Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / Paul LoDuca Shares Thoughts on the World Series and the Best Bets to Make Using Early Lines

Transcript

Paul LoDuca Shares Thoughts on the World Series and the Best Bets to Make Using Early Lines · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:09
  Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorite. I'm Chad Milman of the Action Network.
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: It's Monday, which means this is the Parlay Show. We're
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: getting you ready for what to bet this weekend. I
• 0:22
  Speaker 1: am joined as I am every Monday, by Jeff Schwartz,
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: eight years in the NFL as an offensive lineman, Action
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: Network contributor Paul Laduka. Ten years in the major leagues,
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: four time All Star. Some of those years the beginning
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: of those years with the Los Angeles Dodgers, who lost
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: the World Series last night. Yeah, played New York, New
• 0:48
  Speaker 1: York when they won. It seems like that's fitting. Tell
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: me everything you're thinking about the Dodgers right now. Uh,
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: there's a lot of things I'm thinking. Um that Dave
• 1:01
  Speaker 1: Roberts completely overmatched by by Alex Cora and listen, I
• 1:05
  Speaker 1: was critical of him on Twitter. Uh, and he's one
• 1:08
  Speaker 1: of my good friends. He just it was awful. Um,
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: you know, and you're in one of those situations where
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: every single trigger you pull is just the wrong trigger. So, um,
• 1:21
  Speaker 1: Alex is just his baseball mind is beyond his and
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: and in the product that's Boston throughout there, it was
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: just better. They're relentless. So um A lot of Boston
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: fans at that game last night, and you know, Dodger Baseball.
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: For the longest time, I used to tell people, Um,
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: how come the fans on the show up? How come
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: they're fake fans? And you get that a lot from
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: outside people, and you sto upset me. Um, And the
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: reason and half the reason why, let's be honest, it's
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: because of the traffic. Nobody can really get to anywhere
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: in your Dodger's stadium it or like six o'clock because
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: it's just impossible. Um. And they don't have, you know,
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: the kind of transportation to get you there. They're trying
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: to get the light rail and a lot of other things.
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: But um, it was. It was weird to see at
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: the end of the thing, just like twenty thousand Boston
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: fans there and all the l A fans just went
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: home like like nothing. So they deserved it. Listen, they
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: went through everybody like they were standing still. The Dodgers
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: some questionable calls with Rich Hill, some questionable calls in
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: Game one, Um, a lot of questionable calls in that series.
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: But the Dodgers in the long run just don't play
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: good enough defense and just didn't play enough uh. I
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: was at the World Series on Wednesday night of this
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: past week. I bet first five under four and a half.
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: It was three one, two outs, bottom of the fourth,
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: two strikes on the number nine, hit her for the
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: Red Sox. Yeah, he slaps a single the right next,
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: better up, leadoff hit her for the Red Sox. Two outs,
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: bottom the fourth, two strikes. I think he slept a
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: single the center. The Red Sox score three runs that inning.
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: Not a single run was scored the rest of the game. Chad,
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: Welcome to betting baseball. It's brutal. It's so bad. It's
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: like all it's all like I've been all season in baseball.
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: It's it's maddening. It is maddening. It's manding. Hey, So,
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: the Dodgers and the Astros opened up the two thousand
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: nineteen World Series as six to one favorites to win
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: it all. Yeah, you're looking. I saw that, and I
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: don't get the the whole the Dodger thing. I didn't
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: really get, and then I sort of backed up a
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: little bit. They get Seeker back. I don't know what
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: they're gonna do with the Otto, but they're gonna be
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: back next year, right, Yeah, I mean It depends where
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: they go. It depends if they even bring their manager back.
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: It's amazing that the manager could be in trouble after
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: going the back to back World series just because in
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: two World series. Let's not forget you Darvish, he willed
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: you Darvish back out there last year. So he's made
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: multiple mistakes in World series. So I don't know who
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: the GM is there because they fired Ned Collettie, but
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: then he was there with his rug. Uh. They don't
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: even know what's going on in the front office. That's
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: half the problem with Here's here's here's my question, Paul.
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: This is this is why I don't want to I
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: think it's it's odd to give all the blame to Roberts.
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: You have Roberts making like a million dollars and the
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: GM is making like seven eight million dollars. So the
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: GM feels in charge of what's happening. They have an
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: analytics guy in the dugout, and you see Roberts all
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: the time just looking down at a car because remember,
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: you know, I don't see Cora all the time. And
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: I'm sure he has and he uses analysts, which I
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: know he does. He was on you know, coach in Houston.
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: That was a big part of that. But you know
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: Roberts is always looking at the analysts. I don't think
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: he makes these decisions. I think these decisions are done
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: by the front office. Like in games, wanted to to
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: not play all your lefties. I get you did that
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: for the last month of season. You had the best
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: offense in baseball. It worked, But how can you not
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: play Bellinger in Game one after he just won the
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: NLCS m v p UM. I noticed that, But just like,
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: what sign does that show your team that you're just
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: gonna stick to the book at all times? And so
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: I don't I don't think he's making these a lot
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: of these decisions. I think these are on on upper
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: management to make. Yeah, I didn't get it that there's
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: a book, there's a book that they go by, but
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: when it comes to the playoffs, you guys throw it out.
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: I agree with that. You have to throw it out
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: the window. You have to manage on Greeel, this is
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: a guy that won a World Series by stealing a base, agree,
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: and then Alex core goes out there and steals every
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: base on him, every base Like you know, I'm sitting
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: there at home going, hey, Dave, how about throwing one
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: pitch out just to remind him that you have that
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: in your back pocket and then you might call it.
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: He didn't call one pitch out, like he did nothing
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: to stop the running game. They just it was I
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: sat here and watched this whole thing go down, and
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: like when you go by the book and you read
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: it's the safest play. I've said this for years. He
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: is now is he gonna get ripped? Yeah, he got
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: ripped for taking out and not bringing him by as
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: Um in game one and that ended that. But then
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: after that everyone is justified. Let me tell you something.
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: If Rich Hill's last name was Clayton Kershaw in games
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: M four and he had seven in the third innings,
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: he doesn't get taken out of that game because you
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: know why you're leaving Clayton Kershaw and like you did
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: last night and you got lucky because he had David
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: Price up. But because his name is rich Hill, it's
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: okay to take rich Hill out because you know what
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: the next day his name is rich Hill. He's not
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: a Hall of Famer named Clayton Kershaw. So here's what's interesting.
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: This is where it gets interesting. It's a safe play.
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: Next year, you got the Astros and the Red Sox
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: at six to one, Dodgers and Yankees at seven to one,
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: Cubs that tend to one, Indians tend to one, Braves
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: Brewers twelve, twelve to one. Out there in the universe,
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: Bryce Harper and Manny Machado, it's like, you need to
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: find a way to calculate what are the odds for
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: where Bryce Harper is going to go? What are the
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: odds for where Manny Machado is gonna go? And then
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: it's not going to be the Red Sox. It's not
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: going to be the Astros. It could be the Dodgers,
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: it could be the Yankees, could be the Cubs. So
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: is the value right now in trying to figure out
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: where does Bryce Harper Manny Machado go and getting one
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: of the teams that are at the lower numbers or
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: higher numbers, but whichever the case may be, and then
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: trying to sort of trying to do the math on that.
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: But doesn't matter because we see we saw in this
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: World series that having Machado didn't help with Dodgers and
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: Steve Pierce was the MVP who they traded for in
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: like in like July to just going to be a
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: rotational guy on their team and he want the MVP.
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: I don't know what does that matter? If I thought Harper?
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: And what is it matter? Jeff, We're just trying to
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: figure out how to have a little bit of fun.
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: You want to bet the Cubs? That's why it comes
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: down to see, I knew there was a there's a
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: motive here. Do you want? Do you want Harper on
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: the Cubs? You gotta you got a shot? Chen? Are
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: you gonna pay for him? I don't think we have
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: a shot. I think it's gonna go to the Yankees. Yeah,
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: you know what? That just the Giants weirdly have supposedly
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: are in this, which I don't understand. I don't have
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: a ton of cap space. They can make some moves,
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: I mean, but they're not. But I'm a Giants fan.
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: They're not any good Giants? Are ye to repeat? Red
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: Sox are at six to one? Yeah, it would be
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: interesting what happens if David Price and Chris so can
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: pitch the way they pitched. I get tim, I had
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: to hit. I'm happy a little bit for David Price.
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: A great picture that that pitched well, um for the
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: first time in the postseason. And again I feel sorry
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: for Clayton. I know Clayton personally in like probably the
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: most dominant picture maybe our our generation in the non postseason,
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: and then it just gets in the postseason. It just
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: it just doesn't work. It falls off a cliff except
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: for his curveball. But boom boom. Hey, guys, guess what
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: we need to do? A nine team parlay this week,
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: which I consider to be a privilege. Um, last week
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: we went three and six, which I also consider to
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: be a market improvement over the week before, because we
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: went one in eight. Um. Last week, Uh, let's see,
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: I went one and two because I picked the Rams
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: unfortunately also picked the Giants and then I had Minnesota. Boy,
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: that Adam Feeland fumble. Really they never recovered from that. Paully,
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: you had the Broncos plus ten. Nice job. You had Minnesota. Uh,
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: New Orleans under fifty two, well done, and Standford minus
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: three and a half. You lost that one, jeff When
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: your parents were disappointed in you, would they call you Jeffrey? Yeah, Jeffrey, Jeffrey.
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: You had U c l A plus ten, Yeah, I
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: think very well. Yeah, Detroit minus two and a half
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: didn't also don't go very well. You can't go very well.
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: Who is your third pick? I'm glad. I'm glad you're
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: Cleveland plus eight and a half. I'm glad. For whatever reason,
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: I don't actually bet these most of these, like when
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: it comes down to Sunday, because we have time all
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: week to look at these stuff. But yeah, I need
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: to do I need to do better. I need to
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: help us out. We need to win one of these. Well, listen,
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: it's not all on you. You're a big man, but
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: you don't have to shoulder the burden. You know what
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: I'm as I am shoulder. It doesn't bother me. It
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: doesn't bother me one bit. Let's make some let's move that.
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: We're gonna make it happen at some point. Let's rock
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: and roll. Let's make a parley. Oh boy, if we
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: if we win the parlay this week, we never have
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: to hear you soon again. Did you finish your diaries yet? Yeah?
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: Put it up? Put it up last night? What night?
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: Didn't retweet it before? You understand this because I had
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: it done last night. It was pretty easy because like
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: by the second half, it was clear the Saints we're
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: gonna win that game. I slacked Scott Miller at like
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: thirty and said, I'm pretty much sure I can. I'm
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: pretty sure I can just write the ending on this
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: right now because I know how this is going. Um,
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: because we had the vikings. I had the vikings. So
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: the diaries are up. Go read him. What's interesting about
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: the diaries, if I do say so myself, the reason
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: why the john and lull you into betting them is
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: because you look at Eli stats and they're the best
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: stats he's ever had in his career. It's the best
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: he's ever had in his career, and you think, how
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: could they lose these games? And then you watch the
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: games and like you only see him making bad plays,
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: and it is so frustrating. I watched that game obviously,
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: I was on I was on the red zone. Red Zone,
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: which was craptastic by the way they showed. They showed
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: me like the entire Bengals Bucks game and did not
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: show me any highlights from any other the games, Like
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: it was five minutes behind everything yesterday. It was an embarrassment.
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: The red zone yesterday, and it's my favorite thing of
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: all time. It is mine too, and yet it was
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: just just and I had, and I had, and I had,
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: I had the bucks yesterday it was fantastic, bully for you.
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: I missed a live Cardinals, like a twenty yard pass
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: during their final game winning drive. Because Red Zone is
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: showing me a replay of Adrian Peterson clinching the Redskins
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: win and my Giants loss, I'm like, what the funk? Dudes,
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: why are you putting a shive directly through my belly button.
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: There were times yesterday, I will say this, I was
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: watching the Red Zone channel and there was like the
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: end I think it was the end of of one
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: game was happening, and they refused to get off double
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: screens even though the other game was like in the
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: first quarter, and like, God, give me the full screen.
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: I want the full screen of the end of this game.
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: So I do agree that it wasn't it didn't feel
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: quite the same yesterday. You know, they're not gonna be
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: in there on their game every single week. You know
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: what that's I disagree with you. There is a formula
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: for this. It's it's that simple. Like if the Cardinals
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: are on the other side of midfield and the Rams
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: are on their own thirty, show me the fucking Cardinals,
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: don't show me the Rams. I'm with you, he's control.
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: But if you're but if you are, if you are
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: betting in that game, then you're not going to have
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: as much vested in that. More people want to watch
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: the Rams and the Packers then want to watch the Cardinals.
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: Well everybody should have been betting on the Cardinals because
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: that line didn't make any sense. I had the Cardinals too,
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: I bet on the Cardinals. So how did you guys feel?
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: How do you guys feel? Okay, So Todd Gurley, it's
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: about so I haven't I had the Packers, by the
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: way early in the week at nine and a half,
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: so it would have mattered to me. But it's interesting
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: about about the narrative about that on social media was
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: that like the Rams backers got screwed, But really that
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: if he would have scored the Packers, the people that
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: backed the Packers will be screw because the Rams the
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: entire game had barely over chance of winning that bet.
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: I mean it was even at some points Packers, so
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: it would it would be a worse loss for the
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: Packers backers. Had the Rams scored, there, had Gurley chord
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: than it was then you know, then it was for
• 15:02
  Speaker 1: the Rams backers and Twitter lost their minds, like the
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: Rams got screwed. The people that bet on the Rams
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: got screwed. You didn't get screwed that the Packers would
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: have been screwed. Yes, I had I had the Rams
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: at eight and a half. I had the over in
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: the second half and impacted every single thing. And it
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: would have impacted Vegas big time because it would have
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: landed right in the middle of the number. Um uh,
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: because a lot of people had eight and a half
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: to nine and a half, so it would have landed
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: on nine, saying he would have made the extra point, um,
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: and then it would have went over and then the
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: Rams would have covered the second half on the over
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: which I played. It cost me three different plays. But
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: a lot of people are saying, oh, you know extra
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: points success Uh, it isn't having the same success rate.
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: That's why he went down. There was eleven seconds seconds left, Like,
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: just go in the end zone, bro, Like I get it.
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: I get why he sat down, and he wants to
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: be a smart player, but I mean, you just walk
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: into the end zone. There's nobody you're going up. There's
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: no nine Polly, there's no nice it was the right play,
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: and to me, because you had, Because you had, he's
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: the MVP of the I fil right now. There's no
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: more exactly just whatever side you're on is the right side.
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: There's no winner or loser in this. If I were,
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: if I were voting on m VP right now, Josh
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: Rosen one Toddy to oh and then Byron Leftwich new
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: offensive coordinator for the Cardinals. Three. Rosen is going to
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: be so good when he gets adequate help on offensive
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: line and coordinator, it's gonna be fantastic. He was amazing.
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: He's really good. Yeah, he's very he's very accurate. He
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: looks also on the field, also fearless. He you know what,
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: he just looks like a dick. Who cares. That's what
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: I got with water dick in real life. Who cares.
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: I know, it's great. I love guys like that. But
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: I never I never bought this this thing about Josh
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: Rosen to where like he's arrogant. Yeah, he's a quarterback.
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: I hope he's arrogant. He's the best. He's supposed to
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: be the best player on your team. Like, I hope
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: that the quarterback is arrogant. I hope he wants to
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: know why things are done. Like all this Chris is
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: about Josh Rosen was so stupid. If he didn't have
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: any of those, he would have been the first pick
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: overall in the draft. So I think he's I said
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: it from the starting, to be the best quarterback in
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: this draft. I still think that, Um just give him
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: some time with a competent offense. Let's pick some games, boys,
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: do it, Let's build a partly. That's what it would
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: sound like if we were doing a musical about this,
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: If it was like The Favorites the musical, the opening
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: act would be, you know, we're making a parlay. Hey, hey,
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: heyre making hey hey, oh my god, you think this
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: could be a music? Just do some sort of Hamilton's
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: musical There. No, it was like it was like there,
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: It's like in the opening act, like there's a group
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: of people and they are like whispering in the background,
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: like it builds to a crescendo and they do some
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: jazz hands and at the end it's like, you know,
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: a whole line kick and they're screaming like something about
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: making a parlay on a Monday morning. That's how I
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: see it. Uh, we start with me I'm a visionary.
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: Mm hmmm, throw them bones, brother, Alright, I'm up, all right,
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: how about this. It's a weird board, by the way,
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: on a Monday morning. Let's look at this thing. Um,
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: let's go with New Orleans plus one at home against
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: the Rams. The Rams have to lose at some point.
• 18:50
  Speaker 1: They're not gonna be undefeated. We've seen them so far
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: this year. You know, have have road games, UM in
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: Denver that weren't weren't as pretty, Seattle weren't as pretty.
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: They almost lost yesterday. And look who knows of time
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: Montgomery holds onto the football or just fair catches or
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: takes a knee in the end zone. Um, you have
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: Rogers two minutes left, um to drive down the field
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: against that Rams defense that really has struggled at times,
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: especially in the back end. Marcus Peters a lot has struggled. Um.
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: Their pass rushes Aaron Donald and Sue there's no edge
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: rush at all. So UM, I think I think the
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: Packers have a good chance of going down and scoring
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: and winning that game. I think New Orleans right now.
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: You know we talked last week about that the value
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: on them will never be higher. Well, they went into
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: Minnesota and stomped on the Vikings. Um. The Saints are
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: a really good football team. They go home now where
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: we know they play even better. I just don't see
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: how the Rams end up being able to guard all
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: these weapons that they have. I think the Saints winning
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: a shootout here. What do you think of their defense
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: right now? Like, is their defense getting better? Yes? Well
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: this is this has been a theme of there's the
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: last couple of years where there they start really slow.
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: Remember the previous four years chat they started owing to
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: the lead, and then this year they almost went on
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: into the brown Smith four field goals in Week two
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: in New Orleans. And so you have Marcus Davenport they
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: drafted the first round, who had two sacks yesterday. He's
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: playing a lot better now. The Vikings offensive line not
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: very good. Uh. And this in general that they're starting
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: to play just continuing to to improve each week. They
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: had had Eli Apple in there at corner from from
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: New York who they traded four Um to keep getting better.
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: That that's what they do. It's a sign of a
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: good team in my opinion, not the slow start part,
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: but just the part of getting better throughout the season.
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: I think they can really feel it this year like
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: they you have that sense that they they're feeling themselves
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: um winning the NFC because if they win this game,
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: it might put them on track two to host the
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: Ancy Championship game. Inside in New Orance, in that place
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: gets loud like it gets you can't hear anything loud.
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: It's a loud it's a loud place. It's fun to play.
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: Is this a good time to subtly yet humble braggy
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: remind people that I bet the New Orleans Saints to
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: win the Super Bowl at eighteen to one. It's a
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: good bet. It's a good better is also bet the Texans.
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: Also bet the Texans a nice try. You mock what
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: you don't understand, Jeffrey who all right, if I'll think
• 21:24
  Speaker 1: of a bet if the Texas in the super Bowl,
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: I do something. But there's no there's not a chance
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: that Texas even make a super Bowl. But sure you
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: can have a dream that can be like the second
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: song in the musical, because every every musical has to
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: have like uh song where it includes the phrase dream.
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: So like I can be you can be standing on
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: one side of the stage like towards the front, and
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: I can be standing on the other side of the stage,
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: and there'll be a spotlight on you and a spotlight
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: on me, and you can start singing about like how
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: I'm dreaming of the Texans winning the super Bowl, and
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: then like almost like I don't know what they call
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: that in the music business, but while you're singing one
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: one song, I'm singing another song about dreaming of the
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: Texans winning the super Bowl, and you're telling me I'm wrong,
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: and I'm saying I can believe you. You do seem
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: like the musical type, so it makes sense that you
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: seem very in tune. I just saw Hamilton this week too,
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: so I listen. I actually can't. I actually hate musicals.
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: Um no, no, but I'm just I'm I'm seeing it
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: right now. I just feel it, like sometimes you feel it.
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: You've got to get these things out. After this is over,
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: I'm going to replay the podcast just so I can
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: make some notes, and I'm gonna send this off to
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: lin Manuel. I think that's what he's gonna want to do. Listen. Betting.
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: Betting is big business right now. People want to be
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: in the betting business. We get calls every day. We
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: want a partner about this. We want to partner about that.
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: We want to do this, we want to do that.
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: I think I can get this. I can get this,
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: like on the needer Lander stage. All right, you you
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: took your coffee this morning, chat, I appreciate that. I'm
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: half a green tea in I'm a little nauseous. I
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: think I probably have to eat something because I'm in
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: that weird phase. Was my my younger son's twelve birthday
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: yesterday and he wanted an ice cream cake, and I
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: think I ate half that fucker, like by myself watching
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: the Saints Vikings game last night. So I'm feling a
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: little sick this morn. I'm gonna have to get in
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: the bike soon. Poli, I think you're up, buddy. Okay,
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: what's the third song in our musical, Laduca. It's called
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: the Mic. We're gonna call it Tilt and it's just
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: gonna be you Tap Danson. No right? Oh god? Uh.
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: Tennessee Titans plus six against the Dallas Cowboys already an
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: overreaction to Marie Cooper. I actually was one of the
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: few that stayed up, actually stayed up, got up because
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: I actually needed the Tennessee game over. When they played
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: Jack excuse me. When they played, um, what's you called
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: the the Chargers in London? And you know the Chargers
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: dominated so of that game, but if you looked, the
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: Tennessee dominated the time of possession, really should have won
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: the game. And then they scored and then Rabel for
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: some reason, went for two. We went for the jugular,
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: went for the aggressive play. I told you guys before,
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: he's on my pick list with the horses. He's a gambler. Um,
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: I just don't see a six point difference between these
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: two teams. Amari Cooper needs to get to the to
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: the playbook. Does he make them a better Yeah, he
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: probably will make them a little bit better, But I
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: don't know if there's six points better than the Tennessee Titans.
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: The Titans you know three and four and if you
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: look they that division is still a vision that can
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: be up for grabs. So, um, I just think this
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: is a solid play. Well, there's a couple of things
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: you said in there that I'm I agree with and
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: a couple of things you just I disagree with. One broadly.
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: I love the new gun slinging NFL. I love that
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: people are going forward in fourth down. I love that
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: people are fake punting from their own fifteen. I love
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: that Rabel is going for two and going for the
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: win and not playing for overtimes and ties. Um I
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: think and Rabel has done that a few times this year.
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: I think it's amazing. It makes it so much more interesting.
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: And it's also just smarter football, like from from a
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: math perspective, like it's just much better. Um, I think
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: I I think you said something else that I disagree
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: with and I can't remember now. It's too bad. Good,
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: But the Cowboys aren't six points better than six points
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: better though, No I think they are, so I don't
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: think they are either. I think, uh, I think it's
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: completely the right side. Um, I don't know what it is.
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: I lost my train of thought started thinking about the
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: fourth song of the music or about the London hangover?
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: Anything to that? Have you? You you played over their
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: short see no, but they had to buy so they
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: when you come back from Mondon. That's my thought process.
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: And I wonder if there's always a hangover. And so
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: far we've seen teams I don't know. I probably should
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: look this up or have one of our our bet
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: labs people look up like teams this year seemed to
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: be playing really well off and by. I know not
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: all of them do, but we've seen, like we I
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: bet against, I bet against a lot of teams coming
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: off of buy and that they have all like won
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: the game. I know there's certain teams like New Orleans
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: who I think Sean Page's thirteen and two after by,
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: Andy Reid something like fourteen and two, fifteen and two
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: after by. I mean, some coaches are really good after bye.
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: But it seems like, you know, the Seahawks yesterday I
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: played really well after by might be the best offensiveportance
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: that they had all year. Like they just teams just
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: have been playing well off of bye. Tennessee off six points,
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: that was not six points better than than anyone in
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: the NFL. Right now, I remembered what I was gonna say, Polly,
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: This division in the a f C South is not
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: wide open because the Texans are running away with this
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: thing running away. You watched one game, yeah, in the
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: endless and the the Dolphins are in disarray, the running
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: The Dolphins are in disarray. The Titans are good, but
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: not great. I'm talking the Jaguars. The Jaguars are in
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: a free fall exactly. Houston Texans are winning this division,
• 27:30
  Speaker 1: but I think we are to look but it's just
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: one of those tickets where you're like the horses in front,
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: but you know he's going to fade. Washington Redskins minus
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: one and a half pint cavorites at home against the
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: Atlanta Falcons. Do you say Smith a holiday card every year?
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: Do I do? You said? Like Smith the holiday card
• 27:49
  Speaker 1: every year? I'm going to how do you not bet
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: the Redskins? Like their defense is pretty good and like
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: they just keep winning? Like why wouldn't I bet them
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: as a short home favorite against a team that I
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: don't like it at all? All Ox Smith does is
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: win football games in the regular season. All Alex Smith
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: does is win football games in the regular season. Atlanta
• 28:17
  Speaker 1: is off the bye week, Yeah great, Lena, Atlanta is
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: now outside though in in Washington, um their defense that
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: the bye week doesn't help there they have. Give me.
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: Give me an underachieving team going on the road, playing
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: outside when they're built for a fast track against a
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: team with a good defense, a quarterback who doesn't make mistakes,
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: and a team that consistently wins. Yeah, I'll take that
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: as a short home favorite. It's supposed to be fifties
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: seven degrees to kick off. Come with this game too.
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: I feel like sometimes you have to stick with what
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: you do, right, which is a short home favorite. Yeah,
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: no reason not to. Yeah, kind of like this Atlanta
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: is playing outside it is. It's just a different team,
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: especially with all those injuries. That that's a good good point.
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: Whether it's gonna be starting to factory in here pretty
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: soon or I did a little bit, but that's a
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: good point. The quartsy Tampa blade plus seven against Carolina
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: on the road. Here's a deal that these games are close.
• 29:19
  Speaker 1: When Tampa plays Carolina, fits Magic is gonna probably start
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: this game right now. If you look at last year
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: three point game early in the season, very early season,
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: the game was UM was fourteen points. But even last
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: year one point game, three point game seven points for
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay, especially if it's Magic plays as too many points.
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: They can score a lot on offense UM with DeShawn Jackson,
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: Mike Evans, o J Howard. We saw yesterday what that
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: offense can do coming from behind. The Panthers are playing
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: really well right now. I get that, but we're over
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: in playing their defense a little bit. After the Ravens performance,
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: their their defense, at least statistically, the efficiency is not
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: as high as it happened in the past. UM I
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: think the Tampa Bay keeps this game close. Seven points
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: is a lot, especially in division for kind of Tampa
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: Bay just kind of has their number the Panthers number
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: of times. UM So I think that this game is
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: really close. Parentthers probably still win at seven points. I
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: like the bigger question is what what do the what
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: do the Buccaneers do about Jamis Winston right now? They
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: don't they just get another quarterback in the draft and
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: they let him go. Really, they're in a weird They're
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: in a weird spot right now where they're kind of
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: a no man's land because Jamis Wilson is clearly not
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: the future. Now you can think maybe we will will
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: give him his one will give him his one year
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: option UM next year, and we'll bring in a new
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: coach because I only Cutter makes it, and we'll see
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: how he does under that new coach. But he's he
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: in the status pull up in forty nine games, I
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: think he's he's turned here. It is right here. In
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: forty nine games, Jamis has done fifty four interceptions and
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: fumbled thirty six times, and I think that's even before
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: he threw like his last two interceptions yesterday. So that's
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: not good to who's the ball ninety times? Now, not
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: all those fumbles were recovered, but not not Nonetheless, you
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: can't do that if you're Jamis. So the players you
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: could tell there's a difference in the player's attitudes on
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: the field and when Fitz comes in. But Fits is
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: also not the future of the franchise either, so you
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: kind of have no future quarterback, which is a terrible
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: place to be in NFL. And they're not bad enough
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: to have the number one pick, and so they're gonna
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: have to find some quarterback, maybe Teddy Bridgewater this offset.
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: Someone's gonna have to come in and play quarterback for them. Yeah,
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: Winston's got a little bit of Eli Manning and him
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: where he just throws that pick where there's just like
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: nobody within Yeah, the one feature the linebacker yesterday, like
• 31:42
  Speaker 1: just literally there are seven Bengals and zero Buccaneers. You
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: prow the ball right in the linebacker's chest. It's like
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: two quarterbacks in the league. Eli does it too. It's
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: like yes, and then he like looks around like the
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: guy should be there, Polly, you're up. Okay, Uh Steelers Ravens.
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: I love the Ravens here minus three and a couple
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: of reasons why. Um, they already beat the Steelers in
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: this year. There are four and four now and listen,
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: they were on the rise, told what two weeks ago,
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: three weeks ago? And I think that the lost in
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: New Orleans was crushing justin Tucker and misses the extra point.
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: They have a little bit of a hangover against Carolina.
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: They're never in that game. After shutting out Tennessee. UM.
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: And you know, Pittsburgh, I get it they did. They
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: blew out Cleveland yesterday and they're starting a little a
• 32:35
  Speaker 1: little bit better UM on the offensive. On the defensive side,
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: I still think they're vulnerable. And I do think that
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: Baltimore always matches up well against Pittsburgh, and three points
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: at home, they'll be able to put pressure on on
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: Big Ben Um. And I just like this play divisional play.
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: I think it will be a knock it out game.
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: I can't believe the under over is that high forty
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: seven degrees. It's supposed to be really low temperatures in Baltimore.
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: But um, this is a kind of thing where the overreaction.
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: I'm getting decent value on the Ravens at ninus three,
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: sometimes minus two and a half in some other books.
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: I agree with you. I think this whole thing is
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: out of whack. I think the Ravens are have been
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: playing sort of. They haven't playing great. The last couple
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: of weeks, Pittsburgh had a big win against against Cleveland,
• 33:29
  Speaker 1: a team that I think a lot of people were
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: thinking could keep these games close. Um, these games are
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: always tight. It's always like in that three or five
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: point range. I'm with you with the only challenge, by
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: the way, the only challenge here is that, like I worry,
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: this number is gonna come down? Do you think so?
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: Will they take it off the key number? Mm hmm,
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I'm to go you guys ready? Are
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: you ready? It sounds like it's going to be a
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: pick that we're not gonna like, but go ahead, don't
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: play the Giants please? Are they off this week? You're ready? Yes?
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: This is the game I'm really struggling with, really really
• 34:21
  Speaker 1: struggling with l A Chargers plus one at Seattle. If
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: someone were to throw a challenge flag on this and say, nope,
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: we got to take the Seahawks. I could do that too,
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: but this is the same I know, I know, I know. Yeah,
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: Seattle is finally healthy. He scares me good coming off
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: the bye week, same Chargers coming off the by the
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: They're a really good team. They've only lost to the
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: Rams and the Chiefs. At this point. Philip Rivers is
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: having an m v P type year, very quietly like,
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: I don't know, maybe it should be the Seahawks. Like
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I I am torn because that's the
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: same play you made when you took the Chargers over
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: the Browns the Charges were in Cleveland, Like you went
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: against your gut of your normal play, which is the
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: short home favorite. So if you feel this way, I
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: feel like there's a reason why you feel so good
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: about this pick. I just think the Chargers are like,
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: I think they're really good. I think they're good and
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: they're being ignored. I can see that they're very good
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: on offense. They're way better offensive team than people think,
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: so I'd like this play. Oh, I can't believe you
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: gave Blackjack thirteen and a half of the Patriots tonight.
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: I mind football on your favorites like that is so
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: not your deal. I just gave up. I'm just so
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: sick of listening to that talk about the playtriots that
• 36:01
  Speaker 1: like your doctor for secondhand jewel smoke pretty It's like
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: I just I could not listen to him talk about
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: having about the Patriots anymore, and like this will give me.
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: If they win, I win, and if they lose, I
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: win because I get everything. I need to sort of
• 36:21
  Speaker 1: say to him, we're done. My way is the right way.
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: Your way has been flukey. So that's it. You're in
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: a rare form today, Chad. I love it. Jeff, you
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: you're fired up today. All Right, I gott get to
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: my I gotta go film an episode of I'll take
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: that bet. So let's let's do it. Man, we gotta
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: get down ten minutes. You've got your a multimedia superstar.
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: Let's get let's get let's get my third pick. How
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: about this college football? Last two weeks have been rough
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: for me, but we're gonna make a comeback this week.
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: God Friday Night, Friday Night Patrol after Dark, Arizona's four
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: point favorites over Colorado at home. Give me the Wildcats
• 36:59
  Speaker 1: Colorado this week, by the way, like this is they
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: had a loss on Saturday that you just don't come
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: back from. Like you don't up thirty one to three
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: on Organ State. Organ State might be one of the
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: worst teams in the country. They had they had won
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: one game this season against Southern Utah. The thirty one
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: to three in the third quarter. That's seventy year touchedo
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: around first play of the of the second half of
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: three at home. They lose it overtime, forty one to
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: thirty four. You don't recover from that game. You don't.
• 37:27
  Speaker 1: Arizona beat a ranked organ team that the didn't beat them.
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: They demolish the ranked Organ team to fifteen at home
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: this weekend. Now they get a Friday night game. Two songs.
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: A tough place to play is loud there. It gets
• 37:37
  Speaker 1: a little rowdy. Uh. They like to drink a lot
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: in that in that in that college campus. Um and
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: Tait's playing better. They're starting to get the offense down.
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: I feel like Colorado just their seasons over. They're not
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: coming back from that loss. You there's no way you can.
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: But I'm just excited. That will be dead on Friday nights,
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: so I don't have think about it for the rest
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: of the weekend. It actually will be dead Sunday morning
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: with Saturday morning when you wake up because you're not
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: watching this game. No, no, I'll be asleep. Yeah, you'll
• 38:05
  Speaker 1: be asleep. I'll be If you don't like it, throw
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: challenge flag, then I'll be in a theater space rehearsing. Chad,
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: you should go to two soon. There's one place to go.
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: You know the name of it is dirt bags. Yeah,
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: so the baseball players are at dirt bags our own
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: Lauren Joffey wildcat. She's been in the dirt bags many times.
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: So you throw a challenge flog. If you don't like this,
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: then I actually love this pick. What do I listen to?
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: What do I know about the pack twelve? I've already stayed.
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: I've already made the case like staying up till late
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: at night and watch Organ lose. I think finally last
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: week the rich rod like smell went finally went away,
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: and I think someone extension has gone like someone finally.
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: The last couple of weeks, he was a backup quarterback
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: and almost beat U c l A. Tate comes back,
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: has his best game this season. He looked completely helping
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: and he's right. They boat raced Oregon last week. I
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: have a bunk to pick, by the way, with your
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: sun devils, they screwed me royally. The same thing happened, Chad.
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: The same thing happened with Todd Gurley. Um happened in
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: the Arizona State game, but the opposite I needed. I
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: needed a second half under to cover the under their
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: loss for the game because they scored to two times
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: off a turnover and nine five yard punt return where
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: the where the runner start at once, I felt right
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: across the field down the sideline, So I just needed
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: them Arizona State at a fourth, third and one s
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: he had no time outs left. All that to do
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: was just get a first down and fall down. The
• 39:38
  Speaker 1: quarterback runs into for a touchdown in the same stadium,
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: and the coloseum was it was, I don't like yourself.
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: I'm not betting on some devils anymore. It sounds like
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: you're chasing a little bit. You're chasing the second half.
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: Oh I was second half. The best part was is
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: I got the text that wasn't like a text like
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: they screwed me. He sent me the text attached with
• 39:58
  Speaker 1: the tweet Chad, so I could read his tweet. So
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: I just don't want have to explain myself again. I
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: just said, like, you screwed me. That's so funny. Hi Polly,
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: We're going with it. We're doing it. UM craptastic college bet. Oh,
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: this is the best bet. This is the moral lock
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: of the week. Penn State plus ten at Michigan. First
• 40:21
  Speaker 1: of all, I don't even know how Michigan is a
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: ten point favorite against Penn State. Penn State lost the
• 40:26
  Speaker 1: game against Ohio State. They should have never lost. That
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: was a joke of a loss. They took it into
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: next week to lose to Michigan State. They came back,
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: they beat Penn State, and you know what, I was
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: a very very underrated, very good team and they were
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: on a role coming in. Penn State held them off.
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: And now they gotta go to Michigan UM. And everybody's
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: talking about Michigan might have the best defense UM in
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: the nation, but they just really don't blow anybody out.
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: I mean, I understand they beat Michigan State, but they
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: don't score points. They don't have a good enough officainse.
• 40:59
  Speaker 1: What's Wisconsin is not good, Maryland is not good, Northwestern
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: is not good, Nebraska is not good. S m U
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: is not good. Western Michigan is not good. They have
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: not played anybody with quality. And I'm getting ten points
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: with Penn State that that is an absolute joke to
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: that line. Is that high? Well, the one thing that
• 41:21
  Speaker 1: the Neutrals is good defense is a running quarterback, and
• 41:23
  Speaker 1: we've seen Trading Story in the second half of games
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: really take over with his legs and so you can
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: be as good of a defense as you want, but
• 41:30
  Speaker 1: it's hard to defend a quarterback that can do um
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: multiple things. I mean, we've seen even Alabama. Alabama's downfall
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: times on defense has been the dual threat quarterback. If
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: you have if you do one thing well, they'll take
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: it away. But if you have a quarterback that can
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: do both. And not every team matches this year that
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: has a great defense. But um, I do think ten
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: points is an awful lot here from Michigan, who uh,
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: offensively never really has been great under Harball. They really
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: are good. Defensively, they're really good. But um, I mean,
• 41:58
  Speaker 1: Penn State can score enough points to keep this games.
• 42:00
  Speaker 1: Are you ready? No, I can tell him, we're not
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: ready for this, but sure give me the Baker Mayfield
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: plus eight against the Kansas City Chiefs at home coming
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: knew it. Save the best for last? Is Nick Chebb
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: gonna get the ball fifty times? Because that's the only
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: way they cover fifty times. You gotta take a it's
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: a home dog eight points. You gotta get it. I
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: get it, I get I get it, huge, Huge, How
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: does your huge ax to keep his job away? He's coached.
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: The post conferences that he does too are just mind
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: but they're so arrogant. He's just he's so arrogant. Like
• 42:40
  Speaker 1: where do you get this arrogans from you? Your three
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: and thirty seven is a head coach? Like, where do
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: you get the arrogans from man? Guys? Are you with me?
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: He was a good player. We got it to chang.
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: We generally I try not to bet on Chiefs games,
• 42:54
  Speaker 1: but um, that's right, that's what you want to take.
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: I sort of like, listen, there's like if the two teams,
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: like the Rams golf showed a little bit, he was
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: off a tiny bit. Mahomes, they can't be perfect every week.
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: The worry that you have been against these two teams.
• 43:12
  Speaker 1: They can put up twenty one points in like in
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: three minutes. But I get it. It's in Cleveland. They
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: should be able to put some pressure on him, you know,
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: especially at home. I'm sure Williams will go after him. Uh.
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: They need to start scoring points. They and if they're
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: ever gonna do it, they should do it on this
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: defense at home. I guess it shouldn't should be freezing,
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: I would think in Cleveland. Yeah, I don't know if
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: Pat Mahomes can be able to hold the ball. Here
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: we go, guys, we gotta parlay. Are you ready? You
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: want to hear it? Yes? New Orleans Saints plus one
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: against the Los Angeles Rams. Tennessee Titans plus six against Dallas.
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: I love that pick. Washington Redskins minus one versus the
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: Atlanta Falcons they are in Washington. Tampa Bay plus seven
• 43:59
  Speaker 1: versus the Carolina at Baltimore minus three against the Steelers,
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: the l A Chargers on the road at Seattle one
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: point dogs. L A Chargers plus one, Arizona Wildcats minus four,
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: pack twelve after dark Friday night versus the Colorado Buffaloes.
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: Penn State Nitney Lions plus ten against the anemic offense
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: yet stellar defense of the Michigan Wolverines. But Cleveland Browns
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: at home eight point underdogs versus the high flying Kansas
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: City chiefs rub it in, Chad. Yeah, but the Charlotte
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: forty Niners beat Southern miss plus two points, like I
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: told Chad, like I told Jeff Schwortz, they would. That's
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: a core. Yeah, Here's what I want people to do.
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: Are you ready? As everybody knows, We're gonna put twenty
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: dollars each on this nine team parley. If you do
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: the same, you will win nineteen thousand dollars generally generally
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: dollars depending on the juice or whatever. The beauty of this.
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: This has been our podcast, folks. I am Chad Mollman
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: of the Action Network. That is Paul la Duca giggling away.
• 45:23
  Speaker 1: That is Jeff Schwartz of the Action Network signing away.
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: We do this every Monday, Wednesday, and Friday. We are
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: the Favorites. Join me on Wednesday when Scooch and I
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: check out the markets. What are the wise guys doing?
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: Why are the lines moving the way they're moving? Join
• 45:40
  Speaker 1: us in the spring of two thousand nineteen for the Favorites,
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: the musical premiering at the meter Lander Theater on Broadway
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: until next time.