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Episode 441 - 1/27/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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54321 All Systems Go with Josh Applebaum starts now Hello and
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welcome to episode 441 of the All Systems Go.
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Sports betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
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I am your host, Josh. Applebaum What's going on,
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everyone? Happy Tuesday, Another.
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Day here in the arena. Guys, as we wrap.
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Up the final. Week of January.
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That also means we are one. Day closer to the Super Bowl.
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It's officially. Super Bowl bye week.
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Of course. No game upcoming this Sunday,
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but every day we get closer is another day closer to the
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biggest. Sweat of the Year and.
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Actually do have a. Little bit of a super.
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Bowl update for you. Not in terms of line movement.
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But in terms of some. System matches in terms of
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betting systems looking at dogs. Versus favorites and in
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particular. Specific dogs and favorites.
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When it comes to the Super Bowl, Which?
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Kind of aligns. In the direction that I'm.
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Leaning again, want to give? It a few days, I think the, you
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know, the excitement of the Super Bowl.
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We all. Want to just you know.
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Put our bed in. Right now and then.
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You know, put. That in the bank and then go.
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Over to all the props. But I think it's important.
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Here to especially with no clear juiced up side.
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One way or another. Let's let.
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The you know the dust settle. Let's let the.
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Public continue because remember the.
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Public's not going to bet. A lot of these games, they're
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betting them now already. But you really you're going to
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see in that second week and that was the.
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Last few days a. Ton of action come in.
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So let's give it some time. But I do have an.
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Interesting staff for you. That I think you you need to
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know going into the Super Bowl. Looking toward.
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Today guys to do. Have a three.
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Pack of college basketball. Plays for you.
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It's a pretty big slate. Today, I think there's about 37
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games overall. And I got three dogs, three dogs
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that hopefully can bark for us tonight.
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With some good line moves. Super contrarian opportunities.
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These are all nationally televised games with some rhythm
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edges. As well so we'll.
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We'll talk about that. And I'm also going to give you
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an NBA. Award bet.
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Because I am signed. Up to get the Bet M Jim.
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Bet M Jim. Emails.
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For my buddy John Ewing. There are a lot of PR related
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stuff, but. I get these updated.
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Emails every week. Every.
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Couple weeks. And there was.
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One NBA award. That jumped out to me.
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Because I think there's an. Angle for this guy to.
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Win this award. And what's interesting is that
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he's a minus. Number at every single book.
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Except one book actually has him.
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As a little bit. Of a plus money number.
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So I'm going to. Focus on this this plus.
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Money, kind of. You know, value play where one
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book's. Got a better price than the
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others and there's also a. Little, little, you know Red,
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you know I. Don't know what I want to call
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it fine print. A little red flag.
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That people need to know about when you're going to bet these
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NBA awards. So Super Bowl update NBA award
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if you'd like to join me. 3 college basketball plays here.
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For tonight, we're going to try to get. 2 out of 3 eek out a
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winning day. Now looking back to our last
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night. Frustrating 1 and 2 -. 1.18
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units had a nice. Hit with South Carolina.
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State which we love those. Obscure sharp line moves where
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it was an added extra. Game nobody wanted to.
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Play it. Public had no.
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Interest in it couldn't. Find it on their.
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App, but we did see that. -1 up to minus. 1 1/2 or even -2.
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Towards South Carolina. State and they came.
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Through for the team which? Was nice, so we won.
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Our first one, I'm like, OK. Only need one or two of the next
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two games. Only need one to have a winning
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night. Unfortunately.
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BYU. Extremely frustrating last.
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Night because they were up early, you know, midway
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second-half of the first half, they got down.
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Big in the second-half, but they made.
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This epic comeback, which was. Absolutely incredible scoring
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and ones. Some, you know, incredible.
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Turnovers that they were able. To scoop up from Arizona and
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everything was looking. Pretty good in our direction and
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they were down 84 to 83 with like. 11 seconds left and
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remember. I got a plus.
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Two, on BYU you might have gotten a.
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Plus 1 1/2. If you notice the CLV guys, did
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you see where that line? Closed Boy do we do.
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Our part BYU. Closed -1.
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Some books out. As a one point favorite, so this
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the smart. Money was just hammering.
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The Cougars there, anyway. Epic comeback down by one point
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with 11 seconds left. All we need to do.
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Is either, you know. Hit the game-winning shot.
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Or. You know, wait until the final.
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Buzzer to take the shot because in that regard.
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You won't have to foul. And then whatever happens.
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You end up. Losing by one?
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Well. Of course, what happens BYU not
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only do they not. Score.
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Not only do they get blocked with like 2 seconds left.
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And it's annoying to me. Because again, sometimes I get
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annoyed with the NBA players who just wait until the.
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Buzzer and then hit this. Or try to shoot this big.
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You know, fade Away 3. Well I wish BYU did that because
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if they did that the the shot would have.
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Either been made or. Missed and the game would have
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been basically over either winning or losing.
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But unbelievably, BYU, this kid, right, who was actually really
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good with Baylor. Last year I kind of remember
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him. He had a terrible night.
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He gets blocked with two seconds left and of course just dribble
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it out, don't foul. But what do they do?
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They foul kid on. Arizona berries.
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Or berries who had a. Really good game.
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Ends up hitting both free throws, so whether you had plus.
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2 + 1 1/2. We lost by three.
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And boy, was that frustrating. With BYU late night.
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Especially getting closing line. Value and then the Orlando.
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Cleveland over in the NBA. Reminded me once.
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Again, why I? Don't like to bet NBA?
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Over 220. 5 1/2 that. Total came way down.
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Afterwards with some. Injuries, which is always
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frustrating. But I thought we maybe you know.
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Rob a bank and get away with it because they.
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Scored 117. Points in the first half and
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then in the 4th. Quarter.
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They only scored 40 points. So came up short there. 95
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points in the second-half, but that BYU game.
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Very frustrating because. You beat the.
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Closing line you do your. Part only to you.
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Know lose in heartbreaking fashion at the end so.
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Cougars. Man that was super annoying.
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But on the other hand, Arizona, I really haven't seen them play
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a ton. They're a legit number one team
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overall. They just, they're just very
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dynamic. Either way guys, we're making.
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Sharp bets for beating closing. Lines, especially with BYU.
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Just went one and two last night, so we're going to see.
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If we can get right back to it. And post a winning night for
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tonight. Now I want to start.
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Off with a little bit of a Super Bowl update, because again, I
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think the important. Thing now is, even though we may
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not bet the game immediately, I. Think it's important to be a
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little more patient just because.
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It's a big two week. Stretch.
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We want at least. You know, be tied into what's.
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Going on we. Want to be staring at this line
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every? Day just to see if.
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There's any changes? So on the one.
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Hand line really hasn't. Moved too much, it's just.
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Seattle. -4 1/2. I saw some books open.
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Seattle minus. Four, I saw some books open.
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One book Open Seattle -5. So you're basically just
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sitting. 4 1/2. You're -110 both.
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Sides. So it's not like it's. 4 1/2
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juice. Towards Seattle, like it's going
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to. 5. It's not like it's. 4 1/2.
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Juice toward. New England like it's.
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Getting down to four, I do think the Pats are in a great teaser
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zone. Plus 4 1/2.
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To 10 and. 1/2 go through a couple.
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Key numbers that Wong teaser. But.
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I mentioned to you yesterday. My first thought is I'm.
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Going to be on the Patriots. And the reason is not.
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Because I'm a Patriots fan. Hope you guys know by now.
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I would never recommend a. Bet just because they're.
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My team. But when your team happens to
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be. Incredibly contrarian.
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With some other you know, very. You know, very.
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Interesting edges which. I'll get to in a.
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Second, then it. Makes me excited to sweat the
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team so. First thing I notice is that.
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Only 27% of. Bets are on the Patriots again.
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If you're a contrarian, better. This is our Super Bowl.
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It's the Super Bowl, but it's a super.
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Bowl for contrarian betters. Because it's the most heavily
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bet. Single sporting event the
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entire. Year.
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So just from the. Standpoint of 73% of tickets on
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Seattle, only 27% on New England.
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I want to bet against the. Public bet against the masses
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and take New England. That's my first.
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Indicator to go Patriots bet against the.
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Public #2. We have at Circa. 38.
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Percent of spread bets, but. 62%.
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Of spread dollars on New England so I'm I like that circa out in.
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Vegas caters. To sharper betters, there's
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that. Low bets, higher dollar
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discrepancy. Rhythm has three recommended.
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Plays on New England. Pats plus 1.4.
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Pats -0.7 and a green *. Pats plus 0.7 so rhythm is
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saying. It should be about a.
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One point game either way. We can get a. 4 1/2.
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I noticed a very. Small but a 3% sharp mush edge
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on the Pats from juice rail. But this is really what I.
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Wanted to mention today. I was dusting.
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Off all of my. Super Bowl.
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Systems and a couple just. Jumped out to me.
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And they corroborated. A play on the Patriots, So the
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first one. If we look at dogs in the Super
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Bowl. They tend to.
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Bark pretty loudly. If we look at dogs.
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Since 2000. 4 This is a pretty big sample size.
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This is. 20 plus years right now dogs in the Super Bowl.
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Just. Taking points in the biggest
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game of the year 15. And seven against the spread 68%
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with a 32%. ROI.
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In particular, we have dogs. On a run.
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Of five and O ATS. Last.
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Year I was an idiot. I took the Chiefs.
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Eagles were the dog. Plus, 1 1/2 won the game.
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Year before that. Though I was on the Chiefs
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getting plus 2 1/2. Was the closing line.
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They beat the 49ers year before that.
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Chiefs are actually. 1 1/2 point dog against the Eagles Chiefs.
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Won the year before that. Remember when the Bengals?
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Played the Rams. Rams won by three.
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But Bengals were +4. And 1/2.
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That's the same number the Patriots.
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Are in this game. And then the year before that.
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I'll never. Forget the COVID year.
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That was Tom Brady. Beating.
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The Chiefs as a three-point. Dog.
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So we have dogs 5 and O against the.
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Spread their last five. And 68% against the spread.
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Since 2004. Then if you isolate just.
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Dogs in the Super Bowl getting. Three points or more?
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A field goal or more? Since. 2004 they're 11 and 4 ATS
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73. Percent.
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With a 42%. ROI and.
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Then I have my other matches here.
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Playoff dogs. Let's see.
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Playoff dog missed the. Postseason the previous year.
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And I do have a. System called Super Bowl line.
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Move historically because. This line is so.
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Sharp because there's so much data that.
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The books have on both teams. Their numbers are pretty good
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when they release it. So if you just follow.
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Whoever gets the line move, and this is important to me because
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we're sitting 4 1/2. Does this get down to 4?
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Does it get up to five if it gets?
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Down to. Four.
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That's a good. Sign to New England.
10:32
Because if you'll get super. Bowl line moves just.
10:35
All you were thinking. About here is the line moves at
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least 1/2. Point in your direction, those
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teams are 11 and 7. Against the spread. 61 percent,
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20%. ROI since 2000. 4 So,
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historically, Super Bowl dogs have barked.
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Super Bowl dogs getting. Three or more have barked.
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And line moves. Have been very predictive so.
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Again, I haven't played it yet. Because I'm looking toward the.
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Pats and I'm almost. Guarantee you guys. 99.9.
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Percent. I'll be on New England here.
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The reason why I'm not taking. The four and a half now is I'm.
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I'm waiting to see. Can I get a 5?
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I would. Love to get a four and a half
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and. See it get down to 4.
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But with all those indicators. Rhythm juice reel the splits.
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The betting system matches. They're all lining up here
11:19
toward Drake, May and the Pats. So that's a little update for
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you for the Super Bowl. Now sweats for tonight before I
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finish up the. Pod and give you an NBA.
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Award If you're interested in sweating it with me, let's look
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toward college hoops. And I got 3 bets overall and
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they're all very contrarian. So strap up and get ready for
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this. First one on the board for me
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one. Of the most heavily bet games of
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the night. Arkansas.
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In Oklahoma. 7:00 tip. And this is on.
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ESPN, so you know it's. Going to be very heavily bet.
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Setting the stage for. This one, Arkansas, comes in.
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15. And five coach Cal's.
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Got them ranked 15th overall. They won two.
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Straight just outlasted. LSU 85 to 81.
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Did not cover though. As a 10 1/2 point home favorite.
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Meanwhile, Oklahoma 11. And nine on the year.
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They actually started 11 and 3. And they've.
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Lost six straight games, but a lot of the game's been very.
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Close if you look at the. Box scores.
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They just lost to Missouri, 88 to 87 in.
12:13
Overtime. But did cover as a. 4 1/2 point.
12:17
Road Dog. Now.
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What have we seen across the market here?
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Well, this game. Open Arkansas listed around a. 2
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1/2 point Rd. favorite. And the public.
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Thinks this line is. Way too low.
12:28
Arkansas is the ranked team. Arkansas is the better record.
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Don't even think about it. Lay it with the Razorbacks.
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So even though. This game opened minus.
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Two and half with Arkansas, the line really hasn't moved at all.
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I mean, you look. Across the board.
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It's mostly still minus. Two and half Arkansas.
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Now there is a three out there that I.
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See there's believe. It or not the score?
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Which used to formerly be ESPN bet.
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I have the score. Based in Massachusetts.
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And you can get. Plus. 3 1/2 at -118 on Oklahoma.
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So very. Interesting.
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Thing to me is that you know mostly the consensus.
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Number is the minus. 2 1/2, Arkansas.
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But if you do. Want to go contrarian, which is
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what I did. You can get that. 3 1/2 at the
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score. Or maybe you can get a three
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definitely at Caesar's. So definitely shop around, try
13:16
to get the best. Price here, but the big.
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Angle for me is basically. A line freeze.
13:20
You're getting 86. Percent of spread bets on
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Arkansas. Yet the line barely has.
13:25
Moved at all? Yeah, some two and a halfs up to
13:27
three, you know the scores an outlier.
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I out sorry an outlier there with 3 1/2.
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But again, big. Books like like FanDuel.
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Like Bet MGM, they're still. Hanging 2 1/2 Why hasn't this
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game consensus? Across the board.
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Painted gotten up to three. 3 1/2 Four.
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Tells me there's some liability line.
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Freeze liability on. Oklahoma plus the points.
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Now. Take away the line, freeze.
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This is just the top bet. Against the public.
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Play of the Night. Because the Sooners.
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Are getting less than. 20% of spread bets.
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In the most heavily bet game. Of the night on ESPN.
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So just from a. Contrarian standpoint, it's a
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great. Bet against the public play.
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Oklahoma only. 14% of spread bets but 39% of spread dollars.
14:08
At at at DraftKings. So great split there and.
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Then we just have the classic buy low, sell high.
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Of Sooners. On ranked versus ranked Sooners
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A unpopular home. Dog on a losing streak against a
14:20
sell high? Ranked opponent on a winning.
14:22
Streak Arkansas has been great. 15 and 5:00 but they are.
14:25
Just one and three on the road and.
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Oklahoma is 8 and two at home this season.
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Lastly, I did notice an. 11% sharp mush edge in favor of.
14:34
Oklahoma. Rhythm, by the way, has.
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Oklahoma Plus. 2. So it's basically a line freeze.
14:40
It's the most lopsided. Game of the night, And yet the
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line really hasn't. Moved at all?
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I'm going to Oklahoma here guys. Again I.
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This is the really importance of having.
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Multiple outs got the plus. 3 1/2. -118 at the.
14:51
Score but shop. Around because every other book
14:53
is basically. 2 1/2. But you know what?
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Wouldn't it be nice if? Oklahoma just circled the wagons
14:58
and won this. Damn game out right?
15:00
That'll be pretty awesome. So let's go, Sooners.
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Next, put on a pot. Put.
15:05
Yeah, put. On a pot of coffee and stay.
15:07
Up late with me because I got some more sweats for you.
15:09
Now. Grand Canyon in Nevada.
15:12
This is a 10:30 PM Eastern Time game.
15:15
This one is on. FS1, Grand Canyon.
15:19
The Lopes, They come in 13 and 6.
15:21
They've won three in a row, just beat Fresno.
15:23
State 68 to 50. 7 Covered as a four.
15:26
And a half point Rd. dog. Another hand in Nevada.
15:29
They are 14 and 6 on the year. Just saw their two game win
15:32
streak however. Come to an end, they.
15:34
Lost to New Mexico, 80 to 73. Did cover though as an. 8 1/2
15:38
point. Road Dog.
15:39
So what have you seen across the market here?
15:41
Well, this game open with. Nevada listed around a. 4 point
15:44
home. Favorite and the public is.
15:46
Leaning toward Nevada, you know. Similar records Nevada's at.
15:50
Home it's a. Relatively short number.
15:52
Just lay it with the. Wolfpack.
15:53
So right now nearly 60% of spread.
15:55
Bets are going with Nevada. But here's the key guys.
15:58
Nevada did not go up. -4 to -5. This game has gone down. 4 down
16:04
to 3 1/2. So that was that's.
16:05
The first indicator to me that smart money.
16:08
Has gone with the Lopes. With Grand Canyon here.
16:11
And remember, we swept them last.
16:12
Week and they were able to win outright.
16:14
Against San Diego State. As a money line short.
16:16
Favorite so maybe they can do it again.
16:17
For us and cover another number but.
16:20
Contrarian and heavily back game.
16:21
Getting, you know, a little more than 1/3 of.
16:23
Tickets on FS1. Late night sweat.
16:26
Also conference. Dog built in familiarity.
16:29
Levels the playing field benefits.
16:30
The team getting points. I noticed that circa.
16:33
Grand Canyon only 20. 5% of. Spread bets, but 62.
16:36
Percent of spread dollars so further.
16:39
Evidence of the wise. Guys in the desert also.
16:41
Taking the Lopes. And the points.
16:43
You look into the metrics. A little bit Grand Canyon,
16:45
better defensive. Efficiency 27th.
16:47
Versus 105th. They hold their opponents.
16:50
To a better effective. Field goal percentage 42nd
16:52
versus 152nd and. They do a better job.
16:55
Of limiting. Offensive rebounds to their
16:57
opponents. 20. 6 versus 116th. Rhythm has Grand Canyon.
17:02
Plus 2.8. So nice little edge there.
17:05
And there's also a. 40% sharp mush edge.
17:08
Believe it or not. On Grand Canyon to win.
17:10
The game out right. So I'm taking the points.
17:12
I would love for them to win out right?
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And I do see a couple books juicing up.
17:15
At least a little bit toward the 3 1/2 with.
17:17
Grand Canyon. I was able to jump.
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On Grand Canyon A. Little bit earlier today plus.
17:22
Four at -110. That was at Caesar's.
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And again if you can. Sign up to get the all systems.
17:28
Go best bet picks from juice real you would have get gotten
17:30
these plays immediately. But with a line move toward
17:34
Grand Canyon. Again, Rhythms got a 2. .8.
17:37
We can still get. A 3 1/2.
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It's juiced up. I'm going the Lopes.
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Here guys, Grand Canyon antelopes.
17:44
Plus 3 1/2. Again, I got a four.
17:45
Earlier, but make it easy. Win the damn game.
17:48
Last bed of the night. We got UNLV hosting new.
17:52
Mexico 11:00 Sweat. So I'm going to be up till 1:00
17:56
AM, so in college hoops tonight. On CBS Sports Network.
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Now New Mexico. Comes in 16 and 4.
18:03
They've won. Two in a row just beat Nevada 80
18:05
to 73. Just mentioned this a second
18:07
ago. Didn't cover those as an 8 1/2
18:09
point home. Favorite.
18:10
On the other hand, UNLV 10:00 and 9:00.
18:12
Just saw the three-game win. Streak, however, come.
18:14
To an end. They lost to San Diego.
18:16
State 82 to 70. One did not.
18:18
Cover as a 3 1/2 point home dog so.
18:21
What do we see across the market here?
18:23
Well, this game opened with New Mexico listed.
18:25
As a 5 point. Road favorite.
18:28
And the public is not. At all worried about the.
18:31
Points, they say new. Mexico is the far better.
18:33
Team better win, loss record. Late with New Mexico.
18:36
They'll easily win by, you know, double.
18:38
Digits, however. Even though you're getting 74%
18:41
of spread bets at. DraftKings on New Mexico.
18:43
We've actually seen the New Mexico line fall.
18:45
Mexico went from -5 to a lot of books now down to.
18:51
Minus. 4 - 4 1/2 even. See bet.
18:54
MGM down to 3 1/2. So it's very.
18:57
Clear here that Publix New Mexico.
18:58
But the lines dropping toward. UNLV now.
19:03
Take a step back if. Huge majority of tickets.
19:05
Are on New Mexico. Why are the odds rate odds
19:07
makers dropping the line to make?
19:09
It easier. For the public to cover, you
19:11
always got to think. Through.
19:12
What a line move means? Compared to the splits, this
19:15
tells me that. It's got classic RLM.
19:18
Betting line moves away. From the popular side, new.
19:20
Mexico dropping toward the contrarian.
19:22
UNLV side. This is also the latest.
19:25
Game of the Night 11. O'clock.
19:26
So you got to think. You know.
19:28
A lot of people like me are snowed.
19:29
In in New England, I don't know if they'll be.
19:31
Up to, you know, stay up late. I'm a crazy person.
19:34
I'll be up. You know till.
19:35
Till 12 AM. Sweating these games, but this?
19:38
Is kind of your chase. Game, so it's the last.
19:40
Game of the Night. Whether you're having a good.
19:42
Night you're going to chase and try to.
19:44
You know have an even. Better night by cashing this
19:46
ticket. Or you know you're down.
19:49
And this is your chase. Game to try to get back on
19:50
track, which I would definitely. Say not to do.
19:53
Definitely should flap that, but my whole point is it's the last
19:56
game of the night, so it's. Going to be heavily bet.
19:58
It's on. CBS Sports Network and not.
20:00
Only are we on the. Contrarian side with UNLV only
20:04
getting 26. Percent of spread bets, but we
20:06
are also. You know, with.
20:07
That sharp line move. Now conference dogs getting at
20:10
least 1/2 point of line. Movement in their.
20:12
Favor. They're 56 and 46 against the
20:15
spread this year. That's a 50. 5% win rate with a
20:17
5% ROI. UNLV6 and four at home.
20:21
This year, nothing crazy, but you know, winning record.
20:24
New Mexico Just. Three and three on the.
20:25
Road we do have two. Recommended plays on UNLV.
20:29
From rhythm one. Says they should be.
20:32
Plus 3.2. One says they should be +3.
20:36
And that's a Green Star recommended play.
20:38
So I was able to jump on the plus.
20:40
Five UNLV little bit earlier. Today you can still get.
20:43
Plus. 4 1/2. -1. 15 looks like at FanDuel.
20:48
DraftKings and the. Score in Valley, but Caesars.
20:51
Is down to 4. And bet MGM is down to 3 1/2, so
20:53
definitely at least try to get that 4 1/2.
20:56
But I'll be. Sweating UNLV in the points.
20:58
Here tonight. So Oklahoma.
21:00
Grand Canyon, UNLV. Keep them.
21:02
Close. Or win these games.
21:04
Outright. That would be nice.
21:06
Now finishing up the pod I have. A awards bet for you, which
21:11
jumped out to me because I think what's interesting.
21:14
Here is, you know, these awards move.
21:17
Throughout the year, but there's.
21:20
Something that jumped. Out to me in terms.
21:21
Of the defensive. Player of the Year.
21:25
Now here's the thing. Right now the.
21:27
Favorite to win defensive. Player of the Year is.
21:29
Chet Holmgren, the big man. Remember, he was at Gonzaga.
21:34
He's thin as a rail. But I need him to stay healthy.
21:36
To win this award. He is mostly listed.
21:39
Around -120. To win Defensive Player of the
21:41
year. Now you might be saying to
21:43
yourself, what about? When?
21:44
When? Sorry when Banyama again the.
21:48
The French what? Do they call him not the Greek
21:50
Freak? That's Giannis.
21:51
But I. Don't know the French something?
21:53
Obviously the guy's incredible, but he also gets injured a lot.
21:56
Now he has the second. Best odds at +2. 50 and you
22:00
would think. If he's healthy, he's probably.
22:01
Going to win this award. But here's the thing.
22:04
Did You Know? That you need to play 65.
22:07
Games in order to get. Any of these awards, so MVP,
22:10
Rookie of the Year. DPO.
22:12
Y-6 man most improved. I'm actually thinking there's
22:16
another bet here. I'm I'm looking at which I'll
22:18
tell you guys in a bit, maybe, maybe a couple days from now if
22:21
it continues to kind of go on our.
22:22
Way, but if you don't. Play 65 games you.
22:26
Cannot win the award so. What's?
22:28
Important to me is that. We can, kind of.
22:31
I don't want to jinx it, but we can.
22:32
Kind of cross off. Wenbanyama.
22:35
Yes, he has the. Second best odds at.
22:36
Plus 250, but Wenbanyama has only.
22:38
Played 30. Two games this year.
22:41
Of a possible 46. Games so if you do.
22:43
Some math he's missed 14. Games and.
22:46
That means the rest. Of the way.
22:48
He can only miss. Three more.
22:51
So is that going to? Happen.
22:54
Maybe he's. An Iron Man, Maybe he's.
22:55
Cal Ripken and that happens. I don't think so.
22:58
I think when Benyama will. Easily miss four games or.
23:01
More that that takes. Him out of the running.
23:04
I'm going Chet Holmgren here. Guys, Chet.
23:07
Holmgren has played in 41 of 40. Seven games he's only missed.
23:09
Six games, so he's got a bunch of games.
23:12
Theoretically to miss and still. Can win this award he's.
23:15
Tied second overall in blocks. To a game.
23:19
He's also the defensive. Anchor for the number one.
23:22
Defensive team in basketball. This is important OKC.
23:26
Is #1 defensive efficiency? He's their best defensive.
23:28
Player. Why is that important?
23:30
Because if you. Remember a few years ago, this
23:33
is when I. Did my previous.
23:34
Podcast The Market Insights pod. But.
23:37
If you remember, I had. And I bet on it and some of you
23:41
guys. Did too, but.
23:42
Mark is smart. When he's with the Celtics.
23:45
I think it was the year they lost in the finals.
23:47
To Golden State. Anyway, he won the award.
23:51
Because he's the best defensive. Player on the best defensive.
23:53
Team. A lot of times that's going to,
23:55
you know. The voters are going to think.
23:57
About this. So the fact that Chet.
23:58
Is the best defensive? Player on the best defensive.
24:00
Team and he's got a big. Leg up here.
24:04
In terms of games played versus versus.
24:07
Wambanyama, I think that's an. Advantage Lastly, if you look.
24:12
At. You know the. 3rd best odds it
24:14
is Rudy Gobert. At around plus 370. 5 S
24:18
Gobert's. You know, waiting in the.
24:19
Wings, but this looks like. Chet Holmgren's award to win.
24:22
Now am I going to lay a -, 120? I don't think.
24:25
It's a terrible number. But I do kind of want to get.
24:27
Plus money when I'm betting an award.
24:30
And guess what? As it dawned on me.
24:33
That Wemby may not. Qualify for this award and Chet
24:36
has a lot of advantages. Check marks in his favor.
24:39
I then started to do. Some research and here's.
24:41
What I came up with? All the books available to me in
24:43
Massachusetts. That I have an account at.
24:46
Caesar's. Has Chet. -120 FanDuel has Chet
24:49
-120. Bet MGM has Chet -120.
24:53
Fanatics has Chet -120. DraftKings has.
24:57
Chet -110 Bali has Chet -110. But here's the kicker, guys.
25:03
Another reason why you got to have multiple outs.
25:05
The score. Formerly ESPN, bet has Chet.
25:09
Plus 1/20. 5 S again, I joked. At the beginning.
25:13
Of the pod, you know. This guy's favorite.
25:15
Everywhere minus number. There's one book given.
25:17
A+ money number. And it's the.
25:19
Score so with. All these check marks in favor
25:23
of Chet. And Wemanyama compromised.
25:27
And we can get a. Plus 1/20. 5 when every other
25:30
book. Is at basically -120 I jumped on
25:33
it. I.
25:33
Put it in the Juice Reel app. I am on Chet Holmgren at the
25:36
score plus 125 to win defensive. Player of the year.
25:40
So again, fingers. Crossed knock on wood stay.
25:43
Healthy win this award. Let's go, Chet.
25:47
So that about does it for episode 441.
25:50
Of the all systems go Sports. Betting podcast powered by
25:52
Rhythm. We hit on it all, guys.
25:54
College. Hoops Super.
25:55
Bowl little NBA award talk. Let's see if we can have a
25:59
winning night Which? Is always the goal, but as
26:02
always, finishing up the. Pod I want to say.
26:04
Thank you. First thing I always want to do
26:06
is thank you guys for. Listening through the wins, the
26:08
losses, the hot streaks. The cold streaks.
26:10
Whether we're grinding and producing a small.
26:12
Profit or grinding? And things aren't going our.
26:14
Way. Like getting BYU massive.
26:17
COV and losing by three and I can't get over.
26:19
That all the guy had to do was dribble it out, fade.
26:22
Away again. Of course he drives the lane.
26:24
Misses. The shot gets blocked.
26:26
And then fouls. So freaking annoying.
26:29
But anyway, guys. I want to thank you all for
26:31
tuning. In and listening if you.
26:32
Want to do me a? Big favor, could you please give
26:34
this? Podcast A five star review on
26:37
Spotify or iTunes Leave a nice comment.
26:39
If you feel so inclined. Recommend the pod to a friend.
26:43
Word of mouth is always. Important retweet.
26:45
The pod when I tweeted out that I'll be very much appreciated.
26:49
Next, if you enjoy this. Style of betting breakdown.
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Data-driven sharp contrarian betting.
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Focusing on line movement. Bet split system matches.
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What the? AI models are predicting making.
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Fundamental goal here. If that's the case.
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And you want to learn. More about data-driven betting.
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Hold something in your hand. That you can, you know.
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Beer or ginger ale? And we'll sweat some games.
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Together Next, Have you downloaded?
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Rhythm and juice real. Yet fantastic.
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Apps that I use every single day.
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Rhythm Powers This pod does a great job.
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Reminder on Thursday we will have a rhythm rundown.
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Myself and my buddy Kate Harper live on Twitter at Josh under
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score Insights. But great for their AI backed
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models and predictions for game butts and player props.
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For a bunch of reasons. You can get the all.
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It a tip jar. If you.
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Enjoy the pod, it's free. Took your podcast.
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plays. Less than a dollar a day for all
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the plays. You can tail, you can fade, you
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can do whatever. You like, but you're supporting
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the pod. And I appreciate that.
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Always two final thoughts. Whether I see you at the Borgata
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in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode.
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Island the Brooklyn. New Hampshire.
30:12
Foxwoods. Or Mohegan Sun down in.
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Connecticut at the encore. In Boston Plainridge Park.
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Casino MGM Springfield or the. Nash and my neck of the woods on
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the border of Massachusetts. In New Hampshire.
30:21
Out in the desert. Where the true grinders get
30:23
down. Where Billy?
30:24
Walters sends his number runners.
30:26
Where the lowest juice possible. Is found at the South point or
30:28
sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the stadium swimming
30:31
pool when he cashed a big ticket at circa you're.
30:33
Going to walk. Up to me, show me.
30:36
A South Carolina state low. Bet obscure Sharp.
30:38
Line move, but whatever you do. Don't show me BYU I.
30:41
Cannot believe. That we didn't cover BYU That.
30:44
Is that was that was. Frustrating last night.
30:46
But either way, guys. Coming off a one and two or a
30:48
two and one and O and. Three or three and OA.
30:50
Winning night. A losing night.
30:51
A hot streak. A cold streak.
30:53
We just got to. Stay even keeled.
30:55
Stick to the model, stick to the blueprint.
30:57
Bypass the. Games that have red flags.
30:59
Get down on the. Games that check off the.
31:01
Boxes and you might know by now. Those those games sound sound.
31:04
Something like this? Games that are against the.
31:06
Public with the House. With the pros flatbed, avoid.
31:09
Parlays and get that. COV, if we can do that.
31:12
We're going to be successful. Sports bettors.
31:14
So have. A great Tuesday night,
31:15
everybody. And we'll be right back at it
31:17
tomorrow. It's already hump day.
31:19
This week's Flying by. And I got more shoveling to do.
31:22
The shoveling never ends. You want to live in new.
31:23
England. You better be used to.
31:25
Shoveling. And I did.
31:26
Tell my wife. Next year we're getting a snow
31:28
blower because I'm 38 years old. And I'm feeling it guys.
31:32
I got if I was on. The injury report I'd be
31:35
questionable tomorrow with with back spasms.
31:38
Either way guys, hope you. Have a great Tuesday night.
31:40
And I'll see you tomorrow for? Episode 442.
31:43
Of the all systems go. Sports betting podcast powered
31:46
by Rhythm. Good luck.
31:47
Everybody and have a great night.