Latest / Mike Check - A College Football Podcast / BIG GAME PREVIEW: MIAMI VS CLEMSON
Transcript
- Jackson: Cool. Next game. Number four Miami goes to Clemson. sixteen and a half is the spread here. It's kinda kinda hard to believe that we are at this point with Clemson where you're playing a home game at night in prime time and you are sixteen and a half point dogs to a conference rival. I mean, it's just a good team against a bad team. Like Davis: Yeah. Jackson: Miami fifty two points a game, nine points per game allowed. I know it's early in the season. They haven't really played anyone very good yet, but still Clinton's looks pretty bad early on to start. This is kind of one of Davis: Terrible. Jackson: those games where if you're Dabo Sweeney and you don't put up a fight in this one, I think you're gonna kinda get some I don't want to say everyone's gonna throw in the towel, but if you get blown out at home to Miami, I think people are gonna s really start to question this team, whether it's the players, fans, staff, administration, you know, whoever. I I just think you gotta put up a fight in this one if you're dabbo. I know the numbers say otherwise. Tate Reynolds ranks in the bottom ten in EPA per drop back in the bottom fifteenth, and then passer efficiency. It's just not like it's it's not good if you're Clemson. They've tried two quarterbacks, neither one seemed to be able to get it going. Do you go back to Vizina in this one? Like I mean, I don't know. He had the one did they let him go a second game or was it just the L S U game and then they they pulled the plug? Davis: I think that Tate Reynolds' first start was against North Carolina. I don't know no, but Tate Reynolds did play against Georgia Southern. So I think that they they swapped him mid mid game there. Jackson: Yeah. Miami's weakness on defense is is they're secondary. So it's like You know, I just read the stats off about Clemson's quarterback. So i you know, if you're not able to take advantage of the one weakness that Miami has really on the whole team, then How can you really put up a fight in this game? another thing that's kind of hurt Clemson this year is they ranked 109th in defensive success rate this year, which is, you know, in years past, if your offense is struggling, especially for Clemson, they they've kind of been able to rely on that defense. But this year, that has not necessarily been the case. with that being said, the defense is a lot better than the offense is, but it's not that locked down, you know, nails Clemson defense that it's been. in the past with some of these Dabo teams. So Yeah. I I not much not much else to say. Clemson's offense ranks hundred and twentieth in points per game. I'm kind of doing the thing like I did last week where I'm I kick myself for for saying all these things about why Miami's gonna kill him and then I'm gonna take Clemson plus the points and I will give you the reason for that. Now, I think Clemson is going to run the ball as much as possible. I think they are going to shorten this game by doing that. I think they're gonna kill as much clock as possible because I think if you're Dabo, the only chance you have at winning this game is running the ball and limiting the amount of times that Darien Minsa has the ball in his hands. it's at night, it's a prime time game. I think it's kind of a do or die game for Clemson. Not necessarily to win, but just kinda to not get blown out. I think if you're Dabo, you're playing for a closer game. The spread indicates. So I'm gonna take Clemson here. Another thing that is a big factor for me in this game is the weather. there is some rain in the forecast, so I think if you're Clemson, you make this game a little bit ugly. you know, obviously water rain can do that. So I will I will take a chance and g and give Dabo one more shot at it. I will I'll take Clemson to cover sixteen and a half. I don't think they sniff a win in this one, but I think they're playing for A cover in if that makes any sense. So I'll take Limpson. Davis: Yeah. Yeah, I mean you went through everything, you had me convinced you're gonna take Miami and then Jackson: Sorry, I kinda I kinda ran I kinda rambled there, but I just read nothing the points. Davis: No, I I'm glad you did. I it was better than the analysis that I put into this game. I know sixteen and a half is a huge number. I I don't think that Clemson's gonna be able to score anywhere close to that to to to make it close. Darien Minsa, playing like the best quarterback in the nation, has more touchdowns than he does in completions. Malachi Tony, I thought that he might be slowed last week coming off of kind of getting banged up the week prior. He wasn't. He played the full game. So Obviously no limitations there. Yeah, I don't I don't think Clemson can stop this Miami attack. And I and I know that Clemson's defen or I know that Clemson's offense isn't good enough to score well enough to to keep it close either. So I'm Jackson: Yeah. Davis: this is one of the things where I know that the spread is pretty large, but I'm gonna I'm gonna go with the Jackson: probably smart. Davis: favorite either either way. Jackson: It's it's probably smart. I mean if I'm like thinking about it logistically, I think Clemson can maybe get to seventeen twenty. Which if they get to twenty, that would be very good. So twenty would put Miami needing to get thirty seven, which is definitely I guess that's that is actually the the projected score over on just forty seven. So yeah, we'll see. I I'm probably gonna be kicking myself for taking Clemson in this one, but I'll ride with with my guy Dabbo one more time. Davis: So I just did some quick math and looked at Clemson's games and in three games they have nine touchdowns. Darien Metzah by himself has fourteen passing touchdowns. Just thought that was interesting. They scored one they scored one Jackson: Yeah, it doesn't make sense, Davis. I know. I know it doesn't make sense. Davis: touchdown against Georgia Southern. Jackson: I know, I know, I know I took them in that game. Davis: One touchdown against Georgia Southern. Jackson: I took them to cover that game. I on this podcast. I I know. It's it's not smart, but you know, sometimes you just have to go with your gut, not your brain. So I'm going with my gut. I think Clemson, I think they cover. It doesn't make any Davis: Did you take Jackson: sense. I think they're gonna score a lot of points, and I just gave you all the reasons why I thought Miami would smoke them, Davis: Yeah. Jackson: but my gut's just telling me go with Clemson. Davis: Did you take LSU or Clemson week one? Jackson: LCU, you took lumps. Davis: Yeah, yeah. Okay. No, I knew I took Clemson. I didn't know if you were like just riding with Clemson blindly throughout the year. Jackson: No, no, no. I took them in that one Georgia Southern game where the spread was like l lower than I thought it should be and they didn't cover. Davis: Yeah. I picked against Miami last week, so picking picking with them this week.