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NCAAF + NHL Best Bets Saturday 10/18/25 · Toadstool Sports

0:00
Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We are on
0:05
Speaker 1: Own seven run over the last two days after tonight
0:08
Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
0:11
Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
0:14
Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
0:17
Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
0:20
Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two
0:24
Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all all in
0:27
Speaker 1: four Nest have not had a good season. Man with
0:32
Speaker 1: wookends the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues.
0:37
Speaker 1: I've reached a new pink. Actually, I'm going to burn
0:41
Speaker 1: my browins hat man, I don't know what is going
0:43
Speaker 1: on with the bruins arch hape? Is that what it is?
0:46
Speaker 1: I don't even know it's It's March ninth, I think
0:49
Speaker 1: who even knows? Man, I don't know what day it
0:52
Speaker 1: is anymore. I don't even know what day it is anymore. Man,
0:55
Speaker 1: back with you after the worst day that I could
0:58
Speaker 1: possibly have, Back with you as I always am until
1:02
Speaker 1: I die at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday
1:06
Speaker 1: did not go well for me. Own five the worst
1:10
Speaker 1: month that I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this.
1:13
Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
1:15
Speaker 1: To the slumpers, the slump discontinues, the slump continues. Somebody
1:20
Speaker 1: fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what I
1:24
Speaker 1: should do at this point, other than potentially end it all.
1:32
Speaker 1: What's up, everybody, it's towed back with you better off dead.
1:35
Speaker 1: This is Saturday, October eighteenth. Thanks for the two people
1:41
Speaker 1: who hung out with me late last night for the
1:43
Speaker 1: college football show. I did it at the time I
1:45
Speaker 1: usually do pretty much, but I came back from Louis
1:48
Speaker 1: c K last night. Good show. Louis c K extremely
1:53
Speaker 1: dark set, even for him. I thought it was pretty dark.
1:56
Speaker 1: It was funny, though, so I enjoyed the show. Jeffrey,
2:00
Speaker 1: what's up? Thanks for hanging out. We have no baseball today,
2:04
Speaker 1: so it's gonna be just hockey on the show. Hopefully
2:07
Speaker 1: it's gonna be pretty quick. I don't have a ton
2:09
Speaker 1: to say really, to be honest, it's a lot of
2:11
Speaker 1: quick handicapping with me. For hockey. I think for the
2:13
Speaker 1: most part, I'm gonna give about two plays, even though
2:15
Speaker 1: I don't think they're my strongest hockey plays. But I'm like, eh,
2:19
Speaker 1: we gotta have some hockey action today, so let's just
2:22
Speaker 1: do it. And they're both somewhat market reads, but I
2:25
Speaker 1: do agree with the market on them, so we're gonna
2:27
Speaker 1: go with it. And just I guess see how it
2:29
Speaker 1: goes college football. I can go back and watch my
2:32
Speaker 1: analysis on that. I posted the short videos on Instagram
2:35
Speaker 1: for the best bets as well. I'll reiterate the best
2:38
Speaker 1: bets at the end of the show for those and yeah,
2:43
Speaker 1: and then we'll talk about the hockey best bets here
2:45
Speaker 1: as well. Let me check my audio levels really quick here,
2:48
Speaker 1: hold on a second. Yeah, I think my audio is fine,
2:52
Speaker 1: although I sound I just never liked my voice. Man,
2:56
Speaker 1: let me get my hold on. I gotta get my
2:58
Speaker 1: NHL plays up in the in the banners here real quick,
3:01
Speaker 1: because I just did this really quick this morning. Okay,
3:05
Speaker 1: we got Yeah, I'm looking right. They're both games that
3:08
Speaker 1: I think are at night. Yeah, all right, I gotta
3:12
Speaker 1: get these in real quick. I apologize. Yeah, as far
3:14
Speaker 1: as I saw that comment, did I see the Dodgers game.
3:17
Speaker 1: I didn't see it, but I heard what happened in it,
3:20
Speaker 1: which I'm gonna talk about baseball for a brief moment
3:23
Speaker 1: in a second once I get these in all right, Yeah,
3:27
Speaker 1: so baseball, we had the Seattle Mariners won yesterday in
3:31
Speaker 1: the earlier of the two games. Seattle up three to
3:34
Speaker 1: two in the series. Now they did get a home win,
3:37
Speaker 1: but now they do have to go back to Toronto.
3:39
Speaker 1: I think Seattle will get the series, but maybe not.
3:43
Speaker 1: We'll see because Toronto's gonna have you Savage pitching in
3:45
Speaker 1: the next game, and we don't know who Seattle starter
3:48
Speaker 1: is gonna be in. Seattle does have Brian Wu on
3:51
Speaker 1: the roster. Wu made it. I think it might have
3:54
Speaker 1: been his first appearance in the playoffs. He pitched in
3:57
Speaker 1: relief yesterday. Bryce Miller actually gave him a pretty good start.
4:01
Speaker 1: Wu pitched pretty well in relief, and I think it
4:04
Speaker 1: was late runs from Seattle that got that one done.
4:07
Speaker 1: I think Suarez had two home runs in the game,
4:09
Speaker 1: including a grand Slam that basically was the difference of
4:12
Speaker 1: the game if I remember correctly. So yeah, I don't
4:19
Speaker 1: know what else to say about that, but yeah, Seattle
4:20
Speaker 1: got the win there. Gossman, I think didn't really pitch
4:24
Speaker 1: terribly in the game, but it was a lot of
4:26
Speaker 1: late runs. It was Toronto's bullpen. That really blew the
4:30
Speaker 1: game for Toronto yesterday, and so I think I was correct,
4:34
Speaker 1: by the way, what I said under early in the
4:36
Speaker 1: game I think did come through. I'd have to check
4:39
Speaker 1: to make sure about that. I mean, obviously that wasn't
4:40
Speaker 1: a play for me. I had a slight lean into
4:42
Speaker 1: Seattle in that game as well, and then I pretty
4:45
Speaker 1: much assumed the Dodgers were gonna win, which they did.
4:48
Speaker 1: I mean that starting rotation is going to be difficult
4:51
Speaker 1: to beat. I think Seattle is the only team that
4:54
Speaker 1: has a rotation that might be able to compete with it.
4:57
Speaker 1: Seattle has a better bullpen than the Dodgers, so if
4:59
Speaker 1: Seat gets there, they got a shot in Seattle's offense
5:03
Speaker 1: is at least decent. Of course, I picked Seattle to
5:05
Speaker 1: win the World Series in my bracket over the Dodgers,
5:09
Speaker 1: so we will see Dodgers. I mean, they're obviously a threat.
5:12
Speaker 1: I mean their one weakness is their bullpen, which I
5:15
Speaker 1: mean it is a fairly significant weakness. But they're starting
5:18
Speaker 1: pitching is insane. It's old school. They got those guys
5:22
Speaker 1: back from injury, like there's no weakness, and they're starting
5:24
Speaker 1: their starting rotation is unbelievably good. It's like one of
5:28
Speaker 1: the best that I've seen. Then, of course Otani. Yeah, Charles,
5:32
Speaker 1: what's up? You were the one asking about the game? Otani,
5:36
Speaker 1: I don't even know, like what, he had ten strikeouts
5:38
Speaker 1: as the starting pitcher last night and he hit three
5:40
Speaker 1: home runs? Is that correct? One of the best all
5:44
Speaker 1: round performances of all time? He's the new mister October.
5:50
Speaker 1: I don't know, man, Yeah, I mean, it's insane what
5:53
Speaker 1: that guy's doing. Obviously readhard and what's up. He is
5:58
Speaker 1: a Dodgers fan, so he's enjoying this this talk very briefly,
6:03
Speaker 1: I want to get into the hockey Slate today though
6:06
Speaker 1: a half hour leftter the College Football show. Well thanks
6:08
Speaker 1: for watching, man, it's a two and a half hour show,
6:11
Speaker 1: so you must be a masochist. Rutgers in South Carolina
6:15
Speaker 1: from Mark Lawrence. Yeah, I mean I I agree with
6:19
Speaker 1: both of those. As I I talked about both games
6:21
Speaker 1: last night. They're not my they're not my strong opinions,
6:26
Speaker 1: but yeah, I do agree with both of those. Could
6:30
Speaker 1: be louder. I keep getting that, man, I got that
6:32
Speaker 1: when I was on Tower Gang. I got that. H
6:34
Speaker 1: hold on, let me see what I could do if
6:36
Speaker 1: I turn it up a little bit, though, I could
6:39
Speaker 1: turn it up in let me let me see what
6:42
Speaker 1: my computer volume is on my mic. Let me see. Yeah,
6:46
Speaker 1: you know it's a little bit low. All right, how
6:52
Speaker 1: about that? Is that? Is that better? I've gotten in
6:54
Speaker 1: my in my right ear here too, So I'm trying
6:56
Speaker 1: to gauge it. But if it's a little bit louder,
6:59
Speaker 1: I want to like to not speak as loudly. Though.
7:02
Speaker 1: Dodgers are obviously on fire, but the public is gonna
7:05
Speaker 1: be all over the Dodgers in the World Series. Though
7:09
Speaker 1: you went against the Dodgers for the series. In the
7:12
Speaker 1: World Series, they I mean, they might not win it.
7:15
Speaker 1: We will see. They're gonna be the road team, I
7:18
Speaker 1: believe against either opponent at this point, six strikeouts, some
7:23
Speaker 1: one home run. That would have been a crazy prof
7:28
Speaker 1: for Otani. That's way better. Okay, Well, thank you man,
7:31
Speaker 1: thanks for letting me know. Let's get into We're gonna
7:33
Speaker 1: talk about hockey and that's all we got today. Man,
7:36
Speaker 1: I'm gonna hit like some of the better games today.
7:38
Speaker 1: I really don't like this hockey board. Man. I I'm
7:42
Speaker 1: giving out two plays, but it's kind of like I
7:44
Speaker 1: don't even know if I want to do that. We
7:46
Speaker 1: have a couple of afternoon games. The afternoon games are
7:49
Speaker 1: actually all kind of decent except for sorry Jeffrey, Florida Buffalo.
7:54
Speaker 1: I'm not sure if this is a decent matchup or not,
7:56
Speaker 1: because I just don't think Buffalo is good. But maybe
8:00
Speaker 1: it will be competitive here. It's a competitive line. At
8:03
Speaker 1: least Florida is down for minus one to fifty three
8:06
Speaker 1: to minus one forty here sixty four percent of tickets,
8:09
Speaker 1: seventy one percent of cash on Florida. I believe Jeffrey
8:12
Speaker 1: has a play on Florida and this one if them
8:14
Speaker 1: not mistaken. The cash seems to agree with that, even
8:17
Speaker 1: though the initial money line dropped on Florida. I looked
8:21
Speaker 1: at this and I'm not so sure Florida there. I mean, yeah,
8:25
Speaker 1: they're in the middle of a bad run here, which,
8:28
Speaker 1: as you've pointed out, they have a lot of injuries
8:30
Speaker 1: right now too. They're gonna have Bobrovski back in nets,
8:33
Speaker 1: so that should be good for them. These tarsaw in
8:35
Speaker 1: the last game, so they'll have their better goalie in net.
8:38
Speaker 1: Assuming he's not heard or anything like that. It should
8:41
Speaker 1: be him they're they're amidst a stretch of three straight
8:46
Speaker 1: losses here, but their most recent loss was to a
8:49
Speaker 1: pretty good New Jersey team, and now they are playing
8:51
Speaker 1: a third game in four days, fourth game in six days,
8:54
Speaker 1: all in different cities. And that's just something I look
8:57
Speaker 1: to go against a team when they're in a scheduling
8:59
Speaker 1: spot like that tip because it's just a schedule that's
9:02
Speaker 1: two jam packed. So the rest scenario is just bad.
9:05
Speaker 1: It's just not there. Although again, they will have their
9:08
Speaker 1: starting goalie, their number one goalie in net probably in
9:11
Speaker 1: this one, so that's good at least. But I don't know, man,
9:14
Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, they're gonna, I assume show up. Because
9:16
Speaker 1: the team has lost three games in a row. Isn't
9:18
Speaker 1: really gonna start overlooking anybody but Buffalo. It's hard to
9:22
Speaker 1: focus on a team like Buffalo, Man, and Buffalo, they
9:26
Speaker 1: did just get their first win at least, which might
9:28
Speaker 1: give them a little bit of momentum here, and they've
9:30
Speaker 1: had rest. They're the much more rested team here. They're
9:32
Speaker 1: not traveling, and they beat Ottawa decent win there. Ottawa
9:37
Speaker 1: dealing with a pretty main a pretty significant injury to
9:40
Speaker 1: a could chuck, so they lost their team captain, their
9:44
Speaker 1: autaw it did all the Auto still decent team. Buffalo
9:48
Speaker 1: did get that win, though I know it was a
9:49
Speaker 1: blowout win, so maybe it makes a Buffalo look too
9:52
Speaker 1: good with an eight to four win. But when you
9:55
Speaker 1: get that first win of the season again, it's like
9:57
Speaker 1: you get that monkey off your back. And I think
9:58
Speaker 1: I wound up being correct about And Jose being the
10:01
Speaker 1: last winless team. I think they might already be that now.
10:05
Speaker 1: I'm not sure about that, but I thought San Jose
10:07
Speaker 1: would be the last remaining winless. But yeah, Buffalo got
10:10
Speaker 1: that win. It could give them a little bit of momentum.
10:12
Speaker 1: You know they're gonna show up when it's the returning
10:14
Speaker 1: champs Florida coming into their place. So I'm gonna slightly
10:18
Speaker 1: disagree with Jeffrey on that one. I would lean to
10:20
Speaker 1: Buffalo slightly in that one, but not a strong opinion.
10:25
Speaker 1: Islanders at Ottawa Ottawa, I think they're kind of underperforming
10:30
Speaker 1: right now. I know they have that injury to Kachuck
10:32
Speaker 1: that I just mentioned. They do have a day off
10:35
Speaker 1: here and they're staying at home. They had a stretch
10:37
Speaker 1: with three losses in a row that wasn't a very
10:39
Speaker 1: good stretch. Losing in Nashville and Buffalo. That's some ugly stuff. Man.
10:43
Speaker 1: I thought that they would win against Seattle, so I
10:46
Speaker 1: was correct with that. Lean They beat Seattle, though they
10:48
Speaker 1: had to go into a shootout to do it. Now
10:51
Speaker 1: they got the Islanders here, and they do have Edmonton
10:53
Speaker 1: up next to I'm not sure that auDA was gonna
10:55
Speaker 1: start overlooking anybody, because I mean, they really can't at
10:59
Speaker 1: this point. The Islanders, I think they are kind of
11:01
Speaker 1: a sneaky team, though I think they're not as bad
11:04
Speaker 1: as their record looks right now. So this is a
11:06
Speaker 1: difficult game to figure out. I don't know what the
11:08
Speaker 1: starting goalie matchup is gonna look like in this one.
11:12
Speaker 1: It looks like we're gonna have Sorak and has already
11:14
Speaker 1: confirmed from the Islanders he is their number one goalie.
11:17
Speaker 1: Oh Mark is probably gonna be in net for Senators,
11:20
Speaker 1: so it'll be, uh the top two goalies will be
11:23
Speaker 1: in net, which, by the way, same thing Florida Buffalo
11:26
Speaker 1: both their starting goalies I think are gonna be in
11:28
Speaker 1: net for this one. So yeah, this game is really
11:32
Speaker 1: difficult to read. So I kind of then just look
11:34
Speaker 1: to the market, like what is the market doing, and
11:36
Speaker 1: the market is saying Islanders auto is down for minus
11:39
Speaker 1: one forty six to minus one thirty eight, sixty percent
11:42
Speaker 1: of tickets, ninety nine percent of the cash. I don't
11:44
Speaker 1: believe that cash percentage is accurate, but I do think
11:47
Speaker 1: the money is coming in on the Islanders to some
11:50
Speaker 1: extended dropping that line on Ottawa. So it looks like
11:53
Speaker 1: there is money coming in on the Islander side. I
11:56
Speaker 1: don't really see it. I mean, I don't see a
11:58
Speaker 1: whole There's not a whole lot going on in this
12:01
Speaker 1: game as far as the situation is concerned. And I
12:04
Speaker 1: would worry about the Islanders because they did just beat Edmonton,
12:07
Speaker 1: which is a big win, and now they're playing only
12:09
Speaker 1: their second road game of the season and they lost
12:11
Speaker 1: their first road game, which I know because that was
12:14
Speaker 1: a loser on my show. I gave them out in
12:16
Speaker 1: that game against Pittsburgh. I felt that they should have
12:18
Speaker 1: won the game. I think they outplayed Pittsburgh in the
12:20
Speaker 1: game they didn't win. So this is only gonna be
12:24
Speaker 1: their second road game of the season, which I think
12:26
Speaker 1: is a little bit difficult. They're in a little bit
12:28
Speaker 1: of a letdown spot. Ridiculously enough, they actually use their
12:31
Speaker 1: second string goalie in that game where they beat Edmonton Riddish,
12:35
Speaker 1: so Islanders are still winless with Sorok and a net,
12:39
Speaker 1: which is ridiculous. But we'll see what happens in that one.
12:43
Speaker 1: And then Oilers are at New Jersey. The Oilers and
12:47
Speaker 1: the Devils sounds I don't know, kind of sexy in
12:51
Speaker 1: a way, the Devils coming off that win over Florida,
12:55
Speaker 1: even though Florida, you know, maybe not quite as good
12:58
Speaker 1: this year, they're an injured team right now, but still
13:00
Speaker 1: a big win when you beat Florida. Men. New Jersey
13:03
Speaker 1: did it with their backup goalie, Allen in Nettle. I
13:05
Speaker 1: don't think Allen is that bad really. I think New
13:07
Speaker 1: Jersey's goaltending tandem Markstrom and Allen are both actually fairly good.
13:12
Speaker 1: On New Jersey with that win, could be a little
13:15
Speaker 1: bit of a letdown spot coming off of that, although
13:16
Speaker 1: I know you're not necessarily gonna be a let down
13:18
Speaker 1: spot with Edmonton being your next opponent because they're good.
13:21
Speaker 1: But who knows. Man, I mean, beating Florida is a
13:24
Speaker 1: big deal for a team like New Jersey. That's kind
13:27
Speaker 1: of like on the upstart and made the playoffs last year.
13:30
Speaker 1: I think they might have made the playoffs one other
13:32
Speaker 1: year recently, but they had a really nice season last year,
13:35
Speaker 1: so that might continues. This is at least sandwiched in
13:37
Speaker 1: between two Eastern Conference games because they do have Toronto
13:40
Speaker 1: coming up after this too, So don't know that it's
13:43
Speaker 1: the greatest spot for the Devils. Nobody messes with the
13:47
Speaker 1: Devils in this one. And the Oilers are coming up
13:49
Speaker 1: that ugly loss to the Islanders, and they're making the
13:53
Speaker 1: New York and New Jersey triple leg here, which is
13:56
Speaker 1: somewhat difficult to do to make all to have all
13:59
Speaker 1: three of those games. They at least had a day
14:01
Speaker 1: off between each game, and they're coming off an ugly loss,
14:05
Speaker 1: So maybe a better spot to maybe look for Edmonton here.
14:09
Speaker 1: Probably you might get pickered and net in this one.
14:12
Speaker 1: I'm not sure, man. Let's see what starting goalie says.
14:15
Speaker 1: It looks like Skinner is projected. We don't know yet though,
14:19
Speaker 1: and Allen looks like he's projected, which I'm not sure
14:21
Speaker 1: about that either, So I don't really know what the
14:23
Speaker 1: goaltending situation is gonna look like in this one. Makes
14:27
Speaker 1: it maybe a little bit more difficult but maybe not
14:29
Speaker 1: because I just don't like either Edmonton goalie really and
14:33
Speaker 1: I somewhat like both of the Devil's goalies, So I
14:36
Speaker 1: don't know if it matters that much as far as
14:37
Speaker 1: the handicap Hulu goalie is gonna be. The money's actually
14:40
Speaker 1: coming in a New Jersey sixty four percent of tickets,
14:43
Speaker 1: eighty percent of the cash coming in a New Jersey,
14:45
Speaker 1: Edmonton down for minus one fourteen and minus one to wait.
14:48
Speaker 1: I slightly disagree with that one though. I would kind
14:52
Speaker 1: of lean towards Edmonton in that one, just because they're
14:54
Speaker 1: coming off in a fairly ugly loss and New Jersey
14:58
Speaker 1: is coming off a big win. So that's kind of
15:00
Speaker 1: the way that I look at that. I ever really
15:02
Speaker 1: dug into the box scores to see like what actually
15:04
Speaker 1: happened in those games, Like Edmonton against the Islanders. There
15:09
Speaker 1: was one empty net goal at the end of the game,
15:11
Speaker 1: so this game was close, and the Islanders did have
15:13
Speaker 1: a shorthanded goal as well in the game, and I
15:17
Speaker 1: think their other goals were both power play goals too,
15:19
Speaker 1: so little bit misleading somewhat maybe on the final score there.
15:23
Speaker 1: Edmonton had more shots than the Islanders in the game
15:25
Speaker 1: the Islanders with a way more physical team. I mean Edmonton,
15:30
Speaker 1: they's somewhat of a finesse team, but that's really low
15:32
Speaker 1: amount of hits in the game. And Edmonton did win
15:35
Speaker 1: the face off battle, so slightly misleading result in that
15:37
Speaker 1: one as well. Edmonton played a little bit better than
15:40
Speaker 1: it looks except for the lack of physicality. So yeah,
15:44
Speaker 1: I would have a slightlying to Edmonton in that one. Yeah, yeah,
15:48
Speaker 1: that's right exactly. Charles gotta support the team. Pain in
15:52
Speaker 1: my face and then right, and then he pats his
15:59
Speaker 1: chest later because a lane David Putty Man Seinfeld amazing show,
16:03
Speaker 1: one of the best ever. And then Elaine tells him
16:05
Speaker 1: to no longer paint his face. He paints his chest.
16:11
Speaker 1: What are you doing? I told you not to paint
16:13
Speaker 1: your face. Yeah, I know you did, and as you
16:17
Speaker 1: can see, this is clearly not my face. Dude, Putty
16:22
Speaker 1: is like he's one of the best characters man. Patrick Warburton,
16:26
Speaker 1: hilarious actor, also the voice actor and family guy for
16:30
Speaker 1: Joe Swanson, that is Patrick Warburton. He's done some other
16:34
Speaker 1: things too. Those are probably the two most well known though,
16:39
Speaker 1: But yeah, dude, he's awesome. It's Putty. I remember he
16:41
Speaker 1: had that other mind. I don't remember if it was
16:44
Speaker 1: that episode or a different episode where he's just like
16:47
Speaker 1: on the couch with a lane and then he gets
16:48
Speaker 1: up to like go somewhere. I don't remember exactly what
16:51
Speaker 1: the context even was, but he was like, he's all right, babe,
16:55
Speaker 1: I'll be back later. We'll make out. It's so ridiculous. Yeah,
17:01
Speaker 1: El Diablo deals me the the Oh it's not it's
17:06
Speaker 1: not a woman though, right, it's a man. It's a
17:07
Speaker 1: male priest. I think, who Uh Putty runs in front
17:11
Speaker 1: of his vehicle and he thinks he's the devil, and
17:13
Speaker 1: then he thinks U Ulaane is like an angel or
17:17
Speaker 1: something at the end when he's like on his deathbed
17:20
Speaker 1: or whatever. Patrick Warburton, you have very good voice. Of course,
17:25
Speaker 1: that's true. He's also pretty prominent in the in the
17:30
Speaker 1: twis episode because that's the car dealership or Jerry's there
17:36
Speaker 1: to get his car repaired or looking into buying a
17:39
Speaker 1: new car. So I forget what exactly what was going
17:41
Speaker 1: on in that episode, but uh, George with trying to
17:44
Speaker 1: get the twigs out of the out of the vending machine,
17:47
Speaker 1: that episode is so ridiculous. The right ball jacket eight
17:54
Speaker 1: ball you mean you mean like the Shriners Club jacket one.
17:58
Speaker 1: I don't remember. Man, It's all kind of a blur,
18:00
Speaker 1: Like I'll start watching a Sidefeld episode and like be like,
18:04
Speaker 1: oh wait a minute, this is also the episode where
18:06
Speaker 1: this happens. Like you remember one main component of an
18:09
Speaker 1: episode and then you forget that this other plotline also
18:11
Speaker 1: happened in that same episode, and then they somehow like
18:14
Speaker 1: bring those things together. It's ridiculous. He was buying a car.
18:18
Speaker 1: I think the one where Jerry goes to Putty to
18:21
Speaker 1: get his car repaired is the is the uh.
18:24
Speaker 2: The swirl episode, the counterclock the clockwise swirl, the counterclockwise swirl,
18:31
Speaker 2: the pussy eating technique. If you remember that episode, you
18:37
Speaker 2: stole my technique or George George is the one who
18:41
Speaker 2: does the reverse, the inverse swirl whatever, Oh my god.
18:48
Speaker 2: And Sidefeld always like they do this thing where they
18:50
Speaker 2: allude to what they're actually talking about. They don't outright
18:53
Speaker 2: say it, but everybody knows what they're talking about, which,
18:56
Speaker 2: of course everybody remembers. The greatest example of that was
19:00
Speaker 2: the Contest episode, where everybody knows exactly what they're talking about,
19:04
Speaker 2: even though they don't outright say it that they're all
19:06
Speaker 2: trying to hold out on masturbating. The Kramer's basically be
19:12
Speaker 2: in that episode that he sees the naked woman in
19:15
Speaker 2: the apartment across the street, he walks out of Jerry's apartment,
19:18
Speaker 2: comes back in, throws the money down.
19:21
Speaker 1: I'm out. Oh man, it's so good. You skipped the wait,
19:27
Speaker 1: you skipped the Seinfeld episode. Don't skip any Seinfeld episodes. Man,
19:31
Speaker 1: every single one is like pretty good, except like the
19:35
Speaker 1: very beginning, there were some episodes that were kind of lackluster,
19:37
Speaker 1: and then everybody thinks the last season was bad. It's not.
19:41
Speaker 1: It's just the finale is bad, but like all the
19:44
Speaker 1: episodes leading up to it are pretty funny. Actually, there's
19:47
Speaker 1: some bangers in the final season. So the final season
19:51
Speaker 1: gets a bad rap just because the finale was bad.
19:54
Speaker 1: There are definitely some good episodes there. All right, let's
19:57
Speaker 1: get into the evening slate here. I don't want to
19:59
Speaker 1: talk about everyone one of these games. But let me
20:01
Speaker 1: see here, where do we go? Where do we go
20:05
Speaker 1: from here? Let me see we'll do New York in Montreal? Here,
20:11
Speaker 1: Rangers and Canadians. I mean, it's a kind of a
20:13
Speaker 1: big game. Rangers three losses in a row to good
20:16
Speaker 1: teams Washington, Edmonton and Toronto. Toronto went into overtime. Rangers
20:22
Speaker 1: off to kind of a lackluster start year. They're gonna
20:26
Speaker 1: want to get something done here, so maybe it's a
20:29
Speaker 1: spot where maybe you want to look for them to
20:31
Speaker 1: bounce back when. I don't know, because an overtime game
20:33
Speaker 1: against Toronto's a pretty difficult game. Montreal just kind of
20:37
Speaker 1: rolling right now, though their wins are kind of against
20:40
Speaker 1: bad opponents though. I mean, their best win was at Detroit,
20:43
Speaker 1: and it was Detroit's actually their only loss Detroit so far,
20:48
Speaker 1: so I don't know if Detroit is as good as
20:50
Speaker 1: they look, but that was Montreal's best win so far,
20:52
Speaker 1: I would say, and that was with their backup goalie
20:54
Speaker 1: in net DoBeS however you pronounce his name. Monteba should
20:58
Speaker 1: be back in net here for them. I don't know
21:00
Speaker 1: if it's gonna be just Sterkin for the Rangers or not.
21:03
Speaker 1: I guess we could see it looks like it's slated
21:08
Speaker 1: to be just starking, but not confirmed. Montreal coming off
21:12
Speaker 1: back to back overtime games themselves, but against bad teams.
21:15
Speaker 1: So both teams coming off overtime games. What do you
21:18
Speaker 1: do with this game? I'm just talking about it because
21:20
Speaker 1: it's a big game on tap here. Rangers are taking
21:23
Speaker 1: the money fifty five percent tickets, eighty one percent of
21:25
Speaker 1: the cash, Montreal down for minus one nineteen to minus
21:27
Speaker 1: one fifteen on the money line. I don't really have
21:30
Speaker 1: a strong reason to disagree with the Rangers side and
21:33
Speaker 1: that one. I think they kind of need the game
21:34
Speaker 1: more at this point. Montreal, based on the record, maybe
21:38
Speaker 1: looks a little bit better than they actually are, not
21:41
Speaker 1: of difficult schedule for them so far, whereas the Rangers
21:44
Speaker 1: have had a more difficult schedule, so they're more battle
21:47
Speaker 1: tested and their record makes them look worse than they
21:49
Speaker 1: actually are. So yeah, I mean maybe I will slightly
21:52
Speaker 1: lean to the Rangers in that one. What else do
21:55
Speaker 1: we want to talk about here? I'm gonna have a
21:57
Speaker 1: play in these next two games, Tampa and dal those
22:00
Speaker 1: two games, I'll talk you to about my Boston Bruins,
22:03
Speaker 1: just because I always do, because this tradition. But I
22:07
Speaker 1: don't think they're gonna win against Colorado. Colorado's off to
22:10
Speaker 1: a good start four to zero to one, obviously. Their
22:12
Speaker 1: only loss is a shootout loss on the at home
22:15
Speaker 1: against Dallas, which we lost that game on the show.
22:18
Speaker 1: We had Colorado in that game. Good start for Colorado, though,
22:22
Speaker 1: besides the Dallas game, the best opponent that they've faced.
22:25
Speaker 1: Their biggest win was at LA, so they've faced a
22:28
Speaker 1: somewhat weak slate of opponents as well. Facing the Bruins here,
22:33
Speaker 1: Colorado's actually returning home from Buffalo and Columbus, so it's
22:37
Speaker 1: actually a return home spot for Colorado, even though they
22:39
Speaker 1: weren't on the road for that long. But I do
22:41
Speaker 1: talk about that when a team goes on the road,
22:43
Speaker 1: they come back home, they have stuff to do back
22:46
Speaker 1: a home kind of get distracted a little bit. Boston.
22:49
Speaker 1: I know they're a big name team though, and they
22:51
Speaker 1: do have a winning records still, so maybe they won't
22:53
Speaker 1: totally overlook the Bruins here. And it wasn't the longest
22:56
Speaker 1: of road trips either. Bruins have lost two games in
22:59
Speaker 1: a row now against good teams Tampa and Vegas. I mean,
23:05
Speaker 1: I don't know what else I was gonna say about that,
23:07
Speaker 1: but they're coming out of a difficult game against Vegas. Man,
23:10
Speaker 1: the Bruins were able to cover the puck line there
23:13
Speaker 1: for that lean that I gave on on the show
23:15
Speaker 1: didn't win. Now they have to go into elevation two
23:17
Speaker 1: days later. It's not the easiest spot for the Bruins either.
23:21
Speaker 1: The money is actually coming in on the Bruins side, though,
23:24
Speaker 1: as far as I saw, Colorado went up for minus
23:27
Speaker 1: two thirty five to minus two fifty two. Bruins getting
23:30
Speaker 1: massively disrespected in the market. They're still considered to be
23:33
Speaker 1: one of the worst teams in hockey, which I don't
23:37
Speaker 1: know if they are. I kind of think they might
23:38
Speaker 1: be more of a mediocre team. Colorado is one of
23:42
Speaker 1: the best teams. Seventy five tickets on them. Eighty percent
23:45
Speaker 1: of the cash coming in on Boston though, so the
23:48
Speaker 1: the professional money has been coming in on Boston in
23:50
Speaker 1: some of these games, maybe thinking the Bruins are maybe
23:53
Speaker 1: a little bit underrated right now. Maybe that's the case.
23:56
Speaker 1: So that is the way that the money's coming in
23:58
Speaker 1: on that one. We will see what happens. Last season
24:02
Speaker 1: is some of the most memorable. Last season has the
24:04
Speaker 1: the Frogger episode I think right, and the the cal
24:08
Speaker 1: Zone episode might be in it too. I don't know.
24:10
Speaker 1: I forget Carolina at LA. This was almost to play
24:14
Speaker 1: for me. I lean to l A in this one.
24:17
Speaker 1: Carolina off to a really good start four and zho
24:20
Speaker 1: no losses, no overtime losses. Yet they're backup goalie. By
24:24
Speaker 1: the way, his name Bussy, which is which is great.
24:28
Speaker 1: You gotta you gotta slip the puck in through the
24:32
Speaker 1: Bussy man, That's what you gotta do. Anderson is their
24:35
Speaker 1: main goalie though, and he's probably gonna be in net
24:37
Speaker 1: again in this one. But Carolina hasn't had a difficult
24:40
Speaker 1: schedule so far. Their best win is against New Jersey
24:43
Speaker 1: and then since then they've only played Philadelphia, San Jose
24:46
Speaker 1: and Anaheim, not good teams. They're in the middle of
24:48
Speaker 1: a road trip here, but they're only going from Anaheim
24:50
Speaker 1: to LA so it is a short road trip leg here,
24:53
Speaker 1: though they do a Vegas and Colorado coming up after this,
24:56
Speaker 1: and Dallas, so the least of those remains games here
25:00
Speaker 1: as really this LA one, as the next three opponents
25:03
Speaker 1: they have are all better opponents than the Kings, even
25:06
Speaker 1: though I think the Kings are pretty good and they
25:08
Speaker 1: were really good at home last year. But the Kings
25:09
Speaker 1: are off to not a very good start. Won three
25:12
Speaker 1: to one here, but they faced a much more difficult schedule.
25:15
Speaker 1: They faced Colorado Vegas, winning that one in a shootout,
25:19
Speaker 1: Winnipeg Minnesota. Those three games all on the road, losing
25:22
Speaker 1: in a shootout there, and then they had their worst
25:25
Speaker 1: loss of the season last time out against Pittsburgh. That
25:27
Speaker 1: was with their backup goalie in net Forsburg. So and
25:33
Speaker 1: that loss, by the way, was not what it looked like.
25:35
Speaker 1: If you dig into the box score here, LA outshot
25:39
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh in the game, had more shots. They had way
25:42
Speaker 1: more hits, twenty three to thirteen. They had sixty one
25:44
Speaker 1: percent of the faceoffs. How did they lose the game?
25:47
Speaker 1: I don't know, man. They give them a shorthanded goal
25:49
Speaker 1: that gave up the lead and then they gave it
25:51
Speaker 1: an empty net at the end. So LA played a
25:54
Speaker 1: lot better in that game than it looked on the score.
25:57
Speaker 1: And they were very good at home last year. So
25:58
Speaker 1: you know what, let's add a play here on the fly.
26:02
Speaker 1: You know what I'm feeling it. I like LA and
26:04
Speaker 1: this one, this was the first one that I had
26:06
Speaker 1: left off my card. But the schedule, like the scheduling
26:10
Speaker 1: that we've had so far, I mean, yeah, Carolina is
26:12
Speaker 1: definitely good and they are the better of these two teams.
26:14
Speaker 1: But LA is very battle tested, much much more difficult
26:18
Speaker 1: schedules so far, and that last game they played was
26:20
Speaker 1: just I mean, they shouldn't have lost that game based
26:23
Speaker 1: on what happened in the game. Statistically, Uh, looking at this, Carolina,
26:28
Speaker 1: they're out for minus one twenty six to one, but
26:30
Speaker 1: they're public seventy eight percent of tickets, only sixty nine
26:34
Speaker 1: percent of the cash. Nice, so the cash looks like
26:39
Speaker 1: it is coming in against Carolina. I think we're gonna
26:40
Speaker 1: get a pretty decent underdog price here. Let me look
26:43
Speaker 1: real quick on this. So we're gonna wind up with
26:45
Speaker 1: three okey plays. I'm just not I'm not able to
26:49
Speaker 1: control myself here. I guess man, let me see we
26:53
Speaker 1: can get plus one twenty six on it. I mean
26:55
Speaker 1: it's an underdog price. Yeah, why not, let's fucking do it.
26:59
Speaker 1: Fire on it. La Kings will be an extra play
27:02
Speaker 1: here for you at plus one twenty six. There you go.
27:06
Speaker 1: I kind of like it will take LA and then
27:11
Speaker 1: let's go to Even though I do think generally Carolina
27:15
Speaker 1: is the better team, the Osnergers are telling you that.
27:18
Speaker 1: And then that's about it. I mean, we'll actually Vegas.
27:22
Speaker 1: Calgary kind of interesting because they think Vegas. I don't
27:26
Speaker 1: necessarily love the spot that Vegas is in. They don't
27:28
Speaker 1: have a regulation loss yet they just beat Boston, which
27:32
Speaker 1: I think Boston still carries a lot of weight behind
27:34
Speaker 1: their name. Vegas you Schmidt in those two games, so
27:37
Speaker 1: I don't know if Aiden Hill is hurt or what's
27:39
Speaker 1: going on there. So I don't know what's going on
27:41
Speaker 1: with Vegas's goaltending situation of I don't really love either
27:44
Speaker 1: of those goalies, to be honest. They got this bad
27:46
Speaker 1: Calgary team coming in. But Vegas did just beat Calgary
27:49
Speaker 1: on the fourteenth in Calgary. So it's a quick road
27:52
Speaker 1: revenge spot, which is something that I look for in hockey.
27:55
Speaker 1: When a team just lost on their whole ice to
27:58
Speaker 1: a team and then they get to go repay the
28:00
Speaker 1: favor to that team. You want to look to that
28:03
Speaker 1: road team and that road reversal revenge angle when it's
28:05
Speaker 1: a really quick road revenge spot like this. So that's
28:08
Speaker 1: a reason to look for Calgary here, and Vegas is
28:11
Speaker 1: also potentially looking ahead to facing Carolina, Florida, Tampa Bay, Carolina, Colorado, Detroit,
28:16
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay. All their upcoming opponents are all opponents that
28:20
Speaker 1: are I think just better opponents than Calgary is, so
28:24
Speaker 1: they might overlook Calgary in this one. So I would
28:28
Speaker 1: lean to Calgary in this game. I don't think I
28:30
Speaker 1: could quite stomach it. Calgary coming off a real ugly
28:33
Speaker 1: loss against Utah, They've had two days off, and they
28:36
Speaker 1: probably will have Wolf back in net here because they've
28:38
Speaker 1: had multiple days off here, so you will get that.
28:41
Speaker 1: Calgary is not one since their opener, which was a
28:44
Speaker 1: big win at Edmonton, which we got right on the show. Yeah,
28:47
Speaker 1: I would lean to Calgary in this one. Vegas is
28:50
Speaker 1: up for minus two twenty five to minus two thirty.
28:52
Speaker 1: I would grab Calgary on the puck line or something
28:54
Speaker 1: if I was gonna play that game. I won't quite
28:58
Speaker 1: get there with that one, but that is that I would. Yeah,
29:01
Speaker 1: I would lean that way. I think the road revenge
29:03
Speaker 1: angle is solid. And then Pittsburgh, by the way, as
29:06
Speaker 1: I just pointed out that game against LA where Pittsburgh
29:08
Speaker 1: won with shorthanded goal and then empty net goal at
29:11
Speaker 1: the end, they got outplayed by LA. So I don't
29:13
Speaker 1: think Pittsburgh is in a very good spot. They're not
29:15
Speaker 1: that good of a team. People might still think they're
29:18
Speaker 1: kind of good to be. Oh, Sidney Crosby scored that
29:20
Speaker 1: empty net goal. Man, I don't know. I mean, he's
29:23
Speaker 1: ridiculously old. Now, maybe this is the spot where San
29:27
Speaker 1: Jose will get their first win. Man, I'm usually good
29:30
Speaker 1: at calling those like streak busters. Maybe it'll be here
29:34
Speaker 1: because that Pittsburgh win over LA was kind of bullshit,
29:38
Speaker 1: and it was a big win over an LA team
29:40
Speaker 1: that was pretty good last year. San Jose still winless,
29:43
Speaker 1: although two of their losses are an overtime. They're coming
29:45
Speaker 1: off an ugly loss against Utah, but that was yesterday,
29:48
Speaker 1: So San Jose is on a back to back, so
29:51
Speaker 1: that's a little bit ugly as far as that's concerned.
29:54
Speaker 1: They're on the back to back, So I don't know
29:57
Speaker 1: if I can quite get there with San Jose. I
29:59
Speaker 1: might slightly lean that way. The money's coming in on
30:01
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh up for minus one thirty five to minus one
30:04
Speaker 1: forty five, fifty percent of tickets, sixty five percent of
30:07
Speaker 1: the cash on Pittsburgh, So the money's coming on in Pittsburgh.
30:10
Speaker 1: I don't really agree with it. I would not be
30:13
Speaker 1: shocked if San Jose actually finally gets a win here,
30:16
Speaker 1: but that remains to be seen. I don't want to
30:18
Speaker 1: play on San Jose on a back to back, though.
30:21
Speaker 1: A couple of teams are on back to backs today,
30:23
Speaker 1: which are Tampa Bay, Minnesota, and San Jose. I think
30:28
Speaker 1: those three teams are on back to backs today. I
30:31
Speaker 1: didn't talk about Minnesota. They are on a back to back,
30:33
Speaker 1: if you want me to mention that briefly. Philadelphia coming
30:36
Speaker 1: off that loss that we got correct on the show
30:38
Speaker 1: with Winnipeg. Philadelphia was coming off that big win over Florida.
30:42
Speaker 1: I think Philadelphia is a pretty bad team. They are
30:45
Speaker 1: staying at home. Maybe they'll try to bounce back after
30:48
Speaker 1: that win over winnip that loss to Winnipeg. Excuse me.
30:51
Speaker 1: Minnesota coming off some ugly losses to Dallas and Washington though,
30:55
Speaker 1: but those are good teams Dallas and Washington, so you
30:57
Speaker 1: can't really blame Minnesota for losing those. I think Minneso
31:00
Speaker 1: is just kind of a mediocre team. But Minnesota on
31:03
Speaker 1: the back to back does make it a bit difficult
31:05
Speaker 1: for them. The money's coming in on the Flyers in
31:07
Speaker 1: that game, up for minus one of five to minus
31:09
Speaker 1: one thirteen fifty percent of tickets on Minnesota fifty eight
31:12
Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Philadelphia. I do think the
31:15
Speaker 1: scheduling spot is better for Philadelphia as far as the
31:18
Speaker 1: fact that they have rest coming into that game, so
31:21
Speaker 1: they're the more rested teams. So that, basically, I think
31:23
Speaker 1: is why for the most part, the money's coming in
31:26
Speaker 1: on them. Other than I think Minnesota just was very
31:28
Speaker 1: overrated last year and maybe they will continue to be
31:32
Speaker 1: this year. Jeffrey, you like Wolf there. I forget what
31:36
Speaker 1: his first name is. Yeah, Wolf, I mean his name
31:39
Speaker 1: just sounds kind of ferocious. Let's get into the rest
31:43
Speaker 1: of my best bets here, and then I'll reiterate my
31:45
Speaker 1: college ones and then we'll get out of here. Let's
31:48
Speaker 1: do it, man, all right. So I already mentioned the
31:53
Speaker 1: first one, which was the LA Kings at plus one
31:55
Speaker 1: twenty six. We're also gonna go with the Saint Louis
31:58
Speaker 1: Blues plus one of I know we're fading Dallas. I
32:01
Speaker 1: know him own too, fading Dallas so far, but I'm
32:04
Speaker 1: gonna do it again here. We're gonna have both teams
32:07
Speaker 1: with their starting goalies in net here. I think almost
32:09
Speaker 1: definitively we're gonna have Ottinger for Dallas. I don't see
32:12
Speaker 1: it here, but I think it's almost definitive that we're
32:14
Speaker 1: gonna have Ottinger for Dallas and we're gonna have Bennington
32:19
Speaker 1: for Saint Louis here. Uh, Dallas took their first loss
32:23
Speaker 1: of the season. Yes, it was with de Smith and
32:25
Speaker 1: Net and not Ottinger. So they are undefeated with Ottinger
32:28
Speaker 1: and Net. They've faced a somewhat difficult schedule so far.
32:31
Speaker 1: I get all that, but they're going back out on
32:33
Speaker 1: the road here, and on the road they've only won
32:36
Speaker 1: each game by one goal, so the road opponents have
32:38
Speaker 1: competed against some of the Winnipeg in Colorado, both better
32:42
Speaker 1: than Saint Louis. But Saint Louis isn't bad. I mean,
32:44
Speaker 1: they're still a competitive team. The fact that Dallas just
32:47
Speaker 1: took their first loss, I think that can kind of
32:49
Speaker 1: result in a bit of a hangover spot and they
32:51
Speaker 1: have to take this one trip up to Saint Louis.
32:53
Speaker 1: These one game road trips are usually kind of weird.
32:56
Speaker 1: It's either like you're like it seems to be like
32:59
Speaker 1: either your supremely focused or you're just not focused at all.
33:03
Speaker 1: I know they don't have a big game up next
33:04
Speaker 1: against Columbus, but I think that first loss can put
33:07
Speaker 1: them in a hangover spot, and I think Saint Louis
33:10
Speaker 1: is gonna be in a very, very foul mood here.
33:13
Speaker 1: I think they might be undervalued a little bit here.
33:16
Speaker 1: Saint Louis did beat Vancouver, which I do kind of
33:18
Speaker 1: worry about that because people might say, oh, Saint Louis
33:21
Speaker 1: beat Vancouver, who beat Dallas. That means Saint Louis should
33:24
Speaker 1: be able to beat Dallas here. I don't like that
33:26
Speaker 1: line of handicapping, but I don't just immediately, you know,
33:30
Speaker 1: fade that sentiment every time Saint Louis said two days
33:33
Speaker 1: off with no travels. They have the much better rest
33:35
Speaker 1: and travels spot here. And they're coming off a horrendous loss.
33:39
Speaker 1: They lost eight to three at home to Chicago. But
33:42
Speaker 1: remember that was a bad spot. I talked about that
33:45
Speaker 1: Saint Louis was returning home from a bit of a
33:47
Speaker 1: road trip there and they had this Dallas game up next,
33:50
Speaker 1: so I thought they were gonna get caught in kind
33:51
Speaker 1: of a sandwich spot. They did. They had Hoffer in net,
33:55
Speaker 1: which is their lesser goalie, so they will have Bennington
33:58
Speaker 1: back in net here. I know Bennington was good against
34:00
Speaker 1: Minnesota in his first game. Bennington, he's a roller coaster man.
34:04
Speaker 1: He's either really good or terrible basically, So we'll see
34:08
Speaker 1: which Bennington we get here. But I think it's a
34:11
Speaker 1: Saint Louis spot. They have the better rest scenario. They're
34:13
Speaker 1: in the better spot scheduling wise. Just I mean, that
34:17
Speaker 1: is such an ugly loss, losing giving up eight goals
34:20
Speaker 1: at home to Chicago. You know they got to bounce
34:22
Speaker 1: back from that. Dallas looks too easy to take Dallas.
34:26
Speaker 1: They're down for minus one thirty five to minus win eighteen.
34:28
Speaker 1: It's basically like a pick the winner price, so you know,
34:31
Speaker 1: public gets if the public gets involved here, they're only
34:33
Speaker 1: going to be taking Dallas sixty seven percent of tickets,
34:36
Speaker 1: only fifty six percent of the cash on Dallas, so
34:40
Speaker 1: they're public with less than the money on them. We'll
34:42
Speaker 1: roll with Saint Louis in that one, and then we
34:45
Speaker 1: got one more here, best bets hell, yeah, hopefully these
34:49
Speaker 1: aren't shitty bets. And then last one, we're going back
34:51
Speaker 1: to the b Jys, the Columbus Blue Jackets, So we
34:54
Speaker 1: got Blues and Blue Jackets, Blues Clues. I know. I
35:00
Speaker 1: we also lost going with the Blue Jackets the last
35:02
Speaker 1: time out, and I think that was kind of a
35:03
Speaker 1: bullshit loss. But we're gonna do it. We're fading Tampa Bay.
35:06
Speaker 1: They're playing on the second of a back to back,
35:09
Speaker 1: which I don't think is a very good spot. The
35:11
Speaker 1: money is saying Columbus. It flipped Columbus from one plus
35:15
Speaker 1: one oh two dog to a minus one twelve favorite
35:18
Speaker 1: best I saw it was minus one fifteen out there,
35:20
Speaker 1: but it's basically a pick the winner price, so I
35:22
Speaker 1: would still go with it. Seventy percent of the cash
35:25
Speaker 1: on Columbus with sixty percent of the tickets on Tampa Bay,
35:28
Speaker 1: so the money, the money's coming in on a Columbus.
35:30
Speaker 1: Even though the public wants Tampa Bay. The public still
35:33
Speaker 1: considers Tampa Bay to be a good team, and they're right.
35:36
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay is a good team despite their kind of
35:40
Speaker 1: if we start to the season, but Columbus has a
35:42
Speaker 1: terrible record so far. Columbus has lost both of their
35:45
Speaker 1: home games in regulation so far, so nobody's gonna want
35:48
Speaker 1: anything to do with Columbus here, but I'm gonna do it.
35:52
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay coming into this game, losing two straight overtime
35:58
Speaker 1: games on the road, and now they're playing a third straight,
36:00
Speaker 1: a fourth straight road game, and they're doing that in
36:03
Speaker 1: a span of what is that six days? They're playing four. Yeah,
36:07
Speaker 1: they played a back to back, had a day off,
36:09
Speaker 1: and then another back to back, so they're playing or
36:12
Speaker 1: had two days off excuse me, and then another back
36:14
Speaker 1: to back. So they're playing four games at six days,
36:17
Speaker 1: two back to backs. It's kind of ridiculous, man. And
36:20
Speaker 1: the last two of those games, including yesterday, were overtime games.
36:24
Speaker 1: So this is a bad rest spot for Tampa Bay. Man.
36:27
Speaker 1: They don't have a look ahead. They have a lot
36:28
Speaker 1: of days off after this before they play Chicago though,
36:31
Speaker 1: so maybe they're looking a little bit ahead to that
36:33
Speaker 1: semi by there where they have like four days off
36:36
Speaker 1: after this. I think it's a bad spot for them.
36:39
Speaker 1: Don't know what they were gonna do it inn now, Well,
36:40
Speaker 1: it looks like they're going with probably Johansson a net,
36:43
Speaker 1: so they're gonna be using their worst goalie here as
36:45
Speaker 1: Vassilevsky as their starting goal although hilariously, Johansson was the
36:51
Speaker 1: goalie and their only win against Boston. But you remember
36:54
Speaker 1: I gave out Tampa as a play in that game.
36:56
Speaker 1: I thought Tampa was in a good spot to get
36:58
Speaker 1: that win. It was that like record disparity where Tampa
37:02
Speaker 1: was actually the better team despite having the worst record.
37:04
Speaker 1: They got the job done. They didn't cover on the
37:06
Speaker 1: puck line, though, which I should have gone with Tampa regulation.
37:09
Speaker 1: Then it would have been a winner on the whole
37:12
Speaker 1: bet there. Hilariously, Yeah, Johansson was the goalie in that one,
37:16
Speaker 1: but it's not exactly like he was amazing in the game.
37:19
Speaker 1: He's still the lesser goalie between him and vest Levski,
37:22
Speaker 1: so you're gonna get Johansson in that here. It's a
37:24
Speaker 1: bad rest spot for Tampa Bay. I don't like it
37:27
Speaker 1: Columbus coming in. I think Columbus is gonna be the
37:31
Speaker 1: somewhat more motivated team here man. I mean, they've lost
37:33
Speaker 1: both games at home so far, including losing to Colorado
37:36
Speaker 1: a couple of days ago, four to one. They're only
37:40
Speaker 1: playing their third game over the same span of time
37:42
Speaker 1: that Tampa Bay is playing their fourth, so Columbus is
37:47
Speaker 1: much more rested. They had multiple days off before that
37:49
Speaker 1: Colorado game. They lost pretty badly in that Colorado game.
37:52
Speaker 1: It looks like They're slated to have Jet Grieves as
37:55
Speaker 1: they're starting goalie this time. Jet ridiculous name. They're two
38:01
Speaker 1: goalies are Jet and Elvis. They both sound like rock
38:04
Speaker 1: stars man from like the sixties. I don't really care
38:08
Speaker 1: which goalie is, to be honest, for Columbus, I think
38:10
Speaker 1: they're both somewhat comparable. They're not really either of Neither
38:13
Speaker 1: of them are really that good. Elvis murz Lickens played
38:17
Speaker 1: in their last game. It might be Grieves here. I
38:19
Speaker 1: just don't think it matters that much. I think it's
38:21
Speaker 1: a better spot for Colorado to bounce back here. They're
38:24
Speaker 1: not gonna overlook anybody where. They're sitting at one and three. Yeah,
38:26
Speaker 1: they have Dallas next, but Tampa is still a pretty
38:29
Speaker 1: good team, big name teams, big name team for the
38:32
Speaker 1: most part, coming into their house. We're gonna go with
38:35
Speaker 1: Columbus in that one, and that's gonna be it. Man.
38:38
Speaker 1: Those are the plays. Hopefully, hopefully you guys like them. Yeah,
38:45
Speaker 1: the Blues, Clues, Blues Jews, whatever. Man, the Blue Jackets
38:49
Speaker 1: seems shaky. They always seem shaky. I got a lot
38:53
Speaker 1: of wins with the Blue Jackets last year. They were
38:55
Speaker 1: like my h they were that like undervalue team that
38:59
Speaker 1: when you pick the right spots of the Blue Jackets.
39:01
Speaker 1: Last year, they pulled off some like crazy upsets last year.
39:05
Speaker 1: So I like it. Florida Buffalo, I mean in what way,
39:11
Speaker 1: I don't know. I slightly lean to a Buffalo in
39:14
Speaker 1: that one. Parlay Buffalo and Columbus. Hell, no, I'm not
39:17
Speaker 1: gonna parlay anything. Everything is a straight bet for me.
39:21
Speaker 1: I think parlays that you just don't get good enough
39:23
Speaker 1: odds on the parlays. Man, if you want to do
39:25
Speaker 1: it for small amounts of money, do it like for
39:28
Speaker 1: fun and whatever. Yeah, I mean do it. But like
39:32
Speaker 1: I said, like I'm about like the grind and actually
39:34
Speaker 1: trying to like profit long term. So it's all straight bets.
39:37
Speaker 1: And then that way, if you you know, if you
39:40
Speaker 1: lose one of your bets out of five or whatever,
39:42
Speaker 1: then your whole bet doesn't go down, you know what
39:44
Speaker 1: I mean. You'll have a four and one day and
39:46
Speaker 1: you'll have a huge day if you go four and
39:47
Speaker 1: one straight betting everything. But if you parlay at all
39:50
Speaker 1: five of those, you'd lose the parlay, you know what
39:52
Speaker 1: I mean. It's just kind of ridiculous. Shaky home dogs
39:56
Speaker 1: facing struggling great teams. Yeah, I mean, I mean that's true.
40:01
Speaker 1: It's more about the spot though. I think Tampa's in
40:04
Speaker 1: like a really really bad spot, especially because of the
40:06
Speaker 1: back to back, worse than the spot that Florida's. And
40:09
Speaker 1: so that is what I'm going with. And then if
40:11
Speaker 1: you miss my college football show, we have Central Michigan
40:14
Speaker 1: plus three and a half, Purdue plus three, Kentucky plus
40:18
Speaker 1: twelve and a half, and Syracuse plus ten, which I
40:22
Speaker 1: think it's at nine and a half. Now I would
40:23
Speaker 1: still play it at nine and a half probably, but
40:25
Speaker 1: maybe for a smaller amount of money. Let me just see,
40:30
Speaker 1: so Central Michigan, I mean they're still getting the money there,
40:32
Speaker 1: they have more of the cash percentage. That's still looking
40:34
Speaker 1: pretty good. The three and a half still out there.
40:36
Speaker 1: Purdue looks like they're still taking the money both of
40:39
Speaker 1: those games with low totals too, So the money looks
40:42
Speaker 1: like it is still agreeing. And yeah, I know you're
40:44
Speaker 1: seeing like a more public ticket percentage on those two
40:47
Speaker 1: sides too, But I don't think the public is really
40:49
Speaker 1: playing those games, which I explained last night. Public is
40:52
Speaker 1: not going to be playing one of these mac games
40:54
Speaker 1: on a fully loaded Saturday college football slate with a
40:57
Speaker 1: lot of huge games, They're not going to be putting
40:58
Speaker 1: money on a Mac game and probably not on per
41:01
Speaker 1: Due Northwestern either, So I think really what you're seeing
41:04
Speaker 1: is a lot of those tickets are actually professional tickets
41:07
Speaker 1: in these cases, and you still see more of the
41:09
Speaker 1: cash on those sides, So that is the indicator that
41:11
Speaker 1: I think those are more professional sides. For some reason,
41:15
Speaker 1: it looks like Texas is getting more of the money
41:17
Speaker 1: right now, but they're definitely a public side because there
41:20
Speaker 1: are more public teams, so I think there was more
41:22
Speaker 1: public involvement in this one. And this is an extremely
41:24
Speaker 1: low total too, so I'm fine with them in Kentucky
41:28
Speaker 1: plus the points there. I think the spot is very
41:30
Speaker 1: bad for Texas and it's good for Kentucky, So I
41:34
Speaker 1: mean those are all spot plays too. I pick good
41:36
Speaker 1: spots in my opinion. And then the cash percentage is
41:38
Speaker 1: way on the Syracuse side. It looks like a pros
41:41
Speaker 1: versus Joe's scenario between Pitt and Syracuse there, so that's
41:44
Speaker 1: still looking pretty good as well. That's gonna do it, man,
41:47
Speaker 1: Those are the plays. Thanks for hanging out, everybody. I
41:50
Speaker 1: appreciate it. Everybody. Charles Jeffrey readhearted dirty Sock? Who else
41:57
Speaker 1: is in the chat? Is at it? Did I get
41:58
Speaker 1: everybody this morning? I don't even know dirty Sock. Was
42:01
Speaker 1: he even in here? I think he was? Or no,
42:02
Speaker 1: I think he just commented on my video from last night.
42:05
Speaker 1: That's gonna do it. Though. Hopefully I keep this going
42:08
Speaker 1: and don't let you down. Man. We've had very few
42:11
Speaker 1: losing days over the last like three weeks. Man, I
42:13
Speaker 1: think only two or three over the last few weeks,
42:16
Speaker 1: which is quite good. We've had some days where I
42:19
Speaker 1: just didn't have any plays, some that were very small
42:22
Speaker 1: wins like yesterday, But I'll take that over a losing day.
42:25
Speaker 1: Obviously it should have been a two and oh day yesterday, which,
42:27
Speaker 1: if you want to hear my talk about that, I
42:29
Speaker 1: did talk about it on the Football Show last night.
42:32
Speaker 1: But Chicago Blackhawks, they should have won the game last night.
42:35
Speaker 1: We had them as an underdog. So when I play
42:37
Speaker 1: an underdog, a money line underdog, I play to win
42:40
Speaker 1: the same amount that I would put play a like
42:42
Speaker 1: minus one ten bets. You're putting less money on it
42:46
Speaker 1: to win the same amounts. So we lost on an
42:47
Speaker 1: underdog play where Chicago blew a two nothing lead in
42:50
Speaker 1: the game and lost in a shootout, which is just bad.
42:54
Speaker 1: I mean, it's just kind of bullshit. I think they
42:56
Speaker 1: should have gotten the win in that one as an underdog.
42:59
Speaker 1: I mean, you know, oh, you're on the right side
43:00
Speaker 1: if an underdog plays a game like that, and then
43:03
Speaker 1: we got the win, the big win on Louisville, outright
43:05
Speaker 1: win over Miami. The rest tried to help Miami, it
43:08
Speaker 1: still didn't do it as Miami. Yeah, Carson Beck was
43:13
Speaker 1: just really bad in the game as far as throwing
43:15
Speaker 1: four interceptions. I'll take it. We got the win with Louisville.
43:19
Speaker 1: Louisville probably would have covered anyway despite all those turnovers,
43:23
Speaker 1: but winning the game outright, I'll take it. Man. So
43:27
Speaker 1: I with those plays when you have a big underdog.
43:30
Speaker 1: So when you have a big underdog like we have
43:32
Speaker 1: with these football players, I recommend putting like ninety seven
43:35
Speaker 1: percent of the bet on the spread and like three
43:39
Speaker 1: percent of the bet on the money line. With some
43:41
Speaker 1: of those bigger underdogs that are like ten or above,
43:44
Speaker 1: anywhere between three percent and one percent of the money line,
43:46
Speaker 1: depending on how big of an underdog they are. Really,
43:49
Speaker 1: But on the smaller underdogs, I recommend ninety percent of
43:51
Speaker 1: the bet on the spread and ten percent on the
43:54
Speaker 1: money line, like with Central Michigan for example today. So
43:57
Speaker 1: that's how I do it. So Louisville got a nice
43:59
Speaker 1: little extra ru amount of money on the money line there,
44:02
Speaker 1: dirty sock. Yeah, he's he's just lost somewhere. Man, like
44:06
Speaker 1: coming and subscribe, That is true, Yes, sir, thank you, Jeffrey. Yeah,
44:11
Speaker 1: you can tell them about my show. Hell yeah, thank
44:13
Speaker 1: you man, thanks for us spreading the word. I'm glad
44:16
Speaker 1: to help out with these plays here. I'm trying. Let's
44:19
Speaker 1: keep it going. I wasn't good the last time. Well
44:23
Speaker 1: this year and last year I had bad years doing this,
44:25
Speaker 1: so twenty two and twenty twenty three are both really good.
44:29
Speaker 1: So I don't know, hopefully I'll be uh. I think
44:33
Speaker 1: we're back on track right now, so hopefully that continues.
44:35
Speaker 1: I'll be back tonight with an NFL show as well.
44:37
Speaker 1: I'm gonna have a couple of NFL plays, so come
44:40
Speaker 1: back for that if it's not too late for you,
44:43
Speaker 1: and I'll see you then. Learn to tone on Twitter,
44:46
Speaker 1: learn a tone on Instagram, like subscribe, comment here on
44:49
Speaker 1: YouTube helps me out audio platform if you listen and
44:53
Speaker 1: review over there, that helps me out too. On Spotify
44:55
Speaker 1: and iTunes. Covering in you because my yuke channel on YouTube,
44:59
Speaker 1: so you can check that out. To payground dot com, stash,
45:02
Speaker 1: learn to toad and you can get some bonus content,
45:06
Speaker 1: bonus up content right now. So yeah, that's gonna do it.
45:11
Speaker 1: Follow if you like money. Yeah, that is what I
45:13
Speaker 1: should say. Yeah, I'm giving out the goal for free
45:16
Speaker 1: man's somebody better, somebody better stop me. But yeah, hopefully
45:20
Speaker 1: the information continues, the streak hopefully continues. That's gonna do
45:25
Speaker 1: it for now. I appreciate it, guys, Thanks for hanging
45:28
Speaker 1: out this morning. Peace