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Episode 438 - 1/22/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:01
  54321 all systems go with Josh Applebaum starts now Hello and
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  welcome to episode 438 of the all systems go sports betting
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  podcast powered by rhythm. I am your host, Josh Applebaum.
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  What's going on, everyone? Happy Thirsty Thursday, our work
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  week is coming to an. End but.
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  We got a lot to get to on today's podcast.
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  We're going to talk college basketball as we are in the
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  thick of it with college football now over with and
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  obviously a big transition here to focus exclusively on college
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  basketball. So I do have a three pack of
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  sweats for you all very, very short favorites here.
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  So we got three money line short favorites with some really
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  interesting sharp mush edges. So if you don't.
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  Remember the sharp mush edge it comes from?
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  One of my favorite apps, Juice Reel, and what it does is it
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  compiles all the people who have downloaded the Juice Reel app
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  and synced up their books to Juice Reel and then it tracks
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  OK, who are the winning betters? It's all ranked and rated.
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  And if all of the OR majority of the winning betters are on one
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  side and the majority of the losing betters are on the other,
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  it's going to highlight. The games in the sides where the
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  majority. Of winning betters.
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  Are leaning in One Direction. So all.
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  Three of these money line favorites tonight in college
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  hoops have some really good sharp mush edges, so looking
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  forward to breaking down three games here tonight in college.
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  Hoops And then I got another NFL play for you.
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  I was kind of waiting to see if we could get.
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  This number we can get. It, but I don't think it's going
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  to come naturally in terms of, you know, all of the entire
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  market moving in this direction. So I think there's an
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  opportunity to play it right now before this price gets worse.
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  So do have one bet. For the the NFC championship
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  game Rams and Seattle and then again hope hope you guys listen
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  to yesterday's pod because we jumped on page sorry Denver
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  Broncos plus. 5 1/2. I woke up today guys.
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  I'm looking at my live odds page, my odds logic live odds
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  page. If you want to try.
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  Out odds logic. It's odds logic.com/josh 1237
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  day free trial. 50% off your first month of.
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  Service. But here's the thing.
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  We got the five and a half of. Denver, have you guys seen where
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  the line is today? There's no more 5 and a halfs,
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  there's no more fives. It's all four and a half across
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  the board. So automatically I'm feeling
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  good about this because we beat the closing line.
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  So again, hopefully it pays to get these bets in early and
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  that's the whole reason why, you know, we're talking about a best
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  bet on a Wednesday for a Sunday. Game, you know, big point of
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  emphasis here is. Trying to get the best price,
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  trying to get that CLV. So if you're holding Denver plus
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  5 1/2, you put it in after yesterday's pod or you saw the
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  best bet on the juicer lap. A good sign here.
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  That the Broncos are down to 4 1/2 even though nearly 80.
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  Percent of bets are going. Patriots so talk NFL talk
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  college basketball. I do want to remind everyone
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  that tonight. Is a Thursday night so we have
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  our rhythm rundown looking forward to.
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  Once again Co hosting my. Buddy Kate Harper.
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  So Kate and I are going to go over at 6:00 PM.
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  Eastern Time stream live on Twitter.
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  You can always follow me at Josh under Score Insights.
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  But we'll be talking about AFC championship game, NFC Champion
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  Championship game, rhythm system matches, prop.
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  Bets we might even. We even talked about some other
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  sports here as we're going to try to gravitate toward maybe
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  some more hoops. Now looking back to our last
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  night, guys, nice little bounce back after an O and three when I
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  still couldn't get over the raft screwing us in Colorado.
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  A2 and 1 + 0 point. 78 unit night.
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  Got North Carolina, remember? They were.
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  Steamed up minus. 11 1/2 up to 12 and a.
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  Half even got up to. 13 1/2 some shops even touched 14.
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  That's always notable to me. Guys, when you see line movement
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  that isn't super public, remember that was low bets,
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  higher dollars in favor of UNC only like 60% bets, but 80%.
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  Money. But big movement with no buyback
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  whatsoever, that usually tells you that even.
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  Though the lines getting worse. There's a reason odds makers.
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  Are taking in smart money on that number.
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  The favorite line keeps going up.
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  Or it could go the other way, the dog, like let's say a dog
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  goes from. 7 1/2 down to seven. 6 1/2 down to six down to.
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  Five like anytime you see that one way movement, usually that's
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  a good. Sign that big money.
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  Continues to to take that. Position.
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  And UNC won by 22. So nice cover there with the Tar
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  Heels. And then Grand Canyon, what a
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  sweat that was. They were down a little bit
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  early and then they absolutely played incredible and got up by
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  like 15 points. And then they slowly gave it
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  away and believe it or not, San Diego State mounted a huge
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  comeback and they're actually up by a point.
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  Very. Late like a minute left but
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  thank the. Lord, there's a foul called.
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  Finally, the refs went our way with one of them and Grand
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  Canyon hit. 2 clutch free throws.
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  To win by one point. Now why is that important?
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  Because if you're like me and you got the plus 1 1/2 beautiful
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  chef's kiss you cover with the dog and the points winning
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  outright. But why do we always mention
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  this? Because there were.
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  Some shops that were pick em or -1 or even -1 1/2 Grand Canyon
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  at one point. Again, you lay 1, you push, lay
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  1 1/2, you lose. So once again, the.
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  Importance of money lining short.
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  Favorites if we couldn't get. The 1 1/2, hopefully a money
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  line to got that win there with Grand Canyon.
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  Epic sweat. Only a loser was Kentucky and
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  that was again another game that I think we diagnosed perfectly.
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  Got minus. 6 1/2. Did you guys see where the
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  Wildcats closed? -7 1/2.
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  So beat the closing line. Unfortunately, Kentucky only won
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  by 5:00, so we needed. One more basket couldn't get it,
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  but either way, we'll take a 2. In 1 + 0.78 unit night.
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  We'll reinvest it and we'll. Hopefully get some winners here
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  for tonight. So before we update the AAFCNFC
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  championship game, one bet already in pocket with Denver 5
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  1/2 down. To 4 1/2, then we'll talk Rams
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  in Seattle. I did want to start.
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  Off with college. Hoops.
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  College hoops. This time of year, it reminds me
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  a little bit of baseball. Not that it's just like, you
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  know, a super long season, but just you wake up every day and
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  there's like, you know, 20-30 games to choose from, 40 games.
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  Saturdays get like over 100 games.
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  So hopefully we can. You know, kind of hit our.
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  Stride here as we get closer to. Conference tournaments and March
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  Madness. But anyway, guys, I got 3 plays
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  for you. Let's see if we can get 2 out of
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  3, eek out a winning night and get a little hot streak going
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  here. So first one on the board for
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  me, let's. Talk a 7:00 game.
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  Southern Miss Visiting Georgia State set the stage talk splits
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  line movement system matches sharp most rhythm.
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  I'll give you my play. For this one, so Southern Miss
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  comes in 11. And 9:00.
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  However, they have dropped two straight and just lost to Texas
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  State 74 to 60. 7 did not. Cover as a 2 point Rd. dog.
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  On the other hand, Georgia State 7 and 12 worst record.
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  They won two in a row. Just beat you all.
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  Monroe. 77 to 57. Easily covered as a 6 1/2 point
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  Rd. favorite. So what have you seen across the
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  market here? Well this game opened at mostly
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  roughly a pick em. You had some shops opening
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  Georgia. State -1.
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  I saw a couple shops. Open Southern Miss -1.
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  So again, split the difference. It was basically a pick em game
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  and it's very clear that sharps have sided with Georgia State
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  because Georgia State went from A.
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  Pick em now up to -1 1/2 some shops even -2 some shops even
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  touched. 2 1/2 earlier today. So basically all movement and
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  liability has been in favor of Georgia State.
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  Now you guys know me. Especially with what?
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  Happened with Grand Canyon last night.
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  Money lining a. Short favorite.
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  So I did play Georgia. State on the money line.
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  I got Georgia State. On the money line at -125.
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  That should be pretty much still available.
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  I do see Caesar's. At -125.
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  The score as well, but some books are as high as like. -130
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  - 1. 40 so definitely shop around for the best price, but
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  125 should be available here in in addition to this line move
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  toward Georgia State. We have really good bet split on
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  Georgia State 56. Percent of money line bets.
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  But 80? 3% of money line dollars at
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  DraftKings. So really good low bets, higher
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  dollar split in favor of Georgia State.
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  Who? What are they, the Panthers now
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  Georgia State also matches a System Play for Me Money line, a
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  short favorite in which the line is moving in their favor.
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  So my you know the. Cliffs Notes is the system is
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  called ML short fave with move in this situation if you are a
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  favorite. And the line moves at.
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  Least 1/2 point in your direction and you're -4 or less.
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  Those teams on the money line are 159 and one O 560 percent,
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  3% ROI this year. So that would match with Georgia
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  State. Now Georgia State has some
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  advantages. Better free throw shooting, big
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  advantage. Here, hopefully that's important
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  and a close game. 8th best in the country versus one O 7th for
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  Southern Miss Better three-point.
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  Shooting. 329th doesn't sound. Great, but Southern Miss is
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  360th and better defensive efficiency 160, Eighth versus
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  190th for Southern Miss. Also helps that the Panthers
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  hold their opponents to a better effective field goal percentage.
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  One O second in the country, 218th.
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  For Southern Miss. Lastly, we look at Home Rd.
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  Georgia State at home. Four and two, not bad.
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  Southern Miss on the road. 3:00 and 7:00.
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  So we have a basically a pick em game.
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  The line has moved toward Georgia State.
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  We got some really good money line splits, good money line.
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  System match home Rd. stat advantages and then also.
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  We have our friends. At Juice Real as I.
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  Mentioned with a 25. Percent sharp mush edge on the
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  Georgia. State money line, so 25% more.
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  Of the sharper winning betters are also going with Georgia
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  State. So first bit on the board for
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  me. Tonight guys, 7:00 Eastern.
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  Time Fire up your ESPN Plus if you want to sweat this one and
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  watch it. Georgia State money line -125.
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  Win the damn game Panthers. Next one for you, Towson.
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  And Elon, another 7:00. Tip here we have Towson coming
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  in 11 and 9. On the season they have. 1/3 in
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  a row they just edged Drexel 5958 didn't cover though as a 7
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  1/2 point home favorite. Meanwhile, Elon 12:00 and 7:00.
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  On the year, they've won three of their last four, just beat
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  Hofstra. 8985 they went out right as a. 5 1/2 point Rd. dog.
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  So what are you sitting across the market here?
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  Well. Elon opened around a 2 or 2 1/2
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  point home favorite and overnight we did see this line
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  drop. Some shops got down.
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  Elon -2 two and a half down to -1 1/2.
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  And as I was waking up and kind of looking at this line moving
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  like, OK, do we get down to a pickle?
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  You know, does this go dog to fave Towson?
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  But once it got down to 1 1/2, that's when we started to see
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  some. Sharp buyback back toward Elon.
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  So I'm not sure if this is like a head fake, which Billy Walters
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  was famous for, where you would hit, you would have your
• 10:43
  position, but you would hit the opponent, the other team early
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  at low limits to move that number.
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  Make the odds makers think that that's who you like.
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  And then when it gets lower at a better price, you come in hard
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  higher limits to make more money as your as your true position.
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  So basically head faking or moving the line to basically get
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  a better number. I don't know if that.
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  Happened here, but it's. Notable to me that went down and
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  now it's starting to creep back up so you're mostly around
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  minus. 2 Still some. 2 1/2's out there.
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  In addition, if we look at some other advantages here in terms
• 11:17
  of the splits, draftking, 63% bets, 83% dollars are on.
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  Elon. So low bets, higher dollar split
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  in their favor. Ken Palm has Elon winning by 4.
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  Points 74 to 70. He also has Elon ranked higher.
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  154th versus. 170th You guys know me.
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  This is a money line. Play so I got.
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  Elon on the money line. I would hate to lay a 1 1/2 two.
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  2 1/2 they win by one or two. You push or lose your bet.
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  So I did jump. On Elon, a little bit earlier
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  today at -140 on the money line. Should be pretty much widely
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  available. Some shops are like. -145 S
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  definitely get that best price. But in addition good split.
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  On the Elon money lawn Elon money lawn Elon money line say
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  that 10 times fast 75% money line bets 81% money line dollar.
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  So a heavy pro and Joe. Split in favor.
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  Of Elon. Elon has big.
• 12:10
  Advantages mostly offensively, Way better offensive efficiency.
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  74th in the country versus 200. And 73rd for Towson.
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  Better effective field goal percentage 33rd versus. 350th.
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  There are three-point shooting 40. 1st for 363rd.
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  Elon averages about 85 points a game, 69 for Towson.
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  So hopefully we can have a home team that scores and you know
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  Towson can't keep up. Elon does have a 2 day rest
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  advantage. They last played on January
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  17th. Towson last played on the 19th,
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  so. Hopefully a little bit.
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  Of rest and, you know, game film and and getting.
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  Excited to play this one. If you are the Phoenix at home,
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  Elon is, by the way, seven and three at home.
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  Towson is 1 and 6 on the road. So again, we kind of dipped
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  early toward Towson. It's kind of creeping back up
• 12:56
  toward. Elon but we have.
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  Ken Palm saying it should be a four point game, which is a
• 13:00
  pretty good edge off basically the two right now, as well as a
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  bunch of good bat splits, good stat advantages.
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  Rest first tired Home Rd. And oh, by the way, if you look
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  at rhythm. They have Elon -2 point. 6 So a
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  little bit of an edge there off basically the two now and a 22%
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  sharp. Mush Edge from our friends.
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  At Juice Rail. So 22% more.
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  Of these, sharper winning betters are also.
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  Going Elon money lawn Elon money Elon did it again Elon money
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  line. So Long story short guys, Ken
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  Palm again's got a four point game.
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  This team plays pretty well at home.
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  They can shoot the lights out. I don't want to.
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  Jinx some. Knock on wood, but I went Elon
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  money line -1. 40 win the damn game.
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  Last bit of the night, late night sweat. 9:00 Eastern Time
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  we have. Portland State in Eastern
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  Washington Portland State comes in 11.
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  And five on the season. They won five straight, just
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  held off Northern Arizona, 63 to 52 did not cover, though they
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  were favored by. 11 1/2 at home, only won by 11.
• 14:02
  You know Eastern Washington. 4 and 14, but they have 1/2 of
• 14:05
  their last three and just beat up on Idaho State. 84 to 66
• 14:09
  cruising easily, winning outright.
• 14:11
  As a 5 1/2. Point Rd.
• 14:13
  Favorite. Now what have we seen here
• 14:16
  across the board? Well, this game open with
• 14:18
  Portland State listed around a 1 1/2 point Rd. favorite.
• 14:22
  So it's always notable to me. Again, very short favorite.
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  Does you know, how does the betting market react?
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  Is it OK, this is too short and let's hit it and Jack it up
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  higher toward that low favorite? Or is this more like maybe a
• 14:34
  coin flip game where you see that?
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  Money come in on the home dog and drop the line.
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  Well, the the former happened, not the latter.
• 14:40
  Because Portland State. Has embed up -1 1/2 up to -2
• 14:44
  1/2. Some shops now even up to -3.
• 14:47
  So it's pretty clear one way movement toward Portland State.
• 14:50
  That tells me a lot of respective money.
• 14:52
  I thought this line. Was a bit short and move that
• 14:54
  number toward the the Vikings you look at the.
• 14:57
  Splits of DraftKings 77. Percent of spread bets. 78% of
• 15:00
  spread. Dollars on Portland State now
• 15:03
  the fact that we've had a line move and heavy splits in favor
• 15:06
  of Portland State also considering the fact.
• 15:09
  This is a 9:00 late game. It's kind of a small low bet
• 15:12
  matchup. Tells me that's probably more.
• 15:14
  Sharps targeting Portland State than the betting public, I don't
• 15:17
  know how many. You know, average Joe bettors
• 15:19
  woke up and said, you know what, I got to bet Portland State
• 15:21
  today and. That probably not too many.
• 15:24
  So kind of a low bet. Obscure sharp line move play.
• 15:27
  Now, Ken Palm does have Portland State winning, but only by two
• 15:29
  points. 77 to 75. He does have Portland State
• 15:33
  ranked quite a bit higher though, 158th versus 230. 5th.
• 15:38
  But with this in mind, again, Ken Palms got a 2 point game and
• 15:41
  all the big money. Came in on Portland State -1
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  1/2. Early if you lay a 2 1/2 and
• 15:46
  they win by two, you lose this bet.
• 15:48
  So I went to Money line, Portland State.
• 15:51
  I got money line here of -150. Looks like some shops closer.
• 15:55
  Like -155 -, 160 so. Definitely try to get the best
• 15:59
  price if you can, but I like the splits at Draft Kings on
• 16:02
  Portland State. 85% bets, 95% dollars.
• 16:07
  So big, big pro, pro Joe. Heavy money split their.
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  Portland State does have the better effective field goal
• 16:13
  percentage. 129th versus 100 and. 78th Better offensive
• 16:17
  rebound percentage 136th. Versus 172nd and also.
• 16:22
  Way better defensive efficiency. You have the Vikings ranked 93rd
• 16:27
  in the country and defensive efficiency their opponent
• 16:30
  Eastern Washington 295th. Also, the Vikings limit their
• 16:34
  opponents to a better effective field.
• 16:36
  Goal percentage 61st versus 300. And 55th SO line has moved only
• 16:42
  one way in terms of Portland State.
• 16:44
  Low bet, obscure, sharp. Line.
• 16:45
  Move money line. Portland State -150 ish rhythm
• 16:49
  has Portland. State -2. .8 and then also 67%
• 16:55
  sharp mush edge on. Portland State money line.
• 16:57
  From friends at Juice Rail. So once again, a huge indicator.
• 17:00
  Of their smart money also money lining.
• 17:02
  Portland State SO3 money line plays guys, can we get 2 out of
• 17:06
  three Elon, Georgia State and Portland State now let's get 2
• 17:10
  out of those three to bark now little update and a new play
• 17:14
  here, which you probably heard me hint about yesterday and I
• 17:17
  did a little bit more digging and I and I said to myself, you
• 17:20
  know what I don't think we're going to get a better number
• 17:22
  than this. So just wanted to mention real
• 17:24
  quick the Denver Broncos I let off kind of mentioning, hey,
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  hope you got that five and a half, 75% of tickets on the
• 17:31
  Pats, but they've. Fallen -5 1/2 down to. 4 1/2 and
• 17:35
  again yesterday the indicator to me was there only two 5 1/2 left
• 17:39
  and Circo was at 4 1/2. So it's always important to me
• 17:42
  that circle I really sharp book out in Vegas is basically more
• 17:45
  bullish a full a full point off of some of these copycat you
• 17:50
  know basically public books. So jumped on the 5 1/2 with
• 17:53
  Denver. If you remember, there were some
• 17:56
  really good. System matches on Denver.
• 17:58
  Broncos plus 3 point. Five Broncos plus three Broncos
• 18:02
  plus 3.7, all from our friends. At Rhythm.
• 18:06
  So already holding 5 1/2 with Denver.
• 18:09
  And now I said to myself, OK, what are we going to do?
• 18:12
  With the Rams and the Seahawks. Now, I mentioned this before,
• 18:15
  but kind of setting the stage for this championship weekend,
• 18:19
  you have two hugely lopsided plays.
• 18:22
  So the first thing jumped out to me is everybody's on the
• 18:25
  Patriots and everybody's on Seattle, and they're probably
• 18:29
  parlaying Patriots in Seattle. You thought the Patriots were
• 18:33
  lopsided? 75% of bets.
• 18:35
  Well, the Seahawks are getting 82% of spread bets at
• 18:38
  DraftKings, so a really big split there with the public all
• 18:43
  over Seattle. But here's the thing, you
• 18:46
  basically open Seattle -2 1/2 and they're still 2 1/2.
• 18:50
  Some books open Seattle -3 got down to 2 1/2.
• 18:53
  So why is this line either staying the same or moving
• 18:56
  toward the Rams if everybody and their mother is on Seattle?
• 19:00
  So I said to myself, OK, I got to go Rams here.
• 19:03
  I got to go against the public in a heavily back game.
• 19:06
  I got to take advantage and respect that sharp line freezer
• 19:09
  RLMI like how the Rams are a divisional dog.
• 19:13
  So again, built in familiarity levels, the playing field
• 19:16
  benefits the team getting points.
• 19:18
  We also that system match short playoff dogs getting 3 or less.
• 19:22
  That is now 28 and 12 against the spread 70.
• 19:25
  Percent 36% ROI since 2017. Playoff dog 64% since 2017 Your
• 19:33
  late game dog so 4:00 Eastern Time or later post season dogs
• 19:39
  in the late window since 2017 they are 60% against the spread.
• 19:43
  So all of these systems are lighting up.
• 19:45
  On the Rams and then when I. Looked over at rhythm also
• 19:50
  saying to take the Rams. I have a green star smart signal
• 19:53
  recommended play on the Rams where rhythm says they should be
• 19:56
  plus 0.4. So basically a 2 point edge off
• 20:00
  the current price. I have another model, Rams plus
• 20:02
  1.2 and a third model. Rams plus zero point. 6 So
• 20:07
  rhythm is Green Star recommending saying take the
• 20:10
  Rams and this is a wheelhouse play.
• 20:13
  It's a contrarian play, but also you have an.
• 20:14
  Element of smart money where? If we take a step back and ask
• 20:17
  ourselves if 82% of bets are going Seattle or whatever number
• 20:21
  I gave you, was it 82%? Yeah.
• 20:24
  Then why? Aren't we up to 3 or 3 1/2 or 4?
• 20:26
  Tells me that the books, even though they're getting pounded
• 20:29
  with public $5 bets on Seattle. They do not want to hand out the
• 20:33
  three. I would mention as well, if you
• 20:36
  look at circa, this is really intriguing.
• 20:39
  Rams are only getting 29% of spread bets, but 74% of spread
• 20:43
  dollars. So a lot of money.
• 20:46
  Out at Circa in Vegas. On the Rams, add it all.
• 20:49
  Up now, we say to ourselves, OK, I wanted to get the Rams. +3.
• 20:53
  Let's look across the market. Check out our Odds Logic live
• 20:56
  odds page. Try to find a three.
• 20:58
  Well, the first thing I noticed is that there are no threes.
• 21:01
  And then I'm starting to do some digging in terms of the juice
• 21:05
  and what can I do? Can I?
• 21:07
  And again, I don't love buying points.
• 21:08
  I think buying. Points once you discover.
• 21:11
  It when you're new to betting, it's like, oh, I'll always buy a
• 21:13
  better number. Then you realize, OK, doesn't
• 21:15
  make as big a difference and it's going to eat into your
• 21:18
  winnings. But I think there is a good case
• 21:20
  to be made buying points around key numbers.
• 21:22
  So here's what I'm going to do. I don't want to get just Rams 2
• 21:26
  1/2 and again basically have to win the game, lose by two or
• 21:29
  less. Win the game I need.
• 21:30
  To be able to protect myself because 3 is the.
• 21:33
  Most common key number. Rams lose by three.
• 21:36
  I need to be able to push that bet instead of lose that bet.
• 21:39
  And also the fact that everyone's playing Seattle and
• 21:41
  the books won't just give straight out give you a three
• 21:43
  tells me that the three is very important.
• 21:46
  So. I was looking for a book that
• 21:49
  was reducing the juice in terms. Of the Rams and then can I?
• 21:54
  Buy up the half point to get it to three.
• 21:56
  Well, I did find a couple shops here.
• 21:59
  That kind of caught my eye with this one so.
• 22:01
  If we look at me, just pull up my updated odds here.
• 22:07
  If we look across the board, we have.
• 22:10
  Rams Plus. 2 1/2 -, 114 at FanDuel.
• 22:14
  They're juicing it up 2 1/2 -, 110 at quite a few shops.
• 22:18
  But then I did find the score was offering Rams.
• 22:22
  Plus 2 1/2 at. +100 so I was able to take.
• 22:26
  Rams. Plus 2 1/2 at plus 100.
• 22:30
  And here's the thing, when you're buying up a key number,
• 22:32
  you got to find the book giving you the lowest and closest that
• 22:35
  you can be to even. Money that way.
• 22:37
  It'll be a little bit. Cheaper when you buy them up.
• 22:39
  But I was able to find the plus 2 1/2 at the at the the score
• 22:46
  and bring it up to plus. Three at -120. 5 So it's a
• 22:50
  little bit pricey. -125. But we got to be able to push
• 22:54
  that bends that'll lose it if it's a 3 point game, which is
• 22:57
  the. Most common margin of victory.
• 22:58
  So I did take Rams plus 2 1/2 up to plus.
• 23:02
  Three at -125 and again we got. Divisional dog system matches
• 23:08
  line freeze. Super contrarian, great bet
• 23:11
  splits, great rhythm edge. I just wanted to let me pull up
• 23:15
  juice reel because I want to get the updated sharp mush edge
• 23:19
  they're. Coming up this this Sunday,
• 23:23
  Denver. By the way, has a 15% sharp mush
• 23:25
  edge and if we look at Rams in Seattle.
• 23:29
  Rams are a 9%. Sharp mush edge so plus. 3 -,
• 23:32
  125. Bought it up to protect
• 23:34
  ourselves. If they lose by three, we push.
• 23:37
  But let's go Rams. And by the way, you could tease
• 23:40
  them up 2 1/2 to 8 1/2. That would go through some key
• 23:43
  numbers. So you got options.
• 23:45
  But that about dozen guys for episode 438 of the All Systems
• 23:49
  Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 23:51
  This is the part of the pod where we wrap things up.
• 23:54
  And I always start first by saying thank you.
• 23:56
  Thank you for listening, thank you for tuning in.
• 23:59
  Thank you for grinding in the arena with me every single day
• 24:02
  through the UPS and the downs, the winning nights, the losing
• 24:04
  nights, the hot streaks, the cold streaks.
• 24:07
  Means a lot to me that we've created this this sports betting
• 24:09
  community to approach. Betting from a data-driven,
• 24:12
  sharp, contrarian mindset if. You would like to help me grow
• 24:15
  this pod. Could you do something very
• 24:17
  easy, very simple? It'll take you literally one
• 24:19
  second. Just give it a five star review
• 24:22
  on the app. Store.
• 24:23
  So if you'd like to do it for or actually give it a five star
• 24:27
  review on Spotify or iTunes, I should say, that way we can get
• 24:31
  those, get those likes. Coming in and.
• 24:33
  Also, if you want to recommend the pod to a friend, if you
• 24:37
  would like to retweet the pod every time I put it out, that's
• 24:42
  also much appreciated. Leave a nice review.
• 24:45
  That would all be pretty awesome of you to do next.
• 24:48
  If you enjoy the style of betting breakdown, data-driven,
• 24:51
  sharp, contrarian betting, focusing on line movement, split
• 24:54
  system matches, focusing on what the market is doing and telling
• 24:58
  us. Not what our own.
• 24:59
  Biases are telling us this style of betting has appealed to you.
• 25:02
  You want to learn more about data-driven betting or you have
• 25:05
  a friend or colleague? Or family member or someone.
• 25:07
  Who maybe is trying to get into sports betting or bets on sports
• 25:11
  but really has no philosophy whatsoever.
• 25:14
  You know you should do is you go to.
• 25:15
  Amazon.com. And you should buy them a book
• 25:18
  or two. Get the everything guide to
• 25:20
  sports betting. Or the NFL sharp betting.
• 25:22
  Playbook. You can get one or both.
• 25:24
  Bring them to the sports book. I'll sign them for you.
• 25:26
  I'll buy you a beer. Or ginger ale will sweat some
• 25:28
  college hoops together tonight. Next, have you downloaded Rhythm
• 25:32
  and Juice Reel yet? Well Rhythm.
• 25:34
  Great for their AI backed models and predictions for game bets
• 25:36
  and player props. Reminder, we have a rhythm
• 25:38
  rundown tonight at 6:00 PM Eastern Time.
• 25:40
  So I'll see you guys there and then of course, Juice Reel.
• 25:43
  So many great advantages, but Juice Reel is awesome mostly for
• 25:47
  the opportunity to support the pod and get the all systems go.
• 25:51
  Best bet picks as soon as I play them.
• 25:53
  I got my book synced up when I place a bet at DraftKings,
• 25:57
  FanDuel, Caesars, you know bet MGM, the score, Bally bet
• 26:02
  fanatics. With all my books that I have an
• 26:03
  account account at, once I put it in it goes right to juice
• 26:06
  real. So for 5 bucks a week more more
• 26:10
  technically speaking. $4.99. Cents a week, you can get every
• 26:13
  play as soon as I make it, and you can tail fade, do whatever
• 26:15
  you like. But I consider that a tip jar.
• 26:18
  It's like passing the hat when I played Babe Ruth and you know,
• 26:22
  or played, you know, at my high school and you pass the hat.
• 26:25
  You have to pay for, you know, the umpires.
• 26:28
  As I was playing baseball, this is like passing the hat.
• 26:31
  So if you enjoy the pod, boom, you can.
• 26:32
  Support it by getting those. ASG best bet picks and you can
• 26:35
  do a 7 day free trial. Just test it out first.
• 26:38
  We also get the robo Jackson best bet picks the sharp mush
• 26:40
  indicators. The arbitrage plays the shop for
• 26:42
  the best line futures all available when you download
• 26:47
  juice reel. So download rhythm download
• 26:49
  juice reel give them a five star review.
• 26:51
  In the app. Store while you're at it.
• 26:53
  Next. I mentioned odds logic earlier,
• 26:55
  but it is such a important and key tool if you want to be.
• 26:58
  A daily sports better and in terms.
• 27:00
  Of getting the best price, shopping for the best.
• 27:02
  Number identifying steam, you know.
• 27:05
  Picking off a, you know, a Pats 5 1/2 or a Broncos 5 1/2
• 27:09
  yesterday instead all the four and a half's.
• 27:11
  But it's so critical to be able to.
• 27:12
  Track the market. You got to have your finger on
• 27:14
  the pulse of what's. Happening and the odds.
• 27:17
  Odds Logic live odds page lets you do that, so if you want to
• 27:20
  give it a shot just go to odds logic dot.
• 27:22
  Com slash Josh 12. Three.
• 27:25
  That'll give you a 7 day free trial 50.
• 27:27
  Percent off your first month of service.
• 27:29
  Next, have you guys downloaded Novig?
• 27:31
  Novig is a sports betting exchange.
• 27:34
  It's not a sports book, but the whole difference there is you're
• 27:36
  going to get way better juice prices because you're going up
• 27:39
  against other betters you're. Not going up against the.
• 27:41
  House So for example, I'm looking at all of the football
• 27:46
  games here coming up on Sunday and right now Novig is showing
• 27:51
  you patriots -4 1/2 at plus one O 1 or Broncos plus. 4 1/2 at -1
• 27:57
  O 4. Rams plus 2 1/2 minus.
• 28:00
  One O 1 Seahawks. -2 1/2. -1 O 4.
• 28:04
  Again, the over under is. -110 or less, or even some plus
• 28:08
  money. So it just illustrates that.
• 28:11
  If you. Want to make that transition
• 28:12
  from a sports book to an exchange?
• 28:15
  The opportunity there is to get way better juice prices.
• 28:17
  You can win at the same rate but make more money because you're
• 28:19
  risking less juice. So download Novig and when you
• 28:22
  fund your account, make sure you put in Josh 123 in the promo
• 28:26
  code. That'll tack on an extra 25
• 28:28
  bucks for you. So that about does it for
• 28:30
  episode 438 of the ASG pod on a big Thursday.
• 28:34
  As always, guys, I'll leave you with a couple final thoughts
• 28:36
  here. One, whether I see you at the
• 28:37
  Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the
• 28:40
  Brooklyn, New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in
• 28:43
  Connecticut. At the Encore in Boston.
• 28:46
  Plain Ridge park casino MGM Springfield the.
• 28:48
  Nash and my neck. Of the woods on the border of
• 28:51
  Massachusetts in New. Hampshire around the desert.
• 28:53
  Where the true grinders get down.
• 28:54
  Where Billy? Walters sends his number
• 28:55
  runners. Where the lowest true as
• 28:57
  possible is found, the South Point or Sweat and Sharp can
• 28:59
  train plays, jumping in the stadium swimming pool.
• 29:02
  When you catch a big ticket at Circa, wherever it may be,
• 29:05
  you're going to walk up. To me, you're.
• 29:06
  Going to show me a North Carolina rolling laying a 12 and
• 29:10
  a half 13 1/2 winning by 22. Yes Sir.
• 29:13
  Or even better, show me a Grand Canyon.
• 29:15
  Plus 1 1/2 or money line. Ticket the Lopes man the.
• 29:18
  Lopes got it. Done.
• 29:19
  They made us nervous because they blew a big lead late, but
• 29:21
  they found a way to get it done so we'll take it every time.
• 29:25
  So as always, guys coming off A2 and.
• 29:26
  One or A1? And two A3 and O or an O and
• 29:29
  three. A good night, a bad night, a
• 29:31
  mediocre night, hot streak, a cold streak, whatever the case
• 29:34
  may be, we're going to have ups and downs.
• 29:36
  That's life. That's sports betting.
• 29:37
  But we got to. Stick to the model.
• 29:38
  Stick to the blueprint. Look for the games that.
• 29:41
  Fit that system. Games that are simultaneously.
• 29:43
  Against the public, with the house, with the pros, flat bet,
• 29:46
  avoid parlays and get that COV. If we can do that, we're going
• 29:50
  to be successful sports bettors. So have a great Thursday night,
• 29:53
  everybody. Soon we get some winners on the
• 29:55
  college hoops hardcourt. Hopefully I will see you.
• 29:58
  At the Rhythm Rundown tonight, 6:00 PM Eastern Time.
• 30:00
  Stream live on Twitter. And I'm also going to be joining
• 30:02
  my buddy Patrick Maher. On Visen Live tonight, SiriusXM
• 30:07
  on at 9:00. So we'll be talking some games
• 30:10
  and I always have fun with Patrick because we talked about
• 30:13
  a lot of cool random stuff. It's it's all sports betting.
• 30:15
  But then we'll go on some tangents.
• 30:17
  So I'm looking, looking forward to what Patrick?
• 30:19
  Scott cooked up for us. Tonight, but either way, guys
• 30:21
  have a great Thirsty Thursday. I'll see you guys tomorrow for a
• 30:25
  big episode of Friday Edition to finish off the week.
• 30:28
  Episode 439 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast
• 30:33
  powered by Rhythm. Good luck everybody and have a
• 30:35
  great Thursday night.