Latest / The Curve / First fund update, Apple's new CEO, & the billion-dollar cost of climate change.
Transcript
- 0:01Coming up in today's episode, our very first fund update.
- 0:05We're going to tell you all the investments that Vic has recently made.
- 0:08And we talk about Apple.
- 0:09It's got a new CEO this week and it has only had seven CEOs in 50 years.
- 0:12So this is major.
- 0:13Why are the natural disasters turning into a financial disaster?
- 0:17We're going to update you on what is happening globally, climate change, but mainly with a financial lens.
- 0:23This is The Curve Weekly, where we read the finance news so you don't have to.
- 0:26I'm Vic Harris, a finance professional who's had a career making money for other people.
- 0:30And I'm Sophie Hallwright, ex-television and radio producer.
- 0:32Sick and tired of not understanding how to invest or the economy, so we started this podcast.
- 0:37But before we dive into the headlines, here's a word from today's sponsor.
- 0:42This episode of The Curve Weekly is made possible thanks to Pathfinder KiwiSaver Plan, helping you invest alongside your values.
- 0:48We're really excited to bring you the ethical hotline where you can ask all your tricky ethical questions.
- 0:53Each month, Pathfinder will answer the most interesting, popular, or polarizing question.
- 0:58To submit yours, follow the link in the podcast show notes.
- 1:00Pathfinder Asset Management Limited is the issuer of the Pathfinder KiwiSaver Plan.
- 1:04A product disclosure statement is available at pathfinder.kiwi.
- 1:08How was your weekend, Soph?
- 1:09Oh, I had the best weekend.
- 1:10Nice.
- 1:11I swam in the ocean.
- 1:12Don't you think the UK, you don't think of it as a beach place or somewhere where there's nice scenery.
- 1:19You kind of just assume that it's grey and rainy.
- 1:21Grey, rainy, concrete jungle.
- 1:24I tell you what, British countryside is such a dream.
- 1:28Like around Cornwall and Devon and all over there.
- 1:31I read an article in The Economist about the Cotswolds and how it's had such a rebrand post-COVID because everyone's like escaping to the country and buying houses in the country.
- 1:40And like there's so many like new restaurants and pubs.
- 1:42And it's funny because people who are in what they call proper British countryside just like look at the Cotswolds like, it's not the country.
- 1:52trip no yeah yeah it's like the mayfair of the yes exactly yeah it's like really um it's quintessential yes yeah no it's beautiful it's like the hamptons it's the hamptons of the uk you're right it totally is or the coromandel of the no coromandel is way more low-key this is like a beautiful oh actually some of it you're right is kind of built up yeah yeah no yeah there's no equivalent in new zealand that's too small um how was your weekend good yeah anything
- 2:21Yeah, I went... No, I was just like...
- 2:27I just think...
- 2:28Taking holidays right now is not the best thing for the year.
- 2:32Oh, of course.
- 2:33I was going to take a few days off and go to Mallorca, but that didn't go to plan.
- 2:39I've never been.
- 2:40So wait, what do you mean?
- 2:41So what didn't go to plan?
- 2:42Oh, we were supposed to go on a friend's boat.
- 2:44The weather was shit.
- 2:45So we didn't.
- 2:46We were just in Barcelona, which was still fun.
- 2:49But I kind of went down later and then came back earlier because a combination of work and just weather.
- 2:55Wow.
- 2:55I just think taking a holiday right now, I'm just like, I just want to...
- 2:58There's a bit going on.
- 2:59There's a bit going on.
- 3:00There's a little bit going on.
- 3:01It's funny, though, because a boat holiday can be so epic.
- 3:05Oh, totally.
- 3:05And it can be so quickly the worst holiday.
- 3:08It was beautiful.
- 3:10It was very, very lucky to have friends that invited us.
- 3:14Yeah, it was amazing.
- 3:16But I mean, the more like when you're, if you can't sail or get on the boat because of weather and you're stuck in a marina.
- 3:22Like I had, I went on a holiday with my uncle a couple of years ago.
- 3:25Yeah.
- 3:26And the whole point was, oh my God, I'm so excited.
- 3:29Like I get to see like an island in Greece from a boat.
- 3:33I remember you calling me an EOS.
- 3:34Yes.
- 3:35And you were like, fuck.
- 3:37So basically what happened was we got there.
- 3:40So exciting.
- 3:40How great.
- 3:41But then we were stuck in the marina.
- 3:42Yeah.
- 3:43And we couldn't.
- 3:44So you're in almost like the port where people get off the ferry.
- 3:47It's almost like by the public toilets.
- 3:49Yeah.
- 3:49Yeah.
- 3:49Yeah.
- 3:50And you don't get to see anything cool.
- 3:51It's like, yeah.
- 3:52But it's, it's very like, yeah, no, I, it was beautiful.
- 3:56It was a beautiful holiday and I'm very, very lucky.
- 3:58I'm very thankful.
- 3:59Yeah.
- 3:59We realise that it's like very, very lucky and privileged to be.
- 4:03Oh, totally.
- 4:04To have family members and have boats and friends.
- 4:05Oh my God.
- 4:06Yeah, it is.
- 4:07100%.
- 4:08It would be a life goal of mine to be able to one day, even if it was just for a month, rent a boat and just have nothing to do but sail around.
- 4:16I think that's the way to go, like renting it.
- 4:18Renting one is so much better than owning.
- 4:20Although it is so expensive.
- 4:22I think I prefer to have a really incredible beach house that create memories with family and kids.
- 4:28And, you know, like if I think of my childhood, it was like we went to my grandma's in Fitianga and we in the Coromandel of New Zealand.
- 4:35And the memories that we have there, because you go there every summer, you know, and it's like quite beautiful.
- 4:40If we had kids and you were like, you know, thinking about family holidays or summer holidays with kids.
- 4:45Yeah.
- 4:46There's something so special about going back to the same place and having it be your family place where you all think, you know, the memories that you think about with that place are, like, quite beautiful.
- 5:00But then at the same time, firstly, I don't know if I'll ever be able to afford a PGRs.
- 5:04And secondly, I kind of love the idea of being able to mix it up.
- 5:07Yeah, yeah.
- 5:08Anyway, we have the first Curve Fund update.
- 5:12Woo!
- 5:13Oh my God, this is really exciting.
- 5:15So this is to the end of August and really, really excited.
- 5:19We've had a few good months with the fund.
- 5:21Okay, let's pause for one moment.
- 5:23For anyone that's like, what's the fund?
- 5:25What's going on?
- 5:26So we have launched the Curve Fund.
- 5:28Yes.
- 5:29Which is like pipe dream.
- 5:31And Vic is managing the money.
- 5:33So what we're going to go through today is what are some of the investments that have been made?
- 5:37How is it going?
- 5:38What are the returns looking like?
- 5:41And yeah, for anyone that's interested in finding out more about the curve investments and yeah, basically what we invest in, we'll put the link in the podcast show notes for you to have a little look.
- 5:51So from when we launched on the 1st of August, it's up 2% this month.
- 5:55Okay.
- 5:56So what does that mean comparatively to what's happening in the rest of the market?
- 6:00So it is ahead of the S&P 500.
- 6:03which is great.
- 6:04Stunning work.
- 6:05And we had some really big movers this month.
- 6:09So fun.
- 6:09This is so fun.
- 6:12The first one being Estee Lauder.
- 6:14Okay.
- 6:14Yeah.
- 6:15So we have kind of three buckets of the fund.
- 6:17And the first one's being like female-led or a company that targets female customers that is like female-originated, you know, some kind of female angle.
- 6:27Then we've got founder-led, which is, you know, any company that has been
- 6:32created by a founder or has a CEO in there that's got really significant skin in the game, for example.
- 6:39So this would be having quite a decent shareholding.
- 6:42I guess the whole reason, and we've spoken about this for years and years and years, the whole reason that you want to invest ideally in companies that have founders, like the
- 6:54So much of their wealth is tied up.
- 6:55So it's in their best interest to make decisions for the long-term success of a business.
- 7:00In the same way, though, you can actually incentivize CEOs that have a huge amount of equity because then they've personally also got a lot of stake.
- 7:10Which we're going to get into in a bit with Apple.
- 7:12And then the other bucket is future focus.
- 7:14So we've been listening to our community for many, many years.
- 7:17And you want to invest in the future you want to see.
- 7:20You want to support companies.
- 7:21When you invest in them, you are buying a share of that business.
- 7:25You are giving it a tick of approval to say, look, take my money.
- 7:28I want you to be bigger and better in the future.
- 7:29So that's kind of that bucket.
- 7:31So SA Lauder comes into the female bucket.
- 7:33It was up 20% this month.
- 7:35and it was one of our largest positions, which was awesome.
- 7:38And so just explaining largest position.
- 7:40So inside the fund, we have lots of different investments.
- 7:43Yeah, there's about 30 different investments.
- 7:45Is Estee Lauder one of the largest of all?
- 7:50Yes.
- 7:50So because the share price is up 20% and we have –
- 7:55quite a decent amount of the fund is invested in it.
- 7:58That's why we saw...
- 7:59Such a good month.
- 8:00Yeah.
- 8:00If you had all the positions up 20%, it would be fantastic.
- 8:05But that's why you hold so many positions because some will have really great months, some will have really great years, some won't have great months.
- 8:12And so that's why you want to hold a diversified number of companies across different industries, different countries, different sizes, all of that.
- 8:24And this was the best month this company has had in 25 years.
- 8:28which is all to do with this kind of turnaround strategy that they've been implementing.
- 8:33So they have had years and years of declining sales, and the share price has gone down, down, down, down, down.
- 8:42If you zoom out and look at what we've spoken about a lot on this podcast, which is all of the different influencer skincare brands that have come out.
- 8:49Back in the day, Estee Lauder was the, or one of, the go-to beauty brands, and there's so many competitors now.
- 8:55Yeah.
- 8:56Totally.
- 8:56And look, we also talk about health and wellness being like such a big category.
- 9:01People wanting to extend their lives in that kind of 20 to 40 year old age bracket, you know, staying youthful, all of that.
- 9:08And that plays right into the hands of the skincare industry, the beauty industry and Estee Lauder being one of the biggest in the industry.
- 9:17It naturally lends itself to this company doing well.
- 9:20But you have to have the right brains.
- 9:21You have to have the right skills.
- 9:22cost-based, you have to have the right structure.
- 9:24And this company, Estee Lauder, owns over 20 brands.
- 9:29Would you say this is a beauty version of Louis Vuitton, Moet Hennessy, in the sense that they've diversified with lots of different brands?
- 9:36Yeah.
- 9:36Well, just like we were saying, you want a diversified portfolio of investments.
- 9:40It's like this company has a diversified portfolio of brands that target different ages, different price points, different products in terms of perfume and beauty.
- 9:50There's so many...
- 9:52yeah, different groups that they can target, which helps them do well.
- 9:57And yeah, they own La Mer, Clinique, Joe Malone, Tom Ford, Labo, Mac, Bobby Brown, like so many different brands.
- 10:06And they've had this big restructure going on, which has, you know, cut costs.
- 10:11They've cut staff and it's really driven their margin, which is when your profit grows faster than your revenue.
- 10:19Also, China has been a big kind of,
- 10:22tough spot for the business.
- 10:24And why is that?
- 10:26Post-COVID, Chinese not spending on luxury brands.
- 10:30They've kind of been caught up in that space, which has hit all the luxury space.
- 10:33And then that's now started to improve.
- 10:35So...
- 10:37Yeah, the stock's fallen about 70% over the last five years.
- 10:41So we've got to put it in context.
- 10:43This is like a rebound, but off like a very low kind of base.
- 10:47But this is why we bought the stock.
- 10:51This is why we own it.
- 10:51It's for this turnaround strategy.
- 10:53And it's in that kind of health and wellness space, which we really like.
- 10:56So...
- 10:57Yeah.
- 10:57It's so fun.
- 10:58Yeah.
- 10:58I also think when you just see Estee Lauder, it does.
- 11:01All you think of is Estee Lauder, right?
- 11:02Yeah.
- 11:03But I love Le Labo.
- 11:05Yeah.
- 11:05I love Bobbi Brown.
- 11:06I love Jo Malone.
- 11:07There's so many brands in there.
- 11:09Yeah.
- 11:09Like, what amazing skincare.
- 11:11Totally.
- 11:12Yeah.
- 11:12I feel like this would be the most iconic brand to be bought out by if you were building a skincare brand.
- 11:18Yes.
- 11:18Yeah.
- 11:19We're going to talk more about the skincare space because it is booming.
- 11:23It is.
- 11:24booming we also had Spotify in there which did really really well this is a founder-led business in the founder kind of category they came out with a really good result during August and they had had some incredible subscriber growth up 12% so they've now got nearly nearly 800 million users
- 11:41Like, I just, wow, that is insane.
- 11:43800 million and premium.
- 11:46So that's the paying subscribers.
- 11:48It's 300 million people.
- 11:50The users in general being up 12%.
- 11:52That's just for the quarter though, isn't it?
- 11:54Yes, yeah.
- 11:55So...
- 11:56When a company gives its results, it's for that quarter.
- 11:58So to have gone up 12% on an already enormous base is crazy.
- 12:03Yeah, yeah, yeah.
- 12:03Also, we've spoken about this before, but all around how they're tagging AI content now, etc.
- 12:09In August, there was a lot of tech companies that actually didn't do well.
- 12:13Google was one of them, and unfortunately, that was one of our large positions as well.
- 12:17It is only a month, so I still think Google is incredible and will be a core holding for a long time.
- 12:25But Spotify kind of got a bit caught up in that.
- 12:27And for the last few months, not in August, but like, you know, it's kind of hasn't done well for the last wee while.
- 12:33And so now this like optimism in August around the AI tagging of the content and they've signed a few new licensing deals.
- 12:44So there is some, I guess, more positive news as like the news.
- 12:50As like a lot of the tech companies weren't doing well, Spotify had this positive news which helped it kind of separate from the pack, I guess, a bit.
- 12:57Yeah.
- 12:58What has the stock done in… In August?
- 13:02Yeah.
- 13:03I remember Spotify, we were talking about it all the time for ages.
- 13:07Yeah.
- 13:07And it's gone kind of quiet.
- 13:09So it's…
- 13:11down 20% in the last 12 months.
- 13:14So it fell, you know, if we're going back from like this time last year, it fell all the way to like May, June, and then kind of started, it just started taking off and kind of recovering in August.
- 13:26Great time to invest.
- 13:27Yeah.
- 13:27Well, this is the kind of, this is the thing with this company and like Netflix and like, they're the ones that when they get sold off or when they, you know, their returns aren't great for a certain period,
- 13:39They're the ones that excite me to look at because I'm like, A, what am I missing that everyone else is, you know, the reason that it's falling?
- 13:46What am I missing?
- 13:47But also, if nothing's changed and this is just a short-term correction or a short-term issue, then like, cool, let's buy some more.
- 13:54Because this fund is a minimum five years investment timeframe, right?
- 13:58Yes, we're talking about a month performance.
- 13:59Yeah.
- 14:00We're looking at the long term.
- 14:02And so if you can add to your positions or buy new stocks at lower prices, that's great.
- 14:09Let's do it.
- 14:10If the business isn't broken, let's add to the position.
- 14:12Because then when it does recover, then we get that double whammy essentially.
- 14:18And it's kind of like when we say, just keep dollar cost averaging.
- 14:21Just keep investing, keep investing so that you get...
- 14:25If you're investing in the stock market in general, in the S&P 500, or if you're investing in a certain stock, you get to purchase that company at those lower prices.
- 14:34So therefore, when it does recover, you've bought more at those lower prices because your dollar goes further, if that makes sense.
- 14:40Yeah, I mean, it's the psychology of…
- 14:42how we all do the total opposite of that.
- 14:45And if you can just almost have some kind of mantra that is the opposite, we've got to follow Warren Buffett.
- 14:51You don't want to be buying when everyone else is buying.
- 14:53It's just not the way to do it.
- 14:55But at the same time, that's also why if you feel as though your emotional reaction to what's happening with a stock or with performance, try and tap out.
- 15:07Because if you're investing for a long period of time, you don't need to be, let me do it for you.
- 15:11Try to not...
- 15:12Because otherwise you're just not going to invest.
- 15:15And I don't know.
- 15:16I feel like when all of the stocks went down and we had that massive dip around COVID, I wish I knew more about investing at that time because I would have been a greedy little.
- 15:26The last thing you should be doing is pulling the money out when it's sink.
- 15:29And the thing that I love about the Curve Fund and I love to see is that people have been listening to us.
- 15:36We have 70% of the investors in the fund with recurring investments.
- 15:41Oh, yeah.
- 15:41Which I am just like, hallelujah.
- 15:43Like that is exactly what we're talking about right now is if you can just invest consistently and regularly.
- 15:49Let me do like getting the best return for you.
- 15:51Like that's what my job is.
- 15:53Your job is to just keep investing consistently and regularly.
- 15:56You actually don't have – you have to make one decision.
- 15:58Yeah.
- 15:59And it is okay.
- 16:00Okay.
- 16:01I'm going to trust Vic to do the investments, and then I set up my auto payment, and that's literally it.
- 16:05Sit back, put your feet up, go do something better with your time.
- 16:08Yes, but honestly, when I saw that 70% had invested with regular investments attached, so that's like monthly auto payments.
- 16:17Paying for rent, but paying for your investments.
- 16:19I was like…
- 16:21They've listened.
- 16:22It's also like, you know, obviously this is a good month and it's up 2%, but I don't think anyone, particularly that 70%, who obviously listen to the podcast and really understand the concept of things go up and down.
- 16:37If we had a month where it was down 15%, I would say majority of curve investors would be like, oh, a bad month.
- 16:45They're not going to be panicking because they know that this happens.
- 16:48Well, that's the big caveat as well.
- 16:49We are talking about one-month performance here, and there will be times we'll update you where it hasn't done well.
- 16:55I'm not going to gloss over that.
- 16:57It's a long-term game here.
- 16:58But that's just investing.
- 17:00Totally.
- 17:00And honestly, if the fund was down 15% in a month, which –
- 17:05Jesus, I probably have a heart attack.
- 17:07Don't say that because that's the thing, right?
- 17:10It's like it could happen and that's actually not the end of the world.
- 17:13No.
- 17:13I mean, you've had your personal investments down way more than that before.
- 17:17Yes.
- 17:17And you know that that's just true.
- 17:18But what I'm saying is I would be investing so much more.
- 17:21I mean, I don't really have much.
- 17:21All my money's in this fund.
- 17:23But, you know, like if I saw – it's changing your psychology of like –
- 17:27When you see a stock down or when you see something that the market's sold off or the fund is down, you should be doing the opposite of what you think you should be doing.
- 17:37Do you know what I mean?
- 17:37And it's really hard psychologically, and I've had to train myself over the years.
- 17:41We have an exciting new investment in the fund.
- 17:44Yes, yep.
- 17:45We had an investment called AMD, which is the number two player behind NVIDIA.
- 17:52I always say it wrong.
- 17:53Gosh, send me the link of that.
- 17:55Eloquency, what is it?
- 17:56Eloquency.
- 17:58I think it's, what is the word I'm looking for?
- 18:01No, no, it's NVIDIA, yes.
- 18:02NVIDIA, yes.
- 18:04And this comes into the female bucket.
- 18:06So this is run, this company has a female CEO.
- 18:10Her name is Lisa Suh.
- 18:12And she is Jensen Huang's cousin, actually, who is the CEO and founder of NVIDIA.
- 18:20So they're... NVIDIA.
- 18:21NVIDIA.
- 18:22Oh, my God.
- 18:23NVIDIA.
- 18:24So they are related, which is...
- 18:27So cool.
- 18:28Imagine.
- 18:29Imagine their Christmas, you know, their Christmases.
- 18:31You'd be like, oh, we've got a very, very, very successful child, another very successful child, and then another cousin that's up to shit all.
- 18:39You'd be like, oh...
- 18:40I mean, it would be very cool if it was brother and sister.
- 18:43I know.
- 18:44You know, there's something about... Also, imagine the rivalry.
- 18:46I'd be like, got to get to number one, got to get to number one.
- 18:50Oh, yes.
- 18:50Yes.
- 18:51But anyway, she has been in that role as CEO for over a decade.
- 18:55She's got meaningful equity tied up in the business.
- 18:57Both OpenAI and Anthropic have actually invested in AMD.
- 19:01And...
- 19:01It's so weird how...
- 19:03many businesses are investing in other businesses that are listed.
- 19:07This is so new.
- 19:08I think, and I genuinely think that's,
- 19:12probably what will be the downfall of the market at some point.
- 19:15One of them's going to screw up or sneeze.
- 19:17Some of them has found out they have chlamydia and everyone's got chlamydia.
- 19:20And everyone's going to get it, yeah.
- 19:22I don't know how, I don't know when.
- 19:24We're just navigating the information that we have at hand and all of that.
- 19:27But I just think we've never, ever seen companies with this much wealth and value and of this size all embedded with one another.
- 19:38And so...
- 19:39It's kind of fun.
- 19:41I know I shouldn't be excited by this, but the drama, if that happens, will be hilarious to watch.
- 19:46Yeah.
- 19:46So NVIDIA is 11 times larger in terms of market share than AMD.
- 19:53But my thinking with AMD is you've got a massive, massive company in NVIDIA that...
- 20:00There is more opportunity and probability of the number two taking share from the number one than the number one continuing to take market share from an already outsized position of market share that it has.
- 20:13Does that make sense?
- 20:16It's backing the underdog.
- 20:17Yeah, it's much easier to double off smaller numbers than it is doubling off bigger numbers, all of that.
- 20:21They're both great businesses.
- 20:23Can we just explain what AMD actually does?
- 20:25Sorry, yes.
- 20:25So it is a semiconductor company.
- 20:27So exactly the same as NVIDIA in that it provides the semiconductor chips, which power the entire kind of AI industry.
- 20:35Yeah, it's basically the infrastructure that AI needs to even function.
- 20:39Yeah.
- 20:40And is there anything else about this business?
- 20:42I mean, it's amazing that it's...
- 20:44It's got over $10 billion in cash as well, which I really like.
- 20:48Yeah.
- 20:49Yeah.
- 20:51If anything falls, I don't know, something scary happens, they've got a serious emergency fund.
- 20:55A hundred percent, yeah.
- 20:56Which also means they can invest in new and exciting products.
- 21:00And yeah.
- 21:01The more that I think about this emergency fund concept...
- 21:05And just generally, our own personal finances compared to businesses, it's quite similar, really.
- 21:10If you think about what you need to be able to survive for three or six months, if you lost your job, if you had to pay for all your things –
- 21:20To a point, I think.
- 21:21I think this is actually a really good point because I think, yes, having enough in your emergency fund, you don't want all your life savings in an emergency fund, though, because of the return that you get.
- 21:32And it's the same with businesses, right?
- 21:33You don't want a company to be sitting on loads and loads and loads of cash.
- 21:37You want it to be using it to grow.
- 21:38But you're right.
- 21:39Just like in our own personal situation, you want to have a little buffer for a rainy day, but not too much that much.
- 21:45it's actually impacting growth, whether it's you individually in your own investments or business.
- 21:50So it's finding that right balance.
- 21:52So your point is you always have to look at what is the money they have in cash in comparison to how they run the business, how much money they need to survive if something went wrong, et cetera.
- 22:02Yeah.
- 22:02Also, again, that's a really good example of you don't need, unless you're really deep in the numbers and really looking at the research within a company, you're not going to be
- 22:11like how many people are really going to want to spend time looking at the amount of money a business has in cash and then compare it to all of their spendings and everything else.
- 22:19You know, that's a fixed job.
- 22:21So the fact that you feel comfortable with the amount of money that is in cash for them, for you, you're like, that's a positive.
- 22:27It's not an alarming amount of money.
- 22:30I'm really excited to talk about Apple.
- 22:31Apple.
- 22:32Because I have seen the flip phone everywhere.
- 22:37I think that's a have.
- 22:38I know it's a fake flip phone.
- 22:41Yeah.
- 22:41But I had this moment where I thought that would be genius to bring back a flipped.
- 22:46Don't you think?
- 22:46There's this really genius content creator that I follow, and she's an OnlyFans creator.
- 22:51And she just does such clever stuff.
- 22:54All the time I watch her videos on Instagram, not on OnlyFans, and I think you're genius at marketing.
- 23:00But one of the things she did was the iPhone 8, and she was opening like a flip phone, basically, because Samsung are doing the same thing.
- 23:08They've got flip phones back now where you can't see the crease in the middle.
- 23:11I just wonder if they can.
- 23:13Samsung's had them for a while, I think, and it's like I do –
- 23:16I don't know.
- 23:17I do feel like whenever a new iPhone comes out from Apple, everyone's like, oh, my God, the camera's small.
- 23:23Oh, it's too big.
- 23:25But then 99% of the world has one.
- 23:27You know, like it's kind of.
- 23:29Trying to not be a sheet.
- 23:30You're going to be a sheet.
- 23:31They could come out with a round phone and people would be like, oh, my God.
- 23:34my god amazing you know but i think that's why this is a really interesting update and what's going on at apple because when you have ceos that have delivered amazing products that people do jump on even if initially they're a bit icked out by it's a really good well i guess it's a risk every time you bring someone new in to lead a company because yes that has been how we've all responded to new iphones up until now but yeah it doesn't mean it's going to continue forever yeah
- 23:58majority of new CEOs that come in, there is usually a restructure or a period of performance where they kind of rebase expectations.
- 24:09They're like, right, this is what my restructuring plan is, or this is what my growth plan is.
- 24:14And there's a period afterwards where it's like, the stock doesn't really do very well.
- 24:20investors are a bit nervous they're like are you going to strip out heaps of costs or chains you know like it's the new person to the party that you haven't met before yeah you're just sussing them in the corner for a minute and it's just we're actually hopefully being polite and saying hi and giving them a hug but you know but like it's like it's like the new popular girl she's gonna fuck off a few people but in the end she's gonna be the most popular what is the girl in mean girls that lindsey lohan plays oh yeah
- 24:43What's her name in the show?
- 24:44Katie.
- 24:45Katie Herring.
- 24:46Katie Herring.
- 24:47It's like the new CEO is like Katie Herring.
- 24:49Yeah.
- 24:50Where you're a bit like, and you know, she's from Africa.
- 24:53I heard that she blah, blah, blah.
- 24:55Oh my God, I love your skirt.
- 24:56I love your bracelet.
- 24:57She's like...
- 24:59So many.
- 25:00What an iconic film.
- 25:01I know.
- 25:02So there's a new CEO is why we're talking about this.
- 25:04Yes.
- 25:05Apple last week got a new CEO.
- 25:08This is the seventh CEO Apple has had in 50 years.
- 25:14It's not a lot.
- 25:16If you think about the prime ministers we've had here in the freaking UK.
- 25:19It's like how many prime ministers we've had in the last month.
- 25:21I know.
- 25:22Yeah, exactly.
- 25:2350 years.
- 25:24That is incredible.
- 25:25What an absolute honor.
- 25:26I feel like that is the kind of business I want to invest in.
- 25:30A business that gets...
- 25:33really great talent that stays there for a long time, does incredibly well.
- 25:38And there isn't this constant turnover of like, right, I'm in here for a couple of years.
- 25:43I want to, you know, they're, they're long-term thinkers.
- 25:45If you've got had seven CEOs in 50 years, you're,
- 25:49Every one of those CEOs, I mean, some of them have been quite short, but you've had Steve Jobs, which was there for 14 years.
- 25:55The last CEO, Tim Cook, who's just left, 15 years.
- 25:58Like, wild.
- 26:00Anyway, this new CEO, John Ternus, been announced that he has received a pay package of nearly $60 million.
- 26:09For this first year of his tenure as CEO.
- 26:13I'm just trying to think what he would be spending that on.
- 26:16I'm just thinking of the negotiation.
- 26:18Do you go in going, I want 65?
- 26:21And they're like, no, no, we'll give you 60.
- 26:22You know, like, how do you...
- 26:24Wait, how does 3 million make a difference?
- 26:26But yes, Tim Cook, the outgoing CEO.
- 26:28So he's going to be executive chairman, which means that he is the chairman of the board.
- 26:33And he is going to get nearly $50 million for being in that role.
- 26:37Dream.
- 26:37I'd be wanting to do what he's doing.
- 26:39And also, like, when you're on a board, you have a few meetings a year.
- 26:41You know, like, there's – you're not in there all day, every day.
- 26:45Dial me in from the Greek islands.
- 26:47I know.
- 26:48That's the dream.
- 26:49So that's $100 million a year just on those two people that Apple is spending, which is crazy.
- 26:54But if we looked at John Ternus' salary.
- 26:57Why are we struggling so much at this point?
- 26:59I know.
- 27:00John Ternus.
- 27:00John Ternus.
- 27:01John.
- 27:01John, John, John.
- 27:02JT.
- 27:03Oh, I love it.
- 27:03Yeah.
- 27:04About 95% of that is stock.
- 27:07compensation.
- 27:08So he's only getting a $3 million salary and the rest is all stock-based.
- 27:13So he's not spending $60 million a year.
- 27:15Me being like, what's he going to budget?
- 27:17What's he spent?
- 27:18So he only has his, no, he has $3 million a year.
- 27:21Yeah.
- 27:22And then the rest is a combination of short-term stock incentives, long-term stock incentives.
- 27:27But if we looked at the last CEO, Tim Cook, he took Apple from a market cap of $350
- 27:37in that 15 years.
- 27:39So he added nearly $4 trillion, which is more than any CEO in history.
- 27:46So if you had stock-based compensation, which he did,
- 27:50The payout would be insane because the share price has gone up so much.
- 27:55And that's what you get paid out on.
- 27:56I mean, that is just like the best example of having skin in the game and why someone is so incentivized.
- 28:02Oh, my goodness.
- 28:03Gosh, yes.
- 28:04Also, holy shit.
- 28:06How long was Tim Cook in for?
- 28:0815 years.
- 28:09So only in 15 years he had that much value.
- 28:11Talk about the insane shoes you have to fill.
- 28:13I would not be wanting to be JT.
- 28:16Even Steve Jobs, SJ.
- 28:19I love it.
- 28:20I will say, JT, fine.
- 28:22And then when I went to Tim Cook, I was like, TC, JT, it's getting a bit good.
- 28:25Yeah, yeah.
- 28:26But SJ is quite good.
- 28:27SJ.
- 28:28Someone tried to call me SJ at school.
- 28:30They tried to make that happen.
- 28:31Because you're Jane.
- 28:32Sophie Jane.
- 28:32Yeah.
- 28:33I was not up to it.
- 28:33I like Corridor Left.
- 28:34That's a favourite.
- 28:38It's like the most dad joke ever.
- 28:42Who said it?
- 28:42Someone said it.
- 28:43I think it was your boyfriend.
- 28:45Someone, that's right.
- 28:46Oh, my God.
- 28:46And I didn't get it for ages.
- 28:47The whole right corridor left.
- 28:49Actually, it was my ex-boyfriend.
- 28:51That's right.
- 28:52Who came up with it.
- 28:52I thought he was the funniest guy in the world.
- 28:54I didn't get it for ages.
- 28:55And then I was like, oh, and then I absolutely lost it.
- 28:57So outrageous.
- 28:59But even SJ took Apple from two to three billion dollars.
- 29:04It then went, it was like nearly insolvent at that point.
- 29:08And he took that from about $3 billion to $350 billion.
- 29:13And that was all driven by the iPod, the iPhone, the iPad.
- 29:17Just a couple of casual products he brought out.
- 29:18The biggest and most famous corporate turnaround in history.
- 29:22Like taking Apple, which was nearly bankrupt.
- 29:23And that's why he kind of got brought back in as CEO because he got ousted.
- 29:27I hate to.
- 29:27totally forget that they nearly went bankrupt.
- 29:30He's done unbelievable things with Apple.
- 29:33Yeah, totally.
- 29:35I feel like Steve Jobs did the hard work in getting it off the ground and bringing it back from bankruptcy and stuff.
- 29:40And Tim Cook, he had the products.
- 29:43He had the product base that Steve Jobs built, and then he took it to the next level with the services part of Apple.
- 29:50So if you'd invested under Steve Jobs –
- 29:53If you'd invested $1,000, that would have turned into $90,000.
- 29:58Or $10,000 would have been nearly a million.
- 30:00Like, it's insane, the Apple story.
- 30:03But...
- 30:06we just said it was nearly on the brink of bankruptcy.
- 30:08Like it is so hard to hold your investments in these companies through thick and thin when the majority of the wealth created is kind of in the later years of its life.
- 30:18You know, like it's so hard to carry through.
- 30:19But also it's an interesting investment because in general it's almost the opposite of AMD.
- 30:25You know, it's not exactly the bottom of the pack or second behind anyone.
- 30:31So what were the reasons or feelings around actually choosing this as an investment that you still think has a lot of growth?
- 30:40I think the consistent delivery of performance that Apple has had, the strong brand.
- 30:47I would put it close to Microsoft for me.
- 30:50Oh.
- 30:51Yeah.
- 30:52Guys, it's huge.
- 30:54It's just stood the test of time.
- 30:56Warren Buffett invests in it.
- 30:57So you think Apple is more of a consistent deliverer at this point?
- 31:01It's just got so much track record that you just would back whatever it would do, basically.
- 31:06And look, there is nervousness around a new CEO, but I just think it's such an incredible...
- 31:12brand that I think will be around for many minutes.
- 31:15It's pivoted.
- 31:15It has had so many different versions of its life, and it's still stood the test of time.
- 31:19I would love iCloud to be free.
- 31:22I am spending a fortune on storage right now.
- 31:25Well, that's why the share price has gone up 2,200% under Tim Cook's
- 31:32Leadership.
- 31:33Guys, that's why you invest in what you use.
- 31:35And also, after moving from Apple to Microsoft.
- 31:40Oh, true.
- 31:41I have a new love for Apple.
- 31:43I'm like, everything just talks to each other and it is.
- 31:47You don't understand.
- 31:49I do because you have to pay me so much money to use that stupid thing.
- 31:53But when something doesn't work, how frustrating it is.
- 31:56Apple just works.
- 31:57Being able to copy on your phone and paste on your laptop.
- 32:00Yeah.
- 32:00Oh, my goodness.
- 32:01Little things like that light up my life and I can't do that anymore.
- 32:04I'm so sorry.
- 32:05If JT could just sit down with Satya from Microsoft, the CEO, and just help each other out.
- 32:12Yeah.
- 32:13Maybe just buy each other, merge, so that VIX life could be easier.
- 32:17Yeah, yeah, it's a good idea.
- 32:19And there'd be no competition issues at all, I'm sure, that would get past any government, any country.
- 32:25No conglomerate issues with having too much market share.
- 32:29Yeah, no, no worries.
- 32:31Oh my God, listen to me making proper stock market jokes.
- 32:35Yeah.
- 32:36Coming up after the break, we are going to dive into the cost of natural disasters.
- 32:43I know we've spoken about this, but this is super relevant and...
- 32:47we speak about how, you know, what you see on the TV screen on the news is actually impacting you in your pocket.
- 32:53In your pocket, your investments, and all of the above.
- 32:55But first, we've got a quick word from today's sponsor.
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- 33:40I can't believe we're about to have another conversation about the weather.
- 33:44And just before anyone turns out, we're not talking about the weather weather.
- 33:49I think this is going to become one of the things that we have to bring up a lot in the next couple of years.
- 33:56And it makes me really worried.
- 33:57I agree.
- 33:58And I think –
- 34:00Yes, we talk about it a lot, but we only talk about stuff that is happening in the world that is relevant, that needs to be talked about.
- 34:07And I remember last week and I was looking on TikTok and I saw this image of this flood in Tibet and Nepal.
- 34:15And I honestly thought it was AI.
- 34:17Like the fact that this wall of water had like decimated this entire village and it was so, so catastrophic that I genuinely thought it was AI.
- 34:27And I hate that that was my first thought.
- 34:29It is confusing though.
- 34:30There's a lot of content now that's AI.
- 34:32Totally.
- 34:33I find myself thinking the same thing.
- 34:34My first response is, is this baby singing real or not?
- 34:39Well, you want, you also, when you see such a disaster like that, you want it to be almost, you know, you don't want it to be real.
- 34:44But, and then, sorry, these headlines that have come out saying, it's like we've had the hottest summer ever on record in the UK.
- 34:59And, like, all this impact of climate change, I'm just like, this has to be impacting us financially.
- 35:08And it is actually costing the world $450 billion.
- 35:16because of natural catastrophes.
- 35:18And that is a cost that if we just managed to cool the world a little bit faster, we wouldn't be spending.
- 35:27And that dollar value, where do you think that comes from?
- 35:32Because only 38% of that is covered by insurance.
- 35:36So there's nearly $300 billion of that that's not.
- 35:40And where do you think that comes from?
- 35:42Who pays for that?
- 35:42Taxes.
- 35:43Yeah, which is us.
- 35:44I'm quite alarmed and scared that insurance is increasingly not going to exist because I don't know how – if that number continues to grow, there's going to be so many –
- 35:57people, houses, entire areas that are just not going to be insurable because they won't be able to pay out if the inevitable happens.
- 36:06Yeah.
- 36:07And that's in a typical year, let alone like, you know, an extra hot year or a extra cold year.
- 36:13And like, and also the deaths that are related to, you know, England recorded twice as many heat related deaths in May and June than it did last year.
- 36:21So it's like there is loss of life as well as, you know,
- 36:25increased costs to service the impacts that we're seeing of climate change.
- 36:31And yes, you're right.
- 36:32Insurance can go up and up and up and up and up.
- 36:34But if you're looking at purchasing a house, let's say you're looking at purchasing a half a million dollar house, yet it's going to cost $100,000, $200,000 to insure that,
- 36:46Your decision-making around purchasing that house, considering where it is or what street or is it by flood zone, all of that, you're going to seriously walk away and be like, actually, it's not worth it.
- 36:57What are some other everyday financial decisions outside of buying a house that are going to potentially price people out?
- 37:06Because of this, because that's such a good example.
- 37:09And, you know, until I bought my first house, I didn't even think about insurance as being a huge part of what I needed to factor into my budget.
- 37:18I guess in my head, I almost thought maybe the insurance companies wouldn't be able to exist or like be there anymore.
- 37:22But actually what's going to happen is the price to insure is just going to go up to cover that, which means so many people are going to be, yeah, the ones that actually –
- 37:33genuinely terrifyingly affected by these things because they just can't afford insurance.
- 37:37But also you can't buy a house with insurance, so I guess... Well, yeah, you can't get a mortgage without having insurance, which is fair enough.
- 37:43They're lending against this property that if it's not insured, they're not going to get their money back.
- 37:47But there's this protection gap where it's like, okay, insurance companies will insure for X percent or it's a combination of the premiums will go up or...
- 37:59or what they will ensure will go down.
- 38:01They might just be like, actually, not this street or not this region, no coastal properties.
- 38:07They might be like, absolutely, we're not going to do that.
- 38:10Or we're going to charge like three times the price or whatever.
- 38:12But there is a gap of what they will ensure and what the government has to fit the bill off.
- 38:18Because when we see all these natural disasters –
- 38:21someone has to pay for the rebuild.
- 38:23And if it's not the insurers, it's going to be the government.
- 38:27And you're right, the government then, where do they get their money from?
- 38:30It's from increased taxes.
- 38:31So at the end of the day... Oh my God, shit, this is not good.
- 38:35We either pay higher premiums
- 38:37Or if stuff's not insurable, we pay higher taxes because the government has to fork out the rebuild.
- 38:42So it's like either way, we end up paying for the cost of climate change.
- 38:48It's so scary.
- 38:50The most concerning thing is that when money is tight, insurance is the easiest thing to cancel.
- 38:56And it is one of the worst things to be without.
- 38:59If you are feeling the pinch and you're like, oh, God, there's like a couple of thousand, a quarter a year going out for my house insurance.
- 39:07insurance, I'm just going to cancel that or go to a lower level of protection so that I can afford, then it's like, that's when...
- 39:16disaster happens.
- 39:17And that's exactly what happened with all the Malibu fires in the US.
- 39:22There was a lot of them were uninsurable before the fires because they were on coastal because there were so many reasons.
- 39:29And then the fires came through, whipped through that.
- 39:30And it was like, gosh, now these people have absolutely nothing.
- 39:33I hear what you're saying about people looking at their cost base and thinking insurance just has to go because we can't afford it.
- 39:39When people are so
- 39:41so incredibly stretched and obviously things like food and shelter and the basic human needs need to come first but I do think that we need to think about insurance as an essential totally like in 2025 there's a hundred billion in losses from people needing to be paid out by insurance yeah you might think 200 300 a month on insurance is is not manageable and
- 40:07Can you imagine being part of that statistic and having to pay for it?
- 40:11Like, I think it has to be a mindset shift.
- 40:14How can I afford insurance?
- 40:16And if you aren't sure where to start, we have some amazing insurance advisors, which we can link in the podcast show notes.
- 40:23Go to them.
- 40:24Speak to them.
- 40:25There's no fee to talk to them.
- 40:26Figure out how to prioritize what you should have insured.
- 40:30And, you know, if you can only do three of those, it's better than doing none.
- 40:34100%.
- 40:34And they'll talk you through the different levels of coverage and everything.
- 40:38They're totally impartial as well.
- 40:39It's not a business.
- 40:40It's R&P insurance and they're friends of ours.
- 40:42They're amazing.
- 40:42They've worked with so many people in the Curve community.
- 40:44So if you want to have a chat with them, you know, you don't have to pay to speak to them.
- 40:48And it might just give you the peace of mind to know that you're insured in the right places.
- 40:51Yeah, definitely.
- 40:52And it's also for those that do have insurance, like make sure you check your insurance policy because sometimes there's exclusions.
- 40:59Like it might be like we actually don't cover for floods or we actually don't cover for landslides or something and you think you are covered.
- 41:07So chuck it in Claude and be like, if this happened, would I be covered and for what amount?
- 41:11And also like the cost of rebuilding your house.
- 41:14goes up massively year on year on year, particularly in New Zealand.
- 41:18So it's really important to make sure that your coverage is aligned with that so that if you did need to rebuild, it's not on like prices from five years ago and therefore you can only rebuild one room instead of four.
- 41:31I cannot stress enough how important it is to have insurance.
- 41:35Like take my learning.
- 41:36I was like, I'm not going to get pet insurance.
- 41:39I'm just going to build up my own pool of money and then if I don't have to spend it,
- 41:43on my dog I've got that money on the side and I was about one month into contributing to it and Mesa had a full-blown vet hospitalization it was I had about 100 pounds in there and it cost me about 3,000 pounds so I cannot stress enough get insurance
- 42:08Okay, we have a community question.
- 42:10Woohoo!
- 42:11Yeah, we love these.
- 42:12She says, hey team, I'm fairly new to listening to the pod and absolutely loving it.
- 42:16Thanks.
- 42:16Welcome.
- 42:17Great to have you here.
- 42:19I'm not sure if you've covered this or not, but how do you invest when you're in the UK or when you're in New Zealand?
- 42:24I used to use Tiger Brokers to invest when I was in New Zealand.
- 42:28Now that I've relocated to the UK, it's a bit tricky investing through a platform as I need to use my New Zealand bank.
- 42:34Are you guys investing using multiple platforms or sending money back to New Zealand banks and then using the likes of Sharesies or investing in the curve fund?
- 42:42We'd love to hear how you guys are investing logistically, if that's something that you can share on the pod.
- 42:47I have an account with Trading212 over here, which I do a small amount of UK investments, but that's only because platforms like Sharesies, you can't invest in UK stocks.
- 42:56And I wanted to, but the bulk of my money was still in New Zealand.
- 42:59And in New Zealand dollars and sharesies and funds in New Zealand.
- 43:04And now all my New Zealand money is in the curve fund.
- 43:07Did you consider, though, what that meant from an exchange rate standpoint, if you were sending money from the UK to New Zealand to then invest there?
- 43:16No.
- 43:17You didn't mind?
- 43:18No.
- 43:19You just wanted it all in one place?
- 43:20Yeah, I was thinking, where will I end up long term?
- 43:25And I was like, I understood the New Zealand funds management, trading platform landscape much better.
- 43:31You still have to pay the exchange rate.
- 43:34when you invest through platforms like Sharesies, if you invest in US dollar companies, if you're investing in Apple on Sharesies, you still have to convert your money to US dollars.
- 43:42So you're always going to be impacted by an exchange rate.
- 43:45Unfortunately, being in New Zealand, a lot of the companies that you want to invest in are...
- 43:52probably non-New Zealand dollar companies.
- 43:55You know, they're US companies, they're maybe Australian companies.
- 43:59So you're always going to have to weather the effects.
- 44:01I know, but it's like weathering two effects, going from pounds to New Zealand dollars and then New Zealand dollars to US dollars or whatever.
- 44:08But then...
- 44:10I guess, yeah, the return on that as well, you've got to think about.
- 44:14Like with investing in funds in New Zealand, they are so tax efficient.
- 44:19I guess the thing with the UK, if you're using an ISA, which you all should be for your first £20,000 you're investing, you don't pay tax.
- 44:28So there is a massive benefit there.
- 44:30Also, when you're investing in funds in New Zealand, they're a certain structure where they're really tax efficient anyway.
- 44:36So it's so meaningless in the overall scheme of things in terms of the FX impact for me personally.
- 44:45That I'm just like, if I get too bogged down with like, oh, but I'm spending this, you know, it's just like, I'm not going to do anything.
- 44:50I'd rather just get it invested.
- 44:51You can get like decision or analysis paralysis.
- 44:54And actually, whatever is easiest for you, that's going to mean you're consistently doing it.
- 44:58Go for it.
- 44:58If you've already got money in Sharesies and you're already set up on Sharesies, yeah, just contribute there.
- 45:03If you're like, actually, I want to diversify and I want to invest in both UK and New Zealand, then yeah, set up a trading 212.
- 45:09They're great.
- 45:10There's also Plum over here.
- 45:11There's, what are some of the other platforms?
- 45:13There's eToro.
- 45:14There's quite a few different trading platforms.
- 45:16I also use trading 212 over here.
- 45:18Yeah.
- 45:18I just find it much easier.
- 45:24So I was going on a little holiday.
- 45:26I feel like I've talked about my holiday in the same way our darling Lucy, social media manager, has talked about her birthday.
- 45:31You know?
- 45:32Oh, like the month.
- 45:33It's had a leader.
- 45:34Yeah, yeah.
- 45:34It's had a leader.
- 45:35Everyone's aware of it.
- 45:37I'm going to your favourite Greek island.
- 45:39Idra!
- 45:40Yeah, I need you to send me your...
- 45:42hacks or like what to do it's so like it's so tiny it's kind of like if i was like make sure you go to these restaurants it's like you you there's nowhere else to go really yeah yeah yeah yeah it's um it's that's what i love about it it's like so quaint for me it felt like mamma mia or it felt like the sisterhood of the traveling pants you know where lena arrives in the little greek island she gets on the the donkey and gets to her i mean you could yeah yeah
- 46:05Please take a picture.
- 46:06Not sure if anyone remembers that.
- 46:07Please take a picture if you do.
- 46:08Yeah.
- 46:09But have a great week, everyone.
- 46:11If you've got any community questions, any curveballs, anything you want us to answer, either you can comment where you listen to this podcast.
- 46:17You can send us a DM on socials.
- 46:19Also, a quick reminder, if you don't already, please follow the show.
- 46:23That means that every time we drop an episode, you get notified.
- 46:26And you don't want to miss out.
- 46:27Yeah, yeah.
- 46:28God, no.
- 46:28Because the one you might miss out on, we might be really juicy.
- 46:32Yeah, yeah.
- 46:33Probably will be.
- 46:35I love when you do your sort of rich, snobby voice.
- 46:37That's so good.
- 46:38Okay, have a great week.
- 46:39Everyone, we'll see you soon.
- 46:40Bye.
- 46:40Bye.
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- 46:48And feel free to leave a comment to let us know what you thought about this episode because we would love your feedback.
- 46:52We've got new Curve Weekly episodes for you to listen to every Monday.
- 46:56But until then, listen to Erasing the Curve.
- 46:58These are our in-depth podcast episodes where we chat about all things money.
- 47:01We're also around all week on socials if you're hungry for more Curve content.
- 47:04And all the links are in this podcast show notes.
- 47:07We hope you have a great week and we'll catch you for the next episode of the Curve Weekly on Monday.
- 47:19Okay, quickly, the curve was created to empower and educate you about investing, but we are not financial advisors.
- 47:25Our platform exists for educational purposes only, and it doesn't provide personalized investing advice for your individual needs and should not be relied upon to make an investment or financial decision.
- 47:34And always remember to do your own research before making any investment or financial decision.
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