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Thursday BEST BETS | MLB & NHL & NBA | 4/9/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 0:02
  Speaker 2: Inside, I want to kill myself. We are on OWN
• 0:06
  Speaker 2: seven run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: It was just complete bullshit.
• 0:10
  Speaker 2: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible
• 0:13
  Speaker 2: Sunday one and five.
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what to tell you above that
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: I just don't want to do this anymore. I have
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: never seen anything like this.
• 0:22
  Speaker 2: Man with the slump continuing, two straight losses, not a
• 0:26
  Speaker 2: good day at all.
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: Own four that I have not had a good season.
• 0:32
  Speaker 2: Man with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the
• 0:35
  Speaker 2: slump continues, I've reached a new peak.
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: Actually, I'm going to burn my browins hat.
• 0:42
  Speaker 2: Man, I don't know what is going on with the
• 0:44
  Speaker 2: bruins arch hape?
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: Is that what it is? I don't even know it's
• 0:48
  Speaker 1: March ninth, I think who even knows?
• 0:51
  Speaker 2: Man, I don't know what data is anymore. I don't
• 0:53
  Speaker 2: even know what data is anymore. Man, back with you
• 0:56
  Speaker 2: after the worst stay that I could possibly have with you,
• 1:00
  Speaker 2: as I always am.
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: Until I die at least oh and two. Yesterday and
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: yesterday it did not go well for me.
• 1:08
  Speaker 2: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
• 1:12
  Speaker 2: my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: To the slump, the slump discontinues, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
• 1:26
  Speaker 2: other than potentially.
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: End it all.
• 1:33
  Speaker 2: What's up, everybody, It's towed back with you. Toadstool Sports, Thursday,
• 1:38
  Speaker 2: April ninth.
• 1:40
  Speaker 1: We're two and two.
• 1:42
  Speaker 2: Two and oh, that would have been a lot better
• 1:43
  Speaker 2: two and two on the show yesterday we lost with
• 1:47
  Speaker 2: the Brewers, although I guess I can be happy that
• 1:50
  Speaker 2: my Boston Red Sox are on a winning streak. Whoever
• 1:53
  Speaker 2: thought that would happen? They actually won more than one
• 1:55
  Speaker 2: game in a row. No, that's not possible. Sunny Gray
• 1:59
  Speaker 2: actually was pretty good in the game. Drohan had kind
• 2:02
  Speaker 2: of one bad inning and that was pretty much it.
• 2:06
  Speaker 2: That was really all that was necessary because the Brewers
• 2:08
  Speaker 2: didn't even score. We had an easy win with Seattle,
• 2:12
  Speaker 2: Texas under three to nothing was the final in that game.
• 2:16
  Speaker 2: Seattle got shut out, so Texas.
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: Dude.
• 2:20
  Speaker 2: I think Mackenzie gorm Man, I think he's actually good.
• 2:23
  Speaker 2: And a lot of it comes down to how good
• 2:26
  Speaker 2: or how bad are these pitching coaches on some of
• 2:28
  Speaker 2: these teams.
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: Interesting, what's going on there? Man? And then yeah, we
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: lost on Tampa Bay. Not happy about it.
• 2:38
  Speaker 2: That was the series where the previous game had that.
• 2:42
  Speaker 2: You guys have seen that play now, the viral pop
• 2:45
  Speaker 2: up in the ninth inning, I think in the previous
• 2:47
  Speaker 2: game down the right field line, and that morbidly obese
• 2:51
  Speaker 2: person moved in the completely wrong direction to try to
• 2:55
  Speaker 2: either catch it or avoid it or I don't know,
• 2:57
  Speaker 2: and fell down and their pants fell down when you
• 3:00
  Speaker 2: saw their ass, and everybody was talking about it, like
• 3:03
  Speaker 2: assuming the person's a guy, And I'm like, I kept
• 3:07
  Speaker 2: rewatching this over and over again because it's like so ridiculous,
• 3:10
  Speaker 2: but I'm like, I think it's a woman, dude. I'm
• 3:13
  Speaker 2: pretty sure that was a woman. It's when you get
• 3:16
  Speaker 2: to be that overweight man. You just become an amorphous.
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: Blob, a genderless blob. I don't even know, man. But yeah,
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: that was bad yesterday.
• 3:27
  Speaker 2: Yeah, the Cubs hit a home run literally in the
• 3:30
  Speaker 2: first at Bad Horner. I think Horny hit a home
• 3:34
  Speaker 2: run immediately, and the game was pretty much out of
• 3:37
  Speaker 2: hand early on. We did take the loss there, and
• 3:40
  Speaker 2: then we did get an easy win with the hockey
• 3:42
  Speaker 2: play Washington four nothing win there, it was three nothing
• 3:46
  Speaker 2: going into the third period, might have been an empty
• 3:48
  Speaker 2: net at the end.
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 3:49
  Speaker 2: I stopped paying attention to it pretty much. But it
• 3:53
  Speaker 2: was good that that was one of the ones we
• 3:54
  Speaker 2: got right because that was the heavier favorite that we had.
• 3:57
  Speaker 2: So if you did what I recommend, how you set
• 4:00
  Speaker 2: up the money lines where you play them all to
• 4:02
  Speaker 2: win the same amount, yesterday was actually a slight win,
• 4:06
  Speaker 2: believe it or not, of like twenty bucks or something,
• 4:09
  Speaker 2: because one of the losers was an underdog, the other
• 4:13
  Speaker 2: loser was a reduce juice favorite, if you want to
• 4:17
  Speaker 2: call it that, and then we did win on the
• 4:19
  Speaker 2: heavier favorite. So yeah, I'll take it. I guess dirty Sock.
• 4:25
  Speaker 2: What's up, Kyle, what's up?
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: Rio? What's up? Thanks for hanging out everybody.
• 4:33
  Speaker 2: No, Well, your unit size so all right, So you
• 4:38
  Speaker 2: should have a bank roll like you do not want
• 4:40
  Speaker 2: to You do not want to bet more than you
• 4:42
  Speaker 2: can afford, right, So you want to set aside your
• 4:45
  Speaker 2: bankroll whatever that amount is. And basically what I would say,
• 4:50
  Speaker 2: I have one bet size pretty much and it is
• 4:52
  Speaker 2: one percent one percent of bankroll.
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: Is what it is.
• 4:56
  Speaker 2: So say you know your bankroll is thirty thousand, I
• 5:00
  Speaker 2: would bet to win three hundred dollars on every single play,
• 5:04
  Speaker 2: and I don't even I don't even like vary it
• 5:07
  Speaker 2: between those. But what I would say is some of
• 5:10
  Speaker 2: the professionals, you know, they do weigh their bets a
• 5:12
  Speaker 2: little bit differently, and I would say they go from
• 5:15
  Speaker 2: between probably about half a percent all the way up
• 5:18
  Speaker 2: to like one and a half percent of their bankroll
• 5:20
  Speaker 2: for the bets. So like I guess in my case,
• 5:23
  Speaker 2: I would say, if you have a thirty thousand dollars bankroll,
• 5:27
  Speaker 2: I guess your bets could potentially range between like one
• 5:31
  Speaker 2: hundred and five hundred. I would say you would not
• 5:33
  Speaker 2: want to exceed a five hundred dollars bet with a
• 5:35
  Speaker 2: bankroll of that size, and that should be restricted to
• 5:39
  Speaker 2: like the absolute like best ones that you have if
• 5:43
  Speaker 2: you're doing it that way. But I just do it
• 5:46
  Speaker 2: to win three hundred every single time pretty much, except
• 5:48
  Speaker 2: for prop bets, Like I don't really do props, but
• 5:51
  Speaker 2: like Super Bowl props because you have so much volume
• 5:54
  Speaker 2: there and I might have four or five props on
• 5:56
  Speaker 2: one game. I make each one of those a third
• 6:00
  Speaker 2: of that size, if that makes sense. So three of
• 6:02
  Speaker 2: those bets basically add up to one, if that makes sense.
• 6:07
  Speaker 2: That's how I do it. Yeah, I mean, you gotta
• 6:10
  Speaker 2: be disciplined. You gotta not not over bet, which is
• 6:14
  Speaker 2: one of the that's like one of the main hurdles
• 6:17
  Speaker 2: that people have to get over.
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: To not bet too much.
• 6:20
  Speaker 2: Also, don't chase like because you know you're gonna lose
• 6:22
  Speaker 2: some of these bets. You should not chase like, you know,
• 6:26
  Speaker 2: on a play that you don't think is a strong play.
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: Just you know, you you have opportunities to.
• 6:33
  Speaker 2: Bet every single day, you know what I mean, So
• 6:35
  Speaker 2: take the loss for that day, start over fresh, find
• 6:40
  Speaker 2: the best bets the next day, and just keep doing what.
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: Works, what you do, you know what I mean.
• 6:47
  Speaker 2: So those are That's what I'll say. Going back to
• 6:50
  Speaker 2: betting one on one there, I don't know. I did
• 6:53
  Speaker 2: have a betting one on one video the first video
• 6:55
  Speaker 2: I did on this channel. I don't remember how much
• 6:57
  Speaker 2: of that I really talked about. But all right, let's
• 6:59
  Speaker 2: get into it. I'm gonna I had to keep this
• 7:00
  Speaker 2: show not that long. Today we have a massive hockey
• 7:03
  Speaker 2: board today, but there isn't a whole lot else going on,
• 7:06
  Speaker 2: and I actually don't have any plays today. This is
• 7:09
  Speaker 2: a the board is a pussy today.
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: I'm skipping the whole thing. Man.
• 7:14
  Speaker 2: I apologize. I know you guys want bets. I'm gonna
• 7:17
  Speaker 2: give you my opinions on these games. I just don't
• 7:20
  Speaker 2: think anything is strong enough here baseball. We have three
• 7:23
  Speaker 2: afternoon games which are all series that are continuing that
• 7:27
  Speaker 2: are finishing, and then we also have three new series
• 7:29
  Speaker 2: that are starting. I think, or actually I think Arizona
• 7:32
  Speaker 2: and the Mets I think is continuing because I think
• 7:34
  Speaker 2: they started yesterday. And then these other two games they
• 7:37
  Speaker 2: think are new series that are starting today. So Cincinnati
• 7:41
  Speaker 2: and Miami. This is a four game series. Miami got
• 7:43
  Speaker 2: the win yesterday, so they're one and two in the series.
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: Now, Miami.
• 7:49
  Speaker 2: Nice bullpen performance from them in the game yesterday, I believe.
• 7:52
  Speaker 2: Now Miami's bullpen they've been decent. I have them fourteenth
• 7:55
  Speaker 2: right now. This is based on whip. I just try
• 7:59
  Speaker 2: to keep things simple, man, But of course it's still
• 8:02
  Speaker 2: kind of a small sample size to really be trying
• 8:04
  Speaker 2: to figure it out. And we actually have the Reds
• 8:06
  Speaker 2: seventh best right now. So these bullpens have both actually
• 8:09
  Speaker 2: been pretty good batting. Miami did start pretty hot offensively
• 8:13
  Speaker 2: because they were playing some bad teams, and.
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: They're actually still up there.
• 8:16
  Speaker 2: They're fourth, so Miami actually has had the better hitting
• 8:21
  Speaker 2: and the Reds have had the better bullpen so far,
• 8:23
  Speaker 2: I believe it or not. Reds are actually a bottom
• 8:25
  Speaker 2: several offense right now.
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: It's still taking me a while to get used to
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: what's going on here.
• 8:31
  Speaker 2: As far as the bullpen usage, I don't think there
• 8:33
  Speaker 2: was a huge difference between the two.
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati used three guys yesterday.
• 8:38
  Speaker 2: Miami used four, so you know, I'm not gonna have
• 8:42
  Speaker 2: too much of a difference there. I think Cincinnati does
• 8:44
  Speaker 2: have a little bit of a bullpen edge though. Rhett Louder,
• 8:48
  Speaker 2: his pitcher for Cincinnati, I think he's good. He's going
• 8:51
  Speaker 2: under the radar right now, and we played an under
• 8:54
  Speaker 2: I believe, or maybe a first five under in his
• 8:56
  Speaker 2: last start against Texas, and he didn't allow any runs
• 8:59
  Speaker 2: in his entire start. He's been good in his first
• 9:02
  Speaker 2: two starts, other than the fact that he does have
• 9:04
  Speaker 2: kind of too many walks. Four walks, nine strikeouts. I
• 9:07
  Speaker 2: don't love that, but you know, the strikeout rates not
• 9:10
  Speaker 2: that high. The walk rate is a little bit too high,
• 9:12
  Speaker 2: but he's keeping offenses in check man and Miami's never
• 9:17
  Speaker 2: seen him before, so I think that is an extra
• 9:19
  Speaker 2: edge for him here. I like when these young pitchers
• 9:22
  Speaker 2: who are actually fairly good just are totally unfamiliar to
• 9:27
  Speaker 2: the opposing lineup, because the lineups sometimes has to see
• 9:29
  Speaker 2: him a couple of times to get their bearings so
• 9:32
  Speaker 2: that all looks good. Max Meyer is pitching from Miami.
• 9:36
  Speaker 2: Thought he was going to be a pretty good pitcher man.
• 9:38
  Speaker 2: It hasn't really panned out for him. He did have
• 9:42
  Speaker 2: to face the Yankees in his last outings, so maybe
• 9:45
  Speaker 2: you should give him a little bit of a pass
• 9:46
  Speaker 2: for that. But he does have an eleven of five
• 9:48
  Speaker 2: strikeout walk ratio so far this year, so that's not
• 9:51
  Speaker 2: exactly good. I think he is probably right now the
• 9:55
  Speaker 2: lesser of these two pitchers. He's not in as good
• 9:57
  Speaker 2: a form and his numbers against the Reds are not
• 10:00
  Speaker 2: that good. In twenty eight at bats, three fifty seven
• 10:03
  Speaker 2: average allowed, one thousand and seven ops. It's not a
• 10:06
  Speaker 2: huge sample, and I kind of think Meyer at some
• 10:09
  Speaker 2: points gonna turn it back around.
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: But it does look like Cincinnati.
• 10:13
  Speaker 2: Does have the edge here, and I think they do
• 10:14
  Speaker 2: have a slight bullpen as as well. So I'm gonna
• 10:17
  Speaker 2: lean Cincinnati here, and the money is agreeing with me.
• 10:20
  Speaker 2: Miami already dropped from minus one twenty one to minus
• 10:22
  Speaker 2: one oh nine, so you might even see the favorite
• 10:24
  Speaker 2: flip here seven sixty percent and ticket seventy percent of
• 10:28
  Speaker 2: the cash on Cincinnati. I think maybe some of the
• 10:30
  Speaker 2: professional betters are coming around to this louder guy actually
• 10:34
  Speaker 2: being good and not just because he has a mullet
• 10:37
  Speaker 2: and a mustache and looks badass. You know, I don't
• 10:44
  Speaker 2: know the more than I'm thinking about this. This is
• 10:45
  Speaker 2: probably one of my stronger opinions. I don't think I
• 10:48
  Speaker 2: quite want to actually do it, but Cincinnati would be
• 10:51
  Speaker 2: my lean in that one. That would be money line
• 10:54
  Speaker 2: A's at the Yankees. The A's actually got the win yesterday.
• 10:57
  Speaker 2: I'm pretty surprised by that. I will warn wasn't even
• 11:00
  Speaker 2: bad in the game. Like, if you thought the A's
• 11:02
  Speaker 2: were gonna do something in that game, you probably thought
• 11:05
  Speaker 2: they were gonna get to Will Warren. But I thought
• 11:08
  Speaker 2: the Yankees were gonna put up an offensive performance in
• 11:11
  Speaker 2: that game, especially because they were lackluster in the previous game,
• 11:14
  Speaker 2: and that didn't happen at all. Like I thought the
• 11:17
  Speaker 2: Yankees would after coming up that scare. I thought they
• 11:19
  Speaker 2: would have a better performance. That didn't happen. Although as
• 11:22
  Speaker 2: a Red Sox fan, I guess I'm happy the Yankees lost.
• 11:25
  Speaker 2: Now the series is even at one and one, I
• 11:29
  Speaker 2: think both teams are gonna show up for this. We
• 11:32
  Speaker 2: don't have a great pitching matchup in this one, and
• 11:34
  Speaker 2: I do think the Yankees probably have the advantage in
• 11:36
  Speaker 2: every phase of this game.
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: We got.
• 11:39
  Speaker 2: Yankees have used four relief pitchers, that's what they did yesterday.
• 11:43
  Speaker 2: The A's used four as well, But we know that
• 11:46
  Speaker 2: the A's have a terrible bullpen, so you got to
• 11:49
  Speaker 2: give the Yankees a bullpen, as they've been better this
• 11:51
  Speaker 2: year than last year as well. Yankees have the better
• 11:54
  Speaker 2: offense as well, and the A's offense, even though I
• 11:57
  Speaker 2: think they're gonna be better than what they've shown so far,
• 12:00
  Speaker 2: they have not been good to start the season. So
• 12:02
  Speaker 2: Yankees do have the edge in both of those departments. Jerk, All,
• 12:07
  Speaker 2: what's up, man?
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: I really don't.
• 12:10
  Speaker 2: I really don't recommend either parlays or home run props
• 12:14
  Speaker 2: because I think in both cases, the book screw you
• 12:17
  Speaker 2: like I think that they they charge you like they
• 12:20
  Speaker 2: don't give you enough. They don't give you good enough
• 12:22
  Speaker 2: odds on either of those things, on parlays or on
• 12:25
  Speaker 2: home run props, because home run props, everybody wants to
• 12:28
  Speaker 2: bet them. Oh, I'm gonna bet this player to hit
• 12:30
  Speaker 2: a home run in this game. But even the best
• 12:32
  Speaker 2: home run hitters, like you know, Otani or whatever, they're
• 12:35
  Speaker 2: only gonna hit a home run once every like ten
• 12:37
  Speaker 2: or eleven at bats, and even like the odds that
• 12:41
  Speaker 2: you get on them, or the odds that you should
• 12:42
  Speaker 2: get if the guy was gonna hit a home run
• 12:46
  Speaker 2: like once every I don't know, three at bats or
• 12:50
  Speaker 2: something like, they really really screw you on those.
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: So I don't know if I can make a recommendation
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: on that.
• 12:55
  Speaker 2: My player prop recommendations are, even though I don't do
• 12:58
  Speaker 2: them personally, my player prop recommendations are always hits plus
• 13:02
  Speaker 2: runs plus RBIs is what I recommend And what I
• 13:05
  Speaker 2: do is I find like a specific player that really
• 13:09
  Speaker 2: is good against the specific pitcher. But I'm gonna break
• 13:12
  Speaker 2: down all these games here and you'll see the the
• 13:16
  Speaker 2: player stats against each one of these pitchers. So maybe
• 13:18
  Speaker 2: that'll give you some indication of players to maybe target
• 13:22
  Speaker 2: for player props today, if that's helpful at all. So
• 13:26
  Speaker 2: with the A's the Yankees here, those first two pitchers,
• 13:28
  Speaker 2: there really aren't any hitters that have that much experience
• 13:30
  Speaker 2: against them, though, like Max Meyer, I don't know the
• 13:33
  Speaker 2: player hits him. The best is Stevenson, I guess, but
• 13:36
  Speaker 2: he's two for three in the home run and Dala
• 13:39
  Speaker 2: Cruz is three for six with two doubles. So I
• 13:42
  Speaker 2: mean those guys could be guys to maybe target there.
• 13:45
  Speaker 2: But I'm recommending against parlays and home run props though,
• 13:49
  Speaker 2: because I think it's just not a long term winning strategy.
• 13:53
  Speaker 2: Jeffrey Springs is pitching for the A's here. He's been
• 13:56
  Speaker 2: pretty good to start the season. He had a really
• 13:58
  Speaker 2: good start against a hot Houston line up in his
• 14:00
  Speaker 2: last outing, held him to one run, seven to strikeouts,
• 14:04
  Speaker 2: one walk. That's pretty good, even though he did walk
• 14:07
  Speaker 2: too many guys in his first outing against Toronto. Believe
• 14:10
  Speaker 2: it or not, he is actually good against the Yankees,
• 14:12
  Speaker 2: but it's a small thirty three at bat sample size,
• 14:15
  Speaker 2: but he's only allowed one extra base hit to them,
• 14:18
  Speaker 2: one to eighty two average allowed five to twenty ops.
• 14:21
  Speaker 2: None of the Yankees hitters have particularly good numbers against him.
• 14:26
  Speaker 2: Sixteen to six strikeout walk ratio there, which isn't terrific. Really,
• 14:31
  Speaker 2: it looks like he kind of intentionally walks Goldschmidt, but
• 14:35
  Speaker 2: Springs seems to match up okay against the Yankees. That's
• 14:38
  Speaker 2: not to say he's actually gonna do well here, but
• 14:40
  Speaker 2: historically it looks okay for him. Ryan Weathers is pitching
• 14:44
  Speaker 2: for it the Yankees. He has not lived up to
• 14:48
  Speaker 2: what I thought he might do. Once the Yankees start
• 14:50
  Speaker 2: getting their injured starters back, Weathers is going to be
• 14:53
  Speaker 2: out of the lineup. Although I thought he was or
• 14:55
  Speaker 2: out of the rotation. I mean, I thought he was
• 14:56
  Speaker 2: a decent pickup for them, but he hasn't been very good.
• 14:59
  Speaker 2: He had five walks so far and eight innings eleven
• 15:02
  Speaker 2: strikeouts is good, so really his wildness has been the
• 15:05
  Speaker 2: main issue. But he's he's in pretty bad form right now.
• 15:10
  Speaker 2: The A's don't really have anybody that hits him well,
• 15:12
  Speaker 2: though the Rooker does have a home run off him,
• 15:14
  Speaker 2: so take from that what you want to, but that's
• 15:17
  Speaker 2: the only hit they have against him in twelve at bats,
• 15:19
  Speaker 2: one strikeout, no walks, so Weathers is pretty unfamiliar with him.
• 15:24
  Speaker 2: It looks like he has the somewhat better numbers here,
• 15:28
  Speaker 2: but it's such a small sample size you can't even
• 15:30
  Speaker 2: really gauge that. Like I think spring Well Springs has
• 15:33
  Speaker 2: the better numbers on the season, Weathers has the better
• 15:36
  Speaker 2: matchup numbers slightly, but again it's such a small sample size.
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: I almost want to just throw it out.
• 15:41
  Speaker 2: But he is also the less familiar pitcher to the
• 15:44
  Speaker 2: opposing lineups, which might be a little bit of an
• 15:46
  Speaker 2: advantage for him.
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: I can't, dude, this game is so hard to figure out.
• 15:50
  Speaker 2: Yankees are at minus two fifteen now, all the way
• 15:52
  Speaker 2: up from minus one sixty five.
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: I don't know what caused a move like that.
• 15:56
  Speaker 2: Usually only a pitcher change will move the line that much,
• 16:00
  Speaker 2: or maybe pregame just might have fucked up and gotten
• 16:02
  Speaker 2: that open or wrong. Eighty three percent of tickets, eighty
• 16:05
  Speaker 2: nine percent of the cash on the Yankees, I got
• 16:08
  Speaker 2: really nothing on this one.
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 16:10
  Speaker 2: You could maybe see it as a bounce back to
• 16:12
  Speaker 2: the bottom because the Yankees have so many edges in
• 16:15
  Speaker 2: different phases of this game. Maybe you could look towards
• 16:19
  Speaker 2: the Yankees to do this in some way, but they
• 16:21
  Speaker 2: don't do well against Springs usually, so I dude, I
• 16:25
  Speaker 2: don't know if I love that either. I mean, as
• 16:27
  Speaker 2: crazy as it sounds, maybe the better way to look
• 16:30
  Speaker 2: at this game is a first five inning under, because
• 16:33
  Speaker 2: you got both starters. Might actually have a little bit
• 16:36
  Speaker 2: of a matchup edge here against the offenses. Eighty eight
• 16:39
  Speaker 2: percent of the tickets and seventy one percent of the
• 16:41
  Speaker 2: cash on the over, so the money looks like it
• 16:43
  Speaker 2: is somewhat indicating towards the under, and it's already dropped
• 16:46
  Speaker 2: down to eight on.
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: The total here.
• 16:48
  Speaker 2: I would keep it to the first five though, because
• 16:50
  Speaker 2: I do not want to do anything with.
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: The A's bulb and other than fade them.
• 16:55
  Speaker 2: I mean, but that game is, that's a really difficult
• 16:58
  Speaker 2: game to try to figure out, like any way of
• 17:00
  Speaker 2: attacking it.
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: Detroit at Minnesota.
• 17:03
  Speaker 2: Detroit's trying to avoid a sweep here, so I think
• 17:05
  Speaker 2: you will see a motivated effort from them, which I
• 17:08
  Speaker 2: thought you would last night, and from Bervaldez, I guess
• 17:11
  Speaker 2: had a bad game last night. I haven't looked into
• 17:13
  Speaker 2: the box score yet, but Minnesota they might have a
• 17:16
  Speaker 2: four game sweetpeer against Detroit, which who would ever think
• 17:20
  Speaker 2: that would be the case, because Minnesota is clearly not
• 17:23
  Speaker 2: the better team here. They've been the underdog in every
• 17:25
  Speaker 2: game here. Minnesota's bullpen stinks. They used most of it
• 17:30
  Speaker 2: yesterday as well. They used five relief pitchers. That's not
• 17:33
  Speaker 2: good either for them coming into this one. Detroit only
• 17:36
  Speaker 2: used three, So Detroit seems to have a lot of
• 17:39
  Speaker 2: advantages here. I think they have the better bullpen, although
• 17:41
  Speaker 2: their bullpen is down at twentieth now in Whip, Minnesota
• 17:46
  Speaker 2: is still worse at twenty sixth. Offensively, Detroit's thirteenth right now,
• 17:51
  Speaker 2: and I order this by ops, which I think is
• 17:53
  Speaker 2: a little bit of a better indicator Minnesota seventeenth.
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: So not a huge disparity there on the season.
• 17:59
  Speaker 2: But I still think Detroit is better in both of
• 18:01
  Speaker 2: those aspects, and I think they probably have the better
• 18:04
  Speaker 2: picture here too. Even though I'm not really a fan
• 18:06
  Speaker 2: of Jack Flaherty and his numbers are pretty bad so
• 18:10
  Speaker 2: far this year. He's only gone eight and a third
• 18:12
  Speaker 2: innings in two starts so far. One of them was
• 18:14
  Speaker 2: in a pitcher friendly San Diego Park and the other
• 18:17
  Speaker 2: was against a weak Saint Louis team. And San Diego's
• 18:20
  Speaker 2: offense has been terrible too, so it's really not a
• 18:23
  Speaker 2: good sign that that he's allowed almost to run an
• 18:26
  Speaker 2: inning and he's gotten eight to eight strike out walk ratio.
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: That's all bad.
• 18:30
  Speaker 2: Flowerty is bad, dude, but he might be the way
• 18:34
  Speaker 2: to look at this game against Minnesota's numbers are not
• 18:38
  Speaker 2: that bad and eighty two at bats twenty two to
• 18:40
  Speaker 2: three strike out walk ratio. I mean, they're really familiar
• 18:43
  Speaker 2: with him, but that's a good strike out walk ratio
• 18:45
  Speaker 2: two thirty two average, seven to ten ops allowed, So
• 18:49
  Speaker 2: those numbers are good. I mean, if you want players
• 18:52
  Speaker 2: that hit him fairly well, there's not a whole lot
• 18:57
  Speaker 2: to see here. It's mostly small sample sized guys. Larnock
• 19:01
  Speaker 2: two for three with the home run, Lee two for
• 19:04
  Speaker 2: two of the home run, and Keishawl I don't know
• 19:07
  Speaker 2: how you pronounce his name.
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: Two for two with two doubles.
• 19:09
  Speaker 2: Those seem to be the guys that have hit him
• 19:11
  Speaker 2: the best, but they all have really small sample sizes. Overall,
• 19:15
  Speaker 2: it looks like Flaherty does fairly well against this Twins lineup.
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: He's going up against Mick Abel, who was traded over
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: from Philadelphia.
• 19:23
  Speaker 2: Still a young guy. Still definitely has room to get
• 19:26
  Speaker 2: his career off the ground here. But it's on the
• 19:30
  Speaker 2: ground right now, man. I mean his numbers are as bad,
• 19:33
  Speaker 2: if not worse than Flaherty's. He's allowed more than one
• 19:37
  Speaker 2: run an inning. He's allowed almost two hits per inning,
• 19:40
  Speaker 2: on top of allowing almost a walk an inning.
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: I mean, this is ridiculous.
• 19:45
  Speaker 2: His whip is almost three across two starts of our
• 19:48
  Speaker 2: seven to seven strike out walk ratio really really bad
• 19:52
  Speaker 2: against Baltimore and Tampa Bay. So not exactly the most
• 19:57
  Speaker 2: potent of lineups here. I suppose the one advantage she
• 20:00
  Speaker 2: does have years Detroit's never faced him before, so sometimes
• 20:04
  Speaker 2: the young pitcher does have that ash, like I said,
• 20:06
  Speaker 2: if the opposing lineup has never.
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: Seen him before. But I don't know if that's gonna
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: be enough. I mean, Abel just looks.
• 20:12
  Speaker 2: Like he's not going to be able to have a
• 20:16
  Speaker 2: great pitching career.
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: Man. I don't know.
• 20:19
  Speaker 2: There's just there really aren't good signs here. I like
• 20:22
  Speaker 2: Detroit in this game. I think they're gonna be a
• 20:25
  Speaker 2: little bit extra motivated. They're the better team and they're
• 20:27
  Speaker 2: on the version of getting swept in a four game series.
• 20:30
  Speaker 2: Here they're at minus one thirty one. So it's a
• 20:32
  Speaker 2: price that's it's a I don't know, it's it's a
• 20:37
  Speaker 2: digestible price.
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: Let's say, although Flaherty.
• 20:40
  Speaker 2: Is just so bad, dude, eighty six percent of tickets,
• 20:43
  Speaker 2: ninety five percent of the cash on Detroit's the money
• 20:46
  Speaker 2: sort of indicating that way, I would not disagree with
• 20:49
  Speaker 2: an over in this game. Seventy two percent of the
• 20:51
  Speaker 2: tickets and seventy five percent of the cash in the over.
• 20:53
  Speaker 2: I mean, both these pitchers are in such bad form
• 20:56
  Speaker 2: right now. If they get knocked out, bullpens have to
• 20:58
  Speaker 2: come in early. Minnesota is a bullpen is particularly bad.
• 21:02
  Speaker 2: Detroit's is not great that you know so far this year. Over, yeah,
• 21:07
  Speaker 2: would would maybe even be the preferable way to play it.
• 21:10
  Speaker 2: But yeah, those would be my opinions. There would be
• 21:12
  Speaker 2: Detroit money line and over would probably be the ways
• 21:15
  Speaker 2: I would look in that game Arizona at the Mets.
• 21:19
  Speaker 2: I was correct about that game going over last night.
• 21:22
  Speaker 2: The seven and a half just seemed ridiculous. In a
• 21:25
  Speaker 2: Ryan Nelson David Peterson matchup, you knew at least one
• 21:28
  Speaker 2: of them was gonna suck, and it happened to be Peterson. Yesterday,
• 21:32
  Speaker 2: the Mets lost a four game win streak, So sometimes
• 21:34
  Speaker 2: a team that loses a win streak, you'll hang them
• 21:36
  Speaker 2: over into the next game. But then again, maybe they
• 21:39
  Speaker 2: bounce back because it was an ugly loss yesterday. Arizona
• 21:43
  Speaker 2: has a terrible bullpen, though they only used three relief
• 21:47
  Speaker 2: pitchers yesterday, though Thompson only for three pitches, so that's
• 21:50
  Speaker 2: not that bad. The Mets only used Manaia, who is
• 21:55
  Speaker 2: no longer in their rotation. I guess unfortunate for him,
• 21:58
  Speaker 2: but he's basically just the long relief guy now.
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: But he saved the rest of their.
• 22:03
  Speaker 2: Bullpen, So I think the Mets have a pretty significant
• 22:06
  Speaker 2: bullpen edge, a little bit more rested. Plus the better bullpen.
• 22:11
  Speaker 2: Mets so far have had the better offense as well.
• 22:14
  Speaker 2: Looking at the numbers so far, this is the offensive
• 22:16
  Speaker 2: numbers here. Diamondbacks, you think would have a good offense again,
• 22:21
  Speaker 2: especially because they're pitching kind of stinks.
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: Last year it was all hitting from them.
• 22:24
  Speaker 2: But they're twenty second in ops so far, the Mets
• 22:28
  Speaker 2: are tenth. So the Mets have had the better offense
• 22:31
  Speaker 2: so far this year. Bullpennie Ray Wise, the Mets are
• 22:34
  Speaker 2: eighth and the Diamondbacks are seventeenth, but their Bullpenny Ray
• 22:39
  Speaker 2: is terrible. I could tell you their bullpen is really
• 22:42
  Speaker 2: really bad. Looking at the starting pitching matchup, this looks
• 22:45
  Speaker 2: like a big time mismatch as well. At Eduardo Rodriguez
• 22:49
  Speaker 2: against Nolan McLain Like, I look at that and I'm like, yeah,
• 22:52
  Speaker 2: that's a huge advantage to the Mets as well.
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: E Rod is actually pitching well this season so far.
• 22:59
  Speaker 2: He's not allowed to run yet, and he faced the
• 23:01
  Speaker 2: Dodgers in Atlanta, so two teams that are not that
• 23:06
  Speaker 2: battle though I know Atlanta hasn't been hitting that well,
• 23:08
  Speaker 2: but the Dodgers very prolific offense. E Rod's been good,
• 23:11
  Speaker 2: although it seems like his velocity's a little.
• 23:13
  Speaker 1: Bit down from where it once was.
• 23:15
  Speaker 2: His strikeout rate not that high, but he's getting a
• 23:17
  Speaker 2: ton of ground balls so far, and he again he's
• 23:20
  Speaker 2: allowed no runs, so you can't really argue with it.
• 23:25
  Speaker 2: Against the Mets. His numbers are okay, They've seen a
• 23:27
  Speaker 2: lot of him. One hundred and four at bats, twenty
• 23:29
  Speaker 2: five to eight strike at walker ratios, fine, two point
• 23:32
  Speaker 2: fifty batting average, seven oh seven ops allowed.
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: If you want a player prop here.
• 23:38
  Speaker 2: Bob Baschett specifically has really good numbers against him five
• 23:42
  Speaker 2: for thirteen with two home runs, so there's maybe a
• 23:47
  Speaker 2: way to attack it there. But again, I like hits
• 23:50
  Speaker 2: plus runs plus RBIs personally, but other than him, not
• 23:53
  Speaker 2: a whole lot going on with the Mets lineup against
• 23:55
  Speaker 2: e Rod Nolan McLain is pitching for the Mets. You know,
• 23:59
  Speaker 2: I'm a fan of him. He's still under the radar
• 24:02
  Speaker 2: a bit. I think for now. He's got a twelve
• 24:04
  Speaker 2: to four strike got walk ratio so far this season,
• 24:07
  Speaker 2: He's allowed only five hits and ten to third innings.
• 24:10
  Speaker 2: That's good stuff. Not that he faced the best offenses
• 24:12
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh and San Francisco in a pitcher friendly park. But still,
• 24:17
  Speaker 2: I think dude McClain, I think he's probably the real deal.
• 24:21
  Speaker 2: I believe he made his major league debut last year.
• 24:24
  Speaker 2: He's looked good pretty much since then, and the d
• 24:26
  Speaker 2: Backs have never faced him before, so that should be
• 24:28
  Speaker 2: an extra advantage to him. These young talented pitchers, they
• 24:32
  Speaker 2: got an extra advantage when the opposing lineup has never
• 24:35
  Speaker 2: seen them before.
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: So I like the Mets in this game. I think
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: they have advantages in.
• 24:39
  Speaker 2: Most phases, but I look at what's going on in
• 24:42
  Speaker 2: the market and it really worries me. The Mets are
• 24:44
  Speaker 2: minus won sixty, which maybe the professional betters. I think
• 24:48
  Speaker 2: that's a bit too high of a number. I mean,
• 24:51
  Speaker 2: Erad is pitching well so far this year, so maybe
• 24:53
  Speaker 2: not totally. He's not total fade material right now, ninety
• 24:58
  Speaker 2: three percent of tickets ninety six for some of the
• 25:00
  Speaker 2: cash on the Mets. I still like the Mets here,
• 25:04
  Speaker 2: but you know, maybe the price is too much there.
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: It looks like they're a very public side.
• 25:10
  Speaker 2: The money looks like it's also indicating on the under,
• 25:12
  Speaker 2: but the total is sitting at seven. Again, maybe the
• 25:15
  Speaker 2: pitching staff is getting too much credit here, Like I
• 25:18
  Speaker 2: could see, especially if one of these pitchers struggles, I
• 25:21
  Speaker 2: would guess it's gonna be Rodriguez.
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: I could see that happening.
• 25:24
  Speaker 2: And maybe the an Arizona's bullpen they are not a
• 25:28
  Speaker 2: bullpen that I would trust to keep a total under
• 25:31
  Speaker 2: a numbers low as seven. So I mean, maybe there
• 25:34
  Speaker 2: is a way to attack this with like going Mets
• 25:36
  Speaker 2: over their team total possibly, so.
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: You could do that.
• 25:42
  Speaker 2: You know that maybe that's even the better approach because
• 25:45
  Speaker 2: then you get. I would say a slightly questionable starting
• 25:48
  Speaker 2: pitcher and a very bad bullpen, and the Mets have
• 25:52
  Speaker 2: the ability to attack those things. So Mets over their
• 25:54
  Speaker 2: team total is something I wouldn't really disagree with. But
• 25:58
  Speaker 2: that's another game where it's kind of hard to find angle,
• 26:00
  Speaker 2: even though it seems like the Mets to have advantages
• 26:02
  Speaker 2: throughout that game. Mister Pinsey, what's up man?
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: Yep?
• 26:07
  Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, I gotta be selective, man, you know,
• 26:10
  Speaker 2: I'm I think I'm becoming a little bit more selective.
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I.
• 26:15
  Speaker 2: Thought I would find something in hockey today, at the
• 26:17
  Speaker 2: very least, but I have not found it. All Right,
• 26:19
  Speaker 2: White Sox in Kansas City, we gotta We still don't
• 26:24
  Speaker 2: really know what Kansas City's like, what they what their
• 26:29
  Speaker 2: stadium is doing to the home run ball right now.
• 26:32
  Speaker 2: We need to wait until it warms up a little
• 26:34
  Speaker 2: bit because they moved their wall in a little bit
• 26:37
  Speaker 2: because it was a really picture friendly park. I'm still
• 26:39
  Speaker 2: guessing it's not gonna be like a really hit or
• 26:42
  Speaker 2: friendly park all of a sudden, but we still don't
• 26:44
  Speaker 2: really know. So it's just something to keep in the
• 26:46
  Speaker 2: back of your head. This is a new series that starting.
• 26:49
  Speaker 2: Kansas City just lost to Cleveland and they got blown
• 26:52
  Speaker 2: out yesterday and now they're returning home. But it's not
• 26:55
  Speaker 2: really a bad return home spot because they're only returning
• 26:58
  Speaker 2: home from a single series is road trip to Cleveland,
• 27:01
  Speaker 2: so I'm not too.
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: Worried about that.
• 27:03
  Speaker 2: The White Sox are coming off getting swept by Baltimore,
• 27:07
  Speaker 2: so maybe they could be in bounced back MO two,
• 27:09
  Speaker 2: although they're not really a good team, but starting a
• 27:11
  Speaker 2: road trip might be good for them to just get
• 27:14
  Speaker 2: out of home where things just started going poorly for them,
• 27:18
  Speaker 2: and we did get a win on Baltimore in the
• 27:19
  Speaker 2: middle of that series. For the White Sox, things just
• 27:24
  Speaker 2: aren't really good for them at all.
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 27:26
  Speaker 2: I mean, They're bullpen is ranked twenty fifth right now
• 27:29
  Speaker 2: in terms of whip.
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: That's pretty bad.
• 27:31
  Speaker 2: Kansas City has not had a good bullpen performance so
• 27:34
  Speaker 2: far this year either, but they're ranked high or somewhere.
• 27:38
  Speaker 2: Where are they at? I think they are at WHOA,
• 27:42
  Speaker 2: I'm wrong about that. My mistake. Royals are dead last
• 27:45
  Speaker 2: my mistakes. We have two really bad bullpens actually right now.
• 27:48
  Speaker 2: Although I keep thinking the Royals are going to turn
• 27:50
  Speaker 2: it around because their bullpen.
• 27:52
  Speaker 1: Was good last year. I don't know.
• 27:53
  Speaker 2: It's very surprise. That's why I couldn't find them. It's
• 27:55
  Speaker 2: surprising they're dead last. Right now, I still think they
• 27:59
  Speaker 2: might not be the worst bullpen here, though as far
• 28:03
  Speaker 2: as the hitting is concerned, the Royals actually have been
• 28:06
  Speaker 2: hitting fairly well.
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: They're in the middle of the pack here. White Sox
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: are right near the bottom.
• 28:10
  Speaker 2: So yeah, I agree that the Royals are the better offense,
• 28:14
  Speaker 2: so I don't think that's a shock or really that questionable,
• 28:18
  Speaker 2: although last year both offenses were pretty bad. As far
• 28:22
  Speaker 2: as the bullpen usage, Kansas City used four relief pitchers yesterday,
• 28:26
  Speaker 2: fairly heavily, but kind of more of their long relief
• 28:29
  Speaker 2: type of guys. The White Sox use five, so the
• 28:33
  Speaker 2: White Sox use more relief pitchers yesterday, So I don't
• 28:36
  Speaker 2: really trust the White.
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: Sox pitching here.
• 28:38
  Speaker 2: And Anthony Kaye is pitching, so that makes it even
• 28:41
  Speaker 2: worse for the White Sox because I think he's only
• 28:44
  Speaker 2: made one start this year. He's mostly been a reliever,
• 28:47
  Speaker 2: and I think it might have been a spot start.
• 28:49
  Speaker 2: You look at his career numbers. He's been around since
• 28:51
  Speaker 2: twenty nineteen, and it's not good. A five point four
• 28:55
  Speaker 2: to four one point five to eight whip over his career.
• 28:58
  Speaker 2: Not a good strike out walker show way too many walks.
• 29:01
  Speaker 2: I mean, this guy, he's not good. Needless to say,
• 29:05
  Speaker 2: he has not made it five innings in either of
• 29:07
  Speaker 2: his appearances this year. He has more walks than strikeouts
• 29:10
  Speaker 2: five to six strike out walk ratio. There's nothing to
• 29:14
  Speaker 2: really like about Kay here going up against Kansas City.
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: Let me see, they.
• 29:20
  Speaker 2: Don't have a whole lot of experience against him though
• 29:22
  Speaker 2: they're actually zero for three with a strikeout off of him.
• 29:24
  Speaker 2: But I don't think he's gonna pitch well based on
• 29:27
  Speaker 2: his career numbers and the fact that he's in his
• 29:30
  Speaker 2: thirties in his career numbers of that ugly, I'm expecting
• 29:34
  Speaker 2: not good stuff from the White Sox pitching in this
• 29:37
  Speaker 2: one man. So that's gonna kind of lead me to
• 29:40
  Speaker 2: what I think about this game here. I think the
• 29:42
  Speaker 2: White Sox bullpen is ass. I think k might not
• 29:45
  Speaker 2: last that long in the game and probably won't do well.
• 29:48
  Speaker 2: Seth Lugo is obviously the more established pitcher here, and
• 29:51
  Speaker 2: I know I always point out that the advanced analytics
• 29:54
  Speaker 2: guys hate Seth Lugo and they're constantly trying to fade him.
• 29:57
  Speaker 2: But I keep looking at his numbers and I'm like, dude,
• 30:00
  Speaker 2: like his whip is usually pretty low, Like his numbers.
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: Are usually fairly good. So far this season, he's been good.
• 30:06
  Speaker 2: He just pitched pretty well against Milwaukee and we know
• 30:09
  Speaker 2: they have a pretty potent offense. Ten to two strike
• 30:12
  Speaker 2: out walk ratio so far. I'm not complaining about Lulu's
• 30:15
  Speaker 2: numbers here, man, They're good so far this year. Sure,
• 30:20
  Speaker 2: I mean he's not as good as this, but I
• 30:21
  Speaker 2: still don't think he's a bad pitcher. And he's got
• 30:24
  Speaker 2: a weak lineup that he gets to face here in
• 30:26
  Speaker 2: the White Sox, and he's done well against them in
• 30:28
  Speaker 2: the past. Thirty three at bats against some one to
• 30:31
  Speaker 2: eighty two batting average allowed, four to sixty five ohps,
• 30:34
  Speaker 2: three to two strike out walk ratio is not good,
• 30:37
  Speaker 2: but just not a lot of strikeouts there, really, But overall, yeah,
• 30:41
  Speaker 2: he has good numbers against them.
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: So I'm expecting the Royals are gonna win this game,
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: but they are a pretty big favorite.
• 30:48
  Speaker 2: Minus one seventy five, eighty eight percent of tickets, ninety
• 30:50
  Speaker 2: eight percent of the cash on the Royals doesn't seem
• 30:53
  Speaker 2: like there's really a way to just attack that, because
• 30:57
  Speaker 2: I do still worry that in a like this, the
• 31:00
  Speaker 2: Royals might not be able to get over like a
• 31:02
  Speaker 2: run line if you're gonna try to play them on
• 31:04
  Speaker 2: the run line, which would be probably like a split
• 31:07
  Speaker 2: bet make your own minus one run line or something
• 31:09
  Speaker 2: like that.
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: I'm not really gonna disagree with that.
• 31:13
  Speaker 2: Maybe you could find, you know, you could go over
• 31:15
  Speaker 2: Kansas City's team total.
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: I mean, we do have a pretty high total.
• 31:18
  Speaker 2: Of nine here, and the money's coming out in the
• 31:21
  Speaker 2: over here. But I think the Royals are gonna do
• 31:23
  Speaker 2: a lot of the heavy lifting if this total is
• 31:25
  Speaker 2: gonna go over up against k plus the uh bullpen
• 31:31
  Speaker 2: that has to come in for the White Sox here.
• 31:34
  Speaker 2: To me, it looks like, yeah, it looks like Kansas
• 31:37
  Speaker 2: City should do some offensive damage in this one. So
• 31:40
  Speaker 2: Kansas City over their team total makes sense to me.
• 31:43
  Speaker 2: Although you're probably looking at five and a half on
• 31:45
  Speaker 2: that one, I would say, and asking Kansas City to
• 31:48
  Speaker 2: do that is you know, it feels questionable because their
• 31:52
  Speaker 2: offense just isn't one that like lights it up that much.
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: But I think they might be able.
• 31:56
  Speaker 2: To hear so Kansas City over their team total kind
• 31:59
  Speaker 2: of makes sense to me. Stax, what's up? Thanks for
• 32:03
  Speaker 2: hanging out all right? Good morning? Yes, Colorado at San
• 32:08
  Speaker 2: Diego's the last game up. Colorado has not even decided
• 32:10
  Speaker 2: on a starter yet, so this is a very difficult
• 32:12
  Speaker 2: game to figure out. Colorado just swept Houston at home,
• 32:17
  Speaker 2: which is pretty ridiculous, pretty crazy to think about. Could
• 32:20
  Speaker 2: be maybe in letdown mode here, But then again, are
• 32:23
  Speaker 2: they going to overlook a divisional opponent that's been better
• 32:26
  Speaker 2: than they are for a long time starting a road
• 32:29
  Speaker 2: trip with momentum?
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: Maybe not.
• 32:30
  Speaker 2: You could make the argument it's actually a positive spot
• 32:33
  Speaker 2: for Chicago here, or excuse me for Colorado here.
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: I get the good fused because they're both bad.
• 32:39
  Speaker 2: San Diego's returning home from a road trip and that's
• 32:42
  Speaker 2: not exactly good. They were all the way out on
• 32:44
  Speaker 2: the East Coast in Boston and then they finished in Pittsburgh.
• 32:47
  Speaker 2: Coming back home now, and you know, I like to
• 32:49
  Speaker 2: fade teams usually returning home from road trips because they
• 32:53
  Speaker 2: can get distracted.
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: They have to get back to home life.
• 32:55
  Speaker 2: Maybe they won't take Colorado seriously after how bad they've
• 32:58
  Speaker 2: been the last few years. San Diego has been the
• 33:02
  Speaker 2: better team for a long long time now, So I
• 33:05
  Speaker 2: do think it's a bad spot for San Diego, and
• 33:07
  Speaker 2: you could argue it's a better spot for Colorado with
• 33:10
  Speaker 2: the start of the road trip.
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: So situationally, yeah, I might be looking to fade San Diego.
• 33:14
  Speaker 2: But looking at these teams bullpens, I mean, I don't
• 33:16
  Speaker 2: think you could really do much with Colorado's, although I
• 33:18
  Speaker 2: guess they're rested at the very least because they only
• 33:21
  Speaker 2: use one guy yesterday. For San Diego, generally, I would
• 33:25
  Speaker 2: say they probably would have the better bullpen.
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: They use three relief pitchers yesterday. But if you look
• 33:29
  Speaker 1: at these stats, it's actually hilarious. The Rockies have the
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: fourth best bullpen right now.
• 33:36
  Speaker 2: That's not gonna last, dude. I'm sorry, Padres are eleventh
• 33:39
  Speaker 2: right now.
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: This is arranged by Whip.
• 33:41
  Speaker 2: But I don't actually think the Rockies are the better
• 33:45
  Speaker 2: bullpen here.
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: I really don't.
• 33:47
  Speaker 2: So you know, they're more rested here, and maybe the
• 33:50
  Speaker 2: bullpens are closer than you would think. I guess that's
• 33:54
  Speaker 2: as far as I'll go with it. San Diego's offense
• 33:56
  Speaker 2: has been struggling this season. They're fourth worst right now.
• 34:00
  Speaker 2: Colorado's is actually in the middle of the pack eleventh
• 34:04
  Speaker 2: based on ops, so hilariously, it looks like Colorado has
• 34:09
  Speaker 2: advantages in those areas of the game, which is ridiculous.
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: Randy Vazquez is the listed starter for the pod race.
• 34:16
  Speaker 2: He's got good numbers to start the season, still kind
• 34:20
  Speaker 2: of walking too many guys, but he only walked one
• 34:22
  Speaker 2: against the Red Sox. I guess you can't really argue
• 34:25
  Speaker 2: too much with allowing one run on eight hits at
• 34:28
  Speaker 2: twelve innings, eleven strikeouts, four walks, with three of them
• 34:32
  Speaker 2: coming in the first.
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: Game of the season.
• 34:35
  Speaker 2: Vezquez has just been a guy that I've never trusted though,
• 34:38
  Speaker 2: Like his career whip is one point three to seven,
• 34:41
  Speaker 2: so I don't know how you trust that, you know
• 34:43
  Speaker 2: what I mean. He pitches in a pitcher friendly park
• 34:46
  Speaker 2: and he's never really improved on that.
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: He doesn't strike out a lot of guys.
• 34:51
  Speaker 2: And his walk numbers is also too high typically, so
• 34:54
  Speaker 2: I've never been a fan of this guy. But I
• 34:57
  Speaker 2: guess he has shown some signs of doing a bit
• 34:59
  Speaker 2: better last season. He started doing better in the later
• 35:02
  Speaker 2: part of the season. It would be hilarious if he
• 35:04
  Speaker 2: does turn out.
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: To be good because the Yankees.
• 35:07
  Speaker 2: The Yankees originally had him and got rid of him,
• 35:09
  Speaker 2: so that would make me laugh. Against Colorado or a
• 35:13
  Speaker 2: season that was Pittsburgh. My god, he does not do
• 35:16
  Speaker 2: well against Pittsburgh, so he can keep that in mind. Against
• 35:19
  Speaker 2: Colorado's numbers are fine in seventy one at bats, fifteen
• 35:22
  Speaker 2: to three, strike out walk ratio, two thirty nine average allowed, six.
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: Zero eight oh ps allowed.
• 35:28
  Speaker 2: I'm not really expecting Vazquez to do that poorly in
• 35:30
  Speaker 2: this game.
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: Very hard to handicap this because.
• 35:33
  Speaker 2: We don't know what who Colorado's starting pitcher is even
• 35:35
  Speaker 2: going to be. San Diego's minus one eighty five here
• 35:41
  Speaker 2: would I would lean to Colorado, though, man like I said,
• 35:43
  Speaker 2: I think maybe the game is a little bit closer
• 35:46
  Speaker 2: than people are gonna think.
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: Based on the stats that we see so far the season.
• 35:50
  Speaker 2: Colorado's far exceeded expectations so far, and again, it would
• 35:55
  Speaker 2: mostly be a situational play, even though I don't do
• 35:58
  Speaker 2: that as much at baseball, and Diego returning home cross
• 36:01
  Speaker 2: country basically from a road trip a lot of times
• 36:04
  Speaker 2: that really affects the hittings, So their hitting might struggle
• 36:07
  Speaker 2: a little bit more than you would think, and they
• 36:09
  Speaker 2: haven't been good anyway this season, so yeah, I would
• 36:12
  Speaker 2: actually maybe take the shot with Colorado, maybe like split
• 36:17
  Speaker 2: the bet on the run line of the money line.
• 36:19
  Speaker 2: That would be my thought on that game. That's not
• 36:23
  Speaker 2: gonna happen Colorado to make the playoffs. There's absolutely no way.
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: There's no way, no chance.
• 36:31
  Speaker 2: They Yeah, the Dodgers are gonna easily win that division
• 36:35
  Speaker 2: like without even trying, and then as far as the
• 36:38
  Speaker 2: wildcard is concerned, yet not gonna happen.
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: Colorado.
• 36:44
  Speaker 2: I think they're gonna still wind up in last place
• 36:46
  Speaker 2: in the division. You know, Arizona is pretty bad though,
• 36:51
  Speaker 2: like I guess, it wouldn't shocked me if Colorado win's
• 36:53
  Speaker 2: up ahead of Arizona. I don't see them ending up
• 36:56
  Speaker 2: ahead of any of these other teams, even though I
• 36:58
  Speaker 2: don't even love sand or the Giants. I just don't
• 37:01
  Speaker 2: see it. I could see that divisionally getting one team
• 37:04
  Speaker 2: into the playoffs, just the Dodgers and then the wild Cards.
• 37:09
  Speaker 2: I think you're probably gonna get some sort of mix
• 37:10
  Speaker 2: of I don't know, like you saw what my playoff
• 37:15
  Speaker 2: predictions were, like Mets Cubs, although the Cubs lost Kate
• 37:20
  Speaker 2: Horton now Brewers look like they're already doing better than
• 37:23
  Speaker 2: I thought they would, maybe not taking a huge step
• 37:27
  Speaker 2: back like like I thought they might. Phillies are probably
• 37:30
  Speaker 2: gonna be in there, and then yeah, you're looking at
• 37:33
  Speaker 2: only like one more team getting in there. You know,
• 37:37
  Speaker 2: it wouldn't shock me if the Braves got back there,
• 37:39
  Speaker 2: because they were just so injury plagued last year, and
• 37:42
  Speaker 2: I know they are this year too, but they're playing
• 37:44
  Speaker 2: a little bit better than expected, so I don't know.
• 37:48
  Speaker 2: And then I know the Pirates had all that hype,
• 37:50
  Speaker 2: but I kind of just still don't really see that. Yeah,
• 37:56
  Speaker 2: you could have just flushed the ten dollars down the toilet.
• 37:58
  Speaker 2: I mean, that's not gonna happen. And I don't know
• 38:01
  Speaker 2: if you might be able to hedge at all towards
• 38:03
  Speaker 2: the end of the season. But I don't think Colorado
• 38:04
  Speaker 2: is going to be even close to making the playoffs.
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: I do not.
• 38:09
  Speaker 2: Like they're starting pitching is just there's no way that
• 38:13
  Speaker 2: it's anywhere near good enough, and neither is their bullpen
• 38:17
  Speaker 2: really all right, So that's baseball for today. Still took
• 38:23
  Speaker 2: forty minutes to talk about six games. That's awesome, all right,
• 38:26
  Speaker 2: Let's go to hockey.
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 38:27
  Speaker 2: We have a ton of hockey, fourteen hockey games, and
• 38:31
  Speaker 2: I have not found a play in hockey today. Being
• 38:34
  Speaker 2: really selective, we picked the right game yesterday because I
• 38:36
  Speaker 2: was wrong about the other two games, but my strongest
• 38:39
  Speaker 2: opinion was Washington and they had an easy win. Toronto's
• 38:44
  Speaker 2: playing again today, so they're on a back to back,
• 38:47
  Speaker 2: playing in the first of this Hulu doubleheader here at
• 38:50
  Speaker 2: the Islanders. Of course, I do have the standings up here,
• 38:53
  Speaker 2: so what we're looking at here is we're looking at
• 38:56
  Speaker 2: the Islanders still fighting trying to make the playoffs. Here,
• 38:58
  Speaker 2: they're three points out of the playoffs. Toronto's an eliminated team,
• 39:02
  Speaker 2: and Arono back to back, so motivationally, yeah, the Islanders
• 39:06
  Speaker 2: should have more. Toronto did get blown out last night, though,
• 39:09
  Speaker 2: so it's that that was that first.
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: Game back home.
• 39:12
  Speaker 2: Part of the reason, one of the main reasons I
• 39:14
  Speaker 2: faded them yesterday. And they're not really unrested because they
• 39:18
  Speaker 2: did have three days off prior to that, so this
• 39:20
  Speaker 2: is not like most back to backs. But they are
• 39:23
  Speaker 2: having to travel to New York for this. I don't
• 39:25
  Speaker 2: know how up they're gonna get for it. Man, it
• 39:27
  Speaker 2: is still a back to back. But a lot of
• 39:29
  Speaker 2: times when a team has a bad game in their
• 39:31
  Speaker 2: return home, they get shut out at home. A lot
• 39:33
  Speaker 2: of times you do want to look at them in
• 39:35
  Speaker 2: the next game. And for the Islanders, everybody knows they're
• 39:38
  Speaker 2: fighting to make the playoffs, so they might be a
• 39:40
  Speaker 2: little bit overvalued here. They've been off since Saturday, so
• 39:44
  Speaker 2: they've had a lot of time off, which might be
• 39:46
  Speaker 2: good because they've lost four games in a row, so
• 39:48
  Speaker 2: having days off does help disrupt that losing momentum. But
• 39:52
  Speaker 2: they did have a close game against Carolina in their
• 39:55
  Speaker 2: last game, so that does worry me a little bit.
• 39:57
  Speaker 2: And their final three games are all at home against
• 40:00
  Speaker 2: teams that are at least trying to make the playoffs.
• 40:03
  Speaker 2: Auto one and then Montreal in Carolina who are both
• 40:05
  Speaker 2: going to be in the playoffs.
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: So those games are more important.
• 40:09
  Speaker 2: But then the Islanders might also be thinking, well, we
• 40:13
  Speaker 2: need to you know, we have to win this game
• 40:15
  Speaker 2: because the other games are more difficult.
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: But the Islanders are up to.
• 40:18
  Speaker 2: Minus two fifty five here, dude, for minus two pot five,
• 40:21
  Speaker 2: that's ridiculous, Like, I don't think the Islanders should be
• 40:24
  Speaker 2: favored by this much in any situation against anybody, So
• 40:29
  Speaker 2: I think.
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: That price is just too high.
• 40:31
  Speaker 2: Yes, I think the Islanders will win the game, probably,
• 40:34
  Speaker 2: but there's no way that I could lay that price.
• 40:37
  Speaker 2: I don't want to do anything with Toronto either here really,
• 40:40
  Speaker 2: but if you forced me, I would probably lean towards
• 40:43
  Speaker 2: maybe Toronto on the puck line or something. Maybe the
• 40:46
  Speaker 2: Islanders escape in like a close game here or something
• 40:49
  Speaker 2: like that. I can't do anything with that game, though.
• 40:51
  Speaker 2: Columbus at Buffalo, Columbus is gonna have to.
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: Be the more motivated team here.
• 40:56
  Speaker 2: There are two points out of the last wildcard right now.
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: Buffalo is already in.
• 41:01
  Speaker 2: But Buffalo, of course, you know, you could make the
• 41:03
  Speaker 2: argument they're fighting for seeding here or whatever.
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: But I just don't think that's a huge motivator.
• 41:09
  Speaker 2: You're gonna get a desperate Columbus team here, and they're
• 41:11
  Speaker 2: gonna be the underdog.
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: So that is the way that I like to look. Usually,
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: the desperate underdogs man usually the way to go.
• 41:18
  Speaker 2: Even though people know they're in this like must win scenario.
• 41:21
  Speaker 2: You know, when it's an underdog and you know that
• 41:23
  Speaker 2: that's obviously they're gonna give you an effort.
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: That is what you want.
• 41:28
  Speaker 2: Columbus is coming off a big win over Detroit, though,
• 41:31
  Speaker 2: but I don't think they're gonna be in a letdown
• 41:33
  Speaker 2: spot because this is a big game as well.
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: They need it.
• 41:36
  Speaker 2: That disrupted a six game losing streak, which is good.
• 41:40
  Speaker 2: When you end a losing streak, it's like you get
• 41:42
  Speaker 2: that monkey off your back. You can move forward with
• 41:45
  Speaker 2: some new momentum. So I don't really hate that for Buffalo.
• 41:49
  Speaker 2: They just beat the Rangers yesterday, I'm pretty sure. So
• 41:52
  Speaker 2: Buffalo is on a back to back and traveling back home,
• 41:55
  Speaker 2: so the spot doesn't really help them rest wise either.
• 41:59
  Speaker 2: For some reason, they put it in an effort and
• 42:00
  Speaker 2: beat the Rangers, although we know the Rangers are still
• 42:03
  Speaker 2: no good at home. But yeah, in this game, I
• 42:06
  Speaker 2: would lean to Columbus in this one. Buffalo down for
• 42:08
  Speaker 2: minus one thirty to minus one twenty three. It actually
• 42:10
  Speaker 2: looks really easy to try to play the Buffalo side here.
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: It looks too easy. Ninety four percent of the tickets.
• 42:17
  Speaker 2: We don't really see the cash yet, but I think,
• 42:19
  Speaker 2: you know, Buffalo's probably gonna wind up being a public side,
• 42:22
  Speaker 2: or as public as a hockey team can be, because
• 42:25
  Speaker 2: the public doesn't usually play hockey. But hockey is like
• 42:29
  Speaker 2: the biggest thing on the board today. I mean, hockey
• 42:31
  Speaker 2: has the most games today, I should say, so maybe
• 42:34
  Speaker 2: the public will be getting involved here, But yeah, I
• 42:36
  Speaker 2: would play Columbus on the money line in that game
• 42:40
  Speaker 2: if I was gonna do it.
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: But I still have my concerns about it. Although actually, you.
• 42:45
  Speaker 2: Know, more than I look at it, I kind of
• 42:46
  Speaker 2: do like it, but I don't know. I just worry
• 42:48
  Speaker 2: a little bit about Columbus coming off another big game.
• 42:51
  Speaker 2: But that's really kind of the only concern with it.
• 42:54
  Speaker 2: Tampa Bay at Montreal. Both these teams are already going
• 42:56
  Speaker 2: to be in the playoffs, so the motivation there's urgency
• 43:01
  Speaker 2: here really for these two teams, but they aren't tied
• 43:03
  Speaker 2: right now in the standings fighting for seeding. I think
• 43:06
  Speaker 2: Tampa is the better of the two teams. Tampa is
• 43:10
  Speaker 2: coming off two straight losses that were fairly ugly, especially
• 43:13
  Speaker 2: losing six to two to a very motivated Auto A team.
• 43:17
  Speaker 2: But also Vasilevsky did not play for Tampa in that game,
• 43:21
  Speaker 2: so they did not use.
• 43:22
  Speaker 1: Their better goalie there.
• 43:23
  Speaker 2: I think they will use him in this game tonight.
• 43:26
  Speaker 2: They did lose at home to Montreal back on March
• 43:28
  Speaker 2: thirty first, too, so they might actually have a little
• 43:31
  Speaker 2: bit of extra motivation here to try to get Montreal back.
• 43:35
  Speaker 2: I don't really think Montreal is gonna overlook them, but
• 43:37
  Speaker 2: maybe Montreal figures, hey, we beat them on the road,
• 43:40
  Speaker 2: like we should be able to beat them at home.
• 43:42
  Speaker 2: Montreal did just beat Florida, which these days is not
• 43:45
  Speaker 2: that big of a deal, but maybe you still kind
• 43:48
  Speaker 2: of feel pretty good about it because they won the
• 43:49
  Speaker 2: last two Stanley cops. I'm gonna lean to Tampa Bay
• 43:53
  Speaker 2: in this game. I don't have that strong of an
• 43:55
  Speaker 2: opinion on it, though, and I think the money was
• 43:57
  Speaker 2: disagreeing with me when I looked, oh know, it's not
• 43:59
  Speaker 2: now now Tampa Bay down for minus one twenty to
• 44:02
  Speaker 2: minus one sixteen, So the market's coming to me.
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: Baby. My thoughts in.
• 44:07
  Speaker 2: My head are out there, man, like we're just being
• 44:10
  Speaker 2: mind controlled. Now, we're being mine read uh, sixty one
• 44:14
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets, eighty five percent of the cash on
• 44:16
  Speaker 2: the lightning. I agree with that side. I would lean
• 44:19
  Speaker 2: to Tampa in that one. Florida at Ottawa. Now, this
• 44:22
  Speaker 2: is a situation kind of like the first game that
• 44:25
  Speaker 2: I talked about Toronto and the Islanders where you know
• 44:27
  Speaker 2: that Ottawa is the only team was something to play
• 44:30
  Speaker 2: for here, and they're sitting in the last wildcard spot
• 44:33
  Speaker 2: right now, but only with a two point lead over
• 44:36
  Speaker 2: the next nearest team and three points over the next three,
• 44:39
  Speaker 2: so obviously they're not secure in that spot. Florida's already eliminated,
• 44:45
  Speaker 2: but that means Florida could just play loose. They have
• 44:47
  Speaker 2: nothing to play for it now, and maybe they're gonna
• 44:49
  Speaker 2: try to get a win so they don't go winless
• 44:52
  Speaker 2: on this road trip here, so they might actually show
• 44:54
  Speaker 2: up and they get a chance to play spoiler though,
• 44:56
  Speaker 2: you know, with a team like Florida, you've won the
• 44:58
  Speaker 2: last two championships and now all of a sudden you're
• 45:00
  Speaker 2: not even making the playoffs. Sometimes that will kind of
• 45:03
  Speaker 2: make you a dejected team. But they've already gone through that,
• 45:07
  Speaker 2: like they've already been mathematically eliminated now for one or
• 45:09
  Speaker 2: two games, so maybe they kind of right.
• 45:12
  Speaker 1: The ship here.
• 45:13
  Speaker 2: However, they did just beat Ottawa six to three at
• 45:15
  Speaker 2: home the last time they played them, so maybe they
• 45:18
  Speaker 2: won't really care that much about Ottawa here.
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: Ottawa needs the game, but that's gonna be factored into
• 45:23
  Speaker 1: the line.
• 45:24
  Speaker 2: They did just smash Carolina and Tampa Bay. Those are
• 45:29
  Speaker 2: two massive wins for Ottawa, beating those teams by a
• 45:32
  Speaker 2: combined twelve to five score.
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: That could put them in a bit of a letdown
• 45:36
  Speaker 1: spot here.
• 45:36
  Speaker 2: Man, I think maybe the line's gonna be it's definitely
• 45:38
  Speaker 2: gonna be too big on Ottawa here.
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: This could be a letdown spot for Ottawa.
• 45:44
  Speaker 2: I don't really think they're gonna lose, but they're up
• 45:47
  Speaker 2: to minus two eighty dude, I mean, come on, that
• 45:50
  Speaker 2: is just way too high of a price. Up for
• 45:52
  Speaker 2: minus two to fifty to minus two eighty. I think
• 45:55
  Speaker 2: there's recency bias involved in that number. After what Ottawa
• 45:58
  Speaker 2: did in those last two games. I think the fact
• 46:00
  Speaker 2: that they need to win pretty much is being factored
• 46:03
  Speaker 2: in as well. If I was gonna do anything with
• 46:06
  Speaker 2: the game, I would lean to Florida and grab them
• 46:08
  Speaker 2: on the puck line here. I mean, they might still
• 46:11
  Speaker 2: show up just for some sense of pride here, maybe
• 46:14
  Speaker 2: to play spoiler or whatever you want to call it.
• 46:17
  Speaker 2: They get to at least play loose, whereas Ottawa. You
• 46:20
  Speaker 2: know they're gonna be in a high pressure situation and
• 46:22
  Speaker 2: asking a big favorite to play in a high pressure
• 46:26
  Speaker 2: environment like that.
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: That's not really what you want.
• 46:29
  Speaker 2: It's it's a tight butthole situation there man fifty two
• 46:33
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets, ninety two percent of the cash on Florida.
• 46:36
  Speaker 2: I agree with looking towards Florida on the puck line there,
• 46:39
  Speaker 2: I don't love it, though, you know, I feel similarly
• 46:43
  Speaker 2: to that about that game as I do to the
• 46:45
  Speaker 2: Toronto and Islanders game Philadelphia Detroit. This is an interesting
• 46:49
  Speaker 2: one because both teams are trying to make the playoffs.
• 46:53
  Speaker 2: Flyers are currently in the third spot in their division,
• 46:56
  Speaker 2: so they're probably feeling a little bit more secure, but
• 47:00
  Speaker 2: they're not really because they're tied with Ottawa, who's in
• 47:03
  Speaker 2: the last wildcard spot, and then Columbus Detroit who they're
• 47:07
  Speaker 2: playing tonight, and the Islanders and the Caps are all
• 47:09
  Speaker 2: right behind them.
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: So it's a tricky situation here. Philadelphia also has looked maybe.
• 47:16
  Speaker 2: Too good in the recent win streak. They've had three
• 47:19
  Speaker 2: wins in a row. They have allowed one goal in
• 47:21
  Speaker 2: each game. They just won five to one against a
• 47:24
  Speaker 2: New Jersey team. It's now out of it. I didn't
• 47:27
  Speaker 2: think they would do as well as they did in
• 47:29
  Speaker 2: that game. This is gonna be a step up in class.
• 47:32
  Speaker 2: But Detroit did beat them in Philadelphia in the last
• 47:36
  Speaker 2: game they played, four to two. The game before that,
• 47:39
  Speaker 2: Philadelphia won in Detroit, so the road team has won
• 47:42
  Speaker 2: the last two of these games. But yeah, so if
• 47:45
  Speaker 2: the zigzag continues, I guess that would point towards Philadelphia.
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: But I don't know if I love that. Detroit has
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: been the.
• 47:51
  Speaker 2: Team that's been playing worse recently, so the recency bias
• 47:56
  Speaker 2: is probably gonna be putting too much weight onto Philadelphia here.
• 48:00
  Speaker 2: Detroit's lost three in a row, five of their last
• 48:03
  Speaker 2: six games.
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: That's pretty bad.
• 48:05
  Speaker 2: They did just lose against another contending team, Columbus, in
• 48:08
  Speaker 2: a shootout, which isn't that great, but that was as
• 48:11
  Speaker 2: a home favorite. I'm pretty sure, So staying at home,
• 48:15
  Speaker 2: I think you're gonna get a better effort out of
• 48:16
  Speaker 2: Detroit here. They're the team that looks worse recently, so
• 48:19
  Speaker 2: the recentcy bias will be on the Philadelphia side. Like
• 48:22
  Speaker 2: I said, Philadelphia might feel more secure in their spot
• 48:26
  Speaker 2: here the fact that they're in the playoffs right now,
• 48:29
  Speaker 2: Detroit is not. I lean to Detroit here. You're getting
• 48:32
  Speaker 2: actually a cheaper price on them now. Because it dropped
• 48:34
  Speaker 2: for minus one thirty five, so minus one fourteen.
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: So basically just to pick.
• 48:38
  Speaker 2: The winner, Philadelphia sixty two percent of tickets and cash
• 48:43
  Speaker 2: on them right now, so it's really difficult to read,
• 48:46
  Speaker 2: like where is the cash disparity actually gonna wind up
• 48:48
  Speaker 2: in this game. But just based on the way that
• 48:50
  Speaker 2: I read situations and stuff, I would lean slightly.
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: To Detroit in that one.
• 48:54
  Speaker 2: And they might wind up being a little bit of
• 48:55
  Speaker 2: an anti public favorite too. And you know, I like
• 48:58
  Speaker 2: those anti public favors because you're getting that's not really
• 49:03
  Speaker 2: the better team necessarily, but the team that is supposed
• 49:06
  Speaker 2: to win basically, and the public doesn't even want them.
• 49:09
  Speaker 2: So I do like that. Pittsburgh at New Jersey Pittsburgh.
• 49:13
  Speaker 2: They haven't clinched a playoffs spot yet, but they're likely
• 49:16
  Speaker 2: to be in, although there are only four points above
• 49:18
  Speaker 2: the last wildcard spot right now, but still they're in
• 49:21
  Speaker 2: a fairly secure spot at this point. They just beat
• 49:25
  Speaker 2: Florida twice badly, nine to four in five to two,
• 49:28
  Speaker 2: so they look maybe too good right now, and they
• 49:31
  Speaker 2: haven't played since Sunday, But I think that's actually a
• 49:33
  Speaker 2: problem when you're winning a bunch of games. You do
• 49:36
  Speaker 2: not want to have time off, like you don't want
• 49:38
  Speaker 2: to have your momentum disrupted.
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: You know, now they're having to.
• 49:41
  Speaker 2: Go to New Jersey, and yeah, New Jersey's eliminated, but
• 49:45
  Speaker 2: New Jersey they don't have too many chances remaining to
• 49:48
  Speaker 2: actually do anything. I think they're gonna get up to
• 49:51
  Speaker 2: play a team that's going to be in the playoffs.
• 49:52
  Speaker 2: They're coming up a very ugly five to one home loss.
• 49:55
  Speaker 2: I think New Jersey is gonna show up with a
• 49:57
  Speaker 2: better effort in this one. It's not home game yet,
• 50:00
  Speaker 2: but I'm gonna lean in New Jersey slightly here. Pittsburgh
• 50:03
  Speaker 2: has taking some of the money. They flip to a
• 50:05
  Speaker 2: minus one oh nine favorite, but it looks like they're
• 50:08
  Speaker 2: gonna be public eighty percent of the tickets, eighty five
• 50:10
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on them. It looks way too
• 50:12
  Speaker 2: easy to take Pittsburgh, like just asking you to pick
• 50:15
  Speaker 2: the winner, and Pittsburgh obviously has the way better record.
• 50:18
  Speaker 2: It looks so easy to play Pittsburgh. I just would
• 50:21
  Speaker 2: not do that. I would lean towards the Devils in
• 50:24
  Speaker 2: that one. A Winnipeg at Saint Louis. These two teams
• 50:29
  Speaker 2: are This is basically an elimination game for the most part,
• 50:34
  Speaker 2: Like these two teams are falling out of contention here. Winnipeg, well,
• 50:37
  Speaker 2: I mean they're four points back of Nashville right now.
• 50:40
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis is a bit more out of it.
• 50:42
  Speaker 2: There's six points back or five, no six, yes, six,
• 50:48
  Speaker 2: But you know, I think both teams will put in
• 50:50
  Speaker 2: an effort here because neither team wants to fall here
• 50:53
  Speaker 2: and basically be eliminated.
• 50:55
  Speaker 1: Like whoever loses this game is pretty much donal though.
• 50:58
  Speaker 2: I don't think either of the seems is gonna make
• 51:00
  Speaker 2: the playoffs at this point because there's aren't enough spots.
• 51:03
  Speaker 2: Winnipeg just beat Seattle six to two in a return
• 51:06
  Speaker 2: home spot, which should have been a bad spot for them,
• 51:09
  Speaker 2: but they still got to blowout win. Now they've had
• 51:12
  Speaker 2: a couple of days off, they're on a multiple game
• 51:14
  Speaker 2: winning streak.
• 51:15
  Speaker 1: They will have Hellabook in net.
• 51:16
  Speaker 2: Actually, this is hilarious because it's going to be the
• 51:19
  Speaker 2: rematch of the Olympic Final between Hellabook and Bennington. If
• 51:24
  Speaker 2: they're both gonna be a net here, that's gonna be hilarious.
• 51:27
  Speaker 2: And maybe Bennington has an extra motivational edge there to
• 51:32
  Speaker 2: try to get back, get hello, book back a little
• 51:35
  Speaker 2: bit in a game that is probably not gonna matter
• 51:37
  Speaker 2: as much, although you know right now it does.
• 51:39
  Speaker 1: Matter to both teams though.
• 51:41
  Speaker 2: But I think Winnipeg coming off a big win like that,
• 51:43
  Speaker 2: having to go back out on.
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: The road, it seems like a little bit of a
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: tricky spot for them. Here.
• 51:48
  Speaker 2: Saint Louis is probably the slightly more urgent team as well,
• 51:53
  Speaker 2: because they're so close to being eliminated. They just lost
• 51:56
  Speaker 2: in their return home game to Colorado after they beat
• 51:58
  Speaker 2: Colorado to finished the road trip, so Colorado kind of zigzagged.
• 52:02
  Speaker 2: It made the adjustments played better in that game. It
• 52:06
  Speaker 2: was a bad spot for Saint Louis too because it
• 52:08
  Speaker 2: was a return home. But now in the second game
• 52:11
  Speaker 2: back home, a lot of times that is a better spot,
• 52:13
  Speaker 2: and you will play better after you don't play well
• 52:15
  Speaker 2: in that first game back home. I like Saint Louis
• 52:18
  Speaker 2: in this one. The money seems to pretty strongly agree
• 52:21
  Speaker 2: with that. Winnipeg fifty seven percent of the tickets on them,
• 52:24
  Speaker 2: ninety eight percent of the cash on the Blues.
• 52:26
  Speaker 1: They're at minus one eleven. I just don't feel that.
• 52:29
  Speaker 2: Strongly about it, man, But it is a pretty strong
• 52:32
  Speaker 2: market read towards Saint Louis right now, and I do
• 52:35
  Speaker 2: agree with it.
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: Uh So, Yeah, Saint Louis is my lean.
• 52:38
  Speaker 2: Their money line Carolina at Chicago, Carolina, the only thing
• 52:42
  Speaker 2: they got to play for is maintaining home ice, and
• 52:45
  Speaker 2: I don't think that's that huge of a motivator here.
• 52:47
  Speaker 2: They just had a big overtime win against the Bruins.
• 52:50
  Speaker 2: I still think that's a pretty big game, pretty big win.
• 52:53
  Speaker 2: They are starting a road trip with momentum here. All
• 52:56
  Speaker 2: the rest of the remaining games are on the road,
• 52:58
  Speaker 2: so there's a pretty good chance Caroline is not going
• 53:00
  Speaker 2: to wind up with the top overall spot in the conference.
• 53:05
  Speaker 2: Maybe they will. I mean, this should be a game
• 53:08
  Speaker 2: that they should win, but I don't know. It's a
• 53:10
  Speaker 2: little bit tricky because people might think, well, people are
• 53:13
  Speaker 2: gonna look at this, Carolina is obviously the better team,
• 53:16
  Speaker 2: and the public is probably gonna be finding ways to
• 53:18
  Speaker 2: try to play Carolina here. Chicago's got nothing to play
• 53:21
  Speaker 2: for for the rest of the season. They're playing all
• 53:23
  Speaker 2: the rest of their games at home, but they might
• 53:26
  Speaker 2: get up for a game.
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: Against Colorado Carolina.
• 53:29
  Speaker 2: Excuse me, However, Chicago's were turning over from a road trip,
• 53:32
  Speaker 2: then that is kind of a problem. They've been on
• 53:34
  Speaker 2: the road since my birthday a week ago, and they
• 53:38
  Speaker 2: went to the Pacific coast. And you know, I talk
• 53:39
  Speaker 2: about this when teams were turned on from road trips.
• 53:42
  Speaker 2: A lot of times they are not in the best
• 53:44
  Speaker 2: focused spot and they have to get back to home life, especially.
• 53:47
  Speaker 1: These teams that are eliminated.
• 53:48
  Speaker 2: But the one thing that might keep Chicago focus is
• 53:51
  Speaker 2: Carolina is a good team, so they might get up
• 53:54
  Speaker 2: for the game for that reason.
• 53:55
  Speaker 1: So I don't want to play this game.
• 53:58
  Speaker 2: Carolina is public ninety percent of the tickets, only eighty
• 54:01
  Speaker 2: one percent of the cash on them. They did drop
• 54:03
  Speaker 2: from minus two thirty five to minus two twenty here,
• 54:06
  Speaker 2: so it looks like the money is kind of coming
• 54:08
  Speaker 2: in on the Chicago side.
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: Thinking Carolina is.
• 54:10
  Speaker 2: Probably too heavy of a favorite here, I kind of
• 54:14
  Speaker 2: agree with that. I just think playing for like seeding
• 54:17
  Speaker 2: when you're already in the playoffs is not a huge
• 54:19
  Speaker 2: motivating factor. I'd probably slightly lean towards the Chicago puck
• 54:24
  Speaker 2: line there, but again, the return home spot kind of.
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: Just has me completely off of it. Anyway.
• 54:30
  Speaker 2: The second Hulu game is a really good game actually
• 54:33
  Speaker 2: Minnesota and Dallas. But of course both these teams are
• 54:36
  Speaker 2: already in the playoffs. It's gonna be interesting to see
• 54:39
  Speaker 2: what the motivation is gonna be here, because these teams
• 54:42
  Speaker 2: are jocking for positioning. At the very least, I don't
• 54:45
  Speaker 2: know how much of a motivator that's gonna be. Dallas
• 54:48
  Speaker 2: currently has the home advantage here. This is what's really
• 54:51
  Speaker 2: interesting about this is these two teams are already guaranteed
• 54:55
  Speaker 2: to play each other in the first round of the playoffs,
• 54:58
  Speaker 2: which is hilarious. The only thing that's not determined yet
• 55:01
  Speaker 2: is who's gonna be the home team, So that's pretty interesting,
• 55:05
  Speaker 2: pretty hilarious. Currently Dallas would be the home team, So
• 55:09
  Speaker 2: Minnesota might have a little bit of an extra effort
• 55:12
  Speaker 2: here because they're currently not gonna be the home team.
• 55:17
  Speaker 1: But on the other hand, well.
• 55:19
  Speaker 2: You got to kind of figure out, like, what are
• 55:21
  Speaker 2: these teams gonna do? Because these teams know they're gonna
• 55:23
  Speaker 2: play each other in the playoffs. So does that mean
• 55:25
  Speaker 2: that they don't want to show everything, like tip their
• 55:28
  Speaker 2: hand in this game. I don't know, man, I don't
• 55:31
  Speaker 2: know if it means that or not. Because this game
• 55:32
  Speaker 2: does have some meaning and it's on Hulu. Like both teams,
• 55:36
  Speaker 2: I think would prefer to have the home ice if
• 55:39
  Speaker 2: they can, even though whome ice isn't worth as much
• 55:41
  Speaker 2: in hockey. Minnesota has won four games in a row,
• 55:47
  Speaker 2: and maybe they look a little bit too good and
• 55:49
  Speaker 2: trying to gauge like what the public seems to think.
• 55:51
  Speaker 1: The public seems to like Minnesota more than.
• 55:54
  Speaker 2: Dallas, and I think Dallas is actually the better team.
• 55:58
  Speaker 2: Minnesota did beat Dallas in Minnesota two to one last
• 56:01
  Speaker 2: time they played on March twenty first Minnesota. You know,
• 56:06
  Speaker 2: that might mean Dallas does have some adjustments that they
• 56:08
  Speaker 2: can make here Minnesota maybe looks a little too good. Recently,
• 56:12
  Speaker 2: Dallas is coming up barely getting by Calgary. They had
• 56:15
  Speaker 2: to go to overtime to beat Calgary on Tuesday, and
• 56:18
  Speaker 2: they are staying at home. So that doesn't make Dallas
• 56:20
  Speaker 2: look good either. They've been cold recently. But again, you know,
• 56:24
  Speaker 2: I talked about this. Once Dallas clinched a playoff spot,
• 56:28
  Speaker 2: they just started coasting basically like they were on cruise control.
• 56:32
  Speaker 1: That's why they lost some of those games. This might
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: be a game where they.
• 56:35
  Speaker 2: Actually show up. So you know, overall, when I think
• 56:37
  Speaker 2: about it. I think I do lean to Dallas in
• 56:39
  Speaker 2: this one. They're at minus one twenty here, So the
• 56:41
  Speaker 2: odzekers are telling you these teams are very close to
• 56:44
  Speaker 2: even in the power ratings.
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: But I actually think Dallas is slightly better.
• 56:49
  Speaker 2: Seventy five percent of tickets ninety nine percent of the
• 56:51
  Speaker 2: cash on Dallas. I wouldn't put much weight into that
• 56:54
  Speaker 2: cash percentage. It's probably not accurate, but I do like
• 56:57
  Speaker 2: Dallas in that game slightly. Not a strong opinion though,
• 57:01
  Speaker 2: man Like, if you want my stronger opinions here, you know,
• 57:05
  Speaker 2: Columbus I think is probably one. Yeah, I mean that's
• 57:09
  Speaker 2: probably the strongest one that I've talked about so far, really,
• 57:11
  Speaker 2: but I still don't really love it. Calgary is at Colorado.
• 57:15
  Speaker 2: I mean, you know, Colorado is going to be a
• 57:16
  Speaker 2: massive favorite here. But Colorado did they really need to
• 57:19
  Speaker 2: do anything at this point? I mean, nobody could catch them.
• 57:23
  Speaker 2: They're eight points ahead of Dallas. I mean, I guess technically,
• 57:26
  Speaker 2: I think they have not clinched the one seed yet.
• 57:28
  Speaker 1: Actually maybe they have.
• 57:29
  Speaker 2: I guess the Z means they've clinched the division, so
• 57:32
  Speaker 2: I think they have clinched the one seed. So Colorado
• 57:35
  Speaker 2: just has nothing to play for pretty much.
• 57:37
  Speaker 1: At this point. They're playing one of the worst teams
• 57:40
  Speaker 1: in hockey and Calgary.
• 57:42
  Speaker 2: Calgary is finishing a road trip here though, so it's
• 57:45
  Speaker 2: not like the greatest spot for them because they've been
• 57:47
  Speaker 2: on the road for so.
• 57:48
  Speaker 1: Long and they just played a couple of big games.
• 57:50
  Speaker 2: Man. They played in Anaheim, they beat them, They beat
• 57:54
  Speaker 2: or excuse almost beat Dallas. They lost to Dallas in overtime.
• 57:58
  Speaker 2: That was a huge effort. And now you're a going
• 58:00
  Speaker 2: to put in another big effort here to try to
• 58:02
  Speaker 2: beat Colorado. They might just not have enough left in
• 58:05
  Speaker 2: the tank, man, That's the thing. Even though motivationally, yeah,
• 58:09
  Speaker 2: they should get up for it, but how much are
• 58:10
  Speaker 2: they gonna have left in the tank?
• 58:11
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 58:12
  Speaker 2: Colorado is probably just gonna sleep walk here though, because
• 58:15
  Speaker 2: the last time these two teams played was March thirty
• 58:18
  Speaker 2: at the Colorado beat them nine to two. So Colorado
• 58:22
  Speaker 2: will probably just you know, see, Calgary is basically an
• 58:25
  Speaker 2: ant and probably not and I mean the insect, not
• 58:30
  Speaker 2: your not your father's sister. Colorado did just beat Saint
• 58:35
  Speaker 2: Louis in Saint Louis on Tuesday. They do have a
• 58:38
  Speaker 2: bigger game, two big games coming up against Vegas on
• 58:41
  Speaker 2: ABC and then Edmonton after that. So I don't see
• 58:44
  Speaker 2: Colorado really coming into this game with a huge effort here. Yeah,
• 58:48
  Speaker 2: they could win even without putting in a big effort here,
• 58:51
  Speaker 2: but they're at minus three twenty man down for minus
• 58:54
  Speaker 2: three forty five, I would look towards Calgary on the
• 58:56
  Speaker 2: puck line here fifty two percent of the tickets on Colorado,
• 59:00
  Speaker 2: fifty six percent of the cash on Calgary.
• 59:02
  Speaker 1: I mean, again, what is the motivation for Colorado here? There?
• 59:04
  Speaker 2: Basically isn't any so being that massive of a favorite,
• 59:10
  Speaker 2: Especially again because they just easily destroyed Calgary the last time,
• 59:13
  Speaker 2: they might not even consider them to be, you know,
• 59:16
  Speaker 2: a team basically, So I agree with the money in
• 59:19
  Speaker 2: that one. Calgary would be my lean in that one.
• 59:22
  Speaker 2: But it is a huge mismatch too, so even Colorado
• 59:26
  Speaker 2: not at their best, could still win that game. But
• 59:29
  Speaker 2: you might get two and a half on the puck
• 59:31
  Speaker 2: line there, and then that is actually helpful because then
• 59:34
  Speaker 2: you don't even have to worry about an empty net
• 59:36
  Speaker 2: as much, because the empty nets usually happen when a
• 59:39
  Speaker 2: team's down one and they pull the goalie it's less likely,
• 59:42
  Speaker 2: you know.
• 59:43
  Speaker 1: And well, if that happens, I.
• 59:44
  Speaker 2: Mean, then they're gonna lose by two and still cover
• 59:47
  Speaker 2: the two and a half.
• 59:48
  Speaker 1: You know.
• 59:49
  Speaker 2: Nashville at Utah, this is a very interesting game. These
• 59:52
  Speaker 2: teams are both fighting for playoff positioning. They're both wild
• 59:55
  Speaker 2: cards right now. Utah does have some more padding here
• 59:58
  Speaker 2: with a four point lead over Nashville. Nashville is very
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 2: slightly ahead of the Kings and the Sharks right now
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 2: in really Winnipeg as well. Nashville has been playing well recently.
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 2: They just beat Anaheim five to nothing. But they are
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 2: finishing a road trip here. They played a lot of
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 2: games in quick succession here. Man, it's a third game
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 2: in four days, fourth game in six days, in a
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 2: fifth game in eight days, all in different cities and
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 2: having to go from a Pacific coast now into elevation.
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 1: That's not that easy to do. So not the easiest
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 1: spot for Nashville here. Utah, the spot's not that easy
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 1: for them either.
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 2: They just had a big win over Edmontondal though they
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 2: are staying at home. That was a very difficult game,
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 2: big win in overtime, and they have Carolina on deck
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 2: and the fact that they have more padding here means
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 2: the urgency is going to be more on the Nashville
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 2: side here. So for Nashville, it's just more about how
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 2: tired are they going to be playing all these road
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 2: games in quick succession. So Utah does have a bit
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 2: of a rest advantage here sort of. But they did
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 2: return home road trip themselves in their last game. Difficult,
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 2: difficult game to figure out, man, I have I have
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 2: a slight lean towards Nashville here. Utah is down to
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 2: minus one fifty nine eighty seven percent of tickets ninety
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 2: eight percent of the cash on them. I'd prefer Utah
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 2: to win, just because I kind of like Utah, you know,
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 2: just I like the turnaround they've had there.
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 1: I like the.
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 2: Mascot and whatever I got my you know Utah Jersey
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 2: there Keller or whatever his name is, Nashville, you know
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 2: the ship that they did with Pride Night and whatever.
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: The Predators.
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 2: Not much of a fan of them, So I am
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 2: kind of rooting for Utah.
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 1: Roof.
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 2: Oh, yes, I can drop. I can make a drop, man,
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 2: I haven't done too many drops.
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 1: Who do I rode for? What am I to look for?
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 2: Utah? Ja, I'm gonna watch Celtic Pride again. Man, get
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 2: me pumped up for the playoffs. It's a it's a
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 2: tradition of mine. But I didn't do it last year
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 2: and the Celtics had a horrible playoff and Tatum got
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 2: massively injured, so maybe it was my fault.
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 1: I did watch it the previous year.
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 2: When they won the championships, so and I'm in that
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 2: movie as an extra with my dad, so gotta watch
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 2: it again. It's a very underrated movie.
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 1: Man, It's totally stupid, but it's worth it. It's funny.
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 2: Celtic Pride, Baby, But yeah, I have a slightly n
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 2: Nashville in that one, even though I'm rooting for Utah
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 2: San Jose at Anaheim.
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 1: Interesting game here too.
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 2: Anaheim is in the third spot in the Pacifics, so
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 2: they're actually behind Utah even though Utah.
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 1: Is in a wildcard spot.
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 2: Anaheim needs to keep winning, man, But the Sharks are
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 2: not that far behind are The Sharks are only three
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 2: points out of a wildcard, So these teams are both
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 2: gonna show up here.
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 2: But San Jose is on a back to back. They
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 2: played last night, so that's not that easy. They're only
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 2: going from San Jose to Anaheim. So they're staying in California.
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 2: But they still played last night. They did lose to Edmonton,
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 2: and they will get up for this game, I think.
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 2: But they did just beat Anaheim in San Jose back
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 2: on the first home They were not fooling around in
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 2: that game. Maybe Anaheim will show up for that reason.
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 2: Anaheim is on a big slide, man, Like it looked
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 2: for sure, they like for sure they were gonna make
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 2: the playoffs, and now they've lost six straight games. But
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 2: they're in one of those positions where they're staying at home.
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 2: They're coming off some massively ugly performances at home, losing
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 2: to Saint Louis, Calgary getting shut out five to nothing
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 2: by National And you know, I talk about this, when
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 2: a team gets blown out and shut out at home
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 2: a lot of times they put in a way better
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 2: effort at home the next time.
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 1: So I can't really disagree with Anaheim in this game. Man.
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 2: They're the more rested team. The money somehow is indicating
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 2: on San Jose. I don't really see it. Yeah, San
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 2: Jose is the more. They're the more urgent team here
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 2: sort of. But Anaheim's got a set to urgency too.
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 2: The only issue is they're laying a fairly big price
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 2: here up for minus one forty to minus one sixty eight.
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 2: I would much rather have gotten it at minus one forty.
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 2: I don't want to play the game. Sixty nine percent
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 2: of the tickets on Anaheim, seventy eight percent of the
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 2: cash on San Jose money indicating on San Jose.
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 1: I lean to Anaheim.
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 2: Anaheim is good at home as well, but you'd have
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 2: to go like a minus one puck line or make
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 2: your own minus one puck line or something on that
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 2: one to do it. But yeah, I don't know. I
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 2: don't love the game really though. I don't love that
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 2: the market's disagreeing with me either. Yes that Utah drop,
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 2: thank you.
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 1: Yes.
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 2: By the way, there's no hockey at all tomorrow, and
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 2: then there's another huge hockey board on Saturday.
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 1: So this is crazy.
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 2: So tomorrow is gonna be mostly baseball, all right, And
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 2: baseball has been tricky to handicap man. I think I'm
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 2: slightly up in baseball so far because of that recent
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 2: hot streak that we had. But yeah, dude, oh my god,
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 2: I totally forgot. How did I forget to put the
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 2: ticker on today. My heart has not been working today, dude.
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 2: I totally forgot to put the ticker on.
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 1: I apologize. I've been using this every day recently.
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 2: I apologize, man, I completely I gotta remember to put
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 2: the ticker on.
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 1: But there it is.
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 2: It'll be on for the rest of the show, all right.
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 2: Then we have Vegas at Seattle here. Vegas, they're probably
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 2: gonna make the playoffs. But then again, I mean, yeah,
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 2: they're ahead of Anaheim in their division right now, they're
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 2: in second. They are only two points behind the division
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 2: lead Edmonton. Yet they're also tied with Utah, who's a
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 2: wild card. The West is just wild man. The Central
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 2: is just so much better than the Pacific right now.
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 1: It's insane.
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 2: But Vegas, I think they've underperformed man a lot of
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 2: overtime losses. I think Vegas is a very dangerous team.
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 2: I think they're one of the better teams in hockey.
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 2: Vegas is now one four straight. They're coming off an
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 2: easy win over Vancouver, which is.
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 1: Kind of whatever.
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 2: They're still gonna be motivated here, but they do have
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 2: a big TV game against Colorado next, so I guess
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 2: there is the potential look ahead here and because Vegas
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 2: isn't a playoffs right now, they might be feeling a
• 1:06:01
  Speaker 2: little bit more secure. Seattle is the next team on
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 2: the chopping block here, man, So Seattle is definitely in
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 2: desperation mode, and they're probably gonna get up for a
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 2: game here against Vegas. They've lost six straight games, so
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 2: they're not playing well, but that might mean you're gonna
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 2: get a big effort out of them here. One problem
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 2: might be the returning home from a road trip, but
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 2: it was only Winnipeg, Minnesota.
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 1: It was only Monday Tuesday. But that does also.
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 2: Mean they're playing a third game in four days, all
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 2: in different cities, and that's not that easy. So I
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 2: gotta stay away from it. But I do think Vegas
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 2: is gonna be too heavy of a favorite here. They're
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 2: up for minus one seventy to minus one eighty three,
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 2: sixty eight percent of the tickets eighty five percent of
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 2: the cash on Seattle, so the money indicating on Seattle.
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 2: I would agree, but not too strongly. But I have
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 2: a slight agreement with that. With Seattle. You could maybe
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 2: make your own plus one puck line or something on
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 2: that one, but I don't want to do that either.
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 1: Thank you, sir. Fake sports news. I don't know. I
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 1: like the.
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 2: Ticker here just because it is eye catching and it
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 2: gets people to look at it and see what I've
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 2: been doing recently, you know, tracking the results Vancouver at
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 2: the Kings. I'm not turning this into a sattire show,
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 2: although I do need to do something to make this funnier.
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 2: But this ticker is also like, I don't even know
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 2: how I would do a ticker like that. This is
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 2: just a stream yard thing where you can just plug
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 2: in what you want.
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 1: All right.
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 2: Vancouver has lost three in a row. I mean, they
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 2: are the worst team in hockey. They just played pretty
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 2: close against Vegas, so they're coming up a pretty big game.
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 2: They really have nothing left to play for it, but
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 2: they do have a chance to play spoiler here. Starting
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 2: a road trip, maybe they will be focused here. And
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 2: though they're coming off a pretty big effort against Vegas,
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 2: the Kings need this game and they played four straight
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 2: overtime games, so that could kind of take a lot
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 2: out of you, Mantle. Though they have had two days
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 2: off which should help them a little bit. But they're
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 2: coming up a big win over Nashville, which was a
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 2: game with playoff ramifications, and they got Edmonton on deck,
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 2: which is a bigger game as well. So I don't
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 2: really love the spot for the Kings. We know all
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 2: season I've been saying the Kings are not a very
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 2: good home team either, and they're laying minus two seventy
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 2: no way, eighty nine percent of tickets ninety six percent
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 2: of the cash on the Kings. I know Vancouver sucks.
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 2: I know they're the worst team in hockey. I don't
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 2: think LA should be laying a price like that against anybody.
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 2: And again, they're not even a good home team, So
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 2: there's just no way i'd lean to Vancouver on the
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 2: puck line here, you might've been able to get like
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 2: plus two and a half on that. It's just, yeah,
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 2: the line is just being waiy skewed towards the Kings
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 2: because everyone knows that the better team, but everybody knows
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 2: how desperate they are. I mean, look at this, they're
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 2: one point out of the last wildcard spot right now,
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 2: so it's a must win and you're definitely paying for
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 2: that in the market.
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 1: So I would not pay for that.
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 2: I would fade it. Actually, all right, let's go to
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 2: the NBA. Still none of those opinions are really that
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 2: strong man. Like I said, I just couldn't really find
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 2: that much to sink my teeth into today.
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 1: There are six NBA games today, NBA.
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 2: You know, of course we got to try to gauge
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 2: motivation here as well, this end of season stuff for
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 2: the NBA. It's very very difficult to gauge motivation here,
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 2: like to figure out, like, are these teams actually trying
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 2: to play for seeding?
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 1: Usually the answer is no.
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 2: I think the big motivators are trying to avoid the
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 2: playing at this point and trying to get into the
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 2: different playing spots that you'd gon't after play an extra
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 2: game and whatever, and maybe trying to get home court
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 2: in the playoffs.
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 1: So that's basically about it.
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 2: Miami in Toronto is kind of an interesting game because
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 2: these teams are in the playing picture here. Although Miami's
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 2: pretty much relegated to it right now. I guess there
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 2: is an outside chance that could somehow get into the
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 2: seven to eight game, highly on likely.
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 1: So I think the motivation is.
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 2: Gonna be more on the Toronto side because they have
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 2: a chance to drop out of the sixth seed and
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 2: they really don't want that. They do not want to
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 2: have to play into the playoffs, and right now they're
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 2: in the playoffs. So Toronto might have a little bit
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 2: of extra motivation here, But this is also a zigzag spot,
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 2: So that's the problem here. Toronto just blasted Miami, and
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 2: I thought Miami was a decent side in that game.
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 2: Toronto annihilated them by almost thirty points in this same
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 2: game at Toronto. Toronto, I believe, was a two and
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 2: a half point favorite in that game and in this
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 2: game they're four and a half for no apparent reason,
• 1:10:37
  Speaker 2: because I don't think there were like any key injuries
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 2: or anything in that game, and it doesn't look like
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 2: there are any in this game either, really, So how
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 2: does Toronto go from a two and a half point
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 2: favorite to the a four and a half point favorite
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 2: in this game two days later, same matchup, same arena.
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 2: Is it like it's entirely just because they won by
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 2: almost thirty points? It seems like it is, Although I
• 1:10:59
  Speaker 2: know I did just say Toronto does have more motivation here,
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 2: but that also means remember that the pressure is gonna
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 2: be on them because we know they're trying to stay
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 2: in the playoffs here and not fall into the play
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 2: in Miami is guaranteed to be in the play and now,
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 2: although they do have an outside chance of getting up
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 2: into the seven to eight game, although they're probably not
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 2: going to be able to.
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 1: But I'm gonna lean towards Miami in this one. Man.
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 2: If you dig into the box score in that first game,
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 2: I mean, the game was such a blowout on the
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 2: score where you got to think there was some sort
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 2: of outlier that happened in this game, and yeah there was.
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 2: Miami only shot thirty six percent from the field, even
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 2: though uh yeah, Toronto did dominate in some other ways.
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 2: They dominated the rebounding battles. That's not exactly good for
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 2: Miami here, but Miami shot horribly.
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 1: In the game.
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 2: If Toronto did have more field goal attempts there, but
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 2: Toronto almost hit fifty percent of them. Toronto was almost
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 2: fifty percent from three point range as well, ours Miami
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 2: was twenty seven percent and jacked up way more of them,
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 2: and Miami just did.
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 1: Not shoot well whatsoever.
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 2: So I think there should be some regression there in
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 2: the shooting department here. I expect this game to be closer.
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 2: I think there's no reason for the line to be
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 2: this much. More on the Raptors at four. They're also
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 2: not a very good home team as a home favorite.
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 2: I don't think they actually do particularly well at covering
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 2: seventy three percent ticket seventy four percent of the cash
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 2: on the Raptors. I'm gonna lean towards taking the points
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 2: with Miami though in that one, but I don't want
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 2: to play it. But I think the zigzag is more
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 2: of a factor in that when in Toronto might take
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 2: them less seriously because they just blew them out, you
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 2: know what I mean. That's the other part about the zigzag,
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 2: where when you just demolish this team, you're not gonna
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 2: take them as seriously the next time. And again the
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 2: pressure's on Toronto because they could easily fall into the
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 2: play ins here. Chicago at Washington, this is a terrible
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 2: game and also a zigzag. Chicago just blew out Washington
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 2: in this same matchup here. In this game, Washington was
• 1:12:56
  Speaker 2: a excuse in Chicago was a five and a half
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 2: point favorite. In that game, Chicago did outrebound them, but
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 2: not by much by six.
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 1: Both teams shot about the same, so Chicago did. Actually
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 1: I'll play.
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 2: Them in the game, they had more possessions Chicago does
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 2: take more threes though, that's just the way that they play,
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 2: and Washington missed a ton of their free throws, so
• 1:13:18
  Speaker 2: that is kind of the tail of the game that
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 2: in the turnovers, Washington had a ton of turnovers. So
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 2: maybe they'll clean that up a little bit and play
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 2: a better game here.
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 1: If you expect this to zig zag.
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 2: Chicago is favored by more in this one than they
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 2: were in the previous game, at six, So for no
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 2: real reason at all, the line went up from five
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 2: and a half to six, really just based on the
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 2: fact that Chicago blew Washington out in the previous game.
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 2: You know, this is a game where neither team has
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 2: a whole lot of motivation. I know, I haven't been
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 2: looking at who who are these teams playing next, because
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 2: in these games, I don't know if it matters that much. Well,
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 2: for Miami and Toronto, I don't think either team is
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 2: gonna be unfocused in that game. So that's why I
• 1:13:56
  Speaker 2: didn't really care about it for this game. Know, will
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 2: Chicago start looking ahead?
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 2: Maybe, I mean they got to Orlando on deck, that's
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 2: the that's Chicago's final home game, and they're playing a
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 2: team where Chicago does have a chance to maybe kind
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 2: of play spoiler and that they could knock Orlando, you know,
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 2: out of the top playing game or whatever. So I
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 2: don't know if that's really that much of a motivator,
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 2: but Chicago might look ahead, maybe consider that game to
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 2: be bigger. They probably won't pay attention to Washington this time,
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 2: so I guess I will lean to Washington here. The
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 2: Bulls seventy one percent of tickets on them, seventy percent
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 2: of the cash, so their public side and the money
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 2: seems to kind of be agreeing with me on that
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 2: Wizard's side there. I also don't disagree with an over,
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 2: and I know I said the last game was gonna
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 2: go over and it did not. The total was crazy,
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 2: it was like two fifty one, and the game stayed
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 2: pretty significantly under because the Wizards couldn't you know, they
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 2: couldn't score at all, but because they kept turning it over.
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 1: But I still think the over.
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 2: Makes ends here, man, because you have two teams with
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 2: nothing to play for, so usually that means the deepfense
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 2: is not going to be intense.
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 1: Now, I think there was some real value on it.
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 2: A two forty two and a half where it opened,
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 2: but it's already up to two forty seven and a half,
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 2: so that value has kind of been extracted there, although
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 2: I know it's still four points lower than where it
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 2: finished in the previous game, though, so maybe there is
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 2: still a little bit of value there. Looking towards the over,
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 2: I don't think i'd want to play an under here,
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 2: but the money is indicating on a sixty seven percent
• 1:15:28
  Speaker 2: of tickets and eighty five percent of the cash on
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 2: the under. Still I think it's over or passed for
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 2: the total in that one. Again, I just think you
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 2: can't really expect intense deepense in a game like that.
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 1: Same with Indiana and Brooklyn.
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 2: I don't see how you get intense deepfens in a
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 2: game like this. For Indiana, they're on a three game
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 2: losing streak. They just got blown out at home by Minnesota.
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 2: They do have Philadelphia and Detroit at home to finish
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 2: the season off, so maybe they do overlook Brooklyn here.
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 1: Still maybe a look ahead.
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 2: Brooklyn somehow has won two games in a row the
• 1:16:03
  Speaker 2: one uh yeah, three of their last five too. They
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 2: beat Washington in Milwaukee. I mean teams that are just
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 2: not trying anymore, and an insanely low scoring game Brooklyn Milwaukee.
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 1: I thought that would be a higher.
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 2: Scoring game because again, these games that don't mean anything,
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 2: the defense usually doesn't show up. Now, Brooklyn might show
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 2: up a little bit harder here because this is their
• 1:16:24
  Speaker 2: last home game and they're actually seemingly trying to get
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 2: some wins here at the end of the season. So
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 2: I kind of like the Nets in this one. Pacers
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 2: might be looking ahead. Pacers are three point favorite to
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 2: the public side because nobody wants the Nets at all,
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 2: and everybody still kind of sees the Pacers as not
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 2: like this horrible team because they were in the final
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 2: last year and they've been in the playoffs the last
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 2: couple of years. Sixty nine percent of tickets on the Pacers,
• 1:16:51
  Speaker 2: sixty three percent of the casual on the Nets. I
• 1:16:53
  Speaker 2: agree with leaning towards the Nets plus the points. I
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 2: also agree with an over still in this game with
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 2: two teams, it's still might. They just might not come
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 2: out and play intense defense, like I said, because these teams.
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 1: Are going nowhere.
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 2: Total did go up from two twenty one to two
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 2: twenty four, though, so the value has been a little
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 2: bit lost there. We do have a prime double header
• 1:17:15
  Speaker 2: here on Amazon Prime. Celtics Knicks is the first game
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 2: on tap between the two Prime games and probably the
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 2: better game. But the problem is, the Celtics are pretty
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 2: much locked into the two seed now. They have a
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 2: three game lead over the Knicks for three games to go.
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 2: So the Knicks would have to win this game and
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 2: win out and the Celtics would have to lose all
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 2: their remaining games. And actually, I don't even know who
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 2: has the tiebreaker. I think the Knicks do have the tiebreaker.
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 1: They might not. Actually, if the.
• 1:17:46
  Speaker 2: Celtics, well, if the Celtics win this game, the tiebreaker
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 2: won't even come into play anyway, so the tie breaker
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 2: was only gonna Yeah, the tie breaker won't.
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 1: Matter, actually I think right, oh no, no, no will matter.
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 2: But if the Celtics lose this game, which is the
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 2: only way they could wind up in a tie, the
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 2: Knicks will have the tiebreaker because they'll be three to
• 1:18:06
  Speaker 2: one head to head. So yeah, that would be the
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 2: only way. So, yes, the Knicks can overtake the two seed.
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 2: It would take the Celtics losing both of the remaining
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 2: home games to New Orleans and Orlando. Probably that's not
• 1:18:19
  Speaker 2: gonna happen, but the Celtics might not win this game.
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 2: The Celtics did just beat Charlotte, big win for them.
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 2: The Celtics have come very close to wrapping.
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 1: Up the two seed here. The Knicks probably will get
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 1: up for this.
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 2: The Knicks did just have a pretty nice win at Atlanta, though,
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 2: but they've had a couple of days off. I think
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 2: it's a fine spot for the Knicks here. We also
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 2: know the Knicks are very good at home compared to
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 2: on the road. They're way better at home twenty eight
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 2: to nine at home.
• 1:18:48
  Speaker 1: So in a.
• 1:18:48
  Speaker 2: Theoretical Celtic Nick second round playoff matchup, the Knicks having
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 2: home court advantage I think would matter. So the Celtics
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 2: do want that. But this line here, and the Celtics,
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 2: by the way, they're pretty decent on the road to
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 2: twenty six and fourteen, better than decent, But the Knicks
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 2: are just really good at home. Now you see the
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 2: line here though, The Knicks are four and a half
• 1:19:10
  Speaker 2: point favorite, and they were supposed to be a one
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 2: point favorite of fifty nine percent of tickets eighty five
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on the Knicks, so you know
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 2: that means somebody is not playing for the Celtics here
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 2: because the Knicks are up to four and a half now,
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 2: and maybe that line's gone a little bit too high
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 2: for the Knicks year At four and a half, we
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 2: see Brown and White are pretty much the big guys
• 1:19:32
  Speaker 2: on the injury report here. They're both game time decisions.
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 2: But I'm guessing one or both of them are not
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 2: playing in this game. And that's why the Knicks are
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 2: favored by this much, because they would not be otherwise.
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 1: So that's something to keep in mind. But you know that.
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 2: Sometimes when these teams rest players, sometimes they come out
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 2: or they play better. Like the Celtics are a deep
• 1:19:50
  Speaker 2: team and they're really well coached, and you know, yeah,
• 1:19:56
  Speaker 2: sometimes you've seen they've done this before. The Celtics had
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 2: those guys resting in a I don't know, some recent
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 2: game and they won the game anyway, which was against
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 2: I think it was this first game this, you know,
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 2: second most recent game that they played against Charlotte.
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 1: I think that was the case in that game.
• 1:20:13
  Speaker 2: I think they rested Brown and White in that game
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 2: and they still won easily. Now I'm not gonna say
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 2: the Celtics are gonna win this game. I hope they do,
• 1:20:23
  Speaker 2: but I think maybe they won't, but I probably would
• 1:20:27
  Speaker 2: not lay it with the Knicks. I don't know the
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 2: money is coming in on the Knicks, but I don't
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 2: like the price. Fifty percent tickets eighty five percent of
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 2: the cash on the Knicks. You know, it wouldn't surprise
• 1:20:38
  Speaker 2: me if the Knicks covered here. I don't really want
• 1:20:40
  Speaker 2: to take the points of the Celtics. Yeah, I don't know, man,
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 2: I mean, motivationally, you could see why the Knicks are,
• 1:20:49
  Speaker 2: you know, their favorite this way, because the Celtics are
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 2: probably resting guys. The motivation might not really quite be
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 2: there for the Celtics here. I guess I will still
• 1:20:59
  Speaker 2: lean to the Knicks there slightly, but I think if
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 2: you want to play the Knicks, I would say what
• 1:21:04
  Speaker 2: I said last night, even though I hate parlays, I
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 2: did say last night Orlando moneyline parlay made more sense
• 1:21:10
  Speaker 2: than laying the seven and a half, though they did
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 2: actually cover as well, but a moneyline parlay, and that
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 2: one made more sense to me, and it might make
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 2: more sense in this game too.
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 1: To moneyline parlay, the Knicks was something else.
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 2: So you really got to find something strong enough to
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 2: overcome the fact that the books charge you too much
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 2: on a parlay. You know what I mean, They don't
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 2: give you enough money back.
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 1: All right.
• 1:21:31
  Speaker 2: Philadelphia at Houston is an interesting game as well. Philadelphia
• 1:21:35
  Speaker 2: has a chance to escape the play and still there
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 2: are only one game behind the Raptors, so they could
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 2: still leapfrog them, so they still got something to play
• 1:21:43
  Speaker 2: for it, but they haven't been playing well. Even with
• 1:21:45
  Speaker 2: that motivation on their side, Houston has a chance to
• 1:21:50
  Speaker 2: overtake the Lakers and get a home series in the
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 2: first game first excuse me, in the first playoff round,
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 2: which is probably gonna be against the Lakers.
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 1: Houston would probably prefer.
• 1:21:59
  Speaker 2: To have a home advantage there and it might happen
• 1:22:02
  Speaker 2: because the Lakers are just massively injured now, so Houston
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 2: does have some motivation here as well. For that reason,
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 2: Philadelphia is in the middle of a road trip. They
• 1:22:11
  Speaker 2: do have motivation. They will be an underdog in this game.
• 1:22:14
  Speaker 2: They're coming off that game where they did not cover
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 2: for us. I gave them out as a play on
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 2: Monday against San Antonio.
• 1:22:19
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia.
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 2: They were hanging around most of that game and they
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 2: fell short. San Antonio is really good. I'm not happy
• 1:22:25
  Speaker 2: about that, but that is the case, that's what happened.
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 1: Of course, Philadelphia. This number zero, by the way, next
• 1:22:33
  Speaker 1: to Max.
• 1:22:34
  Speaker 2: He always throws me off because they keep thinking it's
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 2: the O that means that he's out, although that O
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 2: is red. But still yeah, nobody I mean except for yeah,
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 2: Houston lost Stephen Adams for the rest of the season.
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 2: He's still a pretty good defender. But no real huge
• 1:22:49
  Speaker 2: injuries here on either side of Philadelphia. Only know they're
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 2: a pretty much intact team now. Houston just beat Phoenix
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 2: on the road. Houston's returning over from a road trip here,
• 1:22:59
  Speaker 2: but it was a quick road trip Sunday and Tuesday,
• 1:23:02
  Speaker 2: but it did take them to Golden State, to the
• 1:23:04
  Speaker 2: Pacific Coast and to Phoenix.
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 1: Houston's playing well right now.
• 1:23:08
  Speaker 2: They want seven in a row to pull into a
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 2: tie with the Lakers now possible. They overlooked this game though,
• 1:23:15
  Speaker 2: because they're still returning home from a road trip. You
• 1:23:18
  Speaker 2: got home distractions coming in and they do have a
• 1:23:20
  Speaker 2: pretty big game against Minnesota next even though Minnesota is
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 2: not gonna be able to catch Houston, and again, Houston
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 2: does still want to get this home series here, so
• 1:23:29
  Speaker 2: that's what they have to play for.
• 1:23:30
  Speaker 1: But I think that's a little bit less of a motivator.
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna slightly lean to the Sixers here, even though
• 1:23:36
  Speaker 2: the money is coming in on the Rockets a little bit,
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 2: but they are public. They're minus four eighty three percent
• 1:23:41
  Speaker 2: of the tickets ninety two percent of the cash on
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 2: the Rockets. I kind of like the Sixers plus the
• 1:23:45
  Speaker 2: points there, but not a strong opinion for me in
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 2: that one either. I think I was just about to
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 2: say one other thing, but I can't remember what it
• 1:23:53
  Speaker 2: was now. Oh yeah, Houston is good at home, though
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 2: that's something to keep in mind in this game twenty
• 1:23:59
  Speaker 2: eight and ten. Home is quite good. Philadelphia not horrible
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 2: on the road, though they're above five hundred on the road,
• 1:24:05
  Speaker 2: which isn't too bad. Lakers at Golden State. Of course,
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 2: we know the Lakers are really faltering with these injuries now.
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 2: They haven't won since they lost Luca Ann Reeves. Both
• 1:24:17
  Speaker 2: I think are out for the rest of the regular
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 2: season and into the playoffs. I thought the Lakers would
• 1:24:22
  Speaker 2: bounce back and do better in the next game against
• 1:24:24
  Speaker 2: Okay See, but that did not happen. They did not
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 2: do even Okay in that game. They got blown out.
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 2: But maybe it'd be good to just go on the
• 1:24:32
  Speaker 2: road play a Golden State team. It's really not that good.
• 1:24:34
  Speaker 2: Maybe the Lakers will show something in this game. And
• 1:24:37
  Speaker 2: if you look at the standings, the Lakers are still
• 1:24:39
  Speaker 2: trying to cling to that four spot to try to
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 2: get home advantage in the playoffs, whereas Golden State they're
• 1:24:45
  Speaker 2: locked into the They're locked into the last playing game
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 2: at this point pretty much they are. They could, I think,
• 1:24:53
  Speaker 2: potentially get the home game instead of a road game there,
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 2: but that's really all they could do. So I don't
• 1:24:59
  Speaker 2: know how much motive they really have because they're going
• 1:25:03
  Speaker 2: to be playing either the Clippers or Portland in that
• 1:25:05
  Speaker 2: first game and they have an outside chance of getting
• 1:25:08
  Speaker 2: a home game there, but they probably are not gonna
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 2: be able to do it. I don't know if that's
• 1:25:12
  Speaker 2: gonna be enough motivation. It is a home game on
• 1:25:15
  Speaker 2: Amazon Prime, though, so maybe that will motivate them. Steph
• 1:25:18
  Speaker 2: Curry is back for Golden State, So while the Lakers
• 1:25:21
  Speaker 2: lost two of their best players, Golden State got their
• 1:25:24
  Speaker 2: best player back.
• 1:25:26
  Speaker 1: So there is that some other guys are on the injury.
• 1:25:29
  Speaker 2: Report here for Golden State, but whatever. So yeah, that's
• 1:25:36
  Speaker 2: just the injury situation there. For Golden State, they just
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 2: beat Sacramento and it was not an impressive win. That
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 2: was the first win that they had since Curry came back.
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 2: Curry came back in the previous game against Houston. Houston
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 2: is a good team, though Golden State beating Sacramento by
• 1:25:54
  Speaker 2: five not impressive at all.
• 1:25:56
  Speaker 1: I think they will actually show up for.
• 1:25:59
  Speaker 2: Even because it's just against the Lakers, and it's also
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 2: their final home game, and it is on Amazon Prime.
• 1:26:04
  Speaker 2: So I actually don't really think Golden State's gonna overlook
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 2: this game.
• 1:26:07
  Speaker 1: And the money is coming in on them.
• 1:26:09
  Speaker 2: Tickets are fifty to fifty, Golden State's seventy seven percent
• 1:26:12
  Speaker 2: of the cash on them at minus four and a half.
• 1:26:16
  Speaker 2: And even though the public knows that these injuries are
• 1:26:19
  Speaker 2: going on, you gotta think they're still looking at this
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 2: and saying, look at these teams records, and they're not
• 1:26:24
  Speaker 2: gonna want to lay four and a half with a
• 1:26:25
  Speaker 2: below five hundred Golden State team. You know, although Golden
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 2: State's home record is not that much worse than the
• 1:26:31
  Speaker 2: Lakers road record.
• 1:26:34
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I'll lean with the market slightly.
• 1:26:36
  Speaker 2: I'll lean towards Golden State but not a strong opinion
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 2: for me there either.
• 1:26:39
  Speaker 1: All right, that's gonna do it. Man, we got no
• 1:26:42
  Speaker 1: place today.
• 1:26:44
  Speaker 2: I apologize for that, but that's just the way that
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 2: I do it. Man, I gotta be selective. I'm not
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 2: gonna try to force anything, you know. Like I said,
• 1:26:50
  Speaker 2: if I had anything that was that strong, it wouldn't
• 1:26:54
  Speaker 2: be in the NBA at all. Like the NBA, I
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 2: don't love it all. I kind of like Columbus and hockey.
• 1:27:01
  Speaker 2: I don't know if I really had that much of
• 1:27:02
  Speaker 2: an you know, I don't think I had much of
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 2: a strong opinion otherwise in hockey either, really, like I
• 1:27:08
  Speaker 2: was talking about. You saw my breakdown on him. Maybe
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 2: Columbus there. And then in baseball.
• 1:27:15
  Speaker 1: Maybe the Cincinnati Reds.
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 2: Maybe the Miami's taking some money now though by the way,
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 2: I'll show you real quickly, Miami's getting some later money
• 1:27:23
  Speaker 2: here as we're getting closer to a game time here.
• 1:27:25
  Speaker 1: I don't know. That makes me not love it as much.
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 1: There's that, and then I did.
• 1:27:29
  Speaker 2: Kind of like the Mets. I guess, so do with
• 1:27:32
  Speaker 2: that information when you want that. And I guess Kansas
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 2: City over a team total there or something.
• 1:27:36
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 2: But those were my kind of stronger leans. But it's
• 1:27:39
  Speaker 2: just a bad board today, man, for the way that
• 1:27:41
  Speaker 2: I do things. So but I appreciate everybody thinks for
• 1:27:44
  Speaker 2: hanging out. Learn a tone on Twitter, learn a tone
• 1:27:47
  Speaker 2: on Instagram. You can subscribe to me on Twitter. That
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 2: helps me out as well, obviously, like subscribe. Tell people
• 1:27:54
  Speaker 2: about the YouTube here. We're gonna try to get to
• 1:27:56
  Speaker 2: at least five hundred, get to a thousand, man to monetize.
• 1:27:59
  Speaker 1: Let's go.
• 1:27:59
  Speaker 2: It's people watching this thing. So helped me out there.
• 1:28:03
  Speaker 2: Run Audio, Apple, Spotify. We've had an increase in number
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 2: since I was able to get back on Spotify, which unfortunately, yeah,
• 1:28:13
  Speaker 2: when they nuked my account for spam falsely, it took
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 2: me down from Spotify. I didn't realize it, but we
• 1:28:20
  Speaker 2: were on the audio.
• 1:28:21
  Speaker 1: It helps.
• 1:28:22
  Speaker 2: Listening on Spreaker helps too. There's a bit of a
• 1:28:24
  Speaker 2: boost there. So that's all modetized. It doesn't mean there
• 1:28:26
  Speaker 2: are ads, unfortunately, but if you want to listen on audio,
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 2: I appreciate it. Give me good reviews over there. I
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 2: appreciate that too. Covered in Yuke is my yuke channel.
• 1:28:34
  Speaker 2: But dude, my I think, like I don't know dude,
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 2: I definitely hurt my thumb somehow playing that yuke the
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 2: other day.
• 1:28:41
  Speaker 1: I haven't been able to do it.
• 1:28:42
  Speaker 2: My voice is kind of a mess, but my thumb
• 1:28:44
  Speaker 2: is messed up somehow. I don't know if it's like
• 1:28:47
  Speaker 2: a bone issue or a muscle issue.
• 1:28:50
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 1:28:50
  Speaker 2: I don't think I could really go that hard with
• 1:28:53
  Speaker 2: the yuke right now. I gotta let my hand heal.
• 1:28:55
  Speaker 2: It's all crap because I don't know. I want to
• 1:28:57
  Speaker 2: do more with the yuke. But covered in Yuke on
• 1:28:59
  Speaker 2: YouTube you can check that out Patreon dot com, slash
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 2: and learn to toe where I don't put out enough
• 1:29:03
  Speaker 2: content whatsoever. I know, I gotta figure out something better
• 1:29:07
  Speaker 2: to do. Maybe I should do more betting content do
• 1:29:11
  Speaker 2: Patreon only. Maybe I don't know for some of my
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 2: betting stuff, maybe the the bracket streams and stuff like that.
• 1:29:17
  Speaker 1: Well, I don't know. Because I'm gonna try to get
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 1: Clint back.
• 1:29:20
  Speaker 2: On by the Way for an episode of Bald to
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 2: talk about the NBA playoffs and get his predictions for
• 1:29:26
  Speaker 2: the NBA Playoffs. He's not gonna be happy because he's
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 2: a Laker fan, but yeah, I'm gonna talk to him.
• 1:29:33
  Speaker 1: See if he wants to do an episode of Bald.
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 2: I think he mentioned that he would do it again,
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 2: so maybe we can get that going. I'm gonna do
• 1:29:40
  Speaker 2: an NHL playoff bracket as well. I got the champion
• 1:29:43
  Speaker 2: right last year, so we'll see and then yeah, so
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 2: be on the.
• 1:29:48
  Speaker 1: Lookout for that.
• 1:29:48
  Speaker 2: He subscribe to the channel here. You'll see those things
• 1:29:51
  Speaker 2: come up. You'll be notified of those.
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 1: And I think that's it. Oh, loser cast.
• 1:29:57
  Speaker 2: There might be a Loser cast tonight, but if there is,
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 2: I'm not gonna be on it just to cater to
• 1:30:01
  Speaker 2: Adam Nutter, even though I don't even know who.
• 1:30:03
  Speaker 1: That guy is.
• 1:30:04
  Speaker 2: He's not on the show what, So it's gonna be
• 1:30:07
  Speaker 2: a completely different dynamic if there is a Thursday Loser
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 2: cast where I get replaced by Adam Nutter, and I
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 2: think that's gonna do it.
• 1:30:16
  Speaker 1: Loser cast.
• 1:30:16
  Speaker 2: I'm on the Tuesday ones. You can go watch that
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 2: one from Tuesday. I thought it was a pretty good episode,
• 1:30:21
  Speaker 2: so you can check that out.
• 1:30:22
  Speaker 1: You can vote for my loser, which was the crew
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 1: of the Artemist two.
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 2: The Artemist Pooh fartamis Pooh. I can't say too much here,
• 1:30:33
  Speaker 2: you know, don't want to get this channel band. But
• 1:30:35
  Speaker 2: that's gonna do it. I'll be back tomorrow. We'll probably
• 1:30:37
  Speaker 2: have some plays tomorrow. It's gonna be all baseball for
• 1:30:39
  Speaker 2: the most part, though there will be some NBA too,
• 1:30:42
  Speaker 2: but you know, I'm really treading lightly with the NBA.
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 2: But the playoffs, I'm definitely gonna have plays in the
• 1:30:47
  Speaker 2: playoffs with the.
• 1:30:49
  Speaker 1: The uh what do we call it?
• 1:30:51
  Speaker 2: Not really the zig zag anymore, but it's the selective zigzag,
• 1:30:56
  Speaker 2: let's call it. Is what I do in the NBA
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 2: playoffs now and it works pretty well. So that's what
• 1:31:00
  Speaker 2: we're gonna have going on. That's gonna do it, peace, guys.
• 1:31:07
  Speaker 1: Mhm