Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Tuesday, 05/05/26
Transcript
- 0:11Speaker 1: All systems going clear lift.
- 0:42Speaker 2: What is going on?
- 0:43Speaker 3: Timernation YouTube station Tuesday nine games core field did get
- 0:49Speaker 3: rained out or postponed for inclement weather. They're so we
- 0:52Speaker 3: don't have no course field to talk about. We got
- 0:56Speaker 3: a lot of crap to talk about here and hopefully
- 0:59Speaker 3: we can molded into u to some money at the
- 1:02Speaker 3: end of the night.
- 1:03Speaker 2: There.
- 1:04Speaker 3: Pitching kind of sucks, offense kind of sucks. No good
- 1:07Speaker 3: weather really anywhere, should be a pretty interesting game. Our
- 1:11Speaker 3: slate to break down here, got my main guy g Risen,
- 1:15Speaker 3: massive contest over on DraftKings and fan duel.
- 1:17Speaker 2: We love Tuesday baseball with nothing really else going on.
- 1:21Speaker 3: Obviously got the NBA playoffs, NHL playoffs, but the main
- 1:25Speaker 3: focus on Tuesdays is MLB, and we got it here
- 1:29Speaker 3: to to break it down. So I got Philly Fantom
- 1:32Speaker 3: in here, Ricky Rose, Scooter McGavin, Taco Todd, Warren Tyler,
- 1:36Speaker 3: Adam Avery.
- 1:37Speaker 2: Appreciate y'all tuning in here and getting in nice and early.
- 1:39Speaker 2: Hit that like button.
- 1:40Speaker 3: Hit the subscribe button helps us a ton gm Rosen,
- 1:43Speaker 3: what's going on?
- 1:44Speaker 2: Brother? Happy Tuesday?
- 1:44Speaker 3: Cinco de Mayo for all those fellas out there and
- 1:48Speaker 3: people celebrating that I'm heading to the old, the old
- 1:51Speaker 3: Mexican restaurant after after Locke with the old missus, and
- 1:56Speaker 3: I'm gonna get some margarita's, get some nice food, got
- 1:59Speaker 3: a couple of beer, a couple of Bruskies.
- 2:01Speaker 2: Right now, I know you got the corona rocking over there.
- 2:04Speaker 3: We got good, good vines rolling into to the Slate breakdown.
- 2:08Speaker 2: What's going on? Man?
- 2:09Speaker 4: Man, we are on the same page when we come
- 2:12Speaker 4: into the coming to the show here, coming in hot.
- 2:15Speaker 4: I come in working real god thought, man, I got
- 2:17Speaker 4: I gotta get me a beer before I go on
- 2:19Speaker 4: the show. Shit, it's sinkle demyo. I talked to the wife.
- 2:22Speaker 4: She says, hey, we gotta go out to eat for
- 2:24Speaker 4: some Mexican tonight. Get some margaritas and have some Medellos
- 2:28Speaker 4: and some coronas. And I was like, all right, but
- 2:30Speaker 4: I gotta do the show first. She's like, yeah, okay, cool.
- 2:33Speaker 4: So I come on, got me a corona. And Nate says,
- 2:35Speaker 4: I gotta go get some Mexican after the show. And
- 2:38Speaker 4: I said, we're on the same page, you know, like
- 2:41Speaker 4: we're already on the same page.
- 2:42Speaker 5: And then he says this.
- 2:43Speaker 4: Sake, this slate sucks, pitching sucks, weather sucks. You know,
- 2:47Speaker 4: like we're pretty much on the same page. But you know,
- 2:49Speaker 4: if we have one of these tasty Mexican adult beverages
- 2:54Speaker 4: Sinkle Demayo, it helps the mood, like and then you
- 2:57Speaker 4: just say fuck it and then you just have a
- 2:59Speaker 4: good time and you know, talk some baseball, have some fun.
- 3:02Speaker 4: I mean, it was a pretty good week for me, Nates.
- 3:04Speaker 4: I'd say it's one of the better weeks I've had
- 3:06Speaker 4: in quite a while. I literally cashed every day in
- 3:08Speaker 4: a row for the since I was on last well
- 3:12Speaker 4: it's been from Monday till Monday. Basically it was what
- 3:16Speaker 4: eight days, so every day I made money and I
- 3:19Speaker 4: only played basically two or three lineups. So I mean,
- 3:22Speaker 4: I'm not saying I took down like millions like Hoop does,
- 3:25Speaker 4: and you know, like like Tambo and stuff, but you
- 3:28Speaker 4: know it was decent enough to you know, make you know,
- 3:31Speaker 4: pay a little bit for the golf league this week.
- 3:34Speaker 4: You know, you can go the first week, you get
- 3:36Speaker 4: chunked off for five hundred and sixty bones on the
- 3:38Speaker 4: first team day, You're like, fuck man, it's a kick
- 3:41Speaker 4: in the.
- 3:41Speaker 5: Balls, but hey, thanks for DFS Baseball.
- 3:44Speaker 4: It was like, you know, I got my pal money
- 3:46Speaker 4: right here, Nates, you just chunk it off and just
- 3:48Speaker 4: count it out. But uh yeah, a lot of fun.
- 3:51Speaker 4: But I gotta give you all some credit, like, dude, Like,
- 3:54Speaker 4: you know, when I'm not working on my slate and
- 3:56Speaker 4: then on Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, I'm doing my ship a
- 3:58Speaker 4: thing and you diving in. You know, there's some days
- 4:01Speaker 4: you just are rolling in hot, like and you got
- 4:03Speaker 4: an hour before slate, right, But who else do I
- 4:06Speaker 4: trust better than my man Aid's ham. We got fucking
- 4:10Speaker 4: fantasy tip Matt not like, dude, Like, there's no better
- 4:13Speaker 4: freaking team. But I already know when I opened it up,
- 4:16Speaker 4: I can check. Dude, here's their favorite stacks. I kind
- 4:19Speaker 4: of go from there. Kind of gives me a short cut.
- 4:21Speaker 4: I already know, kind of like like to do I
- 4:23Speaker 4: dumping in my opto and wham obamo I win. You know,
- 4:26Speaker 4: I was like, dude, I can't take all the credit.
- 4:29Speaker 4: It's the whole team here. So even the days you
- 4:31Speaker 4: can't lock in, it's really nice to have, you know,
- 4:33Speaker 4: people that you know are checking out, making sure you're
- 4:37Speaker 4: getting some good information, giving you a little bit of strategy.
- 4:40Speaker 5: Here and there.
- 4:40Speaker 4: I mean, Nate's we got it going on here at shit,
- 4:43Speaker 4: and we've been hot recently. I mean all our sports
- 4:45Speaker 4: been crushing. It's been good times around here.
- 4:48Speaker 2: Yeah, it's been a really really good week for baseball.
- 4:51Speaker 5: Uh.
- 4:52Speaker 3: We nailed the slate yesterday for the most part. There,
- 4:55Speaker 3: Yanks got the job done. Davis Martin, my boy, got
- 4:59Speaker 3: the job done. I was I had like sixty percent
- 5:02Speaker 3: Davis Martin, So I had a good night overall. But yeah,
- 5:05Speaker 3: it was a really fun slate. So we'll try and
- 5:07Speaker 3: run it back here. Right, it sounds like you have
- 5:10Speaker 3: had one.
- 5:11Speaker 2: Now. That's just g riseing. He loves talking baseball.
- 5:13Speaker 3: We we love to get on these shows and kind
- 5:16Speaker 3: of put our heart and soul into these.
- 5:18Speaker 2: We don't just get on here and look at it.
- 5:19Speaker 2: The tour. This is fun, right, this is funny.
- 5:23Speaker 4: You never know who could be watching you. Halle Berry
- 5:26Speaker 4: could be watching me, and she might want a little
- 5:28Speaker 4: bit of this. I mean, I don't have too big
- 5:30Speaker 4: a man, I do have the dad gut.
- 5:34Speaker 5: Just hit me up at g Rising right there on
- 5:36Speaker 5: the screen.
- 5:37Speaker 3: I'm all yours, Oh boy, I want to start to
- 5:42Speaker 3: sinking the mile here you gotta have some fun. Yeah,
- 5:44Speaker 3: that crazy enough. He he just opened that before we
- 5:49Speaker 3: went live. Myself included here, so it couldn't be a
- 5:52Speaker 3: fun night of baseball on tap. We're gonna go ahead
- 5:54Speaker 3: and pull our partner Sabers him up on the screen here.
- 5:58Speaker 3: I did do a dry run kind of seeing what
- 6:00Speaker 3: projections are spitting out here, Gui Risen. In terms of pictures,
- 6:04Speaker 3: it's Otani, Tayan, Gavin Williams, Web de Gram are really
- 6:08Speaker 3: the only guys getting any sort of love. In terms
- 6:10Speaker 3: of the optos stacks White Sox, Dodgers, Rangers, Pirates, d Backs.
- 6:17Speaker 2: So that's kind of the broad slate overview.
- 6:19Speaker 3: As you see, it's kind of a lot more spread
- 6:22Speaker 3: out than typically what we see on projections, right like
- 6:25Speaker 3: yesterday obviously about one hundred percent cub stacks with with
- 6:28Speaker 3: the Wrigley win game. That didn't really come through there,
- 6:32Speaker 3: so I like to just run it and see what
- 6:34Speaker 3: we're seeing here.
- 6:35Speaker 2: So about five offenses, five pitchers or so.
- 6:39Speaker 3: That kind of sets up the slate right we talked
- 6:41Speaker 3: about at the top, not really it doesn't feel like
- 6:46Speaker 3: a clearcut, cookie cutter slate, which I do like for tournaments.
- 6:49Speaker 3: I am prioritizing kind of MM large field tournaments tonight,
- 6:52Speaker 3: just because I think a lot of these teams could
- 6:56Speaker 3: could be it, and teams that we probably don't even
- 6:58Speaker 3: like that much and have a ton of interest on
- 7:01Speaker 3: it as we're breaking it down, could be definitely the
- 7:03Speaker 3: most optimal team for lineups and win the most amount
- 7:07Speaker 3: of money tonight, just because that's the type of slate right. Sure,
- 7:10Speaker 3: Otani's a great player pitcher, but he's ten to seven
- 7:13Speaker 3: against Astro's team there, who hits the ball pretty well.
- 7:17Speaker 3: You got to Grommet ninety seven in Yankee Stadium there
- 7:20Speaker 3: against the Yankees right now. Yeah, feels pretty wide open
- 7:26Speaker 3: slate from pitching and offensive wi So we'll do our
- 7:29Speaker 3: best to break it down here.
- 7:31Speaker 2: Throw it over to you pitching. It came above.
- 7:33Speaker 3: We've got Peter Lambert, who has looked vastly or big
- 7:36Speaker 3: time improved this year. Not probably the spot to play
- 7:41Speaker 3: him against the Dodgers coming to town there.
- 7:43Speaker 2: Bryce Elder eighty five hundred.
- 7:44Speaker 3: Don't really like him much, especially with all those lefties
- 7:46Speaker 3: in that Seattle line up there where he does struggle.
- 7:49Speaker 3: But the four guys or the five guys at the top,
- 7:51Speaker 3: Otani de Gram.
- 7:52Speaker 2: Williams, Kirby, Logan Webb. I think all five of them
- 7:55Speaker 2: are play Otani's quote unquote the chalk of the slate,
- 7:59Speaker 2: if you will.
- 8:00Speaker 3: But the rest of these guys are all going to
- 8:01Speaker 3: get ownership anywhere from probably twenty to thirty percent ownership
- 8:05Speaker 3: amongst them. And I don't think that's really any reason
- 8:09Speaker 3: to take you off one guy or the other outside
- 8:12Speaker 3: of that. So, how do you see this top five
- 8:15Speaker 3: for sure in kind of this spend up tier, I'll say,
- 8:18Speaker 3: and then we'll break down below ak efter, Yeah.
- 8:23Speaker 4: I mean we can start with mister Showhey, I don't
- 8:26Speaker 4: I mean, I don't know if this dude's like a
- 8:28Speaker 4: cartoon character or what the way he's been so far
- 8:31Speaker 4: in his career, but I mean, the dude's just amazing.
- 8:33Speaker 5: I mean you just look at him so far this year.
- 8:35Speaker 4: He's had a forty three percent almost forty four per
- 8:37Speaker 4: krate to right He's he's twenty three point three to lefties.
- 8:41Speaker 4: But I mean he's got over fifty percent ground balls
- 8:44Speaker 4: on top of that, you know, like he's get half
- 8:47Speaker 4: the time to.
- 8:47Speaker 5: Even hit it.
- 8:48Speaker 4: It's more more and halftime it's a ground ball. I mean,
- 8:50Speaker 4: this dude's just amazing. So it's kind of hard to
- 8:53Speaker 4: peel off show hey on fan Duel. It's maybe a
- 8:56Speaker 4: little easier on DK because of the salary. He's all
- 8:59Speaker 4: the way up ten to seven over here on DK.
- 9:02Speaker 4: And you know you got du Graham one thousand cheaper
- 9:04Speaker 4: at ninety seven hundred. I'm you know, I Da gram
- 9:08Speaker 4: is is interesting to me. I think I would have
- 9:11Speaker 4: to think about that one as more of a like a.
- 9:15Speaker 5: Ownership type play.
- 9:16Speaker 4: I think for me, like just kind of looking at
- 9:18Speaker 4: these five, I think the Gram the people are just
- 9:20Speaker 4: gonna see that he's pitching against the Yankees. I think
- 9:23Speaker 4: people may peel off him a little bit, but maybe
- 9:26Speaker 4: the strike cards aren't there like.
- 9:28Speaker 5: Like Otani has.
- 9:29Speaker 4: But I mean Yankees do have some strikeouts in that lineup,
- 9:31Speaker 4: So I don't mind attacking the Yankees here. You just
- 9:35Speaker 4: got to obviously avoid the power. Yankees obviously been hitting
- 9:37Speaker 4: their bell rates been good. But I mean du Gram's
- 9:40Speaker 4: just one of them guys, right Like, I feel like
- 9:41Speaker 4: he's a good enough pitcher to navigate through that Yankee lineup.
- 9:45Speaker 4: So I don't mind Da Groam for like tournament plays.
- 9:48Speaker 4: I would never like consider him a cash play or
- 9:50Speaker 4: whatever else. But I mean the upside's there. I mean
- 9:53Speaker 4: he could get seven eight k's. I could see him
- 9:55Speaker 4: go five six inning, seven eight k's. I could see
- 9:58Speaker 4: that Texas bullpen behind him has a been bad. So
- 10:01Speaker 4: I think that's some play. Gavin Williams, I think is
- 10:04Speaker 4: really interesting. I mean, this dude's been at a thirty
- 10:06Speaker 4: one k raid he said what nine ks uh in
- 10:11Speaker 4: a handful of starts. I mean he's been pretty good. Uh,
- 10:15Speaker 4: that's just you know, I think at his price ninety
- 10:19Speaker 4: three and the chalky is he is. I mean, I
- 10:22Speaker 4: don't mind picking on the Royals, but the Royals really
- 10:25Speaker 4: don't have the strikeout matchups that that I really want
- 10:28Speaker 4: to see either for Gavin Williams. So if there he's
- 10:31Speaker 4: going to be a little bit more chalky, I think
- 10:32Speaker 4: i'd avoid Gavin Williams, to tell you the truth, Just
- 10:36Speaker 4: of these five, I guess what I'm what you were
- 10:38Speaker 4: talking about the top five. Kirby at home has been
- 10:41Speaker 4: really good, but he's just not really a plus strike,
- 10:43Speaker 4: you know, matchup strikeout type pitcher. So I mean it
- 10:46Speaker 4: gets in Atlanta team that you know has been really hot.
- 10:51Speaker 4: Here you got a game total sitting at seven and
- 10:53Speaker 4: a half. Kirby, You know k percentage is twenty one
- 10:57Speaker 4: percent to right, he's seventeen percent to let I mean
- 11:02Speaker 4: as Albi's must be seeing beach balls here recently, dude's
- 11:06Speaker 4: been smacking the shit out of the baseball. But Kirby
- 11:10Speaker 4: at home, I think that to me is kind of
- 11:12Speaker 4: like a like a high high floor, not the highest
- 11:17Speaker 4: ceiling type play, I guess. I mean on this leg too,
- 11:20Speaker 4: I don't think pitching's that good. After we get past
- 11:22Speaker 4: these five, it gets pretty ugly pretty quick. So I
- 11:25Speaker 4: think these guys are playing Logan Web out there in
- 11:27Speaker 4: the good Pitchers Park. I think would be one of
- 11:29Speaker 4: my favorite guys too against against San Diego out there
- 11:33Speaker 4: at home. So I mean, Otani to me is a
- 11:36Speaker 4: guy i'd probably jam in. I think he'd be one
- 11:39Speaker 4: to play. I think the pivot off Otani is de
- 11:41Speaker 4: Gram at the thousand cheaper. I don't think he'll probably
- 11:44Speaker 4: be half owned as Otani, I would guess. And then
- 11:48Speaker 4: after that, between Williams, Kirby and Webb, I mean I'd
- 11:51Speaker 4: prefer Williams, just as how hotties come out. I just
- 11:53Speaker 4: don't like the match up against Kansas City. But I
- 11:57Speaker 4: mean the other two guys are kind of late, little cheaper.
- 12:00Speaker 4: I mean, I don't mind them, I just don't think
- 12:02Speaker 4: it's the kind of slate we have. They're in a
- 12:04Speaker 4: great spot, but overall, like when you always think about them,
- 12:07Speaker 4: it's just like there was many options we'd glass rate
- 12:10Speaker 4: over these dudes, but they're just not the greatest options.
- 12:13Speaker 5: I mean, I don't know. I don't think I would.
- 12:19Speaker 4: I think I would at least have one of Otani
- 12:21Speaker 4: or de Grom probably in my lineup tonight.
- 12:25Speaker 5: I would, I would venture to say, and I'd prefer
- 12:27Speaker 5: Otani by.
- 12:28Speaker 3: A ton I'm with you for the most part, So
- 12:32Speaker 3: I Gottani sp one on the slate that it is
- 12:34Speaker 3: a tough matchup. Houston doesn't have the fourth ball strike
- 12:38Speaker 3: out right against right hand and pitching there. So obviously,
- 12:42Speaker 3: I mean, Otani's got the highest ceiling in my opinion
- 12:46Speaker 3: on the slate, he should have run support behind him.
- 12:49Speaker 3: With that Houston bullpen behind the starter there. Obviously, we're
- 12:54Speaker 3: gonna talk about the Dodgers when we get the offense.
- 12:55Speaker 3: So it's hard for me to pull Cohles and Otani.
- 12:58Speaker 3: Outside of the ownership and the point. De Grom is
- 13:03Speaker 3: an interesting pivot there. It's just it's super hard for
- 13:06Speaker 3: pitchers facing this Yankees offense to go super deep into
- 13:09Speaker 3: the games because number one, the power concerns that they have.
- 13:12Speaker 3: Aaron Judge is just seeing beach balls right now. Obviously
- 13:16Speaker 3: just a phenomen there. I don't know if Ben Rice
- 13:20Speaker 3: is back yet. I know he was injured. I don't
- 13:23Speaker 3: think Ben Rice is gonna be back. So if he's
- 13:26Speaker 3: not back, that does help Jacob Degram a little bit there. Yeah,
- 13:30Speaker 3: no Ben Rice still in that line up there, So
- 13:32Speaker 3: you do have some guys with strike cuts in the
- 13:34Speaker 3: back half.
- 13:35Speaker 2: Ryan McMahon, Austin Wells, Jazz. But really that's it. I mean,
- 13:39Speaker 2: fifteen p K right at home in Yankee Stadium against
- 13:42Speaker 2: right handed pitching. That's pretty tough.
- 13:44Speaker 3: So I get the reasoning for me that puts the
- 13:46Speaker 3: gram fifth when you include the salary. So I go
- 13:50Speaker 3: Otani Gavin Williams one two. Then I'm gonna go Logan Webb.
- 13:55Speaker 3: I love Logan Web here. George Kirby for de Grom
- 14:00Speaker 3: is kind of how I have the top tier ranked
- 14:03Speaker 3: just because I like the matchup for a Web I
- 14:06Speaker 3: think he can go deep it's a good ballpark there.
- 14:09Speaker 3: I agree with what you said there about George Kirby.
- 14:13Speaker 3: He does feel like a four play.
- 14:14Speaker 2: But on this.
- 14:15Speaker 3: Slate where I don't think we're seeing massive ceilings here,
- 14:18Speaker 3: I mean shit Otani might not. I mean Otani could
- 14:21Speaker 3: struggle here right against the Astros. De Grom can definitely struggle, right,
- 14:25Speaker 3: Gavin Williams can definitely struggle. All these guys can struggle.
- 14:28Speaker 3: So I'll take a guy pitching in Seattle all the time,
- 14:31Speaker 3: same thing pitching out in San fran Logan Web good
- 14:33Speaker 3: k prop outs, props look good. So I like Logan
- 14:37Speaker 3: Web kind of the third most behind Otani and Gavin Williams.
- 14:41Speaker 3: But all things considering here, Gavin Williams is my favorite
- 14:44Speaker 3: sp one on this top tier, So we do differ
- 14:47Speaker 3: there a little bit. Just ninety three hundred that it's
- 14:49Speaker 3: favorable pitching weather in Kansas City, which is gonna be
- 14:52Speaker 3: the theme of kind of the slate. Really there's no
- 14:54Speaker 3: good pitching or no good hitting weather really anywhere else
- 14:57Speaker 3: side of that Angels game that we're going to talk
- 14:59Speaker 3: about right when we get to offense. So that's kind
- 15:01Speaker 3: of how I have the top tier. I'll go Gavin Williams, Otani,
- 15:05Speaker 3: Logan Webb, Kirby de Gram is kind of how I
- 15:07Speaker 3: ranked those top five, but I do think you can
- 15:10Speaker 3: play a couple arms down below eight k jameis and
- 15:13Speaker 3: Tayan is gonna be one of the more popular plays
- 15:15Speaker 3: on the slate. Complete one to eighty from yesterday right,
- 15:18Speaker 3: regularly win game yesterday. Now it's a regularly win game
- 15:21Speaker 3: blown in, but it's nothing crazy. I mean it's like
- 15:24Speaker 3: five min hour wins blown in gust up to twelve fifteen,
- 15:27Speaker 3: which it definitely does affect.
- 15:29Speaker 2: It more than any other stadium, like I talk about
- 15:31Speaker 2: all the time.
- 15:32Speaker 3: Excuse me and the temperatures, but I mean, you look
- 15:35Speaker 3: at this Red's lineup against right handed pitching. They're just
- 15:37Speaker 3: absolutely a visimble Taian should have some run support behind him.
- 15:41Speaker 3: Cubs have been elite at home, so seventy six hundred,
- 15:45Speaker 3: it's hard to argue that price point in terms of
- 15:47Speaker 3: the value SP two. He's the guy I wouldn't be
- 15:50Speaker 3: shocked to see in Otani Jamison Tyan cash game pairing
- 15:53Speaker 3: kind of in a lot of rosters there if you
- 15:57Speaker 3: can't get to two of those guys up top, so
- 15:59Speaker 3: Tayan definitely makes the pool for me, but I am
- 16:02Speaker 3: a little worried on some of his ownership there. But
- 16:04Speaker 3: I get the reasoning, I get the matchup, I get
- 16:06Speaker 3: that e Rod, I'm not really buying it. I like
- 16:09Speaker 3: the Pirates offense there, so I'm not in on e Rod.
- 16:11Speaker 3: The other guy I think is interesting down here is
- 16:14Speaker 3: Bubba Chandler. Just a bet on talent. We see it
- 16:18Speaker 3: with their other young arm over there in Pittsburgh. The
- 16:21Speaker 3: issue with pitt Chandler is he's been horrible against lefties
- 16:24Speaker 3: and Arizona's best hitters do hit from the left side there,
- 16:26Speaker 3: so there is some issues there. But if you're looking
- 16:29Speaker 3: for an unknown guy with upside and strikeout potential, Bubba
- 16:32Speaker 3: Chandler I think fits the build they're in tournaments.
- 16:35Speaker 2: Outside of that, I.
- 16:37Speaker 3: Mean probably just going all the way down to Eric Fetti,
- 16:41Speaker 3: where you're gonna leverage some of that Angels ownership, and yeah,
- 16:44Speaker 3: they could tag him for some runs. But all of
- 16:46Speaker 3: these guys, none of them, I really expect them to
- 16:50Speaker 3: have kind of a super clean outing overall.
- 16:53Speaker 2: And Fetti does have the strike out upside.
- 16:57Speaker 3: He's not a strike on arm, but he does have
- 16:59Speaker 3: a plus matter up here for strikeouts with his Angels lineup.
- 17:02Speaker 3: I mean, look at them at home on the year
- 17:05Speaker 3: in terms of strikeouts twenty eight per k rate as
- 17:07Speaker 3: a team.
- 17:09Speaker 2: Yeah, I get it, Fetti below average strike on arm.
- 17:11Speaker 3: But at sixty two hundred, if he can grind you
- 17:14Speaker 3: out twelve to fifteen DraftKings points, that could be enough
- 17:17Speaker 3: on this slate just with the strikeout there. So if
- 17:19Speaker 3: I had to, I think just punting all the way
- 17:21Speaker 3: down to him if you're looking for some salary savings,
- 17:24Speaker 3: if you want to get off a guy like jameson
- 17:25Speaker 3: Tiam at the top.
- 17:26Speaker 2: But it's really gross. Blow ak.
- 17:29Speaker 3: I say all that to say it's pretty weak down here,
- 17:32Speaker 3: and ideally you're going to live in two of those
- 17:34Speaker 3: top five arms on the slate here.
- 17:36Speaker 2: But how do you see the lower tier?
- 17:39Speaker 4: Yeah, the lower tier is definitely definitely ugly. Make you
- 17:43Speaker 4: want to throw up in your mouth a little bit.
- 17:45Speaker 4: But I saw somebody in Chad asked about Bryce Elder.
- 17:50Speaker 5: I think Elder's okay.
- 17:53Speaker 4: I wouldn't necessarily scratch him off or se on a
- 17:55Speaker 4: slate like this. I just don't like him generally against
- 17:58Speaker 4: the lefties. He struggled a little it against against some lefties.
- 18:02Speaker 4: And we know Seattle with Crawford, the big dumper nailor
- 18:06Speaker 4: can Zone rarely young.
- 18:07Speaker 5: They're they're gonna bring a bunch of lefties at Elder.
- 18:11Speaker 4: At this point, he's walking eleven and a half percent
- 18:14Speaker 4: k percentage down below the twenty two. So Elder doesn't
- 18:17Speaker 4: concern me a little bit. Uh So that's why I
- 18:20Speaker 4: didn't really bring him up a little bit earlier. But
- 18:23Speaker 4: you know, down below, I think ty On, I mean
- 18:26Speaker 4: I've heard kind of multiple reports with the wind and
- 18:28Speaker 4: ship over there in Wrigley, you know, I mean, if
- 18:30Speaker 4: the wind's blowing in the face, and I mean Tyon's
- 18:32Speaker 4: more of a fly ball pitcher, kind of seems in
- 18:36Speaker 4: last recent years. I mean he gets some case here
- 18:38Speaker 4: and there, probably when he gets that funky stuff on
- 18:41Speaker 4: his wrist, you know in age, you know, they get
- 18:43Speaker 4: that pine tower on there, get a little grip on
- 18:45Speaker 4: their fingers because it's just the dudes up and.
- 18:46Speaker 5: Down all the time. But I mean he's got I
- 18:50Speaker 5: mean flyball ability.
- 18:51Speaker 4: I mean, if if the winds shitty hitting conditions, and
- 18:55Speaker 4: yeah I would I'd feel a little bit more comfortable
- 18:57Speaker 4: with tye On. To pair him with Otani, you know
- 19:01Speaker 4: I I and it would be strictly on the weather
- 19:04Speaker 4: more likely more and less, you know. I mean that's
- 19:06Speaker 4: pretty much where I'm at. I mean, I don't really
- 19:08Speaker 4: even like picking on the Cubs. I mean, the last
- 19:11Speaker 4: fifteen days the Cubs have the second highest ops and
- 19:14Speaker 4: all of baseball. Like, no, man, I don't really I'm
- 19:18Speaker 4: not interested. So if you're telling me that's chalk, I
- 19:20Speaker 4: just leave tie On alone. If you don't like time
- 19:22Speaker 4: like no, I'd rather, I think I actually would. You know,
- 19:27Speaker 4: it really depends on that weather too. I didn't really
- 19:29Speaker 4: lock it in and see what it was. But if
- 19:31Speaker 4: it's just kind of a neutral setting, then I would
- 19:33Speaker 4: leave tie On alone. To be truthful, it would have
- 19:35Speaker 4: to be like fifteen twelve mile hour winds blown in
- 19:40Speaker 4: for me to probably really like tie On.
- 19:43Speaker 5: But I mean, you look down.
- 19:44Speaker 4: We got two e Rods today, you know, we got
- 19:46Speaker 4: Elmer e Rod and edwatero At Rodriguez over there for
- 19:51Speaker 4: against Pittsburgh. I would rather, you know, if you're gonna
- 19:53Speaker 4: go against Pittsburgh, I'd rather have you, you know, have
- 19:55Speaker 4: a lefty I mean e Rod. I mean we're talking garbage, right, so,
- 19:59Speaker 4: I mean, but still I think Erod could be in play,
- 20:01Speaker 4: could get you the points you need down here. So
- 20:03Speaker 4: I don't mind e Rod against the Pirates team and
- 20:06Speaker 4: Sprote too. I think Sprot's got some potential here. And
- 20:09Speaker 4: I mean, this kid's gonna be decent as he gets
- 20:12Speaker 4: a little bit older here. He just hasn't really got
- 20:14Speaker 4: to that level yet. But I mean, I don't mind
- 20:17Speaker 4: picking on Saint Louis either. I really don't think that
- 20:19Speaker 4: they're all that good. And in that same game with
- 20:22Speaker 4: the Cubs, I mean, Abbott, we know he has some
- 20:25Speaker 4: strikeout capability. The dude just been walking so many guys lately.
- 20:28Speaker 4: It's been like the Marrow go Round going around the bases.
- 20:31Speaker 4: The dude's has been terrible with his control. So I
- 20:34Speaker 4: mean he's got some strikeout capability there too, But really
- 20:37Speaker 4: down below, like you said, I mean it's ugly. I
- 20:39Speaker 4: think tay On is definitely in play. But in my opinion, man,
- 20:43Speaker 4: I think you can build lineups today. It's not like
- 20:45Speaker 4: there's you know, heavy price lineups you got to lock
- 20:48Speaker 4: yourself into today. I think you should kind of concentrate
- 20:50Speaker 4: a little bit more on your pitching today and make
- 20:53Speaker 4: sure that you know there are four or five guys
- 20:56Speaker 4: up here, six guys you could probably even say that,
- 21:00Speaker 4: you know, Aaron Line for a decent game today.
- 21:01Speaker 5: I think there's just too much to avoid.
- 21:03Speaker 4: And I I mean, Otani's just been so good man,
- 21:07Speaker 4: Like they they do have four strikeout bets in that
- 21:09Speaker 4: Houston lineup that I think Otani could get to. So,
- 21:12Speaker 4: I mean, you know, for me, I think i'd live
- 21:15Speaker 4: up in the top tier, you know, the Otani Gavin Williams,
- 21:18Speaker 4: maybe Otani Web kind of pairing something like that if
- 21:21Speaker 4: you want to get off Otani. I really do not
- 21:23Speaker 4: mind de Grim. I think I like Da Grim better
- 21:25Speaker 4: than probably most people do. But I mean de Grom's
- 21:28Speaker 4: just that kind of picture, right, He's gonna come up
- 21:30Speaker 4: for the Yankees man, like he's the Yankees.
- 21:33Speaker 5: Are a team.
- 21:34Speaker 4: Everybody you look across the Yankees Dodgers, man, you're giving.
- 21:36Speaker 5: It, You're all.
- 21:37Speaker 4: It's not like facing the Tigers, like nobody gives a shit,
- 21:40Speaker 4: you know, like that's still the Yankee So I could
- 21:43Speaker 4: see the ground going out with the you know, having
- 21:45Speaker 4: a good game today. But yeah, Nate's for me, I'm
- 21:48Speaker 4: living in that top five today. I'm not even fooling
- 21:51Speaker 4: with it. I'm FanDuel, I'm I'm going with pri pretty
- 21:53Speaker 4: much kind of lock in Otani probably on all of them,
- 21:57Speaker 4: and you know, maybe get to a Weber a Kirby
- 21:59Speaker 4: if I.
- 22:00Speaker 5: But I probably won't. I'll probably just lack in Otani.
- 22:04Speaker 3: Yeah, so I agree with a lot of what you
- 22:06Speaker 3: said there. For me, I don't really see much interest
- 22:09Speaker 3: in Sproute or Polante. That is the one game with
- 22:13Speaker 3: weather concerns there, so I just don't think you need
- 22:15Speaker 3: to take a risk there. The top half of that
- 22:17Speaker 3: Cardinals lineup has been really really good too, weather Hoil,
- 22:19Speaker 3: it's a complete stud. Burlaston's been hitting, Jordan Walker's been
- 22:23Speaker 3: been mash and Herrera's a really underrated hitter as well there,
- 22:27Speaker 3: So I can't do it. I do think Brandon Spurlt's
- 22:30Speaker 3: gonna be good. He's in a really good organization for
- 22:32Speaker 3: developing pitching. Obviously, Burds do a really really good job
- 22:35Speaker 3: developing arms over there, so I do see upside.
- 22:38Speaker 2: In him long term.
- 22:39Speaker 3: Not a spot really tonight where I'm going to go
- 22:41Speaker 3: in on it, but I wouldn't fault anyone just the
- 22:43Speaker 3: nature of the slate. So for me, down below ak
- 22:46Speaker 3: it's Taie On is kind of the guy the main
- 22:49Speaker 3: one e Rod I think is in play there. I
- 22:51Speaker 3: also do like the Pirates bats against him Bubba Chandler,
- 22:54Speaker 3: same reason in the exact same game there. I do
- 22:56Speaker 3: think he is a bad on talent long term, probably
- 23:00Speaker 3: not the right slate to do it. But in terms
- 23:02Speaker 3: of k props, you look at his k prop four
- 23:05Speaker 3: and a half slight juice to I mean it's juice
- 23:08Speaker 3: to the under pretty heavily there, just because of those lefties.
- 23:11Speaker 2: But he's seventy two hundreds.
- 23:13Speaker 3: So that's why, like I said, I mean, if you're
- 23:15Speaker 3: not playing taie On or Erod, I think just dropping
- 23:18Speaker 3: all the way down to Chiffetti Woppa, I think makes
- 23:20Speaker 3: some sense there. Sixty two hundred, I get it's the Angels.
- 23:23Speaker 3: It's a good place to hit. Angels offense is gonna
- 23:26Speaker 3: be pretty popular on the slate just due to the
- 23:28Speaker 3: nature of the hitting slate. But sixty two hundred, I
- 23:31Speaker 3: mean he does have, like I said, just in the
- 23:33Speaker 3: way this slate sets up. I mean, if he can
- 23:36Speaker 3: grind us twelve to fifteen, I think he can be
- 23:40Speaker 3: very serviceable at that price point there, And I don't
- 23:43Speaker 3: expect clean outings for much of anyone on the slate.
- 23:46Speaker 3: So yeah, ideally, long story short, you're gonna want to
- 23:48Speaker 3: of these arms up top between Otani, de Gram, Williams,
- 23:52Speaker 3: Kirby Webb. If you wanted to throw an elder in there,
- 23:54Speaker 3: you could props a line are pretty good. It's not
- 23:57Speaker 3: something I would do, but I think he could, and
- 23:59Speaker 3: then tie on e Rod Fetti are kind of.
- 24:02Speaker 2: The main guys. Chandler would be.
- 24:03Speaker 3: I'm going to keep him in the pool and m
- 24:05Speaker 3: ME don't expect to have too much of him. But really,
- 24:08Speaker 3: I'm looking at kind of these eight pitchers in terms
- 24:10Speaker 3: of my pitcher pool on DraftKings, because I'm playing a
- 24:13Speaker 3: pretty decent amount of lineups tonight, playing two main teams
- 24:17Speaker 3: and then kind of focusing on m ME, so I'll
- 24:19Speaker 3: have exposure to probably all eight of these guys. Any
- 24:23Speaker 3: any closing takes for pitching here.
- 24:27Speaker 4: No, I mean, it's just it's ugly. Pitching's definitely ugly,
- 24:30Speaker 4: that's for sure. And yeah, that's Saint Louis Milwaukee. I
- 24:32Speaker 4: was looking after we were talking a little bit there
- 24:34Speaker 4: that one's looking uglier by the minute, too, doesn't It's
- 24:38Speaker 4: not looking good.
- 24:39Speaker 5: I mean it's cold, it's gonna be rainy.
- 24:41Speaker 4: Even if that game does play, it's did some shitty conditions,
- 24:44Speaker 4: and I I wouldn't trust the pitching at all from
- 24:48Speaker 4: what I'm seeing, But yeah, even the bats in that one,
- 24:50Speaker 4: No thanks.
- 24:51Speaker 3: Just yeah, not a great game too. And they could
- 24:55Speaker 3: play doubleheader tomorrow, and these two teams, obviously in the division,
- 24:58Speaker 3: they see each other a ton, so they can easily
- 25:02Speaker 3: make that game up if it gets postponed a night,
- 25:04Speaker 3: which there's a pretty good chance there. So yeah, not
- 25:08Speaker 3: not too interested in that in taking a stab on
- 25:11Speaker 3: any pitchers in that game.
- 25:12Speaker 2: There.
- 25:13Speaker 3: Let's jump over, let me refresh our stone over here
- 25:16Speaker 3: at ship at nation dot com. We're gonna talk over
- 25:20Speaker 3: and jump to hitting on this slate. We go from
- 25:24Speaker 3: one pretty gross pitching slate to an offensive slate that
- 25:30Speaker 3: kind of as clear as mud. First game on the slate,
- 25:33Speaker 3: we got good hitting weather here in Yankee Stadium, in
- 25:38Speaker 3: above average park. Right However, the wind is not going
- 25:42Speaker 3: to help those lefties right down the line. It's kind
- 25:44Speaker 3: of coming in from right field, kind of blowing across
- 25:46Speaker 3: the field out to laugh at a pretty good white margin.
- 25:49Speaker 3: I'm seeing like fifteen plus seventeen twenty miles an hour
- 25:53Speaker 3: in some places here, so not gonna play as favorable
- 25:57Speaker 3: to those lefties, which could help de Gram there obviously,
- 26:00Speaker 3: all of that lefty power right Grisham even, Judge, majority
- 26:03Speaker 3: of his home runs are to right center field and
- 26:06Speaker 3: down that right field in that short point short porch
- 26:08Speaker 3: there in Yankee Stadium. I think the Yankees are in
- 26:12Speaker 3: play every day, no matter who they're going up against.
- 26:14Speaker 3: I get it as Jacob deGrom. I do side more
- 26:16Speaker 3: on Jacob Degram. You alluded to right pitchers getting up
- 26:20Speaker 3: for teams like the Yankees, like the Dodgers. Degram has
- 26:24Speaker 3: pitched really, really well in his career against the Yankees.
- 26:27Speaker 3: I don't take that for as bible, but I do
- 26:30Speaker 3: like to just glance at it. He's got a thirty
- 26:31Speaker 3: four percent k rate against this Yankees lineup opponent batting
- 26:35Speaker 3: average of one seventy nine, so he has.
- 26:39Speaker 2: Done really well.
- 26:40Speaker 3: Yankees are hot right now, though, Judge, I mean Domingaz
- 26:44Speaker 3: I think is fine. I'm more on the pitching though.
- 26:47Speaker 3: I do like the Rangers, though in this game, Alma
- 26:50Speaker 3: Rodriguez looked terrible. H He's another arm. I do think
- 26:52Speaker 3: he's going to be pretty solid long term. Struggling is
- 26:56Speaker 3: in his major league debut last week. This is a
- 26:59Speaker 3: spot or I don't. I mean, Rangers are gonna get
- 27:02Speaker 3: played a little bit, But that's kind of how the
- 27:04Speaker 3: whole slate is. I think Evan Carter, seeger Josh Young,
- 27:07Speaker 3: who looks super super good and big time improved from
- 27:11Speaker 3: from last year. If you wanted to play Jock Petterson
- 27:14Speaker 3: out there, I know how much it is gonna core
- 27:16Speaker 3: him up and probably lock him into all of his teams.
- 27:19Speaker 3: That's his favorite player. I think the lefties though at
- 27:22Speaker 3: the top, and Josh Young. It's probably more of a
- 27:24Speaker 3: mini stat just because that Yankees bullpen is good, and
- 27:27Speaker 3: I do think Elmer is gonna have some talent long term.
- 27:30Speaker 2: But what do you see here?
- 27:32Speaker 3: My side actually leans slightly more to the Rangers side
- 27:34Speaker 3: in terms offensive this.
- 27:35Speaker 2: One we see.
- 27:37Speaker 5: Yeah, I definitely agree with you there.
- 27:39Speaker 4: I'm not really interested in playing the Yankees against the
- 27:42Speaker 4: grim No thinks that Texas bullpen's pretty good too, So
- 27:46Speaker 4: double negative there. But you know you mentioned Texas, especially
- 27:50Speaker 4: the lefties. I think you're interesting. I mean I was
- 27:52Speaker 4: digging into Elmer's past. I mean, he looks like more
- 27:57Speaker 4: of a ground ball type pitcher, like an average time
- 28:00Speaker 4: strikeout pitcher, ground ball arm. But the dude can't get
- 28:03Speaker 4: the ball over the plate. I mean his walk rates
- 28:05Speaker 4: are really high. I mean he's just been he's been
- 28:07Speaker 4: walking all kinds of guys here and I think he's
- 28:09Speaker 4: only seen twenty guys so far this year, eleven lefties
- 28:13Speaker 4: and righties or nine righties. So I mean it's not
- 28:15Speaker 4: like he's got a ton of plate appearances, but he
- 28:19Speaker 4: just hasn't been very good. I just maybe the nerves
- 28:23Speaker 4: get to him, you know, coming up. But I mean
- 28:24Speaker 4: he's gonna see a ton of lefties with some power, so, uh,
- 28:27Speaker 4: you know, Seeger. I think it's interesting Peterson. I mean
- 28:32Speaker 4: I always laugh. I mean like he's like the cheap
- 28:34Speaker 4: guy you like, hope you know, even gets two or
- 28:37Speaker 4: three at bats, you know, so most of the time.
- 28:39Speaker 4: But either way, I mean there's definitely some power to
- 28:42Speaker 4: be had there. So I mean I don't mind it
- 28:45Speaker 4: at all. I mean we definitely like the lefties in
- 28:49Speaker 4: Yankee Stadium, so you know that's something to be said too.
- 28:52Speaker 4: So yeah, I think I think that I think they're interesting.
- 28:56Speaker 4: I don't have them like high up on my list.
- 28:57Speaker 4: I wouldn't call him my top three, but I definite
- 29:00Speaker 4: I really think they're in play. I agree with you
- 29:02Speaker 4: more of like in Manny, probably especially on DK.
- 29:05Speaker 2: Yeah, just because I don't really like Jock Jams.
- 29:08Speaker 3: I mean that dude's he probably gets two at bats
- 29:10Speaker 3: right I mean, I don't know what the bullpen usage
- 29:14Speaker 3: right now looks for like for the Yankees in terms
- 29:16Speaker 3: of lefties available there, but I do think there there's
- 29:20Speaker 3: definitely I mean you're looking at probably two at bats
- 29:22Speaker 3: for Jock Petison in.
- 29:23Speaker 2: There twenty five hundred. Could he do it?
- 29:25Speaker 3: Yeah, But it's more Carter Seeger, Josh Young, those top
- 29:29Speaker 3: three at the top for me. And then if you
- 29:31Speaker 3: wanted to take a flyer on Alejandro Azuna twenty two hundred,
- 29:34Speaker 3: he's probably going to strike out three times, but there's
- 29:37Speaker 3: a chance that he could get you, I don't know,
- 29:40Speaker 3: ten to fourteen DraftKings points depending on what he does there,
- 29:43Speaker 3: could have potentially hit a home run. So at twenty
- 29:45Speaker 3: two hundred, I don't think it's crazy, but ideally you're
- 29:48Speaker 3: looking at Carter Seger, Josh Young up.
- 29:50Speaker 2: At the top for me. That's why it's more mini stacks.
- 29:53Speaker 3: Don't really want to mess with the Yankees, but I
- 29:55Speaker 3: will have exposure to the Yankees because I do have
- 29:57Speaker 3: exposure to them every time they're on a slate, just
- 29:59Speaker 3: because they have that kind of upside in. I mean,
- 30:01Speaker 3: if Jacob Degram doesn't go deep into this game and
- 30:04Speaker 3: sits at his five and a half or five to
- 30:06Speaker 3: two third, something like that, you're still looking at So
- 30:09Speaker 3: some bullpen bullpen worked there from Texas, which is thirteenth
- 30:14Speaker 3: worst right now in baseball in terms of X fit
- 30:17Speaker 3: four point three one. So there is some late game
- 30:19Speaker 3: upside there from from the Yankees, if if you wanted
- 30:22Speaker 3: to do it, and they're gonna be un owned on
- 30:24Speaker 3: a slate like this next game out to Wrigley here,
- 30:28Speaker 3: Andrew Abbott, fly ball guy, Jamison tay On more of
- 30:31Speaker 3: a fly ball lean. Tyon has been pretty good this year.
- 30:36Speaker 3: The Reds have not been good against right hand and pitching. Yeah,
- 30:39Speaker 3: Freedo Bladet, Ellie day La Cruise, Nate Lowe, those four
- 30:42Speaker 3: lefties would be the guys you'd want to play if
- 30:44Speaker 3: you wanted to play any Reds.
- 30:45Speaker 2: You do get some leverage there.
- 30:46Speaker 3: So if you're going to like ed Ardo or an
- 30:50Speaker 3: Erod right in your roster construction for two hundred dollars
- 30:53Speaker 3: less than Jamison ty On. I don't think it's the
- 30:55Speaker 3: craziest play to throw in at Ellie Day, La Cruz,
- 30:58Speaker 3: JJ Blude Free know Nate Low something like that as
- 31:03Speaker 3: a little leverage there against Tayan is kind of the chalky,
- 31:06Speaker 3: cheap guy that that people are going to go to.
- 31:08Speaker 3: I don't think that's the craziest play. But if I'm
- 31:10Speaker 3: picking a side in this one, it's definitely Cubs. I
- 31:12Speaker 3: know the weather sucks, but we've seen this Cubs offense
- 31:14Speaker 3: smash it in Wrigley all the time. I think they won.
- 31:18Speaker 3: What did they end up winning last night? I forgot that.
- 31:21Speaker 3: I didn't look too much because I was obviously three Yeah,
- 31:28Speaker 3: so what is that? Twelve or thirteen straight now at home?
- 31:32Speaker 3: So Cubs as a stack, I think they're interesting. Run yeah, yeah,
- 31:38Speaker 3: I mean Cubs, I think is a stack are interesting
- 31:40Speaker 3: just because Abbott is a fly ball guy.
- 31:42Speaker 2: I know the weather's not great.
- 31:43Speaker 3: It's fifty degrees in Wriglely with wind blown in, but
- 31:46Speaker 3: again everyone talks about their wind and because it is
- 31:49Speaker 3: so effective in Wrigly. I mean, you're looking at like
- 31:53Speaker 3: five on our wins, So it's nothing crazy.
- 31:56Speaker 2: Could the Cubs do it? Yeah? I think so.
- 31:58Speaker 3: So the Cubs fit into kind of a low owned
- 32:01Speaker 3: full stack when they've been chalked the last two days,
- 32:04Speaker 3: kind of a jump back on the wagon here against
- 32:06Speaker 3: a pitcher who you can get and that reds bullpen
- 32:09Speaker 3: is not good behind him. So but again, both of
- 32:13Speaker 3: these teams really don't fit my list for kind of
- 32:15Speaker 3: top targets on the slate.
- 32:17Speaker 2: I do think they're in play, though, what you's he here?
- 32:20Speaker 4: Yeah, I'd rather use the Cubs. I mean the Cub's
- 32:23Speaker 4: been hitting really well. I mean they're up there there.
- 32:26Speaker 4: Like I said earlier, they're second in ops in all
- 32:29Speaker 4: of baseball when we were talking a little bit earlier.
- 32:33Speaker 4: So I mean the Cubs against Abbott, I mean he's
- 32:36Speaker 4: been fly ball pitcher. He's been not been striking out
- 32:39Speaker 4: any righties. I mean he's been at thirteen and a
- 32:42Speaker 4: half percent. His block rate's pretty high to righties. I
- 32:45Speaker 4: mean they're almost equal level. So that's not good for
- 32:49Speaker 4: him either. But I mean Horner Bregman, I mean Bregman
- 32:55Speaker 4: got moved up in the line up there. Suzuki, I
- 32:58Speaker 4: think is interesting Swanson got moved up in the lineup. Uh,
- 33:01Speaker 4: you got Shaw. So I mean, I think these guys
- 33:03Speaker 4: are interesting. I think like you said, I mean, the
- 33:05Speaker 4: weather just kind of keeps me off them. You know,
- 33:08Speaker 4: like if we had like the weather we've had over
- 33:10Speaker 4: the weekend where the wind was blown out at severe
- 33:14Speaker 4: you know, a mile an hour, like fifteen twenty miles
- 33:16Speaker 4: an hour, you know, it seemed like, you know, those
- 33:18Speaker 4: were better plays, and you know what, it's actually said
- 33:21Speaker 4: to a buddy, like how many I think that if
- 33:24Speaker 4: if I was to ever say something that you know,
- 33:26Speaker 4: gets more over prioritized than anything in DFS.
- 33:29Speaker 5: It's the win game in Wrigley, you know, like, oh shit,
- 33:32Speaker 5: the wind's blown out. Shit that over under went up
- 33:35Speaker 5: to eleven.
- 33:36Speaker 4: And then it just seems that I don't know what,
- 33:38Speaker 4: I don't know the stats, but in my mind, it
- 33:40Speaker 4: just seems like it's usually a you know, it's like
- 33:43Speaker 4: a dud. It just never turns into a softball game.
- 33:45Speaker 4: It just seems to get beat by something else all
- 33:47Speaker 4: the time, and all these people get dragged to it,
- 33:50Speaker 4: and I fallsucker to it too. Don't get me wrong,
- 33:53Speaker 4: but uh, it just seems like that's the case but yeah,
- 33:55Speaker 4: I'd rather have some Cubbies than than some Reds.
- 33:59Speaker 5: I mean, the Reds been hit really well too here
- 34:00Speaker 5: in recent times.
- 34:02Speaker 4: But yeah, I think the Cubs for me are a
- 34:04Speaker 4: team that I mean, if I was going to say
- 34:06Speaker 4: a low owned stack today, I think that would be
- 34:09Speaker 4: the one that I'd probably go after.
- 34:11Speaker 2: Yeah, I think the Cubs are interesting. Swanson's been hitting
- 34:13Speaker 2: well right now.
- 34:14Speaker 3: Carson Kelly obviously always masters left, he sees Azuki's red
- 34:17Speaker 3: hot and historical lefty Masher. I don't really like Bregman.
- 34:22Speaker 3: I think Bregman's kind of kind of washed, but he
- 34:24Speaker 3: does hit left as well. Nica Horner has some stone
- 34:26Speaker 3: base upside as well. So I do think the Cubs
- 34:29Speaker 3: are are definitely interesting, and I'll definitely be on them
- 34:33Speaker 3: more than I was the last two days I've been
- 34:35Speaker 3: under I'm with you there in the win game, you
- 34:38Speaker 3: do feel a fall for it, but everyone just sees
- 34:41Speaker 3: the total, and totals are what kind of everyone flocks to.
- 34:44Speaker 2: I look at matchups more and kind of pitching matchups
- 34:47Speaker 2: and bullpens in that more than I care about a total.
- 34:50Speaker 3: I mean Vegas, and that's throwing totals out there to
- 34:53Speaker 3: make money long term, right, And it's not obviously telltale sign.
- 34:58Speaker 3: It's a good kind of it's a good kind of
- 35:01Speaker 3: lens right and kind of a direction steer. But then
- 35:04Speaker 3: I look into the matchups. I look into picture matchups
- 35:06Speaker 3: in that, so I take that more into account. And
- 35:08Speaker 3: then some damn wind and people saying that, yeah, every
- 35:12Speaker 3: every ball that hits hits the bat is going to
- 35:15Speaker 3: be a home run because there's wind blown out in
- 35:17Speaker 3: the stadium, right, So that that's kind of right around the.
- 35:22Speaker 4: Corner from rig I was at the live finals from
- 35:24Speaker 4: Baseball Draft Kings a couple of years ago, right around
- 35:27Speaker 4: the corner of the DraftKings sports book, right like next
- 35:29Speaker 4: to Wrigley Field. You know, your ass is out there
- 35:32Speaker 4: and your winds blowing, your half You're like.
- 35:34Speaker 5: Ship, we got to bet the over.
- 35:38Speaker 4: So yeah, like dude, we got a bet the over,
- 35:43Speaker 4: winds blowing.
- 35:45Speaker 2: Like yeah. It's always it feels more, it fails more
- 35:48Speaker 2: than it helps.
- 35:49Speaker 3: But it's hard when yes like yesterday, it's slate like yesterday,
- 35:53Speaker 3: right where the price tags and the spin up arms, right,
- 35:55Speaker 3: it just kind of it naturally fell together. Obviously, when
- 35:59Speaker 3: it feels too easy, it's it's usually never never the
- 36:01Speaker 3: right thing to do. That's why I had a profitable
- 36:03Speaker 3: slate because I was way under on that game in general.
- 36:06Speaker 3: But yeah, I think we talked about that game enough.
- 36:09Speaker 3: One of the not not one of the better spots
- 36:11Speaker 3: on the slate for offense wise, But I do think
- 36:13Speaker 3: the Cubs are are pretty interesting a tournaments. And then,
- 36:15Speaker 3: like I said, roster construction wise, if you're going with
- 36:17Speaker 3: a different spend up or spend down pitcher, especially like
- 36:21Speaker 3: an e Rod or like a Fettie down there, instead
- 36:24Speaker 3: of flipping the whole build, you can still you could
- 36:27Speaker 3: use some of those those reds bats as some kind
- 36:29Speaker 3: of leverage there, off of off of tie On next
- 36:33Speaker 3: spot on the slate, Kaufman Stadium, Stephen Koleak back in
- 36:36Speaker 3: Our Lives making his first start for the Royals. Kevin
- 36:41Speaker 3: Williams on on uh my overall favorite picture on the slate.
- 36:46Speaker 3: I just think I know it's not the best strikeout matchup,
- 36:48Speaker 3: and he does struggle with some walk issues at times,
- 36:52Speaker 3: but I just think with the weather there, wind blown
- 36:56Speaker 3: in Kaufman Stadium, it's not great hitting weather.
- 36:59Speaker 2: I do I do think Kevin Williams is a great
- 37:02Speaker 2: play here.
- 37:03Speaker 3: One fault anyone for going to some Royals, but I'm
- 37:05Speaker 3: not really gonna get to the Royals.
- 37:07Speaker 2: If I played a side in this one, it'd be
- 37:08Speaker 2: more of the Guardians.
- 37:09Speaker 3: Guardians aren't gonna hit a bunch of home runs and
- 37:11Speaker 3: that they just don't do that anyway, So it's probably
- 37:14Speaker 3: gonna take a lot of singles and doubles and kind
- 37:16Speaker 3: of stile in bases things like that. But Kolek just
- 37:18Speaker 3: doesn't strike anybody out, so there's gonna be balls in
- 37:21Speaker 3: play the Royals. Bullpen's not good behind him. Guardians do
- 37:24Speaker 3: have their full their their good lineup in here. Travis
- 37:27Speaker 3: Bazzana has been been great since he's been out. He's
- 37:30Speaker 3: gonna be really really good. Thirty four hundred is still
- 37:32Speaker 3: too cheap for him and his ceiling potential there. They
- 37:35Speaker 3: do have their main lineup in here, so I do
- 37:38Speaker 3: like it. Chase the Latter is back in there, Jay
- 37:40Speaker 3: Rams back in there. Sheeneman's been been good, Bazanna. I
- 37:45Speaker 3: do think the Guardians are pretty interesting here tonight. They're
- 37:48Speaker 3: gonna be unowned, and I like them a lot, probably
- 37:51Speaker 3: more than I should, but that's just kind of the
- 37:53Speaker 3: slate it is, and I'm gonna take a chance on
- 37:55Speaker 3: a Cleveland offense here against a pitcher who I don't
- 37:58Speaker 3: think is good at all in Stephen Coley.
- 38:01Speaker 4: Yeah, I don't think Coole's very good either. I just
- 38:03Speaker 4: concerned about the weather. I think Jose Ramirez you could
- 38:06Speaker 4: play that guy just about any day. But I mean
- 38:11Speaker 4: I leave the Indians in my pool, I just wouldn't.
- 38:13Speaker 4: I don't have them highly too ranked. As far as
- 38:16Speaker 4: the Royals go. With Gavin Williams, I mean Williams. Williams
- 38:20Speaker 4: been giving up some fly balls to lefties. His barrel
- 38:23Speaker 4: rate is up at thirteen percent the lefties. And Vinnie
- 38:27Speaker 4: P has been hitting the shit out of the baseball
- 38:29Speaker 4: here in recent times. So I mean, if you don't
- 38:31Speaker 4: really like Gavin Williams and maybe you want to throw
- 38:33Speaker 4: in a one off maybe like Vinni P. I think
- 38:35Speaker 4: would be maybe get you some decent leverage off them.
- 38:38Speaker 4: I wouldn't probably go much further than that, but I
- 38:42Speaker 4: mean Bobby Witz been hitting two recent times too. I
- 38:44Speaker 4: think finally he took him like a month at his
- 38:46Speaker 4: first homer. I think he's got a few more here
- 38:48Speaker 4: in recent times.
- 38:49Speaker 5: But Vinnie P.
- 38:50Speaker 4: For me, it would be an elite type type one
- 38:53Speaker 4: off play, especially with Gavin Williams Gardner some ownership here tonight.
- 38:56Speaker 4: But yeah, I mean the hitting conditions are shitty over there,
- 39:00Speaker 4: So I mean it's a tough one.
- 39:02Speaker 5: It's just tough.
- 39:03Speaker 4: I think there's way better spots that we can attack
- 39:05Speaker 4: today than looking at this one.
- 39:07Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll throw in Carter Jensen and Jack kagian On
- 39:12Speaker 3: into there. Kagli Ow's been I mean, he's starting to hit,
- 39:15Speaker 3: had a bomb last night. The dude's just a physical specimen.
- 39:18Speaker 3: Thirty three hundred is still cheap for him. Carter Jensen
- 39:20Speaker 3: at four K and vindp so that three five six
- 39:23Speaker 3: I think is a pretty interesting mini stack there in
- 39:26Speaker 3: a roster where you're not playing Gavin Williams and you
- 39:28Speaker 3: pivot to like a Logan web in his same range there.
- 39:31Speaker 3: So from a roster construction standpoint there, that's kind of
- 39:34Speaker 3: how I like to play baseball. If I'm not playing
- 39:36Speaker 3: a pitcher where I know a lot of the field's
- 39:38Speaker 3: going to have that does have strike on ability, and
- 39:40Speaker 3: Gavin Williams, if in teams where I'm not playing him,
- 39:44Speaker 3: and like I said, I know the field is I
- 39:46Speaker 3: don't mind going with a kind of a mini stack
- 39:49Speaker 3: is kind of a double leverage situation. Right, You're not
- 39:51Speaker 3: on the popular picture that everyone's on, which means not
- 39:54Speaker 3: many people are on the royals, so then you kind
- 39:58Speaker 3: of do it that way right, and then you're it
- 40:00Speaker 3: helps the other pitchers in Gavin Williams range outscore him,
- 40:04Speaker 3: so that that's kind of how I like to approach that.
- 40:06Speaker 3: So Vinny p Carter, Jensen, Kagili and on I think
- 40:10Speaker 3: are interesting. But there is a lot of lefties. There
- 40:12Speaker 3: were three bunch of lefties at Gavin Williams here, and
- 40:15Speaker 3: then two of the better right handed hitters are three
- 40:18Speaker 3: of them. Obviously, Bobby wits a stud, but Garcia has
- 40:21Speaker 3: been been good.
- 40:22Speaker 2: He's a contact heavy bat.
- 40:23Speaker 3: And then sale Prez obviously is is a crafty vet.
- 40:27Speaker 3: I always finds his way around and he's a he's
- 40:30Speaker 3: a professional hitter, as they say there. Next game is
- 40:34Speaker 3: the biggest weather issues here. Kevin Roth had it takes
- 40:37Speaker 3: his orange before the show here. I'm not sure what
- 40:39Speaker 3: the update is. He has it as orange red now,
- 40:42Speaker 3: so it looks like it's getting worse. I'm gonna kind
- 40:44Speaker 3: of approach this slate like this game doesn't exist if
- 40:48Speaker 3: you wanted to go in on it, I would say
- 40:50Speaker 3: full stacks or nothing, no one offs, no mini stacks, nothing.
- 40:54Speaker 3: If I'm going in on it, if I'm playing it,
- 40:56Speaker 3: I'm playing it as a whole. I would prefer the
- 40:58Speaker 3: Brewers side against Polante as a ground bowl guy.
- 41:01Speaker 2: I just think Plante sucks.
- 41:03Speaker 3: Nobody's gonna play this game, so, like I said, I
- 41:06Speaker 3: might just because out of my fandom, have a one
- 41:09Speaker 3: full Brewer stack.
- 41:10Speaker 2: But again, you're gonna have to monitor the weather.
- 41:12Speaker 3: We should know with this game starting at six forty
- 41:14Speaker 3: five Lord's time zone. Cherios looked great yesterday. Trang's been
- 41:19Speaker 3: a beast. They are expensive, but that Cardinals Bullpen's ass
- 41:22Speaker 3: Plonte is not good. But I do think this game
- 41:25Speaker 3: does get probably waxed from the slate there. So definitely
- 41:28Speaker 3: monitor if you're going in. And that's why I said
- 41:30Speaker 3: it'd be full stacks or bust for me. If if
- 41:33Speaker 3: anything here, what do you see? Yeah, I agree, I
- 41:35Speaker 3: think it's gonna get PPD. Like you said, especially them
- 41:38Speaker 3: Division games. Many they don't even care because they see
- 41:41Speaker 3: him so much. Like if that was, like you know,
- 41:43Speaker 3: team traveling across the country, they might be willing to
- 41:46Speaker 3: wait it out a little bit, but there ain't no
- 41:48Speaker 3: reason for that to happen today, so they'll they'll probably PPD. Yeah,
- 41:52Speaker 3: assuming this game doesn't assuming it doesn't play, so definitely
- 41:56Speaker 3: definitely keep an eye out there. Takes us to one
- 41:58Speaker 3: of the better offensive, if not the best offense spot
- 42:01Speaker 3: on the slate. However, Peter Lambert's been big time improved
- 42:06Speaker 3: from last year. I mean, he looks like a pretty
- 42:10Speaker 3: quality arm.
- 42:11Speaker 2: I don't know if I fully buy it. He's gonna
- 42:14Speaker 2: be tested here.
- 42:15Speaker 3: Dodgers obviously great offense, the Astros bullpen behind Lambert even
- 42:20Speaker 3: I mean, if Lambert goes out and throws five innings, right,
- 42:23Speaker 3: you still got four innings of the worst bullpen in
- 42:25Speaker 3: baseball behind him against the best offense. Right, don't rushing
- 42:30Speaker 3: certified stud He's been mashing baseball as Freddie Freeman, Kyle Tucker.
- 42:36Speaker 3: Obviously you can't play Otani, but that does help the
- 42:39Speaker 3: overall stack.
- 42:40Speaker 2: Dodgers got to be amongst the top of the board.
- 42:42Speaker 3: Full nining at bats here indoors in Houston, when most
- 42:46Speaker 3: of the places suck outside for hitting, you got to
- 42:49Speaker 3: have interest in the Dodgers. And it's you're not even
- 42:51Speaker 3: seeing crazy ownership because of their price points. On a
- 42:55Speaker 3: slate where offense is pretty weak and everybody wants to
- 42:57Speaker 3: play the same spot. I think the Dodgers are super
- 43:00Speaker 3: interesting here. I'm going to be heavily exposed to the
- 43:03Speaker 3: Dodgers side of things. Friedland had a game yesterday. He's
- 43:06Speaker 3: still twenty five hundred, has on Kim always has still
- 43:09Speaker 3: the base upside too down there, twenty seven short stop
- 43:12Speaker 3: if you're not playing a guy like Bobby with or
- 43:13Speaker 3: spending up for like guys like Colson Montgomery, Zach Neetto.
- 43:17Speaker 3: I think he makes some sense kind of flipping the position,
- 43:19Speaker 3: flip flipping the build there. But I said a bunch
- 43:22Speaker 3: to say, I love the Dodgers here. Everyone's gonna like
- 43:24Speaker 3: the Dodgers. But I do think this is the probably
- 43:27Speaker 3: on paper, the best spot or the best overall offside
- 43:30Speaker 3: stack on the slate, which isn't isn't shocking to anyone,
- 43:34Speaker 3: But Dodgers are starting to hit, and I want to
- 43:37Speaker 3: be on this team every every time they're on the slate,
- 43:39Speaker 3: and once they start getting getting hot here, g Rosen,
- 43:43Speaker 3: you know it's a wagon you want to ride in, right,
- 43:46Speaker 3: especially in the DFS for your for your old checkbook
- 43:49Speaker 3: there to make that thing even fatter, right with with
- 43:52Speaker 3: some Benjamin, So, what do you see here, Dodgers astros?
- 43:56Speaker 4: What I see is Lambert's about to give up his
- 43:58Speaker 4: first home run of the year. He hasn't given up
- 44:00Speaker 4: one yet so far in three games, but that gonna change.
- 44:03Speaker 4: I wouldn't doubt if Dalton Rushing don't hit one off
- 44:05Speaker 4: his ass in the first at bat. So, but I
- 44:08Speaker 4: mean Lambert, I mean, this dude was in Japan. He
- 44:10Speaker 4: wasn't even really striking out that many guys. He was
- 44:13Speaker 4: at like a seventeen to eighteen percent strikeout rate before he.
- 44:16Speaker 5: Went over there, So I mean, I just I'm not
- 44:19Speaker 5: buying his.
- 44:20Speaker 4: Success he's having against lefties at this point. I mean,
- 44:22Speaker 4: thirty six percent, KRAI, He's He's not, I mean, that's
- 44:25Speaker 4: gonna that would that should drop in half man like,
- 44:28Speaker 4: So there's some regression coming. He's also got eleven percent
- 44:30Speaker 4: walk right to lefties, which I definitely don't you want
- 44:33Speaker 4: to be walking these Dodgers man like. That ain't gonna
- 44:35Speaker 4: get you nowhere, uh, that is for sure. So I mean,
- 44:39Speaker 4: you know he's definitely due to get beat up. You
- 44:42Speaker 4: mentioned that bullpen behind him, Uh is just absolutely trash.
- 44:46Speaker 5: He got used quite a bit yesterday too.
- 44:49Speaker 1: Uh.
- 44:49Speaker 4: They used at least four or five relievers, six relievers,
- 44:52Speaker 4: I believe, yesterday. So you know, the Dodgers definitely are
- 44:57Speaker 4: standing up at the top Dalton rushing, you know, sitting
- 44:59Speaker 4: up there that one hole. I mean, anytime I like,
- 45:02Speaker 4: you know, I like guys that are moving up in
- 45:04Speaker 4: the lineup, you know, in certain days, you know, anytime
- 45:06Speaker 4: a guy's getting moved up, I definitely like that situation.
- 45:10Speaker 4: But no interest in the Dodgers for me against Astros,
- 45:14Speaker 4: for me, against Otani. Dodgers for me definitely stand out
- 45:17Speaker 4: as one of my favorite stacks here today.
- 45:20Speaker 5: But yeah, I mean, hockn you not.
- 45:22Speaker 4: The Dodgers are are just they're the Dodgers, right, and
- 45:27Speaker 4: they're a pretty good spot today. I don't think they'd
- 45:28Speaker 4: be as highly owned as they actually should be today.
- 45:31Speaker 4: But yeah, I mean, Dodgers, Dodgers all day. They're number
- 45:34Speaker 4: one for me.
- 45:36Speaker 3: Yeah, I think we're getting a discount on their ownership
- 45:38Speaker 3: compared to where it could be on the slates, just
- 45:40Speaker 3: because of the way the slate sets up. And you
- 45:43Speaker 3: alluded to it, right, Houston went went back to back
- 45:45Speaker 3: bullpen games last two days, so they're extremely, extremely taxed.
- 45:48Speaker 2: I mean ninety five pitches.
- 45:50Speaker 3: Obviously, Ryan Weiss is pitched yesterday for the kind of
- 45:54Speaker 3: bulk relief, so he's gonna be super obviously unavailable. They
- 46:00Speaker 3: their other long relief guy unavailable, kaiwe Tang fifty four
- 46:05Speaker 3: pitches in the last three days.
- 46:06Speaker 2: He's gonna be unavailable.
- 46:08Speaker 3: So you're gonna have guys pitching on short rest with
- 46:10Speaker 3: tired arms against the best offensive baseball.
- 46:14Speaker 2: I mean, look at the look at the Astros bullpen
- 46:17Speaker 2: usage here.
- 46:18Speaker 3: If I just go ahead and pull this up here,
- 46:20Speaker 3: ninety five fifty nine, fifty four forty eight, thirty two
- 46:24Speaker 3: pitches and it's already the worst bullpen in baseball.
- 46:27Speaker 2: So I say all that to say, yeah, I'm with
- 46:30Speaker 2: you there.
- 46:31Speaker 3: Dodgers probably do pick up some steam coming up to lock,
- 46:34Speaker 3: but again I'm gonna be over on them. I think
- 46:36Speaker 3: it's the best spot in the slate for offense, and
- 46:39Speaker 3: I don't think it's that close to be honest. Here,
- 46:42Speaker 3: next game on the slates takes me to probably my
- 46:45Speaker 3: second favorite spot on the slate. Sam albe Gary, lefty
- 46:52Speaker 3: going for the Angels, nothing special. I don't think he's
- 46:56Speaker 3: very good Fetti. I do think if you wanted to
- 46:58Speaker 3: punt pitching and play him at sixty, I think it's viable.
- 47:02Speaker 3: But this game is speaks offense for for me, best
- 47:06Speaker 3: hitting conditions on the slate. I mean, you got some
- 47:09Speaker 3: wind blown out in Anaheim Angel Stadium. Plays above average
- 47:13Speaker 3: for home run and power. I mean White Sox. You
- 47:16Speaker 3: want the righties to start, but Murray com he just
- 47:19Speaker 3: continues to hit a home run every single time he's
- 47:21Speaker 3: he's on the slate. Montgomery one of the best hitters
- 47:24Speaker 3: in baseball too, in my opinion, one of the young
- 47:27Speaker 3: younger kids. I think he's a great play. You got
- 47:30Speaker 3: some pinch hick concerns at the back. Half of these
- 47:32Speaker 3: guys make it in here. Guys like uh, Derek calle Quero,
- 47:37Speaker 3: depending on who starts between him and Romo. I'm obviously
- 47:40Speaker 3: Rome is a switch hitter there, so he's fine.
- 47:42Speaker 2: But guys like.
- 47:43Speaker 3: Derek, Derek halee Quero, Acuna, I think those guys are
- 47:47Speaker 3: are definitely pitch hick concerns, but and random gree chick.
- 47:51Speaker 3: So it does hurt the stack in general because you
- 47:54Speaker 3: could only see two at bats three at bats at
- 47:58Speaker 3: most from three for these guys in the White Sox.
- 48:01Speaker 3: But I mean Murakami is gonna be on her own
- 48:04Speaker 3: compared to what he should be or could be on
- 48:07Speaker 3: the slate, just with the lefty lefty matchup there. Same
- 48:09Speaker 3: thing with Montgomery, me Jospin good, Vargas hit a bomb
- 48:12Speaker 3: last night. I love the White Sox here tonight. Angels
- 48:15Speaker 3: bullpen not good behind him, full nining ap bats there
- 48:18Speaker 3: in above average stadium. And then the Angel same thing
- 48:20Speaker 3: on the other side. Yeah, they're gonna strike out a bunch,
- 48:22Speaker 3: but they also have a bunch of power.
- 48:25Speaker 2: I lean the White Sox side more from a stacking perspective. Angels,
- 48:28Speaker 2: though also in play. White Sox bullpen not good either.
- 48:32Speaker 2: What do you see here?
- 48:33Speaker 4: I mean this is a great game for a game stack,
- 48:36Speaker 4: if you ask me, I think both offenses are definitely
- 48:39Speaker 4: solidly in play. I mean the Angels, we love the
- 48:42Speaker 4: power they haven't and Mike Trout has been I mean,
- 48:46Speaker 4: I'm hoping the Tigers trade for Mike Trowell. They were
- 48:49Speaker 4: talking about it here in the in the sports radio here,
- 48:52Speaker 4: But I mean, Fetti, he's definitely a got you can
- 48:55Speaker 4: attack li Low strikeout pitcher. He's been walking guys on
- 48:57Speaker 4: the left side a little bit more. He's been getting
- 48:59Speaker 4: barreled up the left side as well. But I mean,
- 49:03Speaker 4: there's all kinds of power to be had in this
- 49:04Speaker 4: Angel lineup, so definitely want to attack that. Both bullpens
- 49:08Speaker 4: in this game are not very good either, so that's
- 49:11Speaker 4: something to be had. But I mean, if you want
- 49:13Speaker 4: to look at attacking this ald, already all their gary
- 49:17Speaker 4: or I don't even know how the hell to say,
- 49:18Speaker 4: its close enough, but I mean he's not been good
- 49:22Speaker 4: at all. He's been having major control issues. I mean,
- 49:25Speaker 4: this Murra Kami. What a deal the White Sox guy
- 49:27Speaker 4: with it had with this guy. I mean, this guy
- 49:29Speaker 4: is looking like he's Shohel Tani's twin brother or something
- 49:32Speaker 4: that is smacking the shit out of the baseball. So
- 49:35Speaker 4: definitely think he's in play. I mean, shit, dude, like
- 49:38Speaker 4: you said, been hitting a home run seems like every
- 49:39Speaker 4: damn slate. But I think both teams are definitely in play.
- 49:43Speaker 4: I think you can stack either team really. I mean,
- 49:46Speaker 4: Vargas is in a good spot here, you know. I
- 49:49Speaker 4: think either team is in a good spot. So the
- 49:53Speaker 4: top of that lineup Montgomery, Vargas, Murk Kami all decent spots.
- 49:57Speaker 4: Gritchup has always hit lefties well, so I don't mind
- 50:00Speaker 4: that as a cheap at probably have a little pinchit risk,
- 50:03Speaker 4: But as you mentioned, but yeah, I mean I think
- 50:06Speaker 4: I got the Angels ranked a little bit higher, especially
- 50:09Speaker 4: on FanDuel, than I do than the White Sox. But
- 50:13Speaker 4: I think both lineups and play I'd have them in
- 50:15Speaker 4: both of my top of my rankings as far as
- 50:17Speaker 4: stacks go today.
- 50:18Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm with you there actually looking at it too,
- 50:20Speaker 3: I do put the I slid the Angels, especially with
- 50:23Speaker 3: the lower ownership ahead, and when you add in the
- 50:26Speaker 3: pinchick concerns for the White Sox. Like I said, I mean,
- 50:29Speaker 3: greet Chick's coming out as soon as already comes in.
- 50:33Speaker 3: Derek Hill probably the same thing, and then probably Akunya too,
- 50:37Speaker 3: So those three are kind of the main pinchick guys there.
- 50:43Speaker 3: Edgary Querro probably the fourth guy like I said, so yeah,
- 50:49Speaker 3: two of the better offenses on the slate. It's probably
- 50:52Speaker 3: the Dodgers the Angels White Sox is kind of how
- 50:54Speaker 3: I rank it so far, at least until we get
- 50:58Speaker 3: to the game in Arizona. I do like offenses in
- 51:01Speaker 3: that game as well, So yeah, I'm with you there.
- 51:04Speaker 3: You look at the White Sox bullpend worse than the
- 51:07Speaker 3: Angels bullpen this far, so yeah, give me a give
- 51:10Speaker 3: me the lean to the Angel side of it over
- 51:13Speaker 3: the White Sox side, but both both great spots.
- 51:17Speaker 2: Next game on the.
- 51:18Speaker 3: Slate, George Kirby Bryce Elder. Kirby not a crazy good pitcher,
- 51:22Speaker 3: but does pitch well in home. He obviously holds on
- 51:26Speaker 3: to that for half his starts or majority of his
- 51:28Speaker 3: starts right still pitching here, Bryce Elder quality arm has
- 51:33Speaker 3: looked improved this year, but still is not great against lefties,
- 51:37Speaker 3: and he's gonna probably see seven seven lefties tonight at least.
- 51:41Speaker 2: I mean, Mariners.
- 51:43Speaker 3: Aren't a crazy like a crazy hard matchup, but from
- 51:48Speaker 3: the left side, they do have good left handed hitters
- 51:51Speaker 3: Luke Riley, can Zone, Josh Naylor, I mean, cal Raleigh
- 51:55Speaker 3: Crawford's been good and never strikes out really, and then
- 51:58Speaker 3: you have Jay Rod and Randy Erol, two the better
- 52:00Speaker 3: right handed hitters potential talent wise, right, So that's kind
- 52:06Speaker 3: of why eighty five hundred I think is a pretty
- 52:09Speaker 3: steep price for Bryce Elder so I think the Mariners
- 52:12Speaker 3: are interesting, but more so kind of power hunting one offs.
- 52:17Speaker 3: I mean, cal Raley you can always play, but can zone.
- 52:20Speaker 3: I like, canzone anytime he's up against a righty. Same
- 52:23Speaker 3: thing with Louke Grayley, but it's more mini stacks here.
- 52:26Speaker 3: Braves bullpen is good, so I don't love it. Elder
- 52:28Speaker 3: I think is still a serviceable quality arm can navigate
- 52:32Speaker 3: his way through it. The Braves have been murder and baseball,
- 52:35Speaker 3: so if you wanted to, I mean again, it'd be
- 52:37Speaker 3: more mini stacks. Drake, Baldwin, Harris, Olsen, Alby's I'd live
- 52:41Speaker 3: kind of in those top four. They've been really, really good.
- 52:44Speaker 3: And I think that four in like a four to
- 52:46Speaker 3: three one build, I think is gonna be unowned and
- 52:50Speaker 3: has upside. So I won't fault anyone for going to
- 52:52Speaker 3: the top four of the Braves. But what do you
- 52:53Speaker 3: see here?
- 52:55Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean it's just better to play the Braves
- 52:58Speaker 4: on a different day than you know. We don't like
- 52:59Speaker 4: the park Seattle. I mean, Kirby's been good at home.
- 53:02Speaker 4: I mean the only problem with Kirby is he just
- 53:04Speaker 4: don't get enough strikeouts. He's still a dog like that dude,
- 53:07Speaker 4: still gets out, so that is definitely something. But I
- 53:10Speaker 4: mean Atlanta Lee's all ops and all of baseball, we're
- 53:13Speaker 4: sitting at a game total seven and a half. I mean,
- 53:16Speaker 4: there's reason for that, So I'm just not interested. I'll
- 53:20Speaker 4: wait another day. The load ups on some Braves. But
- 53:23Speaker 4: I mean Ozzy Alsby's, like I mentioned that, dude's just
- 53:26Speaker 4: on another world right now.
- 53:27Speaker 5: He's been incredible the last few days.
- 53:30Speaker 4: Matt Olsen hasn't been bad himself either, But yeah, I
- 53:32Speaker 4: think it's just a better day for the Braves.
- 53:34Speaker 5: It's just not today.
- 53:36Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean they do.
- 53:38Speaker 3: Kirby's out prop sitting at seventeen and a half with
- 53:40Speaker 3: minus one eighty six juice to the over, So that
- 53:43Speaker 3: just tells you right there, Elder, same thing over seventeen
- 53:46Speaker 3: and a half juice to the over. So yeah, but
- 53:48Speaker 3: I do think that top four for the Braves. I'm
- 53:50Speaker 3: definitely gonna have at least one stack somewhere in my
- 53:54Speaker 3: contest of the top four, just because Harris has been
- 53:57Speaker 3: really good, Baldwin's been murdering, matt Olsen's obviously one of
- 54:00Speaker 3: the best left handed hitters in baseball. Then Albi's is
- 54:03Speaker 3: on a tear right now on second base is a
- 54:05Speaker 3: weak position, especially if we lose an upside bat with
- 54:09Speaker 3: postpontment like Bryce training there where you could play, which
- 54:13Speaker 3: I definitely have interest there against Plante, but I don't
- 54:15Speaker 3: think that game plays. So Alboy's at four to three
- 54:18Speaker 3: makes some sense there. Next game on the slate, Arizona,
- 54:22Speaker 3: Roof's gonna be closed.
- 54:23Speaker 2: I believe.
- 54:24Speaker 3: I would assume I didn't look that up, but I
- 54:26Speaker 3: assume it's gonna be closed here. Bubba Chandler on the
- 54:28Speaker 3: mound can't get any lefties out. Does have talent. Like
- 54:32Speaker 3: I talked about when we broke down pitching, I think
- 54:34Speaker 3: he could play him. He's gonna be unowned and on
- 54:37Speaker 3: a pitching slate where everyone wants to play tie on
- 54:41Speaker 3: if they're going below the top kind of five arms,
- 54:43Speaker 3: Chandler could could find his way into an optimal build
- 54:47Speaker 3: or at least be good enough. I do think the
- 54:50Speaker 3: lefties are really good here for the Diamondbacks, Noll, Perdomo, Marte,
- 54:53Speaker 3: Carroll Vargas has been really really good. And then I
- 54:56Speaker 3: always talk about Alec Thomas. Nobody plays him. He always
- 55:00Speaker 3: hits anywhere from seven to tonight against a righty. He's
- 55:04Speaker 3: always in play for me. He always has a ton
- 55:05Speaker 3: of power, he's super cheap. So I like the d
- 55:08Speaker 3: backs wrap around stack in this one. And then Pirates
- 55:12Speaker 3: are also interesting here. I think people are gonna play
- 55:15Speaker 3: e Rod a little bit when they're looking for a pivot.
- 55:17Speaker 2: Off a tie on.
- 55:17Speaker 3: It just feels easy to play Edwara Roriguez against the
- 55:21Speaker 3: Pirates offense, and I do think he has strike on
- 55:23Speaker 3: ability here. But I think the Pirates are are fairly
- 55:26Speaker 3: interesting as well here. I lean more offense in this
- 55:28Speaker 3: one than pitching. But what do you see here?
- 55:31Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean we could start with the Pirates against
- 55:33Speaker 5: e Rod. I was just looking.
- 55:34Speaker 4: I mean it looks like they might roll out what
- 55:36Speaker 4: possibly eight righties against them here. I mean that's that's
- 55:40Speaker 4: that's interesting. So I mean they're gonna roll out eight
- 55:44Speaker 4: righties against the Rod. I might bumpy Rod down a
- 55:46Speaker 4: little bit in my ranking as far as as pitching goes,
- 55:49Speaker 4: I'd rather see e Rod against some lefties.
- 55:51Speaker 2: But I just don't like one second.
- 55:53Speaker 3: The roof is going to be open today and tomorrow,
- 55:55Speaker 3: so that does help offense here in Chase Field with
- 55:59Speaker 3: the with the roof being open, so Yeah, I'm probably
- 56:01Speaker 3: off both these pitchers. To be honest, we're kind of
- 56:03Speaker 3: starved for offense outside of that Anaheim game, right the Angels,
- 56:06Speaker 3: White Sox, and Dodgers. So these two definitely are are
- 56:10Speaker 3: on my list for interest at least. Wise the roof
- 56:13Speaker 3: doesn't make a huge difference, but it does help in general.
- 56:17Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, I think Arizona, as you mentioned too,
- 56:20Speaker 4: is in a really good spot against Bubba. Bubba has
- 56:22Speaker 4: has all kinds of control issues. I mean, it's just
- 56:25Speaker 4: it's not been good at all. He's been giving up
- 56:27Speaker 4: fly balls as well. He's been getting buriled up by lefties.
- 56:31Speaker 4: Not so much righties, but left He's really been getting
- 56:33Speaker 4: to him. As you mentioned, he's been getting hitting hard
- 56:35Speaker 4: by lefties. I mean, and then you look across at
- 56:38Speaker 4: the lineup. He's gonna be facing with Piedermo Marte, Carroll, Castillo, Vargas,
- 56:44Speaker 4: Thomas down there at the bottom. I mean, he's he's
- 56:47Speaker 4: gonna have a tough task today. So I definitely like Arizona.
- 56:52Speaker 4: I'd rank them up there. As you know, with the
- 56:55Speaker 4: with the White Sox and the Angel game, I mean
- 56:57Speaker 4: I put all three of them kind of in the
- 56:59Speaker 4: in this bucket there.
- 57:01Speaker 5: But I mean for me, the d Backs have just
- 57:05Speaker 5: been good too. I mean I like to play the
- 57:09Speaker 5: d Backs.
- 57:10Speaker 4: I mean, they're they're top ten in ops and the baseball.
- 57:13Speaker 4: I mean, especially against alrighty, who's going to be struggling
- 57:17Speaker 4: and can't get the ball over the plate. I mean,
- 57:20Speaker 4: you look at some of these walk rates are fairly
- 57:23Speaker 4: low for the bottom half of the lineup, but the
- 57:25Speaker 4: top half of lineup is fairly patient. But overall as
- 57:29Speaker 4: a whole, Arizona's not going to strike out. So his
- 57:32Speaker 4: babbitt's going to be in play today, and I think
- 57:34Speaker 4: he's going to run into some issues, especially he starts
- 57:37Speaker 4: walking some guys he could it could get soured really quick.
- 57:40Speaker 4: So Arizona for me is definitely one of my top stacks.
- 57:44Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm with you, and I see no reason around it.
- 57:47Speaker 3: I really like that wrap around the nine to one, two, three,
- 57:51Speaker 3: five stack. I think it's really interesting, right depending on
- 57:54Speaker 3: what they said, at least projected wise, Perdomo Marte, Carrol Vargas,
- 57:58Speaker 3: Ela Thomas, I think I really last game on the
- 58:01Speaker 3: slate out in San fran Logan Webb, Walker Bieler in
- 58:04Speaker 3: the mound, I do think this game is kind of
- 58:06Speaker 3: interesting on the Giants side.
- 58:08Speaker 2: For offense is kind of mini stacks. You do have
- 58:11Speaker 2: stolen base potential here and upside baked in.
- 58:13Speaker 3: Walker Beeler not great at holding runners on campus ono
- 58:16Speaker 3: is not a good catcher to catch guys stealing. So
- 58:21Speaker 3: with that added, I do think it's interesting, and I
- 58:24Speaker 3: just don't think Walker Beeler is very good anyways. I
- 58:25Speaker 3: know the park sucks, but compared to the slate at
- 58:29Speaker 3: hand right where weather kind of sucks. Really outside of
- 58:32Speaker 3: maybe one or two spots, I think Giants are decent
- 58:36Speaker 3: here on a slate where like I said, offense, offense
- 58:41Speaker 3: isn't crazy, so I won't be shocked to see the
- 58:43Speaker 3: Giants do some damage here. I know the padjas bullpen's
- 58:46Speaker 3: really good, but as I'm not gonna five man stack
- 58:50Speaker 3: this team, probably not even four, but two and three
- 58:52Speaker 3: man's or even one offs, I do think are fairly
- 58:55Speaker 3: interesting here.
- 58:56Speaker 2: But what do you see to run us out?
- 59:00Speaker 1: Yeah?
- 59:00Speaker 5: I mean I just don't like the park.
- 59:03Speaker 4: I mean it's just hard to play games out there,
- 59:05Speaker 4: and in San Francisco, even San Diego for that matter,
- 59:09Speaker 4: but I mean anywhere out there, especially you're sitting at
- 59:13Speaker 4: a game total sitting at seven and a half, mean,
- 59:15Speaker 4: Wakie Bueller does suck, but as you mentioned, that pullpen
- 59:18Speaker 4: rate behind him is pretty good. I just I don't
- 59:21Speaker 4: love it. I think there's way other spots you could
- 59:23Speaker 4: you could use. I mean, maybe pluck some one offs
- 59:26Speaker 4: or whatever. But I mean generally, anytime you got you know,
- 59:29Speaker 4: five six games that are you know, eight or higher
- 59:32Speaker 4: and you got some seven and a half games gonna
- 59:34Speaker 4: be rare.
- 59:34Speaker 5: It's gonna be rare.
- 59:35Speaker 4: We're gonna want to be focused on on on situations
- 59:38Speaker 4: like that, so that would just fall fall into this one.
- 59:41Speaker 4: But overall these I think it's kind of an ugly slate.
- 59:43Speaker 4: But hey, let's sinko to Mayo. We can have us
- 59:45Speaker 4: some some burritos, some taco, some botanas. We can have
- 59:49Speaker 4: all kinds of good stuff here. Phill up the belly
- 59:52Speaker 4: and a big fat margarita. But uh yeah, big hunter
- 59:56Speaker 4: K takedown over there two twenty two tournament Hunter K
- 59:59Speaker 4: to first over there, FanDuel.
- 1:00:00Speaker 5: That would be sure nice to be in my account
- 1:00:02Speaker 5: in the morning.
- 1:00:04Speaker 2: Yeah, hopefully hopefully it's in your counter.
- 1:00:07Speaker 3: Another Ship of Nation subscriber all over there, if they're
- 1:00:10Speaker 3: they're playing on Fan New there, I don't.
- 1:00:12Speaker 2: I don't get over.
- 1:00:13Speaker 3: On FanDuel, so I'll be on DraftKings, but I'll settle
- 1:00:15Speaker 3: for the top prizes over on DraftKings too. I will
- 1:00:18Speaker 3: say Louis Louis Rai is probably my favorite overall Giant bat.
- 1:00:22Speaker 3: Just dude, never strikes out. He's gonna put the ball
- 1:00:24Speaker 3: in play, good chance to be on bass. And he
- 1:00:26Speaker 3: leads the team in solent bases. So at a week
- 1:00:28Speaker 3: second base position thirty six hundred, I think he's definitely
- 1:00:31Speaker 3: in play, and I think he's pretty interesting there. Gee,
- 1:00:34Speaker 3: Rozen takes us to the end of the show. Your
- 1:00:36Speaker 3: favorite pitching combination, your favorite your top three stacks. Make
- 1:00:40Speaker 3: sure to include kind of a sneaky low owned stack
- 1:00:42Speaker 3: in one of them, and then home run call for
- 1:00:44Speaker 3: the people.
- 1:00:47Speaker 4: All right, I think I'm going to uh pitching. I'd
- 1:00:51Speaker 4: just probably jam up the top five. Like I said Otani,
- 1:00:54Speaker 4: I'd probably go Logan web actually, Logan Webber, maybe Gavin Williams.
- 1:01:00Speaker 4: I think I prefer well, I think I got them
- 1:01:02Speaker 4: all like so close there. It's kind of a toss up.
- 1:01:05Speaker 4: And then as far as stacks go, Dodger is my
- 1:01:07Speaker 4: favorite and then I'd put the Angels in white sox
- 1:01:13Speaker 4: all there in in a bunch there.
- 1:01:16Speaker 5: And then if you ask me like a low owned.
- 1:01:20Speaker 4: Stack, I think would be my would be the Cubbies
- 1:01:23Speaker 4: against Abbott. I think that would be an interesting one.
- 1:01:27Speaker 4: And then a home run call. I think Dalton rushing
- 1:01:29Speaker 4: is gonna end mister Lambert's no home run streak if
- 1:01:33Speaker 4: he's batting leadoff in the first at bet of the game.
- 1:01:35Speaker 4: So give me Dalton rushing to uh to.
- 1:01:39Speaker 5: I mean, because we know.
- 1:01:39Speaker 4: Tany ain't gonna be batting, because you know they don't
- 1:01:42Speaker 4: fucking let him hit.
- 1:01:43Speaker 5: You know, it's just stupid.
- 1:01:45Speaker 4: But Dalton rushing for me, Nate's right over the fence
- 1:01:48Speaker 4: first at bat.
- 1:01:50Speaker 2: All right. I like that.
- 1:01:52Speaker 3: I was gonna go Dalton rushing too, So make make
- 1:01:55Speaker 3: that two for one there.
- 1:01:57Speaker 2: I'll give another one too.
- 1:01:58Speaker 3: But for me, my favorite pitching combination is gonna be
- 1:02:01Speaker 3: I like Gavin Williams a ton Otani's obviously a great
- 1:02:04Speaker 3: play there, but I'll go Gavin Williams Logan Web.
- 1:02:07Speaker 2: I like those two.
- 1:02:08Speaker 3: I do think Logan Web pitching in that ballpark at home,
- 1:02:11Speaker 3: the leash is gonna be there. I'm not too afraid
- 1:02:14Speaker 3: of that Padres offense. Excuse me, in general, we just
- 1:02:17Speaker 3: saw Ronald McDonald get it dunk last night for me
- 1:02:20Speaker 3: when when I got laughed at for for that play
- 1:02:23Speaker 3: at four K.
- 1:02:25Speaker 2: But I'm going right back to the Logan Web here.
- 1:02:27Speaker 3: I know he's not been great, but again, I just
- 1:02:29Speaker 3: Padres offense is great on paper. They just strike out
- 1:02:31Speaker 3: a ton, especially on the road. They they've not been great,
- 1:02:34Speaker 3: So I'll go there. I'm going Dodgers, Angels and then
- 1:02:40Speaker 3: d Backs is kind of my top three, but for
- 1:02:43Speaker 3: a sneakier stack in general, I know you already gave
- 1:02:46Speaker 3: the cub so I'll let you have that, but I'm
- 1:02:48Speaker 3: gonna go Guardians. I think the Guardians are really interesting here,
- 1:02:51Speaker 3: really sneaky. I don't think many people, if anyone's gonna
- 1:02:53Speaker 3: really play them. Chase the latter has been great, Jay
- 1:02:56Speaker 3: Ram has been really good. Sheenaman Bazana is gonna be good.
- 1:02:59Speaker 3: Angel Martinez it has power bon Nailor. You got cheap
- 1:03:01Speaker 3: guys throughout that lineup to make it work with the
- 1:03:04Speaker 3: spin up pitching. So I do like the Guardians quite
- 1:03:06Speaker 3: a bit with their salaries and their price points. Not
- 1:03:08Speaker 3: a sexy offense, not a sexy stack, but we do
- 1:03:11Speaker 3: play a salary based game and it kind of unlocks
- 1:03:14Speaker 3: the rest of the roster for me. So I do
- 1:03:16Speaker 3: like that my Homer and call I'm gonna go to
- 1:03:18Speaker 3: the Cubs. I'm gonna go to your favorite sneaky stack
- 1:03:20Speaker 3: on the slate. I'm gonna go to see Suzuki forty
- 1:03:22Speaker 3: nine hundred. I know the weather sucks there. You know
- 1:03:24Speaker 3: it's not great abbots, the flyball guys. Suzuki murders lefties.
- 1:03:27Speaker 3: He's gonna be ten percent ten percent on when he's
- 1:03:30Speaker 3: been forty percent on the last two days. So right
- 1:03:33Speaker 3: back to the Cubs. Give me the Suzuki to hit
- 1:03:35Speaker 3: one out over the ivy in Wrigley. Gee, Rosen, appreciate
- 1:03:40Speaker 3: the breakdown. I think we had a great show. Happy
- 1:03:42Speaker 3: Sinco de mile to everyone out there. Have some margarita's,
- 1:03:46Speaker 3: have some Mexican food, have some Britos, have some tagos,
- 1:03:49Speaker 3: have some queso and some bean dip and you name it.
- 1:03:52Speaker 2: Obviously fantastic there.
- 1:03:53Speaker 3: I'm gonna be heading there with uh with the girl
- 1:03:56Speaker 3: after after the lineups are locked in. God luck to
- 1:04:00Speaker 3: in those contests for g Rosen on aids. We'll see
- 1:04:03Speaker 3: you guys next time we're out of here.
- 1:04:05Speaker 2: Peace,