. Yeah over under 66 1/2 I was
16:45
leaning on the over here actually, which that's a big
16:48
number, but I actually think you could see a ton of scoring in
16:51
this game. I think the weather is likely
16:53
going to be good. I I looked at the weather.
16:54
So I think that'll help USS fast that they're going to play fast.
16:58
So I think, you know, higher play volume, more scoring
17:00
opportunities either way. So I think there is an
17:02
opportunity and once again, this is a big number, which is why I
17:04
didn't touch it. But I think it's going to be a
17:07
honest scoring. It's just, I didn't know where
17:08
it was going to fall around that number.
17:10
But at the end of the day, we are yeah, we're it's, I think
17:14
it's, I think it's going to be a fun game to watch.
17:16
It's just a hard one to call with that number.
17:18
So that's my thoughts. Yeah, I like South Florida as
17:20
well. I agree with you, Tim.
17:21
They they've had a much tougher schedule than what North Texas
17:23
played so far. So yeah, I'll take South
17:26
Florida. Hey, little money line.
17:27
I mean, they're getting a point and 1/2 right now.
17:29
It's probably shouldn't come into play, but maybe you get
17:32
like a small plus money price on money line.
17:34
Maybe look there. And the last game that we don't
17:38
have any action on Fresno State and Kurt Warner's kid laying 6
17:42
1/2 at a Colorado State team that I enjoyed fading last week.
17:48
They did put up 24 points. But if you watch the game, you
17:52
know their first touchdown came on a flea flicker when they were
17:54
already down 14. Nothing.
17:56
Their last score came on a passing touchdown at the end of
17:59
the game when like 11 fans were playing defense for the Aztecs.
18:02
So don't get too excited if you see the 24 here.
18:06
But I, I have no thoughts here. You never know when EJ is going
18:10
to Chuck two or three picks in a game.
18:12
I don't even know what the weather's going to be like.
18:14
I know UNLV and Wyoming last week had like an inch of hail on
18:17
the field. I don't know what that weather's
18:19
like this time of year, but I, I have nothing here.
18:22
What do you guys got? Anything?
18:24
Well, normally I would take the home team during the week, but
18:28
this would be the one time I would actually probably just go
18:31
with the road team here that they're Colorado State's really,
18:35
really bad like you said last week, the way they scored.
18:38
So I I would lean Fresno here. Yeah, I think, I think so too.
18:45
I mean, to your point, I mean, who knows with the weather
18:47
what's going to happen there? So you know, it never who I
18:51
didn't touch this thing. I wouldn't touch this thing.
18:52
It's just it's too unpredictable at this point.
18:54
But interesting game, but I'm just not not really that
18:57
interested in it. All right, so let's move on to
19:01
the big game Friday. We got a little Big 10 action.
19:03
Both of you guys have a little bit on this.
19:08
Rutgers traveling all the way across the country.
19:13
We all know how we love that. But hey, you guys, Tim, go
19:17
ahead. We'll start with you because I
19:18
know you. You, you love you some
19:19
Washington. I do this is one of my swing for
19:23
defenses picks for the for the conference.
19:28
I do get a little concerned. They do have some coaching, but
19:33
the penalties, not a lot of penalties this year for Rutgers.
19:37
I think that just comes with the coach being, you know, like a
19:41
Tom Coughlin type, you know, just Big Yeller.
19:46
But the turnovers, like the time of possession.
19:49
A lot of points I think will be scored.
19:51
But I think at the end I'm going to take Washington late.
19:55
I got 10 1/2 when I placed his bets by Washington -10 1/2.
20:00
I like him at home, you know, home, home team on a.
20:05
On a, on a weekday game instead of a Saturday short turn around,
20:08
even though they did, they were in Maryland last week and now
20:10
they have to fly home. But still, they've been home for
20:13
a few days. But third down conversion rates
20:18
is very good for Washington. I think they're going to keep
20:20
the ball a lot. I think they're going to have a
20:22
lot of possessions. There's going to be at least two
20:24
turnovers in this game, I think. So I like Washington covering
20:28
the 10 1/2 Pete. Yeah, I mean, I agree with what
20:33
you just said, which is that there's going to be a lot of
20:35
scoring And, and I and I really believe that.
20:37
So 59 1/2 is the is the, is the line here, once again, a
20:41
relatively big number. It's not huge, but I mean, for
20:43
for this game, this is pretty enticing to me.
20:47
I mean, I think Washington is going to score and they're going
20:49
to score in bunches. Rutgers can score, right.
20:53
So I think obviously Rutgers are going to be trying.
20:55
I think they're going to fall behind.
20:56
I think they're going to be trying to fling the ball around
20:58
to catch up. Either way, it's going to lead
21:00
to either them scoring or throwing some picks and
21:03
Washington's scoring more points.
21:05
But either way, I I see a lot of points happening here.
21:08
I'm also the last couple weeks I've been burned by a number of
21:12
unders, which is generally my play earlier in the year.
21:16
We talked about this and I've been getting burned by in the
21:18
last couple couple of weeks. So I am leading heavily into
21:21
some overs this time with some teams that I probably have under
21:25
appreciated their scoring ability.
21:26
So Washington no doubt is going to score.
21:28
I think Rutgers can score as well.
21:30
So I have one unit play in the 59 1/2 going over.
21:34
Yeah, the passing game for Rutgers concerns me a little
21:37
bit, but I think if Washington can get ahead a little bit
21:41
before where they know that they're going to pass and I'm
21:43
going to be doing like the play action, I think they can get to
21:45
the Greek kid there at Rutgers, Calamakis.
21:50
But yeah, the passing is the only thing that concerns me that
21:53
Washington's past defense is isn't wonderful.
21:56
But but yeah, I like your play. It's so I add that with my play
22:00
to add to the to the points. So, yeah, I agree with yours
22:03
too. I think it's going to go, I'm
22:05
surprised it was in the 50s, even though it's 59 1/2.
22:07
But I mean, yeah, me too. I I thought it.
22:09
I was expecting like 62 or something like that, so yeah.
22:12
Great. So I was happy with this number.
22:13
Right. Absolutely right.
22:16
Yeah. Yeah, I got nothing on this
22:19
game. You guys both well, once I saw
22:22
you. Know like we had this game
22:22
together pick up these. Games I was like, yeah, what
22:24
less game I have to look at? So yeah, I have nothing like in
22:28
most cases, I have nothing of value to add.
22:30
So, yeah. All right, moving on to
22:33
Saturday. I have no idea.
22:35
We order you got these in, so let's just go.
22:40
I believe that's Pete's, isn't it?
22:43
That's not on these two. Oh, maybe that's Tim's.
22:46
I don't. Know that's Tim's Yep.
22:47
Oh OK yeah it's you thought it was Pete's because I took a play
22:52
out of Pete's playbook here. I'm going to in the same design
22:56
as the Washington game. This would be a ton of points I
22:59
got 55 1/2. I'm going to go over this game
23:02
actually has just statistically the top 2 quarterbacks for the
23:08
Heisman. One's got the 16 touchdowns to 1
23:10
interception, forget which one, but the other one has 40.
23:13
I think Oregon is 16 to 1 and Indiana has 14 touchdowns from
23:18
one interception. A lot of passing.
23:23
Again, the other team turns the ball over that much.
23:26
They're really good on 3rd down. Indiana's defense has been more
23:31
active as far as forcing turnovers, but the turnover
23:36
margin only favors them by 1. I think they got to keep the
23:40
ball out. It's going to be back and forth
23:41
to be ping pong. I think 55 1/2 is a very
23:46
attainable number. I wouldn't even be shocked.
23:49
I'd be surprised but not shocked if they have that by halftime.
23:54
So yeah. So I bet 55 1/2 over Indiana at
23:57
Oregon. Your thoughts?
24:01
Well, you're in my wheelhouse on this one.
24:03
Yeah, I, I like, I like where you're going with this one.
24:07
I mean, Oregon's going to score a ton.
24:09
Indiana can score as well. I think there's going to be a
24:11
lot of scoring in this game that that number is even more
24:13
suppressed than the game we just talked about.
24:16
Yeah, surprise. You didn't play it.
24:17
Yeah, Pete's going to be Max. I took one of his plays or
24:20
something, but we had the same play.
24:23
It's a game that I probably should have played and I love
24:24
that play. I definitely would have played
24:26
that, but I I I was trying to keep it down to three and the
24:29
three I picked, but I love that pick.
24:30
I think that over is a very, very ripe juicy over over to
24:35
play. So good.
24:36
Good call man, I like it. Pete do.
24:42
You mean me 'cause you said? That'd be Darren.
24:44
I I just hit my supposed hi. I've only known you for like 3
24:47
1/2 decades. I'm Darren, by the way. 3 1/2 is
24:49
that it? I, I think it's been, it's been
24:51
almost 50 years at this point. We're young, guys, we're young.
24:54
Oh, that's right. Yeah, 10 years.
24:57
I mean, I, I, I have a win total bet on Indiana.
25:00
This was, it's not one of the games I expected them to win.
25:04
Spread opened at like 10 and I think currently like down around
25:07
7 or 7 1/2. So a lot of Indiana money coming
25:11
in here. I think Indiana's actually
25:14
better than they were last year, which is part of the reason I
25:16
went over 8 1/2 at a little bit of plus money.
25:19
So yeah, I'm going to hope IN wins like 56 to nothing and
25:24
everybody's happy. Here we go.
25:26
Won't happen. But you know, I, I, I, like I
25:29
said, I'm going to root for a win.
25:30
I don't see it, but I think Indiana will keep it close.
25:35
So if you wanted to take the seven, wouldn't hate it.
25:39
But yeah, I'm just going to root for a crap ton of points so that
25:42
Tim can cash his ticket. What's, what's the money line?
25:44
Indiana win. I like that.
25:45
That's interesting. That's got to be a yeah.
25:47
I didn't do a sprinkle this week after the Purdue Purdue
25:50
disaster, but I don't know if you guys had a sprinkler or not,
25:52
but I I thought about it but. That would be an interesting
25:56
sprinkle on that Indiana. Market line?
25:58
It's probably like what, +2 something?
26:00
Yeah, it's got to be nice. Yeah.
26:01
Let me look. I'll take a look while we're
26:03
doing this. But that's that's interesting.
26:07
Whoops. Yeah, I clicked.
26:11
On the wrong game I think D KS got.
26:13
Plus 2:45. It might have been.
26:16
Available. Might have intrigued me into a
26:18
little sprinkle on that money line.
26:19
That sounds really, really interesting.
26:21
I could see this happening, I mean.
26:24
I could have let me know. I got, could have got.
26:25
I was. Going to say get the graphic
26:26
with Pete's face up there. He's considering a sprinkle.
26:32
Wait, my salt Bay thing. Sorry.
26:34
There we go. All right.
26:40
All right. What's the next?
26:41
One or. Let's go to the next one.
26:45
Pete and I both have this one. You, you want to go first?
26:50
Pete? You want me to knock out with?
26:51
The no, I'll I'll jump on this one.
26:53
So over under 35 1/2, which is low and these two teams have
27:00
both bit me in the ass on under multiple times this year, right.
27:05
And so I am going the other direction on this.
27:08
I just figured that you know what, Iowa seems to be able to
27:11
score sometimes. Wisconsin seems to be able to
27:14
score occasionally sometimes. So perhaps one of them will
27:18
actually score this week and the other one might actually do
27:20
something right. So this is originally, I mean,
27:24
to me, this would have been an under all day long a couple
27:27
weeks ago. Yeah, I, I, no, I'm going the
27:31
other direction. It seems that maybe both of
27:33
these teams will score, but one of them's going to that 35 1/2's
27:36
a low number. So I am going one unit on the
27:39
over just because I just I, I, as I said, I, I, I guess my, my,
27:45
my base thoughts on both of these teams were just incorrect
27:49
in in many ways this this time through.
27:51
So I actually am extremely confident on this on this over.
27:54
So one unit over 35 1/2 on two teams that I probably should be
27:58
betting under on, but I'm not. So that's my that's my spiel.
28:04
I did not get the opening number, but I laid 3 here with
28:08
Iowa. You know all the talk about
28:11
Wisconsin's run defense. Iowa actually allows fewer rush
28:14
yards per game than Wisconsin does.
28:15
But nobody seems to be talking about Iowa because all of a
28:17
sudden they're a scoring machine.
28:19
Gronowski got hurt last game out against Indiana, but he is
28:23
expected to play. So that will certainly help.
28:26
And again, neither of these teams are going to beat
28:28
themselves. I think combined, they don't
28:30
even have 30 penalties between the two of them.
28:32
But I mean, you know what you're going to get from Iowa and now
28:35
they're actually scoring Wisconsin.
28:39
I I don't know if they're still going with the backup
28:40
quarterback or, or their regular star is supposed to go.
28:43
I don't think it's going to matter.
28:45
While while I usually fear laying points with a low scoring
28:49
team like Iowa, you know, like I said, they're not that anymore.
28:52
So with a healthy Gronoski Wisconsin offense.
28:56
So that's kind of struggling right now.
28:58
I mean, Pete, would you be all right with a 31 to 7 Iowa
29:01
victory? I could see something just like
29:04
that, 31, seven, and that would not shock me at all.
29:07
Yeah. Yeah, I think like a close first
29:09
half, maybe something like 13 to 7 at half time and then I was
29:12
just like, you know what, we're we're done here and.
29:14
Then we'll see like a back door over, right?
29:16
Or Iowa's gonna score a bond early, they're gonna be ahead.
29:18
And then Wisconsin will score late and it'll it'll be an over.
29:21
Yeah, I, I, I, I I don't want to be the one to prognosticate on
29:25
this, but as is Fickle's last game if he loses this.
29:28
Yeah, probably. This should be his last game.
29:30
Win or lose, he should be out. He's killed that program.
29:32
Well, if he wins in going anywhere, but yeah, if he loses,
29:35
I think. He's not the right guy for that
29:36
program. No, no, we've agreed on that.
29:39
I wish it. Was all right.
29:43
They would have been if they never had fickle.
29:45
Whatever they had, it might have been a downgrade from before,
29:47
but it would have been better than what they're putting out
29:49
there now. Yeah.
29:50
Right, here we go. Iowa State, Colorado, this is
29:59
one of mine I got. I played, let me see.
30:03
I think they're given 2 1/2. I got Iowa State -2 1/2.
30:07
Basically turnovers and quarterback play.
30:11
Again, I'm going with the road trip team.
30:16
Colorado just can't hold on to the ball.
30:18
It seems that they seem to commit a lot of turnovers.
30:23
Some things are consumed. They play well.
30:26
I mean, they it's not like to just totally rolling over.
30:29
I know Dionne has some health issues popped back up this week,
30:33
so I hope he's doing well. You know, maybe get gets some
30:38
inspired play out of the kids, but I'm just not seeing it with
30:42
basically the quarterback playing the turnovers penalties
30:46
as well. Yeah, I'm just looking at this,
30:49
I think 2 1/2. I thought it would have been
30:51
higher. So when I saw 2 1/2, I'll take
30:54
it and I'll give it. And I like Iowa State taking
30:58
over Colorado. Get it all day.
31:02
All day. Love it.
31:03
No, Sir. I don't like Colorado.
31:04
I don't like Colorado at all. I don't like him at home.
31:06
I don't like him on the road. I don't like them playing
31:08
anybody. I I love that Lay the points all
31:11
day. I think I, I think Colorado is
31:13
just not a very good team. And I think that Iowa State's
31:16
going to beat him. So simple.
31:17
Simple as that. Yeah, I mean, we talked about
31:22
last week how Iowa State lost their top 2 cornerbacks.
31:24
And while that was obviously a problem last week against
31:26
Cincinnati, I don't think this is going to be a problem for
31:30
Colorado here. So yeah, I like you got, did you
31:34
get 2 1/2 or did that go up to three?
31:36
I don't remember what you had. 2 1/2 which my I got 2 even
31:41
better. Yeah, 2.
31:42
And a half, yeah, I think I placed it 2 days ago so.
31:47
I love that bet. Yeah, not I'm not.
31:50
Yeah, I, I'm with Pete as far as not, I mean, I know you got the
31:53
Colorado win total thing here. So yeah, yeah, I, yeah, I agree
31:58
with Pete. I'm coloring that one lost but
32:00
yeah I got 2 and a. Half all right, cool, yeah.
32:03
Then then I I do like that just for the fact that I'm not I'm
32:07
not high on either team, but I'm just I I was been anti Colorado
32:10
since yeah, once once those two guys got their names called in
32:14
the draft Sanders. On.
32:16
Her I was like, that was there, done all.
32:19
Over. See ya.
32:23
Oh oh. No God.
32:25
Oh boy. There we go.
32:28
Should we start with I guess Who's bet is this?
32:30
Is this yours, Pete? This is mine.
32:32
So yeah, let's hear. Let's.
32:35
Hear it all. Right.
32:37
Well, 57 1/2 is the total. Yeah.
32:43
So I looking at this thing right.
32:50
So Michigan has not been scoring.
32:52
I don't think they're going to score a ton.
32:54
I mean, to me, this is this is an under all day.
32:57
I think that number is really inflated.
32:58
I don't know where the hell that number is coming from.
33:00
I don't think UCSUSC is very good to begin with.
33:03
And, you know, Michigan, while explosive at times, it, it is
33:08
like limited bits of explosion followed by a lot of
33:13
inconsistency on the offense and pretty much the the deal all
33:17
year long here. Once again, not terribly
33:19
surprising with a younger quarterback.
33:20
Although now that we're halfway in the season, I expect to see a
33:23
little more growth coming here, which I I do expect.
33:26
But yeah, I think Michigan's going to win this game.
33:29
I mean, I'm I'm not sure what is.
33:30
What is the line I didn't even look at.
33:31
What getting getting 2 1/2? Yeah, I mean, I I think
33:35
Michigan's going to win this game.
33:37
I like that, but I do really like the under here.
33:40
I I I think that I think that the defense, Michigan's defense
33:45
is going to slow USC down. I think it's going to be a
33:47
closer, a close game and I think it's going to be a semi low
33:52
scoring game, not a really low scoring game.
33:53
I wouldn't be surprised. It would be something like AI
33:56
don't know, 30 to 24 kind of game or something like that at
34:01
the higher end, probably lower than that.
34:03
So I really do like this under here at the 57 1/2.
34:07
So I'm going one unit on the under.
34:10
Totally agree Michigan should just run the ball down US CS
34:15
throat like all game long and not even really try.
34:18
They they should look like last year's Michigan because US CS
34:20
defense surprisingly did not take another step forward like I
34:25
thought they would after a pretty decent defensive
34:27
performance last year. But you know, you're not going
34:30
to have to ask Bryce Underwood to do a whole lot here.
34:33
I mean just turn around the right way and hand the ball off
34:37
US CS defense has not been good. Their offense is, but not
34:40
against the defense like this man.
34:42
So enjoy the trip Michigan. You're going to beat the the
34:46
multiple time zone trend I think yeah, I think I mean if it was
34:51
it was better than plus 1/14 on the money line.
34:53
But you know, might as well take the 2 1/2.
34:56
You never know what the hell could happen.
34:57
But yeah, give me Michigan. I didn't bet it, but give me
35:00
Michigan all day long here. Are you concerned about the
35:03
bulletin board material that the Sharon Wright gave?
35:08
No, USC. He was like, oh, they got the
35:10
Coliseum and it's going to sell out, but only because we're
35:12
coming. Well, it's pretty accurate by
35:15
that man. Well, I mean still.
35:16
It's not wrong. Yeah, it's.
35:18
Not wrong, but you know, I want to give him a little extra.
35:24
You know, these are kids. Anything, any little thing can
35:26
fire him up. So I.
35:28
Might fire up his own team with that too.
35:29
So it's OK. I'm perfectly OK with that.
35:31
I think that's not an unreasonable statement.
35:33
If he said something stupid like James Franklin might say, it'd
35:35
be different, but he's not James Franklin.
35:37
But we're good, so. All right, so go to the last.
35:43
Pick. Let's do it.
35:47
Yeah, another line that I missed hardcore on here.
35:50
So I took Auburn in 3 1/2. This is basically give me the
35:56
team off the bye week with the better defense.
35:59
I mean, I watched Georgia like that entire game because I I had
36:02
Georgia -20 1/2 against Kentucky.
36:06
Despite them trying to give that to Kentucky, they managed to
36:08
cover. So thanks guys, but this game is
36:13
going to be a nice old ass, ugly SEC game.
36:17
It's at night time. Auburn's retiring Cam Newton's
36:20
jersey. So everybody should be dressed
36:22
really well because, you know, Cam is a fashion icon.
36:27
He does have a he does. And you look at Georgia.
36:29
So two weeks ago they had that tough game against Bama.
36:32
They kind of got a little lucky beat in Tennessee.
36:34
Before that, you know, they handled their business against
36:36
Kentucky and now they have Ole Miss next week, who I believe
36:40
beat Georgia last year. So not that any game in the SEC.
36:43
And I don't think Kirby's a guy that's going to have his team
36:46
fall into like a look ahead kind of thing.
36:48
But you have to assume that that game is on their mind as well
36:51
knowing that Ole Miss beat them because who needs to hear Lane
36:53
Kiffin rant any more than necessary?
36:56
You know, Auburn had the now Grant.
36:58
Auburn's offensive line is kind of ass.
37:00
I'm not going to lie. Jackson Arnold got sacked, what,
37:02
five times against A and M9 times against Oklahoma had due
37:07
to spend more time on the turf than the grounds crew at Jordan
37:10
Harris Stadium here. But I think in that week off,
37:14
they worked on some things. I think they're going to get
37:16
right here. Plus George's got like two or
37:19
three guys on the offensive line. 1's definitely out.
37:21
Two are questionable according to the injury report that came
37:24
out yesterday. And this is just like Georgia
37:27
runs well, but Auburn's really good at stopping the run.
37:30
So I think you're going to see Jackson.
37:32
If you remember the Auburn Baylor game, you saw Jackson arm
37:34
just run all over the place. I think you're going to see
37:36
something similar here, mainly because who knows if the
37:40
offensive line figured out how to protect them or not.
37:42
But you know, George's only got 7 sacks on the year. 2 of those
37:46
came last week against Kentucky. Auburn's got like twice that
37:49
many. So I know George is a better
37:51
team talent wise, but you know, give me give me the more rested
37:55
team with a week off to prep. You know, Hugh Freeze is talking
37:58
about how, you know, losing those last two games was like
38:01
sickening. And, you know, whether he saves
38:04
his job, I hope so. Not against the money line.
38:08
Sprinkle. If this goes down to 3 or even 2
38:11
1/2, I don't see that happening. I think I think I got a bad
38:14
number here. I think you're going to see some
38:15
George money come in, honestly. But yeah, and this is not the
38:21
George defense of old. This is not the old line that
38:26
they need to to go up against his Auburn defense.
38:28
So I'm calling for the upset, but I'm going to take the 3 1/2
38:32
just for the hell of it. So one unit on Auburn, baby hell
38:36
put Cam Newton out there if you have to.
38:38
He's going to be in attendance, so.
38:40
Yeah. Rolling with.
38:41
Auburn, one thing I noticed they covered for you, Georgia did
38:44
last weekend's Kentucky, that was the first cover of the year.
38:46
They are one and four against the spread.
38:48
So there's a nice trend there. Well, they almost gave that
38:51
away. They Kentucky was driving and
38:54
Georgia just kept, you know, third down, 4th down.
38:56
Ha, let's commit it. Same guy got like multiple
38:58
holding penalties on the same drive.
39:00
Kirby took him off the field, just chewed him a new one and
39:02
put him right back out there to do it again.
39:03
Like all right, whatever. Like 3 in the afternoon.
39:07
My first game of the week already going to be a loss.
39:08
But no, no, the 20 1/2 proved out to be a a good number.
39:11
They they held on, but not the 2022-2023 Georgia teams.
39:16
So go call him for the upset. Go over.
39:21
Any thoughts on that, Peter? Peter's stuck.
39:28
He has. Zero.
39:29
No, I like that bet. I think the old runner was 46
39:32
1/2. I don't have it right in front
39:33
of me. I think that's.
39:35
Right, Frozen I. Have zero thoughts.
39:42
He doesn't have any time for this SEC nonsense.
39:44
He's a Big 10 guy. He's a Big 10 guy.
39:46
I. Don't know why.
39:49
I don't know. I don't know why it's breaking
39:50
up right now. My thoughts were I love the bet
39:52
and over under, I think it was 46 1/2 or something like that,
39:55
which is a weird number, so I can make it easily go over that
39:59
number. But then again, these games tend
40:00
to be defensive, so I was kind of all over the map on this
40:02
thing, so I just punted. So yeah, those are my thoughts.
40:06
All right. All right, Darren, take us into
40:08
the RPO segment. All right, well, we already
40:10
covered the first one. I totally forgot that we were
40:12
talking about that, so we can skip right over that.
40:14
Ohio State playing 14 1/2 at Illinois.
40:16
Thoughts, Tim? I like Ohio State.
40:20
I just think for what I've seen from the last couple weeks, I
40:22
think they can cover this no problem.
40:25
Pete. Pete, Yeah.
40:28
I'll be win by 100. Yeah, I noticed Illinois was one
40:33
team that has yet to have a bye week.
40:35
I'm assuming they're pretty damn exhausted.
40:37
And think Ohio State rolls here. Big SEC match up.
40:41
Bama laying three at Missouri. Pete.
40:45
Missouri at home, it's interesting here.
40:46
I don't hate them at home, although I think they will
40:49
probably won't win the game, but I would be interested in that
40:52
Missouri at home action there. This game was my fourth game so
40:56
run to Alabama and that on minus the three.
41:02
I you guys run to the window, I'll hold your table.
41:05
I'm not running, not running to do anything with this at all.
41:08
Scared to death. It could go either way.
41:11
Tim's favorite program? UCLA getting 8 1/2 at Michigan
41:15
State. Tim, what do you?
41:17
Think. Well, I'll help out UCLA again.
41:19
I'll run through the window. Bet Michigan State.
41:21
There we go, ponder. Ponder this.
41:25
The team that just beat Penn State is getting 8 1/2 to go to
41:29
Sparty. What the hell does that say
41:31
about bat team? And what does that say about
41:32
Penn State? That's the interesting play
41:34
here. True.
41:37
Yeah, no thoughts. Probably know UCLA be like, Yep,
41:39
that was our bowl game. We do not care what happens the
41:42
rest of the year. Aiden Childs still ass after all
41:46
this time. I wouldn't touch this game with
41:48
with with anybody's money. Red River Willy or Wony.
41:53
I don't think John Metir is playing, but right now, Oklahoma
41:56
getting a point and a half against Texas in Dallas, he
42:00
thoughts. Zero trust in Texas right now.
42:04
They, they're, I, I would take Oklahoma and, and, and take that
42:08
point and a half. I think Texas is in trouble.
42:11
Yeah, I would pass, but I'm leading Oklahoma.
42:14
Yeah, this was my fourth game. I was, I was going to take
42:17
Oklahoma, but yeah, you kind of had to figure little
42:20
gamesmanship thing. Yeah, we'll just listen to tears
42:22
questionable on all the reports that come out and we will dress
42:25
him and we'll have him throw in some passes and then when we
42:28
kick off, we'll send him back to the locker room because he's
42:30
probably not playing for my win total bet.
42:32
But like Pete said, can you really trust Texas at this
42:35
point? Ah, the fighting Marcus.
42:38
Freeman's playing 20. 3 1/2 to North Carolina State, Jim
42:42
Thoughts Lean in Notre Dame like they're going.
42:45
To try to somehow put together a playoff resume, they got to beat
42:48
the crap out of everybody they play.
42:49
So I guess we're going to try to run it up.
42:51
So I would lean Notre Dame on this one, but I'm going to pass
42:54
Pete. Can they score 24 points if?
42:57
They can do that. They're going to win.
42:58
They really ought to, but I don't.
42:59
I don't know. I have no trust in them either
43:01
at this point. Not touching this game at all.
43:04
Just. Just went out boys.
43:06
That's all you got to do. Nebraska laying 6 1/2 at
43:10
Maryland Big 10 guy. Pete, what's a you?
43:14
I only got to lean into my Nebraska.
43:15
That right, my future is. Bad.
43:16
I think Nebraska has been been OK so I would take Nebraska and
43:20
lay those points. Yep, with Nebraska being on the.
43:23
Road Pass. So if it was in Nebraska, I
43:26
probably run through the window, throw some money on Nebraska,
43:29
but I don't know W Megan Maryland.
43:31
I wouldn't touch this game, but for Pete's sake I hope Nebraska
43:35
pulls it out. Arkansas and Bobby Petrino his
43:39
first game. Well I guess again his first
43:41
game as head coach. 2 point O hacking her third.
43:45
Stint getting 12 and a. Half at Tennessee, Pete thoughts
43:50
Tennessee's tough at. Home.
43:51
It's hard to not not take Tennessee here.
43:54
I agree. Tennessee.
43:56
Yeah, the overrunners like pushing 70.
43:59
That's crazy. Which maybe tells me 12 1/2
44:01
might be too much. But no, no interest here.
44:06
And another Tim special, Texas A&M at home, laying 7 1/2
44:11
against Florida. I'm just going to say Florida, I
44:13
bet on you twice. Once to win, once to lose.
44:16
You screwed me both times. You're the Washington Capitals
44:19
of college football. Because I can't win a game when
44:20
I bet on or against the Capitals running away.
44:24
Tim, what are you doing? Texas A&M runs out a window, so
44:29
let's go, Marcel. Keep it going, Pete.
44:33
How are you that? I'd love to see Florida and
44:35
Penn. Penn State play right now and
44:36
see who screws it up for us all. Right back to the Big 12.
44:41
Texas Tech looking very good this year at home, laying 2
44:45
touchdowns to Kansas. Pete, what do you think?
44:49
At home, Texas. Tech I'd probably go that
44:50
direction, but I didn't. I didn't dig too deep into this
44:52
one. Follow the money.
44:55
Follow the money, Texas. Tech yeah, I I like the way
44:58
Kansas playing. Offensively, but their defense
45:00
is still not very good. That's a little issue with Texas
45:03
Tech's quarterback and concussion protocol.
45:05
He's expected to play. If that's the case, yeah, I'll
45:07
take Texas Tech. Also, South Carolina getting 8
45:12
1/2 at LSU. Pete, what do you think?
45:15
Not loving what I see with Carolina either.
45:17
Carolina. This year, so I would take LSU,
45:19
Tim. Yeah, I'd run to the window.
45:21
What else you. Absolutely.
45:22
At some point, that offense has got to.
45:24
Pick it up if it can't do it against South Carolina's
45:26
defense. LS us the fade from here on out.
45:29
If they they don't cover this. BYU laying a point and 1/2 at
45:33
Arizona. Tim, what do you think?
45:36
Pass at. 47 Still the quarterback, but I like BYU
45:39
here. Also like BYU, it should be an
45:44
interesting game. Though, but I do like BYU.
45:47
Yeah, we're going to see if Arizona.
45:48
'S for real here. BYU definitely has a better
45:50
defense, but Arizona at home? Something tells me this is an
45:52
upset. I mean, you're only getting a
45:54
point now, I guess. Not really an upset, but I don't
45:57
know, BYU kind of let West Virginia hang around a little
46:00
bit last week. But yeah, I mean, I guess I
46:04
would go Arizona just for just to be different, but I'm not
46:07
betting this at all. And finally, Arizona State
46:10
getting 6 at Utah. Damn, what do you think?
46:14
I like Utah at home. I'd run with the.
46:16
Run through window. Bet on Utah 8 Same same Utah at
46:20
home. God, am I the only idiot?
46:23
That's disagreeing with Arizona +6.
46:25
Seems like a lot. It was.
46:28
I think it was less than that to start the week.
46:29
I don't know, I don't really look at a lot.
46:31
Just seems Arizona State +6 with all they have coming back just
46:35
seems like too much. I don't know.
46:37
I'd avoid it, but I guess if I had to do something I would take
46:41
the Sun Devils here with the six.
46:42
What the heck? If we wrap it up here, fellows
46:47
indeed. Yeah, Star.
46:49
All right, Pete, get us rolling. Up.
46:55
Oh yeah, my bet for this week. So Friday game, Washington,
46:59
Rutgers over 59 and a half, one unit.
47:02
By the way, look at that season record.
47:03
I'm very unhappy with being on the 500 on way.
47:06
Onward we go. So Iowa, Wisconsin over 35 1/2.
47:08
That's a really low number. Michigan, USC under 57 1/2.
47:12
I see that being a good game, a close game, but not a really
47:15
high scoring game. So yeah, I love that play.
47:18
All right, I got 2 units. On Washington -10 1/2 over
47:21
Rutgers, I got over 55 1/2 with Indiana and Oregon and I have
47:26
Iowa State -2 1/2 over Colorado. Tonight we.
47:31
Kick it off, little Southern Miss Lane.
47:33
Three over Georgia Southern. I'm also laying three with Iowa
47:36
over Wisconsin and calling the upset, but taking a 3 1/2 just
47:40
in case. Give me Auburn plus 3 1/2 over
47:43
Georgia. All right, well, that'll do it.
47:49
What do you think, fellas? Week 7, Let's get it going.
47:54
It is. Time to win some games, people.
47:56
Yes. Thank you everyone for.
47:58
Listening don't forget to like and subscribe to their YouTube
48:01
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48:05
you find your podcast, please like leave a comment, let us
48:08
know what you're betting and we will see you next week.