Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Monday, 09/14/26

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MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Monday, 09/14/26 · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:09
  Speaker 1: All systems go. Clear for liftoff.
• 0:40
  Speaker 2: What is going on, Sheba Nation YouTube station? Yes, this
• 0:44
  Speaker 2: is not an NFL show. It is an MLB show.
• 0:47
  Speaker 2: I'm joined with my guy, Ham.
• 0:48
  Speaker 1: No Bellman. Bellman said, nah, NFL started. I want to
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: play some NFL.
• 0:53
  Speaker 2: No MLB. Nah, I'm just joking. He had some other
• 0:57
  Speaker 2: prior obligations. So, Ham coming fresh off the office. Not
• 1:00
  Speaker 2: the golf course. Fresh off the office there doing his
• 1:03
  Speaker 2: no fun job. Ready to talk some baseball for this
• 1:05
  Speaker 2: eight-game Coors Field slate. Should be a fun one overall.
• 1:09
  Speaker 2: How was your weekend, Ham?
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: Bring you in, man.
• 1:11
  Speaker 2: Happy Monday. There's still money to be made in September
• 1:16
  Speaker 2: baseball here. We're coming down the stretch with about 12
• 1:19
  Speaker 2: games or so left for most of these teams before
• 1:23
  Speaker 2: the postseason there.
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: So what's going on, brother? Happy Monday.
• 1:27
  Speaker 3: Yeah, man.
• 1:27
  Speaker 4: Happy Monday. Yeah. Eight games, I think, tonight.
• 1:30
  Speaker 3: I mean, some pretty good prize pools. If you want
• 1:33
  Speaker 3: to spend $ 222, you can get $ 50K up top on DK.
• 1:36
  Speaker 4: It's kind of rich. You got $ 20K on the lotto.
• 1:39
  Speaker 4: over on DraftKings.
• 1:40
  Speaker 3: But a little combo pack tonight. You got the Island
• 1:43
  Speaker 3: NFL game, and then you got this as well. So
• 1:46
  Speaker 3: looking forward to tonight's action. This weekend was good. I
• 1:49
  Speaker 3: know we did that NFL show yesterday. That show was fun,
• 1:52
  Speaker 3: so looking forward to that. But, man, just overall, I
• 1:54
  Speaker 3: need to go back and listen to the takedown breakdown.
• 1:57
  Speaker 3: I did not get a chance to listen to it yet.
• 1:59
  Speaker 3: And I was working earlier today. I wish I was
• 2:02
  Speaker 3: back at the craps table with you and the squad
• 2:04
  Speaker 3: and not doing this. But, yeah, man, I'm ready to
• 2:07
  Speaker 3: talk some baseball today.
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: Yeah, we haven't done many shows together.
• 2:11
  Speaker 2: Obviously now that NFL's around, we do have that Sunday
• 2:15
  Speaker 2: night sweat down show where we talk about Sunday night football.
• 2:18
  Speaker 2: We sweat some contests with the community there. Had some
• 2:21
  Speaker 2: pretty good viewership on that show yesterday. So if you
• 2:23
  Speaker 2: didn't get a chance to check that out, we are
• 2:25
  Speaker 2: live 5 p.m. every Sunday to watch about the last
• 2:29
  Speaker 2: hour and a half or so of the main slate.
• 2:31
  Speaker 2: Talk the Sunday night game as well. So catch that
• 2:36
  Speaker 2: live there. That's a new show that we added this year. Takedown, Breakdown,
• 2:39
  Speaker 2: me and Bellman are going to be switching off every Monday.
• 2:45
  Speaker 2: So we will be on that as well. But, yeah,
• 2:49
  Speaker 2: let's go ahead and talk this MLB slate here, Ham.
• 2:52
  Speaker 2: And it's definitely headlined by one pitcher in particular here.
• 2:57
  Speaker 2: In terms of the overall pitcher, we'll go 8K and
• 3:00
  Speaker 2: above and then 8K and below. Reed Detmer stands out
• 3:05
  Speaker 2: far ahead of the rest. And then it's probably Jose Soriano.
• 3:10
  Speaker 2: And then probably some cheap guys like Jonah Tong, something
• 3:13
  Speaker 2: like that is kind of how the slate shakes up
• 3:15
  Speaker 2: here in terms of pitcher ownership, where the field wants
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  Speaker 2: to go to.
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: Talk to me here, 8K and above, what are you
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: looking at in terms of pitcher?
• 3:23
  Speaker 2: Are you messing with Corbin Burns?
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: Still returning back from that injury there.
• 3:28
  Speaker 2: Kate Anderson blew up last time out, now gets to
• 3:31
  Speaker 2: match up against the Angels. He's looked pretty good to me.
• 3:34
  Speaker 2: His ownership should be pretty low, but again, he's got
• 3:37
  Speaker 2: a bunch of righties in that lineup there. And then
• 3:41
  Speaker 2: how are you going to handle Reed Detmers chalk and
• 3:43
  Speaker 2: Jose Soriano, who are both going to command pretty a
• 3:46
  Speaker 2: hefty chunk of ownership here tonight?
• 3:50
  Speaker 3: Yeah, for me, it's, it's, it's a two man race
• 3:52
  Speaker 3: up at the top. I do like the Reed, Reed
• 3:54
  Speaker 3: Detmers chalk. He's been pretty good. You know, for the,
• 3:58
  Speaker 3: for most of the season, you know, I think he
• 4:01
  Speaker 3: had what over 30 is last outing 25 plus before that.
• 4:05
  Speaker 4: He's been dominant.
• 4:06
  Speaker 3: Now he gets his Seattle team that, you know, Max
• 4:11
  Speaker 3: Scherzer struck them out 10 times not too long ago.
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  Speaker 3: So I do like Reed Detmers. I'm not afraid of
• 4:18
  Speaker 3: that chalk. And then I like Jose Soriano as well.
• 4:22
  Speaker 3: Interested to get your take on him. He was, I
• 4:26
  Speaker 3: would say, better at the beginning of the season. It's
• 4:28
  Speaker 3: kind of, you know, slowly come down. But at 8,500
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  Speaker 3: on this slate with not a lot of top end arms, Um,
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  Speaker 3: he's going to be my number two, uh, Troy, you know,
• 4:40
  Speaker 3: let's just talk about Troy Milton real quick.
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  Speaker 4: He is the highest price pitcher over on draft Kings today.
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  Speaker 4: And he just hasn't done it recently.
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  Speaker 3: I didn't have a game over 13 and his last
• 4:47
  Speaker 3: three starts or four starts, excuse me. Um, but he
• 4:53
  Speaker 3: does get, I would say a good ballpark upgrade in Toronto,
• 4:56
  Speaker 3: but I got Detmer squarely in front of him. And
• 4:59
  Speaker 3: then Sandy Alcantara, I'll just touch on him because he's
• 5:01
  Speaker 3: the third, third ranked, uh, pitcher from a price standpoint, uh,
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  Speaker 3: been very bad and was very brutal his last time
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  Speaker 3: out so I don't think I'm going to get there
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  Speaker 3: not on the road against Arizona does fairly well against
• 5:12
  Speaker 3: righties and I certainly think you can play Kate Anderson
• 5:17
  Speaker 3: as well he was on the show I think two
• 5:19
  Speaker 3: shows ago I did with Bellman on a Friday night
• 5:22
  Speaker 3: at home against the Athletics and let us down but
• 5:26
  Speaker 3: now he's on the road against this Angels team we
• 5:28
  Speaker 3: know this Angels team loves striking out but that's generally
• 5:31
  Speaker 3: against a righty so I would say Cade's probably three
• 5:35
  Speaker 3: or four for me, but it's Detmers, it's Soriano for me.
• 5:37
  Speaker 3: And then Corbin Burns, no thank you. First game since
• 5:41
  Speaker 3: coming off the IL, what was it, Nades? Like 60 pitches,
• 5:44
  Speaker 3: 55 pitches, something like that that he threw. I'm just
• 5:47
  Speaker 3: not there yet, not on tonight's slate anyway.
• 5:50
  Speaker 2: Yeah, so I do want to start with Reed Detmers.
• 5:53
  Speaker 2: He looks like SP1 for me. I don't really care
• 5:56
  Speaker 2: about the ownership. He looks like pretty much the only
• 5:58
  Speaker 2: starting pitcher on the slate that I see a real
• 6:01
  Speaker 2: strikeout ability, a really kind of have-to-have-it score that he
• 6:04
  Speaker 2: has the potential to put up. Doesn't mean he's obviously
• 6:07
  Speaker 2: going to post that score, but I do think he
• 6:10
  Speaker 2: is the overall best starting pitching play at 8,800.
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: I like him quite a bit.
• 6:15
  Speaker 2: I do think Kate Anderson's... I have more interest in
• 6:18
  Speaker 2: Kate Anderson than it seems like you do. I do
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  Speaker 2: have him over Jose Soriano, personally, myself. I think we're
• 6:23
  Speaker 2: going to get an ownership discount.
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: There as well.
• 6:26
  Speaker 2: The Angels, yeah, you like them right-handed starting pitchers against
• 6:30
  Speaker 2: him more, but Angel still have a 26% strikeout rate
• 6:33
  Speaker 2: against left-handed pitching on the season. You draw that back
• 6:36
  Speaker 2: over the last month. It's about a 24% or 23%
• 6:38
  Speaker 2: strikeout rate. So there's still strikeouts to be had there
• 6:42
  Speaker 2: overall in terms of props on the slate.
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: He still has a five and a half K prop
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: juice to the over there.
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  Speaker 2: So I do have Kate Anderson ahead of Jose Soriano Soriano.
• 6:52
  Speaker 2: I don't love here tonight, to be honest. He is
• 6:56
  Speaker 2: a ground ball guy going to kind of go out
• 6:58
  Speaker 2: there and roll you up some ground balls there. But
• 7:02
  Speaker 2: I haven't been the biggest Soriano guy personally myself. His
• 7:07
  Speaker 2: strikeouts just haven't been there, especially over the last month.
• 7:09
  Speaker 2: He's down at about a 16% strikeout rate. You look
• 7:12
  Speaker 2: at the Tigers over the last month or so, right
• 7:14
  Speaker 2: around kind of 24%, 24% strikeouts, give or take there.
• 7:19
  Speaker 2: He really strikes out a lot more righties. And the
• 7:21
  Speaker 2: issue is he's only going to see three righties in
• 7:23
  Speaker 2: this lineup. He's going to see six lefties where his
• 7:26
  Speaker 2: strikeouts drop off a cliff. He's down around 12% in
• 7:29
  Speaker 2: terms of that. So that's why I do have some
• 7:31
  Speaker 2: worry about Jose Soriano. So for me, up in the
• 7:34
  Speaker 2: top tier, it's definitely Reed Detmers personally and then Kate Anderson.
• 7:38
  Speaker 2: And then I think the pitching pool lives below 8K,
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  Speaker 2: where I think there is a lot of good guys
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  Speaker 2: to play down here.
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: I'll throw it over to you.
• 7:46
  Speaker 2: A couple guys that I'm looking at here, Quinn Matthews
• 7:48
  Speaker 2: looks pretty good to me at 7,700. Gets that matchup
• 7:51
  Speaker 2: against the Giants now with Devers on the shelf, which
• 7:55
  Speaker 2: was their obviously horse. Over the last month and a
• 7:57
  Speaker 2: half or so, he's been red hot. Now he's on
• 8:00
  Speaker 2: the shelf there. They kind of shut him down for
• 8:02
  Speaker 2: the season. So I like Quinn Matthews quite a bit.
• 8:04
  Speaker 2: Dean Kramer, Jonah Tong, I think are both playable as well.
• 8:08
  Speaker 2: Dean Kramer all the way down at 6,600 would be
• 8:10
  Speaker 2: my preferred between him and Jonah Tong. But I do
• 8:13
  Speaker 2: think all three of those guys are definitely playable. Will Warren,
• 8:15
  Speaker 2: I think, in tournaments is a pretty sneaky play as
• 8:18
  Speaker 2: well at 7,300. So I do think there's a lot
• 8:22
  Speaker 2: more value pitchers on the slate than spend up, and
• 8:24
  Speaker 2: that's kind of how I'm approaching it. outside of Kate
• 8:27
  Speaker 2: Anderson and Reed Detmers, but how do you see this
• 8:29
  Speaker 2: value tier here?
• 8:32
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm with you. I like this, the sub-8Ks, if
• 8:36
  Speaker 4: you will.
• 8:37
  Speaker 3: Let's start with, yeah, let's start with Quinn Matthews, who,
• 8:40
  Speaker 3: like you said, Rafael Devers, 60-day IL, which inevitably ends
• 8:44
  Speaker 3: his season. It's an offense that's gotten better, but without
• 8:48
  Speaker 3: Devers' bat in there, Quinn Matthews just shoots up the
• 8:51
  Speaker 3: board at 7,700. He's still He's still too cheap. In
• 8:54
  Speaker 3: my opinion, that's one of, one of Bellman's pitchers that
• 8:56
  Speaker 3: he likes, uh, Jonah Tong. I really liked Jonah Tong
• 8:59
  Speaker 3: tonight against this Baltimore team.
• 9:01
  Speaker 4: You get him at home.
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  Speaker 3: He was dynamite in his last start, um, in, in
• 9:05
  Speaker 3: Miami cruising through that game, just striking, striking them out
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  Speaker 3: left and right. I think he had seven K's and
• 9:11
  Speaker 3: then just the, the, the bottom fell out. I believe
• 9:13
  Speaker 3: in the fifth inning, I think he was able to
• 9:15
  Speaker 3: make it through that fifth inning, but did give up
• 9:17
  Speaker 3: four runs there. Um, so, uh, His total DraftKings points
• 9:24
  Speaker 3: came down, but I think he's squarely in play. And
• 9:26
  Speaker 3: then Will Warren, interesting, his rollercoaster season up and down
• 9:30
  Speaker 3: was up last time. Now he goes on the road
• 9:32
  Speaker 3: to Minnesota, which I still think this is a gettable spot.
• 9:35
  Speaker 3: No Byron Bucks, and obviously he's been out for quite
• 9:37
  Speaker 3: some time. So, yeah, those three would kind of be
• 9:40
  Speaker 3: at the top of the list for me. I know
• 9:41
  Speaker 3: you mentioned Dean Kramer, but no thanks for me, not
• 9:46
  Speaker 3: against that Yankees lineup anyway.
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree.
• 9:50
  Speaker 2: I probably have a lot more interest actually in the
• 9:52
  Speaker 2: Yankees bats, especially if I do think people do go
• 9:54
  Speaker 2: to Dean Kramer. He's projected right around 20% or so.
• 9:58
  Speaker 2: I'd probably actually just rather mess with David Peterson. amongst
• 10:01
  Speaker 2: those two but really i don't think you need to
• 10:03
  Speaker 2: play any of them i think quinn matthews really good
• 10:06
  Speaker 2: will warren those two guys in particular um look look
• 10:10
  Speaker 2: really good to me and then jonathan would be third
• 10:12
  Speaker 2: i'm just a little worried i do see kind of
• 10:14
  Speaker 2: the masses going to jonathan as sp2 part paired up
• 10:17
  Speaker 2: with reed detmers there so That's why I have Warren
• 10:20
  Speaker 2: and Matthews ahead of him. But I do think Tong's
• 10:23
  Speaker 2: playable as well. And then it'd probably just be David Peterson.
• 10:26
  Speaker 2: If punting all the way down, I think he makes
• 10:29
  Speaker 2: a little sense against your Atlanta Braves there. So summary
• 10:33
  Speaker 2: for me, Detmers, Kate Anderson, top two guys for me,
• 10:37
  Speaker 2: Quinn Matthews, Will Warren, Jonah Tong are kind of the
• 10:40
  Speaker 2: five main guys that I'm focused on here.
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: What's your kind of five main? And then we'll talk
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: hitting here.
• 10:46
  Speaker 3: Yeah. We're kind of aligned on pitching outside of, uh,
• 10:50
  Speaker 3: outside of Soriano. I have Soriano obviously a lot higher
• 10:52
  Speaker 3: than you do, but yeah. Um, I couldn't have said
• 10:55
  Speaker 3: it any better. Um, Will Warren's up there. Uh, Jonah
• 10:59
  Speaker 3: Tong is up there for me. Uh, like I said,
• 11:01
  Speaker 3: and then Reed Detmers is going to lead that lead
• 11:03
  Speaker 3: that charge against this Mariners lineup.
• 11:07
  Speaker 4: Yeah.
• 11:08
  Speaker 2: So William brings it up here. Um, Roth does have
• 11:11
  Speaker 2: a tag is the orange yellow. So it looks pretty
• 11:13
  Speaker 2: risky right there. Um, So that would probably take me
• 11:16
  Speaker 2: off those pictures there. Will Warren is kind of fringe guy,
• 11:19
  Speaker 2: more of a tournament play anyways for me. So that's
• 11:22
  Speaker 2: enough to kind of take him off. I would probably
• 11:24
  Speaker 2: add in David Peterson then as, as the fifth guy
• 11:27
  Speaker 2: is just a point value guy there. If I'm removing
• 11:31
  Speaker 2: will Warren because of the weather risks, I didn't really
• 11:33
  Speaker 2: want to play Dean Kramer anyway, so I'm out on him.
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: So yeah, put it at David Peterson over a, over
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: Will Warren with the weather risk.
• 11:42
  Speaker 2: If we get more clarity leading up to lock, I
• 11:44
  Speaker 2: do think Will Warren's a pretty interesting play overall. And
• 11:46
  Speaker 2: then obviously when we get to the Yankees bats, the
• 11:48
  Speaker 2: Yankees bats are going to look good as well. Um,
• 11:50
  Speaker 2: but there is some risks there to, to monitor. So
• 11:53
  Speaker 2: make sure you do pay attention there leading up to lock, um, before, uh,
• 11:57
  Speaker 2: you kind of go in there and start building NFL teams.
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: Let's jump over, talk to stone here. First game on
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: the docket. We do have the tigers.
• 12:04
  Speaker 2: We do have the blue Jays, Jose Soriano, Troy Melton, Melton,
• 12:06
  Speaker 2: as you alluded to earlier, hasn't been the best as
• 12:09
  Speaker 2: of late. Um, I think it makes some sense here
• 12:13
  Speaker 2: if you wanted to attack him with some of these
• 12:16
  Speaker 2: Blue Jays. Blue Jays are pretty cheap as well, but
• 12:20
  Speaker 2: this is still not a game that I love from
• 12:22
  Speaker 2: a DFS perspective here in retrospect to some of the
• 12:25
  Speaker 2: other teams on the slate.
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: How do you see this one, though, to start us off?
• 12:31
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm team never Blue Jays, right?
• 12:33
  Speaker 3: I just, I mean, on a shorter slate, obviously they
• 12:35
  Speaker 3: got a better chance to be on the winner. Very
• 12:37
  Speaker 3: rarely in the winter, but hey, your boy Vlad did
• 12:40
  Speaker 3: go yard what on Saturday, Friday or Saturday needs at home.
• 12:43
  Speaker 3: I think his first bomb in the Rogers center this year,
• 12:46
  Speaker 3: which is kind of wild to say that I was
• 12:47
  Speaker 3: in September, but I don't think I'm getting to the
• 12:49
  Speaker 3: blue Jays tonight.
• 12:51
  Speaker 4: I said, I do like Soriano, but I think on
• 12:53
  Speaker 4: a shorter slate, eight games, right.
• 12:54
  Speaker 3: If you want it to get different and, uh, you know,
• 12:57
  Speaker 3: get some of these tigers, even some of those righties.
• 13:00
  Speaker 4: Um, I don't hate that.
• 13:01
  Speaker 3: Max Clark, Dylan Dingler, you know, Riley green, somebody like that.
• 13:05
  Speaker 3: I don't hate a tiger stack as kind of like a, uh,
• 13:09
  Speaker 3: I'll call it contrarian. I don't think they're going to
• 13:10
  Speaker 3: get much ownership, but to me, Soriano is a better
• 13:13
  Speaker 3: play than the Tigers themselves.
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I like that.
• 13:18
  Speaker 2: Next game on the slate here, we do have the
• 13:22
  Speaker 2: Orioles and the Mets. Jonah Tong going to be one
• 13:24
  Speaker 2: of the more popular pitchers on the slate for a
• 13:27
  Speaker 2: good reason, right? Oh, a strikeout a ton, especially on
• 13:30
  Speaker 2: the road against right-handed pitching. Brandon Young on the other side.
• 13:34
  Speaker 2: Not a horrible pitcher, not a Great pitcher by any means.
• 13:38
  Speaker 2: I think you could play some of these Mets if
• 13:40
  Speaker 2: you wanted to. Mainly Juan Soto, Lindor stand out to me.
• 13:44
  Speaker 2: Those two guys look pretty good. Some cheap guys in
• 13:46
  Speaker 2: the back half if you needed some salary savings, and A.J.
• 13:49
  Speaker 2: Ewing and Brett Beatty. But another game that I don't
• 13:52
  Speaker 2: love from a DFS perspective, again, we're kind of comparing
• 13:55
  Speaker 2: everything here to Coors Field, where I do like both
• 13:59
  Speaker 2: sides for sure, but I definitely like that rocky side
• 14:01
  Speaker 2: at ownership there. So that's kind of the comparison here.
• 14:04
  Speaker 2: You're really putting everything up against the Padres, if you will,
• 14:08
  Speaker 2: on this slate. I do think that the Mets make
• 14:10
  Speaker 2: some sense here, but how do.
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: You see this one?
• 14:15
  Speaker 3: Yeah, the Mets, the Mets offense has been so much better,
• 14:18
  Speaker 3: at least in September. Anyway, I know they struggled yesterday.
• 14:21
  Speaker 3: I think they got shut out yesterday, but the Mets
• 14:23
  Speaker 3: offense as a whole has been a whole lot better.
• 14:25
  Speaker 3: Now they get Brandon Young, a guy we're not afraid
• 14:27
  Speaker 3: to pick on. So I don't hate this Mets team.
• 14:29
  Speaker 3: I'm not a big fan of this ballpark nade. So,
• 14:32
  Speaker 3: Like you said, I mean, it's going to be a
• 14:33
  Speaker 3: lot of cores. It's going to be a lot of
• 14:34
  Speaker 3: Padres going up against Sagano are going to be the
• 14:37
  Speaker 3: worst pitcher in the majors.
• 14:38
  Speaker 4: So I think in deep field, you know, deep field tournaments, right?
• 14:41
  Speaker 4: 20 plus teams.
• 14:43
  Speaker 3: You might have a handful of Mets, but I'm not
• 14:44
  Speaker 3: going out of my way to stack them. Not in
• 14:46
  Speaker 3: this part, but if you did, it'd be those, I'll
• 14:48
  Speaker 3: call it, let's just say the top, the top end guys, right?
• 14:51
  Speaker 4: I'd probably cut it off at, you know, Jared Young Carson.
• 14:54
  Speaker 4: What is it? Benji Benj or whatever you say his name.
• 14:56
  Speaker 4: He steals a ton of bags. I love him.
• 14:59
  Speaker 3: Obviously love Lindor and Soto.
• 15:01
  Speaker 4: They've put up runs in bunches, so I don't hate
• 15:04
  Speaker 4: the Mets stack. And then.
• 15:08
  Speaker 3: I'm torn on the Orioles. Probably not on the Orioles.
• 15:11
  Speaker 3: If you're telling me Jonah Tong is what, Nate? It's
• 15:14
  Speaker 3: like 30%, 40%? Do we want to get funky and
• 15:16
  Speaker 3: have a team or two of them to be contrarian?
• 15:20
  Speaker 4: Possibly. But if I'm playing one team or three teams,
• 15:23
  Speaker 4: I'm not getting any Orioles.
• 15:25
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, you are going to get some leverage
• 15:27
  Speaker 2: against Jonah Tong here.
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: He's been really good.
• 15:30
  Speaker 2: Over the last month, much better than he has over
• 15:34
  Speaker 2: the course of the season there. Right around 34% strikeout rate.
• 15:37
  Speaker 2: That's why people are going there. The O's do strike
• 15:38
  Speaker 2: out a ton. But he does give up some power
• 15:41
  Speaker 2: in fly balls. So looking at that from the O's side,
• 15:44
  Speaker 2: if you wanted to go there, Pete Alonzo stands out.
• 15:47
  Speaker 2: Dylan Beavers, Kobe Mayo, Jackson Holiday even. Those kind of
• 15:52
  Speaker 2: main guys there do have some upside. And Couser even
• 15:57
  Speaker 2: as well. So Couser, Mayo, Beavers, Alonzo. Those kind of
• 16:00
  Speaker 2: four would be your leverage plays there against one of
• 16:04
  Speaker 2: the more popular. But this city field is terrible for hitting.
• 16:08
  Speaker 2: So you do have that downside there as well. It's
• 16:10
  Speaker 2: just more of the leverage on a shorter slate when
• 16:13
  Speaker 2: people are probably going to be a little more lazy
• 16:15
  Speaker 2: in the MLB streets here with NFL going on tonight
• 16:18
  Speaker 2: as well.
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: Next spot, we are in Wrigley here. Wind blowing out
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: at Wrigley.
• 16:25
  Speaker 2: It's not the best weather, but it's kind of blowing
• 16:27
  Speaker 2: from right to left, more towards that left foul pole,
• 16:31
  Speaker 2: right around 15 miles an hour. I don't know what
• 16:33
  Speaker 2: the gusts are going to do. So this is definitely
• 16:35
  Speaker 2: going to play above average in terms of hitting. You're
• 16:39
  Speaker 2: going to get the Cubs pretty low owned here and
• 16:41
  Speaker 2: the Braves. I love this game from a DFS perspective here.
• 16:44
  Speaker 2: This is my favorite spot to go to outside of
• 16:46
  Speaker 2: Coors Field. I like both sides of it. Obviously, you
• 16:49
  Speaker 2: do have that really good Braves bullpen. The issue is,
• 16:51
  Speaker 2: is Ronaldo Lopez is not good. Hopefully the Cubs can
• 16:54
  Speaker 2: get on him early. If they don't, it's going to
• 16:57
  Speaker 2: be tough sledding for your Cubs stacks there.
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: But I do think the Cubs still make a lot
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: of sense here.
• 17:05
  Speaker 2: The Braves bullpen did use three relievers yesterday, 34 pitches,
• 17:09
  Speaker 2: 14 and 17. Kind of taxed overall on the Cubs
• 17:13
  Speaker 2: side in terms of the bullpen. Not a great bullpen
• 17:15
  Speaker 2: by any means, but they also used three relievers yesterday
• 17:17
  Speaker 2: as well. I like this game for offense here. I
• 17:20
  Speaker 2: probably lean the brave side, um, just because David Peterson
• 17:24
  Speaker 2: has been absolutely atrocious. And the only reason I mentioned
• 17:27
  Speaker 2: him earlier is because of his salary. Um, but how
• 17:31
  Speaker 2: do you see this one here? Overall, Braves have not
• 17:34
  Speaker 2: been great against left-handed pitching. Peterson has not been great.
• 17:36
  Speaker 2: It's a battle of two shitters, um, over the last
• 17:40
  Speaker 2: month or so.
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: How do you see this one?
• 17:43
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm with you.
• 17:43
  Speaker 3: I think this game, like if you wanted to get
• 17:45
  Speaker 3: different from, from the, uh, From the Rockies game, this
• 17:49
  Speaker 3: would be the one. You talked about the win. Hopefully
• 17:50
  Speaker 3: it picks up a little bit. I mean, you don't
• 17:52
  Speaker 3: need me to tell you PCA is probably, you know,
• 17:55
  Speaker 3: one of the best plays on the slate tonight, $ 6, 500.
• 17:57
  Speaker 3: So you are going to have to pay that big
• 17:59
  Speaker 3: boy price tag. He profiles very well versus Lopez, like
• 18:03
  Speaker 3: Michael Bush as well. Tonight in this lineup, Ian Happ
• 18:06
  Speaker 3: as well, strikes out a little bit too much. So
• 18:08
  Speaker 3: you're going to get roughly three to five innings of
• 18:10
  Speaker 3: Bernardo Lopez, depending on how it goes for him. They
• 18:13
  Speaker 3: have been yanking him out in the fifth inning. And
• 18:15
  Speaker 3: like you said, that Braves bullpen is pretty good, but
• 18:18
  Speaker 3: hopefully it's, you know, nine to nine to nothing or whatever,
• 18:22
  Speaker 3: when they pull them out, they put in one that's
• 18:23
  Speaker 3: not as good.
• 18:24
  Speaker 4: So I like this Cubs team a little bit. Then
• 18:26
  Speaker 4: on the flip side, I like the Braves as well.
• 18:28
  Speaker 3: You talked about David Peterson, Braves know this guy from
• 18:30
  Speaker 3: his Mets days, but there is a lot of pinch
• 18:33
  Speaker 3: hit risk, especially at the bottom half of that lineup.
• 18:35
  Speaker 3: I saw Kim probably going to come out, Sean Murphy,
• 18:38
  Speaker 3: potentially Mauricio Dubon, maybe as well. Once, you know, once
• 18:41
  Speaker 3: they start bringing in the pen with guys like Mikey Skrimski. So,
• 18:45
  Speaker 3: It's Cubs over Braves for me, but certainly don't hate
• 18:48
  Speaker 3: the Braves, you know, one through five, even lefty-lefty with
• 18:52
  Speaker 3: Olsen and or Harris.
• 18:53
  Speaker 4: I don't hate that as well. That's a way to
• 18:55
  Speaker 4: get different off those Padres as well.
• 18:57
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I still do think you could play Sean Murphy.
• 18:59
  Speaker 2: He's 2,600. So I do think he's pretty interesting in there.
• 19:05
  Speaker 2: Do you know if Drake Baldwin or Murphy's doing the
• 19:06
  Speaker 2: catching tonight? Which one's DH-ing? Is it Baldwin DH-ing?
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: I don't see.
• 19:12
  Speaker 3: I would assume it's Murphy. I don't know why they
• 19:15
  Speaker 3: put Murphy as the DH when they potentially could.
• 19:18
  Speaker 4: But, yeah, let me look it up while you're talking.
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: Yeah, go ahead.
• 19:21
  Speaker 2: Yeah, so I think Murphy's pretty free to be pinch
• 19:24
  Speaker 2: hit risk there if.
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: He's doing the catching.
• 19:28
  Speaker 2: Obviously, they could put Baldwin in there, but typically if
• 19:31
  Speaker 2: Murphy's going to start catching, they don't really like switching
• 19:33
  Speaker 2: the catcher mid-game there. So I do think Murphy– It
• 19:36
  Speaker 2: is nice, and the little wraparound, 8-1-3, little Murphy, Acuna, Olsen,
• 19:41
  Speaker 2: I think is pretty interesting there.
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: Olsen hits lefties pretty good.
• 19:43
  Speaker 2: Peterson, I don't think he's going to go super long anyways.
• 19:47
  Speaker 2: He kind of goes right around that 70, mid in
• 19:50
  Speaker 2: terms of pitch count there. So then you're going to
• 19:52
  Speaker 2: obviously get a bunch of righties for Olsen there. So
• 19:56
  Speaker 2: I like the Braves, but I do prefer the Cubs
• 19:58
  Speaker 2: side with the added in there. And it's the lefties
• 20:01
  Speaker 2: that you want to start with for the Cubs. PCA, Conforto.
• 20:05
  Speaker 2: Michael Bush, Ian Happ, Pedro Ramirez, who's had a really
• 20:09
  Speaker 2: good last month or so. All those guys look really good,
• 20:12
  Speaker 2: and then obviously you can always play Bregman, Kelly, Suzuki.
• 20:16
  Speaker 2: This whole lineup's been really good against right-handed pitching. Tons
• 20:18
  Speaker 2: of power, low strikeouts. I think this is a really
• 20:20
  Speaker 2: good spot for the Cubs. Ownership's going to be low. Yeah,
• 20:23
  Speaker 2: that Braves bullpen is scary, but if they can jump
• 20:25
  Speaker 2: on Lopez early, you can see the Braves just pump
• 20:27
  Speaker 2: this game here. As a Brewers fan, I don't want
• 20:29
  Speaker 2: to see the Cubs win games, but I do like
• 20:32
  Speaker 2: them quite a bit here from a DFS perspective tonight.
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: Next one, Yankees.
• 20:36
  Speaker 4: Murphy is catching, by the way, Nate.
• 20:39
  Speaker 2: Okay, yeah, I do think he's safe then from pinch
• 20:42
  Speaker 2: hit if he's doing the catching. They typically don't switch
• 20:45
  Speaker 2: mid-game in terms of catchers. Twins, Yankees, Will Warren, Dean
• 20:48
  Speaker 2: Kramer on the mound. This is the game with the
• 20:51
  Speaker 2: weather risk. Again, Roth has it tagged as orange. Orange-yellow
• 20:54
  Speaker 2: right now. They could postpone this and just play a
• 20:59
  Speaker 2: doubleheader tomorrow. That's the risk here. Obviously, the first game
• 21:02
  Speaker 2: of the series here. On Monday, you still have Tuesday
• 21:06
  Speaker 2: and Wednesday to make these games up. I would not
• 21:10
  Speaker 2: be shocked to see him do that. So we'll talk
• 21:13
  Speaker 2: about it if this game does play. If the game
• 21:16
  Speaker 2: does play, I do think the Yankees are really, really
• 21:18
  Speaker 2: interesting here at no ownership. I'm not a Dean Kramer
• 21:21
  Speaker 2: guy overall. I think if the game does play, people
• 21:24
  Speaker 2: might go to more so on Dean Kramer than they
• 21:27
  Speaker 2: would be on the Yankees bats.
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: He's been a miserable guy.
• 21:30
  Speaker 2: Tons of power given up, tons of fly balls, especially
• 21:32
  Speaker 2: the lefties, Garcia, Rice, Bellinger, Jones, Wells. They all look
• 21:36
  Speaker 2: really good. And then obviously you've got Judge, Caballero, Lombard
• 21:39
  Speaker 2: in there who can all do their own damage. But
• 21:42
  Speaker 2: it's definitely starting with the lefties here. I think the
• 21:45
  Speaker 2: Yankees are one of the top overall stacks on the
• 21:46
  Speaker 2: slate if the game does play.
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: But how do you see this one, Yankees and the Twins?
• 21:51
  Speaker 4: Yeah, obviously you're going to want to– Check the weather here.
• 21:56
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, Aaron Judge, he's been kind of– I
• 21:59
  Speaker 3: believe he's been kind of cold since he's come back.
• 22:01
  Speaker 3: I like Aaron Judge tonight against Dean Kramer. Should have
• 22:05
  Speaker 3: some success in this ballpark tonight. And then, yeah, I
• 22:09
  Speaker 3: like Will Warren, but I don't mind picking off a
• 22:11
  Speaker 3: couple of these lefties for the Twins at the game plays.
• 22:15
  Speaker 3: Brooks Lee, Cody Clemens obviously being my two favorite ones,
• 22:19
  Speaker 3: batting second and third tonight. But all in all, I
• 22:22
  Speaker 3: don't think I'll get to the Yankees full stack And
• 22:26
  Speaker 3: then the twins probably won't get to them as well.
• 22:28
  Speaker 3: So you're saying the Yankees, they're not going to come
• 22:29
  Speaker 3: with ownership just because why, because of cores and, and
• 22:33
  Speaker 3: what else?
• 22:34
  Speaker 2: Yeah, because of cores and probably their price points, but
• 22:36
  Speaker 2: price doesn't really matter. I mean, I ran the dry run.
• 22:38
  Speaker 2: I got a hundred percent San Diego stacks in terms
• 22:41
  Speaker 2: of projected score. So that tells you right there, everyone's
• 22:43
  Speaker 2: prioritizing San Diego. I'd gladly pivot to the Cubs pivot
• 22:48
  Speaker 2: to the Yankees. I like some of the other teams
• 22:51
  Speaker 2: as well. So, I think the Yankees are super, super good.
• 22:54
  Speaker 2: If this game does play, you're going to have to
• 22:56
  Speaker 2: monitor it, but I mean, you're getting sub 5% ownership
• 22:59
  Speaker 2: on the Yankees. Sign me up for that against Dean
• 23:01
  Speaker 2: Kramer and that, that, that twins bullpen. And I like
• 23:04
  Speaker 2: the lefties too, for the twins. I mean, Brooks Lee,
• 23:06
  Speaker 2: Cody Clemens, Josh Bell, those guys look good. You got
• 23:09
  Speaker 2: Emmanuel Rodriguez in there, a new guy that called up there, 2200.
• 23:13
  Speaker 2: He's shown some power a little bit. There actually seems
• 23:16
  Speaker 2: to be a pretty solid hitter overall. You got Walker
• 23:19
  Speaker 2: Jenkins in there too. He's got a pretty solid pedigree. So,
• 23:22
  Speaker 2: I do like this game more so in the hitting
• 23:24
  Speaker 2: environment as another pivot off of Coors Field there. So
• 23:27
  Speaker 2: I do have both of those teams on my short
• 23:30
  Speaker 2: list of offense there, but I do have to monitor
• 23:33
  Speaker 2: it overall if the game does play for sure. Next spot,
• 23:38
  Speaker 2: Landon Root, Quinn Matthews. Quinn Matthews looked really good to me.
• 23:42
  Speaker 2: No Giants interest for me. They're kind of mailing it in.
• 23:45
  Speaker 2: I mean, look at this roster. Jonah Cox, Bryce Eldridge,
• 23:49
  Speaker 2: Shea Whitcomb, Turner Hill, Brett Harris. A Bandura, Nizer, Grant McCray.
• 23:54
  Speaker 2: I mean, this has got to be one of the
• 23:55
  Speaker 2: worst major league lineups I've ever seen in my life.
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: No, thank you on that. Quinn Matthews is a smash here.
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: I'm shocked. He's not higher on than he is.
• 24:02
  Speaker 2: I would not be shocked to see that kind of
• 24:04
  Speaker 2: creep up as we lead to lock there, but I
• 24:07
  Speaker 2: think he's a smash.
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: No giants for me.
• 24:09
  Speaker 2: Cardinals, not super interested against Landon Roop. Landon Roop, huge
• 24:13
  Speaker 2: park downgrade here, going to St. Louis from San Fran Burleson.
• 24:17
  Speaker 2: I think you could play Sagasi's been actually really good,
• 24:20
  Speaker 2: and now he's up to the leadoff spot at 2,800.
• 24:23
  Speaker 2: Second base is a really weak position, so I think
• 24:25
  Speaker 2: he makes some sense. Leo Bernal has shown some signs
• 24:29
  Speaker 2: of life, a catcher, a switch hitter, 3,100. I think
• 24:32
  Speaker 2: he's kind of interesting there, but outside of that, don't
• 24:36
  Speaker 2: really love this game. It's more of kind of a
• 24:38
  Speaker 2: one-man or two-man little mini-stack action, one-off, something like that
• 24:43
  Speaker 2: in this spot, but how do you see St.
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: Louis and San Francisco?
• 24:48
  Speaker 3: Nades, I mean, you took the words out of my mouth.
• 24:50
  Speaker 3: I mean, this Giants lineup, goodness gracious alive, like no
• 24:55
  Speaker 3: major league caliber hitters on this team outside of Bryce Eldridge.
• 24:59
  Speaker 3: I mean, yeah, like look at, it's a small sample,
• 25:04
  Speaker 3: but I mean, Quinn Matthews at home has been dynamite
• 25:07
  Speaker 3: this year.
• 25:09
  Speaker 4: What do you call it? Shark red over blood red
• 25:11
  Speaker 4: over on the Giants side.
• 25:13
  Speaker 3: And I was actually logged in looking up what Quinn
• 25:15
  Speaker 3: Matthews' strikeout prop was.
• 25:19
  Speaker 4: And his run total was as well.
• 25:21
  Speaker 2: Well, 5.5K prop juiced the under, actually. So if you
• 25:24
  Speaker 2: like the over, you're going to get some. It's plus 117.
• 25:28
  Speaker 2: Kind of what I'm seeing is the consensus right now.
• 25:31
  Speaker 2: I'm using the Action Network just because it's kind of
• 25:33
  Speaker 2: clean to see everything. There I haven't checked a bunch
• 25:36
  Speaker 2: of books, but you can probably get some pretty good
• 25:38
  Speaker 2: number on Quinn Matthews over that 5.5 because he is
• 25:42
  Speaker 2: juiced to the under.
• 25:44
  Speaker 3: Yeah, let's do it just for fun because I don't
• 25:47
  Speaker 3: like that lineup.
• 25:48
  Speaker 4: But, yeah, give me some Quinn Matthews all.
• 25:50
  Speaker 3: Day, and then, yeah, you said it. Landon Root kind
• 25:52
  Speaker 3: of– nah, been decent, I guess, at best. And Seguis
• 25:57
  Speaker 3: is batting at the top of the lineup.
• 26:00
  Speaker 4: Yeah, Leo Bernal. Yeah, I like this Cardinals team. I
• 26:02
  Speaker 4: think others will as well, similar to the Mets.
• 26:05
  Speaker 3: I don't love this lineup– or, I'm sorry, I don't
• 26:07
  Speaker 3: love this stadium, but I do love the top half
• 26:09
  Speaker 3: of this lineup. They can do some damage as well. So, yeah,
• 26:12
  Speaker 3: give me the Cardinals as– I'll call it a contrarian
• 26:14
  Speaker 3: as well. If I'm playing, you know, five teams, I'm
• 26:17
  Speaker 3: definitely having one Cardinals and maybe you can get there
• 26:19
  Speaker 3: in like a three max.
• 26:21
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I prefer probably the Rockies, probably the D-backs when
• 26:25
  Speaker 2: we're going to get them over the Cardinals. But I
• 26:26
  Speaker 2: do think they have some interesting pieces for cheap. Like
• 26:29
  Speaker 2: I said, Segese, Berno, Burleson's a little expensive, but he's
• 26:33
  Speaker 2: great anytime you can get him. It'd be more of
• 26:36
  Speaker 2: kind of the filler catcher at a onesie position, second
• 26:39
  Speaker 2: base shortstop.
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: I think he's a nice value there. batting leadoff.
• 26:43
  Speaker 2: So just those guys. Takes us to the most, I mean,
• 26:49
  Speaker 2: look at this ownership here. I mean, you're talking 170%
• 26:52
  Speaker 2: combined ownership on the Padres. I don't think I've ever
• 26:55
  Speaker 2: seen this. I know it's only an eight-game slate. I
• 26:58
  Speaker 2: know it's pretty weak pitching slate. It's Sagano on the mound.
• 27:01
  Speaker 2: I understand the Padres have been better. It's just, my gosh,
• 27:05
  Speaker 2: if I'm playing tournaments tonight, it's gotta be minus EV to,
• 27:10
  Speaker 2: to go in there and play the Padres. That's just
• 27:12
  Speaker 2: how I see it. I'm going to be off the Padres.
• 27:15
  Speaker 2: If they beat me, they beat me. I'm playing limited
• 27:17
  Speaker 2: lineups tonight with, with NFL on the docket. I think
• 27:20
  Speaker 2: a lot of people are, you run projections. Padres are
• 27:23
  Speaker 2: just getting littered throughout this lineup. Jackson Merrill looks really good.
• 27:26
  Speaker 2: Obviously Tatis Machado Salas looks really good. They're, they're young
• 27:31
  Speaker 2: kid there. He does have a big strikeout problem, but
• 27:33
  Speaker 2: if he hits it, it's probably going to go pretty,
• 27:35
  Speaker 2: pretty good in Coors field there. But, I mean, you're
• 27:38
  Speaker 2: talking this kind of ownership with a team that just
• 27:41
  Speaker 2: doesn't have a bunch of power. I know power isn't
• 27:44
  Speaker 2: what you're looking for in Coors Field. You're just looking
• 27:46
  Speaker 2: for balls in play because it's not the best home
• 27:48
  Speaker 2: run park. But I understand Sagano's trash.
• 27:52
  Speaker 1: I just, I don't know.
• 27:54
  Speaker 2: I'd much rather prefer the rocky side of it against
• 27:57
  Speaker 2: Casey Mize, who's been absolutely atrocious over the last month.
• 28:00
  Speaker 2: 304 ISO, 15% striker rate, fly ball rate higher than
• 28:04
  Speaker 2: his ground ball rate. So I prefer the Rocky side
• 28:07
  Speaker 2: of it. McCarthy, Moniak, Kerrig, Rumfield, Goodman's back in there. Tovar,
• 28:12
  Speaker 2: Amador even, Connor Norby. I just much prefer the Rocky side.
• 28:18
  Speaker 2: Give me the Rockies here tonight at one third, one fourth,
• 28:22
  Speaker 2: the ownership of the Padres. And that's kind of the
• 28:25
  Speaker 2: flag I'm dying on. But Padres on paper is the
• 28:27
  Speaker 2: best overall stack on the board. Hard to argue it.
• 28:29
  Speaker 2: It's just I'm not doing it at this kind of–
• 28:31
  Speaker 2: I mean, you're seeing 40%, 50% ownership on hitters on
• 28:34
  Speaker 2: an eight-game slate when, I mean, the most likely outcome
• 28:38
  Speaker 2: is they fail more often than not.
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: So how do you see it?
• 28:42
  Speaker 4: Yeah, similar.
• 28:42
  Speaker 3: So I'm just looking at the lineup. It just came
• 28:44
  Speaker 3: out as you were talking. So Dustin Harris, we have
• 28:47
  Speaker 3: him projected batting eight. He's actually batting second, which I
• 28:51
  Speaker 3: think is a big move from him. His ownership is going.
• 28:53
  Speaker 4: To fly up the board.
• 28:55
  Speaker 2: Yeah, he'll be– I mean, Dustin Harris at 3,200, a
• 28:58
  Speaker 2: lefty against Sugano hitting second. In Coors Field, he'll probably
• 29:02
  Speaker 2: be 60% on. I mean, it's hard to argue, but
• 29:07
  Speaker 2: salary's not really existing on the slate. I mean, if
• 29:09
  Speaker 2: you're playing cash, you're playing probably five Padres here tonight.
• 29:12
  Speaker 2: I know Tidal will have his cash stuff up here
• 29:14
  Speaker 2: on the show, but, yeah, that's a good call up
• 29:16
  Speaker 2: there because, yeah, Dustin Harris is going to fly up
• 29:18
  Speaker 2: the boards. He's definitely the first spot you're starting with.
• 29:21
  Speaker 2: It's probably him, Tatis– Jackson Merrill are probably the first
• 29:25
  Speaker 2: three clicks in cash if you're playing those guys.
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: But go ahead.
• 29:29
  Speaker 4: Yeah.
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: And so.
• 29:32
  Speaker 3: Jake Cunningworth slides down to the eight hole. I think
• 29:35
  Speaker 3: his ownership comes down, but maybe, a good play. I mean,
• 29:39
  Speaker 3: you said this Padres team, I mean, it's dink.
• 29:41
  Speaker 4: And dunk, right, in Colorado. I'm totally fine.
• 29:44
  Speaker 3: I mean, I think single entry, you should have at
• 29:46
  Speaker 3: least a piece or two, but they project so well.
• 29:49
  Speaker 4: But in a tournament, like a large.
• 29:50
  Speaker 3: Field tournament, the way to win those is not to
• 29:52
  Speaker 3: just jam in, you know, one through five with the Padres.
• 29:55
  Speaker 3: And then you said it best, right? The Rockies look good.
• 29:58
  Speaker 3: I don't like Mickey Moniak down in the seven hole.
• 30:00
  Speaker 3: I do like Mickey Moniak. Let me restate that.
• 30:04
  Speaker 4: I love Mickey Moniak. I don't love it that he's
• 30:06
  Speaker 4: down there batting seventh.
• 30:07
  Speaker 3: He can do a lot of damage down there as well.
• 30:11
  Speaker 4: Cole Carrick, I like him tonight. And then T.J. Rumfield,
• 30:14
  Speaker 4: I like him as well. So I'm with you on
• 30:16
  Speaker 4: this Rockies team.
• 30:17
  Speaker 3: I mean, hopefully we get in the back and forth
• 30:19
  Speaker 3: and it goes over that posted total.
• 30:21
  Speaker 4: But I think you're going to need a piece of
• 30:22
  Speaker 4: this game for sure to be on the winner tonight.
• 30:24
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, it's kind of hurtful to say the
• 30:28
  Speaker 2: Rockies are my favorite overall stack on the slate at
• 30:31
  Speaker 2: ownership when you add in that San Diego bullpen. But
• 30:34
  Speaker 2: you look, Matsui threw 21 pitches yesterday. Randy Vasquez, 23.
• 30:37
  Speaker 4: Hart, Peralta.
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: I mean, Morjan, Bradley, Rodriguez. They're pretty cashed.
• 30:44
  Speaker 2: I mean, Mason Miller is at 44 pitches in his
• 30:46
  Speaker 2: last three days. You think they're going to really– throw
• 30:49
  Speaker 2: him out there against the Rockies when they need him
• 30:51
  Speaker 2: down the stretch in the playoffs here. Same thing with
• 30:53
  Speaker 2: more John and Rodriguez, those guys through back-to-back days, Friday, Saturday,
• 30:57
  Speaker 2: they had the day off yesterday, but I mean, I
• 31:00
  Speaker 2: don't know.
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: I'd like the Rockies a ton here. Much prefer them to,
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: to the Padres.
• 31:04
  Speaker 2: I know that bullpen is good, but if they get
• 31:06
  Speaker 2: up on, uh, they get up on old Casey mice here,
• 31:09
  Speaker 2: you can see the Padres is punt this game away, um, overall.
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: And, uh, I'll be completely off the Padres. I don't care. Um,
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: that's just a chance I'm going to take. Um, It's baseball.
• 31:19
  Speaker 2: I mean, Hall of Famers fail seven out of ten times.
• 31:22
  Speaker 2: I say it all the time. I'm not going to
• 31:23
  Speaker 2: play them into like I mean, they could they could
• 31:26
  Speaker 2: approach 180, 200 percent combined ownership on an eight game
• 31:30
  Speaker 2: slate when people are going to be more lazy press
• 31:32
  Speaker 2: projections with NFL. I just I'll take my chances on
• 31:35
  Speaker 2: one of the other 15 teams outscoring them in terms
• 31:38
  Speaker 2: of DFS for chasing the top prize in tournaments. Mariners, Angels,
• 31:44
  Speaker 2: Reid Detmers, Kate Anderson, two of my favorite pitchers, two
• 31:46
  Speaker 2: of the top pitchers overall in the slate. This is
• 31:48
  Speaker 2: a quick speed-up game. No offense for me in here.
• 31:53
  Speaker 2: I'm not picking on Reid Detmers, not picking on Kate Anderson.
• 31:55
  Speaker 2: I know he has been kind of up and down. Schur, Netto,
• 31:59
  Speaker 2: and Trout. Jose Siri, that top three, if those guys
• 32:02
  Speaker 2: are hitting there, I think in teams where you're not
• 32:04
  Speaker 2: playing Kate Anderson or maybe you pivot to Quinn Matthews
• 32:08
  Speaker 2: in that build and go to like those top three angels,
• 32:12
  Speaker 2: something like that. I think you can make some sense there.
• 32:14
  Speaker 2: If I had to pick a side, it'd definitely be
• 32:16
  Speaker 2: on the angels side. But Kate Anderson is not picking
• 32:18
  Speaker 2: up a ton of ownership by any means. So it's
• 32:20
  Speaker 2: not like you're getting leverage or anything like that. It'd
• 32:22
  Speaker 2: just be more of you're betting on trout, Neto and
• 32:25
  Speaker 2: Siri being good against lefties, which they are playing those guys,
• 32:29
  Speaker 2: which you can, you can definitely do, but this is
• 32:31
  Speaker 2: not a spot for, for offense for me.
• 32:37
  Speaker 4: I would, I would agree with you. I mean, obviously
• 32:38
  Speaker 4: I like Deb mercy. He's my number one ranked pitcher. Uh,
• 32:42
  Speaker 4: Kate Anderson, I got enough respect.
• 32:43
  Speaker 3: If I'm going to do it, I don't, I don't
• 32:46
  Speaker 3: hate a Mike Trout one-off. So I think, I think,
• 32:49
  Speaker 3: you know, one-off is great in this spot. Mike Trout
• 32:51
  Speaker 3: against the lefty going to get two, possibly three matchups
• 32:54
  Speaker 3: against him. He can certainly go yard beat is, you know,
• 32:56
  Speaker 3: almost double his projection.
• 32:57
  Speaker 4: So give me some Mike Trout as a one-off not
• 32:59
  Speaker 4: playing any Mariners tonight.
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: Yeah. I like that.
• 33:03
  Speaker 2: I think if you wanted to play a Mariner for
• 33:07
  Speaker 2: whatever it is, Randy Orozarena, J-Rod, those would be the
• 33:10
  Speaker 2: only two guys I'd really look at there. Cam Raleigh
• 33:13
  Speaker 2: if you wanted to, but really Orozarena and J-Rod. Those
• 33:16
  Speaker 2: guys hit lefties pretty well and can have some stolen
• 33:19
  Speaker 2: base upside for sure. Last game of the slate, Marlins, D-backs,
• 33:23
  Speaker 2: Corbin Burns, Sandy Alcantara on the mound. I like this
• 33:26
  Speaker 2: game for offense here. This is the third game that
• 33:28
  Speaker 2: I prefer over Coors Field as well. D-backs would be
• 33:31
  Speaker 2: my lean. Marlins, I think, are kind of sneaky here.
• 33:33
  Speaker 2: Griffin Conine looked pretty good. Corbin Burns, I think this
• 33:37
  Speaker 2: guy's busted up. I think it's over for him, personally, myself.
• 33:43
  Speaker 2: Don't expect him to kind of come back super well
• 33:46
  Speaker 2: from his injury. He didn't look good last start. I mean,
• 33:50
  Speaker 2: you're not going to get a ton of pitches out
• 33:52
  Speaker 2: of him. You're probably looking at that 70 pitch mark
• 33:55
  Speaker 2: somewhere in there, 70, 75 maybe.
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: He went, what, 57 last time out.
• 34:01
  Speaker 2: Marlins have been actually pretty sneaky against right-handed pitching really
• 34:04
  Speaker 2: all season.
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: They'll run as well. Paulie looks really good. I mean,
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: this dude's got.
• 34:08
  Speaker 2: A 444 ISO and a sub 20% strikeout rate against
• 34:12
  Speaker 2: left or right-handed pitching over the last month. He looks
• 34:15
  Speaker 2: really good to me. Marcy Stowers, Joe Mack is a
• 34:18
  Speaker 2: cheap catcher. If he's in there, Conine, like I said,
• 34:20
  Speaker 2: Xavier Edwards will steal bases. This team just doesn't really
• 34:23
  Speaker 2: strike out. I'm not playing any Corbin Burns for sure.
• 34:27
  Speaker 2: Give me the Marlins bats over Corbin Burns and then
• 34:30
  Speaker 2: the D-backs too against Sandy. Sandy's been really bad, especially
• 34:33
  Speaker 2: against lefties over the last month. Corbin Carroll looks really good.
• 34:35
  Speaker 2: Lars Neupahr looks good to me. Ketel Marte, Perdomo, Pavin Smith.
• 34:40
  Speaker 2: If he's in there, he's got some power. He's a
• 34:42
  Speaker 2: big pinch hit risk, but he's pretty cheap at 2,200
• 34:46
  Speaker 2: at first base.
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: I like this game for offense here to round us.
• 34:49
  Speaker 2: Out, and I'll definitely have exposure to both sides here.
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: How do you see this one?
• 34:53
  Speaker 4: Yeah. Yeah.
• 34:55
  Speaker 3: Man, it's tough for me. I don't like stacking this
• 34:57
  Speaker 3: Marlins team. They got some young talent. Like you said,
• 35:00
  Speaker 3: they swipe a lot of bags. So I'll give you that.
• 35:04
  Speaker 3: But I don't think I can get there in a
• 35:06
  Speaker 3: full five, man. Then on the flip side, Pavin Smith
• 35:10
  Speaker 3: is batting eighth, Nate. So he is in the lineup, $ 2, 200.
• 35:13
  Speaker 3: I think you said that.
• 35:14
  Speaker 4: He looks good. Give me some of these lefties, though.
• 35:17
  Speaker 4: I don't hate that. I don't like Corbin Carroll batting
• 35:19
  Speaker 4: fifth now. I don't know. They did that about a
• 35:20
  Speaker 4: week or two ago. But I actually side with the
• 35:23
  Speaker 4: D-backs over the Marlins.
• 35:26
  Speaker 3: But you're going to get those Marlins. Oh, that's showing
• 35:29
  Speaker 3: like semi. Yeah, they look pretty good, but I'm not
• 35:33
  Speaker 3: a fan of the Marlins. I'm going D-backs over the
• 35:35
  Speaker 3: Marlins tonight. Give me those lefties that I talked about. Carroll, Perdomo, Martins. Sorry,
• 35:41
  Speaker 3: go ahead.
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I do. I do lean the D-backs as well.
• 35:44
  Speaker 2: But I do think some of those plays from the
• 35:46
  Speaker 2: Marlins are pretty interesting as well. Thanks for the end
• 35:50
  Speaker 2: of the show. Your top three pitchers, your top three
• 35:52
  Speaker 2: stacks and a home run call. If you have one,
• 35:53
  Speaker 2: I'll do the same and we'll get on out of here,
• 35:55
  Speaker 2: start building our baseball teams and then throw in some
• 35:58
  Speaker 2: NFL stuff as well.
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: And have a nice night of sports out of us.
• 36:01
  Speaker 4: Yeah. Looking forward to tonight.
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: Yeah.
• 36:03
  Speaker 4: So top, top three pitchers is going to be Detmers
• 36:05
  Speaker 4: for me. I'm going to go Detmers.
• 36:07
  Speaker 3: Number one, number two, I'm going to go Jonah Tong
• 36:10
  Speaker 3: against the Orioles. And then number three, I'm going to,
• 36:13
  Speaker 3: I'm going to stick with Soriano.
• 36:14
  Speaker 4: I'll keep Soriano number three. And then real quick on, on,
• 36:18
  Speaker 4: on stacks.
• 36:22
  Speaker 3: I got to go Padres just because they're in a
• 36:24
  Speaker 3: course facing Sugana, who's brutal.
• 36:26
  Speaker 4: Then I'll go Cardinals.
• 36:28
  Speaker 3: Oh, Quinn Matthews. Yeah, Quinn Matthews up there as well. Padres, Cardinals,
• 36:33
  Speaker 3: and then it's a toss-up between, I'm going to say
• 36:35
  Speaker 3: the Angels, and I'm going to say the Cubs.
• 36:40
  Speaker 4: Oh, and then, yeah, go ahead, and we can give
• 36:42
  Speaker 4: our home run call after that.
• 36:44
  Speaker 2: All right, yeah, top three for me. I'm going Detmers,
• 36:47
  Speaker 2: Kate Anderson, and Quinn Matthews. Those are the three guys
• 36:50
  Speaker 2: that I'm focusing on. Offense, I'm going Cubs. I'm going Rockies.
• 36:55
  Speaker 2: I'm going D-backs. Yankees would be in there as well,
• 36:58
  Speaker 2: but I'm a little worried about that weather in that game.
• 37:01
  Speaker 2: If that weather does clear up a little bit and
• 37:04
  Speaker 2: we get more clarity, I do love the Yankees, especially
• 37:07
  Speaker 2: those lefties for sure.
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: Go ahead, your home run call.
• 37:11
  Speaker 3: I'm going to go with my second favorite stack of
• 37:13
  Speaker 3: the night, Batting from the left side against Landon Root,
• 37:18
  Speaker 3: number three in the lineup, Alec Burleson.
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: Alec Burleson.
• 37:24
  Speaker 2: I'm going to go to the Cubs. I'm going to
• 37:25
  Speaker 2: go to my top stack. I'm going to go to
• 37:28
  Speaker 2: a guy hitting in the back half of that lineup.
• 37:30
  Speaker 2: Michael Conforto gets another one here. Hitting seventh, 3,100, sub-5% owned.
• 37:37
  Speaker 2: Give me Michael Conforto to take one deep there in
• 37:39
  Speaker 2: Wrigley County. Appreciate everyone tuning in, hit that like button,
• 37:43
  Speaker 2: hit that subscribe button.
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: It helps us out a ton.
• 37:44
  Speaker 2: If you're playing NFL hoop, Tambo and title did the
• 37:47
  Speaker 2: showdown breakdown right here on this channel.
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: They also Tam Tambo and Bellman also did the lineup
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: review show.
• 37:54
  Speaker 2: If you're in the NFL streets over Sunday, talking through
• 37:57
  Speaker 2: some evergreen content there in regard to breaking down the
• 38:00
  Speaker 2: winning lineups, how people could have got there and kind
• 38:02
  Speaker 2: of dissecting those that you can extrapolate out to improve
• 38:05
  Speaker 2: your overall process. But for him, I'm Nate. Good luck tonight,
• 38:11
  Speaker 2: like I said, in those contests. Good luck in the
• 38:14
  Speaker 2: NFL streets. We'll have all the content live up in
• 38:17
  Speaker 2: the Discord and on the website. We'll see you guys
• 38:20
  Speaker 2: next time.
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: We're out of here.
• 38:22
  Speaker 3: Peace.