Latest / The Paul Barron Crypto Show / Decision Zone?📈Crypto Technical Analysis with Tim Warren

Transcript

Decision Zone?📈Crypto Technical Analysis with Tim Warren · The Paul Barron Crypto Show

0:00
Speaker 1: Well, it's decision time today, especially if you look at
0:02
Speaker 1: where the markets are, there might be some place today
0:05
Speaker 1: will break it down for you. We've got a trader
0:07
Speaker 1: coming in, Tim as usual. It's going to be fun.
0:09
Speaker 1: Before we get started, I do want to think are sponsoring.
0:11
Speaker 1: That is BTCC where you guys can get into doing
0:14
Speaker 1: a variety of different trade tactics including copy trading. You
0:18
Speaker 1: get a ten percent bonus on your first time deposit
0:21
Speaker 1: along with a whole slew of benefits, including some discounts,
0:26
Speaker 1: and you do get some lower trade cost as well.
0:29
Speaker 1: So check it out. Use our link down below. It's
0:30
Speaker 1: going to get you into BTCC and start working on
0:34
Speaker 1: some of these trades out there. Guys. Let's go over
0:36
Speaker 1: to a couple of points. Actually, let's just bring in Tim.
0:39
Speaker 1: You guys know Tim Warren coming in from Tim Warren
0:42
Speaker 1: trades over on YouTube. How are you man?
0:43
Speaker 2: I'm doing good, Paul, good to be back on the show.
0:45
Speaker 2: How you doing the excellent?
0:47
Speaker 1: Excellent? We've got a lot happening today. Clarity continues to
0:50
Speaker 1: get the delay I was looking. And also we're just
0:53
Speaker 1: dealing with I think a very unusual market because I
0:57
Speaker 1: think a lot of people right now are trying to
0:59
Speaker 1: figure out what to dude, making decisions on what is
1:02
Speaker 1: the route to take. Should I buy bitcoin, should I
1:04
Speaker 1: buy eth? Should I buy an all coin? Should I
1:07
Speaker 1: go into micro strategy. So we're gonna try to answer
1:09
Speaker 1: a lot of that today. I'm looking at your post
1:11
Speaker 1: right here. Volatile week for bitcoin and crypto. It's Friday,
1:14
Speaker 1: so we all know something crazy is about to happen.
1:16
Speaker 1: I would agree with you. The question is, what are
1:20
Speaker 1: we going to get something from Trump going into the
1:23
Speaker 1: bitcoin conference this weekend? What do you think? What do
1:27
Speaker 1: you think anything?
1:28
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, at this point it's it is. Anyone's
1:30
Speaker 2: guess what I though am looking on the charts. I
1:33
Speaker 2: would I would imagine there's gonna be some sort this
1:37
Speaker 2: weekend of bad news. I know we got some. We
1:39
Speaker 2: got some good news. Obviously, they're gonna be actually going
1:41
Speaker 2: out to Pakistan again to discuss things with the ron
1:45
Speaker 2: I think the big headline that just came in this
1:48
Speaker 2: morning obviously was you know, for the longest time, some
1:50
Speaker 2: of those Republican senators were saying, We're not going to
1:52
Speaker 2: confirm worsh until this DOJ probe is over. That's over.
1:57
Speaker 2: So now worsh can get confirmed the assumption his rate
2:00
Speaker 2: cuts are coming. That being said, we're sitting at resistance.
2:04
Speaker 2: There's some things on the charts we'll look over here
2:06
Speaker 2: in a couple of minutes. That don't scream bullish to
2:09
Speaker 2: me just yet. I would love to be wrong, but
2:12
Speaker 2: I think the chaos right now people are feeling kind
2:14
Speaker 2: of positive. I think chaos might send us back down.
2:18
Speaker 1: Yeah. Well, hey, Zach Panel from Grayscale hit it just
2:21
Speaker 1: on something you just mentioned there, which was domino number
2:24
Speaker 1: one had to fall, and that was the DOJ dropping
2:27
Speaker 1: the criminal probe on Powell. So that was a big deal.
2:31
Speaker 1: He referenced a couple of things right here. This is
2:34
Speaker 1: how the dominos will fall for Clarity. If Clarity goes through,
2:36
Speaker 1: Trump has to take an off ramp from the FED
2:38
Speaker 1: investigation done check, the Senate Banking Committee confirms Kevin. It
2:43
Speaker 1: looks like that's gonna happen, and then the Banking Committee
2:45
Speaker 1: has to move ahead with Clarity markup, which is hopefully
2:48
Speaker 1: next step right now. And remember you got Trump going
2:54
Speaker 1: into the Las Vegas event. Yeah, right here, he's going
2:58
Speaker 1: into Bitcoin Vegas this weekend, and I don't know if
3:04
Speaker 1: he's going to get the reception that he had at
3:07
Speaker 1: the last time. What do you think do you think
3:10
Speaker 1: he's gonna get that kind of reception? We had no
3:13
Speaker 1: strategic reserve, no strategic reserve.
3:16
Speaker 2: I could be wrong, So correct me if I'm wrong.
3:19
Speaker 2: But Cash Ptel is going to be making his way
3:20
Speaker 2: out there as well. Correct. Yeah, So we'll see. I mean,
3:27
Speaker 2: if you're if you're solely into stocks, I could see you,
3:29
Speaker 2: you know, with that nice golf applause when Trump or
3:32
Speaker 2: Cash come out. But uh, I don't know about crypto investors.
3:35
Speaker 2: Trump was supposed to come in and in the first
3:37
Speaker 2: couple of months of his presidency was supposed to change
3:40
Speaker 2: everything for crypto, and he hasn't. He hasn't turned on
3:44
Speaker 2: crypto himself. It's just the policies and things he's done.
3:46
Speaker 2: Definitely cypled the entire bull market. I would not be
3:49
Speaker 2: surprised to get it. I'm not going to be there,
3:52
Speaker 2: but I'm not gonna be surprised if I was in
3:53
Speaker 2: the room. If you hear scattered applause from some diehard
3:56
Speaker 2: maga cryptonites and then some booze ringing out of a well,
4:00
Speaker 2: what would be funny? Though, There's one thing you can
4:03
Speaker 2: you can hate Trump, love and whatever? You cannot argue
4:06
Speaker 2: the man has comedic timing, So I'm interested to see
4:09
Speaker 2: how he responds to the crowd reaction.
4:12
Speaker 1: I am going to predict that he's going to get
4:14
Speaker 1: some booze.
4:15
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think so.
4:16
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think he's going to get some. I think
4:19
Speaker 1: it's going to surprise him because I think he maybe
4:22
Speaker 1: isn't as in as close of touch to the crypto community,
4:27
Speaker 1: and it's very possible that he may have to sidestep
4:31
Speaker 1: some questions around world liberty finance, which would be the
4:34
Speaker 1: worst if something like that comes.
4:36
Speaker 2: Is he supposed to be on a panel?
4:37
Speaker 1: Is you answering, No, no, no, But you know, I'm
4:40
Speaker 1: just wondering if somebody might, you.
4:41
Speaker 2: Know, yell shouted out. Well, there'll be some there'll be
4:44
Speaker 2: some heckling that one I do. Then they'll probably try
4:47
Speaker 2: to deal with it quickly.
4:48
Speaker 1: Let's look at this right here by Ted, and then
4:49
Speaker 1: we'll get into it. So May we'll start in a week.
4:53
Speaker 1: And it's been a reversal month for bitcoin, all right,
4:56
Speaker 1: This since twenty twenty one has kind of been this
4:58
Speaker 1: sell and May go away has been eighty percent of
5:01
Speaker 1: the time. Would that be the play for you this time,
5:04
Speaker 1: because this has been down trends in the years where
5:09
Speaker 1: midterms occur.
5:11
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, you know, so it's fun we have to
5:15
Speaker 2: talk about this. I was actually going to talk about
5:16
Speaker 2: in my live show today as well, this discussion. Here's
5:20
Speaker 2: what I'm a start off by saying, I am not
5:21
Speaker 2: a fan of any type of any type of analysis
5:27
Speaker 2: that just involves rhyming as its base reasoning for why
5:30
Speaker 2: you should do anything with your money. I don't believe
5:32
Speaker 2: in it, right, and I don't feel like that makes
5:33
Speaker 2: me crazy. Also, obviously, if you had applied selling Man
5:37
Speaker 2: walk Away in twenty twenty five, it would not have
5:39
Speaker 2: worked out so well for you. That was actually a
5:40
Speaker 2: pretty good time to be buying with That said, while
5:44
Speaker 2: I don't believe in the rhyme, I don't use it
5:46
Speaker 2: as my financial advisor. I do think this time anyone
5:50
Speaker 2: he uses it could end up being successful because as
5:55
Speaker 2: we're it has nothing to do with the rhyme and
5:56
Speaker 2: has to do with as we're going into the month
5:58
Speaker 2: of May. Coincidentally, I think the charts are setting themselves
6:01
Speaker 2: up for another correction.
6:03
Speaker 1: So the correction and you've got Tom Lee talking about that.
6:06
Speaker 1: I want to play in terms of a major correction,
6:09
Speaker 1: and then I want to play a clip here from
6:11
Speaker 1: Gareth talking about the Nasdaq and how this may play out.
6:15
Speaker 3: Take a look now today we are up nicely on
6:18
Speaker 3: the Nasdaq. Will we push up and tag that key
6:22
Speaker 3: trend line that makes up this bigger parallel right here,
6:25
Speaker 3: and that would be a significant signal If the Nasdaq
6:29
Speaker 3: hits the S and P has already hit, could this
6:32
Speaker 3: be the final blow off top of the market. And remember, folks, historically,
6:38
Speaker 3: if you look at the dot com bubble, the biggest,
6:41
Speaker 3: most vertical move came in the Nasdaq in the final push.
6:46
Speaker 3: The question you just never know is how high.
6:49
Speaker 2: It will go?
6:50
Speaker 1: All right? So right there you saw Gareth kind of
6:53
Speaker 1: pushing on the point that a lot of analysts have
6:55
Speaker 1: been alluding to, and that is a possible major pullback
7:00
Speaker 1: the SNP and the NASTAC with this trend heading up,
7:03
Speaker 1: which could affect bitcoin. Right now, do you think bitcoin
7:07
Speaker 1: has had its run here around seventy seven seventy nine
7:10
Speaker 1: or do you think we still have a chance at
7:12
Speaker 1: over eighty when you look at the charts.
7:15
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean when I when I say that there's
7:17
Speaker 2: a chance at over eighty. That's just because anything is possible.
7:20
Speaker 2: What I don't think is gonna happen, though, is I
7:22
Speaker 2: do not think we're going to get above eighty thousand,
7:25
Speaker 2: let's call it eighty thousand, six hundred. And my reasoning
7:28
Speaker 2: for that is this is the big wick that we
7:31
Speaker 2: had back here in November and what you have at
7:34
Speaker 2: the moment. The way my team's been working on this
7:36
Speaker 2: inside of our trading group, we're working with the established
7:39
Speaker 2: thought that this is an Elliott wave one, two, three,
7:41
Speaker 2: four five pattern. So one was between that top and
7:44
Speaker 2: that November dip down into the eighty thousand dollars level.
7:47
Speaker 2: Then Wave two was back up here to ninety eight.
7:50
Speaker 2: Wave three was down to sixty thousand. Wave four. Is
7:54
Speaker 2: it confirmed over yet? Maybe not. I think it probably is,
7:58
Speaker 2: but it can't. In Elle wave theory, you can get
8:01
Speaker 2: back up to it. You can get very close to
8:03
Speaker 2: the bottom of wave one. You don't ever go above
8:06
Speaker 2: the bottom of wave one, so that's gonna be some
8:08
Speaker 2: pretty staunch resistance, and then of course Wave five is
8:11
Speaker 2: what takes you down to your new lower low. The
8:14
Speaker 2: thing that I'm watching, though, it's not just that Elliott
8:17
Speaker 2: wave theory though, it's it's the fact that we have
8:20
Speaker 2: a lot of resistance in this camp. Notice, even as
8:22
Speaker 2: we've gotten back up high, the volume really hasn't done
8:25
Speaker 2: much of anything. Depending what timeframe you even look at,
8:28
Speaker 2: you can make the argument the times the volume starts
8:31
Speaker 2: popping up is actually as we're starting to hit some
8:34
Speaker 2: local cell spots, so the bulls aren't necessarily over exaggerating
8:38
Speaker 2: and getting stronger, and we're running into this trend of resistance.
8:41
Speaker 2: We now have on my indicators. We now have daily
8:44
Speaker 2: cell signals, we have four hour cell signals. We have
8:47
Speaker 2: both daily and four hour bearish divergences where the RSI
8:50
Speaker 2: is now put in lower highs with higher highs and
8:53
Speaker 2: price action. So you know, nothing is one hundred percent
8:56
Speaker 2: in the world of cryptocurrency and technical analysis, but I
9:00
Speaker 2: I see way more evidence saying that bitcoin right now
9:02
Speaker 2: is over bought than over sold, even with all the
9:05
Speaker 2: good news that's come out here recently. And you go
9:07
Speaker 2: off my chart here now because I'm done talking on
9:09
Speaker 2: that one. You know, there's some great headlines this week, okay,
9:12
Speaker 2: and they've taken us right back up to resistance, but
9:14
Speaker 2: we're not seeing more volume come in. We're not seeing
9:17
Speaker 2: this overwhelming push from bulls to shatter through resistance, which
9:20
Speaker 2: to me kind of spells this was more of a
9:24
Speaker 2: liquidation grab, meaning all of the people who were barised
9:27
Speaker 2: from maybe got in early to try to get this
9:30
Speaker 2: short early. We just went up liquid to them really quickly,
9:33
Speaker 2: and now we might see a misdirection to the downside.
9:36
Speaker 2: With that said, does that mean that I'm entering longs
9:38
Speaker 2: on bitcoin or ethereum? The answer there is no, And
9:41
Speaker 2: right now I actually am in a slight loss on
9:44
Speaker 2: a short position on Bitcoin I entered the other day.
9:46
Speaker 2: If you guys want to take a look at that,
9:47
Speaker 2: I'll show your community what I have going on, and
9:51
Speaker 2: it's gonna be a little confusing, but I'll explain it
9:53
Speaker 2: here in a second. So this is my trade setup
9:56
Speaker 2: that I have for bitcoin. I think it could get
9:58
Speaker 2: as low as fifty three thous so my main take
10:01
Speaker 2: profit is down there, but I have some other take
10:03
Speaker 2: profit spots I like to lock in profit on the
10:06
Speaker 2: way down. What I have now is I actually just
10:09
Speaker 2: this morning entered another short position. So I entered short
10:12
Speaker 2: the other day because there was reasonably we could pull
10:15
Speaker 2: back after this move, but after our higher high and
10:18
Speaker 2: now bearished divergence. I have two different entry positions on
10:21
Speaker 2: bitcoin at seventy seven eight ish and down here. I
10:24
Speaker 2: also entered at seventy five to nine, but again that
10:26
Speaker 2: was the other day my stop loss for the same
10:30
Speaker 2: reasons I just told you guys earlier. My stop loss
10:32
Speaker 2: right now is up at eighty one thousand. Why because
10:35
Speaker 2: if we were to break above this wik back here,
10:38
Speaker 2: we've broken the five wave Elliot wave theory thought process,
10:42
Speaker 2: in which case I at least want to reevaluate what
10:45
Speaker 2: I've been looking at at that level. That eighty thy
10:47
Speaker 2: five hundred is a hard, hard resistance level for me
10:51
Speaker 2: at the moment under the way I'm reading the markets,
10:53
Speaker 2: and like I said earlier, with those daily and four
10:56
Speaker 2: hour divergences and sell signals, we're sitting at resistance. We've
11:00
Speaker 2: been kind of thinking this is an Elliott wave move.
11:03
Speaker 2: Every reason the world right now in my opinion to
11:05
Speaker 2: be short on bitcoin, But that doesn't mean to my
11:07
Speaker 2: long term portfolio that I'm selling my bitcoin. I'm in
11:10
Speaker 2: a DCA for long term. I'm gonna set people up
11:13
Speaker 2: for proper risk management, but also prepare guess what I
11:16
Speaker 2: think next week and maybe the week after we'll be
11:18
Speaker 2: able to DCA at even lower levels.
11:20
Speaker 1: You've got BM and R Bulls talking about this right here,
11:24
Speaker 1: which is pretty much dominating in terms of top chains
11:30
Speaker 1: by fees, even over a hyper liquid there. If you
11:34
Speaker 1: look at Ethereum and Solona, I'm just gonna go to
11:37
Speaker 1: the Salona chart, and if you look at the month
11:39
Speaker 1: of April, you know, since April second, that's a twelve
11:42
Speaker 1: percent move right now? Is this one of those that
11:46
Speaker 1: you feel probably has an opportunity to be in a
11:49
Speaker 1: short position here for Solana, especially when you compare it
11:53
Speaker 1: to what's happening with Ethereum. Where would you be on
11:56
Speaker 1: Solana right now?
11:58
Speaker 2: The really easy thing, Paul, is that when you look
11:59
Speaker 2: at a lot of those cryptos, you could probably just
12:02
Speaker 2: about traded timeline wise or signal wise along with Bitcoin.
12:07
Speaker 2: So if I get a buisingal on Bitcoin, I probably
12:09
Speaker 2: should be longing solon in Ethereum. If I have a
12:11
Speaker 2: cell signal, I should be shorting it. Now, you want
12:13
Speaker 2: to look at these specific charts to see levels of
12:15
Speaker 2: serious resistance and support. For example, you look at Solana,
12:19
Speaker 2: I'm I'm gonna flip flop right here. So this is
12:21
Speaker 2: Solana's chart right here. This Bitcoin's clearly Bitcoin was trading
12:24
Speaker 2: in a rising channel, same with Ethereum, So Ethereum kind
12:28
Speaker 2: of more similar to Bitcoin Solana. While the moves and
12:32
Speaker 2: the waves were very similar, it's more horizontal, right, So,
12:35
Speaker 2: I have a resistance level here between ninety to ninety
12:38
Speaker 2: three dollars and support recently between seventy eight and seventy
12:42
Speaker 2: five dollars. But if Bitcoin sell signal holds up, by
12:46
Speaker 2: the way, those exact same signals are coming in on
12:49
Speaker 2: Solana here as well, you don't have the bearest divergences
12:52
Speaker 2: per se. But the reason you don't have the bearest
12:54
Speaker 2: divergence is is because unlike Bitcoin, we didn't just come
12:56
Speaker 2: up here and set a new last couple of months high. Here,
12:59
Speaker 2: we're actually kind of just trading sideways. So with those
13:02
Speaker 2: cell signals coming in on both these timeframes, with Bitcoin
13:06
Speaker 2: specifically having bearish divergence, I'm more of a fan right
13:09
Speaker 2: now of a move to the downside right so on Solana,
13:12
Speaker 2: and I won't set this all up perfectly, but you know,
13:16
Speaker 2: i'd be looking at short positions. I would probably be
13:19
Speaker 2: looking to take some initial profits back down here at
13:22
Speaker 2: seventy eight just because I'm a big fan of take
13:24
Speaker 2: profits as you get them, take some capital off, lower
13:27
Speaker 2: your stop loss down to break even, and then I'd
13:29
Speaker 2: be looking for moves. I have targets. I think I've
13:31
Speaker 2: said them on the show before, but I have targets.
13:34
Speaker 2: Solana could get to as low as sixty to potentially
13:36
Speaker 2: fifty dollars and no one wants to hear that. Yeah,
13:39
Speaker 2: but that's the reality of what the charts are saying
13:40
Speaker 2: right now, and that's where the big support is coming
13:42
Speaker 2: in a sixty and fifty dollars.
13:44
Speaker 1: If DeFi restores the two hundred million shortfall through voluntary coordination,
13:50
Speaker 1: it'd be an absolute historic vote of confidence. No taxpayer funded,
13:53
Speaker 1: bailed out, just grit. Okay, So DeFi is is if
13:57
Speaker 1: this in fact gets done, this would be very very
14:01
Speaker 1: bullish for DeFi in general. With all of the things
14:03
Speaker 1: that have happened in D five. Yeah, and you look
14:06
Speaker 1: at just in the last ten days, right, how First
14:10
Speaker 1: of all, how are you playing this right now? Are
14:13
Speaker 1: you working in DeFi at all with any of your
14:16
Speaker 1: strategies or are you even looking at any of the
14:18
Speaker 1: DeFi tokens, whether it's unit you know, you know, swap
14:21
Speaker 1: or even Ave.
14:23
Speaker 2: We we put out a video this last week called
14:25
Speaker 2: the Top five Real World Asset plays and or not
14:30
Speaker 2: the top five Real There was a there's a list.
14:31
Speaker 2: We did a list where we had we were talked
14:33
Speaker 2: about AVE swap. I can't remember which video it actually
14:35
Speaker 2: was at this point, and we love AVE. I recorded
14:38
Speaker 2: the video I think the day before the hack came
14:41
Speaker 2: out and uh and but we still posted it because
14:44
Speaker 2: it was a good video. It was just one of
14:45
Speaker 2: several coins on there we were talking about and I
14:48
Speaker 2: had some comments below pretty much saying, Tim, how do
14:50
Speaker 2: you ignore this information? Well, it wasn't out there when
14:51
Speaker 2: I made the video, but we did record a video
14:53
Speaker 2: shortly after because there's you know, there's that fifteen minute panic.
14:57
Speaker 2: You know, you see the news, you see the chart,
14:59
Speaker 2: you start freak out and you say, you know what,
15:02
Speaker 2: what's going on here? And do I need to rethink
15:05
Speaker 2: my allotment of AVE? And I want to show the
15:07
Speaker 2: AVE chart. I know this wasn't probably part of the plan,
15:09
Speaker 2: but I want to show people what I saw in
15:10
Speaker 2: the chart. So so, ALVE has started to catch some
15:13
Speaker 2: momentum here was even starting to break for the first
15:17
Speaker 2: time since this trend line started back here in August
15:20
Speaker 2: to twenty twenty five. We actually put some a daily candle,
15:23
Speaker 2: actually two daily candles above that red line. But then
15:26
Speaker 2: the news came out here, and the news came out
15:27
Speaker 2: around I think it was Saturday the eighteenth, and then
15:29
Speaker 2: we dropped. But look what we dropped back down to.
15:32
Speaker 2: You know, if you were just reading headlines. I told
15:36
Speaker 2: this to my cud, you would have thought that the
15:38
Speaker 2: chart had actually looked like this, right, yeah, you would
15:42
Speaker 2: have thought that we were at Low's We hadn't seen
15:43
Speaker 2: a long time. We just dropped back down to the
15:46
Speaker 2: same support level we were at the week prior. So
15:50
Speaker 2: this isn't screaming at me a massive exodus from AVE.
15:54
Speaker 2: What's even more important is this wasn't the first time.
15:56
Speaker 2: It was the largest hack, but this wasn't the first
15:58
Speaker 2: time anything on built on A had gotten hacked and
16:01
Speaker 2: it had been some sort of problem. What I'm telling
16:04
Speaker 2: my community is we haven't had a legitimate You know,
16:07
Speaker 2: you used to live in this world where every other
16:09
Speaker 2: month people would come out with some sort of reason
16:10
Speaker 2: why bitcoin was dead, and it felt real. When was
16:14
Speaker 2: the last time someone claim People claim bitcoin dead all
16:16
Speaker 2: the time, but no one actually ever, it never affects us.
16:20
Speaker 2: I think we're in a new wave where DeFi. You're
16:23
Speaker 2: gonna hear a lot of DeFi is dead. DeFi is dead,
16:25
Speaker 2: and there's gonna be there's be very real situations that
16:28
Speaker 2: happened that make your brain and your guts feel like, man,
16:31
Speaker 2: I think this might be it. This might hurt. The
16:34
Speaker 2: last real big one was what FTX collapse way back
16:40
Speaker 2: there in twenty twenty two. You can you trust the
16:43
Speaker 2: DeFi world whatsoever? Remember, remember one token this is I
16:46
Speaker 2: think this One of the earliest times is on your
16:48
Speaker 2: show you talked about this before. One of the token's
16:51
Speaker 2: most hurt by that whole situation was Solana, and the
16:55
Speaker 2: whole thing came out Solana is dead. DeFi is dead.
16:59
Speaker 2: I came on your show and you remind me of
17:01
Speaker 2: several times. I wasn't a fan of Salon at the time,
17:04
Speaker 2: but I told you on your show, I said, I
17:05
Speaker 2: think eight dollars is a decent support level. Bottom out
17:08
Speaker 2: of eight dollars. What would go on the next year.
17:10
Speaker 2: Solana would go on to be the number one token
17:13
Speaker 2: in cryptocurrency, and while it's not necessarily the top list
17:16
Speaker 2: right now, the charts aren't doing anything sexy. I don't
17:18
Speaker 2: think anyone thinks Salana is dead or gone, but it
17:21
Speaker 2: felt back in the fall of twenty two times, it
17:25
Speaker 2: felt like Solana was done for sure. And I think
17:28
Speaker 2: we're looking at something very similar right here with Ave,
17:31
Speaker 2: where Ave is the number one player right now in
17:33
Speaker 2: the DeFi space. And yeah, they have a black eye,
17:36
Speaker 2: but the charts not falling apart. And I told my
17:38
Speaker 2: community also, Paul I said, we will always need DeFi
17:42
Speaker 2: as long as two things are true. Number one, as
17:46
Speaker 2: long as people exist, and number two as long as
17:50
Speaker 2: governments are corrupt. And I don't think I don't think
17:54
Speaker 2: either one's about to change. So DeFi has a black eye.
17:59
Speaker 2: DeFi correct, but I say as an opportunity because it'll
18:03
Speaker 2: switch all around. And I think AVE uniswap DeFi as
18:06
Speaker 2: a whole. We'll forget these headlines in the next world.
18:09
Speaker 1: It seems as though it's starting to recover with the
18:13
Speaker 1: amount of negative news that came against it. And I
18:16
Speaker 1: think it's interesting too. I have a whole theory that
18:19
Speaker 1: we'll do in the Lightning Round that I want to
18:20
Speaker 1: get your opinion on it. Let's jump over to XRP
18:24
Speaker 1: Real quick. This wasn't necessarily a ripple announcement, but it
18:27
Speaker 1: wasn't announced by Sofi where they're now allowing access to
18:31
Speaker 1: XRP within the Sofi account. This was intriguing to me
18:35
Speaker 1: because Sofi has a large number of users. But more
18:39
Speaker 1: importantly is that it's a bank that now has XRP access,
18:42
Speaker 1: which means we're probably going to see more banks starting
18:45
Speaker 1: to roll in this, which means maybe more retail adoption.
18:49
Speaker 1: When you look at the XRP chart right now, granted
18:52
Speaker 1: it's just like everything else, there's been a nice little
18:55
Speaker 1: up for a short period of time. We're expecting a
18:58
Speaker 1: possible retracement. Where would be an entryport for a brand
19:02
Speaker 1: new XRP holder.
19:04
Speaker 2: A brand new one? Well again, yeah, so by saying
19:08
Speaker 2: it's a very good distinction to say brand new, brand new,
19:12
Speaker 2: you don't know what to look for yourself, You don't
19:14
Speaker 2: know who to trust. I tell people all the time, like,
19:16
Speaker 2: I'm not a financial advisor, Paul, I could be wrong.
19:18
Speaker 2: I don't think you're a financial advisor. You know, we're
19:20
Speaker 2: just two guys who are invest in space. We're put
19:22
Speaker 2: our personal money into it. We have educated analytics that
19:26
Speaker 2: maybe a beginner doesn't have. But but I'm not gonna
19:28
Speaker 2: sit here and lie to you. You don't lie to people.
19:29
Speaker 2: You don't know what the future looks like for price action.
19:32
Speaker 2: But there's proper tactics on investing, and that is again
19:37
Speaker 2: DCA strategy. I'm a technical analyst, and I will tell
19:39
Speaker 2: you at the beginning, DCA, DA DCA, it's always wins.
19:44
Speaker 2: When's a good spot to buy XRP right now? Why?
19:47
Speaker 2: Because I actually walked my brother through this the day
19:49
Speaker 2: I was. My brother invests and I told him, right now,
19:52
Speaker 2: there's there's four options out there. Number One, you can
19:55
Speaker 2: just not invest because you trust the US dollar more
19:57
Speaker 2: than you trust crypto. Sure, that's an option, but if
19:59
Speaker 2: you're watching his content, that's probably not you. Number Two,
20:02
Speaker 2: you could go all in right now. All of you know,
20:05
Speaker 2: ten thousand dollars the best put it all in right now. Listen.
20:08
Speaker 2: If the bottom's in and we go up, you sound brilliant.
20:11
Speaker 2: If the bottom's not in and we go down, you
20:13
Speaker 2: feel like an idiot. The option three is you think
20:16
Speaker 2: we're gonna go down. Let's say you think xrpiece gonna
20:19
Speaker 2: drop to a dollar twenty and you hold all of
20:22
Speaker 2: it for a dollar twenty. Well, guess what happens. If
20:24
Speaker 2: we go to a dollar twenty, you feel smart. If
20:27
Speaker 2: we go up, you feel.
20:29
Speaker 1: Like an idiot.
20:30
Speaker 2: Yeah, option, you're set, right answer, don't put it all
20:33
Speaker 2: in right now. If I had ten thousand dollars, spread
20:36
Speaker 2: that out over the next ten weeks. I think we
20:38
Speaker 2: have some time here, at least over the next five weeks.
20:41
Speaker 2: A portion today, a portion next week, a portion the
20:44
Speaker 2: week after, and that way you get the best. At
20:47
Speaker 2: the bottom's in, you'll layer it on the way up.
20:49
Speaker 2: But you had this week was a great option. If
20:51
Speaker 2: the bottom's not in, great you're gonna be able to
20:53
Speaker 2: lower your average position over the next couple of weeks
20:55
Speaker 2: as we dip back down.
20:57
Speaker 1: Let's jump over to our special. We have a new
21:01
Speaker 1: special lightning round.
21:02
Speaker 4: Oh my goodness, I love, oh my goodness, that day
21:08
Speaker 4: one thousand clarity not but it's because of your your
21:12
Speaker 4: you know, your personal test.
21:13
Speaker 1: You know that's why I asked you the question, are
21:15
Speaker 1: you working out in anyway? We thought we'd have some
21:21
Speaker 1: fun with that.
21:21
Speaker 2: We got the trend. I gotta start adding into my regiment.
21:26
Speaker 1: Yeah, there you go. Man. Hey, let's go over here.
21:29
Speaker 1: What is more likely to happen. First, do we get
21:32
Speaker 1: stable cooin yield compromise or do we get a straight
21:35
Speaker 1: of horror moves compromise.
21:37
Speaker 2: That's a good question. My business partner, T Shroom, he
21:40
Speaker 2: would tell you that the reason the state they're not
21:42
Speaker 2: going to solve the stable coin problem until they solve
21:45
Speaker 2: the her moves problem. I don't know that that's true, though.
21:49
Speaker 2: Part of me wants to be in the middle because
21:50
Speaker 2: I'm not sure. But I actually think that we might
21:52
Speaker 2: solve the stable coin yield problem first. Okay, that's I'm
21:55
Speaker 2: leaning right now.
21:57
Speaker 1: I am. I'm with you on that. I think we're
22:00
Speaker 1: gonna find out one way or another. I think because
22:02
Speaker 1: we're we're at the deadline here. Granted, you know any
22:06
Speaker 1: day now, actually, you know what, I'm gonna change mine.
22:08
Speaker 1: I think any day now we could get this done.
22:11
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go there.
22:12
Speaker 2: Yeah, there we go.
22:13
Speaker 1: All right. Trump's speech tomorrow, this happens at the Bigcoin conference.
22:18
Speaker 1: What would he most likely say about clarity, generic statement
22:22
Speaker 1: or nothing? Or will he call out the banks.
22:26
Speaker 2: He'd be stupid to call it the banks, because I
22:28
Speaker 2: think he's hoping that they're going to play deals. So
22:30
Speaker 2: I'm going to say, probably generic statement or nothing. By
22:33
Speaker 2: the way that he was it was a generic nothing
22:34
Speaker 2: statement last time he talked to the bigcoin conference. So
22:37
Speaker 2: I think when you're in Gensler, it'd be stupid if
22:40
Speaker 2: he goes out and goes after the banks because he
22:44
Speaker 2: he needs to be friends with them. He needs to
22:46
Speaker 2: he needs to make them feel like buddies to get
22:48
Speaker 2: this deal across the line. So I'm gonna go think
22:50
Speaker 2: I think, I think so. I don't think Trump he's
22:54
Speaker 2: going to get onto it enemies right now.
22:55
Speaker 1: I think he's gonna go crazy. I think maybe go
22:58
Speaker 1: all in, maybe and get them. Uh, there you go.
23:01
Speaker 1: If stable coin yield deal isn't reached in the next
23:04
Speaker 1: seven days, Trump unleashes another tweet. You know, he's already
23:08
Speaker 1: done it once again these tweets. But what do you
23:11
Speaker 1: think next seven days?
23:14
Speaker 2: If it does pass the next seven days, he'll find
23:16
Speaker 2: some reason to unleash a tweet. So let's go. Yes,
23:18
Speaker 2: there's one thing we can count on. It's a it's
23:20
Speaker 2: a crazy Trump.
23:22
Speaker 1: We're gonna truth post market crashes on May first, expecting
23:26
Speaker 1: a clarity markup.
23:30
Speaker 2: See, I don't even know, I mean, I don't I'm
23:33
Speaker 2: gonna say yes. I don't know if it's May first itself,
23:35
Speaker 2: or it's a little before or a little after. But
23:37
Speaker 2: I do think markets again, the charts are telling me
23:40
Speaker 2: the markets have a crash.
23:41
Speaker 1: Coming in the in the month of May. I'm in
23:43
Speaker 1: agreement with that.
23:45
Speaker 2: Or right before you here's.
23:46
Speaker 1: A conspiracy theory. This is something we've been with thinking
23:49
Speaker 1: about recent drift and kelp dal hacks, the DeFi situation. Yep,
23:55
Speaker 1: we're perfectly timed by Citadel to kill the clarity and
23:59
Speaker 1: DeFi our protections. What do you think?
24:01
Speaker 2: Yeah, I didn't know we were gonna get that part
24:03
Speaker 2: of the conversation. I'm not gonna pull it out.
24:05
Speaker 1: You know, what do you want to put on the
24:07
Speaker 1: tim you know?
24:08
Speaker 2: You know why not? You know, we have to we
24:10
Speaker 2: have to give the people what they want. Yeah, this
24:14
Speaker 2: is what I speculated. I have no evidence, Paul, but
24:17
Speaker 2: the timing and the coincidence, it's just uncanny. It's just uncanny.
24:22
Speaker 2: And and I've been saying for a long time. I
24:25
Speaker 2: think that, Paul. I think they already know what they
24:27
Speaker 2: want to do. I think they've already come to terms,
24:29
Speaker 2: but they're not ready for price bottom to be in yet,
24:32
Speaker 2: so they got to play this song and dance and
24:34
Speaker 2: freak out retail. But part of that song and dance
24:36
Speaker 2: is we have to we have to give them nibbles
24:38
Speaker 2: to make them feel optimistic. So anyone listenings right now
24:41
Speaker 2: saying tim, they've had so many good conversations like yes,
24:43
Speaker 2: that's part of the song and dance. Now they're gonna
24:45
Speaker 2: crush our spirits and then they're gonna bottom. They're gonna
24:48
Speaker 2: buy the dip. And then all of a sudden, the
24:49
Speaker 2: stars aligned and oh, guys, we came to an agreement.
24:51
Speaker 2: Let's pass this bill.
24:52
Speaker 1: The party's on.
24:53
Speaker 2: Yeah, here we go.
24:55
Speaker 1: I've a opening DeFi withdrawgates, will dump all coins one
24:59
Speaker 1: more time.
25:01
Speaker 2: I don't know that's all reason. Yeah, I don't know.
25:03
Speaker 2: I think that. I think all coins, Yes, all coins
25:06
Speaker 2: dump one more time. I don't know if I blame
25:09
Speaker 2: ave necessarily, but they will.
25:12
Speaker 1: All right? Uh? Justin Sun versus Word, Liberty five unleashes
25:15
Speaker 1: the world. Liberty five files exposes years of long pay
25:20
Speaker 1: for play corruption by industry leaders.
25:23
Speaker 2: What do you think unlikely? Unlikely? I think that Trump's
25:26
Speaker 2: going to be able to.
25:28
Speaker 1: High settle or they get a they get a settle. Yes,
25:31
Speaker 1: something because all the just that's my I'm in that camp.
25:35
Speaker 1: I think they settle out. I think that Justin gets
25:38
Speaker 1: his way. They then they're you know, they're hugging a
25:40
Speaker 1: banana again, you know, and they're back at it doing
25:45
Speaker 1: the things they do. Kevin Warsh immediately cuts rates in
25:48
Speaker 1: his first or second meeting f MC meeting.
25:52
Speaker 2: Yes first, first or second?
25:54
Speaker 1: Yes, first or second. Okay, I'm with you on that
25:56
Speaker 1: one as well. I think he will. He's setting it
25:59
Speaker 1: up too. And a lot of these hearings if you
26:01
Speaker 1: listened to how he's talking about inflation, and you know
26:04
Speaker 1: he's blaming Hey, inflation isn't caused by anything except you
26:07
Speaker 1: dummies printing money and spending too much. Right, all right,
26:11
Speaker 1: well we'll see first or second meeting. I think I
26:15
Speaker 1: thought I got that. Yeah, there we go.
26:16
Speaker 2: All right.
26:17
Speaker 1: What is the better leveraged trad fi bitcoin eth play
26:21
Speaker 1: post clarity? Would it be Master or BM and R.
26:27
Speaker 2: I don't know. Let me look at the BNMR chart
26:30
Speaker 2: real quickly, because I know where micro strategy is.
26:35
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with BM and R for Yeah, I'm
26:37
Speaker 1: looking at this, I think because I'm more of an
26:41
Speaker 1: eth eth play right now, even though I do like
26:44
Speaker 1: some of them. Listen, we just had the master guys
26:47
Speaker 1: on the strategy guys on this week. I think we're
26:50
Speaker 1: gonna publish that video today or tomorrow. It's already out, Okay,
26:54
Speaker 1: so the uh that was a good interview because we
26:57
Speaker 1: learned a lot about Stretch, which is one of their
27:01
Speaker 1: leverage products, which is very interesting and if anything, that
27:05
Speaker 1: could be intriguing. But I still think BM and R
27:08
Speaker 1: has more upside.
27:10
Speaker 2: Yeah. An extremely quick look at the charts and I
27:15
Speaker 2: can't go to depth here, but I think that there's
27:17
Speaker 2: a little more meat on the bones for b M
27:19
Speaker 2: and R to continue to move out versus micro Strategy
27:23
Speaker 2: looking a little bit more overbought in my opinion. So yeah,
27:27
Speaker 2: very good.
27:28
Speaker 1: What is the bigger stable coin adoption news? This week?
27:30
Speaker 1: We get Morgan Stanley doing stable coin reserves portfolio and
27:33
Speaker 1: we call it MILF. It has to be MILF. I mean,
27:40
Speaker 1: come on, it has to be to be or port Hub,
27:45
Speaker 1: that's the one that needs to be.
27:48
Speaker 2: I don't even know if the right answer is ladies
27:50
Speaker 2: apologize for this principle. I'm gonna hope Stanley. Let's go
27:55
Speaker 2: with Morgan Stanley.
27:55
Speaker 1: Morgan Stanley all right, there you go myself. It would
28:00
Speaker 1: just be too good, just be so beautiful. Oh man,
28:04
Speaker 1: so crazy? Yeah, all right, So let's go to this
28:07
Speaker 1: one right here. What prediction market is more likely to
28:10
Speaker 1: take purpse market share away from hyperlinquid? Do you think
28:13
Speaker 1: it would be calshiy or polymarket if it gets powered
28:15
Speaker 1: by chain link?
28:16
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's been Listen, that's just an added bonus for
28:19
Speaker 2: me that is powered by chain Link. If you had
28:21
Speaker 2: left those little details off there, I still would have
28:23
Speaker 2: said poly market.
28:24
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm with you. Okay, what else we got here?
28:26
Speaker 1: I think we got one more. After Clarity passes, Coinbase
28:31
Speaker 1: unleashes a mega ad campaign telling America to flee the banks.
28:42
Speaker 2: See. I don't know, these are good questions that you're
28:44
Speaker 2: making my brain even think about it. I've never even
28:46
Speaker 2: thought about it. But Coinbase is very creative with their ads,
28:51
Speaker 2: so they're gonna do. I don't know if it's gonna
28:53
Speaker 2: be like obvious, but like I watch for them to
28:55
Speaker 2: potentially maybe subtly put that out there, like find a
28:59
Speaker 2: way of on a story that makes people say, yeah,
29:01
Speaker 2: I don't trust banks, I needed to move my money
29:04
Speaker 2: coin Base.
29:05
Speaker 1: I think they're going to go hammered down. I think
29:08
Speaker 1: this will be Yeah, this is gonna be everybody. Yeah, okay, well,
29:12
Speaker 1: the likelihood is it's going to be. You know, there's
29:15
Speaker 1: going to be a compromise on on this. That coinbase
29:17
Speaker 1: didn't get everything to wanted, so I think they're going
29:19
Speaker 1: to be a little bit contentions, a little bit of payback,
29:23
Speaker 1: you know, payback fair play, as they say. If you're
29:26
Speaker 1: not out there following Tim Warren over on YouTube, make
29:28
Speaker 1: sure to do that Tim warton trades right there, the
29:31
Speaker 1: latest video right here. Game over this one right here,
29:36
Speaker 1: game over. Go watch that one right now. Spend some
29:39
Speaker 1: time with Tim.
29:40
Speaker 2: I love it.
29:41
Speaker 1: It's good seeing you man. Take care you too. If
29:51
Speaker 1: you like this video, like and subscribe, drop a comment
29:54
Speaker 1: down below, and also join our free private member group.
29:57
Speaker 1: The link is in the description.
30:00
Speaker 4: Yeah