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#0105_ STORY INSPIRE: The Man Who Predicted the Iran War — Warns of the Next 9/11 Targeting Your Bank Account · INSPIRE STORY

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: I think there are a lot of people who do
• 0:01
  Speaker 1: not like what I'm saying. I am one of the
• 0:03
  Speaker 1: most polarizing figures in the world right now. But I'm
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: trying to prepare everyone. And what I want to explain
• 0:10
  Speaker 1: to you today, Stephen, is why the world is collapsing.
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: Because having studied patterns of history and global supply chains,
• 0:16
  Speaker 1: I now recognize and I have a framework to predict
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: the future. And I brought to you three horrifying predictions
• 0:22
  Speaker 1: structured around 9-11.
• 0:23
  Speaker 2: So what are your predictions? I've been dying to know.
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: My first prediction, if there is another 9-11 attack, it
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: will be an attack on the U.S. financial infrastructure. Imagine
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  Speaker 1: one day you open your iPhone and you're looking to
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: buy a coffee and all the money in your bank
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: account has been wiped out and they don't know when
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: or how long it will take them.
• 0:42
  Speaker 2: To retrieve it.
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: I believe that's what makes Americans most vulnerable and therefore
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: the most easily traumatized.
• 0:48
  Speaker 2: What's prediction number two?
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: Is that Lionel Messi will become president of Argentina.
• 0:52
  Speaker 2: Oh, wow. I wasn't expecting that. And also, do you
• 0:54
  Speaker 2: think Trump is going to have a third term?
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: Let's take a friendly bet and say $ 100. Trump gets
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: a third term. There'll be a siege of New York City.
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: Prediction three. My third prediction is that.
• 1:02
  Speaker 2: Are you sure? You don't think that the US will
• 1:04
  Speaker 2: actually do that very well?
• 1:05
  Speaker 1: Well, I understand a lot of this is going to
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: be extremely pessimistic, but we are living in a time
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: of not just war, but also the regression of civilization.
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: We've basically hit the height of technological advancement.
• 1:20
  Speaker 2: The word collapse you used there is a strong word. Yes.
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: I am positive that we are seeing the collapse of civilization.
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: All the suffering that we might have seen on television,
• 1:29
  Speaker 1: it is coming to us in our lives. And the
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: world is essentially running out of time. And I will
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: paint a clear and simple picture of what is about
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: to come.
• 1:39
  Speaker 2: What would have to be the case for none of
• 1:40
  Speaker 2: these sort of catastrophic things to take place?
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: Well, the only thing that gives me hope is.
• 1:45
  Speaker 2: Before this episode starts, I have a small favor to
• 1:47
  Speaker 2: ask you. Two months ago, 61% of the people that
• 1:49
  Speaker 2: watched this channel weren't subscribed. And we're now down to 58%.
• 1:52
  Speaker 2: My goal is 50%. So if you've ever liked any
• 1:55
  Speaker 2: of the videos we've made on this channel, if you
• 1:56
  Speaker 2: like this channel, can you do me a small quick
• 1:58
  Speaker 2: favor and hit the subscribe button? It helps this channel
• 2:01
  Speaker 2: more than you know. And the bigger the channel gets,
• 2:02
  Speaker 2: the more we can invest in the guests and the production.
• 2:04
  Speaker 2: Thank you and enjoy this episode. Professor Chung, what is
• 2:13
  Speaker 2: front of mind for you at the moment? your energy
• 2:16
  Speaker 2: is giving me some things on my mind. What is that?
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: I think that we are living in a time when
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: the world is collapsing. And so what I want to
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: explain to you today, Stephen, is how we got to
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: the world that we are in and why it is collapsing.
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: So first thing I want to explain to you is
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: the petrodollar system, which is the basis for the global economy.
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: So let's go back to the year 1945. And this
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: is the end of World War II. And the United
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: States is dominant. The United States will manufacture goods for
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: Europe and for Japan, which were destroyed in World War II.
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: So what the United States said is, we will lend
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: you the U.S. dollars, in order to purchase the goods
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: that we will export to you. But you have to
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: promise to pay us back in gold. And the United
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: States became complacent. They were spending money they shouldn't have
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: been spending. The United States went from a creditor nation
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: to a debtor nation. So in 1971, Richard Nixon said
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: that the U.S. dollar would no longer be pegged to
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: the gold. And so the question now was, if the U.S.
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: dollar is no longer pegged to gold, then what is
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: the value of the U.S. dollar? So Richard Nixon had
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: to create demand for the U.S. dollar. And so three
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: things happened after something called the Nixon Shock, 1971 Nixon Shock.
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: So the first was the creation of the petrodollar. Saudi
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: Arabia and other countries in the Middle East agreed to
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  Speaker 1: sell their oil only in U.S. dollars. So if you
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: want to buy oil, energy, you need U.S. dollars. Late 70s,
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: early 80s, China said the same thing. If you want
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: our cheap manufactured goods, you have to pay in U.S. dollars.
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: Mid-80s was something called the Plastic Accord, where Japan said,
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: agreed to take all its savings and buy US treasuries.
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  Speaker 2: So it's essentially they're buying a promise from the US?
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  Speaker 1: All this is based on promises, right? The US dollar
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  Speaker 1: is a contract. It's a promise. China promises to give
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  Speaker 1: you manufactured goods and Saudi Arabia promises to give you oil.
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  Speaker 1: This system, the petrodollar system, create the world that we
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  Speaker 1: live in today. So let me explain why. All right.
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: So this is a semiconductor, right? And it's a basis
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: of all technology, of all computer. And there are three
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: critical elements in a semiconductor. Silicon, they are gallium, and
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: they are germanium. There are many more elements, but these
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: are the three most critical. And these three together allow
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: semiconductors to achieve almost impossible technology. For example, precision missiles,
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: satellite communication, are all based on these three elements working together.
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: Why we have these three elements in place is because
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: of this global system. Silicon is mainly manufactured in China.
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  Speaker 1: About 60-70% of the world's silicon comes from China. 70%
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  Speaker 1: of gallium comes from China. 90% of the world's germanium
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: comes from China. Now, for semiconductors to work, the process
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  Speaker 1: is this. The United States, mainly in California, Nvidia or Apple,
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  Speaker 1: they will design very advanced semiconductors. semiconductor chips to power
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: the iPhone, to power video games. Then the United States
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: will send this chip design over to Taiwan and Malaysia
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  Speaker 1: for the manufacture of these chips. The Netherlands and Japan
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  Speaker 1: will create machines to print out these semiconductors. So a
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: company in the Netherlands called ASML, they manufacture lithography machines
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: that are worth $ 400 million each. Then these lithography machines
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  Speaker 1: and the chip design go to Taiwan, primarily Taiwan, but
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: also Malaysia as well, in order to manufacture these chips.
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  Speaker 1: And then these chips are then sent to China to
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  Speaker 1: be put into appliances. So when you see this semiconductor,
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: you're not just seeing a piece of metal and plastic.
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: You're really seeing the world converging together. So I want
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: you to remember this formula and this will help us
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: explain how the world works. This formula is very simple.
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: Technological progress is correlated with specialization times globalization. This is
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: the formula. So it's very simple. All technological progress is
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  Speaker 1: premised on more countries being able to specialize and these
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: countries being able to trade freely with each other. And
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  Speaker 1: what makes this all possible is global trade that is
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  Speaker 1: supported by two things. The first, of course, is the U.S. dollar.
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  Speaker 1: The second thing that's most important is the U.S. military hegemony.
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  Speaker 2: Hegemony meaning?
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  Speaker 1: Meaning they have no peer competitor. There is no one
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  Speaker 1: who can challenge the United States in control of the seas.
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  Speaker 2: So you're coming now to the point of why you think,
• 8:32
  Speaker 2: because the claim at the top was that the world
• 8:34
  Speaker 2: is collapsing.
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  Speaker 1: Exactly. I bring this all up because we need to
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  Speaker 1: appreciate what technological innovation is. If technological innovation is specialization
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  Speaker 1: times globalization, then... We are living in a time of
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: not just war, but also the regression of civilization. So
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: in other words, my argument to you today is we've
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: basically hit the apex, the height of technological advancement. We
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: cannot go any further because in order for technology to progress,
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: you need greater specialization and you need greater globalization. But
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: what we're seeing right now is this war in Iran,
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  Speaker 1: it will cause a chain of events that will force
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  Speaker 1: all nations to become much more general, okay? So you
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  Speaker 1: will see a decline in specialization and it will become
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  Speaker 1: much more nationalistic. They will need to create self-sufficient supply chains.
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  Speaker 1: So you will see a decline in globalization and therefore
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  Speaker 1: technology The progress will have to decline.
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  Speaker 2: The word collapse you used there is a strong word. Yes.
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  Speaker 2: Is that the word you meant?
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  Speaker 1: That's exactly what I meant. We are living not through
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: World War III. We are not living through a shifting
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  Speaker 1: of the global order. We are we will live through
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  Speaker 1: the next 20 years, the collapse of civilization itself.
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  Speaker 2: The collapse of civilization itself?
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  Speaker 1: Yes. Are you sure? I am positive that we are
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  Speaker 1: seeing the collapse of civilization.
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  Speaker 2: Give me some definition around the collapse of civilization, because
• 10:17
  Speaker 2: people could infer that as, oh, you know, the the
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  Speaker 2: dollar's not going to be as strong or they could say, okay,
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  Speaker 2: we're not going to innovate as much. Or I don't
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  Speaker 2: know if your prices are going to go up, but
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  Speaker 2: the collapse of civilization.
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: Yes. So let's go back to World War II. Okay.
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  Speaker 1: In World War II, if you lived in Europe or Asia,
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  Speaker 1: it really seemed like the end of the world. Tens
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  Speaker 1: of millions of people died in that war. But at
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  Speaker 1: the same time, you had a superpower that was emergent,
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  Speaker 1: the United States of America. So at the end of
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  Speaker 1: World War II, America was so powerful that it was able,
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  Speaker 1: at the end of World War II, to create a
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  Speaker 1: new world order and basically finance and defend this new
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  Speaker 1: world order called Pax Americana. And we are seeing the
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  Speaker 1: last days of Pax Americana. And then you ask yourself, well,
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  Speaker 1: then let China emerge. or maybe Russia will emerge, or
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: maybe Israel will emerge to replace Pax Americana. And unfortunately,
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  Speaker 1: what we know is that systems in decline, empires in decline,
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  Speaker 1: do not go willingly. So the historical analogy I would
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  Speaker 1: use is the Bronze Age collapse. Because the Bronze Age
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  Speaker 1: was very similar to this period in our history when
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  Speaker 1: the entire world was globalized. Because in order to make bronze,
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: you needed both copper and tin. And these places were
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  Speaker 1: found in different places of the world. And that allowed
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: for global integration. But because of global integration, over time,
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  Speaker 1: that led to massive inequality, debt, and polarization. And so
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  Speaker 1: when the system collapsed, the entire world collapsed. So I
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  Speaker 1: would argue the closest historical analogy that we have Today
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  Speaker 1: is a Bronze Age collapse.
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  Speaker 2: What was life like in the Bronze Age collapse? Or
• 12:18
  Speaker 2: how was it different pre-Bronze Age collapse versus post-Bronze Age collapse?
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  Speaker 1: So during the Bronze Age collapse, what happened was there
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: was a perfect series of crises that caused systematic collapse.
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: The first was change in weather patterns. Climate changed. which
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: led to famine primarily in Europe. We have famine and
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: people are starving. What do people do? They migrate. They
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  Speaker 1: migrate to areas that have food. And this place is
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: primarily going to be Anatolia and Egypt. These migrants overwhelm
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: the systems of Egypt and Anatolia And this would cause
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: a cascading effect where the entire world lost order. These
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: migrants were called the Sea Peoples. And they were destroying
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: traditional hierarchies and authorities. And once that happened, then the
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: very fundamental elements of civilization disappeared. So if we apply
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: this analogy to today, then I'm going to paint for
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: you a scenario of what might happen. So we have
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: this war in the Middle East that is only expanding.
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: It's bringing in more and more countries. So as you
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: may know, since we last spoke, basically all of Iran's
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: proxies have been brought into the war. This includes the Houthis,
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: which occupies this part of Yemen.
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  Speaker 2: So the Houthis are a group of military that are
• 14:05
  Speaker 2: in favor of Iran?
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: The Houthis... or an ethnic group in Yemen. And Yemen
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  Speaker 1: is a country that is divided according to tribes. The
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: thing about the Houthis is, first of all, they live
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: in the mountains. So it's almost impossible to dislodge the Houthis.
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: So they would be a tribe for five years. It
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: didn't work. The other thing about the Houthis is they
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: are a Shia tribe people. Now, they're Shia Muslim and
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: they're Sunni Muslim. The vast majority of Muslims in the
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: world are Sunni, about 90% of the entire global Muslim population.
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: The Shia are about 10%. And as a result, because
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: they're the minority, the Shia are much more fanatical than
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: the Sunni. And this has always been historically true. They
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: believe in martyrdom. So in other words, the Houthis will
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: fight to the death. They're not afraid of death.
• 14:59
  Speaker 2: Okay?
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: And the third thing about the Houthis that we need
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: to appreciate is they control this critical choke point called
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: the Bab el-Mandad Strait. This is the Red Sea. So
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: a lot of trade has to go through the Red Sea. Now,
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: what we know is Iran has already closed off the
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: Strait of Hormuz. And the easiest way And cheapest way
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: for Saudi Arabia to get its oil to East Asia
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: and South Asia is by the sea. So Saudi Arabia
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: cannot actually transport its oil. So that's the first group
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: that is now involved in this war, the Houthis. Then
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: you have Hezbollah, which is in Lebanon, right here. And
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: they are now fighting Israel. Hezbollah is also a Shia group.
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: So they are also very fanatical. And then you also
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: have Iraq, the Shia militias that are basically their own
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: independent militaries. So all four have been brought into the
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: war now. You have Iran, you have the Houthis, you
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: have Hezbollah, you have the Shia militia in Iraq. Why
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: is this important? Because they spent the entire Middle East
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: And so we are now seeing expansion of the war.
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: And over time, what might happen is more and more
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: nations have been brought into the war to protect their
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: own interests.
• 16:40
  Speaker 2: How is this different from, you know, I grew up
• 16:42
  Speaker 2: with this Iraq war and there was lots of conflict
• 16:44
  Speaker 2: in the Middle East. There was always fighting going on
• 16:46
  Speaker 2: and it feels like it's been a function of my
• 16:48
  Speaker 2: my childhood is that the Middle East always fighting in
• 16:50
  Speaker 2: some capacity somewhere. And it, you know, eventually there's a
• 16:56
  Speaker 2: peace in Iraq and the war kind of stops and
• 16:58
  Speaker 2: ISIS is decapitated or whatever. And it just kind of
• 17:01
  Speaker 2: moves around a little bit. Yeah.
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: Great question. But what's happening today is very different from 2003. 2003,
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: the United States went in to get decapitate Saddam Hussein
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: and his government. And that was easy to do because
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: you had a government. That was not very popular amongst
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: the people. So America specializes in shock and awe military tactics.
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: The problem today is you have four different groups. You
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: have the IRGC in Iran. You have the Houthis in Yemen.
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: You have Hezbollah in Lebanon. You have the Shia militia
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: in Iraq. They are decentralized. They are fanatical. And they
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: share a similar eschatology. They share a similar religious framework.
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: And as a result, what we know is the United
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: States military is not very good at fighting guerrilla insurgents.
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: We know because of what happened in Afghanistan as well
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: as Iran. These two are what is often referred to
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: as forever wars. where the United States spent $ 200 over
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: 20 years to try to squash insurgents, and they failed miserably.
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: So because these four groups are coordinating, but they're decentralized,
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: this means that this war can only expand over time. Now,
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: Saudi Arabia, feels threatened by the Houthis. So what Saudi
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: Arabia has done is, most recently, it's signed something called
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: the Mecca Accords. Turkey and Pakistan. Okay? So Turkey and
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: Pakistan and Saudi Arabia now must come to each other's defense.
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: And it seems to me, of these three countries, Saudi
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: Arabia will be the first to invoke this mutual defense
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: pact against the Houthis. So you can see a situation
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: where Pakistan, Turkey, and Saudi Arabia is brought into war
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: to try to dislodge the Houthis. But we know that
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: the Houthis in a mountain retreat are almost invincible. So
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: this war can only expand. And the Houthis, in response,
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: what they can do is destroy the energy infrastructure of
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: Saudi Arabia. The Houthis have ballistic missiles. They have drones.
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: And Saudi Arabia is this giant lake of gasoline ready
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: to be blown up or lit up by the Houthis
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: at any time.
• 19:44
  Speaker 2: Back in the early 2000s, there was the Al-Qaeda, there
• 19:47
  Speaker 2: was ISIS, there was still Hezbollah in Hamas. So how
• 19:52
  Speaker 2: is this different? Because there was lots of military, militant groups.
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: Great question, okay? Why this is different is there is
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: active coordination amongst these groups. So Al-Qaeda, ISIS, they were
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: working separately, but There are three proxies, okay? You have
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: the Houthis, you have the Hezbollah in Lebanon, you have
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: the Shia militia. They all report back to the IRGC
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: in Iran. And here's the kicker. This is really important.
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: Both China and Russia are supporting Iran in this conflict.
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: China is supporting Iran through the Belt and Road Initiative,
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: basically transporting goods to Iran through this corridor. And Russia
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: is supporting Iran through the Caspian Sea. As a result, Iran,
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: in theory, could fight this war indefinitely. Okay? That's one
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: thing that we have to appreciate. There's a clear alliance
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: in place to make sure that Iran and its proxies
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: can withstand this war. The other thing that's really important
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: for us to appreciate is that the Middle East, it
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: is the heart and center of the petrodollar system. It
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: takes all these barrels of oil in the GCC countries
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: and transports them to India, Pakistan, China, Japan. Okay? And
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: what then happens is the East Asia takes these barrels
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: of oil energy. Could you put the Merrill Brothers in Japan?
• 21:41
  Speaker 2: What are these little figurines you're asking me to put
• 21:42
  Speaker 2: in Japan?
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: So this represents Japan's contribution to the global economy. So
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: it takes energy from the Middle East and turns them
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: into manufactured products, consumer electronic products for the world to consume.
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: It makes these in US dollars and China, Japan, and
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: the GCC all invest their excess savings in the United States,
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: which allows the United States to focus on innovation, to
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: create places like New York City. New York City is
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: also a very specialized area because it basically is the
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: financial center of the world. So all this is a
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: petrodollar system. As you can see, the system is dependent
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: on free trade. But once the oil stops flowing, then
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: what happens is China, Japan are no longer able to
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: make the manufactured goods they need to export. And the
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: United States loses all these recycled U.S. dollars. So the
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: three biggest buyers of U.S. treasuries, basically the three biggest
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: financiers of the U.S. economy, basically the AI bubble, are Japan,
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: the GCC, and China. So we will see a cascading
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: effect where maybe in a few months time, the system collapses.
• 23:08
  Speaker 2: Do you know what, Professor? One of the reasons why
• 23:11
  Speaker 2: I think it's quite hard for, and it's going to
• 23:13
  Speaker 2: be completely honest, people can take this as they take it,
• 23:14
  Speaker 2: but it's just me being honest. One of the reasons
• 23:16
  Speaker 2: why it's quite hard to believe that, you know, the
• 23:21
  Speaker 2: world is going to collapse and that this is going
• 23:24
  Speaker 2: to be like the Bronze Age collapse. I was actually
• 23:27
  Speaker 2: reading about the Bronze Age collapse after you mentioned it.
• 23:29
  Speaker 2: And what I pulled up here says the late Bronze
• 23:32
  Speaker 2: Age collapse was a rapid, violent and widespread societal breakdown
• 23:35
  Speaker 2: that occurred in the Eastern Mediterranean between approximately 1200 and
• 23:41
  Speaker 2: 1150 BCE. Before the collapse, the region was heavily globalized.
• 23:44
  Speaker 2: Major superpowers like the Egyptians, et cetera, et cetera, were
• 23:47
  Speaker 2: deeply interconnected through diplomacy, royal marriages and complex international trade networks.
• 23:54
  Speaker 2: But within a span of just 50 years, almost every
• 23:56
  Speaker 2: significant city in the Eastern Mediterranean was destroyed and many
• 24:01
  Speaker 2: were never rebuilt. And there's a map which I'll throw
• 24:04
  Speaker 2: up on the screen, which shows this breakdown. Here's my honesty.
• 24:10
  Speaker 2: As a 34-year-old, I have lived a very.
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: Charmed life.
• 24:15
  Speaker 2: Charmed life.
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: Yeah.
• 24:17
  Speaker 2: As it relates to history and the things that happened
• 24:20
  Speaker 2: in history. So when we hear these things that, you know,
• 24:23
  Speaker 2: the society will break down, there'll be civil collapse, we
• 24:25
  Speaker 2: don't really have a reference point as like Gen Zs
• 24:29
  Speaker 2: and millennials, really. Our parents and their parents, they have,
• 24:32
  Speaker 2: you know, reference points from World War II, et cetera,
• 24:34
  Speaker 2: in the 1940s, et cetera, but we don't really have them.
• 24:36
  Speaker 2: So it seems all to be quite, you know, that
• 24:39
  Speaker 2: can't happen to us.
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: Yeah, you're absolutely right. And I think a lot of
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: the issue is the world has been constructed in a
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: way to maintain the privileges of of the Western populations.
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: An example I use is, you say that we've lived
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: a charm life. Well, if you've been, if you lived
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: in Iraq, Afghanistan, these places, you do not live a
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: charm life because United States came and attacked you for
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: no particular reason. And they destroyed the very infrastructure of
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: your society, even today, Iraq and Afghanistan are engulfed in
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: political violence and war and political assassinations. And so you've
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: never known if you were a child in Iraq or Afghanistan,
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: and even in Africa, you've never known peace, stability, and prosperity.
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: So the inequality in the world is stark. And we
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: in the West have an extremely privileged to be sheltered
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: from a lot of the chaos in the world. In fact,
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: the U.S. empire is designed to ensure the populations never
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: have to suffer the tragedy and suffering of other people.
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: And what I'm trying to say is this U.S. empire
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: is breaking down and there's nothing that we can do
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: to stop it. So all the suffering that we might
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: have seen on television, it is coming to us in
• 26:14
  Speaker 1: our lives. And we need to be aware of it.
• 26:17
  Speaker 2: When you say it's coming to us in our lives,
• 26:19
  Speaker 2: what's coming to us in our lives?
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: The same political violence, the same chaos, the same political
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: polarization that has infested the rest of the world.
• 26:32
  Speaker 2: Do you think war is coming to our shores? Because
• 26:36
  Speaker 2: we now live in a post-new nuclear bomb era. Yes.
• 26:39
  Speaker 2: And that seems to have created, in a weird way,
• 26:41
  Speaker 2: a bit of peace between superpowers. So.
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: I'm going to go to the screen and I'm going
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: to paint you a picture of our global supply chains
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: and what it means for global supply chains to break
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: down using a few maps. And these maps, I hope,
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: will paint a clear and simple picture of what is
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: about to come.
• 27:07
  Speaker 2: Can I ask you a question just before you go
• 27:08
  Speaker 2: to the screen? Sure. Have you always been pessimistic about
• 27:11
  Speaker 2: the future? No. When did you become pessimistic about the future?
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: I became very pessimistic about the future after Brexit and
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: the election of Donald Trump. Because I was an immigrant
• 27:30
  Speaker 1: who grew up in a very poor family. My father
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: was a dishwasher, and he was a dishwasher for 30
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: years before he retired. We were so poor, we couldn't
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: even afford a car. We never took any vacations. But
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: I worked hard, I got into Yale University, one of
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: the best colleges in the world. And not only that,
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: but I went there on a full scholarship. So from
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: my perspective, the world was perfect. It was a meritocracy.
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: It was a place that rewarded talent and hard work.
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: So I believe that the world was governed by reason,
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: by logic, by science, by truth, by good people. And
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: when Brexit and the election of Donald Trump happened, I
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: was traumatized. Brexit was the British people turning away from globalization.
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: The election of Donald Trump, from my perspective, was the
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: American rejection of meritocracy, of reason, of truth, of order.
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: And when that happened, it sort of told me what
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: I believe about the world didn't really work. And when
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: those things happen, that forced me to reflect deeply on
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: why the world was breaking down. And those events led
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: me to today. Because what I'm trying to do is
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: I'm trying to figure out patterns of history, principles of
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: society that allow us to better understand ourselves. And that's
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: why I drew you this formula. Because traditionally, we understood
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: innovation as maybe coming from universities. And having studied history,
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: having studied global supply chains, I now recognize that no,
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: technology just comes from specialization and globalization. And this not
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: only is an analysis of the current world, but it
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: also gives us a framework to predict the future, right?
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: So if In a time of war, specialization and globalization
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: break down, then in theory, technology should break down as well.
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: And that's what I'm trying to do. I'm trying to
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: figure out how and why we are where we are today.
• 29:52
  Speaker 2: So you wanted to draw something on the whiteboard?
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: Okay, right. Whoa, what's that on your face?
• 30:02
  Speaker 2: This is my Bond Charge face mask. I've been wearing
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• 30:13
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• 30:22
  Speaker 2: so many of the world's leading health professionals, there's various
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• 30:27
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• 30:53
  Speaker 2: That's bondcharge.com slash DOAC. The deal applies site-wide. Much of
• 30:59
  Speaker 2: the reason most people haven't posted content or built their
• 31:02
  Speaker 2: personal brand is because it's hard and it's time consuming
• 31:05
  Speaker 2: and we're all very, very busy. And if you've never
• 31:08
  Speaker 2: posted something before, there's so many factors in your psychology
• 31:12
  Speaker 2: that stop you wanting to post. What people will think
• 31:15
  Speaker 2: of you. Am I doing this right? Is the thing
• 31:17
  Speaker 2: I'm saying absolutely stupid? All of these result in paralysis,
• 31:21
  Speaker 2: which means you don't post and your feed goes bare
• 31:24
  Speaker 2: and I'm an investor in a company called Stan Store,
• 31:26
  Speaker 2: which you've probably heard me talk about. And what they've
• 31:28
  Speaker 2: been building is this new tool called Stanley that uses AI,
• 31:32
  Speaker 2: looks at your feed, looks at your tone of voice,
• 31:33
  Speaker 2: looks at your history, looks at your best performing posts
• 31:36
  Speaker 2: and tells you what you should post, makes those posts
• 31:39
  Speaker 2: for you. You can also just use it for inspiration.
• 31:42
  Speaker 2: And sometimes what we need when we're thinking about doing
• 31:44
  Speaker 2: a post for our social media channels So this is
• 31:46
  Speaker 2: a summary of the global supply chain network.
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: And we can see how it involves the entire world.
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: You are not able to build semiconductors unless you have
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: a globalized economy. So there's been a lot of talk
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: about China controlling the elements, right? So China manufactures about
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: 70% of the world's silicon, and China controls about 70%
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: of rare earths. What people don't appreciate is it works
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: both ways, okay? So China does export a lot of
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: silicon and rare earths, but it also needs to import
• 32:41
  Speaker 1: a lot of helium in order to sustain its semiconductor
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: manufacturing process. The reason why is helium cools the semiconductors
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: in a way to allow it to be manufactured, okay?
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: So helium is a cooling agent. Another thing that people
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: don't appreciate is people think that China has a monopoly
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: on rare earths, but America in a place called Spruce Pine,
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: Spruce Pine, North Carolina, this area has a monopoly on
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: high-quality quartz. It controls about 90% of the world's high-quality quartz,
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: which you need in the silicon manufacturing process as well.
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: So if these nations start to stop trading with each other,
• 33:29
  Speaker 1: technology would cease to progress. Now, something to keep in
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: mind is it's not just semiconductors that are dependent on
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: the global supply chain. Food is also very dependent on
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: the global supply chain. So what we're seeing is a
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: stark contrast between the North and the South. So the
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: North produces most of the world's fertilizer. And the South, okay,
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: primarily Africa, the Middle East, and South America, they import
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: a lot of the fertilizer. This map shows it much
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: more clearly, okay? So ammonia is a very important component
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: of fertilizer. And as you can see, most of the
• 34:14
  Speaker 1: ammonia production plants are actually in the North of the world, Canada,
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: United States, Europe, China, Russia. The South, the global South,
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: is dependent on the North for food. In a time
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: of war, when global supply chains break down, the North
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: might lose access to fancy wireless smartphones. The South will
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: face famine, okay? Why is this important? Because the world
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: is rife with conflict. The main issue that we will
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: face next 20 years is not oil, it's actually water,
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: all right? So this map that we're seeing right now
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: is actually telling us where the next major geopolitical flashpoints are.
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: So basically, if you see red on the map, it
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: means this place has water scarcity issues. And the red
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: issues tell us exactly where wars will erupt, okay? So
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: even in the United States, If you look at the
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: Western part of the United States, they do have water
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: scarcity issues. And actually, if you go to the Western
• 35:27
  Speaker 1: United States, Colorado, California, Arizona, these places, they're fighting over
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: the Colorado River because the Colorado River is what supplies
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: most of their water. You go to the Middle East
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: and you know that the Middle East, it's almost like
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: a dynamite ready to explode. And what this war will
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: do is aggravate all the tensions in the Middle East.
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: India itself is facing water shortages, which brings it into
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: conflict with China, okay? So this one map, if you
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: can just see it, it basically tells you where the
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: next geopolitical flashpoints will be. It means a place that
• 36:08
  Speaker 1: is most likely to go to war or have conflict
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: or political violence for the next 20 years, okay? But
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: also here is Northeast Asia, Japan is here, North Korea
• 36:21
  Speaker 1: is here, okay? So that's another major flashpoint. So this
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: is what, over the next 20 years, where war is
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: most likely to break out, okay? But what's important to
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: appreciate is once war breaks out, there are third-order effects
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: causing conflict to spread around the world, okay? This is
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: a really important map for us to appreciate as well.
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: This map tells us fertility rates around the world. As
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: you can see, Africa has the world's highest fertility rate,
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: followed by the Middle East, okay?
• 37:00
  Speaker 2: So they're having the most children per couples.
• 37:02
  Speaker 1: That's right. Why is this a problem? Because if you
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: go back to the previous map, this area is also
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: where there is the most geopolitical tension. And so if
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: there are more and more children, young people being born here,
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: they have no choice but to migrate. And where will
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: they migrate? Probably to Europe. And you're like, well, okay. Well,
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: then what Europe should do is turtle up. Europe should
• 37:29
  Speaker 1: build walls and prevent these migrants from reaching Europe. But
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: Europe has its own problem, which is the aging crisis.
• 37:39
  Speaker 2: Okay?
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: So look at what's happening where the fastest aging populations
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: are in fact in the most developed nations, including Japan, Europe,
• 37:51
  Speaker 1: and North America. So if you have an aging population,
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: you need to provide cheap healthcare, nursing. What does that mean?
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: It means you have to let in more immigrants in
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: order to surface the aging population. And what will happen
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: then is domestic conflict where you have more migration into
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: Western societies which brings them into conflict with the native populations.
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: And therefore it is possible you have civil war as
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: well as political violence and even the possibility of revolution. Okay?
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: So these maps collectively paint a very grim picture of
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: the world that we're living in.
• 38:41
  Speaker 2: On this page here about immigration causing civil war, political violence, revolution,
• 38:47
  Speaker 2: won't it just be the case, as we're seeing, that
• 38:50
  Speaker 2: these Western societies will increasingly elect right-wing political parties, which
• 38:56
  Speaker 2: is kind of what we're seeing. We're seeing parties in
• 38:58
  Speaker 2: the UK like Reform, Surge, I think there was news
• 39:00
  Speaker 2: yesterday in Germany of the political party there. We're seeing
• 39:04
  Speaker 2: the same in the United States as well.
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: That's a fantastic point. That's exactly what we're seeing. We're
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: seeing the AFD surge in Germany. You know, MAGA being
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: very dominant in the United States. We're seeing Vox in Spain.
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: So in theory, what's going to happen is these countries
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: become much more right-wing and then they block out immigration
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: because that is your main policy platform.
• 39:28
  Speaker 2: And that should stop the civil war.
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: The problem is what do you do about your aging population? Robots. Exactly, right?
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: That's what you would think, but what we're seeing is
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: a breakdown in global supply chains. Robots depend on copper, right?
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: Which you get from chile peru china australia these are
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: pretty far away places from europe and united states right
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: you also need lithium which you get from the lithium
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: triangle again pretty far away you also need silicon which
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: is mainly manufactured in China, you need rare earths, which
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: again is really manufactured in China. So you have this
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: huge issue where in theory, you could use robots. But
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: when global supply chain breaks down, you have to figure
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: out the cheapest way to resolve the labor issue. And
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: the cheapest solution is immigration, right? People, I have to
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: say this, but people are much cheaper and much more
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: expendable than robots. So I know, This is a bit scary.
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: I know this is really depressing. But what if the
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: United States were able to win this war in Iran
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: and conduct regime change? Then our problems are solved, right?
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: Now Iran is under control of the United States and
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: we're back to globalization. where oil is able to flow
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: to South Asia, to East Asia, and then they manufacture
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: goods and then recycle their profits into this economy. And
• 41:23
  Speaker 1: with all this money, AI is able to innovate to
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: a point where we achieve AGI, and then we solve
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: all the world's problems, okay?
• 41:33
  Speaker 2: So what, happens next with this whole Iran situation?
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: So, unfortunately, it has now developed its own momentum, alright?
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: So let me explain what is most likely to happen. Okay, so,
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: you have Iran, and you are now controlling the short-form moves, right?
• 41:54
  Speaker 1: You have the Houthis, and they control the Baal and
• 41:58
  Speaker 1: Mandat Strait. You have Hezbollah, which can threaten the Suez Canal.
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: You have the Shia militias that can also threaten the Mediterranean.
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: From a game theory perspective, what Iran should do next
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: is take the initiative and disrupt all global trade. And
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: the reason why is the U.S. empire is based on
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: the petrodollar. It's based on global trade. When you disrupt
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: global trade, At the same time, there's no way for
• 42:33
  Speaker 1: the United States to respond.
• 42:35
  Speaker 2: How could they disrupt global trade?
• 42:37
  Speaker 1: What they can do is start to attack randomly. Okay?
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: So what, who's going to do is attack Saudi Arabia.
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: Iraq can attack Israel. Iran can attack the sort of Homs.
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: Hezbollah can attack the Suez Canal, okay? And why you
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: do that is you're creating uncertainty and chaos in the
• 43:03
  Speaker 1: global trade system. Why is that important? Because the global
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: trade system is built on confidence. And that's what drives insurance, okay?
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: So if you're an insurance company, you're like, oh my God,
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: these countries are, sorry, these actors are completely out of control.
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: The United States has lost control over the situation. You
• 43:22
  Speaker 1: can no longer insure global shipping. If you can't ensure
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: global shipping, global shipping ceases to work. All right? So
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: this is the madman theory. And this is Iran's best
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: play moving forward. And the reason why is the United
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: States does not have the military capacity to respond to
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: a coordinated random strike across the Middle East.
• 43:48
  Speaker 2: So is this your prediction? Is this what happens next?
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: I don't want to make this prediction. just because there
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: are lots of factors I do not know, okay? So
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: first of all, I don't know politically what the situation
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: is in Iran. Certainly the IRGC would want to do this,
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: but there are political factions within Iran who would think
• 44:09
  Speaker 1: this is too provocative. And it's possible the entire world
• 44:13
  Speaker 1: would unite against Iran if Iran were to do this.
• 44:17
  Speaker 2: So what is your prediction in terms of Iran and
• 44:19
  Speaker 2: what happens next?
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: My prediction is Iran This will only escalate. How it
• 44:24
  Speaker 1: will escalate, I don't know, okay? But the trump card,
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: to use a pun, for Iran is to start to
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: disrupt global trade. But United States has a response. And
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: this response is to attack Iran's critical civilian infrastructure, which
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: includes desalination plants and power plants. And this would be
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: worse than using a nuclear weapon on Iran because without
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: power plants, the people in Tehran, a city of about
• 44:59
  Speaker 1: 10 million people, they face starvation because a lot of
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: this food is refrigerated. This is how the war becomes
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: almost civilization destroying. If Iran were to completely disrupt global
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: trade and if the United States were to destroy the
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: power plants of Iran.
• 45:18
  Speaker 2: Obviously, that would be horrific and sort of inconceivably horrifying
• 45:21
  Speaker 2: for the people that live in Iran, the innocent people
• 45:23
  Speaker 2: that are caught in the middle of this. You don't
• 45:25
  Speaker 2: think that the U.S. would actually do that, though, right?
• 45:28
  Speaker 1: I think the United States will be forced to do it.
• 45:30
  Speaker 2: You think they'll be forced to do it?
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: Yes. According to game theory, they will be forced to
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: behave like this because we need to appreciate this formula
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: where the more power you have, the less imagination and
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: empathy you have, And so the idea is you don't
• 45:50
  Speaker 1: think killing millions of Iranians is a too heavier price.
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: It's all worth it if you can maintain the empire.
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: The hubris leads you to believe that the gods favor
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: you and you ultimately win and triumph in this great struggle.
• 46:10
  Speaker 2: Don't you create a huge migration crisis where people start
• 46:13
  Speaker 2: fleeing from Iran up into Europe because they starving.
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: Exactly, right? Not just Iran, but Africa as well, because
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: they've lost access to cheap energy and fertilizer. So you
• 46:25
  Speaker 1: have all this migration into Europe, which would overwhelm the
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: European social fabric, which would overwhelm the European state. But, unfortunately,
• 46:40
  Speaker 1: this has been happening at a much slower pace ever
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: since 2014, when, for whatever reason, the United States chose
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: to destroy Libya and cause a civil war in Syria,
• 46:54
  Speaker 1: which caused millions to migrate into Europe. And as you remember,
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: the Europeans in the generosity accepted all these migrants, which
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: is leading, which has led to tremendous social friction and
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: political tension in Europe today.
• 47:09
  Speaker 2: So your prediction here, if we conclude then, is that
• 47:11
  Speaker 2: the US won't win this quote-unquote war in the Middle
• 47:14
  Speaker 2: East because they can't defeat Iran in its proxies. But
• 47:17
  Speaker 2: also your conclusion is that this is going to continue
• 47:19
  Speaker 2: to escalate in the Middle East.
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: Yes. And already what we're seeing are other actors being
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: drawn into the war. So the most recent news is
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: South Korea has authorized a naval contingent to go and
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: try to secure the Strait of Hormuz.
• 47:34
  Speaker 2: What would you do if you were Donald Trump?
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: I mean, what would I do if I were Donald Trump?
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: I would push all in. I would start attacking power
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: plants in Iran because if I take any half measures,
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: I would just look weak and I'm only going to
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: create more problems. I would only incentivize Iran and its
• 48:01
  Speaker 1: allies to be more provocative, to be more aggressive. So
• 48:06
  Speaker 1: if I'm Donald Trump and I'm in this situation, I
• 48:09
  Speaker 1: would just push all in.
• 48:10
  Speaker 2: You'd end up killing millions of Iranians, theoretically.
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: Well, I start this war, right? Then I have to
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: win this war because I can't lose this war. I
• 48:21
  Speaker 1: refuse to lose this war. I mean, again, I understand
• 48:25
  Speaker 1: the concerns, okay? But if you want to understand how
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: these leaders think, this formula gives you the best window
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: into the psychology, which is because you have so much power,
• 48:38
  Speaker 1: they lose the capacity to imagine different possibilities and have
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: empathy for the suffering of the people in the world.
• 48:45
  Speaker 2: Couldn't they just back out? Couldn't they just, couldn't Donald
• 48:47
  Speaker 2: Trump just say, do a big press conference where he says,
• 48:50
  Speaker 2: we won this war in Iran, we've destroyed their military,
• 48:52
  Speaker 2: their naval bases, it's done, and Iran will no longer
• 48:55
  Speaker 2: have a nuclear weapon?
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: The entire petrodollar system is premised on two things. The U.S.
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: dollar as the world reserve currency and the aura of
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: inevitability and invincibility of the US military.
• 49:11
  Speaker 2: If they look like they are beatable, then the U.S.,
• 49:16
  Speaker 2: as its image, is sufficiently tarnished. Right. What are your predictions?
• 49:22
  Speaker 2: I've been dying to know.
• 49:23
  Speaker 1: So I brought to you three predictions. And because we
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: are so close to the anniversary of 9-11 in New
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: York City, I structured these predictions around the anniversary. And
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: so these will be three predictions fun but horrifying predictions, okay?
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: All right, so my prediction number one is there will
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: be a siege of New York City. All right, so
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: let me explain my logic. I was here last time,
• 49:52
  Speaker 1: and I said that Donald Trump will get a third term.
• 49:55
  Speaker 1: And he's been joking about it, he's been talking a
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: lot about it, he's been social-truthing about it. And so
• 50:05
  Speaker 1: let's imagine what happens If Trump gets a third term, well,
• 50:10
  Speaker 1: you would have a lot of pissed off people, especially
• 50:14
  Speaker 1: in the major cities of Los Angeles, San Francisco, Boston, Chicago,
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: and New York City.
• 50:21
  Speaker 2: We should probably just pause there because there is a
• 50:23
  Speaker 2: constitutional ban on serving three terms. The primary barrier being
• 50:28
  Speaker 2: the 22nd Amendment, which was ratified in 1951 by Franklin D.
• 50:32
  Speaker 1: Roosevelt.
• 50:34
  Speaker 2: Who won four elections, it establishes a strict term limit
• 50:37
  Speaker 2: for the presidency. And the text in this 22nd Amendment
• 50:40
  Speaker 2: explicitly says, no person shall be elected to the office
• 50:42
  Speaker 2: of the president more than twice. So how could that happen?
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: Well, let's just say there is a national emergency and
• 50:55
  Speaker 1: the president is forced to suspend the constitution, then he
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: could theoretically have his third term. It's also possible that
• 51:05
  Speaker 1: in 2028, he decides to run as the vice president
• 51:10
  Speaker 1: and have his son, Don Jr., run at the top
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: of the ticket. And then once the election is over,
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: then Don Jr. would resign and then Donald Trump would
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: become the president. And there's nothing in the Constitution that
• 51:25
  Speaker 1: prevents him from doing that. So there are two possibilities.
• 51:29
  Speaker 2: But there isn't anything in the Constitution that allows the U.S.
• 51:32
  Speaker 2: president to suspend the Constitution in a time of a
• 51:35
  Speaker 2: national emergency.
• 51:37
  Speaker 1: It's precedent. So, for example, during the American Civil War,
• 51:41
  Speaker 1: Abraham Lincoln was able to suspend habeas corpus, which is
• 51:45
  Speaker 1: a constitutional right in the U.S. Constitution. And during World
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: War II, Franklin Delano Roosevelt also did many unconstitutional things.
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: For example, interning the Japanese population in camps. There's nothing
• 52:00
  Speaker 1: the Supreme Court could do against this. Because a lot
• 52:05
  Speaker 1: of U.S. politics is convention. It's agreed upon norms. But
• 52:11
  Speaker 1: if a U.S. president is like, well, screw these conventions.
• 52:17
  Speaker 1: There's nothing anyone else can do about it. All right.
• 52:20
  Speaker 1: So let's imagine, okay, just for the sake of this argument,
• 52:24
  Speaker 1: Trump gets a third term. What will happen is these
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: cities that are democratically will be an open revolt, meaning
• 52:32
  Speaker 1: they will refuse to pay taxes to the federal government,
• 52:35
  Speaker 1: but they will also not welcome ICE federal agents into
• 52:38
  Speaker 1: their cities, which creates conflict between local law enforcement and
• 52:44
  Speaker 1: federal law enforcement. And historically, if that were to happen,
• 52:48
  Speaker 1: then the president, US president, usually thinks that he has
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: a responsibility to quash this insurrection. And so this would,
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: over time, lead to the siege of New York City,
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: where maybe federal forces, along with possibly militias from other states,
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: possibly red states that favor Trump, they would try to
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: besiege New York City by cutting off the food supply
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: and water supply to New York City. And this would
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: be a conflict that could go on for years and years.
• 53:21
  Speaker 2: And what year would that take place? 2028?
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: It could happen right after Trump secures his third term.
• 53:29
  Speaker 2: Do you think Trump is going to have a third term?
• 53:31
  Speaker 1: Do you want to bet? Yeah. I think he'll get
• 53:35
  Speaker 1: a third term.
• 53:36
  Speaker 2: How much do you want to bet?
• 53:37
  Speaker 1: Let's take a friendly bet and say a hundred dollars.
• 53:39
  Speaker 2: Do you know what? I haven't said this before, but
• 53:40
  Speaker 2: I actually did have a bet with two random guys
• 53:43
  Speaker 2: on Facebook. I don't use Facebook, but I had a
• 53:46
  Speaker 2: bet with two random guys on Facebook a couple of
• 53:48
  Speaker 2: years ago. They told me that after Donald Trump had
• 53:50
  Speaker 2: lost the election to Joe Biden, they told me that
• 53:53
  Speaker 2: he was going to stay in power. And so I said,
• 53:56
  Speaker 2: there's no way he stays in power. And they said, no,
• 53:58
  Speaker 2: he will. So then, and then they offered me a bet.
• 53:59
  Speaker 2: They said a thousand pounds each. We bet you he's
• 54:02
  Speaker 2: going to stay in power. They were like queuing on people.
• 54:05
  Speaker 2: And I said, fine. And they actually did pay me
• 54:07
  Speaker 2: when he came out of power. They transferred me a
• 54:09
  Speaker 2: thousand dollars each. I gave it to charity. But so
• 54:10
  Speaker 2: I'm more than happy to make another bet if you
• 54:12
  Speaker 2: want to make a bet.
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: Yeah, let's do it. A hundred dollars. A hundred US dollars.
• 54:14
  Speaker 2: A hundred US dollars. And you're betting that Trump gets
• 54:16
  Speaker 2: a third term. Yes.
• 54:17
  Speaker 1: I think he'll be in power after 2028. Is that fair? Like,
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: like he'll be in power after 2028. When's the election? Well,
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: the election should be November 4th, 2028. But I didn't
• 54:28
  Speaker 1: say he would win the election. I just said he
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: would get a third term.
• 54:31
  Speaker 2: So you're saying that he will refuse to leave office
• 54:35
  Speaker 2: or find another way to remain president beyond the date
• 54:40
  Speaker 2: of the inauguration?
• 54:41
  Speaker 1: Yes, I'm saying that on January 21, 2029, Trump will
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: still be in the White House.
• 54:47
  Speaker 2: Okay, I'll take that bet. Okay. If everyone's clear. And
• 54:49
  Speaker 2: please do remind me to cash in, lads. $ 100. Okay.
• 54:53
  Speaker 1: $ 100 may not be worth anything at that time, but
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: it's $ 100, okay?
• 54:57
  Speaker 2: Okay.
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: All right. So, again, we are just assuming, for the
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: sake of argument, that Trump is in office in his
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: third term. There will be political violence across the United States,
• 55:10
  Speaker 1: primarily in New York City. And if the federal authorities
• 55:14
  Speaker 1: being challenged by a city or local state authority. And
• 55:19
  Speaker 1: the president will take this very seriously and send in
• 55:21
  Speaker 1: forces to quash this insurrection. Maybe other cities will be
• 55:27
  Speaker 1: much more compliant, but New York City has a very
• 55:30
  Speaker 1: charismatic mayor in Zohan Madani. And New Yorkers, you don't
• 55:35
  Speaker 1: want to mess with New Yorkers. When they get angry,
• 55:37
  Speaker 1: they get really, really angry. So this, I think, is
• 55:43
  Speaker 1: very likely if Trump gets a third term, there'll be
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: a siege of New York City.
• 55:46
  Speaker 2: He would almost be 83 years old.
• 55:49
  Speaker 1: I mean, we say that, but like the amount of
• 55:52
  Speaker 1: energy he has, right? The fact of the matter is
• 55:56
  Speaker 1: the guy eats cheeseburgers every day. He gives a press
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: conference almost every day. He's always on social media tweeting
• 56:04
  Speaker 1: out something stupid. For example, he's tweeted out that, you know,
• 56:08
  Speaker 1: all of North America is now the USA. I'm not
• 56:10
  Speaker 1: sure if you've seen that yet. And he's talking about
• 56:13
  Speaker 1: taking over Canada and Greenland and Cuba. So I don't
• 56:18
  Speaker 1: know where he gets his energy, but he seems really energetic.
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: I'm not sure if you've ever interviewed Obama.
• 56:25
  Speaker 2: Michelle Obama.
• 56:25
  Speaker 1: Okay. But like, if you just look at the picture
• 56:28
  Speaker 1: of Obama in 2008, he was a really handsome, really young,
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: very vibrant man in 2008. You fast forward eight years
• 56:40
  Speaker 1: and he came out just decrepit. Okay. He was, he
• 56:44
  Speaker 1: had aged like at least 20 years in his office.
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: Donald Trump, for whatever reason, has not aged that much.
• 56:54
  Speaker 2: Hair dye and fake tan?
• 56:57
  Speaker 1: He... So, there's something really weird about Donald Trump, which
• 57:01
  Speaker 1: is a lot of U.S. journalists in Washington, D.C. have
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: his direct personal cell phone number. And they can call him,
• 57:10
  Speaker 1: and they will talk for an hour. Like, the guy
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: is the President of the United States. And If you
• 57:18
  Speaker 1: are just an average Washington journalist, you can call him
• 57:22
  Speaker 1: and talk to him for an hour a day. There
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: are journalists who go to the White House to interview
• 57:27
  Speaker 1: him and says, like, we try to leave like an
• 57:31
  Speaker 1: hour ago, but he made a stay and talked to
• 57:33
  Speaker 1: him some more. He went on his leave. So I
• 57:35
  Speaker 1: don't know where he gets his energy from, but he's
• 57:38
  Speaker 1: extremely energetic and he loves that attention.
• 57:44
  Speaker 2: Okay. What's prediction number two?
• 57:46
  Speaker 1: So... Again, we are approaching the anniversary of 9-11. And
• 57:51
  Speaker 1: there are a lot of people who fear there will
• 57:55
  Speaker 1: be another 9-11 attack on the United States. Just because
• 58:00
  Speaker 1: you have a lot of actors that are very angry
• 58:03
  Speaker 1: at the United States and who may want to seek
• 58:07
  Speaker 1: vengeance against the American people. In that case, if there
• 58:11
  Speaker 1: is another 9-11 attack on the United States, I believe
• 58:15
  Speaker 1: that it will be an attack on the U.S. financial infrastructure. Okay,
• 58:21
  Speaker 1: so let me explain my reasoning. What was 9-11? 9-11
• 58:24
  Speaker 1: was an act committed by terrorists in order to traumatize
• 58:28
  Speaker 1: the population into self-destructive violence. Is that a fair statement?
• 58:34
  Speaker 2: I don't really know. Was that the.
• 58:36
  Speaker 1: So let's parse the statement. 9-11 was an attempt to
• 58:42
  Speaker 1: traumatize the American population into... Self-destructive violence. What I mean
• 58:48
  Speaker 1: by that is you're taking the symbols of American power,
• 58:51
  Speaker 1: which are like these airplanes, as well as the Twin Towers.
• 58:55
  Speaker 1: These are symbols of American power.
• 58:57
  Speaker 2: And the Pentagon.
• 58:57
  Speaker 1: And the Pentagon. And the White House. And you're destroying them.
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: And for the longest time, American people believed that these
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: are symbols of American power.
• 59:10
  Speaker 2: Invincibility.
• 59:11
  Speaker 1: Our planes are the Pentagon, the Twin Towers. And to
• 59:15
  Speaker 1: see them destroyed like that would traumatize the population. In fact,
• 59:19
  Speaker 1: it did traumatize many, many people. And the idea is
• 59:24
  Speaker 1: you traumatize them into a self-destructive violence, which means like
• 59:28
  Speaker 1: they want vengeance. And so what do they do? They
• 59:31
  Speaker 1: went to the Middle East, fought against the Taliban in Afghanistan,
• 59:34
  Speaker 1: then went to attack Iraq. Then this war spread to Syria, Libya.
• 59:40
  Speaker 1: And we can say that these 20 years of these
• 59:43
  Speaker 1: forever wars in the Middle East have been very destructive
• 59:46
  Speaker 1: for the United States. It's caused a huge fiscal deficit.
• 59:50
  Speaker 1: It's caused the American military to lose a lot of prestige.
• 59:54
  Speaker 1: It's caused a lot of corruption in Washington, D.C. It's
• 59:57
  Speaker 1: been very bad for the United States. All right. So
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 1: if you're the terrorist and you look at 9-11, you're like, okay, well,
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 1: I want to do the same thing, which is like
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 1: I want to traumatize people into self-destructive violence. How can
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 1: I do so? Well, I need to traumatize them, right?
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 1: Me personally, Flying planes into the new Twin Towers doesn't
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: do that because people are now used to, they've been
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 1: normalized into this sort of violence. So how can I
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 1: induce trauma into people? Well, there are different possibilities you
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 1: can use, right? So let's do a thought experiment. What
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: would happen if one day you open your iPhone and
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 1: you're looking to buy a coffee? Well, you scan your
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 1: iPhone and it doesn't read. And you're like, well, there
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 1: might be a problem with the bank. You call the bank.
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 1: You can't get food to the bank. And like after
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 1: hours and hours of frantic anxiety, you finally recognize that
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 1: there was an attack on critical U.S. financial data servers.
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 1: And so all the money in your bank account has
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 1: been wiped out. And they don't know when or how
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 1: long it will take them to retrieve it. What do
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 1: you feel? I would say you would feel more than concerned.
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 1: I would say you would feel a lot of anger
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 1: and anxiety and frustration.
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 2: But that must be hard to do. Surely taking out
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 2: the financial infrastructure for everybody for a long enough period
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 2: of time where they start to feel real world consequences.
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 1: Would you say 9-11 was hard to do?
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 1: I would say so as well. I can possibly imagine
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 1: them doing this. So there is certain creativity to these people.
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 1: And I would not rule that out. But I'm just
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 1: saying if another 9-11 happens, it is possible what we'll
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: see is the destruction of the U.S. financial infrastructure, which
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 1: would drive millions of people into a mad frenzy. You've
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 1: worked your entire life to save up $ 2 million. That
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  Speaker 2: me at the top of the conversation, you're having difficulty
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  Speaker 2: getting back into the United States recently. Yes. What do
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  Speaker 2: you mean by that?
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  Speaker 1: So I think there are a lot of people who
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 1: do not like what I'm saying. I would say I
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 1: am one of the most polarizing figures in the world
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 1: right now. So the story is that the Iran war
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 1: happened in March and it made me famous. And I
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  Speaker 1: was really afraid that this fame thing would annoy and
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 1: frustrate a lot of Americans. And so I decided that
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 1: I should not actually go to the United States at
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: this point because it's most likely that I come here
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 1: and I could be held in detention by customs. I
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  Speaker 1: could be deported. And so that time period was extremely
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 1: scary for me. And I refused all offers to come
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: to the United States. There were quite a few people
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 1: who wanted me to fly to the United States to
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 1: be interviewed. So then what happens over the summer, the
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 1: war started to die down. I thought, okay, let me
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 1: fly to Canada where my family is. And I'm in
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 1: Toronto and I'm going to try to enter the United
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 1: States by air from Toronto. So on August 5th, I
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 1: went to the Toronto airport, Pearson. It was like seven
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 1: o'clock in the morning because I had an early flight
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 1: to Los Angeles. I told them that I was going
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 1: to go on the Phil Vaughn show for, and I'll
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 1: be in the United States for two weeks. which was
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 1: all true. So when I'm at customs, the immigration officer
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 1: asked me a lot of questions, but I handle all
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 1: these questions pretty smoothly. Then he asked me, do you
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 1: have a travel letter for your son? Because my son, Chris,
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 1: who is eight years old, he's traveling with me. And
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 1: I'm like, what is a travel letter? And again, this
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 1: is like seven o'clock in the morning. So my brain's
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 1: not working. He's like, call your wife. I'm like, Okay,
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 1: so I try to call my wife. My wife is
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: in the shower. And so then the immigration officer says, okay,
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 1: you have to go into secondary to be interrogated to
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 1: make sure that your son, Chris, is traveling with you willingly.
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 1: So we go into secondary and it's like seven o'clock
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 1: in the morning and my flight's at 8.30. And we're
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: waiting for like an hour. And I'm freaking out because
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 1: it seems like we'll miss our flight. And during this hour,
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 1: I'm texting my wife, and she's giving me the birth certificate.
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 1: She's giving me all the materials I need to prove
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 1: that Chris is my son. And then at the very
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 1: last minute, we get called. And in a minute, I'm
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 1: able to resolve the issue. And I tell him I'm
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 1: going to go on the Theo Vaughn show, and I'll
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 1: be there for two weeks. So I'm in the United
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: States and I get contact from other podcasts to do
• 1:06:01
  Speaker 1: interviews and I travel around the United States and I
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 1: forget about the two week promise to the immigration authorities
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 1: because I'm not sure if you know the law, but
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 1: I'm a Canadian citizen and therefore I don't need a
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 1: visa to come to the United States. You know, if
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: you say I'm coming for two weeks, but you stay
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 1: a month, it's usually not an issue. I go back
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 1: to Toronto and I come back to do this podcast.
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 1: And so yesterday I am put in, yesterday I'm ready.
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 2: Okay.
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 1: I have my travel letter. I have my son's birth certificate.
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 1: And I go to the immigration officer and they still
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 1: put me in secondary. But basically I think what happened
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: was I said certain things during my podcast interviews that
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 1: pissed off some really powerful people in the United States.
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 1: A lot of things that I said were related to
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 1: something called the Clean Brick Memo, which you have. The
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 1: Clean Brick Memo was published in 1996, and it laid
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 1: out a plan for how Israel can become the dominant
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 1: hegemon in the Middle East. It was written by a
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 1: study group, and part of the study group, there were
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 1: two individuals. They were Richard Perle and Douglas Fife. These
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 1: two would... in the George W. Bush administration co-working in
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 1: the Pentagon. And these two, along with Paul Wolfowitz, were
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 1: the chief architects of Iraq war. So I named these
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 1: people and I explained how this war in Iran follows
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 1: from the Clean Break Memo. And the goal is to
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 1: establish Israel as the regional hegemon. And I think this
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 1: is what got me into a lot of trouble.
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 2: Why do you think that got you into a lot
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 2: of trouble?
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 1: Because I'm a Canadian. When I come into the country,
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 1: they usually don't bother me. And so for them to
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 1: question me, I think it was because some top officials
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 1: basically requested that I be put in secondary every time
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 1: I come to the United States. And I also believe
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 1: this because I have a friend, Max Blumenthal, who is
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 1: a very good U.S. journalist, and he was in Iran recently.
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 1: covering Kamenei's funeral, in response, a social media influencer named
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 1: Laura Loomer demanded his arrest. And so when Max Blumenthal
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 1: came into the country, and he is a U.S. citizen,
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 1: by the way, his devices were confiscated. And now Max
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 1: Blumenthal is suing the Department of Homeland Security for illegally
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 1: confiscating his And so I think that we live in
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 1: a time when, unfortunately, the empire is in decline. And
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 1: because of hubris and arrogance, they are trying to silence
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 1: their critics rather than accept our constructive criticisms. Okay.
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 2: Okay. So it's a theory.
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 1: Absolutely. They never told me why I was put in
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: the secondary, but he hinted at me that every time
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 1: I come to the United States, I will be put
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 1: into secondary to make sure that I'm coming to the
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 1: United States for legitimate reasons. Also, he hinted at me
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 1: that it is possible that once my I-984 expires in
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 1: six months, they will not renew it, meaning they will
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 1: not allow me in the country anymore. I hope I
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 1: come back to the United States. I have the deepest
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 1: admiration for the American people. I think that the Americans
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 1: are the most open and generous people in the world.
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 1: But at the same time, I do appreciate that we
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 1: are living in very interesting times.
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 2: Prediction three.
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 1: Okay. My third prediction... is that Lionel Messi will become
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 1: president of Argentina.
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 2: Oh, wow. I wasn't expecting that.
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 1: Yeah. So I wanted three new predictions that were fun
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 1: and interesting for us to discuss. So why I make
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 1: this prediction is that Argentina is working very closely with
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 1: the United States and Israel at this moment. You are
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 1: a British citizen, so you will appreciate that Argentina has
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 1: recently demanded the return of the Falklands. And Donald Trump
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 1: has voiced support to Argentina. So I'm asking myself, why
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 1: are they so concerned about the Falklands? And not only that,
• 1:10:37
  Speaker 1: but if you've been following the news, Havel Malay has
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 1: become very close with Benjamin Netanyahu. Argentina and Israel have
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 1: very strong relations. In fact, Argentina is welcoming Israeli investment
• 1:10:51
  Speaker 1: and immigration into Argentina. And apparently, if you are an
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 1: Israeli citizen and you go into Argentina, again, you can
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 1: fact check this, but from what I understand, you have
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 1: immediate access to the healthcare as well as pension, which
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 1: makes absolutely no sense because they're not Argentina citizens, right?
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 1: So it seems very much that Argentina is working very
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 1: close with Israel and the United States. And the reason
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 1: why I think that Israel and Argentina are working very
• 1:11:22
  Speaker 1: close together is, right now, there's almost a civil war
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 1: in Israel. We're in Mesitic Jews who believe this war
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 1: in the Middle East will usher in the end times
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 1: and the coming of the Messiah, and secular Jews who
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 1: are like these people are insane. And so the only
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 1: way to resolve this conflict is by exporting secular Jews elsewhere.
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 1: And it seems to me, Argentina is a very good
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 1: place to export them. So, but then you're like, okay,
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 1: how do you get the people of Argentina to accept
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 1: this massive immigration into Argentina from Israel? Because Israel is
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 1: not very popular in Argentina. I think the best way
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 1: is to make Lionel Messi the president of Argentina And
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 1: his popularity will be enough to let all these Israelis
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 1: into the country. Him as well as the reclaiming of
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 1: the Falkland Islands, right? These two things, you know, the
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 1: God of Argentina becomes president and Argentina reclaims the Falklands
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 1: from the British. And I apologize to you as a
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 1: British citizen.
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 2: It's okay. I like Missy. Okay. You also mentioned to
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 2: me that you think Japan is going to go to
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 2: war with China, or China is going to go to
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 2: war with Japan. Yes. What makes you think that?
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 1: Well, because every Chinese believes this. Yes. So it's the
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 1: funniest thing. But for the longest time, people believed that
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 1: China will eventually invade Taiwan. This is what's very commonly
• 1:12:56
  Speaker 1: accepted in the West. But if you actually go to China,
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 1: no Chinese actually believes this. And no Taiwanese actually believes
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 1: this because this is not the way that China actually
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 1: goes about its foreign policy. It does not go and
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 1: invade other countries. Or in its most recent history, it
• 1:13:18
  Speaker 1: has not been that aggressive. The last war that China
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 1: fought was in Vietnam. This was in the mid-early 80s.
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 1: So it's a long time. But if you go to
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 1: China today, everyone believes that China and Japan will go
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 1: to war. And to appreciate this, you have to understand
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 1: the geography of Southeast Asia.
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 2: Should I throw something up on the screen?
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 1: Yeah. Okay. So what I want to do is use
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 1: geography to explain why conflict between China and Japan is
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 1: inevitable at this point.
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 2: Okay.
• 1:13:56
  Speaker 1: So you have Japan.
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 2: Okay.
• 1:13:59
  Speaker 1: And you have China. Okay, so the first thing to
• 1:14:05
  Speaker 1: appreciate is that these are two very different countries. China
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 1: is a land power that is self-sufficient. Japan is a
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 1: sea power that is dependent on resources from abroad. So historically,
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 1: China was probably an agricultural nation. Japan, in order to survive,
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 1: engaged in piracy. So the Japanese have always been pretty militaristic.
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 1: They have a very, they had a cyber culture for
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 1: the longest time. They were always at war with each other.
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 1: And the Japanese people are extremely resilient and cohesive because
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 1: the geography of Japan is very unstable. There's lots of earthquakes.
• 1:14:45
  Speaker 1: There's a lot of tsunamis. So they have to work
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 1: together as a people in order to survive. This is
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 1: important because this war in Iran is affecting both China
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 1: and Japan. China will probably have to de-industrialize But if
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 1: Japan doesn't do anything, then it's possible in the next
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 1: 50 years, Japan ceases to exist because not only is
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 1: Japan dependent on energy and imports and resources from overseas,
• 1:15:14
  Speaker 1: but it has an aging population. It has the most
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 1: elderly population in the world. So in a time of war,
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 1: when the United States is no longer able to give
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 1: you protection, Japan needs to create resource colonies. And historically,
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 1: Southeast Asia right here has been the main resource colony
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 1: of Japan if it does not have Southeast Asia the
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 1: United States now becomes the main benefactor of Japan and
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 1: Japan doesn't want to be in that position because that's
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 1: what happened in World War II when Japan got most
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 1: of its energy from the United States and when the
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 1: United States embargoed Japan Japan was forced to declare war
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 1: on the United States okay so the United States can
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 1: provide Japan with all its energy needs, but that would
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 1: make Japan completely subservient. So Japan wants to basically access
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 1: the resources of Southeast Asia. There's a problem though, and
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 1: that problem is called Taiwan. Taiwan is right in the
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 1: middle of the South China Sea. And if China and
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 1: Taiwan were to reunify, what China could do now is
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 1: embargo Japan I'm not saying China will do so but
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 1: I'm saying that China has the option of doing so
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 1: and that's and Japan sees that as a threat to
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 1: its existence in fact.
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 2: Um embargo what does embargo.
• 1:16:41
  Speaker 1: Mean embargo means you blockade okay but if they did
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 1: this wouldn't the whole hell would break loose you know
• 1:16:48
  Speaker 1: Japan are going to attack China Taiwan it's going to
• 1:16:51
  Speaker 1: get messy It's going to impact trade. So I'm not
• 1:16:53
  Speaker 1: saying that China would embargo Japan, but I'm saying it
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 1: has the option of doing so.
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 2: But you are saying that China is going to attack Japan.
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 1: No, no, no, no. I'm saying there's a conflict between
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 1: these two nations.
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 2: Okay. I thought you said it was inevitable. Yes.
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 1: So let me explain how this would play out, okay?
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 1: So Japan sees Taiwan, the Taiwan issue, as vital to
• 1:17:15
  Speaker 1: its national security interests. And that's exactly what Prime Minister
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 1: Takeuchi said a few months ago. And when she made
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 1: that statement, China overreacted. So before you had millions of
• 1:17:26
  Speaker 1: tourists from China visiting Japan a year, now most of
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 1: them are not allowed to go to Japan. And it's
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 1: very likely that China and Japan will have a conflict
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 1: over Taiwan. Now, the thing to remember is it does
• 1:17:44
  Speaker 1: not benefit any nation here to go to war because
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 1: as you point out, all chaos would break out. What
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 1: you need to do is create leverage to negotiate better terms, okay?
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 1: So what Japan is doing is saying, okay, look, we
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 1: can't take on China directly because China is too powerful.
• 1:18:06
  Speaker 1: But what we can do is build alliances to possibly
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 1: challenge and if we have to, embargo China. All right,
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 1: so what Japan is doing is building a line with
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 1: the Philippines and Australia and India. And together, these four nations,
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 1: even without the United States, they could, in theory, choose
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 1: to embargo China, right? What Japan needs is access to
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 1: Southeast Asia because that will be the main source of
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 1: its resources going into the future. So that is a
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 1: scenario being played out. Now, China does not want to
• 1:18:51
  Speaker 1: come into a conflict with Japan why because China is
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 1: seen as the big bad dragon in this area and
• 1:18:59
  Speaker 1: if China is seen as too provocative that would basically
• 1:19:04
  Speaker 1: incentivize all of Southeast Asia to gang up on China
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 1: so you can see alliance between India, Southeast Asia, Taiwan, Philippines, Australia,
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 1: South Korea, North Korea, Japan versus China. Okay? So, the
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 1: way to resolve this issue is to use a proxy
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 1: in order to threaten Japan in order to develop more
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 1: leverage over Japan in negotiations. And that proxy, of course,
• 1:19:36
  Speaker 1: is North Korea. So North Korea has the potential to
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 1: shell South Korea because most of the population of South
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 1: Korea lives within 20 minutes of North Korea. And so
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 1: in theory, North Korea could flatten Seoul in just a day.
• 1:19:55
  Speaker 1: Most of North Korean artillery is actually by the border.
• 1:19:59
  Speaker 1: What North Korea could also do is lobby missiles into
• 1:20:03
  Speaker 1: the Sea of Japan and rattle the Japanese. Okay, so
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 1: this is the dynamic being played out, where Japan, through
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 1: its proxies, primarily the Philippines, is challenging Chinese naval dominance
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 1: in the South China Sea, and China will use North
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 1: Korea as a proxy to threaten South Korea and Japan.
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 1: Over time, as the United States retreats from the Asia Pacific,
• 1:20:32
  Speaker 1: this conflict between China and Japan will get worse and worse.
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 1: And the main reason why is it is in the
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 1: strategic best interest of the United States to foment as
• 1:20:43
  Speaker 1: much tension between China and Japan as possible.
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 2: But it could compromise Taiwan, no?
• 1:20:49
  Speaker 1: Who cares?
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 2: The U.S. care about Taiwan.
• 1:20:52
  Speaker 1: No, it doesn't.
• 1:20:53
  Speaker 2: I thought that's who we get all of our semiconductors from.
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 1: But what does Trump want to do? He wants Taiwanese
• 1:21:00
  Speaker 1: to move their semiconductor industry to the United States. And
• 1:21:04
  Speaker 1: that's already happening where TSMC, the main semiconductor company in Taiwan,
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 1: has opened a, I believe it's $ 20 billion new factory
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 1: in Arizona. So if there's a conflict between China and Japan,
• 1:21:22
  Speaker 1: the tension becomes worse and worse. The Taiwanese semiconductor industry
• 1:21:25
  Speaker 1: would be forced to relocate to the United States, which
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 1: would be in the best interest of the Americans.
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 2: You also think that Russia are going to invade the Baltics.
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 1: Yeah. Okay. So now we'll shift focus and go into Europe.
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 1: All right. Okay. But is this pretty clear?
• 1:21:45
  Speaker 2: Yes, it is clear.
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 1: Okay. Right now you have NATO or Europe supporting Ukraine
• 1:21:57
  Speaker 1: in its war against Russia. Okay.
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 2: Okay.
• 1:22:02
  Speaker 1: And most of this war is actually happening in eastern Ukraine.
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 1: And Russia seems to be winning a lot of territory
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 1: in eastern Ukraine.
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 2: But everybody's saying that Ukraine are fighting back really, really well.
• 1:22:17
  Speaker 1: The reason why is what Ukraine has chosen to do
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 1: in these past few months, which has changed the contours
• 1:22:23
  Speaker 1: of the war, is Ukraine is using drones to attack
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 1: Russia's energy infrastructure.
• 1:22:29
  Speaker 2: And just hating Russia in general is making the people
• 1:22:31
  Speaker 2: of Russia change their perception.
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 1: Exactly, right? So before this conflict was contained to eastern Ukraine,
• 1:22:38
  Speaker 1: it didn't affect the people of Russia. In fact, it
• 1:22:41
  Speaker 1: really was helping the economy of Russia because Russia could
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 1: still export its oil around the world. Now Ukraine, what
• 1:22:49
  Speaker 1: Ukraine is doing is using drones to attack the war
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 1: refineries of Russia, which is causing economic pain on Russia.
• 1:22:58
  Speaker 1: the Russian people. And this is making Putin increasingly unpopular.
• 1:23:04
  Speaker 1: So the contour of the war has changed. So if
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 1: you're Russia and you're looking at this, you think your
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 1: enemy is not Ukraine. You think your enemy is NATO Europe.
• 1:23:14
  Speaker 2: Why?
• 1:23:15
  Speaker 1: Because Ukraine, the drones are being manufactured in Germany and
• 1:23:24
  Speaker 1: the UK and other places as well. So in theory,
• 1:23:28
  Speaker 1: Ukraine could fight this war to infinity because its manufacturing
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 1: hub is in Europe. Europe is also providing Ukraine with
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 1: infinite financing as well as intelligence. So if you're Russia,
• 1:23:42
  Speaker 1: you're like, wait a minute here. Over time, we can't
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 1: possibly win this war of attrition because we're fighting Europe
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 1: and Europe's manufacturing hub. capacity is well protected behind the
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 1: nato alliance okay so what i need to do is
• 1:23:59
  Speaker 1: provoke nato in europe into coming into ukraine basically force
• 1:24:06
  Speaker 1: them out of their shell shell right and so what's
• 1:24:11
  Speaker 1: been happening is germany and russia have been in conflict
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 1: these past few months in early august there was a
• 1:24:20
  Speaker 1: drone attack on Leipzig Airport, okay? Leipzig Airport. And the
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 1: Germans blamed the Russians. And in response, the Germans closed
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 1: down the Russian consulate in Bonn, as well as removed
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 1: certain Russians from Germany. Russia is retaliating by closing the
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 1: German consulate in St. Petersburg. And the Russian foreign minister,
• 1:24:47
  Speaker 1: Sergei Lavrov, have said, we are in a similar situation
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 1: to 1941. What happened in 1941? The Germans invaded Russia, okay?
• 1:24:56
  Speaker 1: So in other words, Russia recognizes that if they just
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 1: leave Europe alone and just fight this war in Ukraine,
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 1: they will lose in the end. So they must force
• 1:25:07
  Speaker 1: and provoke Europe into mass mobilization to defend Ukraine. And
• 1:25:14
  Speaker 1: one way to do that is by hitting critical manufacturing
• 1:25:19
  Speaker 1: companies infrastructure within Europe.
• 1:25:21
  Speaker 2: Do you think Russia's next move is to attack within NATO, Germany,
• 1:25:27
  Speaker 2: the UK, etc.
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 1: It has no choice. It has to do this.
• 1:25:30
  Speaker 2: Can't they just do a deal with Trump? Like, you know,
• 1:25:33
  Speaker 2: they're trying to do a deal at the moment, aren't they?
• 1:25:35
  Speaker 2: Jared Kushner's apparently trying to get a deal done between
• 1:25:37
  Speaker 2: Ukraine and Russia.
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 1: So, in the United States, do you want peace between
• 1:25:43
  Speaker 1: Europe and Russia, or do you want war between Europe
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 1: and Russia? Well, from a game theory perspective, you're rid
• 1:25:50
  Speaker 1: off with war.
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 2: Why?
• 1:25:52
  Speaker 1: Because if there's war, Russia can't sell its energy overseas.
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 1: The United States has monopoly over energy now, right?
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 2: This causes global instability, though. If there's a war here,
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 2: then it's going to impact the U.S. in a big way.
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 1: Well, then why did the United States invade Iran, right?
• 1:26:09
  Speaker 2: Because they thought it would be an overnight Venezuela situation
• 1:26:12
  Speaker 2: where you decapitate the leadership, everyone rises up, you have
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 2: a favorable... leader in the country that is subservient to you.
• 1:26:19
  Speaker 1: Great, exactly. And this is exactly how the empire thinks, right?
• 1:26:24
  Speaker 1: We already use this formula, right? Now, if we apply
• 1:26:26
  Speaker 1: this formula to Europe situation, then the thinking is, well,
• 1:26:31
  Speaker 1: Putin is a paper tiger. He is very unpopular at home.
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 1: If we just force this war for another two months,
• 1:26:39
  Speaker 1: if we continue to attack the energy infrastructure of Russia,
• 1:26:42
  Speaker 1: then eventually people will rise up and overthrow Putin. Right?
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 1: The same logic.
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 2: So therefore Trump wants the Ukraine to win or he
• 1:26:53
  Speaker 2: wants Ukraine to keep doing what they're doing?
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 1: Well, Trump personally doesn't care, right? Because the more war
• 1:27:01
  Speaker 1: there is, the more the Europeans are forced to rely
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 1: on American energy. Okay. So if you're Putin... What you
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 1: need to do is force the Europeans into war in Ukraine.
• 1:27:16
  Speaker 2: Why?
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 1: Because there's really only one path to victory in this scenario.
• 1:27:22
  Speaker 1: The path to victory is to cause instability and violence
• 1:27:29
  Speaker 1: in Europe, okay? The idea is if you force Europe
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 1: to mass mobilize, the people would rather over for the
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 1: government then agree to take up arms against Russia. That's
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 1: a theory. But Russia has exactly one path to victory,
• 1:27:47
  Speaker 1: and that is to cause as much instability and violence
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 1: as possible within Europe. And the best way to do
• 1:27:52
  Speaker 1: that is by forcing the Europeans to mass mobilize their population.
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 1: But for that to happen, what Russia needs to do
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 1: first is declare total war. What total war means is
• 1:28:06
  Speaker 1: the mass mobilization of your society. So what's important for
• 1:28:10
  Speaker 1: us to appreciate is so far, Russia has not declared
• 1:28:14
  Speaker 1: war on Ukraine. It is a special military operation, which
• 1:28:19
  Speaker 1: means that Russia is relying on volunteers to fight this war.
• 1:28:24
  Speaker 1: In a time of total war, Russia could mobilize its
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 1: adult population. And we estimate there are at least 3
• 1:28:34
  Speaker 1: million reservists in Russia ready to be called up to
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 1: arms mass mobilization in Russia would force mass mobilization in
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 1: Europe and this is how the war is most likely
• 1:28:50
  Speaker 1: will most likely turn out.
• 1:28:53
  Speaker 2: I mean I guess the other thing that's I mean
• 1:28:55
  Speaker 2: listen professor there's a Sounds like there's a lot of
• 1:28:59
  Speaker 2: conflict on the way.
• 1:29:00
  Speaker 1: There's an acceleration underway.
• 1:29:02
  Speaker 2: What would have to be true for us to sit
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 2: here in 2036 and for there not to have been
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 2: a conflict between China and Japan, for the Iran situation
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 2: to have cooled off, the Ukraine war is either, you know,
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 2: where it is now or it's regressed?
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 1: The Kremlin memo. That's changed history.
• 1:29:22
  Speaker 2: So what are you saying specifically? What would have to
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 2: be the case for none of these sort of catastrophic
• 1:29:27
  Speaker 2: things to take place?
• 1:29:28
  Speaker 1: Okay. In the year 1995, this was published in 1996. Now,
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 1: Yahoo came to power in Israel in 1996. In 1995,
• 1:29:37
  Speaker 1: we lived in a world of neoliberalism, something called Washington Consensus.
• 1:29:42
  Speaker 1: And the idea is we have developed a new model
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 1: of history. If people just traded with each other, and
• 1:29:53
  Speaker 1: consumers just bought goods, we would have peace forever. This
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 1: is what we call neoliberalism, Washington Consensus. And Bill Clinton
• 1:30:04
  Speaker 1: was the main proponent of this idea. And in order
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 1: to achieve this vision for global peace, what he did
• 1:30:14
  Speaker 1: was promote the Oslo Peace Process, which sought to create
• 1:30:19
  Speaker 1: a two-state solution and bring peace in the Middle East, right?
• 1:30:23
  Speaker 1: The two-state solution is the Palestinians and Israelis agreed to
• 1:30:27
  Speaker 1: live side by side. And at that time, the main
• 1:30:30
  Speaker 1: thinking was that once peace happened in the Middle East,
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 1: once this two-state solution was created, then they would start
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 1: to trade with each other. Israel and Palestine were brought
• 1:30:42
  Speaker 1: into the GCC and they would be part of the
• 1:30:47
  Speaker 1: global supply chain And once prosperity comes to Israel and Palestine,
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 1: they would have no need to ever hate each other again.
• 1:30:57
  Speaker 1: This is called the also peace process, okay? And again,
• 1:31:00
  Speaker 1: at that time, this was just how policymakers in Washington
• 1:31:04
  Speaker 1: understood the world, right? It worked in China, It worked
• 1:31:07
  Speaker 1: in Japan. It worked in Germany. Japan and Germany were
• 1:31:11
  Speaker 1: these really militant nation states, but then we allowed them
• 1:31:15
  Speaker 1: to trade. We allowed their consumers to have air conditioning, SUVs,
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 1: and now they're just really peaceful people. So why can't
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 1: we do the same thing in Israel and Palestine?
• 1:31:25
  Speaker 2: So what is the clean break theory? In a sentence.
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 1: The clean break theory is this. Netanyahu came into power,
• 1:31:34
  Speaker 1: and basically his argument is We can never ever trust
• 1:31:39
  Speaker 1: the Arabs not to hate us. We are Israelis. We
• 1:31:44
  Speaker 1: have been promised this land by God. And the Arabs
• 1:31:50
  Speaker 1: see us as enemies and whatever we do, they will
• 1:31:55
  Speaker 1: always hate us. So screw peace, screw compromise. Let us
• 1:32:02
  Speaker 1: become the regional hegemon because that is our manifest destiny.
• 1:32:06
  Speaker 1: That is what God told us to do. That is
• 1:32:08
  Speaker 1: what is written in the Bible. And that's what we
• 1:32:10
  Speaker 1: were born to do. Okay? And this is something called
• 1:32:13
  Speaker 1: the clean brick memo. And the clean brick memo had
• 1:32:16
  Speaker 1: three major pillars that have all been achieved today. Okay?
• 1:32:20
  Speaker 1: The first pillar is stop the hostile peace process. Do
• 1:32:25
  Speaker 1: not give more land to the Palestinians because the Palestinians
• 1:32:29
  Speaker 1: are animals. And the way to treat animals is by
• 1:32:31
  Speaker 1: getting the crap out of them. Okay? Do not treat
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 1: them nicely. they will hate you.
• 1:32:40
  Speaker 2: So wait, are you saying that the way to stop
• 1:32:43
  Speaker 2: all of the pessimism that we talked about happening is
• 1:32:46
  Speaker 2: by the clean break theory succeeding?
• 1:32:49
  Speaker 1: No, no, no, no. What I said was in 1985,
• 1:32:52
  Speaker 1: there was already a theory in place called neoliberalism that
• 1:32:55
  Speaker 1: offered a solution to the Israel-Palestine issue. that has been
• 1:33:00
  Speaker 1: plaguing the Middle East for the past few decades. And
• 1:33:03
  Speaker 1: if they had thought that through, then we would live
• 1:33:05
  Speaker 1: in a very different time.
• 1:33:06
  Speaker 2: Okay, so to my question, my question is, and what
• 1:33:09
  Speaker 2: would have to be the case for this, all the
• 1:33:11
  Speaker 2: things you've described, the wars and the conflict, not to happen? Right.
• 1:33:16
  Speaker 1: What would have happened is the United States had pressured
• 1:33:19
  Speaker 1: Israel into seeking peace with the Arab nations.
• 1:33:23
  Speaker 2: Okay, so the U.S. need to get Israel to be
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 2: friends with the.
• 1:33:29
  Speaker 1: Yes, you force it because Israel is simply dependent on
• 1:33:32
  Speaker 1: you for technology, for financing, for arms. Israel is the
• 1:33:38
  Speaker 1: biggest recipient of American foreign policy aid.
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 2: So just for those that want to know what the
• 1:33:45
  Speaker 2: clean break theory is, it's called A Clean Break, A
• 1:33:49
  Speaker 2: New Strategy for Securing the Realm. It refers to a
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 2: prominent 1996 policy documented and then prepared for Benjamin Netanyahu
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 2: by a study group led by American neoconservative strategists. Did
• 1:34:03
  Speaker 2: he read this memo?
• 1:34:05
  Speaker 1: He commissioned it.
• 1:34:06
  Speaker 2: He commissioned it. Okay. And the key objectives of the
• 1:34:09
  Speaker 2: clean break are, as you said, the first one, abandoning
• 1:34:12
  Speaker 2: land for peace, which advocated for moving away from the
• 1:34:14
  Speaker 2: Oslo Accords framework, shifting to a posture of peace through strength.
• 1:34:18
  Speaker 2: and peace for peace without giving up any territory. Number two,
• 1:34:21
  Speaker 2: regional dominance. It recommended transcending the Israel-Palestine conflict by focusing
• 1:34:25
  Speaker 2: on weakening regional adversaries, specifically advocating for the containment or
• 1:34:30
  Speaker 2: removal of hostile regimes in Iraq and Syria and dismantling
• 1:34:34
  Speaker 2: the Iraq-Syria Hezbollah axis. And lastly, preemptive action. It urged
• 1:34:38
  Speaker 2: Israel to abandon defensive containment policies in favor of proactive
• 1:34:42
  Speaker 2: offensive strategies.
• 1:34:44
  Speaker 1: And that's exactly what Israel is doing today. This is
• 1:34:46
  Speaker 1: what Israel has done for the past 30 years. It
• 1:34:50
  Speaker 1: has promoted regime change in Syria, in Iraq.
• 1:34:54
  Speaker 2: And so the conclusion here is to stop this sort
• 1:34:56
  Speaker 2: of conflict escalating, they have to reverse course with this strategy.
• 1:35:01
  Speaker 1: The U.S. needs to contain Israel, yes. Okay. But what
• 1:35:06
  Speaker 1: I'm arguing is it's too late because you've already unleashed
• 1:35:10
  Speaker 1: these structural forces that will collapse the global trade system,
• 1:35:14
  Speaker 1: in which case it's every nation for itself. I mean,
• 1:35:19
  Speaker 1: you've already created the conditions for Japan and China to
• 1:35:22
  Speaker 1: go to war. You've already created conditions for Germany and
• 1:35:25
  Speaker 1: Russia to go to war. It's no longer, you can't
• 1:35:28
  Speaker 1: put the genie back in the bottle again. What does
• 1:35:32
  Speaker 1: this mean?
• 1:35:33
  Speaker 2: Most of us aren't involved in politics, so we just
• 1:35:36
  Speaker 2: kind of watch this stuff and we have to sort
• 1:35:38
  Speaker 2: of figure out what to do with our families and
• 1:35:40
  Speaker 2: our lives in spite of this sort of craziness that
• 1:35:43
  Speaker 2: we see in the news and the global conflict and
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 2: all that stuff. What is the advice that you have
• 1:35:47
  Speaker 2: for the average person?
• 1:35:49
  Speaker 1: The best advice I can give to the average person
• 1:35:52
  Speaker 1: is believe in God. So I am a product of
• 1:35:58
  Speaker 1: the meritocracy. I received the best education in the world
• 1:36:02
  Speaker 1: and I feel the best education in the world makes
• 1:36:08
  Speaker 1: you think the world is materialistic. God doesn't exist. And
• 1:36:12
  Speaker 1: as a result, in my 20s and 30s and 40s,
• 1:36:16
  Speaker 1: I was a deeply angry, depressed, frustrated person. Because if
• 1:36:24
  Speaker 1: God doesn't exist, there's no order and structure to what's
• 1:36:28
  Speaker 1: going on. And it's just complete chaos. And there can
• 1:36:32
  Speaker 1: be no hope or light in chaos. And because I
• 1:36:40
  Speaker 1: married a wonderful woman who I think is really an angel,
• 1:36:44
  Speaker 1: because I have like three beautiful children, I do believe
• 1:36:49
  Speaker 1: there's a plan and a structure and order and reason
• 1:36:53
  Speaker 1: to the world. And I've come in the past two years,
• 1:36:58
  Speaker 1: and it's only been recent, okay? It's only been the
• 1:37:00
  Speaker 1: past two years when I have a true belief in God.
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 2: So it's all going to be okay?
• 1:37:07
  Speaker 1: Yes.
• 1:37:08
  Speaker 2: Great.
• 1:37:09
  Speaker 1: Yes, but you need to believe in God and you
• 1:37:14
  Speaker 1: need to focus on your family. Then it will be
• 1:37:19
  Speaker 1: all right.
• 1:37:20
  Speaker 2: So don't focus on protesting in the streets or elections
• 1:37:24
  Speaker 2: or any of those things?
• 1:37:27
  Speaker 1: If you believe in God and you focus on your family,
• 1:37:32
  Speaker 1: sometimes you're compelled to take action. Because I believe in God,
• 1:37:38
  Speaker 1: I live life. a life following one simple principle, which
• 1:37:42
  Speaker 1: is speak the truth. Why am I on your show?
• 1:37:49
  Speaker 1: Why did I spend the past month going on so
• 1:37:52
  Speaker 1: many different podcasts? Because it's important people know the truth.
• 1:37:57
  Speaker 1: If you really believe in God, if you really focus
• 1:38:00
  Speaker 1: on your family, you have a personal and moral responsibility
• 1:38:04
  Speaker 1: to speak the truth. If you know what's going to happen,
• 1:38:08
  Speaker 1: then speak it. Why are you doing this? What good
• 1:38:11
  Speaker 1: will it do? It doesn't matter. It's just like your
• 1:38:14
  Speaker 1: faith in God compels you to live the truth and
• 1:38:20
  Speaker 1: to speak the truth and to spread the truth. So,
• 1:38:24
  Speaker 1: Just because you believe in God doesn't mean, okay, now
• 1:38:26
  Speaker 1: I believe in God and now I can just sit
• 1:38:28
  Speaker 1: back and hide in my room and play computer games
• 1:38:32
  Speaker 1: all day. It doesn't mean that. It means if you
• 1:38:34
  Speaker 1: truly believe in God and you believe there's a plan,
• 1:38:36
  Speaker 1: then you have to take action and you have to
• 1:38:39
  Speaker 1: participate in the world because why else would God create you?
• 1:38:44
  Speaker 2: So why is God letting all of this stuff happen?
• 1:38:47
  Speaker 2: When I look around the world, I see lots of
• 1:38:49
  Speaker 2: wars and conflict. Russia, Ukraine, the Middle East, lots of
• 1:38:51
  Speaker 2: other things breaking out at the moment. Why would God
• 1:38:54
  Speaker 2: let this happen?
• 1:38:56
  Speaker 1: What is the path to wisdom?
• 1:39:01
  Speaker 2: Struggle, pain, failure.
• 1:39:03
  Speaker 1: Yeah.
• 1:39:04
  Speaker 2: Can we just have the wisdom without that? Well, could you?
• 1:39:10
  Speaker 2: So we've got a lesson to learn.
• 1:39:11
  Speaker 1: We have many lessons to learn. But if you are
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 1: truly a spiritual person, You're thankful for this time because
• 1:39:20
  Speaker 1: this struggle, this suffering will allow us to transcend ourselves.
• 1:39:28
  Speaker 1: Are we here to make a lot of money and
• 1:39:31
  Speaker 1: drive fast cars? Are we here to learn what it
• 1:39:34
  Speaker 1: means to be truly human, to learn what love is,
• 1:39:39
  Speaker 1: to develop a deeper connection with God? I mean, I
• 1:39:44
  Speaker 1: think we're here first and foremost, to be truly human.
• 1:39:49
  Speaker 1: That means living a life of love, empathy, and imagination.
• 1:39:54
  Speaker 1: And so we go back to that formula where if
• 1:39:56
  Speaker 1: you have too much wealth, you have too much fame,
• 1:39:58
  Speaker 1: you have too much power, it's impossible for you to
• 1:40:02
  Speaker 1: truly have imagination, empathy, and love. So how do you
• 1:40:06
  Speaker 1: correct this? Well, you create a world of crises. Because
• 1:40:09
  Speaker 1: in a world of crises, everyone, you and me, we're
• 1:40:13
  Speaker 1: forced to look deep down and ask ourselves, what is
• 1:40:16
  Speaker 1: truly important to me? What gives me happiness? What is
• 1:40:22
  Speaker 1: meaning and purpose in my life? And I think the
• 1:40:25
  Speaker 1: answer is, it's my love for the people around me.
• 1:40:30
  Speaker 1: And that's the answer that we'll all come to. And
• 1:40:33
  Speaker 1: once we come to this answer, then I think that
• 1:40:35
  Speaker 1: is the great spiritual awakening that could possibly redeem all
• 1:40:38
  Speaker 1: of humanity.
• 1:40:40
  Speaker 2: Professor, what's the most pertinent thing that's front of mind
• 1:40:43
  Speaker 2: for you at the moment that we haven't talked about?
• 1:40:46
  Speaker 1: Well, I mean, we did talk about the coming conflict
• 1:40:49
  Speaker 1: between China and Japan, and I worry a lot about that.
• 1:40:52
  Speaker 2: What about AI? We didn't talk about that. And that's
• 1:40:54
  Speaker 2: kind of overlaid on all of the stories we've talked about,
• 1:40:56
  Speaker 2: because it's to do with robotics, it's energy, it's semiconductors, chips,
• 1:41:01
  Speaker 2: it's US, China. Yeah.
• 1:41:03
  Speaker 1: So that's a great question. And so if we go
• 1:41:06
  Speaker 1: back and talk about global supply chains, this formula is
• 1:41:09
  Speaker 1: very important to understand. Technology equals specialization times globalization. So
• 1:41:14
  Speaker 1: in a time when global supply chains are breaking down,
• 1:41:18
  Speaker 1: in a time of war, AI cannot make that leap
• 1:41:22
  Speaker 1: into AGI. So what will happen is AI will be
• 1:41:28
  Speaker 1: repurposed as a control grid. Rather than AI developing the
• 1:41:34
  Speaker 1: intelligence necessary to reduce scarcity, to solve the most pressing
• 1:41:41
  Speaker 1: medical problems of humanity, to solve climate change, AI will
• 1:41:45
  Speaker 1: be repurposed to monitor and surveil all of us.
• 1:41:52
  Speaker 2: I think that's going to happen irrespective of, you know,
• 1:41:55
  Speaker 2: I think governments are going to be increasingly interested in
• 1:41:59
  Speaker 2: and capable of monitoring all of us all the time.
• 1:42:01
  Speaker 2: Because we have cameras, we're here in New York City
• 1:42:03
  Speaker 2: at the moment, there's cameras everywhere. They're just a little
• 1:42:05
  Speaker 2: bit dumb. They don't really talk to each other.
• 1:42:08
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 1:42:09
  Speaker 2: With AI, they can all talk to each other.
• 1:42:10
  Speaker 1: That's right.
• 1:42:11
  Speaker 2: Professors walking down the street and he's off his way
• 1:42:13
  Speaker 2: to this hotel and now he's in a hotel.
• 1:42:15
  Speaker 1: I agree that is the most likely trend. But what
• 1:42:19
  Speaker 1: I'm saying is all these crises will accelerate this trend.
• 1:42:25
  Speaker 1: Because let's just say you have a siege of New
• 1:42:26
  Speaker 1: York City. Well, Palantir will use this opportunity to develop
• 1:42:31
  Speaker 1: autonomous drone warfare that is controlled by AI.
• 1:42:35
  Speaker 2: So is that your big concern with AI? Is it surveillance?
• 1:42:37
  Speaker 1: That's not the big risk I see. The big risk
• 1:42:40
  Speaker 1: I see is how AI can cheapen the human experience.
• 1:42:48
  Speaker 1: How AI is almost dehumanizing. Because what people like Elon
• 1:42:54
  Speaker 1: Musk and Peter Thiel and Sam Allman are saying is
• 1:42:57
  Speaker 1: computers are so much smarter than us. And it could
• 1:43:01
  Speaker 1: be true that AI... will eventually be able to do mathematics,
• 1:43:07
  Speaker 1: do medical diagnostics much more efficiently than we are. But ultimately,
• 1:43:12
  Speaker 1: we as humans, we're here to love, imagine, and be
• 1:43:16
  Speaker 1: kind to other people. And that is what the human
• 1:43:19
  Speaker 1: experience is. And if we focus too much on AI,
• 1:43:23
  Speaker 1: that diverts and distracts us from our true mission, which
• 1:43:27
  Speaker 1: is one of spiritual growth.
• 1:43:32
  Speaker 2: Our true mission. spiritual growth what do you um what
• 1:43:37
  Speaker 2: gives you.
• 1:43:38
  Speaker 1: Hope well the only thing that gives me hope um
• 1:43:44
  Speaker 1: um are my children right you met chris but i'm
• 1:43:51
  Speaker 1: here because of chris honestly if i didn't have children
• 1:43:56
  Speaker 1: First of all, I don't think I would be this
• 1:43:58
  Speaker 1: successful because I wouldn't have much purpose and meaning in
• 1:44:01
  Speaker 1: my life. But honestly, at the same time, I think
• 1:44:04
  Speaker 1: that while children, and I was suddenly this famous, I
• 1:44:08
  Speaker 1: would become very corrupted very fast. I would just focus
• 1:44:10
  Speaker 1: on the fame. I would try to make as much
• 1:44:12
  Speaker 1: money as possible because while children, the only purpose in
• 1:44:16
  Speaker 1: life is competition against others, right? To prove that I
• 1:44:19
  Speaker 1: am materially more successful than other people. And so I
• 1:44:22
  Speaker 1: would just try to... make as much money as possible
• 1:44:26
  Speaker 1: for myself in my 15 minutes of fame. But now
• 1:44:30
  Speaker 1: that I have children, I'm much more concerned about building
• 1:44:33
  Speaker 1: a legacy for them and setting a good example.
• 1:44:38
  Speaker 2: Are you worried about Chris's future?
• 1:44:39
  Speaker 1: I'm not.
• 1:44:40
  Speaker 2: You're not?
• 1:44:41
  Speaker 1: I'm not worried about his future. Why? Because my wife
• 1:44:45
  Speaker 1: and I have loved him to the best of our ability.
• 1:44:50
  Speaker 1: And the fact that we love him gives him the
• 1:44:53
  Speaker 1: confidence to live his life to the fullest. We see
• 1:44:58
  Speaker 1: every day Chris as a gift from God.
• 1:45:02
  Speaker 2: But if the world is collapsing, in your words, and
• 1:45:04
  Speaker 2: Chris is in that world, are you not concerned?
• 1:45:07
  Speaker 1: I'm not at all concerned. Because we are here in
• 1:45:13
  Speaker 1: order to have a spiritual awakening. And all the crises,
• 1:45:19
  Speaker 1: they will induce deep reflection in order for us to
• 1:45:23
  Speaker 1: fulfill our purpose. I don't know why Chris is here.
• 1:45:27
  Speaker 1: When Chris was two years old, he literally told us, mom, dad,
• 1:45:32
  Speaker 1: I'm from another world. And he named that world. And
• 1:45:36
  Speaker 1: I'm just an alien visiting you guys. And my wife
• 1:45:39
  Speaker 1: and I, we weren't surprised. We're like, we knew this, yeah.
• 1:45:42
  Speaker 1: We knew you were an alien. We knew you came
• 1:45:44
  Speaker 1: from another world. And we knew that you came here
• 1:45:46
  Speaker 1: to experience Humanity for all our faults and for all
• 1:45:52
  Speaker 1: our problems. And we see you, we love you, but
• 1:45:59
  Speaker 1: we will do whatever we can to empower you on
• 1:46:01
  Speaker 1: your mission. And we're going to try our best because
• 1:46:04
  Speaker 1: ultimately it's your life, it's your mission, and we cannot
• 1:46:08
  Speaker 1: ever control you. Love is about trust. Love is about liberation.
• 1:46:16
  Speaker 1: Liberation from your own anxieties. and liberation from the need
• 1:46:20
  Speaker 1: to control others.
• 1:46:23
  Speaker 2: Professor, we have a closing tradition where the last guest
• 1:46:25
  Speaker 2: leaves a question for the next, not knowing who they're
• 1:46:26
  Speaker 2: leaving it for. The question left for you is what
• 1:46:29
  Speaker 2: is your biggest challenge and how are you working on
• 1:46:32
  Speaker 2: fixing it?
• 1:46:34
  Speaker 1: My biggest challenge is my fear, my doubt, my paralysis.
• 1:46:42
  Speaker 1: I went to US border yesterday And now I'm afraid
• 1:46:48
  Speaker 1: that I will never be allowed back in the United
• 1:46:51
  Speaker 1: States after I leave. I'm afraid that I might get
• 1:46:54
  Speaker 1: banned from a lot of countries because all I do
• 1:46:56
  Speaker 1: is talk trash about different countries. I've talked trash about China.
• 1:47:00
  Speaker 1: I've talked trash about Canada. I've talked trash about the
• 1:47:03
  Speaker 1: United States. If I get banned from all three countries,
• 1:47:05
  Speaker 1: I'd be in a lot of trouble. And so my
• 1:47:09
  Speaker 1: constant challenge is to maintain my faith in God, maintain
• 1:47:14
  Speaker 1: my faith in my family, maintain... my faith and my purpose.
• 1:47:19
  Speaker 2: I hope you do. And you have a wonderful son.
• 1:47:21
  Speaker 2: He's so curious is the vibe that I got from him.
• 1:47:27
  Speaker 1: He's a gift from God.
• 1:47:29
  Speaker 2: Very, very curious. I just met him in the green
• 1:47:30
  Speaker 2: room then. And he was like, he's playing with some
• 1:47:33
  Speaker 2: Play-Doh and lots of toys and stuff like that. And
• 1:47:35
  Speaker 2: I'm not surprised that he is your son from the
• 1:47:37
  Speaker 2: 15 seconds I spent with him. Because he's very, very
• 1:47:40
  Speaker 2: curious and clearly going to be a very smart young man.
• 1:47:42
  Speaker 2: So congratulations.
• 1:47:44
  Speaker 1: Thank you.
• 1:47:45
  Speaker 2: YouTube have this new crazy algorithm where they know exactly
• 1:47:48
  Speaker 2: what video you would like to watch next based on
• 1:47:50
  Speaker 2: AI and all of your viewing behavior. And the algorithm
• 1:47:53
  Speaker 2: says that this video is the perfect video for you.
• 1:47:57
  Speaker 2: It's different for everybody looking right now. Check this video out.
• 1:48:00
  Speaker 2: I bet you, you might love it.