Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / A College-Packed Parlay with Special Guest Blackjack Fletcher

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A College-Packed Parlay with Special Guest Blackjack Fletcher · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:08
  Speaker 1: Welcome to The Favorites on Jeff Schwartz and this is
• 0:10
  Speaker 1: our Monday edition the Parlay Show. Normally you here, Chad,
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: but chat is out today. So with me as usual
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: as Paula Duka, ten years in the BIGS, four time
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: All Star, and our favorite person of all time, black
• 0:22
  Speaker 1: Jack Fletcher, who you know from the Friday Super Concious
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: edition the Favorites is in Paully, black Jack, what's up, fellas?
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: How we doing? Jeff? I am fantastic, PAULI, how you doing, buddy?
• 0:35
  Speaker 1: How are you doing? Um? Not much out here in Kentucky.
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: I haven't flown on yet. I'm just hoping that my
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: luggage gets home. Uh. That's why I chose to Flahoma,
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: fla home a day late. And black Jack made the
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: mistake of flying home last night. Yes, Paul I made
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: the mistake of flying home so I could actually show
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: up to work on Like Chad Millman, who I'm filling
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: in for, who's lounging in his day bed in his
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: mansion and Grantwich, Connecticut. You don't even stuff and you're
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: happier than him. No, Well you know what that's because
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: I'm here talking to YouTube beautiful bastards. For those who
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: don't listen to the Friday edition, Blackjack and Chat go
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: after each other quite often. This is par for the course. Alright, guys,
• 1:17
  Speaker 1: big games yesterday we had Rogers Brady the Patriots covering that.
• 1:22
  Speaker 1: By the way, the the highest ticket accounts yesterday, We're
• 1:26
  Speaker 1: eleven and oh in all the games. Big day for
• 1:29
  Speaker 1: the public. Black Jack, you bet against your Patriots yesterday?
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: How do you feel about losing that contest? Sunday Football? Look,
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: and I didn't feel great about it. Thankfully, I also
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: had the under, so I even did out with that.
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: But you know what, Jeff I, I'm not going to
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: second guess myself. That's not how I live. You know,
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: we've had this conversation. I live life looking through the windshield,
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: not the rear view mirror. Okay, I took Aaron Rodgers
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: on the points my mistake. Move on, what's next, PAULI.
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: I know that you always come in here with a
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: great story about a bad beat for the week. It's
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: one of my favorite things. I have bad beats as well,
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: but you you just seem so much like more depressed
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: about it when you talk about what was your what
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: was yours? Your worst play Penn State, not the press
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: like I sent you to text when you're wrong, you're wrong.
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: My best dat was tense State. They got house Michigan's
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: for real in the defense as for real, hold on,
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: hold on, that can't be it because let me let
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: me tell you a little tale from Kentucky, Jeff from
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: the weekend. Okay, I'm sitting in a bar yesterday called
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: Roosters and Lexington, Kentucky, with Paula Duca and one of
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: his his friends from Kentucky. And we're sitting there and
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: I had the Redskins yesterday, second loss of the day,
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: and I make the brilliant decision that, you know what,
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna live bet the Redskins plus seventeen and a half.
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: And Pauli decides, I'm with you on that one. I'm
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: gonna live bet him too. And now we've got Paula
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: Duca running across rooms in the bar to catch the
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: Redskins plays on the TV in the other room, which
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: of course they didn't cover the seventeen and a half either.
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: Thank you, Washington. It was an interesting day. It was
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: an interesting day. It was the best part is my
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: buddy next to us an eight and a half. Yep,
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: I want to. I thought the washing Redskins were gonna
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: cover that spread yesterday. I was shocked at the way
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: they played. But dude, what's funny about you spreading across
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: the bar? So I was an event with my wife
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: on Saturday, and I was like, okay, I'm not gonna
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: watch college football Saturday night. I'm okay with that. But
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: we got to the event and we were there a
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: couple of minutes earlier, and we were saying at the
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: bar and Texas and West Virginia were on, and I
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: had money on Texas and I had big money on text.
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: I thought they would win that game. So I'm watching
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: the game. I'm not even paying attention to her and
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: our friend that came and she just goes, okay, you
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: know what, just stayed downstairs. So she was a great wife,
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: So let me watch the end of that football game,
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: as they will do that. She went up to the
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: party for a little bit, and then I was just
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: kind of like in and out of paying attention to
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: the party and also watching college football because we know
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: that this job never ends. I just left. Football is
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: just amazing. But you guys had a good weekend in Kentucky.
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: It was good. Yeah, yeah, great weekend man. We got
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: to hang out at the Breeders Cup sitting millionaires row Uh,
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: PAULI had some interesting comings and goings. He interviewed Toby Keith,
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: Bo Derek and Carson Cressley and my right on that one, Paul, Yeah,
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: it was Jeff. It was so cool, like because Toby
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: Keiths walking with a Dodgery had on never even knew
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: the Dodgers fan. He's wrapping Dodgers, he's wrapping Giants. He
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: knows his baseball like you couldn't believe, like cool as
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: can be. He must black pake. I mean, how many
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: pictures did he take? He must have took. Toby Keith
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: was awesome, awesome guy. But the other two interviews may
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: have been more interesting than Toby's, were they not, Paul? Yeah. Carson,
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: Uh through the straight guy for a lot of people
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: that don't remember that show. He was a fashion expert,
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: so I got to interview him. He's a Breeders Cup
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: ambassador and he broke down he was doing the fashion
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: stuff and then he broke down my outfit. Uh. It
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: was absolutely classic. And then um chart Lewis, he had
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: a great one on me. You wouldn't love this one, Swartsey.
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: I was behind for Starter Lewis and I'm like, hey, Richard,
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: where do you get to bet? And He's like, it
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: wouldn't matter, man, you wouldn't be able to see it.
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: And I'm like, there you go, six or ten after athletes,
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: and then Stephen Jackson as well. Stephen Jackson is a
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: mountain of a man. By the way, Paul also got
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: to interview the Lovely Bow Derek. Yeah, I mean sixty
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: two years old. I didn't want to drop it, um schwartzy.
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: You know. I don't know if you remember Cheryl Tiegs
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: and back in those days and when we had those
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: posters up on our wall up bo Derek, but like
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: when when she was a ten, I didn't want to
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: drop that on her. But for sixty two years old,
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: I'll tell you what. She's a beautiful woman. Well that's yeah.
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: You had a fun time to look like. That was great.
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: I followed along. It was nice to follow on on
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: social media's you guys posted all your photos. All right,
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: let's get to this the way this works. Mondays for
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: black Jack who who I'm sure listens to our podcast.
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: But let's refresh everyone. We'll make three picks each, well
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: a total of nine picks for our parlay. We'll put
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: them into a nine team, or we can win twenty
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: thousand dollars and we put down twenty bucks each eight
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: weeks in a row. Now we've given you guys nine
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: picks eight weeks in a row. We have not one
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: so far this week we are three and five. One
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: game left tonight. We got Tennessee plus six for mont
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: in football. I actually won two this week. That was
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: nice because I had gone how about this black jack?
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: Oh for the last two weeks. So the way, so
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: the way this will we'll go as we'll pick. We'll
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: each take our turns going through the board. College but
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: we actually put anything. We could pick college basketball if
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: you would like it. Starting up this week, uh NFL
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: obviously in an NT double A football. All right, let
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: me go first this money, This this NFL slate man
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: is not shaping up to be the best week right now.
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: But I think we wanna go all the way to
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: mind and football. So how about this Niners favored by
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: three points over the Giants. The Giants are awful. They're awful.
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: The Niners. We saw them and get the Raiders. And
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: this is not an overreaction for the Raiders because I
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: think that that the Niners offensively are just so far
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: advanced that like twenty five teams around the NFL, that
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: they can do a lot with a little and their
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: offensive line is really good. They're running the ball well.
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: Even if Bethard or Mullins plays, I think that um
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: their offense will be able to move the ball against
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: the Giants who trade away Harrison. The Giants are just
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: a complete and absolute wreck. The Niners front seven is
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: really good that they can get after the quarterback and
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: Giants offensive lines at thirty one points. I know it's
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: a game, it's long way. Mine of Football is with
• 7:31
  Speaker 1: the wait until the end of the week to win
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: this parlay. But I I just I can't see the
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: Giants even come close to this game, traveling across the
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: country like this to Mine of Football, give me the Niners, PAULI,
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: what do you think? Yeah, I don't mind this, because
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: you know I had said before the Niners don't have
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: trouble moving the football. You're right, their offensive line is
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: good and C. J. Bethward at times has moved that team.
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: Then insert Nick Mullens and like Brett far reincardnated I guess,
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: I mean, and who thought he would bring out a
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: game like that? But he threw safe throws, he stayed
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: away from um from turnovers, and they dominated a Raider
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: team that's just in disarray. So um, maybe there's gonna
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: be a little bit of reaction to Mullins. But the Giants,
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: I it looks like to me like the party's over.
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: And when the party's over in New York and the
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: media starts piling on, you start, you start quitting. So
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: I don't mind the stick black Jack. Yeah, I mean,
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: the Giants stink. Everyone knows that. It's painfully apparent to
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: everyone that watches them. The Niners with Mullins, I mean,
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: you know, I thought there might have been a quarterback
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: controversy with Jimmy Jean c J. Bethard. Now you throw
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: Mullins in and it's it's is it time to start asking?
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: You know what they do with that first overall pick?
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: I mean, you know, do you do you trade Jimmy Gean,
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: try to get another one and really rebuild around Mulons.
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: Maybe maybe, oh, come on, Blackjack, maybe Jimmy Garoppolo is
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: the guy in Frasco. Nice. Well, you know what if Mullins.
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: If Mullins plays this well for the rest of the season,
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: he will have a longer resume than Jimmy Garoppolo. He
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: beat He beat the hapless Raiders, who beat the hapless Giants.
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: Let's see them. It gets a good team before we
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: go there. All right, PAULI you're first, and by the way,
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: you're you're new this podcast. Paul will give us one
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: amazing college pick every single week, and I hope it's
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: the first one. Mm hmm, I'm guessing it's not the
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: first time. I'm gonna go with the reaction h plus
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: eleven against the rams Um and the reason why the
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: Seahawks for and for divisional rival. I mean, they lost
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: the Chargers yesterday, and you know, Russell Wilson again tried
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: to do this a little bit of heroic at the end.
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: They actually tried to uh save some of the over
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: peders with the tip path the and I needed that
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: path to be completed so I could have got to
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: that over But my thing is, like, listen, the ran
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: ms Um played the Saints last night. It was the
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: biggest game. They had their first loss. They're gonna be
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: a tenty bit to play it. I know they go
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: back back home, but Seattle knows them just as good
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: as anybody. I'll settle finally healthy, and I think you
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: can still run the football on the Rams. And the
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: Rams defense is starting to show a little bit of
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: holes in it. You thought their front front four was
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: gonna be pretty good at beginning the season, but it
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: hasn't been as good as you thought, and the secondary
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: is starting to um. You know, Falter and I know
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: they've played the Saints. I get it. Drew Brees a
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: different ballgame, right, I'll take Russell Wilson an eleven points
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: in in in a in a inner, you know, rival
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: game in the same division game. Block. Yeah, listen, I
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: don't love this one, PAULI. I mean, the only reason
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: I can go with it is because of the eleven.
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: But I think the Rams has come out with a
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: big bounce back after this loss to New Orleans. I
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: think they come out looking for blood. I'm not sold
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: on Seattle. Elevens a lot of points though in a
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: visional game, so I don't hate it, But I don't know.
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: This would have been my first pick off the board, PAULI, Well,
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: we have a challenge fact, by the way, so if
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: you feel greatly about something, you can challenge it. Now
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: I have to also agree with your challenge and and
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: that we can throw it off the board. But I'm
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: not I'm not challenging this pick. Yeah, I wouldn't either, Jeff.
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: And you know what with I've listened to your show
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: many times, and this isn't gonna be the craziest pick
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: Paul makes today. So it's definitely not. And I think
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: for a divisional game. You're right though, though it's a
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: lot of points. And if this game, I know this
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: is Monday, but I think this game might get down
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: a little bit to like seven, seven and a half,
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: maybe seven, but seven and a half eight at that point,
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: I think the Rams have played. But eleven ten and
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: the Seahawks play. All right, Blackjack, your first pick in
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: the Parlay Show, Go ahead. I'm going to some college
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: football here, Jeff. And I'm telling you what, there's a
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: game here that I love. It's SMU and Yukon. All right,
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: Yukon is the worst college football team against the spread.
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: You've pointed this out yourself, Jeff. They're an awful team. SMU,
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: on the other hand, just took it to Houston h
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: this past Saturday. They're laying eighteen at Yukon and I
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: can't lay those eighteen quick enough. I think they beat
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: the hell out of Yukon on the road. I think
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: I agree with you here you come. By the way,
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: if you look at Bill Conley's SMP rankings, they're dead last,
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: they're hundred and if you look at if you look
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: at s m u uh, they're they're ninety. But you're right,
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: they've played better ball of lately. They just came off
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: a win against Houston. The one thing that worries me
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: about this a tiny bit is the fact that this
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: is at Yukon, and not that I don't know if
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: that really terribly matters very much, um, but that that
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: that's only the thing that kind of worries me is
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: we can have a weather issue. I wouldn't worry about, Jeff.
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: There's not much of a home field there. There's gonna
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: be more staff at Chad Millman's mansion than there will
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: be fans in the crowd its stores. God Ukon's defense,
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: like SMUs offense, is pretty good. Explosive wise. They're like
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: in the twenties, who does SMU Yeah, it doesn't matter
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: because Yukon is is a hundred hundred every defensive category.
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: They're awful. They're awful. So I'm taking the Mustangs. I
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: can roll with this pick here. I kind of like this,
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: all right, So we got we got one. We got
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: one wild college pick out of the way. I'm sure
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: Paul will come This is gonna be a thing of
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: college football. More podcast. The NFL lines this week are
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: just not not very juicis How about this? How about this?
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: We're going to the pack twelve conference. You know, Paul
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: and I are packed twelve. Give me Cal plus five
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: at USC this weekend. The Cal Golden Bears are great
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: on defense. They are great on defense, and I can't
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: score very much. But when you have a great defense
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: like this playing against USC's offense, who's been up and
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: down all season, I like the five points here. Cal's defense,
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: by way nineteenth in the country. They just went to
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: Washington State, by the way, in that high powered Mike
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: Leach offense with Gardner Minshew and only gave up nineteen points.
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: And actually Washington States scored with eighteen seconds left to
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: win that game. Otherwise it might have gone overtime. We
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: know Cal shutdown. Washington only allowed ten points to them,
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: seven points to Oregon State allowed Arizona. They have a great,
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: great deal even Oregon they lost Organa have two scores
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: on defense that game. So I think this game is
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: really low scoring. I don't quite buy USC. And by
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: the way, the Pacteal South is a complete dumpster fire
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: right now, and a lot of teams think they can
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: still win this conference. Ascume me. This division including Cows
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: five and four, USC is five and four as well. Um,
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: I love the calgol embarrass here, PAULI, what do you
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: think I'm actually with you? I was over. I actually
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: liked Cal against Washington exact. Figured Washington State might throw
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: in a clunker. They they covered UM plus to nine.
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: And I think a lot of people don't realize Cows
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: like top twenty five or thirty in the nation and defense,
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: so people don't realize the pact was sort of switched.
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: It's sort of a defensive conferences or the offenses are
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: not good one or the other. We I haven't figured
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: it out yet, right it's a mess in Washington State
• 15:02
  Speaker 1: right now is the best team in the Pack twelve,
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: and they gave them all they could handle. I like
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: this play because Cal plays decent defense. Um, and when
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: you get later in the season, I feel defense wins. Yeah. Absolutely, Jeff.
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: You This is why I love you, Jeff, because you
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: you talk about the PAC twelve in such a way
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: that it makes it seem like it's actually a real
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: football conference. Um. But you're right about Cal. Cal plays
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: really good defense. The one clunker they had was against
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: U C. L A. But other than that, they've been
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: really good and USC. Listen, I think USC is gonna
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: bottom out this season. I really do. I think They're
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: gonna falter down the stretch. And I wouldn't shock me
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: if Clay Hilton was out after this year. So yeah,
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: I'll take the five with Cal. Paul, You're up, buddy,
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: all Right, I'm gonna right back to the Pack twelve.
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: And you know, if I'm in a Homer pick, you know,
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: I love it. And I love the Arizona State UH
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: Sundals now and some points this week boys, because they
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: playing in u C. L A and now us L A.
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: I know that you were on them a couple of
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: weeks ago. They lost Arizona to the backup quarterback and
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: then they got They've got house the last two two
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: times two weeks they got beat heavily by an organ
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: team that, yeah, Oregans probably better than Arizona State. But
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: Arizona State finally, to me, is had they had their
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: one coming out party in a lot of years. Jeff,
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: I've been watching Arizona State football. I graduated from there.
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: I had to live to Todd Graham, I had to
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: live through Dennis Eric and I led through all the
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: bull craft with herm Edwards. Did he beat a darn
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: goood Utah team last week off of bye week? I
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: think he finally figured out his team. He buried a
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: good Utah team that was still in the Pac twelve grades.
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: And I really think now they got to try to
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: get their six win to get Bowl eligible, move forward
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: and get to a better bull And I think they're
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: just starting to move forward as a program. And I
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: think the twelve and a half points is an easy
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: lay here. And I think ariz On States capt Barrier
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: black Jack. Before I get get your opinion on this, um,
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: Arizona States one of these teams that I agree with you, Paul.
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: I think they finally kind of hit their start special
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: offensive thirty five at USC, thirty eight against Utah Utah's
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: defense you mentioned it is is supreme even for the
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: Pacteal Conference, Black Jackson, you can take that and shove it.
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: Um and uh, I think that U c l A
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: on the road. I just it's a lot of points
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: by I do. I do agree with you, Paul. I
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: think that Arizona State can control the tempo this game defensively,
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: that that three three five defense it will confuse U
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: c l A. Um. I don't mind laying the points here,
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: Black Chack. I don't either. I don't either. I like
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: Arizona State's defense a lot um. U c l A
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: not ready for prime time this year. So yeah, that's
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: that's fine. Thank you. All right, you're a buddy number two. Alright,
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: my next pick. By the way, did you lose your
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: jewel too? Well, no, thankfully I have the jewel. I'm
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: while we're while we're talking. But I did have to
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: go and buy another charger because my charger is with
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: my laptop in my bag. Thanks again, Frontier. Wait, you
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: you don't keep your laptop like in like kind of
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: like on your person. It's in a it's in a
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: bag when I fly. I mean, what am I supposed
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: to carry it around you. I put it in the
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: overhead compartment, Jeff, Sorry for trusting that a bag is
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: safe in the overhead compartment. That's yeah, it's your fault
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: for trusting somebody. It's my fault for flying Frontier steward
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: is take your bag off the plane when you like
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: put it in the overhead band and did not tell
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: you is in Frontier with those airlines that charges you
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: liked for every little actual Jeff, Jeff, I had to
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: pay for the privilege of carrying the bag on the plane.
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: And then the stewardess took the bag off the plane
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: along with three other people's because she was running out
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: of room, and left the bags in Cincinnati, left them
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: in Cincinnati. Okay, Frontier Airlines, they're the New York giants
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: of airlines. They stink right. Well, at last you didn't
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: lose your your your sense of humor, and your and
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: your love for life. When Cincinnati, all right, you got
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: a year up, year up and pick number two taking
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: Ohio State minus three and a half. They're playing Michigan State.
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: Ohio States off two bad games in a row here.
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: I don't think we're getting three in a row. They
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: need to bounce back. They almost blow it's in Nebraska
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: last week. They obviously have the bad game against per
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: Due the week before. I think this is the week
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: we see them get back on track. Michigan State up
• 19:31
  Speaker 1: and down, inconsistent this year. I think Ohio State goes
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: out there wins by double digits. Does it worry that
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: this game is is at Michigan State in the Eastlander,
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: doesn't Ohio States primed for a bounce back three and
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: a half points here? I think again, I think it's
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: double digit win for the buck Eyes. Either that or
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: Urban Meyer is gonna fake a heart attack. I mean,
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: one of those two things is gonna happen this weekend.
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: Either the Buckeyes have a big game or he's having
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: health problems. And I think Michigan State is pre horrendous
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: on offense and um the defense is really good, which
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: does worry me a tiny bit, But you're right, Ohise
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: State is two talents that kind of be like running
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: the mud right now. Right like that, you have to think, like, hey,
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: this is a team that should be doing more on offense. Defensively,
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: they're allowing a ton of explosive plays and luckily to
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: play Michigan State, it doesn't really have much of it
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: exposed to play offense, so it matches up pretty well
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: for Ohio State. Paul, what do you think? No, you
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: took the words out on the out yet like Michigan State,
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: Like they don't throw the ball ten yards down the field,
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: So like it's the perfect team, um for o Howse
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: State to play right now? Because you're right there. Just
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: they got some back, you know, injuries on the backside
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: of that defense and given up big plays. And it's
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: for the first time I think I can remember that
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: Urban Meyer has a throwing team. It really doesn't have
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: a run game, and I think that's what's hurting them
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: in the last couple of weeks. And maybe they can
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: get back to the run. I think it's gonna be
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: a grinded out game, but yeah, I don't think they
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: get hurt by the big place. I think this is
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: a solid play. I like this. I like this as well.
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: All right, let's uh, let's stick with college football. I
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: just I want to pick pros, but these lines are
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: just not They're not great this year. All right, this
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: week I should say, let's go to another I'm gonna
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: go with a poly obscure game. You're all ready for this.
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: Memphis minus fourteen at home against the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes.
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: I love Memphis at home. Memphis at home scores a
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: ton of points, a ton of points at home. On
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: the road, they're a little bit different, except this week
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: East Carolina scored fifty nine points. Their offense right now
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: is in the top five in college football in exposed
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: to place, and that's because they're running back Darryl Henderson
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: is averaging nine point five yards to carry, nine point
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: five earths to carry. That is ridiculous. And they're gonnagainst
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: a Tulsa defense who cannot defend explosive plays. I love
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: this play right here. I think Memphis is going for
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: the throat right now. They're trying to get to the
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: highest bowl game possible they can get at. Give me
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: the Memphis Tigers and minus fourteen against Tulsa. I like Memphis.
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: I can't. Are you with it? By the way, chat
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: listen to this podcast and be like you guys are
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: picking the squarest picks of all time. I can already
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: hear him saying, yeah, I don't care. You want to
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: know something, Jeff, we need to we need to win
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: this week. I tweeted this out yesterday while I was
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: sitting with Paul in Roosters in Lexington. I remember on
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: our podcast on Friday of last week, Chad called me
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: a square and said, if we were sharp, we'd be
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: betting the Bills and the Browns this week. Tell me
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: did the Bills in the Browns? Did even one of
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: them cover anyone? And oh the squares were leven? Oh,
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: yesterday all the Chadkins suck teams with the highest ticket
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: account one. Yesterday's the worst day that books have had
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: it forever. So we're going with all of these great picks. Look,
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: we haven't won a parlay show yet. This canna be
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: the week. That's why I'm here, Jeff, That's why I'm
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: here to try to rag this podcast across the finish line.
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: I love it, buddy, POULI third pick, You're up, buddy. Alright.
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: My next picket is the one I know blacks can hate.
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: It makes even better. Are you ready for it? Things
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: plus four? Huh No, No, the flag is out. The
• 23:04
  Speaker 1: flag is out. Yeah, the flag is out. Challenge rolling
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: of the bets already on the Staints and the line
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: moved towards the Bengals and the Bengals are coming off
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: a bye week. This is a must win week for
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: the Bengals. I know Marvin Lewis sent you holiday cards
• 23:30
  Speaker 1: every year. You and him are best friends. Lante is perfect,
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: is supposed to be playing. Hopefully he will perfect perfect.
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: That's your son, buddy. You gotta deal with Rooper. He's
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: in his mole. I'm sorry. Is perfect. By the way,
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: is Arizona State alone, which is where you went He
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: gets oregan in two thousand eight or nine, went up
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: to Eugene, got three personal fouls in the first half
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: of the coach at the bedroom for the rest of
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: the game. That guy is out of control. Here's the
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: best stuft I brought to his perfect glat. People don't
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: even realize he got kicked off the team at Arizona
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: State and still got drafted. He's probably as he's exceeded
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: the most fines ever. Like he's just just he can't
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: He's one of those guys that can't help himself. He
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: was a problem child. He was recruited by everybody at
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: a high school in Arizona State. Took him because it
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: was you know, Dennis Eriksson, and when Ericson took him.
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: He basically got kicked off the teams he pulled on
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: the Garrett Blunt. Remember when the Garrett Blunt punched the
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: guy something like that. It wasn't to that extreme. And
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: then he got drafted and he's a tremendous player, but
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: he just can't help himself. But when he played, they're
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: a different team. So I guess it's might turn to
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: react to this. I'm I'm I'm not gonna throw the
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: challenge flag. I'll tell you why, goddamnit. Check, I'll tell
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: you why. I want to be able to say the
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: black check that we were right this week and we
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: through the challenge flag, and then black Jack's on our podcast.
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: He then has bragging rights that he came in here
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: the first day on the Monday edition of The Favorites
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: The Parlay Show and through a challenge flag and overruled Paulie.
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: So I'm gonna stick with Pouli here. You know, look,
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: the sharp play is gonna be the Bengals plus four
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: in this game. Um, I know you love the Saints
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: and I do as well. They're they're playing some really
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: good and I hate the Bengals. Um, yeah, you know,
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: betting on Andy Dalton is not the best. Yeah, I'm
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: thinking with Chad. Chad loves Andy Dalton. Every week we're
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: doing the Bengals plus four. It's it. It's locked in,
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: all right, black Jack, last pick you're at, Bud, I'm
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: taking Troy over Georgia State and pick them who all right, Troy.
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: Troy is a markedly better offense than Georgia State. Their
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: defense is better than Georgia State, the better on every
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: side of the ball. The only reason this game is
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: a pick is because at Georgia State, I think Troy
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: goes in there, gets the job done at to pick
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: them Troy. I like this pick because I like this
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: pick because you don't even know what's Georgia team they're playing.
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: So it's even better because it's Georgia. You don't even
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: care because monster because of the Saints. I can't believe
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: you took Andy Dalton over Drew Brees. Think about that
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: for one second, Andy Dalton over Drew Brees. The you're
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: handicapping football based on a mole. Hey the way I
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: been going, Okay, my other pick was gonna be I
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: want to know, Jeff, I need you to get in
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: the computer right now, and what do they have how
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: many points Rutgers is going to score against Michigan. Michigan
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: is laying twenty nine points at Rutgers. I don't think
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: Rutgers might score Rutgers offensively right now is a hundred inefficiency.
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: We know Michigan's defense is really good. Yeah, I think
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: Rutgers mis defense number one the country. It's not gonna
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: be up yet. But the projected wind margin for for
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: what I use, I like, Bill, call me a lot
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: for SMP is forty one points for Michigan points half
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: points on the road, then then then then since the
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: night because like, honestly, I am gonna play Michigan. I
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: would never nine, but I don't know it's up the third, Yes,
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: thirty nine, Keith. The Bengals are staying in. We're not
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: talking about the Bengals. The Bengals are in. They're in,
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: They're done, They're locked in. Troy's locked in, We're all
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: locked in. Paul, you don't have to defend yourself. I've
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: got your back, buddy. You do have to defend yourself, Yeah,
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: you do. Troy. By the way, on paper, looks um
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: looks like they should beat Georgia. Southern Georgia Southern we
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: know is a big fan of running the football. They
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: don't pass the ball very often. All their quarterback is
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: only attempt at sixty nine passes this year since then
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: a basses so uh they run. They are an interesting
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: team for a team that runs the ball. You think
• 27:49
  Speaker 1: they would be under center kind of wing tea doing
• 27:52
  Speaker 1: what you know the academy schools do. They're not. They
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: run their entire office out of shotgun. It's pretty interesting
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: to watch, um, big, big running team. Alright, guys, we
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: have our nine plays locked in. Let's go over there
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: really quick. So I had the Niners minus three, cal Bears,
• 28:08
  Speaker 1: the Golden Bears, the Fighting Golden Bears plus five at
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: USC this weekend. I also had Memphis minus fourteen at
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: home against Tulsa Paula Duke Seahawks plus eleven against the
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: Rams this weekend. Then you went with your Sun Devils
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: laying the twelve and a half at home against the
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: Bruins of U. C. L A. And then you had
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: the Bengals plus four at home against the Saint It's
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: really just a piss off, Blackjack, and I love it
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: even more Blackjack. Our guests for today with Chad just
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: out in his away in his Tankian Manchin, did you
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: pick s MU minus eighteen over Yukon just a just
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: a jab chat a little bit. No, if I was
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: gonna do that, I would have taken Northwestern the school
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: he couldn't get into Ohio State minus three and a
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: half at Michigan State. And lastly, the last pick you
• 28:57
  Speaker 1: heard was Troy Verse Georgia Southern to pick up and
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: you take check. Black Jack is the man? All right, guys,
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: black Jack, We appreciate you coming on today Polly as usual,
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: and thank you to all our listeners. Listen to Favorites.
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: We have shows every Monday, Wednesday and Friday. Do you
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: check out our website Action network dot com. If you
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: bet on parlay, share, how you bet and your bettering, sliff, Passtag, Favorites,
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: parlor and social tag at Action Network HQ, you can
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: win twenty k alongside with us black Jack. Polly appreciate it.
• 29:29
  Speaker 1: So you guys on Wednesday with Chad talks to Scooch,
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: talk you next time.