Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Thursday, 08/20/26
Transcript
- 0:08Speaker 1: All system's gone clear.
- 0:10Speaker 2: We lift.
- 0:41Speaker 1: Whats up? Ship it Nation YouTube station. We got some
- 0:46Speaker 1: day baseball here on this thirtieth on the twentieth of August,
- 0:51Speaker 1: here on Thursday, so I'm looking forward to talking it
- 0:55Speaker 1: with my man Matt here. Of course, usually we're on
- 0:59Speaker 1: Thursday's we get a little extra early slate. Today. Thursday's
- 1:04Speaker 1: been a little light on us here in recent times.
- 1:06Speaker 1: But hey, we got six games today, three games later,
- 1:09Speaker 1: but we're gonna be talking about the main slate that
- 1:12Speaker 1: we got here. But bring you on in here, man,
- 1:15Speaker 1: how's it going? How is your week? And what do
- 1:17Speaker 1: you think real quick of this slate before we dive
- 1:20Speaker 1: into it.
- 1:21Speaker 3: Yeah, week's going good, man, Happy to be on here
- 1:23Speaker 3: with you. I feel like we got on another day
- 1:26Speaker 3: last week or the week before, which was nice when
- 1:28Speaker 3: we got a bigger slate, but at least we got
- 1:30Speaker 3: what six games today, It should be a fun one
- 1:32Speaker 3: to talk about. Man. Since you guys traded Schooble, well,
- 1:37Speaker 3: I know Detroit hasn't been amazing, but they haven't been
- 1:40Speaker 3: as shitty as Cleveland. Who's been Cleveland baseball is depressing
- 1:44Speaker 3: right now, so you know, it's a lot more fun
- 1:48Speaker 3: when the team you root for is good and we're
- 1:50Speaker 3: not good right now, so it makes it more of
- 1:52Speaker 3: a drag. But if I'll start soon, So we get
- 1:56Speaker 3: the Browns.
- 1:57Speaker 1: Oh man, you know we're in this damn boat. I mean,
- 2:01Speaker 1: we get the Lions. The Lion's been a little bit better,
- 2:03Speaker 1: but like the Lions and Browns have been like the
- 2:05Speaker 1: two worst freaking NFL teams. You know that there is
- 2:09Speaker 1: I mean, if they if they ever, if one of
- 2:11Speaker 1: them plays in the Super Bowl, it'd be cool if
- 2:12Speaker 1: we played the other one, like Lions and Browns. I mean,
- 2:15Speaker 1: I don't know, that might be earth shattering, but uh,
- 2:18Speaker 1: either way, yeah, I mean, ever since we traded school ball,
- 2:21Speaker 1: we brought in some younger kids that can actually fucking hit.
- 2:24Speaker 1: The problem is, Matt, the Tigers have blown like forty
- 2:27Speaker 1: eight percent or something of their save opportunities this year, Like, like,
- 2:30Speaker 1: that's fucking insane. How do you blow forty eight percent
- 2:33Speaker 1: of your save opportunities on the year. It's like eighteen times,
- 2:37Speaker 1: like they've blown a lead like they should have. They
- 2:39Speaker 1: should be like seventy and fucking fifty. I mean, it's unreal.
- 2:44Speaker 3: That's fucking wild. Honestly, forty eight percent of their saves.
- 2:48Speaker 3: I never heard of something like that. I didn't know that.
- 2:50Speaker 1: Yeah, they were talking about in sports radio here in
- 2:53Speaker 1: the last couple of days how bad the bullpen's been.
- 2:55Speaker 1: I mean, dude, like the starter's been pretty good, you know,
- 2:58Speaker 1: it's just you can't blow that, man, said Canley Jansen.
- 3:01Speaker 1: He needs to go Finn again. Hasn't been good, like
- 3:03Speaker 1: the bullpen's just the back half of that bullpens has
- 3:06Speaker 1: been ass.
- 3:07Speaker 3: But yeah, I mean we're dealing with the same shit
- 3:09Speaker 3: here too in Cleveland, and our lineup is even worse.
- 3:12Speaker 1: So I get it.
- 3:14Speaker 3: That's not helps now he's he's hurt. Slash might be old,
- 3:19Speaker 3: so yeah, that's not not fun. I think Detroit has
- 3:22Speaker 3: a better record than Cleveland, though, and they were eleven
- 3:24Speaker 3: games behind Cleveland for a while. So yeah, since like
- 3:28Speaker 3: the beginning of the season, I can't remember at what
- 3:30Speaker 3: point I was just reading this, Cleveland has like the
- 3:33Speaker 3: third worst record in baseball, better than only I think
- 3:37Speaker 3: the Athletics and Rockies, like over the past couple of months.
- 3:41Speaker 3: So we've lost like like six series or something like
- 3:46Speaker 3: more than that in a row. Sucks, man, Yeah.
- 3:50Speaker 1: The American League sucks. Matt I mean bad. It's like
- 3:54Speaker 1: the worst I think I can ever recall. I'm fifty
- 3:56Speaker 1: four years old. I can never recall the American League
- 3:59Speaker 1: being as bad as it is right now. It's like insane,
- 4:02Speaker 1: Like there's really no good teams. There's like nothing that
- 4:06Speaker 1: you would even fear. That's like, I just feel like
- 4:07Speaker 1: whoever comes out of the National League is gonna be
- 4:10Speaker 1: looking pretty good to lift up the trophy. That's like
- 4:14Speaker 1: I was kind of, you know, just a little baffled
- 4:16Speaker 1: why some teams didn't maybe go after Schooball a little harder,
- 4:20Speaker 1: like over in the National League, maybe like the Brew Crew,
- 4:23Speaker 1: maybe you know, San Diego, Atlanta. I just thought there
- 4:26Speaker 1: was different teams that could have maybe tried to step up,
- 4:28Speaker 1: because you feel like if you just beat the Dodgers
- 4:31Speaker 1: in the National League, like you got yourself a chance
- 4:34Speaker 1: to win the title. There isn't even a strong American
- 4:36Speaker 1: League team, especially if the Yankees don't have Judge. I mean, man,
- 4:40Speaker 1: the AL just blows man Like seriously.
- 4:43Speaker 3: It's definitely the worst I've ever seen it as a
- 4:46Speaker 3: baseball fan who's fouled at my entire life, I can't
- 4:48Speaker 3: remember where there's this much mid like there's mid and
- 4:53Speaker 3: bad teams and really, like the only real good team
- 4:57Speaker 3: I think is the Rays. But like even them, they're
- 5:02Speaker 3: not like some jug or not like they could be beat.
- 5:04Speaker 3: I just think they're by far the best. Yeah to
- 5:07Speaker 3: your like World Series point, man, I was saying this
- 5:11Speaker 3: the other day to someone that the NL has to
- 5:14Speaker 3: be massive favorites in the World Series over the AL
- 5:16Speaker 3: and they were who I was talking to was like, well, yeah,
- 5:18Speaker 3: obviously because of the Dodgers, And I said, take the
- 5:21Speaker 3: Dodgers out. If you excluded the Dodgers, I think the
- 5:25Speaker 3: n L should still be a massive favorite over the
- 5:28Speaker 3: AL in the World Series. There's five teams outside of
- 5:32Speaker 3: the Dodgers that are on the Rays level or better
- 5:35Speaker 3: in the NL.
- 5:37Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean I think if you put them all
- 5:38Speaker 1: together and put group them in diovidion, there may be
- 5:41Speaker 1: be two teams from the aoh that may even make
- 5:44Speaker 1: the playoff combined out like of all of it, Like
- 5:47Speaker 1: it's not it's just really it's been an awkward season
- 5:50Speaker 1: so far this year. I mean, like, cal Riley can't
- 5:52Speaker 1: hit a fucking can't hit the save his life, dude.
- 5:55Speaker 3: I was reading a stat that guy with like one
- 5:58Speaker 3: arm in eighteen ever has hit for higher average with
- 6:03Speaker 3: cal Raley this year.
- 6:05Speaker 1: Right, it's just yeah, it's terrible, But say hi to
- 6:10Speaker 1: some people the chat. See, we got Philly fan, we
- 6:13Speaker 1: got Aaron in here a little bit early with us. Aaron. Yeah,
- 6:16Speaker 1: imagine if they had Wander Franco. I wish they had
- 6:19Speaker 1: Wander Franco because the stack of baseball cards I have
- 6:23Speaker 1: wouldn't be completely fucking worthless. That because I thought Wander
- 6:27Speaker 1: was gonna be real good. I did invest some money
- 6:29Speaker 1: in them, and I got some pretty decent cards of
- 6:31Speaker 1: Wander that, uh, I ain't gonna be very good. That's
- 6:35Speaker 1: why I always say, like, collect some of the old
- 6:36Speaker 1: guys that aren't around and they're dead, because they ain't
- 6:38Speaker 1: gonna have any problems that are gonna make their card
- 6:41Speaker 1: go away. Like if show Hey got busted for that
- 6:43Speaker 1: instead of happy for that gambling shit show hate cards
- 6:46Speaker 1: would be worthless too right now. So but uh yeah
- 6:50Speaker 1: either way, but we got six games today, let's uh,
- 6:53Speaker 1: let's dive into this mess here and see what we got.
- 6:56Speaker 1: We got six games, like us, it doesn't look like
- 6:59Speaker 1: we got any weather to particularly worry about. I mean,
- 7:02Speaker 1: we got the Giants on the slate, Gavin Williams' highest
- 7:06Speaker 1: strike up percentage almost thirty two percent. Got a pretty
- 7:08Speaker 1: bad Giants team that obviously we're gonna be picking on
- 7:11Speaker 1: here coming up in recent times. And then we got
- 7:15Speaker 1: seymour seymore Butts at twenty eight almost twenty nine percent,
- 7:19Speaker 1: gets some matchup Furst the Blue Jays, and we got
- 7:21Speaker 1: George Kirby. Where's the Brewers. We got Rupe Gasser jump
- 7:27Speaker 1: maybe in play here today, But I mean, just looking
- 7:30Speaker 1: at the top hand, I mean, Gavin Williams has had
- 7:33Speaker 1: a few of those starts where he just hasn't looked
- 7:35Speaker 1: very good. But it's the times he has looked good.
- 7:38Speaker 1: I mean the last three out of his five starts.
- 7:40Speaker 1: Matter of fact, this will make it five out of
- 7:42Speaker 1: seven starts, five out of eight starts. Actually he's had
- 7:46Speaker 1: in the mid thirty points over on DK, so we
- 7:49Speaker 1: know he's got the strikeout capability. He had what five
- 7:52Speaker 1: games in a row where he had ten or more strikeouts?
- 7:55Speaker 1: His last two games he had five and seven, So
- 7:58Speaker 1: we definitely know the strike up matchups there. He's got
- 8:01Speaker 1: a Giants team that, I mean, more or less is
- 8:05Speaker 1: mirroring a minor league team minor league lineup up at
- 8:09Speaker 1: this point. But Williams, I mean, with the strike up
- 8:12Speaker 1: percentages he's got, he's got some strikeouts with devers A,
- 8:14Speaker 1: Damis l Ridge Costs. At the bottom of that lineup,
- 8:18Speaker 1: He's got what one, two, three, four guys that I
- 8:22Speaker 1: would call non strikeout threats. Gilbert fourteen percent, Jung Ho
- 8:26Speaker 1: Lee eight percent. Uh, and then you got a couple
- 8:29Speaker 1: guys in the teams. But I mean we're looking at
- 8:31Speaker 1: a guy over all this year thirty two percent strike
- 8:33Speaker 1: out the left side, thirty percent to the right side.
- 8:37Speaker 1: So I mean he's looked pretty good his last thirty days.
- 8:41Speaker 1: His strike up percentages have actually picked up, which is
- 8:46Speaker 1: which is interesting. But I mean he still does have
- 8:49Speaker 1: Gavin Williams still does have a pretty high fly ball
- 8:51Speaker 1: right to the left side. Has been getting barreled up
- 8:53Speaker 1: by the left side. But I mean, we really afraid
- 8:57Speaker 1: of this Giants lineup, I don't think so. I think
- 8:59Speaker 1: that's why Gavin Williams is gonna be pretty popular today, rightfully,
- 9:03Speaker 1: so Seymour. Seymour butts here against gets the Toronto Blue Jays.
- 9:08Speaker 1: He's been pretty good here his last five starts. He's
- 9:11Speaker 1: been anywhere between twenty and twenty seven points, So he's
- 9:15Speaker 1: definitely in play for me. Definitely a favorite here for
- 9:19Speaker 1: the Rays against that Blue Jay team. You're sitting there
- 9:23Speaker 1: looking at a game total of seven and a half
- 9:25Speaker 1: and he's a minus one sixty five favorite. So I
- 9:28Speaker 1: think that's interesting at eighty eight hundred. Man, I don't know, Man,
- 9:32Speaker 1: I can't buy into some George Kirby. I don't know
- 9:34Speaker 1: about you. I just don't like to match up against
- 9:38Speaker 1: against the Brew crew with his low strikeout rate. And
- 9:41Speaker 1: then you got Landing Rup. I mean, he's been bad recently.
- 9:45Speaker 1: He's just been a tough click here recent times has
- 9:48Speaker 1: not looked good. I mean his game log his last
- 9:50Speaker 1: four starts of not look good at all. He's been
- 9:53Speaker 1: struggling mightily. But as you mentioned, he gets a Cleveland
- 9:58Speaker 1: team here that is a pretty heavy favorite, almost a
- 10:01Speaker 1: minus or two hundred in a game total of seven.
- 10:05Speaker 1: Of course, he gets that match up with Gavin Williams.
- 10:08Speaker 1: But you know, maybe I don't mind the dueling pitcher aspect.
- 10:13Speaker 1: But he's the only other guy Rup above eight K.
- 10:16Speaker 1: We only got four guys above a K. I mentioned
- 10:19Speaker 1: Gasser and Jump. Maybe throw them in maybe we can
- 10:22Speaker 1: get to McGreevy and Singer. But man at the top here, Matt,
- 10:25Speaker 1: it looks kind of ugly. I did think it's Williams
- 10:28Speaker 1: and Seemore for me. I mean, if I'm playing on DK,
- 10:30Speaker 1: I try to figure it out with those two, I
- 10:32Speaker 1: think that's pretty much where i'd lie. Maybe if I
- 10:34Speaker 1: had a few other teams, maybe I'd take a chance
- 10:37Speaker 1: on some of these lower end guys. But man, Gavin
- 10:40Speaker 1: Williams for me'd be pretty easy click to be my
- 10:42Speaker 1: sp one both sites. I don't think it's that difficult
- 10:46Speaker 1: for me. It's pretty easy to get what you want.
- 10:49Speaker 1: We don't really have to see too many high price
- 10:52Speaker 1: offenses today that I think offense is gonna be pretty
- 10:55Speaker 1: spread out. So for me, I'm gonna go with the
- 10:58Speaker 1: safer end on the pitching today, Andilliams and Seymour filled
- 11:01Speaker 1: that out for me. What do you think?
- 11:03Speaker 3: I agree with you wholeheartedly. I think those two guys
- 11:05Speaker 3: are like the clear number one and number two on
- 11:07Speaker 3: this slate, and it's not close. I mean, Williams, yeah,
- 11:12Speaker 3: you could talk me into like stacking some San Francisco
- 11:16Speaker 3: and large field stuff and non Gavin Williams lineups, but
- 11:19Speaker 3: on paper, he's by far the best picture on this
- 11:22Speaker 3: slate in an amazing matchup. Talk about this San Fran lineup.
- 11:26Speaker 3: It's awful minor league dish as you mentioned. So yeah,
- 11:30Speaker 3: I'm in on Gavin like I was in on Messic yesterday.
- 11:34Speaker 3: I don't feel as good about Seymour, but he's also
- 11:37Speaker 3: been really good, great matchup. This Toronto team stinks right now,
- 11:42Speaker 3: no problem picking on them. Yeah, eighty eight hundred is
- 11:46Speaker 3: a hefty tag for him, but he's deserved it, especially
- 11:48Speaker 3: on this slate. So I think those two guys are
- 11:50Speaker 3: the clear one and two.
- 11:53Speaker 1: And too, not to cut you off, his last three
- 11:56Speaker 1: starts he's been up in the nineties were before you
- 11:59Speaker 1: know it was it was a reach for him to
- 12:00Speaker 1: get the eighty, So I do like in his last
- 12:03Speaker 1: three starts too, he's had you know what, ninety three,
- 12:06Speaker 1: ninety eight, ninety pitches, So that that helps me feel
- 12:09Speaker 1: a little better because we know what Tampa is with
- 12:12Speaker 1: their pitchers.
- 12:13Speaker 3: It's a great call. I mean, how can you not
- 12:15Speaker 3: like that just a little bit more, especially when you're
- 12:17Speaker 3: paying full freight for him. So yeah, I think it's
- 12:19Speaker 3: those two guys and then you want to make cases
- 12:22Speaker 3: for gass Er jump. Kirby's tough for me because, like
- 12:29Speaker 3: I just I don't know. The only reason I would
- 12:31Speaker 3: play Kirby is an ownership discount off of Seymour or Williams.
- 12:35Speaker 3: But I like those two a lot more, and I'm
- 12:37Speaker 3: not going to be playing enough lineups for me to
- 12:39Speaker 3: really want to get different there. So I'm with you.
- 12:42Speaker 3: It's the top two guys. Much rather get different with
- 12:45Speaker 3: my bass, because I think there's a bunch of good
- 12:47Speaker 3: stacks today. McGreevy is cheap enough and the Reds are
- 12:52Speaker 3: bad enough where you could play him, but you could
- 12:56Speaker 3: also stack the Reds here too, for sure, because he
- 12:59Speaker 3: is not good. And I feel like this is a
- 13:02Speaker 3: little bit similar to the last day slate we had.
- 13:07Speaker 3: I don't know, needs might have been filing, it might
- 13:09Speaker 3: have been I can't remember the circumstances of the show,
- 13:11Speaker 3: but I feel like it was last Thursday, and the
- 13:13Speaker 3: Reds were on the slate against Davis Martin, who also stinks,
- 13:17Speaker 3: and the Reds were the team you needed. So yeah,
- 13:21Speaker 3: I'm interested in we'll get the stacks. But mcgreevy's just
- 13:24Speaker 3: cheaping off against a bad Red Team. It reminds me
- 13:27Speaker 3: a lot of Davis Martin versus them last week. It
- 13:29Speaker 3: really does.
- 13:32Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean it's uh, it gets kind of ugly
- 13:35Speaker 1: past those top two. It gets a little uncomfortable with
- 13:39Speaker 1: some clicks. But uh ay, Orioles, you know, it's a
- 13:43Speaker 1: free show. You got a chance to click off, just
- 13:45Speaker 1: like I have a chance to black your ass and
- 13:48Speaker 1: Baanya seeya. So either way, Uh yeah, pitching's just a
- 13:56Speaker 1: little bit, you know, just I mean, like when you
- 13:58Speaker 1: start getting down in these cheap guys here, I mean
- 14:01Speaker 1: like Dobnak McGreevy. I mean I just feel like, you know,
- 14:05Speaker 1: with a guy like Dobnak, I see, you know was
- 14:08Speaker 1: asked in the chat there. I mean he's got a
- 14:10Speaker 1: twelve percent thirteen percent k rate to lefty sixteen percent.
- 14:14Speaker 1: He's been walking a lot of guys. I mean, that's
- 14:16Speaker 1: just a recipe for disaster. I mean, I'm looking for
- 14:18Speaker 1: some upside. I mean I think if Seymour and Gavin
- 14:21Speaker 1: Williams go off, I mean you're gonna have to have
- 14:24Speaker 1: those two period Like, I mean you're gonna have to
- 14:26Speaker 1: literally hope one of those two fail and then picked
- 14:29Speaker 1: the right one because I just think those are the
- 14:31Speaker 1: two with upside, and they're both gonna be probably highly owned,
- 14:34Speaker 1: I would assume. But after those two, you know, it's
- 14:38Speaker 1: just like I said, it's just more of a it's
- 14:41Speaker 1: more of a reach. I just, uh, I mean I
- 14:44Speaker 1: did see I did see Bieber at the bottom there,
- 14:47Speaker 1: you know, really cheap six k. I mean, he had
- 14:52Speaker 1: a decent start last time out, he had, He went
- 14:55Speaker 1: six innings five k's, gave up one earned run, gave
- 14:59Speaker 1: up a solo shot. You got any interest in in
- 15:02Speaker 1: the Beabs.
- 15:04Speaker 3: I can't do it. He just hasn't been good, and
- 15:06Speaker 3: I feel like last Star was more of an outlier
- 15:08Speaker 3: than than anything else. That said, Like, I kind of
- 15:13Speaker 3: hope he's okay because I don't know if I want
- 15:14Speaker 3: to stack Tampa here. And when he's been bad, he
- 15:16Speaker 3: puts a lot of guys on base, and you know
- 15:19Speaker 3: that obviously leads to big innings. I mean, I get it,
- 15:22Speaker 3: like the name value, he's so cheap, but give me
- 15:26Speaker 3: like a gauge jump who's not that much more expensive
- 15:30Speaker 3: over him. Yeah, I just I can't do Beaber right now.
- 15:36Speaker 3: And I see someone who mentioned Dobnak in the chat.
- 15:38Speaker 3: That's not for me. Sure, he's been pretty good, but
- 15:43Speaker 3: there's a lot of noise in those numbers, and I
- 15:46Speaker 3: just I expect a negative regression to hit sooner rather
- 15:49Speaker 3: than later. I mean, Dobnack is striking out fourteen percent
- 15:53Speaker 3: of hitters. That's insane, and it's eer of one seventy
- 15:57Speaker 3: three is really good. His expected of four fifty seven
- 16:02Speaker 3: is not. So I'm waiting for that start where dob
- 16:06Speaker 3: Neck just gets destroyed. Might not happen today because the
- 16:09Speaker 3: a stink. Maybe he has another good start, and if
- 16:12Speaker 3: you play him and he does well, grat steel, he
- 16:14Speaker 3: won't be on my teams.
- 16:17Speaker 1: One thing I saw else too, I wanted to add
- 16:19Speaker 1: about ed about Gage Jump. Just looking at him here, man,
- 16:22Speaker 1: his control has been just fucking awful. The last thirty days.
- 16:26Speaker 1: He's walking to nineteen percent of the lefties sixteen almost
- 16:29Speaker 1: seventeen percent of righties in the last thirty days. Overall
- 16:33Speaker 1: in the season, he's at a twelve and a half
- 16:35Speaker 1: percent walk percentage to lefties. But I mean, you just
- 16:38Speaker 1: look at his numbers too. I think another thing that
- 16:40Speaker 1: stood out for me was he's not been good at home,
- 16:43Speaker 1: but he's been really decent on the road. So I
- 16:46Speaker 1: think he's like, you know, you're pitching in a cracker
- 16:49Speaker 1: jack box over there out there, and at the Sacramento
- 16:53Speaker 1: he feels like, you know, he probably is, you know,
- 16:56Speaker 1: chicking to keep it around the plate. That's probably why
- 16:58Speaker 1: he's walking so many guys. But you know, I just
- 17:02Speaker 1: the difference in era is almost three and a half
- 17:05Speaker 1: runs from home to the road. So I think that, uh,
- 17:09Speaker 1: I think that's you know, definitely something you know that
- 17:14Speaker 1: that I'm looking at.
- 17:16Speaker 3: I feel like you need to ban piece of Sausage
- 17:18Speaker 3: too for his awful, awful taken chat about my toys
- 17:21Speaker 3: in the background, these WWF figures from the early nineties
- 17:25Speaker 3: that are probably worth more than Pizza sausage wife himself.
- 17:28Speaker 3: So we will not take slander about my WWF stuff
- 17:31Speaker 3: in the background there.
- 17:32Speaker 1: You know, we agree with that too, Like you can't
- 17:36Speaker 1: you know, it's like ripping on me for having baseball
- 17:39Speaker 1: cards in the background.
- 17:40Speaker 3: Like there's some cards back there too, Like I mean, listen,
- 17:43Speaker 3: I got.
- 17:44Speaker 1: It's like, is everybody like the early fucking like people
- 17:47Speaker 1: out in the you know world today just anger, Like
- 17:50Speaker 1: everybody want to you know, are we just choosing violence today?
- 17:53Speaker 1: Like you know, I don't get it. Whatever, it's a
- 17:57Speaker 1: free damn show like keep. I mean, I don't understand
- 18:00Speaker 1: people sometimes like whatever, I don't really care, but we
- 18:04Speaker 1: ain't gonna let the bad apples ruin the fun for
- 18:08Speaker 1: the rest of us. I mean, I'm surprised I haven't
- 18:09Speaker 1: got yelled at for calling them the Indians or you know,
- 18:12Speaker 1: some other shit that I usually catch slack for, which
- 18:15Speaker 1: is totally okay with me. I mean, it is what
- 18:17Speaker 1: it is. It's like, you know, you call the Canadians,
- 18:20Speaker 1: you call them the Habs, all of a sudden, you're
- 18:23Speaker 1: you're bad, Like, oh, it's my nickname.
- 18:25Speaker 3: For I didn't even know that one. I didn't know
- 18:27Speaker 3: that that was bad, honestly, never did.
- 18:30Speaker 1: I mean, I guess it gets political if you start
- 18:32Speaker 1: calling the team that what they're not. I don't know.
- 18:35Speaker 1: I mean, everything turns into politics, which is stupid. But
- 18:38Speaker 1: I mean, if I want, I mean, the team is
- 18:40Speaker 1: the team whatever I want to call them. I mean,
- 18:43Speaker 1: I fuck, I call the Tigers the shitty kitties, and
- 18:46Speaker 1: I had to call them all kinds of different things,
- 18:48Speaker 1: you know, when you're talking with your friends. I mean,
- 18:50Speaker 1: it is what it is. We're sports fans. We're all crazy.
- 18:52Speaker 1: That's what fanatics stands for.
- 18:54Speaker 3: To people in Detroit hate when they call them the
- 18:57Speaker 3: Motor City kitties.
- 18:58Speaker 1: Yeah, because it kind of sounds like, you know, girly ish,
- 19:01Speaker 1: you know. Yes, you know, like here in Detroit, we
- 19:07Speaker 1: can't wait for the bears to come in so we
- 19:09Speaker 1: can start chanting Hammon Bears, you know, like we can't
- 19:12Speaker 1: wait for that kind of crap, you know. But h yeah,
- 19:16Speaker 1: So either way, But yeah, like Juw says, maybe no
- 19:20Speaker 1: morning coffee yet, you get these people in it, Go
- 19:22Speaker 1: smoke a faddie, get you a nice Stativa doobie, put
- 19:25Speaker 1: it in your mouth, light it and suck on it
- 19:27Speaker 1: for a minute and you'll feel a little bit better.
- 19:30Speaker 1: But yeah, like you said, negative nancies, Karen's, I mean,
- 19:34Speaker 1: we don't care. We get it all. Like trying to
- 19:37Speaker 1: predict DFS. Baseball is one of the toughest freaking things
- 19:41Speaker 1: you can possibly do. I've learned that a long time ago. Like,
- 19:43Speaker 1: and I've been playing this game for a long damn time,
- 19:46Speaker 1: and I've seen many that are really supposedly good come
- 19:49Speaker 1: and go and never play again because they can't take
- 19:52Speaker 1: the beat down. So either way, but yeah, good times,
- 19:58Speaker 1: good times. Let's get to some hitting. We got the
- 20:02Speaker 1: six games, you know, let's back up, rewind. My brain
- 20:05Speaker 1: got a little messed up. So other than other than
- 20:09Speaker 1: Seymour and Gavin Williams, who do you feel good about
- 20:13Speaker 1: playing anyone else? Like I said, I mean, Jump scares
- 20:17Speaker 1: me a little bit because of his walk issues. Gasser,
- 20:19Speaker 1: I don't mind picking on that Seattle offense. That's just
- 20:22Speaker 1: been garbage. You know, maybe Singer and McGreevy. I think
- 20:25Speaker 1: that's more of a liquor bottle type play. And then
- 20:28Speaker 1: if I really want to start doing shots at jamisoner screwball,
- 20:31Speaker 1: maybe you could throw in some Bieber. But yeah, I
- 20:34Speaker 1: mean it's tough news, but I just think i'd stay
- 20:36Speaker 1: up the top. I mean feeling differently, I feel like.
- 20:40Speaker 3: There's no one I feel good about outside of the
- 20:42Speaker 3: top two guys. But there are other guys in play
- 20:45Speaker 3: because I could see Jump pitching well here, you know
- 20:49Speaker 3: there's other guys. We mentioned Gasser. You talked about the matchup.
- 20:54Speaker 3: There's other certainly other options in tournaments. If I were
- 20:57Speaker 3: playing one fifty, I wouldn't just load in Williams and Seymour.
- 21:02Speaker 3: But if I'm playing one lineup, it's hard to not
- 21:04Speaker 3: just play those two guys and get different with bats,
- 21:08Speaker 3: if that's your prerogative.
- 21:10Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean I think offense should be fairly spread
- 21:13Speaker 1: out here. But as you see, I got the stone
- 21:16Speaker 1: pulled up here, we got our first game, we got
- 21:19Speaker 1: the Cards and Reds. We're sitting here looking at a
- 21:25Speaker 1: game total of a little bit over pretty close to
- 21:29Speaker 1: nine in some areas, so we got decent game here
- 21:32Speaker 1: for some hitting. We got Brady Singer and McCreevy, who
- 21:35Speaker 1: we just talked a little bit. Are we even interested
- 21:39Speaker 1: in either of these two pitchers? But I can't really say.
- 21:44Speaker 1: I think I do prefer the red side in this
- 21:47Speaker 1: one here against against McGreevy. McGreevy, I means k percentages
- 21:53Speaker 1: pretty low to the left side fifteen percent so far
- 21:56Speaker 1: on the season, he's been getting bailed up almost eleven percent.
- 21:59Speaker 1: So Ellie Dela Cruz bil a day. I think it
- 22:02Speaker 1: would be interesting top of that lineup. But yeah, I
- 22:06Speaker 1: mean after that, I think the Cards will be a
- 22:09Speaker 1: little bit further down for me picking that Singer, but
- 22:12Speaker 1: I think the Reds definitely be interesting. I mean, I
- 22:15Speaker 1: don't I don't think any offense stands out today like
- 22:18Speaker 1: we've seen in the past week here with Dodgers, you know,
- 22:21Speaker 1: and so forth. But I think the Reds, the Reds
- 22:24Speaker 1: would be interesting, especially in that park we like to
- 22:27Speaker 1: play in, great American small park.
- 22:31Speaker 3: I think both teams got to be in play here
- 22:33Speaker 3: for sure. I mean both pitchers can get got Singer
- 22:35Speaker 3: am McGreevy. I mean they both are not good. I
- 22:39Speaker 3: think McGreevy is slightly worse. But I do think the
- 22:43Speaker 3: Cardinals lineup is better than the Reds. So I think
- 22:46Speaker 3: both these teams got to be like top tier stacks today.
- 22:50Speaker 3: I wonder I'm interested to see I should say how
- 22:52Speaker 3: ownership breaks down. I bet it's really close between the
- 22:57Speaker 3: Cards the Reds, and a couple other teams. With you,
- 23:00Speaker 3: I think it's just spread. How it's slate. You can
- 23:02Speaker 3: kind of just plant your flag on who you want.
- 23:05Speaker 3: Both these teams got to be top tier stacks today.
- 23:09Speaker 1: Singer just looking at his numbers, you know, I don't
- 23:12Speaker 1: know how you feel. But like when we start getting
- 23:14Speaker 1: later in this season here, I I really look at
- 23:17Speaker 1: pitchers last thirty days a little bit more than I
- 23:19Speaker 1: do in the time because disinterest, armed fatigue, so forth.
- 23:25Speaker 1: You know, sometimes too, you start, you gotta watch pitch
- 23:28Speaker 1: counts as the time goes on.
- 23:29Speaker 3: There's no better example of that than Paul Skans go ahead, sorry.
- 23:32Speaker 1: Yeah, exactly, you know you, Paul Skins exactly. I mean
- 23:36Speaker 1: you get to go home to Livy doone every night, Like,
- 23:38Speaker 1: what the fuck do you care when your team's out
- 23:40Speaker 1: of it. I'm happy man going home. I don't give
- 23:42Speaker 1: a shit. But yeah, I do think that that kind
- 23:44Speaker 1: of matters. But you know, in the last thirty days,
- 23:47Speaker 1: Singer's walk percentage to the righties has been up a
- 23:50Speaker 1: little bit here. His ground ball percentages are still decent.
- 23:55Speaker 1: He's not as good of a ground ball pitcher to
- 23:57Speaker 1: the left side as he is to the right side.
- 23:59Speaker 1: But I mean when I start seeing numbers click up
- 24:02Speaker 1: in the walk percentage area and hard hit rate and
- 24:06Speaker 1: stuff like that, it does concern me a little bit
- 24:08Speaker 1: when I'm on some of them guys. But yeah, I
- 24:10Speaker 1: think both teams are in play. I got the Reds
- 24:12Speaker 1: a little higher. I mean, of the twelve teams, I
- 24:15Speaker 1: think I'd have both of these on the upper half
- 24:18Speaker 1: six of the teams. But I do think the Reds
- 24:21Speaker 1: are a little bit more interesting for me. I just
- 24:25Speaker 1: think they got a little bit more power. All right,
- 24:29Speaker 1: let's see here, what other game we got here? We
- 24:31Speaker 1: got the next one here, we got the Indians and
- 24:35Speaker 1: the Giants. We got a pitching, pretty decent pitching matchup.
- 24:38Speaker 1: I don't have any interest in any Giants. I don't
- 24:41Speaker 1: even have any interest in any of the one offs.
- 24:43Speaker 1: If you weren't playing any Gavin Williams lineups, I mean,
- 24:46Speaker 1: I guess maybe you could look at Adevers if you
- 24:49Speaker 1: wanted to go that route. Land of Rupp, on the
- 24:52Speaker 1: other hand, has had some issues here in recent time.
- 24:55Speaker 1: He has not been good. He's had all kinds of
- 24:56Speaker 1: walk issues. I just wish your team over there was
- 24:59Speaker 1: hit a little bit better. I just I really don't
- 25:03Speaker 1: like the lineup. I haven't really been playing him here.
- 25:06Speaker 1: I don't see any reason for me to go there
- 25:08Speaker 1: this time. I mean, maybe you could tuck me into
- 25:11Speaker 1: some Cleveland, but I just I can't do it. I
- 25:14Speaker 1: just they haven't been hitting at all here in recent times,
- 25:17Speaker 1: so it's kind of hard for me to give up,
- 25:18Speaker 1: you know, just just forget about all that and play
- 25:22Speaker 1: him here today. I just can't do it.
- 25:24Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't blame you man. I mean Raup is
- 25:27Speaker 3: someone I like to use when he's at home, and
- 25:30Speaker 3: I like to I don't necessarily want to pick on
- 25:32Speaker 3: him on the road, but I'm more I'm more willing
- 25:35Speaker 3: to pick on him on the road. Obviously a big
- 25:37Speaker 3: ballpark downgrade for him going from San fran to Cleveland,
- 25:41Speaker 3: and I think you can use pieces of Cleveland, but
- 25:46Speaker 3: as a full stack it's just hard for me to
- 25:49Speaker 3: get on board there. They will run a little bit
- 25:51Speaker 3: like their lineup just right now, with no de laut
- 25:53Speaker 3: or no Joe Adele. You got Bizan a hitting second.
- 25:57Speaker 3: I like it because he runs, but he really hasn't
- 25:59Speaker 3: been good. So I think my favorite piece of Cleveland
- 26:03Speaker 3: is on how ganal Janal top prospect you know, is
- 26:07Speaker 3: in the middle of that lineup, switch hitter. So I
- 26:10Speaker 3: don't mind some pieces of Cleveland, but hard for me
- 26:12Speaker 3: to want to full stack them. And the Giants on paper,
- 26:16Speaker 3: I don't like them at all. They just offer a
- 26:18Speaker 3: really really crazy amount of leverage on a small slate,
- 26:21Speaker 3: and they also get a big ballpark upgrade. So if
- 26:24Speaker 3: I were playing one fifty, I would definitely have some
- 26:26Speaker 3: giant stacks, But you know, I can't sit here and
- 26:31Speaker 3: say I want to play them in single entry. But
- 26:33Speaker 3: I'll say this like yesterday night with Messic in a
- 26:38Speaker 3: similar spot as Gavin Williams. You know, Gavin Lilliams is
- 26:42Speaker 3: the better DFS pitcher than the Messic and I'm sure
- 26:44Speaker 3: Gavin Williams will be higher rowned than Messic was last night.
- 26:47Speaker 3: The Giants and the Big eight eighty eight were unowned,
- 26:51Speaker 3: not like one percent, like all of them were zero
- 26:54Speaker 3: percent owned. So if you're telling me that no one
- 26:57Speaker 3: is going to play the Giants interested, obviously we won't
- 27:01Speaker 3: know that going in and I probably won't play them personally,
- 27:03Speaker 3: but you get a crazy amount of leverard, So got
- 27:05Speaker 3: to shout that out.
- 27:08Speaker 1: Man. They're just coming out of the woodwork today, Matt
- 27:11Speaker 1: like this. I'm just I got the button already. Anybody
- 27:14Speaker 1: else wants what was that one?
- 27:15Speaker 3: I didn't even see it said?
- 27:17Speaker 1: If you're taking advice from these two, you might as
- 27:19Speaker 1: well not even play. I mean, dude, I've been to
- 27:22Speaker 1: more live finals and fucking you've had girlfriends, bro, so
- 27:26Speaker 1: you know you can whatever you want. I mean, give
- 27:29Speaker 1: me a fucking break, so either way, but yeah, I can't.
- 27:35Speaker 1: I can't get on board with anyone that. I mean,
- 27:37Speaker 1: it's hard to play offenses when you got a game
- 27:40Speaker 1: total sitting at seven. So I'm I'm off in that one.
- 27:43Speaker 1: But we got that twelve forty game. I forgot to
- 27:46Speaker 1: mention that Saint Louis game, twelve forty read Saint Louis.
- 27:50Speaker 1: And then we got two at the one ten. So
- 27:52Speaker 1: that Cleveland game at one ten, and then this Toronto
- 27:56Speaker 1: and Tampa Bay game is also at one ten. I mean,
- 28:01Speaker 1: we're sitting here looking at Shane Bieber. I mean, I know,
- 28:03Speaker 1: it's pretty hard. This dude's been walking quite a bit
- 28:06Speaker 1: of lefties. He's at fourteen to fifteen percent walk rate
- 28:09Speaker 1: here to the left. East has been getting barreled up
- 28:12Speaker 1: by both sides of the plate twelve percent, eleven percent
- 28:15Speaker 1: so far this year. His WOLLBA was pretty high, even
- 28:18Speaker 1: to three to eighty two to the right side ground
- 28:22Speaker 1: ball percentage mid lean ground ball pitcher still, I mean,
- 28:25Speaker 1: but he has been giving up a lot more fly
- 28:27Speaker 1: balls to the left side. So I mean, obviously junior
- 28:31Speaker 1: Cameron Aro is going to be in play with anybody pitching,
- 28:35Speaker 1: But I mean, with the barrel rates being high both
- 28:38Speaker 1: sides of the plate, I mean I can see Tampa
- 28:40Speaker 1: being fairly popular today. I don't know if I'm gonna
- 28:43Speaker 1: be able to afford like a junior Camonaro and then
- 28:45Speaker 1: get up to some of these high end pitchers here
- 28:47Speaker 1: today though, so I think that is definitely a concern.
- 28:50Speaker 1: But I'd have the Rays up there at the top
- 28:53Speaker 1: end of the offenses here today against the Beabs. But yeah,
- 28:58Speaker 1: I mean Tampa not bad. I mean game team run
- 29:03Speaker 1: total of sitting in the mid fours. There are some
- 29:06Speaker 1: teams higher. But I mean, I think this matchup against
- 29:09Speaker 1: Bieber looks pretty interesting. Pick on the Beabs here, Tampa
- 29:13Speaker 1: pretty heavy favorite. But yeah, I mean I don't know
- 29:16Speaker 1: if I can jam in Junior with Gavin and Seymour.
- 29:20Speaker 1: But I mean you can still build a fairly decent
- 29:24Speaker 1: team even if you don't have Junior in your lineup.
- 29:28Speaker 3: Yeah, you just like the race stat because they're in
- 29:30Speaker 3: a good spot against Bieber. I mean, for sure, Bieber
- 29:32Speaker 3: puts guys on base. Whenever you do that, you're susceptible
- 29:35Speaker 3: the big innings. Yeah, hard not to like Tampa here.
- 29:40Speaker 3: And then the only thing I'll say about Toronto is
- 29:43Speaker 3: Saber does like them, you know, Seymour is gonna get
- 29:45Speaker 3: a lot of love. He's not like some bona fide ace.
- 29:49Speaker 3: So Toronto's got some guys that can hit lefties. I
- 29:53Speaker 3: don't even hate using one of the two of those
- 29:55Speaker 3: guys with Seymour in a lineup. But for me, it's
- 29:59Speaker 3: all about the race. I like Seymour and I like
- 30:01Speaker 3: the Tampa stack.
- 30:03Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm just trying to decide if Tampa. I don't
- 30:07Speaker 1: really think any offense is gonna be overly high owned today.
- 30:10Speaker 1: I'm just trying to feel if Tampa is probably may
- 30:12Speaker 1: fit that bill to where they're gonna probably give more
- 30:16Speaker 1: ownership than everybody else. But I don't really think we're
- 30:19Speaker 1: gonna see a chalky type offense today, do you No.
- 30:24Speaker 3: I think Saint Louis and Cincinnati are probably the too
- 30:26Speaker 3: highest owned, but nothing crazy at all. I think it's
- 30:29Speaker 3: pieces from a lot of offenses are popular.
- 30:33Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree with that. I mean this is even
- 30:35Speaker 1: kind of Slay too. You know, when you talk about
- 30:37Speaker 1: roster construction, maybe you know stacking one team, throwing in
- 30:40Speaker 1: some you know, some high power bats in with with
- 30:45Speaker 1: the stacks. I've been noticing a lot of people doing that.
- 30:48Speaker 1: I always like to go back and kind of view
- 30:50Speaker 1: and see what winning lineups, how they looked, and all
- 30:53Speaker 1: that fun stuff, how they built their line up. It
- 30:55Speaker 1: seems like more and more people are sticking with one stack,
- 30:59Speaker 1: throwing into two two and or two v two, you know,
- 31:03Speaker 1: two players one team two from another. So yeah, just
- 31:06Speaker 1: interesting to see how, you know, the game keeps evolving,
- 31:09Speaker 1: that's for sure. But all right, moving on, we get
- 31:14Speaker 1: next team, and.
- 31:14Speaker 3: I just wanted to comment. I just wanted to comment
- 31:18Speaker 3: real quick on the seer said Jays really can't hit lefties.
- 31:22Speaker 3: I don't. I think that was in response to me
- 31:23Speaker 3: saying that, like you could use a bat or two
- 31:25Speaker 3: against Seymour because he's gonna be popular, And yeah, they don't.
- 31:28Speaker 3: They haven't been good against left handed pitching. But the
- 31:30Speaker 3: top five of their lineup individually all profile well and
- 31:34Speaker 3: have done well against right handed pitching at times. At least.
- 31:37Speaker 3: Mcketto was raking in the minors, so is Cameron, Alejandro Kirk,
- 31:40Speaker 3: we know George Springer obviously in Okamoto. So that's not
- 31:44Speaker 3: like five easy outs here for Seymour. I mean, all
- 31:48Speaker 3: those guys Mackato and Cameron might be, but all those
- 31:50Speaker 3: guys have power. You can use one off them in
- 31:52Speaker 3: any lineup.
- 31:54Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean Seymour does have a fly ball lean.
- 31:56Speaker 1: I mean just because we, you know, we feel like
- 31:58Speaker 1: he's the top end pitcher today. I mean there are
- 32:01Speaker 1: still some flags there for sure. I mean, playing guys
- 32:04Speaker 1: that have fly ball rates like like he has is
- 32:09Speaker 1: pretty high. I mean his his flyball rates pretty high.
- 32:12Speaker 1: So I mean definitely a little bit of a concern.
- 32:14Speaker 1: I mean, if if you don't like Seymour, I feel right,
- 32:17Speaker 1: I'd feel better about playing a one off against Seymour
- 32:19Speaker 1: than I would against Devin Williams.
- 32:21Speaker 3: Yeah, and I'm playing Seymour. I just wanted to call
- 32:23Speaker 3: it out because it's a small slate and levers get
- 32:25Speaker 3: you a long way on slates like this.
- 32:27Speaker 1: Yeah, yes, sir, all right, So moving on here, we
- 32:32Speaker 1: got the two o'clock games here. We have the A's
- 32:37Speaker 1: here against the A's and Royals. What are we looking
- 32:42Speaker 1: at here? Gage Jump against dob Neck Royles sitting there
- 32:45Speaker 1: with that four point six team total, A's just below four.
- 32:51Speaker 1: I can't say that I really have any interest in
- 32:55Speaker 1: the A's against dob Neck. They just haven't been very
- 32:58Speaker 1: good here in recent times, so I can't say I'm
- 33:01Speaker 1: really looking at that. On the other side of that
- 33:05Speaker 1: one with Kansas City, I mean, it's just been hard
- 33:09Speaker 1: for me to to play Kansas City. I think Jump is.
- 33:12Speaker 1: You know, he's been a fairly decent picture on the road.
- 33:15Speaker 1: As we were talking about, I mean, maybe Bobby Wit.
- 33:19Speaker 1: I mean, you could always play Bobby Wit, maybe Garcia
- 33:22Speaker 1: if you wanted to look there. I just don't really
- 33:24Speaker 1: see the power that I'm looking for.
- 33:26Speaker 3: We got more, we got more hate comments. It's funny too,
- 33:31Speaker 3: because Jason Smith. His comment's funny because Wow, we made
- 33:37Speaker 3: a point of mentioning how we much prefer the thirty
- 33:40Speaker 3: day stats when we're talking about pictures right now in
- 33:42Speaker 3: this season, and I'm just I'm not I can't even
- 33:46Speaker 3: I'm not even gonna dignify him with a response.
- 33:48Speaker 1: Besides that, right, Jason, you know these fucking clowns are hilarious.
- 33:56Speaker 1: What do you guys? Just keep guy, same guy, keep
- 33:58Speaker 1: coming back with your fucking burner. It must be one
- 34:01Speaker 1: of our must be one of our competitors who worry
- 34:03Speaker 1: about us all the time.
- 34:04Speaker 3: I'm getting paid to make a DFS show. I'm getting
- 34:07Speaker 3: paid to make a DFS show that you're watching, so
- 34:09Speaker 3: who's the loser?
- 34:11Speaker 1: Yeah, exactly, It's hilarious to me. But uh, either way,
- 34:16Speaker 1: I don't get it. Everybody's just being an asshole today.
- 34:19Speaker 1: Go uh, you know, just go outside and kiss your neighbor,
- 34:23Speaker 1: hug your kids, do something else. Then worry. And if
- 34:26Speaker 1: you got that much hate and anger, you shouldn't gamble anyway,
- 34:28Speaker 1: because you're a fucking bad apple and you bring bad juju.
- 34:32Speaker 1: Go take your juju somewhere else. Go take your ball
- 34:34Speaker 1: somewhere else. Man. So either way, we're moving on. We
- 34:39Speaker 1: don't care about these losers. I'll just keep firing away
- 34:41Speaker 1: at them. Either way, we got next game. Let's take
- 34:44Speaker 1: a peek here. We got h the braves in White Sox.
- 34:47Speaker 1: Man White Sox come out of nowhere this year. I
- 34:49Speaker 1: saw they had a one percent chance to win the
- 34:52Speaker 1: Central Division when the season started. I mean, damn, he
- 34:55Speaker 1: probably would have got some healthy odds in that one.
- 34:59Speaker 1: We got Grant Home and Anthony Kay here today. I mean,
- 35:04Speaker 1: I don't mind picking on I don't mind picking on
- 35:07Speaker 1: Grant Holmes. I mean he's not very good against lefties.
- 35:10Speaker 1: Murakamiock Obviously he's been smacking the shit out of the
- 35:14Speaker 1: baseball you got pretty good. Other guy's been attendee Colson Montgomery.
- 35:20Speaker 1: That bullpen isn't very good, So yeah, I think definitely
- 35:23Speaker 1: interested in some White Sox. I wouldn't have him up
- 35:26Speaker 1: at the top of my list here, but Holmes has
- 35:29Speaker 1: not been looking good. His control has been off here
- 35:31Speaker 1: recent times. Last thirty days, been walking thirteen percent of lefties.
- 35:36Speaker 1: He's been getting buriled up by both sides of the plate,
- 35:39Speaker 1: so ground ball percentage still mid lean to the left side,
- 35:44Speaker 1: but the right side is not very good. He's been
- 35:46Speaker 1: get giving up almost forty percent fly balls his last
- 35:49Speaker 1: thirty days. His wOBA has been getting beat up, So yeah,
- 35:53Speaker 1: I think I got some interest in some White Sox here.
- 35:56Speaker 1: As far as Atlanta goes against k we're obviously going
- 35:59Speaker 1: to want some of the right side bats, so I
- 36:03Speaker 1: do prefer to play the Braves against righties. Kay has
- 36:08Speaker 1: not been very good against against righties so far this season,
- 36:12Speaker 1: for as strikeout rate been down to fifteen percent for
- 36:15Speaker 1: actually the same numbers go for the last thirty days,
- 36:19Speaker 1: but he's been getting buriled up quite a bit here
- 36:21Speaker 1: by righties too, So I think the Braves got a
- 36:24Speaker 1: place on this slate. I mean, we know they got
- 36:27Speaker 1: some power. I'd probably put them in my top five
- 36:30Speaker 1: in the upper half. But I think the White Sox
- 36:32Speaker 1: for me, are definitely one of the top stacks here today.
- 36:35Speaker 1: I put them right up there with the Rays. I
- 36:37Speaker 1: think I may even have the right White Sox even
- 36:38Speaker 1: a little higher than the Raise.
- 36:41Speaker 3: I like both these teams too. I mean, the Braves
- 36:43Speaker 3: have been shitty lately, They've lost five or six, they
- 36:45Speaker 3: just got swept by Minnesota, but it's still I mean,
- 36:49Speaker 3: this lineup is still really good. We've seen stretches from
- 36:51Speaker 3: them before where they have struggled and they've bounced back
- 36:55Speaker 3: because they're kind ups amazing. So yeah, I'm in on
- 36:58Speaker 3: Atlanta and I like the White Sox a lot. I
- 37:01Speaker 3: think the White Socks are lower on homes, isn't good.
- 37:04Speaker 3: I think this game is more offensive minded than the
- 37:07Speaker 3: field does. I'm hoping at least, so yeah, I'm with
- 37:09Speaker 3: you here.
- 37:11Speaker 1: Yeah, I still can't get over I mean the White
- 37:14Speaker 1: Sox fan, I mean, how fun would it be a
- 37:15Speaker 1: White Sox fan literally think you don't got a damn chance,
- 37:18Speaker 1: and then all of a sudden, here you are top
- 37:20Speaker 1: of the division, looking good. But I just think that
- 37:22Speaker 1: goes back to what we were talking about top of
- 37:24Speaker 1: the show, how bad the American League's been all damn
- 37:26Speaker 1: season and they're playing in a shit ass division that
- 37:30Speaker 1: they get to play the Royals a bunch of times,
- 37:32Speaker 1: that Tigers haven't been good, So definitely, uh, definitely something there,
- 37:38Speaker 1: but yeah, I get it. Nad's there was also mentioning
- 37:41Speaker 1: that Bray's bullpen has been fairly good, which does hurt.
- 37:46Speaker 1: But yeah, I mean in this slate here, Nay, like
- 37:49Speaker 1: we were saying, like, there's just no offenses that really
- 37:52Speaker 1: stand out, So I think offense are going to be
- 37:55Speaker 1: shut up. But I do like the White Sox and race.
- 37:57Speaker 3: I think those are definitely It's definitely not a perfect
- 38:00Speaker 3: spot for the White Sox to need this point, but
- 38:02Speaker 3: it's a good enough spot against Holmes on a small
- 38:04Speaker 3: enough slate. And I think the ownership is low enough
- 38:07Speaker 3: where they are really intriguing to me if nothing else.
- 38:11Speaker 3: I mean, I do think ownership's flat, Like the only
- 38:15Speaker 3: team that's not going to be owned is Sam fran
- 38:17Speaker 3: and Toronto to a certain extent.
- 38:20Speaker 1: Yeah, I and Seattle. I don't think you're going to
- 38:22Speaker 1: see too.
- 38:22Speaker 3: Much on Seattle yeah, probably not.
- 38:26Speaker 1: That lineup's just been been that. Lineups just been terrible.
- 38:30Speaker 1: But yeah, so we agree, White Sox definitely one of
- 38:33Speaker 1: my favorite acts of the day. Then we got the
- 38:37Speaker 1: last one here on this daytime slate here on a Thursday,
- 38:43Speaker 1: we have a Seattle and Milwaukee. We got George Kirby
- 38:49Speaker 1: up against the Brew Crew, and then we have Robert Gasser,
- 38:52Speaker 1: the lefty going into Seattle. Man, I mean, anytime I
- 38:58Speaker 1: sit there and look at the Brew crewe, you know,
- 39:00Speaker 1: first thing I like to do is look at fly
- 39:02Speaker 1: ball percentages. George Kirby. The last thirty days, fly ball
- 39:06Speaker 1: percentages have been up fairly high, especially the left side
- 39:10Speaker 1: all seasons, been almost at thirty percent. He's actually six
- 39:14Speaker 1: seven percentage points higher to the right side here in
- 39:18Speaker 1: recent times, Kate percentages have been awful. Last thirty days
- 39:23Speaker 1: forty five at bats, forty six to the left side,
- 39:27Speaker 1: so pretty even over the last thirty days. But I mean, dude,
- 39:30Speaker 1: he's been walking fifteen percent of lefties six percent, or
- 39:35Speaker 1: I mean striking out fifteen percent of leftiest six percent
- 39:37Speaker 1: of rightys. I mean he's just not getting the job done.
- 39:40Speaker 1: I mean, that's just not going to be acceptable. He's
- 39:43Speaker 1: been getting beat up by righties too, So man, I mean,
- 39:47Speaker 1: I think Milwaukee could have a place on this slate
- 39:49Speaker 1: against George Kirby. I don't like the park, but I
- 39:53Speaker 1: just like the brew crew. I mean, they do everything.
- 39:55Speaker 1: They steal bags. I mean I put him up there
- 39:58Speaker 1: in the upper half of my of the teams here today.
- 40:03Speaker 3: I don't think though you like Milwaukee, you like Milwaukee,
- 40:07Speaker 3: and Aids like Seattle. What world are we living in?
- 40:10Speaker 1: You know? That's fine? He could they could be an
- 40:13Speaker 1: offensive game. I mean, normally I'm trying to talk n
- 40:16Speaker 1: Aids off the Brewers. You know, in certain spots, it's
- 40:19Speaker 1: just usually if there's a ground ball pitcher. But I
- 40:21Speaker 1: mean Kirby just hasn't been very good here in recent times,
- 40:24Speaker 1: so that's kind of what I'm basing this off of.
- 40:26Speaker 1: His strikeout percentages have been really low, ground ball percentage
- 40:30Speaker 1: has been low. He's been giving up a lot of
- 40:31Speaker 1: fly balls, So I mean that's what I'm looking at.
- 40:34Speaker 1: So that's why I do like the Brewers. I think
- 40:36Speaker 1: they're sneak here. I don't think they're going to be
- 40:39Speaker 1: as highly owned, but like I said, there's you know,
- 40:41Speaker 1: the ownership is going to be pretty spread out for offenses.
- 40:44Speaker 1: So I wouldn't discount the brew Crew even though I
- 40:47Speaker 1: do not like the park. We just generally don't play
- 40:50Speaker 1: out there in Seattle, but are in Milwaukee. I'm sorry,
- 40:54Speaker 1: but I don't. I just don't like the park there Seattle.
- 40:57Speaker 1: On the other hand, against Gasser, I mean, I mean,
- 41:00Speaker 1: I don't love it either. I just don't like I
- 41:04Speaker 1: think I'd rather prefer to play Gasser. But Gasser, if
- 41:08Speaker 1: you look at his numbers, is wOBA has been up
- 41:12Speaker 1: a little bit against the right side here so far
- 41:14Speaker 1: this year. He's got three fifty eight wOBA ground ball
- 41:18Speaker 1: percentage thirty one percent, fly ball percentage almost at thirty
- 41:21Speaker 1: percent as well. So I mean, if you wanted to
- 41:25Speaker 1: play Gasser, I'd prefer to play Gasser. Against the Mariners,
- 41:31Speaker 1: I don't really want to pick on them. I just
- 41:33Speaker 1: don't like the lineup. I mean a Rose Arena, Jay
- 41:36Speaker 1: Rod definitely in play ward up at the top. I'd
- 41:40Speaker 1: rather play the brew Crew in this one than the Mariners.
- 41:43Speaker 1: But for me, I don't love either side of it.
- 41:46Speaker 1: They're down a little bit. I prefer the reds, I
- 41:48Speaker 1: prefer the cards. I prefer the White Sox, but I
- 41:52Speaker 1: think there's a place here for the Brew Crew.
- 41:55Speaker 3: I'm with you all over all around here. I think
- 41:57Speaker 3: there's definitely a place for both these stacks on this slate,
- 42:00Speaker 3: but I like them less than the other teams we've
- 42:01Speaker 3: talked about. We've seen Milwaukee win the slate the first
- 42:06Speaker 3: game of the series, and then Seattle was really good yesterday.
- 42:10Speaker 3: I think both those are kind of outliers. I get
- 42:12Speaker 3: stack from either side here because I think both of
- 42:14Speaker 3: them are on the lower owned side of things. But
- 42:16Speaker 3: I also think all the teams you mentioned look better
- 42:19Speaker 3: on paper with higher upsides. So I'd rather pick on McGreevy,
- 42:23Speaker 3: Singer a bunch of guys than the pitchers in this game.
- 42:26Speaker 3: So the field will think so too. That's why their
- 42:29Speaker 3: ownership will be lower. But I think those other teams
- 42:31Speaker 3: have higher upside.
- 42:33Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree with you there. So we're at the
- 42:36Speaker 1: that time of the show here where we're gonna give
- 42:39Speaker 1: out give me your top handful of pitchers, maybe two
- 42:44Speaker 1: or three pitchers. We'll make it three because we already
- 42:46Speaker 1: know Seymour and Gavin Williams, So give us one more
- 42:48Speaker 1: other than that, and then give us a couple of stacks,
- 42:51Speaker 1: and then we'll throw out a Homer call.
- 42:56Speaker 3: I'll go, obviously William Seymour. And then the third pitcher
- 42:59Speaker 3: I will go with is Jump. He hasn't picked on
- 43:03Speaker 3: the on the road in a couple starts, and he's
- 43:04Speaker 3: been much better outside of that. That bandbox and Sandy
- 43:07Speaker 3: and Sand and Sacramento. Excuse me, So those are my
- 43:11Speaker 3: three pitchers. Three stacks will go with the Reds, White
- 43:17Speaker 3: Sox and Braves. Homer who home run call? Let's go
- 43:28Speaker 3: with some righty on, righty crime, Miguel Vargus going yard.
- 43:34Speaker 1: All right? I like that one, all right, so me
- 43:36Speaker 1: pictures William Seymour, I got Gasser and Jump in the
- 43:41Speaker 1: same boat. I couldn't decide which of the two that
- 43:45Speaker 1: that I want. As far as offenses, I'm gonna go
- 43:48Speaker 1: White Sox Rays Reds would be, uh would be my favorites.
- 43:54Speaker 1: And then home run call. I'm going to the Reds
- 43:57Speaker 1: and I'm gonna go jj Blade goes yard for the Reds. Here.
- 44:02Speaker 1: So but yeah, we got six games. We had a
- 44:05Speaker 1: fun show here today. Appreciate everybody being here. Those that
- 44:11Speaker 1: chose violence today, we still love you. If you want
- 44:15Speaker 1: to come back, just you know, just hey, keep it tying.
- 44:19Speaker 1: No bad juju around here. We don't need that bullshit.
- 44:22Speaker 1: Guys laughing at me about wins from four years ago. Bro,
- 44:25Speaker 1: I've been playing this shit so damn long. I came
- 44:27Speaker 1: four years ago. Seems like yesterday, don't it. I mean
- 44:30Speaker 1: damn either way, fun show here today. Matt got any
- 44:33Speaker 1: last words before we run out of here?
- 44:35Speaker 3: An, That's all I got. Man, Always a good.
- 44:37Speaker 1: Time, always always. But hey, looking forward to the weekend.
- 44:41Speaker 1: I know all the boys will be out there in
- 44:43Speaker 1: Vegas for the Big Man in the Sky memorial that
- 44:48Speaker 1: they're doing out there, fundraising out there. I know they
- 44:51Speaker 1: were gonna play golf. It was supposed to be like
- 44:52Speaker 1: one hundred and ten, so good luck to all of
- 44:55Speaker 1: you guys out there in that. But let's kick some
- 44:58Speaker 1: ass in some contests and we'll see up on top
- 45:00Speaker 1: of them tournaments. So let's ship it.