Latest / Toadstool Sports / Wednesday BEST BETS | No Playoffs? | NHL Conference Finals & MLB & WNBA | 5/27/26

Transcript

Wednesday BEST BETS | No Playoffs? | NHL Conference Finals & MLB & WNBA | 5/27/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:16
  Speaker 1: You gotta slip in your palm and a hole in
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: your chase the black coffee on the felt.
• 0:22
  Speaker 2: Man, you look like a mess.
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: Three teen Parlette turned the dust in your head. Now
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: you stare at the chips like they made you this man.
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: But don't you go quiet? Don't you fade from the floor.
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: Your name steal means something on somebody for show.
• 0:41
  Speaker 2: Put the glass down, baby, look at me.
• 0:46
  Speaker 3: No, hold on, hold on, nothing nice now, hold on,
• 1:00
  Speaker 3: hold up me, but it don't get the crowd. Hold on,
• 1:16
  Speaker 3: hold on.
• 1:17
  Speaker 2: And stay with me. Now, what's up everybody? I don't
• 1:41
  Speaker 2: know why I was still muted? Dude, who uh?
• 1:44
  Speaker 4: It's towed back with you with Toadstool Sports. It is Wednesday,
• 1:48
  Speaker 4: May twenty seventh, two and one on the show yesterday.
• 1:52
  Speaker 4: I'm kind of pissed about it because I think all
• 1:54
  Speaker 4: of my baseball leans were pretty much correct yesterday. The
• 1:57
  Speaker 4: Yankees run line would have been an easy win if
• 2:00
  Speaker 4: you money lined them. Obviously, that one Texas Rangers, that
• 2:05
  Speaker 4: was a win. So like all these leans that I
• 2:07
  Speaker 4: have were winning. What was the other one I had?
• 2:09
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 2:10
  Speaker 4: I know I liked the over and the Dodgers game
• 2:12
  Speaker 4: to some degree that was a winner as well.
• 2:14
  Speaker 2: There might have been one in there that wasn't correct,
• 2:16
  Speaker 2: but I don't know.
• 2:17
  Speaker 4: A lot of my leans were right, and of course
• 2:19
  Speaker 4: I had to have one of my plays being correct.
• 2:22
  Speaker 2: Braves Red Sox under not a winner. Yeah, just bad.
• 2:29
  Speaker 4: And of course, to make matters worse, the Red Sox
• 2:31
  Speaker 4: lose the game as well by one, which I wasn't
• 2:34
  Speaker 4: surprised they lost the game, but I thought it was
• 2:36
  Speaker 4: gonna be a much lower scoring game.
• 2:39
  Speaker 2: We did get the undercorrect. With Saint Louis and Milwaukee.
• 2:41
  Speaker 4: I think there was I think there was one six
• 2:44
  Speaker 4: run inning for Milwaukee and that was the only scoring.
• 2:46
  Speaker 2: In the game.
• 2:47
  Speaker 4: Like, if you you go into that game, you're tell
• 2:49
  Speaker 4: me there's only gonna be one half of an inning
• 2:52
  Speaker 4: where any runs get scored, I'd be like, yeah, the
• 2:54
  Speaker 4: under is obviously winning, and it did, but it was
• 2:57
  Speaker 4: a six run inning. I'm pretty sure I'd have to
• 2:59
  Speaker 4: go back and I think Milwaukee had a six run inning,
• 3:02
  Speaker 4: but then there were no other runs scored, so I'll
• 3:05
  Speaker 4: take it, and then easy win with the Oklahoma City
• 3:08
  Speaker 4: thunder team total over, they also covered the game also
• 3:11
  Speaker 4: went over. My read on that game was correct, in
• 3:15
  Speaker 4: every single way. I think it was the right approach.
• 3:18
  Speaker 4: I think the easiest winner was that Oklahoma City team.
• 3:22
  Speaker 2: Total.
• 3:22
  Speaker 4: They got way over it. They scored in the one
• 3:24
  Speaker 4: twenties or something. Both teams shot better, though, so both
• 3:29
  Speaker 4: teams scored a lot of points, but Oklahoma City also
• 3:32
  Speaker 4: did cover, so if you had the spread, that was
• 3:35
  Speaker 4: also a winner, which I agreed with all right.
• 3:39
  Speaker 2: Today, I don't.
• 3:41
  Speaker 4: Know, man, I'm gonna be switching back and forth between
• 3:44
  Speaker 4: a lot of tabs here probably just these sites do
• 3:47
  Speaker 4: not have the percentage information anymore. I don't even know
• 3:51
  Speaker 4: if it's ever coming back, so I don't know what
• 3:53
  Speaker 4: to do. I found another site that has some I
• 3:55
  Speaker 4: don't know where their date is coming from, but it's
• 3:58
  Speaker 4: not like a grid layout, so it's.
• 4:00
  Speaker 2: Like way harder to read.
• 4:01
  Speaker 4: But you're looking at like an individual game, like game
• 4:05
  Speaker 4: by game pretty much.
• 4:07
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 4:08
  Speaker 4: I don't know what else to say about it. But
• 4:10
  Speaker 4: I'm gonna only have two plays here today. I'm gonna
• 4:12
  Speaker 4: have one baseball play and I'm gonna go back to
• 4:14
  Speaker 4: the w NBA. Let's let's keep the w NBA record going. Man,
• 4:20
  Speaker 4: Hopefully we can get another w NBA win. Here, dirty sock,
• 4:24
  Speaker 4: Josh Kyle, what's up?
• 4:28
  Speaker 2: Yes, I was muted. I'm I'm mute now I don't
• 4:31
  Speaker 2: talk anymore. The player problem. McCain, Did he go over?
• 4:37
  Speaker 4: I was talking about his point total? Yeah, I mean
• 4:40
  Speaker 4: that might that might have won. I have no idea.
• 4:43
  Speaker 4: Probably if Oklahoma City scored that many points that, if
• 4:46
  Speaker 4: those other guys didn't play, then I would assume he
• 4:49
  Speaker 4: went over his point total. All right, we'll get into
• 4:53
  Speaker 4: today baseball. There's a lot of afternoon baseball because it
• 4:57
  Speaker 4: is Wednesday.
• 4:58
  Speaker 2: It's getaway day, so a lot of series are finishing here.
• 5:03
  Speaker 4: A few of them are continuing into tomorrow, which are Anaheim, Detroit, Minnesota,
• 5:08
  Speaker 4: White Sox, Atlanta and Boston. Actually, I think every game
• 5:12
  Speaker 4: that's played being played tomorrow is a continuation of today's series.
• 5:16
  Speaker 2: I think. I don't know.
• 5:19
  Speaker 4: Oh no, Toronto and the Orioles is a new series tomorrow.
• 5:21
  Speaker 4: I think everything else is a continuation. All right, McCain
• 5:28
  Speaker 4: hit twenty. I don't play these at this alt shit,
• 5:31
  Speaker 4: I do not do that. I just take you know,
• 5:35
  Speaker 4: if his point total was fifteen, that probably makes us
• 5:38
  Speaker 4: sense As far as what the line was Miami at
• 5:43
  Speaker 4: Toronto on ESPN Unlimited is the first game up. Like
• 5:46
  Speaker 4: I said, Toronto is playing Baltimore tomorrow. It's it is
• 5:51
  Speaker 4: a divisional series. I don't know if that's really a
• 5:53
  Speaker 4: look ahead or not though, And Miami I think might
• 5:56
  Speaker 4: be playing the Mets. I want to say, uh, these
• 5:59
  Speaker 4: teems are both split this series anyway, so I don't
• 6:01
  Speaker 4: think anybody's gonna be looking ahead really. Ah, yeah, Miami
• 6:04
  Speaker 4: does play the Mets. I remember things. Hey, Toronto won
• 6:08
  Speaker 4: the game eight to one yesterday. I read on this
• 6:12
  Speaker 4: game though, just looking at the pitching matchup, is that yeah,
• 6:15
  Speaker 4: Like I kind of like this pitching matchup. In today's game,
• 6:19
  Speaker 4: Miami used one relief pitcher yesterday, Toronto used four, So
• 6:24
  Speaker 4: Miami does have a bullpen advantage. They have the number
• 6:27
  Speaker 4: four bullpen in Whip Toronto not bad at tenth, but
• 6:31
  Speaker 4: Miami's is more rested. Like I just said, Miami's offense
• 6:36
  Speaker 4: has fallen way off there at nineteenth, but Toronto is
• 6:39
  Speaker 4: twenty fifth, So we do have two offenses that are
• 6:42
  Speaker 4: not doing a ton here. Uri Perez is pitching from
• 6:45
  Speaker 4: Miami is his numbers are just kind of mediocre, four
• 6:51
  Speaker 4: point nine to one, ERA one.
• 6:52
  Speaker 2: Point three whip.
• 6:54
  Speaker 4: He's way worse on the road, and that is kind
• 6:56
  Speaker 4: of my problem here, Like I'm leaning towards him pitching well,
• 6:59
  Speaker 4: but I don't don't know if I really want to
• 7:00
  Speaker 4: bank on that. With a seven point zero three Roady Ray.
• 7:04
  Speaker 4: He pitched well in his last outing. It was against
• 7:06
  Speaker 4: the Mets, though not a good offense, but that kind
• 7:10
  Speaker 4: of tells you he's kind of returning to form in
• 7:13
  Speaker 4: my opinion. He didn't walk anybody in that start either.
• 7:16
  Speaker 4: He was really good in that outing. Overall, the walks
• 7:19
  Speaker 4: are his main problem. He has a high strikeout rate.
• 7:22
  Speaker 4: His hit rate is low, but he's allowed a lot
• 7:24
  Speaker 4: of home runs, which isn't great, and then his walk
• 7:27
  Speaker 4: rate is too high, and that is his main issue
• 7:30
  Speaker 4: against Toronto. They only have twenty one at bats against him,
• 7:33
  Speaker 4: and they are oh for twenty one off of them
• 7:36
  Speaker 4: with seven strikeouts and no walks. So Toronto literally does
• 7:41
  Speaker 4: not have a hitter in their active lineup who has
• 7:43
  Speaker 4: reached base against Perez and they've had twenty one at.
• 7:47
  Speaker 2: Bats against them.
• 7:49
  Speaker 4: So he looks like he does have a good matchup here,
• 7:51
  Speaker 4: and he is going up against Kevin Gaussman, who is
• 7:55
  Speaker 4: probably Toronto's best pitcher three point two to three Ray
• 7:59
  Speaker 4: one point five Whip Goussman really good over his last
• 8:03
  Speaker 4: two outings this month. He's been good other than he
• 8:06
  Speaker 4: got rocked and one outing against Tampa Bay, and that
• 8:08
  Speaker 4: was a second start in a row against Tampa Bay.
• 8:11
  Speaker 4: So maybe Tampa Bay just figured something out the first
• 8:14
  Speaker 4: time and then hit him better the next time. He
• 8:17
  Speaker 4: still has a twenty one to two strikeout walk ratio
• 8:19
  Speaker 4: this month, which is really good.
• 8:22
  Speaker 2: Numbers over the season are pretty similar to that.
• 8:24
  Speaker 4: His strikeout rate is not that high, but it's pretty decent.
• 8:28
  Speaker 4: As walk rates low, his hit rate is low, he's good.
• 8:32
  Speaker 4: His numbers against Miami also good, and twenty four at
• 8:35
  Speaker 4: bats eleven strikeouts, one walk, one sixty seven average five
• 8:39
  Speaker 4: to seventy five ops.
• 8:41
  Speaker 2: I would go under in this game.
• 8:45
  Speaker 4: I don't know how I want to look at these
• 8:47
  Speaker 4: like market percentages here, I guess I can go back
• 8:49
  Speaker 4: to this screen here on whatever the fuck player props is,
• 8:55
  Speaker 4: we have Toronto's about a minus one fifty something favorite.
• 8:58
  Speaker 4: It looks like here eighty one percent of the tickets
• 9:01
  Speaker 4: according to this site, sixty six percent of the cash
• 9:03
  Speaker 4: on Toronto, So the money looks like it's sort of
• 9:07
  Speaker 4: indicating towards Miami on the side, I don't really disagree
• 9:11
  Speaker 4: in Miami has the bullpen edge at least, but I
• 9:13
  Speaker 4: think Gaussman may have a little bit of a matchup edge,
• 9:17
  Speaker 4: just because I don't like Perez on the road. But
• 9:20
  Speaker 4: my favorite way of playing this would be under first
• 9:22
  Speaker 4: five innings, and you can see the Under looks like
• 9:25
  Speaker 4: it is getting the money's seventy one percent of tickets,
• 9:27
  Speaker 4: ninety one percent of the cash on the under. Oh no, wait, sorry,
• 9:30
  Speaker 4: I'm looking at the spread. Sorry, Under has uh ORCUSEI
• 9:35
  Speaker 4: over has seventy two percent of tickets and only sixty
• 9:37
  Speaker 4: three percent of the cash. That makes more sense. Over
• 9:41
  Speaker 4: usually attracts more of the public. That's oltal seven and
• 9:44
  Speaker 4: a half though, so it's low for a reason.
• 9:47
  Speaker 2: I like Under in this game.
• 9:49
  Speaker 4: I might limit it to the first five though, although
• 9:52
  Speaker 4: I still like this. You know, wager talk view better though,
• 9:56
  Speaker 4: just so I can kind of see the grid here
• 9:58
  Speaker 4: and see the layout and see like what all the
• 10:00
  Speaker 4: different books have for a number. So yeah, Toronto's around
• 10:05
  Speaker 4: minus one fifty seven and a half is the total there.
• 10:09
  Speaker 2: But yeah, I think under actually probably under first five.
• 10:12
  Speaker 4: I don't know if I trust Toronto's bullpen given their
• 10:16
  Speaker 4: lack of rest and whatever I think under first five
• 10:18
  Speaker 4: is what I like in that one.
• 10:20
  Speaker 2: That one almost made my card.
• 10:22
  Speaker 4: I think if I was gonna add another game, it
• 10:23
  Speaker 4: would probably be that one, but I don't quite want
• 10:27
  Speaker 4: to do it with Perez not good on the road.
• 10:30
  Speaker 2: Washington at Cleveland, Washington is on the verge of a sweep.
• 10:35
  Speaker 4: Never would have thought that is Washington gonna get the
• 10:38
  Speaker 4: sweep against Cleveland. I don't know about that. Washington's not
• 10:41
  Speaker 4: a good team.
• 10:42
  Speaker 2: They did win yesterday six to three. Washington. Who do
• 10:46
  Speaker 2: they playing next? I don't even know. They play San.
• 10:48
  Speaker 4: Diego, so that is possibly a look ahead because San
• 10:51
  Speaker 4: Diego is playing some pretty good baseball at least record wise.
• 10:56
  Speaker 4: Washington's bullpen is very untrustworthy though they only use mid
• 11:00
  Speaker 4: Parker in long relief yesterday and didn't use anybody else,
• 11:03
  Speaker 4: so their bullpen is rested. Cleveland used four relief pitchers.
• 11:08
  Speaker 4: Cleveland has a better bullpen, but they're less rested. Here.
• 11:11
  Speaker 4: The ranked eleventh and bullpen Washington twenty fourth, but the
• 11:14
  Speaker 4: rest kind of evens the bullpen's out a little bit.
• 11:18
  Speaker 4: Although Cleveland's is still the better bullpen. Cleveland is ranked
• 11:21
  Speaker 4: twentieth than hitting Washington fourth.
• 11:25
  Speaker 2: Washington.
• 11:26
  Speaker 4: I mean, looking at this pitching matchup on the surface, like, yeah,
• 11:29
  Speaker 4: it looks like Washington is not going to be able
• 11:31
  Speaker 4: to win this game. Miles michelst is pitching for Washington.
• 11:36
  Speaker 4: He sucks six point one seventy RA one point three
• 11:39
  Speaker 4: to nine WHIP. His numbers are actually getting a little
• 11:41
  Speaker 4: bit better though, and he's been serviceable on the road
• 11:45
  Speaker 4: four point eight to one Roady Ray, so he's been
• 11:48
  Speaker 4: significantly better on the road. He actually threw a five
• 11:50
  Speaker 4: inning shut out against Atlanta last time out, so you
• 11:53
  Speaker 4: got to give him credit for that.
• 11:55
  Speaker 2: Was that, you know, flashing the pan? Or is he
• 11:58
  Speaker 2: starting to pitch better? I don't know. He was not
• 12:00
  Speaker 2: horrible in the previous game against.
• 12:02
  Speaker 4: Baltimore, so I guess it is possible he's pitching a
• 12:05
  Speaker 4: little bit better as of late. He's allowed fewer than
• 12:07
  Speaker 4: one hit per inning this month, way below one strikeout
• 12:11
  Speaker 4: per inning, but a low walk rate to twelve to
• 12:13
  Speaker 4: three ratio there over the course of the season. Low
• 12:17
  Speaker 4: strikeout rate, so he doesn't fool guys. He is allowing
• 12:20
  Speaker 4: more than one hit per inning he's a lot a
• 12:22
  Speaker 4: lot of home runs eleven, but his walk rate kind
• 12:25
  Speaker 4: of high as well. I still don't think I fully
• 12:28
  Speaker 4: trust him, but this matchup may not be the worst
• 12:32
  Speaker 4: for him. In fifty seven at bats against Cleveland, he's
• 12:34
  Speaker 4: held him a two forty six average, seven to ninety
• 12:37
  Speaker 4: one oh ps, eleven to six strikeout walk ratio. Gavin Williams,
• 12:42
  Speaker 4: though he's pitching well for Cleveland, dude three point two
• 12:46
  Speaker 4: to five yr, one point one to one whip. He's
• 12:48
  Speaker 4: coming up an eight inning shutout against Philly with eleven strikeouts,
• 12:53
  Speaker 4: still clocked in at under one hundred pitches in that one.
• 12:57
  Speaker 4: He's pitching well. He's had two really good starts in
• 12:59
  Speaker 4: a row here. Maybe he continues pitching well. It looks
• 13:03
  Speaker 4: like he is in good form right now. Don't know
• 13:05
  Speaker 4: if there's gonna be like any sort of let down
• 13:07
  Speaker 4: here against Washington. They've never even seen him before, so
• 13:10
  Speaker 4: he has that extra edge facing a lineup it's never
• 13:14
  Speaker 4: faced him before. A lot of times that lineup has
• 13:16
  Speaker 4: to figure him out and it takes a little while.
• 13:18
  Speaker 2: So Williams might have the upper hand here.
• 13:21
  Speaker 4: I mean, just generally, he's obviously the better pitcher he
• 13:24
  Speaker 4: has a really high strikeout.
• 13:26
  Speaker 2: Rate this season.
• 13:27
  Speaker 4: By the way, a low hit rate in his walk
• 13:29
  Speaker 4: rate is not good, but it's more tolerable given how
• 13:34
  Speaker 4: many strikeouts he has and given how few hits he allows.
• 13:38
  Speaker 4: So I think I like Cleveland here to avoid the
• 13:41
  Speaker 4: sweet plus you get Williams over Mechlus. I don't like
• 13:44
  Speaker 4: the Cleveland's bullpen is a little bit less rested.
• 13:47
  Speaker 2: But Cleveland is.
• 13:47
  Speaker 4: A pretty big favorite here there where are we at
• 13:51
  Speaker 4: here minus one eighty something here around minus one eighty
• 13:55
  Speaker 4: If we look at this other site, the money's coming
• 13:58
  Speaker 4: in on Washington for some reason. We have sixty seven
• 14:00
  Speaker 4: percent of the tickets on Cleveland, but only thirty percent
• 14:05
  Speaker 4: of the money that's on the money line. Though on
• 14:09
  Speaker 4: the spread it looks like there is a lot of
• 14:12
  Speaker 4: the higher percentage is on Cleveland on the spread, sixty
• 14:15
  Speaker 4: seven percent of tickets eighty eight percent of the cash.
• 14:18
  Speaker 4: Since when you're looking at like the market reads on
• 14:20
  Speaker 4: baseball like usually I just have that one percentage number,
• 14:22
  Speaker 4: which is the money line.
• 14:24
  Speaker 2: I think.
• 14:25
  Speaker 4: But this view is the one good thing about this
• 14:28
  Speaker 4: view is you can kind of eyeball it pretty easily.
• 14:31
  Speaker 4: The spread versus the money line here. I like Cleveland
• 14:34
  Speaker 4: here though, and I would do a split bet probably,
• 14:37
  Speaker 4: like make your own minus one run line, put some
• 14:40
  Speaker 4: of it on the money line, some of it on
• 14:41
  Speaker 4: the run line, unless maybe the run lines at a
• 14:44
  Speaker 4: price where maybe you could just lay the run line.
• 14:46
  Speaker 4: But I don't know if I really want to do
• 14:47
  Speaker 4: that with Cleveland, you know, because they play a lot
• 14:51
  Speaker 4: of lower scoring games at home. Although Washington tends to
• 14:56
  Speaker 4: get themselves in a lot of higher scoring games, but
• 14:58
  Speaker 4: a lot of it is when they at home. Yeah, actually,
• 15:03
  Speaker 4: I think if you go Cleveland here, I think it's
• 15:04
  Speaker 4: just st you just go run line on it. It's
• 15:06
  Speaker 4: at right about plus one ten or so. Some of
• 15:09
  Speaker 4: the books have a little bit better price on it
• 15:11
  Speaker 4: than that, but you're almost making a spread play out
• 15:14
  Speaker 4: of it. So I think, yeah, Cleveland, you just go
• 15:16
  Speaker 4: run line on it, probably, even though I know you're
• 15:18
  Speaker 4: not supposed to go run line with the home team
• 15:21
  Speaker 4: because they might not bat in the ninth inning, but
• 15:23
  Speaker 4: I think that is the way I would play that.
• 15:25
  Speaker 4: I like Cleveland, but I also don't really love it
• 15:28
  Speaker 4: necessarily because the total is also low in that game.
• 15:30
  Speaker 4: It's it's seven and a half, So I don't know
• 15:35
  Speaker 4: or actually some of the books have eight on that one,
• 15:38
  Speaker 4: but whatever, all right, Saint Louis and Milwaukee, I don't know, man,
• 15:43
  Speaker 4: I gotta find a faster way to get through all
• 15:45
  Speaker 4: this crap. This game is not going to take as
• 15:47
  Speaker 4: long a handicap because we don't know who Milwaukee's starter
• 15:50
  Speaker 4: is gonna be. Milwaukee is on the verge of a sweep, pier,
• 15:53
  Speaker 4: so they might overlook Saint Louis as I always talk
• 15:57
  Speaker 4: about the team that's on the verge of getting swept,
• 16:00
  Speaker 4: and some have more motivation to try to avoid the sweep.
• 16:03
  Speaker 2: Although Milwaukee is.
• 16:04
  Speaker 4: Definitely the better team here, and I think they're proving
• 16:07
  Speaker 4: that that's the case. We did get the underwright in
• 16:09
  Speaker 4: that game yesterday, so that was a win. Milwaukee is
• 16:13
  Speaker 4: Houston next. I don't know if they're gonna be looking
• 16:15
  Speaker 4: ahead or not. A lot of teams are off tomorrow,
• 16:18
  Speaker 4: so's it's gonna be a quicker show tomorrow. At least
• 16:21
  Speaker 4: Milwaukee has the better of these bullpens. These three guys
• 16:24
  Speaker 4: out of the bullpen, including their closer McGill, but they
• 16:27
  Speaker 4: hadn't used him in a while. Saint Louis used three
• 16:32
  Speaker 4: relief pitchers they had not used anybody for days, which
• 16:35
  Speaker 4: is part of why I left that as a full
• 16:38
  Speaker 4: game play yesterday. As far as the bullpen's, Milwaukee is
• 16:42
  Speaker 4: the better bullpen. They're at number thirteen. Saint Louis is
• 16:46
  Speaker 4: twenty three. Milwaukee's offense has been doing better as well,
• 16:50
  Speaker 4: and Saint Louis has been doing worse. They've actually flipped
• 16:53
  Speaker 4: spots here. Milwaukee is fourteenth and hitting Saint Louis fifteenth.
• 16:59
  Speaker 4: Dustin May is the listen started for Saint Louis, and
• 17:01
  Speaker 4: we don't know who's starting from Milwaukee. May is starting
• 17:05
  Speaker 4: to pitch poorly again. He's got a five ERA in
• 17:08
  Speaker 4: the season, one point four to three whip. Not as
• 17:11
  Speaker 4: good on the road either, five point two to three
• 17:13
  Speaker 4: Roady rang His last outing wasn't great against Pittsburgh. Gave
• 17:18
  Speaker 4: up four on runs, but he did still have seven strikeouts,
• 17:21
  Speaker 4: so that's not that bad. The outing before that he
• 17:24
  Speaker 4: had more walks than strikeouts against Kansas City, so that's
• 17:27
  Speaker 4: not really a good sign either. Twenty to ten strikeout
• 17:30
  Speaker 4: walk ratio on this month is not exactly good. It's
• 17:34
  Speaker 4: too many walks, so he hasn't allowed that many hits either.
• 17:38
  Speaker 2: Oh, the course of the season, you know, just kind
• 17:41
  Speaker 2: of mediocre.
• 17:42
  Speaker 4: I would say, a low strikeout rate, which isn't great,
• 17:44
  Speaker 4: a high hit rate, the walk rate.
• 17:47
  Speaker 2: Is fine ish. May is not that good.
• 17:50
  Speaker 4: Milwaukee really hasn't seen him though, somehow, even though May
• 17:54
  Speaker 4: is pretty much a veteran at this point, he's been
• 17:56
  Speaker 4: mostly in the National League. Milwaukee only has one or
• 18:00
  Speaker 4: Rin Heatho who's ever faced it before, and he is
• 18:03
  Speaker 4: two for four with a couple of singles.
• 18:06
  Speaker 2: So I don't know what to do with this game, dude.
• 18:08
  Speaker 4: You can go back, you get like I try to
• 18:10
  Speaker 4: figure out, like when it's an unlisted starter, like I
• 18:13
  Speaker 4: try to figure out what that team is actually gonna
• 18:15
  Speaker 4: be doing. So if you go back five games prior,
• 18:18
  Speaker 4: that is usually an indicator. So it was Logan Henderson
• 18:21
  Speaker 4: was the starter for Milwaukee in that game, and then
• 18:25
  Speaker 4: it looks like they use Chad Patrick for a lot
• 18:28
  Speaker 4: of innings in that game as well. Henderson got actually
• 18:31
  Speaker 4: Henderson got like a full starter's workload there. So to me,
• 18:34
  Speaker 4: it looks like it will be Henderson in this game.
• 18:38
  Speaker 4: I guess he's injured. I guess that's why they haven't
• 18:40
  Speaker 4: listened as starter yet. It is Henderson's turn to pitch,
• 18:43
  Speaker 4: and if he's pitching, I do not want to fade
• 18:46
  Speaker 4: Milwaukee if Henderson is pitching, but he has back tightness,
• 18:50
  Speaker 4: so I don't know, man, I don't know if he's
• 18:52
  Speaker 4: gonna pitch or not. Henderson's been good though, and Saint
• 18:57
  Speaker 4: Louis has never faced it before, so I definitely don't
• 19:00
  Speaker 4: want to fade that if Henderson does make the starts.
• 19:02
  Speaker 4: If he doesn't, I don't know if Milwaukee's gonna call
• 19:05
  Speaker 4: somebody up or go with a bullpend game. It's a
• 19:07
  Speaker 4: difficult game to handicap though. Where is Let me see,
• 19:12
  Speaker 4: Milwaukee is probably gonna be a favorite though, regardless of
• 19:15
  Speaker 4: what they're doing here.
• 19:15
  Speaker 2: Let me see, no there it is.
• 19:19
  Speaker 4: I can't look for May because we're in the month
• 19:22
  Speaker 4: of May. Yeah, Milwaukee's around minus one forty five, even
• 19:25
  Speaker 4: though we don't even know who's starting for them, totally
• 19:27
  Speaker 4: eight and a half.
• 19:28
  Speaker 2: I don't know what to do with this game, though.
• 19:31
  Speaker 4: It looks like Saint Louis is getting the money for
• 19:33
  Speaker 4: what that's worth seventy seven percent of tickets, fifty percent
• 19:37
  Speaker 4: of the cash on Milwaukee on the money line, so
• 19:39
  Speaker 4: the money's coming in towards UH Saint Louis there to
• 19:43
  Speaker 4: avoid the sweep, but I don't think I even trust
• 19:46
  Speaker 4: May anyway, so I don't want to do it Seattle
• 19:49
  Speaker 4: at the A's, the A's are trying to avoid a
• 19:51
  Speaker 4: sweep here. Seattle's been good in this series. Seattle is
• 19:54
  Speaker 4: the better team, as I said, even though the record
• 19:57
  Speaker 4: is worse. They're only a half game behind the now
• 20:00
  Speaker 4: though that should motivate the A's here. Both teams really
• 20:03
  Speaker 4: should be still motivated here, even though I know Seattle's
• 20:06
  Speaker 4: on the version of sweep. Maybe the extra motivation is
• 20:09
  Speaker 4: with the A's. But this is a divisional matchup. If
• 20:12
  Speaker 4: Seattle wins this game, they take first place back in
• 20:15
  Speaker 4: the division, so it is still a big game for
• 20:18
  Speaker 4: Seattle here. I don't really think they're gonna be looking
• 20:20
  Speaker 4: ahead to Arizona next, so I think both teams may
• 20:25
  Speaker 4: still be motivated here. This is not you know, like
• 20:30
  Speaker 4: like I said, usually I like to look for the
• 20:32
  Speaker 4: team to avoid the sweep, but this is not like
• 20:34
  Speaker 4: every one of those serious because it's a hot they
• 20:37
  Speaker 4: could test the divisional series. Seattle used three relief pitchers yesterday.
• 20:40
  Speaker 4: They do have the better bullpen, as used three relief
• 20:45
  Speaker 4: pitchers as well. Seattle is ranked seventeenth, but they're bullpen
• 20:49
  Speaker 4: ERA is a lot better than that, so I think
• 20:51
  Speaker 4: their bullpen is better than it seems. The A's are twentieth,
• 20:55
  Speaker 4: but I think there's a bigger gap between the bullpens
• 20:57
  Speaker 4: than that makes it sound like as are nine and
• 21:00
  Speaker 4: offense Seattle is eighteenth, So yeah, the A's.
• 21:04
  Speaker 2: Do have the better offense. Logan Gilbert is pitching for Seattle.
• 21:08
  Speaker 4: He's been pretty good four point four ERA, one point
• 21:12
  Speaker 4: one to one whip. Somehow, I keep mentioning this because
• 21:15
  Speaker 4: Seattle's a pitcher friendly park. Usually their pitchers all do
• 21:18
  Speaker 4: better at home. Gilbert's been way better on the road
• 21:21
  Speaker 4: one point one to nine road ray, so he's in
• 21:23
  Speaker 4: the better of his own road splits.
• 21:25
  Speaker 2: At least.
• 21:26
  Speaker 4: He's had two shutouts in his last three outings, and
• 21:29
  Speaker 4: his bad outing was somehow at home against San Diego.
• 21:33
  Speaker 4: I can't make sense of it, but his last two
• 21:35
  Speaker 4: outings on the road were both shutouts. He went six
• 21:39
  Speaker 4: innings and five to two thirds innings. Those were against
• 21:42
  Speaker 4: the White Sox and Kansas City. Uh, this is the
• 21:46
  Speaker 4: a Stadium, though, dude, the a is You know their
• 21:49
  Speaker 4: stadium is a different animal. It's very hit or friendly.
• 21:52
  Speaker 2: It's stupid.
• 21:53
  Speaker 4: It's a Triple A stadium. Gilbert generally has pitched really
• 21:56
  Speaker 4: well against them, though. He has one hundred and eight
• 21:58
  Speaker 4: at bats against some one to eighty five average allowed,
• 22:01
  Speaker 4: five eighty seven oh ps, forty eight to seven strike
• 22:04
  Speaker 4: out walk ratio. So Gilbert is good on the road.
• 22:07
  Speaker 4: Usually he's got good numbers against the A's. He actually
• 22:10
  Speaker 4: kind of struggled against the A's at home earlier this year.
• 22:14
  Speaker 4: He went four innings in that one he gave up
• 22:15
  Speaker 4: three or in runs, three strikeouts, two walks, so that
• 22:18
  Speaker 4: worries me a little bit.
• 22:20
  Speaker 2: Season numbers is strike out.
• 22:21
  Speaker 4: Rate is good, it's over one per inning, pretty low
• 22:24
  Speaker 4: walk right, pretty low hit rates. So his numbers overall
• 22:26
  Speaker 4: are good, except he's allowed too many home runs, and
• 22:29
  Speaker 4: that's the other problem. He's an extreme fly ball pitcher,
• 22:33
  Speaker 4: so I don't like that. And I believe he faced
• 22:35
  Speaker 4: the A's twice last year, but both times were in Seattle,
• 22:39
  Speaker 4: so he's never pitched in this stadium before. I don't believe,
• 22:42
  Speaker 4: because the A's have only played in the stadium one
• 22:45
  Speaker 4: season before this season, so I don't think I could
• 22:48
  Speaker 4: trust Gilbert here Man in this particular stadium. He gives
• 22:51
  Speaker 4: up too many home runs. He's too much of a
• 22:53
  Speaker 4: fly ball pitcher. The matchup looks like it might be
• 22:56
  Speaker 4: good for him, but I can't do it. He'll be
• 23:00
  Speaker 4: going up against Jeffrey Springs for the A's Springs is okay.
• 23:04
  Speaker 4: He's got a four point one to one Ray one
• 23:06
  Speaker 4: point one to seven whip. He is worse at home,
• 23:09
  Speaker 4: which makes sense because it's a bad stadium to pitch
• 23:12
  Speaker 4: in four point six homey. Ray wasn't great in his
• 23:16
  Speaker 4: last outing against San Diego, and that was on the
• 23:19
  Speaker 4: road in a pitcher friendly San Diego environment.
• 23:22
  Speaker 2: He gave up four runs, three home runs. That's not great.
• 23:25
  Speaker 4: Three walks, three strikeouts. You only give up three hits
• 23:29
  Speaker 4: threes everywhere. Over the course of the season, his numbers
• 23:33
  Speaker 4: are pretty good, though. I mean, his strikeout rate is low,
• 23:35
  Speaker 4: that's just not really what he does. Low walk rate,
• 23:38
  Speaker 4: theom low hit rate. But his problem is home runs.
• 23:41
  Speaker 4: He allows a lot of home runs, eleven of them.
• 23:44
  Speaker 4: He's an extreme fly ball pitcher. That kind of explains
• 23:48
  Speaker 4: why he's worse at home. That is not the style
• 23:50
  Speaker 4: of pitching you want in this stadium, So I got
• 23:53
  Speaker 4: concerns here.
• 23:54
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 23:54
  Speaker 4: His numbers against Seattle are generally good seventy one at bats,
• 23:59
  Speaker 4: ninety seven A six, fifty eight ops, seventeen to five
• 24:02
  Speaker 4: strike out walk ratio, So he does generally pitch well
• 24:06
  Speaker 4: against the A's or excuse me, against Seattle. Excuse me,
• 24:09
  Speaker 4: he has not faced them this year yet.
• 24:14
  Speaker 2: Yeah, this is a game. I don't even know what
• 24:15
  Speaker 2: I want to do with this game. Man.
• 24:18
  Speaker 4: The money is slightly coming in towards the under here
• 24:21
  Speaker 4: fifty eight percent of tickets, sixty five percent of the
• 24:23
  Speaker 4: cash on the under. I kind of lean over a
• 24:27
  Speaker 4: little bit here, but I don't really want to go
• 24:28
  Speaker 4: against the matchup numbers though both pitchers do have good
• 24:32
  Speaker 4: matchup numbers, but.
• 24:33
  Speaker 2: This, I don't know.
• 24:34
  Speaker 4: This looks like a bad stadium for both starting pitchers though,
• 24:38
  Speaker 4: So I don't know. I have a lot of concerns
• 24:40
  Speaker 4: about it. And as far as the side, the money
• 24:43
  Speaker 4: is coming.
• 24:43
  Speaker 2: In towards the A's to avoid the sweet pier.
• 24:47
  Speaker 4: Seattle is a small favorite around minus one thirty or
• 24:50
  Speaker 4: so seventy two percent of tickets sixty nine percent of
• 24:52
  Speaker 4: the cash on Seattle. Uh, So do with that info?
• 24:56
  Speaker 4: What you want, I'm not gonna play the game.
• 24:59
  Speaker 2: Obvious.
• 25:00
  Speaker 4: The totals at nine I should have mentioned that, so
• 25:03
  Speaker 4: it is a kind of low or it's a lower
• 25:06
  Speaker 4: total for an A's game at home, so the odds
• 25:10
  Speaker 4: makers are kind of expecting the pitching to be okay here, Garrett,
• 25:13
  Speaker 4: what's up, man, dude. I do not recommend home run
• 25:17
  Speaker 4: props at all. The books know that everybody loves to
• 25:21
  Speaker 4: play home run props. Everybody loves to bet hitters to
• 25:23
  Speaker 4: hit home runs. The odds. Look at the odds that
• 25:26
  Speaker 4: you play in on that. The odds are absolutely fucking you, Like,
• 25:30
  Speaker 4: even the best home run hitter in baseball is only
• 25:33
  Speaker 4: going to hit a home run like every what ten
• 25:37
  Speaker 4: eleven at bats, maybe even less likely than that. And
• 25:40
  Speaker 4: you know, because we're not in the steroid era anymore,
• 25:44
  Speaker 4: and those odds are basically telling you that the dude's
• 25:48
  Speaker 4: gonna have to hit home run in one game. How
• 25:50
  Speaker 4: many at bats is he gonna get in one game?
• 25:52
  Speaker 4: Like four, maybe, depending on how high up in the
• 25:57
  Speaker 4: lineup he is. No, like, the odds should be way
• 26:01
  Speaker 4: way higher than that for him to hit a home run.
• 26:04
  Speaker 4: I never recommend home run props ever, that's like the
• 26:08
  Speaker 4: It's the worst thing that you can do in baseball.
• 26:10
  Speaker 4: It's a complete sucker bet. I do not recommend that, Yes,
• 26:15
  Speaker 4: your under was correct. I did notice that that was
• 26:17
  Speaker 4: a good call. I did not have a I had
• 26:21
  Speaker 4: no feel for the total in that game. I don't
• 26:25
  Speaker 4: like playing unders, though, because you gotta avoid empty nets,
• 26:28
  Speaker 4: like so many of those unders die with the empty nets.
• 26:31
  Speaker 2: Man. All right, we have Arizona and San Francisco here.
• 26:37
  Speaker 4: But what I will say is both of those teams, yeah,
• 26:39
  Speaker 4: I mean, they're playing some good deep fense.
• 26:41
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 26:42
  Speaker 4: And I did, dude, I got the nights right in
• 26:44
  Speaker 4: my bracket at least, So there is that. So my
• 26:46
  Speaker 4: brackets in the ninety seventh percent right now. But if
• 26:50
  Speaker 4: Carolina wins the Cup, you know, I'm gonna fall back
• 26:54
  Speaker 4: down in the stands. Because I'm gonna fall back down,
• 26:57
  Speaker 4: I'm not gonna get back up again. That's some rancid people.
• 27:02
  Speaker 4: People listen to punk music. I what was I about
• 27:06
  Speaker 4: to say?
• 27:07
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 27:07
  Speaker 4: But no, if dude, if the Knights win the championship,
• 27:10
  Speaker 4: I think my bracket might stay up kind of fairly
• 27:13
  Speaker 4: high up there.
• 27:14
  Speaker 2: So I don't know.
• 27:15
  Speaker 4: We'll say home run bets. Yeah, I completely disagree with
• 27:22
  Speaker 4: playing them. I yeah, home run bets are basically like
• 27:25
  Speaker 4: playing roulette. Like, I'm not gonna do it ever, unless
• 27:30
  Speaker 4: I want to do it for the entertainment value of
• 27:31
  Speaker 4: it and just put like pizza money on it or
• 27:34
  Speaker 4: something dirty sock. Yes, I know it sucks. Welcome to
• 27:40
  Speaker 4: my world with all the fucking Boston teams. Of course,
• 27:45
  Speaker 4: people fall for it. They fall for the Yeah, all
• 27:48
  Speaker 4: the parlays they they like that plus money, man, they
• 27:52
  Speaker 4: like to bet a little to win a lot.
• 27:53
  Speaker 2: But what they don't realize is that the odds should
• 27:56
  Speaker 2: be even greater than that.
• 27:58
  Speaker 4: You're like, they should be getting a high your payout
• 28:01
  Speaker 4: given what the actual odds are for that thing to happen.
• 28:04
  Speaker 4: Although I'm guessing that Garrett probably at least did his homework,
• 28:07
  Speaker 4: and Olsen must have had good numbers against the starter
• 28:10
  Speaker 4: he was up against yesterday.
• 28:11
  Speaker 2: I hope, all.
• 28:13
  Speaker 4: Right we have who does is old? Where's Olsen even playing?
• 28:16
  Speaker 4: Is he's still in Atlanta? I don't even fucking know, dude,
• 28:19
  Speaker 4: does he have good numbers against Suarez?
• 28:20
  Speaker 2: I have no idea.
• 28:23
  Speaker 4: But also fuck you additionally for that for going with
• 28:26
  Speaker 4: a prop against the Red Sox. All right, Arizona at
• 28:30
  Speaker 4: San Francisco. San Francisco is trying to avoid a sweet pier,
• 28:35
  Speaker 4: so they might have a little bit of extra attention
• 28:38
  Speaker 4: played to this. Uh, these teams are not playing tomorrow,
• 28:41
  Speaker 4: as I already just said. Arizona does play Seattle next.
• 28:45
  Speaker 4: I don't know if that's gonna be a look ahead
• 28:46
  Speaker 4: or not. But the San Francisco team, I mean, they're
• 28:49
  Speaker 4: not that good man. Really, it's their hitting that really blows.
• 28:53
  Speaker 4: San Francisco used three relief pictures yesterday. Arizona used three
• 28:57
  Speaker 4: as well. But Arizona's bullpend is doing better. I still
• 29:01
  Speaker 4: don't like that they're eras in the fours, but they're
• 29:03
  Speaker 4: ranked third in bulpen whip. I would put them, you know,
• 29:07
  Speaker 4: I think probably they're somewhere around between tenth and fifteenth. Now,
• 29:11
  Speaker 4: I would say the Giants are probably a little bit
• 29:13
  Speaker 4: better than they appear at sixteenth.
• 29:16
  Speaker 2: In bullpen whip.
• 29:17
  Speaker 4: Their ERA is better than that, so I still think
• 29:19
  Speaker 4: the Giants are the slightly better bullpen, but it's not
• 29:22
  Speaker 4: by that much. Arizona is clearly the better offense. Their
• 29:26
  Speaker 4: rank seventh right now, the Giants twenty fifth. We're in
• 29:30
  Speaker 4: a pitcher friendly ballpark here. Michael Siroco is pitching for
• 29:35
  Speaker 4: the d Backs. He's pitching pretty well. Three point two
• 29:39
  Speaker 4: seven ERA, one point twenty five WHIP.
• 29:42
  Speaker 2: He's been really bad.
• 29:43
  Speaker 4: On the road though, six point one Rody ra I
• 29:46
  Speaker 4: can't figure this guy out, man, because Arizona is a
• 29:48
  Speaker 4: hitter friendly ballpark. But he's really good there, and he's
• 29:51
  Speaker 4: bad on the road, and this is a pitcher friendly
• 29:54
  Speaker 4: park here.
• 29:55
  Speaker 2: Maybe he'll do better here.
• 29:56
  Speaker 4: He hasn't pitched in this stadium yet this season. He's
• 30:01
  Speaker 4: pitching well this month. He's got a twenty one to
• 30:03
  Speaker 4: five strike up walk ratio lower than one hit per
• 30:05
  Speaker 4: inning one point.
• 30:07
  Speaker 2: Four to eight ERA.
• 30:09
  Speaker 4: He's got over one strike up per inning on the season,
• 30:12
  Speaker 4: exactly one hit all out per inning is whatever. A
• 30:15
  Speaker 4: low walk rate doesn't allow a lot of home runs either,
• 30:18
  Speaker 4: for what that's worth. Yeah, I mean Soroko. He looks
• 30:21
  Speaker 4: like he's kind of kind of coming back into form here.
• 30:25
  Speaker 4: Numbers against the Giants are mediocre, but they only have
• 30:29
  Speaker 4: four hitters have ever faced and twenty six at bats,
• 30:32
  Speaker 4: five strikeouts, two walks, two sixty nine average allowed seven
• 30:35
  Speaker 4: zero six oh ps. My gauge would be that he
• 30:39
  Speaker 4: should actually pitch well here, but I do worry that
• 30:41
  Speaker 4: he sucks on the road, so I worry about that.
• 30:44
  Speaker 4: Trevor McDonald is pitching for the Giants. He's on my
• 30:48
  Speaker 4: shit list right now because we had an under in
• 30:50
  Speaker 4: his last game and that did not happen. He's got
• 30:53
  Speaker 4: a four point seven six ERA now, but his one
• 30:56
  Speaker 4: point zero one.
• 30:57
  Speaker 2: Whip is still good.
• 30:58
  Speaker 4: He's been bad at home though, six points seventy five
• 31:01
  Speaker 4: homie already, but that's because he had one bad start
• 31:04
  Speaker 4: at home in that game against the White Sox where dude,
• 31:08
  Speaker 4: we were moving along nicely, We're in the fourth inning,
• 31:11
  Speaker 4: scoreless game and then McDonald gets absolutely lit up and
• 31:14
  Speaker 4: the White Sox get nine runs in the fourth inning.
• 31:17
  Speaker 2: I don't know what that was. You gotta be kidding me.
• 31:19
  Speaker 4: But McDonald does have pretty good numbers still overall, twenty
• 31:24
  Speaker 4: one to four strike out walk ratio in twenty two
• 31:26
  Speaker 4: and two thirds innings, nineteen hits allowed. His other three
• 31:29
  Speaker 4: starts are all pretty good. They were all wins for
• 31:33
  Speaker 4: his team. Two of them are wins for him. One
• 31:36
  Speaker 4: of them was against the Dodgers on the road, which
• 31:39
  Speaker 4: was his other. That was his worst start besides the
• 31:41
  Speaker 4: most recent one, but it wasn't that bad, and then
• 31:45
  Speaker 4: he pitched well at the A's Stadium, so I think
• 31:47
  Speaker 4: McDonald is pretty good. He has some history before this
• 31:50
  Speaker 4: year as well in the Majors, where he did pitch
• 31:53
  Speaker 4: pretty well. His numbers against the d Backs are not good,
• 31:56
  Speaker 4: but it's a small sample. Five at bats, six of
• 31:59
  Speaker 4: the hitters of base, and they have one walk, no strikeouts.
• 32:03
  Speaker 4: They have a six hundred average though twelve sixty seven ops,
• 32:07
  Speaker 4: but it's three for five with three singles, so I
• 32:10
  Speaker 4: don't know. I would not put that much weight into that.
• 32:13
  Speaker 4: Even though Arizona's seen McDonald before, they haven't seen him
• 32:16
  Speaker 4: this year. I think he lines up to vich Okay here.
• 32:20
  Speaker 4: I kind of lean more towards this being more of
• 32:22
  Speaker 4: a pitching matchup here. The money is coming in towards
• 32:26
  Speaker 4: the under. We have seventy two percent of ticket sixty
• 32:28
  Speaker 4: percent of the cash on the over, so I would
• 32:32
  Speaker 4: kind of be leaning under here. The total seven and
• 32:34
  Speaker 4: a half, so oddsmakers think this will be a low
• 32:37
  Speaker 4: scoring game. I still worry about Soroka's road numbers, but
• 32:40
  Speaker 4: I think he's in good form. My gauge would be
• 32:42
  Speaker 4: the McDonald should bounce back, so I kind of go
• 32:45
  Speaker 4: I would lean under here. You know, I don't really
• 32:48
  Speaker 4: want to try to fade Arizona, even though I know
• 32:50
  Speaker 4: they're trying to avoid the I know San Francisco is
• 32:53
  Speaker 4: trying to avoid the sweep here, you know. I mean,
• 32:56
  Speaker 4: they're just not that good San Francisco, and they're they're
• 32:58
  Speaker 4: a low scoring team usually they they don't hit well.
• 33:03
  Speaker 4: Arizona is favorite. They are the better team. They're around
• 33:06
  Speaker 4: minus one twenty six. As far as the cash there,
• 33:09
  Speaker 4: the money's coming in on Arizona seventy eight percent of tickets,
• 33:12
  Speaker 4: ninety two percent of the cash on them on the
• 33:14
  Speaker 4: money line. Do with that info what you want. As
• 33:17
  Speaker 4: I always say, we have not gotten to my play yet.
• 33:21
  Speaker 4: My play is in the evening slate, the early even
• 33:24
  Speaker 4: well not early evening, but in the some of the
• 33:27
  Speaker 4: first evening games.
• 33:32
  Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I don't. I don't know.
• 33:34
  Speaker 4: Man, the home runs, I don't like it if you
• 33:37
  Speaker 4: throw a dollar or two on it, yeah, I mean whatever, yeah,
• 33:40
  Speaker 4: like yeah, Like I said, you.
• 33:41
  Speaker 2: Just have to be of.
• 33:43
  Speaker 4: The mindset that it's entertainment, you know what I mean.
• 33:46
  Speaker 4: Like betting home run props for profit is you can't
• 33:50
  Speaker 4: do it.
• 33:50
  Speaker 2: It's not possible. It's negative. Eving Tyson, what's up? Thanks
• 33:54
  Speaker 2: for hanging out.
• 33:56
  Speaker 4: Yeah, obviously I would not parlay them. Yes, Michael Saraka
• 34:01
  Speaker 4: former Brave Zach, what's up man, Thanks for hanging out.
• 34:04
  Speaker 4: I have not gone to the Royals yet. They're not
• 34:06
  Speaker 4: up next either. When the Royals are playing later to well,
• 34:10
  Speaker 4: they're in No, they're still playing a seven forty pm game.
• 34:13
  Speaker 2: There's only one late night game.
• 34:15
  Speaker 4: The Dodgers game is the only really late game, so
• 34:18
  Speaker 4: it's gonna be isolated. Next game is Philadelphia and San Diego.
• 34:24
  Speaker 4: Philadelphia's on the verge of sweep and they play the
• 34:26
  Speaker 4: Dodgers next, so it is possible Philadelphia does overlook San
• 34:30
  Speaker 4: Diego here looking ahead to the Dodgers. I think that
• 34:33
  Speaker 4: is a possibility here. But if you want to fade Philadelphia,
• 34:37
  Speaker 4: you have.
• 34:37
  Speaker 2: To fade Christopher Sanchez, which is, you know, not an
• 34:41
  Speaker 2: easy thing to do.
• 34:42
  Speaker 4: I will I will say, although sometimes the best bets
• 34:45
  Speaker 4: are the bets that don't look easy.
• 34:48
  Speaker 2: But I don't know.
• 34:49
  Speaker 4: In baseball, I don't I really never want to fade
• 34:51
  Speaker 4: these like elite pitchers. Though Philadelphia used three relievers yesterday,
• 34:57
  Speaker 4: San Diego also used three. They did not use Meson Miller.
• 35:01
  Speaker 4: A couple of their other better relievers are still available.
• 35:03
  Speaker 4: San Diego's number five in bullpen, they have one of
• 35:06
  Speaker 4: the best bullpen eras they're a top level bullpen for sure.
• 35:10
  Speaker 4: Philadelphia's is okay at fourteenth.
• 35:13
  Speaker 2: Neither team has hit well.
• 35:15
  Speaker 4: San Diego twenty ninth, Philadelphia twenty fifth. Christopher Sanchez, like
• 35:20
  Speaker 4: I said, is pitching for Philly. He's having a really
• 35:23
  Speaker 4: good season again. One point six two ERA, one point
• 35:26
  Speaker 4: one five WHIP. He's not as good on the road,
• 35:28
  Speaker 4: So if you do want to fade Sanchez, you know
• 35:32
  Speaker 4: more more than often, I think you're gonna want to
• 35:33
  Speaker 4: do it on the road. Three point seven two ROADIRA
• 35:37
  Speaker 4: is still not bad, but he has a sub one
• 35:39
  Speaker 4: home ERA and a bigger sample size, which is just madness.
• 35:44
  Speaker 4: He's pitched really well this this month. He's made four starts,
• 35:48
  Speaker 4: he's gonne at least seven innings in all of them,
• 35:50
  Speaker 4: and he's allowed zero runs over that span. He's allowed
• 35:56
  Speaker 4: well below one hit per inning over that span nineteen
• 35:59
  Speaker 4: and thirty two innings. He has thirty six strikeouts and
• 36:02
  Speaker 4: three walks, and he has way more ground balls and
• 36:05
  Speaker 4: fly balls this month. He's been the best pitcher in
• 36:08
  Speaker 4: baseball this month. He is one of the best pitchers
• 36:11
  Speaker 4: in baseball right now. He'll be in the Cy Young
• 36:15
  Speaker 4: He's in Cy Young contention for sure, Man, but he's
• 36:18
  Speaker 4: in the National League, so he's got to be up
• 36:19
  Speaker 4: against Skiings Mizierowski. He has one of the highest strikeout
• 36:25
  Speaker 4: rates in baseball as well, although he's thrown.
• 36:27
  Speaker 2: A lot of innings too.
• 36:28
  Speaker 4: He's thrown more innings than most pitchers and probably another
• 36:32
  Speaker 4: reason why I like him though he actually goes deep
• 36:35
  Speaker 4: into his starts. Man, it's like being back in the
• 36:37
  Speaker 4: nineties again. He's a lot fewer than one hit per
• 36:39
  Speaker 4: inning on the season. He's a lot of very low
• 36:42
  Speaker 4: amount of home runs three.
• 36:44
  Speaker 2: His walk rate is.
• 36:45
  Speaker 4: Low, his strikeout rates high, high ground ball rate too. Yeah,
• 36:49
  Speaker 4: I mean he's entering the elite conversation here. But he
• 36:53
  Speaker 4: does not have good numbers against San Diego. In a
• 36:55
  Speaker 4: big sample fifty seven at bats, they have a three
• 36:58
  Speaker 4: eighty six average against nine to seventy eight ops, twelve
• 37:02
  Speaker 4: to three strike out walk ratio, which is kind of
• 37:06
  Speaker 4: crazy because you think, you know, like San Diego gets
• 37:09
  Speaker 4: to face Sanchez Lozardo in this series. They had good
• 37:12
  Speaker 4: numbers off of both of them, and they haven't won
• 37:15
  Speaker 4: a game yet in this series though, they haven't faced
• 37:17
  Speaker 4: Sanchez yet. But when you I mean, do you really
• 37:19
  Speaker 4: want to face Sanchez ever? Though, like I said, probably
• 37:22
  Speaker 4: you don't. I don't think I want to fade him,
• 37:24
  Speaker 4: but his matchup numbers do show some indicators that he
• 37:28
  Speaker 4: might be fadable in this matchup. But also, if you
• 37:31
  Speaker 4: want san Diego, you have to put your money on
• 37:33
  Speaker 4: Bueller Walker Bueller. I don't think I want to do
• 37:37
  Speaker 4: that either. He's clearly the lesser pitcher. He's got a
• 37:40
  Speaker 4: five point oh five VRRA one point four whip. So
• 37:45
  Speaker 4: both former Red Sox pitchers and former Dodger pitchers who
• 37:51
  Speaker 4: have not bounced back from Tommy John Serger both playing both.
• 37:54
  Speaker 2: Pitching today May and Bueler Bueller.
• 37:57
  Speaker 4: Again not good five point oh five RRA one point
• 38:00
  Speaker 4: four whip. He's been pretty good at home though, three
• 38:03
  Speaker 4: point five to two Homie i RA where it's more
• 38:05
  Speaker 4: pitcher friendly, so at least he has that he pitches
• 38:08
  Speaker 4: in a pitcher friendly stadium. But he pitched here last
• 38:11
  Speaker 4: time out and he walked four guys against the A's
• 38:14
  Speaker 4: so Walker living up to his name there over the
• 38:18
  Speaker 4: course of this Walker Texas raid. Dude, he should be
• 38:21
  Speaker 4: on the Texas Rangers. Walker, Texas Ranger. Let's go, man,
• 38:25
  Speaker 4: then he's have at least somebody named Walker or at
• 38:27
  Speaker 4: least walk.
• 38:28
  Speaker 2: Uh.
• 38:30
  Speaker 4: He's at seventeen strike got six walks this month, twenty hits,
• 38:33
  Speaker 4: a lot of twenty one to thirty innings. Those numbers
• 38:35
  Speaker 4: are not that bad, so he's been okay this month.
• 38:39
  Speaker 4: He's allowed three or fewer earned runs in each of
• 38:41
  Speaker 4: his last three out he's in San Diego, has actually
• 38:43
  Speaker 4: won his last four starts over the course of the season.
• 38:48
  Speaker 4: He's allowed a little bit more than one hit per inning.
• 38:50
  Speaker 4: Walker rate is a little bit high, so he is
• 38:52
  Speaker 4: a walker and his strikeout rate is a bit low.
• 38:56
  Speaker 4: So I mean, you could try to play him here, man,
• 39:01
  Speaker 4: you're getting him as an underdog. He actually has pretty
• 39:03
  Speaker 4: good numbers against the Philly is at least not horrible.
• 39:06
  Speaker 4: In seventy four at bats to forty three batting average,
• 39:08
  Speaker 4: seven to forty four oh ps is below. That's seven
• 39:11
  Speaker 4: to fifty Mendoza line, thirteen to nine strike a walk
• 39:15
  Speaker 4: ratio is not good. Though, I mean, it sounds insane,
• 39:21
  Speaker 4: but I think I do lean to San Diego here.
• 39:24
  Speaker 4: They do have the better bullpen, So if you can
• 39:26
  Speaker 4: somehow get to the bullpens in a close game here,
• 39:30
  Speaker 4: san Diego has a shot to win this game. And
• 39:32
  Speaker 4: I don't like the situation for Philly. Like I said,
• 39:35
  Speaker 4: they might be looking ahead to the Dodgers there, they've
• 39:37
  Speaker 4: already won this series. San Diego's a pretty Philly is
• 39:40
  Speaker 4: a pretty big favorite here minus one sixty seven, and
• 39:44
  Speaker 4: like I said, they might be looking ahead. They got
• 39:46
  Speaker 4: seventy nine percent of tickets, eighty one percent of the
• 39:49
  Speaker 4: cash on them on the money line, but it looks
• 39:51
  Speaker 4: like more of the cash is playing them on the
• 39:53
  Speaker 4: run line. But that's kind of I mean, that's what
• 39:55
  Speaker 4: the professionals do, though, Like if they see it in
• 39:57
  Speaker 4: this price range, they're gonna start throwing money on the
• 40:00
  Speaker 4: run line if they're playing the favorite.
• 40:04
  Speaker 2: Looks like a lot of money towards the under in
• 40:06
  Speaker 2: this game too.
• 40:06
  Speaker 4: The totals of seven really low total, so it's expected
• 40:10
  Speaker 4: to be a pitching duel. But that actually helps your
• 40:12
  Speaker 4: case if you like San Diego, because if you're gonna
• 40:15
  Speaker 4: have a low scoring game, and you're grabbing the underdog.
• 40:18
  Speaker 4: And if I played San Diego here, I would probably
• 40:20
  Speaker 4: do a split bet. Put part of it on the
• 40:23
  Speaker 4: plus one and a half run line and put part
• 40:25
  Speaker 4: of it on the money line. That's what I would
• 40:27
  Speaker 4: probably do here. The matchup numbers seem to support it reasonably.
• 40:32
  Speaker 4: You got the home road splits actually kind of in
• 40:34
  Speaker 4: your favor if you do that as well. Minus one
• 40:38
  Speaker 4: sixty or so is what Philly's price is. But like
• 40:41
  Speaker 4: I said, in that price range, if you're playing the dog,
• 40:44
  Speaker 4: or even if you're playing the favorite, I would put
• 40:46
  Speaker 4: some on the money line and some on the run line.
• 40:48
  Speaker 2: That's what I would do if I was gonna play.
• 40:50
  Speaker 4: I really don't want to personally, but I think that
• 40:53
  Speaker 4: would be my lean. I think it's a spot where
• 40:55
  Speaker 4: you might be able to play San Diego. But remember
• 40:57
  Speaker 4: I did say going into the series, Philadelphia is better
• 41:01
  Speaker 4: than their record looks, and San Diego is not as
• 41:03
  Speaker 4: good as their record looks. So I said that coming
• 41:06
  Speaker 4: into the series. Philadelphia won the first two games. Yesterday
• 41:10
  Speaker 4: seemed to be a decent matchup for Philly. It was
• 41:13
  Speaker 4: Nola with better matchup numbers up against Randy Vaskez who
• 41:18
  Speaker 4: got pushed back. So Philly made some sense in the
• 41:20
  Speaker 4: game yesterday, So I think that was my lean in
• 41:23
  Speaker 4: the game yesterday. But yeah, in this spot, I would
• 41:26
  Speaker 4: lean san Diego Garrett, You're you're gonna do it all right? Well,
• 41:30
  Speaker 4: thank you. You think hopefully you'll like my actual play
• 41:35
  Speaker 4: better than that, though, because obviously I do. Tampa Bay
• 41:39
  Speaker 4: at Baltimore's on Fox Sports One as we get into
• 41:41
  Speaker 4: the evening games here. This game is also hard to
• 41:45
  Speaker 4: predict because we don't know who Baltimore is starting here,
• 41:48
  Speaker 4: so they don't have a listed starter as far as
• 41:51
  Speaker 4: I know, No, they still have not. So I look
• 41:53
  Speaker 4: back and it's odd because five starts ago, I'm pretty
• 41:57
  Speaker 4: sure it was Chris Bassett, and Bassett was okay in
• 42:01
  Speaker 4: that game.
• 42:01
  Speaker 2: He's been better at home. This is a home game.
• 42:04
  Speaker 4: It's not like Baltimore has that many other options here.
• 42:08
  Speaker 4: Bassett was decent in that start. They won the game,
• 42:10
  Speaker 4: So why would Bassett not be pitching here? Like it's
• 42:13
  Speaker 4: it's his turn, right, So I don't really understand that.
• 42:16
  Speaker 4: So I was expecting it to be Bassett here, even
• 42:19
  Speaker 4: though he hasn't been good on the season. He was
• 42:20
  Speaker 4: at least okay in that last outing against Detroit. He's
• 42:24
  Speaker 4: been mediocre ish this month at least, so I don't
• 42:28
  Speaker 4: know what's going on. I don't see any injury news
• 42:30
  Speaker 4: on him, so I don't know what the deal is here. Man,
• 42:34
  Speaker 4: it should be his turn in the rotation, so take
• 42:37
  Speaker 4: from that what you want. But it looks like he
• 42:38
  Speaker 4: might not actually Yeah, it looks like he might not
• 42:42
  Speaker 4: actually pitch here.
• 42:43
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 42:45
  Speaker 4: We'll have to see what happens here. Tampa Bay used
• 42:48
  Speaker 4: three relief pitchers yesterday. Baltimore used two, you know, but
• 42:54
  Speaker 4: the handicap is definitely gonna depend on who the starter
• 42:58
  Speaker 4: is for Tampa Bay here. I don't think it's one
• 43:01
  Speaker 4: of those spots where it just doesn't matter, which.
• 43:04
  Speaker 2: I think yesterday was. By the way, another that was
• 43:06
  Speaker 2: one of my other leens. I forgot to.
• 43:07
  Speaker 4: Mention the Reds also were correct. I said Reds first five,
• 43:12
  Speaker 4: Chase Burns. I told you it was gonna be David
• 43:14
  Speaker 4: Peterson for probably the majority of the pitching duties for
• 43:17
  Speaker 4: the Mets, and I was correct. They did use and
• 43:20
  Speaker 4: so that would have been a winner as well. If
• 43:22
  Speaker 4: I gave that. I give it out as a leen
• 43:24
  Speaker 4: my Leans were on fire yesterday.
• 43:26
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 43:27
  Speaker 4: I'm kind of pissed that one was an easy one
• 43:29
  Speaker 4: too with the reds Man anyway, but we're talking about
• 43:33
  Speaker 4: this other game here. Bullpen wise, these bullpens haven't been
• 43:36
  Speaker 4: that good. Tampa Bay fifteenth, Orioles nineteenth not great. Tampa
• 43:41
  Speaker 4: Bay's hitting has been decent. There's seventh, the Orioles not
• 43:45
  Speaker 4: as much at sixteenth, but not awful. Stephen Motts is
• 43:50
  Speaker 4: getting the start for Tampa Bay. He came back from
• 43:53
  Speaker 4: injury I think, one starter ago. He's pitching pretty well
• 43:56
  Speaker 4: this season in his return to being a starting pitcher
• 43:59
  Speaker 4: after he was a release pitcher for a while with
• 44:02
  Speaker 4: Saint Louis. Three point seventy Ray one point one to
• 44:05
  Speaker 4: one whip for him. He's been a little bit better
• 44:07
  Speaker 4: on the road as well. Three point four to seven
• 44:09
  Speaker 4: Roady Ray. He's only made one start since coming back
• 44:12
  Speaker 4: from injury. They're working him back in only he only
• 44:15
  Speaker 4: went four innings, he threw sixty seven pitches, So I
• 44:18
  Speaker 4: expect you'll probably go a little bit deeper into this
• 44:21
  Speaker 4: game as long as he's pitching well. That game was
• 44:24
  Speaker 4: against Baltimore, though, so he's facing Baltimore again. Right now.
• 44:29
  Speaker 4: But he pitched fine in that game. He went four innings,
• 44:31
  Speaker 4: allowed one run, five strikeouts, two walks on three hits,
• 44:34
  Speaker 4: so he looked.
• 44:35
  Speaker 2: Like he was fine.
• 44:36
  Speaker 4: His numbers against Baltimore are fine. In thirty eight at
• 44:39
  Speaker 4: bats to eleven batting average, that's good, six thirty seven
• 44:43
  Speaker 4: ops not bad either, eleven to three strike out walk racial,
• 44:47
  Speaker 4: so he can definitely pitch well again here against Baltimore.
• 44:51
  Speaker 4: Baltimore going with a bullpen game. Baltimore is on the
• 44:54
  Speaker 4: version of a sweep as well, which I forgot to mention.
• 44:57
  Speaker 4: Baltimore is playing Toronto next. I don't know if that
• 44:59
  Speaker 4: is really a look ahead. Although Toronto is ahead of
• 45:02
  Speaker 4: them in the standings, is Baltimore really gonna overlook the
• 45:05
  Speaker 4: team it's in first place in the division them, I
• 45:08
  Speaker 4: don't know. And the Yankees have to be thanking Baltimore
• 45:11
  Speaker 4: right now because Baltimore is helping the Yankees catch up
• 45:13
  Speaker 4: to Tampa.
• 45:14
  Speaker 2: Here.
• 45:15
  Speaker 4: I did tell you that I think I thought Tampa
• 45:17
  Speaker 4: was gonna fall back a little bit. Like I think
• 45:19
  Speaker 4: Tampa's not that bad of a team, but they're not
• 45:21
  Speaker 4: as good as their record looks. They've won a lot
• 45:22
  Speaker 4: of close games, but Tampa is the better team here.
• 45:25
  Speaker 4: They might have extra motivation because they're facing a potential
• 45:29
  Speaker 4: sweep here. I would probably lean to Tampa again, I
• 45:33
  Speaker 4: don't know who's gonna pitch for Baltimore here. If it's
• 45:36
  Speaker 4: gonna be Bassett, I don't really know if I necessarily
• 45:38
  Speaker 4: want to fade him. Actually, oh, that's why it looks
• 45:41
  Speaker 4: like Dean Kreamer might come off the DL So I
• 45:44
  Speaker 4: think that's why.
• 45:47
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 45:48
  Speaker 4: Is it gonna be Creamer. He's only made two starts
• 45:51
  Speaker 4: this season, so I.
• 45:52
  Speaker 2: Have no idea. Dude. I just want to like, look
• 45:54
  Speaker 2: at this real quick, so you guys can do what
• 45:57
  Speaker 2: you want with this game.
• 45:59
  Speaker 4: Creamer has really good numbers actually against Tampa Bay in
• 46:02
  Speaker 4: a pretty big sample. So if it is going to
• 46:04
  Speaker 4: be Creamer, I do not want to fade Baltimore. That
• 46:07
  Speaker 4: is a good Creamer as a good matchup against Although
• 46:11
  Speaker 4: you know Creamer, I was never really a fan of him.
• 46:13
  Speaker 4: Didn't think he was that good of a pitcher, and
• 46:15
  Speaker 4: then he he played in the World Baseball Classic or
• 46:19
  Speaker 4: whatever for the country that we all dislike the most.
• 46:23
  Speaker 4: So I'm not a fan of that. I don't want
• 46:25
  Speaker 4: to get my channel nuked here Chris Bassett. By the way,
• 46:29
  Speaker 4: if if Bassett does wind up pitching, he is good
• 46:33
  Speaker 4: at home, like I said, and Bassett's numbers against Tampa
• 46:37
  Speaker 4: are mediocre in a pretty big sample, so Creamer would
• 46:41
  Speaker 4: have a bigger matchup edge than Bassett in my opinion.
• 46:45
  Speaker 4: So I think if you want to play Tampa Bay,
• 46:47
  Speaker 4: it makes more sense to do it against Bassett than
• 46:49
  Speaker 4: it does against Creamer. But I don't really want to
• 46:53
  Speaker 4: fade Bassett either, just because he's pretty good at home.
• 46:56
  Speaker 4: So but Tampa Bay did just see him. Although that's
• 46:58
  Speaker 4: the case with both of these starting pitchers. The money
• 47:01
  Speaker 4: is coming in on Tampa Bay sixty seven percent of
• 47:04
  Speaker 4: tickets eighty three percent of the cash on Tampa Bay.
• 47:08
  Speaker 4: So the money is indicating on Tampa Bay anyway, So
• 47:11
  Speaker 4: do with that info what you want.
• 47:12
  Speaker 2: Total's fairly high at nine.
• 47:15
  Speaker 4: But not much to read into the percentages there, So
• 47:18
  Speaker 4: do with that information what you want. The line is
• 47:20
  Speaker 4: basically a Pickham price there though, so you're actually getting
• 47:23
  Speaker 4: Tampa Bay at a Pickham price if you want to
• 47:25
  Speaker 4: take them there. But I worry it almost looks too
• 47:28
  Speaker 4: easy to take Tampa there, you know what I mean?
• 47:31
  Speaker 4: Like the public is going to oh, they get to
• 47:32
  Speaker 4: avoid the sweep here. They got, you know, a picture
• 47:35
  Speaker 4: that has a good array going. Here, they got the
• 47:38
  Speaker 4: better record. So the public looks like they're gonna be
• 47:40
  Speaker 4: on the Tampa Bay side, but it does look like
• 47:42
  Speaker 4: the money is also backing Tampa. There the good fate
• 47:46
  Speaker 4: spot was the San Diego play. Yeah, I mean I agree, Yeah,
• 47:53
  Speaker 4: throw throw creamer in your coffee. All right, we have
• 47:57
  Speaker 4: the next game up is my actual play here, So
• 48:00
  Speaker 4: here we go. I don't know if anybody can guess
• 48:03
  Speaker 4: what it is. Knowing me, you might be able to
• 48:09
  Speaker 4: guess what it is.
• 48:10
  Speaker 2: Though.
• 48:11
  Speaker 4: We're gonna go Anaheim Detroit first five under. I found
• 48:14
  Speaker 4: it at four at minus one fifteen. A couple of
• 48:17
  Speaker 4: different books had that number, So obviously I like that
• 48:21
  Speaker 4: more than the three and a half at minus one fifteen.
• 48:23
  Speaker 2: I think it's a reasonable price. Ima.
• 48:26
  Speaker 4: I'm gonna exclude the bullpens from this under because obviously
• 48:30
  Speaker 4: I can't deal with these bullpens, especially Anaheim's bullpen. No
• 48:34
  Speaker 4: thank you, So we're gonna take the bullpen's out of this.
• 48:37
  Speaker 4: Anaheim used four relief pitchers yesterday too, good luck to them.
• 48:41
  Speaker 4: Detroit's not a great bullpen either, and they use three
• 48:45
  Speaker 4: Anaheim's bullpen is just bottom of the barrel, though they're
• 48:48
  Speaker 4: ranked second worst right now twenty ninth. I think they
• 48:51
  Speaker 4: are the second worst, but I think Houston is still
• 48:53
  Speaker 4: the worst, even though Houston is ranked above them very
• 48:56
  Speaker 4: slightly and Whip, but we'll talk about that when we
• 48:59
  Speaker 4: talk about Zach. Last place bullpen Royals, but I think
• 49:03
  Speaker 4: the Royals are not as.
• 49:04
  Speaker 2: Bad as a couple of these other teams.
• 49:06
  Speaker 4: Angels are a terrible bullpend, though Detroit's not really great
• 49:09
  Speaker 4: at twenty second, although their era kind of indicates there,
• 49:13
  Speaker 4: you know, maybe they should be not quite that bad.
• 49:17
  Speaker 4: Angels has started hitting a little bit again in this series.
• 49:20
  Speaker 4: They're at seventeenth year. Detroit has been hitting very very badly.
• 49:24
  Speaker 4: They're at twenty fifth, so we're gonna fade a I
• 49:27
  Speaker 4: think these are a couple of offenses that are still
• 49:29
  Speaker 4: struggling them so I'm okay with fading both offenses. Even
• 49:33
  Speaker 4: though I know there was an offensive explosion in the
• 49:36
  Speaker 4: game yesterday ten to six, so people might look at
• 49:39
  Speaker 4: that that was the only game in the series so far.
• 49:42
  Speaker 4: These teams are playing again tomorrow, people might look at
• 49:45
  Speaker 4: that and maybe have a tendency to think this is
• 49:46
  Speaker 4: gonna be a high scoring game again. But maybe they're
• 49:49
  Speaker 4: gonna look at the pitchers and think otherwise. But I'm
• 49:52
  Speaker 4: gonna look at these pictures and say, yeah, I think
• 49:54
  Speaker 4: this is gonna be a pitching duel early in the
• 49:56
  Speaker 4: game here, and I still am gonna go with. These
• 49:59
  Speaker 4: offenses have not been performing well recently, so I think
• 50:02
  Speaker 4: yesterday might be a little bit more of an outlier
• 50:05
  Speaker 4: because if you look at what these teams have done recently,
• 50:07
  Speaker 4: Anaheim had a decent amount of low scoring games in
• 50:11
  Speaker 4: the mix there. Well, a lot of it was against Texas,
• 50:14
  Speaker 4: but that wasn't in Texas so and then they had
• 50:16
  Speaker 4: a couple of games one game against the A's that
• 50:19
  Speaker 4: was low scoring as well. But Detroit really has been
• 50:21
  Speaker 4: failing to score Anaheim. By the way, they played a
• 50:24
  Speaker 4: lot of high scoring games against the Dodgers, but Anaheim
• 50:27
  Speaker 4: only scored three runs in that entire series. They had
• 50:30
  Speaker 4: some low scoring results against Cleveland. Anaheim, really their offense
• 50:33
  Speaker 4: has not been good. I would not look at the
• 50:36
  Speaker 4: fact that they scored ten runs yesterday and think that
• 50:38
  Speaker 4: they're all of a sudden back, you know, I forget
• 50:42
  Speaker 4: who did Detroit, that was Montero. I think pitching yesterday, right,
• 50:45
  Speaker 4: I thought he would pitch better about whatever. I think
• 50:48
  Speaker 4: we get a better pitching matchup here anyway. Jose Soriano's
• 50:51
  Speaker 4: pitching for Anaheim. He started out the season excellent, and
• 50:55
  Speaker 4: I said he was gonna regress a little bit. And
• 50:58
  Speaker 4: one thing that we know about Soriano, though you look
• 51:00
  Speaker 4: at him the last couple of years, including this year,
• 51:03
  Speaker 4: he sucks at home.
• 51:04
  Speaker 2: I don't know why.
• 51:05
  Speaker 4: I mean, Anaheim's a stadium is pretty hitter friendly, but
• 51:08
  Speaker 4: he's not good at home, and he's way better on
• 51:10
  Speaker 4: the road. Well, guess what we get him on the
• 51:13
  Speaker 4: road here. His numbers are good on the season, two
• 51:16
  Speaker 4: point four to four ERA, one point seven whip. Obviously
• 51:20
  Speaker 4: he had to regress from you know, those elite numbers
• 51:23
  Speaker 4: that he had early in the season. But again, like
• 51:25
  Speaker 4: I said, he's pitching a lot better on the road
• 51:27
  Speaker 4: one point one four road RA. So he's in as
• 51:30
  Speaker 4: good of his home road splits, and that carries through
• 51:33
  Speaker 4: last season in its entirety as well. He had a
• 51:36
  Speaker 4: rough outing against the Dodgers two starts to go. Two
• 51:39
  Speaker 4: starts prior to that, he was bad against the White Sox.
• 51:42
  Speaker 4: Both of those starts are at home, though, and in
• 51:44
  Speaker 4: between those two he had a good start on the
• 51:46
  Speaker 4: road against Toronto, and his most recent start he had
• 51:49
  Speaker 4: a nice start against the A's at home, by the way,
• 51:53
  Speaker 4: so I think he might be coming back into form here.
• 51:56
  Speaker 4: He's got a high strikeout rate this month, so that's
• 51:58
  Speaker 4: good over one per inning.
• 52:00
  Speaker 2: His walk rate is high, but more than half of
• 52:02
  Speaker 2: the walks.
• 52:02
  Speaker 4: Came in that one start against the Dodgers, so I
• 52:05
  Speaker 4: think we might give him a pass for that. He's
• 52:07
  Speaker 4: allowed few of the one hit per inning this month.
• 52:10
  Speaker 4: He's got good numbers.
• 52:11
  Speaker 2: On the season.
• 52:11
  Speaker 4: Still, He's got way over one strike up per inning,
• 52:14
  Speaker 4: way below one hit ale out per inning. Walk rate
• 52:17
  Speaker 4: is not great, but I'm gonna give him a little
• 52:20
  Speaker 4: bit of a pass for it, which usually I don't do.
• 52:22
  Speaker 4: But the rest of his numbers are good enough. Then,
• 52:24
  Speaker 4: of course, the matchup he does match up well against Detroit.
• 52:28
  Speaker 4: I think they only have seventeen at bats against him,
• 52:31
  Speaker 4: They have no extra base hits, seven strikeouts, no walks,
• 52:34
  Speaker 4: one seventy six average three point fifty three ohps. So
• 52:38
  Speaker 4: we get Soriana where he's at his best on the road.
• 52:41
  Speaker 4: He looks to me in decent form because he pitched
• 52:43
  Speaker 4: well in his last outing and two of his last
• 52:45
  Speaker 4: three were good. I think we give him a pass
• 52:47
  Speaker 4: for not doing well against the Dodgers. He has a
• 52:49
  Speaker 4: good match up here against Detroit, so I like that.
• 52:53
  Speaker 4: Casey Mize, on the other side, is pitching for Detroit.
• 52:56
  Speaker 4: He's been pretty good this year as well. Two point
• 52:58
  Speaker 4: four to seventy r RA point nine to eight.
• 53:01
  Speaker 2: Whip dude.
• 53:01
  Speaker 4: I think he's a little bit under the radar, like
• 53:03
  Speaker 4: he's pitching better than you would think. Nobody really knows
• 53:06
  Speaker 4: his name. He's been okay like with Detroit in the past,
• 53:10
  Speaker 4: but this is something we haven't seen out of him before.
• 53:12
  Speaker 4: And yeah, maybe he regresses at some point, but I
• 53:15
  Speaker 4: think he's gonna give you a good start here.
• 53:17
  Speaker 2: He's got a one point four to eight home race.
• 53:19
  Speaker 2: So we have two pitchers that are in.
• 53:21
  Speaker 4: The better of their home road splits in their eras
• 53:23
  Speaker 4: in the ones home you know, home and away for
• 53:28
  Speaker 4: each of them where they are in this game. Myz
• 53:31
  Speaker 4: came back from injury two starts ago. He's made two
• 53:34
  Speaker 4: starts in May since coming back, and while Detroit lost
• 53:38
  Speaker 4: both games. That was because Detroit can't hit. Detroit scored
• 53:41
  Speaker 4: one run in each of them, so it was not
• 53:43
  Speaker 4: his fault that they lost those games. He went twelve
• 53:45
  Speaker 4: to two thirds innings, gave up only six hits, two
• 53:48
  Speaker 4: earned runs, eight strikeouts, no walks, and those outings were
• 53:52
  Speaker 4: against Toronto and Cleveland, so Myz pitched well in those outings.
• 53:59
  Speaker 4: Up against Anah, he's got good numbers against him in
• 54:01
  Speaker 4: sixty two at bats. We have a big sample here,
• 54:04
  Speaker 4: twelve to four, strikeout walk ratio one seventy seven average,
• 54:07
  Speaker 4: five eighty two oh ps, so his numbers are good
• 54:10
  Speaker 4: as well. We're gonna exclude the bullpens. I like the
• 54:13
  Speaker 4: starting pitching matchup here. It's my only baseball play under
• 54:18
  Speaker 4: first five innings Anaheim Detroit full game total looks like
• 54:22
  Speaker 4: it is seven and a half, so that's low. So
• 54:24
  Speaker 4: the oddsmakers are telling you they think it's gonna be
• 54:26
  Speaker 4: a low scoring game. I don't want the bullpens. Like
• 54:29
  Speaker 4: I said, the money looks like it's definitely coming in
• 54:33
  Speaker 4: on the under here. We have sixty two percent of
• 54:34
  Speaker 4: tickets on the over and only twenty six percent of
• 54:38
  Speaker 4: the cash on the over. According to this site, here,
• 54:41
  Speaker 4: so the money is coming in towards the under full game.
• 54:44
  Speaker 4: We're going first five though, like I said, you know,
• 54:48
  Speaker 4: hopefully you have a bunch of books available so you
• 54:50
  Speaker 4: can line shop. I know I give out a lot
• 54:51
  Speaker 4: of plays like this where you kind of need to
• 54:53
  Speaker 4: get the best number here. But I saw this exact
• 54:56
  Speaker 4: number at least two books this morning, so hopefully you
• 54:59
  Speaker 4: can find it. I would pay probably up to about
• 55:01
  Speaker 4: minus one twenty or so to get it under four.
• 55:05
  Speaker 4: I'd still agree with it at three and a half,
• 55:07
  Speaker 4: but obviously there's no key number. Like every half run
• 55:11
  Speaker 4: is basically worth the same in you know, in this
• 55:14
  Speaker 4: first five play, right, so every half run does matter
• 55:17
  Speaker 4: because it's a very small sample here. But that is
• 55:20
  Speaker 4: my one baseball play I liked that one. I wouldn't
• 55:23
  Speaker 4: disagree with doing it full game. Just you know, if
• 55:26
  Speaker 4: you asked me to pick like a side on the
• 55:29
  Speaker 4: toll on the full game, I'd still say under. But
• 55:32
  Speaker 4: these bullpens are very very worrisome, all right, especially Anaheims.
• 55:37
  Speaker 4: All Right, we have a Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh. This
• 55:42
  Speaker 4: series continues tomorrow, so some of these evening series are continuing.
• 55:46
  Speaker 4: The Cubs have still not been able to break this
• 55:49
  Speaker 4: losing streak. And I told you I did not like
• 55:51
  Speaker 4: the Cubs. Yesterday, the Cubs were going with a bullpen
• 55:54
  Speaker 4: game against Praxe and Ashcraft.
• 55:56
  Speaker 2: I did not like that.
• 55:57
  Speaker 4: So Pittsburgh won, but they won easily, twelve to one.
• 56:01
  Speaker 4: But this is a Cubs team. They are not as
• 56:03
  Speaker 4: bad as their record looks right now. They're now in
• 56:05
  Speaker 4: last place in the NL Central, tied with Pittsburgh but
• 56:09
  Speaker 4: below them, but every team in the divisions above five
• 56:12
  Speaker 4: hundred right now, And like I said, I think the
• 56:14
  Speaker 4: Cubs are either the best or the second best team
• 56:18
  Speaker 4: in this division. I think right now the Cubs are
• 56:20
  Speaker 4: kind of suffering because they have too many starting pitching
• 56:23
  Speaker 4: injuries right now. But they've got to break this losing streak. Man,
• 56:26
  Speaker 4: They've lost ten games in a row. They got blown
• 56:29
  Speaker 4: out yesterday. You gotta think they're gonna show up for
• 56:31
  Speaker 4: a game here now that they're tied in last place.
• 56:35
  Speaker 4: Although Pittsburgh should be motivated as well. It's a four
• 56:38
  Speaker 4: game series. They want to keep beating the Cubs. You know,
• 56:41
  Speaker 4: Pittsburgh hasn't been like Pittsburgh hasn't even been a decent
• 56:46
  Speaker 4: team for a while so they probably still are going
• 56:49
  Speaker 4: to be motivated here.
• 56:51
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh used two relief pitchers yesterday. The Cubs used three.
• 56:55
  Speaker 4: Cubs do have the better bullpend, but they've been a
• 56:57
  Speaker 4: little bit lesser recently, but they're still at eighth. That's
• 56:59
  Speaker 4: not too bad. Pittsburgh is eighteenth, so the Cubs do
• 57:04
  Speaker 4: have a bullpen edge. Still, Cubs offense has fallen off
• 57:08
  Speaker 4: of it. They're at tenth right now and Pittsburgh has
• 57:10
  Speaker 4: overtaking them. Pittsburgh is sixth, so Pittsburgh does have a
• 57:14
  Speaker 4: good offense here. I think both offenses are pretty capable.
• 57:19
  Speaker 4: Looking at this starting pitching matchup, Jamison tye On is
• 57:23
  Speaker 4: pitching for the Cubs. I don't know, man, can he
• 57:26
  Speaker 4: stem the tide and actually help the Cubs win here.
• 57:29
  Speaker 4: He hasn't been pitching well recently. He had pretty good
• 57:32
  Speaker 4: numbers for most of the season, but his numbers right
• 57:34
  Speaker 4: now don't look very good. Five point two RA, one
• 57:37
  Speaker 4: point two to seven WHIP isn't that bad, though he's
• 57:41
  Speaker 4: been worse on the road six point oh four road era.
• 57:44
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh is known as this year.
• 57:47
  Speaker 4: They're a very good offensive team at home, so there
• 57:49
  Speaker 4: are a lot of indicators that Pittsburgh may be able
• 57:51
  Speaker 4: to score some runs here. You know, tie On bad
• 57:54
  Speaker 4: on the road. Tie On not in good form right now.
• 57:57
  Speaker 4: His last two starts were both fairly bad at the
• 58:00
  Speaker 4: White Sox.
• 58:01
  Speaker 2: And then at home against Houston.
• 58:03
  Speaker 4: Although this month, you know, sixteen to five strike up
• 58:05
  Speaker 4: walk ratio is not that bad. But he's allowed eight
• 58:08
  Speaker 4: home runs, although five of them came against the White Sox,
• 58:11
  Speaker 4: I don't know what that was. And he's allowed more
• 58:13
  Speaker 4: than one hit per inning, and his team has lost
• 58:15
  Speaker 4: three of his starts in a row. He did have
• 58:18
  Speaker 4: five strikeouts one walk in his last outing. That's not
• 58:21
  Speaker 4: bad against Houston, but he was very hittable his season
• 58:25
  Speaker 4: wide numbers. His hit rate is actually fairly good. It's
• 58:27
  Speaker 4: below one per inning. He's allowed I think, the most
• 58:30
  Speaker 4: home runs in baseball though he's allowed seventeen home runs.
• 58:34
  Speaker 2: That is insane.
• 58:36
  Speaker 4: He's I know, he's kind of a home run conducive pitcher,
• 58:40
  Speaker 4: he's a fly ball pitcher, but that's still bad.
• 58:42
  Speaker 3: Man.
• 58:43
  Speaker 4: His walk rate is not horrible, his strikeout rates a
• 58:47
  Speaker 4: bit low, though against Pittsburgh his numbers are I would say,
• 58:52
  Speaker 4: on the slightly bad side. In one hundred and eight
• 58:55
  Speaker 4: of bats, twenty to ten strike out walk ratio is
• 58:57
  Speaker 4: not good. Two sixty nine batting average is acceptable, but
• 59:01
  Speaker 4: seven ninety three oh ps. I mean, that's not horrible,
• 59:04
  Speaker 4: but it's on the side where I would say Pittsburgh's
• 59:07
  Speaker 4: hitters do have a bit of an advantage against them,
• 59:10
  Speaker 4: and that's in one hundred and eight at bats. So
• 59:13
  Speaker 4: there are definitely some indicators that tie On may not
• 59:15
  Speaker 4: pitch well.
• 59:16
  Speaker 2: Here.
• 59:17
  Speaker 4: Bubba Chandler is pitching for the Pirates. He's a young
• 59:20
  Speaker 4: guy with some talent man, but he's had some major.
• 59:23
  Speaker 2: Issues this season.
• 59:24
  Speaker 4: He's got a four point seven to ninety ray one
• 59:26
  Speaker 4: point four to seven whip.
• 59:28
  Speaker 2: His main issue is that he walks too many guys.
• 59:30
  Speaker 4: He's been a little bit worse at home five point
• 59:33
  Speaker 4: four home era.
• 59:35
  Speaker 2: Pitched pretty well in his last down.
• 59:36
  Speaker 4: He went five innings on the road, give up nowhere
• 59:39
  Speaker 4: and runs against Toronto and had eleven strikeouts.
• 59:42
  Speaker 2: That was pretty good.
• 59:42
  Speaker 4: But this month he has a twenty to fourteen strike
• 59:45
  Speaker 4: out walk ratio. Like I said, these walks are a
• 59:48
  Speaker 4: huge concern. He had three of them in that start
• 59:50
  Speaker 4: against Toronto too. That's not good. Although he's been pretty unhittable.
• 59:54
  Speaker 4: He's only lot twelve hits in eighteen innings this month.
• 59:57
  Speaker 4: Pirates have lost six starts in a row of though
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 4: that's not a good sign for a good offense like
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 4: Pittsburgh losing that many games in a row with him pitching,
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 4: but a couple of them the offense scored nothing, so
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 4: the offense really has not backed him up either. So
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 4: it's been a combination of things. He's got a good
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 4: strikeout rate one per inning, a low hit rate. The
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 4: walks aren't an unbelievable concern though. He's got thirty four
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 4: walks in forty seven innings. Come on, man, like he
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 4: might have the highest walk rate in baseball. That is
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 4: a ridiculous rate. Like that's his only bad number. The
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 4: rest of his numbers are good, Like he would be
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 4: a he would be a strong pitcher, dude, if he
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 4: stopped walking people.
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 2: I mean, that's insane.
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 4: Against the Cubs, his numbers are a bit all over
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 4: the place. In twenty at bats, two fifty average, a
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 4: lot and a nine to eighteen OBS is not very
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 4: good with home runs from Biasteros and Swanson, three strikeouts,
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 4: two walks. Yeah, I think this game is an over
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 4: that would be the way I would look in this game.
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 4: The money seems to be indicating that way. Sixty one
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 4: percent of tickets, eighty percent of the cash on the over.
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 4: As far as the side, it's basically a pick the
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 4: winner price, and the money is coming in towards the
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 4: Pirates sixty one percent of ticket, seventy one percent of
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 4: the cash on the home team here at basically a
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 4: pick em price. I mean, I could see the argument
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 4: for that Chandler. I think he has more like raw
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 4: talent than tie On does, but his walks are just
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 4: a huge, huge issue, man. So yeah, I think I
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 4: think over excuse me, is the way to look at
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 4: this game.
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 2: Uh, the totals nine or eight and a half.
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 4: I guess if you find an over eight and a
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 4: half minus one twenty, I don't really hate that at all,
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 4: you know. I mean, I don't want to say this
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 4: is a you know, that strong of a lean.
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 2: For me, but I don't.
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 4: I don't like the board much today at all, but
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 4: I think this is probably one of the ones that
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 4: I have more of a feel for. I guess I
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 4: would say, like I kind of like the under in
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 4: Miami Toronto. I did say that and maybe a first
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 4: five undermakes more sense there. San Diego, you know, is
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 4: pretty iffy, I would say, but that is a lean
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 4: for me towards San Diego. But I do kind of
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 4: like this one over in the Cubs and Pirates game,
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 4: especially if you get over eight and a half at
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 4: minus one twenty, you get in under that key number
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 4: of nine.
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 2: Thank you, sir, Garrett. Thank you.
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 4: Well, I don't know, do I talk too much? Like
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 4: are people really gonna listen to me?
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 2: I don't know. Man, all right, we have six games
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 2: left on the board.
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 4: Here I'll talk about my atrocious Boston Red Sox.
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 2: By the way, the Red Sox, they continue to actually
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 2: hit better.
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 4: Their offenses started doing better at home finally, because their
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 4: offense has been bad at home all year. Coming into
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 4: this series, the Red Sox were still the lowest scoring
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 4: team at home. They actually surpassed Texas as the lowest
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 4: scoring home team, which makes no sense because Fenway's a
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 4: hit her friendly ballpark. But I think it's some of
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 4: it's been the cool air. The off hasn't gotten going,
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 4: but the offense is getting going now, and you would
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 4: think because the Red Sox pitching has been good, I
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 4: keep complaining about this. You know, the Red Sox like
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 4: their main problem was the hitting, and if that's getting better,
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 4: they should be a better team.
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 2: No, they've lost four games in a row because they're
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 2: pitching all of a sudden. Isn't good. I hate it, dude,
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 2: I fucking hate it. Someone's got to give.
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 4: I think the Red Sox are at least probably better
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 4: than the record looks, at least with the talent that
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 4: they have. But they're facing the Braves here. The Braves
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 4: are good. Red Sox lost by one run yesterday. This
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 4: is a rivalry because Atlanta was in Boston like the
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 4: early nineteen undreds, So it's a geographic rivalry, man, because
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 4: the Boston Braves were a team in the nineteen aughts
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 4: or whatever before they moved to Milwaukee or whatever. Well
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 4: before the Hank Aaron days. Atlanta did use four relief
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 4: pitchers yesterday Boston used three. Both bullpins are good, and
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 4: even though it was a close game, the Red Sox
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 4: at least did not use their closer because they lost
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 4: the game. All the Chapman's not even listed on this
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 4: sheet here. I don't even know is he injured right now?
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 4: I don't know what the deal is if Chapman's injured,
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 4: this is some real bad shit for the Red Sox here, Dude.
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 4: I don't know how I haven't heard that. If that
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 4: is the case, Yeah, I guess so it looks like
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 4: Chapman is fucking hurt. Oh no, he's still there. He's
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 4: a closer.
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 2: What the fuck?
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 4: Maybe he just hasn't pitched in that long, dude, Chapman,
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 4: he's one of the best closers in history. Dude, Like,
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 4: I don't know how he's still doing what he's doing
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 4: at the age of like thirty eight or whatever. It's crazy,
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 4: but whatever. Red Sox bullpen is good. Both these bullpens
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 4: are good. Atlanta's ranked number one in bullpen the Red
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 4: Sox ERA and the bullpen's a little bit better.
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 2: They're ranked sixth.
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 4: That's based on whip but these are two very good
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 4: bullpens over the course of the season. Atlanta has the
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 4: way better offense, though they're ranked third right now offense.
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 4: Red Sox are twenty fourth, so they're above this cluster
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 4: that's tied at twenty fifth year, which are Detroit, Philly,
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 4: San Francisco in Toronto.
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 2: And I already talked about all of those teams because
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 2: you might be.
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 4: Wondering, how are all of those teams twenty fifth, Well,
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 4: they're all tied in ops. Bryce Elder is pitching for Atlanta.
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 4: If you remember, I went under twice in the last
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 4: series between these two teams in Atlanta, and I believe
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 4: one of them had this same matchup Elder against Early.
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 2: We went under and it was an easy win.
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 4: Elder is having a good season, dude, after he was
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 4: very questionable last year. He was good earlier in his career,
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 4: and this year it looks like he's back. He's got
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 4: a one point nine to seventy ra point nine to
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 4: nine whip. He's been good on the road as well,
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 4: one point seven to eight Roady Ray and pitching well
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 4: this month, including that start against Boston last time out.
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 2: He went or two starts ago. He went eight innings
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 2: in that one and gave up three or in runs.
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 2: That was a good start from him.
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 4: He's got a twenty four to eight strikeout walk ratio
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 4: this month and only fifteen hits a lot in twenty
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 4: five and two thirds innings. He's allowed three or fewer
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 4: earned runs in every start over the course of the
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 4: entire season. He's got a low strikeout rate this year.
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 4: His walk rate is a little bit high, but his
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 4: hit rate is also really low. So even though his
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 4: strikeout walk ratio is kind of concerning, he's still pitching well, dude,
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 4: He's been effective. He's allowing so few hits that guys
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 4: are just not getting on base. His numbers against the
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 4: Red Sox also were good, as we might know because
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 4: I went with that under last time out. Sixty one
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 4: at bats, ten strikeouts, one walk, one eighty batting average
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 4: four to seventy two OPS. Wilson Catrerez is like the
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 4: only guy in the Red Sox lineup that actually does
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 4: real damage against him, with a five for thirteen clip
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 4: of the home run, So do what you want with
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 4: that info. But Elder has really good numbers against Boston.
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 4: Connolly early is pitching for the Red Sox. He's doing
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 4: pretty well. Three point three to three ERA, one point
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 4: one to nine WHIP. This is basically like his first
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 4: full season as a major league starter. He's a little
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 4: bit worse at home, though he's got a four point
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 4: four to three homeye. RA struggles a bit more at
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 4: home it is a more hitter friendly ballpark. He was
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 4: decent enough last time out at Atlanta. Two starts to
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 4: go over him. But in Atlanta he went five innings,
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 4: gave up two earned runs that were both solo home runs,
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 4: and we got the underwright in that game. He had
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 4: six strikeouts, no walks. He's been pretty good over the
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 4: course of the month. Twenty two strikeouts, five walks, twenty
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 4: one hits a lout in twenty two and a third innings.
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 2: That's pretty good.
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 4: He's allowed three or fewer earned runs and all but
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 4: one start this season, which was a home start against Houston,
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 4: but maybe that was a little bit of a blip
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 4: because he's been good again since then, and that is
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 4: skewing his home numbers a little bit.
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 2: Also, he had a start against the Yankees.
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 4: At home where he was not great but okay, and
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 4: that is also impacting his home numbers. But of course
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 4: the Braves are a good offense too. His strikeout rates
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 4: not quite one per inning but not bad. He's allowed
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 4: few the one hit per inning. His walk rate is
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 4: a little bit high, so he's gotta figure that out.
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 4: So that's Early's worst number is the walk number. His
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 4: numbers against Atlanta are good, but it's basically all that
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 4: one start that he made last time, so that's the
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 4: problem is that he no longer has the unfamiliarity edge.
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 4: So that was part of the reason why I went
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 4: under in that game was Early had never been seen
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 4: before by the Braves, so now that they just saw him,
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 4: he has less of an advantage now because they're not
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 4: unfamiliar with him anymore. He's got sixteen at bats against him.
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 4: He did pitch well against them though, five strikeouts, no walks,
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 4: one eighty eight batting average six' ten, ops so he
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 4: might pitch well again. Here he's certainly capable of having
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 4: another good start, here So i'm not gonna completely write him,
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 4: off but it kind of keeps me off of going
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 4: with the under, here even though my first instinct was
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 4: to lean under in this game again here AND i
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 4: don't really disagree with. That the money is hitting the
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 4: over though it's at eight and a half sixty six
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 4: percent of tickets seventy seven percent of the.
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 2: Cash on the. Over do what you want with that.
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 4: INFO i have a slight lean towards the under. Here
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 4: stilm yesterday very high scoring as, well but the bullpens
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 4: are still pretty intact here and they're.
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 2: Good.
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 4: Uh the money seems to be coming in on The,
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 4: braves but they're public as. Well they're about a minus
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 4: one twenty favorite, here and that numbers dropped a little,
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 4: bit eighty two percent of tickets ninety four percent of
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 4: the cash on The.
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 2: BRAVES i don't really disagree with The, braves.
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 4: THOUGH i think the disadvantage kind of comes in with
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 4: and The braves had the better, offense of, course BUT
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 4: i think the disadvantage comes in with early not being
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 4: unfamiliar anymore To atlanta.
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 2: Here elder has been. Good, Yes.
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 4: Red sox scored two runs off Of atlanta's closer last. Night,
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 4: yeah that's probably not gonna happen, again although The braves
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 4: might not be able to use their closer again unless
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 4: they want to use them two in a.
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 2: Row, gerald what's? Up?
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 4: Uh, YEAH i don't even want to talk about, it
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 4: The Red. SOX i am, very very angry as A
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 4: boston fan.
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 2: Here he is, bad fucking bad. Shit. UH i hate.
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 4: It, yeah and we had our other teams get eliminated
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 4: from the. Playoffs all, Right i'll be back and Then
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 4: i'll talk about the rest of these. Games cincinnati and
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 4: The mets is the next game that one's gonna be an.
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 4: Intro it's an interesting handicap in that.
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 2: One at the very.
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 4: LEAST i find it all interesting, Though So i'll be right, back.
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 2: All.
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 4: Right next game? Up, yeah LIKE i, said Is Reds.
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 4: METS i was correct about the game, yesterday The reds
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 4: winning the first five innings and winning the full. Game
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 4: Chase Burns, man he's a play on. Pitcher. Obviously i've
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 4: given up numerous plays involving him and playing on him
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 4: or on unders with. Him he's not pitcher today. Though
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 4: obviously The reds bullpen is not. Good they used four
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 4: relief pictures Five, no four relief pitchers.
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 2: Yesterday my. Mistake The mets have the better. Bullpen The
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 2: mets used.
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 4: Too this is gonna be a weird handicap Because Sean,
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 4: MANIA i thought was gonna wind up being involved in
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 4: the game, today but they used him yesterday as like
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 4: a long relief.
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 2: GUY i think they used him And. PETERSON i don't
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 2: know what they're. Doing, Dude hold on a, second let
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 2: me look at the box score. There do they use
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 2: both of? Them? Yeah SO i was.
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 4: Right peterson basically he made the, stars SO i was
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 4: correct about. That but Then manaia came in in. Relief
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 4: SO i don't know what The mets are gonna do.
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 2: Here.
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 4: Dude The mets are going with a bullpen, game and
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 4: it looks like it's gonna be a true bullpen game
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 4: BECAUSE i thought That manaiah was gonna pitch. Here BECAUSE i,
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 4: LOOKED i was, like, well what The mets do five games, ago,
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 4: right that's WHAT i always. Do, well they Used mania
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 4: for a huge chunk of the, game SO i was, Thinking.
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 2: Okay, well yesterday they Used David.
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 4: Peterson that means today they're gonna Use manaia as kind
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 4: of their pseudo. Starter but they're not because he pitched
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 4: three innings. Yesterday so unless they're gonna bring him out
• 1:13:18
  Speaker 4: again and pitch three innings, HERE i have no idea
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 4: what The mets are. DOING i don't think you could
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 4: trust whatever the hell they're doing with this bullpen.
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 2: Here but The mets are trying to avoid a.
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 4: Sweep cincinnati has won both games of the series seven to,
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 4: two so, yeah And cincinnati could look. Ahead they Got atlanta,
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 4: next so that might be a look ahead For. Cincinnati
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 4: so this is a spot where The mets have the better.
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 4: Situation but how could you possibly put your money on
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 4: this completely Unpredictable mets bullpen. GAME i don't know what
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 4: the fuck they're doing. HERE i would not recommend. IT
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 4: i would not want to do. It although The reds
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 4: bullpen is, bad The reds are twenty, seventh The mets
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 4: bullpend is actually good at.
• 1:13:59
  Speaker 2: Ninth BUT i don't.
• 1:13:59
  Speaker 4: Know IF i want A mets bullpen pitching an entire game,
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 4: here maybe it will actually do.
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 2: WELL i don't. Know Andrew abbott is getting the start
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 2: for The.
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 4: Reds he's got AN okra here now three point ninety,
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 4: seven but his whip is bad one point four to.
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 4: Six he is pitching better than he was, before, though
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 4: and he's been decent throughout his. Career he's good on
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 4: the road this year two point four to two ROAD.
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 4: Rra he's struggled a lot at, home and it is
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 4: a more hitter friendly ballpark In. Cincinnati but it's still
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 4: kind of weird that he's having issues at home because
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 4: he's been On cincinnati for his whole career so. Far
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 4: SO i don't, know but he pitches better on the
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 4: road right. Now, he's LIKE i, said he's started pitching.
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 4: Better he's been fairly good this, month and that he's
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 4: only allowed two runs in twenty two winnings fourteen HiT's.
• 1:14:45
  Speaker 4: Allowed but his walk number.
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 2: Is still a huge.
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 4: Issue he's got eleven, walks he's walking one guy every
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 4: two winnings here and fourteen strikeouts a pretty low strikeout.
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 2: Rate but he's not really a strike up.
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 4: Pitcher his team has won three games in a row
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 4: that he, started BUT i can't trust him with this walk.
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 2: Number.
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 4: MAN i think these, numbers the very few runs that he's,
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 4: ALLOWED i think are a little bit of a. Mirage
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 4: although he's been hard to, hit but over the course
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 4: of the season that hasn't really been the.
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 2: Case he's allowed more than one hit per.
• 1:15:14
  Speaker 4: Inning his walk rate is still too, high his strike
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 4: up rate is, low so his strike out walk ratio
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 4: on the season is.
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 2: Bad DON'T i don't fully trust.
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 4: Him his numbers against The mets are also not good
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 4: and thirty three at, bats although a third of the
• 1:15:28
  Speaker 4: numbers are from One soto who is five for eleven
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 4: offen with a double.
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 2: Three sixty four average.
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 4: Allowed to The mets eight eighty five ops five to
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 4: two strike out walk. Ratio so you, know it doesn't
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 4: look like the greatest matchup For abbott, here even though
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 4: he is normally good on the, road he is facing
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 4: an offense that hasn't hit at, all WHICH i forgot
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 4: to show the offensive. Numbers The mets are dead. Last
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 4: what else is? New The reds have been hitting better. Recently,
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 4: again The reds are, twelve so The reds do have
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 4: the better offense. Here and LIKE i, said The mets
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 4: are going with a bullpen. Game they Have Huascar brazabah
• 1:16:03
  Speaker 4: listed as their, starter but he's only gonna go like
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 4: one or two innings. Here that's what he's done every
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 4: outing he's had basically this entire. Season so he's gonna
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 4: come in and open and, then LIKE i, SAID i
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 4: thought it was gonna Be mania behind, him but it
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 4: probably isn't Because mania went three innings last. Night SO
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 4: i have no idea what The mets are doing, Here
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 4: absolutely no. Clue obviously it won't Be peterson because he
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 4: pitched five innings, Yesterday SO i think it is going
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 4: to be a True mets bullpen game. Here, YEAH i,
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 4: mean good luck if you want to play this. Game
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 4: the money is coming in towards The reds seventy two
• 1:16:41
  Speaker 4: percent of tickets eighty two percent of the cash on.
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 4: Them the situation, though to, me still favors. Them, DUDE
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 4: i THINK i still lean to The mets. HERE i
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 4: know it sounds completely, insane but the situation favors.
• 1:16:53
  Speaker 2: THEM i could definitely See.
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 4: Abbott having some issues, here so and The reds bullpen
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 4: having some. Issues The mets could win this. Game and
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 4: The METS i don't, know, MAN i, mean they're they're
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 4: not as bad like talent wise as their record looks.
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 4: LIKE i don't, know, man at some, point.
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 2: You got to think they're gonna be at least a
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 2: little bit. Better The mets.
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 4: Are, favored by the, way who's gonna play on The
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 4: mets right now as a? Favorite Right so that kind
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 4: OF i think tells you something as. Well the fact
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 4: that The mets are favored with a bullpend. Game the
• 1:17:23
  Speaker 4: oddsmakers are telling you that they think The mets are
• 1:17:26
  Speaker 4: gonna win this game even.
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 2: Though they have the worst of the two records.
• 1:17:29
  Speaker 4: Here SO i think the oddsmakers are kind of indicating
• 1:17:32
  Speaker 4: that they think The mets are the right side here
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 4: and they're anti public at. Least money's also coming in
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 4: towards the over for what that's.
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 2: Worth over the eight.
• 1:17:41
  Speaker 4: Sixty four tickets eighty three percent of the couch on the,
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 4: OVER i don't. DISAGREE i, mean it's A mets bullpend
• 1:17:46
  Speaker 4: game up Against, abbott who might have issues, here and
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 4: A red's bullpend THAT i would not want to, Touch
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 4: SO i don't disagree with the over in that game.
• 1:17:56
  Speaker 4: Either minnesota at The White, sox these teams have bad
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 4: bullpens and they went extra innings, yesterday which was a
• 1:18:03
  Speaker 4: five to three.
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 2: Win for The.
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 4: Twins The White sox won the game before. That this
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 4: is also a four game, series so it continues. Tomorrow
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 4: it's a divisional. Series both teams.
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 2: Likely to show up.
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 4: Here but the bullpens are bad and they're used because
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 4: it was an extra inning game. Yesterday minnesota used five
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 4: relief pitchers out that is no four. Dude my stroke
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 4: brain can't like figure out like how many rows there?
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 4: Are White sox use. Three BUT i don't trust either
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 4: bullpen at. All minnesota's twenty, Six White sox twenty, fifth
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 4: and bullpen offenses have been pretty, good The White sox,
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 4: Eleventh minnesota. Twelfth so seems, like you, know there are
• 1:18:45
  Speaker 4: some things that make this look like an overgame, here
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 4: But Connor prelip is pitching For. MINNESOTA i don't really
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 4: know IF i want to fade, Him but of course
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 4: he screwed us in his last outing against The Red,
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 4: sox so we had an under in that. Game that
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 4: loss and The Red sox. Loss isn't that just fucking Greatp,
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 4: overall he's been pretty good still though this is his rookie.
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 4: Season i'm pretty sure four point zero THREE, era one
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 4: point one SEVEN. Whip he's been bad on the road,
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 4: though five point five to four ROAD. Yra but, again
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 4: that was that one start against The Red sox where
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 4: he didn't do. Well but all of his other starts
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 4: are pretty. Good he allowed two or fewer earned runs
• 1:19:24
  Speaker 4: and every other. Start so what do we think, Here
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 4: like is he going out.
• 1:19:27
  Speaker 2: Of form or was that a? BLIP i don't. Know
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 2: it's hard to.
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 4: Say he had three walks one strikeout in that, game
• 1:19:33
  Speaker 4: which isn't that. Great over the course of the, season
• 1:19:36
  Speaker 4: his hit rate is, low strikeout rate is fairly, high
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 4: more than one per, inning and his walk rate is
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 4: a little bit. High SO i guess to do with
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 4: all that info what you. Want The White sox have
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 4: never faced him, before SO i kind of leaned towards
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 4: prelip pitching better again, Here, LIKE i think that might
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 4: have been a little bit of an, outlier and he
• 1:19:53
  Speaker 4: will potentially bounce back here with the upper hand potentially
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 4: because he's never been faced before by The white, lineup
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 4: so that is an extra advantage pre lip pass and
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 4: the unfamiliarity edge is also going to be the case
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 4: With David, sandlin who was pitching for The White. Sox
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 4: this is his major league. Debut both of these pitchers
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 4: are twenty. Five it's a little bit late to have
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 4: a major league. Debut SO i don't know If sandland
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 4: had some injuries that derailed his. CAREER i know he
• 1:20:23
  Speaker 4: was in The Red sox organization, initially AND i think
• 1:20:27
  Speaker 4: he profiles as more of a relief pitcher though in my,
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 4: Opinion LIKE i went back AND i looked at his,
• 1:20:32
  Speaker 4: SCOUTING i looked at what he's done in the miners this.
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 2: Year he's only pitched a little bit In TRIPLE a this.
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 4: Year, LIKE i think he only made two starts In
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 4: TRIPLE a this, year and his numbers were pretty. GOOD
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 4: i think he had an Eerray like in the, twos
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 4: his whip was like one point two So i'm, like all, right,
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 4: yeah those numbers are. Fine in TRIPLE, a he looked
• 1:20:49
  Speaker 4: or his era might have even been sub, two but
• 1:20:52
  Speaker 4: it was a really small sample, size AND i.
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 2: Think his issue was like his.
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 4: WALKS i think his walk number is his main, concern
• 1:20:59
  Speaker 4: but also the. Scouting he does not have a deep pitch.
• 1:21:02
  Speaker 4: Mix he throws. Hard he throws like upper, nineties a
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 4: mid to upper nineties, fastball but his only other pitches
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 4: are a slider and a, Cutter SO i don't, know
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 4: it's basically like kind of like this fastball.
• 1:21:14
  Speaker 2: MIX i, mean the sliders.
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 4: An off speed pitch, still but it's kind of still
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 4: a fastball Ish SO i don't, know. MAN i, mean
• 1:21:22
  Speaker 4: he profiles to me as more of a relief, pitcher
• 1:21:25
  Speaker 4: at least based on That. ARSENAL i honestly have no
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 4: idea what.
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 2: We're gonna get out of him. HERE i think it's very.
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 4: Unpredictable The twins excuseually have never seen him, before so
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 4: he does have that advantage of unfamiliarity. THERE i do
• 1:21:39
  Speaker 4: not want to try to get involved in this, game
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 4: THOUGH i could see the argument for the. Over the
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 4: money is coming in towards the over here seventy percent
• 1:21:48
  Speaker 4: of tickets ninety two percent of the cash on the.
• 1:21:50
  Speaker 2: OVER i don't.
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 4: Disagree it's a total of eight and LIKE i, said
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 4: the bullpens are kind of used up right now and
• 1:21:56
  Speaker 4: they're not, good so if you go, OVER i would
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 4: definitely go over full. Game it is possible that with
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 4: the starting pitching matchup, here the starters don't go that
• 1:22:04
  Speaker 4: deep into the, game SO i think the over kind
• 1:22:06
  Speaker 4: of makes the most sense in this. Game the money
• 1:22:09
  Speaker 4: is also coming in towards the home team, here The White.
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 4: Sox they're around minus one twenty, something fifty six percent
• 1:22:15
  Speaker 4: of ticket seventy one percent of the cash on The White.
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 2: SOX i hate.
• 1:22:19
  Speaker 4: It it just says away in home, here like just
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 4: put the fucking team name here SO i don't.
• 1:22:23
  Speaker 2: Have to look up. HERE i don't, know but, yeah
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 2: the money is Backing sandlin. APPARENTLY i don't. KNOW i
• 1:22:30
  Speaker 2: don't know IF i agree with that, though.
• 1:22:33
  Speaker 4: But you, KNOW I i do like pitchers that are
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 4: making their major league debuts a lot of times because
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 4: of the. Unfamiliarity but his, profile you, know isn't great to,
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 4: Me SO i don't.
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 2: Know i'm staying away from the.
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 4: Game BUT i ALSO i COULD i could definitely see
• 1:22:46
  Speaker 4: even THOUGH i SAID i like the over full, game
• 1:22:49
  Speaker 4: this is one of those games WHERE i actually would
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 4: agree with an under in the first five as. Well
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 4: it's very rare THAT i would actually agree with opposite
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 4: sides of something first five versus. Total like usually it's
• 1:23:01
  Speaker 4: LIKE i like one thing and THAT i would just
• 1:23:02
  Speaker 4: avoid the.
• 1:23:03
  Speaker 2: Other but, YEAH i don't.
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 4: KNOW i, MEAN i could see the argument for the
• 1:23:08
  Speaker 4: first five under here for, sure, though with both pitchers
• 1:23:11
  Speaker 4: being Unfamiliar yankees At Kansas city is On Amazon. Prime
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 4: Kansas city got absolutely destroyed yesterday fifteen to. ONE i
• 1:23:20
  Speaker 4: told YOU i liked The yankees run line in that,
• 1:23:22
  Speaker 4: One but The yankees have not been an offensive.
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 2: Force really on the. Road or maybe it's more.
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 4: So they've been a very good offensive team at home
• 1:23:30
  Speaker 4: and not so much on the. Road but they exploded.
• 1:23:32
  Speaker 4: YESTERDAY i don't really think they're gonna do that. Again
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 4: but STILL i think The yankees still have an upper
• 1:23:39
  Speaker 4: hand in this game, too THOUGH i would not try
• 1:23:41
  Speaker 4: to Play Kansas city, here even Though Kansas city's trying
• 1:23:44
  Speaker 4: to avoid a sweet. Beer these teams are not playing.
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 4: Tomorrow The yankees are playing who the.
• 1:23:50
  Speaker 2: Fuck are they? PLAYING i, forget let me, See yankees
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 2: are playing The.
• 1:23:56
  Speaker 4: A'S i don't really think that's a look ahead to
• 1:23:59
  Speaker 4: the A, is ALTHOUGH i THINK i mentioned that already
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 4: right The, well The a's are trying to avoid a
• 1:24:05
  Speaker 4: sweep right now Against, seattle so The a's are not
• 1:24:07
  Speaker 4: gonna be looking ahead to The. Yankees BUT i don't
• 1:24:09
  Speaker 4: think The yankees are gonna really look ahead to The a's.
• 1:24:11
  Speaker 4: Either but Maybe Kansas, city you, know comes in with
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 4: some firepower, here because when you lose fifteen to one at,
• 1:24:17
  Speaker 4: home you have an embarrassing loss at.
• 1:24:20
  Speaker 2: HOME a lot of times you show up with more.
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 4: Motivation but how COULD i Back Kansas city WHEN i
• 1:24:24
  Speaker 4: don't like their? Bullpen they had four bullpen arms that
• 1:24:28
  Speaker 4: one of them Was, falter who was actually the starter.
• 1:24:31
  Speaker 4: Yesterday But Kansas city is Still their bullpen is a
• 1:24:34
  Speaker 4: little bit used up right. Now their bullpen's not. Good
• 1:24:37
  Speaker 4: yankees bullpen is better than. That The yankees only Use
• 1:24:39
  Speaker 4: yard bro out of the bullpen is a long relief.
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 4: Guy So schlittler obviously got them through a good portion
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 4: of the. Game yankees have a pretty decent. Bullpend they're
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 4: at twelfth their era is pretty good and they're rested,
• 1:24:55
  Speaker 4: here so they obviously have a bullpen. Edge royals are
• 1:24:58
  Speaker 4: ranked dead last and, whip but they're is better enough
• 1:25:02
  Speaker 4: that they're not as bad As Houston. Anaheim you, know
• 1:25:05
  Speaker 4: they may very well be the third worst bullpen right,
• 1:25:08
  Speaker 4: now though they're a bad. Bullpen yankees are number two
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 4: in offense right. Now after that explosion, yesterday they moved
• 1:25:15
  Speaker 4: up a little bit The royals twenty, Second so The
• 1:25:18
  Speaker 4: yankees have the better hitting and The yankees have the
• 1:25:21
  Speaker 4: better starter on the mound With Garrett cole.
• 1:25:23
  Speaker 2: Back he made one.
• 1:25:24
  Speaker 4: Start he missed an entire season plus came back from,
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 4: injury and he pitched pretty well Against Sampa.
• 1:25:30
  Speaker 2: Bay he shut them out for six innings.
• 1:25:32
  Speaker 4: With two hits, allowed so it looks Like cole is
• 1:25:35
  Speaker 4: somewhat back. Already although the one CONCERNED i guess is
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 4: he walked three guys un only had two, strikeouts so
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 4: it looks like it wasn't exactly fooling.
• 1:25:44
  Speaker 2: Hitters but still it's a pretty good.
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 4: Sign he had a good good start there and was
• 1:25:48
  Speaker 4: very efficient pitch, wise seventy two pitches and six, innings
• 1:25:52
  Speaker 4: So yankees have a really good starting pitching. Rotation, man
• 1:25:56
  Speaker 4: they're gonna win THE i don't see how any other
• 1:25:59
  Speaker 4: team could possibly in The American league this, year which
• 1:26:02
  Speaker 4: pisses me off because Then i'm gonna need whoever wins
• 1:26:05
  Speaker 4: The National, league probably The dodgers to beat The yankees
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 4: in Another World. Series, cole by the, way against The
• 1:26:11
  Speaker 4: royals has good numbers in eighty six at bats one
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 4: sixty three batting average three eighty TWO, ops twenty four
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 4: to one strike out walk, Ratio so obviously this looks
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 4: like he is going to pitch well again. Here most
• 1:26:24
  Speaker 4: Likely Noah cameron is pitching For Kansas. City he was
• 1:26:27
  Speaker 4: good last year and WHAT i think was his first
• 1:26:31
  Speaker 4: season in the. Majors this, year he hasn't been as,
• 1:26:33
  Speaker 4: good but he is pitching a little bit better again.
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 4: Recently but overall four point seven TWO, era one point
• 1:26:39
  Speaker 4: four to FIVE whip that's not.
• 1:26:40
  Speaker 2: Good he is better.
• 1:26:41
  Speaker 4: At home, though four point zero five home E, ra
• 1:26:45
  Speaker 4: and he's pitched a little bit better this. Month he's
• 1:26:47
  Speaker 4: got a sixteen to five strike out walk ratio, here
• 1:26:51
  Speaker 4: thirteen hits a lot in sixteen innings three point three
• 1:26:54
  Speaker 4: EIGHTY ra this. Month although his team has lost all
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 4: of his starts this, month and they've lost the majority
• 1:26:59
  Speaker 4: of his starts. Season he pitched against The yankees earlier
• 1:27:02
  Speaker 4: this season In New york and he got lit. Up
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 4: some of it was the fielding behind, him but he
• 1:27:07
  Speaker 4: allowed five and runs in four, innings gave up three long,
• 1:27:12
  Speaker 4: balls two, walks three, strikeout seven.
• 1:27:15
  Speaker 2: Hits it wasn't a good.
• 1:27:16
  Speaker 4: Start SO i don't know if this is the greatest
• 1:27:18
  Speaker 4: matchup For cameron Here.
• 1:27:20
  Speaker 2: Man but he did.
• 1:27:22
  Speaker 4: Pitch well last time out Against. Seattle he's made a
• 1:27:24
  Speaker 4: couple of good starts in a. Row he Shut seattle
• 1:27:27
  Speaker 4: out for six innings here At Kaufman, stadium Not Jeremy.
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 4: Kaufman but, overall his numbers against The yankees are not.
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 4: Good on thirty five at, bats it's not a huge,
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 4: sample and a lot of it is that last start
• 1:27:39
  Speaker 4: that he made against. Them but it's some pretty bad stuff.
• 1:27:42
  Speaker 4: Here two eighty six, average one nine oh ps eight
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 4: four strikeout walk. Ratio there's nothing to really like. There
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 4: and to, me it actually looks like the price is
• 1:27:52
  Speaker 4: not even that expensive on The yankees and minus one fifty,
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 4: seven you, KNOW i know the situation Favors Kansas city
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 4: like they should be looking to avoid the sweep, HEER
• 1:28:03
  Speaker 4: i would not be able to do. IT i think
• 1:28:04
  Speaker 4: the matchup strongly supports The yankees. Here yankees have ninety
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 4: three percent of tickets with ninety seven percent of the
• 1:28:11
  Speaker 4: cash that's on the money. Line but they're an extremely
• 1:28:13
  Speaker 4: public side, Though but minus one fifty seven on the
• 1:28:16
  Speaker 4: money line doesn't seem that expensive to. Me like it's
• 1:28:20
  Speaker 4: The yankees with coal on the mod you expect that
• 1:28:22
  Speaker 4: line to be heavier than. That but then the other thing, is,
• 1:28:26
  Speaker 4: though if that's your, thinking obviously the public is gonna
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 4: think that same. Thing it looks really easy to play
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 4: The yankees. Here so when it looks too easy like,
• 1:28:35
  Speaker 4: that that gives me a lot of.
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 2: PAUSE i can't really do it.
• 1:28:38
  Speaker 4: HERE i do slightly lean to The yankees, here, Though
• 1:28:41
  Speaker 4: like the matchup just seems like too much of a
• 1:28:43
  Speaker 4: mismatch to, me SO i Cannot there's no WAY i
• 1:28:46
  Speaker 4: would want to Play Kansas city, here even if the
• 1:28:48
  Speaker 4: situation kind of supports it. Totally in the game is at.
• 1:28:52
  Speaker 4: Nine that seems kind of crazy to me. Too we
• 1:28:54
  Speaker 4: have all these crazy high totals In Koppman, stadium AND
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 4: i gave out the under in the first game of the,
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 4: series first, five and that was a. WINNER i don't, know,
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 4: MAN i mean nine in A Garrett cole Game cole Versus,
• 1:29:07
  Speaker 4: Cameron you, know, YEAH i don't like. THAT i MEAN
• 1:29:11
  Speaker 4: i could see some arguments for an under in the
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 4: first five. Year the under is getting money forty five
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 4: percent ticket sixty two percent of the cash on the.
• 1:29:18
  Speaker 2: Under if you Like.
• 1:29:20
  Speaker 4: CAMERON i don't like his matchup numbers at, All but
• 1:29:22
  Speaker 4: if you like, him WHICH i kind of do, GENERALLY
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 4: i could see some arguments for the first five under.
• 1:29:28
  Speaker 4: There all, RIGHT i want to get through This nmber
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 4: in an hour and a. Half not even done with
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 4: Baseball houston At. TEXAS i was correct About texas winning,
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 4: yesterday al though they had to do it in a
• 1:29:37
  Speaker 4: ten to seven win way higher scoring than you would,
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 4: think probably the highest scoring game all.
• 1:29:44
  Speaker 2: Season In texas seventeen.
• 1:29:46
  Speaker 4: Runs texas like their home games average like six runs
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 4: a game total. Seventeen that's like Three texas games in one.
• 1:29:55
  Speaker 2: There that's. Insane does that mean we want to go under?
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 4: Here Maybe texas still has played a lot of under
• 1:30:03
  Speaker 4: types of games at home, Here, man And, texas they
• 1:30:08
  Speaker 4: did finally end a Losing. Street they lost four games
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 4: in a, row so sometimes that will give a team
• 1:30:12
  Speaker 4: new momentum. HERE i Think texas is the better of
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 4: the two. Teams they're pitching is obviously the huge advantage
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 4: they have. Here they used three relief pitchers Yesterday houston used.
• 1:30:23
  Speaker 4: One houston's bullpenz starting to slide. Back they're at twenty,
• 1:30:27
  Speaker 4: eighth BUT i think they're still the worst bullpen in.
• 1:30:29
  Speaker 4: Baseball texas is ranked, seventh but they're. Good they're one
• 1:30:33
  Speaker 4: of the top bullpens in my. Opinion houston has the
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 4: better offense their Fifth texas is a twenty, second tied.
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 2: With The royals in. Ops starting.
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 4: Pitching it looks like a huge mismatch in favor Of
• 1:30:47
  Speaker 4: texas when you just look at who's starting, Here burrows
• 1:30:51
  Speaker 4: against De Gram Mike burrows starting For. Houston not good numbers.
• 1:30:55
  Speaker 4: Here five point seven to Five, yrra one point five
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 4: to Three. Whip he's been a little bit better on
• 1:31:00
  Speaker 4: the road, though four point seventy Five.
• 1:31:02
  Speaker 2: Roadyra he's, pitched you, KNOW i don't.
• 1:31:06
  Speaker 4: KNOW i would say he's been a little bit better this.
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 4: Month he's gone at least five to two thirds innings
• 1:31:11
  Speaker 4: in every. Start one start he got shelled By, seattle
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 4: but his other starts weren't that. BAD i gave up
• 1:31:17
  Speaker 4: four viewer and runs and the other three had a
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 4: shutout for seven innings Against cincinnati on the road and
• 1:31:23
  Speaker 4: a hitter friendly.
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 2: Ballpark his walks are still.
• 1:31:26
  Speaker 4: Concerned he walked six guys in his last two outings
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 4: along with six, strikeouts so that is definitely.
• 1:31:31
  Speaker 2: Concerning over the course of the, season.
• 1:31:33
  Speaker 4: His strikeout rates a bit, low his hit rate is too,
• 1:31:36
  Speaker 4: high way over one per. Inning he's a lot of
• 1:31:38
  Speaker 4: decent amount of home, runs which is not, good and his.
• 1:31:40
  Speaker 2: Walk rate is still too.
• 1:31:41
  Speaker 4: High so, OVERALL i still don't THINK i could Trust burrows.
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 4: Here texas has not really seen much of, him though
• 1:31:48
  Speaker 4: they have ten at bats against.
• 1:31:49
  Speaker 2: Him five hitters have faced.
• 1:31:51
  Speaker 4: Him they have no extra base, hits three, strikeouts no,
• 1:31:54
  Speaker 4: walks two hundred average four hundred oh. Ps So, BURROWS
• 1:31:59
  Speaker 4: i Mean aby pitches well. Here it is a more
• 1:32:01
  Speaker 4: pitcher friendly. Environment he's gotten maybe a decent match up
• 1:32:05
  Speaker 4: here at, least and of COURSE i do expect De
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 4: grohm to pitch well here For. Texas he's been good
• 1:32:11
  Speaker 4: obviously throughout his entire, career but he's still good right,
• 1:32:14
  Speaker 4: now three point eight SIX, era one point zero to.
• 1:32:17
  Speaker 4: Whip he's been really good at. Home his home road
• 1:32:20
  Speaker 4: splits are. Insane he's been really bad on the road
• 1:32:23
  Speaker 4: and really good at. Home one point one to four HOME.
• 1:32:25
  Speaker 4: Era didn't do well last time out on the. Road in,
• 1:32:29
  Speaker 4: fact his last two outings to give up six home runs,
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 4: combined all of it on the. Road he's made three
• 1:32:36
  Speaker 4: roads starts this, month and that's basically why he hasn't
• 1:32:39
  Speaker 4: pitched that well his road. Starts he's gotten knocked, around
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 4: but he's also gotten kind of, unlucky allowing eight home,
• 1:32:46
  Speaker 4: runs even THOUGH i know he's a bit of a
• 1:32:47
  Speaker 4: fly ball, pitcher but still this month he has a
• 1:32:50
  Speaker 4: twenty four to four strikeout walk ratio and fewer than
• 1:32:53
  Speaker 4: one hit per inning twenty one hits in twenty two
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 4: and a third. Inning SO i think his six point
• 1:32:58
  Speaker 4: four FIVE era this one that is actually. Misleading it's
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 4: just the home runs have really skewed his, numbers and
• 1:33:06
  Speaker 4: he's allowed twelve of them on the. Season he's got
• 1:33:08
  Speaker 4: to get that number back. Down but the rest of
• 1:33:09
  Speaker 4: his numbers are. Good he's allowed few of them one
• 1:33:12
  Speaker 4: hit per, inning his walk rates. Low he's got a
• 1:33:14
  Speaker 4: high strikeout. Rate you, know he's back where he pitches
• 1:33:18
  Speaker 4: better in this pitcher friendly, stadium and he's got good
• 1:33:21
  Speaker 4: numbers Against houston in eighty one at, bats twenty nine,
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 4: strikeouts one. Walk that ratio is insane one seventy three
• 1:33:29
  Speaker 4: batting average allowed five sixty.
• 1:33:30
  Speaker 2: Six oh, Ps we're.
• 1:33:32
  Speaker 4: Really gonna have some pretty dominant numbers here from De
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 4: grom Against. Texas SO i think he pitches well. HERE
• 1:33:39
  Speaker 4: i wouldn't disagree with The texas side. HERE i think
• 1:33:41
  Speaker 4: they have too much of a pitching edge here and
• 1:33:43
  Speaker 4: they just broke their losing.
• 1:33:45
  Speaker 2: Streak texas looks.
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 4: Like the money's coming in against them, though seventy eight
• 1:33:49
  Speaker 4: percent of, tickets seventy two percent of the cash on.
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 4: Them they're at minus one sixty something. Year BUT i
• 1:33:54
  Speaker 4: would still probably do, them maybe a split bet partially run,
• 1:33:59
  Speaker 4: line partially. Line and the money is Hitting texas on
• 1:34:01
  Speaker 4: the run line here sixty three percent of the tickets
• 1:34:04
  Speaker 4: there and eighty six percent of the. Cash, so LIKE i,
• 1:34:06
  Speaker 4: said professional betters will find other ways to play a,
• 1:34:09
  Speaker 4: game you know WHAT i. Mean SO i could see
• 1:34:11
  Speaker 4: a split Bet texas money line run.
• 1:34:14
  Speaker 2: LINE i lean Towards texas.
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 4: Here the biggest money move or money indicator here is
• 1:34:20
  Speaker 4: on the under here, though LIKE i was kind of alluding,
• 1:34:23
  Speaker 4: to it's a seven and a half, total which is really,
• 1:34:26
  Speaker 4: low but you, know It's, texas so usually it's total
• 1:34:30
  Speaker 4: like that is warranted In. Texas twenty eight percent of
• 1:34:34
  Speaker 4: tickets fifty six percent of the cash on the under,
• 1:34:37
  Speaker 4: Here so seventy two percent of the tickets are on
• 1:34:39
  Speaker 4: the over and forty four percent of the Cash so
• 1:34:41
  Speaker 4: that's a big or fifty six percent of the cash
• 1:34:45
  Speaker 4: on the, under forty four percent of it on the.
• 1:34:48
  Speaker 4: Over that's a big disparity, there. Man so, YEAH i
• 1:34:52
  Speaker 4: mean under makes sense to. ME i don't THINK i
• 1:34:55
  Speaker 4: could really rely On houston's bullpen here, though even THOUGH
• 1:34:58
  Speaker 4: i might agree under full, game But houston pitching just
• 1:35:01
  Speaker 4: overall it doesn't look.
• 1:35:02
  Speaker 2: Great to me.
• 1:35:03
  Speaker 4: Here BUT i think if you do go, under Maybe
• 1:35:05
  Speaker 4: burrows with this kind of unfamiliarity here is good. Enough
• 1:35:08
  Speaker 4: first five under makes some sense to me. There wouldn't
• 1:35:12
  Speaker 4: necessarily disagree with. That it's probably three and a half.
• 1:35:15
  Speaker 4: Though then we have probably the heaviest favorite we've seen
• 1:35:18
  Speaker 4: in baseball this. Year dodgers Hosted colorado this SERIES i
• 1:35:24
  Speaker 4: believe might continue tomorrow To, no it does. Not The
• 1:35:28
  Speaker 4: dodgers Play philly, next by the, way so maybe The
• 1:35:30
  Speaker 4: dodgers do start looking ahead To. Philadelphia here it looks
• 1:35:34
  Speaker 4: like former Reds keith A. Hernandez don't mispronounce that one got.
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 4: Injured it looks like, here BUT i don't. Know we'll
• 1:35:43
  Speaker 4: see how that. Goes The dodgers have had some guys
• 1:35:46
  Speaker 4: in and out of the lineup, anyway though it doesn't
• 1:35:48
  Speaker 4: even really seem to matter The dodgers.
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 2: Around the verge of a sweep.
• 1:35:52
  Speaker 4: Here Maybe colorado does show up with more effort here
• 1:35:55
  Speaker 4: after losing fifteen to six, yesterday really really. Crazy dodgers
• 1:36:01
  Speaker 4: have some starting pitching, injuries but they have a good
• 1:36:03
  Speaker 4: starting pitcher on the mound here today, though so the
• 1:36:06
  Speaker 4: pitching is a complete mismatch. Here SO i can't recommend
• 1:36:10
  Speaker 4: coming in and Playing colorado, here even though they are
• 1:36:12
  Speaker 4: trying to avoid the. Sweep colorado did only use one
• 1:36:15
  Speaker 4: relief pitcher. Yesterday The dodgers also only used. One dodgers
• 1:36:20
  Speaker 4: are ranked two in bullpen. Here they've had a really
• 1:36:22
  Speaker 4: good bullpend this. Year colorado is twenty. First dodgers are
• 1:36:27
  Speaker 4: number one in. Offense, obviously we know that The rockies
• 1:36:31
  Speaker 4: are twenty, first so The dodgers have huge advantages in
• 1:36:34
  Speaker 4: the bullpen and in.
• 1:36:36
  Speaker 2: Hitting and it started.
• 1:36:37
  Speaker 4: Pitching sugano is pitching For colorado, Here Tomoyuki. Sugano he
• 1:36:42
  Speaker 4: hasn't been that bad, though a three point eight to SIX,
• 1:36:45
  Speaker 4: era one point two to three. Whip he's been pretty
• 1:36:48
  Speaker 4: good on the road three point two five ROADY, ra
• 1:36:50
  Speaker 4: which makes sense he's better away from a course field.
• 1:36:53
  Speaker 4: Here he's actually pitched pretty well in his last two,
• 1:36:56
  Speaker 4: outings both of them Against. Arizona he allowed two runs
• 1:36:59
  Speaker 4: a piece in each of, them five plus innings in each.
• 1:37:01
  Speaker 4: One but his strike out rate is just extremely. Low
• 1:37:06
  Speaker 4: that's just how he. Pitches his strike out rate is really.
• 1:37:09
  Speaker 4: Low the rest of his numbers are not that bad.
• 1:37:11
  Speaker 4: Though his walk rate is. Okay his hit rates below
• 1:37:14
  Speaker 4: one per, inning so he doesn't put a lot of
• 1:37:16
  Speaker 4: guys on, base but he doesn't strike guys out like
• 1:37:19
  Speaker 4: just does not blow people. Away numbers against The dodgers
• 1:37:23
  Speaker 4: are not, good, though and thirty three at bats they've
• 1:37:25
  Speaker 4: hit him around four twenty four batting average thirteen sixty
• 1:37:29
  Speaker 4: six ops six' two strikeout, walk ratios so that's. Not
• 1:37:32
  Speaker 4: good his worst start of the season came in course
• 1:37:36
  Speaker 4: field Against the dodgers earlier. This year he went, four
• 1:37:38
  Speaker 4: innings gave up five and runs on, nine hits, three strikeouts,
• 1:37:42
  Speaker 4: two walks and he did not pitch. Well THERE so
• 1:37:44
  Speaker 4: i Don't think Sugano is my guess is he's not
• 1:37:48
  Speaker 4: gonna pitch that, well here and he's having to go
• 1:37:51
  Speaker 4: up Against, show aotan so we Have the Battle of,
• 1:37:54
  Speaker 4: japan Here The. Civil war otani has been excellent as,
• 1:37:58
  Speaker 4: a starter though point seventy three point eight to FOUR whip,
• 1:38:03
  Speaker 4: i mean just ridiculous. Numbers here he's allowed four earned
• 1:38:07
  Speaker 4: runs total over the course of the season so far
• 1:38:10
  Speaker 4: in forty, nine innings way below one hit per. Inning
• 1:38:13
  Speaker 4: allowed his walk, rate is, you know actually a little,
• 1:38:16
  Speaker 4: bit high higher than what, you'd think but not. That
• 1:38:18
  Speaker 4: bad his strikeout rate is over one. Per, INNING yeah,
• 1:38:21
  Speaker 4: i mean his numbers across the board, are very. Very
• 1:38:23
  Speaker 4: good he's still pitching. Well recently he's had two straight shutout,
• 1:38:27
  Speaker 4: appearances recently but it Was Against san Francisco And. San
• 1:38:30
  Speaker 4: diego those offenses are. Not Good but colorado's is not very,
• 1:38:34
  Speaker 4: good either especially on. The road he's got twenty three
• 1:38:37
  Speaker 4: career at bats, against them one seventy four batting average
• 1:38:40
  Speaker 4: allowed five fifty six ohps seven to one strike out,
• 1:38:45
  Speaker 4: walk ratios and he's done well against them in.
• 1:38:46
  Speaker 2: The past they haven't faced him.
• 1:38:48
  Speaker 4: This year he did not pitch in that other Series,
• 1:38:50
  Speaker 4: at Courtsfield so otani does have a matchup.
• 1:38:54
  Speaker 2: Bet year it's.
• 1:38:55
  Speaker 4: Pretty clear but do you want to lay more than
• 1:38:57
  Speaker 4: minus four hundred On the dodgers.
• 1:39:00
  Speaker 2: There minus four?
• 1:39:01
  Speaker 4: Twenty, four yeah you gotta be, kidding, Me man dodgers
• 1:39:05
  Speaker 4: on the money line of ninety three percent of the
• 1:39:07
  Speaker 4: tickets and eighty one percent of. The cash, you know
• 1:39:11
  Speaker 4: there isn't even a run line. LISTED here i mean
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 4: some books probably do have a run. Line here you're
• 1:39:17
  Speaker 4: probably laying three and a half runs With the dodgers
• 1:39:19
  Speaker 4: if you want to lay a run, LINE here, i
• 1:39:21
  Speaker 4: mean this. Is, unbelievable obviously you cannot Play the dodgers
• 1:39:24
  Speaker 4: on the money. LINE here, i mean if you want
• 1:39:26
  Speaker 4: To go dodgers over their team total, OR something i
• 1:39:29
  Speaker 4: guess have that at the full game totals.
• 1:39:31
  Speaker 2: At eight so.
• 1:39:31
  Speaker 4: It's low but obviously a lot of that Is, because Sugano,
• 1:39:35
  Speaker 4: because Exusan because otani is. Pitching, HERE yeah, I mean
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 4: i don't KNOW what i would want to do with.
• 1:39:42
  Speaker 4: This game it seems like a huge mismatch For the.
• 1:39:44
  Speaker 4: Dodgers here but, THEN again, i mean if you find
• 1:39:48
  Speaker 4: a run line out there that's like plus three and
• 1:39:51
  Speaker 4: a half runs or something where maybe you could look
• 1:39:53
  Speaker 4: run line first five if you really Think maybe sugano
• 1:39:57
  Speaker 4: can hang enough in the first five to not have
• 1:40:01
  Speaker 4: his team being blown out early in, the game and
• 1:40:04
  Speaker 4: maybe that's.
• 1:40:05
  Speaker 2: THE move i.
• 1:40:05
  Speaker 4: DON'T know, i mean it is not a great spot
• 1:40:07
  Speaker 4: For the dodgers, at least but this is one of
• 1:40:10
  Speaker 4: those games it's almost impossible to find a way to.
• 1:40:12
  Speaker 4: ATTACK it i probably wouldn't disagree With the dodgers to
• 1:40:15
  Speaker 4: go over their, team total but that almost seems, too
• 1:40:18
  Speaker 4: obvious especially after they put up way too many runs.
• 1:40:21
  Speaker 2: Last night so THAT'S all i got.
• 1:40:24
  Speaker 4: For baseball there one play, in baseball AND then i
• 1:40:26
  Speaker 4: am gonna give OUT a wnba play right NOW if
• 1:40:29
  Speaker 4: i can figure out how this. Website works THERE'S no
• 1:40:32
  Speaker 4: NHL or nba today because THE other, nba Series The,
• 1:40:37
  Speaker 4: eastern conference ended and you think That The EASTERN conference
• 1:40:43
  Speaker 4: nhl game would, be today but. It's not it's TOMORROW
• 1:40:45
  Speaker 4: because i guess because they get an extra day off
• 1:40:47
  Speaker 4: and they're. Changing venues, so whatever we HAVE five wnba games.
• 1:40:51
  Speaker 4: TO dissect i got one play here and it is.
• 1:40:54
  Speaker 4: Definitely ugly we HAVE A usa network. Doubleheader here i'm
• 1:40:58
  Speaker 4: gonna close some of these base ball. Tabs here upe
• 1:41:00
  Speaker 4: you probably saw what my, play is, But whatever phoenix
• 1:41:04
  Speaker 4: At the liberty.
• 1:41:05
  Speaker 2: Is the first.
• 1:41:05
  Speaker 4: Game here Phoenix At. New York new york lost their
• 1:41:09
  Speaker 4: last game at Home. To portland as a big. Home
• 1:41:11
  Speaker 4: favorite they lost. By seven, that's, Bad dude So normally
• 1:41:16
  Speaker 4: i'm gonna, Say, that yeah when a team loses it
• 1:41:18
  Speaker 4: at home is a, big favorite you gotta expect they're gonna.
• 1:41:21
  Speaker 4: Bounce back they've lost three straight, home, games dude favorite
• 1:41:25
  Speaker 4: in all. Of them they're not as bad as the
• 1:41:26
  Speaker 4: record makes. Them look so you gotta think you're gonna
• 1:41:28
  Speaker 4: get an effort Out Of new york here that they're
• 1:41:31
  Speaker 4: gonna start playing. Better here but if you dig into
• 1:41:34
  Speaker 4: that box Score, against portland it wasn't really, that misleading
• 1:41:37
  Speaker 4: which definitely.
• 1:41:38
  Speaker 2: Worries Me like portland Outrebounded.
• 1:41:41
  Speaker 4: The Liberty the liberty had way more free throw attempts
• 1:41:44
  Speaker 4: and hit most, of them so.
• 1:41:45
  Speaker 2: This was really was not that misleading of.
• 1:41:47
  Speaker 4: A Final although portland did have way more field goal
• 1:41:51
  Speaker 4: attempts in, the game so they had, more possessions so
• 1:41:53
  Speaker 4: there was kind of a turnover disparity there, And whatever
• 1:41:57
  Speaker 4: so maybe that will be something that kind of regresses
• 1:41:59
  Speaker 4: in favor Of the. Liberty here phoenix coming in off
• 1:42:04
  Speaker 4: of losing three, straight games so they had a, tough
• 1:42:07
  Speaker 4: game a close.
• 1:42:07
  Speaker 2: Game Against an. Atlanta team it is a pretty.
• 1:42:09
  Speaker 4: Good defense atlanta is playing pretty well, right NOW so
• 1:42:13
  Speaker 4: i don't REALLY think I want. PHOENIX here i think
• 1:42:16
  Speaker 4: the money is Indicating, on PHOENIX but i would somewhat
• 1:42:18
  Speaker 4: lean towards laying it With. THE liberty i Know the
• 1:42:21
  Speaker 4: liberty have not done. Much Here, the liberty by, the
• 1:42:24
  Speaker 4: way we did lay the points with them Back against
• 1:42:28
  Speaker 4: portland in that second game out of the three that
• 1:42:30
  Speaker 4: they Played, against portland and that was the only.
• 1:42:32
  Speaker 2: One of them that. They won we got.
• 1:42:35
  Speaker 4: That right, but Yeah, THE liberty i, don't, know man
• 1:42:36
  Speaker 4: they seem to just not be living up to their potential.
• 1:42:40
  Speaker 4: Right now as far as the, Spread here i'm looking
• 1:42:45
  Speaker 4: at the yeah spread is obviously in the middle Here.
• 1:42:47
  Speaker 4: The liberty the money's coming in, against them fifty three percent,
• 1:42:50
  Speaker 4: of tickets fifty two percent of the cash. On them
• 1:42:52
  Speaker 4: they're a five and a half point. Favorite HERE but
• 1:42:54
  Speaker 4: I think i would lay the points With. THE liberty
• 1:42:57
  Speaker 4: i think that's THE way i. Would lean the line
• 1:42:59
  Speaker 4: is coming down, on, them though but that's THE way
• 1:43:01
  Speaker 4: i would lean in. That game Toronto. AT chicago i
• 1:43:04
  Speaker 4: don't have a good feel for. This one chicago has
• 1:43:08
  Speaker 4: lost two games in a row, at home but they're
• 1:43:09
  Speaker 4: coming off of a pretty tough game where they're they
• 1:43:12
  Speaker 4: Were playing minnesota. Pretty close minnesota is still a, good,
• 1:43:16
  Speaker 4: TEAM man, i mean they were the regular season champions.
• 1:43:18
  Speaker 4: LAST year I know collier is still injured for them,
• 1:43:21
  Speaker 4: right Now but minnesota has.
• 1:43:23
  Speaker 2: Been good so that was a tough Game.
• 1:43:25
  Speaker 4: For chicago they were within like six points with a
• 1:43:27
  Speaker 4: couple of minutes to go in, that game lost. By
• 1:43:30
  Speaker 4: ten and They have minnesota again next so they're in
• 1:43:33
  Speaker 4: kind Of a minnesota.
• 1:43:34
  Speaker 2: SANDWICH Here a. Lynx sandwich, YOU know i don't know
• 1:43:38
  Speaker 2: what that.
• 1:43:39
  Speaker 4: WOULD be i guess you're You're eating you're eating you're eating.
• 1:43:43
  Speaker 4: LINKS meat, i guess uh that doesn't sound like it
• 1:43:46
  Speaker 4: would be good.
• 1:43:47
  Speaker 2: Very Gamy jackson dart probably.
• 1:43:51
  Speaker 4: Hunts, them actually everybody's flipping out because people were pointing
• 1:43:55
  Speaker 4: Out That jackson dart picture where he had hunted that
• 1:43:58
  Speaker 4: mountain lion or whatever and used it to Troll The
• 1:44:02
  Speaker 4: Penn State nitny lyons back when he was. In college
• 1:44:06
  Speaker 4: people were overreacting. To, Everything man it's. Like, Whatever, Anyway
• 1:44:13
  Speaker 4: yeah Chicago's playing. Toronto HERE but i think it's a
• 1:44:15
  Speaker 4: little bit of a tough Spot for chicago because it
• 1:44:17
  Speaker 4: is sandwiched in between two Games. Against minnesota they played
• 1:44:21
  Speaker 4: fairly Tough against minnesota last. Time out toronto just lost
• 1:44:25
  Speaker 4: pretty badly at Home, against portland so maybe it'd be
• 1:44:28
  Speaker 4: good for them just go out on. The road it's
• 1:44:30
  Speaker 4: not a huge travel spot to Go from Toronto.
• 1:44:33
  Speaker 2: To chicago.
• 1:44:36
  Speaker 4: They just got blown Out, by minnesota by, the way
• 1:44:38
  Speaker 4: so people might look, and, say, Oh well Chicago beat
• 1:44:41
  Speaker 4: minnesota once and then they only lost them by ten.
• 1:44:44
  Speaker 4: Last time toronto Lost to minnesota by almost. Thirty, Points, right,
• 1:44:48
  Speaker 4: well yeah we Already know chicago is the. Better team
• 1:44:51
  Speaker 4: that's why they're. Favorite here that's factoring into the. Line
• 1:44:53
  Speaker 4: here chicago's a five and a half. Point favorite looks
• 1:44:58
  Speaker 4: like we have.
• 1:44:58
  Speaker 2: Fifty six percent of tickets and six percent.
• 1:45:00
  Speaker 4: Of the cash on the underdog Here. ON toronto i
• 1:45:04
  Speaker 4: agree with. THAT one i would lead slightly towards taking
• 1:45:06
  Speaker 4: the Points, with TORONTO but i do not. Want it
• 1:45:09
  Speaker 4: Atlanta and minnesota is the best game of the. Night
• 1:45:13
  Speaker 4: here both these teams are definitely what's The word i'm looking,
• 1:45:18
  Speaker 4: for here. THEY'RE contenders i would say potential, contenders here
• 1:45:22
  Speaker 4: EVEN though I know i didn't like the Move for
• 1:45:24
  Speaker 4: atlanta To Get, angel reese, but whatever she kind of
• 1:45:27
  Speaker 4: fits into their. Defensive style both these teams play. Good
• 1:45:30
  Speaker 4: defense by, The, way minnesota coming off that WIN that
• 1:45:35
  Speaker 4: i just Mentioned, against chicago they're not Gonna overlook, atlanta
• 1:45:38
  Speaker 4: though because their first game of the season they lost
• 1:45:41
  Speaker 4: at home in this. Same place they lost by One
• 1:45:44
  Speaker 4: to atlanta first game of. THE season I believe atlanta
• 1:45:47
  Speaker 4: was like a five, POINT favorite i want to say in,
• 1:45:50
  Speaker 4: that GAME so I said I thought minnesota, would cover and.
• 1:45:53
  Speaker 4: They did But maybe, minnesota's still, you know got their
• 1:45:56
  Speaker 4: eye on a little bit of in season revenge here
• 1:45:58
  Speaker 4: because they did lose. That game minnesota might have actually
• 1:46:02
  Speaker 4: even looked past them.
• 1:46:03
  Speaker 2: A little i.
• 1:46:03
  Speaker 4: Don't, Know well minnesota, played WELL so i don't think
• 1:46:05
  Speaker 4: they look. Past Them but minnesota had a big playoff
• 1:46:08
  Speaker 4: revenge Game against phoenix the, next Game because i'm Pretty
• 1:46:11
  Speaker 4: sure phoenix was the team That eliminated minnesota from the playoffs,
• 1:46:16
  Speaker 4: last year and some of it Was because minnesota. Had injuries,
• 1:46:18
  Speaker 4: But whatever minnesota's won two straight. Games here they're playing decent.
• 1:46:23
  Speaker 4: Right now they're not Gonna, overlook atlanta that would be.
• 1:46:26
  Speaker 4: My opinion they're only returning from a one game road Trip,
• 1:46:29
  Speaker 4: to chicago so that's not a.
• 1:46:30
  Speaker 2: BIG deal I think atlanta is going to show, up.
• 1:46:35
  Speaker 4: TOO though I know atlanta did just Win against phoenix,
• 1:46:37
  Speaker 4: at Home but atlanta was a bigger favorite than that
• 1:46:39
  Speaker 4: and they, almost LOST so I think.
• 1:46:41
  Speaker 2: Atlanta might have been looking Ahead to. Minnesota here.
• 1:46:45
  Speaker 4: They just Got, by PHOENIX so i think you're gonna
• 1:46:48
  Speaker 4: get focus Out of atlanta here. As well it seems
• 1:46:52
  Speaker 4: like it's an under game if you're gonna get both
• 1:46:54
  Speaker 4: teams showing up with. Focus here the last Time he,
• 1:46:56
  Speaker 4: seems played they got into the. One eighties you saw
• 1:46:59
  Speaker 4: that it was ninety one, to ninety which is interesting
• 1:47:03
  Speaker 4: because it was the first game of, the season you'd
• 1:47:04
  Speaker 4: think offenses would be out. Of rhythm but this total
• 1:47:08
  Speaker 4: is at one sixty five and. A half it's that
• 1:47:11
  Speaker 4: low for, a, Reason DUDE so i actually would probably.
• 1:47:13
  Speaker 4: LEAN under i don't do ANYTHING with, wnba totals but
• 1:47:16
  Speaker 4: it under seems to make sense to, Me, here like
• 1:47:18
  Speaker 4: why would this total be in the one sixties if
• 1:47:20
  Speaker 4: these teams scored in the one eighties the last time
• 1:47:23
  Speaker 4: they played, each, other right seventy five percent of, the
• 1:47:25
  Speaker 4: tickets sixty seven percent of the cash on, The over
• 1:47:28
  Speaker 4: so the money's indicating towards.
• 1:47:30
  Speaker 2: THE under i agree.
• 1:47:31
  Speaker 4: With that and then as far as the spread, is
• 1:47:33
  Speaker 4: concerned the money's coming a little bit towards the road,
• 1:47:38
  Speaker 4: favorite here Which is atlanta their two and a half,
• 1:47:40
  Speaker 4: Point favorite AND like, i said they were actually like
• 1:47:42
  Speaker 4: a four point favorite the other time these teams played.
• 1:47:45
  Speaker 4: Each OTHER but i TOLD you i thought that line
• 1:47:46
  Speaker 4: was a little bit. Too HIGH so i think two
• 1:47:48
  Speaker 4: and a half is. About Correct if collier, was back
• 1:47:51
  Speaker 4: you Gotta think minnesota would.
• 1:47:53
  Speaker 2: Be a, favorite.
• 1:47:53
  Speaker 4: Here though two and a half is the Line on atlanta.
• 1:47:56
  Speaker 4: Right now fifty two percent, of tickets fifty seven percent
• 1:47:59
  Speaker 4: of the Cash. ON atlanta i don't have a good
• 1:48:01
  Speaker 4: read on the side. AT all i think it undermakes
• 1:48:03
  Speaker 4: some sense in. That GAME though nhl is not. PLAYING
• 1:48:07
  Speaker 4: tonight i think tomorrow is the. NEXT game i can
• 1:48:12
  Speaker 4: make sure of that. Right now i'm pretty sure. Of,
• 1:48:14
  Speaker 4: Them yeah wednesday, or, no wait Today. Is wednesday oh.
• 1:48:19
  Speaker 4: My mistake we do HAVE an. Nhl, GAME well I
• 1:48:22
  Speaker 4: guess i'm gonna handicap that on. THE fly i haven't,
• 1:48:24
  Speaker 4: even handicapped, BUT yeah. I apologize. YOU'RE right i don't
• 1:48:27
  Speaker 4: KNOW why i was thinking that got moved, to tomorrow but,
• 1:48:29
  Speaker 4: you're right, ALL right i will.
• 1:48:31
  Speaker 2: Handicap. That gerald, thank you you.
• 1:48:32
  Speaker 4: SAVED me i was gonna TALK about nhl, last ANYWAY
• 1:48:36
  Speaker 4: because i TALK about wnba, before that because. Nobody CARES
• 1:48:39
  Speaker 4: but i have a play in this, next game which
• 1:48:41
  Speaker 4: is a really, Ugly game Connecticut. At PORTLAND but i
• 1:48:45
  Speaker 4: like the spot here for a number. Of reasons so
• 1:48:51
  Speaker 4: we're gonna go back to our friends here With The.
• 1:48:53
  Speaker 4: Connecticut sun the only game that they won this year
• 1:48:56
  Speaker 4: was THE game i give out a play. On them
• 1:48:58
  Speaker 4: we're gonna go back, to them but this time we
• 1:48:59
  Speaker 4: don't need them to win their plus six and. A
• 1:49:01
  Speaker 4: HALF although i know Every underdog i've given out IN
• 1:49:04
  Speaker 4: the wnba this season so far as, one outright including
• 1:49:08
  Speaker 4: like eight to nine.
• 1:49:09
  Speaker 2: Point. Underdogs whatever.
• 1:49:12
  Speaker 4: I'm not saying they're necessarily gonna, do THAT although i
• 1:49:14
  Speaker 4: think they have a chance to. Do that we have
• 1:49:16
  Speaker 4: a pretty low, total here though it's not as low
• 1:49:18
  Speaker 4: as This Horrible washington. Seattle game but there are a
• 1:49:22
  Speaker 4: lot OF things i like about this.
• 1:49:23
  Speaker 2: Game.
• 1:49:23
  Speaker 4: Here man portland's returning on from, the road so right
• 1:49:27
  Speaker 4: away that has to be looking to fade them because
• 1:49:29
  Speaker 4: they're returning over from a. Road trip they've been on
• 1:49:31
  Speaker 4: the road for. A week they Went, To, Indiana Toronto.
• 1:49:33
  Speaker 4: New york they had a successful, road trip won the last,
• 1:49:37
  Speaker 4: two games and in that last game They Upset new
• 1:49:39
  Speaker 4: York on monday as a. Big underdog so we have
• 1:49:42
  Speaker 4: two things coming into play here that are fade Spots for.
• 1:49:46
  Speaker 4: Portland here one is the return, home spot and they're
• 1:49:48
  Speaker 4: traveling cross country, as well so They gotta they're gonna
• 1:49:51
  Speaker 4: have to adjust to the time zone again and play
• 1:49:54
  Speaker 4: a late, night game so that's. Another negative on top of,
• 1:49:57
  Speaker 4: all that they have to adjust to playing late on
• 1:49:59
  Speaker 4: their biological clock against so a ton of bad things
• 1:50:02
  Speaker 4: Here for portland let down spot after a big. Upset
• 1:50:06
  Speaker 4: win return home spot tends to be a bit of a.
• 1:50:09
  Speaker 4: Distraction spot and maybe they Don't take connecticut totally seriously
• 1:50:12
  Speaker 4: because they Did beat connecticut the last time they're in,
• 1:50:15
  Speaker 4: this arena but they only beat them, BY one, i
• 1:50:18
  Speaker 4: know but they did. Beat THEM so i think there
• 1:50:21
  Speaker 4: are just a lot of indicators that this is not
• 1:50:23
  Speaker 4: A good, i mean we know it's not a good
• 1:50:25
  Speaker 4: Spot for, portland here and they Do play atlanta next
• 1:50:27
  Speaker 4: that's a fairly, big game And Then Indiana golden state.
• 1:50:30
  Speaker 4: After that those are all pretty. Good TEAMS so i
• 1:50:32
  Speaker 4: think it might be a sandwich spot here.
• 1:50:34
  Speaker 2: As well so there are a lot of. Negatives here
• 1:50:37
  Speaker 2: they might be looking ahead to.
• 1:50:38
  Speaker 4: That game this game is NOT a, tv game so
• 1:50:41
  Speaker 4: they may not be looking. At it and then if
• 1:50:42
  Speaker 4: we dig into this box, score here what happened in this. First,
• 1:50:45
  Speaker 4: game well first, Of, ALL connecticut i think part of
• 1:50:49
  Speaker 4: the reason they lost that first Game. Against portland that
• 1:50:51
  Speaker 4: was their first road game of, the Season so connecticut had,
• 1:50:54
  Speaker 4: or no it was their second they Played At, new
• 1:50:56
  Speaker 4: york but that was their first game away From the eastern.
• 1:50:59
  Speaker 4: Time ZONE and i talked about THIS when i Gave
• 1:51:02
  Speaker 4: out connecticut as a play in the, NEXT game, i,
• 1:51:04
  Speaker 4: said well now they're adjusted to the, time zone so
• 1:51:07
  Speaker 4: they're better off Now playing seattle because they had just Played,
• 1:51:11
  Speaker 4: in portland so they were adjusted to the. Time zone
• 1:51:13
  Speaker 4: and in, that game, Guess what seattle was returning home
• 1:51:16
  Speaker 4: from a. Road trip so there are a Lot of
• 1:51:18
  Speaker 4: seattle Had beaten connecticut during the. Road trip so there
• 1:51:21
  Speaker 4: are a lot of similarities between these two spots Here
• 1:51:24
  Speaker 4: that i'm Giving out, connecticut here, but yeah in in
• 1:51:30
  Speaker 4: this spot, Here, though yeah so in, that SPOT like, I,
• 1:51:33
  Speaker 4: SAID connecticut i think they just, you know they were
• 1:51:36
  Speaker 4: in an unfamiliar, venue too and that won't be the.
• 1:51:38
  Speaker 4: Case now So remember portland is an, expansion TEAM so
• 1:51:41
  Speaker 4: i think the first time that teams go to play in,
• 1:51:44
  Speaker 4: that venue they're unfamiliar, with it so it's a little
• 1:51:47
  Speaker 4: bit of an extra disadvantage. To them But now connecticut just,
• 1:51:50
  Speaker 4: played there so they've already played in this, arena once
• 1:51:53
  Speaker 4: so they know what. It's like They know, portland now
• 1:51:55
  Speaker 4: because that's the. Other thing Even though portland has to
• 1:51:57
  Speaker 4: like gain chemistry, and whatever when you're a team playing,
• 1:52:00
  Speaker 4: against them you don't really you've never seen them before,
• 1:52:03
  Speaker 4: this expansion so you don't really know what they're gonna throw,
• 1:52:05
  Speaker 4: at you you KNOW what.
• 1:52:06
  Speaker 2: I mean so that's also a little bit of a disadvantage.
• 1:52:08
  Speaker 4: As well But now connecticut has played in their, arena
• 1:52:11
  Speaker 4: before they've seen, them Before and connecticut's still on that same,
• 1:52:15
  Speaker 4: road TRIP so, i know towards the end of the
• 1:52:17
  Speaker 4: road trip you can get a little. Bit tired but
• 1:52:19
  Speaker 4: if you look at what they've done on the, road
• 1:52:20
  Speaker 4: trip they've only won, one GAME.
• 1:52:22
  Speaker 2: So i think they are going to be.
• 1:52:23
  Speaker 4: Focused here they're coming off a blowout Loss At. Golden
• 1:52:26
  Speaker 4: State golden state's a pretty. GOOD team I think connecticut
• 1:52:29
  Speaker 4: will show up with. Motivation here and obviously the travel
• 1:52:33
  Speaker 4: spot is better because they're only going From The bay
• 1:52:36
  Speaker 4: area Up to, portland here so obviously that's a it's
• 1:52:41
  Speaker 4: a better travel.
• 1:52:42
  Speaker 2: Spot here they're still On.
• 1:52:43
  Speaker 4: The, pacific coast they're still In the pacific. Time zone
• 1:52:45
  Speaker 4: portland's having to come all the, way back so that's.
• 1:52:48
  Speaker 4: ANOTHER positive i think a lot of Positives for. Connecticut
• 1:52:51
  Speaker 4: here then the other thing we want to look at
• 1:52:53
  Speaker 4: is what happened in that previous matchup between these.
• 1:52:55
  Speaker 2: Two teams was there something that was an.
• 1:52:58
  Speaker 4: Outlier here portland only won, the GAME but. I, won
• 1:53:01
  Speaker 4: also by, The way portland was a three and a half,
• 1:53:03
  Speaker 4: point favorite now there's six and. A half LIKE what,
• 1:53:08
  Speaker 4: I mean i know osbigers have to adjust Based, on
• 1:53:10
  Speaker 4: oh this team might be better than we thought, They
• 1:53:12
  Speaker 4: were but you're telling me that these teams just played
• 1:53:14
  Speaker 4: like two weeks ago or whatever, it was. Same venue
• 1:53:18
  Speaker 4: portland was three and a half and now they're laying
• 1:53:20
  Speaker 4: six and. A half, come, On, man like even if there's,
• 1:53:24
  Speaker 4: an INJURY which i. DON'T know i don't, PLAY attention
• 1:53:25
  Speaker 4: i don't pay attention to, the personnel but that's ridiculous
• 1:53:29
  Speaker 4: to me that the line would be three. Points HIGHER
• 1:53:32
  Speaker 4: so i think there's some line Value on connecticut. As,
• 1:53:35
  Speaker 4: well also if you dig into this box, Score here
• 1:53:38
  Speaker 4: connecticut won the, rebound battle so they were better in.
• 1:53:41
  Speaker 4: Some ways they were winning sixty percent of, the Game
• 1:53:45
  Speaker 4: so connecticut could have won.
• 1:53:46
  Speaker 2: The game they had control of a lot of the.
• 1:53:48
  Speaker 4: Game, here outright, shooting, Wise yeah connecticut did shoot, PRETTY well,
• 1:53:53
  Speaker 4: I know But actually portland didn't shoot too, badly either
• 1:53:56
  Speaker 4: so that wasn't a. Huge disparity the three point shooting
• 1:53:59
  Speaker 4: was basically. The same the other, big, disparity Though was
• 1:54:02
  Speaker 4: portland was plus nine in free Throw makes connecticut only
• 1:54:05
  Speaker 4: shot fifty five percent from the free. Throw line, you
• 1:54:08
  Speaker 4: know there's gotta be some. Regression there that's abnormally low
• 1:54:12
  Speaker 4: free throw percentage of free. Throw SHOOTING so I think
• 1:54:15
  Speaker 4: connecticut does you know there are some indicators Here that
• 1:54:18
  Speaker 4: connecticut you know that this was a bit of a
• 1:54:21
  Speaker 4: bit of a, Misleading Final like connecticut missed a ton
• 1:54:25
  Speaker 4: of their, free throws and if that wasn't, the case
• 1:54:26
  Speaker 4: they could have won. The game connecticut was leading for
• 1:54:29
  Speaker 4: a huge chunk in the middle of, the game and,
• 1:54:32
  Speaker 4: in fact they were leading by six points in the
• 1:54:35
  Speaker 4: middle of, the third and they were leading for a
• 1:54:37
  Speaker 4: decent chunk of the fourth quarter, or two and we
• 1:54:39
  Speaker 4: only need them to come within six and a. Half
• 1:54:41
  Speaker 4: here and by, the way in this, previous game they
• 1:54:45
  Speaker 4: were never even losing by that margin this. Entire game
• 1:54:48
  Speaker 4: portland's largest lead in the game was four points right
• 1:54:52
  Speaker 4: here in the.
• 1:54:52
  Speaker 2: Second quarter, so Yeah so.
• 1:54:56
  Speaker 4: Connecticut on a six and a, half line this would
• 1:54:58
  Speaker 4: have been a wire wire cut. For them so we're
• 1:55:01
  Speaker 4: Gonna take connecticut plus the points here in.
• 1:55:03
  Speaker 2: This one, the money what are we looking. At here
• 1:55:10
  Speaker 2: the money does not seem to agree.
• 1:55:11
  Speaker 4: Right now we have eighty percent, of tickets eighty five
• 1:55:13
  Speaker 4: percent of the cash on the favorite Here.
• 1:55:16
  Speaker 2: On PORTLAND but i, don't.
• 1:55:17
  Speaker 4: Care dude, You, KNOW portland i, don't know as an,
• 1:55:21
  Speaker 4: expansion team should they really be laying a price like
• 1:55:24
  Speaker 4: this EVEN against, I know connecticut's probably the worst team in.
• 1:55:27
  Speaker 2: The league oh were, PROBABLY definitely i think.
• 1:55:29
  Speaker 4: They are but, EVEN so i don't even Know if
• 1:55:32
  Speaker 4: portland should be laying this so many points. Against Anybody
• 1:55:34
  Speaker 4: so connecticut plus the points is the play for all.
• 1:55:37
  Speaker 4: THOSE reasons i think it's a pretty strong. Play there
• 1:55:40
  Speaker 4: and then We have Washington And. SEATTLE seattle, i mean
• 1:55:46
  Speaker 4: these two teams just played each Other in seattle won.
• 1:55:48
  Speaker 4: By twelve so immediately my thought, would, be well zig,
• 1:55:52
  Speaker 4: zag right because You had seattle winning by Twelve and
• 1:55:55
  Speaker 4: washington was a favorite in. This game washington was in
• 1:55:58
  Speaker 4: fact a four and a half point favorite in, this
• 1:56:01
  Speaker 4: game and now they're a little bit lower, here today
• 1:56:02
  Speaker 4: they're a three and a half. Point favorite why Just
• 1:56:05
  Speaker 4: because seattle won.
• 1:56:06
  Speaker 2: THIS game i.
• 1:56:07
  Speaker 4: Don't know but if you look like there were some,
• 1:56:09
  Speaker 4: outliers here the real outlier was the three.
• 1:56:12
  Speaker 2: POINT shooting, i mean this.
• 1:56:13
  Speaker 4: Is ridiculous, both teams by, the way went to the line,
• 1:56:16
  Speaker 4: a ton and both teams shot really well from the free.
• 1:56:19
  Speaker 2: Throw line but that is a ton of free throws in.
• 1:56:22
  Speaker 2: That game. That's crazy so.
• 1:56:25
  Speaker 4: EXCUSE me i think there might be some indicators maybe
• 1:56:27
  Speaker 4: towards an under in this game, As Well but washington
• 1:56:30
  Speaker 4: did not shoot well in.
• 1:56:32
  Speaker 2: The.
• 1:56:32
  Speaker 4: Game really the big, outlier Though was seattle shot forty
• 1:56:36
  Speaker 4: six percent. From three they hit thirteen threes Compared to
• 1:56:39
  Speaker 4: washington four. To Threes so seattle was plus twenty seven
• 1:56:44
  Speaker 4: from three. POINT range, i mean, come, on man and
• 1:56:46
  Speaker 4: they won. By twelve so obviously that three point shooting
• 1:56:50
  Speaker 4: outlier was the entire difference in. The game and, more
• 1:56:54
  Speaker 4: so you got to think there's gonna be some regression
• 1:56:56
  Speaker 4: there from the three. Point line So obviously i'm Leaning
• 1:56:59
  Speaker 4: towards washington in. This.
• 1:57:00
  Speaker 2: Game here it's not on, my card, You. KNOW seattle,
• 1:57:03
  Speaker 2: i mean the rebound battle.
• 1:57:04
  Speaker 4: Was close seattle did lead a lot of, the game
• 1:57:06
  Speaker 4: but then again it was because the three point shooting
• 1:57:08
  Speaker 4: was such a ridiculous, Outlier there i'm gonna Lean to.
• 1:57:12
  Speaker 4: Washington here you're laying a little bit of a lesser
• 1:57:14
  Speaker 4: price this time They are let, me see where are we?
• 1:57:17
  Speaker 2: At here they were laying four and a half in that,
• 1:57:21
  Speaker 2: other game they're laying three and. A.
• 1:57:22
  Speaker 4: Half here they're getting the money forty eight percent, of
• 1:57:25
  Speaker 4: tickets seventy two percent of the Cash, on washington and
• 1:57:28
  Speaker 4: so the money's coming In on washington on the. Zig
• 1:57:30
  Speaker 4: zag the money is also hitting the over. For what
• 1:57:33
  Speaker 4: that's where the total is, really low one fifty eight and,
• 1:57:36
  Speaker 4: a half which when a total is that low usually
• 1:57:40
  Speaker 4: it means that the oddsmakers are telling you that you
• 1:57:42
  Speaker 4: want to play the under because they think it's gonna
• 1:57:44
  Speaker 4: be a low.
• 1:57:45
  Speaker 2: Scoring game, oh yeah.
• 1:57:47
  Speaker 4: THAT'S right i said there should be some indicators towards,
• 1:57:49
  Speaker 4: the under. That's right, SO yeah i agree with the
• 1:57:51
  Speaker 4: under in. This, Game yeah and the oddsbggers are telling
• 1:57:53
  Speaker 4: you it should be a low.
• 1:57:54
  Speaker 2: Scoring game and you look.
• 1:57:55
  Speaker 4: At that, Last, game well they scored one hundred eighty
• 1:57:58
  Speaker 4: two points in this game.
• 1:57:59
  Speaker 2: Matter whatever this, was like like what are we talking?
• 1:58:02
  Speaker 2: About here?
• 1:58:03
  Speaker 4: You know and this totals in the one fifties right
• 1:58:05
  Speaker 4: around where it was in that game in the. One,
• 1:58:07
  Speaker 4: Fifties yeah BUT like i, just said there was a
• 1:58:09
  Speaker 4: huge three point outlier Here with seattle's three point. Shooting
• 1:58:12
  Speaker 4: him both teams had a ton of. Free throws each
• 1:58:15
  Speaker 4: team had more than thirty free. Throw makes that's not
• 1:58:19
  Speaker 4: gonna happen. Again HERE so i do like the under
• 1:58:21
  Speaker 4: in this game, as well but, you know none of
• 1:58:24
  Speaker 4: that's on. My car but the money's slightly indicating on
• 1:58:26
  Speaker 4: the over in that game seventy seven percent of tickets
• 1:58:29
  Speaker 4: eighty one percent of. THE cash i don't agree. WITH
• 1:58:30
  Speaker 4: that i like the under and. PROBABLY stronger i like
• 1:58:34
  Speaker 4: laying the Points, with washington but my one Play is
• 1:58:36
  Speaker 4: connecticut IN the wnba plus.
• 1:58:39
  Speaker 2: The six and a.
• 1:58:40
  Speaker 4: Half there, All right i'm gonna be pissed if my.
• 1:58:43
  Speaker 4: Play loses AND then i was right about everything.
• 1:58:45
  Speaker 2: In The washington. Seattle game, All right.
• 1:58:48
  Speaker 4: Yes we DO HAVE nhl. I apologize let me bring
• 1:58:52
  Speaker 4: that up here. As, well, Okay Yeah So, carolina montreal.
• 1:58:58
  Speaker 2: We're back we're Still.
• 1:58:59
  Speaker 4: In montreal carolina won the last two games of the series,
• 1:59:02
  Speaker 4: in Overtime but carolina absolutely dominated.
• 1:59:05
  Speaker 2: Those, Games dude.
• 1:59:06
  Speaker 4: Montreal had like twenty four total shots in the last. Two,
• 1:59:10
  Speaker 4: Games somehow carolina only won each of the last, two
• 1:59:13
  Speaker 4: games three.
• 1:59:14
  Speaker 2: To two but look at the, box.
• 1:59:16
  Speaker 4: Scores Dude in, Game two carolina twenty six to twelve
• 1:59:19
  Speaker 4: at shots and they had thirty more hits as Well in,
• 1:59:23
  Speaker 4: game THREE where i gave out a Play. On carolina in,
• 1:59:26
  Speaker 4: This game carolina had thirty nine Shots and montreal, had
• 1:59:30
  Speaker 4: Thirteen and carolina won the faces off battle and won
• 1:59:33
  Speaker 4: the hit battle. As, well montreal so My mistake montreal
• 1:59:36
  Speaker 4: is twenty five shots total in the last. Two games
• 1:59:39
  Speaker 4: and remember this Is the montreal team that had one
• 1:59:41
  Speaker 4: game In the game seven In the. Tampa series they
• 1:59:44
  Speaker 4: had nine shots in the old game and had none
• 1:59:47
  Speaker 4: in the entire. Second Period this montreal team is not, that,
• 1:59:50
  Speaker 4: Good dude like, just offensively they're not getting offensive possessions
• 1:59:55
  Speaker 4: at least against these better Teams like Carolina And. Tampa
• 1:59:58
  Speaker 4: bay it Seems like montreal cannot match completely. AGAINST them
• 2:00:02
  Speaker 4: i know they're playing a lot of close games, still
• 2:00:03
  Speaker 4: though but the indicators Are that carolina should have won
• 2:00:07
  Speaker 4: those last two games both way more easily than. They
• 2:00:10
  Speaker 4: did montreal had one period in this game where they
• 2:00:14
  Speaker 4: didn't where they only had. ONE shot I think i
• 2:00:16
  Speaker 4: think it might have been the. Third period montreal only
• 2:00:18
  Speaker 4: had one shot it's, just. Crazy dude so does THAT
• 2:00:24
  Speaker 4: mean I lean? CAROLINA here I think. I do montreal
• 2:00:28
  Speaker 4: has also not been good at home during. The playoffs
• 2:00:31
  Speaker 4: carolina is five and oh on the road during. THE
• 2:00:34
  Speaker 4: playoffs I believe montreal is now something like two and
• 2:00:37
  Speaker 4: five at home during, The playoffs so that's. Not good
• 2:00:40
  Speaker 4: so the home road splits during the Playoffs. Favor carolina
• 2:00:43
  Speaker 4: in the last. Two games carolina is way more dominant than.
• 2:00:46
  Speaker 4: It looks carolina is the more. Experienced team they're used.
• 2:00:49
  Speaker 4: To this they're good overtime team. AS well, i mean
• 2:00:52
  Speaker 4: you got to think back to back overtime losses for The.
• 2:00:55
  Speaker 4: Underdog montreal that's gotta like, those are, you know gut.
• 2:00:59
  Speaker 4: Wrenching losses, you know sometimes it's really hard to get
• 2:01:01
  Speaker 4: back up off the mat, after that almost pulling off
• 2:01:04
  Speaker 4: a win two games in. A row and the public
• 2:01:06
  Speaker 4: might look at this, and, THINK well, i on, YOU
• 2:01:08
  Speaker 4: know I. LIKE montreal I want montreal to even the.
• 2:01:11
  Speaker 4: Series HERE but i kind of see. IT differently I
• 2:01:13
  Speaker 4: think i Would lean carolina again on the money, line
• 2:01:15
  Speaker 4: here but this is not a play. For me carolina
• 2:01:18
  Speaker 4: minus won forty, two now but fifty four percent of
• 2:01:21
  Speaker 4: the tickets forty six percent of the Cash, on carolina
• 2:01:23
  Speaker 4: so the money is indicating a little Bit.
• 2:01:25
  Speaker 2: Towards, MONTREAL.
• 2:01:28
  Speaker 4: Yeah I mean i Would lean, carolina though and then
• 2:01:31
  Speaker 4: the money's coming in on the over a. Little bit
• 2:01:33
  Speaker 4: the totals five and. A half i, don't, KNOW man,
• 2:01:36
  Speaker 4: i mean the last two games have. Gone under montreal
• 2:01:38
  Speaker 4: is just not putting up numbers that make it look like.
• 2:01:40
  Speaker 2: They should be scoring a lot.
• 2:01:41
  Speaker 4: OF goals i know they put up a ton in that,
• 2:01:43
  Speaker 4: first game But remember carolina, was rusty And, once anderson,
• 2:01:47
  Speaker 4: you know got his legs under, him again he's been
• 2:01:49
  Speaker 4: very good in that, since then although he hasn't had
• 2:01:51
  Speaker 4: to defend against that.
• 2:01:52
  Speaker 2: Many shots but he's still been.
• 2:01:54
  Speaker 4: Pretty good, SO yeah i don't KNOW if i would
• 2:01:57
  Speaker 4: agree with an, over here NOT that i necessarily like an,
• 2:02:00
  Speaker 4: under either but both these last two games were pretty
• 2:02:03
  Speaker 4: low scoring and they both went into overtime, As WELL
• 2:02:06
  Speaker 4: so i don't have a good feel for.
• 2:02:07
  Speaker 2: The total but those are my thoughts on.
• 2:02:09
  Speaker 4: That game so Thank you gerald for pointing out that
• 2:02:12
  Speaker 4: there is a hockey game here that's gonna. Do it
• 2:02:14
  Speaker 4: my two plays are under first Five in Anaheim and detroit.
• 2:02:19
  Speaker 4: In baseball hopefully you can get under four there and
• 2:02:22
  Speaker 4: then the other play Is The connecticut sun plus the
• 2:02:25
  Speaker 4: points IN. The wnba that's gonna. DO it i appreciate.
• 2:02:29
  Speaker 4: It everybody thanks for. Hanging out learn it Tone, On
• 2:02:32
  Speaker 4: twitter Learn it Tone. On. Instagram twitter you can support
• 2:02:35
  Speaker 4: me there if you want to like and subscribe to the.
• 2:02:38
  Speaker 2: Channel here, of course get the, word.
• 2:02:41
  Speaker 4: AROUND man i mean this one hundred and forty three
• 2:02:44
  Speaker 4: and five run now of the last fifty. Three days
• 2:02:46
  Speaker 4: it's a, strong, Run baby and none of those plays
• 2:02:49
  Speaker 4: were a favorite of any more than about minus one forty,
• 2:02:52
  Speaker 4: or so so you. Know. Me moneyline we have a
• 2:02:55
  Speaker 4: lot of moneyline, sports HERE but i will not go
• 2:02:57
  Speaker 4: with a money line on a favorite that's one fifty or,
• 2:03:01
  Speaker 4: you know fifty, or stronger you KNOW what. I mean
• 2:03:04
  Speaker 4: so all of these are basically pick. Them prices so
• 2:03:07
  Speaker 4: there you go.
• 2:03:08
  Speaker 2: With that what ELSE was i?
• 2:03:10
  Speaker 4: Gonna, say yeah tell everybody, about, it, like subscribe listen, On, Audio, Apple.
• 2:03:15
  Speaker 4: Spotify spreaker it all helps. Me out starting to get a, headache,
• 2:03:19
  Speaker 4: here man might need to eat lunch. Or SOMETHING maybe
• 2:03:21
  Speaker 4: i need, to hydrate, but yeah it helps. Me out
• 2:03:25
  Speaker 4: listening on audio. As well i've got to get everything
• 2:03:26
  Speaker 4: up on the. Audio stuff Covered in you is my
• 2:03:30
  Speaker 4: yuke channel. ON YouTube i put up my most recent
• 2:03:32
  Speaker 4: cover Up there patreon. Dot com if you want to
• 2:03:34
  Speaker 4: support me, That way. Slash learned it's owed excuse where
• 2:03:37
  Speaker 4: you get a. YUKE feed i gotta get it back
• 2:03:40
  Speaker 4: up to DATING and i think there are a few
• 2:03:41
  Speaker 4: RECENT ones i haven't put up, there YET so I
• 2:03:43
  Speaker 4: know i have to do.
• 2:03:43
  Speaker 2: That STILL and i got to get to.
• 2:03:45
  Speaker 4: The requests they're route there, as well at least some,
• 2:03:47
  Speaker 4: of Them so i'm gonna try to. Do that that's
• 2:03:49
  Speaker 4: what you get With the patreon. Right Now loser cast
• 2:03:52
  Speaker 4: was new. LAST night I think. I was i was
• 2:03:54
  Speaker 4: back to nominating an actual good loser, this time so
• 2:03:57
  Speaker 4: you can go check that. Show out and there was
• 2:03:59
  Speaker 4: one thing that she DID that i forgot, to MENTION
• 2:04:01
  Speaker 4: which i will try to remember to mention on next
• 2:04:04
  Speaker 4: week's SHOW that i thought might lead to a joke.
• 2:04:07
  Speaker 2: Or two but check.
• 2:04:09
  Speaker 4: That out And then Giants G, SPOT podcast i think
• 2:04:11
  Speaker 4: we will do an episode at some point. This week
• 2:04:14
  Speaker 4: that's gonna do it. For Now The BELMONT steaks i
• 2:04:17
  Speaker 4: believe is coming up. SOON too i know my horse
• 2:04:19
  Speaker 4: racing has.
• 2:04:19
  Speaker 2: BEEN bad. I know.
• 2:04:21
  Speaker 4: I apologize let me see When's The? Belmont steaks is
• 2:04:23
  Speaker 4: it coming Up? This saturday or is it it might Be?
• 2:04:27
  Speaker 4: Next saturday, hang on It is, june Whatever whichever saturday
• 2:04:34
  Speaker 4: Is between june third, and seventh.
• 2:04:38
  Speaker 2: So that would be wait what that doesn't make, any, Sense, right,
• 2:04:44
  Speaker 2: oh no.
• 2:04:44
  Speaker 4: It does it'll Be a. June sixth that, looks, like
• 2:04:47
  Speaker 4: yeah so it's not, this weekend it's. Next Weekend so
• 2:04:50
  Speaker 4: i'll Have Some belmont, steaks stuff just JUST so i talk,
• 2:04:53
  Speaker 4: about it and you can make fun of the. Horses
• 2:04:55
  Speaker 4: names But and i'm a, horse's ass SO but i
• 2:04:59
  Speaker 4: don't know enough.
• 2:04:59
  Speaker 2: About.
• 2:05:00
  Speaker 4: HORSES man i, go with, you know listening to people
• 2:05:04
  Speaker 4: analyzing it. And whatever so that's gonna do it. For
• 2:05:07
  Speaker 4: now hopefully we get some. Wins today very selective. Card.
• 2:05:10
  Speaker 2: Today peace but don't you. Go quiet don't you fade from.
• 2:05:17
  Speaker 1: The floor your name steal mean something to somebody.
• 2:05:21
  Speaker 2: For show put the, glass, down baby look. At me no,
• 2:05:30
  Speaker 2: hold on.
• 2:05:33
  Speaker 3: Hold on, Nothing nice.
• 2:05:37
  Speaker 2: No, hold on.
• 2:05:41
  Speaker 3: Hold on let me fo that, bites hard but it
• 2:05:51
  Speaker 3: don't get. The crown, hold on hold on
• 2:05:58
  Speaker 2: And stay, with me little