Latest / The Muster on Hokonui / The Muster- Lawrence Field: Beef and Lamb NZ
Transcript
- 0:05Speaker 1: Lawrence Field joins us this afternoon. He's an agricultural accountant,
- 0:16Speaker 1: also a part-time farmer based up in the Wairarapa. And
- 0:19Speaker 1: he's coming down south to chat to a beef and
- 0:22Speaker 1: lamb focus group regarding all the financial things he needs
- 0:26Speaker 1: to know about at the moment. G'day, Lawrence. Good to
- 0:28Speaker 1: catch up. Hi, Andy.
- 0:30Speaker 2: Thank you.
- 0:31Speaker 1: Firstly, you're on the water wrapper. You're putting some grass
- 0:34Speaker 1: in today. I'll be honest, we're quite envious of that.
- 0:38Speaker 2: Yeah, that's right. We haven't had the wet like you've had,
- 0:43Speaker 2: but we've had it cold. This is one of the
- 0:45Speaker 2: first mornings that we haven't had a frost. But yeah,
- 0:48Speaker 2: I must admit, ground conditions are spot on for drilling.
- 0:54Speaker 1: Now, we're talking about analysing farm financials at the moment,
- 0:57Speaker 1: making key decisions, and just putting the season into perspective
- 1:01Speaker 1: from a financial viewpoint.
- 1:04Speaker 2: Yeah, I think one of the challenges for farmers currently, Andy,
- 1:10Speaker 2: perhaps even more so than going back five or ten years,
- 1:14Speaker 2: is the volatility that we've got. So for a lot
- 1:19Speaker 2: of sheep and beef farmers, The 2024 season, the year
- 1:25Speaker 2: ended 2024, was one of the worst ever, you know,
- 1:28Speaker 2: and maybe half the industry ran at a loss. And,
- 1:32Speaker 2: you know, if you go back to then, who would
- 1:35Speaker 2: have thought that we're getting $ 9, $ 10 a kilo for
- 1:38Speaker 2: beef and $ 11, $ 12 a kilo for lamb? So we've
- 1:39Speaker 2: had a huge variation. And so to be able to
- 1:47Speaker 2: do some analysis around that is very timely and could
- 1:52Speaker 2: help with making good decisions.
- 1:54Speaker 1: Well, that's the big thing, I suppose, having seasons where
- 1:57Speaker 1: you're having to navigate volatility springing into what we're seeing
- 2:00Speaker 1: at the moment and people are budgeting on pretty good
- 2:03Speaker 1: margins for red meat.
- 2:06Speaker 2: Yeah, I think, well, I'm not sure how good of
- 2:10Speaker 2: margins they'll be budgeting on, Andy. It depends whether you're
- 2:14Speaker 2: a finisher or a breeder. If you're a breeder and
- 2:19Speaker 2: you're obviously selling progeny, then yes, the returns are really good.
- 2:24Speaker 2: I just do a bit of trading and sort of
- 2:27Speaker 2: finish around 120 cattle a year. And whilst we might
- 2:31Speaker 2: get close to $ 3, 000 when we sell them, we're having
- 2:35Speaker 2: to pay $ 2, 000 to buy them in. So our margin
- 2:39Speaker 2: is no different and could even be tighter than what
- 2:42Speaker 2: it's been previous years. And so that's what we're going
- 2:46Speaker 2: to look at with this focus group is we're really
- 2:49Speaker 2: going to hone in on what is your margin that
- 2:53Speaker 2: you're making between income and operating expenses. I think what
- 2:59Speaker 2: we'll do at this group, and I encourage all farmers
- 3:04Speaker 2: to do this, is to look at the last three years,
- 3:08Speaker 2: the year end, 24, 25 and 26. And I think
- 3:13Speaker 2: we'll do a bit of a benchmarking exercise with this group,
- 3:16Speaker 2: and we'll also use the beef and lamb economic data,
- 3:20Speaker 2: because they even have provisional figures for this coming season,
- 3:24Speaker 2: is when we're looking at the margin, yes, we can
- 3:28Speaker 2: look at the surplus, the dollar figure, but then I
- 3:33Speaker 2: like to delve into it and look at it per hectare,
- 3:37Speaker 2: perhaps per stock unit, But the other thing that the
- 3:41Speaker 2: sheep and beef industry has been perhaps a little bit
- 3:44Speaker 2: slow to really embrace is measuring the net production that
- 3:52Speaker 2: you're doing on farm. So how many kilograms of carcass
- 3:56Speaker 2: weight per hectare are you producing? And then we can
- 4:00Speaker 2: actually look at your margin on a per kilogram basis.
- 4:07Speaker 2: And that compares, Andy, to what the dairy farmers do
- 4:11Speaker 2: in that, you know, most dairy farmers now are very
- 4:14Speaker 2: focused on their farm working costs. You know, what are
- 4:17Speaker 2: their costs per kg of milk solids? So I would
- 4:21Speaker 2: love to help this group identify what is it costing
- 4:25Speaker 2: them to produce that kilo of lamb that they're sending
- 4:29Speaker 2: out the gate.
- 4:30Speaker 1: And I suppose a cold reality at the moment as well, Lawrence,
- 4:33Speaker 1: is the fact that you're getting the money we are
- 4:36Speaker 1: for meat compared to, say, a couple of seasons ago.
- 4:39Speaker 1: You know, your balance sheet should be looking pretty good too.
- 4:43Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, yeah. We're getting good returns, and I think
- 4:49Speaker 2: we all needed a decent profit. And, you know, the
- 4:54Speaker 2: interesting beef and lamb came out a few weeks ago,
- 4:56Speaker 2: and yes, the returns are really good. But be aware
- 5:00Speaker 2: of the margin. And so, you know, for the year
- 5:03Speaker 2: just finished, 2026 would have been probably a record year,
- 5:07Speaker 2: record profit for a lot of farmers, which, as you say,
- 5:11Speaker 2: helps the balance sheet, whether it's paying back some debt,
- 5:13Speaker 2: it's investing on farm, it's really strengthening things. And that's
- 5:19Speaker 2: a great position to be in. But the challenge going
- 5:23Speaker 2: forward is we all know about on-farm inflation. You know,
- 5:27Speaker 2: we've got fuel prices. We've got agrochemicals. We've got fertilizer.
- 5:34Speaker 2: We've got wages, you know, rates and insurance, all of
- 5:37Speaker 2: those things. And they don't seem to sort of bounce.
- 5:40Speaker 2: They're a ratchet, eh? When they go up, they stay up.
- 5:43Speaker 2: So being aware of what our costs are, you know,
- 5:46Speaker 2: for what could be for this current season will give
- 5:50Speaker 2: people a lot better position to make some good decisions.
- 5:56Speaker 1: You just took my next question away from me, Lawrence.
- 5:58Speaker 1: I was going to say exactly that. On farm inflation
- 6:01Speaker 1: and how we view it. Yeah, yeah, yeah.
- 6:04Speaker 2: And look, that's where, at a starting point, I really
- 6:07Speaker 2: encourage people to work out what are your costs per hectare?
- 6:12Speaker 2: What does it cost you to run your farm? Are
- 6:14Speaker 2: you at $ 800 a hectare type farm? If you were...
- 6:20Speaker 2: two or three years ago, well, then you're now probably
- 6:23Speaker 2: an $ 1, 100, maybe even $ 1, 200 per hectare farm because of
- 6:28Speaker 2: that inflation. That's no reflection on you. That's just the
- 6:31Speaker 2: environment that we're dealing with. And so to be aware
- 6:35Speaker 2: of what those numbers are, and I tend to use
- 6:38Speaker 2: that as the basis of my budgeting. Where do we
- 6:41Speaker 2: want our farm operating expenses to sit? We've got to
- 6:45Speaker 2: kind of target dollars per hectare. Let's see if we
- 6:47Speaker 2: can cut our cloth to fit within that.
- 6:51Speaker 1: Do you think that's where business owners are naive and
- 6:53Speaker 1: they're not looking at kilos that are going out the
- 6:55Speaker 1: gate and breaking it down to that level as such?
- 6:59Speaker 2: Yeah, I think it's a lost opportunity in that, you know,
- 7:05Speaker 2: I shouldn't tell you how old I am, Andy, but
- 7:07Speaker 2: I've been through a few ups and downs and when
- 7:10Speaker 2: the dairy payout went from $ 8. 40 to $ 3. 90 and people
- 7:12Speaker 2: worked out that their farm operating costs were maybe $ 6
- 7:21Speaker 2: per kilo, then they realized, geez, we're going backwards. You
- 7:26Speaker 2: know what I mean? And so it is, I think
- 7:29Speaker 2: it's a good opportunity, and it will set us up
- 7:33Speaker 2: really well for farming into the future, which inevitably is
- 7:37Speaker 2: going to keep having volatility.
- 7:39Speaker 1: So when are you down in the south?
- 7:41Speaker 2: Yep, it's a whistle-stop tour. I won't get to check
- 7:46Speaker 2: out my old farm at Nibble, but I'm coming down
- 7:48Speaker 2: on Tuesday for Claire's focus group, down and back in
- 7:53Speaker 2: a day. So it's leave Marserton at 4.30 in the
- 7:57Speaker 2: morning and get home about midnight and catching up with
- 8:01Speaker 2: her group in Gore.
- 8:04Speaker 1: Good on you, Lawrence. Thanks for your time and enjoy
- 8:06Speaker 1: your trip down south next week.
- 8:08Speaker 2: Looking forward to it. And thanks for the opportunity, Andy.
- 8:10Speaker 2: Much appreciated.
- 8:13Speaker 1: Lawrence Field, coming down south next week. beeflamnz.com slash events
- 8:19Speaker 1: will give you more information regarding Lawrence and talking about
- 8:22Speaker 1: farm accounting. And of course, receive the e-diary into your
- 8:25Speaker 1: inbox every Friday morning. Nathan Burden's up next.