Latest / Felix Nikolas Prehn's Podcast / Felix Prehn - Stock Market is About to Go INSANE + Stock Market News 24 July 2025

Transcript

Felix Prehn - Stock Market is About to Go INSANE + Stock Market News 24 July 2025 · Felix Nikolas Prehn's Podcast

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Felix here.
• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Welcome to this live pre-market stream.
• 0:03
  Speaker 1: And if you want to know why Wall Street is bullish on the market, the four key reasons why then stick around and I'll explain it to you.
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: Winston, come on here, stay with me, he's around here too, somewhere.
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: Come on, show your pretty face.
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: There he is.
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: There he is.
• 0:21
  Speaker 1: He's sitting down behind me.
• 0:22
  Speaker 1: Not very helpful, is it?
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: Anyway, anyway, we shall, we shall plow on and persevere.
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: I'm going to share my screen with you here, and we are live.
• 0:35
  Speaker 1: I just wanted to double check, but we are live, because some of you are still writing in the in the chat.
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: Where is he?
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: Where is he?
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: He's late.
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: Where did he go?
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: Now we have a cat that's on the loose as well.
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: He's making an absolute racket Brilliant, but we shall continue Now.
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: This is the first point here, and I hope you can see my screen.
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: Can you see my screen?
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: No, you can't see my screen.
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: Now you can see my screen.
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: Party Legates 1999.
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: This is from Goldman Sachs' trading desk Wall Street's finest, and they're saying that the NASDAQ has, for the 62nd day, which is quite a lot of days, been above the 200-day moving average line.
• 1:21
  Speaker 1: That might not sound very exciting, but the last time this happened was in January 1999.
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: One year later we were up 77% plus 77%.
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: Now maybe you can't quite visualize that from this weird chart, so I've got a better chart for you here.
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: Let me get rid of one or two lines.
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: This little sort of whitish line that I put in here that, my friends, is the 20-day moving average line.
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: Can you hear that?
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: That's one of my cats, noisy little kitten, and the last time we crossed it was here and Sabrina's on the loose.
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: Actually, just open the door, just let them all out, that's fine, they can all come out All right.
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: So that was the last time and we've been on this absolutely beautiful run up Now.
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: Usually the market trades more like this.
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: So usually this happens all the time.
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: We zig and we zag right All the freaking time.
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: This up here, by the way, is an absolute textbook consolidation exhaustion phase, which is warning you to get the heck out of the market.
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: But we'll talk more about that sort of stuff on Saturday when we're going to do the big, beautiful, shiny educational session.
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: Is that helpful to you?
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: Is this piece of information helpful to you?
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: Would you like to understand that?
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: If the answer to that is yes, put a one in the chat live session here which I'm putting in the chat here at 10 am New York time, which is going to be an absolute riot, because I'm going to hit you over the head so much freaking value in the first 15 minutes of that that you will just have to sit around for the rest of it and basically I'll teach you a couple of things.
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: One, basically, when to buy if I could spell when, it's reassuring, isn't it?
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: When to buy and of course, what to buy.
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: So we look for breakouts.
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: If you watched the video I put out yesterday and you saw what those two breakouts have done, maybe you got a little bit of confidence there.
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: And then, most importantly, when to sell.
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: That is where we make money.
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: This is actually a thousand times more important than the first one and how to automate that.
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: And if you want to understand that, loving all the ones there thanks guys, marco.
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: You want to see a better way how I communicate my stock picks With my mentees, who really understand what I'm doing, because I'm not a fan of copy trading.
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: They get my list on a Sunday morning before I buy them, which is helpful, but don't come to me just because you want to copy what I'm doing.
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: If you want to come to me because you want to copy trade, please go somewhere else, because I'm not a fan of it.
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: It's like creating an addiction.
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: It's basically like being a crack dealer giving you the first hit for free right.
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: It just doesn't work.
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: You need to understand how to make the drugs.
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: No drugs, children.
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: It's bad for you unless you work at Goldman Sachs, or JP Morgan, for that matter.
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: This is my second Wall Street's second reason, really, why we are bullish.
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: What does this show?
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: It shows the total cash pile by income, and this one was just rubbing against my ankles.
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: This little monster.
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: Here is Hugh.
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: He is very naughty.
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: He's the naughtiest of the five kittens, aren't you?
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: Why are you so naughty, hugh?
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: Anyway, hugh said that the cash pile of the wealthy is going up, and if you are part of the wealthy, then that's a good thing.
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: If you are part of the bottom 20%, your cash pile is shrinking, and it's going to continue to shrink.
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: It sucks being poor.
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: You can do something about it, though, and don't ask for the world to fix it for you.
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: Or here it is.
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: Don't ask for governments to fix it for you.
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: They won't, they can't.
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: Capitalism will always make it this way.
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: It will always give more money to the top than it will to the bottom.
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: And again, maybe you don't like it.
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: It's not fair, I agree.
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: But what we can do is we can profit from this, regardless.
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: How, where did I go, actually?
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: Where did I go?
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: What's with this mad setup here today?
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: I'm not on the, I'm not on the.
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: A peculiar there I am.
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: That's better, isn't it with me?
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: And a light in the, in the top of the screen as well.
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: Interesting, interesting.
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: There is indeed a light above me, as you can now see.
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: It wasn't just my halo, so frank thinks.
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: I'm pathetic, and the cats frank.
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: There are probably 10 000 youtube channels who are live right now.
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: You're very welcome to bagger off and go watch one of those.
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: Um, it's entirely your choice, um, but I don't care for your opinion.
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: But why is this important?
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: It's important for a very good reason.
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: Those who have a lot, right, those who have lots.
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: They have more cash now, but that cash is spare cash, right?
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: What are they going to do without spare cash?
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: They're going to invest it.
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: So, in a weird way, an unequal economy means the stock market is likely to do better, because the lot at the bottom here is less likely to invest the money.
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: This is not who they are.
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: Not everybody has the wisdom of Hugh, right?
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: He's very good at making money, aren't you, hugh?
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: There he is, so there you go.
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: Take that, frank.
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: There are more cats here than you care for.
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: Apparently.
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: There are more than a half a dozen in the room, in fact.
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: Uh, so if you don't like cats, this place is never really for you.
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: Now this is, and I thought twice about showing this to you because it's a little complicated and people always say to me felix, you need to make it simpler, the only way you know more people tune in and so on.
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: You make it me to make it simpler, and I was, yeah, but I also think we need to just show the facts the way they are, and I think that's kind of what some people like, and I never claim to please everybody, like, I don't aim to please Frank, quite clearly.
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: So now this here oh, yeah, they used the blue again, didn't they?
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: Yes, this is a chart that shows basically it sort of tech, what we, what we think of as tech.
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: Tech as a percentage, it's tech performance as a tech, stock prices rather as as a share of the S&P, and then tech profits as a share of the S&P, and that ratio, which just means that tech is very, very profitable, is here At the top of the dot-com bubble.
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: We were up there and, to give you an idea, that was about 40 percent higher during the dot-com bubble.
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: So there is a reason tech stocks are doing what they're doing right now because they're very, very, very profitable, right?
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: Thanks, winston.
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: Yes, I know he gets all the credit, doesn't he?
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: He should.
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: He does all the hard thinking around here.
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: He sleeps a lot.
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: He must be thinking a lot.
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: But if you want to keep it really simple, this is probably the one chart I'll just take a screenshot off because I'll show you another one, actually a variation of this, to make it really really clear.
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: How was your Europe break?
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: I was in the UK which, if you said to a Brit that that that's Europe, they would shoot you.
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: Actually, they haven't got guns over there, but they'd want to shoot you.
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: London was lovely.
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: London was really, really nice, very enjoyable, saw a lot of people.
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: Actually, I did pop into Switzerland, but that's just for the day, just to see an old friend.
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: But money supply is growing and it is now at this.
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: Last time we were at these levels basically was okay, if you ignored the way down.
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: It was sort of 2018.
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: And what does that mean?
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: Well, let me show you.
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: Nope, that's not the chart.
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: That's not the chart either.
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: Oh no, what happened to my chart?
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: I'll do it again.
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: I will do it quickly M2.
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: And let's zoom out.
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: Maybe not quite that much, something like that.
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: Bear with me and I shall reveal all.
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: This is how chart crimes are committed.
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: By the way, it's a real thing.
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: Um right, what have you got on the chart here?
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: Two lines.
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: You've got that we need purple.
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: Everything in my glasses are a different color.
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: We've got in purple money, which is m2, as the economists call it, the red and green ziggity-zaggity line.
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: There is the S&P 500.
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: So can you see that the two basically move exactly in tandem, hand in hand, singing Kumbaya.
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: So what happens if we print more money?
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: What do you think is going to happen to the stock market?
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: Tell me in the chat.
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: Do you think it's going to go up?
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: Do you think it's going to go sideways?
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: Do you think it's going to go down?
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: Put it in the chat.
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: Put it in the chat.
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: Let's make sure this actually lands for you, because this is very, very important.
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: They have Sharia law in London, not in Belgravia, and Scotland is not England.
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: Yes, yes, that's very true, that's very true.
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: Scots get very irate with that.