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Cubs/Cardinals MLB + WNBA + NFL Preseason Best Bets Friday 8/8/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 0:02
  Speaker 2: Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN seven
• 0:07
  Speaker 2: run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: It was just complete bullshit.
• 0:11
  Speaker 2: So that's that's what I'm gonna start off this show,
• 0:13
  Speaker 2: horrible Sunday one and five.
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what to tell you above that.
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: I just don't want to do this anymore. I have
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: never seen anything like this.
• 0:22
  Speaker 2: Man with the slump continuing, two straight losses, not a
• 0:26
  Speaker 2: good day at all.
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: Own four that have not had a good season.
• 0:32
  Speaker 2: Man with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the
• 0:36
  Speaker 2: slump continues.
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: I've reached a new pink.
• 0:39
  Speaker 2: Actually, I'm going to burn my browins hack Man, I
• 0:43
  Speaker 2: don't know what is going on with the Bruins arch hape.
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: Is that what it is? I don't even know it's
• 0:48
  Speaker 1: March ninth, I think who even knows? Man, I don't
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: know what data is anymore. I don't even know what
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: data is anymore.
• 0:55
  Speaker 2: Man, back with you after the worst day that I
• 0:58
  Speaker 2: could possibly have with you, as I always am until
• 1:02
  Speaker 2: I die, at least oh and two yesterday and yesterday
• 1:06
  Speaker 2: did not go well for me. Oh and five the
• 1:10
  Speaker 2: worst month that I've ever had in my eighteen years
• 1:13
  Speaker 2: doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:16
  Speaker 2: Slump yesterdays, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 1:25
  Speaker 2: point other than potentially end it all. What's up, everybody,
• 1:34
  Speaker 2: It's towed back with you for better off dead?
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: Friday, August eighth, eight eight.
• 1:40
  Speaker 2: Do I want to go into the meaning of the
• 1:42
  Speaker 2: hidden meaning of that on the show? Get my YouTube channel,
• 1:46
  Speaker 2: nukes probably not go watch my ukulele covers man. Maybe
• 1:50
  Speaker 2: we will potentially end it all here because yesterday didn't
• 1:53
  Speaker 2: go well. My dildo analysis was not great, as somehow
• 1:57
  Speaker 2: a dildo did get thrown. Somebody snuck dildo into the
• 2:01
  Speaker 2: Chicago Sky Arena there who was the Chicago game, which
• 2:05
  Speaker 2: I think was one of the locations of one of
• 2:07
  Speaker 2: the other dildo throws, Dildo throw number two. I believe
• 2:11
  Speaker 2: it was Purple this time, however, so Purple got.
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: The money yesterday. I'm not sure who.
• 2:17
  Speaker 2: The first person who touched it was, although I think
• 2:19
  Speaker 2: it was probably an employee because I saw the ref
• 2:22
  Speaker 2: like signaling for somebody to come get it, So that
• 2:25
  Speaker 2: would be my guess on that one. I don't know
• 2:27
  Speaker 2: if that was confirmed by other video footage, and then
• 2:30
  Speaker 2: the it was I was soon picked up rather than kicked.
• 2:34
  Speaker 2: I don't know if that was still a bet or not,
• 2:36
  Speaker 2: but most of the bets were pretty much on the
• 2:38
  Speaker 2: color of it though. It so Purple got the money,
• 2:41
  Speaker 2: which is not what I expected, although it is the
• 2:43
  Speaker 2: eggplant emoji, so I guess.
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: I don't know that that didn't make its way into
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: my analysis.
• 2:48
  Speaker 2: I'm new to the breaking down of the dildo props man,
• 2:52
  Speaker 2: but we did lose the actual play I gave on
• 2:54
  Speaker 2: on the show. You say Cincinnati Reds, it wasn't even close.
• 2:57
  Speaker 2: Paul Skeins dominated.
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: I mean, I.
• 2:59
  Speaker 2: Expected Skis to be good, but I thought Singer would
• 3:02
  Speaker 2: show up in that game, it would be close later
• 3:04
  Speaker 2: into the game, and then I thought the tide kind
• 3:06
  Speaker 2: of shifted to Cincinnati if I got later in that game. Cincinnati,
• 3:10
  Speaker 2: the team's still playing for something too, So I don't know.
• 3:12
  Speaker 2: I was pretty surprised they got their ass handed to
• 3:15
  Speaker 2: them seven and nothing. I did not think Pittsburgh would
• 3:17
  Speaker 2: score seven runs.
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: No way.
• 3:19
  Speaker 2: We'll move on to today though, and then my NFL
• 3:21
  Speaker 2: preseason analysis. I don't think any of the favorites wound
• 3:25
  Speaker 2: up covering the number, and I think two of them
• 3:28
  Speaker 2: might have lost outright. And then the Seattle Oakland or yeah,
• 3:31
  Speaker 2: Seattle Vegas game of Oakland Raiders, folks. The Seattle Vegas
• 3:35
  Speaker 2: game I think was a tie because preseason they're like, eh,
• 3:40
  Speaker 2: we don't want anybody get hurt or whatever. It's a tie.
• 3:44
  Speaker 2: But yeah, but I think all three of the teams
• 3:46
  Speaker 2: that were favored did go over their team total though,
• 3:48
  Speaker 2: so if you bet the team totals over, I think
• 3:51
  Speaker 2: all three of them actually hit. So that was what
• 3:53
  Speaker 2: I did recommend yesterday. So least I had that right
• 3:57
  Speaker 2: and didn't actually bet it because I don't really bet
• 4:00
  Speaker 2: NFL preseason. Maybe I should, But we'll talk about the
• 4:02
  Speaker 2: NFL preseason again today.
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: We'll go through WNBA.
• 4:06
  Speaker 2: Unfortunately, I don't see any fifth Doldo props out there.
• 4:10
  Speaker 2: They might be, I mean, if you look at bet online,
• 4:12
  Speaker 2: maybe they are out there. Wouldn't really have a whole
• 4:15
  Speaker 2: lot else to say besides what happened what I already
• 4:18
  Speaker 2: said yesterday, for the most part, but we will talk
• 4:21
  Speaker 2: about these games, which which one of these games is
• 4:24
  Speaker 2: considered first New York at Dallas. I think the Liberty
• 4:28
  Speaker 2: are in a bad spot here, man. I mean, they
• 4:30
  Speaker 2: just beat Dallas in New York only by nine, but
• 4:34
  Speaker 2: facing Dallas again, they might kind of overlook Dallas. I mean,
• 4:37
  Speaker 2: Dallas not a very good team right now, and the
• 4:39
  Speaker 2: Liberty have a big rematch against Minnesota coming up. That's
• 4:43
  Speaker 2: the game that was the rematch of the finals last
• 4:45
  Speaker 2: year in Minnesota beat them.
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: It could be a finals.
• 4:48
  Speaker 2: Preview this year as well, so the Liberty may have
• 4:51
  Speaker 2: a look ahead spot there. So I think it is
• 4:53
  Speaker 2: kind of a quick revenge spot for Dallas plus Liberty
• 4:56
  Speaker 2: in a look ahead spot. Dallas coming off three straight losses,
• 5:00
  Speaker 2: although the Liberty one reason they may show up those
• 5:03
  Speaker 2: they fell or I thought they fell out of first place.
• 5:05
  Speaker 2: So they're only a half game ahead of Atlanta at
• 5:08
  Speaker 2: this point though, so they might be still trying to
• 5:10
  Speaker 2: hang on to that number one spot there at the
• 5:12
  Speaker 2: very least. But I still think the spot is not
• 5:14
  Speaker 2: that good for the Liberty here Dallas. You have to
• 5:16
  Speaker 2: pay attention to the injuries, man. Mostly Becker's is listed
• 5:20
  Speaker 2: as a.
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: Game time decision.
• 5:22
  Speaker 2: So I think if you do want to play Dallas
• 5:24
  Speaker 2: in this game and take the points. You probably want
• 5:25
  Speaker 2: to make sure she's in there. I don't know that
• 5:28
  Speaker 2: if that's announced that she is, if the line is
• 5:30
  Speaker 2: actually gonna.
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: Move a lot.
• 5:32
  Speaker 2: At this point, we know Stewart is out for the Liberty,
• 5:35
  Speaker 2: which is kind of a big loss for them, I guess.
• 5:37
  Speaker 2: But other than that, yeah, I mean, I don't expect
• 5:39
  Speaker 2: this line to really change that much based on the
• 5:42
  Speaker 2: personnel being an out in or out in this game.
• 5:45
  Speaker 2: It's up from seven to eight and a half, though
• 5:47
  Speaker 2: I think maybe it'll slightly tick down if Becker's back
• 5:50
  Speaker 2: in there. The Liberty were an eleven and a half
• 5:52
  Speaker 2: point favorite at home in the home game recently, so
• 5:54
  Speaker 2: this line is basically about where I would expect it
• 5:57
  Speaker 2: to be. But I would lean to taking the points.
• 5:59
  Speaker 2: With Dallas Washington at Minnesota, Minnesota coming off three pretty
• 6:04
  Speaker 2: big wins in a row Man they beat the Liberty,
• 6:06
  Speaker 2: which is a huge win. As I said, Finals Revenge
• 6:09
  Speaker 2: didn't suffer the let down against Las Vegas and they
• 6:12
  Speaker 2: absolutely annihilated them. It was kind of an outlier game,
• 6:15
  Speaker 2: but one of the biggest wins in WNBA history, beating
• 6:18
  Speaker 2: them by whatever that is fifty three points or whatever,
• 6:21
  Speaker 2: which is ridiculous. Then they continued playing well, beat Seattle
• 6:26
  Speaker 2: pretty big win as well. Seattle a decent team in
• 6:29
  Speaker 2: the West. And now Minnesota returning home off of all
• 6:32
  Speaker 2: that and facing kind of a bad Washington team looks
• 6:36
  Speaker 2: like a bad spot for Minnesota to me, Washington, they
• 6:39
  Speaker 2: are playing a third straight road game, though they're they're
• 6:41
  Speaker 2: not traveling that far from Chicago to Minnesota, so they
• 6:44
  Speaker 2: actually have less travel here.
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: Might want to bounce back a little bit. I mean,
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: I think they're.
• 6:48
  Speaker 2: Still maybe trying to potentially make a run to try
• 6:52
  Speaker 2: to make the playoffs here. I would lean to taking
• 6:54
  Speaker 2: the points with Washington. They're up to a ten and
• 6:56
  Speaker 2: a half point underdog in that one, and then Seattle
• 6:59
  Speaker 2: Vegas is the most competitive or maybe the only competitive
• 7:03
  Speaker 2: matchup with the night potentially, even though I do say
• 7:05
  Speaker 2: I did say I liked both underdogs there. Vegas coming
• 7:08
  Speaker 2: off a home and home sweep against Golden State coming
• 7:12
  Speaker 2: back home off of that, not really a huge travel
• 7:14
  Speaker 2: spot from San Francisco Bay Area to Las Vegas.
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: Big game against Seattle.
• 7:19
  Speaker 2: I mean, these two teams are tied right now and
• 7:21
  Speaker 2: they're definitely fighting to make the playoffs right now, So
• 7:24
  Speaker 2: this is a big game for both teams. I expect
• 7:26
  Speaker 2: both teams to show up. Seattle on a three game
• 7:29
  Speaker 2: losing streak, but they lost to Indiana Minnesota in there.
• 7:32
  Speaker 2: I know it's clarkless Indiana, but Indiana is still playing
• 7:35
  Speaker 2: pretty well. Right now, Vegas is down from one point
• 7:39
  Speaker 2: favorite to pick them here, So Asbiger's kind of telling you,
• 7:42
  Speaker 2: Seattle is actually the better of these two teams, even
• 7:45
  Speaker 2: though Vegas they have some pretty good players that they
• 7:48
  Speaker 2: had last year. Man, it's just Vegas been dealing with
• 7:51
  Speaker 2: some injuries some of their key players in and out.
• 7:53
  Speaker 2: It looks like we don't have huge injury issues this
• 7:55
  Speaker 2: time on either side. But yeah, the line seems to
• 8:00
  Speaker 2: be indicating Seattle's taking the early money there on. Vegas
• 8:03
  Speaker 2: kind of has more like name recognition is because they've
• 8:06
  Speaker 2: been one of the better teams for quite a while
• 8:08
  Speaker 2: and they have the last year's MVP Asia Wilson still
• 8:12
  Speaker 2: on their team. So I do with that information what
• 8:15
  Speaker 2: you want to do, Man, move on to MLB.
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: I actually I'm.
• 8:18
  Speaker 2: Gonna go with four Major League Baseball plays today. I
• 8:22
  Speaker 2: have a lot of leans on this card as well,
• 8:25
  Speaker 2: so hopefully I pick. Hopefully I'm picking the right plays man,
• 8:28
  Speaker 2: picking the right spots here. And I kind of like
• 8:30
  Speaker 2: some of the road favorites, including this first game up,
• 8:33
  Speaker 2: which is not gonna be one of my plays. Cincinnati
• 8:37
  Speaker 2: at Pittsburgh. I forgot to throw out. Yeah, this is
• 8:39
  Speaker 2: the Rundown folks. By the way, we're running down all
• 8:42
  Speaker 2: the all the games here, Cincinnati at Pittsburgh. I actually
• 8:46
  Speaker 2: do like the road favorite in this one, Cincinnati. One
• 8:49
  Speaker 2: reason is the same as yesterday, where Cincinnati they're gonna
• 8:53
  Speaker 2: be the team that has more to play for here. Man,
• 8:55
  Speaker 2: I mean, Pittsburgh is done, so Cincinnati they're still fighting
• 8:58
  Speaker 2: for a playoff spots. That's one thing in favor of
• 9:01
  Speaker 2: Cincinnati here. I do believe Pittsburgh has the better bullpen,
• 9:05
  Speaker 2: though Cincinnati has the better hitting. Cincinnati used four relief
• 9:08
  Speaker 2: pitchers yesterday. Pittsburgh used fewer because skeens got pretty deep
• 9:12
  Speaker 2: into the game. So Pittsburgh definitely has a bullpen edge here,
• 9:15
  Speaker 2: better bullpend plus rest.
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: But Cincinnati has the better offense. Man.
• 9:19
  Speaker 2: Still, I know Cincinnati lost seven to nothing last night.
• 9:24
  Speaker 2: Bad read on my part there, But Cincinnati, I think
• 9:27
  Speaker 2: they're gonna want to bounce back from that. I think
• 9:29
  Speaker 2: they're gonna be heavily motivated in this one, and I
• 9:31
  Speaker 2: think they have a starting pitching edge with young Fireball
• 9:35
  Speaker 2: or Chase Burns on the mount here. I know, his
• 9:37
  Speaker 2: numbers look really bad so far, and he has he
• 9:39
  Speaker 2: yet to pick up a win. Six point zero four ERA,
• 9:42
  Speaker 2: one point four to eight whip not good numbers at all.
• 9:46
  Speaker 2: He's been really bad on the road as well, nine
• 9:48
  Speaker 2: point two eighty RA but really bad. I mean, when
• 9:52
  Speaker 2: you dig into these numbers, it's like, well, a lot
• 9:54
  Speaker 2: of it is just skewed by one horrendous start against
• 9:57
  Speaker 2: the Red Sox where you give it five runs and
• 9:58
  Speaker 2: a third of an inning. Other than that, he's been
• 10:02
  Speaker 2: getting a lot of strikeouts, man. So he did have
• 10:04
  Speaker 2: one other bad roads start at Washington reall owed five
• 10:06
  Speaker 2: and runs. But how bad was it really when he
• 10:09
  Speaker 2: struck out ten guys?
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: I don't know. He's at least.
• 10:12
  Speaker 2: Fooling hitters man. He's been two walk heavies so far.
• 10:16
  Speaker 2: That's been his main issue in twenty eight to third
• 10:18
  Speaker 2: innings pitch. He has a ridiculous forty seven strikeouts, extremely
• 10:23
  Speaker 2: high strikeout rate, but twelve walks is a high walk
• 10:26
  Speaker 2: rate for that amount of innings.
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 10:27
  Speaker 2: Even though the strikeout rate is so high, the strikeout
• 10:29
  Speaker 2: walk ratio is still pretty good.
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: But he's got to get that wildness down.
• 10:33
  Speaker 2: But he has the ability to fool major league hitters, obviously,
• 10:36
  Speaker 2: as he had ten strikeouts three starts in a row,
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: though I know Cincinnati's lost five starts in a row
• 10:42
  Speaker 2: of his or six actually now, all but his first start,
• 10:46
  Speaker 2: and he was on his way to maybe having ten
• 10:47
  Speaker 2: strikeouts again in his last outing, but it was cut
• 10:50
  Speaker 2: to one inning because there was a major rain delay.
• 10:53
  Speaker 2: That was that Bristol Speedway game. I'm pretty sure where
• 10:56
  Speaker 2: rain actually canceled the game and they had to resume
• 10:59
  Speaker 2: the game the next day. They didn't put Burns back
• 11:01
  Speaker 2: out there obviously after that.
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: So he's just pitching on his normal schedule now.
• 11:05
  Speaker 2: But that does mean he has extra rest coming into
• 11:08
  Speaker 2: this because he didn't have to pitch a full game.
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: Or anywhere near that. He got you know, he was
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: on schedule.
• 11:14
  Speaker 2: He remains on schedule because he got ready for a start,
• 11:17
  Speaker 2: made the start, did well through eighteen pitches, one shutout
• 11:20
  Speaker 2: inding where he didn't put anybody on base, So I
• 11:23
  Speaker 2: think he's ready to go. Man, He'll be a bit
• 11:24
  Speaker 2: more rested here. Pittsburgh has never seen him before as well,
• 11:27
  Speaker 2: so Burns should have an extra edge here as well,
• 11:29
  Speaker 2: because Pittsburgh has never seen him before, So I do
• 11:33
  Speaker 2: like the Burns side of it. Mitch Keller pitching for Pittsburgh.
• 11:36
  Speaker 2: He's been pretty good this year, one of their better pitchers,
• 11:39
  Speaker 2: really three point eight ninety or one point two to Whip.
• 11:42
  Speaker 2: Seemed like they might try to deal him at the
• 11:44
  Speaker 2: trade deadline and that did not happen. He's been pretty
• 11:48
  Speaker 2: similar home in away doesn't really matter fairly decent throughout
• 11:53
  Speaker 2: his run of recent starts, so that. He did give
• 11:55
  Speaker 2: up five runs last time out, but it was at
• 11:57
  Speaker 2: cors Field, and it was because he gave up three runs,
• 12:00
  Speaker 2: so I might give him a pass for that. Even
• 12:02
  Speaker 2: though I didn't say the same thing about Schemes yesterday.
• 12:06
  Speaker 2: Both these guys did a little bit worse at course Field,
• 12:09
  Speaker 2: just because I think the environment just kind of, you know,
• 12:13
  Speaker 2: threw them off. I mean, three home runs, that's something
• 12:16
  Speaker 2: that is really only gonna happen at Coursefield, and Keller
• 12:18
  Speaker 2: was not aligning a lot of home runs prior to that,
• 12:20
  Speaker 2: so I do think that's a bit of an outlier.
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: Spot.
• 12:23
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh has actually won five of his last six games,
• 12:26
  Speaker 2: six of his last seven, actually, so he's been.
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: Bitching pretty well Prior to that start.
• 12:30
  Speaker 2: He had a lot more than three runs in any
• 12:32
  Speaker 2: start going all the way back to early June up
• 12:35
  Speaker 2: against the Cincinnati Reds, mediocre numbers and one hundred and
• 12:39
  Speaker 2: eighteen at bats to sixty three average allowed seven thirty
• 12:42
  Speaker 2: six ops. I'm gonna give the edge to Burns, though,
• 12:45
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna give the edge to the Cincinnati hitting as well,
• 12:48
  Speaker 2: but I would limit it to first five innings probably
• 12:50
  Speaker 2: if I did this, just because Pittsburgh does have the
• 12:54
  Speaker 2: bullpen edge, so I wouldn't really want to try to
• 12:57
  Speaker 2: have to deal with that as far as playing the
• 12:58
  Speaker 2: Cincinnati side. But I with Cincinnati, they flip from plus
• 13:02
  Speaker 2: one oh nine to minus one oh nine here fifty
• 13:04
  Speaker 2: eight percent of tickets, eighty eight percent of the cash
• 13:06
  Speaker 2: coming in under the I'm just not quite sure if
• 13:08
  Speaker 2: I'm totally ready to trust Burns yet, because he's been
• 13:11
  Speaker 2: a little bit out of control, and Keller has also
• 13:13
  Speaker 2: been decent against Cincinnati, so.
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: I worry a little bit about that.
• 13:17
  Speaker 2: Wouldn't necessarily disagree with looking towards an under either it's
• 13:20
  Speaker 2: gone down from eight to seven and a half, sixty
• 13:22
  Speaker 2: eight percent of tickets eighty seven percent of the cash on.
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: The over, though it's a low total.
• 13:28
  Speaker 2: Though expecting maybe a wind blowing in here in Pittsburgh,
• 13:31
  Speaker 2: I think it's a when the wind's blowing in, it's
• 13:33
  Speaker 2: a pretty pitcher friendly ballpark. Uh, so you could see
• 13:36
  Speaker 2: both pitchers do fairly well in this game, So I
• 13:38
  Speaker 2: wouldn't necessarily disagree with that under. And again, Pittsburgh's offense
• 13:42
  Speaker 2: is really bad too, so that does help as far
• 13:44
  Speaker 2: as an.
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: Under is concerned.
• 13:46
  Speaker 2: But I would worry a little bit about Cincinnati's bullpen
• 13:49
  Speaker 2: later in the game as far as that under. Houston
• 13:51
  Speaker 2: at the Yankees, We're gonna have a lot of games
• 13:53
  Speaker 2: today where teams didn't play yesterday, because very few teams
• 13:56
  Speaker 2: played yesterday, so you don't have to look at the
• 13:58
  Speaker 2: bullpen usage for too many of these teams. When teams
• 14:01
  Speaker 2: are rested, I tend to look towards unders more often
• 14:04
  Speaker 2: than overs, at the very least, because I think the
• 14:07
  Speaker 2: day off can kind of cool off the hitting a
• 14:09
  Speaker 2: little bit. You get your bullpens rested here. Houston at
• 14:13
  Speaker 2: New York, both teams are off yesterday. The Yankees returning
• 14:16
  Speaker 2: home from a road trip, though, and you know, I
• 14:17
  Speaker 2: always say teams returning on from road trips it's not
• 14:21
  Speaker 2: the greatest spot for them because they have to get
• 14:22
  Speaker 2: back to home life, they get a little bit distracted.
• 14:24
  Speaker 2: Although Houston has one of the better records in the AL,
• 14:27
  Speaker 2: so the Yankees probably will still be focused on Houston here. Altho,
• 14:32
  Speaker 2: the Yankees have definitely slid down. They haven't been playing
• 14:35
  Speaker 2: well recently. They lost every game but one on that
• 14:37
  Speaker 2: entire road trip, but they ended their lost streak in
• 14:40
  Speaker 2: the last game of the win barely over Texas, so.
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: That might give them a little bit of momentum coming forward.
• 14:45
  Speaker 2: So I don't think this is like the worst return
• 14:48
  Speaker 2: home spot you could possibly be in. Houston again is
• 14:51
  Speaker 2: a pretty good team that's gonna draw their focus. Houston
• 14:54
  Speaker 2: also just played Miami and they just actually lost us.
• 14:57
  Speaker 2: So they are in the middle of a road trip
• 14:59
  Speaker 2: and they haven't been doing that while on this road
• 15:01
  Speaker 2: trip either. They're traveling up the East Coast after they
• 15:03
  Speaker 2: were already in the Northeast. They went down to Florida,
• 15:06
  Speaker 2: and now they're coming back up to New York. So
• 15:08
  Speaker 2: the travel spot. Yeah, I mean Houston could be getting
• 15:11
  Speaker 2: a little bit tired on the road trip, but obviously
• 15:13
  Speaker 2: they're gonna focus on the Yankees. I mean, I think
• 15:15
  Speaker 2: this is a big matchup for both teams. These are
• 15:18
  Speaker 2: two of the better teams in the AL. Houston has
• 15:21
  Speaker 2: the way better bullpen. The Yankees have the better offense.
• 15:23
  Speaker 2: Although I don't know if the yank I mean the Yankees,
• 15:26
  Speaker 2: I don't know if I would say their offensive edge
• 15:27
  Speaker 2: is that significant. I think Houston's bullpen edge is fairly significant.
• 15:31
  Speaker 2: Yankees bullpen has really been struggling, and Houston is one
• 15:34
  Speaker 2: of the top bullpens. Hunter Brown pitching for Houston, I
• 15:38
  Speaker 2: mean he's been their best pitcher. Maybe well debatably it's
• 15:41
  Speaker 2: between him and Valdez, but I would give it to
• 15:43
  Speaker 2: Brown a little bit based on his numbers.
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: Even though Valdez had that huge run er.
• 15:48
  Speaker 2: Houston was winning all the starts of his two point
• 15:50
  Speaker 2: four to seventy RA for BROWNO point nine to eight
• 15:53
  Speaker 2: whip A sub one whip is always really good, man
• 15:57
  Speaker 2: slightly worse on the road two point five to six
• 15:59
  Speaker 2: Roady ra really good over his last two starts, one
• 16:02
  Speaker 2: earned run allout in each start. Over twelve innings eleven
• 16:06
  Speaker 2: strikeouts to three walks over that man, not too bad
• 16:08
  Speaker 2: at all.
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: He was in a little bit of a like a lull.
• 16:13
  Speaker 2: He hit a snag in the middle of July, but
• 16:14
  Speaker 2: I think maybe it was because the All Star Game
• 16:16
  Speaker 2: was in there.
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: He was named to the All Star Game.
• 16:18
  Speaker 2: He didn't actually pitch in the All Star Game, but
• 16:20
  Speaker 2: I think that might have been a little bit of
• 16:22
  Speaker 2: a distraction for him. He seems to be rounding back
• 16:24
  Speaker 2: in a form nicely. Seven innings last time out at
• 16:26
  Speaker 2: Femway Park and only a line one run, even though
• 16:29
  Speaker 2: his team lost the game because he got no run support.
• 16:32
  Speaker 2: I mean, that was still a really good start from
• 16:33
  Speaker 2: Hunter Brown going up against the Yankees here.
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: Yankees are a hard.
• 16:38
  Speaker 2: Hitting team, and he does have only mediocre numbers at
• 16:41
  Speaker 2: best against the Yankees and thirty six at bats eleven
• 16:44
  Speaker 2: to seven strike a walker issues not great to seventy
• 16:47
  Speaker 2: eight average eight sixty eight ops.
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: Not a good ops man.
• 16:52
  Speaker 2: So the Yankees have hit Brown pretty well, but that
• 16:54
  Speaker 2: was also in the past. Brown took a little while
• 16:57
  Speaker 2: to you know, kind of get his career on track.
• 16:59
  Speaker 2: So when he faced the Yankees before, they weren't facing
• 17:02
  Speaker 2: Brown in the forum that he's in right now, so
• 17:04
  Speaker 2: I don't really put that much weight into his numbers
• 17:07
  Speaker 2: against the Yankees right now. I do think he might
• 17:09
  Speaker 2: do better in this start, and we have two young
• 17:12
  Speaker 2: talented pitchers here, because the Yankees have Cam Schlittler on
• 17:16
  Speaker 2: the mound, who is a rookie. Four point five eighty RA,
• 17:19
  Speaker 2: one point six to eight WHIP. I know those are
• 17:21
  Speaker 2: bad numbers. He's been pretty shaky at home. Five point
• 17:25
  Speaker 2: five to ninety RA not good at all. He's only
• 17:27
  Speaker 2: made four starts so far, so he's still kind of
• 17:30
  Speaker 2: trying to get on track.
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 17:31
  Speaker 2: He hasn't a lot more than three runs in any start,
• 17:33
  Speaker 2: but he hasn't gone deep into any of the starts,
• 17:36
  Speaker 2: and the Yankees have lost two starts in a row
• 17:38
  Speaker 2: of his. But he did pretty much have his best
• 17:40
  Speaker 2: start so far against Miami last time.
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: I do know that's not a very intimidating.
• 17:44
  Speaker 2: Lineup, but he struck out six, give up two earned runs,
• 17:47
  Speaker 2: two home runs, so he limited the damage other than
• 17:50
  Speaker 2: along the home runs.
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: He's allowed too many home runs.
• 17:52
  Speaker 2: Man, five home runs so far this season, nineteen to
• 17:55
  Speaker 2: a third in he's pitch or two thirds nineteen to
• 17:57
  Speaker 2: two thirds innings, twenty one to eleven strike a walk raighttio.
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: It's a good strikeout rate, but too many walks. But
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: I think.
• 18:04
  Speaker 2: Schlitler is a decent pitcher who will get on track
• 18:07
  Speaker 2: at some point. Houston, I mean, they've been dealing with
• 18:09
  Speaker 2: some injuries in and out of their lineup, so that's
• 18:12
  Speaker 2: a little bit of an issue for Houston's offense. Uh
• 18:14
  Speaker 2: Houston has never faced Schlitler before, so they might have
• 18:17
  Speaker 2: a little bit of an edge in that respect where
• 18:19
  Speaker 2: Houston is unfamiliar with them. The money's coming in on
• 18:22
  Speaker 2: the Yankees. The some pretty strong market reads on the Yankees.
• 18:26
  Speaker 2: Although I don't just blindly follow market reads, but I
• 18:29
  Speaker 2: think when you see something like this, I think it
• 18:31
  Speaker 2: is a pretty strong indicator. Yankees flip from a plus
• 18:34
  Speaker 2: one thirteen to minus one of five seventy six percent
• 18:37
  Speaker 2: of the cash on them, fifty one percent of tickets
• 18:39
  Speaker 2: on Houston. So the public crazy enough. The public is
• 18:43
  Speaker 2: off of the Yankee train right now because of how
• 18:45
  Speaker 2: badly they've been playing recently, and the public is actually
• 18:48
  Speaker 2: more so on Houston. But I think that might actually
• 18:50
  Speaker 2: mean there's a little bit of value on the Yankees.
• 18:52
  Speaker 2: You won't find the Yankees at a cheap price like
• 18:55
  Speaker 2: this very often, so I don't disagree with the Yankees
• 18:58
  Speaker 2: side there, though they are turning over from a row trip,
• 19:00
  Speaker 2: so I really wouldn't want to touch them. I think
• 19:02
  Speaker 2: the under might be the better way to look in
• 19:04
  Speaker 2: this game, because I do like both starters here to
• 19:07
  Speaker 2: potentially do fairly well. Total drop from eight to seven
• 19:10
  Speaker 2: and a half, which is a very low total at
• 19:12
  Speaker 2: the Bronx. I mean it's a hitter friendly park. There
• 19:15
  Speaker 2: might be like wind blowing in. There might be some
• 19:17
  Speaker 2: weather conditions where it's not that warm. I know I'm
• 19:19
  Speaker 2: in Boston. It's not very hot here right now, so
• 19:21
  Speaker 2: it might be somewhat less hot, which is, you know,
• 19:25
  Speaker 2: a better when it's cooler, it's better for the unders.
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: Balls don't go as far.
• 19:30
  Speaker 2: Fifty eight percent of tickets on the over, eighty eight
• 19:32
  Speaker 2: percent of cash on the unders.
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: The money's agreeing with the under.
• 19:35
  Speaker 2: I would worry a little bit about the Yankees bullpen,
• 19:37
  Speaker 2: but at least they are rested, so I would lean
• 19:40
  Speaker 2: to the under slightly in that game.
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: Andrew, what's up man?
• 19:43
  Speaker 2: Yes, you don't even have to pretend that that was
• 19:45
  Speaker 2: the doldo that was thrown yesterday A's at Baltimore, and
• 19:50
  Speaker 2: this is an ugly one, man.
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: I mean, both of these teams are out of it.
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: They're just playing out the stretch.
• 19:56
  Speaker 2: Baltimore's returning home from going to the Cubs and then Philadelphia,
• 20:01
  Speaker 2: so not huge travel there. It is still technically a
• 20:03
  Speaker 2: return home spot, so sometimes teams do fall into that
• 20:06
  Speaker 2: distracted spot when they come back home, especially a team
• 20:09
  Speaker 2: that's not very good like Baltimore can be distracted a
• 20:12
  Speaker 2: little bit more and they may not really totally pay
• 20:15
  Speaker 2: attention to this A's team that's not particularly good either, obviously,
• 20:19
  Speaker 2: although the A's have been making waves of some of
• 20:21
  Speaker 2: their young hitters, obviously Nick Kurtz probably Rookie of the Year,
• 20:24
  Speaker 2: so at least they have some hitting that's pretty entertaining
• 20:28
  Speaker 2: and fun to watch. So the A's definitely have the
• 20:31
  Speaker 2: better offense in this matchup. The A's have the worst
• 20:34
  Speaker 2: of the two bullpens. Both bullpens stink, so the A's
• 20:37
  Speaker 2: offensive advantage is probably more significant than their bulp and disadvantage,
• 20:42
  Speaker 2: but their bullpen.
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: Is very, very bad.
• 20:44
  Speaker 2: The A's were just in Washington, so they're not traveling
• 20:47
  Speaker 2: far at all from Washington to Baltimore, so not much
• 20:49
  Speaker 2: of a travel spot there for them either.
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: J T.
• 20:52
  Speaker 2: Gin is gonna be pitching for the A's here. Four
• 20:55
  Speaker 2: point two eighty RA, one point twenty six whip mediocre on.
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: Numbers for him this year.
• 21:00
  Speaker 2: He's been better on the road though, two point eight
• 21:02
  Speaker 2: to two ROADIRA this year. He was coming out of
• 21:04
  Speaker 2: the bullpen for a while now. He's been making some starts.
• 21:07
  Speaker 2: Recently made two really good starts against Texas and Houston,
• 21:11
  Speaker 2: which are actually both on the roads. He's in better
• 21:13
  Speaker 2: on the road when eleven innings over that span, only
• 21:15
  Speaker 2: a lot one on run in one walk over those
• 21:17
  Speaker 2: two starts, six strikeouts, so he was pretty effective in
• 21:21
  Speaker 2: those starts. Had a bad start last time out at
• 21:23
  Speaker 2: home against Arizona, didn't make it five innings, a lot
• 21:26
  Speaker 2: four and runs five walks, really bad. But I don't
• 21:29
  Speaker 2: know if that means Gin is like falling out a
• 21:31
  Speaker 2: form here or if he's just really bad in that
• 21:33
  Speaker 2: home stadium, because it's that a stadium man in Sacramento,
• 21:36
  Speaker 2: it's very very tough on pitchers, So I think there
• 21:39
  Speaker 2: might be something to him being better on the road here.
• 21:42
  Speaker 2: So we might get a decent start out of him
• 21:44
  Speaker 2: here and up against this is what is it Washington?
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: No, it's Baltimore.
• 21:48
  Speaker 2: When I saying, excuse me, I get these bad teams
• 21:50
  Speaker 2: all confused.
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 21:51
  Speaker 2: Sorry, they're both near DC, so JT gin against Baltimore.
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: They don't really have much of a track record against
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: him at all.
• 21:59
  Speaker 2: Alok, Jackson's the only hitter who has faced him before
• 22:02
  Speaker 2: and he's zero for one, so again, is pretty much
• 22:05
  Speaker 2: completely unfamiliar to Baltimore, so you might have a little
• 22:07
  Speaker 2: bit of an edge in that respect as well. He
• 22:09
  Speaker 2: has the unfamiliarity edge, whereas Sugano was unfamiliar to the A's.
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: The first time they faced him.
• 22:15
  Speaker 2: He pitched at that horrible as stadium and he really
• 22:18
  Speaker 2: didn't do well in that start, So that might be
• 22:21
  Speaker 2: something to keep in mind here. Sugana was not good
• 22:23
  Speaker 2: even his first time against the A's, although it was
• 22:26
  Speaker 2: that bad stadium, you know, really hit her friendly stadium
• 22:28
  Speaker 2: at the A's, But that doesn't mean the A's have
• 22:31
  Speaker 2: seen him now, so they might be a little bit
• 22:34
  Speaker 2: familiar with him now, so he might not do as well.
• 22:35
  Speaker 2: And Sugano has started to struggle later on this season.
• 22:39
  Speaker 2: His first major League season four point four to two ERA,
• 22:42
  Speaker 2: one point three to two WHIP, slightly worse at home,
• 22:46
  Speaker 2: but nothing really significant. He was starting to pitch a
• 22:48
  Speaker 2: little bit better again, though he has been over his
• 22:50
  Speaker 2: last few starts. Going back his last four starts, he's
• 22:53
  Speaker 2: allowed three or fewer earned runs in all of them,
• 22:55
  Speaker 2: gone at least five innings and three of the four
• 22:58
  Speaker 2: and last time out, he actually his walk numbers dropped
• 23:01
  Speaker 2: his last two starts. He's only walked three and struck
• 23:04
  Speaker 2: out thirteen over his last two starts over eleven innings.
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: That's not too bad.
• 23:08
  Speaker 2: Baltimore actually won three of his last four starts, so
• 23:11
  Speaker 2: Sogano pitching a little bit better. And last time out
• 23:14
  Speaker 2: was a decent start, actually on the road against the Cubs,
• 23:17
  Speaker 2: which is a very difficult lineup, So that's a pretty
• 23:20
  Speaker 2: decent sign that maybe Sogano is starting to pitch a
• 23:22
  Speaker 2: little bit better. But he wasn't good when he faced
• 23:25
  Speaker 2: the A's. He was out of that game pretty quickly.
• 23:27
  Speaker 2: Man the A's only four of their current hitters faced
• 23:30
  Speaker 2: him ten at bats, but they had one walk, zero strikeouts,
• 23:34
  Speaker 2: and they had a four hundred average eight fifty five
• 23:36
  Speaker 2: ohps off him, so Sogano didn't do well. I don't
• 23:39
  Speaker 2: think Kurtz played in that game or something like that.
• 23:41
  Speaker 2: I don't know, but Sugana wasn't very good. He went
• 23:44
  Speaker 2: four and a third in that game at the A's
• 23:46
  Speaker 2: give up three or in runs. Was out of the
• 23:48
  Speaker 2: game fairly early in the game. Threw a lot of pitches.
• 23:51
  Speaker 2: Man definitely struggled in that game against the A's. So yeah,
• 23:57
  Speaker 2: Kurtz was not in the lineup back then. So the
• 23:58
  Speaker 2: A's have some different eye hitters in their lineup now
• 24:01
  Speaker 2: that what they had last time. So some of the
• 24:03
  Speaker 2: guys are unfamiliar with Segano. But I think Ginn as
• 24:06
  Speaker 2: the upper hand here. I wouldn't want to deal with
• 24:07
  Speaker 2: the A's bullpen, though, so I would lean A's first five.
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: Innings money line.
• 24:12
  Speaker 2: If you want to play this one and the money
• 24:13
  Speaker 2: is agreeing with the A's, Baltimore is down for minus
• 24:16
  Speaker 2: one twenty five to minus one oh five fifty nine
• 24:18
  Speaker 2: percent to take its eighty eight percent of the cash
• 24:20
  Speaker 2: coming in in the A's. I don't know if I
• 24:22
  Speaker 2: totally trust gin but again that is the way that
• 24:24
  Speaker 2: I would lean there. I'd lean towards him out pitching
• 24:27
  Speaker 2: Sagano early in the game, and they just don't want
• 24:29
  Speaker 2: to deal with the A's bullpen, even though I know
• 24:32
  Speaker 2: they're hitting is better. So moneyline first five A's would
• 24:35
  Speaker 2: be my recommendation there. Detroit Tigers staying at home. Man,
• 24:40
  Speaker 2: they've been playing some somewhat poor baseball recently. They've lost
• 24:44
  Speaker 2: two series in a row. One was against Philadelphia, though,
• 24:46
  Speaker 2: who is pretty good. The other one was against Minnesota,
• 24:49
  Speaker 2: who's kind of packing it in for the season, so
• 24:51
  Speaker 2: Detroit might be a little bit angry about that and
• 24:54
  Speaker 2: kind of been bounce back mode here. Anaheim probably knows
• 24:57
  Speaker 2: that they're out of it at this point, so Detroit
• 24:59
  Speaker 2: does a a little bit more to play for here
• 25:01
  Speaker 2: because they are playing at least for playoff seeding and whatever.
• 25:04
  Speaker 2: Pretty much assuming we pretty much know they're going to
• 25:06
  Speaker 2: be in the playoffs at this point, Detroit will be
• 25:08
  Speaker 2: Anaheim coming off a couple of losses to of them.
• 25:11
  Speaker 2: They're starting a road trip, which does mean that should
• 25:13
  Speaker 2: be a focused spot for Anaheim when you start a
• 25:15
  Speaker 2: road trip. By the way, all these teams I've been
• 25:18
  Speaker 2: talking about here rested yesterday, So a is Baltimore, Anaheim, Detroit.
• 25:22
  Speaker 2: They all rested their bullpens yesterday. In this game, Detroit
• 25:26
  Speaker 2: obviously as a bullpen edge. I would give them the
• 25:29
  Speaker 2: offensive edge slightly as well, probably as well.
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: But Anaheim's bullpen is really bad.
• 25:34
  Speaker 2: Yeah, Detroit has the better offense as well mediocre offense
• 25:37
  Speaker 2: from Anaheim, and Detroit obviously.
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: Has a starting pitching edge as well, schooable.
• 25:41
  Speaker 2: So Detroit has the Holy Trilogy here, man, But you
• 25:44
  Speaker 2: have to lay a huge price on Detroit.
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: You're not getting it cheap, man.
• 25:48
  Speaker 2: But Detroit does have the edge and all three of
• 25:50
  Speaker 2: the main components of this game here. Although again it's
• 25:54
  Speaker 2: maybe a slightly better ish spot for Anaheim just because
• 25:57
  Speaker 2: they are starting a road trip. But wiyh that too
• 26:00
  Speaker 2: heavily here. Kyle Hendrix is pitching for the Angels. Not
• 26:04
  Speaker 2: a great pitcher. Four point five ninety RA, one point
• 26:07
  Speaker 2: two to four whip. I mean those are okay numbers.
• 26:09
  Speaker 2: Definitely been worse on the road five point four to
• 26:12
  Speaker 2: four road e RA giving up more runs on the road.
• 26:15
  Speaker 2: He's coming up a couple of pretty good starts in
• 26:17
  Speaker 2: a row, though eleven innings pitch give him tour in
• 26:20
  Speaker 2: runs over those two starts. Didn't strike out a lot
• 26:22
  Speaker 2: of guys, five strikeouts, three walks. He's not really a
• 26:25
  Speaker 2: strikeout pitcher. Last time I was against the White Sox,
• 26:28
  Speaker 2: so not that impressive. It's a bad lineup start. Before that,
• 26:31
  Speaker 2: did fairly well against Seattle, which is fairly impressive. So
• 26:35
  Speaker 2: Hendrix has been decent over his last two starts. I
• 26:38
  Speaker 2: don't know if he'll do that well in this game though,
• 26:40
  Speaker 2: against Detroit on the road, difficult assignment. He's been okay
• 26:44
  Speaker 2: against Detroit, the better than okay actually, in twenty six
• 26:47
  Speaker 2: at bats, two strikeouts, no walks. He's held Detroit to
• 26:50
  Speaker 2: a two thirty one average and five to seventy seven
• 26:52
  Speaker 2: oh ps. So Hendricks actually has done fairly well against Detroit.
• 26:55
  Speaker 2: But I don't expect him to outpitch the best pitcher
• 26:58
  Speaker 2: in baseball schoo Ball. I mean, if you want to
• 27:01
  Speaker 2: debate that, fine, but I that was my answer. When
• 27:03
  Speaker 2: somebody asked yesterday who the best pitcher is. I think
• 27:06
  Speaker 2: most people will say school Ball. I mean Skeins is
• 27:08
  Speaker 2: definitely in the running as well, and yeah, I mean
• 27:13
  Speaker 2: Garret Crochet not a horrible answer either. I mean those
• 27:16
  Speaker 2: three guys I think are the top top of the pack.
• 27:19
  Speaker 2: School Ball, though, really good this year obviously two point
• 27:21
  Speaker 2: one eighty r, a point eight three.
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: Whip, really low whip.
• 27:25
  Speaker 2: He's in really similar home in a way, it doesn't
• 27:27
  Speaker 2: really matter. He's continuing to pitch really well. Man, no
• 27:30
  Speaker 2: sense of even really digging into it. I mean, he's
• 27:32
  Speaker 2: just consistently so good it doesn't even really matter, Like
• 27:36
  Speaker 2: is he in recent good form?
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: Yeah?
• 27:39
  Speaker 2: Up against who are you playing against here? I already
• 27:41
  Speaker 2: forget not Minnesota, That's who they played last Anaheim.
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: Yeah.
• 27:45
  Speaker 2: I don't know why. It always slips my mind. Then
• 27:46
  Speaker 2: when I start talking about the home pitcher. He's basically
• 27:50
  Speaker 2: dominated Anaheim in his career forty two at bats, fifteen
• 27:53
  Speaker 2: to two strike at walker I show one forty three average,
• 27:56
  Speaker 2: allowed three to ninety six ops. So yeah, school balls
• 28:00
  Speaker 2: have the upper hand here. But you're laying a price.
• 28:02
  Speaker 2: Although Detroit's down for minus two eighty to minus two
• 28:05
  Speaker 2: sixty eight, they actually they're public seventy eight percent of tickets.
• 28:08
  Speaker 2: I was gonna say, wait a minute, what, Yeah, so
• 28:10
  Speaker 2: they have gone down on the money line seventy eight
• 28:13
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets, only fifty one percent of the cash
• 28:15
  Speaker 2: I think is what that was on Detroit. So the
• 28:18
  Speaker 2: money seems to be coming in fading Detroit a little
• 28:21
  Speaker 2: bit here. Money coming into the under might actually be
• 28:24
  Speaker 2: the better way to look at this game total sitting
• 28:26
  Speaker 2: at seven and a half, I know, and it's another
• 28:28
  Speaker 2: very low total, fifty four percent of tickets on the over,
• 28:30
  Speaker 2: sixty six percent of the cash on the under.
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: But again with the hitting, you know, being maybe.
• 28:36
  Speaker 2: Cold after having rest yesterday, and the bullpend's being rested,
• 28:39
  Speaker 2: unders do make more sense in games like this alone.
• 28:42
  Speaker 2: I wouldn't trust Anaheim's bullpen enough to go full game
• 28:44
  Speaker 2: under on this. I don't know if we could fully
• 28:47
  Speaker 2: trust Hendrix either. I could see it first five inning
• 28:50
  Speaker 2: under in this game, but again, you'll have to go
• 28:52
  Speaker 2: like pretty low on that, Like it's probably a three
• 28:54
  Speaker 2: and a half on that number, and you know, I
• 28:56
  Speaker 2: personally don't really love doing that. But as far as
• 28:59
  Speaker 2: a game you could do that, you could go Anaheim
• 29:02
  Speaker 2: under their team total. Now you're gonna need an Anaheim
• 29:05
  Speaker 2: to score very few runs in that game, but that
• 29:07
  Speaker 2: might be a way to still attack that game though,
• 29:10
  Speaker 2: Just go with school Ball to continue his domination of
• 29:13
  Speaker 2: Anaheim Miami Atlanta. Of course, because I've been I've been
• 29:16
  Speaker 2: focusing on those two teams quite a bit I played.
• 29:19
  Speaker 2: I gave up plays on both of those teams games
• 29:21
  Speaker 2: two days ago. Should have given it out yesterday, man,
• 29:24
  Speaker 2: because I was right about Miami first five innings yesterday,
• 29:28
  Speaker 2: even though they blew the game yesterday.
• 29:29
  Speaker 1: But we'll get to that. That's gonna be one of
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: my bets.
• 29:34
  Speaker 2: Most of my bets are kind of the later games
• 29:35
  Speaker 2: here though, so we'll see when I get to those.
• 29:38
  Speaker 2: Cleveland at the White Sox, both of these teams also
• 29:40
  Speaker 2: were off yesterday. The White Sox are returning from the
• 29:42
  Speaker 2: Pacific Coast, which makes it a bad spot for the
• 29:45
  Speaker 2: White Sox. And other than the fact that it is
• 29:47
  Speaker 2: a bad spot, I actually like the White Sox in
• 29:50
  Speaker 2: this game.
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: Other than that.
• 29:51
  Speaker 2: Man, Yes, Cleveland does have the better bullpen though, so
• 29:54
  Speaker 2: there is that too. So both bullpens arrested after yesterday.
• 29:57
  Speaker 2: Cleveland does have the better bullpen. The offenses are both
• 30:00
  Speaker 2: really bad. Cleveland's is slightly better, but not by a
• 30:04
  Speaker 2: whole lot at all. Chicago, the White Sox are turning
• 30:08
  Speaker 2: over from a road trip. Tends to be a tough spot,
• 30:10
  Speaker 2: Like I said, especially when you're crossing time zones multiple
• 30:12
  Speaker 2: time zones like this returning.
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: From the Pacific Oasts.
• 30:15
  Speaker 2: Yeah, they had yesterday off to maybe try to get
• 30:17
  Speaker 2: stuff done at home, but it's still a distraction spot
• 30:20
  Speaker 2: when you're backing home. Maybe the focus on Cleveland because
• 30:22
  Speaker 2: Cleveland is a division rival and they're up in second
• 30:25
  Speaker 2: place and they've been one of the better teams in
• 30:27
  Speaker 2: the division for a while, so maybe some reason for
• 30:30
  Speaker 2: the White Sox to show up here. And though they
• 30:31
  Speaker 2: have nothing left to play for here, Cleveland I think
• 30:34
  Speaker 2: technically is still kind of fighting fighting for a playoff spot,
• 30:38
  Speaker 2: which is absurd to think about. Last time out, By
• 30:41
  Speaker 2: the way, that under I forgot to mention I gave
• 30:43
  Speaker 2: up the under in their game against the Mets first
• 30:46
  Speaker 2: five inning a couple of days ago, and that was
• 30:48
  Speaker 2: a winner. The full game under was a winterer zone.
• 30:50
  Speaker 2: Williams pitched so well in that game that he had
• 30:53
  Speaker 2: a no hitter into the ninth inning. I forgot to
• 30:55
  Speaker 2: mention that. So Williams had a really nice start in
• 30:57
  Speaker 2: that game against a pretty decent lineup. Cleveland is coming
• 31:00
  Speaker 2: off that sweep of the Mets, so Cleveland might be
• 31:03
  Speaker 2: in a little bit of a letdown spot. Man coming
• 31:05
  Speaker 2: off that big series against the Mets. You sweep a
• 31:09
  Speaker 2: good team like the Mets, you're gonna be feeling pretty
• 31:10
  Speaker 2: high on yourselves and they might not pay as much
• 31:12
  Speaker 2: attention to Chicago. But the travel spot is better for
• 31:15
  Speaker 2: Cleveland just going from New York to Chicago here, which
• 31:18
  Speaker 2: is one of the main reasons why I'm not gonna
• 31:20
  Speaker 2: actually give this out as a play. And Chicago might
• 31:23
  Speaker 2: be in that distraction spot on the return home spot,
• 31:25
  Speaker 2: but I actually think Chicago has the upper hand in
• 31:28
  Speaker 2: the starting pitching matchup, even though on the surface you think,
• 31:30
  Speaker 2: what are you insane? It's Biby for Cleveland, who's been
• 31:33
  Speaker 2: like their best pitcher of the last couple of seasons,
• 31:35
  Speaker 2: against Savale for the White Sox hasn't been good at all, Toad,
• 31:39
  Speaker 2: What are you talking about? Man, Well, I'll show you
• 31:41
  Speaker 2: in a minute by being he hasn't really been as
• 31:44
  Speaker 2: good this year. Four point five to one Era, one
• 31:46
  Speaker 2: point two to six whip not that good. He's been
• 31:49
  Speaker 2: pretty atrocious on the road Man five point five Roady
• 31:52
  Speaker 2: Ray and he's allowed sixteen of the twenty one one
• 31:55
  Speaker 2: runs he's allowed on the road this year, so he's
• 31:57
  Speaker 2: been really really ugly on the road man and up.
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: Against the White Sox. Well, actually, I'll get to that
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: in a minute.
• 32:03
  Speaker 2: Yes, Cleveland was won his last five starts, but he
• 32:06
  Speaker 2: hasn't been very good in these recent starts. He's failed
• 32:09
  Speaker 2: to go five innings. In two of those he's allowed
• 32:12
  Speaker 2: four or more on runs, and three of those starts.
• 32:15
  Speaker 2: Last time out, he failed to go five innings against
• 32:17
  Speaker 2: a pretty weak Minnesota team with nothing left to play for.
• 32:20
  Speaker 2: You have up four on runs. It's not really a
• 32:22
  Speaker 2: great sign. Biby not really in the greatest form here.
• 32:25
  Speaker 2: And as I was about to say, surprisingly, his numbers
• 32:28
  Speaker 2: against the White Sox are not good, even though they're
• 32:30
  Speaker 2: not a good lineup thirty four at bats two ninety
• 32:33
  Speaker 2: four batting average at seven to ninety three ohps. So
• 32:36
  Speaker 2: Biby hasn't done well against the White Sox man, And
• 32:40
  Speaker 2: then you flip it over and look at Savallee. His
• 32:42
  Speaker 2: numbers are actually okay this year at this point three
• 32:45
  Speaker 2: point nine to ninety one point two six whip. He's
• 32:47
  Speaker 2: a guy that I believe the White Sox were potentially
• 32:52
  Speaker 2: trading him after a They acquired him in the middle
• 32:54
  Speaker 2: of the season from Milwaukee, and then the White Sox
• 32:57
  Speaker 2: were thinking of I think dealing him at the trade
• 32:59
  Speaker 2: deadline and didn't get anything done for him. He's been
• 33:02
  Speaker 2: slightly worse at home, but nothing that bad. But his
• 33:05
  Speaker 2: last few starts have actually been quite good. He's allowed
• 33:08
  Speaker 2: no earned runs in his last three starts at this point,
• 33:11
  Speaker 2: going at least five innings in every single one.
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: He has a twenty.
• 33:16
  Speaker 2: To three strikeout walk ratio over that span as well.
• 33:19
  Speaker 2: And one of those starts was against the Cubs, which
• 33:21
  Speaker 2: is a really good lineup Pittsburgh and Anaheim. I mean,
• 33:23
  Speaker 2: those are not as impressive of performances, but because those
• 33:27
  Speaker 2: offenses aren't as good.
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: But and I'm still a mediocre offense.
• 33:30
  Speaker 2: And he held him to one hit in six and
• 33:32
  Speaker 2: a third innings, eight strikeouts in that game, no runs obviously,
• 33:35
  Speaker 2: So Savalli is actually in really good form right now.
• 33:39
  Speaker 2: And up against Cleveland, not a very good offense, and
• 33:42
  Speaker 2: he's done really well against him. In fifty eight at bats,
• 33:45
  Speaker 2: he only have eight hits off him, fourteen to three
• 33:47
  Speaker 2: strike out walk ratio, one thirty eight batting avers allowed
• 33:50
  Speaker 2: four to twenty two oh ps.
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: So this is one of those games that I look
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: at it and I.
• 33:53
  Speaker 2: Say, yeah, you have kind of a sneaky edge here
• 33:57
  Speaker 2: on the White Sox in this starting pitching matchup. I
• 33:59
  Speaker 2: just don't playing teams are turning over from road trips, man.
• 34:02
  Speaker 2: But I think the best way to play this game
• 34:04
  Speaker 2: is the White Sox money line.
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: They're an underdog at home too.
• 34:08
  Speaker 2: Which when you have a pitching matchup like this and
• 34:10
  Speaker 2: you think you actually have an edge with the starting
• 34:11
  Speaker 2: pitching matchup, and you know the offenses aren't really that
• 34:15
  Speaker 2: different from each other, I think there is definitely value
• 34:18
  Speaker 2: taking the White Sox on the money line here as
• 34:20
  Speaker 2: a home underdog. I would do it in the first
• 34:22
  Speaker 2: five innings, just because again I don't really trust the
• 34:24
  Speaker 2: White Sox bullpen very much.
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: Cleveland's is better.
• 34:27
  Speaker 2: Seventy six percent of tickets in this game are on Cleveland,
• 34:30
  Speaker 2: but fifty nine percent of the cash commune on the
• 34:32
  Speaker 2: White Sox.
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: The money's coming in on the White Sox.
• 34:35
  Speaker 2: The line dropped already for minus one forty eight to
• 34:37
  Speaker 2: minus one thirty.
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: Five on Cleveland.
• 34:39
  Speaker 2: You probably don't get as big of an underdog price
• 34:41
  Speaker 2: on the White Sox here, but maybe you do because
• 34:43
  Speaker 2: Biby does get some respect from the books here and
• 34:47
  Speaker 2: the public is usually gonna favor him over Savale, but
• 34:51
  Speaker 2: I would go with Savali in that one man, first
• 34:53
  Speaker 2: five inning White Sox money line to be the way
• 34:55
  Speaker 2: I would play that game.
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia at Texas.
• 34:58
  Speaker 2: Texas coming up a big series against the Yankees where
• 35:01
  Speaker 2: they won two out of three.
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: But this is a big series two against Philly.
• 35:04
  Speaker 2: Maybe not as big because it's interleague, but Texas staying
• 35:08
  Speaker 2: at home. You got a team like the Phillies coming in.
• 35:10
  Speaker 2: You'll probably pay attention to that. The Phillies have the
• 35:12
  Speaker 2: way better offense over Texas, so Philly has a big
• 35:15
  Speaker 2: offensive edge. Texas has a pretty big bullpen edge, though
• 35:18
  Speaker 2: Texas has the better bullpend. This is another spot where
• 35:21
  Speaker 2: both teams rested. Yesterday, both teams have rested bullpends. Philly
• 35:25
  Speaker 2: is starting a road trip after facing Baltimore last time
• 35:29
  Speaker 2: out of winning that series, and they lost the last
• 35:31
  Speaker 2: game of the series.
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: Maybe, you know, get away day.
• 35:34
  Speaker 2: Maybe they're just kind of looking ahead a little bit,
• 35:35
  Speaker 2: not paying attention to Baltimore. So Philly should be in
• 35:39
  Speaker 2: a focused spot here as well. On the first game
• 35:41
  Speaker 2: of a road trip, you want to get the road
• 35:42
  Speaker 2: trip off on the right foot.
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: Two pretty decent.
• 35:45
  Speaker 2: Starting pitchers decent at worst starting pitchers here. I think
• 35:49
  Speaker 2: the starting pitching edge does have to go to Philadelphia though,
• 35:52
  Speaker 2: because Christopher Sanchez has been almost elite this year for them. Man,
• 35:56
  Speaker 2: he didn't even make the All Star Game. He's flying
• 35:58
  Speaker 2: under the radar point four one point seven whip. I
• 36:02
  Speaker 2: don't think he's really flying under the radar as far
• 36:03
  Speaker 2: as the books are concerned, though, but man, he's been good.
• 36:06
  Speaker 2: He's been really good both home and away, very similar
• 36:08
  Speaker 2: numbers aside from allowing four and runs in one start
• 36:13
  Speaker 2: at the White Sox.
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: Other than that, he's allowed one or fewer.
• 36:16
  Speaker 2: Earned runs in every start going all the way back
• 36:18
  Speaker 2: to mid June, and the last time he allowed more
• 36:20
  Speaker 2: than two hourn runs and a start was in late May.
• 36:23
  Speaker 2: So he's been absolutely dominant, even though some of.
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: His starts he's failed to get run support. But Philly
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: has won four of his last six starts as well.
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: He's been really, really good. He had a thirty six
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: to five strike a walk ratio in July.
• 36:39
  Speaker 2: Starting this month, he went eight innings shut out ball
• 36:42
  Speaker 2: against Detroit.
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: That's pretty good.
• 36:43
  Speaker 2: Detroit lineup only five hits, allowed six to one strike
• 36:47
  Speaker 2: a walk ratio. So Sanchez is obviously in good form
• 36:51
  Speaker 2: here man. He's pitching really, really well. He's going up
• 36:54
  Speaker 2: against who do we say, Texas, right, not a good
• 36:56
  Speaker 2: line up in Texas. They haven't seen much of him
• 36:59
  Speaker 2: at all. Only three of their hitters have ever seen him.
• 37:01
  Speaker 2: They only have four at bats off him, two strikeouts,
• 37:05
  Speaker 2: one walk, no extra base hits, so he's on a
• 37:08
  Speaker 2: two to fifty average, six to fifty oh ps. So Sanchez,
• 37:11
  Speaker 2: I expect him to continue pitching well here. Merrill Kelly
• 37:14
  Speaker 2: pitching for Texas. He's making his second start as a
• 37:17
  Speaker 2: member of the Rangers after the d Backs traded him
• 37:20
  Speaker 2: at the trade deadline.
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: He's been good this year three.
• 37:23
  Speaker 2: Point two two ERA one point zero four whip, a
• 37:26
  Speaker 2: little bit worse at home, but most of that was
• 37:28
  Speaker 2: at Chase Field, which is a pitcher unfriendly ballpark, and
• 37:31
  Speaker 2: now he's pitching in a much more pitcher friendly ballpark
• 37:34
  Speaker 2: in Texas. He's made one start with Texas, which was
• 37:37
  Speaker 2: actually at Seattle, which is also a pitcher friendly park,
• 37:40
  Speaker 2: and he had six strikeouts, no walks, and five and
• 37:42
  Speaker 2: two thirds two earned runs a left four hits. That
• 37:44
  Speaker 2: was a pretty good start for him to start his
• 37:47
  Speaker 2: UH remainder of the season with Texas that was pretty good.
• 37:50
  Speaker 2: But he's having he's gonna have to step up to
• 37:52
  Speaker 2: face the Phillies team. Man, this is a very good lineup.
• 37:55
  Speaker 2: Seattle's not a bad lineup either. Philly is better though
• 37:58
  Speaker 2: his numbers are not bad against phillyl though they've seen
• 38:00
  Speaker 2: a lot of him because he's been in the National League.
• 38:03
  Speaker 2: One hundred and thirty two at bats, thirty to fourteen
• 38:06
  Speaker 2: strike at walk ratios. A bit too many walks for
• 38:09
  Speaker 2: that ratio, but he does. He sell them to two
• 38:11
  Speaker 2: thirty five. Batting average is seven to thirty two o ps,
• 38:13
  Speaker 2: so he sell them to decent numbers. Decently low numbers there.
• 38:17
  Speaker 2: So I think an under is worth a look in
• 38:20
  Speaker 2: this game, man, even though you would have to deal
• 38:21
  Speaker 2: with Philly's bullpen if he went full game under on
• 38:24
  Speaker 2: this The total has dropped on this game as well,
• 38:26
  Speaker 2: from eight to seven and a half already all the
• 38:28
  Speaker 2: way to juice to the under on the seven and
• 38:30
  Speaker 2: a half.
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: Pretty strong move.
• 38:31
  Speaker 2: Strong market indicators on the under, fifty percent of tickets,
• 38:34
  Speaker 2: seventy eight percent of the cash coming in on the under.
• 38:37
  Speaker 2: I do agree with it. You could go full game
• 38:39
  Speaker 2: on it. I mean both bullpens arrested. At least Philly
• 38:42
  Speaker 2: did at least kind of bolster their bullpen a little
• 38:45
  Speaker 2: bit at the trade deadline. I still don't trust them.
• 38:47
  Speaker 2: I mean, you could go under in the first five innings,
• 38:49
  Speaker 2: but a little bit of a concern doing that because
• 38:52
  Speaker 2: again the number will be really low on that. The
• 38:55
  Speaker 2: money seems to be indicating on Texas as well as
• 38:57
  Speaker 2: a home underdog here. Profession betters like looking at home underdogs. Man,
• 39:02
  Speaker 2: they see a lot of value in a lot of
• 39:04
  Speaker 2: these home underdogs, thinking that maybe Kelly can battle Sanchez,
• 39:07
  Speaker 2: and then once they get into the bullpens, Texas does
• 39:10
  Speaker 2: have the better bullpend seventy four percent of tickets fifty
• 39:12
  Speaker 2: four percent of the cash on Philly, So they're a
• 39:14
  Speaker 2: public road favorite here, especially with Sanchez on the mount.
• 39:18
  Speaker 2: I think maybe professional better is also thinking you're kind
• 39:21
  Speaker 2: of paying a bit of a price for Philly with
• 39:23
  Speaker 2: Sanchez on the mound at this point, because it's not
• 39:25
  Speaker 2: a secret how good he's been this year at this point,
• 39:27
  Speaker 2: even though he flies under the radar compared to some
• 39:29
  Speaker 2: of these other really good pitchers here. But Philly up
• 39:33
  Speaker 2: for minus won twenty five to minus one twenty eight,
• 39:34
  Speaker 2: but the money seems to be going against him a
• 39:36
  Speaker 2: little bit. But I think banking on a pitching duel
• 39:39
  Speaker 2: of some kind is the better way to go in
• 39:40
  Speaker 2: that game. I could still see maybe going under with
• 39:45
  Speaker 2: Texas's team total there. You could go under Phillies team
• 39:48
  Speaker 2: total there as well, though, and expect maybe Kelly to
• 39:50
  Speaker 2: pitch well in that game. Philly's team total is going
• 39:53
  Speaker 2: to be higher than Texas's is, so maybe a little
• 39:56
  Speaker 2: bit more leeway if you do it that way. Kansas City, Minnesota,
• 39:58
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna give out a play on that, at least,
• 40:01
  Speaker 2: I think. I mean, let me look at the market
• 40:02
  Speaker 2: reads on this. Uh that one, I'm going completely against
• 40:06
  Speaker 2: the market read on that one. So I am a
• 40:08
  Speaker 2: little bit concerned about that one. But it is what
• 40:10
  Speaker 2: it is. I will see what happens. Hopefully I'm not
• 40:12
  Speaker 2: going against the market reading some of these other games.
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: Let me see Miami.
• 40:18
  Speaker 2: In Miami's I'm going against the market read now as well.
• 40:21
  Speaker 2: But that is the way that it is. Man, Hopefully
• 40:22
  Speaker 2: it works out. I think I'm going against it in
• 40:24
  Speaker 2: the Cubs game as well. Uh So, maybe we're gonna
• 40:27
  Speaker 2: lose today, man, And we'll see. Well, we'll see when
• 40:30
  Speaker 2: we get to it. Next up, we got Mets Milwaukee.
• 40:35
  Speaker 2: I mean, this is a pretty good match up here, man,
• 40:37
  Speaker 2: two of the better teams in the NL. Milwaukee, as
• 40:41
  Speaker 2: I believe, the best record in baseball, and I mean
• 40:43
  Speaker 2: they're on fire. They've won six games in a row.
• 40:46
  Speaker 2: Now they're returning home from a road trip. Though, So
• 40:49
  Speaker 2: road trip return again, I reiterate, tends to be a
• 40:52
  Speaker 2: little bit of a distracted spot you have to return
• 40:54
  Speaker 2: back home. Yeah, both these teams did have a day off. Yes,
• 40:57
  Speaker 2: they probably won't lose focus when it's the Mets, and
• 40:59
  Speaker 2: they know the Mets with the team that eliminated them
• 41:02
  Speaker 2: from the playoffs last year. Eve, though Milwaukee has at
• 41:05
  Speaker 2: least beaten the Mets this year when they faced them
• 41:07
  Speaker 2: during the regular season. Milwaukee, Yeah, so it may not
• 41:11
  Speaker 2: be a totally distracted spot for them on the return
• 41:13
  Speaker 2: home spot. The Mets are starting a road trip off
• 41:16
  Speaker 2: an ugly, ugly stretch of games. Man, the Mets have
• 41:19
  Speaker 2: been playing some bad baseball recently. They've lost twelve of
• 41:22
  Speaker 2: their last thirteen games. Or no, wait, that's not right.
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: What am I doing? Not eight of their last nine?
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: My mistake. They had a win streak prior to that.
• 41:28
  Speaker 2: What was I thinking. I was thinking of this other
• 41:30
  Speaker 2: bad stretch that they had. Sorry, they've lost eight of
• 41:32
  Speaker 2: their last nine games. My mistake, but that's still bad.
• 41:36
  Speaker 2: They're coming off getting swept by Cleveland, which is really
• 41:38
  Speaker 2: ugly at home, no less, so I think it's gonna
• 41:41
  Speaker 2: be good for the Mets to go out on the
• 41:42
  Speaker 2: road and forget about that. So I do think it
• 41:44
  Speaker 2: is definitely a focused spot for the Mets here. They're
• 41:47
  Speaker 2: gonna want this game, going out on the road against
• 41:49
  Speaker 2: the team that has the best record in baseball coming
• 41:52
  Speaker 2: off some ugly losses.
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: So I think the spot sets up a little bit
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: better for the Mets. But Milwaukee is the better bullpen.
• 41:58
  Speaker 2: I would give Milwaukee the offensive edge a little bit
• 42:02
  Speaker 2: as well, and though they aren't quite as good offensively
• 42:04
  Speaker 2: at home, I think it's slight in both cases. But
• 42:06
  Speaker 2: I think Milwaukee has a slight bullpen edge and a
• 42:09
  Speaker 2: slight hitting edge here. And I actually think Milwaukee has
• 42:12
  Speaker 2: the starting pitching edge here. Code I Senga is pitching
• 42:15
  Speaker 2: for the Mets. He's having a good season. Two point
• 42:17
  Speaker 2: three one ERA, one point two to five whip the
• 42:20
  Speaker 2: whip is a little bit higher than I would like
• 42:22
  Speaker 2: to see though. Man, I'll get into that in a second.
• 42:24
  Speaker 2: He's been slightly better on the road, but nothing significant.
• 42:27
  Speaker 2: But he was injured for a bit. And since he's
• 42:30
  Speaker 2: come back, yeah, I know. He came back in mid
• 42:33
  Speaker 2: July and the Mets have won all four of his
• 42:36
  Speaker 2: starts since then. The Mets have actually won eight straight
• 42:38
  Speaker 2: starts of his I believe, so the Mets have been
• 42:41
  Speaker 2: winning most of his starts. He hasn't allowed more than
• 42:43
  Speaker 2: four and runs in any start all year, but those
• 42:45
  Speaker 2: four earned run performances both happened after he came back
• 42:48
  Speaker 2: from injury, so that's a little bit of a concern
• 42:50
  Speaker 2: because that's half of his starts. He's failed to go
• 42:53
  Speaker 2: five innings in three out of the four starts, so
• 42:56
  Speaker 2: he's not going deep into these games, which I think
• 42:58
  Speaker 2: they're keeping his pitch a little bit limited here. But
• 43:01
  Speaker 2: his strikeout walk ratio is also abysmal over that stretch,
• 43:04
  Speaker 2: sixteen to thirteen strike out walk ratio. So that's the
• 43:08
  Speaker 2: real problem I have with him, And why is wit
• 43:10
  Speaker 2: this so high? He's walking way too many guys and
• 43:12
  Speaker 2: that's kind of been the case all season. His strikeout
• 43:15
  Speaker 2: walk ratio is really unimpressive actually, and he's walked an
• 43:18
  Speaker 2: unbelievable amount of guys this year forty four and eighty
• 43:21
  Speaker 2: nine to two thirds. He gets away with it because
• 43:23
  Speaker 2: it doesn't allow hits. Sixty eight hits. He's like relatively unhittable,
• 43:26
  Speaker 2: but still the walks are huge concern.
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 43:29
  Speaker 2: You can't keep walking guys like this, says. He's come
• 43:32
  Speaker 2: back from the injury his last three starts. Three out
• 43:35
  Speaker 2: of the four starts, and each of his last three
• 43:37
  Speaker 2: he's walked three or more.
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: In all of them. So that's not a good sign
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: either man. And I'm against the Brewers.
• 43:44
  Speaker 2: They haven't seen much of him, only three of their
• 43:46
  Speaker 2: hitters have seen him before, but in eight at bats
• 43:48
  Speaker 2: they have a three seventy five average and eight seventy
• 43:49
  Speaker 2: five oh ps off him, two strikeouts, no walks. But still,
• 43:54
  Speaker 2: I think Woodruff is the much more trustworthy of these
• 43:56
  Speaker 2: two pitchers here.
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: Man. Woodroff, people kind of got about him.
• 44:00
  Speaker 2: He was really good in the past, and then he
• 44:02
  Speaker 2: missed over an entire season with an injury, and he's
• 44:06
  Speaker 2: been like right back in form basically right away. He's
• 44:09
  Speaker 2: been excellent since he's come back two point two to
• 44:12
  Speaker 2: two ERA point six four whip. I mean, it's like
• 44:15
  Speaker 2: he never even was gone. He's been a little bit
• 44:18
  Speaker 2: worse at home though, three point four to eighty RA,
• 44:20
  Speaker 2: which is still good. He hasn't allowed with the tour
• 44:23
  Speaker 2: and runs in any outings so far since he's come back.
• 44:25
  Speaker 2: He's made five starts now Milwaukee has won every single
• 44:28
  Speaker 2: one of them. He's gone six innings and four out
• 44:30
  Speaker 2: of the five twenty nine to three strike out walk
• 44:34
  Speaker 2: ratio in the previous month, eight to one in his
• 44:36
  Speaker 2: last start, so overall thirty seven to four strike out
• 44:40
  Speaker 2: walk rationio, only fourteen hits allowed in twenty eight and
• 44:42
  Speaker 2: a third innings pitched. He's dominating right now. Man, He's
• 44:45
  Speaker 2: doing really well. And against the Mets his numbers are mediocre.
• 44:51
  Speaker 2: They're better than I would say. They're better than saying
• 44:53
  Speaker 2: goas although it is a bigger sample size, so maybe
• 44:56
  Speaker 2: something that you could take a little bit more away from.
• 44:58
  Speaker 2: And forty six at bats nine to four strike up
• 45:01
  Speaker 2: walk rations is not that great. Two eighty three average
• 45:04
  Speaker 2: seven to thirty one ops allowed, So the Mets have
• 45:07
  Speaker 2: hit okay against him, but not great. But I would
• 45:10
  Speaker 2: still trust Woodroff Moore, Man, I mean he's been pitching
• 45:13
  Speaker 2: so well, he's in really really excellent form here. Uh
• 45:17
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee up for minus one twenty eight to minus one
• 45:19
  Speaker 2: thirty seven here eighty two percent of tickets, eighty eight
• 45:22
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash coming into Milwaukee. Uh, so the
• 45:25
  Speaker 2: money is agreeing with that coming into Milwaukee. Wouldn't disagree
• 45:29
  Speaker 2: with that obviously, I would lean to Milwaukee.
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: Uh.
• 45:32
  Speaker 2: I think they have the edge actually, even though it's slight.
• 45:36
  Speaker 2: I think they have the edge in every single aspect
• 45:38
  Speaker 2: of the game, but slightly. But I don't love playing
• 45:40
  Speaker 2: teams returning over from road trips. Sixty six percent of tickets,
• 45:43
  Speaker 2: sixty percent of the cash on the over, so the
• 45:46
  Speaker 2: money is actually seemingly coming in on the under as well.
• 45:49
  Speaker 2: Expecting both starting pitches to do fairly well here. We
• 45:51
  Speaker 2: have decent bullpends there, so I wouldn't really disagree with
• 45:55
  Speaker 2: the under either. Skip p in Chicago Saint Louis for now,
• 45:58
  Speaker 2: my Red Sox at San Diego. San Diego's returning home,
• 46:02
  Speaker 2: but only from a trip to Arizona, so not really
• 46:05
  Speaker 2: a huge road trip returning. These two teams are off
• 46:07
  Speaker 2: yesterday as well. The Red Sox lost their long wind streak. Man,
• 46:11
  Speaker 2: they had seven wins in a row and then lost
• 46:13
  Speaker 2: to the Royals. Ugly ugly Man, Dustin may not looking
• 46:17
  Speaker 2: like a good trade man. These guys that the Red
• 46:19
  Speaker 2: Sox got from the Dodgers or former Dodger players, I
• 46:23
  Speaker 2: should say, because they picked up Walker Buehler as a
• 46:25
  Speaker 2: free agent, I believe, But those acquisitions I don't think
• 46:30
  Speaker 2: are good for the Red Sox. Man, and they're pitching
• 46:32
  Speaker 2: in these back to back games because Bueller is pitching today,
• 46:35
  Speaker 2: So isn't that just great? But the Red Sox, yes,
• 46:38
  Speaker 2: they're starting a road trips. They should be focused. You
• 46:40
  Speaker 2: tend to be focused when you start a road trip.
• 46:42
  Speaker 2: But they're gonna have to adjust to the Pacific time
• 46:44
  Speaker 2: zone and playing a late night game, which is not
• 46:46
  Speaker 2: that easy to do. And when you have a long
• 46:48
  Speaker 2: wind streak snap like that, sometimes it does hang you over.
• 46:52
  Speaker 2: So I really don't like the Red Sox very much
• 46:55
  Speaker 2: in this game. San Diego has the bullpen edge. Both
• 46:57
  Speaker 2: teams have good bullpens, and they're both at San Diego
• 47:00
  Speaker 2: has the better bullpend Red Sox have the better offense.
• 47:03
  Speaker 2: But still I think pitching matters more. You got to
• 47:07
  Speaker 2: give the starting pitching edge to the Padres as well. Here,
• 47:10
  Speaker 2: I mean Walker Buehller, Red Sox. I mean like I said,
• 47:13
  Speaker 2: I mean he's not good. He has never come back
• 47:16
  Speaker 2: from his injury and surgeries that he's had over the
• 47:19
  Speaker 2: last you know, recent years.
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: Five point seven to four one point six whip this
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: year not good numbers.
• 47:25
  Speaker 2: He's been really bad on the road seven point four
• 47:28
  Speaker 2: to four r on the road. Struggled again last time
• 47:31
  Speaker 2: out against Houston. He's failed to go five innings in
• 47:33
  Speaker 2: his last two starts, even though the Red Sox won
• 47:36
  Speaker 2: both of them, and they've actually won four of his
• 47:38
  Speaker 2: last five outings. He pitched okay in some of those outings,
• 47:42
  Speaker 2: but starting to really struggle again. Those last two outings
• 47:44
  Speaker 2: were bad. He had eight walks and only four strikeouts
• 47:48
  Speaker 2: over those last two outings to and a lot six
• 47:50
  Speaker 2: earned runs and thirteen hits in those nine innings. Pitch
• 47:54
  Speaker 2: that is bad man, really bad against decent lineups or
• 47:58
  Speaker 2: good lineups, even in the Dodgers and Houston. But still
• 48:02
  Speaker 2: he's in bad form right now. I don't trust him.
• 48:05
  Speaker 2: I'll beig at San Diego. He's actually been fairly good,
• 48:07
  Speaker 2: although San Diego does have a lot of experience off
• 48:10
  Speaker 2: of him because he was in their division on the
• 48:12
  Speaker 2: Dodgers one hundred and thirty five at bats, twenty nine
• 48:15
  Speaker 2: to seven strike a walk ratio, two point fifty nine
• 48:18
  Speaker 2: batting average allowed in seven eighteen ohps. So A Bueller
• 48:21
  Speaker 2: does have okay numbers against San Diego in a huge
• 48:24
  Speaker 2: sample size, but I still don't trust him. And some
• 48:26
  Speaker 2: of that was back when he was a better pitcher too,
• 48:28
  Speaker 2: So you got to keep that in mind. That Walker
• 48:31
  Speaker 2: Bueller's recent form I think does matter more than some
• 48:34
  Speaker 2: of his historical numbers because he's just a completely different pitcher.
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: He's way worse.
• 48:38
  Speaker 2: Nick Pavetta, former Red Sox pitchers pitching for the Padres
• 48:42
  Speaker 2: really good season two point seven to three e.
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: RA point nine four whip. He's been excellent at home
• 48:48
  Speaker 1: one point nine to ninety RRA at home. He's allowed
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: no more than touring runs in any start going all
• 48:52
  Speaker 1: the way back to late June. He's allowed more than
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: touring runs only once since late June as well.
• 49:00
  Speaker 2: Actually, so he's pitching really really well here. Padres have
• 49:04
  Speaker 2: won five of his last seven starts. I think it's
• 49:06
  Speaker 2: with that are four of his last No, yeah, it's
• 49:08
  Speaker 2: five of his last seven. Probably should have won more
• 49:10
  Speaker 2: because he hasn't been bad in any of those starts,
• 49:14
  Speaker 2: going at least six innings in all.
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: But one of them.
• 49:16
  Speaker 2: Too. He's dominating thirty to eight strike a walk ratio
• 49:19
  Speaker 2: over the in July, I should say, and then thirty
• 49:23
  Speaker 2: five to eight if you include his most recent start,
• 49:26
  Speaker 2: which was a one hit performance against Saint Louis and
• 49:29
  Speaker 2: early in August seven inning performance, really really good stuff
• 49:33
  Speaker 2: against the Red Sox. Only two hitters have seen him before,
• 49:37
  Speaker 2: Bregman and Story, but they have twelve at bats and
• 49:39
  Speaker 2: they have hit him four to seventeen batting average. Bregman
• 49:43
  Speaker 2: has homered off him once. I they each have a
• 49:45
  Speaker 2: triple off of him four to seventeen average in one
• 49:47
  Speaker 2: five hundred oh ps ap A. Veta hasn't been good
• 49:50
  Speaker 2: against those two Red Sox hitters, but the rest of
• 49:52
  Speaker 2: the Red Sox hitters.
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: Have never even seen it before.
• 49:55
  Speaker 2: I know the money in this game is coming in
• 49:56
  Speaker 2: on the Red Sox, but I find it hard to
• 49:58
  Speaker 2: really agree with that because I think San Diego has
• 50:01
  Speaker 2: the pitching edge across the board here. There's no way
• 50:03
  Speaker 2: I would have my money on Walker Bueller San Diego
• 50:06
  Speaker 2: down for minus one sixty five to minus one sixty
• 50:08
  Speaker 2: though fifty six percent of tickets on them, sixty nine
• 50:11
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash coming in on the red sox.
• 50:12
  Speaker 2: Of course, some of.
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: That is about the price.
• 50:15
  Speaker 2: And maybe thinking that it's too much of a price
• 50:17
  Speaker 2: to land San Diego. But I don't want any part
• 50:20
  Speaker 2: of it, man, But that is what the money is saying.
• 50:22
  Speaker 2: That money's coming in on the red sox side, and
• 50:26
  Speaker 2: that seems to be the big market indicator in that game.
• 50:28
  Speaker 2: Colorado at Arizona, Arizona staying at home, coming off a
• 50:32
  Speaker 2: couple of losses San Diego.
• 50:34
  Speaker 1: They had three wins.
• 50:35
  Speaker 2: In a row, but since the trade deadline they lost
• 50:37
  Speaker 2: all their other games.
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: So Arizona seems like.
• 50:39
  Speaker 2: A team not really totally focused, you know, just playing
• 50:44
  Speaker 2: out the stretch. I don't think Colorado's really a team
• 50:46
  Speaker 2: that's gonna draw their focus either, coming off of that
• 50:49
  Speaker 2: big San Diego series for Arizona there, Colorado is coming
• 50:53
  Speaker 2: off an unbelievably embarrassing series against Toronto where Toronto scored
• 50:58
  Speaker 2: forty five runs on sixty three hits against them, and
• 51:02
  Speaker 2: the Rockies themselves only scored six runs of that entire series.
• 51:06
  Speaker 1: That's unbelievably embarrassing.
• 51:08
  Speaker 2: So going out on the road facing a division foe,
• 51:11
  Speaker 2: I actually think that might focus the Rockies a little
• 51:13
  Speaker 2: bit here. So situationally, it seems like it might not
• 51:16
  Speaker 2: be a bad spot to maybe consider grabbing the Rockies
• 51:19
  Speaker 2: as like a run line underdog, because you know they're
• 51:21
  Speaker 2: gonna be a huge underdog.
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: Zach, what's up man? Thanks for hanging out.
• 51:25
  Speaker 2: I haven't talked about the Kansas City game yet because
• 51:27
  Speaker 2: I'm actually gonna have a play on that game Colorado
• 51:31
  Speaker 2: Arizona anyway, yet Gombers pitching for Colorado, I mean he's
• 51:35
  Speaker 2: at least not their worst starter or six point one
• 51:38
  Speaker 2: eight r a one point six whip. He's been better
• 51:41
  Speaker 2: on the road four point nine one around the road.
• 51:43
  Speaker 2: He hasn't pitched that much yet this year because he
• 51:45
  Speaker 2: was injured to start this season, so he came back
• 51:48
  Speaker 2: not that long ago, and he's only won.
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: The Rockies have only won two of.
• 51:53
  Speaker 2: His starts, so one of them was his first start
• 51:55
  Speaker 2: and one of them was his most recent start. Yes,
• 51:57
  Speaker 2: it was against a bad Pittsburgh lineup. Arizona is certainly
• 52:01
  Speaker 2: a step up in class offensively, they're still obviously the
• 52:03
  Speaker 2: way better hitting team over the Rockies here. Arizona is
• 52:06
  Speaker 2: a bad bullpenal, though so does Colorado, so the bullpens
• 52:09
  Speaker 2: are kind of a wash, though maybe Arizona is actually
• 52:13
  Speaker 2: slightly better Gomber. That last start wasn't too bad though
• 52:16
  Speaker 2: at home, even against Pittsburgh five to one strangle walk
• 52:19
  Speaker 2: Raceyer because course field it's you know, it's tough for
• 52:21
  Speaker 2: some pitchers to pitch there. Five to one struggle walk
• 52:24
  Speaker 2: ra Show in that game wasn't that bad. Three or
• 52:26
  Speaker 2: in runs allowed not that bad either up against Arizona,
• 52:30
  Speaker 2: though Arizona's a decent hitting team, man hasn't done well
• 52:34
  Speaker 2: against them in one hundred and eight at bats fourteen
• 52:36
  Speaker 2: to three strike a walk race Yo is good, but
• 52:38
  Speaker 2: he's alloted eight home runs to them. Three of them
• 52:40
  Speaker 2: are Marte, who's ten for twenty six off him, so
• 52:44
  Speaker 2: could consider looking for some player props there with him
• 52:46
  Speaker 2: or Corbyn Carroll six for thirteen off him with a
• 52:48
  Speaker 2: couple of home runs. Guriel also five for sevent team
• 52:52
  Speaker 2: in the home run so there's even though Arizona traded
• 52:54
  Speaker 2: some guys in the trade deadline and their offense did
• 52:57
  Speaker 2: get weakened a little bit.
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: They still have good hitters on this team.
• 53:00
  Speaker 2: Gombert does have a fourteen to three strike a walk
• 53:02
  Speaker 2: ratio against him, but a two ninety six average allowed
• 53:05
  Speaker 2: eight ninety nine ohps, so overall he does not do
• 53:08
  Speaker 2: well against Arizona. Zach Gallon pitching for Arizona, having a
• 53:12
  Speaker 2: pretty ugly season Man worse than what he's done in
• 53:15
  Speaker 2: the past by far five point four eightyr one point
• 53:18
  Speaker 2: three to six with he just can't seem to get
• 53:19
  Speaker 2: it together. He's been bad at home five point nine
• 53:22
  Speaker 2: eighty R at home pitch well last time out against
• 53:25
  Speaker 2: the A's in that tough A's stadium, went six innings,
• 53:29
  Speaker 2: allowing a two hour in runs three strike cuts. While
• 53:31
  Speaker 2: wasn't very impressive, but no walks, didn't allow nine hits,
• 53:34
  Speaker 2: so he got hit a little bit hard in that game.
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: His strikeout walk ratio has actually been pretty good.
• 53:38
  Speaker 2: It was thirty three to five in July, but he
• 53:40
  Speaker 2: allowed a lot of runs five point one ERA. Although
• 53:45
  Speaker 2: it seems to me like he's getting a little bit
• 53:46
  Speaker 2: unlucky man because he wasn't allowing that many hits so
• 53:50
  Speaker 2: and he wasn't obviously, like I said, he wasn't walking
• 53:52
  Speaker 2: a lot of guys, so what was he doing. I
• 53:54
  Speaker 2: don't know, man, I think he was getting a little
• 53:55
  Speaker 2: bit unlucky to some extent here. He's facing this weak
• 53:58
  Speaker 2: Colorado office, but actually has good numbers against him in
• 54:02
  Speaker 2: seventy five at bats fourteen to three strike a walk ratio.
• 54:05
  Speaker 2: Both starting pitchers, I think have that same ratio there.
• 54:09
  Speaker 2: But he's allowed seven home runs that are pretty small.
• 54:12
  Speaker 2: I mean, it's a small sample size for having allowed
• 54:14
  Speaker 2: seven home runs. Let's just put it that way. Seven
• 54:16
  Speaker 2: home runs and seventy five at bats is a lot
• 54:18
  Speaker 2: of home runs. So some of these hitters on the
• 54:21
  Speaker 2: Rockies hit Gallon pretty well. Montiac four for nine and
• 54:25
  Speaker 2: two of them runs off him. He's allowed of three
• 54:27
  Speaker 2: to zero seven average one thousand ops against the Rockies.
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: So I mean that's kind of crazy, man.
• 54:34
  Speaker 2: Both starting pitchers look like they get kind of beat
• 54:37
  Speaker 2: up here, man, against these offenses. So slightly into Colorado
• 54:43
  Speaker 2: if you want to play on this on the situation there,
• 54:45
  Speaker 2: but maybe first five inning, well I don't know, man,
• 54:48
  Speaker 2: because they're gonna be an embarrassed team, so they might
• 54:51
  Speaker 2: come out and just play. Maybe you do it full game,
• 54:53
  Speaker 2: taking the run line price, Arizona's up for minus two
• 54:56
  Speaker 2: fifteen to minus two twenty nine, though eighty percent of
• 54:58
  Speaker 2: tickets ninety two percent of the cash coming in Arizona.
• 55:00
  Speaker 2: I wouldn't want to lay a price like that with Arizona.
• 55:02
  Speaker 2: I mean, you're always getting charged to play any Rockies
• 55:05
  Speaker 2: opponent really at this point, but I think maybe the
• 55:09
  Speaker 2: better way to go with this game is the over
• 55:11
  Speaker 2: ninety eight percent of tickets nine to nine percent of
• 55:13
  Speaker 2: the cash coming on the over. The totals at nine,
• 55:16
  Speaker 2: I don't mind the over in that one man. Both
• 55:18
  Speaker 2: bullpens suck, even though I know they're rested. Both starting
• 55:22
  Speaker 2: pitchers have bad matchup numbers, and they're both pretty untrustworthy, so.
• 55:26
  Speaker 1: It over makes sense.
• 55:27
  Speaker 2: Tampa Seattle is gonna be the last play I actually
• 55:29
  Speaker 2: give out, so I'll do that in a second.
• 55:32
  Speaker 1: Toronto at the Dodgers.
• 55:34
  Speaker 2: Dodgers are staying at home off a kind of an
• 55:36
  Speaker 2: ugly series against Saint Louis. I think the Dodgers probably
• 55:39
  Speaker 2: have a little bit of a situation allege here. Yeah, obviously,
• 55:43
  Speaker 2: if you're playing the Dodgers, you're gonna be focused on them.
• 55:45
  Speaker 2: But Toronto's coming off that ridiculous series that I just
• 55:48
  Speaker 2: mentioned with forty five runs on sixty three hits.
• 55:51
  Speaker 1: Absolutely smoke in Colorado.
• 55:53
  Speaker 2: I mean, when you do that, you gotta be feeling
• 55:55
  Speaker 2: really high in yourselves, even if it was against a
• 55:57
  Speaker 2: historically bad Rocky team.
• 55:59
  Speaker 1: So it might be in a little bit of a
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: letdown spot.
• 56:02
  Speaker 2: They're having to travel out from elevation now out to
• 56:04
  Speaker 2: the Pacific coast, so the travel disadvantage is kind of
• 56:08
  Speaker 2: there for Toronto as well. Toronto has the better bullpen,
• 56:11
  Speaker 2: the Dodgers have the better hitting in this game. Starting
• 56:16
  Speaker 2: pitching matchup looks like we've traveled back in time here man,
• 56:19
  Speaker 2: to several years ago or more, because this is Max
• 56:23
  Speaker 2: Schurzer against Clayton Kershaw. This is crazy, man. So we
• 56:26
  Speaker 2: have two guys that are past their prime here that
• 56:28
  Speaker 2: were elite in their prime. Schurzer for Toronto is starting
• 56:32
  Speaker 2: to pitch pretty well recently. He's got a four point
• 56:34
  Speaker 2: three to nine ERA but a pretty good one point
• 56:37
  Speaker 2: zero five whips, so he's pitching a little bit better
• 56:39
  Speaker 2: than his era would suggest. He's only been slightly worse
• 56:42
  Speaker 2: on the road. His last two starts have been excellent
• 56:44
  Speaker 2: with sixteen strikeouts and no walks in thirteen innings, only
• 56:48
  Speaker 2: allowing eight hits, four and runs total.
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: The home run ball.
• 56:52
  Speaker 2: Has been a bit of an issue for him so far,
• 56:53
  Speaker 2: but his command has pretty much been there. He hasn't
• 56:56
  Speaker 2: allowed that many hits either. He's obviously, like I said,
• 57:00
  Speaker 2: he's not walking a lot of guys. He's got a
• 57:01
  Speaker 2: decent strikeout rate, So Schrezer is still pitching pretty effectively.
• 57:05
  Speaker 2: I think his numbers overall, like his peripherals and whatever,
• 57:08
  Speaker 2: actually better than Kershaw's, even though this year, even though
• 57:10
  Speaker 2: he's a little bit older, Kershaw trying to come back
• 57:12
  Speaker 2: from injury shures, are good numbers against the Dodgers in
• 57:16
  Speaker 2: his career to a huge one hundred and seventy one
• 57:18
  Speaker 2: at bat sample size, though fifty four to twenty six
• 57:20
  Speaker 2: string a walk ratio a little bit ify. The nine
• 57:23
  Speaker 2: home runs are a little bit ify al though seven
• 57:26
  Speaker 2: of them are confort To and Freeman, and Freeman doesn't
• 57:29
  Speaker 2: have a good batting average against him, only eleven for
• 57:32
  Speaker 2: fifty three. Conforto does hit him well, though twelve to
• 57:35
  Speaker 2: thirty nine five walks in there as well. Freeman as
• 57:37
  Speaker 2: eight of the walks, so those two guys do most
• 57:40
  Speaker 2: of the damage to Shurs. He seld them to a
• 57:42
  Speaker 2: two twenty two average. Seven fifty eight ops is a
• 57:44
  Speaker 2: little bit high. And yes, I know most of these
• 57:48
  Speaker 2: numbers were in the past when Sureser was better than
• 57:50
  Speaker 2: he is now, so you got to take them with
• 57:52
  Speaker 2: a little bit of a grain of salt there. But
• 57:54
  Speaker 2: Schures are in good recent for him. I do actually
• 57:56
  Speaker 2: think he might pitch okay in this game. Kershaw pitching
• 57:59
  Speaker 2: for the Dog. His numbers are decent this year three
• 58:02
  Speaker 2: point two ninety R, one point two to five WHIP.
• 58:04
  Speaker 2: He's been worse at home though, four point three five
• 58:07
  Speaker 2: ERA at home coming off a good start where he
• 58:10
  Speaker 2: shut out Tampa Bay for six innings, only struck out three.
• 58:14
  Speaker 2: So his strikeout rate really isn't there, man. Schurzers strikeout
• 58:18
  Speaker 2: rate is there, Kershaw's is not. So you can tell
• 58:21
  Speaker 2: Kershaw like he's actually in the worst form right now
• 58:24
  Speaker 2: than than shres are is. Man, I think you can
• 58:28
  Speaker 2: kind of tell Kershaw's injury has kind of affected him
• 58:30
  Speaker 2: because he's only struck out forty two and sixty five
• 58:32
  Speaker 2: and two thirds this season. Eighteen walks wouldn't be that bad,
• 58:36
  Speaker 2: but the strikeout rate is just way down for Kershaw.
• 58:39
  Speaker 2: He failed to go five innings in his prior two
• 58:41
  Speaker 2: starts prior to that Tampa one against pretty good lineups
• 58:44
  Speaker 2: in Milwaukee and Boston, and he was coming off pitching
• 58:47
  Speaker 2: in the All Star Game. But still, I mean, he's
• 58:49
  Speaker 2: definitely in the lesser form right now than shurres are
• 58:52
  Speaker 2: is Man, So I do think Shreser has the upper
• 58:55
  Speaker 2: hand in the starting pitching matchup Kershaw against Toronto. You know,
• 58:58
  Speaker 2: he obviously has good numbers because hes been good throughout
• 59:00
  Speaker 2: his career forty three at bats, fifteen to four strike
• 59:03
  Speaker 2: a walk ratio one to eighty six average allowed in
• 59:06
  Speaker 2: five to eighty one ops. So Kershaw is the more
• 59:09
  Speaker 2: unfamiliar of the two pitchers to these hitters, uh to
• 59:12
  Speaker 2: some extent, But he is in the worst form man.
• 59:15
  Speaker 2: So again, a lot of those stats that were looking
• 59:17
  Speaker 2: at the historical stats, most of them were before these
• 59:21
  Speaker 2: two pictures, are in the form that they are right now,
• 59:22
  Speaker 2: So I think recent form does matter more here. So
• 59:26
  Speaker 2: I would lean to Toronto earlier in this game, just
• 59:28
  Speaker 2: because I think Schrezer does have the upper hand in
• 59:31
  Speaker 2: the starting pitching matchup, and the money is agreeing with that.
• 59:34
  Speaker 2: Even though I think you know Toronto potentially could be
• 59:36
  Speaker 2: in a letdown spot of what they just did to Colorado,
• 59:38
  Speaker 2: but still they'll focus on the Dodgers. Dodgers down for
• 59:42
  Speaker 2: minus one fifty two to minus one thirty fifty eight
• 59:44
  Speaker 2: percent of the tickets eighty five percent of the cash
• 59:46
  Speaker 2: on Toronto's are a pretty strong read in the market
• 59:49
  Speaker 2: on Toronto on the side there, I would limit actually,
• 59:52
  Speaker 2: you know what, I would not.
• 59:53
  Speaker 1: Limit it to first five innings. What am I saying?
• 59:55
  Speaker 2: I would go full game on that because Toronto has
• 59:57
  Speaker 2: the better bullpen too, so I think Toronto does have
• 59:59
  Speaker 2: a pitching throughout this game. So yeah, I would agree
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 2: with that full game on Toronto as an underdog there,
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 2: you know, you're always paying a price for the Dodgers,
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 2: although the Toronto has been a pretty good team too,
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 2: and they do have a guy that has a lot
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 2: of name recognition on the mound for them too. Money
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 2: also coming in a little bit on the under down
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 2: from nine to nine juice to the under, seventy four
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets seventy on the over, seventy five percent
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 2: of the cash on the under though, so some somewhat
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 2: strong indicators in the under as well. If you went under,
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 2: I would go first five innings, and you're starting to
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 2: lose the key number nine on the full game. Two
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 2: first five innings, you can get it under.
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 1: Four four and a half.
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 2: Maybe both pitchers will do well in this uh in
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 2: this game, so that might be the lean in that game.
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 2: Washington at San Francisco. Both teams are traveling out to
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 2: the Pacific coast here. San Francisco was in New York
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 2: and then Pittsburgh, and out of their returning home, San Francisco
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 2: won both those series. They actually started playing a little
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 2: bit better again here, but they're returning over from a
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 2: road trip playing a bad team like Washington.
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 1: That's not really going to draw your focus.
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 2: San francis going to a little bit of a bad
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 2: spot for that reason. But Washington is traveling cross country
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 2: and they're gonna have to adjust to the time zone difference,
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 2: so that's a.
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 1: Little bit of an issue for them too.
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 2: Even though it is the first game of a road
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 2: trip and you usually our focus to start a road trip.
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 2: The travel spots not great for either team, but San
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 2: Francisco might have that added distraction of the return home spot.
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 2: Washington playing bad baseball, though recently really bad baseball. They've
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 2: lost seven of their last eight games or whatever. They
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 2: got one win in that recent series against the A's. Yeah,
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 2: I don't know if I have anything else to really
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 2: say about that. San Francisco obviously has the way better bullpen.
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 2: This is basically the best bullpen, one of the best
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 2: bullpens in baseball against one of the worst. Not the
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 2: best against the worst anymore, but a top three bullpen
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 2: against a bottom three bullpen. San Francisco is a big
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 2: bullpen edge here. I actually think San Francisco their offense,
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 2: even though they stink, they're actually not that much worse
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 2: than Washington. So Washington I would probably only give a
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 2: slight offensive edge in this game as well. Starting pitching
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 2: is tough to gauge, man, because I don't like either
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 2: of these guys. Jake Irvin pitching for Washington four point
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 2: eight to ninety RA one point three to three whip
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 2: not that good, five point zero six ROADYRA not good.
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 1: He's in bad on the road.
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 2: His last start wasn't good against Milwaukee five and runs
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 2: a lot of four innings, two walks, eight hits, two strikeouts.
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 1: That's not gonna cut it.
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 2: He had a good start against Minnesota the start before that,
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 2: but struggling against Cincinnati the start before that. Kind of
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 2: struggled in most of the recent starts prior to that.
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 2: So he's walking a lot of guys. He's not really
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 2: in good form. Man seventeen to thirteen strike a walk
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 2: ratios is the start of July. I don't really trust
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 2: Irvin here up against San Francisco, who's not a very
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 2: good lineup. He's been mediocre against them in fifty at
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 2: bats fourteen to two strike a walk ratio is good,
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 2: two sixty batting average and seven to twenty eight ops
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 2: though so.
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 1: Mediocre.
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 2: Numbers again against San Francisco. Not horrible, but not great either.
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 2: Kaiwai Tang is the listed started for San Francisco who
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 2: is a converted reliever. He's made one start so far.
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 2: I believe he's made only one appearance this year so far.
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 2: He hadn't appeared since last year, where he appeared in
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 2: all bullpen appearances last year. He's a young pitcher in
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 2: San Francisco. Does see something in this guy. I think
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 2: he has like kind of a diverse pitching arsenal, but
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 2: it has not worked out so far. His only appearance
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 2: this year start against the Mets was bad. He went
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 2: three and a third, allowed five or in runs, three
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 2: walks for strikeouts. I don't expect him to go deep
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 2: into this game. I expect him to probably be out
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 2: of this game by around the fourth inning again in
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 2: this one, because I just don't even know if he's
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 2: a guy that goes deep into games or not. At
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 2: this point, I have no idea Washington. Only two of
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 2: their hitters I've ever seen him before, and they're zero
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 2: for three Garcia and Young with no other stats at all.
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 2: But even so, I don't think we could really trust
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 2: k Tang here either, so I mean to me, even
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 2: though I know these are fairly weak offenses. To me,
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 2: I don't like these pitchers at all. So I'm thinking
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 2: an over could make sense here. I have one really
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 2: bad bullpen out of the two as well. The San
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 2: Francisco's bullpend could hurt your over a little bit. What
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 2: is the money saying on this? Oh, it looks like
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 2: San Francisco's undecided now, so I don't even know what
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 2: I would want to do in this game. It looks
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 2: like it might not be tanged now, so it's probably
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 2: gonna be a bullpend game for San Francisco, but at
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 2: least their bullpen is rested because again, all these games
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 2: that I just talked about, for the most part, these
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 2: teams didn't play yesterday. Except oh, actually, my mistake. I
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 2: gotta pay attention to this. Seattle played yesterday. Oh actually, crap,
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 2: that's gonna affect my my handicap on the Seattle Tampa
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 2: Bay game, isn't it. So hold on a second. So
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 2: we're gonna have to figure that out in this game.
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 2: We actually need to look at the bullpen usage. Washington
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 2: pitched yesterday. They actually used four relief pitchers yesterday, so
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 2: their bullpend definitely at a disadvantage here. San Francisco didn't
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 2: play yesterday, so there was a rest edge on the
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 2: side of San Francisco here too, so that.
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 1: Makes it a little bit more extreme.
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 2: So yeah, I would not want to look to the
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 2: Washington side, even though again San Francisco is returning from
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 2: a road trip.
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 1: San Francisco has the rest edge.
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 2: Tampa Bay has the rest edge over Seattle, which I'll
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 2: talk about in the Minica. Seattle also did play yesterday.
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 2: The White Sox played yesterday and Cleveland did not, So
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 2: that's another issue.
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: If you want to.
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 2: Like I said, I leaned to the White Sox first
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 2: five innings, but they played yesterday and Cleveland did not,
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 2: so that's another disadvantage for.
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 1: The White Sox there.
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 2: And then the other team that played yesterday is the A's,
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 2: So I'm sorry, man, I can't believe I forgot to
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 2: point that out. So the AA's actually have a rest
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 2: disadvantage against Baltimore as well. I mentioned that I kind
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 2: of leaned to the A's first five innings, but that
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 2: is another good reason to maybe stay off of that
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 2: because Baltimore does at least have a rest edge there.
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 1: All right, let's get into my place here.
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 2: The first one up is Miami in the first five
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 2: innings against the Braves. I know the Braves came to
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 2: play yesterday and they actually overcame an early deficit in
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 2: that game. And I was right about Miami first five yesterday,
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 2: and this game kind of looks similar to.
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 1: Me in this one.
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 2: Oh sorry, actually I forgot best bats. I apologize anyway. Miami, Yeah,
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 2: they did get their first five yesterday, which is a
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 2: lean I gave out on the show yesterday. And then
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 2: surprisingly in Miami blew it late because I actually like
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 2: I like Miami's bullpen a little bit better than Atlanta's
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 2: at this point, probably.
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 1: Although Atlanta.
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 2: Used fewer relievers yesterday, so Miami used more of their relievers.
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 2: So that is part of the reason why I'm going
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 2: to leave the bullpen's out of the equation. You're actually
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 2: Atlanta does have the better bullpen at this point, although
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 2: their bullpen e ray is really high though, So if
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 2: you look at ERA, it looks like, well, Miami kind
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 2: of has the better bullpen out of the two, but
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 2: if you look at Whip, Miami is the worst of
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 2: the two bullpens, so it's kind of hard to gauge.
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 2: I think Whip maybe is a better gauge actually, so
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 2: I kind of take that back. That's why I'm going
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 2: first five innings here. Miami has the less rested bullpen
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 2: and the slightly worse bullpen, so I'll take them out
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 2: of the equation. I actually think at this point Miami
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 2: has the better offense over Atlanta, But this is really
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 2: all about the starting pitching match up here. Man, I
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 2: think this is a starting pitching mismatch here and again Atlanta,
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 2: they've been playing like a team that knows that they're
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 2: out of it. Man, I mean, I know they won yesterday,
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 2: they've won some games in there, but they're playing some
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 2: pretty poor baseball here, man, so I don't really trust
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 2: them Miami. I know Miami's record, they're worse than the
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 2: record looks, and I know Atlanta is not as bad
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 2: as the record looks. But this late in the season,
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 2: you gotta look at motivation. Atlanta really doesn't have any left.
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 2: They look like a very unmotivated team for the most part,
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 2: even though they did come back and win yesterday. I
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 2: don't know if Miami is gonna be, you know, kind
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 2: of like if Miami's mental situation coming into this game
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 2: after blowing the game yesterday, if they're gonna be like
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 2: unfocused or anything like that. I don't think that will
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 2: happen because Miami was actually favored in the game yesterday,
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 2: so it's not like they almost pulled off some major
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 2: upset or anything like that. It's just crazy that Miami
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 2: is the team that's playing the better baseball this year
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 2: over Atlanta and they have like a double digit lead
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 2: I think in the record record wise over Atlanta in
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 2: the division, which is just insane. But in this spot, yeah,
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 2: I like the starting pitching matchup from Miami here man
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 2: Edward Cabrer. He's pitching well. Three point two to four R,
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 2: one point one to nine WHIP. He's not as good
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 2: as Uri Perez, but he's pitching well. They both strike
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 2: out a lot of guys. He's been a little bit
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 2: worse on the road, but three point eight niney ra
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 2: is still not that bad and it's a smaller sample
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 2: size on the road.
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 1: Last few starts, he's actually been quite good.
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 2: Strikeout rate's been really high month of July twenty seven
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 2: to four strike at walk ratio, and if you add
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 2: in his most recent start against the.
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 1: Yankees, of all teams.
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 2: His strike out walk ratio over the last six starts
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 2: is thirty four to five. So he's been striking out
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 2: a lot of guys, not walking a lot of guys.
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 2: His command is really good right now. He's allowed one
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 2: on and run a piece in three straight starts, including
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 2: that one against the Yankees where he two hit them.
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 2: So he's pitching well and he's doing it against some
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 2: decent teams in the mix there too, So Cabrera is
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 2: definitely pitching well. He did have one bad start against
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 2: Baltimore in the mix there, but all the other starts
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 2: he allowed two or fewer runs going all the way
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 2: back to mid May, and he's allowed more than four
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 2: in run.
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 1: He didn't allow more than four. He didn't allow more.
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 2: Than three runs in any other start going all the
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 2: way back to April twenty eighth. So he's having a
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 2: really good season overall. And against Atlanta he's pretty much
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 2: held them down. In thirty four at best, thirteen to
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 2: five straight walk race here two thirty five average a
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 2: lot seven to forty five ops, so just getting a
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 2: little bit high.
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 1: But it's still not that high.
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 2: Murphy does have a home run off him, that's his
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 2: only hit off him, and Akuna has heard again, I believe,
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 2: so that weakens Atlanta's offense a bit there. He's not
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 2: listed in that sheet there, which I believe means he's
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 2: not active. Bryce Elder is pitching for Atlanta. This guy,
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 2: he's been awful, dude, six point zero three ERA one
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 2: point five to six. And I know we said Cabrera
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 2: is kind of in the worst of his splits, but
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 2: look at Bryce Elder. He has a six point five
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 2: to four homeyra, so he's also in the worst of
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 2: his splits, and he's worse. Overall, he's been miserable pretty
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 2: much the entire season. Over the past month plus, he's
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 2: had a twenty one to thirteen strike a walk ratio
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 2: going back to the beginning of July, which is not good. Yes,
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 2: he pitched better last time out against Cincinnati, surprisingly holding
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 2: them to tour in runs in six to two thirds,
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 2: five strikeouts, two walks. I'm not ready to say that
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 2: he's bouncing back right and they were coming back into
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 2: four because he did have a similar decent start at
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 2: the A's Stadium.
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 1: So it's like he's.
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 2: Pitching well in these hitter friendly ballparks for whatever reason.
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 2: But then he's and those are on the road too,
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 2: and then he's coming back home and he's blowing. He
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 2: was bad against Anaheim, against San Francisco. These recent home starts,
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 2: he's been bad. He had one really bad roads to
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 2: start against Texas in the mix there too. He's just
• 1:10:37
  Speaker 2: not pitching well, man. I mean, there's nothing else to
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 2: really say about it. He's allowing a lot of runs,
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 2: a lot of base runners. His numbers against Miami are
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 2: bad too, and twenty three at bats. I know it's
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 2: not a big sample size three ninety one average nine
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 2: thirty eight.
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 1: Ops.
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 2: So we're gonna fade Elder here. Cabrera is the way
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 2: better of the two pitchers. I just look at this
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 2: starting pitching matchup and I'm like, you gotta go with
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 2: Miami here. The money was coming in on Miami early.
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 2: They're out for minus one oh two to minus one
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 2: twenty six now, but eighty four percent of tickets, only
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 2: seventy seven percent of the cash. It looks like it's
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 2: another situation where the professional money is coming in on Atlanta.
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 1: Just again, I think.
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 2: Saying, well, the records are misleading here in Miami is
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 2: not as good as.
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 1: The record looks, and Atlanta's not as bad as the
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 1: record looks.
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 2: And yes, I understand all that, and I guess that's
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 2: why the professionals are coming back and taking Atlanta at
• 1:11:22
  Speaker 2: the bigger underdog price. But again, I don't agree with it,
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 2: and I'm limiting it, limiting it to just the first
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 2: five innings here, and I'm going run line on it
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 2: because the favorite price was too a little bit too high,
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 2: like I saw it minus one thirty five on the
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 2: money line. On the money line, I mean, if you
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 2: want to do that, that's okay too. If you want
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 2: to go Miami first five money line minus one thirty five.
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 2: You can do that, and then if they wind up
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 2: in a tide game after five, your bet will push.
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 2: We need Miami to be winning after five. But I'm
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 2: still gonna go with it minus a half run. You
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 2: can get at a cheaper price at plus one of five.
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 2: So that's play number one here. Let's try to get
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 2: through this because I'm still gonna talk NFL preseason, but
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna make that quick.
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 1: Next up is gonna be a total. I have two
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 1: totals and two sides here, Kansas City.
• 1:12:05
  Speaker 2: Here you go, Zach Royals, twins under the total, and
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 2: the market is completely disagree with me on this.
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 1: It's up from seven and a half to eight, like
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 1: significantly juiced to the over.
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 2: So I think you can get you might be able
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 2: to get under nine on this man. At that point, Yeah,
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 2: I think we're going We're gonna go under here. Man,
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 2: fifty percent of tickets are on the under, but seventy
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 2: three percent of the.
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 1: Cash on the over.
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 2: I don't understand this, man, because you have two pretty
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 2: weak offenses. For the most part of Minnesota's is better
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 2: than Kansas City's. Kansas City is a very bad offense.
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 2: Minnesota's is mediocre, but remember they did sell off a
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 2: little bit at the trade deadline. Yes, I know Minnesota's
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 2: sold some of their bullpen off as well. Their bullpen
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 2: is bad, Kansas City's bullpen is decent, but still we
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 2: have rested bullpens. So that's part of this handicap. Not
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 2: great offenses rested bullpens. Because neither team played yesterday, Minnesota's
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 2: kind of in a little bit of a letdown spot
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 2: because they did just beat Detroit a couple of times,
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 2: and they're returning home from a road trip, which can
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 2: affect the offensive timing as well. Man, when you come
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 2: home somewhat of a distracted spot. Even though I know
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 2: it's Kansas City who's ahead of them in the division,
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 2: so they might want to try.
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 1: To spoil Kansas City season.
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 2: But even so, it is still a return home spot
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 2: for kind of a deflated Minnesota team, So I think
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 2: that their hitting might be a little bit distracted and
• 1:13:18
  Speaker 2: affected by that. Kansas City is in the better spot
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 2: for that reason. They're traveling in for Boston, but they're
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 2: kind of on this long road trip, man, so the
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 2: hitting might be a little bit weakened for that reason too, right,
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 2: because they can get a little.
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 1: Bit tired out throughout this road trip, so that's part
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 1: of the handicap as well.
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 2: I would agree with the Kansas City side slightly as well.
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 2: We see seventy seven percent of take a seventy nine
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash taking.
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 1: Kansas City.
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 2: They do have the better bullpend. I know Minnesota is
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 2: a better offense, but kans City has a better bullpan. Minnesota,
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 2: I think does have the better start of though Minnesota
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 2: down for minus one thirty to minus one twenty nine here, Zach, Yeah,
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 2: that's right. So I do agree with Kansas City on
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 2: the side slightly, but I prefer the under here man,
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 2: if you can get under nine. I know I'm going
• 1:13:59
  Speaker 2: against them market read here, but that's all the better man,
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 2: because I just don't I really just don't see it
• 1:14:05
  Speaker 2: as far as like, why would you be why would
• 1:14:07
  Speaker 2: be playing an over in this game?
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 1: Maybe wind is blowing out. I guess we should look
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 1: at look at the weather real quick. Here.
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 2: Again, I'm not actually gonna bet these because I am
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 2: trying to conserve my money right now and be less
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 2: risky as I'm pointing out, But I am handicapping these
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 2: as if I was going to bet them. Let's look
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 2: at the It's gonna be ninety degrees, so I know
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 2: that that does mean and the wind is blowing side
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 2: to side, right to left, so I don't know if
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 2: that really helps the hitting that much. In Minnesota, I'm
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 2: not really sure about that it's gonna be hot, which
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 2: I know that does.
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 1: When it's hot, it.
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 2: Is more conducive to an over, but the wind is
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 2: not blowing out and the starting pitching we have two
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 2: pretty good pictures on them on here man Seth Lugo. Again,
• 1:14:45
  Speaker 2: I know the analytics guys don't like him. Three point
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 2: oh sixty RA one point one five whip. The advanced
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 2: analytics guys don't like him. Yeah, he's slightly worse on
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 2: the road, but still three point four to seventy ray
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 2: is good.
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 1: Yeah. I know he's been shaky.
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 2: Over his last couple starts with the Kansas City's one
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 2: five of his last six starts, six of his last
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 2: seven actually, so.
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 1: He's holding them in games.
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 2: He's only allowed more than three on runs once over
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 2: that span, going all the way back to the end
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 2: of May, so he's holding opposing offenses in check Man.
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 2: He struggled with wildness a little bit over the last
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 2: couple of starts, walking eight and only striking out eight.
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 2: So yeah, I'm a little bit worried that his form
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 2: isn't the best right now. One was against the Braves.
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 2: One was against Toronto on the road. Toronto, pretty difficult
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 2: a line up to be facing there, and he didn't
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 2: make it five innings in that start. But overall, Logo
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 2: has still been pretty good, man. I mean, his strike
• 1:15:35
  Speaker 2: out walk ratio on the season is still pretty good.
• 1:15:37
  Speaker 2: He just normally doesn't walk a lot of guys, normally
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 2: doesn't allow a lot of hits. So I'm not ready
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 2: to say that he's like so out of form that
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 2: we're gonna completely lose him. Here against Minnesota and thirty
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 2: seven at bats, thirteen to five strike out walk ratio
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 2: is okay.
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 1: Two forty three average is good.
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 2: Seven ninety three oh ps is a little bit high,
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 2: but it's because two home runs from Vazkez are in there. Man,
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 2: if you take Vazquez out, I mean, it's pretty easy
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 2: to pitch around one hitter without him, and there Lugo
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 2: does have really good numbers against Minnesota, So I think
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 2: Lugo should do fine here. Joe Ryan, I mean, he's
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 2: been really good all year two point eight three ERA,
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 2: point nine to three whip.
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 1: He's pitching really well.
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 2: He is slightly worse at home, but still at three
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 2: point one three ERA is not something well I'm gonna say, oh,
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 2: he's terrible at home. He struggled a little bit kind
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 2: of around the All Star Game. He had one bad
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 2: start a couple of starts after he pitching the All
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 2: Star Game. He struggled against Washington for whatever reason. But
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 2: he pretty much bounced right back, and I was a
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 2: little bit worried because I'm like, well, what's Ryan's mental
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 2: state gonna be? I still went with the under in
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 2: his last start against Cleveland. It was a winner, so
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 2: he did get the win on that one, but he
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 2: pitched well. Because I was worried, I'm like, well, is
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 2: he gonna just be unfocused for the rest of the
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 2: season because they're not going anywhere because he didn't get
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 2: traded to a contender, or is he gonna, like, you know,
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 2: because that distraction isn't there anymore.
• 1:16:51
  Speaker 1: Now he knows he's gonna be.
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 2: On Minnesota for the rest of the year, he can
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 2: just focus on pitching for them and you know, pitching
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 2: for the remainder of the season. And I think it's
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 2: the ladder because he pitched well in that game against
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 2: Cleveland's six innings to earn runs, four strikeouts, one walk. Overall,
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 2: he's been really, really good for the most part. So
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 2: I mean, aside from that four and run before it's
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 2: against Washington, you have to go all the way back
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 2: to April to find any other start where he allowed
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 2: more than three runs.
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 1: So Ryan is pitching well.
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 2: He's going up against Kansas City here again in a
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 2: weak Kansas City offense, and he's pretty much held them down.
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 2: They've seen a lot of them one hundred and sixteen
• 1:17:26
  Speaker 2: at bats, so they are familiar with them. That still
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 2: hasn't helped them twenty four to five string a walker
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 2: as your won seventy two batting average five hundred oh
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 2: ps against Kansas City. So I do give Ryan the
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 2: edge of the starting pitching matchup. I think full game
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 2: starts to tilt towards Kansas City a little bit because
• 1:17:41
  Speaker 2: of the situation and.
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 1: Their bullpen edge.
• 1:17:44
  Speaker 2: But again I'm going under in this game, and I
• 1:17:46
  Speaker 2: think both starting pitchers do have the upper hand here,
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 2: the bullpends are at least rested. If you wanted to
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 2: go first five under and just focused on the starting
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 2: pitching matchup, I think you can do that as well.
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 2: But that's gonna be an under, and you might be
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 2: able to get it under nine, man, So I'll update
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 2: that if I can find it under nine right now,
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 2: I'll update that next up. It takes a while, and
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 2: I hate the fact that I have four plays. I'm
• 1:18:06
  Speaker 2: gonna have to put them all out on Instagram.
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 1: Fuck. Man, it's like a job and I don't get
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 1: paid for it.
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 2: Isn't that awesome? I should just bet against that I
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 2: at least do get paid for it, or find some
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 2: way to monetize all of this. Get me up to
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 2: five hundred subscribers. Man, Cubs, I'm gonna make a play
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 2: on the Cubs here, man, run line minus one and
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 2: a half at plus one fifteen.
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 1: I think the money line's kind of gotten away from us.
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 2: You gotta layle like minus one fifty minus one sixty
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 2: on the Cubs, But I just think they have too
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 2: much of an advantage here man, and the market's disagreeing.
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 2: Though seventy two percent of tickets, only seventy one percent
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 2: of the cash. The Cubs are down for minus one
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 2: fifty to minus one forty eight. I mean, if you
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 2: do want to play in the money line, you can
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 2: go ahead and do that. The money's coming into the
• 1:18:45
  Speaker 2: under in this game as well, fifty four percent of
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 2: tickets eighty one percent of the cash on the under.
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 2: But I'm focusing on the side here, man, because I
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 2: think the Cubs have just an edge across the board here.
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 2: They have a I believe they have a situational edge,
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 2: a starting pitching edge, a bulpen edge, the better bullpend here,
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 2: and they have the better offense too, So it's like it,
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 2: I mean, it just seems like you gotta do it.
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 2: You gotta play the Cubs here, even though I know
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 2: Saint Louis it's a big series for them because obviously
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 2: they're gonna be focused on the Cubs that are ahead
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 2: of them. But the Cubs need to show up too
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 2: because they're in a battle here right now. They need
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 2: to catch back up to Milwaukee and whatever. So I
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 2: think this is a big matchup.
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 2: Saint Louis is returning home for beating the Dodgers, so
• 1:19:24
  Speaker 2: they're returning over to the Pacific coast, which again shifting
• 1:19:27
  Speaker 2: time zones, it could be a distracted spot. You have
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 2: to get back home, So it's the dreaded return home
• 1:19:32
  Speaker 2: spot for Saint Louis. They're coming off beating the Dodgers,
• 1:19:35
  Speaker 2: so it could be a little bit of a letdown
• 1:19:36
  Speaker 2: spot and they have to try to with all those
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 2: distractions coming in, They have to try to maintain that
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 2: amount of effort this whole time coming into this game
• 1:19:43
  Speaker 2: against the Cubs. So that doesn't look good to me either.
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 2: The Cubs are starting a road trip and just going
• 1:19:48
  Speaker 2: to Saint Louis from Chicago, so the Cubs have a
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 2: much easier travel spot, very short travel and they just
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 2: broke a low street with the winner of the Cincinnati
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 2: Reds and not a very good series for the Cubs
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 2: against the Reds. So I think they're in a better
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 2: spot where they're certainly going to be focused here after
• 1:20:03
  Speaker 2: playing some pretty bad baseball fairly recently.
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 1: So I think the Cubs have the edge of the
• 1:20:08
  Speaker 1: situation here.
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 2: Again, they have the better bullpend, they have the better hitting,
• 1:20:13
  Speaker 2: and I like to start a pitching matchup a lot here.
• 1:20:15
  Speaker 2: Matthew Boyd has been dominant for the Cubs and I
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 2: know you have to pay a price for the Cubs
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 2: here because it is Boyd.
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 1: But two point three four ERA one point zero three
• 1:20:23
  Speaker 1: whip on the season.
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 2: Yeah, he's a little bit worse on the road two
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 2: point nine to sevn RA, but that's still really good.
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 2: He's been almost completely dominant recently, aside from one bad
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 2: start at Milwaukee that is a very good hitting team,
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 2: which I was surprised by that. I got caught with
• 1:20:38
  Speaker 2: an under in that game, which didn't work out for me,
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 2: so that was unfortunate. Aside from that start, the other
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 2: four of his last five starts were all shutouts. He
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 2: allowed no earned runs in any of them, and he
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 2: had a what is it, a's seventeen. I'm trying to
• 1:20:53
  Speaker 2: do the math here real quick. He had a twenty
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 2: nine to three strikeout walk or twenty nine nine to
• 1:21:00
  Speaker 2: two strikeout walk ratio over that span.
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 1: It's just crazy, man. He's been completely dominant.
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 2: Other than that one bad start against Milwaukee, has an
• 1:21:08
  Speaker 2: allowed more than two urn runs going all the way
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 2: back to May.
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 1: So yeah, he's completely dominating.
• 1:21:14
  Speaker 2: He faced Saint Louis recently twice and completely dominated them.
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 1: He shut them out twice in late June in and early.
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 2: In in early July, he completely dominated them for a
• 1:21:26
  Speaker 2: combined eleven innings, allowing six hits, no iron runs, twelve
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 2: strikeouts in one walk. So he absolutely dominated Saint Louis
• 1:21:33
  Speaker 2: twice second time out. It didn't even matter that Saint
• 1:21:35
  Speaker 2: Louis had just seen him. They still didn't really do
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 2: anything against him. So he dominates Saint Louis. And then
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 2: if you look at his numbers against Saint Louis.
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 1: Fifty six at bats, nineteen to.
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 2: Five, strike out walker ratio one forty three average allowed
• 1:21:47
  Speaker 2: for sixty three ops a lot, he has absolutely wrecked
• 1:21:51
  Speaker 2: Saint Louis.
• 1:21:51
  Speaker 1: He's dominated them.
• 1:21:53
  Speaker 2: And then he's up against McGreevy, who did have numbers
• 1:21:56
  Speaker 2: that I kind of liked when I was looking at him.
• 1:21:57
  Speaker 2: He's a young guy with I think some talent. He's
• 1:22:00
  Speaker 2: really started to pitch poorly. Five point EIGHTRA one point
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 2: two to three whip isn't that bad, but he's really
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 2: starting to struggle, and you want to talk about significant splits.
• 1:22:09
  Speaker 1: He's been way worse at home. I know it's a
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 1: small sample size, but six point eight sixty RA at home.
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 1: He's not getting it done at home.
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 2: He just pitched against San Diego twice and a lot
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 2: of eleven earned runs in ten and two thirds innings,
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 2: which is not a good sign, and allowed sixteen hits
• 1:22:23
  Speaker 2: over that span and only had a six to three
• 1:22:25
  Speaker 2: strike a walk ratiow. So he's not striking guys out.
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 2: He's not pitching well, not pitching well recently. He did
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 2: have one start against the Cubs this season, too, and
• 1:22:34
  Speaker 2: the Cubs dealt in one of his worst starts of
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 2: the season of his career. His second worst start was
• 1:22:41
  Speaker 2: here in the stadium. His two worst starts are both
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 2: in the stadium against San Diego and against this Cub
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 2: team four and two thirds innings. The Cubs smacked him
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 2: for seven hits, five and runs, only one strikeout in
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 2: one walk. So he got blasted by the Cubs. Cubs
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 2: hit him well, and of course that does mean the
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 2: Cubs have good numbers against him. In twenty three at
• 1:22:59
  Speaker 2: bad it's three forty eight average, eight fifty three ohbs,
• 1:23:02
  Speaker 2: one to one starting a walk ratio. I know it's
• 1:23:05
  Speaker 2: basically only one start, it's a small sample size, but
• 1:23:08
  Speaker 2: I think you gotta you gotta go with the Cubs there.
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 2: I think it's too much of an advantage for the
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 2: Cubs there. Man, it looks like they have just a
• 1:23:14
  Speaker 2: super super edge in that game. So I don't like
• 1:23:18
  Speaker 2: going on these public road favorites though. Man, I'm almost
• 1:23:21
  Speaker 2: never gonna do it when the money is like disagreeing
• 1:23:24
  Speaker 2: with you and going against you. Maybe the money is
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 2: just disagreeing with it because of the price, man, But
• 1:23:29
  Speaker 2: I think if you go with the run line, you
• 1:23:30
  Speaker 2: get a better price on it. But you do need
• 1:23:32
  Speaker 2: the Cubs to win by margin and dominate the game,
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 2: which hopefully will happen, and then Tampa Seattle. As I
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 2: did point out, Seattle did play yesterday, so I forgot
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 2: about that, but they're not traveling. They did go into
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 2: extra innings. It's a little bit of an issue because
• 1:23:45
  Speaker 2: I am gonna go with an under in this game.
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 2: But now that I'm thinking about it, I think we
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 2: might want to convert this to a first five inning under.
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 2: Hold on a minute, I wasn't thinking about this. I
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 2: handicapped this really quick. Seattle used all but one of
• 1:23:56
  Speaker 2: their relief pitchers, so I am worried about that. So
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 2: if you want to fade Seattle in this game, there
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 2: is something to that where the money is heavily coming
• 1:24:04
  Speaker 2: in on Tampa Seattle seventy one percent tickets on them,
• 1:24:06
  Speaker 2: sixty eight percent of the cash coming in on camp bus.
• 1:24:09
  Speaker 2: So the money is significantly coming in on Tampa Seattle
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 2: down for minus one thirty five to minus one seventeen.
• 1:24:14
  Speaker 1: So I do agree with that full game.
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 2: I think Tampa has a big time bullpen edge because
• 1:24:19
  Speaker 2: their bullpend isn't that much worse than Seattle's, although I
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 2: do think Seattle, I mean, Seattle does have the better hitting,
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 2: probably does have the better bullpend, but the bullpen is
• 1:24:27
  Speaker 2: completely unrested. So I'm gonna hold on a minute. I
• 1:24:31
  Speaker 2: might have to not play this game, actually, so hold on.
• 1:24:33
  Speaker 2: My apologies if that's the case, because I like the
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 2: under in this game.
• 1:24:37
  Speaker 1: But if we have to.
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 2: Go first five innings here, I was thinking both teams
• 1:24:40
  Speaker 2: were were rested, but Seattle played yesterday. Boy did they
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 2: not rest their bullpen. Let me see what's the best
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 2: we can get on the first five. Uh, you can
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 2: go under four at minus one fifteen, which I see
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 2: out there at bet MGM. MGM always lags behind. Man,
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 2: do I want to still give you that play?
• 1:25:03
  Speaker 1: Hmmm? I don't know.
• 1:25:07
  Speaker 2: I mean I kinda do because the fact that Seattle
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 2: UH did play yesterday doesn't mean that their bats could
• 1:25:12
  Speaker 2: be a little bit tired early on in the game.
• 1:25:17
  Speaker 2: I'm tempted to do it, but you you have to
• 1:25:19
  Speaker 2: really like look to try to find that number of
• 1:25:21
  Speaker 2: under four man. Should I give it out as a play? Yeah,
• 1:25:26
  Speaker 2: why not?
• 1:25:27
  Speaker 1: Let's do it. It is out there.
• 1:25:29
  Speaker 2: So hopefully you guys have like a book that lags
• 1:25:31
  Speaker 2: like that, because otherwise I would go up to about
• 1:25:33
  Speaker 2: minus one twenty on that, and otherwise I would probably
• 1:25:35
  Speaker 2: pass on that one. But so it's you know, it's
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 2: contingent on you finding a number on that that's good enough.
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 2: But I'm gonna go under four Tampa Bay Seattle first
• 1:25:44
  Speaker 2: five innings. That's what I'm gonna do because I like
• 1:25:46
  Speaker 2: the starting pitching matchup. The money is still coming in
• 1:25:48
  Speaker 2: on the under. It's a low total. I mean, Seattle
• 1:25:50
  Speaker 2: pitching front of the parker. We have fifty tickets ninety
• 1:25:52
  Speaker 2: three percent of the cash on the under. I like
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 2: the starting pitching matchup here for the under man, we
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 2: got Rasmussen pitching for Tampa Bay.
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 2: Again, Tampa does have the rest edge here. They are
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 2: traveling in but They're only traveling up the Pacific coast
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 2: from Anaheim, so they're already.
• 1:26:07
  Speaker 1: Adjusted to the time zone.
• 1:26:09
  Speaker 2: So that is another indicator that maybe Tampa is a
• 1:26:11
  Speaker 2: decent way to look on the side in this game
• 1:26:13
  Speaker 2: full game, though, I would play them full game at
• 1:26:15
  Speaker 2: Rasmusen has been Tampa's best starter this year two point
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 2: eight one ERA, one point.
• 1:26:20
  Speaker 1: Oh two whip.
• 1:26:20
  Speaker 2: They've been limiting his pitchcount, though he's a little bit
• 1:26:22
  Speaker 2: worse on the road three point three four ERA. Still
• 1:26:25
  Speaker 2: not bad though, coming off a shutout for five and
• 1:26:29
  Speaker 2: a third against the Dodgers, that's a pretty good sign.
• 1:26:31
  Speaker 2: He had a decent start at the start before that
• 1:26:33
  Speaker 2: against the Yankees going into the All Star break. He
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 2: pitched in the All Star Game, they were limiting his
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 2: pitch count, and then those think they're still limiting his
• 1:26:39
  Speaker 2: pitchcount a little bit. They're pretty much letting him go
• 1:26:42
  Speaker 2: five innings in every game at this point, but that's
• 1:26:44
  Speaker 2: all we need when it's a first five inning play man,
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 2: so them limiting his pitchcount a little bit won't really
• 1:26:51
  Speaker 2: matter here. He is pitching well over that span. Tampa
• 1:26:54
  Speaker 2: has actually won four of his last five starts too,
• 1:26:57
  Speaker 2: so if you want to look at it that way.
• 1:26:58
  Speaker 2: Tampa is winning behind him quite a as well, so
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 2: that's pretty good as well. What else was I gonna
• 1:27:03
  Speaker 2: say here? He has an alum with a tour in runs,
• 1:27:06
  Speaker 2: and then he started going all the way back through
• 1:27:07
  Speaker 2: the beginning of July. And again it's a good sign
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 2: that his last two starts were both pretty good against
• 1:27:12
  Speaker 2: hard hitting Yankee and Dodger lineups. And again they're ramping
• 1:27:16
  Speaker 2: up his pitch kind a little bit. But what I
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 2: was gonna say is he's really efficient with his pitches too,
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 2: Like he makes it through five innings usually only throwing
• 1:27:22
  Speaker 2: around eighty pitches too, so that means he's not worn out,
• 1:27:25
  Speaker 2: like he's not burned out by throwing too many pitches.
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 2: His numbers are pretty good against Seattle in thirty seven
• 1:27:30
  Speaker 2: at bats, sixteen to two strike a walk, RACEIO two
• 1:27:32
  Speaker 2: seventy average, but they haven't really hit him for power
• 1:27:35
  Speaker 2: six eighty six ops, so he's been pretty good against them.
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 2: Luis Castillo for Seattle is pitching well as well. Three
• 1:27:42
  Speaker 2: point two to two ERA, one point two to one whip.
• 1:27:45
  Speaker 2: He's been really good at home two point four e
• 1:27:47
  Speaker 2: R at home, so his home road splits are good.
• 1:27:49
  Speaker 2: He's coming off an like an ugly start against Texas
• 1:27:52
  Speaker 2: where he didn't even make it five innings. He threw
• 1:27:54
  Speaker 2: too many pitches, but he held them in check a
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 2: little bit only along tour in runs one strike a
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 2: walk ratio. I'm not ready to say the Castillo's in
• 1:28:03
  Speaker 2: bad form or anything like that, because over on the
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 2: month of July his team won a bunch of his starts.
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 2: His team had gone on a run where they had
• 1:28:10
  Speaker 2: won six of his seven stars. They've still won six
• 1:28:14
  Speaker 2: of his last eight starts. He had a thirty two
• 1:28:16
  Speaker 2: to four strike a walk ratio in July two point
• 1:28:19
  Speaker 2: zero five yr range July. So he is still pitching
• 1:28:21
  Speaker 2: well in my opinion, and he has good numbers against
• 1:28:23
  Speaker 2: Tampa for the most part. Sixty five at bats, twenty
• 1:28:26
  Speaker 2: three to five strike a walk raceio, two to fifteen
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 2: batting average allowed, still a pretty low seven to two
• 1:28:31
  Speaker 2: o ps, even though it's I guess a little bit
• 1:28:33
  Speaker 2: high because they do have three home runs off him
• 1:28:35
  Speaker 2: from Diez fourtes and low. But other than that, uh
• 1:28:39
  Speaker 2: under is gonna be the play in that one. My
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 2: mistake there it is up there again. Tampa Seattle first
• 1:28:43
  Speaker 2: five under in the first five innings, and now it's
• 1:28:46
  Speaker 2: like close it out by going to the NFL.
• 1:28:49
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:28:49
  Speaker 2: So the NFL again, similar to what I said yesterday,
• 1:28:53
  Speaker 2: and the preseason, these lines just go crazy, man, Like
• 1:28:55
  Speaker 2: you really have to get these numbers before they start
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 2: going out of control here, man, because these lines move
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 2: insanely in preseason once the word comes out like oh,
• 1:29:05
  Speaker 2: this team is gonna be playing their starting quarterback now,
• 1:29:07
  Speaker 2: and I think the line.
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 1: Over adjusts to it too. Like you saw yesterday, those.
• 1:29:11
  Speaker 2: Teams didn't even cover the numbers yesterday, but they did
• 1:29:15
  Speaker 2: still score a lot. So I think that's maybe the
• 1:29:17
  Speaker 2: way you want to focus on this is by looking
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 2: at the team totals again in these games, because these
• 1:29:21
  Speaker 2: teams that are starting their starting quarterbacks should mean that
• 1:29:24
  Speaker 2: they're gonna have a potential to score more. And then
• 1:29:27
  Speaker 2: you don't even have to worry about whatever the hell
• 1:29:28
  Speaker 2: their deepense does or the fact that their quarterback is
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 2: gonna be out of the game at some point, because
• 1:29:33
  Speaker 2: you're still getting a low total on these preseason games.
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 2: I mean they're all in the thirties, so that means
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 2: that your team total, even with the favorite, is probably
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 2: still only gonna be like twenty or maybe even less.
• 1:29:43
  Speaker 1: So I think it is the way to look on
• 1:29:46
  Speaker 1: some of these games. Man.
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 2: So preseason, if you've got the better number on the
• 1:29:49
  Speaker 2: team before the line moved, that's fine. Like if today,
• 1:29:52
  Speaker 2: if you played like the Panthers or the Patriots at
• 1:29:55
  Speaker 2: like a lower number, you got value on that play.
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 1: So I'm not gonna knock you for that.
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 2: It's a good But now that the line has moved
• 1:30:01
  Speaker 2: completely out of control, I think you gotta look like
• 1:30:03
  Speaker 2: to the team total market or something like that. So
• 1:30:06
  Speaker 2: the Browns are playing the Panthers. The Browns Joe Flacco
• 1:30:11
  Speaker 2: is probably gonna be their starter to start the season,
• 1:30:14
  Speaker 2: but he's either resting or he might be a little
• 1:30:16
  Speaker 2: bit injured or something because he's an old man. The
• 1:30:19
  Speaker 2: Browns have said they're gonna go with Shdur Sanders in
• 1:30:22
  Speaker 2: this game.
• 1:30:23
  Speaker 1: Just to see what they have and and basically it.
• 1:30:25
  Speaker 2: Seems like he's still the third string quarterback in the
• 1:30:27
  Speaker 2: depth charter maybe even fourth, but they're gonna let him
• 1:30:30
  Speaker 2: go in this game just to see what the hell
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 2: he can do. So he's gonna play in this game,
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 2: which seems like a bad idea to me. To be honest,
• 1:30:37
  Speaker 2: I don't think Sanders is ever gonna amount to anything
• 1:30:39
  Speaker 2: in the NFL.
• 1:30:40
  Speaker 1: Man, I'm sorry.
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 2: I'm not impressed by going thirteen to twelve at Colorado,
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 2: and you know, with all the nepotism of your father
• 1:30:47
  Speaker 2: being the coach there, I don't like it. I don't
• 1:30:49
  Speaker 2: think he's gonna translate to the NFL. The Panthers. The
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 2: main reason why the line did move up isn't because
• 1:30:55
  Speaker 2: the oddsmakers are like, oh, Shitar Sanders sucks. I think
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 2: that's slightly a part of it. But the Panthers have
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 2: said they're gonna play Bryce Young in this game. So
• 1:31:03
  Speaker 2: the Panthers are gonna play their starting quarterback because I
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 2: think they want to get him some reps in there,
• 1:31:07
  Speaker 2: because he didn't play early in the season last year,
• 1:31:10
  Speaker 2: so I think they want to get him ready. So
• 1:31:11
  Speaker 2: that's becoming more common in the NFL here, man, with
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 2: the shortened preseason now, with only three games in the preseason. Now,
• 1:31:18
  Speaker 2: if it was still four games, you probably wouldn't see
• 1:31:20
  Speaker 2: the starters playing in the first game.
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 1: But I think you're gonna have to see the total.
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 2: Markets start to adjust for this because the starting quarterbacks
• 1:31:26
  Speaker 2: are starting to play. This total at thirty three is
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 2: really low, but Panthers have moved up from one and
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 2: a half to six and a half. Now there's no
• 1:31:33
  Speaker 2: way you can lay six and a half with them.
• 1:31:35
  Speaker 2: But if you want to play Panthers team total over,
• 1:31:38
  Speaker 2: I don't hate that idea obviously, because you're gonna have
• 1:31:40
  Speaker 2: Bryce Young in there for probably multiple series in the game,
• 1:31:43
  Speaker 2: so you'll get off to a decent start there. You
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 2: could look at like the half first half market as
• 1:31:48
  Speaker 2: well and look to play the Panthers just to cover
• 1:31:50
  Speaker 2: a first half number, but I prefer the team total man,
• 1:31:53
  Speaker 2: or even get more granular with it and go first
• 1:31:55
  Speaker 2: half team total over when their starting quarterback is gonna
• 1:31:59
  Speaker 2: be in there.
• 1:31:59
  Speaker 1: That would probably be the way that I would look
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 1: in that game. Lions Falcons Lions up from one and
• 1:32:03
  Speaker 1: a half to three and a half. Here.
• 1:32:06
  Speaker 2: I don't believe that either team is playing their starting
• 1:32:09
  Speaker 2: quarterback or anything like that, or I don't think you're
• 1:32:10
  Speaker 2: gonna see Golf or Pennix Junior in this game. But
• 1:32:14
  Speaker 2: I do like the Lions side in this game because
• 1:32:16
  Speaker 2: the Lions have a game under their belt already, so
• 1:32:19
  Speaker 2: they're the only team besides the Chargers that already played
• 1:32:22
  Speaker 2: in the preseason. They played like that extra game in
• 1:32:25
  Speaker 2: the Hall of Fame game, which counts as like not
• 1:32:27
  Speaker 2: being in preseason week one for whatever reason, I don't
• 1:32:30
  Speaker 2: know why that's the case that used to be part
• 1:32:32
  Speaker 2: of preseason Week one.
• 1:32:34
  Speaker 1: I don't get it.
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 2: But the Lions, I think they have an advantage now
• 1:32:37
  Speaker 2: because they played, They got a game under the belt,
• 1:32:39
  Speaker 2: and they actually got embarrassed, and no team wants to
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 2: get embarrassed. Man.
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 1: So I think the Lions the.
• 1:32:43
  Speaker 2: Fact that they're used to, you know, playing a little bit,
• 1:32:45
  Speaker 2: They've gotten some rhythm in preseason.
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 1: Now.
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 2: I think the Lions are gonna actually be the right
• 1:32:51
  Speaker 2: side in this game. I think they'll come out with
• 1:32:53
  Speaker 2: some motivation here to try to win this game. Whoever
• 1:32:55
  Speaker 2: their backup quarterbacks are who played in that last game,
• 1:32:59
  Speaker 2: I think it's actually is it Easton Stick?
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 1: Is that what they actually have? I forget.
• 1:33:04
  Speaker 2: I think it might be Eastern Stick now and somebody
• 1:33:07
  Speaker 2: else I actually can't remember, but they have guys that have.
• 1:33:10
  Speaker 1: A little bit of experience at the very least. Let
• 1:33:11
  Speaker 1: me see. Oh no, it's what am I saying? Who
• 1:33:14
  Speaker 1: is Eastern Stick. No, it's Hendon Hooker and Kyle Allen.
• 1:33:17
  Speaker 2: I don't know, but whichever one of them played in
• 1:33:18
  Speaker 2: the last game, they'll be playing again, so they at
• 1:33:21
  Speaker 2: least have, you know, they've gotten into some rhythm with
• 1:33:23
  Speaker 2: the offense.
• 1:33:23
  Speaker 1: At least. Atlanta has said that they're not playing Pennix.
• 1:33:26
  Speaker 2: Or Kirk Cousins because they still have Kirk Cousins there too,
• 1:33:29
  Speaker 2: I believe, so they're playing whoever, I don't know. They
• 1:33:32
  Speaker 2: have some third string quarterback playing for Atlanta. So all
• 1:33:35
  Speaker 2: that being said, yeah, I think Detroit is the right
• 1:33:37
  Speaker 2: side in that game. If you're gonna look at that game, Oh,
• 1:33:40
  Speaker 2: they have Eastern Stick. Sorry, Easton Stick is gonna be
• 1:33:43
  Speaker 2: playing for Atlanta. So he does have some experience playing
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 2: in the NFL, right because he was He made some
• 1:33:49
  Speaker 2: starts when Herbert was hurt when he was on the Chargers,
• 1:33:51
  Speaker 2: So Eastern Stick I don't hate him, but yeah, I
• 1:33:56
  Speaker 2: mean I would still lean to Detroit in this game.
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 2: He lost a little bit of value from one and
• 1:33:59
  Speaker 2: a half three and a half year now, if you
• 1:34:01
  Speaker 2: want to go team total on Detroit, I think that's
• 1:34:03
  Speaker 2: also still fine in that one of the I'd be
• 1:34:05
  Speaker 2: looking still more towards the Lions because it doesn't have
• 1:34:07
  Speaker 2: to do with the starting quarterbacks being in the game.
• 1:34:09
  Speaker 2: In this one, I would still kind of look towards
• 1:34:11
  Speaker 2: the Lions being the right side.
• 1:34:13
  Speaker 1: Maybe a money line player.
• 1:34:14
  Speaker 2: If you can play like less, if you can play
• 1:34:16
  Speaker 2: it minus three on the Lions instead of three and
• 1:34:18
  Speaker 2: a half, you might want to still do that. And
• 1:34:20
  Speaker 2: then Washington Redskins. I'm not calling them the Commanders, man
• 1:34:24
  Speaker 2: hate it. They're playing the Patriots, and I believe these
• 1:34:28
  Speaker 2: are all at the home team stadiums if I'm not mistaken.
• 1:34:30
  Speaker 2: I checked yesterday, I'm not checking today. But Patriots up
• 1:34:33
  Speaker 2: from two to six and a half here now, man,
• 1:34:35
  Speaker 2: so the money is obviously coming on the Patriots. You
• 1:34:37
  Speaker 2: can't lay a touchdown with the Patriots in a game
• 1:34:39
  Speaker 2: with totals like this. The total in this one is
• 1:34:41
  Speaker 2: actually up to thirty six and a half. Thirty seven
• 1:34:43
  Speaker 2: is kind of the key number in preseason Week one
• 1:34:47
  Speaker 2: for whatever reason, that seems to be the like deciding factor,
• 1:34:52
  Speaker 2: where like a majority of the games go under that number.
• 1:34:55
  Speaker 1: But this is a game where I would go Patriots
• 1:34:59
  Speaker 1: over their team.
• 1:34:59
  Speaker 2: To man, you can't again, you can't lay a line
• 1:35:01
  Speaker 2: like this and the reason why the Patriots have moved
• 1:35:03
  Speaker 2: up like this. Obviously Drake May is playing in this game.
• 1:35:07
  Speaker 2: That's why I don't know how long he's gonna play
• 1:35:08
  Speaker 2: in the game. He'll probably play at least a couple
• 1:35:10
  Speaker 2: series in this game. For Washington, you're not gonna see
• 1:35:13
  Speaker 2: their starters. You're not gonna see Jade and Daniels in
• 1:35:15
  Speaker 2: this game. So that's why the line has gone up
• 1:35:17
  Speaker 2: like this, because the Patriots want to get Drake May ready,
• 1:35:19
  Speaker 2: because I believe he didn't start at the beginning of
• 1:35:21
  Speaker 2: the year last year last year either, so they want
• 1:35:24
  Speaker 2: to get some games under his belt there. So that's why.
• 1:35:27
  Speaker 2: So that's the rundown for the NFL there, and I
• 1:35:31
  Speaker 2: think that's gonna do it. Man, once again, I plays today.
• 1:35:33
  Speaker 2: I'm going crazy with the baseball plays and not even
• 1:35:36
  Speaker 2: looking into the market reads at all. First five innings,
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 2: Miami Marlins on the run line minus half a run
• 1:35:42
  Speaker 2: we have under full game Royals Minnesota, which I think
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 2: you might be able to get it under nine. Now
• 1:35:47
  Speaker 2: Chicago Cubs minus one and a half run line full
• 1:35:49
  Speaker 2: game and at least through on the road too, so
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 2: you'll get the full nine innings of bats out of them,
• 1:35:54
  Speaker 2: So I like that one, and then first five.
• 1:35:56
  Speaker 1: Innings under four Rays Mariners. That's gonna do it for me. Man,
• 1:36:01
  Speaker 1: Learn it town on Twitter, learn its own on uh Instagram, where.
• 1:36:05
  Speaker 2: I put short betting off dead, con better off dead,
• 1:36:08
  Speaker 2: competting off dead, better off dead content. Maybe I should
• 1:36:10
  Speaker 2: just changed the name of the show at this point, man,
• 1:36:12
  Speaker 2: we should change it to the Dildo Dilemma or something
• 1:36:16
  Speaker 2: like that. Uh, change it to professional dildo throwing. I
• 1:36:19
  Speaker 2: don't know, We'll have to figure it out. And then, yeah,
• 1:36:24
  Speaker 2: what else was I gonna say?
• 1:36:25
  Speaker 1: Oh? Right, better off dad? Of course?
• 1:36:27
  Speaker 2: Please, you know, like subscribe, follow, Let's get let's get
• 1:36:30
  Speaker 2: this channel up to a point where it's monetized on YouTube.
• 1:36:33
  Speaker 2: I am on the audio platforms, which are monetized, but
• 1:36:36
  Speaker 2: unless you get big numbers on the audio platforms, you
• 1:36:38
  Speaker 2: don't bring in a lot of money.
• 1:36:39
  Speaker 1: So hopefully somehow that will spike a bit.
• 1:36:41
  Speaker 2: It's on Spotify Audio and Apple Audio whatever, Apple podcasts,
• 1:36:46
  Speaker 2: and then covered in you because my ukulele project on YouTube,
• 1:36:49
  Speaker 2: which I haven't been doing a whole lot of that
• 1:36:51
  Speaker 2: recently because they did just release that original album that
• 1:36:55
  Speaker 2: I released only on Twitter, but maybe I'll go.
• 1:36:57
  Speaker 1: I'll have to get that up on YouTube.
• 1:36:59
  Speaker 2: I guess it's just a chore to try to get
• 1:37:01
  Speaker 2: all that stuff up and I'm not organized with my video,
• 1:37:03
  Speaker 2: so i gotta get that already.
• 1:37:04
  Speaker 1: Man, got to do it.
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 2: And that's on YouTube and Patreon dot com learned its
• 1:37:09
  Speaker 2: own and you can throw some support and you'll get
• 1:37:11
  Speaker 2: some bonus content. You'll get Spotify, yuke feed at one
• 1:37:15
  Speaker 2: of the levels, and prioritize requests at one of the levels.
• 1:37:17
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it, Man, Long Show today, NFL preseason.
• 1:37:20
  Speaker 2: I don't know if I really want to break down
• 1:37:22
  Speaker 2: every NFL preseason again. I've never done that before on
• 1:37:25
  Speaker 2: the show. It takes forever, and at some point I
• 1:37:27
  Speaker 2: might have another job I have to deal with as well, hopefully,
• 1:37:30
  Speaker 2: so we'll see, Man, But that's gonna do it for now.
• 1:37:32
  Speaker 2: Peace out. Let's start the weekend right man. Happy Friday,
• 1:37:35
  Speaker 2: TGIF