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War Crimes?; War Update; Oil; Ukraine; ICE; Mueller; France; Chavez; Afroman | Yaron Brook Show · Yaron Brook Show

0:02
Speaker 1: A lot fundamental principals we do actually self interesting and
0:10
Speaker 1: an individual wise, this is the show. Oh right, everybody,
0:20
Speaker 1: welcome to your One Brooks Show on this Monday, March
0:24
Speaker 1: twenty third. The world does not slow down over the
0:29
Speaker 1: weekend or anytime else, just keeps on going, particularly with
0:33
Speaker 1: Donald Trump and the White House. All right, we're going
0:36
Speaker 1: to talk about Levon wild There's a lot to talk about,
0:38
Speaker 1: particularly about these negotiations or not negotiations or maybe negotiations,
0:44
Speaker 1: who knows if there's negotiations. But anyway, we'll talk about that.
0:49
Speaker 1: I'll talk about that as well. We will really I
0:55
Speaker 1: want to start Oops, I don't know why that is, okay,
0:58
Speaker 1: I want to start with something a little different. We'll
1:01
Speaker 1: talk with what Donald Trump said. I think it was
1:03
Speaker 1: fight ay uh and uh, and then kind of the
1:06
Speaker 1: response of that. Then I will go up to speed
1:09
Speaker 1: in terms of what's going on to literally what's happening
1:14
Speaker 1: right now, uh, in terms of the back and forth
1:17
Speaker 1: out there and all also being you have to speed
1:21
Speaker 1: about what is going on in the fight itself, that is,
1:25
Speaker 1: in the war itself, what's going on in the ground
1:27
Speaker 1: in Iran, at least the best of my knowledge, ability.
1:31
Speaker 1: Not much that I know that you know, but but
1:34
Speaker 1: we'll cover what I know. And uh yeah, well well
1:38
Speaker 1: we'll see what else. But uh so here's what happened, right,
1:45
Speaker 1: I mean, Trump has been going back and forth. Right
1:47
Speaker 1: at some point he said, uh, you know, Homeost straight,
1:51
Speaker 1: it's not mine. Let those people who get to offer
1:54
Speaker 1: the homemost from the from the Gulf, let them deal
1:57
Speaker 1: with it, and I'm gonna walk away. And people thought, oh,
2:00
Speaker 1: America is going to walk away from the wall. And
2:02
Speaker 1: you know, he is whiplashing people constantly, and he's whipblashing
2:06
Speaker 1: the oil market constantly, right, whipplashing the oil market. And
2:10
Speaker 1: then he said on Saturday, I think it was it
2:13
Speaker 1: was Saturday, I think Trump said, you know what if
2:20
Speaker 1: the you know, if the Ranians don't open up these
2:24
Speaker 1: states of homos within forty eight hours of right now,
2:28
Speaker 1: within forty eight hours of right now, I will we
2:32
Speaker 1: will bomb their power facilities, the electrical power facilities that
2:37
Speaker 1: provide electricity. Will start with it one providing Tehran, which
2:42
Speaker 1: is this massive plant that provides electricity with Tehran, but
2:45
Speaker 1: we can take We'll put the entire country into darkness.
2:48
Speaker 1: We will take out all of their power and people
2:55
Speaker 1: were flipping out, Oh my god, this is a massive escalation.
3:00
Speaker 1: The Iranians within a few hours came out and said,
3:03
Speaker 1: if you do that, we will take out every desalination
3:07
Speaker 1: plant in the Gulf States. We will take out the
3:11
Speaker 1: oil fields, they gas, you know. They they literally put
3:16
Speaker 1: out a list with pictures of every facility in Saudi
3:21
Speaker 1: Arabia and UAE and Kata and Bahrain and quit that
3:26
Speaker 1: they would take out if Trump took out their electric facility,
3:30
Speaker 1: and people were pretty panicking. There was was a real
3:34
Speaker 1: you know that this is a massive escalation. You're gonna
3:37
Speaker 1: take the Middle East back. People are not gonna have water,
3:41
Speaker 1: you know, people. I mean, it was you know, from
3:47
Speaker 1: my perspective, I have to say it was pretty entertaining
3:49
Speaker 1: because people take still take Trump seriously. But here's the
3:54
Speaker 1: one claim that I found really really interesting. Right, A
3:58
Speaker 1: lot of people, including people who I respec act and
4:00
Speaker 1: people who do good reporting on what's going on in
4:04
Speaker 1: wars and stuff like that, came out and said, if
4:07
Speaker 1: Trump bombs the electricacilities of the Iranians, that would be
4:12
Speaker 1: a war crime because the electricilities are used by civilians,
4:17
Speaker 1: not primarily by the military. It's not a legitimate military target,
4:23
Speaker 1: so it goes against the rules of war, international law. Now,
4:34
Speaker 1: I think international law and the rules of war a
4:37
Speaker 1: bogus concept. There's no enforcement mechanism. They cannot be an
4:44
Speaker 1: enforcement mechanism. Only the good guys abide by these. I mean,
4:48
Speaker 1: at the same time as everybody's saying, ooh, taking out
4:50
Speaker 1: the electricity would the rules of war, the Iranians were
4:53
Speaker 1: launching missiles directed at a population centers in Israel. Nobody
4:56
Speaker 1: you're saying, naughty Uranians, Oh, those naughty, naughty batteries. They're
5:01
Speaker 1: violating the rules of law, the rules of war, They're
5:05
Speaker 1: violating international convention. This is really bad of them, because
5:09
Speaker 1: nobody expects the Iranians to live up to the rules
5:13
Speaker 1: of war. When they killed thirty plus thousand, maybe we
5:16
Speaker 1: don't exact numbers of demonstrators of their own people. Just
5:20
Speaker 1: an armed civilians just shot them in the street. Nobody said, oh,
5:24
Speaker 1: those nasty Ranians. They're violating international law. Who the f
5:29
Speaker 1: cares about international law? It's meaningless, it cannot be and
5:34
Speaker 1: is not a prosecuted There's no mechanism by which they
5:39
Speaker 1: enforce it. And the reality is that it's just plain
5:46
Speaker 1: wrong to tie the hands of the good guys of
5:51
Speaker 1: the people fighting in self defense against forces of evil
5:55
Speaker 1: by not allowing them, not allowing them to, I don't know,
6:01
Speaker 1: bombed the things they need a bomb in order to
6:03
Speaker 1: win the war. I mean, you can't drop bombs in Hilishima,
6:08
Speaker 1: Nagasaki because international law. And yet in my view, one
6:13
Speaker 1: of the most mobil acts an American president has ever
6:16
Speaker 1: done is approved the bombing of Huoshima Nagasaki. Ended the war.
6:21
Speaker 1: Ended the war a brutal, bloody, horbable war. Ended saved
6:26
Speaker 1: the lives of I mean even one, but hundreds of
6:30
Speaker 1: thousands of American troops, probably probably a million Japanese because
6:36
Speaker 1: the evasion of the island of Japan would have been
6:38
Speaker 1: horrific in terms of casualties. And of course, you know,
6:45
Speaker 1: the United States bomb every city in Japan before that.
6:48
Speaker 1: I mean, people make a big deal out of the
6:49
Speaker 1: atomic bombs, but the reality is they fire bomb every
6:53
Speaker 1: single city in Japan. So this is a self defense.
7:03
Speaker 1: Those who are defending themselves, the Israelis and Americans, should
7:07
Speaker 1: be able to do whatever they need to do in
7:08
Speaker 1: order to win, and win quickly and win decisively. And
7:12
Speaker 1: winning means regime change, that's what it means. And if
7:16
Speaker 1: that means taking out their entire energy sector, so be it.
7:19
Speaker 1: If that means taking out their power grid, so be it.
7:22
Speaker 1: If that means bombing where there's gonna be civilian casualties,
7:27
Speaker 1: so be it. The only time you don't do stuff.
7:31
Speaker 1: The only thing that's wrong in a war is when
7:35
Speaker 1: it's gratuitous, when it's not necessary for victory. But no, no,
7:40
Speaker 1: nobody complained the Hamas broke international law on October seventh,
7:44
Speaker 1: or didn't abide by the rules of war. The Chrismala
7:48
Speaker 1: never does, never abides by the rule of law. Who's
7:51
Speaker 1: enforced that of warle troops landed in taking out Gazabella
7:58
Speaker 1: because they violate the rules of war, international law, and
8:04
Speaker 1: yet they use that against the good guys all the time,
8:07
Speaker 1: all the time. Now, I don't know if it makes
8:12
Speaker 1: sense to bomb the electrical facilities. Indeed, the son of
8:16
Speaker 1: the shop came out and said, please don't do that.
8:19
Speaker 1: Only the Indian people will suffer from that. It won't
8:22
Speaker 1: make much, you know, I don't know. I'm not you know.
8:25
Speaker 1: I've advocated for it because I think it's a way
8:29
Speaker 1: to decisively end this. But you know, you'd have to
8:35
Speaker 1: I'd have to have a lot more intelligence before I pulled,
8:37
Speaker 1: before I, you know, pressed the button. But the point
8:44
Speaker 1: is it's whatever it is. Whether it makes sense it
8:47
Speaker 1: doesn't is a question of strategy. It's a question of
8:50
Speaker 1: will it achieve aim that will end the will faster
8:55
Speaker 1: And if you want really retaliates the way they said
8:58
Speaker 1: they would retaliate, do that capacity to do that? And
9:01
Speaker 1: is there way to stop them from doing that? Because
9:04
Speaker 1: you don't want to take out the entire oil industry
9:06
Speaker 1: in the Middle East. Now, again it surprises me that
9:10
Speaker 1: this wasn't thought about in advance, planned for, and these
9:13
Speaker 1: facilities not better defended. But all right, this is what
9:18
Speaker 1: we are right now. The same is true again. I'll
9:20
Speaker 1: say it again and again and again. The Homo straits.
9:23
Speaker 1: I mean, the more I read about it, the more
9:25
Speaker 1: I the more I listen to experts, it's obvious and
9:30
Speaker 1: clear that while the military I'm sure has lots of
9:34
Speaker 1: plans on how to open the Homeost straits, those plans
9:37
Speaker 1: were not put into place before the war started because
9:40
Speaker 1: Trump didn't think it was a big deal and didn't
9:42
Speaker 1: think it would be a big deal, and as a consequence,
9:45
Speaker 1: they're playing catchup and they have to bring in the resources.
9:49
Speaker 1: Bring in the Marines, bring in the I think the
9:52
Speaker 1: eighty second Airborne might be in the Middle East on
9:55
Speaker 1: the way to the Middle East, bringing the mind sweepers,
9:58
Speaker 1: bring in the ships that will do with the escorting,
10:01
Speaker 1: bring all these things. It wasn't planned for in advance,
10:05
Speaker 1: the assets weren't in place to do it. And of
10:07
Speaker 1: course one of the things you really really need to
10:10
Speaker 1: open up the homeworld straits, which I've said for weeks now,
10:14
Speaker 1: is our allies would help a lot. You need a
10:17
Speaker 1: lot of ships. Allies can get their navies there. And
10:21
Speaker 1: it turns out I didn't know this, but it turns
10:23
Speaker 1: out that our allies have better mind sweeping technology than
10:28
Speaker 1: we do. Our mind sweepers are old and they were
10:32
Speaker 1: sent back to base and they're being retired. The new
10:35
Speaker 1: mind sweeping technology that the US has has really been
10:39
Speaker 1: untested and is in Singapore right now. It's not in
10:42
Speaker 1: the Gulf. But the Europeans have good mind sweepers, the Japanese,
10:48
Speaker 1: the South Koreans have good mind sweepers, So they are
10:51
Speaker 1: good mind sweepers among our allies. Those should have been
10:56
Speaker 1: discussed maybe before the war broke out, or on the
10:58
Speaker 1: day it broke out, if you didn't want to devolte
11:00
Speaker 1: secrets the day it broke out in order to get
11:04
Speaker 1: those assets in place so that they can be used
11:06
Speaker 1: in the in the Gulf wasn't done, and therefore it
11:10
Speaker 1: wasn't So here's the thing. A war crime. You can't have.
11:15
Speaker 1: A war crime that is a war crime is a
11:18
Speaker 1: crime that a soldier commits under your service. Let's say
11:21
Speaker 1: it's an American soldiers. It's a crime that is done
11:26
Speaker 1: under the jurisdiction of the American military. A soldier rapes
11:34
Speaker 1: and occupying in occupied territory. A soldier kills people gratuitously,
11:39
Speaker 1: A soldier disobeys orders of any variety. Those are war crimes.
11:44
Speaker 1: There is no such thing as international law. There's no
11:47
Speaker 1: such thing as international war crimes. I don't I know
11:51
Speaker 1: this is heresy, but I don't think the Geneva Convention
11:55
Speaker 1: is relevant for anything. And again, the bad guys don't care,
12:02
Speaker 1: and the good guys a place at a disadvantage, at
12:07
Speaker 1: a disadvantage because they are at least expected to abide
12:13
Speaker 1: by these things. So anyway, over the weekend, Iwon sent
12:20
Speaker 1: two missiles towards Demona. Deemona is where Israel has it's
12:25
Speaker 1: nuclear reactor. I mean, look, even if one of those
12:29
Speaker 1: missiles hit the nuclear reactor, nothing would happen. Is those
12:32
Speaker 1: well prepared for it. It is massively reinforced and protected.
12:37
Speaker 1: It's probably shut down into the radioactivity during what's going
12:42
Speaker 1: on right now. I don't know how exactly they do it.
12:45
Speaker 1: Whatever nukes the Israelis have, and they have nukes, quite
12:48
Speaker 1: a few of them, they're buried deep, deep underground. None
12:51
Speaker 1: of these missiles the Ranians have could touch the nuclear
12:55
Speaker 1: arsenal that Israel has. So, I mean everybody was panicking, Oh,
12:58
Speaker 1: they're firving at Demona. This is a catastrophe. No, there
13:01
Speaker 1: was nothing to worry about. Plus they weren't firving it.
13:04
Speaker 1: You know, they their missiles can't hit anything accurately. So
13:08
Speaker 1: they hit the town of Deemona. Demona is a town,
13:11
Speaker 1: people lived there. They hit there, and they injured a
13:15
Speaker 1: lot of people, including some young kids. Again, well crime anybody, anybody,
13:20
Speaker 1: nobody kids? Right? And then uh later, also in the
13:24
Speaker 1: south of Israel, they hit a town, another town called Alad,
13:27
Speaker 1: which is not far from Demona Ad where again this
13:32
Speaker 1: this one hit. It was a direct hit an open field,
13:35
Speaker 1: but it was a five hundred kilo I guess explosion.
13:39
Speaker 1: It shattered windows, it knocked down walls. It really did
13:44
Speaker 1: a lot of damage and a lot again, a lot
13:46
Speaker 1: of people were injured, quite a few people in serious condition.
13:49
Speaker 1: Children again. Uh, and yes, that that's what Iran does.
13:54
Speaker 1: It lobs missiles. They're they're basically blind missiles the approximate direction,
14:00
Speaker 1: and you know, and they whurd civilians. But that's the
14:06
Speaker 1: only thing I can noe. They're not a single Israeli soldier,
14:10
Speaker 1: not a single is really political leader has been killed
14:14
Speaker 1: during this war. Whoever has been killed on these Raeli side?
14:17
Speaker 1: Are all civilians? Is anybody yelling what are you doing? Uuranians?
14:22
Speaker 1: Stop killing civilians, Stop bombing civilians. No, no, no, because
14:27
Speaker 1: everybody expects the bad guys, that's what they do. Nobody
14:31
Speaker 1: goes after the Russians for lobbying missiles into Kiev and
14:34
Speaker 1: killing and into apartment buildings and destroying people or bombing
14:39
Speaker 1: you know, the the power supply that provides heat and
14:45
Speaker 1: electricity to the Ukrainians. I mean, I mean, people complain
14:49
Speaker 1: about it, but what are you gonna do? Rules of war.
14:52
Speaker 1: You know, there's nothing you can do. And of course
14:56
Speaker 1: the Ukrainians are figuring this out, and they're doing the
14:58
Speaker 1: same thing to the Russians, not so much civilian, but
15:01
Speaker 1: in terms of infrastructure. We'll talk about that in a minute.
15:05
Speaker 1: Uh So, okay, So that's where we were, right. Trump
15:10
Speaker 1: threatened that he was going to bomb the power supply
15:15
Speaker 1: to the city of Tehran. Now I have to say,
15:18
Speaker 1: you know, I didn't I did not think he would
15:22
Speaker 1: go through with it, not for a second that I
15:25
Speaker 1: think he would go through with it. I you know,
15:27
Speaker 1: I believed strongly he would find a way out of it,
15:30
Speaker 1: and he did this morning. Right, So this morning he
15:32
Speaker 1: came out and said that his ultimatum for you want
15:36
Speaker 1: to reopen the streets by basically later today, right two
15:40
Speaker 1: days was had been had been had forced the Ranians
15:48
Speaker 1: the negotiating table, and there had been good and productive
15:53
Speaker 1: peace talks with Tehran over the weekend, and that that
16:00
Speaker 1: he was, you know, very very positive, and he thought
16:04
Speaker 1: a deal could come together, and he was postponing the
16:07
Speaker 1: deadline for opening the Homost Straits by five days. And
16:10
Speaker 1: he wouldn't be bombing. He wouldn't be bombing the power facilities.
16:16
Speaker 1: I mean the US, and these Raelias are still bombing
16:19
Speaker 1: all over you on the US, primarily along the shore
16:21
Speaker 1: of the Homo Straits, just like I told you needed
16:24
Speaker 1: to be done. And the Israelis in TEHRANI Staffan and
16:28
Speaker 1: and and a bunch of other places around Iran. Iran
16:36
Speaker 1: then comes out and says, now, no negotiations here. We
16:39
Speaker 1: don't know what Trump is talking about. We had no negotiations.
16:44
Speaker 1: Nobody's contacted him. Then this is all this morning, right.
16:48
Speaker 1: Then Acxious and some other media channels, including in Israel,
16:54
Speaker 1: report then, no, they have been contacts between Israel, sorry,
16:59
Speaker 1: between the US and the Speaker of the House of
17:03
Speaker 1: you on they name him by name, and they say
17:06
Speaker 1: the contact and indeed they are going to be meeting.
17:09
Speaker 1: Whitcoff and Jared Krishna are going to flight to Islamabad
17:16
Speaker 1: in Pakistan where they're going to meet with the Speak
17:19
Speaker 1: of the House. The Iranians speak of the House. And
17:22
Speaker 1: now people are thinking, huh, maybe there's a big conflict
17:25
Speaker 1: within the Iranian regime. Maybe there GC doesn't want talks,
17:31
Speaker 1: but to speak of the House does. Maybe he represents
17:33
Speaker 1: some moderates, although he's not exactly known as a moderate
17:37
Speaker 1: and and maybe there's a conflict. Trump is saying, Oh,
17:40
Speaker 1: they've agreed already to most of my dands. No, no
17:44
Speaker 1: missile program, no this, no that. I mean he had
17:47
Speaker 1: a whole six plans right, five years of no missiles,
17:50
Speaker 1: never more than a thousand missiles, you know, no nuclear program,
17:54
Speaker 1: all this stuff. Anyway, so they're talking to the Speak
17:59
Speaker 1: of the House and they talk, we can't. And now
18:01
Speaker 1: they're all going to Islamabad to hang out and negotiate
18:04
Speaker 1: a deal. But then to Speaker of the House himself
18:09
Speaker 1: puts out an announcement saying, I'm not negotiating with Americans.
18:13
Speaker 1: I don't know what Trump's talking about, the negotiating the
18:16
Speaker 1: onor negotiations going on in the meantime. You know, people
18:24
Speaker 1: are saying that Pakistani officials are serving as brokers between
18:30
Speaker 1: the Ys and Yuon and they are indeed trying to
18:35
Speaker 1: organize something in Islamabad. But Trump jumped on a hint,
18:41
Speaker 1: maybe there's somebody to talk to you and you on
18:43
Speaker 1: to already declare victory, and you know, I don't have
18:48
Speaker 1: to bomb the electric of Silte. Now, look, all of
18:52
Speaker 1: this could be a head fake by Trump. The thing
18:54
Speaker 1: about Trump is you just don't know. It could be
18:58
Speaker 1: that his ultimate purpose is just to time as the
19:01
Speaker 1: Marines approach, as the eighty second Airborne, as whatever else
19:06
Speaker 1: they have planned. And in the meantime, everybody's focused on
19:09
Speaker 1: maybe a piece deal, maybe a deal. And all prices,
19:12
Speaker 1: by the way, tumble today. They went below ninety, they
19:16
Speaker 1: went down ten percent, So all prices are down, gas
19:19
Speaker 1: prices are down. Everything's anticipating peace and Trump is just kidding,
19:25
Speaker 1: you know. Could be Trump is just kidding. Nobody actually knows.
19:28
Speaker 1: Nobody knows. I don't know, fog of war and all
19:31
Speaker 1: of that, and I certainly have no input into Trump's mind.
19:36
Speaker 1: But there does seem to be something going on in Pakistan.
19:40
Speaker 1: Pakistan is talking to somebody in Iran. It could be
19:43
Speaker 1: the Speaker of the House. It could be the negotiations
19:46
Speaker 1: were going on on the weekend and that the response
19:50
Speaker 1: to that was as GC called up to Speak of
19:53
Speaker 1: the House and said, we're gonna kill you, stop this,
19:57
Speaker 1: and he changed his mind. It could be a lot
20:02
Speaker 1: of things. I mean, one thing is clear. I think
20:05
Speaker 1: that within the IRGC there is massive confusion. I mean, remember,
20:10
Speaker 1: many of them are dead, many of them are dead.
20:15
Speaker 1: The others are hiding because they're afraid to be dead.
20:19
Speaker 1: They're in a bunker somewhere. The president, of you on
20:23
Speaker 1: is completely relevant. He's been taken out of I mean,
20:27
Speaker 1: maybe Trump's negotiating with the president, but he's been taken
20:30
Speaker 1: out of the chain of command. He's no longer relevant, right, So,
20:37
Speaker 1: I mean, you're watching the news. Is Trump lying? Is
20:39
Speaker 1: he telling the truth? Is that a partial truth? Is not?
20:42
Speaker 1: Is it that he told the truth? But then the
20:44
Speaker 1: Ranians change their mind? Maybe they're not changing their mind,
20:47
Speaker 1: maybe they're fighting. I mean, the one thing that I
20:50
Speaker 1: think is clear is there is massive confusion inside the IRGC.
20:57
Speaker 1: I mean the massive leaks. Some of some of the
21:01
Speaker 1: IGC people are spies, are working for the most Sati
21:04
Speaker 1: in one way another. So they're suspicions of each other. Anyway,
21:10
Speaker 1: they're wondering who is talking to the Americans? Is anybody
21:16
Speaker 1: does to speak of the Anian parliament? You know, did
21:19
Speaker 1: he speak the Americans? Didn't he speak to the Americans?
21:22
Speaker 1: He had to come up with a statement because otherwise
21:25
Speaker 1: they would go after him. The uh you know, the
21:32
Speaker 1: all market responded to Trump's announcement, but hasn't bounced back
21:38
Speaker 1: up given the denials of you on, So the all
21:41
Speaker 1: market is assessing, yeah, there's probably something here. Trump might
21:45
Speaker 1: be right. Nobody knows. Nobody knows, and it's including probably inside.
21:53
Speaker 1: They are gc I mean they are in spite of everything. Look,
22:00
Speaker 1: this was devastating for you on. Iwan has taken a
22:04
Speaker 1: hit that is just unprecedented in warfare. It's being demolished.
22:10
Speaker 1: It's industry, it's military industry is eviscerated. It's not completely demolished,
22:16
Speaker 1: but you know, eighty percent of it is gone. The
22:21
Speaker 1: military bases, the command and control centers have been destroyed.
22:27
Speaker 1: They still have this one mountain where inside the mountain
22:31
Speaker 1: they have ballistic missiles and they have these rail carts
22:34
Speaker 1: that deliver their missiles to launches and they can launch.
22:38
Speaker 1: And you know, that is so deep inside the mountain
22:43
Speaker 1: that even the biggest American bomb, the thirty five thousand
22:46
Speaker 1: pound one, cannot breach it. So these railies and Americans
22:52
Speaker 1: are trying to block the entrances and they do, but
22:54
Speaker 1: then the Iranians open them up and they launch missiles.
22:56
Speaker 1: So it's almost impossible to stop them from launching. All
22:59
Speaker 1: missis given how deep these things are but every other
23:04
Speaker 1: facility is basically gone. They still have some mobile launches
23:09
Speaker 1: here and there, particularly in for the East. Israel and
23:14
Speaker 1: the Americans are being focused by million on western Iran,
23:19
Speaker 1: but it's miniscule. If you look at the number of
23:21
Speaker 1: missiles being launched, it's minuscule. And the fact that two
23:25
Speaker 1: of them got through and dropped in Israel, one in
23:28
Speaker 1: La one in Demona is sad, very sad because a
23:32
Speaker 1: lot of people got injured. But you know, again, ninety
23:37
Speaker 1: two to ninety five percent of the missiles get shot down.
23:41
Speaker 1: All we hear about other ones they get through. So
23:46
Speaker 1: the Amanians are unbelievably ineffective. They have no military force
23:52
Speaker 1: that can stand up to anything the Americans done. They
23:54
Speaker 1: have drones, they can shoot them. They have missiles, they
23:56
Speaker 1: can shoot them blindly. The drones a little bit more accurate.
24:00
Speaker 1: The Arab countries, the Gulf countries are gaining now Ukrainian
24:05
Speaker 1: technology to shoot drowned down drones, so they'll be much
24:08
Speaker 1: better prepared in the weeks to come to fight off
24:12
Speaker 1: you know, Uranian drones. Iran is finished as a military
24:15
Speaker 1: force in the in the in the region, it's finished.
24:18
Speaker 1: All they can do is block the homemost streets. Now
24:20
Speaker 1: that's a big deal, and that it can't do forever.
24:23
Speaker 1: That is, if and when the United States gets its
24:28
Speaker 1: assets together and puts together, they have a strategy, they
24:32
Speaker 1: know what to do. But once they decide to act,
24:37
Speaker 1: the moths, you know they can't be stopped. You will
24:39
Speaker 1: not stop the Americans from opening up the Homemo straits
24:42
Speaker 1: once the US decides to do it. So they have nothing.
24:47
Speaker 1: All they can do is find a way somehow to
24:50
Speaker 1: survive and kill their own citizens, somehow to survive, so
24:55
Speaker 1: they'll win their citizens, their own people rise up against them,
25:00
Speaker 1: rise up against them, then they will be able to
25:04
Speaker 1: shoot them down in the street. Right. So the United
25:08
Speaker 1: States is good at some things. Got an amazing navy,
25:12
Speaker 1: gone an amazing air force. Not good at other things,
25:14
Speaker 1: knocking down drones they're still working on that. Ukrainians are
25:17
Speaker 1: better at that. Ukrainians are the best in the world
25:19
Speaker 1: at that. Maybe maybe these Raelis are pretty good with
25:23
Speaker 1: the Alasers, but that can be exported easily. It's the
25:28
Speaker 1: Ranians are finished. They can buy time, but for what again,
25:37
Speaker 1: to kill their own people. People are defecting, people are leaving,
25:42
Speaker 1: people are not showing up to work their soldiers. Many
25:46
Speaker 1: have been killed, hundreds, maybe thousands. You know, they in
25:51
Speaker 1: authoritarian state. They're never all on the same page anyway,
25:55
Speaker 1: So there's infighting and it's it's you know, the regime
26:04
Speaker 1: right now is hunkering down. The the the extremists are
26:09
Speaker 1: the ones holding it kind of together. But it can't
26:14
Speaker 1: survive or I don't think it will survive, not ultimately
26:20
Speaker 1: too much in fighting, too much opposition. The economy is finished.
26:24
Speaker 1: I mean, the real is basically you know, they just
26:29
Speaker 1: issued what it is, a ten million real note. You
26:32
Speaker 1: know how much a ten million real note is worth
26:35
Speaker 1: ten million real note seven dollars Reel's lost something like
26:40
Speaker 1: ninety percent of its value. So the economy is in
26:46
Speaker 1: is completely destroyed. Yes, they're still getting some of the
26:50
Speaker 1: oil out, so they getting some foreign currency dollars coming in,
26:55
Speaker 1: but that can't sustain the entire economy. And of course
26:58
Speaker 1: they know here's the thing, here's the funny part, right
27:02
Speaker 1: is there only the United States in a matter of
27:05
Speaker 1: hours could completely destroy, completely destroy the entire oil industry,
27:20
Speaker 1: power electricity facilities. What are desalination plans of the Iranian regime.
27:26
Speaker 1: They could basically take Iran back to the Middle Ages,
27:30
Speaker 1: and it wouldn't take more than half a day if
27:34
Speaker 1: they wanted to, so run it is finished. It's it's
27:46
Speaker 1: vulnerable to whatever Trump does. And the question is, of
27:49
Speaker 1: course will Trump do? Nobody knows that, right, So, some
27:57
Speaker 1: Iranian officials might have agreed to several major demands the
28:00
Speaker 1: United States, including a five year freeze on its long
28:04
Speaker 1: range realistic miss up program. That's according to an official
28:09
Speaker 1: who told that to Channel twelve in Israel. But those
28:14
Speaker 1: officials represent anybody, anybody, which faction is it? Are they
28:19
Speaker 1: the ones in control? Not in control? Are they still
28:22
Speaker 1: alive after they made that? What's exactly going on? Nobody
28:25
Speaker 1: actually knows. Nobody actually knows, So yeah, it's it's it's
28:35
Speaker 1: going to be interesting the next few hours, the next
28:39
Speaker 1: few days, as always, are going to continue to be
28:42
Speaker 1: super interesting as we learn more about what is going
28:47
Speaker 1: on again while all of this is going on and
28:54
Speaker 1: in the United States is and and Trump is see
28:59
Speaker 1: sewing back and forth. Marines on their way again. I'm
29:10
Speaker 1: seeing reports of the airborne eighty second Airborne Division, which
29:13
Speaker 1: can deploy anywhere in the world in eighteen hours, is
29:17
Speaker 1: probably on the way to the Middle East. Maybe they're
29:18
Speaker 1: already there. They could paratroop in, they could be helicoptered
29:22
Speaker 1: in lots of ways in which they can get to
29:24
Speaker 1: where they need to be. You know, lots of different
29:28
Speaker 1: islands in the States of Formos that the Americans could
29:32
Speaker 1: take control over to give them access to the entire golf,
29:38
Speaker 1: to monitor what's going on and to protect the gulf
29:41
Speaker 1: and to protect the ships. So lots of different strategic
29:43
Speaker 1: options in terms of how to open up the streets.
29:47
Speaker 1: It could very well be that that's what they're doing,
29:52
Speaker 1: all right. Interesting, there's an oil super tanker hauling two
29:56
Speaker 1: million bowels of Iraqi could just got through the Straits
30:00
Speaker 1: of Homos. It's the first vessel observed moving Iraqi oil
30:06
Speaker 1: that got through the strait. So again, not clear why
30:13
Speaker 1: this one got through, why the Iranians led it through,
30:17
Speaker 1: but he did right again, it's it's not clear, you know,
30:29
Speaker 1: is OL Channel twelve is reporting that Iran has agreed
30:32
Speaker 1: to freeze this missile program for five years. Who is
30:34
Speaker 1: agreed not clear for five years as part of emerging talks.
30:39
Speaker 1: If true, you know, if true, that's huge, but it's unverified.
30:44
Speaker 1: And then what happens after five years? What happens after
30:47
Speaker 1: five years. Is that a deal the July should accept.
30:51
Speaker 1: Is that a deal the UAE would accept. One of
30:57
Speaker 1: the things that I mean Trump, you know, keeps backing
31:04
Speaker 1: out of these things is on the one hand, is
31:08
Speaker 1: really exhibiting weakness and and but then also onto predictability,
31:13
Speaker 1: which is keeping everybody off balance. So for example, you
31:16
Speaker 1: know when Nizel took out the gas facility, the natural
31:19
Speaker 1: gas facility in Yuon, it took out forty percent of
31:22
Speaker 1: the gas facility, with the idea that it would that
31:25
Speaker 1: the Ranians would get the picture that they can take
31:27
Speaker 1: it out whenever they want, and they could. They could
31:29
Speaker 1: destroy the entire gas facility. This is for domestic use
31:34
Speaker 1: and basically cripple the entire power electric power in Iran.
31:41
Speaker 1: And they did it with Trump's knowledge, and uh, it
31:46
Speaker 1: was the idea of you know, shape up UoN or
31:49
Speaker 1: we'll take the rest out as well. But then Trump,
31:54
Speaker 1: you know, stab them in the back because what Trump did. Oh,
31:57
Speaker 1: Yuon attacked the Katawi gas facility, and Catari's panicked. They
32:03
Speaker 1: called up Trump and Trump came out and said, oh no,
32:06
Speaker 1: I didn't authorize that mission. Although it's obvious to the
32:09
Speaker 1: Americans were involved. But and I've got a commitment now
32:14
Speaker 1: for Ntennio not to take any more gas facilities. So
32:18
Speaker 1: he keeps taking stuff off the table and then adding stuff, Oh,
32:21
Speaker 1: but we'll attack the electric facilities. Very difficult to execute
32:28
Speaker 1: a war like this with a partner like Trump. Very
32:32
Speaker 1: difficult from America. And I'm sure for American generals to
32:35
Speaker 1: execute their strategy with Trump at the helm. But it's
32:44
Speaker 1: you know, it's within reach. That's the thing that is
32:47
Speaker 1: going to be so frustrating if any kind of real
32:53
Speaker 1: deal happens here, that it's within reach. The whole thing
33:00
Speaker 1: is within reach. The fall of this regime, regime change,
33:04
Speaker 1: the complete restructuring in the Middle East is within reach.
33:11
Speaker 1: Now Trump is saying there would be some form of
33:13
Speaker 1: regime change, but that's clear what he means, right, What
33:16
Speaker 1: does he mean by that? Notice that the Supreme leader,
33:22
Speaker 1: how many still nobody showed from him, right, So if
33:30
Speaker 1: they speak of the house becomes the leader. The facto
33:33
Speaker 1: in Iran is that a regime change. Not really the
33:36
Speaker 1: only regime change is that the that the Islamists are out.
33:41
Speaker 1: This is no longer an Islamic republic. That is the
33:47
Speaker 1: only thing that would count as real regime change. So
33:55
Speaker 1: who knows. Again, we just don't know. Let me just see,
34:18
Speaker 1: all right, Yeah, the UE is getting better at downing
34:21
Speaker 1: these things. So over the last twenty four hours they've
34:24
Speaker 1: downed seven ballistic missiles and sixteen drones total. Since the
34:29
Speaker 1: start of the war, the UA year is down three
34:33
Speaker 1: hundred and fifty two ballistic missiles in one thousand, seven
34:36
Speaker 1: hundred and eighty nine drones. I mean, some of them
34:39
Speaker 1: get through, but notice how many have been down, So,
34:48
Speaker 1: I mean Iran has nothing. It never did. I've been
34:51
Speaker 1: saying that from day one. Right, let's see, Okay, it
35:02
Speaker 1: does look like and again fog afore we don't really know,
35:06
Speaker 1: but it does look like the eighty second able On
35:09
Speaker 1: Division from Fort Bragg and as well as other units
35:12
Speaker 1: with the US Army being deployed. They're on the move
35:21
Speaker 1: and they are heading towards the Middle East. And yep,
35:34
Speaker 1: it's now we'll see what what the negotiations up or
35:42
Speaker 1: whether the negotiations is just to fake out that basically
35:49
Speaker 1: basically is allowing the basically allowing the Americans to get
35:56
Speaker 1: ready for the next phase, which is basically opening up
36:02
Speaker 1: the streets and foremost, All right, let's see what else
36:05
Speaker 1: did I want to cover with regard to Oh, yeah,
36:10
Speaker 1: I mean yeah, I have to mention this because it's
36:13
Speaker 1: it's just it's not amusing. It is amusing. It's shocking
36:19
Speaker 1: that it's amusing. But it is amusing, but it's shocking
36:22
Speaker 1: that it is so. Just a few minutes before Trump
36:28
Speaker 1: announced that he was negotiating with the Iranians and delaying
36:34
Speaker 1: the attack on the power plant, which was bound to
36:38
Speaker 1: affect stock prices and old prices. Just a few minutes
36:44
Speaker 1: right literally, there was a shop an isolated jump in
36:51
Speaker 1: volume both of the S and P five hundred and
36:59
Speaker 1: on oil uturees. Right so, roughly fIF so at six
37:03
Speaker 1: fifty am, the S and P five hundred E mini
37:08
Speaker 1: futures traded had a sharp increase, as did oil, a
37:14
Speaker 1: shorting a volume to short oil because it's heading down.
37:22
Speaker 1: Roughly fifteen minutes later, at seven h five am, Trump
37:26
Speaker 1: made the announcement, and all prices tumbled and stock futures
37:31
Speaker 1: zoomed up. I mean, knowing when Trump zigs and zags
37:38
Speaker 1: is probably the most profitable trade in human history, never
37:45
Speaker 1: have has anybody, And this beats Pelosi and everybody never's
37:50
Speaker 1: anybody you know done better and inside information that whoever
37:56
Speaker 1: I assume the Trump family is doing with this. Trump
38:02
Speaker 1: zigzagging all day long, literally minutes before he makes an announcement,
38:06
Speaker 1: trade happens, and you can see this on every major
38:08
Speaker 1: announcement he makes. It truly is astounding. You know, in
38:13
Speaker 1: any other in any other context, in any other context,
38:18
Speaker 1: there would be investigations, the SEC would be looking at this.
38:22
Speaker 1: It's massive inside of trading. But it's always inside of
38:25
Speaker 1: trading with Trump. And yeah, I mean, think about how
38:29
Speaker 1: much money you could make knowing exactly what Trump is
38:32
Speaker 1: gonna make. It's gonna do. Now. I'm not against inside
38:36
Speaker 1: of trading except for politicians, because politicians can sway the news.
38:42
Speaker 1: They use force. It's just unbelievable to me that you know,
38:48
Speaker 1: a businessman who did something like this would go to
38:51
Speaker 1: jail for a long, long, long time. A politician, Eh,
38:55
Speaker 1: everybody just shrugs, Yeah, okay, what can we do? It's criminal.
39:02
Speaker 1: It really is criminal and horrific and disgusting that this
39:07
Speaker 1: is happening. Right, let's see, yeah, were not okay this.
39:32
Speaker 1: Central Commands said that they have conducted more than nine
39:35
Speaker 1: thousand strikes and you won since the war started with zero,
39:40
Speaker 1: zero casualties on the part of the American military making
39:44
Speaker 1: the strikes. Some on the ground sadly in quit, but
39:48
Speaker 1: zero of the fighters in the air, and they've sunk
39:53
Speaker 1: one hundred and forty Uranian naval vessels. One hundred and
39:56
Speaker 1: forty Nataniel says he spoke to Trump. Trump thinks he
40:07
Speaker 1: can leverage the military achievements against Ion to realize the
40:11
Speaker 1: objectives of the war in an agreement. But yeah, nobody
40:17
Speaker 1: knows if there's anybody on the site to have an
40:19
Speaker 1: agreement with. As I said earlier overnight, so Sunday night,
40:27
Speaker 1: Monday morning, Israel had a wave of strikes in the
40:30
Speaker 1: heart of Tehran. They targeted security headquarters of the IOCG
40:36
Speaker 1: more of the headquarters, and other targets all over the capital.
40:43
Speaker 1: The capital is booming the whole time, and as I said,
40:47
Speaker 1: airbone troops are probably on the way to Youon. It
40:54
Speaker 1: looks like three and thirty of you On's estimated four
40:57
Speaker 1: hundred and seventy ballistic missile launches are being destroyed. That's
41:00
Speaker 1: seventy more than half by direct strikes. The biggest challenges
41:06
Speaker 1: well in the United States have are those tunnels that
41:10
Speaker 1: we talked about, and that you know, the the Yes
41:14
Speaker 1: it's called the Yazad Yes railway inside the Granite mountain
41:19
Speaker 1: is still operating five hundred meters depth. Nothing can reach
41:24
Speaker 1: that level of depth other than maybe special forces they
41:29
Speaker 1: go in there and bottom the thing from the inside.
41:33
Speaker 1: You know, there's just they've done what they can. I
41:35
Speaker 1: think they're kietting the manufacturing facilities outside, the pots facility outside.
41:42
Speaker 1: They can't get inside that mountain, and that that will
41:45
Speaker 1: survive the war. And one of the things that they're
41:48
Speaker 1: going to have to be able to do in a
41:50
Speaker 1: negotiated settlement is find a way to guarantee that that
41:54
Speaker 1: is destroyed, put out of commission, whatever, that can't continue
42:00
Speaker 1: to exist. Otherwise the Inanians can say, oh, we're not
42:04
Speaker 1: gonna we're stopping the missiles and then continue building them
42:07
Speaker 1: inside inside the mountain without without anybody, anybody paying attention.
42:14
Speaker 1: Note that the amount of missiles being launched down ninety
42:18
Speaker 1: from the beginning of the war. They're stable. They're still
42:21
Speaker 1: launching every day in many missiles, but not many few missiles,
42:25
Speaker 1: but in many bearages, which is basically a way to
42:28
Speaker 1: harass people, not to do a lot of damage. Let's see. Yeah,
42:37
Speaker 1: I mean, what else did I want to tell you?
42:44
Speaker 1: There's some discussion in Israel about the goals achieved and
42:50
Speaker 1: whether those goals, how many, how many of the goals
42:52
Speaker 1: have been achieved, and there's there's disagreement, as they usually is,
42:57
Speaker 1: between the Mossad, the equivalent of the Sea, and the
43:01
Speaker 1: Israeli Army intelligence. Just like in the United States, they
43:04
Speaker 1: often disagree. Army intelligence basically is saying, you know, we've
43:09
Speaker 1: achieved almost all the goals that we had, We've taken
43:12
Speaker 1: out the facilities we wanted to take out, We've taken
43:15
Speaker 1: out most of the people we wanted to take out.
43:17
Speaker 1: By the way, over the weekend, Israel took out and
43:21
Speaker 1: at least one, maybe several remaining engineers and scientists in
43:25
Speaker 1: the nuclear program. So one of a senior member of
43:29
Speaker 1: the engineering department of a university in Tehran that worked
43:34
Speaker 1: on the missile program was taken out at his home,
43:38
Speaker 1: and a number of others have been killed. So we've
43:41
Speaker 1: killed the people we want to kill, We've taken out
43:44
Speaker 1: what we need to take out. So Israeli Army intelligence
43:47
Speaker 1: pretty happy. Most that is not most. That is bigger goals.
43:50
Speaker 1: They are the ones advocating for regime change and think
43:53
Speaker 1: that that is possible. They want this to continue so
43:57
Speaker 1: they can continue weakening of the regime and the forces
44:00
Speaker 1: it can put into place to attack their own population.
44:05
Speaker 1: The most truly believes that post conflict, once the fighting
44:10
Speaker 1: is over, the Iranian people will rise up, and that
44:14
Speaker 1: they will find allies within moderate leadership within Iran and
44:19
Speaker 1: potentially some of the military leadership. So there is still
44:24
Speaker 1: a strong belief among some israelis not all that, you know,
44:30
Speaker 1: the goal of the goal of regime change is indeed
44:36
Speaker 1: possible and will indeed be happening. We will find we
44:44
Speaker 1: will find out if that happens in the days weeks
44:47
Speaker 1: to come. It's it's going to be interesting. Yeah, how
44:56
Speaker 1: to tell if any of this is right. But the
44:58
Speaker 1: stories here to say over three thousand troops from the
45:02
Speaker 1: eighty second Airborne have already arrived in the Middle East,
45:06
Speaker 1: and many more more on the way. There us a saying,
45:14
Speaker 1: you know, a bunch of equipment has arrived with them,
45:17
Speaker 1: helicopters and a bunch of other stuff. So you know,
45:20
Speaker 1: you know those massive airplanes, what do they call them,
45:23
Speaker 1: the super Galaxy, the Super galaxies. A bunch of them
45:27
Speaker 1: have flown from the US to the Middle East overnight,
45:30
Speaker 1: and that they are in play, all right, I think
45:38
Speaker 1: that is That is the update. Basically, these negotiations. Nobody
45:43
Speaker 1: knows what's going on with them. And the fact is
45:49
Speaker 1: that the United States and Israel continue to bomb you on,
45:53
Speaker 1: continue to take out regime assets, continue to dominate the Uranians,
45:58
Speaker 1: and assets are being put in assets of being put
46:01
Speaker 1: in place. Uh, you know, by the Americans to potentially
46:06
Speaker 1: open up the Homost Straits. It looks like by taking
46:11
Speaker 1: some of the islands, putting putting boots on the ground,
46:14
Speaker 1: putting boots on the ground. But you know, it's it's
46:19
Speaker 1: hard to tell. It's how to tell at this point.
46:21
Speaker 1: Uh yeah, I mean, now, now we're getting report after
46:25
Speaker 1: a report of lists of equipment and list of troops
46:28
Speaker 1: that are heading to the Middle at So again, how
46:30
Speaker 1: to tell how much of this is reality and how
46:33
Speaker 1: much is this rumors and fog of war and all
46:36
Speaker 1: of that good stuff. Yeah, I mean the one I'll
46:42
Speaker 1: tell you this. The UAE and potentially Saudi Arabia do
46:46
Speaker 1: not want to deal. The UAE and Saudi Arabia wants
46:50
Speaker 1: the Iranians devastated, destroyed. They want regime change. I don't
46:56
Speaker 1: think they want necessarily a secular regime change, but they
46:59
Speaker 1: want these people out. They want the Iranian military completely destroyed.
47:05
Speaker 1: They do not want to live with the consequences of
47:10
Speaker 1: just a weekend Iran. Now it's it's a very weekend.
47:13
Speaker 1: It's even if it ended today, it would you very weekend.
47:16
Speaker 1: But they they want they want this ended and ended properly. Right,
47:24
Speaker 1: so you know we will see, right, Sentcom Commander just
47:35
Speaker 1: put out a message to the Ranian people, or did
47:38
Speaker 1: that a few hours ago? Uh so, so again there's
47:42
Speaker 1: a there's a campaign with the Amanian people to try
47:45
Speaker 1: to get them ultimately when all this is done, to
47:49
Speaker 1: to take them out. All right, here's the Ranians just
47:59
Speaker 1: to see how nice nicely leadership is. This is one
48:03
Speaker 1: of the one of the toolers saying saying yesterday over
48:09
Speaker 1: the weekend, actually he said, no, this is to the
48:14
Speaker 1: Uranian people. No that if one day you try to
48:17
Speaker 1: overthrow us, we will scorch this land in such a
48:21
Speaker 1: way that you will not be able to rebuild Iran
48:24
Speaker 1: even in a hundred years. That's their leaders, that's what
48:30
Speaker 1: they're being told all right, But yeah, Saudis are going
48:40
Speaker 1: after the Ranians. The UE is going after the Ranians.
48:44
Speaker 1: And if you win this, if you take out this regime,
48:47
Speaker 1: it's a new Middle East. It's a completely new Middle East,
48:50
Speaker 1: and it's a completely new Muslim world. It shakes up
48:54
Speaker 1: and completely transforms the entire the entire womb in the
48:58
Speaker 1: entire world. All right. US officials think that there's just
49:10
Speaker 1: like a dozen mines in the Gulf, you know, as
49:14
Speaker 1: long as they don't lay more mines. They think that
49:17
Speaker 1: there's just a dozen. Again, the US doesn't have the
49:20
Speaker 1: most sophisticated minesweepers. Are they going to need the help
49:24
Speaker 1: of some of the allies. But twenty one country signed
49:28
Speaker 1: up last Friday to help the United States, including the
49:33
Speaker 1: UAE and Bahrain, and in Japan and many European countries.
49:39
Speaker 1: So those kind of assets should be in play and
49:42
Speaker 1: should be moving into the area from these countries in
49:47
Speaker 1: the days to come. All right, It's like the stuff
49:54
Speaker 1: from Pakistan just keeps on rolling in. Pakistan has proposed
49:58
Speaker 1: that USC round talks take place in the capital of
50:00
Speaker 1: Islamabad as early as this week. Pakistan's principal decision maker
50:06
Speaker 1: spoke with you President Trump on the matter yesterday with
50:09
Speaker 1: Pakistani prime minister held talks with the Iranian president earlier today. Yeah,
50:14
Speaker 1: I mean that's the thing. They're talking to the president.
50:17
Speaker 1: The president's irrelevant. The president has been basically shut down
50:20
Speaker 1: by the GC. So yeah, I mean, it's all talk.
50:25
Speaker 1: It's all talk at this point. All right, A few
50:31
Speaker 1: other things. Given all prices where they are in the US,
50:36
Speaker 1: the United States is experiencing a massive oil export boom.
50:40
Speaker 1: The United States is exporting like crazy. You know, it's
50:46
Speaker 1: the largest exporterer now in the world, has been for
50:48
Speaker 1: a while. It's exporting. It hit three point nine billion bowels.
50:52
Speaker 1: I guess the date, and you know it's uh well, no,
51:01
Speaker 1: three put nine billion is in twenty twenty five. But
51:05
Speaker 1: they are, you know, I'm sure oil is just flowing
51:08
Speaker 1: out right now now. Again. The United States also inputs
51:10
Speaker 1: a lot of oil, right, for example, export one type
51:13
Speaker 1: of oil to Mexico and input from Mexico a different
51:16
Speaker 1: type of old Why because our refineries, many of the
51:21
Speaker 1: refineris in the United States are good at refining heavy oil.
51:25
Speaker 1: Mexico Venezuela, Canada. Finers in Mexico might be really good
51:30
Speaker 1: at refining light oil Texas oil, so we ship it
51:33
Speaker 1: over there and shipped back refined products, and we ship
51:38
Speaker 1: in the oil and refine it in the United States.
51:41
Speaker 1: So there's constant back and forth of oil. Oil markets
51:46
Speaker 1: are global, and there's not one type of oil. The
51:49
Speaker 1: many types of oil. So important to note. You'll see
51:52
Speaker 1: a lot of stuff about oil, and but you know,
51:58
Speaker 1: the United States export oil. It's the number one country
52:03
Speaker 1: that inputs oil from the United States is the Netherlands.
52:07
Speaker 1: And not because the Netherlands uses all that oil. It
52:12
Speaker 1: imports more than eleven percent of American oil. It's because
52:15
Speaker 1: it then refines it and then sells it to other
52:19
Speaker 1: European countries. Mexico imputs another ten percent of American oil. Again,
52:26
Speaker 1: Mexico has its own oil, but Mexican oil, at least
52:29
Speaker 1: some of it, is a different type of oil than
52:32
Speaker 1: the oil they bring in from the United States. So
52:34
Speaker 1: it's a complicated picture when we talk about oil. The
52:38
Speaker 1: oil in the Gulf is light oil. It's not the
52:45
Speaker 1: kind of heavy oil that comes out of Mexico and
52:47
Speaker 1: comes out of Canada. It's much more similar, i think
52:50
Speaker 1: to Texas oil. So it's a direct competition all right,
52:58
Speaker 1: also relevant to oil. Well, last night, I think it
53:02
Speaker 1: was last night the Ukrainians carried out a Ukrainians carried
53:07
Speaker 1: out a drone strike a thousand kilometers away from Ukraine,
53:15
Speaker 1: way inside Russia. About fifty Ukrainian drones hit the port
53:21
Speaker 1: of pre Mosques. It's in the Leningrad region and Leningrad Leningred.
53:30
Speaker 1: Whoever talks about Leningrad is in Lenigred's in petersbook. I
53:33
Speaker 1: think Leningrad is in Petersburg. It is because it's a
53:39
Speaker 1: major port. I guess the region is still called Lenigrad. Okay,
53:42
Speaker 1: the region is called Lenigrad, even though the city is
53:45
Speaker 1: not called Lenigrad anymore. So this is pra Mosca is
53:51
Speaker 1: about one thousand kilometers nine and twenty kilometers from Ukraine.
53:54
Speaker 1: So that's an amazing reach that these drones have. These
53:59
Speaker 1: drones were not shut down, and this port handles about
54:05
Speaker 1: sixty percent of russia seaborne oil exports. And they lit
54:10
Speaker 1: it up. They destroyed big chunks of the port, they
54:14
Speaker 1: blew up a bunch of oil reserves tanks. They're attacking
54:22
Speaker 1: the oil export business that the Russians have. Now, this
54:26
Speaker 1: is going to piss off Trump. Royally because this everything
54:31
Speaker 1: else with constant discient of itself, is going to raise
54:36
Speaker 1: the price of oil in the world. The Trumpet deministration
54:39
Speaker 1: has eliminated the you know, the what do you call it,
54:45
Speaker 1: the limits on the ability to buy Russian oil in
54:48
Speaker 1: order to lower the price of oil, and now the
54:51
Speaker 1: Ukrainians are going ahead and destroying it. So Trump is
54:56
Speaker 1: not going to like this. But Putin must be panicking.
55:00
Speaker 1: I mean, the Ukrainians now have better drones, better drone capabilities.
55:08
Speaker 1: They can reach deep into Russia than Russia has. Now.
55:13
Speaker 1: It's true, Russia has more missiles, ballistic missiles, other missiles,
55:17
Speaker 1: cruise missiles than the Ukrainians are but the Ukrainians als
55:20
Speaker 1: are very good at shooting them down. Ukrainians are particularly
55:23
Speaker 1: good at shooting down drones. The Russians are not as good.
55:31
Speaker 1: So the Ukrainians now have military capability that the Russians
55:34
Speaker 1: just can't handle, right, and they're showing that they drones,
55:44
Speaker 1: their drone industry is now, you know, best of class.
55:54
Speaker 1: It's ignoring the United States, it's going after Russia's oil
55:58
Speaker 1: infrastructure even though Trump wants them not to. And yeah,
56:05
Speaker 1: I mean it's it is pretty amazing that they have
56:10
Speaker 1: been able to do this. In addition, you know, they
56:15
Speaker 1: now have the capability again of reaching a thousand kilometers
56:18
Speaker 1: into Russia and as a consequence, they are taking out
56:24
Speaker 1: real strategic assets of the Russians. On top of that,
56:28
Speaker 1: on the battlefield, Ukraine has suddenly on the offensive because
56:33
Speaker 1: the Russians lost connection to Starlink. Since they lost it
56:37
Speaker 1: about a month and a half ago, they are being
56:39
Speaker 1: complete disarray. The Ukrainian forces have made real progress on
56:44
Speaker 1: the ground. They have made some of their biggest territorial
56:48
Speaker 1: gains in more than two years, particularly in the south
56:53
Speaker 1: of the country. And you know, the Russians, Russians are
56:59
Speaker 1: losing huge numbers of troops. They are mounting, they're trying
57:03
Speaker 1: to mountain offensive in the north in Donesque, and yet
57:06
Speaker 1: they're getting crushed and they're losing thousands of soldiers. I mean,
57:13
Speaker 1: the way in Ukraine is not going well for Putin,
57:17
Speaker 1: not going well for Putin all. Now, the amount of
57:19
Speaker 1: territory the Ukrainians are gaining is still small, it's still
57:23
Speaker 1: not significant and large, but they're advancing. Their weapons are
57:29
Speaker 1: getting better. I just saw that they're using these robotic
57:35
Speaker 1: kind of machine guns, robots that go out without and
57:40
Speaker 1: you know, like like autonomous little tanks that can go out.
57:44
Speaker 1: They're using technology. They've got a military industry that is
57:48
Speaker 1: top notch. Now the equipment is far better than anything
57:53
Speaker 1: the Russians have. And again the Russians are handicapped by
57:59
Speaker 1: the fact that they do not have stalling. Russia is
58:03
Speaker 1: very dependent on stalling to run his drone program. And
58:06
Speaker 1: without stalling, there's been a massive dramatic drop in the
58:10
Speaker 1: number of drones coming after them on the battlefield. They're
58:13
Speaker 1: still hitting infrastructure deep insight, but on the battlefield those
58:17
Speaker 1: are guided by satellites I guess Russian satellites, but they
58:20
Speaker 1: can't do it insteads the battlefield of the drones. So
58:27
Speaker 1: it's going to be interesting. Russia's also talking about shutting
58:30
Speaker 1: down Telegram. The telegram is the app that the Ukrainians
58:34
Speaker 1: that the Russians are using to communicate on the battlefield.
58:38
Speaker 1: If the Russian government shuts it down, it'll be difficult,
58:42
Speaker 1: even more difficult to communicate than it was before. Ukraine
58:48
Speaker 1: is slowly now, you know, we're heading into the spring.
58:52
Speaker 1: The spring is the time of offensive. The Russians are
58:56
Speaker 1: still going to try to capture bigger parts of Donsk
59:00
Speaker 1: during the spring where the weather gets better. Are the
59:03
Speaker 1: Ukrainians though, because they are harassing the Russians in the
59:07
Speaker 1: south and taking territory in the Russia from the Russians
59:10
Speaker 1: in the south, are going to force the Russians to
59:12
Speaker 1: have to distract some of the forces that they would
59:14
Speaker 1: have wanted to use on the defensive to put on
59:17
Speaker 1: the defensive. If telegram is cut off the Russians and
59:23
Speaker 1: big problems. But this is the thing. Putin is isolated.
59:28
Speaker 1: He you know, it's a it's a Russian disaster right now.
59:33
Speaker 1: It has been from the beginning of the war, but
59:36
Speaker 1: it's just getting worse and it's dragging out with no success.
59:41
Speaker 1: One wonders what the people around Putin are thinking, what
59:47
Speaker 1: you know, what Putin is thinking, and how desperate Putin
59:50
Speaker 1: is getting there Rumors now, rumors now coming out of
59:55
Speaker 1: Russia and coming out of the Baltic states, that the
59:58
Speaker 1: Russians are preparing an offensive on the Baltics, which would
1:00:03
Speaker 1: be suicide. It's not clear if that's divert attention or
1:00:08
Speaker 1: to confuse or to scare, or whether they're serious and
1:00:11
Speaker 1: they think the Europeans won't must defense and won't come
1:00:16
Speaker 1: and join the Baltics, in particular Estonia. They're starting to
1:00:21
Speaker 1: talk about all those Russians in Estonia, just like they
1:00:23
Speaker 1: talked about the Russians in Ukraine, and they're going to
1:00:26
Speaker 1: go in and liberate the Russians in Estonia. So a
1:00:29
Speaker 1: lot of chatter about the Russians attacking the Baltic states. Again.
1:00:37
Speaker 1: We will see, we will see what actually manifests. I'm
1:00:39
Speaker 1: not gonna say it can't happen. Putin is crazy and societal,
1:00:44
Speaker 1: so it's possible. But I think if he does that
1:00:49
Speaker 1: and the Europeans are serious, and I think they have
1:00:52
Speaker 1: to be serious, then that is the end of the
1:00:56
Speaker 1: Russian military. With the exception of nukes. All they will
1:01:00
Speaker 1: have at that point is the option to use nukes.
1:01:03
Speaker 1: They won't have anything else, and you get World War
1:01:07
Speaker 1: III if the Russians, if puts into sides, really is suicidal,
1:01:12
Speaker 1: And then the question is are the people around who
1:01:14
Speaker 1: don't want to die who stop him? Yeah? All right,
1:01:33
Speaker 1: let's go to some domestic stories. You know, TSA is struggling.
1:01:40
Speaker 1: TSA agents are not getting paid. I feel really bad
1:01:43
Speaker 1: for them ts agents that aren't getting paid I mean,
1:01:47
Speaker 1: I would like to see tsa shut down. It would
1:01:49
Speaker 1: make it puts a lot more pleasant, but it's not
1:01:53
Speaker 1: going to be. So you're getting amazing, just unbelievable lines
1:02:00
Speaker 1: are not coming to work, is not getting paid. The
1:02:02
Speaker 1: ones that are coming to work, I think are just
1:02:04
Speaker 1: working slow up because they're not getting paid. And they're
1:02:07
Speaker 1: not getting paid because a bill to authorize their budget
1:02:11
Speaker 1: has not been approved. Democrats are holding it up because
1:02:15
Speaker 1: they've insisting on reforms to ICE. ICE is part of
1:02:19
Speaker 1: this right, Ice is part of the Homeland security bill.
1:02:24
Speaker 1: Republicans are not willing to budge. They're not willing to
1:02:28
Speaker 1: limit ICE. You know, Democrats want reasonable things like body cams,
1:02:33
Speaker 1: no masks, things like that. The Trumpet administration is not
1:02:36
Speaker 1: willing to budge on these things. Right, And somebody says,
1:02:42
Speaker 1: do you think US would stop Russia if they took Estonia?
1:02:46
Speaker 1: Maybe not, But Europe doesn't need the United States to
1:02:49
Speaker 1: take out Russia. Russia is history if the Europeans get involved.
1:02:54
Speaker 1: Upeans have F thirty five's which the Russians cannot can't
1:02:58
Speaker 1: deal with. They have Fenchet planes they can't deal with.
1:03:02
Speaker 1: They have you know, they have Finland and Sweden. They
1:03:07
Speaker 1: have tanks. The Russians don't know what to do with
1:03:12
Speaker 1: Europe has. Europe militarily, even as weak as it is,
1:03:16
Speaker 1: is much stronger than anything Russia has left. I mean,
1:03:21
Speaker 1: most of the advanced weapons that Russia through Ukraine have
1:03:23
Speaker 1: been destroyed. They have no more TTD two's, the T
1:03:27
Speaker 1: seventy two's of garbage. They always have been garbage, you know,
1:03:30
Speaker 1: but they're an old tank anyway. There's just nothing there.
1:03:33
Speaker 1: The Russian army is pathetic. Other than nukes, it is
1:03:38
Speaker 1: completely and utterly useless. And Europeans, as weak as they are,
1:03:44
Speaker 1: far outstripped the Russians in terms of weapons, systems, sophistication, technology,
1:03:50
Speaker 1: pretty much everything. Russia has nothing, really nothing. Rather than
1:03:55
Speaker 1: they're willing to throw people into meat grinders, they're willing
1:03:59
Speaker 1: to get their own people killed. That's been the method
1:04:02
Speaker 1: of war the Russians have engaged in forever, and Europeans
1:04:07
Speaker 1: can oblige them by killing them. All right. So the
1:04:11
Speaker 1: idea is, would Europe respond if Russia invaded Estonia? And
1:04:16
Speaker 1: I think the answer is yes. I think the French,
1:04:19
Speaker 1: the Germans, the Brits, certainly, the Scandinavians. I mean imagine
1:04:24
Speaker 1: if Finland doesn't I can't imagine Finland don't responding. And
1:04:33
Speaker 1: Russians is no match for the Germans, French, Finns, Swedes combined,
1:04:38
Speaker 1: I mean UK They're not even close. They all fly
1:04:43
Speaker 1: European tech and American tech that is far far superior,
1:04:47
Speaker 1: far far superior. Oh and then there's Poland, which has
1:04:51
Speaker 1: the largest military force right now in Europe. I mean
1:04:55
Speaker 1: Poland by itself would defeat Russia easily. I mean, Ukraine
1:04:59
Speaker 1: has got Russia stalemated. Imagine what Poland would do to
1:05:02
Speaker 1: the Russian army. It would crush it. The only thing
1:05:05
Speaker 1: Russia has, the only thing Russia has a nukes all right,
1:05:10
Speaker 1: back to hss so hssh so TSA is is basically
1:05:16
Speaker 1: massive lines. People upset. People are blaming the Trump administration.
1:05:20
Speaker 1: Trump doesn't like that. So over the weekend they have
1:05:25
Speaker 1: announced the administration has announced that they are sending ice agents,
1:05:30
Speaker 1: ice offices. You remember those masked thugs. They're sending the
1:05:34
Speaker 1: mass thugs to airports to help help the TSA. And
1:05:39
Speaker 1: by the way, if they're at the airport already, they
1:05:42
Speaker 1: matter as what round up whatever you legal immigrants are
1:05:44
Speaker 1: trying to fly? I mean, it's it's I mean, can
1:05:50
Speaker 1: you imagine the havoc this is going to create within
1:05:55
Speaker 1: I mean, I wonder if they're going to ask some
1:05:56
Speaker 1: of the Hispanic TSA agents what their legal status is
1:05:59
Speaker 1: in the States. A lot of the TSA agents, uh,
1:06:04
Speaker 1: you know, might be immigrants, who knows, but you know,
1:06:07
Speaker 1: what's the status? And imagine if they start pulling people
1:06:13
Speaker 1: out of the lions at the airport's If you think
1:06:16
Speaker 1: TSA lines are messed right now, imagine what would happen
1:06:19
Speaker 1: if people start yelling at the ICE agents and resisting
1:06:23
Speaker 1: and isa is is are pulling people out of the
1:06:24
Speaker 1: line and there's confrontation that people are filming. I mean,
1:06:28
Speaker 1: it becomes the airport becomes a complete and other on
1:06:31
Speaker 1: Equivocal's zoo. This isn't gonna be helpful for the TSA.
1:06:37
Speaker 1: It's going to be a massive disaster for the TSA.
1:06:40
Speaker 1: And what are they gonna do? ICE is not trained
1:06:43
Speaker 1: at looking at those X ray machines, right either for
1:06:46
Speaker 1: people or for the luggage. You need training for that.
1:06:50
Speaker 1: I mean, so they can't do that. So we're exactly
1:06:54
Speaker 1: getting they help. But you know they're going to check
1:06:56
Speaker 1: your driver's license and Oh, since they have your driver's
1:07:00
Speaker 1: he says, let me also check your citizenship status. So
1:07:04
Speaker 1: people are not gonna fly because they're not gonna be
1:07:06
Speaker 1: you want to have rasped by I mean, it's just
1:07:09
Speaker 1: you can imagine all the different ways this could go wrong,
1:07:13
Speaker 1: all the different ways this could go on. It is true,
1:07:16
Speaker 1: lanes will get smaller because anybody who doesn't want to
1:07:19
Speaker 1: get out rasped by ICE will not go to the airport,
1:07:21
Speaker 1: but demonstrators might go to the airport just for fun.
1:07:29
Speaker 1: So it's gonna be I mean, just who came up
1:07:35
Speaker 1: with this plan? And what is the purpose? What is
1:07:39
Speaker 1: the purpose? I mean, supposedly this to alleviate ICE officers
1:07:45
Speaker 1: will begin assisting TSA. A shutdown frustrates travelers and screeners,
1:07:49
Speaker 1: and this is gonna make things better. Oh my god,
1:07:58
Speaker 1: I mean TSA secret service and coast guards are working
1:08:02
Speaker 1: without paid. I think ICE is getting paid, but all
1:08:05
Speaker 1: these other people are not being paid. Now, supposedly, as
1:08:14
Speaker 1: a consequence of all this mass, the Republicans are starting
1:08:19
Speaker 1: to compromise and be willing to compromise with the Democrats
1:08:23
Speaker 1: and come up with a plan for approving a budget
1:08:26
Speaker 1: and allowing for some of these modifications for the way
1:08:30
Speaker 1: ICE functions, which is all for better, but god, what
1:08:36
Speaker 1: a you know, what a piece of work. You know.
1:08:42
Speaker 1: Supposedly Tom Holman, who was right, who's not only the
1:08:46
Speaker 1: what is the the the immigrations are but he's also
1:08:50
Speaker 1: now leading the new airport security effort. I just don't
1:08:54
Speaker 1: understand it. He's us a meeting with the bipartisan group
1:08:57
Speaker 1: of senators to try to come up with a deal.
1:09:01
Speaker 1: He says, there's good conversation, but they hope to get
1:09:05
Speaker 1: a deal soon. And he is going to become increased
1:09:11
Speaker 1: role in the immigration and customs enforcement at airports and
1:09:16
Speaker 1: as well as TSA and anyway, he says, it's a
1:09:22
Speaker 1: work in progress. The larger airports where there's a long
1:09:26
Speaker 1: wait like three hours, somehow ICE is going to make
1:09:28
Speaker 1: their way shorter. All right, I'm glad I'm not flying
1:09:34
Speaker 1: for the next two weeks. It supposely Atlanta was particularly bad.
1:09:39
Speaker 1: So I am flying through Atlanta in three weeks, so hopefully,
1:09:44
Speaker 1: hopefully by then, I do have TSA PRE and I
1:09:47
Speaker 1: have CLEAR, and so hopefully with TSA PRE and CLEAR,
1:09:51
Speaker 1: things a little faster. But yeah, yeah, I mean a
1:10:00
Speaker 1: wing in a prayer right, I mean, I don't know
1:10:02
Speaker 1: what they're thinking. So yeah, Democrats and Republicans negotiating. Hopefully
1:10:09
Speaker 1: there'll be a deal soon. All right, all right? On yesterday,
1:10:17
Speaker 1: I guess was it yesterday? No? Two days ago, on Saturday,
1:10:21
Speaker 1: Robert Mueller died at age eighty one. Of course, Donald
1:10:27
Speaker 1: Trump immediately tweeted out, good, I'm glad that he is dead.
1:10:36
Speaker 1: It is really unbelievable what a lowlife a president really is.
1:10:42
Speaker 1: Just to despicable, horrible human being. Now, you know, you know,
1:10:48
Speaker 1: we're talking about Robert Muller, who let me just.
1:10:55
Speaker 2: Huh, we're talking about a former FBI director.
1:11:08
Speaker 1: Who was uh you know, went to Penston uh he
1:11:15
Speaker 1: he uh. He led a platoon in Vietnam. Right, he
1:11:19
Speaker 1: was commissioned in the Marine's Corps. Let a platoon in Vietnam. No,
1:11:24
Speaker 1: I'm saying one of my I'm sorry, there was some
1:11:28
Speaker 1: a little bit of confusion here on my thing. What
1:11:35
Speaker 1: am I looking at? Okay? Sorry? Uh? Mule enlisted. He
1:11:51
Speaker 1: didn't listened in the Marine Corps. He he He went
1:11:54
Speaker 1: to Vietnam. He trained as an army ranger, trained his
1:11:59
Speaker 1: Army drop school as a parachuter. Right, he led combat
1:12:04
Speaker 1: platoons throughout nineteen sixty eight in Vietnam. He was wounded.
1:12:09
Speaker 1: He received numerous decorations, you know, a number of you know,
1:12:16
Speaker 1: and we're talking about we're talking about a war hero
1:12:19
Speaker 1: from the Vietnam War. He left the military, went to
1:12:25
Speaker 1: law school, spent a decade, spend you know, twelve years
1:12:32
Speaker 1: as director of the FBI. He was appointed to the
1:12:35
Speaker 1: FBI like a week before nine to eleven, Right, so
1:12:42
Speaker 1: he was in charge of the FBI right in the
1:12:44
Speaker 1: aftermath of nine to eleven. The completely structuring of the
1:12:47
Speaker 1: FBI to take into account terrorist attacks and the threat
1:12:52
Speaker 1: that nine to eleven represented, overhauled the entire bureau. And
1:13:01
Speaker 1: you know, they weren't that many terist attacks post nine
1:13:03
Speaker 1: to eleven. And some of that is due to the
1:13:05
Speaker 1: work that he did at the FBI. Now, why does
1:13:09
Speaker 1: Trump hate him so much? Because during Trump's first term,
1:13:15
Speaker 1: the Justice Department, a Republican justice department, a Trump appointed
1:13:19
Speaker 1: Justice department, an attorney general appointed by Trump, actually appointed
1:13:26
Speaker 1: Muller to investigate the Trump campaign's coordination or communication potential
1:13:35
Speaker 1: with Russia. His investigation concluded that Russia interfered in the
1:13:40
Speaker 1: election on Trump's behalf and that to Trump campaigned welcomed the help,
1:13:48
Speaker 1: but they ultimately found insufficient evidence of a criminal conspiracy
1:13:52
Speaker 1: and did not make a prosecutre prosecutorial decision about whether
1:13:56
Speaker 1: Trump had obstructed justice. He said, following tradition, we're not
1:14:00
Speaker 1: going to prosecute. I'm not going to accuse a sitting president.
1:14:03
Speaker 1: And he kind of left it ambiguous about whether Trump
1:14:06
Speaker 1: had obstructed justice. He's pretty clear that he did. Trump
1:14:11
Speaker 1: was on line throughout the two year investigation by Trump
1:14:14
Speaker 1: himself regularly derided it as a witch hunt. Uh but
1:14:19
Speaker 1: you know, Muller, who was a Republican, basically was not
1:14:22
Speaker 1: a Democrat. He was Robert Mueller was a Republican and
1:14:28
Speaker 1: because of that, because he was a special counsel investigating
1:14:33
Speaker 1: Russian meddling in the first election. This is what this
1:14:38
Speaker 1: is what Trump tweeted. Robert Mueller just died. Good. I'm
1:14:42
Speaker 1: glad he's dead. He no longer heard innocent people. An
1:14:47
Speaker 1: American war hero, a veteran, remember Trump, you know, never
1:14:53
Speaker 1: so evaded the draft. He Mueller was a distinguished I
1:15:02
Speaker 1: guess head of the FBI at a really crucial time,
1:15:08
Speaker 1: and by all accounts, a pretty pretty decent guy. Pretty
1:15:13
Speaker 1: good guy, pretty you know, and this is how you
1:15:17
Speaker 1: cheat him. The FBI Agents Association announcing the death side
1:15:30
Speaker 1: of Mulla's commitment to public service in the FBI's mission.
1:15:34
Speaker 1: The head of the fbiksh Pateel, didn't say anything because
1:15:41
Speaker 1: because she's a loyalist of Donald Trump's. Mulo is the
1:15:44
Speaker 1: second longest serving FBI director in FBI history after j
1:15:49
Speaker 1: Edgar Hooova. He was there from two thousand and I
1:15:54
Speaker 1: guess twenty and one until twenty thirteen, and yeah, I
1:16:02
Speaker 1: mean eighty one. It's you know, but the kind of
1:16:08
Speaker 1: responsor Trump did, it's just despicable. I mean, it's the
1:16:11
Speaker 1: president of the United States. It's not jump just some
1:16:14
Speaker 1: real estate asshole. He's the president of the United States.
1:16:18
Speaker 1: You think he'd a little bit of dignity or just
1:16:21
Speaker 1: shut up, not say anything. Yeah, I mean, think about
1:16:32
Speaker 1: the fact that people did people did. When Charlie Coch
1:16:40
Speaker 1: was assassinated, there were some people in the left who
1:16:43
Speaker 1: celebrated that, who at least said good, and the right
1:16:46
Speaker 1: freaked out, freaked out about that. Now it's the President
1:16:51
Speaker 1: of the United States saying good, somebody died. That's good,
1:16:56
Speaker 1: really horrible, all right, quickly. France had municipal elections yesterday.
1:17:04
Speaker 1: I mean basically the municipal elections. A lot of different
1:17:07
Speaker 1: parties won different positions, but at the bottom line is
1:17:12
Speaker 1: that the far right, the you know, Mariella Penn's National
1:17:18
Speaker 1: Rally I did very well. They did very well outside
1:17:23
Speaker 1: of the big cities. The one big city they did
1:17:26
Speaker 1: wins Niece in the south of Fans, but they pretty
1:17:32
Speaker 1: much lost most of the cities. But they won like
1:17:36
Speaker 1: an additional fifty five municipalities above and beyond what they
1:17:39
Speaker 1: already had. Clearly they are building a political base to
1:17:46
Speaker 1: try to win the presidential election next year. The National
1:17:51
Speaker 1: Rally is, you know, is solidifying let's say, it's position
1:18:00
Speaker 1: in French politics, and it's not clear who can oppose
1:18:04
Speaker 1: them now. The way they lose, and they did lose,
1:18:07
Speaker 1: they lost Paris, but nobody thought they could win Paris.
1:18:10
Speaker 1: The Paris always goes left. They lost Marseille, but they
1:18:13
Speaker 1: got forty percent of the voting Marseille, which is huge.
1:18:17
Speaker 1: But the way they lose is that everybody else gangs
1:18:19
Speaker 1: up against them, and of course that's what potentially could
1:18:24
Speaker 1: happen in the national election for president. They could get
1:18:29
Speaker 1: the most votes in the first round and then in
1:18:31
Speaker 1: a runoff of the two candidates standing, all the opposition
1:18:35
Speaker 1: parties Left Right, SENA and Fall Left could all rally
1:18:40
Speaker 1: around the non National Rally candidates. That's how Mariella Penn
1:18:45
Speaker 1: lost last time. Marina Penn will not be running this time.
1:18:50
Speaker 1: It'll be Jordanne Badella. Badella, who is her number two,
1:18:54
Speaker 1: is a young guy. He will be running. She has
1:18:57
Speaker 1: been bought from running because of some campaign finance thing,
1:19:01
Speaker 1: and the courts bought her from running in France. But
1:19:06
Speaker 1: you know, but it is they did very well rule
1:19:11
Speaker 1: small mid sized cities all over France. In Paris itself,
1:19:16
Speaker 1: the socialist candidate, who is kind of center left Socialists
1:19:20
Speaker 1: is considered center left in France and beats out the
1:19:26
Speaker 1: conservative former culture minister. But this is a conservative, not
1:19:32
Speaker 1: the national Rally candidate. This is kind of the center
1:19:36
Speaker 1: right political party, which is the Conservative party. This will
1:19:40
Speaker 1: split in Paris if you look, the west part of
1:19:43
Speaker 1: Paris goes one way, the east part of Paris goes
1:19:47
Speaker 1: completely the other way. Suppose there's a long history of this.
1:19:54
Speaker 1: It's you know, the Conservative gets the votes from the
1:19:57
Speaker 1: wealthy parts of Paris and and the socialist gets it
1:20:02
Speaker 1: from the from the working class parts of Paris. Anyway,
1:20:07
Speaker 1: French elections. You also got elections in Germany where there
1:20:13
Speaker 1: was a there was a significant I think I got
1:20:18
Speaker 1: all of that. Yes, where there was a significant vote
1:20:22
Speaker 1: in a part of Germany on the west that usually
1:20:26
Speaker 1: went to the center left. This time it was won
1:20:29
Speaker 1: by the center right. The center left was eviscerated, and
1:20:33
Speaker 1: the a f D, kind of the far right German
1:20:36
Speaker 1: political party, did very, very well, the best it's ever done.
1:20:39
Speaker 1: And this is in a western part of Germany which
1:20:42
Speaker 1: is not part of the a f d's territory. AfD
1:20:45
Speaker 1: usually does well in the eastern parts of Ice. Again,
1:20:48
Speaker 1: far right political parties in Europe, at least in France
1:20:52
Speaker 1: and Germany, probably in Spain significantly on the rise. All right, Uh, okay,
1:21:02
Speaker 1: let's see if there was anything I missed. I got that,
1:21:05
Speaker 1: I got that. Yeah. Let's talk quickly about Chavez. We
1:21:10
Speaker 1: talked about this the other day about allegations about Chavez,
1:21:14
Speaker 1: says our Chavez, about all the sexual harassment, indeed rape
1:21:21
Speaker 1: that he that he has been accused of. Uh, says
1:21:25
Speaker 1: our Chavez was a hero within the Latino community. Is
1:21:29
Speaker 1: a hero within the union, within unions, particularly farm work
1:21:35
Speaker 1: are unions. He's the one who established the first farm
1:21:37
Speaker 1: of Okay Union in California. Uh. There are as I
1:21:41
Speaker 1: as I told you that hundreds, maybe thousands of places
1:21:44
Speaker 1: named after him, anything from schools, the streets, the parks. Uh. Anyway,
1:21:50
Speaker 1: there was a frantic effort in California and really all
1:21:53
Speaker 1: over the country to rename and to to to to
1:21:59
Speaker 1: rename it, to pull down his statues. You have to
1:22:02
Speaker 1: give credit to the left here. The people who toroll
1:22:07
Speaker 1: down statues of slave owners. Slave owners didn't contribute anything
1:22:12
Speaker 1: positive to the United States other than fighting a civil war.
1:22:17
Speaker 1: Those same people are now frantic about discovering that one
1:22:23
Speaker 1: of their heroes is the equivalent of slave owner, that is,
1:22:28
Speaker 1: a rapist and a sexual harasser. And as a consequence,
1:22:33
Speaker 1: they're not trying to defend him, They're not trying to
1:22:36
Speaker 1: rationalize his behavior as so many people do with some
1:22:40
Speaker 1: sexual harasses. Instead, they are writing him off, and they
1:22:47
Speaker 1: are frantically going around and pulling down, pulling down statues,
1:22:55
Speaker 1: renaming schools. It's a process. It's not gonnappen overnight. A
1:23:00
Speaker 1: lot of scissars. Shavi is streets in California. Those are
1:23:03
Speaker 1: going to change names. That will be interesting what they
1:23:05
Speaker 1: change them too. There's a Shavs Day holiday in the
1:23:09
Speaker 1: state of California. The legislation is going to have to
1:23:12
Speaker 1: change the name. And they will, you know that, once
1:23:16
Speaker 1: they discover how in Mollew these people, this person in particular, was,
1:23:23
Speaker 1: They're taking actions. So the name is disappearing, it's gone,
1:23:28
Speaker 1: it's going away. Somebody doesn't know who Jerry Falwell was. Wow,
1:23:34
Speaker 1: I must be getting old. Jerry Falwell was a hugely
1:23:38
Speaker 1: influential religious right character in the eighties and nineties, seventies, eighties, nineties,
1:23:44
Speaker 1: very very very influential. All Right, Finally, I think I
1:23:50
Speaker 1: think we discussed this on a question I got on
1:23:52
Speaker 1: a super chet. Maybe I don't know, but Affo Man
1:23:56
Speaker 1: we got to talk about Afomn. So Afo Man is
1:24:04
Speaker 1: some guy rapper, although I listened to the music that
1:24:07
Speaker 1: he got sued about and it's not really rap. It's
1:24:11
Speaker 1: kind of melodic anyway. Afro Man was sued by Ohio
1:24:16
Speaker 1: sheriff deputies after he wrote songs about them raiding his
1:24:22
Speaker 1: house under the suspicion that he was trafficking drugs and kidnapping.
1:24:28
Speaker 1: They found no drugs and they found no kidnapping victims,
1:24:32
Speaker 1: and he made fun of them. He made fun of
1:24:35
Speaker 1: them in a series of videos that he put up
1:24:41
Speaker 1: on YouTube. You can find them check out AFOMN. They're
1:24:44
Speaker 1: kind of funny. And here he's making fun and ridiculing
1:24:48
Speaker 1: the Ohio Riff's Department. Well, the High Chef's Department was
1:24:53
Speaker 1: insulted by these videos and sued him for deformation for
1:24:59
Speaker 1: three point nine million dollars. And Juey came down last
1:25:06
Speaker 1: week and found rightly fo man across the board. That is,
1:25:14
Speaker 1: they threw out the lawsuit completely. And this is great
1:25:21
Speaker 1: because this is this is somebody who has been treated unjustly.
1:25:28
Speaker 1: I mean, the cops literally broke down his door, search
1:25:31
Speaker 1: the whole place, and even one of the cops, one
1:25:33
Speaker 1: of the cops, and he makes fun of this. In
1:25:35
Speaker 1: the video, one of the cops is clearly eyeing the
1:25:39
Speaker 1: lemon pound cake on like in the kitchen. He's giving
1:25:45
Speaker 1: it a look like I want one of those slices.
1:25:47
Speaker 1: I want some of the lemon pound cake. And the
1:25:51
Speaker 1: cop is pretty big, so he eats a lot of
1:25:53
Speaker 1: lemon pound cake, I guess. And anyway, this is a
1:26:06
Speaker 1: free speech issue. It's great to see somebody standing up
1:26:10
Speaker 1: to the powers to be to the people who think
1:26:14
Speaker 1: they're immune, to people who think they can knock down
1:26:18
Speaker 1: your door and accuse you of all kinds of stuff.
1:26:20
Speaker 1: I don't know what the evidence against him was, but
1:26:22
Speaker 1: clearly they had no case. And then when they're criticized
1:26:26
Speaker 1: for it, Oh, they get upset and they sue you. No,
1:26:31
Speaker 1: you don't get to silence criticism. Particularly the time where
1:26:35
Speaker 1: the First Amendment is under threat by our president, by
1:26:39
Speaker 1: the President of the United States, by the FCC. It
1:26:42
Speaker 1: is great to see juries stand up for the First Amendment,
1:26:48
Speaker 1: stand up for the right to criticize, the right to
1:26:52
Speaker 1: tell the cops, the right to tell the government, the
1:26:55
Speaker 1: right to tell people with guns to go to help,
1:26:58
Speaker 1: go to help, particularly if you do it in a
1:27:01
Speaker 1: funny way. The songs, by the way, have security camera
1:27:06
Speaker 1: footage from the home, so they show them knocking down
1:27:12
Speaker 1: the door, coming in the gate, and there's a long
1:27:16
Speaker 1: segment of the video of the cop eyeing the lemon
1:27:21
Speaker 1: pound cake. He's now being dubbed Officer Lemon pound Cake.
1:27:29
Speaker 1: The poor cop was insulted, and he complained that people
1:27:34
Speaker 1: sent him hundreds of pounds of cake, hundreds hundreds of
1:27:38
Speaker 1: pound cakes, not hundreds of pounds hundreds of pound cakes
1:27:43
Speaker 1: at work, and that he was being harassed. And this
1:27:46
Speaker 1: is all because of the song. Therefore, the author the
1:27:50
Speaker 1: song should be in a sense band or the author
1:27:54
Speaker 1: of the song should pay them three point something million dollars.
1:27:57
Speaker 1: You can buy a lot of pound cake with that
1:27:59
Speaker 1: kind of money. So this is good. I mean, Remember,
1:28:03
Speaker 1: I mean, there's so many if you look at the
1:28:05
Speaker 1: history of American song, there are, I mean so many
1:28:10
Speaker 1: of the great songs in American history of protest songs.
1:28:13
Speaker 1: There are songs against the authorities, whether it's against the
1:28:18
Speaker 1: Vietnam War, or against racism, or against whatever the author
1:28:25
Speaker 1: thought was an injustice, whether you agree with it or not,
1:28:30
Speaker 1: these songs, I mean, this is part of a mechanisty.
1:28:34
Speaker 1: Now that I'm saying that Afroman's quality of the song,
1:28:38
Speaker 1: you know, rises to the quality of Nina Simon's Mississippi Goddamn.
1:28:42
Speaker 1: If you haven't heard Missisippi Goddamn, you should. It's a
1:28:44
Speaker 1: great song, or any of the protest songs in the
1:28:47
Speaker 1: nineteen sixties. You know, of course, we still nashing young
1:28:50
Speaker 1: Bob Dylan, Leonard Skinner whatever, you know, it doesn't rise
1:28:56
Speaker 1: to that level. But yeah, it's good to know that
1:29:01
Speaker 1: songs are still protected. And you remember the attempt of
1:29:05
Speaker 1: al Gore to rate songs, to have ratings. I think,
1:29:09
Speaker 1: I think we do. I think songs now albums have
1:29:13
Speaker 1: rating you know on them. Never used to have ratings.
1:29:16
Speaker 1: There was an attempt to really silence songs that tip
1:29:19
Speaker 1: a Gore, Algo's wife, the stuffy you know, Christian typ
1:29:26
Speaker 1: of goal was offended by certain songs, and therefore they
1:29:30
Speaker 1: need to be labeled as offensive songs. It's good to see.
1:29:35
Speaker 1: It's again good to see that this is this is
1:29:39
Speaker 1: that he was not silenced. All right. There's a good
1:29:42
Speaker 1: article by Greg Lukianov, Greg Lukianov, who's part of Fire,
1:29:48
Speaker 1: which defends issues of free speech. But check out Fire.
1:29:54
Speaker 1: Check out Greg Lukianov. It's called afore Man and the
1:29:57
Speaker 1: Sweet Sound of a Free Country. Free people are not
1:30:02
Speaker 1: required to speak to authority in the tone of a
1:30:05
Speaker 1: worried assistant dean. They're allowed to tell power to go
1:30:09
Speaker 1: to hell. Absolutely So I'm a Greg Lukiana from this
1:30:14
Speaker 1: and with Fire on this. Like most issues and free speech,
1:30:17
Speaker 1: they're pretty good, not perfect, but pretty good. And so
1:30:21
Speaker 1: this is this is really good. He's got a he's
1:30:24
Speaker 1: got a piece in the Washington Post today, but you
1:30:29
Speaker 1: can also find it on his blog, The Eternal Radical Idea,
1:30:34
Speaker 1: The Eternally Radical Idea. That's free speech with Greg Lukianov.
1:30:39
Speaker 1: It's an entertaining essay. He goes into the whole history
1:30:41
Speaker 1: of music. He gives you examples of songs, and yeah,
1:30:49
Speaker 1: defends free speech in this case. So good for lukian
1:30:53
Speaker 1: Of Greg Lukianof, So excellent. Thank you guys. That is
1:30:58
Speaker 1: the news. Wow, we went an hour and a half.
1:31:00
Speaker 1: That is the news for this Monday, March twenty third.
1:31:05
Speaker 1: Thank you for joining me, Thank you for being here
1:31:07
Speaker 1: and for listening. Yeah, we will now turn to our
1:31:13
Speaker 1: super chat. There seem to be a lot of questions,
1:31:17
Speaker 1: quite a few questions. Still more and let's see how
1:31:24
Speaker 1: we're doing goals. Okay, so we're gonna we're definitely in
1:31:27
Speaker 1: the second hour, so we should be at five hundred.
1:31:29
Speaker 1: So we're one hundred and twenty eight dollars short of
1:31:33
Speaker 1: the five hundred goal, So please consider supporting us here.
1:31:38
Speaker 1: We're stickers. Questions. Questions are great because that way you
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Speaker 1: get to shape the show. I get to answer your
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Speaker 1: questions and talk about the things you want me to
1:31:45
Speaker 1: talk about. So jump in with the question. Twenty dollars questions.
1:31:48
Speaker 1: Fifty dollars questions are great. Oh we don't have any
1:31:50
Speaker 1: fifty dollars questions today. Usually we have at least one
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Speaker 1: fifty dollar questions. So fifty dollar questions right now would
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Speaker 1: help us get to that goal really really fast. We
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Speaker 1: do have a bunch of stickers, rolland thank you for
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Speaker 1: the sticker. Really appreciate it. I saw there was one.
1:32:04
Speaker 1: I think there was one fifty dollars sticky here. Yeah,
1:32:06
Speaker 1: here it is a friend of Aristotle, fifty dollars. Thank you,
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Speaker 1: friend of Aristotle. I'm friends with friends of Aristotle. I'm good.
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Speaker 1: It's good. It's good to be on that side. Matt, Mike,
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Speaker 1: thank you for the sticker. Stephen Harper, thank you. Let's
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Speaker 1: see da dum the thumb, the thumb to the thumb,
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Speaker 1: all right. So yeah, I mean we've got one hundred
1:32:31
Speaker 1: and eighty five people watching right now. Easily get us too.
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1:35:00
Speaker 1: All right. Iron Institute is hosting a conference in Porto, Portugal, Portugal.
1:35:08
Speaker 1: Porto is beautiful. Portugal is an amazing place. Good food,
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Speaker 1: good people, friendly, really really pretty. Weather's good. I think
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1:35:26
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Speaker 1: It's twenty six YBS ten. Twenty six ybs ten. All right,
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Speaker 1: let's see finally, alex Epstein is your number one resource
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1:36:23
Speaker 1: let's see reminding you about Patreon. Okay, let's jump in
1:36:30
Speaker 1: with our super chat Chasbod quote. This is from Jamie
1:36:36
Speaker 1: Lanister in the Game of Thrones. I can't believe Schasbad
1:36:40
Speaker 1: is actually quoting Jamie Lanister on the Iran Brooks Show.
1:36:45
Speaker 1: How far have we descended? Anyway, Jamie is a very
1:36:51
Speaker 1: very mixed character. You know, he likes to throw children
1:36:55
Speaker 1: out of towers, sleep with his sister, and generally sometimes
1:37:02
Speaker 1: he actually does decent things, but generally kind of right anyway,
1:37:08
Speaker 1: mixed guy. Anyway, here it is quote only a four
1:37:11
Speaker 1: makes a threat he isn't prepared to carry out. Yeah,
1:37:14
Speaker 1: that's pretty basic logic, pretty basic truths. I don't think
1:37:21
Speaker 1: Trump was ready to carry out the threat. I think
1:37:23
Speaker 1: if there wasn't some negotiation, it would have made it up.
1:37:27
Speaker 1: He probably made it up and then negotiated something. There's
1:37:30
Speaker 1: no way that he was going to bomb the power
1:37:34
Speaker 1: facilities being able to sty into Tehran. No wing, even Trump,
1:37:42
Speaker 1: you know, I wish that wasn't so. But JJ Jigbees
1:37:46
Speaker 1: has come in with fifty bucks. Oh right, we are
1:37:49
Speaker 1: now only seventy two dollars short of that five hundred
1:37:52
Speaker 1: dollars goal, although we are probably going to the third hour,
1:37:55
Speaker 1: so we're three hundred and twenty eight dollars short of
1:37:58
Speaker 1: the third hour goal, which is seven fifty. We'll see,
1:38:02
Speaker 1: we'll see if we step up and reach that. Jji says,
1:38:07
Speaker 1: it's my birthday this Saturday. Happy birthday. In advance for
1:38:11
Speaker 1: your birthday on Saturday. I got a generous check for
1:38:15
Speaker 1: my family. That's nice, so it's only fair to pass
1:38:19
Speaker 1: on the love. Oh fifty dollars. You must have got
1:38:22
Speaker 1: a really generous check from your family. Thank you for
1:38:25
Speaker 1: all the years of providing rational, reliable news. And commentary.
1:38:28
Speaker 1: It's made my media diet so much better. Thank you,
1:38:31
Speaker 1: Jjgibis really appreciate your support over years now here on
1:38:37
Speaker 1: the Iron Book Show, on the super Chat thanks.
1:38:41
Speaker 2: You know.
1:38:41
Speaker 1: The nice thing about a name like Jjgigb's or I
1:38:44
Speaker 1: handle like JJ's how to forget? How to forget? I
1:38:47
Speaker 1: don't even know if I'm pronouncing it, but right doesn't matter.
1:38:50
Speaker 1: That's how I pronounce it, and it's hard to forget.
1:38:52
Speaker 1: So I remember him. He's been here for a long
1:38:55
Speaker 1: time and a good supporter. I appreciate that. Thank you, Michael, No.
1:39:00
Speaker 1: Two part question. I was trying to persuade someone that
1:39:03
Speaker 1: there is absolute truth when it comes to knowledge of
1:39:07
Speaker 1: reality and pursuing values. And the response was, can't you
1:39:12
Speaker 1: just keep asking why to everything? And see? There are
1:39:17
Speaker 1: no real absolute answers. Any statement you make you claim
1:39:22
Speaker 1: is absolute. You can just keep asking why. Yeah, I
1:39:25
Speaker 1: mean that's true, But there are certain things that the
1:39:31
Speaker 1: why question is not relevant towards the evidence of the
1:39:38
Speaker 1: sense is things are just you know, look gravity, Why
1:39:44
Speaker 1: why is gravity gravity? There is no answer to that.
1:39:47
Speaker 1: The answer to that why question is because it is,
1:39:51
Speaker 1: because that's what it is. The white question is meaningless
1:39:55
Speaker 1: right towards that which is in reality. The facts of
1:40:02
Speaker 1: reality are just facts, They just anll. So you know
1:40:08
Speaker 1: God created it. Even that, you could ask why why
1:40:11
Speaker 1: did he God created? I don't know, go ask well,
1:40:14
Speaker 1: I mean nature is what it is, Reality is what
1:40:18
Speaker 1: it is. A is a existence exists. There's no question
1:40:22
Speaker 1: why does existence exist? And that's what he's basically. He
1:40:26
Speaker 1: wants to ask the question why does existence exist? And
1:40:29
Speaker 1: there's no answer to that. It's not appropriate or applicable, irrelevant.
1:40:35
Speaker 1: The question why can only arise once you accept that
1:40:41
Speaker 1: existence exists, once you said that as your benchmark, once
1:40:45
Speaker 1: you said reality as your standard. Now you can say
1:40:49
Speaker 1: why does the phone drop fall down every time I
1:40:51
Speaker 1: let go of it? Oh? Because of gravity, And that's
1:41:03
Speaker 1: stand there's no why after that. Now you could ask
1:41:06
Speaker 1: how does gravity work? And you can get into physics
1:41:09
Speaker 1: of gravity, which I don't know if we know much about,
1:41:15
Speaker 1: but gravity is it's the stunning point. In other words,
1:41:19
Speaker 1: existence is the stunning point. Why gravity is meaningless? I
1:41:26
Speaker 1: didn't say it was meaningless. I said it has no
1:41:31
Speaker 1: why to it. It just is some meaningless. That's just
1:41:35
Speaker 1: stating a fact. Now you know, if you're a physicist.
1:41:39
Speaker 1: It's interesting to find out how gravity works, but not
1:41:43
Speaker 1: why it works. There's no why it works, because it works.
1:41:46
Speaker 1: It's just that's the way reality is. So figure out
1:41:53
Speaker 1: how figure out but you know what causes it. That's great.
1:42:04
Speaker 1: But once you get to reality, you know this is
1:42:09
Speaker 1: a pen. Why. There's no why it's a pen. There's
1:42:12
Speaker 1: just this a pen. That's how we've defined that particular
1:42:18
Speaker 1: object in the world. Every one of our concepts is
1:42:23
Speaker 1: represents something in the world. But the chain of wise
1:42:28
Speaker 1: ends with existence with reality. Thomas, I've said you were
1:42:42
Speaker 1: right so many times, but I said before the war
1:42:45
Speaker 1: that I did not trust Trump to run a war.
1:42:49
Speaker 1: I cannot believe this will come out right because Trump
1:42:54
Speaker 1: is in charge of this. Yeah, I mean, I get that,
1:42:56
Speaker 1: and I'm not I don't disagree, but I think sometimes
1:43:02
Speaker 1: even Trump can accidentally, and primarily because he teamed up
1:43:06
Speaker 1: with Israel, something good could come of it. So the
1:43:15
Speaker 1: fact that the fact that you know he is such
1:43:20
Speaker 1: an imbecile, any model imbecile, does not mean that reality
1:43:27
Speaker 1: doesn't align because of the fact that the Iranian is
1:43:30
Speaker 1: even more imbecillic and even more weak than he is.
1:43:34
Speaker 1: So something good already has come of it, and good
1:43:39
Speaker 1: things could come of it now. It could be that
1:43:40
Speaker 1: he ends it without the ultimate achievement. It could be that,
1:43:44
Speaker 1: you know, it doesn't go all the way. But even
1:43:46
Speaker 1: if we just stop today, right even today would we
1:44:00
Speaker 1: are in a much better situation than we wore before
1:44:02
Speaker 1: the war started. So even bad guys can do things
1:44:07
Speaker 1: that are you know, have a positive impact in the
1:44:09
Speaker 1: world out there kind of by accident. Enjoyed your members
1:44:18
Speaker 1: only discussion yesterday. That's great. Yeah, there's a members only
1:44:22
Speaker 1: new members only show up for members if you become
1:44:25
Speaker 1: a member, you can check it out. Related more to
1:44:34
Speaker 1: the missing Link episode. But can but can now understand
1:44:40
Speaker 1: grandson's PhD achievement in a better light. He was left
1:44:45
Speaker 1: leaning and now he's extremely confident in his view of
1:44:49
Speaker 1: the world. Sad, Yeah, it is sad, it is said,
1:44:53
Speaker 1: particularly when it's somebody you care for, somebody related to
1:44:56
Speaker 1: you that you know well, and you see that very
1:45:00
Speaker 1: said Paul. I don't think that it will take years
1:45:06
Speaker 1: to reconstitute Iran's military strength if there is no regime change.
1:45:10
Speaker 1: China and Russia will help them rebuild quickly. I don't
1:45:14
Speaker 1: think that's true. Russia is in no position to help them.
1:45:20
Speaker 1: Russia struggling itself. China has got its own problems, right,
1:45:28
Speaker 1: It's just seen how well American weapon systems work and
1:45:31
Speaker 1: how poorly its weapon systems work. I don't think China
1:45:35
Speaker 1: is in a particular mood to deploy its weapon systems.
1:45:39
Speaker 1: But look, you've got to motivate soldiers, you've got to
1:45:43
Speaker 1: motivate scientists who've just been killed and who are still
1:45:47
Speaker 1: being killed in Iran right now. To re engage with
1:45:50
Speaker 1: the program. You've got to build facilities and build factories,
1:45:54
Speaker 1: and and it'll take years. What they've done now we'll
1:46:01
Speaker 1: take years. Now years is not long enough. What needs
1:46:06
Speaker 1: to happen is that it stops completely, stops completely. Michael says,
1:46:21
Speaker 1: if you can direct ICE agents to do TSA job,
1:46:25
Speaker 1: what else can you direct ICE agents to do FBI work?
1:46:29
Speaker 1: Personal security for the president smells very ss to me. No,
1:46:33
Speaker 1: it's more incompetence than anything else. I mean, yeah, it's
1:46:36
Speaker 1: it's there's elements of it that could be scary, but
1:46:39
Speaker 1: it's mostly just incompetence. And you know, things getting out
1:46:46
Speaker 1: of hand for them at the TSA and they're not
1:46:48
Speaker 1: knowing what to do with it. But yes, I mean
1:46:52
Speaker 1: ICE is is very much could be viewed as Trump's
1:46:58
Speaker 1: personal internal police force, and that is very, very dangerous.
1:47:02
Speaker 1: But I think it gets so much opposition, so much pushback,
1:47:09
Speaker 1: it's hard to believe that it's going to go the
1:47:13
Speaker 1: way of the SS. Natures of them, I mean, when
1:47:18
Speaker 1: SS was roaming the streets didn't get anywhere near that
1:47:20
Speaker 1: kind of pushback. ICE is getting. Natures of Us says,
1:47:25
Speaker 1: even though the US has no strategy for Homo straits,
1:47:28
Speaker 1: it has a strategy. Now. My point is not that
1:47:30
Speaker 1: it doesn't have a strategy. My point is that they
1:47:33
Speaker 1: didn't have a strategy day one that they were ready
1:47:35
Speaker 1: to implement. That is, and they didn't have the assets
1:47:37
Speaker 1: in place. I have no doubt that the Pentagon has
1:47:41
Speaker 1: a bunch of folders with different strategies on how to
1:47:44
Speaker 1: deal with the homost streets, and they're probably trying to
1:47:46
Speaker 1: implement one of them right now. But he says, is
1:47:50
Speaker 1: it still amazing that they can respond with a couple
1:47:53
Speaker 1: of weeks to make corrections. There's no other military that
1:47:57
Speaker 1: can carry this ouf. Yes, I mean well Israel, but
1:48:00
Speaker 1: on scale, there's no other military that can do it.
1:48:03
Speaker 1: The US military is pretty damn badass. There's no question
1:48:06
Speaker 1: about that. With all the problems and everything, they're the
1:48:09
Speaker 1: best equipment in the world that really smart people running it,
1:48:13
Speaker 1: although flawed, but pretty smart. And yeah, it's just it's
1:48:19
Speaker 1: just sad that we have to go through all the
1:48:21
Speaker 1: strife because if they had put the strategy into place
1:48:25
Speaker 1: on day one, we wouldn't be where we are today.
1:48:28
Speaker 1: The Homost Straits would just be open and or we
1:48:31
Speaker 1: would know exactly what was going to happen to open it,
1:48:34
Speaker 1: and therefore they wouldn't be an energy crisis. So it's
1:48:37
Speaker 1: just it's just what's lacking is lacking from the top.
1:48:43
Speaker 1: It's it's it's the it's the command in chief, it's
1:48:48
Speaker 1: the people at the head of the Pentagon who did
1:48:50
Speaker 1: not insist on having this strategy in place in the
1:48:54
Speaker 1: early days. But yeah, the fact that the US can
1:48:56
Speaker 1: pivot like this and has the resources of the assets
1:48:59
Speaker 1: and the people, it's pretty amazing. And no other army
1:49:03
Speaker 1: in the world can deploy the kind of force like
1:49:07
Speaker 1: the United States can, or as quickly or as effectively
1:49:09
Speaker 1: as the United States can. And the Chinese are watching,
1:49:12
Speaker 1: so they're going to hesitate. They're going to be very
1:49:14
Speaker 1: hesitant to put themselves in a position where they're confronting
1:49:21
Speaker 1: a US force. Catherine, do you think energy rationing or
1:49:27
Speaker 1: energy lockdowns in Europe or the US are likely during
1:49:31
Speaker 1: the Yran War? Do you think other countries can substitute
1:49:35
Speaker 1: the oil and gas which cannot be produced and shipped. Yeah,
1:49:38
Speaker 1: I don't think there'll be any lockdowns or rationing at all.
1:49:42
Speaker 1: I mean, you might have lines in some countries to
1:49:46
Speaker 1: get petrol, to get gasoline, but no, I think that
1:49:51
Speaker 1: prices will go up, use will go down. That's what happens.
1:49:54
Speaker 1: When the price goes down, up, use goes down. But
1:49:59
Speaker 1: there will be no rationing or lockdowns or things like that. No,
1:50:03
Speaker 1: it's not that bad. And also that should never be
1:50:07
Speaker 1: the response. The response should always be let the market adjust,
1:50:10
Speaker 1: let prices adjust, and let people make decisions based on
1:50:14
Speaker 1: the new prices, and as prices go up, demand goes down.
1:50:17
Speaker 1: That's the way it works, and so people self ration
1:50:19
Speaker 1: if you will. Although rationing is not the right wood,
1:50:22
Speaker 1: rationing is a use of force. In addition, you're seeing
1:50:28
Speaker 1: the United States pump out more as much as they can,
1:50:32
Speaker 1: natural gas, as much as they can oil, try to
1:50:36
Speaker 1: get those LNG out. You'll see other places doing it.
1:50:40
Speaker 1: Is only in Egypt have a lot of gas. Egypt
1:50:42
Speaker 1: has an LNG facility. They will try pumping up more.
1:50:47
Speaker 1: As we said, the Saudis are pumping oil west. There's
1:50:50
Speaker 1: a huge increase in flow of ships into the Red
1:50:53
Speaker 1: Sea to collect Saudi oil on the west coast away
1:50:57
Speaker 1: from the Persian Gulf. It won't fill all the gaps,
1:51:01
Speaker 1: but I'll fill much of them. Markets will adjust, prices
1:51:05
Speaker 1: will go up, but nowhere near as high as I
1:51:09
Speaker 1: think some people afraid of. Yeah, all right, crude oil
1:51:29
Speaker 1: is at eighty I mean West Texas this is eighty nine,
1:51:32
Speaker 1: so it's down basically ten bucks ten percent from from
1:51:39
Speaker 1: the weekend. Richard. I became a YouTube member to listen
1:51:46
Speaker 1: to your talk about altruist appeasement yesterday and enjoyed it
1:51:50
Speaker 1: a lot. Here's another twenty dollars to support shows where
1:51:53
Speaker 1: you decompress rams essays. Thank you, Richard, really appreciate that.
1:51:57
Speaker 1: And yeah, I mean, I think people seem to enjoy
1:51:59
Speaker 1: the talk, so I'll keep them coming. All right. Let's see,
1:52:04
Speaker 1: we are fifty eight dollars short of our five hundred
1:52:08
Speaker 1: dollars goal, which we have five minutes to each fifty
1:52:13
Speaker 1: eight bucks short of the five hundred dollar goals. We
1:52:15
Speaker 1: should definitely make the five hundred today. I'm gonna go, well,
1:52:18
Speaker 1: I'm going to go into the third hour because we've
1:52:21
Speaker 1: got a bunch of questions still, and that would make
1:52:23
Speaker 1: it seven hundred and fifty is the goal. So but
1:52:27
Speaker 1: let's at least make it five hundred. So fifty eight bucks,
1:52:32
Speaker 1: fifty eight bucks, somebody you should do fifty and somebody
1:52:35
Speaker 1: should do eight. Well, you know, two twenty dollars questions
1:52:37
Speaker 1: would be good. We got five, all right? Remote, Which
1:52:44
Speaker 1: accounts do you follow on X to get informed about
1:52:47
Speaker 1: the war? I am not that big on Austinate Defender
1:52:50
Speaker 1: lately he has a bias against Israel during this war.
1:52:54
Speaker 1: I still follow Austin Defender, but there's a I don't know.
1:52:58
Speaker 1: I mean, there's just a bunch of them, and I
1:53:00
Speaker 1: don't have any one that I kind of trust. A
1:53:02
Speaker 1: lot of the stuff I get on the wall, particularly
1:53:06
Speaker 1: from the Israeli side, I get from some telegram channels
1:53:10
Speaker 1: I follow from Israeli sources. So these are on telegram
1:53:16
Speaker 1: in Hebrew Israeli sources. So that's where I get a
1:53:20
Speaker 1: lot of my stuff. I also follow some Uranians on
1:53:25
Speaker 1: X but I don't have a list of names that
1:53:27
Speaker 1: I can give you that I trust, And so I
1:53:30
Speaker 1: follow a lot of different people. And yes, I found
1:53:34
Speaker 1: Austin and Defender just less informative on this crisis, on
1:53:38
Speaker 1: this issue. Surprisingly, he was very good in the past. Offendhopa.
1:53:46
Speaker 1: Thank you for the sticker that chips away at it.
1:53:50
Speaker 1: We're now only forty three dollars away. Forty three dollars away, right,
1:53:54
Speaker 1: less than fifty that's good. Still two twenty dollars questions
1:53:58
Speaker 1: will do it? For an idea to be considered a principle,
1:54:02
Speaker 1: does there have to be reason to back up that principle? Well, yeah,
1:54:08
Speaker 1: I mean it has to be reason to back up
1:54:11
Speaker 1: any idea. So for an idea to be true, it
1:54:14
Speaker 1: has to be based on reason and and and and
1:54:17
Speaker 1: a principle is yeah, I mean it has to be, uh,
1:54:26
Speaker 1: you know, an idea that's generalizable enough that you know
1:54:32
Speaker 1: you are going to apply it in every context way
1:54:36
Speaker 1: with it is relevant. And yeah, I mean it has
1:54:41
Speaker 1: to be based on rationality and reason and logical arguments
1:54:45
Speaker 1: and absolutely. But that's true of everything, every everything that
1:54:49
Speaker 1: you argue is true and principles have to be true.
1:54:53
Speaker 1: Principle would be don't you know, be honest, but honest
1:55:01
Speaker 1: as a more general term than just don't lie, but
1:55:05
Speaker 1: be honest, as like be honest with yourself, be focused
1:55:08
Speaker 1: on the fact, be focused on truth. That's a principle.
1:55:11
Speaker 1: That principle needs to be defended by logic, by reason,
1:55:15
Speaker 1: otherwise it doesn't hold. Michael says Trump never fights for
1:55:20
Speaker 1: the good. He only fights the city's power. Iran is
1:55:24
Speaker 1: a target where he can morally justify his whims to
1:55:28
Speaker 1: the public. Yes, he's got some seeming justification for his
1:55:34
Speaker 1: his his power and whim and his flexing of muscles,
1:55:39
Speaker 1: which he enjoys. Michael, are there any objectives meetup groups
1:55:45
Speaker 1: and Silicon value should AOI have more of a presence there,
1:55:50
Speaker 1: I don't. I think they used to be. I don't know.
1:55:52
Speaker 1: I mean meetup groups are not affiliate with AARI. There are,
1:55:56
Speaker 1: there are individuals, but there is Actually that's not true.
1:55:59
Speaker 1: I know I know the people involved. There was. There
1:56:01
Speaker 1: definitely was as of last year a meetup group in
1:56:04
Speaker 1: Silicon Valley, So you know, if you're interested to check
1:56:08
Speaker 1: it out, you can probably just search online for meetup
1:56:12
Speaker 1: group thought coming on, thank you for the stickup. You
1:56:15
Speaker 1: really appreciate that. And Richard has come in here, here's
1:56:18
Speaker 1: another twenty dollars for the goal and shows an understanding.
1:56:22
Speaker 1: Rans essays, let's go. Thank you. Richard, really appreciate that.
1:56:26
Speaker 1: So we are now only nine dollars short of our goal.
1:56:29
Speaker 1: We should be able to do that. Nine one dollar
1:56:35
Speaker 1: stickers would do it. Certainly enough people to do that.
1:56:39
Speaker 1: Remo value for value. Thanks to Remo, appreciate it, Michael,
1:56:44
Speaker 1: do hate filled cultures tend to be poor, like Islamic
1:56:48
Speaker 1: cultures in the American South? Well, I don't know that
1:56:52
Speaker 1: American South is a hate filled culture. I wouldn't call
1:56:54
Speaker 1: it that, certainly wouldn't put it in the same sentence
1:56:57
Speaker 1: as Islamic cultures. But yeah, hate is a destroyer, not
1:57:01
Speaker 1: a builder. So hate filled cultures, cultures that are focused
1:57:04
Speaker 1: on hatred are not productive, successful, wealthy cultures, no question
1:57:09
Speaker 1: about that. Newly, Dan is capitalism the any system that
1:57:15
Speaker 1: does not work by hierarchy. Well, I don't know what
1:57:18
Speaker 1: you mean by hierarchy. I mean there's a sense which
1:57:21
Speaker 1: capitalism works by hiary. If you work in a business,
1:57:24
Speaker 1: there are bosses, there's a CEO, there's middle management, there's
1:57:26
Speaker 1: upper management. I mean, there's a bunch of people who
1:57:30
Speaker 1: you know, there's a hierarchy in the business. So it's
1:57:32
Speaker 1: not a higherarchy established by law. Capitalism is, though, is
1:57:37
Speaker 1: fundamentally a system of the rule of law, not a
1:57:40
Speaker 1: rule of men. Rule that protects individuals, and in that sense,
1:57:44
Speaker 1: it doesn't work by hierarchy, but it doesn't mean there's
1:57:48
Speaker 1: no hierarchy in society. So I wouldn't use that. There's
1:57:51
Speaker 1: no privileges, legal privileges, there's no legal hierarchy. Doug Will
1:58:00
Speaker 1: the Allies need to put boots into the mountain real system, Well,
1:58:07
Speaker 1: probably not, I think, I mean maybe, but it's going
1:58:12
Speaker 1: to be very difficult to a mountainous terrain. It's hard
1:58:14
Speaker 1: to get to. It's relatively well defended because of the
1:58:18
Speaker 1: kind of terrain it is. Although they could probably take
1:58:23
Speaker 1: out the troops there from the air, but one assumes
1:58:28
Speaker 1: that either there's a deal, or you're on surrenders, or
1:58:32
Speaker 1: there's regime change, and all of those make the mountain
1:58:35
Speaker 1: system irrelevant, and I think that's what happens. Rather than
1:58:40
Speaker 1: special forces boots in the ground, which could be very
1:58:43
Speaker 1: costly in human life. Hauison extremely disappointed that none of
1:58:48
Speaker 1: our alleged allies would lend minesweepers to help reopen the strait.
1:58:52
Speaker 1: That's not clear that that's true. We don't know what
1:58:54
Speaker 1: the allies are willing or not willing to do. There's
1:58:57
Speaker 1: a possibility they are mine sweepers. Seems like America has
1:59:03
Speaker 1: one ally Israel and a bunch of European freeloaders. I
1:59:07
Speaker 1: don't know. I mean, Fans has ships in the Mediterranean
1:59:12
Speaker 1: now on the way. The UK has said dell help,
1:59:16
Speaker 1: Germanya said dell help. Other countries have said that'll help,
1:59:19
Speaker 1: don't forget. Japan also said they would help. They have
1:59:22
Speaker 1: mine sweepers. So it's not clear. We'll see in the
1:59:25
Speaker 1: next few days we'll know more about what the Europeans are
1:59:29
Speaker 1: willing to do, if anything. To what extent this is
1:59:33
Speaker 1: from Oily, To what extent do you think central bank
1:59:37
Speaker 1: intervention like Quey and suppressed interest rates distorts GDP as
1:59:42
Speaker 1: a meaningful measure of real economic growth? Well, I mean,
1:59:45
Speaker 1: of course everything is distorted by I don't know the
1:59:49
Speaker 1: Quey distorts. I have to think about a GDP, I mean,
1:59:54
Speaker 1: it distills it at some point. Interstrates is sorted at
1:59:57
Speaker 1: some point, but not over the long run. Over the
2:00:01
Speaker 1: long run, and GDP has to start it even more
2:00:04
Speaker 1: by government spending. Like in World War Two. I think
2:00:07
Speaker 1: it's nineteen forty two, GDP grew by twelve percent. Now,
2:00:12
Speaker 1: the US economy didn't improve by twelve percent. GDP did
2:00:16
Speaker 1: stand up. Living quality of life declined. So GDP is
2:00:20
Speaker 1: measuring something. Whatever it's measuring is highly correlated over the
2:00:25
Speaker 1: long run with improved quality of life and standard of living,
2:00:29
Speaker 1: and that's what matters. So over the long run, GDP
2:00:33
Speaker 1: is highly correlated with wealth creation and improved standard living.
2:00:43
Speaker 1: Roman Elon offered Trump to pay TSA wages. I saw
2:00:48
Speaker 1: that should citizens be allowed to individually fund some executive
2:00:52
Speaker 1: function temporarily god, I mean, it's basically a loan saying
2:01:00
Speaker 1: I'll pay more taxes. But the problem with that is
2:01:03
Speaker 1: that there's no there's no mechanism to do it. So
2:01:07
Speaker 1: they shouldn't be allowed. They shouldn't be allowed to pay
2:01:11
Speaker 1: for the services directly. But if Elon gives the money
2:01:15
Speaker 1: to the government, the government, because there's no budget, the
2:01:18
Speaker 1: government is not authorized to make those payments to TSA agents,
2:01:22
Speaker 1: say there's literally no way for the government to actually
2:01:24
Speaker 1: do what Elan wants done. This is typical of Ilan.
2:01:28
Speaker 1: It goes back to Doge. He doesn't quite understand how
2:01:31
Speaker 1: the government works. It's not a business, it's the government,
2:01:35
Speaker 1: and therefore you can't get around the fact that budgets
2:01:40
Speaker 1: have to be negotiated and payments can only be made
2:01:44
Speaker 1: once they're approved by Congress. Elon doesn't get that, and
2:01:49
Speaker 1: I don't think Trump really gets it. Dan says, you're
2:01:53
Speaker 1: on great updates. Thank you. Natanielle advocating for Aubank. Nataanielle
2:02:00
Speaker 1: advocating for Auburn. Are you surprised by this? Is it
2:02:04
Speaker 1: to help Trump? Auburn has been pro Israel? I suppose, yeah.
2:02:07
Speaker 1: I think that's the reason Auburn has been pro Israel.
2:02:11
Speaker 1: It's sad that Nataniel is pro Auburn and advocating for him.
2:02:14
Speaker 1: It's very sad. I'm not a fan of Ntenniel's. This
2:02:17
Speaker 1: is one of the reasons I think he makes these
2:02:19
Speaker 1: really bad judgments. Maybe it's to appease Trump. I don't know,
2:02:25
Speaker 1: but yeah, Nathaniel should not be doing this. It's bad
2:02:29
Speaker 1: for Israel, it's bad for long term Auburn. Is not
2:02:31
Speaker 1: a good guy. He's a bad, bad guy. And Nathaniel
2:02:35
Speaker 1: has been too easy on Putin as well. I would
2:02:38
Speaker 1: have liked to have seen Israel be much more supportive
2:02:40
Speaker 1: of Ukraine, significantly more right natural observer, Sending ice to
2:02:48
Speaker 1: protect airports is like sending de mentors to protect Hogwarts. Well,
2:02:56
Speaker 1: maybe it's just a it's a it's just a recipe
2:03:00
Speaker 1: for Mayhem any competence. Newly, then, I love the history
2:03:07
Speaker 1: and upbringing of Israel. What is your favorite Mosad early
2:03:12
Speaker 1: Israel military story. Oh, I don't know. I mean there's
2:03:16
Speaker 1: so many good Mosad stories. I mean a lot of
2:03:19
Speaker 1: them for my youth. I like the way they hunted
2:03:23
Speaker 1: down systematically over many, many years, the planners and terrorists
2:03:30
Speaker 1: involved in the Munich the Munich Olympics attacks and killed
2:03:35
Speaker 1: them systematically, all of them, never let let down and
2:03:40
Speaker 1: just found them and killed them, even if it involved
2:03:43
Speaker 1: special ops in Lebanon or wherever they were. They found
2:03:48
Speaker 1: them and they killed them. And I like that. That's justice,
2:03:57
Speaker 1: all right. Let's see J jgbs Christ for Hitchens celebrated
2:04:01
Speaker 1: the death of Jerry Folwell, saying on the week of
2:04:04
Speaker 1: his death, it's too bad there's not a hell for
2:04:08
Speaker 1: him to go to? Was that tasteless? To wait? Does
2:04:12
Speaker 1: one draw the line? I mean, look, uh am I
2:04:18
Speaker 1: happy when really evil, bad people die? Yes? I am
2:04:25
Speaker 1: no problem with it. Was Jerry Folwell a bad guy? Yes?
2:04:30
Speaker 1: He was? Was Jerry Fowell a war hero and an
2:04:37
Speaker 1: FBI he had and somebody who did by all accounts
2:04:41
Speaker 1: a good job. No, So I think you have to.
2:04:49
Speaker 1: I mean, if somebody is universally accepted as a you know,
2:04:52
Speaker 1: and maybe with Hitchens it's it's because he's talking to
2:04:55
Speaker 1: his you know, the atheist group. I get it. You know,
2:05:02
Speaker 1: you can say stuff like that when somebody is you
2:05:06
Speaker 1: can clearly defend why the person is a bad guy.
2:05:10
Speaker 1: In Trump's case, it's just emotion. It's just because he
2:05:13
Speaker 1: didn't like him. It's just because he went after him,
2:05:18
Speaker 1: and there's no objectivity to it. I think with Christophichin's
2:05:23
Speaker 1: there's a lot more objectivity to that. And he didn't
2:05:28
Speaker 1: say I'm glad he's dead, which is different. He's dead,
2:05:34
Speaker 1: it's too bad there's no help for him to go to,
2:05:38
Speaker 1: which is kind of a play on Jerry Folwell's beliefs.
2:05:43
Speaker 1: Doug says, thanks for following up on fo Man. Yeah,
2:05:46
Speaker 1: it was an entertaining story, Lincoln. Censorship and media is
2:05:52
Speaker 1: so wrong. It's so common. Occurrede with film in the seventies,
2:05:56
Speaker 1: the seventies and the seventies censorship broke. The censorship in
2:06:00
Speaker 1: film was implemented in the thirties and ran through the
2:06:06
Speaker 1: nineteen sixties, and by the nineteen seventies it was gone.
2:06:10
Speaker 1: Music in the eighties and video games in the nineties.
2:06:13
Speaker 1: Only world I know of as a gen za that
2:06:17
Speaker 1: was all imposed when my dad was going up. No,
2:06:21
Speaker 1: I mean, look, we have to put this in perspective.
2:06:26
Speaker 1: There is more free speech, particularly in the media today
2:06:28
Speaker 1: than ever in all of American history. I mean Lenny
2:06:34
Speaker 1: Bruce was put into jail for saying their word on stage.
2:06:38
Speaker 1: In the nineteen sixties. There were only three television channels
2:06:43
Speaker 1: that way. Have only you regulated by the government in
2:06:46
Speaker 1: the sixties and seventies, and since then you've got a
2:06:49
Speaker 1: plethora of media and cable and all kinds of other stuff.
2:06:52
Speaker 1: So no, I think things are much much better today
2:06:55
Speaker 1: than they were in the past. And the censorship and movies,
2:06:59
Speaker 1: for example, was basically put in place in the thirties
2:07:02
Speaker 1: and gone away with in the seventies and the sixties
2:07:08
Speaker 1: and seventies. Yes, you get ratings, but you know, if
2:07:11
Speaker 1: you watch a movie from the fifties, married couples their bedroom,
2:07:16
Speaker 1: they have two separate beds, because God forbid you associate
2:07:21
Speaker 1: marriage with two people sleeping in the same bed and
2:07:25
Speaker 1: maybe maybe having sex. The rating system is not censorship.
2:07:31
Speaker 1: You can choose to not have your movie rated. But
2:07:36
Speaker 1: what existed before that was much close to the censorship,
2:07:39
Speaker 1: and that system has gone away, all right. JJG is
2:07:44
Speaker 1: growing up in the nineties and two thousands, I remember
2:07:48
Speaker 1: the parental advisory stickers on CDs only made them more alluring.
2:07:52
Speaker 1: Adults never seem to learn. Yeah, I agree, I agree.
2:07:57
Speaker 1: Making something illegal, making something adults only always makes it
2:08:02
Speaker 1: more alluring, particularly the teenagers. Ad you correct. Why would
2:08:08
Speaker 1: the fall of Iran be that significant? Wouldn't the Middle
2:08:11
Speaker 1: East return to three ninety seventy nine status quo? No? Well,
2:08:15
Speaker 1: I mean if it did, that would be huge. And
2:08:18
Speaker 1: before nineteen seventy nine, there was no Islamist movement. Before
2:08:22
Speaker 1: nineteen seventy nine, the Muslim Brotherhood was basically domant before
2:08:28
Speaker 1: nineteen seventy nine. This is before a KaiA before Isis,
2:08:32
Speaker 1: before the g Islami Jihad, before before Hamas. Yeah, nineteen
2:08:37
Speaker 1: seventy nine is a pivotal year for the Middle East.
2:08:42
Speaker 1: The Middle East was much much better pre seventy nine
2:08:46
Speaker 1: than it is today. Now today, the pivot would be
2:08:52
Speaker 1: greater because pre seventy nine there were no Arab countries
2:08:57
Speaker 1: that at peace with Israel, just before the Egyptian peace
2:09:01
Speaker 1: with Israel, now Jordan. If Iran falls, you can expect
2:09:05
Speaker 1: peace with Lebanon, Saudi Arabia, potentially maybe even Quait who
2:09:10
Speaker 1: knows so. And then on top of that, before nineteen
2:09:17
Speaker 1: seventy nine, there were Muslims living in the West, but
2:09:19
Speaker 1: nobody had any problem with that because they want radicals
2:09:22
Speaker 1: and they weren't insisting on Shuria law. They want Islamists.
2:09:27
Speaker 1: Iran falling would take the wind out of the sales
2:09:30
Speaker 1: of the Islamist movement in the UK where you live.
2:09:34
Speaker 1: In the rest of Europe, it would deflate them completely,
2:09:40
Speaker 1: particularly if the regime change happened from within Muslims rejecting Islamism.
2:09:47
Speaker 1: That would be huge for the Islamic world. So it
2:09:52
Speaker 1: would be as big, if not bigger, than the fall
2:09:54
Speaker 1: of the Berlin Wall. It would completely change the Middle East. Also,
2:09:57
Speaker 1: remember the Middle East is moderately slowly partially westernizing. This
2:10:07
Speaker 1: would accelerate that, which would have ramifications for the rest
2:10:12
Speaker 1: of the world. They have a lot of money, a
2:10:13
Speaker 1: lot of influence, and a lot of immigrants in Europe
2:10:16
Speaker 1: looked to the Middle East for spiritual guidance, political guidance. Harrison.
2:10:24
Speaker 1: Trump just restored the statue of Crystal Columbus that was
2:10:27
Speaker 1: torn down by the mob in twenty twenty. Good, I mean,
2:10:30
Speaker 1: Crystal Columbus is worthy of statue. Lee, General Lee is not.
2:10:37
Speaker 1: He fought for the preservation of slavery. His statues should
2:10:41
Speaker 1: be museums, but not in the street. Stephen harp Up,
2:10:48
Speaker 1: remember when Peacock went on Bill O'Reilly after nine to
2:10:51
Speaker 1: eleven and said we should attack iron Well with nukes
2:10:54
Speaker 1: o'rally and right broadly was so dismissive of it. Sure
2:10:59
Speaker 1: he's gung ho now the Trump is behind it. Tribalism. Yes,
2:11:03
Speaker 1: I was there in the studio with Leonard when he
2:11:07
Speaker 1: I think I drove up with him to La when
2:11:09
Speaker 1: he was on at the studio when he did the
2:11:12
Speaker 1: Bill O'Reilly show. So yes, I remember that, And yeah,
2:11:16
Speaker 1: lenart be Gooes absolutely right. That was in two thousand
2:11:20
Speaker 1: and two, I think, just a couple of months after
2:11:24
Speaker 1: nine eleven. And Leonard was right then, and Bill o'lialley
2:11:28
Speaker 1: was wrong then. And if they'd done it then, we
2:11:31
Speaker 1: wouldn't have to do it now and the whole world
2:11:33
Speaker 1: would be a different place. All right, Thank you to
2:11:37
Speaker 1: all the super cheddis thank you for all being him.
2:11:40
Speaker 1: I will be back tonight with Don Watkins. There's another
2:11:44
Speaker 1: show tonight. Don't miss it with Don Watkins. We are
2:11:49
Speaker 1: going to be talking about the inability of the West
2:11:55
Speaker 1: to defend itself. So the topic is why there were asked,
2:12:01
Speaker 1: is losing confidence and how to fix it? And this
2:12:05
Speaker 1: is all related to a book that Don and I
2:12:07
Speaker 1: are working on, Christianity versus the West, so Western Civilization.
2:12:13
Speaker 1: So we're gonna be talking about Western civilization. What is it?
2:12:17
Speaker 1: Why should it have confidence? Why is it losing that confidence?
2:12:20
Speaker 1: How do we regain that confidence? So it'll be a
2:12:23
Speaker 1: fun show eight pm Eastern time, eight pm Eastern time.
2:12:27
Speaker 1: I know that it's late for you Europeans, but the
2:12:29
Speaker 1: rest of you, don't miss it. Don is great, I'll
2:12:33
Speaker 1: see you tonight. All right, everybody, by see you soon
2:12:38
Speaker 1: eight o'clock two and a half hours