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Episode 408 - 12/4/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:01
  54321 All systems Go with Josh Applebaum starts now.
• 0:13
  Hello and welcome. To episode.
• 0:16
  Four O 8 of the all. Systems Go sports betting
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  podcast. Powered by rhythm.
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  I'm your host, Josh. Applebaum What's going on,
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  everyone? Happy Thirsty Thursday.
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  We got a lot to talk about on today's podcast, guys.
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  Including Thursday Night Football.
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  Kicking off NFL. Week 14, Can you believe it
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  feels like the season is just absolutely flown by, but we got
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  a big. Match up here, Dallas.
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  Cowboys. Detroit Lions.
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  And I got a play for you. So it might be a little.
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  Different than what I hinted at yesterday cuz I.
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  Cuz I started. To do.
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  A lot more research. And I'm thinking, do I really
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  want to be on this side so. Stay tuned for that.
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  One play here on Cowboys Lions for tonight and then going to
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  get right back to the NBA. I have a 2 pack in the NBA.
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  I got a sharp play here, hopefully on a side that will
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  come through for us and then also.
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  A player prop. Are going to look toward
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  another. Rookie as Cooper flag.
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  Came up. Bigley for us last night.
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  Points, rebounds and assists. But I'm going to look at this
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  rookie hopefully to go over his PRA as well.
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  So a three. Pack one NFL.
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  Play 2 NBA. Plays a player propping a side
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  we're. Going to see if.
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  We can. Scratch and claw get.
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  Two out of three. Eek out a winning day.
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  Now I just want to mention real quick it is.
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  A Thursday. So that means we do have our
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  rhythm. Rundown show tonight.
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  Myself, my buddy Cade. Harper very much looking forward
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  to getting back into the The Rundown.
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  Here of my buddy. Cade last couple weeks.
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  It's been on. Wednesdays because the holidays
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  and stuff like that, we're back to a regular regular.
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  Scheduled Thursday program so if you.
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  Guys are free. You want to jump right in. 6:00.
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  Eastern Time to 7. O'clock Eastern Time stream.
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  Live on Twitter. You can always.
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  Follow me at. Josh, under score insights.
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  Hop right in. We'll be going through.
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  Tonight's games player props system matches and then.
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  Looking toward all the. Games this weekend.
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  So I already mentioned to you guys, I did take Houston.
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  Plus 3 1/2 dog low total. Line move in favor of Houston.
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  Some good splits. Was a good rhythm system match
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  as well. I think rhythm at a 2.7 but.
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  We'll be talking. About a bunch of other games as
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  well, so. Hopefully see you guys.
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  Tonight at 6:00. PM, Eastern Time.
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  Now looking back toward last night bust.
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  Out the brooms, baby. 4 and O + 3 point. 32 units.
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  Great night in the. Arena our hard.
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  Work paid off start. Off the night.
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  Just fantastic with Arkansas. The Razorbacks, baby.
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  Getting it done, winning outright and.
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  What I loved about that one. Is we put in the plus?
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  3 1/2 at the time of the pod. I believe it got down to. 2 1/2
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  and then after the pod was. Released leading up to.
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  To tip off. That line got.
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  Down to 1 1/2. So public was all over
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  Louisville there again. Better record, better ranking.
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  But even though. The majority of tickets are on
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  Louisville. That line.
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  Kept. Dropping.
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  Toward Arkansas and Arkansas. Played great.
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  And went out. Right, so shout out to to Coach
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  Cal coming through for us. I had.
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  Another winner with Montana State.
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  Low bet, obscure game. Remember, they were a.
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  Below 500 team. Playing in above. 500.
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  Team and even. With home field or.
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  Homecourt. Why were they favored?
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  Why'd the line move? Further in their favor.
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  So that one stunk. And we really.
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  Recognize that stinky line. Came through for us.
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  With the winner. Cooper flag as I mentioned, went
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  over 27 1/2. Points, rebounds and assists.
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  And rhythm almost nailed that perfectly.
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  Because. I want to say.
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  Rhythm if I. Look at my numbers.
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  Here. I think they predicted.
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  Was it 31.1 he landed 30? So I was great to see.
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  Then late night. UCLA came through.
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  UCLA won by two. They're actually in command.
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  And here's another example of always.
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  Money lining short. Favorites because UCLA at.
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  The time of the. Pot, I think they're one and a.
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  Half 2 ended up closing minus. Two and half so.
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  Some more CLV. But end up.
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  Winning by two. So if you late a 2 1/2, you
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  lost. You late A2 you pushed that's.
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  Why? To me, it's worth paying a
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  little more juice to get that. Money line price so a nice.
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  Little Four and O. Plus 3.2. 3 units.
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  Let's see if we can get it back here and continue.
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  Get on a little hot streak here, which is always the goal.
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  So without further ado, let's talk about.
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  This big Thursday Night Football game, because I think this.
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  Is a little a little. Harder, I should say.
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  Or a little. More complex than it is.
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  At first glance and I'll. I'll tell you exactly what I
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  mean by. That.
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  But First off. Let's set the stage. 8. 15 PM
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  Eastern Time. Tonight, get your Amazon.
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  Prime ready to go. The boys.
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  Come in six, five and one. They've won.
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  Three straight games just. Took down the Chiefs. 31 to 20.
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  8 on Thanksgiving. One outright as a. 3 1/2 point
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  home dog came up huge for us. And I'll admit.
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  I've been loving the boys recently, took them with the
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  points against the Eagles and they.
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  Came back in one. Took them with the points
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  against the Chiefs and. They went out right.
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  On the other hand, the Lions. 7:00 and 5:00.
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  Kind of going the other way, struggling a bit they've.
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  Rotated wins and. Losses over the last.
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  Seven games win. Loss, win, loss, win, loss.
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  So they've been. I guess consistently
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  inconsistent. And lost to the.
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  Packers on Thanksgiving. 31 to 20. 4 outright as a. 2 1/2 point
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  home favorite. So what we've seen across the
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  market here. Will this game open as high as
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  Detroit? -5 1/2.
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  At home, so a 5 1/2 point home favorite.
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  That line did not last long. Quickly got down to 3 1/2.
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  And then it got down to. Three, and I admit.
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  To you guys. When I was looking.
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  Yesterday I'm like Cowboys. Primetime dog.
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  They're playing well. Need the hook?
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  But it got down. To three and I said.
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  Oh, let me wait for it. And then I saw today.
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  Oh, it bottomed out. Detroit Minus.
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  Three. Now it's back.
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  Up to. 3 1/2. So you know.
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  On the one hand, it's like, OK. Want the hook?
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  Lose by. 3A cover. That's a good thing.
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  With Dallas. But then I'm saying to myself,
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  is Dallas. Too much of A trendy dog.
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  And again game day. Buyback back toward Detroit.
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  And. Dallas.
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  Is kind of a trendy dog. The more I'm.
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  Looking into it because if you look at.
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  Right now at. DraftKings 55.
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  Percent of spread bets. On the Cowboys.
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  Circa 57. Percent of spread bets.
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  On the Cowboys, so. Again, they're not massively.
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  Trendy. It's not like.
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  Dallas is getting. 60 Seventy 80% of tickets.
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  But anytime there's a. Dog getting.
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  Over half the tickets. That does scare me.
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  I don't want. To be on that.
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  Side because you remember the public is psychologically
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  biased, wants to bet on. Favorites the better team if
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  you. Lose on a favorite.
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  You're annoyed, you're mad, but you're like.
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  Oh, they should have won. They should have covered.
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  If you lose. On a dog, you're like.
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  Oh, they should have. Lost anyway, what was I doing on
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  the dog so. There's a psychological.
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  Gravitation toward favorites. So when the public.
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  Does. Take a dog.
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  That's kind of the. Kiss of death.
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  Again, we like. The dogs at the.
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  Shelter that are you know again, this really makes me depressed
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  because if. One day when I'm super rich.
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  I'm going to just. Get, you know, buy all the dogs
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  out of the shelters. But anyway, we like the dogs
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  that are gross. Have fleas no one wants.
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  Those are the. You know, undervalued ones.
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  When they're. I don't know.
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  You see that that? Poodle, that's all.
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  Like perfectly manicured. You know, those are the ones we
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  don't want. They're too trendy anyway.
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  You flip it and you. Look at the draftking.
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  Splits on the Lions Only 46% bets.
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  But they are taking. Into account 57.
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  Percent of spread dollars. So a little bit low bets.
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  Higher dollars here on. Detroit now.
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  If you do like Dallas plus 3 1/2, I'm not going to put up a.
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  Big fight against you because. Prime time dogs are. 2119
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  Against the Spread 50. 3% this year.
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  They're 53%. Since 2020.
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  Dog who missed the playoffs the previous.
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  Season playing an opponent. Who made the?
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  Playoffs the previous season. 45 and 30. 3 ATS 58% this year, 10%
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  ROI Dog with a. Severe line move.
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  Of two points. Or more. 5 1/2 down to 3 1/2.
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  Even touch three, that system is. 97 and 79 against the spread
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  55. Percent. 7% ROI since. 2018.
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  But here's the thing. Let's look toward.
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  And be honest. About the system.
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  Matches on Detroit. Favorites awful loss it's.
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  Been a really good angle here. 39 and 30 against the spread 57.
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  Percent, 8% ROI. Thursday Night Football home
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  favorites One O 1. And 85 ATS 54.
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  Percent with a 6% ROI all. All the way since 2000.
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  Six. Then I'm thinking if I'm taking
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  Dallas. Plus 3 1/2.
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  I am literally. Buying into the love for Dallas
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  and betting. A team that's.
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  Probably too. Popular and overvalued.
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  Right now, on the other hand, if you play Detroit.
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  You're buying low on a team that's.
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  Struggling. So just for the standpoint of
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  buy low, sell high. Again, you're kind of.
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  Looking toward the Detroit. Angle here of being the buy low
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  spot. In the sell high spot on Dallas
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  and then here's. Another one, Dan Campbell.
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  I told you he's, you know, 1. Loss, one loss they've.
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  Really rotated wins and losses. But Dan.
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  Campbell since taking over. As head.
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  Coach of the Lions. 20. Five and. 15 against the spread
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  63%. 20% ROI after. A loss. 16 and 7 ATS 70 percent
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  33%. ROI after a loss.
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  At home. So in this spot.
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  I know the obvious. Play is Dallas they're.
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  Playing great, take them 3 1/2 don't even think about.
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  It too much but. By doing that are.
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  You playing right into the sports book's hands.
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  And it did. Bottom out at.
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  Three and now. It's back up to 3 1/2.
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  That tells me there was a good amount of smart money.
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  Hitting Detroit -3. Today, Detroit on.
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  The money line. Matches some systems.
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  They're a little. Bit too high for me -170.
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  Five favorites. Awful loss. 48 and 20 straight
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  up 71 percent 6. Percent ROI this year.
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  Thursday night. Football home favorites.
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  Six and three, straight up 67%. This year with also.
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  Thursday football home favorites 139 and 5074.
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  Percent straight up 5% ROI since 2000. 6 so.
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  All these angles. Are really just.
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  Telling us to to. You know, maybe.
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  Buy low here on. Detroit.
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  And then when I look toward my. System matches with with rhythm.
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  Rhythm is. Kind of leaning toward the
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  lions. I have a Green Star play.
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  It says Lions should be -5.4. I have a Cowboys.
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  Plus 3.2. And I have a Cowboys plus 3.7 so
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  I guess. If rhythm had all. 3 green star
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  plays on Dallas. It would maybe make me.
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  A little more inclined to, you know.
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  Go with the slight public play and take.
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  The dog. But this is all.
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  Long winded way of me saying I'm not, I'm not touching the side.
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  If I'm with Dallas. You know.
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  It feels like that's the right side, right?
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  But we don't want to. Incorporate feelings and.
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  Bias and favoritism. They've covered.
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  Two in a row, Cowboys. Might win this thing outright.
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  But kind of Cowboys are. Trendy here.
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  The. Lions going back to?
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  Detroit and Detroit's. Got some system?
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  Matches so. I don't want to play this side.
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  Again when I'm playing. A side I'd want.
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  Everything to line up, you know, directly.
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  And in the same. Spot but a prime.
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  Time. Game being with the.
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  Public on a team. That's hot.
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  That's. Usually a bad spot.
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  So. All that being said, I'm not
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  touching the. Side.
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  But I am playing. The total.
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  The total. From you guys is a sell high.
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  Under 50. 4 1/2. That's my plate under 54 and a.
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  Half now. As total.
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  Did tick up. It was 53 1/2.
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  Now it's up to 54 1/2. But it's very public.
• 10:58
  Because nearly 70. Percent of.
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  Bets here are taking the over. So we're getting 70% on the over
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  at. DraftKings. 65% of bets.
• 11:07
  On the over. At circa but at circa.
• 11:10
  Only. 35% bets. 76% dollars. Are on the under.
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  So good low. Bets higher dollar.
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  Split on the under and then you layer in all these.
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  System matches when the total. Is 50 or more, but I would.
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  Call a super high. Total.
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  The under is 12 and 860% this season. 51 and 2964.
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  Percent, 22% ROI since. 2022. When the total is. 54 or more.
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  It's very rare. Under 6 and 2. 75% since. 2022
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  so these high. Totals public says it's.
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  Going to be a shootout typically you actually.
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  Want to go the other way? Sell.
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  High and go under prime time unders.
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  Have been really good, wasn't it?
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  The other day, guys, I was telling you I should play more
• 11:48
  prime time unders. We'll knock on wood.
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  Hope it comes through here. But prime time under is 25 and
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  1858 percent, 11% ROI this season.
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  They are 120. 6 and 8959 percent, 12% ROI.
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  Since 2022. When a prime time total is 50 or
• 12:03
  more. Kind of rare, but the under is 6
• 12:06
  and 3. This season.
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  At 67. Percent win rate and it is 55.
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  And 37. 60% with a 15%. ROI since 2017.
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  Lastly, we have. Both teams just flew over on
• 12:20
  Thanksgiving. So remember that, Chiefs.
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  Game there's a number that came out I.
• 12:24
  Think it was yesterday. It was like the most watched
• 12:26
  game. I forgot the number 70. 5
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  million people or something, or 50 million?
• 12:30
  Whatever the number is. But everyone watched their.
• 12:32
  Game go over everybody. Watched the Lions.
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  Game go over. So the thought is.
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  Go over. But in a way you can.
• 12:40
  Sell high on that. Recent, you know, kind.
• 12:42
  Of bias. And go under here.
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  Sean Hockley Mr. Mr. You know. Roy did.
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  Biceps, the son of. Of the.
• 12:50
  Big Hockley at Hockley. He's actually 58% to the under.
• 12:54
  Historically, but here's where. It gets even.
• 12:56
  Better guys, I have 3 green Star recommendations down the under
• 13:00
  here from Rhythm. I told you A.
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  Second ago rhythms got. Couple Dallas.
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  Plays couple Detroit. Plays the best plays the Detroit
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  play, but all three are on the under.
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  I have a rhythm Green Star recommendation.
• 13:10
  That says the total. Should be. 49.7 Another one.
• 13:14
  Is a smart signal 48.7 and a. 49.1 So rhythm is saying this
• 13:19
  should be a 4950 point game. You can get under 54 1/2.
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  You can be against the public. You can beat with all these
• 13:26
  system matches. Tells me that kind of all this
• 13:30
  data is lining. Up toward the under.
• 13:32
  Where again you could. Kind of make a case for both
• 13:34
  sides. In terms of.
• 13:35
  Plus or minus the. Points so my one.
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  Play here guys, I'm going to root.
• 13:39
  For the under under 54 1/2 and I didn't get under 54 1/2.
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  At -1 O 5. Little bit reduced juice.
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  I believe that was at Caesar's. So my one play tonight Dallas,
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  Detroit under. 54 1/2. Now.
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  Let's go to the NBA. Because there are a.
• 13:55
  Couple games here. That caught my eye. 1 is a side.
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  And. 1 is a player. Prop.
• 14:01
  Let's go to the side. I want to focus.
• 14:03
  On the Lakers. And the Raptors game.
• 14:05
  Now, this one is interesting for a couple reasons #1 let's kind
• 14:09
  of set. The stage with both of these
• 14:11
  teams. Lakers come in.
• 14:12
  Kind of riding. High here 15 and five on the
• 14:15
  year. Just got LeBron back then a
• 14:17
  long. Win streak.
• 14:18
  And then just snap that win streak lost to.
• 14:20
  Phoenix 120. 5 to one O 8. And then the Raptors.
• 14:24
  Have you guys been? Paying attention, they're
• 14:25
  pretty. Good this year 15.
• 14:26
  And seven. Just snapped A2 game losing skid
• 14:29
  they beat. Portland One. 21 to 1. 18 the
• 14:31
  other night. Now what have we?
• 14:33
  Seen across the market. Well this game is showing a very
• 14:36
  sharp dog to fave line move in. Favor of the Raptors.
• 14:40
  Let's go Dinos tonight. We've seen the Raptors open as
• 14:43
  high as plus 2 1/2 at home. Now they flip.
• 14:46
  To -2 1/2. At home and a lot.
• 14:48
  Of shops. Are even juicing up.
• 14:50
  The Raptor side -2 1/2. -115. Now you might ask.
• 14:54
  Yourself. OK, what's the reason for this
• 14:55
  big move? Well, it is injury related.
• 14:58
  Or I guess it's not an injury. But Luca Doncic.
• 15:00
  Will not play tonight. I believe his.
• 15:03
  He's having a baby, being born. He might.
• 15:06
  Have gone back to Slovakia for it.
• 15:07
  I'm not totally sure, but either way.
• 15:09
  He's not playing tonight. So no Luca.
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  And the line is. Slipped toward the Raptors.
• 15:14
  Then you look at the splits here.
• 15:16
  Look pretty good in favor of the Raptors at.
• 15:18
  DraftKings only 44% of spread bets, but 71% of spread dollars.
• 15:23
  On Toronto at Circa. Out in Vegas, 83.
• 15:26
  Percent spread bets. 90%. Spread dollars on Toronto.
• 15:30
  Now you guys know me, or if you don't, you know I.
• 15:33
  Like the money? Line short favorites, especially
• 15:35
  the fact that. If it's a close game, what?
• 15:37
  If Toronto wins by. One or two you lay 2 and half
• 15:39
  and lose. So I did pay up.
• 15:41
  I got -140 Toronto on the money line.
• 15:45
  That's at the score. App.
• 15:47
  Which again was ESPN bet, but again, shop.
• 15:49
  Around because some books are as high as -140. 5 -, 150 but I
• 15:53
  really. Like the splits?
• 15:55
  On the money line. Because at DraftKings. 31%.
• 15:57
  Money line bets. 64% money line. Dollars on the Raptors circa 50%
• 16:03
  bets. 90% money line. Dollars on the Raptors.
• 16:07
  Raptors I mentioned are. 15 and 7.
• 16:09
  But they're also pretty good at home. 8:00 and 2:00.
• 16:11
  Overall. And if you look at 1 angle to me
• 16:14
  that hopefully. Can lead us to.
• 16:15
  Victory defensive. Efficiency, the Raptors ranked.
• 16:19
  7th in the NBA and. Defensive efficiency.
• 16:22
  Versus the Lakers. Who ranked 19th?
• 16:24
  So Raptors are kind of an. Up and coming team, if you
• 16:27
  haven't paid attention, they have a kind of a young core.
• 16:30
  It's playing well. Brandon Ingram.
• 16:33
  Scotty Barnes. Quickly Pearl versus.
• 16:36
  The Lakers, who are great, but no, Luca Lebron's old and hasn't
• 16:40
  done a lot yet. I don't want.
• 16:41
  To jinx him and I'll have a huge game tonight, but.
• 16:44
  Again, going across the border Which?
• 16:47
  To me looks like maybe a good opportunity here to take the
• 16:50
  Toronto. Raptors Also, this is the first
• 16:52
  game of. A long road trip for the Lakers,
• 16:54
  so. Kind of tough schedule.
• 16:56
  Versus Raptors playing their second straight home game.
• 16:59
  So Long story short guys, dog to.
• 17:01
  Fave no Luca, great splits here. I got the Toronto.
• 17:05
  Raptors on the money? Line -140.
• 17:08
  And by the way, home favorites in the NBA, straight up, they're
• 17:10
  winning. 133 and 5571. Percent of the time.
• 17:14
  So let's go Raptors. Now one player prop for you.
• 17:18
  And I'm. Thinking to myself, OK.
• 17:20
  Luke Cooper flag came. Up huge last night getting our
• 17:24
  over points, rounds and assists and then it dawns on me like OK.
• 17:28
  Is that the? Angle.
• 17:28
  Maybe we want to take advantage of.
• 17:31
  Maybe I can't call. Cooper flag.
• 17:33
  Under the radar, but. A player to perform.
• 17:36
  Well with his PRA that. Was kind of my.
• 17:38
  Thought man, just. So happens another.
• 17:40
  Rookie, I landed. On tonight so I'm.
• 17:42
  Going to look toward the. Timberwolves Pelicans Game 8:00
• 17:45
  tonight. Now we have.
• 17:47
  Timberwolves pretty big favorite here.
• 17:48
  They're favored by like. 11 and a half, 12 points the total.
• 17:51
  Is the highest total. Of the Night, 233 1/2.
• 17:54
  And. One kind of interesting thing
• 17:56
  that's going on with this game is it is the second game of a.
• 17:59
  Back-to-back. There's actually been a day in
• 18:02
  between with these teams played a.
• 18:04
  Couple days ago. On Tuesday in new.
• 18:08
  Orleans. And they're playing again.
• 18:09
  In New Orleans, so it's two games in the same.
• 18:12
  Spot and that last. Game, if you noticed, should
• 18:15
  have taken the over. Was 149 to 1. 42 The
• 18:19
  Timberwolves won that game. It went overtime.
• 18:22
  And I'm looking in the box score.
• 18:24
  And I'm looking at rhythm. And I'm thinking.
• 18:26
  OK, this is the highest total of the night.
• 18:28
  You know, is there someone? We can target for over.
• 18:31
  Points, rebounds and assists. And I landed.
• 18:33
  On Jeremiah Fierce. You guys remember this kid, Kid.
• 18:38
  He was the 7th. Overall pick.
• 18:40
  In the NBA draft, he was really good at Oklahoma.
• 18:42
  He's only 19. Years old.
• 18:44
  And Jeremiah Fierce has. Started 20 of 22.
• 18:48
  Games he gets a. Lot of minutes.
• 18:50
  He averages 27 1/2. Minutes per game, but.
• 18:53
  He's gotten. Better and he's averaging, you
• 18:55
  know, over like. 30 minutes his last few games.
• 18:58
  But he kind of coincides with Cooper flag.
• 19:01
  A rookie getting better so if. You look in the.
• 19:03
  Month of October, Jeremiah. Fears. 13.2 points per game. 2.2
• 19:09
  rebounds per game. 3.8 assists per game.
• 19:12
  November, his scoring jumped up to. 16.1.
• 19:15
  Points per game 3.6 rebounds, 2.4 assists.
• 19:19
  He played. One game in December.
• 19:21
  It's just the other night against Minnesota. 21 points.
• 19:23
  3/3. Rebounds 5 assists so.
• 19:26
  Just like Cooper flag. A really good rookie.
• 19:30
  Who is starting? Getting a lot of.
• 19:31
  Minutes and getting better. As he gets more.
• 19:34
  Experience. Then I look at his over under 4
• 19:39
  points, rebounds and assists. And this gets a little.
• 19:41
  Bit wonky because some. Books are at 20. 2 1/2.
• 19:44
  Some books are at. 23 and a. Half now.
• 19:48
  Rhythm is saying take the over. Rhythm is predicting.
• 19:51
  Jeremiah Fears 25.7. Points, rebounds and assists.
• 19:57
  He has gone over this number in three straight.
• 19:59
  Games so if you. Look at his box.
• 20:01
  Score. He had 21.
• 20:03
  Points, 5 assists, 3 rebounds. His last game.
• 20:06
  Before that, 21 points, 33 rebounds. 2 assists, 16 points.
• 20:10
  2 assists, 6. Rebounds.
• 20:12
  So he's gone. Over in three straight, he just.
• 20:14
  Played the same team and went over.
• 20:16
  And played very well. And.
• 20:18
  Over 22 and a half 23 1/2 rhythm is predicting. 25.7 then.
• 20:24
  We got to say, OK, let's get. The best price?
• 20:26
  Now this becomes a bit of an option for you guys.
• 20:27
  But I'll just say when it comes to props, I've lost prop player
• 20:31
  props where like I. Literally use by.
• 20:33
  Lose by 1. Yard or one rebounder.
• 20:36
  One assists so at. FanDuel over 23.
• 20:40
  And 1/2 is -1 O 8. At the.
• 20:42
  Score over 23 1/2 is -1 O 5. Same thing with DraftKings.
• 20:46
  Fanatics over 20. 3 1/2 - 1 O 5. Caesars is at 22 1/2.
• 20:52
  But the. Over is -1. 40I landed.
• 20:54
  On BET MGM, if you look at BET MGM, it's.
• 20:57
  Over 22 1/2 at -120. So 120 again a.
• 21:02
  Little bit juiced up here but. It's not a minus. 1:40 and.
• 21:05
  On the off chance it lands right on 20.
• 21:07
  Three. You'll catch that.
• 21:09
  Over 20. 2 1/2 you'll lose the over 20. 3 1/2.
• 21:12
  So again, Jeremiah fears. Young Stud.
• 21:15
  Rookie playing great. Getting more minutes putting up
• 21:19
  stuff in the stat. Sheet here.
• 21:20
  Over 22. And a half points, rebounds and
• 21:23
  assists -120. At Bet MGM.
• 21:26
  And rhythm is. Predicting 25 point. 7 So
• 21:29
  basically a three PRA edge, but let's go Mr. Jeremiah fears
• 21:34
  tonight. So that about does it for
• 21:36
  episode. Four O 8.
• 21:37
  Of the all. Systems Go sports betting
• 21:39
  podcast powered by rhythm. This is the part of the pod.
• 21:42
  Where we wrap. Things up.
• 21:43
  And I always start first by. Saying thank you, thank you for
• 21:46
  listening, thank you for tuning in, thank you for grinding.
• 21:49
  Through the UPS. And downs of sports betting with
• 21:51
  me. If you and again I know you got
• 21:53
  a lot. Going on busy lives.
• 21:55
  It means a lot that you guys TuneIn and grind with me.
• 21:57
  So. With that being said, if you do
• 21:59
  enjoy the pod, if you had a good night.
• 22:01
  Last night, nice little. Four and O it's.
• 22:03
  Nice to get a sweep here and get a get a good winning.
• 22:05
  Night, but as always. If you want to help me grow the.
• 22:08
  Pod, please recommend. It to a friend.
• 22:10
  Click the Follow button. You can retweet it when I tweet
• 22:13
  it out at Josh. Under score.
• 22:14
  Insights, but one easy. Thing I'd love.
• 22:16
  For you to do, just give. It a five star review, click the
• 22:19
  five stars on Spotify or. ITunes Next if you.
• 22:22
  Enjoy the style. Of betting breakdown data.
• 22:24
  Driven sharp contrarian betting focusing on.
• 22:27
  Numbers, not teams, split. System matches, line moves, all
• 22:30
  that. Kind of jazz.
• 22:31
  And maybe you need to get a. Christmas gift?
• 22:34
  A Hanukkah gift? A stocking.
• 22:35
  Stuffer for somebody? You know what you can do?
• 22:37
  You can bang it out, right? Now get it out of the way.
• 22:39
  You'll feel better about it. You won't have to rush like I
• 22:41
  always rush. Every year I tell myself I'll,
• 22:43
  you know, get stuff earlier and I never do.
• 22:45
  Although I did get my wife a. Pair of.
• 22:47
  Bombas slippers yesterday. With a good.
• 22:51
  Good promo code, 25% off, but she's a big slipper person and.
• 22:56
  My dog always eats her. Slippers.
• 22:57
  She gets mad. I always tell her, hey, she
• 22:59
  takes. Her slippers, because she.
• 23:00
  Loves you. There's all these things about
• 23:02
  dogs. Take their owner.
• 23:03
  'S shoes. Because it smells like.
• 23:04
  Them. It's a sign they love them.
• 23:05
  Still, she gets annoyed. Again, they get slobbery.
• 23:07
  I get it anyway. I bang that out.
• 23:09
  I feel better today. That's my whole.
• 23:10
  Point I got. Her a gift.
• 23:12
  At least I got. Her one thing.
• 23:13
  With more to come. But anyway.
• 23:15
  You can bang. Out a Christmas gift.
• 23:17
  By going to. Amazon.com.
• 23:18
  And typing in. The NFL sharp betting.
• 23:21
  Playbook or the? Everything Guide to sports.
• 23:23
  Betting my two books I'm very proud of.
• 23:25
  They make a great gift again. They're better than.
• 23:27
  Getting a collared shirt or a pair of socks or pair pair of
• 23:30
  underwear. And if you want to.
• 23:33
  Grab one or both if you. Want to leave a?
• 23:35
  Five star review on Amazon you want.
• 23:37
  To bring them to the sports. Book.
• 23:38
  I'll sign them for you. I'll buy a beer.
• 23:40
  Or ginger ale sweat some of these games.
• 23:41
  Here, together, tonight, Next. Have you downloaded Rhythm and
• 23:45
  Juice reel yet? Rhythm great for.
• 23:47
  Their back AI backed. Models and predictions for game
• 23:49
  bets. And player props.
• 23:51
  Remember, we have our. Live stream.
• 23:52
  Tonight at 6:00 PM Eastern Time just.
• 23:54
  Get right on Twitter. Jump right in.
• 23:56
  And then? Also Juice Reel where if you
• 23:59
  want to tip your podcast host, I'd.
• 24:00
  Love for you guys to sign up. To get the all.
• 24:02
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  Juice Reel. They only cost $4.
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  And $0.99. A week, so 5 bucks a week.
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  For seven days of plays. And that would mean a lot to me
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  if you wanted to. Again, tip your podcast host,
• 24:15
  but also get the robo. Jackson best bet.
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  Picks the sharp mush indicators. The arbitrage plays the shop for
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  the best sign. Features all available.
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  When you download Juice Reel. So download Rhythm download.
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  Juice Reel give them a. Five star review in the App
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  Store. Next, do you have a live odds?
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  Page. Well, if you.
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  Don't you need one? Live odds page is super
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  important if you're going to bet on a daily basis.
• 24:34
  Because you got to be able to track the market.
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  What are all the? Games being played today.
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  I need the start times. I need the live.
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  Scoring. I need the live in game
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  wagering. Odds I need to.
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  Be able to track the opening number in the current.
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  Prices Shop for the best. Price Identify Steam you.
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  Can do all that. With odds logic.
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  So just download or go to. Oddslogic.com.
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  Slash Josh. 123 that'll. Give you a 7 day free trial, 50%
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  off your first month of service. Lastly, have you?
• 25:00
  Downloaded Novig yet? Well, Novig.
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  Is a betting exchange. And not a sports book, so.
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  You're going to get way better juice prices instead of being
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  forced to pay minus. 120 -, 115 -, 125.
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  Because it's a betting exchange and.
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  You're not going. Up against the house.
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  You're going up against other betters.
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  You're getting better juice like -1 O 5. -1 O 8.
• 25:19
  Plus one O 2 so you can win at the same rate you would.
• 25:22
  At DraftKings. FanDuel, whatever those books.
• 25:24
  Are but actually. Make more money.
• 25:26
  Because you're risking less and you're getting more back.
• 25:29
  So if you want to download Novig.
• 25:31
  When you fund your account, there'll be a little promo code
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  just put in. Josh 123 into that promo code
• 25:36
  and I'll get. You an extra. 25 bucks to play
• 25:38
  with. So that about does it.
• 25:40
  For episode. Four O 8 of the ASG.
• 25:42
  Pod as always guys. Whether I see you at the
• 25:44
  Borgata? In Atlantic City, Twin River in
• 25:47
  Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire.
• 25:48
  Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun. Down in Connecticut.
• 25:51
  At the. Encore in Boston.
• 25:52
  Plain Ridge Park. Casino MGM Springfield the.
• 25:54
  Nash and my neck of the woods on the border of Nashville.
• 25:57
  New Hampshire and Massachusetts. Are out in the desert where the
• 26:00
  true grinders get down. Where Billy?
• 26:02
  Walter sends his number runners where the lowest juice possible
• 26:04
  is found. At the South Point.
• 26:06
  Or sweat and sharp contrarian plays.
• 26:07
  Jumping in the stadium swimming pool when you.
• 26:09
  Catch a big ticket at Circo, wherever it may be you're.
• 26:12
  Going to walk up. To me, we're going.
• 26:14
  To see each other at the book and.
• 26:15
  We're going. To bust open the janitor's
• 26:17
  closet. Grab a broom, do a little fret
• 26:19
  of stair dance after a great sweep.
• 26:21
  Last night. So show me a UCLA money line.
• 26:24
  Ticket a Montana State money line.
• 26:26
  Ticket and. Arkansas plus the points.
• 26:29
  Winning outright ticket. A Cooper flag over PRA ticket.
• 26:32
  Guess what? First one's on me next.
• 26:34
  One's on you. We'll post about the book.
• 26:36
  Sweat some sharp, data-driven plays here once again for
• 26:39
  tonight. So as always, guys coming off a
• 26:41
  four and O. Or an O and four.
• 26:43
  A2 and 2A3. And one A1.
• 26:44
  And three, a great. Night a terrible night a.
• 26:47
  Hot. Streak a cold streak.
• 26:49
  Grinding. We just got to stick.
• 26:50
  With it can't get. Too high when things are good,
• 26:53
  can't get too low. When things are bad.
• 26:55
  Stay. Disciplined with our bankroll
• 26:57
  management and just grind it out.
• 26:58
  Long term. Play the system matches.
• 27:00
  Play the sharp, sharp plays. So as always, if you know.
• 27:04
  By now go something. Like this we're.
• 27:05
  Looking for games that are against the public with the
• 27:08
  house with the pros Flap bet. Avoid parlays and get that CLV
• 27:12
  if we can. Do that long term.
• 27:14
  And stay consistent with it. We're going to be successful
• 27:16
  sports bettors. So have a great Thursday night
• 27:18
  everybody. I'll see you.
• 27:19
  At 6:00 PM Eastern. Time stream live on Twitter.
• 27:21
  Again at Josh under score. Insights just jump right in.
• 27:25
  And then we'll be right back at it tomorrow for a.
• 27:27
  Big fade the public. Friday edition, that'll be
• 27:29
  episode. Four O 9 the all systems go.
• 27:32
  Sports betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 27:35
  Good luck everybody. And have a great.
• 27:37
  Thursday night.