Latest / SILVER / GOLD / $UFD Meme Coin Investing & Global Economics / 🪗 SILVER Squeeze! 🪗 - You BEST Expect THIS - (Gold Price News UPDATE too)
Transcript
- 0:01Welcome to the Jungle silver investors and gold investors.
- 0:05We have some major developing stories, 4 reasons why we could
- 0:10be headed towards a silver squeeze and shocking
- 0:14realization, recognition of that from one of the big mainstream
- 0:18media sources. But we also have crazy data
- 0:21about gold. I mean, just it's going to make
- 0:23your skin curl when you hear this and a big, big bank makes a
- 0:29big, big, old statement about precious metals.
- 0:33We're going to cover it all. Let's get started right now by
- 0:36talking about what's happening in China and why even some of
- 0:41the most critical people of precious metals are now
- 0:44recognizing that we could be going into a squeeze.
- 0:47But I'm going to squeeze you first and tell you thank you for
- 0:50joining me down here in the basement.
- 0:52Seriously, I hope you feel like you found a little home away
- 0:55from home. Some people have called this the
- 0:58Mr. Rogers Neighborhood for Gold and Silver investors.
- 1:02I want you to feel welcome. I want you to come back.
- 1:04One way you can make sure that happens is by pressing that
- 1:07subscribe button that also makes upstairs Susie very, very happy.
- 1:11Give the video thumbs up. Leave a comment that's, look,
- 1:15you're smart. We want to learn from you.
- 1:16You don't have to agree with me or the other people in the
- 1:20community. Some guy pointed out something
- 1:22to me last night about the United Arab Emirates and silver.
- 1:24I'll talk about that later. I'd never thought of and it was
- 1:27kind of critical of me and that's OK.
- 1:30I've learned something from him. Anyway.
- 1:32Subscribe to the channel. Thumbs up.
- 1:34Most important, thank you for being here.
- 1:37I get a warm and fuzzy feeling every time we go live because we
- 1:40got some great people. Without further ado, let's talk
- 1:43about China and this potential we have right now for a silver
- 1:47squeeze. We're going to start here.
- 1:50Big breaking news from Bloomberg, right?
- 1:54The mainstream of mainstream financial news says it
- 1:58themselves China's big silver squeeze persist even as prices
- 2:05are steady. OK, this is Bloomberg guys.
- 2:08This is I believe today, yes, February.
- 2:11Well, it was yesterday 6:00 that pretty much today hasn't been 24
- 2:15hour in the last 24 hours. International silver prices have
- 2:20studied after an epic bout of turbulence, but supplies in
- 2:26China are still being pinched as investment and industrial demand
- 2:32drain the available warehouses, the vaults.
- 2:37OK, now, now I haven't even gotten in.
- 2:38We're going to start now with four reasons why we could be
- 2:43seeing a silver squeeze. And we're going to put it all
- 2:45together. OK, we got some examples.
- 2:47Let's dig in right now. Number one, this came from King
- 2:51Kong 9888, right? The authority when it comes to
- 2:56the Chinese metals markets, he says this, this is significant.
- 3:01The Shanghai and the Shanghai Futures Exchange have
- 3:06effectively extended strict position limits to both long and
- 3:09short hedged silver futures positions.
- 3:13If traders fail to obtain approved hedging quotas from the
- 3:18exchange, this change will make large scale leverage naked
- 3:23shorting of silver futures on the Shanghai Futures Exchange
- 3:27extremely challenging going forward.
- 3:31So what this means is it is, and this is all breaking news right
- 3:36now guys, and, and being interpreted in many different
- 3:40ways. But what this means is that in
- 3:43China, if you're going to short silver, you got to prove you
- 3:46have a purpose to do it. Remember that Mister Beyond
- 3:49who's short like 15,000,000 oz on the Shanghai Futures
- 3:53Exchange, he now has to prove, as I understand it, he has to
- 3:57prove to the Shanghai Futures Exchange the reason why he's
- 4:01short, why he's selling silver. OK?
- 4:04He's not a jewelry manufacturer, he's not a mining company.
- 4:08He's a pure speculator. So the theory is that he's not
- 4:11going to be able to prove and that the Shanghai Futures
- 4:14Exchange are is going to force people who have large, either
- 4:19long or short, which is what we're interested in positions on
- 4:24the Shanghai Futures Exchange to cover those positions.
- 4:27Again, that's the most accurate explanation or description of
- 4:32what this big announcement means, but it is big news.
- 4:36But wait, there's more. Because when we also consider
- 4:39what's happening on the COMEX in the LBMA, the paper futures
- 4:44markets, the COMEX is specifically right, the make
- 4:48believe fantasy island silver market in the United States.
- 4:51That's reason #2 that we could see a silver squeeze, the
- 4:56available silver for delivery on the March contracts that the
- 5:01almost said regulated. Oh my gosh, I'm losing my mind.
- 5:04Anyway, the silver available to be to be delivered on the March
- 5:09contracts is right around 100 million oz right now.
- 5:13There's 400 million ounces accounted for.
- 5:17Not all of that will be requested in physical delivery,
- 5:20but even if 1/4 of it is or some people say that it could be as
- 5:24high as 1/2, it could create fireworks on the Comex eligible.
- 5:29And I keep, Oh my gosh, I can't remember the word maybe sues me
- 5:33eligible and available, I don't know.
- 5:37Anyway, you get the point. Let's move on to point #3 the
- 5:41Chinese inventories on top of the fact of what they're doing
- 5:45in terms of limiting how much, how big of short positions can
- 5:49be acquired on the Shanghai Futures Exchange.
- 5:51We also know that the inventories on the Chinese in
- 5:55the Chinese markets are also going way, way, way down and 4th
- 6:00right now we get this news. This is more breaking news from
- 6:04the SLVETF in the the United States.
- 6:07It also has a huge short position.
- 6:10This came from Peter Spina, who pointed out a record high short
- 6:15position in SLV. The short short position in SLV
- 6:20rose by a further 18% up to 73,000,000 oz sold short on the
- 6:27NYSE and 12.8% of the total SLV shares outstanding, a new
- 6:35record. OK, 12.8% of the total shares of
- 6:40the SLVETF are now sold short, up almost 18% and that came from
- 6:46Ed Steer. OK, So now we're talking about
- 6:50hold on one second, we're talking about four things, four
- 6:54reasons. And that's why we have Bloomberg
- 6:56talking about short squeeze. All the other silver Youtubers
- 6:59are talking about short squeeze. I don't talk about short squeeze
- 7:02very often, but I do think that the conditions are in place.
- 7:06Absolutely no guarantee, OK. And what we went through over
- 7:10the last nine months in the silver market was not a short
- 7:13squeeze. It was a physical driven rally,
- 7:16maybe that last little spurt that we got from $85 up to 120.
- 7:20Yeah, I don't know. We call that a squeeze, but it
- 7:23was certainly a parabolic move. But we've got 4 reasons.
- 7:28Let's review them. The regulators in China are
- 7:31clamping down on the naked shorts.
- 7:34That's number one. Number two, the Comex
- 7:37inventories in the vaults that are available to satisfy the
- 7:41futures contracts that will come due in March are are
- 7:44precariously low at stress levels.
- 7:47OK, that's number two. Number three, the Chinese
- 7:50inventories in their vaults to satisfy the contracts on the
- 7:55Shanghai Futures Exchange are very, very low and #4 we've got
- 8:00a record level of short interest on the SLVETF.
- 8:04We are living through a period of time.
- 8:07I've been following silver closely for decades and decades.
- 8:10OK, We have never been in a position like this.
- 8:14Yes, we had squeezes in the past, but they were paper
- 8:18driven. This situation is way different.
- 8:21We've got a physical rally in the metals and it's going to be
- 8:25interesting to see how it all plays out.
- 8:27On that note, let's go check on our friend Rashad, our favorite
- 8:31silver chart analyst, who has a pretty, let's say, optimistic
- 8:37outlook on where the silver price could be by summer.
- 8:41I wrote my notes 1st and I said Christmas and I went back and
- 8:44checked. He's saying this could happen by
- 8:46summer. Before we do that, I want to say
- 8:48thank you to channel sponsor first meant for making this
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- 9:25So all this talk we just had about the Comex and the LBMA and
- 9:28the Shanghai Futures Exchange, it never gets to touch the
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- 10:05OK, Rashad, let's go see what Rashad is saying and and see
- 10:09what we think about his projections for where we could
- 10:13be by summertime. Rashad puts this out.
- 10:16He says my $250 plus forecast of silver in a 5 hour chart by the
- 10:24summer of 2026. And then he reminds everybody is
- 10:28I'll remind you as well, this is not financial advice.
- 10:31I'm speaking my truth. What I believe.
- 10:33Rashad obviously is pointing out what he believes.
- 10:36But guys, here we are right now on this chart, he's expecting a
- 10:40little bit of choppy action probably through that Chinese
- 10:43New Year, a move up, more choppy action, a move up a wedge
- 10:48pattern and then boom, blast off time.
- 10:51OK, You might be thinking about possibly converting some of your
- 10:55silver and other real assets if that comes to fruition and we
- 10:59absolutely cannot rule this out. Yes, of course that's a very
- 11:04aggressive, very optimistic a prediction for where silver
- 11:09could go by the summer, OK. But look at this point, I think
- 11:13we know and think about the four factors we talked about earlier.
- 11:17We can't rule anything out because remember right, just two
- 11:21years ago we sat down here and talked about silver when the
- 11:24price was at 232426 dollars per oz.
- 11:28And today, Oh my gosh, we need to go check on the silver price.
- 11:32The silver always goes up during our live streams together and we
- 11:37are currently, currently up $3.61.
- 11:41For those of you who are new, this is the world spot price.
- 11:46I'm going to circle that for you, OK?
- 11:48That's the immediate delivery price for silver.
- 11:51The LBMA, If we go out to the futures market and here's the
- 11:55price we're at right now, 8455, let's go out and take a look at
- 11:59the futures, $84.50. Let's see if I can remember
- 12:06that. And we're, boy, we are just
- 12:08about and we now, yeah, hold on here.
- 12:12Yep, we are just about at equilibrium.
- 12:15There is no real premium. This price should be higher.
- 12:19This is the futures price for the March contract.
- 12:22It should be higher than that spot price we just looked at.
- 12:27But it's the same. We are not in a state of
- 12:29backwardation, which means the spot price is higher, but we're
- 12:33also not in what is a normal healthy market condition, which
- 12:37is called contango. When the futures price is even
- 12:40higher. We're really in a state of
- 12:43equilibrium, or as we like to call it down here in the
- 12:45basement, backward, backward tango, which sounds like a fancy
- 12:51Argentinian dance. But really what that means is
- 12:54the spot in the futures price are in equilibrium.
- 12:57One more thing about the Chinese market, before I forget, that's
- 13:01creating a big, big stir. And there's a reason why this is
- 13:04important is that there's a big differentiation right now in the
- 13:08Chinese futures market between the front month contract, which
- 13:11means the most immediate contract in the next month
- 13:14contract out. What that means, right, is that
- 13:17people want to get their hands on physical silver.
- 13:21It's happening and it's happening all around the world.
- 13:24OK, so we talked about an incredibly optimistic.
- 13:27I'm going to be a Debbie Downer right now and I will talk about
- 13:30all the reasons why that that I don't think this will happen.
- 13:34But there is one analyst who's actually calling for the price
- 13:38of silver to move down to $50 per oz and for it to happen
- 13:42pretty soon. We'll give the, we'll give the
- 13:45naysayers their due here. Let's go out to this guy, Mr.
- 13:51Cyril Jubert. We respect you.
- 13:54You're probably not real popular right now, but hey, guys,
- 13:57anything can happen. And he says waiting for a
- 14:00pullback around 17 O 2. That's like the European way of
- 14:04saying February 17th. They like mix the dates up or
- 14:08maybe we mix the dates up. You get my point.
- 14:10Anyway, he says as long as as long as the pullback on the old
- 14:14resistance at $50 has not been played, $50.00 is also the
- 14:20moving at the 200 day moving average.
- 14:23I cannot be interested in the silver moves.
- 14:26He says this pullback should be orchestrated on the 17th or 18th
- 14:31of this month, February, during the Chinese New Year holidays.
- 14:36There's a reason why that why he's saying that before the
- 14:3917th, it could be too early to go to 50.
- 14:42After the 18th, silver could plunge.
- 14:45Oh my gosh, it's worse than I told you to $48 or less.
- 14:50The reason why he is saying this is because, yes, I think it's on
- 14:55Sunday, the Chinese markets, everything in China shuts down
- 14:58for a week. I want to move to China.
- 15:01We don't ever get time off like that in the United States.
- 15:03Anyway, I digress. The entire Chinese markets, all
- 15:06of it, everything will be shut down for a week or maybe it's
- 15:10even 9 days. And in the past, be prepared
- 15:14because like he said, that's been an opportunity, right?
- 15:17Somebody put it out the other day when the Chinese markets
- 15:20going to be shut down for their their New Year celebration.
- 15:24Basically the silver and gold price are left in the
- 15:27trustworthy hands of the COMEX in the LBMA.
- 15:30And let's just say that in previous years, during that
- 15:34period of time when the Chinese market shut down, there were
- 15:37some strange things that happened in the precious metals
- 15:40markets and not always for the good.
- 15:43But again, we'll keep an eye, everybody's monitoring the
- 15:47situation. It's going to be interesting to
- 15:49see how this period of Chinese market shutdown actually does
- 15:53pay pay off. We're going to look now, but
- 15:56we're going to look at something funny and then unbelievable
- 16:02crazy data on the, on, on the, on the on the gold market.
- 16:10Hold on just one second. I need to mute my microphone
- 16:14because my parents are calling me and I'm going to make sure
- 16:16everything's OK. So I'll be right back.
- 16:34I'll be right back, guys. I'm calling my mom and dad.
- 16:37They may need me. Sorry, guys.
- 16:55I have, you know, I'm a little bit older.
- 16:57I have elderly parents and they were out driving.
- 16:59Some little surgery procedure. Everything's fine.
- 17:01I apologize for the interruption.
- 17:04I almost tear up talking about my parents.
- 17:06Anyway, family first. Always upstairs.
- 17:10Susie and family. Oh, yeah.
- 17:12Crazy data about the gold market, really crazy data.
- 17:16And then the big bank. We'll get to that.
- 17:18I want to say thank you to 1st Mining Gold for sponsoring Ron's
- 17:22basement development Stage Gold Company in Canada, 2 huge
- 17:26projects, Spring Pole in Ontario and Du Parquet in Quebec, each
- 17:30of which have millions of Oz of gold in the ground.
- 17:33In Canada. A great jurisdiction in
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- 17:46Remember, I'm not a financial advisor.
- 17:48This is unbelievable about gold. Let's take a look.
- 17:52There's two things. It starts one way and then gets
- 17:55even bigger. OK, oh, shoot here.
- 17:58Wait a minute. All right, we're going to go to
- 18:00that Before we go there, not only is there big short interest
- 18:03why my notes are all screwed up today, but there's big short
- 18:06interest in the silver mining stocks as well.
- 18:09Silver Miner short interest climbs to a recent high.
- 18:13First Majestic, First Majestic and Discovery C covering Silver
- 18:18miner short interest is at a recent historic high.
- 18:21Short interest for the sub industry is 2.4 billion, The
- 18:25first time we've seen total short interest top the 1 billion
- 18:29level. This came from a report from
- 18:33Seeking Alpha and was shared by Oliver Grobe.
- 18:35Reason why that's important, guys.
- 18:38Again, when the mining sector takes off, when the silver
- 18:41mining sector takes off, and I mean it is so undervalued right
- 18:44now, it's going to bring many more eyeballs into the overall
- 18:49silver ecosystem, which will be good for the physical silver
- 18:52price as well. Now let's get to that crazy gold
- 18:55data. Sorry for the interruptions
- 18:57today. Here's here's here's, oh boy.
- 19:01Here's the here's silver investors who bought it, $20 per
- 19:04oz. Then we're going to get to that
- 19:06data, right? If you bought silver, 20 bucks
- 19:08an ounce. This is what it feels like for
- 19:10you right now. And I'm not sharing the screen.
- 19:14All right, there we go. Now I'm sharing it.
- 19:17That's what it feels like right now.
- 19:20OK, without further ado, kind of frozen.
- 19:23Uh oh Andy now I can see you now OK thank you upstairs Susie okay
- 19:29thank you yeah thank you guys sorry the wheels are coming up
- 19:33this is live you know like live TV there's there's mistakes that
- 19:36happen but this really on a very serious note is incredible and
- 19:41then there's even more incredible data about gold and
- 19:44remember gold is the granddaddy of the precious metals so if
- 19:49you're just into silver you know you also know what's going on
- 19:52with gold because gold often times leads what happens with
- 19:56silver but there's gold silver HQ says there's only one true
- 20:01safe haven this is a 5 year chart OK of the return on gold
- 20:06how gold is done compared to government bonds OK look they.
- 20:12We'll start out equal back in 2021.
- 20:15Look how well gold is done. Up 160% right?
- 20:21You can see the yellow line. Look how the government bonds.
- 20:24This is the TLT. You can see that there.
- 20:27That's an ETF that tracks the 20 year bond, the value, the price
- 20:33of 20 year bonds, 20 years. I did some research on it last
- 20:36night. It's 20 years plus bond
- 20:39maturities, government bonds. That is down 46%.
- 20:44I had to check it 'cause I did not believe this when I looked
- 20:46at it, but it's true, right? That's gold.
- 20:49OK, OK, now next this it gets even better because this shows
- 20:57us I'll, I'll give you the reason I don't want to ruin it,
- 21:02but at this shows us something very important about the
- 21:05precious metal sector in general.
- 21:07Mr. Uppie shared. Apple Computer is now worth
- 21:11almost 10 times more than every US listed gold and and gold
- 21:18mining ETF combined. Apple Computer itself, one
- 21:22company is worth 10 times more right then every gold and gold
- 21:27mining ETF combined. People keep calling gold crowded
- 21:31while the entire ETP stack is the size of Procter and Gamble.
- 21:37OK, if this really is the start of a metal super cycle, this bar
- 21:42chart is the before picture and take a look at this guys, it's
- 21:47incredible. OK, right down there.
- 21:49Those are the gold right here. These are the gold in gold
- 21:53mining ETF. OK, here's Apple computer there.
- 21:57There's NVIDIA. Nvidia's worth more than 10
- 22:00times. Apple is right here, as you can
- 22:04see by this arrow. OK, at 36, what, $3.6 trillion?
- 22:11Literally one company, Apple, and it's not even the biggest
- 22:15company is worth more than 10 times all the ETFs that track
- 22:19the gold price and the gold mining sector.
- 22:23And to put that into perspective, that entire, that
- 22:27entire aggregate of those numbers, the gold mining ETFs
- 22:33plus the gold ETFs are about the size of Procter and Gamble.
- 22:38Man, when we put it all together, when we look at the
- 22:41big picture of what is going on right now in the gold and silver
- 22:45mining sector, how can you say that it's a crowded trade?
- 22:49OK, there's a lot of room, a ton of room.
- 22:53That's the most The gold is the most valuable asset on the face
- 22:58of the Earth, period. OK and we're talking about all
- 23:03the ETFs that track the gold mining and the gold right don't
- 23:07even don't even make up 10% of the market cap of two of the
- 23:12biggest companies and barely make up 10% of Apple computer
- 23:16alone. This is the most valuable asset
- 23:20on the face of the earth. This gold is the asset right
- 23:24that the world central banks now hold more of than they hold U.S.
- 23:28Treasuries. But we're early or but we're
- 23:31late. It's crowded.
- 23:32No, I would say we are early. And I say we've got some great
- 23:37things to come down the road. Hey, thank you for joining me
- 23:39down here in the basement. I apologize for the
- 23:42interruption. I may and thank you, Susie.
- 23:45I got a wait a minute. Thank you for the Super sticker.
- 23:48I know you're like me. Family comes first.
- 23:50And I thought there may have been a little family emergency,
- 23:54but there was not. And I want to say thank you to
- 23:58Don Boren. Thank you for the Super sticker.
- 24:00My, it's your special day. You're famous on the Internet.
- 24:04Look at that. Thank you guys for joining me
- 24:07down here in the basement. I want you to come back.
- 24:10Please subscribe to the channel. That way you'll get alerted
- 24:13every time we go live. It's going to be a wild, fun
- 24:16ride together. Have a great day.
- 24:19OK. And I'll see you.
- 24:21Yeah. You.
- 24:23I'll see you. I see you right now.
- 24:25I'll see you soon. Take care.