Latest / Financial Survival Network / Is Elon Musk the Most Powerful Man on Earth — John Rubino #5865
Transcript
- 0:00All right, and now we're going to end with the lead, which is
- 0:03a no no in journalism. Right, is Elon Musk the most powerful person
- 0:08on Earth? And let's just look at what's going on article today. The
- 0:12guy basically owns space all right. Half of the satellites floating around up there,
- 0:18we're put up there by Musk. Well, actually I should say I
- 0:22should rephrase that half of the satellites floating around are owned by Musk, by
- 0:27SpaceX. A lot of the rest of them were sent up there on his
- 0:32rockets. And now we find out that the Internet, satellite Internet was basically
- 0:39the only thing that kept Ukraine in this war. Throughout the entire time,
- 0:44you were listening to Carrie Let's Financial Survival Network, where you get valuable information
- 0:50you just can't find anywhere else to thrive in today's trying times. You need
- 0:55the Financial Survival Network now more than ever. Go to Financial Survival and Network
- 1:00dot com and get your free newsletter in gift Financial Survival Network now more than
- 1:07ever, And welcome. You are listening to watching the Financial Survival Network.
- 1:15I'm your host, Carrie Lutz. With us is our good friend John Robino.
- 1:21You find him at Robino dot substack dot com and hey, John could
- 1:26have you back with Missie a couple of weeks ago. But there's certainly no
- 1:30shortage of things to discuss. I guess first and foremost is what is going
- 1:36on with Japan? Hey Kara, Yeah, you know, this might be
- 1:38the sum summer girl doldrums for the stock market, but there's a lot of
- 1:42other stuff going on out there, and Japan is a good one to start
- 1:46with. With a little bit of background. They cut themselves an amazingly sweet
- 1:51deal. The Japanese government did a while back by pushing interest rates into negative
- 1:55territory so they could issue bonds which people had to pay them for the chance
- 2:04to own them. So the more the Japanese government borrowed, the better it's
- 2:07cash flow was because people were paying them, you know, negative interests on
- 2:12these bonds and stuff. So that was a great deal, and it went
- 2:14on for a long time and allowed them to borrow even more money than they
- 2:16had already borrowed. And now debt to GDP for the Japanese government is the
- 2:22highest per capita in the history of the human race. No, no country
- 2:24has ever borrowed like this because and like, yes, yeah, you had
- 2:30to pay them if you wanted to own their bonds. But anyhow, that
- 2:35that's starting to end now because of inflation. You know, twenty twenty two
- 2:38was ten percent inflation for Japan, just like everybody else, and you can't
- 2:42really have negative interest rate bonds in a double digit inflation world. So they've
- 2:46had to allow the interest rate on their ten year bonds to drift up,
- 2:50first two point two five percent, then to point five percent, and just
- 2:54this past week they widened the band to allow that interest rate to go up
- 3:00to one percent, and so the rate on ten year bonds instantly shot up
- 3:05to point six percent, which is seen by the whole world as kind of
- 3:08a capitulation. And so the yen is falling now, so so Japan is
- 3:13in this box where the higher interest rates go, the more they owe on
- 3:19their interest and it could be they you know, they have so much debt
- 3:22out there that interest rates rising appreciably from here would be a debilitating interest bill
- 3:28for them. But they need interest rates to go up in order to keep
- 3:30the yen from collapsing, which would cause massive inflation, which would send their
- 3:35interest rates up regardless, So they're kind of stuck in the place that all
- 3:39profligate governments end up being stuck. And it's not clear what the timing of
- 3:44all this is, but they're not far from a tipping point where if the
- 3:50end keeps dropping from here, interest rates have to go up. But rates
- 3:53go up much from here, interest costs eat the government alive. So this
- 3:57is a thing to watch because it's completely possible that relatively modest moves in the
- 4:03end and or interest rates pushed Japan off a cliff here financially. So it
- 4:10might go on for a long time, or it might happen sooner rather than
- 4:13later. We'll just have to see it. But they're definitely heading that way,
- 4:15you know. That cliff is looming and they're walking towards it. Yeah.
- 4:18Yeah, well we always knew this was going to come, but who
- 4:21could believe that it could take thirty years? John, Well, you know,
- 4:26the really extreme borrowing has happened pretty recently. But yeah, they had
- 4:30a real estate bubble burst in the nineteen nineties and ever since they've been running
- 4:35big deficits and you know, in introducing liquidity programs for various industries and stuff
- 4:42like that. So so it's been expanding, you know, But they went
- 4:44from having not terrible debt levels in the nineteen nineties, two pretty bad debt
- 4:50levels a decade after, an extremely scary debt levels a decade after that,
- 4:56to today's unearthly debt levels. You know, they so much money on a
- 5:00per capita basis that there's absolutely no way out. But no other government is
- 5:06even going to be able to get close to these levels without blowing up,
- 5:10you know, because Japan had one specific advantage, which is that they ran
- 5:14a massive trade surplus this whole time, so they had all kinds of money
- 5:16coming in from the rest of the world, which allowed them to kind of
- 5:21limp along, keep their zombie industries from falling apart, and take on a
- 5:28whole lot more depth than they would have been able to do otherwise. So
- 5:30the you know, the US, for instance, with our massive trade deficit,
- 5:34we can't get that far into debt accumulation of Japan did, so we
- 5:40have a shorter lease on this whole thing, although we've already borrowed, you
- 5:46know, more than it ever seemed like we could. We're in the US,
- 5:48we're the world's biggest debtor nation already, but on a per capita basis,
- 5:54we don't touch Japan, so they're the one to watch as an example
- 5:58of what's coming, or the US and Europe in a bunch of other countries.
- 6:02So where does this leave us? Like, if Japan goes, then
- 6:06you've got to believe the euro is going to go, everything's going to go
- 6:10right, Yeah, and field currency world, the dollar in the euro in
- 6:15the end only exists because we have faith in how well they're managed. But
- 6:18you let one of them go, and then we start looking around and going,
- 6:21well, you know, Europe's not that well managed either. You know,
- 6:26are they going to have you know, the next crisis or will it
- 6:29be the US? Or you know, does the US have to start World
- 6:31War three in order to elevate the dollar? You know what's going to happen.
- 6:35But the process of looking around and going what's next and who's next won't
- 6:41be pleasant for the financial markets because once people start looking, they find all
- 6:45kinds of problems out there. That's just kind of how human psychology works.
- 6:49And what you feel like are good times, you're able to overlook the bad
- 6:54stuff that's going on. But as soon as your mindset flips and you start
- 6:58thinking, well, it's bad times, and then you notice bad things everywhere.
- 7:01The financial markets will do that after one of the big fe arc currencies
- 7:05collapses. And it does feel like now that it could be Japan. But
- 7:11Europe that's a whole separate subject of mismanagement and stupidity and the imminent collapse,
- 7:17because there's a lot of things going on over there that could make them first
- 7:20instead of Japan. But if the Euro goes, it'll take the end down
- 7:25with it, so the Japan won't get that much of a reprieve. Yeah,
- 7:28I think you are correct there. So you know, there's just so
- 7:32much going on. But Wall Street keeps going up. John, we're having
- 7:38the return of the bull, however aboarded it might be. The market's been
- 7:42doing pretty good. Yeah. Well, I posted a thing on substack a
- 7:46while ago comparing the interest rate and stock market trends from the nineteen nineties and
- 7:53the two thousands and today, And what happened in those two previous booms followed
- 7:58by Big Bus was that the stock market started to go up and interest rates
- 8:03went up to and then they went up in tandem for quite a while.
- 8:07In other words, stocks kept getting more and more richly priced and interest rates
- 8:13kept getting higher and higher, and then it reached a point where high interest
- 8:16rates broke the economy and caused a big stock market crash, and so we're
- 8:20basically replicating that pattern. Interest rates are going up, stocks continue to rise,
- 8:26But there's a point at which interest rates will be high enough to choke
- 8:31off economic activity, which means lower corporate earnings, which means crashing stock prices.
- 8:35So that's all coming, and I think the reason why it hasn't come
- 8:39already because interest rates are high enough now to theoretically do that. For instance,
- 8:43it's already choking off commercial real estate and it's caused the housing market to
- 8:48basically be frozen, but it hasn't crashed the overall economy. And the reason
- 8:50for that is that we're running insanely high government deficits. You know, people
- 8:54aren't paying attention to deficits anymore, but two trillion dollars or a year is
- 9:01not an unusual deficit for US right now, and so that's massive fiscal stimulus.
- 9:05So monetary policy is tightening, but fiscal policy is remaining extremely loose,
- 9:11and that's allowing the economy to continue to grow in the face of higher interest
- 9:16rates longer than it would be able to do otherwise. But you know,
- 9:20there's a limit to that, because at some point interest rates are high enough
- 9:24that you just can't justify borrowing anymore. It doesn't matter what the government's doing,
- 9:28whether they're they're subsidizing you a little bit, or or whether they're keeping
- 9:33taxes low or whatever. You just can't justify borrowing when your internal rate of
- 9:39return is below the cost of capital. And you get there when interest rates
- 9:43go up a little bit higher from here. So we are headed that way,
- 9:46and I think it's it's possible that commercial real estate is the thing that
- 9:50breaks first, but there's no way to know because there's lots of you know,
- 9:54they call this the everything bubble for a reason. There's a lot of
- 9:56bubble delicious stuff going on out there, and any of it conversed at any
- 10:01time. And just when you thought it was safe to go to your ATM,
- 10:07we get another bank collapse. This time though the Fed handled it and
- 10:11Treasury handled it the way it's supposed to be. Where the bank closes over
- 10:16the weekend, everything's fine, and then you wake up and you're now dealing
- 10:20with their successor. And they called it, I can't remember a take under
- 10:26or an overtake whatever, something like that, an overtakeover Kerry. I didn't
- 10:31even see this. I didn't know there was another bank failure this weekend that
- 10:33really happened last weekend. But the point is that the banking failure, you
- 10:41know it, I think it was last weekend that it happened, and you
- 10:46know it was. I can't remember the name of it now, but it
- 10:52just happened last week and it was a California bank and it got taken over
- 10:58by the Bank of the California or something like that, and it was actually
- 11:03a smaller bank. Okay, we'll look it up. We'll post it in
- 11:07the show notes. See these things we're talking about slowing down me I forgot
- 11:11to mention. Manufacturing is slowing down all the pm I indices or are slowing.
- 11:16But you take commercial, real estate, housing and small business activity.
- 11:22Those are things that local and regional banks depend on. That's their business base,
- 11:28and high interest rates are choking off so much of that and making bond
- 11:31prices go down because higher interest rates are just the reciprocal bond prices, which
- 11:37means that on the balance sheet of a lot of these little banks is a
- 11:41whole bunch of bad paper and a lot of loans that haven't been taken yet,
- 11:45So we could easily see a banking crisis re emerge when a few of
- 11:48these banks are forced one way or another to take the losses that are right
- 11:52now just paper losses and convert them into actual losses, and then that spreads,
- 11:58that contagion spreads to the rest of the states and local banks, and
- 12:03the federal government has come in and bail them out. You know that that's
- 12:07something that is very high on the list of possibilities, and that could be
- 12:11a domino that knocks down a lot of other dominoes because the small banks are
- 12:18so intertwined with everything else in the country that you can't have a hundred small
- 12:22banks fail, and that could easily happen without it affecting the rest of the
- 12:28economy. Good luck trying to get a mortgage if a couple of your local
- 12:31banks fail, because nobody else is going to want to deal with you while
- 12:35that mess has been cleaned up. So, yeah, there's all kinds of
- 12:39things could happen. That all of them are getting closer to a point at
- 12:43which they become a crisis. Instead of a leading problem, they become a
- 12:48here and now crisis. And there's no way to know which we'll go first,
- 12:50but there's a bunch that will go at some point in the next year
- 12:54or two. Yeah. Here it is a pack West Bank, or this
- 12:58was the twenty sixth I think it was. It's taken over by Bank of
- 13:03California. And it was actually a smaller bank in the Bank of California.
- 13:09So they took it over. And it happened not this weekend, the weekend
- 13:15before last, and nobody was any of the wiser this weekend a bank was
- 13:22tiny, little nothing bank. State Bank in Kansas was pretty much closed down,
- 13:28and the FTIC took it over one hundred thirty nine million dollars in assets.
- 13:33So that's a pimple on the banking system. And I'm sure everybody's glad
- 13:37it's gone. Now. Remember when one hundred and thirty million dollars was real
- 13:41money? Everic Dirk said and said, I used to say he was a
- 13:48speaker of the Senate or a majority leader of the Senate, and he was
- 13:52the one who coined the phrase a billion here, a billion there. Pretty
- 13:54soon you're talking about real money. Yeah, that's so offensive when the government
- 14:01but yeah, yeah, but that was a while ago. Now and nounced
- 14:03trillions instead of billions. Yeah, and pretty soon it'll probably be quadrillion.
- 14:09So look like we got the economy slowing, we've got bank lending, bank
- 14:18credit creation to business is hitting the skids, and housing is like the anomaly
- 14:26here because actually the housing stocks a couple of weeks ago made new five year
- 14:31highs. Um you know, guys like Lenar, like Poulty Homes, Kby
- 14:39Homes, Dr Horton, they all hit new highs, even Tall Brothers,
- 14:43which is on the luxury end of new housing. But there was an article
- 14:48today in zero Hedge. I don't know if you caught it where they talked
- 14:52about how they're cutting back. The price of new homes is going down and
- 14:56they're putting less stuff in them, so less extras, which is where the
- 15:01builders make all their money, and extras the actual house itself. You know,
- 15:05there's a profit built in, but the real profit on a house is
- 15:09when you want that fancy kitchen, cabinets and you want all this other stuff.
- 15:13That's where they make the bucks. Yeah, the housing stocks went down
- 15:18today and they're vulnerable to high interest rates just like anybody else in the real
- 15:24estate market. But one of the reasons why they've been looking so good for
- 15:28so long is that there's a shortage of houses out there because the people who
- 15:31own houses and have mortgages from prior years are locked in to their three percent
- 15:37mortgages. You know, they can't sell their house and then go buy something
- 15:41else because they got to pay seven point two percent on the mortgage. So
- 15:45there's very little inventory coming onto the market, which means home builders have a
- 15:50better pitch. They can say, well, you can you can buy this
- 15:52crappy use house over here or this one over here, but that's all that's
- 15:56your inventory. But let me build you the perfect dream house. So true
- 16:00that yeah, and so that's working for him, but that isn't the kind
- 16:03of thing that lasts forever. If interrust rates go up beyond the point of
- 16:07new home buyers being able to afford buying a nice, new, luxurious house
- 16:12with all the bells and whistles, then the home builders suffer too. And
- 16:17normally in a housing bus the home builders get crushed. They just hanked down
- 16:22the near zero in two thousand and eight, two thousand and nine. So
- 16:26the idea that somehow they're immune to the normal dynamic and real estate is probably
- 16:33misplaced. I think they'll they'll suffer eventually, maybe just not yet on the
- 16:37scale that they previously did. Ye I thought about like, you know,
- 16:41I got my house at exactly the right time. Honestly, it's way more
- 16:45space than I need. It's just me said, maybe I'll go to Lake
- 16:49a two three bedroom condo. But then, even if that condo is worth
- 16:55half of what my house is here, unless I buy it for cash,
- 16:59I'm going to wind up making a mortgage payment that's the same as what I'm
- 17:03paying now or even more. So I've got to be crazy to go downsizing.
- 17:07So this is what's keeping a lot of older people in their homes because
- 17:11they yeah, they can sell their home, take a big profit, but
- 17:15then they got to put that all into the new place because prices have gone
- 17:18up. Otherwise, if they have a mortgage, they would have to have
- 17:22a mortgage fifty percent of the size of the mortgage there existing mortgage to pay
- 17:27the same same debt service, same monthly payment, maybe a little bit less
- 17:33in the taxes. So you can so you can downsize. It doesn't make
- 17:37any sense. So you know, there's another interesting story in the housing market,
- 17:44and that is demographic remember when home prices were going to collapse because baby
- 17:48boomers were going to sell their McMansions when they turn sixty one, and that's
- 17:53not happening. Part of it. It's probably that dynamic that you're talking about
- 17:56that right now where you know boomers are, they're sitting in their mcmansion's going,
- 18:00oh, man, if I sell it now, I'm going to have
- 18:03to take out a monster mortgage. I don't want to do that. Maybe
- 18:04I'll sit tight for another few years. And what that implies is that if
- 18:11the FED were to force interest rates back down a little bit, but it
- 18:15could open up a massive wave of supply in the real estate market because all
- 18:22these boomers, you know, it's no fun having a four thousand or five
- 18:27thousand square foot house when you're seventy years old. That's just a lot of
- 18:32dusting of empty rooms that you got to do. That's a lot of plumbing
- 18:37and electric that always needs to be repaired. Yeah. Yeah, So the
- 18:40boomers, if they're like any other generation in human history, are going to
- 18:44want to downsize when they can and as soon as as soon as the environment
- 18:49is such that that's possible, then this market is just going to kind of
- 18:52spass them with all the new you know, all this new inventory is going
- 18:56to come on and the price of houses will probably ten even as interest rates
- 19:02go down, which would normally be a good thing for house prices. So
- 19:04we'll see it. But that's just another wild card in a housing market that's
- 19:10very unusual right now. It's not behaving the way it normally does. Yeah,
- 19:14totally. So. So we have a coup in Niger, or an
- 19:19attempted coup, and they're a major resource producing country in Africa, particularly uranium,
- 19:27which has really royaled the uranium market. Yeah. Well, this is
- 19:33a good lesson or resource stock investors, and that is that political risk is
- 19:40a real thing. A country or a company can have a great resource that
- 19:45looks like it's going to be super profitable, but in a place that has
- 19:48a coup or a civil war and any number of other things that fall under
- 19:52the political risk umbrella, and it screws up your market. And it also
- 20:00illustrates how companies that have resources in stable jurisdictions tend to respond very well to
- 20:10political risk in other places. Because if you look at the uranium stocks right
- 20:14now, most of them popped today. They're doing great because of this potential
- 20:18disruption in the uranium supply. But there's one or two uranium miners in Nagier
- 20:25who are not doing so well today because they might be cut off from world
- 20:30markets for a while. So political risk is a thing, and it can
- 20:33cut both ways. It can benefit you if it happens somewhere else, that
- 20:38can hurt you if you're where it's happening. So pay attention to that with
- 20:42your resource stock in dusting. Hey, let's not forget the new government might
- 20:48not look so favorably on the existing concessions and they might just terminate them,
- 20:56all right, take us to the World Court, or take us to whatever
- 20:59arbitration there is, and we're just going to be at it out to new
- 21:03company, and maybe we'll do it to uranium one, right whoever owns it
- 21:08today. I think it might be Uranium one, but I'm not one hundred
- 21:11percent sure, but yeah, that's that's a possibility. And in meanwhile,
- 21:15there are a lot of other countries out there that are looking at the extractive
- 21:22industries that are operating in within their borders and they're thinking they want a bigger
- 21:26cut of the profits. So they're changing the terms of the concessions that happened,
- 21:32and I think it might have just happened in Mexico with taxi in Chile
- 21:36m with the percentage that the government takes from minds that operate there. So
- 21:42so so you know, investing in resource stocks is complicated. That's the takeaways
- 21:49A lot to think about. Well, that's the case. You need to
- 21:52geographical diversity as well as diversity over the over the metal and minerals that you're
- 22:02looking at the resources, you need to diversify them too. You know,
- 22:06it's it's like anything else. But probably if you have twelve stocks in different
- 22:11places with different things that are in tight supply. So you're a nickel,
- 22:15you're in some platinum, you're in lithium perhaps, or any one of a
- 22:23number of other ones, and then you're in Canada, you're in Nevada.
- 22:27At least for now, North America compared to the rest of the world,
- 22:32is a stable jurisdiction and we'll see how that turns out. But at least
- 22:37then you have a shot and lots of uranium produced in Canada. So I
- 22:42just find it fascinating that you know a country like Niger that of the world
- 22:49cannot find on a map, John, they can't find it on a map
- 22:53all of a sudden is like the tail wagging the dog and messing up the
- 23:00market. But it was inevitable because production has been cut back and prices that
- 23:04were kept artificially low by whatever means, for whatever reasons, by whomever,
- 23:11conspiracy of the week you think might be controlling the prices. This is what
- 23:15happens when you monkey with the market artificially over protracted periods of time, you
- 23:22get these these disruptions. Yeah, yeah, and right now you pay a
- 23:29premium or assets that are in North America, so that has to be factored
- 23:33into you. You get resources in risky countries at a discount, and you
- 23:41pay up to get them in Canada or you know, there's a lot there's
- 23:44some gold mining going on in Nevada right now, which is a really good
- 23:47arrosection for gold mining. So you do pay up a little bit for something
- 23:51like that. So, um, there are a lot of moving parts and
- 23:55you have to make a lot of judgment calls in this market. And up
- 24:00Rick Rule, for instance, says that he likes risky countries because they tend
- 24:04to be underpriced. And of the words the discount or yeah, the discount
- 24:11that you got to pay. Wait, how does that work? You pay
- 24:14a premium? Okay, yeah, discount, Yeah you get it. Yeah,
- 24:19you're buying it a discount, and it's a it's an attractive enough discount
- 24:26to make it worth his while. And he should know. You know,
- 24:30Rick Rule says something about resource investing. You should take it as almost a
- 24:33guarantee fact, you know. Yeah, but we're seeing the downside of that
- 24:38now with the uranium thing in Africa. But yeah, interesting market. I
- 24:44still think, well, the uranium stocks that are in safer jurisdictions have been
- 24:48doing great and it looks like they're going to continue to do well. So
- 24:52that's still a very interesting part of the recent roust market, and I think
- 25:00any weakness in uranium stocks going forward should be a buying opportunity for people who
- 25:03understand that market. And today, while we're talking about it, the first
- 25:10new nuclear power plant went online in the United States in Georgia. I'm not
- 25:17sure if as the modular designed one or not. My friends actually worked on
- 25:21that and helped develop it. But first time in like, you know,
- 25:26twenty thirty years, a new nuclear power plant has come onto the grid in
- 25:32the United States, nuclear I used to be opposed to nuclear power because it
- 25:38because it had an embedded risk where every ten years a nuclear plant melts down
- 25:47and then nobody wants to touch those stocks for the next eight years. Yeah,
- 25:51but I've kind of changed my mind lately because nothing really seriously bad happened.
- 25:56When you look back at those nuclear accidents, Chernobyl is the only one
- 26:00that was where there was a loss of a lot of lives. Loss pretty
- 26:07messy, it's incredibly messy, but nobody died. They're they're gradually cleaning it
- 26:14up and everything. So anyway, right, Yeah, and yeah, I
- 26:17know when they told us about and when you put that against the incredible economics
- 26:25of nuclear power. It takes you know, a beer can size amount of
- 26:30uranium to basically power your life for your lifetime. Um and um, there's
- 26:41so much you can do with power that is is that steady. For instance,
- 26:47you can set up a nuclear plant and at night you don't need all
- 26:49that power. You run it at capacity or whatever continuously, and at night
- 26:55when no one needs that power, you can mind bitcoin, you can you
- 27:00can create hydrogen and then use the hydrogen to run cars and then bypass the
- 27:06whole electric battery thing, which is an environmental nightmare. So there are a
- 27:11lot of upsides to nuclear that I think people are just beginning to grasp.
- 27:17And I think that as more and more people figure it out, it moves
- 27:22back into favor. And there's nowhere near enough uranium coming out of today's minds
- 27:26to satisfy the resulting demand. So uranium is one of those things where there's
- 27:30going to be panic buying at some point and it's whatever it is, sixty
- 27:36five dollars right now. It no, No, that's still not enough,
- 27:42not enough to satisfy the next decades demand. So it has to go up.
- 27:48And as long as there's not another food Kushima in the near term,
- 27:52a lot of countries are going to make the decision that while windpower didn't work
- 27:56out as well as we thought it, well, natural gases is day jurisic.
- 28:00We get it from Russia, and you know, so let's do nuclear
- 28:03because we can control that. So I think that's the dynamic, and I
- 28:07think it's going to get bigger and bigger barring that big accident that's out there,
- 28:12and it's going to be a really successful segment of the commodities investing universe.
- 28:18For quite a while, all right, and now we're going to end
- 28:21with the lead, which is a no no in journalism, right, is
- 28:26Elon Musk the most powerful person on Earth? And let's just look at what's
- 28:30going on article today. The guy basically owns space all right, half of
- 28:36the satellites floating around up there, we're put up there by Musk. Well,
- 28:40actually I should say I should rephrase that half of the satellites floating around
- 28:45are owned by Musk, by SpaceX. A lot of the rest of them
- 28:49were sent up there on his rockets. And now we find out that the
- 28:56internet, satellite Internet was basically the only thing that kept Ukraine in this war
- 29:02throughout the entire time, because you know, it's just there was no other
- 29:07way to communicate. Their whole communications infrastructure was targeted by the Rasans, blown
- 29:14up in day one of the war. And yet because of Starlink, they're
- 29:18able to run all their drones have military communications. And he's not within the
- 29:26control at least in theory of any particular country. It's up to him whether
- 29:30you know, if he says to Ukraine, you know you can have Internet
- 29:36service, but I'm geo fencing crimea because we don't want to get involved in
- 29:38crimea what are they supposed to do? And there's multiple countries and boats and
- 29:45planes and everything else. All their internet connectivity comes down to Musk So that's
- 29:52he owns the infrastructure for launching satellites. He owns the satellites for communication.
- 29:59And then he owns a little car company called Tesla, which appears to be,
- 30:03if not the most profitable car company, it is on the brink of
- 30:08becoming the dominant automaker in the world. He goes around making deals with India,
- 30:15with Indonesia, you know, with China, and you know he cowtows
- 30:22to the shrine of Chairman Mao to keep good relations with China because half the
- 30:27productions there. You know, the question though, is he the most powerful
- 30:33person on earth right now? He does seem to be, doesn't he.
- 30:37And you know, as rich as he is, they don't necessarily count SpaceX
- 30:44in his net worth. And when that goes public SpaceX the owner of Starling,
- 30:51Yeah, that's gonna be a really valuable company. So he's going to
- 30:53add another fifty billion dollars or so to his network. But this um low
- 30:59war but satellite internet thing, you know, it wasn't that intuitively obvious to
- 31:06begin with, at least to most people, But I guess it was to
- 31:08Musk. But it's like the Internet because you you can you can take out
- 31:14a big communication satellite, but if you take out a hundred of his lower
- 31:18Earth orbit tiny satellites, he'll just route around you, because it's the same
- 31:22way the Internet. If you know, one note of the Internet goes down,
- 31:25the signal still gets there. So it's very robust and that makes it
- 31:30militarily really important. Now, at the same time that's happening, Jeff Bezos
- 31:36is doing the same thing. He's using his space company to put up a
- 31:41competitor of Starlinks, So you know, it's late to the game. Yeah,
- 31:47yeah, it could be could be that he was waiting to see what
- 31:52kind of beginner's mistakes Elon Musk would make. But it looks like he didn't
- 31:55make very money. So Bezos is definitely late to the game. But you
- 32:00know, we could could end up having some kind of a space war up
- 32:02there between private sector companies with their Internet communications networks and stuff, because it
- 32:09wouldn't be hard to weaponize those things, just like we were talking about with
- 32:14drones. A bunch of small satellites that where you don't care what happens to
- 32:19them. Yes, the very dangerous weapons up there. Yeah, so we're
- 32:24entering a world where a lot of things that were inconceivable a few years ago
- 32:28are suddenly not science fiction anymore. You know, that's just something that could
- 32:32possibly happen. And who would win, Jeff Bezos or Elon Musk, you
- 32:36know, you know, you don't even have to blow up the satellites.
- 32:39You just have to bang one into another one. They're very sensitive, you'll
- 32:44knock it out of operation. You know. It's also the things tied in
- 32:49with the drone wars, So that to me, of everything that's happened in
- 32:54Ukraine, you know, all this nuclear saber rattling and all that their own
- 33:00wars are the most terrifying and significant advance in modern warfare. We already talked
- 33:08about how like, you know, all of the US and Western military industrial
- 33:14entities, and there are many of them out there, a lot of them
- 33:16you don't even know who they are. But the big ones, Raytheon,
- 33:22You've got Boeing obviously, Lockheed, a whole bunch of them. Well,
- 33:31what we found out was that the whole thing that Russia was a threat during
- 33:37the Cold War other than being a nuclear threat with missiles. It's just totally
- 33:43false because you see how their weapons have performed in every war since the Arab
- 33:49Israeli War nineteen seventy two. Every time there's been a confrontation between US Western
- 33:58military technology in Russian Eastern military technology, they've been destroyed. So to me,
- 34:07like this whole Ukraine war has just pointed up the fallacy the Cold War
- 34:12that it was just a psi op to get us to keep spending more and
- 34:15more money on this stuff. And now they're in their golden years of the
- 34:21military industrial complex because all of the Russian arms, like in Ukraine, now
- 34:27everybody sent them their Russian arms, they're all destroyed. They're all laying out
- 34:30there. They'll be there a scrap. So now we're going to see is
- 34:35the rearmament phase and all of these military industrial entities are going to clean up
- 34:43on it. You know. But getting back the drone thing is is kind
- 34:45of frightening. Yeah, Well, each new conflict now is you know,
- 34:52it has its own objective, but it's also a way to test cutting edge
- 34:58weaponry, and drones clearly are an idea that whose time has come, and
- 35:04it gets more so as they get smaller, the more you can miniaturize these
- 35:07things, the more terrifying they become. I'll tell you what a trend is
- 35:10gonna be starting not too far into the future, is for rich people to
- 35:15build drone proof houses. So in other words, you can't use a drone
- 35:22to see inside the house, you can't break its windows because the windows are
- 35:27reinforced, and so you were safe inside your drone proof house. But yeah,
- 35:34you're you're right about the Cold War being one gigantic scam, and most
- 35:38of what the US military industrial complex has done since has basically been business scams,
- 35:44because the dirty secret to war is that you can make a fortune by
- 35:47rebuilding what you've destroyed, and it's always the US military industrial complex that makes
- 35:55that fortune. So we're, you know, we're increasing our military it's like
- 36:00crazy, and we're destroying things all over the world that have to be rebuilt
- 36:05with US weaponry. So yeah, we're we're running a business scam right now.
- 36:10And you could say that other crises in the recent past have also been
- 36:15business scams. We're on YouTube, so I won't name any names, but
- 36:20conceptually, It's the same thing where you destroy something and then they have to
- 36:27pay you to rebuild what you destroy it. So, yeah, you know
- 36:31we're we are an evil empire. Let's just put it out there, and
- 36:36we're behaving like one right out of Star Wars or something. It's like if
- 36:39Tall Brothers could do a housing development, get everyone to move in, and
- 36:45then burn it down and get you to pay them for the privilege of burning
- 36:49it down, and then buy new houses from you, so that because you're
- 36:53homeless, you've got to have a place to live, right, I mean,
- 36:55that's that's what's happening here. It is such a scam. And as
- 37:01much as I have misgivings about RFK, Bobby Junior, he was in a
- 37:08town hall with Sean Hannity, not my favorite quote unquote journalist, and he
- 37:15eviscerated him by explaining the history of the Ukraine War that evidently this informed journalist
- 37:23had no idea about that. When Baker, basically James Baker, who was
- 37:30a Secretary of State, negotiated the uh the deconstruction of the Soviet Empire,
- 37:37he said, NATO will not take one more inch, and NATO's whole purpose
- 37:44was fighting the Cold War. Once the Cold War was gone, there was
- 37:47really no need for NATO. Maybe a rolled backed, scaled back NATO,
- 37:52right, but there was no need for it. And yet now it's expanded
- 37:58to twenty countries. It's Russia's worst nightmare. Now look a lot of mere
- 38:04Putin and I think there's a he's not a nice guy. I think he's
- 38:09a stone cold killer. He was KGB all the way and uh, you
- 38:15know basically what they used to call on that that cartoon Rocky and Bullwinkle.
- 38:22He was a member. There was Boris and Natasha and it basically, uh,
- 38:27Putin is a no good nick. That's what they used to call them.
- 38:30You know, good nick and you know all of that. But on
- 38:35the other hand, they want to dismount, they want to dismantle, they
- 38:39want to deconstruct Russia and they want to split it up. It's like it's
- 38:45like World War One with the Ottoman Turk Empire and the Austro Hungarian Empire,
- 38:52two empires declining, and all World War One was was a feeding frenzy by
- 38:59the excess and the Allied powers to try to get their peace. And now
- 39:04they see they're trying to do the same thing with Russia deconstructed destroy it.
- 39:08And in fact, a guy, a Russian politician whose name escapes me,
- 39:14said it has become an existential war for Russia. And that's what this is
- 39:21all about, a battle of resources. China wants the half of Russia that
- 39:27abuts China because they got too many people and not enough places, and the
- 39:31resources, the largest untapped you know, basket of resources in the world is
- 39:39all over Russia. There's so much of it that hasn't been exploited yet.
- 39:44There's a resource battle with the ultimate goal of carving up Russia. Yep,
- 39:50that is exactly Amato's. NATO's purpose shifted from defending against Russia to expanding and
- 39:58strangling and dismembering Russia. Um. And you know, Russia and China are
- 40:05emerging powers that are a threat to the US economically at least, you know,
- 40:10if not militarily. They weren't ntil recently. Yeah yeah, yea.
- 40:15So the Empire is striking back against these emerging powers. And I think the
- 40:22goal of the US, both with China and with Russia is besides the resources
- 40:25that it will gain from taking over Russia, but to take a couple of
- 40:29competitors off the playing field. So yeah, this is this is great power
- 40:35politics in the nuclear age, and it's insane because you cannot translate that kind
- 40:42of mindset into a world where you've got weapons capable of destroying the human race.
- 40:46So this is very scary because you've got basically crazy people in charge of
- 40:52the US, and you know that a RFKAS. Yeah, but that interview
- 40:55with Sean Hannity that that you talked about was a perfect illustration of that.
- 40:59You had Sean Hannity, who is this moron neo Khan who has like three
- 41:02blunt, forced talking points, that's all he knows about the subject. And
- 41:07RFK who knows the names and the dates and the motivations and the timeline for
- 41:14all of this stuff and can paint a picture of the US as the predator
- 41:19in this story. So you know, RFK, I think he's he's a
- 41:24very brave guy who's waking a lot of people up. I think. I
- 41:29mean, the odds of him getting the Democrat nomination are about negative one hundred.
- 41:35But he's doing a real public service by drawing a lot of eyeballs and
- 41:42telling the correct story about art history. And because you don't see it anywhere
- 41:47else, No, no, and hey, by the way, the President
- 41:52declined to extend a secret service protection to RFK Junior over the weekend. Uh
- 42:00you can. You can infer what you like from that, just as a
- 42:06off the cuff note of interest. Well that's it. I think we're done.
- 42:09We could so much news, John, We could go on for two
- 42:13more hours. Probably a lot of you out there would like us too.
- 42:15But in the meantime, till two weeks from now, go over to John
- 42:22site, to Robino dot substack dot com, US Financial Survival Network dot com.
- 42:28Questions, comments from on the YouTube channels, send us emails k l
- 42:32atcarry Lutz dot com. We'll raise them next time. If we missed anything
- 42:36that you'd like us to cover, please tell us. If you disagree with
- 42:39anything that we covered, please tell us that John. We'll talk to you
- 42:44in a couple of weeks. Thanks, Garious. Yeah, thanks for listening
- 42:47to carry Lutz's Financial Survival Network your solution to today's trying times. For the
- 42:53latest, go to Financial Survival Network dot com. Financial Survival Network now more than ever