Latest / Toadstool Sports / NCAAB + NHL + NBA Best Bets Wednesday 12/3/25

Transcript

NCAAB + NHL + NBA Best Bets Wednesday 12/3/25 · Toadstool Sports

0:00
Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We are on
0:05
Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight
0:08
Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
0:11
Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
0:14
Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
0:17
Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
0:20
Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two
0:24
Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four,
0:28
Speaker 1: I have not had a good season. Man with wookends
0:33
Speaker 1: the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've
0:37
Speaker 1: reached a new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn my
0:41
Speaker 1: browins hat man, I don't know what is going on
0:43
Speaker 1: with the Bruins. Arch eight? Is that what it is?
0:46
Speaker 1: I don't even know it's March ninth? I think who
0:50
Speaker 1: even knows? Man, I don't know what day it is anymore.
0:52
Speaker 1: I don't even know what data is anymore. Man, back
0:55
Speaker 1: with you after the worst day that I could possibly have,
0:59
Speaker 1: Back with you as I always am until I die
1:02
Speaker 1: at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday did not
1:06
Speaker 1: go well for me. Own five the worst month that
1:10
Speaker 1: I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this. I
1:13
Speaker 1: don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
1:15
Speaker 1: To the slump, the slump discontinues, the slump continues. Somebody
1:20
Speaker 1: fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what I
1:24
Speaker 1: should do at this point other than potentially end it all.
1:31
Speaker 1: These losses stay with me, they fester. Jerry, what's up, everybody?
1:36
Speaker 1: It's towed back with you toads still sports? Whatever day?
1:39
Speaker 1: This is? Who cares? Wednesday, December third, something like that?
1:45
Speaker 1: Uh yeah, what what do you want me to say?
1:49
Speaker 1: I don't know what you want me to say about yesterday.
1:51
Speaker 1: I don't think I was wrong about either NBA game.
1:54
Speaker 1: I'm absolutely outraged. Uh I should not have good enout Stonehill.
1:59
Speaker 1: I mean Stonehill, they suck ass. That was a loser. Whatever.
2:04
Speaker 1: We got an outright win with Syracuse winning as the
2:07
Speaker 1: underdog straight up. That was good. East Tennessee State didn't
2:12
Speaker 1: get there. I mean they missed by like a couple
2:14
Speaker 1: of points. Probably that was not that far off. Iowa.
2:18
Speaker 1: I don't know what happened to them. They didn't even
2:20
Speaker 1: show up. Basically, bad call. I just don't know what
2:24
Speaker 1: to tell you. I've got to avoid teams playing their
2:27
Speaker 1: first true road game man, even if it is within conference,
2:30
Speaker 1: seemed like it was a good call. But no, Valpo
2:34
Speaker 1: almost got the outright win. They easily covered. So that
2:37
Speaker 1: was a wins through two and three in college basketball
2:40
Speaker 1: with an outright winner, which I'll take that. I mean,
2:43
Speaker 1: that's I mean, well, I don't want to say I'll
2:46
Speaker 1: take that. But it could be worse. I mean, if
2:49
Speaker 1: that's like, if that's your losing day, it's only a
2:52
Speaker 1: slight loss in college basketball, that's not too bad. Both
2:56
Speaker 1: NBA games should have won. Toronto was blowing Oh, the
3:00
Speaker 1: Trailblazers think Toronto was blowing them out of the building.
3:03
Speaker 1: Toronto was winning that game by like almost twenty points
3:06
Speaker 1: in like the into the fourth quarter probably, and then
3:09
Speaker 1: they somehow didn't cover. I have no idea what happened
3:13
Speaker 1: in that game, no clue, absolutely no clue. I stopped
3:17
Speaker 1: paying attention. I'm like, well, that's a winner. That game's over.
3:21
Speaker 1: Thanks Toronto, thank you very much for that. And then
3:24
Speaker 1: not Memphis. I mean, they were losing at various points
3:29
Speaker 1: in the game. They came back, they took the lead,
3:31
Speaker 1: they had the lead with three minutes left in the
3:33
Speaker 1: game or something like that, and then they didn't cover either. Thanks,
3:37
Speaker 1: thanks a lot for that fucking bullshit. So yeah, I mean,
3:42
Speaker 1: everybody should just leave the stream right now. I don't
3:44
Speaker 1: know why you would listen to me about what I
3:46
Speaker 1: have to say about today. I'm gonna be really selective today.
3:49
Speaker 1: I'm gonna get up three college basketball plays, two NBA,
3:55
Speaker 1: and one of them I don't even think we're getting
3:57
Speaker 1: value on the number anymore. And I just don't care
4:00
Speaker 1: because I'm playing the spot blindly and I'm just I
4:03
Speaker 1: don't care, and I'm not gonna get two days in
4:07
Speaker 1: a row. I don't have any hockey plays, so if
4:09
Speaker 1: you like hockey, well too bad, because I don't. There's
4:14
Speaker 1: just nothing else that I can say about that. They
4:19
Speaker 1: played better defense. Yeah, okay, they were losing the game
4:21
Speaker 1: with three minutes to go, and they got out rebounded
4:25
Speaker 1: in the game. Both of my picks yesterday won the
4:27
Speaker 1: rebound battle by like a substantial margin, and that is
4:30
Speaker 1: the biggest that's like the the most sustainable and most
4:36
Speaker 1: predictive metric. So I don't know what else to say
4:40
Speaker 1: about that. I was not wrong about either one of
4:42
Speaker 1: those calls. That's all I have to say about that,
4:45
Speaker 1: dirty sock Jeffrey, what's up? Whatever? You're up too much
4:49
Speaker 1: money yet? Well you're about to start losing all of it.
4:53
Speaker 1: This is fucking bullshit. Whatever, college basketball, We're gonna have
4:58
Speaker 1: some conference games, some of these if we're not officially
5:02
Speaker 1: into conference play yet, but there are gonna be some
5:03
Speaker 1: conference games today. There are a couple of games at noon.
5:07
Speaker 1: Who cares Arkansas Pine Bluff? Do we really want to
5:10
Speaker 1: watch that team against u C? I don't know what
5:13
Speaker 1: to tell you about this game. I have no opinion
5:15
Speaker 1: on this game at all. I'm just pointing it out
5:18
Speaker 1: because it is dude, what what is this shit like?
5:23
Speaker 1: Are we seeing this right now? Or is this like
5:26
Speaker 1: a win? I don't know. Was that a Windows thing
5:27
Speaker 1: or is that a Firefox thing? I don't know what
5:29
Speaker 1: that thing was that just came up on my screen.
5:31
Speaker 1: I am beyond irritated right now. What game is this?
5:35
Speaker 1: I don't even care? Pine Bluff? Yeah, they suck. The
5:38
Speaker 1: money's coming in on them. For what it's worth, the
5:40
Speaker 1: u C is down to a sixteen point favorite, sixty
5:43
Speaker 1: two percent of the tickets on them fifty nine now,
5:46
Speaker 1: sixty nine percent of the cash on Pine Bluff. Yeah,
5:49
Speaker 1: I'm not gonna be recommending Pine Bluff there whatever, I
5:52
Speaker 1: don't really have an opinion on it. Is Illinois Chicago
5:55
Speaker 1: in a bad spot. I mean maybe it's a look
5:58
Speaker 1: ahead to Yale. I I have nothing else to say
6:01
Speaker 1: about that. And Tennessee Tech is playing at Lipscomb also
6:04
Speaker 1: at twelve. One of the worst college names that there is.
6:08
Speaker 1: Tennessee Tech on my bad side because they gave up
6:11
Speaker 1: one hundred and twenty three fucking points and couldn't cover
6:14
Speaker 1: against Georgia, so great way to go guys. Now they're
6:19
Speaker 1: playing a fourth straight road game, although they've been battle
6:23
Speaker 1: tested at least playing Kentucky and Georgia prior to this.
6:26
Speaker 1: Lipscomb coming up a nice win over CMO. I mean,
6:31
Speaker 1: I guess if I was if I was gonna recommend
6:34
Speaker 1: a play in this game, I would recommend taking the
6:36
Speaker 1: points with Tennessee Tech. I won't do it, But Lipscomb
6:40
Speaker 1: is down to a nine point favorite, seventy eight percent
6:41
Speaker 1: of tickets on them, sixty three percent of the cash
6:44
Speaker 1: on Tennessee Tech. I don't disagree, but yeah, I mean
6:49
Speaker 1: that's what that's what I have to say about that
6:53
Speaker 1: you won on the Avs. Yeah, but that's the thing
6:55
Speaker 1: like everybody knows the Avs. I mean, I thought they
6:58
Speaker 1: would win yesterday, but the like, you're not gonna win
7:02
Speaker 1: money on that team long term because they're charging you
7:04
Speaker 1: like a ridiculous premium to play that team. Because everybody
7:07
Speaker 1: knows that team is the best team in hockey. So
7:10
Speaker 1: I would not recommend playing on them consistently. It's got
7:14
Speaker 1: to be about the spot on. Northeastern is going to
7:17
Speaker 1: Worcester to play holy Cross. I'm just shouting it out
7:19
Speaker 1: because these are my teams in my area. Northeastern coming
7:24
Speaker 1: off a decent performance against wake Forest, they only lost
7:27
Speaker 1: by thirteen. Going out to holy Cross, I mean, I
7:31
Speaker 1: don't know. Maybe they won't pay as much attention to
7:33
Speaker 1: this game with holy Cross. Holy Cross is very bad,
7:38
Speaker 1: but they might step it up because they consider Northeastern
7:40
Speaker 1: to be a bigger brother in the state of Massachusetts.
7:45
Speaker 1: Holy Cross just beat Worcester State, which, by the way,
7:48
Speaker 1: Worcester State was they were the school that we got
7:52
Speaker 1: some of our some of our players from for my
7:56
Speaker 1: intramural team, and Worcester State was not my school, so
8:00
Speaker 1: we got in trouble for having dudes from another school
8:05
Speaker 1: on our team, which was not allowed in that league.
8:08
Speaker 1: And then I stacked our team with ringers from our school.
8:13
Speaker 1: That was fun, including a seven footer who was on
8:17
Speaker 1: the actual basketball team at my school and quit because
8:21
Speaker 1: he hated the coach. I'm like, hey, you want to
8:22
Speaker 1: play intramural? Yeah, all right? And then I don't know
8:25
Speaker 1: this other guy who I guess was on some like
8:27
Speaker 1: Turkish national team, who one of our players was just
8:30
Speaker 1: just happen to be roommates with this guy. He's like, yeah,
8:34
Speaker 1: by the way, my roommates like played for this Turkish
8:36
Speaker 1: national team. I'm like, why is he not on our
8:38
Speaker 1: team right now? Oh? Because he only wants to play
8:40
Speaker 1: if they're women in the crowd, and there are no
8:42
Speaker 1: women at the school. Okay, well whatever, he's gonna play
8:45
Speaker 1: for us anyway. Yeah, but anyway, Yes, holy Cross beat
8:49
Speaker 1: Wooster State, which they're not a D one team, but
8:51
Speaker 1: that at least breaks a losing streak for them, so
8:55
Speaker 1: I think it's a more positive spot for them. My lean,
8:57
Speaker 1: and this would be to taking the points with holy Cross.
9:00
Speaker 1: Northeastern was up to a seven and a half point favorite,
9:03
Speaker 1: but whatever. Yeah. Yeah, seven footer who was his freshman year,
9:11
Speaker 1: he was on my floor freshman year and he his
9:15
Speaker 1: roommate was also on the basketball team and he was
9:19
Speaker 1: like the starting center on the basketball team his freshman
9:22
Speaker 1: year and then left the team because the coach. He
9:26
Speaker 1: didn't get along with the coach. The coach was hardcore man.
9:30
Speaker 1: We also had a pe requirement at my school and
9:33
Speaker 1: I took basketball for one of those classes, and it
9:38
Speaker 1: was the teacher for that class was literally the basketball
9:42
Speaker 1: coach and he ran it like he was coaching the team.
9:46
Speaker 1: It was pretty insane. It was pretty intense. I don't know.
9:51
Speaker 1: I had some of my best basketball players during that class.
9:54
Speaker 1: Got it. Got a few blocks, which as a short man,
9:58
Speaker 1: that was not my specialty. My specialty was shooting. Right
10:02
Speaker 1: State and Youngstown State is actually a conference game up
10:06
Speaker 1: at six thirty pm. This is a Horizon League game.
10:09
Speaker 1: Interesting game. Both these teams I believe are in Ohio.
10:12
Speaker 1: They don't like each other. Youngstown is the better of
10:16
Speaker 1: the two teams though, and they are at home. Uh.
10:19
Speaker 1: There isn't really a situational angle here where I would
10:21
Speaker 1: say some team one of these team is in a
10:23
Speaker 1: bad spot. Really, the Right State did just play Butler,
10:26
Speaker 1: but they couldn't even come close to beating them. So
10:29
Speaker 1: I think both teams are showing up for this one.
10:31
Speaker 1: Youngstown is a three point favorite at home. They're the
10:33
Speaker 1: better team. I would probably lay it with the Youngstown
10:36
Speaker 1: in that one. But I know all my opinions yesterday
10:39
Speaker 1: were wrong. All right, yeah, yeah, inside, I want to
10:44
Speaker 1: kill myself. That's me every day right now, all right,
10:50
Speaker 1: best bets time already. Well, the first best bet is
10:53
Speaker 1: coming up right now. I don't know what I'm doing,
10:57
Speaker 1: so I don't know why you would listen to me. Again,
10:58
Speaker 1: I'm trying to be really select. If you're we're gonna
11:01
Speaker 1: take Minnesota plus ten and a half in college basketball
11:05
Speaker 1: here starting out the seven PM slate, we're gonna fade Indiana.
11:08
Speaker 1: Indiana has cracked into the top twenty five. They're a
11:11
Speaker 1: basketball school, they're undefeated. Everybody's gonna want Indiana here. But
11:15
Speaker 1: I'm looking at I'm looking at their resume and I'm like,
11:18
Speaker 1: I'm not impressed yet by this resume. Okay, Like, they
11:22
Speaker 1: beat Marquette. We saw what Marquette did last night. I mean,
11:24
Speaker 1: this Marquette team, they're not that good. And then they
11:28
Speaker 1: also beat Kansas State, who's also kind of a down program.
11:31
Speaker 1: Right now. So those are Indiana's signature wins right now. Okay,
11:36
Speaker 1: I mean, I'm not saying Indiana is bad. They're not,
11:39
Speaker 1: but they haven't really been tested yet. This is their
11:41
Speaker 1: first true road game, so you know, that's difficult. And
11:44
Speaker 1: Indiana likes to play fast. Minnesota wants to play slow,
11:48
Speaker 1: and usually the home team can control the pace and
11:51
Speaker 1: it's easier to slow the game down. Even if you're
11:54
Speaker 1: the lesser team, which Minnesota is, it's still easier to
11:57
Speaker 1: slow the game down. So that's gonna help Minnesota get
12:00
Speaker 1: in under this number as a big underdog here. And
12:03
Speaker 1: Indiana might have a little eye looking ahead here because
12:06
Speaker 1: they do have Louisville up next. I mean, I know
12:08
Speaker 1: this is a big ten opener, but this game is
12:10
Speaker 1: just much bigger to Minnesota right now. Man, Indiana's got
12:14
Speaker 1: Louisville looming on the horizon. If Indiana really wants to
12:16
Speaker 1: prove themselves, that's a game that they want. So I
12:20
Speaker 1: like Minnesota here. I mean, it's the conference opener for
12:23
Speaker 1: both teams. Minnesota they're on a three game losing streak,
12:28
Speaker 1: so I actually think being back home, like being back
12:30
Speaker 1: home in college is totally different from professional sports. Because
12:34
Speaker 1: in professional sports, these guys are married. They got families.
12:37
Speaker 1: To get back to college not really the same thing college.
12:41
Speaker 1: I think it's good to be back on campus sometimes
12:43
Speaker 1: back on your own floor. Minnesota just went out to
12:45
Speaker 1: California and they lost all three games out there to
12:48
Speaker 1: San Francisco, Stanford, and Santa Clara. I'm not gonna knock
12:52
Speaker 1: them too much for losing those games. I mean, it's
12:53
Speaker 1: tough to go out to the Pacific Coast. None of
12:56
Speaker 1: those teams are really that bad. I think Stanford is
12:59
Speaker 1: actually the worst of the three, believe it or not.
13:01
Speaker 1: Minnesota does also have a lost in Missouri on the road,
13:04
Speaker 1: but I'm really not gonna knock them that much for
13:06
Speaker 1: that either. Yes, I know Minnesota does not have any
13:08
Speaker 1: good wins. I understand that their wins are all against
13:11
Speaker 1: terrible teams. That's true. And I know Indiana is better
13:16
Speaker 1: than maybe all the teams that they've faced so far.
13:18
Speaker 1: But this is gonna be a situation where they're back
13:21
Speaker 1: at home. They're gonna step up their game for this.
13:23
Speaker 1: The style will play could get them in under this
13:25
Speaker 1: number in my opinion, and Indiana, again, they just haven't
13:30
Speaker 1: been tested yet. Like I said, the money seems to
13:32
Speaker 1: agree with me on this. Fifty nine percent of tickets,
13:34
Speaker 1: eighty four percent of the cash on Minnesota. That's what
13:37
Speaker 1: we're gonna do. The total is fairly low at one
13:39
Speaker 1: hundred and forty four and a half, so the odds
13:41
Speaker 1: maker is it has gone up a little bit, though,
13:43
Speaker 1: But the odds makers are kind of telling you they
13:46
Speaker 1: kind of think Minnesota is gonna be the team that
13:48
Speaker 1: could control the pace a little bit more in this
13:50
Speaker 1: one with a lower total there, So that's what we're doing.
13:55
Speaker 1: Ken Bombers, he has Indiana in the top twenty five,
13:57
Speaker 1: so they're about ranked appropriately. It's just that I don't
14:00
Speaker 1: think the spot is good for them, man, and they're
14:02
Speaker 1: more of a defensive team than an offensive team this year.
14:04
Speaker 1: I know Minnesota is bad, they're not even in the
14:06
Speaker 1: top one hundred, I get it, But they play like
14:09
Speaker 1: outrageously slow, and they're at least a balanced team, Like
14:13
Speaker 1: they're not totally lopsided towards defense or offense. They're exactly
14:17
Speaker 1: one hundred eighteen or exason one hundred and twenty second
14:20
Speaker 1: in both offense and defense. Uh, but they play one
14:23
Speaker 1: of the ten slowest paces in all of college basketball,
14:26
Speaker 1: which I think could frustrate Indiana. I could keep Minnesota
14:29
Speaker 1: within this number. So that's where we're going with Minnesota,
14:33
Speaker 1: all right, Man, I don't know what else I was
14:38
Speaker 1: gonna talk about here, Like these some of these games
14:40
Speaker 1: are just I mean, I when I start digging into
14:42
Speaker 1: these games, I find I find some areas of interest,
14:46
Speaker 1: but then I kind of I kind of forget, like
14:48
Speaker 1: which games I actually found to be interesting. I mean,
14:51
Speaker 1: if you want me to talk about one of these
14:52
Speaker 1: games I haven't talked about, you can ask. I probably
14:55
Speaker 1: won't have much of an opinion on it. Though. New
14:58
Speaker 1: Hampshire and Diret Meth is a New Hand Hampshire battle here. Now.
15:02
Speaker 1: I have conflicting opinions on this because New Hampshire just
15:05
Speaker 1: went into Fairfield and almost pulled off an upset there
15:08
Speaker 1: in Connecticut. That would have been a big win for them.
15:11
Speaker 1: But you know, they're gonna be focused on Dartmouth because
15:14
Speaker 1: unh is I mean, they're just bad, and I think
15:17
Speaker 1: they just always consider Dartmouth to be a bigger brother
15:19
Speaker 1: to them in the state of New Hampshire. So I
15:22
Speaker 1: think New Hampshire is still going to try to show
15:24
Speaker 1: up for this. So Whereas normally I would say this
15:26
Speaker 1: is gonna be a hangover spot after that performance against Fairfield,
15:30
Speaker 1: I'm not so sure that it is. But I mean,
15:33
Speaker 1: Dartmouth is definitely the better team. Dartmouth is not exactly
15:36
Speaker 1: in a bad spot here and may want to just
15:40
Speaker 1: kind of knock down their little brother here. So I
15:43
Speaker 1: want to disagree with the Dartmouth side. I would probably
15:45
Speaker 1: still lean towards laying it the nine and a half,
15:47
Speaker 1: just because New Hampshire is coming off a big effort already,
15:50
Speaker 1: They're gonna have to put up another one. But I
15:52
Speaker 1: have some hesitations with it, all right. I'm just trying
15:59
Speaker 1: to think of, like which other games they even had
16:00
Speaker 1: any opinion on Queen's University. By the way, shout out
16:04
Speaker 1: to them, because other coach follows me on Twitter. He
16:09
Speaker 1: became noteworthy over the weekend for wearing a ridiculous ugly sweater.
16:14
Speaker 1: It was a Thanksgiving ugly sweater. Hold on a second,
16:19
Speaker 1: I gotta look and see I gotta remember his name.
16:24
Speaker 1: Let me see her. What was his name again? Shout
16:27
Speaker 1: out to this guy. Crap. I think my followers I
16:30
Speaker 1: think are not in Oh. I was gonna say, I
16:35
Speaker 1: think they're not in chronological order anymore here, because I
16:37
Speaker 1: was gonna shout this guy out. What is his name,
16:40
Speaker 1: Grant Leonard? There he is, Yeah, he follows me. A
16:42
Speaker 1: head coach of Queen's. I like that guy. Shout out
16:45
Speaker 1: to that guy. Man, he's fun. Love the ugly sweater vibe.
16:50
Speaker 1: Just shouting him out for that reason, Queens. I forgot
16:53
Speaker 1: to talk about Queens over the weekend. By the way,
16:55
Speaker 1: I thought they would cover against Virginia because Virginia is
16:58
Speaker 1: just a team of player is very slow and they
17:01
Speaker 1: don't usually cover big numbers. I was wrong. Good thing.
17:03
Speaker 1: I didn't even talk about it. But now you know,
17:07
Speaker 1: Queens is coming off a blowout at loss and now
17:09
Speaker 1: they're back at home. Maybe they're gonna have some frustrations
17:13
Speaker 1: to take out here against I mean, they're playing an
17:15
Speaker 1: awful Gardner Web team, so I don't know. I mean,
17:18
Speaker 1: if it's a situation where Queens is gonna show up,
17:20
Speaker 1: they should win this game by margin. But I don't know.
17:23
Speaker 1: I mean, there were fourteen and a half way favorite,
17:25
Speaker 1: which was a high total. Like that isn't really that
17:27
Speaker 1: much to ask. So for Grant Leonard, I'll shout them out.
17:32
Speaker 1: Maybe Queens we'll be able to get that Donald though,
17:34
Speaker 1: it's still kind of difficult to come off getting up
17:36
Speaker 1: emotionally for a game against Virginia. So I don't know.
17:43
Speaker 1: Grant Leonard, Yeah yeah, I mean we don't want to
17:50
Speaker 1: get him fired. Man, he's a solid dude. No, Minnesota
17:55
Speaker 1: is not my only play. I'm gonna have three what else.
18:00
Speaker 1: I don't even know what other games I was going
18:01
Speaker 1: to talk about today, Man, there are some conference games
18:05
Speaker 1: mixed in here. Austin pen and Kent State might be
18:08
Speaker 1: one of the better games of the day. Like, both
18:10
Speaker 1: of these teams are actually not bad. Austin p pretty
18:14
Speaker 1: battle tested. They won for us in their last game
18:16
Speaker 1: with an easy cover against Northern Illinois. But it's gonna
18:20
Speaker 1: be a step up in class to have to go
18:21
Speaker 1: on the road to face Kent State, who is one
18:23
Speaker 1: of the best teams in the MAC. Kent State just
18:26
Speaker 1: put up over one hundred points against some non Division
18:28
Speaker 1: one team, which maybe makes them look too good or
18:31
Speaker 1: maybe they just continue their momentum here. Kent State's obviously
18:35
Speaker 1: going to be the favorite here, but I mean, these
18:37
Speaker 1: are both pretty good teams. They're a nine point favorite here.
18:41
Speaker 1: I don't know which way I would even lean in
18:43
Speaker 1: that game. And I guess when it's a situation that
18:45
Speaker 1: you do want to lead towards the better team. But
18:47
Speaker 1: I think I don't know that game is interesting to
18:49
Speaker 1: me because I think both teams are not that bad.
18:53
Speaker 1: All right, We got to let me see what other
18:56
Speaker 1: games we have there in is it? I think Cleveland
18:59
Speaker 1: State and Northern Kentucky might be a conference game. I
19:01
Speaker 1: believe it is, right. Yeah, so the Horizon League is
19:05
Speaker 1: getting going. Man not officially in conference play yet, Like
19:08
Speaker 1: these teams are going to be non conference again for
19:10
Speaker 1: a little while after this. We have some early season
19:13
Speaker 1: conference games. There have already been a few which I
19:15
Speaker 1: didn't really shout out, but Northern Kentucky. Theiy're off to
19:19
Speaker 1: a really nice start, I mean six and two. One
19:21
Speaker 1: of their losses to Tennessee as well, then they lost
19:24
Speaker 1: the game after that, maybe kind of lose the game twice. Situation,
19:27
Speaker 1: they're undefeated at home. Cleveland State's not a very good team,
19:31
Speaker 1: so Northern Kentucky probably should take care of business here.
19:34
Speaker 1: Cleveland State just got blown out at Missouri, I mean
19:37
Speaker 1: no shock there, but coming back from Missouri and having
19:42
Speaker 1: to play this pretty good Northern Kentucky team. I don't
19:45
Speaker 1: really see it. Northern Kentucky is favored by this much
19:47
Speaker 1: for a reason. Eleven and a half money seems to
19:50
Speaker 1: be kind of coming back in against them. But I
19:53
Speaker 1: don't think I would want to take Cleveland State here.
19:55
Speaker 1: Sixty percent of tickets on Northern Kentucky only fifty six
19:58
Speaker 1: percent of the cash. I don't know in that situation,
20:01
Speaker 1: I would kind of want to lean towards laying the points.
20:05
Speaker 1: Ipf W is at Oakland, which this is another conference
20:08
Speaker 1: game horizon, a lot of conference action going on. Oakland
20:13
Speaker 1: just went into Montana and pulled off kind of a
20:15
Speaker 1: mild upset in Montana. So does that mean they're gonna
20:18
Speaker 1: be in a letdown spot coming off of that. I
20:20
Speaker 1: don't know, because usually you are still gonna step up
20:22
Speaker 1: for your home opener. So, like I was thinking about, oh,
20:24
Speaker 1: maybe I want to fade Oakland here, but I started
20:27
Speaker 1: looking at it more, I'm like, eh, I don't really
20:30
Speaker 1: think so, I mean, I don't I don't have an
20:33
Speaker 1: opinion on the other side, or actually I don't have
20:35
Speaker 1: an opinion on the Oakland side. But you know, it's
20:38
Speaker 1: still gonna be difficult to come back from pulling off
20:40
Speaker 1: an upset in Montana, but they'll probably be up for
20:43
Speaker 1: a home opener conference opener. Oakland is very battle tested
20:47
Speaker 1: as well, so they're not as bad as their record looks.
20:49
Speaker 1: Because they lost to Michigan Purdue at Houston right out
20:52
Speaker 1: of the gate, so they played some and they played
20:54
Speaker 1: UCF in there too, so they played some pretty good
20:56
Speaker 1: teams ipf W, I mean, they played some difficult teams
20:59
Speaker 1: as well, not as difficult, but Grand Canon, Ohio State, Utah,
21:03
Speaker 1: and Saint louis not exactly an easy schedule for them either.
21:09
Speaker 1: Probably would still lean to IPFW in this one, but
21:12
Speaker 1: the money is disagreeing. Oakland is a seven point favorite,
21:14
Speaker 1: eighty eight percent of the cash on them, sixty seven
21:17
Speaker 1: percent of tickets on IPFW. I mean, I don't know.
21:21
Speaker 1: I think basically the public is looking at this is
21:24
Speaker 1: probably saying, why is Oakland a three three and five team?
21:27
Speaker 1: Why are they like favored by seven points? You know,
21:30
Speaker 1: it looks weird, but as I showed to you, Oakland's
21:32
Speaker 1: had a very difficult schedule, so they are most likely
21:37
Speaker 1: indeed the better team here. But in a situation like this,
21:40
Speaker 1: I don't know. I'm kind of lean towards fading them,
21:42
Speaker 1: but not really a strong opinion at all. All Right,
21:48
Speaker 1: Central Connecticut, Seaton Hall. This one came close to being
21:51
Speaker 1: a play for me. Seaton Hall. They just played in
21:54
Speaker 1: Hawaii and they took third place out in Hawaii and Maui,
21:58
Speaker 1: beating Washington Stanton Washington State. It's no good this year.
22:01
Speaker 1: Seton Hall looks like they're maybe back on the on
22:04
Speaker 1: the rise after they're really bad the last couple of years.
22:07
Speaker 1: But nice win for Seton Hall, nice tournament appearance out
22:13
Speaker 1: there to take third place there, their only loss out
22:15
Speaker 1: there being a two point loss to USC. So Seton
22:18
Speaker 1: Hall and I was wrong about USC last night, I
22:21
Speaker 1: was wrong about everything seenh Hall. I mean having to
22:23
Speaker 1: come back to the mainland from that and face Central
22:26
Speaker 1: Connecticut and now up next they have to play Kansas
22:29
Speaker 1: State in three days, a much bigger game. It's a
22:33
Speaker 1: bad spot, dude. I mean it basically looks like Sandwich
22:35
Speaker 1: spot to me here. Seton Hall also plays ugly slow,
22:40
Speaker 1: so taking the points it means a lot more in
22:41
Speaker 1: a game like this, Central Connecticut coming off some win
22:45
Speaker 1: against non Division one team to just kind of continue
22:48
Speaker 1: their momentum after Central Connecticut had a bad game in
22:51
Speaker 1: the prior game against Sacred Heart, which we had Sacred
22:55
Speaker 1: Heart on the show. In that game that covered for
22:57
Speaker 1: us because Central Connett it was just coming off that
23:01
Speaker 1: monster upset of Rutgers. But Rutgers is kind of similar
23:04
Speaker 1: to Seton Hall, man. I mean, they're both in New Jersey,
23:07
Speaker 1: they both are ugly Big Conference teams, and they both
23:10
Speaker 1: play slow. Though Seton Hall I think it is better
23:12
Speaker 1: than Rutgers, but there is some precedent here. Central Connecticut
23:16
Speaker 1: did also go in and beat BC on the road too.
23:18
Speaker 1: So Central Connecticut both Power Conference teams, and they played
23:22
Speaker 1: so far on the road they beat them outright. I
23:25
Speaker 1: mean I'm pretty tempted actually to do this, you know,
23:27
Speaker 1: even though the fact that they won both those games outrighter,
23:31
Speaker 1: I mean, those are outliers. But Seaton Hall is down
23:34
Speaker 1: from seventeen to sixteen here, I'm pretty tempted to add this, man.
23:41
Speaker 1: I mean, Seton Hall ken Bum has them in like
23:43
Speaker 1: the thirty slowest teams. I mean, that's not a surprise.
23:46
Speaker 1: Their offenses outside of the top one hundred. They played
23:48
Speaker 1: good defense. It's gonna be a low scoring game, and
23:51
Speaker 1: the total in this game is ridiculous. It's one hundred
23:53
Speaker 1: and twenty nine and a half. That is so low.
23:57
Speaker 1: Let me see here, oh, Central Connecticut was Yeah, I
24:01
Speaker 1: mean ken Bum has them at two hundred and forty
24:03
Speaker 1: in the country, has a fourteenth and it's luck index,
24:06
Speaker 1: which isn't good. It means they're overperforming. But that's because
24:09
Speaker 1: they pulled off those two upsets. And if you pick
24:11
Speaker 1: them here or take them here, you don't need them
24:13
Speaker 1: win the game outright. They're pretty bad offensively too, but
24:16
Speaker 1: they do play decently defensively, you know. Yeah, let's add
24:24
Speaker 1: a fourth play? Why not? I was thinking about it.
24:27
Speaker 1: The more I dig into this game, I'm like, yeah,
24:30
Speaker 1: I kind of like it. Let's let's do it. Let's
24:33
Speaker 1: take Central Connecticut. I mean, I'm not impressed by Seaton
24:37
Speaker 1: Hall really, so we can get sixteen and a half
24:40
Speaker 1: on this right now. It looks like it's some spots still.
24:43
Speaker 1: I don't know how, but the numbers kind of all
24:45
Speaker 1: over the place. All right, I'm adding this into my
24:49
Speaker 1: tracker right now. Hang on, sixteen and a half. Yeah,
24:53
Speaker 1: let's do it, all right, So there's another play for you.
24:59
Speaker 1: Hold on, I'm atting it right now, Central Connecticut plus
25:06
Speaker 1: sixteen and a half. I mean, I think if you
25:09
Speaker 1: if you find it at sixteen or whatever, I mean,
25:11
Speaker 1: there's not much of a difference there, So we will
25:15
Speaker 1: go with that one as well, all right. And by
25:20
Speaker 1: the way, as far as totals are concerned, I forgot
25:22
Speaker 1: I skipped over on this iupuy game against the Trent Mercy.
25:27
Speaker 1: I mean, if you see the total in this game,
25:29
Speaker 1: it's one hundred and eighty two and a half and
25:32
Speaker 1: the money coming in all in the over basically with
25:34
Speaker 1: the public kind of not wanting to take the over
25:36
Speaker 1: here because that total is so insane. But I think
25:40
Speaker 1: if I were if I was gonna play that game,
25:42
Speaker 1: I think I would play the over. I mean, iep
25:45
Speaker 1: U y. That's what they do, you know what they
25:47
Speaker 1: do at this point. They play as fast as possible
25:50
Speaker 1: and they play absolutely no defense. So I mean, it's
25:53
Speaker 1: absolutely ridiculous how high that total is. It's yeah, insane,
25:58
Speaker 1: all right. We have another mass Houset's battle out in Amherst,
26:01
Speaker 1: mass between Haved and U Mass. I think Harvard considers
26:07
Speaker 1: themselves to be a little brother in this situation, even
26:11
Speaker 1: though they've made some noise in the IVY. You know,
26:14
Speaker 1: kind of on and off. Harvard's coming off an ugly
26:17
Speaker 1: game against Bryant where they barely won. And you know,
26:21
Speaker 1: I think Harvard they were coming off playing some Boston teams.
26:23
Speaker 1: They lost to BEATU that was a win for us
26:25
Speaker 1: on the show, lost to Boston College as well. Bounce
26:29
Speaker 1: back though with a win over Brian at least end
26:31
Speaker 1: They're losing momentum, So I think that was kind of
26:34
Speaker 1: a sandwich spot sandwiched in between all these Massachusetts teams.
26:38
Speaker 1: So I think maybe they just didn't totally take a
26:41
Speaker 1: Rhode Island team seriously. Oh no, so Bryant covered in
26:45
Speaker 1: that game. Harvard got the win. Nonetheless, Now they have
26:48
Speaker 1: some momentum going out to U Mass. I think Harvard
26:51
Speaker 1: will be focused here. I mean, you Mass. Ever since
26:54
Speaker 1: you know the John cal paradays and whatever. U Mass
26:56
Speaker 1: Has pretty much been the big brother in this situation.
27:00
Speaker 1: You Mass. They're coming off actually going out to I
27:03
Speaker 1: think they played in where was this the Virgin Islands. Yeah,
27:07
Speaker 1: they're coming back from a tournament in the Virgin Islands
27:09
Speaker 1: where they won the final game of that. They played
27:12
Speaker 1: in the tournament. They didn't play well in the tournament.
27:14
Speaker 1: They got a win in the last game against Oregon State,
27:18
Speaker 1: pretty big win because Oregon State used to be a
27:20
Speaker 1: pack twelve teams. Even though they're not really good right now,
27:23
Speaker 1: that's still a pretty big win for an A ten
27:25
Speaker 1: team like U Mass. So now they're coming off of
27:27
Speaker 1: that coming back home. I know they've had a lot
27:29
Speaker 1: of time off they had, you know, they probably went
27:32
Speaker 1: home for the holidays, and now they're back out on campus,
27:35
Speaker 1: so they've had a plenty of break here. But I
27:38
Speaker 1: kind of like Harvard in the spot, I would take
27:40
Speaker 1: the points U Mass down from five to four and
27:43
Speaker 1: a half seventy eight percent to take US ninety four
27:45
Speaker 1: percent of the cash on U Mass. But U Mass
27:48
Speaker 1: looks public. I mean, I don't know what the percentages
27:50
Speaker 1: are gonna look like when the game goes off, but
27:53
Speaker 1: my lean would be towards taking the points in that one.
27:56
Speaker 1: We'll see if I'm a Massachusetts school whisper. I don't
28:00
Speaker 1: think I really am, but you know, maybe I should
28:02
Speaker 1: be all right under and Spurs magic. Yeah, I mean,
28:10
Speaker 1: I'll look at that. I don't know I'm again, I mean,
28:13
Speaker 1: I just don't really have opinions on the totals. I
28:15
Speaker 1: think I had one opinion on a total yesterday. I
28:17
Speaker 1: didn't even look to see what happened. Real Grande Valley
28:22
Speaker 1: and Stephen F. Austin is another conference game. By the way,
28:25
Speaker 1: in the Southland Conference, Stephen of Austin is the better team.
28:30
Speaker 1: How much better? I'm not really sure. Where are they here? Yeah,
28:33
Speaker 1: there they are. Steven of Austin's up to a six
28:35
Speaker 1: and a half point favorite in that one. Don't really
28:37
Speaker 1: have an opinion on it. It's just interesting as some
28:39
Speaker 1: of these conference games are going off there. I would
28:42
Speaker 1: probably expect Stephen F. Austin to take care of business
28:45
Speaker 1: in that one, but not entirely sure. They're coming out
28:48
Speaker 1: of a loss to U T. Arlington, which that's a
28:51
Speaker 1: non conference game. I think UT Arlington is in the whack,
28:54
Speaker 1: which is whack. I mean, it seems like they should
28:56
Speaker 1: be in the Southland. I don't know, but that was
28:59
Speaker 1: kind of a difficult game Stephen have Austin, So I
29:01
Speaker 1: don't know. Maybe maybe Real Grande Valley. Well, I don't know,
29:04
Speaker 1: because Real Grande Valley played pretty decently against Illinois in
29:07
Speaker 1: their last game, and they're facing a third straight road
29:10
Speaker 1: game now, so that's not an easy spot for Real
29:13
Speaker 1: Grande Valley at all. So yeah, I do think laying
29:15
Speaker 1: the points kind of makes more sense than that one.
29:17
Speaker 1: But that's just kind of a quick opinion there not
29:21
Speaker 1: a strong one at all. By getting into these night games,
29:23
Speaker 1: we do have some big games. Number six, Louisville is
29:26
Speaker 1: at number twenty five Arkansas. I think I forgot to
29:28
Speaker 1: handicap this this morning, so unlikely I'm gonna adud of play,
29:33
Speaker 1: but we'll see in a second. Louisville absolutely obliterated NJIT
29:37
Speaker 1: in their last game. Not much to see their NJIT sucks.
29:42
Speaker 1: This is their first true road game of the season though, Louisville,
29:46
Speaker 1: I mean there's somewhat tests in that they have a
29:49
Speaker 1: nice win over Kentucky. That's a really good win, but
29:52
Speaker 1: other than that, not totally tested. They beat Cincinnati in
29:55
Speaker 1: a neutral site game, that's their second best win. Now
29:58
Speaker 1: they're having to go first true game going to Arkansas.
30:01
Speaker 1: That's not gonna be easy. Arkansas is still ranked twenty
30:04
Speaker 1: fifth in the country, sitting at five and two. The
30:07
Speaker 1: public is probably only gonna be on one side here,
30:09
Speaker 1: and they're only gonna be on the Louisville side. But
30:11
Speaker 1: oh no, I did look at this earlier. Yeah, I
30:14
Speaker 1: mean I can't come in on the Arkansas side though,
30:16
Speaker 1: because they just lost a wind streak and they lost
30:18
Speaker 1: it in a game where they played pretty competitively against Duke,
30:22
Speaker 1: So coming off of that, I can't do it. Yeah,
30:23
Speaker 1: I did look at this game, my mistake. I remember
30:25
Speaker 1: looking at it. I decided not to play it, of course.
30:29
Speaker 1: I mean, I, hmm, the money's coming in in Arkansas
30:33
Speaker 1: for what it's worth, but I I don't know, I
30:36
Speaker 1: almost kind of disagree with it. Fifty per tickets, eighty
30:39
Speaker 1: two percent of the cash on Arkansas. But coming off
30:41
Speaker 1: that game against Duke Man, I mean, it's gonna be
30:43
Speaker 1: difficult to come off of that and actually play well
30:47
Speaker 1: again here Louisville though, again first road game. I want
30:52
Speaker 1: nothing to do with that either. So yeah, it's it's
30:56
Speaker 1: a stay away from me. Probably gonna be a high
30:58
Speaker 1: total in this one. I mean, I wouldn't disagree with
31:00
Speaker 1: an over. Both teams like to play fast, both teams
31:03
Speaker 1: are kind of in difficult spots, But the fact that
31:06
Speaker 1: the total has gone up five points already to one
31:09
Speaker 1: sixty six, I don't know. Missed the boat a little
31:11
Speaker 1: bit on that one. Clemson is at Alabama most of
31:15
Speaker 1: these games that I'm talking about, I think, if not
31:17
Speaker 1: all of them are actually being hosted by the home
31:19
Speaker 1: team today. So Alabama is coming back from the players
31:24
Speaker 1: are a tournament in Las Vegas, where they put up
31:26
Speaker 1: a pretty good showing. I mean they crushed UNLV and
31:29
Speaker 1: Maryland to finish it off. Not bad after they lost
31:32
Speaker 1: to Gonzaga. No real shame in that. Gonzaga is good.
31:35
Speaker 1: Alabama now back home to face Clemson. Do they suffer
31:40
Speaker 1: a letdown though coming up those other games? I don't
31:42
Speaker 1: really think so. I mean, Clemson's been good the last
31:44
Speaker 1: few years, so I think they are a team that
31:46
Speaker 1: draws your focus. I mean, they only have one loss
31:48
Speaker 1: this year, but they're pretty untested right now. Man. I mean,
31:51
Speaker 1: they have a loss at Georgetown in their only road game,
31:54
Speaker 1: so that's not good because of course this is a
31:56
Speaker 1: road game. So their road track record so far though
32:00
Speaker 1: it's only one game, not good. And then they have
32:03
Speaker 1: very close wins against West Virginia and Georgia. That's not
32:07
Speaker 1: a great sign because Alabama on the road that's a
32:09
Speaker 1: big step up in class man. So Clemson not very
32:12
Speaker 1: tested here. Alabama is actually much more battle tested than
32:15
Speaker 1: they are Alabama's face Saint John's, Purdue, Illinois, Gonzaga, and
32:20
Speaker 1: then Maryland and UNLV were actually kind of a reprieve
32:23
Speaker 1: for them. So I think Alabama gets it done in
32:25
Speaker 1: this one. People are also gonna look at this and
32:28
Speaker 1: think like, probably, oh my god, even though Alabama's ranked.
32:30
Speaker 1: I think they're gonna see Clemson a seven to one
32:32
Speaker 1: team and think, oh my god, I'm getting ten points
32:35
Speaker 1: with a one loss team. I think it kind of
32:37
Speaker 1: makes sense to take the points, but I would probably
32:40
Speaker 1: lay it here. It's probably gonna be a fairly high
32:42
Speaker 1: scoring game as well. We're laying the points is kind
32:45
Speaker 1: of easier to do in a game like that. Seventy
32:48
Speaker 1: three percent of the tickets, ninety five percent of the
32:49
Speaker 1: cash on Clemson. I don't agree with that. I mean,
32:52
Speaker 1: I wouldn't be surprised if Clemson is somewhat of a
32:55
Speaker 1: public underdog in this one though, But I would probably
32:57
Speaker 1: lay the points with Alabama on that one. Robin, what's up?
33:02
Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out. Good to see you again. All Right.
33:08
Speaker 1: LSU is going up to Boston College. Man. LSU seven
33:12
Speaker 1: and zero to start the season, but they're pretty untested, man,
33:16
Speaker 1: I mean, their best win is I don't know one
33:19
Speaker 1: of these last two. I guess it gets either Drake
33:22
Speaker 1: or de Paul. I mean, LSU has not been very
33:24
Speaker 1: impressive so far. They haven't really been tested yet. Now
33:27
Speaker 1: this is also gonna be their first true road game,
33:29
Speaker 1: and they got to turn around in four days and
33:31
Speaker 1: go play Texas Tech, which is a much more difficult
33:35
Speaker 1: game and maybe a look ahead spot for LSU, So
33:37
Speaker 1: they might get caught in this one. Man, it's not
33:39
Speaker 1: a good spot for them, be seeing not exactly battle
33:43
Speaker 1: tests of themselves, and they have some fairly ugly losses
33:47
Speaker 1: and here, especially the home loss of Central Connecticut which
33:49
Speaker 1: I mentioned, that's not great, and most of their wins
33:54
Speaker 1: are pretty ugly. Their best win is a road win
33:56
Speaker 1: against Temple. They did bounce back from a losing streak
34:00
Speaker 1: with the win over Harvard in the last game. Don't
34:03
Speaker 1: have anything upcoming, they will be focused, you gotta think
34:06
Speaker 1: on with an SEC team coming in. I would take
34:08
Speaker 1: the points with Boston College in this one. I mean,
34:11
Speaker 1: the public is gonna want nothing to do with that one.
34:14
Speaker 1: LSU is down from seven and a half to seven here.
34:16
Speaker 1: They look like they're gonna be very public. Ninety three
34:18
Speaker 1: percent of tickets ninety eight percent of the cash on them.
34:21
Speaker 1: Total is not very high at one forty seven. Yeah,
34:24
Speaker 1: I think it makes sense to take BC plus the
34:26
Speaker 1: points there. It's also kind of a weird travel spot,
34:29
Speaker 1: unfamiliar travel spot for LSU to go up there. Uh.
34:32
Speaker 1: It's also cold up here right now, but that's not
34:34
Speaker 1: gonna matter as much because they're playing in an arena.
34:36
Speaker 1: But still, I mean, as a team like LS, you're
34:39
Speaker 1: really gonna be excited to come up here into New England,
34:42
Speaker 1: into the New England almost winter weather now probably not so.
34:47
Speaker 1: We had cold rain up here yesterday. It's the weather's
34:50
Speaker 1: a little bit better today, but it's still pretty cold.
34:54
Speaker 1: All right. What else are we looking at here? I mean,
34:59
Speaker 1: some of these games are just not really even worth
35:01
Speaker 1: talking about. But Tennessee stayed at Alabama A and M.
35:04
Speaker 1: Tennessee State just pulled off a nice in state win
35:08
Speaker 1: over a big brother, and they went into Chattanooga and
35:11
Speaker 1: beat them outright, pretty big upset. Dude. I don't know
35:14
Speaker 1: exactly what the line was in this game, because ESPN
35:17
Speaker 1: is trying to distance themselves from betting because of the
35:21
Speaker 1: betting scandals. So now ESPN they sold off ESPN bet
35:25
Speaker 1: and now even though they have DraftKings widgets still on
35:28
Speaker 1: the site, they don't show you the historical betting data anymore,
35:32
Speaker 1: which I hate that they should. So in this game,
35:37
Speaker 1: Chattanooga started out the game according to ESPN's analytics, is
35:39
Speaker 1: like a seventy four percent favorite. Here, they were a
35:43
Speaker 1: pretty big favorite. Chattanooga was big win for Tennessee State.
35:46
Speaker 1: I mean, they're a pretty lowly team in the state
35:49
Speaker 1: of Tennessee and they pulled off an upset like that
35:51
Speaker 1: on the road. That's big. And after this game they
35:53
Speaker 1: got a bunch of days off and then they played UNLV,
35:57
Speaker 1: so I think they might overlook Alabama A and M.
36:00
Speaker 1: And Alabama A and M is undefeated at home, although
36:03
Speaker 1: one of them is a non Division one game, and
36:04
Speaker 1: then they beat Charleston's Southern and Lynden Wood, So I mean,
36:07
Speaker 1: this Alabama A and M team, they're definitely not good,
36:10
Speaker 1: but they are able to win against teams that are bad,
36:13
Speaker 1: which Tennessee State is bad. So yeah, I mean they're
36:18
Speaker 1: Alabama A and M is also coming up a pretty
36:20
Speaker 1: ugly loss to Central or excuse A Coastal Carolina A
36:25
Speaker 1: Man and two of their losses are at Clemson and
36:27
Speaker 1: at Indiana. I mean, you're not gonna really knock them
36:29
Speaker 1: for those losses. I would take the points in this one. Obviously.
36:33
Speaker 1: Tennessee State's up to a four point favorite here. It's
36:36
Speaker 1: a fairly low total up to one hundred and forty
36:38
Speaker 1: eight and a half, though, but I'm kind of tempted
36:40
Speaker 1: because Tennessee State looks like they're definitely gonna letdown spot
36:43
Speaker 1: here and maybe even a sandwich spot. Alabama, A and
36:47
Speaker 1: M is so bad though. Let me see where does
36:50
Speaker 1: ken Bum have them? That? He has them in the
36:52
Speaker 1: bottom like sixty or so and pretty high in his
36:54
Speaker 1: luck index? Do I really want to add this? So
36:57
Speaker 1: many plays on the fly man as I mean, these
36:59
Speaker 1: were plays that almost made my card. Tennessee State, where
37:03
Speaker 1: are you at? He has them as a significantly better team,
37:06
Speaker 1: but they're higher in the luck index year they play
37:08
Speaker 1: really fast, Tennessee State does. I'm assuming Alabama and M
37:13
Speaker 1: does not know they play slow, which is good for
37:16
Speaker 1: you know, a team that's an underdog getting points at home,
37:21
Speaker 1: you know what I mean? Playing slow is good actually
37:25
Speaker 1: can frustrated team that likesby fast. Alabama and M better
37:29
Speaker 1: on the defensive side than the offensive side, which is
37:32
Speaker 1: not bad for you know, a road team at Tennessee State,
37:37
Speaker 1: I assume is not. Hold on, let me see where
37:41
Speaker 1: are they at. Yeah, Tennessee State, they're actually better defensively
37:45
Speaker 1: as well. I was gonna kind of assume they weren't.
37:47
Speaker 1: But they're actually a better defensive team too. Yeah. That
37:54
Speaker 1: one's close, man, That one is definitely close to a play.
37:57
Speaker 1: I kind of want to do it. Tennessee State. What
37:59
Speaker 1: are they down on the road so far? Lost to
38:02
Speaker 1: Belmont although they were pretty competitive there, lost to Western Kentucky,
38:06
Speaker 1: lost to Tennessee and beat chatdo oh no, yeah, beat chattanougay,
38:10
Speaker 1: like we said, yeah, you know, I'll stay away from it.
38:13
Speaker 1: But Tennessee State, I mean they were They've been pretty
38:16
Speaker 1: good on the road so far, man, So yeah, that
38:20
Speaker 1: will worry me a little bit about that. But I
38:21
Speaker 1: do think they're gonna letdown spot. All right, let's keep going.
38:25
Speaker 1: Princeton at Monmouth. I like Monmouth in this one. Monmouth
38:29
Speaker 1: they're a little brother in the state of our New Jersey,
38:31
Speaker 1: so they I think they're always gonna get up for
38:33
Speaker 1: a game against Princeton. Princeton is actually way down this year.
38:36
Speaker 1: They're not very good, and Princeton's coming up a big
38:39
Speaker 1: performance against Saint Joe's where Saint Jose is a pretty
38:42
Speaker 1: big favorite in this game. I'm pretty sure in Princeton
38:45
Speaker 1: in this whatever this was this, Oh no, this is
38:48
Speaker 1: actually in Trenton, New Jersey. Princeton almost pulled off the
38:52
Speaker 1: upset there. Now they're gonna go to Monmouth. Yeah, I
38:56
Speaker 1: think it's kind of a bad spot, kind of a
38:57
Speaker 1: hangover spot here. Monmouth. They've been good at home. Well,
39:01
Speaker 1: I don't want to say good. I mean they're undefeated
39:03
Speaker 1: at home, but their wins at home are kind of lackluster.
39:05
Speaker 1: They beat a non Division one team and they barely
39:08
Speaker 1: beat Robert Morris and ball State. So maybe not a
39:11
Speaker 1: great sign for laying points with Monmouth, which is what
39:15
Speaker 1: you're gonna need to do here. They did just go
39:16
Speaker 1: into La Fayette and pull off an up not an upset,
39:19
Speaker 1: but pull off a road win at La Fayette is
39:21
Speaker 1: really bad. I think Monmouth probably was favored in this game.
39:25
Speaker 1: I would guess they were a small favorite. Yeah, I
39:27
Speaker 1: think I'm right about that. But yeah, I like Monmouth.
39:31
Speaker 1: Your mama does have a potential look ahead, though, maybe
39:33
Speaker 1: to Georgia Tech in a few days, So maybe that's
39:36
Speaker 1: a little bit of a concern. But you gotta think
39:37
Speaker 1: they're gonna get up for a game against Princeton, because
39:39
Speaker 1: again this is a New Jersey little brother, big brother situation.
39:44
Speaker 1: Mama's up to a four and a half point favorite.
39:47
Speaker 1: Maybe a little bit of an ass though, because mom
39:49
Speaker 1: still isn't really that good and a total of one
39:51
Speaker 1: hundred and forty and a half is low, fifty three
39:54
Speaker 1: percent of tickets on them, eighty eight percent of the
39:55
Speaker 1: cash coming in on Princeton. I mean, yeah, I mean
40:02
Speaker 1: I would lay it with Monmouth. I'm not gonna do it.
40:04
Speaker 1: I'm not gonna give it out as a play, but
40:05
Speaker 1: that would be my opinion in that game Princeton, I mean,
40:08
Speaker 1: people kind of remember, like they know the name. Prince
40:11
Speaker 1: has been one of the better IVY teams for a
40:13
Speaker 1: while now, but this year they're really not. So yeah,
40:17
Speaker 1: just somebody keep in mind on that game there. Cal
40:21
Speaker 1: Baptist and Byu is an interesting game. Is to get
40:24
Speaker 1: kind of into the later slate here where I still
40:26
Speaker 1: have two more plays somewhere in here in the later games.
40:30
Speaker 1: Cal Baptist off to a seven and one start. I mean,
40:32
Speaker 1: they're off to a nice start. Man, haven't totally been
40:37
Speaker 1: battle tested. But they do have a win over you see,
40:39
Speaker 1: Irvine on the road, which is pretty good. A road
40:42
Speaker 1: win at Oregon State. That's not easy either for a
40:44
Speaker 1: team like they are. But now they're coming off they
40:48
Speaker 1: beat Oregon State on the road. Then they had to
40:49
Speaker 1: go into Elevation and they only lost by eight to Colorado.
40:53
Speaker 1: They played Colorado really tough in this game. Man, cal
40:56
Speaker 1: Baptist was like in this game, late in the game,
40:59
Speaker 1: they came back, they were in the game. They fell
41:02
Speaker 1: behind by a lot double digits, they came back from
41:05
Speaker 1: a double digit deficit, got back to within four in
41:08
Speaker 1: the final couple of minutes of the game. Huge performance
41:11
Speaker 1: from them two days ago. And now they have to
41:13
Speaker 1: turn around and go to BYU. I don't like that, man. Like, ideally, yeah,
41:17
Speaker 1: they would want to step up for a game against
41:19
Speaker 1: the BYU, But after what they just did against Colorado,
41:23
Speaker 1: I don't know. I think BYU is probably gonna be
41:25
Speaker 1: able to smoke them here. BYU, though, I mean, they're
41:28
Speaker 1: coming off winning one of these early season tournaments in Florida.
41:31
Speaker 1: They won the Terry's Chocolate Magic Bracket beating Wisconsin. Miami
41:40
Speaker 1: at Dayton and Wisconsin the most depressive win out of
41:42
Speaker 1: any of those, of course, but could be a little
41:45
Speaker 1: bit of a let down here for them, man, And
41:47
Speaker 1: they do have to turn around and play clemsonm in
41:50
Speaker 1: six days on an ESPN game, and that's gonna be
41:52
Speaker 1: a neutral site game as well, the Jimmy V Classic
41:56
Speaker 1: in New York. Don't know which Jimmy V That is
41:59
Speaker 1: because I only know Jimmy Vacaro, but he's like an
42:04
Speaker 1: odds maker, so that would be more of a Vegas thing,
42:07
Speaker 1: so I don't know, but yeah, I mean it looks
42:11
Speaker 1: like a bad spot for both teams. But that kind
42:14
Speaker 1: of means, well, you're probably gonna get BYU maybe controlling
42:16
Speaker 1: the pace a little bit here, and if I'm not
42:19
Speaker 1: mistaken BYU still likes to play fast. Yeah, I mean
42:22
Speaker 1: ken Bum has one hundred and twenty third. I mean,
42:24
Speaker 1: that's not as fast as what they were doing last year,
42:26
Speaker 1: but by us up to twenty point favorite. I mean,
42:30
Speaker 1: I'm still not opposed to laying the points because I
42:32
Speaker 1: do think the spot for cal Baptist is really difficult.
42:35
Speaker 1: Cal Baptist fifty eight percent of tickets seventy nine percent
42:37
Speaker 1: of the cash in them. But my preferred way of
42:41
Speaker 1: playing this game is probably the over. The total is
42:44
Speaker 1: up from one forty eight to fifty one, a half
42:46
Speaker 1: an out. Jeffrey doesn't like that I have all these
42:48
Speaker 1: over opinions, but that's kind of what I do because
42:50
Speaker 1: I identify bad spots, and if I see both teams
42:53
Speaker 1: in a bad spot, I kind of think the over
42:55
Speaker 1: is the way to look in games like that. All right,
43:00
Speaker 1: what else do we have here? I mean, North Dakota
43:03
Speaker 1: State at Montana. I already talked about how Montana had
43:05
Speaker 1: kind of an ugly loss at home to Oakland after
43:08
Speaker 1: getting upset by Lamar in the prior game, and that
43:10
Speaker 1: was a win for us on the show with Lamar
43:12
Speaker 1: because Montana was coming up a huge performance against Texas
43:15
Speaker 1: A and M in the game before that. So I
43:17
Speaker 1: just think Montana didn't have much left in the tank.
43:20
Speaker 1: But now they're staying at home now after two ugly performances.
43:24
Speaker 1: To me, it looks like this is a spot where
43:25
Speaker 1: Montana does bounce back here. North Dakota State did just
43:30
Speaker 1: take a loss at Arkansas State, ending along wind streak
43:34
Speaker 1: that they had now having to go up to Montana
43:36
Speaker 1: probably not gonna be that easy to do. Arkansas State
43:40
Speaker 1: not a bad team either, So yeah, I like Montana
43:44
Speaker 1: and this one. They're already up to a four point favorite,
43:46
Speaker 1: though they open one and a half with juice. It
43:49
Speaker 1: looks like the money is indeed agreeing with me on
43:51
Speaker 1: that one. With Montana, I would lay it, but I
43:54
Speaker 1: mean at four, it's getting a little bit dicey on
43:56
Speaker 1: that one. So yeah, red Wings got it done, yet barely.
44:02
Speaker 1: I mean, I did not like the Bruins in that game,
44:05
Speaker 1: but the Bruins came back and almost won, so Jeffrey,
44:09
Speaker 1: I believe it was on the Bruins in that game.
44:12
Speaker 1: I mean, at the price of the Bruins are at,
44:14
Speaker 1: maybe it wasn't the wrong idea. And the Bruins did
44:17
Speaker 1: have more shots I think, and more hits in the game,
44:20
Speaker 1: So the Bruins did kind of outstat the Red Wings.
44:23
Speaker 1: I mean, I agreed with the Red Wings mildly, but yeah,
44:26
Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know, they were a very high
44:28
Speaker 1: price tag on them. Utah today, I mean, I'm I'm
44:31
Speaker 1: staying away completely. I don't disagree with Utah though. All right,
44:38
Speaker 1: we got Texas State and Rice is gonna look kind
44:40
Speaker 1: of weird because Texas State six and four, Rice is
44:43
Speaker 1: three and six. But Rice is a favorite here. Rice
44:47
Speaker 1: fairly battle tested man. They played Oregon on the road,
44:50
Speaker 1: Tennessee on the road, some games in here that were
44:54
Speaker 1: not really that easy, although they've taken some losses against
44:56
Speaker 1: some mid major teams too. But they did break a
44:59
Speaker 1: laws streak their last game, winning at home against Oral Roberts,
45:03
Speaker 1: so Rice may have some newfound momentum from that. For
45:07
Speaker 1: Texas State, I'm just pissed at Texas State right now
45:11
Speaker 1: that they didn't bounce back from that horrendous late game
45:14
Speaker 1: performance against Seattle, Like late in the game, they just
45:17
Speaker 1: completely fell apart in that game against Seattle. I don't
45:20
Speaker 1: know what that was, and then they couldn't turn it
45:22
Speaker 1: around and win, and they lost again as a favorite
45:25
Speaker 1: to Lehigh. So maybe Texas State is going to show
45:27
Speaker 1: up with some you know, intensity in this game after
45:32
Speaker 1: two horrible games in a row. It's just one of
45:35
Speaker 1: those games where I think, you know, Texas State might
45:37
Speaker 1: be the better side here, but looking at the fact
45:41
Speaker 1: that they have the better record and they're getting points,
45:43
Speaker 1: something doesn't look right about that. So the Oddsburgers are
45:46
Speaker 1: kind of telling you that these teams are almost evenly
45:48
Speaker 1: matched here, with Rice getting a little bit for home court.
45:52
Speaker 1: Rice two to two and a half point favorite in
45:54
Speaker 1: this one. I mean I would slightly still lean towards
45:57
Speaker 1: taking the points, but I really don't like it. Two
46:01
Speaker 1: early goals for the Red Wings. Yeah, I'm not happy
46:04
Speaker 1: because I mean as a Bruins fan, I'm not happy.
46:08
Speaker 1: All right, Next up we'll give I'll give you out
46:12
Speaker 1: a play here, Uh, Saint Thomas plus the points. We're
46:16
Speaker 1: going with the Tommies. I like the Tommies, man, I
46:19
Speaker 1: think they're good. They got they got a hero man,
46:22
Speaker 1: they got Tyler, Hero's younger brother on their team. I
46:26
Speaker 1: know it's gonna look too easy to take the points,
46:29
Speaker 1: just like I said with Texas State, you got a
46:30
Speaker 1: six and three Saint Thomas team. Montana State's three and five.
46:34
Speaker 1: I know it looks too easy to take the points
46:36
Speaker 1: here with Saint Thomas, but we're doing it anyway, and
46:39
Speaker 1: this is all about the spot. Like I know, Montana
46:42
Speaker 1: State's probably the slightly better of these two teams, although
46:44
Speaker 1: I think it's close. Montana is one of the better
46:46
Speaker 1: Big Sky teams. Montana's pretty battle tested. I mean, they
46:50
Speaker 1: played pretty well on the road at Colorado, very respectable
46:53
Speaker 1: games for the most part, close losses on the road
46:56
Speaker 1: to Stanford and Boise State. They did have an ugly
46:59
Speaker 1: home low to Denver, so keep that in mind. So
47:02
Speaker 1: Montana State at home. You know, in some of these
47:05
Speaker 1: spots here where they've had bigger games surrounding these games,
47:08
Speaker 1: they have not been that good. But now look at
47:11
Speaker 1: what they're coming off of. Man, they just took Utah
47:14
Speaker 1: State into overtime on Saturday at Utah State. That crazy game, dude.
47:19
Speaker 1: Utah State's undefeated, Utah State's one of the best teams
47:22
Speaker 1: in the Mountain West. Montana State was a massive underdog
47:25
Speaker 1: in this game. I don't know what exactly the line was,
47:27
Speaker 1: but ESPN analytics at Utah State ninety six point two
47:31
Speaker 1: percent to win the game, and Montana State took them
47:34
Speaker 1: into overtime. This is a massive performance from them, dude.
47:38
Speaker 1: So I don't know what, if anything, they're gonna have
47:40
Speaker 1: left coming off of that game. I don't like this
47:42
Speaker 1: at all. Saint Thomas is in a much much better
47:45
Speaker 1: spot here in this one. Saint Thomas, they beat Lawrence
47:49
Speaker 1: University over on Saturday, a non Division one team after
47:52
Speaker 1: a Saint Thomas played in the Portland Tournament prior to that,
47:56
Speaker 1: and they did take an ugly loss in that one
47:58
Speaker 1: to Fullerton. But so Saint Thomas, I mean, they came
48:02
Speaker 1: out of that Portland tournament, came back home, they got
48:05
Speaker 1: an like a nice win that will just continue their
48:08
Speaker 1: momentum into this one. So maul Montana State was you know,
48:12
Speaker 1: putting up the fight of their lives in a massive
48:15
Speaker 1: performance on Saturday. Saint Thomas was basically cake walking through
48:19
Speaker 1: a non Division one team. So I like this a
48:21
Speaker 1: lot better for Saint Thomas. We're definitely gonna take the
48:24
Speaker 1: points in this one. Here, the money seems to agree.
48:28
Speaker 1: Montana State's up to a three three and a half
48:30
Speaker 1: point favorite, like I have here, seventy one percent of
48:32
Speaker 1: tickets around Montana State, but sixty eight percent of the
48:35
Speaker 1: cash on Saint Thomas total pretty low at one forty
48:38
Speaker 1: seven and a half, so taking the points does make
48:41
Speaker 1: more sense. I mean, Montana State does play slow, so
48:44
Speaker 1: that kind of plays into the underdog covering as well.
48:47
Speaker 1: I know, Montana State's battle tested and they were low
48:51
Speaker 1: in the luck index. I get that, but and Saint
48:53
Speaker 1: Thomas is high in the luck index and does like
48:56
Speaker 1: to play a little bit faster, but they're not exactly
48:58
Speaker 1: a fast paced team. But still I like Saint Thomas
49:02
Speaker 1: here man, like I said, yeah, ken bum has these
49:06
Speaker 1: seems very closely ranked, which is what the oddsmakers are
49:09
Speaker 1: telling you as well. But the spot is way better
49:12
Speaker 1: for Saint Thomas. So that's the play there. Northwestern at Wisconsin.
49:16
Speaker 1: So a Big Ten game coming up today at night
49:20
Speaker 1: on the Big Ten Network. Interesting one. Wisconsin coming off
49:25
Speaker 1: losing to TCU. That was a loss for us on
49:27
Speaker 1: the show Man, I can't believe how bad that showing
49:30
Speaker 1: was for Wisconsin. Wherever that game was that was in
49:34
Speaker 1: San Diego, I think the Rady Children's Invitational. I don't
49:37
Speaker 1: know what happened there. Wisconsin was a favorite. TCU had
49:41
Speaker 1: upset Florida in the game before that, and that was
49:44
Speaker 1: the championship game for that tournament. I don't know what
49:47
Speaker 1: happened to Wisconsin in that game. So maybe Wisconsin is
49:51
Speaker 1: in line for a bit of a bounce back here
49:53
Speaker 1: in their Big Ten opener at home, like they're they're
49:56
Speaker 1: gonna show up, but you know, Northwestern's gonna show up too.
49:59
Speaker 1: I mean they I want to beat Wisconsin. Wisconsin usually
50:02
Speaker 1: one of the better teams in the Big Ten. Northwestern
50:05
Speaker 1: is coming up an ugly loss, kind of at home
50:08
Speaker 1: or it was either home or semi home I think
50:10
Speaker 1: in the Chicago area against Oklahoma State, not a great game,
50:14
Speaker 1: but Oklahoma States had played decently this year. Northwestern took
50:18
Speaker 1: that loss. Now they're going out on the road. Their
50:21
Speaker 1: only other road game they barely beat to Paul. That
50:23
Speaker 1: was a win for us on the show as well,
50:25
Speaker 1: because to Paul a little brother in the area of Chicago.
50:28
Speaker 1: I thought they'd show up big for that game. They
50:30
Speaker 1: almost won, so I don't I'm not going to take
50:32
Speaker 1: too much away from that. But I mean, if you
50:36
Speaker 1: get Wisconsin focus, I think laying the points is what
50:38
Speaker 1: makes sense. Here osmakers are telling you Wisconsin is the
50:41
Speaker 1: better team. They're up from nine to ten seventy three
50:44
Speaker 1: percent to take as ninety six percent of the cash.
50:46
Speaker 1: I wouldn't disagree with laying the points with Wisconsin in
50:48
Speaker 1: that one. This is also not the Wisconsin team that
50:54
Speaker 1: had that. It has been historically. Whe everybody remembers Wisconsin. Oh,
50:57
Speaker 1: they slow the pace way down. They find really good
51:00
Speaker 1: shots to take whatever. No, that's not what they do anymore. Like,
51:03
Speaker 1: they play pretty fast right now, so that should help
51:06
Speaker 1: them cover as well, and the total is not that low.
51:11
Speaker 1: So yeah, Ken bumbas, Wisconsin's seventy seventh in tempo interesting
51:17
Speaker 1: and he's got them whatever. That is twenty something ranking
51:21
Speaker 1: spots higher than Northwestern, and Northwestern wants to play slow,
51:24
Speaker 1: so that's also kind of a pacing mismatch there with
51:28
Speaker 1: where if Wisconsin is able to speed it up, that's
51:30
Speaker 1: not what Northwestern wants to do next up. Final play here,
51:35
Speaker 1: unless I find anything else. Final play for college basket.
51:37
Speaker 1: We're gonna lay the points with Denver minus three. Not
51:41
Speaker 1: the Denver Nuggets minus three like we won on the
51:43
Speaker 1: other the other day, but the Denver what the hell
51:46
Speaker 1: is their name? The Pioneers, Oh, yeah, them. We're gonna
51:50
Speaker 1: fade Eastern Washington. Although I know Eastern Washington they're one
51:53
Speaker 1: and six, they're not as bad as they're one in
51:55
Speaker 1: six record. Looks. I get that Osmakers is still telling
51:59
Speaker 1: your Denver is like probably the slightly better team here though,
52:02
Speaker 1: But I don't like the spot for Eastern Washington. Yes,
52:05
Speaker 1: I know that they're battle tested, Yes, They've played very
52:08
Speaker 1: well in some of these road games against UCLA, Loyol
52:11
Speaker 1: and Merrymount, Colorado. They played very well in those games,
52:14
Speaker 1: but interestingly, when they played worse teams on the road,
52:17
Speaker 1: they actually do way worse, although of course one of them,
52:20
Speaker 1: they were coming off that huge Colorado performance, and then
52:22
Speaker 1: they just stunk against Seattle and got blown out, which
52:26
Speaker 1: I think might have been a win for us on
52:27
Speaker 1: the show with Seattle if I remember correctly, then no
52:31
Speaker 1: excuse really though for Eastern Washington go into the Central
52:33
Speaker 1: Arkansas to get blown out there. I mean, that is
52:35
Speaker 1: a bad Central Arkansas team, and Eastern Washington got wrecked
52:39
Speaker 1: in that game. Maybe they were looking ahead to North
52:42
Speaker 1: Texas though, and that is the game Easter Washington's coming
52:45
Speaker 1: off of. And I know they've had like a week
52:47
Speaker 1: off after this, but this game against North Texas was crazy, dude.
52:51
Speaker 1: They took North Texas into overtime. North Texas was a
52:54
Speaker 1: big double digit favorite in this game. ESPN had them
52:57
Speaker 1: as a ninety point five percent favorite in the game.
52:59
Speaker 1: I think they were probably about a seventeen eighteen point
53:02
Speaker 1: favorite here if I remember correctly, and Eastern Washington played
53:05
Speaker 1: their guts out and they took North Texas into overtime.
53:09
Speaker 1: And North Texas is still a team that likes to
53:11
Speaker 1: play slow and grind you, punish you physically. You know,
53:15
Speaker 1: it's not a good spot of recent Washington come on
53:17
Speaker 1: off of that and now having to go up into
53:18
Speaker 1: elevation Denver. In their last game, they got absolutely trounced
53:23
Speaker 1: by Wyoming. But Wyoming's not that bad of a team
53:26
Speaker 1: this year. It looks like in the Mountain West, Wyoming
53:28
Speaker 1: was a huge favorite in that game and Denver had
53:31
Speaker 1: no chance. But Denver now coming off losing one hundred
53:34
Speaker 1: and one to fifty nine, you lose like that to anybody,
53:37
Speaker 1: you know you're gonna show up in the next game.
53:39
Speaker 1: And look at the previous two games that Denver played
53:42
Speaker 1: prior to that. That was a third straight road game,
53:45
Speaker 1: and Denver had beaten Colorado State on the road, a
53:48
Speaker 1: huge upset and win over a big brother in Colorado
53:51
Speaker 1: for them. Then they had to go and play Arizona,
53:53
Speaker 1: who was number two in the country, and Denver played,
53:56
Speaker 1: i would say, respectably and losing by thirty to arizon Z.
54:00
Speaker 1: Arizona's really really good. And then Denver third straight road
54:04
Speaker 1: game going back up into Wyoming. I mean, it was
54:07
Speaker 1: just not a good spot for them. But now they're
54:09
Speaker 1: back at home. And this is also a situation that
54:11
Speaker 1: I like when a team is back at home and
54:13
Speaker 1: their last home game was really ugly, which was the
54:16
Speaker 1: case for Denver. Their only home game so far was
54:18
Speaker 1: a bad loss to UTSA at home. When that's the case,
54:22
Speaker 1: I like that home team to bounce back because now
54:25
Speaker 1: they're back home again. It's different from professional sports because
54:28
Speaker 1: you don't have like, oh, this, these players have to
54:30
Speaker 1: get home and they're gonna be distracted by their wives
54:33
Speaker 1: and shit. No, this is college so that's not the case.
54:39
Speaker 1: You know. Like I say, I don't think these players
54:41
Speaker 1: are really focused. They're not distracted by their classes. Let's
54:44
Speaker 1: just put it that way. Like, I think their distraction
54:47
Speaker 1: is basketball, you know what I mean. And maybe they'll
54:49
Speaker 1: be partying and stuff, but whatever. When you're coming home,
54:51
Speaker 1: coming back to campus off a couple of losses, including
54:55
Speaker 1: a really ugly loss, and your last home game was
54:57
Speaker 1: a horrendously ugly loss too, or a loss to an
55:00
Speaker 1: ugly team, I, in my opinion, you're gonna show up.
55:03
Speaker 1: I think that is a good spot in college basketball.
55:05
Speaker 1: So we're going with Denver in this one. They're up
55:09
Speaker 1: to a three point favorite here. Like I said, I
55:11
Speaker 1: might have to lay three and a half on it.
55:15
Speaker 1: That hook is not as important in basketball as it
55:17
Speaker 1: isn't football, But whatever, that's what we're going with here.
55:22
Speaker 1: Am I on the Bucks? No, I am not the MAVs.
55:27
Speaker 1: Tonight You're gonna You're gonna love me. Everybody's gonna love
55:31
Speaker 1: what I have to say about these games tonight. All right, Pacific,
55:40
Speaker 1: I looked at this game a little bit. I think
55:42
Speaker 1: Pacific is in a bad spot. Man. Pacific has actually
55:44
Speaker 1: played well to start the season at six and two,
55:47
Speaker 1: but now they have to go into elevation to face
55:50
Speaker 1: air Force and then turn around in three days and
55:52
Speaker 1: play Cal, which is gonna be a big game. And
55:55
Speaker 1: Cal is one of the biggest brothers in the state
55:57
Speaker 1: of California. So weird spot. Having to go into elevation
56:01
Speaker 1: and then turn around with a look ahead of that
56:04
Speaker 1: magnitude not a good spot for Pacific here. I don't
56:07
Speaker 1: know if we really trust air Force. I mean, they're
56:09
Speaker 1: not good, but they do have a couple of wins
56:12
Speaker 1: that maybe can inspire some confidence. I mean, their wins
56:15
Speaker 1: are all at home, and they were against Alabama State
56:17
Speaker 1: who made the tournament last year at least SIU Edwardsville
56:21
Speaker 1: who also made the tournament last year out of those
56:23
Speaker 1: lower conferences, and then IU Indy, who is improved, I guess,
56:28
Speaker 1: and that they just they just play really fast. And
56:32
Speaker 1: now air Force is coming up kind of an ugly
56:34
Speaker 1: loss at home to South Dakota after losing to Northern Colorado.
56:37
Speaker 1: A norther Colorado is good, so I'm not gonna knock
56:39
Speaker 1: them for that, But yeah, I would look towards air
56:41
Speaker 1: Force in this game Pacific. They're length seven points, they're
56:47
Speaker 1: pretty public, seventy five percent to take its eighty seven
56:49
Speaker 1: percent of the cash on them low total at one
56:52
Speaker 1: hundred and thirty two and a half, so I think
56:53
Speaker 1: air Force might be able to kind of muddy this
56:55
Speaker 1: game up at home and get in within that number.
56:58
Speaker 1: So I like air Force there. We got a bunch
57:00
Speaker 1: of big games actually in the late slate here SMU
57:04
Speaker 1: is at Vandy. Vandy rink seventeenth in the country, undefeated.
57:09
Speaker 1: But what has Vandy really done so far? Their best
57:13
Speaker 1: wins are basically their last three. They beat Western Kentucky,
57:16
Speaker 1: they beat VCU in the Battle for Atlantis out in
57:19
Speaker 1: the Bahamas. Good wins, definitely good wins. And then they
57:22
Speaker 1: won the Bahamas Championship. Not only did they win the
57:26
Speaker 1: championship out there, but they beat Saint Mary's and if
57:29
Speaker 1: you remember I talked about that, Dude, I should have
57:31
Speaker 1: given out Vandy as a play in that game because
57:33
Speaker 1: that was also tournament revenge, because if you remember, Saint
57:37
Speaker 1: Mary's came back against Vandy in the first round of
57:40
Speaker 1: the tournament last year and knocked Vandy out of the tournament,
57:43
Speaker 1: and I still wound up losing because I gave out
57:45
Speaker 1: Saint Mary's as a play in the tournament last year
57:47
Speaker 1: and they won and didn't cover. So really really thrilled
57:50
Speaker 1: about that result. But that was a huge win for
57:53
Speaker 1: Vandy in multiple different ways. Man, Now they're back at home.
57:57
Speaker 1: They got SMU here. I don't think they're gonna overlook SMU,
58:01
Speaker 1: though one I don't love the spot for SMU either.
58:04
Speaker 1: I mean, SMU is also eight to oh, so I
58:06
Speaker 1: don't think Vandy's gonna overlook them. SMU is coming off
58:09
Speaker 1: that win where they beaten me on Saturday. First true roadyme.
58:13
Speaker 1: They went in and they beat Mississippi State. I give
58:15
Speaker 1: up Mississippi State plus one or one and a half
58:18
Speaker 1: in that game. Mississippi State had that game. Dude, They're
58:21
Speaker 1: winning that game, I don't know, by several points late
58:24
Speaker 1: in the game, and they completely blew it and I
58:26
Speaker 1: think they wound up losing in overtime. I'm pissed about that.
58:30
Speaker 1: But because of that, I just can't quite get there
58:31
Speaker 1: with SMU here. Man, I would lean towards SMU in
58:35
Speaker 1: this game, but the money is also completely disagreeing with me.
58:39
Speaker 1: Vandy's laying eleven here eighty seven percent of the cash
58:42
Speaker 1: on them, fifty three percent of the tickets on SMU. Now,
58:45
Speaker 1: the one thing that I will say is when the
58:47
Speaker 1: public sees two to eight to no teams, even if
58:50
Speaker 1: one of them is ranked, if they see the line
58:51
Speaker 1: at eleven, they are gonna have a tendency to take
58:54
Speaker 1: the points because it looks almost too easy to take
58:57
Speaker 1: the points, Like, how are you getting eleven points with
58:59
Speaker 1: an undefeated SMU team? Right? So I tend to want
59:02
Speaker 1: to look towards laying the points in a spot like that,
59:04
Speaker 1: But with the spot that Vandy is in, I really
59:08
Speaker 1: don't like it, man. I don't like the spot for
59:10
Speaker 1: either team though, so you can see why I'm staying
59:11
Speaker 1: away from that. It's one of those games where I
59:14
Speaker 1: would think it over. It might make sense too, when
59:16
Speaker 1: the cash percentage just seemed to be on the over,
59:18
Speaker 1: even though the total did drop to one sixty seven.
59:21
Speaker 1: It's a spot where I think Vandy does like to
59:23
Speaker 1: play fast. Yeah, thirty ninth and tenpocor to ken Palm,
59:27
Speaker 1: so over might be a look in that game. What's up? Man? Blgh,
59:34
Speaker 1: what's going on? Man? Good to see you again, Fernando, Right,
59:37
Speaker 1: do I remember your names? Sometimes? I can remember things
59:42
Speaker 1: with my stroke brand. I used to have a great memory,
59:44
Speaker 1: and now I do not. All Right, what are the
59:49
Speaker 1: games are gonna talk about? NC stayed in Auburn another
59:51
Speaker 1: big game on ESPN. Man Auburn twentieth in the country.
59:56
Speaker 1: Could argue they're in a bad spot here because they
59:58
Speaker 1: did just go out to that Players Era tournament and
1:00:00
Speaker 1: they did lose to Michigan in the middle of it.
1:00:03
Speaker 1: But they beat Saint John's. Oh no, how could that happen? Yeah? Inside,
1:00:07
Speaker 1: I want to kill myself. So they beat Saint John's
1:00:12
Speaker 1: to finish that tournament in third place. I believe with
1:00:15
Speaker 1: that win that's a big win. Now they're coming back home,
1:00:18
Speaker 1: they're facing an NC State team that's fallen out of
1:00:20
Speaker 1: the rankings, and in three days, Auburn's got to play Arizona. Man,
1:00:24
Speaker 1: so this does kind of look like a bit of
1:00:27
Speaker 1: a sandwich spot that they're in here. But NC State
1:00:32
Speaker 1: they're coming up a game where they they had a
1:00:33
Speaker 1: close game against Texas. Man. I mean, I think I
1:00:36
Speaker 1: don't even know who's favored in this game. This is
1:00:38
Speaker 1: a big game. This is in Maui, the fifth place
1:00:41
Speaker 1: game in Maui. NC State looks like they opened this
1:00:43
Speaker 1: game as a small favorite, probably, but that was a
1:00:46
Speaker 1: big game against Texas And now they're not only coming
1:00:50
Speaker 1: back from Hawaii, but they have to play their first
1:00:53
Speaker 1: true road game. And didn't work out for me yesterday
1:00:56
Speaker 1: going with the first true road game for Iowa, even
1:00:58
Speaker 1: though I thought that was more of a familiar spot
1:01:00
Speaker 1: to them because they play at Michigan State every year,
1:01:03
Speaker 1: but Ben McCollums, Iowa guys don't, so maybe I should
1:01:06
Speaker 1: have stayed off of that. But for NC State, I mean,
1:01:08
Speaker 1: they don't play Auburn every single year, So I don't
1:01:11
Speaker 1: love it as far as it being a first cheer
1:01:13
Speaker 1: road game for them. I do still lean to NC
1:01:15
Speaker 1: State in this game, though Auburn's up to a seven
1:01:18
Speaker 1: and a half point favorite and they are pretty public
1:01:20
Speaker 1: eighty six percent of tickets a little ninety five percent
1:01:23
Speaker 1: of the cash on them. But my opinion would be
1:01:24
Speaker 1: to take the points with NC State in that one.
1:01:27
Speaker 1: NC State also maybe playing a little bit pissed off
1:01:30
Speaker 1: because they dropped out of the rankings, but I don't
1:01:34
Speaker 1: think I can get there with that one. There's a
1:01:37
Speaker 1: Neil Diamond movie. No no, I'm not gonna pay money
1:01:43
Speaker 1: to see it. At the very least. He's terrible. A
1:01:48
Speaker 1: Sweet Caroline is terrible. They should stop playing it at
1:01:50
Speaker 1: Red Sox games. Neil Diamond very very bad vocalist. I
1:01:55
Speaker 1: mean he wrote some catchy songs. I guess, still not good.
1:02:01
Speaker 1: He's probably a pedophile. Sweet Carolina is about Caroline Kennedy
1:02:05
Speaker 1: and it was written when she was like thirteen years old,
1:02:08
Speaker 1: So that's great. Virginia is gonna be at Texas, Texas
1:02:13
Speaker 1: coming up that loss or excuse me, that win against
1:02:16
Speaker 1: NC State out in Maui, so Texas. I mean, they
1:02:20
Speaker 1: played pretty well out there. They did lose in the
1:02:22
Speaker 1: first round, but they abound up getting third place I
1:02:25
Speaker 1: guess there, or no, fifth place is what that was. Yeah,
1:02:27
Speaker 1: in that tournament there, however they do that. Now they're
1:02:31
Speaker 1: coming back home, but they're coming up a big win
1:02:33
Speaker 1: that bounced NC State from the ranking. So I don't
1:02:35
Speaker 1: know if Texas is really gonna be in the greatest
1:02:39
Speaker 1: spot here Virginia staying on the mainland here. They just
1:02:43
Speaker 1: played at home. I'm pretty sure in the last game
1:02:45
Speaker 1: had beat my guy a Queen's so a much easier
1:02:48
Speaker 1: win for them. But this is Virginia's first true road game,
1:02:51
Speaker 1: so I don't really want to deal with it with
1:02:53
Speaker 1: Virginia first time on the road for the season. Probably
1:02:57
Speaker 1: still lean towards Virginia anyway. He seems to agree with
1:03:01
Speaker 1: that one. Texas down for two and a half point
1:03:02
Speaker 1: favorites or a two point favorite, eighty eight percent of tickets,
1:03:05
Speaker 1: eighty five percent of the cash on them. I'm not
1:03:07
Speaker 1: gonna disagree with taking the points with Virginia, but I
1:03:11
Speaker 1: don't love it enough to put that out as a play.
1:03:14
Speaker 1: We do have Mississippi State at Georgia Tach as well.
1:03:16
Speaker 1: Mississippi State really hurt us with that loss. Man in
1:03:21
Speaker 1: overtime against SMU. Thought it was a great spot for
1:03:23
Speaker 1: Mississippi State to come out and play, and they blew
1:03:26
Speaker 1: the game, so that's just great. Now they're coming off that,
1:03:28
Speaker 1: that was a tough game against SMU, and now they
1:03:31
Speaker 1: have to play their first true road game at Georgia
1:03:33
Speaker 1: Tack and coming up on Sunday, they're gonna play some tournament,
1:03:37
Speaker 1: starting out playing San Francisco. It has been pretty good
1:03:40
Speaker 1: this year, so this might be a bad spot, man.
1:03:42
Speaker 1: I mean, Georgia Tack is not really a team. It's
1:03:44
Speaker 1: gonna draw many teams focus really because they haven't been
1:03:47
Speaker 1: good for a while. They're not that great right now.
1:03:49
Speaker 1: They're in the ACC. They're coming off a couple of
1:03:52
Speaker 1: kind of ugly losses to DePaul and Drake, although I
1:03:55
Speaker 1: know Drake was actually favored against Georgia Tack in that game,
1:03:59
Speaker 1: but ugly. So I think coming back from that, maybe
1:04:02
Speaker 1: Georgia Tech is gonna be in a better spot. This
1:04:04
Speaker 1: was in Florida, I believe, so they're not really having
1:04:07
Speaker 1: to travel far going from Florida back to Georgia. I
1:04:10
Speaker 1: like Georgia Tech, and this one hasn't been you know,
1:04:15
Speaker 1: I haven't considered it to be strong enough to make
1:04:16
Speaker 1: my card, but the money's disagreeing with me on that
1:04:20
Speaker 1: one too. But I like taking the points of Georgia
1:04:22
Speaker 1: Tech here. Total is also fairly low, one hundred and
1:04:25
Speaker 1: forty nine and a half. Mississippi State's up from three
1:04:27
Speaker 1: to three and a half with fifty five percent of
1:04:29
Speaker 1: the cash on them, but sixty one percent of tickets
1:04:31
Speaker 1: on Georgia Tech. I don't know what's going on with
1:04:34
Speaker 1: that market read there, but I kind of like Georgia
1:04:36
Speaker 1: Tech there. And then we do have Vermont at Oregon State.
1:04:41
Speaker 1: Vermont coming off a tough game against Yale. Man Vermont
1:04:43
Speaker 1: just beat Princeton and they almost beat Yale. Yale probably
1:04:47
Speaker 1: the best team in the IVY again this year, and
1:04:49
Speaker 1: Vermont almost upset them, and now they have to go
1:04:52
Speaker 1: out to the Pacific Coast for the first time this year.
1:04:55
Speaker 1: Just very very strange spot for them late game two,
1:04:58
Speaker 1: so it's gonna mess with their bio logical clock. I
1:05:01
Speaker 1: don't love the spot at all for Vermont here. For
1:05:04
Speaker 1: Oregon State, they lost at home to cal Baptists. That's
1:05:08
Speaker 1: kind of an ugly loss as well. Cal Baptist is
1:05:11
Speaker 1: undefeated though, so I mean I don't know. Oregon State
1:05:14
Speaker 1: they were what were they? They were a small favorite entering
1:05:17
Speaker 1: this game, so yeah, I mean, still kind of an
1:05:20
Speaker 1: ugly loss for them. Maybe they will bounce back from this,
1:05:24
Speaker 1: although I don't know. I mean, I'm not gonna put
1:05:25
Speaker 1: this on my card, but yeah, I mean I do
1:05:28
Speaker 1: like Oregon State and in that game they were a
1:05:29
Speaker 1: two and a half point favorite. It's not really that
1:05:31
Speaker 1: much of an ask. Really very very weird spot for
1:05:36
Speaker 1: Vermont though, so I think Oregon State probably gets the
1:05:38
Speaker 1: job done there. And then we do have a game
1:05:40
Speaker 1: between UCLA and Washington at the end of the night
1:05:43
Speaker 1: here at eleven pm. Weird that this is a big
1:05:46
Speaker 1: ten game. I still don't like that. I Ucla just
1:05:49
Speaker 1: took a loss to Cal. Ucla was a pretty big
1:05:51
Speaker 1: favorite in that game, got upset by Cal. Maybe it's
1:05:56
Speaker 1: a bounced back spot for them because they were a
1:05:58
Speaker 1: big home favorite in that game. But this is their
1:06:00
Speaker 1: first true road game at Washington. You know, Washington will
1:06:03
Speaker 1: show up for a game against UCLA, and Washington did
1:06:06
Speaker 1: lose to Colorado in Palm Springs in the prior game,
1:06:12
Speaker 1: so they're having to come back up to Seattle as well.
1:06:15
Speaker 1: Colorado undefeated, but they're not that great, so I don't know.
1:06:18
Speaker 1: That was kind of an ugly loss for Washington. There
1:06:22
Speaker 1: probably leans slightly towards Washington in the game, but I
1:06:25
Speaker 1: don't love it at all. Ucla actually is getting some
1:06:28
Speaker 1: of the money. I mean, maybe Ucla will bounce back
1:06:31
Speaker 1: from their ugly loss. They're up to one nap point
1:06:33
Speaker 1: favorite there. Yeah, that's it for college basketball though. So
1:06:39
Speaker 1: we got my three. There's four plays there. Let me
1:06:42
Speaker 1: see what the what does the market read look like there? Now?
1:06:44
Speaker 1: Central Connecticut still looks like the money's moving in their direction.
1:06:49
Speaker 1: I just like to double check. Minnesota does look like
1:06:51
Speaker 1: they're getting a lot of the money. And that line
1:06:53
Speaker 1: is dropped, by the way. Ten not a key number
1:06:56
Speaker 1: in basketball though, so I still pretty much like it,
1:06:58
Speaker 1: but ten and a half a lot better. Obviously. These
1:07:01
Speaker 1: basketball lines just move weight too much, especially when I'm
1:07:04
Speaker 1: on the right what I think is the right side.
1:07:07
Speaker 1: The Tommy's looking like they're getting the money, So I
1:07:09
Speaker 1: like that. And then Denver don't really see the percentages yet,
1:07:13
Speaker 1: but yeah, all right, let's go to NHL. I don't
1:07:16
Speaker 1: have any place here in the NHL small board. I
1:07:19
Speaker 1: know two days in a row. I don't have an
1:07:20
Speaker 1: NHL play, but that's just I try to find spots man,
1:07:24
Speaker 1: it's just the way that it is. Dallas at New
1:07:26
Speaker 1: Jersey is an interesting one. Dallas did take a loss yesterday,
1:07:30
Speaker 1: so now they're on a back to back, but they're
1:07:33
Speaker 1: only going from New York to New Jersey, so it's
1:07:35
Speaker 1: not a huge travel leg here. But they lost a
1:07:37
Speaker 1: wind streak, so sometimes losing a win streak will hang
1:07:40
Speaker 1: you over. It is still a back to back, but
1:07:42
Speaker 1: they did rest Ottinger yesterday. The Rangers actually one at home,
1:07:46
Speaker 1: go figure, but Ottinger will be back in net for
1:07:49
Speaker 1: this one. It seems like Dallas saved him for the
1:07:52
Speaker 1: game against the better team here, so it seems like
1:07:55
Speaker 1: they are going to try to show up for this one.
1:07:58
Speaker 1: New Jersey's coming off a couple of ugly home losses though,
1:08:01
Speaker 1: to Philadelphia and Columbus. Well, Philadelphia not as ugly because
1:08:04
Speaker 1: they're more of a rival and they've been playing well,
1:08:07
Speaker 1: but Columbus pretty ugly loss man, So New Jersey just
1:08:10
Speaker 1: staying at home with a day off the spot looks
1:08:13
Speaker 1: like it is better for New Jersey than me, so
1:08:16
Speaker 1: that would be the way that I would lean in.
1:08:18
Speaker 1: This one is New Jersey. They're up for minus one
1:08:19
Speaker 1: of seven to minus one thirteen sixty percent of tickets,
1:08:22
Speaker 1: eighty one percent of the cash on Dallas. Don't really
1:08:25
Speaker 1: agree with the cash percentage on that one. I think
1:08:27
Speaker 1: New Jersey is in the slightly better spot there, but
1:08:29
Speaker 1: I don't love it. Winnipeg is at Montreal. Winnipeg yesterday
1:08:36
Speaker 1: took a pretty bad loss to Buffalo five to one.
1:08:39
Speaker 1: Coming at the end of the road trip here, maybe
1:08:41
Speaker 1: Winnipeg is going to want to try to salvage another
1:08:44
Speaker 1: game out of this road trip. Is there one to
1:08:46
Speaker 1: three on the road trip, which is not good obviously,
1:08:48
Speaker 1: but maybe a bounce back spot for them here, of course,
1:08:51
Speaker 1: is still without Hella Book don't know when he's coming back.
1:08:54
Speaker 1: I mean, he's a great goalie. They'll try to show
1:08:59
Speaker 1: up for a game against Montreal. I mean, Montreal's been
1:09:01
Speaker 1: decent this year and they're a big name Montreal. They're
1:09:06
Speaker 1: probably in a decent spot as well though, because they
1:09:08
Speaker 1: were turned on from a road trip. They took a
1:09:09
Speaker 1: loss to Ottawa, and you know, I talk about when
1:09:11
Speaker 1: a teamer turns home from a road trip something as
1:09:13
Speaker 1: it will bounce back in the next game. They'll have
1:09:15
Speaker 1: a much better game in the next game, so I
1:09:17
Speaker 1: think it's a positive spot for both teams. But Montreal
1:09:20
Speaker 1: did play yesterday against Ottawa, so they're in a back
1:09:23
Speaker 1: to back, although at least they are staying at home.
1:09:25
Speaker 1: It'll be DoBeS in net this time, and maybe that's
1:09:28
Speaker 1: better because Montembo just hasn't really been as good this year,
1:09:31
Speaker 1: so a lot of things going on in this game.
1:09:34
Speaker 1: The money is coming in on the Winnipeg side, though
1:09:36
Speaker 1: I'm not really gonna disagree with it because Montreal is
1:09:39
Speaker 1: in the back to back. I think both teams are
1:09:41
Speaker 1: in positive spots. Osbeger's telling you the Winnipeg is still
1:09:45
Speaker 1: the better team, which is interesting, even though they've looked
1:09:47
Speaker 1: pretty bad without hell a book. Winnipeg up for minus
1:09:50
Speaker 1: one of seven to minus one fifteen seventy percent of
1:09:53
Speaker 1: the cash on them, fifty eight percent of tickets on Montreal. Yeah,
1:09:56
Speaker 1: I won't disagree with that one, but I don't think
1:09:59
Speaker 1: it's strong at all. Flyers working on the penalty kill,
1:10:04
Speaker 1: I mean it's something, Yeah, I mean team teams better
1:10:07
Speaker 1: work on that. Dude. I hate power plays so much,
1:10:10
Speaker 1: like well obviously. You know when a team that's against
1:10:14
Speaker 1: you as a power play, when they keep getting power plays,
1:10:16
Speaker 1: I just hate it, dude. I gotta have to turn
1:10:20
Speaker 1: the game off. I can't even watch it because it's like,
1:10:23
Speaker 1: I just think it. Team's always going to score on
1:10:25
Speaker 1: a power play pretty much. Buffalo is a Philadelphia Buffalo
1:10:30
Speaker 1: coming off that win over Winnipeg where they beat them
1:10:33
Speaker 1: five to one. But that does mean they're starting a
1:10:35
Speaker 1: road trip with momentum here, so I don't really think
1:10:38
Speaker 1: they're gonna be in a letdown spot here starting a
1:10:40
Speaker 1: road trip against a team with a good record like Philadelphia.
1:10:43
Speaker 1: I think Buffalo will show up focused here. For Philadelphia,
1:10:48
Speaker 1: I think they should be focused as well, because they
1:10:50
Speaker 1: took an ugly loss in their first game back home
1:10:52
Speaker 1: that was a win for us on the Show with
1:10:53
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh five to one. Philly was in a return home
1:10:57
Speaker 1: spot and a letdown spot off a beating New Jersey.
1:10:59
Speaker 1: So that was bad. But I think this is a
1:11:01
Speaker 1: better spot now once a team returns home. Uh. That
1:11:05
Speaker 1: was also a spot where they probably had to get
1:11:07
Speaker 1: some Thanksgiving stuff done because they were on the road
1:11:10
Speaker 1: during Thanksgiving. So now that that's all done, I think
1:11:13
Speaker 1: they should be in more of a bounce back spot here.
1:11:16
Speaker 1: They do play Colorado on Sunday, but I don't think
1:11:18
Speaker 1: they're gonna be looking ahead to that. I think they're
1:11:21
Speaker 1: gonna want to try to get this win. So I
1:11:24
Speaker 1: think both teams are in positive spots here as well.
1:11:26
Speaker 1: The money's coming in on Buffalo, they're actually up to
1:11:29
Speaker 1: him minus one twenty nine Road favorite. I don't know
1:11:31
Speaker 1: what's going on with that line move. Uh, they opened
1:11:34
Speaker 1: plus one thirteen. It looks like ninety five percent of
1:11:36
Speaker 1: the cash on Buffalo. Maybe Jeffrey knows what, Like what
1:11:40
Speaker 1: is going on with Philadelphia here? Is there like a
1:11:42
Speaker 1: goaltender change that would affect the line that much? I
1:11:44
Speaker 1: don't see how. Uh fifty nine percent of tickets on Philadelphi,
1:11:49
Speaker 1: So the market read is very strong on Buffalo in
1:11:51
Speaker 1: this one. I don't totally see it. I don't know.
1:11:56
Speaker 1: I think both teams are in positive spots, so I
1:12:00
Speaker 1: don't know. I mean I almost kind of lean in
1:12:01
Speaker 1: the opposite direction, and that was I don't know what's
1:12:03
Speaker 1: going on with that number. Penguins lit them up on
1:12:08
Speaker 1: the on the Yeah, when I had the Penguins, Yeah,
1:12:12
Speaker 1: was it a lot of power play goals too. I
1:12:13
Speaker 1: don't know. I didn't see the game at all. I
1:12:15
Speaker 1: haven't even looked at the box score, which probably I
1:12:18
Speaker 1: should do. But Utah is at Anaheim here, Utah, Utah.
1:12:26
Speaker 1: They got to be in a spot where they're gonna
1:12:27
Speaker 1: show up here, man, because they've lost every game on
1:12:29
Speaker 1: the road trip so far. They've lost four games in
1:12:32
Speaker 1: a row, losing six to three to San Jose in
1:12:34
Speaker 1: their last game. You got to think they're gonna show
1:12:36
Speaker 1: up with some intensity here against Anaheim, although Anaheim is
1:12:39
Speaker 1: good at home. As we know, Anaheim coming home from
1:12:43
Speaker 1: a road triple, though it was only a road trip
1:12:45
Speaker 1: on Sunday Monday, did take them to the Midwest, Chicago
1:12:49
Speaker 1: and Saint Louis. Is this really a true road trip
1:12:51
Speaker 1: or term? Not really, because they probably got their things
1:12:54
Speaker 1: giving stuff done, then they hit the road. Now they're
1:12:56
Speaker 1: back home. They've only been away for a few days,
1:12:59
Speaker 1: so I don't really get to be a true road
1:13:01
Speaker 1: trip or turn. But they did beat Utah the last
1:13:04
Speaker 1: time they played them here at home, which I don't
1:13:06
Speaker 1: want to remember that because I think that was a loss.
1:13:08
Speaker 1: That was that loss that we took where Anaheim tied
1:13:10
Speaker 1: the game literally four seconds left in the game and
1:13:13
Speaker 1: then won in overtime. I'm still pissed about that. But
1:13:16
Speaker 1: maybe Utah will be two. So I'll agree with Utah,
1:13:20
Speaker 1: but it's not a strong opinion for me. The money
1:13:22
Speaker 1: seems to agree. Eighty eight percent of ticket, seventy seven
1:13:25
Speaker 1: percent of the cash Anaheim down for minus one fifteen
1:13:28
Speaker 1: to minus one oh seven. I know SOB likes this one.
1:13:31
Speaker 1: I don't really see much of an angle on this.
1:13:33
Speaker 1: Necessarily I'll agree with it, but I also am not
1:13:36
Speaker 1: loving the idea of fading the nine to three a
1:13:39
Speaker 1: nine to three Anaheim team at home here. But I
1:13:42
Speaker 1: know I've done it a couple of times and we
1:13:43
Speaker 1: did get one of those wins. But I'm not gonna
1:13:46
Speaker 1: do it this time. If I was gonna play a
1:13:50
Speaker 1: hockey game, it would actually be this last game. It
1:13:52
Speaker 1: would be San Jose Washington. They're on a back to back.
1:13:56
Speaker 1: They're playing a third game in four days, fourth game
1:13:58
Speaker 1: in six days, all in different cities. They were in
1:14:02
Speaker 1: New York on Sunday and then they had to go
1:14:04
Speaker 1: out to LA. They pulled off the win at LA
1:14:07
Speaker 1: last night. Now they gotta go up to San Jose
1:14:09
Speaker 1: and then after this. I don't know why schedules look
1:14:12
Speaker 1: like this all the time, and where teams do La
1:14:14
Speaker 1: then up to San Jose, then back down to Anaheim.
1:14:16
Speaker 1: It makes no sense, but that's what they're doing. And
1:14:20
Speaker 1: they might look ahead to Anaheim because Anheim's record is
1:14:22
Speaker 1: really good. So to me, it looks like a bit
1:14:24
Speaker 1: of a sandwich spot here, and it's not really a
1:14:26
Speaker 1: good travel spot either. For San Jose. I worry a
1:14:30
Speaker 1: little bit as well. Then maybe they're gonna be a
1:14:32
Speaker 1: little bit too cocky after playing a couple of big
1:14:34
Speaker 1: games themselves, losing by one to Vegas and then crushing
1:14:39
Speaker 1: Utah six to three, and with Dallas up next in
1:14:42
Speaker 1: a couple of days, could maybe be a little bit
1:14:43
Speaker 1: of a look ahead. So I do worry. I'm staying away,
1:14:47
Speaker 1: but I like San Jose in this one. And if
1:14:49
Speaker 1: I was gonna play any of the hockey games today,
1:14:51
Speaker 1: I would take San Jose on the money line seventy
1:14:54
Speaker 1: one percent of tickets on Washington, fifty percent of the
1:14:57
Speaker 1: cash on San Jose. And of course, if it wins,
1:14:59
Speaker 1: I'm gonna be pissed. And I didn't give it out.
1:15:01
Speaker 1: That's just the nature of the game. That's what it is.
1:15:06
Speaker 1: Pancreatic cancer Dnien. Oh yeah, the Whalers, Yeah, that's right.
1:15:09
Speaker 1: I watched a Whaler's documentary on YouTube not that long ago. Yeah. Yeah,
1:15:16
Speaker 1: the Whalers. They were a scene man. I mean it
1:15:18
Speaker 1: was because they were in kind of a small market,
1:15:21
Speaker 1: Like their fan base was really intense. Man, we need
1:15:24
Speaker 1: some of those Connecticut teams back, I guess. I mean
1:15:28
Speaker 1: Whalers are of course now the Carolina Hurricanes so hard
1:15:32
Speaker 1: for people probably pissed, and they got that good team,
1:15:35
Speaker 1: that franchise that's been really good that could be in Hartford.
1:15:39
Speaker 1: And then they got to bring back the Danbury Trashers. Man,
1:15:42
Speaker 1: you saw me wearing the Trashers jersey on that NFL
1:15:45
Speaker 1: show where didn't talk to anybody that was there's a
1:15:49
Speaker 1: great documentary about that team, All Night on Netflix. It's
1:15:52
Speaker 1: one of the Untold series or whatever that was a
1:15:56
Speaker 1: The Danbury Trashers were basically a mob o uhll team
1:16:01
Speaker 1: that only lasted a year because their only goal was
1:16:04
Speaker 1: to just hire a bunch of goons to play on
1:16:06
Speaker 1: the team and just beat the other teams up physically
1:16:09
Speaker 1: and like injure them and stuff. Pretty awesome to be honest. So, yeah,
1:16:15
Speaker 1: there is that the expos documentary I watched. I actually
1:16:18
Speaker 1: watched one on Netflix, or I watch you're talking about
1:16:20
Speaker 1: the Netflix one. I watched one on YouTube before I
1:16:23
Speaker 1: even knew there was a Netflix one coming out. There's
1:16:25
Speaker 1: one on YouTube that's decent, and I think it's actually
1:16:28
Speaker 1: maybe better than the Netflix out of the Netflix one.
1:16:33
Speaker 1: The Netflix one, you gotta like subtitles for one thing,
1:16:35
Speaker 1: because a lot of it is in French. Although I
1:16:37
Speaker 1: kind of understand French because I took like seven years
1:16:40
Speaker 1: of it and I used to be fairly good at it,
1:16:42
Speaker 1: like I was decent at the language when I went
1:16:44
Speaker 1: to France in high school. But uh, because when you
1:16:48
Speaker 1: don't use it, that stuff just goes away at atrophies.
1:16:52
Speaker 1: I didn't hate the Netflix expos documentary. I think they
1:16:56
Speaker 1: did miss some things though in it, but the U
1:17:00
Speaker 1: one kind of did too, So I don't know. The
1:17:01
Speaker 1: one that's on YouTube. I think I kind of liked
1:17:03
Speaker 1: a little bit better though. It's interesting nonetheless, so I
1:17:07
Speaker 1: like sports history stuff. But yeah, the Trashers need to
1:17:12
Speaker 1: come back, man. The FBI shut them down because they
1:17:15
Speaker 1: were run by a mafia family that ran the sanitation business.
1:17:19
Speaker 1: Of course they did in that area. Bring it back, man,
1:17:23
Speaker 1: they were an entertaining team, all right, NBA oh man,
1:17:28
Speaker 1: another long video. All right, we got Portland at Cleveland.
1:17:33
Speaker 1: I mean, I don't love the spot for Portland as
1:17:35
Speaker 1: we know. I mean, Portland, we went against them last
1:17:38
Speaker 1: night and they should have lost. My more. I mean,
1:17:40
Speaker 1: Toronto had the margin for a lot of this game.
1:17:43
Speaker 1: And now Portland's on a back to back, and the
1:17:45
Speaker 1: reason I faded them in that game was because they
1:17:47
Speaker 1: were coming off a tough performance against OKAC. Now they
1:17:50
Speaker 1: just put up a performance, so they came close to
1:17:53
Speaker 1: Toronto last night, and now they have to turn around
1:17:55
Speaker 1: on a back to back and play Cleveland. I mean,
1:17:58
Speaker 1: sure they're gonna try to focus on Cleveland, but I
1:18:01
Speaker 1: don't know. And they also played Detroit on Friday, and
1:18:03
Speaker 1: Detroit's got the better record here. So don't love the
1:18:06
Speaker 1: spot here for Portland very much at all. Even though
1:18:10
Speaker 1: they ideally would show up for a game against Cleveland,
1:18:13
Speaker 1: Cleveland has it a lot easier because they didn't play yesterday.
1:18:16
Speaker 1: They aren't playing a third game in four days. If
1:18:18
Speaker 1: they only had one quick trip to Indiana, I think
1:18:20
Speaker 1: got the job done against an Indiana team, it's been
1:18:23
Speaker 1: very injured and struggling. I think that'll just give them
1:18:26
Speaker 1: momentum because that'll just break that losing streak for them.
1:18:29
Speaker 1: So I would lay the points with Cleveland in this game.
1:18:32
Speaker 1: I don't really see any other way to look at
1:18:33
Speaker 1: This game hasn't made my card, But where's the game here?
1:18:37
Speaker 1: The money looks like it's disagreeing, I don't. I don't
1:18:40
Speaker 1: know what's up with that Calves down from eleven to
1:18:42
Speaker 1: ten sixty two per tickets on them, sixty percent cash
1:18:45
Speaker 1: on the Blazers. So yeah, I mean I would lean
1:18:49
Speaker 1: towards laying it with the Calves, though. I don't know
1:18:51
Speaker 1: what's going on with this market read right now, but
1:18:53
Speaker 1: I don't understand how money could be on the Blazers
1:18:56
Speaker 1: in this one, to be honest, Like the spot is
1:18:58
Speaker 1: pretty bad for them. Not on my card, but close ish.
1:19:03
Speaker 1: I have a lot of opinions on these NBA games,
1:19:05
Speaker 1: and I'm trying to be really selective with the actual plays.
1:19:08
Speaker 1: Denver is coming off an ugly loss to Dallas at home.
1:19:13
Speaker 1: Dallas was a pretty injury depleted team, although Anthony Davis
1:19:17
Speaker 1: was back though, so that was actually the second game
1:19:20
Speaker 1: Anthony Davis was back, so Dallas took a loss in
1:19:24
Speaker 1: the reverse injured player spot, which I didn't even realize
1:19:26
Speaker 1: Davis was coming back. But oh no, Dallas won, I
1:19:30
Speaker 1: guess in that game against Wait what no, I think
1:19:33
Speaker 1: Davis came back against LA and then he didn't play
1:19:35
Speaker 1: against the Clippers, I think is what happened. So Davis
1:19:38
Speaker 1: came back against his former team LA and in the
1:19:41
Speaker 1: reverse injured players about Dallas didn't. I think they might
1:19:45
Speaker 1: have actually covered this game though, of course ESPN won't
1:19:48
Speaker 1: show me the lines anymore, but Dallas might have covered
1:19:51
Speaker 1: that number. But even so, they didn't win the game.
1:19:53
Speaker 1: And then second game, with Anthony Davis playing against Denver,
1:19:56
Speaker 1: they pulled off the upset, so ridiculous upset. And now
1:20:00
Speaker 1: Denver's coming off losing that game very ugly and now
1:20:03
Speaker 1: starting a road trip. You gotta think Denver's gonna be
1:20:06
Speaker 1: focused here starting a road trip off of an ugly
1:20:09
Speaker 1: loss like that Indiana. I mean, I guess you could
1:20:13
Speaker 1: argue they're starting to play a little bit better here
1:20:15
Speaker 1: they are coming off a blowout loss to Cleveland basically,
1:20:18
Speaker 1: and they're staying at home. But Denver's still the better
1:20:21
Speaker 1: team and Denver's in a positive spot, so my lean
1:20:24
Speaker 1: would be towards laying the points with the Nuggets of
1:20:26
Speaker 1: this one. But the money is again disagreeing with me.
1:20:30
Speaker 1: Sixty eight percent of tickets only fifty eight percent of
1:20:32
Speaker 1: cash on the Nuggets. I hate these early market reads too,
1:20:34
Speaker 1: because a lot of times the money will just completely
1:20:37
Speaker 1: shift around throughout the day, so there's not a whole
1:20:41
Speaker 1: lot of stock you can put into this. So I
1:20:44
Speaker 1: don't know, but yeah, I mean with both teams being
1:20:47
Speaker 1: kind of positive spots and Denver being the team coming
1:20:50
Speaker 1: off the way way uglier loss, I like Denver to
1:20:53
Speaker 1: refocus in that one. San Antonio at Orlando, I don't
1:20:58
Speaker 1: know what we do with this game either. Jefferees said
1:21:00
Speaker 1: he's on the under in this one. San Antonio played.
1:21:04
Speaker 1: They played last night, so that kind of makes me
1:21:07
Speaker 1: not want to play the under just for that reason alone.
1:21:09
Speaker 1: San Antonio has done a lot of traveling here. I mean,
1:21:11
Speaker 1: this is going to be a very tire team, which
1:21:14
Speaker 1: I think affects the defense mostly, so I think that
1:21:17
Speaker 1: means more of an over type of game. San Antonio. Again,
1:21:22
Speaker 1: I can't believe that we didn't get that cover with Memphis.
1:21:25
Speaker 1: Last night, Memphis had the lead with three minutes to
1:21:27
Speaker 1: go as a plus five underdog or whatever. San Antonio
1:21:31
Speaker 1: was in a road trip Sandwich, a single game road trip,
1:21:34
Speaker 1: between two single game homestand between two road trips. They'd
1:21:39
Speaker 1: finished the road trip playing Denver, beating Denver, and then
1:21:41
Speaker 1: playing against Minnesota. They got the win last night somehow.
1:21:45
Speaker 1: Now they're going back on the road to face Orlando,
1:21:47
Speaker 1: and they do have Cleveland up right after this. I
1:21:50
Speaker 1: don't love the spot at all for san Antonio. Man
1:21:53
Speaker 1: on the back to back with this much travel. It's
1:21:55
Speaker 1: a third game in four days, fourth game in six days,
1:21:58
Speaker 1: fifth game, and eight days owned cities. Orlando still might
1:22:02
Speaker 1: not be gaining, like getting a lot of people's attention,
1:22:05
Speaker 1: just because even though they're playing better recently, maybe they
1:22:07
Speaker 1: just don't still draw that attention. And though I know
1:22:10
Speaker 1: now they beat Detroit, but they came up with that
1:22:13
Speaker 1: game return home spot as well. We got the cover
1:22:15
Speaker 1: with the Bulls in that one. Orlando still won the game.
1:22:21
Speaker 1: They're staying at home. They had yesterday off. They actually
1:22:23
Speaker 1: had the entire weekend off prior to Monday, so Orlando's
1:22:26
Speaker 1: the much more rested team. And staying at home. Orlando's
1:22:30
Speaker 1: got to be the right side in this game, even
1:22:32
Speaker 1: though the money again does not agree with that. The
1:22:35
Speaker 1: line is up to eight for whatever reason. I mean,
1:22:38
Speaker 1: we know that Wemba is still out, so I don't
1:22:40
Speaker 1: know why this line is moving like this. Fifty six
1:22:42
Speaker 1: percent of the tickets on Orlando, fifty three percent of
1:22:46
Speaker 1: the cash on the Spurs. I would only lay the
1:22:48
Speaker 1: points with the magic in that one, though. I don't
1:22:50
Speaker 1: really get the market I don't understand the market read
1:22:53
Speaker 1: on these games at all. I don't like the under
1:22:57
Speaker 1: in that game either. Really, the total has gone up
1:22:58
Speaker 1: a little bit to two thirty five. Money looks like
1:23:01
Speaker 1: it's on the over seventy eight percent of tickets, ninety
1:23:04
Speaker 1: six percent of the cash on the over. I would
1:23:05
Speaker 1: like the over more. Probably both teams are in spots
1:23:07
Speaker 1: or I didn't think they were gonna be focused, But
1:23:10
Speaker 1: I don't know. The underworries me in that one, and
1:23:14
Speaker 1: you know, with wem but not in there. That affects
1:23:17
Speaker 1: San Antonio's defense, you know, like that takes away a
1:23:20
Speaker 1: lot from their defense. He's very good, a very good
1:23:22
Speaker 1: defensive presence. Clippers are at Atlanta. Oh yeah, this is
1:23:26
Speaker 1: one of my plays. You're gonna love these. We're going
1:23:29
Speaker 1: right back with the Clippers plus the points here. Man.
1:23:33
Speaker 1: They they gotta get it done at some point. They
1:23:35
Speaker 1: can't possibly continue to be this bad. Like this is ridiculous, dude.
1:23:39
Speaker 1: I know, dude, a lot of this is coaching, Like
1:23:43
Speaker 1: they need to fix something here because they do have
1:23:46
Speaker 1: some talent on this team. They can't just keep running
1:23:49
Speaker 1: offense just basically like let James Harden just hog the ball,
1:23:53
Speaker 1: like that's what their offense is. But I'm doing this
1:23:55
Speaker 1: anyway because this spot is terrible for Atlanta. So that's
1:23:59
Speaker 1: what I'm doing here. Atlanta. They're coming off a double
1:24:03
Speaker 1: overtime game on Sunday. Well, first of all, Friday, the
1:24:06
Speaker 1: upset Cleveland. Then they went into Philadelphia and we lost
1:24:09
Speaker 1: in this game in double overtime on what was kind
1:24:12
Speaker 1: of a bullshit loss. After Philadelphia made the comeback, Atlanta
1:24:16
Speaker 1: double overtime win over Philadelphia. Then they turn around and
1:24:20
Speaker 1: they took Detroit to win one on Monday, and now
1:24:24
Speaker 1: they're coming up of that and they played the Clippers,
1:24:26
Speaker 1: who are like five and sixteen. I mean, do you
1:24:28
Speaker 1: really see Atlanta being focused on this game? I don't
1:24:32
Speaker 1: think so. And they have to turn around and they
1:24:34
Speaker 1: have to play the Denver Nuggets on Friday, which is
1:24:36
Speaker 1: a much much bigger game. So this is a sandwich spot.
1:24:40
Speaker 1: It's not a very good rest or travel spot either.
1:24:43
Speaker 1: Atlanta's technically returning home from a road treb although I
1:24:45
Speaker 1: don't care that much about that, but it was just
1:24:47
Speaker 1: Sunday Monday. But still, it's a third game in four days,
1:24:51
Speaker 1: all in different cities, fourth game in six days, and
1:24:55
Speaker 1: most of them in different cities, the first and last
1:24:57
Speaker 1: games now being at home. I don't love this all, man.
1:25:00
Speaker 1: And they took Detroit to the wire in that previous game.
1:25:02
Speaker 1: That would have been a huge win if Atlanta could
1:25:04
Speaker 1: have gotten that done. Terrible spot for Atlanta. The Clippers.
1:25:09
Speaker 1: They better just do something here, man, because they're coming
1:25:11
Speaker 1: up another blowout loss. Which it was a bad sign
1:25:16
Speaker 1: that that was in a good spot to take the Clippers.
1:25:18
Speaker 1: So I do worry about that. Those a Miami return
1:25:20
Speaker 1: home spot Clippers got annihilated. But come on, man, at
1:25:24
Speaker 1: some point the Clippers are gonna have to do something.
1:25:27
Speaker 1: I mean, the last two wins have come at home.
1:25:30
Speaker 1: I know Atlanta is better than the two teams that
1:25:32
Speaker 1: they beat. I'm reiterating what I said last time against Miami,
1:25:35
Speaker 1: but I'm doing it again. I'm trusting the process. We're
1:25:38
Speaker 1: going with it. I know the Clippers are playing kind
1:25:41
Speaker 1: of a pack schedule as well. They played twenty eight
1:25:44
Speaker 1: twenty ninth. They're playing a fourth game in six days.
1:25:46
Speaker 1: I know I don't love that, but the first two
1:25:48
Speaker 1: of those games are at home. Their last game they
1:25:50
Speaker 1: got absolutely blown out on Monday. Yeah, I mean to me,
1:25:55
Speaker 1: it looks like they're in the bounce back spot here.
1:25:57
Speaker 1: They're gonna try to get this game. In my opinion,
1:26:00
Speaker 1: it's got to be the Clippers in this one. This one.
1:26:03
Speaker 1: The market does strongly agree with me. It looks like
1:26:06
Speaker 1: and hopefully that doesn't change. Hawks down from three and
1:26:08
Speaker 1: a half to three seventy two percent tickets on them,
1:26:10
Speaker 1: sixty five percent of the couch on the Clippers. We're
1:26:12
Speaker 1: doing it. We're taking the Clippers. You might be able
1:26:15
Speaker 1: to get three and a half on that too. Clippers. Yes, sir,
1:26:19
Speaker 1: I don't know what I'm talking about with the totals
1:26:21
Speaker 1: really though. You like the Clippers as well? Yeah, it better,
1:26:27
Speaker 1: It better happened, man, I don't want to continue to
1:26:30
Speaker 1: lose the NBA. My NBA is usually pretty good. It's
1:26:33
Speaker 1: been good this year too. So far. For the most part,
1:26:37
Speaker 1: Spurs are testing players. What does that even mean? Though?
1:26:39
Speaker 1: That that makes me also like the over because that
1:26:42
Speaker 1: kind of means it's gonna be like a scrimmage where
1:26:44
Speaker 1: teams just don't play defense as intense as intensely. Charlotte
1:26:49
Speaker 1: at the Knicks. I don't love the spot for the
1:26:52
Speaker 1: Knicks here. Man, the Knicks. They played yesterday, they lost
1:26:56
Speaker 1: in Boston to my boss's Celtics. They're on a back
1:26:59
Speaker 1: to back. They're you're playing a third game in four days.
1:27:01
Speaker 1: Although it was just a trip to Boston from New York.
1:27:03
Speaker 1: I know that's not a huge travel spot back home
1:27:06
Speaker 1: from that, but still third game in four days, fourth
1:27:08
Speaker 1: game in six days, fifth game in eight days, six
1:27:12
Speaker 1: game and ten as well in seventh and twelve. That's
1:27:16
Speaker 1: not that easy to do. And that loss to Boston
1:27:19
Speaker 1: broke a win streak of the Knicks, so I think
1:27:23
Speaker 1: they could be hung over here. It's a back to back,
1:27:25
Speaker 1: it's not that great of a spot here for the Knicks.
1:27:27
Speaker 1: Man playing boss is still a big game, Charlotte coming
1:27:33
Speaker 1: off a loss at Brooklyn, which we got that one.
1:27:35
Speaker 1: That was a win for us on the show with Brooklyn,
1:27:37
Speaker 1: Brooklyn outright win Charlotte, I thought they were in a
1:27:40
Speaker 1: bad spot coming off beating Chicago and beating Toronto in overtime.
1:27:45
Speaker 1: Huge win in with the Knicks upcoming, because I think
1:27:47
Speaker 1: they're gonna want to get some revenge here. Because the
1:27:49
Speaker 1: Knicks just beat Charlotte in Charlotte by twenty eight points
1:27:53
Speaker 1: on November twenty sixth, So I don't really see the
1:27:56
Speaker 1: Knicks being that focused on this game, and Charlotte might
1:27:58
Speaker 1: want this game a bit more because it's that quick
1:28:01
Speaker 1: revenge type of spot here. You know what, man, additional
1:28:08
Speaker 1: play might happen here. Nick's down from nine and a
1:28:10
Speaker 1: half to eight and a half. Eighty two percent of
1:28:11
Speaker 1: tickets on them, but fifty one percent of the couch
1:28:13
Speaker 1: on the Hornets. You know what, We'll do the Hornets,
1:28:17
Speaker 1: and if they get it done, we will. Yeah. Man,
1:28:19
Speaker 1: I can't believe I'm adding all these plays on the
1:28:21
Speaker 1: fly here. We'll do it. And if they get the
1:28:24
Speaker 1: job done for us, maybe I'll wear my ball jersey again.
1:28:27
Speaker 1: I'll ball out. Let's take the Hornets here. It looks
1:28:31
Speaker 1: like you can get plus eight and a half on
1:28:33
Speaker 1: this one. I like it. We'll do it. It's gonna
1:28:37
Speaker 1: be three NBA plays now. The quick revenge spot actually
1:28:41
Speaker 1: put me over the top with it. I already liked it,
1:28:44
Speaker 1: but let's do it, Hornets plus eight and a half,
1:28:48
Speaker 1: all right? Next game up is Brooklyn at Chicago. I
1:28:55
Speaker 1: don't really have much going on with this game. Chicago
1:29:01
Speaker 1: took another lost, close game against Orlando. Now they're returning
1:29:05
Speaker 1: over from a road trip. Though you know, I don't
1:29:07
Speaker 1: like teams returning over from road trips. They've been on
1:29:09
Speaker 1: the road through the holidays since last Monday, so again,
1:29:12
Speaker 1: they didn't really have much opportunity to celebrate Thanksgiving, it seems,
1:29:16
Speaker 1: so this could be a bit of a distraction spot. Man.
1:29:19
Speaker 1: I mean, I don't think you're really going to be
1:29:21
Speaker 1: focused on Brooklyn, and you might be more focused on
1:29:23
Speaker 1: Indiana because they've made good the last couple of years,
1:29:25
Speaker 1: and because Chicago actually lost at Indiana on the twenty ninth,
1:29:29
Speaker 1: so that Indiana game might draw more of their focus
1:29:32
Speaker 1: than Brooklyn does. Brooklyn may have some new momentum after
1:29:36
Speaker 1: beating Charlotte. Man, maybe that's a good things that breaks
1:29:39
Speaker 1: another lost Street for them, so maybe they'll show up
1:29:41
Speaker 1: and play well here. So I do like Brooklyn in
1:29:44
Speaker 1: this one. The Bulls have dropped from an eleven point
1:29:48
Speaker 1: favorite to an eight point favorite. I look to see
1:29:50
Speaker 1: the injury report and there isn't really a whole lot
1:29:52
Speaker 1: going on there, So I don't know. Bulls have some
1:29:56
Speaker 1: guys that have never heard of their list on the
1:29:58
Speaker 1: injury report. I don't eighty four percent of tickets ninety
1:30:01
Speaker 1: one percent of the cash on the Bulls. I would
1:30:03
Speaker 1: definitely take the points though in this one with the Nets.
1:30:06
Speaker 1: This one is close to being a play for me.
1:30:10
Speaker 1: I don't know. That one is a little bit weaker,
1:30:12
Speaker 1: some staying off of it, but it's close. Uh, Sacramento
1:30:15
Speaker 1: at Houston this one. I like Sacramento in this game. Houston.
1:30:21
Speaker 1: They're returning over from a road trip as well. They
1:30:23
Speaker 1: were on the road through the holidays too, so a
1:30:25
Speaker 1: lot of road trip returns. They might have more focus
1:30:29
Speaker 1: coming up against Phoenix in their next game, although they
1:30:31
Speaker 1: already beat Phoenix during that road trip, but there's still
1:30:34
Speaker 1: kind of that thing. I mean, they got durant from Phoenix.
1:30:36
Speaker 1: I mean, Phoenix has been played better, so I think
1:30:38
Speaker 1: they might overlook Sacramento here and have more of their
1:30:42
Speaker 1: focus set on Phoenix in the next game. Houston did
1:30:45
Speaker 1: lose though, to finish the road trouble, though I usually
1:30:47
Speaker 1: ignore that, and I usually will fade the team returning
1:30:50
Speaker 1: over from the road trip anyway, because the public perception
1:30:53
Speaker 1: would be all the bounced back after that. But maybe not.
1:30:56
Speaker 1: And yes, it was a zigzag, and I was on
1:30:58
Speaker 1: Utah in the wrong one of the two. I thought
1:31:01
Speaker 1: Houston was in a bad letdown spot for beating Golden
1:31:04
Speaker 1: State in a playoff revenge going into Utah. They got
1:31:08
Speaker 1: the win in the first game, and then the zigzag
1:31:10
Speaker 1: happened in the second game. But now Houston returning home
1:31:13
Speaker 1: from a road trip, I still don't see them being
1:31:15
Speaker 1: that focused on Sacramento here. For Sacramento, they're coming on.
1:31:19
Speaker 1: Have a loss to Memphis. I mean, they've lost a
1:31:21
Speaker 1: bunch of games in a row again, three losses in
1:31:23
Speaker 1: a row. They did lose to Utah as well, although
1:31:26
Speaker 1: of course Houston did also just lose one of two
1:31:28
Speaker 1: to Utah. Sacramento starting a road trip here that with
1:31:32
Speaker 1: a bunch of days off. Actually they haven't played since Sunday,
1:31:35
Speaker 1: so having a lot of days off might actually break
1:31:37
Speaker 1: Sacramento's losing momentum. So I do like the Kings in
1:31:41
Speaker 1: this one. The money seems to not agree right now
1:31:44
Speaker 1: fifty four percent of tickets, seventy four percent of the
1:31:47
Speaker 1: cash or now fifty two and seventy three respectively on
1:31:50
Speaker 1: the Rockets up to fifteen and a half. I know
1:31:53
Speaker 1: the Rockets. I mean, if they want to, they probably
1:31:55
Speaker 1: could just name the score on this game. So I
1:31:57
Speaker 1: worry a little bit, but I would take the points
1:31:59
Speaker 1: with the Kings in that game. What do you mean?
1:32:03
Speaker 1: What happened to Loser Cast? We had the first episode
1:32:05
Speaker 1: last night? What did you not see it? We did
1:32:10
Speaker 1: the episode last night. I thought I thought it went okay.
1:32:14
Speaker 1: I don't know. The format of it seems to be decent.
1:32:16
Speaker 1: I think we need to make some tweaks Detroit at Milwaukee.
1:32:23
Speaker 1: But yeah, if you miss Loser Casts, you can go
1:32:25
Speaker 1: check it out. Man. Although I think it's on Layton's
1:32:27
Speaker 1: YouTube right now. I don't know because the new YouTube channel.
1:32:31
Speaker 1: Oh maybe that's what you mean. It wasn't on the
1:32:33
Speaker 1: new YouTube channel because the new YouTube channel they give
1:32:35
Speaker 1: you like a twenty four hour delay before you can
1:32:38
Speaker 1: actually stream to it so he couldn't stream to it yet.
1:32:41
Speaker 1: I don't know, because I think it's after you like
1:32:44
Speaker 1: get accepted to do it or whatever. But it's on
1:32:47
Speaker 1: Layton's YouTube. It's on the Outlawed Thoughts YouTube. That's where
1:32:51
Speaker 1: it was for the first episode, and I think we
1:32:54
Speaker 1: did stream into Twitter. I don't know if he has
1:32:56
Speaker 1: a rumble that it streamed to as well. I'm not
1:32:57
Speaker 1: even really sure, but yeah, you should be able to
1:33:01
Speaker 1: go see it on Leyton's Outlawed Thoughts channel, though, I
1:33:04
Speaker 1: think is where it is right now, unless it's intense
1:33:08
Speaker 1: enough that we might get it nuked. I don't know
1:33:10
Speaker 1: if he had to pull it from YouTube or not
1:33:13
Speaker 1: right after he got monetized. Detroit and Milwaukee. Detroit come
1:33:17
Speaker 1: out of a close call against Atlanta, single game road
1:33:20
Speaker 1: trip going out to Milwaukee. They did already beat Milwaukee
1:33:23
Speaker 1: in Milwaukee on Saturday, November twenty second. I'm guessing that
1:33:26
Speaker 1: was without Yannis Janis is back now. Milwaukee just on
1:33:30
Speaker 1: an ugly stretch right now and doesn't get much uglier
1:33:33
Speaker 1: than their last game where they lost to Washington. So
1:33:37
Speaker 1: I mean, I think it's a positive spot for both teams.
1:33:39
Speaker 1: Maybe Milwaukee getting a little bit of value here, and
1:33:42
Speaker 1: maybe it will be a little bit more pissed off
1:33:44
Speaker 1: about that loss. So I'm not going to really disagree
1:33:46
Speaker 1: with Milwaukee here, but it's not my favorite. Like I
1:33:49
Speaker 1: think it's weaker than most of the other games I
1:33:51
Speaker 1: talked about, to be honest, even the ones where I'm
1:33:53
Speaker 1: going against the money. Right now, this game, we have
1:34:00
Speaker 1: what are we looking at your pistons, fifty six percent
1:34:02
Speaker 1: of the tickets on them, seventy three percent of the
1:34:04
Speaker 1: couch on the bucks. The market read is saying the
1:34:06
Speaker 1: money is on the bucks, taking the points of the bucks. Yeah,
1:34:09
Speaker 1: I don't disagree. Uh, maybe a little bit, a little
1:34:12
Speaker 1: bit of value getting points with them at home, you know,
1:34:15
Speaker 1: with the way that they've been playing recently, coming off
1:34:17
Speaker 1: a very very ugly loss. But you know, Detroit came
1:34:21
Speaker 1: out of a loss I believe is a favorite as well.
1:34:23
Speaker 1: So yeah, I'm staying away from that one. J C,
1:34:28
Speaker 1: what's up? Thanks for hanging out. JC is everywhere. And
1:34:31
Speaker 1: then finally the last play, Yeah, you're not gonna like
1:34:33
Speaker 1: this one. We're gonna lay the points with the Miami Heat.
1:34:36
Speaker 1: We're gonna go against what the market is saying here.
1:34:39
Speaker 1: Maybe we'll get a better number on this. I would
1:34:41
Speaker 1: probably wait, actually, because maybe you'll get a better number
1:34:44
Speaker 1: on this. I'd open a two and a half. I know. Unfortunately,
1:34:47
Speaker 1: I don't know what caused this line to move. The
1:34:49
Speaker 1: MAVs have a lot of guys on the injury report
1:34:51
Speaker 1: right now. Gaffred and Washington have both been out. But
1:34:57
Speaker 1: what's kind of crazy about that is Gaffred and Washington
1:34:59
Speaker 1: both missed the game that they won against the Nuggets,
1:35:03
Speaker 1: So I don't know, man, with them coming in and
1:35:06
Speaker 1: out of the line of them coming back, it might
1:35:07
Speaker 1: mess with the team chemistry and whatever. Heat have seventy
1:35:10
Speaker 1: nine percent of tickets on them, fifty six percent of
1:35:13
Speaker 1: the cash on the MAVs, so the money's completely disagreeing
1:35:16
Speaker 1: with me. I don't care. I hate the spot for
1:35:18
Speaker 1: Dallas here. I think it's a terrible spot. Dallas. They
1:35:23
Speaker 1: pulled off the upset against Denver, massive upset in high elevation,
1:35:27
Speaker 1: and not only that, but on top of that, they
1:35:29
Speaker 1: were returning home from a road trip that they were
1:35:31
Speaker 1: on during the break or during excuse during Thanksgiving. I
1:35:35
Speaker 1: don't want to call it a break because they didn't
1:35:36
Speaker 1: have a break, so they didn't have a Thanksgiving breaks,
1:35:38
Speaker 1: so I think they're gonna have just well, maybe they
1:35:40
Speaker 1: actually maybe they celebrated Thanksgiving before, No, because they were
1:35:43
Speaker 1: in Miami and then La. What am I talking about?
1:35:45
Speaker 1: Did they stop off back at home just for Thanksgiving
1:35:48
Speaker 1: and then go out to La. I don't know, but
1:35:50
Speaker 1: this road trip happened during Thanksgiving. Now they're back home.
1:35:53
Speaker 1: They've been on the road since Monday, November twenty fourth.
1:35:56
Speaker 1: You know, I always talk about this, how a team
1:35:59
Speaker 1: can get distracted when they return home. Even though yes,
1:36:01
Speaker 1: I know they lost at Miami, but only by four.
1:36:04
Speaker 1: That was a game where I gave out Dallas in
1:36:06
Speaker 1: that game that was a win for us. Dallas covered
1:36:08
Speaker 1: in that game was they're starting a road trip. I
1:36:10
Speaker 1: liked that to be a focused spot. So maybe Miami
1:36:13
Speaker 1: will remember that and maybe actually show up with more
1:36:16
Speaker 1: intensity in that one in this one. I mean because
1:36:19
Speaker 1: of that game. But yeah, I just don't know if
1:36:21
Speaker 1: Dallas is really gonna be focused on Miami out of
1:36:24
Speaker 1: conference team and up next two days from now, they
1:36:26
Speaker 1: got to play the Oklahoma City Thunder and then Houston
1:36:29
Speaker 1: the next day. So to me, it looks like it's
1:36:31
Speaker 1: a look ahead spot. Too, So it's a huge sandwich
1:36:34
Speaker 1: spot here. Man. I don't see any other way to
1:36:36
Speaker 1: look at this game. I think Miami's gonna annihilate them.
1:36:40
Speaker 1: Miami coming into this game off of an easy win
1:36:43
Speaker 1: over the Clippers and starting a road trip. Now, starting
1:36:47
Speaker 1: a road trip usually you are focused. So that I
1:36:49
Speaker 1: know Miami does have Orlando next, that's a bigger game
1:36:51
Speaker 1: for them. I understand that maybe it's a little bit
1:36:54
Speaker 1: of a look ahead, but yeah, I mean this spot
1:36:57
Speaker 1: is miserable for Dallas, so we gotta do it. We're
1:37:01
Speaker 1: gonna lay the points. I don't know where this number
1:37:03
Speaker 1: is gonna wind up. I don't know what's going on
1:37:05
Speaker 1: with the market. I just don't care. I hate the
1:37:07
Speaker 1: spot for Dallas, so Miami is the last play there.
1:37:11
Speaker 1: Also could use it as maybe a moneyline parlay piece.
1:37:14
Speaker 1: I do not think they're gonna lose the game, so
1:37:18
Speaker 1: that those are my opinions on those. That's gonna do it. Man.
1:37:20
Speaker 1: We added two more plays here on the fly. There's
1:37:23
Speaker 1: no football today once again. The plays they're all in
1:37:25
Speaker 1: the evening Minnesota in college basketball plus the points. Mine's
1:37:29
Speaker 1: already moving on that Central Connecticut ratting last minute plus
1:37:33
Speaker 1: the points. Saint Thomas plus the points, the Tommy's Denver
1:37:37
Speaker 1: as a favorite in college basketball minus the points. NBA
1:37:42
Speaker 1: we have the Clippers plus the points, Hornets plus the points,
1:37:45
Speaker 1: Miami Heat minus the points. That's gonna do it. Learn
1:37:49
Speaker 1: it tone on Twitter, learn it tone on Instagram. Yeah,
1:37:53
Speaker 1: go like a subscribe to the show here of course,
1:37:56
Speaker 1: give me some good comments on your go review on
1:37:59
Speaker 1: apple Spot if I listen over there helps me out
1:38:01
Speaker 1: as well. Go check out covered in yuke My yuke channel.
1:38:05
Speaker 1: That's up to date at least for now, I believe
1:38:08
Speaker 1: on YouTube. Haven't gotten up to date with the Patreon
1:38:12
Speaker 1: feed Patreon dot com, slash learn to toad. We'll see,
1:38:15
Speaker 1: and we'll see if I get approved for subscribers, because
1:38:18
Speaker 1: I was able to actually at least reapply for subscriptions
1:38:21
Speaker 1: finally on Twitter. So hopefully they approve me. I got
1:38:25
Speaker 1: rejected the last time. I mean, come on, man, like
1:38:28
Speaker 1: just I'm so sick of it. Man. They tell you
1:38:32
Speaker 1: that you violated policies and they don't even tell you
1:38:34
Speaker 1: what the violation is. But yeah, hopefully that happen. I mean,
1:38:38
Speaker 1: there are guys that say way worse things than I
1:38:40
Speaker 1: do that get approved for that, so come on, man. Yeah,
1:38:44
Speaker 1: and then yeah, so the Pagreon also gives you the
1:38:47
Speaker 1: ability to request stuff from me that I kind of ignore.
1:38:50
Speaker 1: I do it. I promise I'll get back to the
1:38:51
Speaker 1: page ron at some point and get it up to
1:38:53
Speaker 1: date and see what the other requests are. But I
1:38:55
Speaker 1: need my voice back as well. And then of course
1:38:58
Speaker 1: check out Loser Casts, which I thin think the first
1:39:01
Speaker 1: episode is on Layton's channel. From last night. We got
1:39:04
Speaker 1: some things to tweak, but I think the overall format
1:39:07
Speaker 1: was okay. I enjoyed it. I think it was fun.
1:39:09
Speaker 1: It was hopefully funny. It wasn't as completely over the
1:39:13
Speaker 1: line as Tower Gang. But also it's first show, and
1:39:17
Speaker 1: like you know, there are two guys on the show
1:39:19
Speaker 1: that I've never even talked to before, so I don't know,
1:39:23
Speaker 1: and Adam Nutter missed the show, so he's the biggest
1:39:28
Speaker 1: loser of all really from last night. There will also
1:39:32
Speaker 1: be a poll out there where people can choose which
1:39:35
Speaker 1: one of our choices they think is indeed the loser
1:39:38
Speaker 1: of the week. But yeah, that's gonna do it, man.
1:39:43
Speaker 1: I'll be back tomorrow, I guess for whatever is going
1:39:47
Speaker 1: on tomorrow. Hopefully, it's a small it should be a
1:39:49
Speaker 1: smaller board. Tomorrow. I know there is football, just the
1:39:51
Speaker 1: NFL game tomorrow. I am considering a play on the
1:39:54
Speaker 1: NFL game tomorrow. We'll see. I don't love the NFL
1:39:57
Speaker 1: board at all this week, but we'll see. Today's Wednesday, right,
1:40:01
Speaker 1: So Wednesday is kind of my football research day where
1:40:04
Speaker 1: I watch the you know, the wager talk shows to
1:40:06
Speaker 1: see if they confirm my thinking or not. We'll see. Man,
1:40:11
Speaker 1: that's gonna do it for now. I appreciated everybody hanging out.
1:40:13
Speaker 1: Let's get back on the winning side tonight. Man, that's
1:40:15
Speaker 1: the goal. Obviously. If we go four and three, I'll
1:40:18
Speaker 1: be happy. Like it's a it's a grind. You want
1:40:22
Speaker 1: to win, you know, win more than you lose. That's
1:40:25
Speaker 1: the name of it. So let's go. Let's do it.
1:40:27
Speaker 1: I'll be back again, hopefully. Peace for now,