Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / Super Bowl Rematch & NFL Down Under | NFL Week 1

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Super Bowl Rematch & NFL Down Under | NFL Week 1 · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:09
  Speaker 1: Welcome to the favorites presented by draft Kings. The crown
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: is yours. We are an action network podcast. I'm your host,
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: Brandon Kravitz joined by the first lady, Kendra Middleton. And
• 0:21
  Speaker 1: we have arrived all the off season chatter. All of
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: Kendra's off season travels have led us to this week.
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: One of the NFL season, a reminder that starting next week,
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: we're going to go Monday and Thursday. So same Thursday
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: show where we preview all of the games, but Monday
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: is going to be our recap episode. So Monday we'll
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: be back on next week. That'll be the new weekly
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: cadence every Monday and Thursday. And we're going to have
• 0:48
  Speaker 1: a picks contest that we're unveiling on Thursday's episode. It's us.
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: Versus you via draft Kings, $ 50 to enter. And you
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: can talk shit to us all season, or you can
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: watch as we absolutely smash you. You know, some people
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: like to think of us Kendra as the casuals of
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: the betting podcast sphere via action, but just watch as
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: we take all of you down man and woman by
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: man and woman.
• 1:17
  Speaker 2: We talk about, I am super excited for this, but
• 1:20
  Speaker 2: this is the type of shit my mom says to
• 1:22
  Speaker 2: me while I'm on the air. I just got a
• 1:23
  Speaker 2: text from my mom that popped up on my computer.
• 1:25
  Speaker 2: What is the name of the pot that you have
• 1:27
  Speaker 2: in the vape pen in the house?
• 1:30
  Speaker 3: In week one, we are starting hot, ladies and gentlemen.
• 1:33
  Speaker 2: If that is not a preview of how much we
• 1:35
  Speaker 2: are going to kick everyone's ass, I don't know what's
• 1:37
  Speaker 2: going to be.
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: It sounds like the apple doesn't fall very far from
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: the tree is what I'm gathering from this little mini story.
• 1:44
  Speaker 3: Oh my goodness. Sorry, I could not not laugh at that.
• 1:48
  Speaker 2: This is a preview of how everything is going to
• 1:50
  Speaker 2: go this season. We're going to be lighting them up like.
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: Joe Burrow by week five. Yeah, no doubt. Uh, the second,
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: secondhand smoke for all of you out there, as far
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: as the silliness, the analysis, still analysis. I think we
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: could even slam those two together. This is our, it's,
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: it's our last Sunday without NFL action until Valentine's day
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: after Valentine's day. So, I mean, this is it, you know,
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: college football, wet the palette, but we're in your wife.
• 2:19
  Speaker 2: Care about the fact that the Superbowl is on Valentine's
• 2:22
  Speaker 2: day or no, I didn't think so.
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: That's my girl.
• 2:25
  Speaker 3: She's my girl.
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: Yes. I mean, I, you know, I I'll bring it
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: with some cheesy stuff on on Valentine's Day, but it's
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: not our wedding anniversary is a month later.
• 2:38
  Speaker 3: So people are way too up in arms about it.
• 2:40
  Speaker 2: If you are a good partner, I promise you your wife, girlfriend, whatever,
• 2:46
  Speaker 2: doesn't care that it's the Super Bowl because you take
• 2:48
  Speaker 2: care of her three hundred and sixty four days of
• 2:50
  Speaker 2: the rest of the year.
• 2:51
  Speaker 3: I have a dog hair in my mouth.
• 2:53
  Speaker 2: Um, and if you're actually a good partner, you still
• 2:56
  Speaker 2: have Friday and you have Saturday, get.
• 2:58
  Speaker 3: Something in the books.
• 2:59
  Speaker 2: And I feel like most people like the Superbowl. So
• 3:02
  Speaker 2: you could just do a Valentine's day, Superbowl party with
• 3:04
  Speaker 2: other couples. Like there are ways to get around this.
• 3:06
  Speaker 2: People are freaking out way too much about this.
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: Absolutely. Um, spitting facts here on the other side of, uh, of,
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: of the Eastern, uh, seaboard here.
• 3:18
  Speaker 2: The only single one on the podcast right here.
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: I mean, it just, it's a cheesy holiday for people
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: that just started dating. It's not, it's certainly not an
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: issue for a married couple. And especially when you marry
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: a football fan, which I would suggest any of the
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: dudes out there, if you're still in the pool, make
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: sure she likes football because it makes the entire season
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: a whole lot easier. Let's get into some news that
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: impacts week one. Finally, Christian Gonzalez signed on with the
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: new England Patriots and extension four years, $ 135 million, one
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: Oh two guaranteed. He got the little bump up from
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: what Devin Witherspoon got, who got 132 and one Oh
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: one guaranteed. So 1 million more in terms of the
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: guarantees is all good in your part of the world.
• 4:04
  Speaker 2: I just don't understand what all of the holdup was about.
• 4:07
  Speaker 2: If it's really going to be this similar to the
• 4:09
  Speaker 2: Devin Witherspoon contract, the, you know, alleged conversation was when
• 4:14
  Speaker 2: he gets his money. I don't personally really believe that
• 4:17
  Speaker 2: because of the Patriots are smart, which I'm very much
• 4:20
  Speaker 2: in the camp that it was Jonathan craft holding this
• 4:22
  Speaker 2: up and not Robert. That's that may be, you know,
• 4:25
  Speaker 2: insider info. It might not be who's to say. But if, if,
• 4:29
  Speaker 2: If it is that, why? It doesn't make sense to
• 4:31
  Speaker 2: me because you want to pay Christian Gonzalez up front
• 4:33
  Speaker 2: because you're going to owe Drake May money. That's been
• 4:35
  Speaker 2: the whole conversation this entire time. So I just, I
• 4:39
  Speaker 2: don't get what the holdup was about. It was what
• 4:41
  Speaker 2: everybody expected a little bit more.
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 4:43
  Speaker 3: Okay, let me ask you a question.
• 4:45
  Speaker 2: Do you think that this makes Schefter look bad for
• 4:48
  Speaker 2: yesterday going on the McAfee show and saying that they
• 4:51
  Speaker 2: weren't close to a deal and then for it to
• 4:55
  Speaker 2: get done 12 hours later?
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I think that it certainly doesn't make
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: him look good, but Adam Schefter has built up enough
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: equity with all of us NFL fans out here that
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: I think we can look past it. And who out
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: there is watching the McAfee show on Labor Day anyways?
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: That can't be one of his higher rated days.
• 5:13
  Speaker 3: I will say it will.
• 5:15
  Speaker 2: I don't think that this should happen, but it will
• 5:18
  Speaker 2: be really freaking funny if Joey Porter signs for like
• 5:20
  Speaker 2: a million more than Gonzalez. And it's always about him
• 5:23
  Speaker 2: being the highest paid corner after Joe. Like, I don't
• 5:26
  Speaker 2: think that he deserves to be a higher paid corner
• 5:30
  Speaker 2: than Gonzalez. But if that happens, I, I will never
• 5:33
  Speaker 2: let anybody hear the end of it because that's how
• 5:35
  Speaker 2: it goes.
• 5:36
  Speaker 3: It's the same thing with Jameer and Bijan. It was,
• 5:38
  Speaker 3: it's the same thing.
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: It's all about timing. If you wait longer, you're going
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: to get paid more. Hell Derek Stingley with Houston deserves
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: to get paid more than both of them, but they're
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: all elite. And more importantly, and we'll get into the
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: preview for the Patriots and the Seahawks towards the end
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: of the episode. which I'm very excited about, but does
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: this impact anything? Because he's been, you know, one foot
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: in one foot out.
• 6:03
  Speaker 2: Can I tell you that I think that he was
• 6:06
  Speaker 2: the best player in the Super Bowl? And had he
• 6:10
  Speaker 2: not been on the field, I think it would have
• 6:11
  Speaker 2: been far worse. But looking at the Patriots schedule, I
• 6:14
  Speaker 2: do think it makes a difference.
• 6:15
  Speaker 3: But they play a lot. They play a lot of zone.
• 6:19
  Speaker 2: And to be honest, they don't play in a division
• 6:21
  Speaker 2: with a ton of really good receivers. So do I
• 6:23
  Speaker 2: think that it makes that big of a difference? No,
• 6:25
  Speaker 2: there's only four teams on their schedule this year that
• 6:27
  Speaker 2: have an elite receiver core.
• 6:29
  Speaker 3: So does it make a difference?
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: Yeah.
• 6:30
  Speaker 3: Do I think that it puts them over the edge?
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: No. So to, uh, earned a starting job with the
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: Atlanta Falcons, the line didn't budge. So the market expected this.
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: We all did. Michael Penix isn't quite ready. This is
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: just more of a, we have to choose somebody to
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: start this game against Pittsburgh, but watch to go out
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: and throw for 400 yards and beat the Steelers. This
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: would be the most to, uh, Falcons start of the
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: NFL season storyline. If by our show on Monday morning,
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: we're talking about how to lit it up against the
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh Steelers. It's not that crazy.
• 7:09
  Speaker 3: You're about to put them in our pick them. Aren't you?
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: I I'm, I'm not, I've, I have, I already know
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: which games I absolutely love.
• 7:16
  Speaker 2: I mean, I've been don't even, I got dibs.
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: Okay. I got no problem with that. I've already bet Jacksonville.
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: So we're, we're in on that. We're going to have
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: five that we set along.
• 7:25
  Speaker 3: Would you like to take a dibs team now?
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: Um, yeah, I would. Let me see. Break out my notepad.
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: See what my, yeah, I want the Texans. I think
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: that's my dibs team. I want the Houston Texans.
• 7:38
  Speaker 4: Okay. All right.
• 7:39
  Speaker 3: Those are our two. That's a preview.
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: I figured you weren't in the industry. Yes, exactly. But no,
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: I actually, as much as I've given the Falcons in
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: the off season, which I have cooled off on just because, uh,
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: every bit of news that comes out of Atlanta has
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: been atrocious in the last couple of months. I, if
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: I haven't bet that game, if I had to, I
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: would take the Pittsburgh Steelers in week one. I think
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: the Steelers are going to tail off pretty quickly. They
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: should be able to start the season with at least
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: the best, best versions of themselves. I don't believe in
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: Aaron Rogers and year it's like year 40 for him.
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: But I think that early in the season with how
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: old this roster is, they should perform well. out of
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: the gate, but that's who Tua sees in week one,
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: a schematic and nightmare for a guy that turns the
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: ball over the Cowboys. Offensive line is also banged up
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: headed into week one. Tyler Smith is undergoing surgery on
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: his thumb. He's a three-time pro bowler. I don't even
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: know if being a pro bowler means anything, but he's
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: really good. He's 25 years old. He's their best offensive
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: lineman for a team that's predicated on offense, especially against
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: the pass rush of the New York giants. This could
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: be a problem. He's replaced by somebody by the name
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: of TJ Bass from what I have read into. Not
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: that great a football player. So this feels like this
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: could be one that we might look at. I'm not
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: as high on the Giants.
• 9:04
  Speaker 2: As you, but I've been talking about this specific game
• 9:07
  Speaker 2: for a majority of the summer.
• 9:08
  Speaker 3: So this just I need I need to fully get
• 9:13
  Speaker 3: to the window on it.
• 9:14
  Speaker 2: But this might be one that I that I'm in on.
• 9:17
  Speaker 3: We want a clusterfuck.
• 9:20
  Speaker 4: It is.
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: And this is going to be a big part of
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: the cap for the other game that we're going to
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: preview with the 49ers and the Rams. If you just
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: found yourself on the underdogs, especially divisional underdogs, you're probably
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: going to come out ahead if you're able to stomach it.
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: Now that's easier said than done because I think betting
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: against the Cowboys with how loaded this roster is, is
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: not going to feel good. But as we have learned
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: over the years, feeling good about your betting card going
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: into the week, Doesn't necessarily mean you're going to be profitable.
• 9:52
  Speaker 3: No, not even in the slightest.
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: Jeremiah Love is expected to play in week one. So
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: our Arizona Cardinals love can persist. and we might never
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: see a first round running back play in the preseason
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: ever again. After this barely anybody played in the preseason
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: as it was Jeremiah love played way too long into their,
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: I think it was their second preseason game and then
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: got hurt. So this could be the end. Just make
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: sure that if you have him in fantasy, you go
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: get Tyler Algier while you still can.
• 10:20
  Speaker 3: Can I make a bold prediction?
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: Yes.
• 10:23
  Speaker 2: I think we're going to do away with the preseason
• 10:26
  Speaker 2: games once they extend the season. And what they're going
• 10:29
  Speaker 2: to start doing is doing these joint practices at night
• 10:32
  Speaker 2: as a broadcast to feed us.
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: Like the joint. Yeah, that's exactly what they need to do.
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: Put a spotlight at those fields. And that's where all
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: the action is anyway. I think the only difference is
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: that they're not tackling each other. But honestly, I'd rather
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: watch Jamar Chase go up against Christian Gonzalez in practice,
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: not tackling, than whatever we're getting in the preseason now.
• 10:58
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I'd watch two-hand touch.
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: Is that a prevailing thought in the Boston area? Because
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: I've been talking about that in Orlando, but we don't
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: have an NFL team here.
• 11:08
  Speaker 5: Really?
• 11:09
  Speaker 2: No, I think it's just based off of kind of
• 11:11
  Speaker 2: everything media-wise that I've consumed. I think it's a conversation
• 11:15
  Speaker 2: a lot of people are having because this year there
• 11:18
  Speaker 2: was just a glaring hole on the preseason and everything
• 11:21
  Speaker 2: that it represents. I think people are getting sick of
• 11:24
  Speaker 2: consuming the product outside of the Hall.
• 11:26
  Speaker 3: Of Fame game because that was a freaking banger.
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: That was the best.
• 11:30
  Speaker 3: I've had enough.
• 11:31
  Speaker 2: I could do away with the preseason also.
• 11:35
  Speaker 3: Just do joint practices. I've had enough.
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: Week one is upon us. We'll break down the first
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: wave of games that we're getting this week and all
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: the action that you can find on the best sports
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: app in the kingdom, DraftKings.
• 11:48
  Speaker 2: The Favorites podcast is sponsored by DraftKings. And with football
• 11:51
  Speaker 2: season right around the corner, we've got some great news.
• 11:54
  Speaker 2: The DraftKings Sports app is now available in all 50 states,
• 11:57
  Speaker 2: bringing the excitement straight to your fingertips wherever you are.
• 12:00
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  Speaker 2: Follow every moment, every matchup and every highlight. Sweat all
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• 12:23
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• 12:27
  Speaker 3: DraftKings, the crown is yours.
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: So some of our haters in the comments claim that
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: this is a podcast for casuals. And to that, we
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: say a collective fuck off. But also we are going comments.
• 12:41
  Speaker 3: Is that bad?
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: No, that's that's that's that's what I'm here for.
• 12:44
  Speaker 3: I'm here to protect my mental health.
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: I'm here to I have become so desensitized to social
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: media commentary. It's probably problematic how much I can read
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: into that and not care, because if you said it
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: to my face, I would. I'm not trying to act
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: like some tough guy. But when I read something online,
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: it has no effect on me. So I like to look,
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: I like to know what people are saying and I
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: hear you. So what we're going to do is we're
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: going to spin it back to you and we are
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: going to nominate the teams that correspond to certain creatures
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: in the NFL. Kendra, you and I have been saying
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: that we're going to do this. Our official cat of
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: the podcast, our official bird of the podcast. And I've
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: added a third layer, which is our official pirate, because
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: there are three pirates in the NFL. There's the Raiders.
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: the Buccaneers and the Vikings. So do you start with
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: our cat?
• 13:39
  Speaker 3: Vikings considered a pirate.
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: That's a pirate. They're on. If you're on a boat
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: and you pillage and plunder, you're a pirate.
• 13:46
  Speaker 3: I agree. Okay.
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: Yeah.
• 13:47
  Speaker 4: All right.
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: Good take our official cat. I mean, this is pretty easy, right?
• 13:51
  Speaker 4: I guess.
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: Yeah. We're off the Panthers.
• 13:55
  Speaker 3: Yeah. We're on the Jags. Yeah.
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: Okay. All right.
• 13:58
  Speaker 4: I don't know.
• 13:58
  Speaker 3: I'm also really on the lions.
• 14:01
  Speaker 2: Ooh.
• 14:01
  Speaker 6: Yeah.
• 14:01
  Speaker 3: I do like, I'm all over the lions.
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: The fact that I have, I have the over for
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: Jacksonville's win total. I have them as this, the only
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: team I have a bet on to win the Superbowl
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: because I love the 30 to one number that you
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: got on them.
• 14:18
  Speaker 2: If you are looking for a year, if you're looking
• 14:21
  Speaker 2: for a year for the Jags to win the Superbowl
• 14:24
  Speaker 2: or to bet on a future, it's going to be
• 14:25
  Speaker 2: next year because the most Jacksonville shit of all time
• 14:28
  Speaker 2: is for them to win a Superbowl while they're playing
• 14:30
  Speaker 2: in fucking Orlando.
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: Or is it to win a Superbowl? before they play
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: in fucking Orlando.
• 14:38
  Speaker 6: No you and I both know how this is gonna
• 14:41
  Speaker 6: go you and I both know I'm gonna wait my
• 14:44
  Speaker 6: whole life for this and I'm gonna have a Super
• 14:46
  Speaker 6: Bowl parade in Orlando all right.
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: I'm uh I'm pretty um I'm pretty.
• 14:51
  Speaker 3: Tie break between the sad cats.
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: Yeah which which sad cat is our well the lions
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: aren't sad so lions.
• 14:59
  Speaker 3: Have been a very historically sad franchise It's still, I mean, I, I,
• 15:03
  Speaker 3: I like the lions. Jags are the cat of the
• 15:05
  Speaker 3: year in the next year.
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: I almost feel like they're not sad enough, but okay.
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: That's fine. Lions are official pirate of the podcast. This
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: is easy. This is even easier. It's the Raiders.
• 15:14
  Speaker 5: Yeah.
• 15:15
  Speaker 3: And our bird also easy.
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: Cardinals.
• 15:18
  Speaker 3: Yeah. Now that's, this is so yucky.
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: That is yucky. That's the sort of disgust I was
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: looking for on this podcast. Yep. All right. Before we
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: get to our previews, I just want to sort of
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: throw this back out there because we've had all of
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: these off season episodes, all of this chatter about different bets,
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: win total over unders divisionals. Who's not going to make
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: the playoffs. Give me one, two, maybe three of the,
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: the bets that we have discussed over the last couple
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: of months that you just love the most that you
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: can't wait to see these come home.
• 15:58
  Speaker 2: Easily my favorite bet even now is our Drake May
• 16:03
  Speaker 2: rushing touchdown bet that we've been harping on forever.
• 16:06
  Speaker 3: I have two units riding on that.
• 16:08
  Speaker 2: Not even joking. That is the best thing that we
• 16:10
  Speaker 2: found all year. Um, I also not to continue to
• 16:15
  Speaker 2: harp on the Lions. I really like my Lions to
• 16:18
  Speaker 2: win the NFC North. And then can I be crazy?
• 16:21
  Speaker 2: The Raiders to over five and a half. I know
• 16:25
  Speaker 2: that that's insane, but I think that the Raiders are
• 16:27
  Speaker 2: going to be a really good team, whether it's Kirk.
• 16:29
  Speaker 2: It's got to be Kirk Cousins, I think, to kind
• 16:31
  Speaker 2: of lead the charge. Unfortunately, as much as I love Fernando,
• 16:35
  Speaker 2: if that's going to happen for us, it's got to
• 16:36
  Speaker 2: be Kirk, though.
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: But I think that's the cool thing about being in
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: on the Raiders is you can like both quarterbacks. And
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: that's where I fall is I think cousins is going
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: to play well. And then if he doesn't and they
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: go with Mendoza, well, I like Mendoza too. Or if
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: cousins is playing well and it looks like, you know,
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: our bet is trending in the right direction. And then
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: cousins goes down. Well, again, we like Mendoza. So you
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: have to like the coaching staff. You have to like
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: the improvements they made on defense. The fact that they
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: get that last place schedule, all of those things. And
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: I take it a step further is one of my
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: favorites is them to be a wildcard team at eight
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: to eight to one. Like if we're going to go
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: in on this, let's go all in.
• 17:18
  Speaker 3: I just can't get there with the division.
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: It's very difficult, very difficult. Whoever finishes, honestly, any of
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: those teams, even the Raiders, any of those teams finishing
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: in last place will feel like a surprise. I do
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: like the Cowboys is one of my other favorites to
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: win the NFC East.
• 17:34
  Speaker 3: I thought I was going to love that bet.
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: I thought I was going to go into the off
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: season with this being like some unique take that like
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: for the first time ever taking the Cowboys is going
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: to be off the radar, but.
• 17:45
  Speaker 2: It's going to be on the Cowboys a lot this season.
• 17:48
  Speaker 2: I feel like for sure.
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: They they I would I don't think is there any
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: other like Western? I was trying to come up with
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: a category, but I don't think it fits. But anyway,
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: plus 230 for them to win the NFC East top
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: to your offense. Second only to the Rams last year.
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: improvements on defense. Christian Parker is the defensive coordinator should
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: make a major difference. They spent two first round picks
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: on defense as well. So that I love a team.
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: That's really good at one thing, bad at the other,
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: and then addresses the shit out of it in the
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: off season. And the Cowboys did that. And the other one, uh,
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: moldy cheese for me, I do not like the green
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: Bay Packers this year. No, no, no.
• 18:28
  Speaker 3: We too much going on there. And I, uh, I
• 18:32
  Speaker 3: don't bet on, I don't bet on a holes.
• 18:33
  Speaker 4: Sorry.
• 18:36
  Speaker 3: I guess I do have a Browns future.
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: I was going to say, let's be a little consistent, Kendra.
• 18:41
  Speaker 2: I do have a Browns future, but to be fair,
• 18:44
  Speaker 2: I did think Dijon had the upper hand to win
• 18:48
  Speaker 2: that job, but I was still in the camp that
• 18:50
  Speaker 2: it could have been Shador.
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: Okay. So you would, you would have liked to bet
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: more if you weren't on, if the asshole wasn't playing
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: at quarterback.
• 18:57
  Speaker 3: Yeah, for sure.
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: I get that. Uh, but I agree way too much
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: noise going on in green Bay and, The Josh Jacobs thing.
• 19:04
  Speaker 3: And the injury thing. Like, when is Michael Parsons coming back?
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: They're going to be racking up losses until he's out.
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: And I like the Vikings week one. We've seen the
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: line flip in their favor as well. So those are
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: some of our faves. Hopefully you're following along in the app.
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: Kendra gained like 10,000 followers in the last day.
• 19:25
  Speaker 3: And like 10 pounds on my vacation.
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: That was her that said that that was her that
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: said that let's get to Patriots Seahawks. First game of
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: the year is the same as the last game of
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: last year. This is the first time this has happened
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: since 2016. It was the Broncos and the Panthers. And
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: for some historical context, Denver won the Superbowl. They also
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: won the very next year when these two teams met
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: to open the season. I don't think they covered because
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: it was a one point win, but they also had
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: Trevor Simeon at quarterback and not Peyton Manning. So we're
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: going to throw that one out. Um, ironically enough, the,
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: you didn't think Trevor Simeon was getting a mention on
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: today's podcast, did you? But here we are.
• 20:10
  Speaker 3: No, I did not. Can't say I did.
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: The opening line of Superbowl 60 was Seahawks minus four.
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: And that was a neutral site. Now it's in Seattle
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: and they're giving three and a half. So if you're
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: one of those out there that believes in the Vegas
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: trap line, it does feel like Seattle would be the trap.
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: I'm not one that subscribes to that belief, but I
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: know it's out there. So just wanted to say it.
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: over under 46 and a half in the super bowl,
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: 44 and a half in this one. Uh, of course
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: the Seahawks dominated that game. The last time these two
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: teams played, it was a 16 point win for Seattle,
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: but they've lost a lot of pieces. Kenneth Walker, Rick woolen, boy,
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: a mafia, Kobe Bryant, but all in all, they're pretty
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: much intact for a super bowl winning team. They're pretty
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: much the same squad and the Patriots added AJ Brown.
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: So here we are. What's your overall read on this game?
• 21:03
  Speaker 2: I think my overall read is that this offseason, Seattle
• 21:07
  Speaker 2: kept their guys happy, kept their guys fed, kept the
• 21:11
  Speaker 2: majority of their roster together, didn't have any distractions. And
• 21:15
  Speaker 2: when you look at the Patriots, that... is not true
• 21:19
  Speaker 2: for any of that. Yeah, Christian Gonzalez wound up getting
• 21:21
  Speaker 2: his deal, but he's been stressing about that the entirety
• 21:23
  Speaker 2: of the preseason and still showed up. All of the
• 21:25
  Speaker 2: Diana Rossini drama were, according to Burp Rear, allegedly going
• 21:29
  Speaker 2: to get a story drop. I don't know if yesterday
• 21:31
  Speaker 2: ESPN's fake hit piece was the story he was speaking of.
• 21:34
  Speaker 2: I'm hoping not because that was just an absolute nothing burger,
• 21:36
  Speaker 2: but that's still looming over the Patriots' head at this point.
• 21:40
  Speaker 3: And you're playing in.
• 21:41
  Speaker 2: The most difficult place to play on the road. for
• 21:46
  Speaker 2: your season opener. I just, it's difficult for me when
• 21:50
  Speaker 2: the rosters are pretty much the same, except for AJ
• 21:52
  Speaker 2: Brown and Romeo Dobbs to get to the window on
• 21:55
  Speaker 2: the Patriots winning this game.
• 21:56
  Speaker 3: And, you know, Evan gave us.
• 21:58
  Speaker 2: Some great insight and statistics last week about teams raising
• 22:02
  Speaker 2: a banner in their building on the night of their
• 22:05
  Speaker 2: home opener. So I just, I'm on Seattle here, but
• 22:08
  Speaker 2: I do have some props. That's kind of where I'm
• 22:10
  Speaker 2: leaning this game as far as where my money will
• 22:13
  Speaker 2: be going.
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: So one of the things that I need to know
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: and do the perfect person to ask is what is
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: the health situation of Travion Henderson and how, how would that,
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: how would that impact things for the new England Patriots?
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: Because he was phased out in the post season. He's
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: still the most explosive weapon. This team has, I like
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: their offense significantly more with at least the threat of
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: of Travion Henderson, they feel a little too plotting as
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: far as the balance to their offense. I still like
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: Drake May, but if it's just Romandre, I think that's a...
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: I don't know how I would quantify it in terms
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: of a number, but it does feel like a downgrade
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: for New England's offense.
• 22:58
  Speaker 3: It definitely is a downgrade, but I was.
• 23:00
  Speaker 2: At the end of the year last year, I thought
• 23:02
  Speaker 2: that maybe some people on this coaching staff would swallow
• 23:05
  Speaker 2: their pride and admit that he deserved more playing time
• 23:07
  Speaker 2: than he got. I don't know what it is about
• 23:09
  Speaker 2: Ramondre and the staff loving him, even though he did
• 23:11
  Speaker 2: have fumbling problems.
• 23:12
  Speaker 3: They continue to let him be the number one rock carrier.
• 23:16
  Speaker 2: And it got them into a postseason the way that
• 23:18
  Speaker 2: they were able to run the ball, because at times
• 23:20
  Speaker 2: like wide receivers were nowhere to be found for them,
• 23:22
  Speaker 2: which is why they changed that in the offseason. But
• 23:25
  Speaker 2: I think it's more important almost to look at the
• 23:27
  Speaker 2: Seahawks because they were most successful in that Super Bowl
• 23:30
  Speaker 2: with Kenneth Walker running the football. Can Judarian Price kind
• 23:34
  Speaker 2: of in his first game do what Kenneth Walker did
• 23:39
  Speaker 2: last year?
• 23:40
  Speaker 3: Because that's where they were successful.
• 23:41
  Speaker 2: I think that that is the more important thing to
• 23:42
  Speaker 2: look at here is filling that role in this specific game.
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: Yeah, that's going to be huge because this is a
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: Seahawks team that they have a new offensive coordinator. So
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: I think that needs to be factored in as well.
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: I'm curious to see what Brian Flurry's offense looks like
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: as opposed to Clint Kubiak. When you have a new
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: offensive coordinator coming in, not because the old one got
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: fired where you would just revamp a whole system. It worked.
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: And you have the same pieces outside of Kenneth Walker
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: and an injured Zach Charbonnet. So you would think he
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: would come in and just try and copy and paste
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: what was done before, but coaches have egos and they
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: want to do their own thing. So what does that
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: look like? They were so JSN dependent, but the other
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: part of it is that they ran the football a ton.
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: And I think that the missing link of, of Kenneth
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: Walker has been widely discussed and publicized. The fact that
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: Zach Charbonnet is not out there for this team. could
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: be a huge impact. He was the more efficient runner
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: between the tackles. So I'm curious to see how that
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: impacts things in the Patriots run defense in general. It
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: was one of the reasons I bet on the Patriots
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: in the super bowl. So I'm almost looking at this
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: as a redemption for myself as well, but I'll get
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: to my cap in a minute.
• 24:53
  Speaker 2: Hey, I think truly pay attention to both lines for
• 24:56
  Speaker 2: the Patriots. Like that is the most concerning bit here
• 25:00
  Speaker 2: for me is because that offensive line got absolutely decimated.
• 25:04
  Speaker 2: And I don't think that it's really gotten that much
• 25:06
  Speaker 2: better in the off season and their defensive line. They
• 25:08
  Speaker 2: don't have a ton of pass rush like at all.
• 25:11
  Speaker 2: That's the biggest downfall of this team. In my opinion,
• 25:14
  Speaker 2: outside of the offensive line is who is getting after
• 25:18
  Speaker 2: the quarterback on this team.
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: Yep. Chase on is gone. One other thing that I
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: looked at was Seattle 4-0 in their last four meetings
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: against the New England Patriots. So organizationally, they're in the kitchen.
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: They are.
• 25:37
  Speaker 3: But that being said, can I give out a prop here?
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: Yeah.
• 25:41
  Speaker 2: I think because Gonzalez got signed today before this number
• 25:45
  Speaker 2: gets any worse, Darnold wanted to throw a pick.
• 25:49
  Speaker 3: So bad in that super bowl. He wanted to, Oh
• 25:52
  Speaker 3: my God. So I did. And I'm still pissed about it.
• 25:54
  Speaker 2: So I'm going back to the, well, I think because
• 25:57
  Speaker 2: Gonzalez is going to want to go out there and
• 25:59
  Speaker 2: have a game off of this contract signing. I don't
• 26:01
  Speaker 2: know if it's going to be him. I like it
• 26:02
  Speaker 2: to be him, but Darnold to throw a pick. I
• 26:05
  Speaker 2: think that's, I think that's a move.
• 26:07
  Speaker 3: Finally. He'll do it.
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: Yeah. If he has enough past attempts, that's my concern,
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: but that goes back to the running discussion. If they're
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: not able to run the ball effectively and, and Sam
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: Darnold is forcing passes in what is still, even though
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: it's the same personnel in terms of who he's throwing
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: the ball to, it's a different offense. If they're forcing
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: passes and he, and Annie's throwing more cause they can't run,
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: that would really help out. And you getting home on that.
• 26:34
  Speaker 3: Or if we have some garbage time, something here.
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: Right. Uh, the, one of the, uh, so I was
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: looking at the, the action pro guys, uh, Demario Douglas
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: under one and a half receptions. That's one that the, uh,
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: action pro, um, projection really likes a plus one 50
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: Drake may under 32 and a half pass attempts. Kyle Williams,
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: anytime touchdown 14 to one. Do you think that has
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: any chance of, of coming home? He's kind of the,
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: the Keishon booty replacement, isn't he? Yeah.
• 27:07
  Speaker 2: I just don't think that they're in love with him.
• 27:09
  Speaker 2: I think it'd be Mack Hollins over him.
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: If he's got his shoes on, of course. Sean Kerner
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: already on the Darien price under one and a half receptions.
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: I saw about every action analyst that bets props was
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: on that one. I really liked the Seahawks minus three
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: and a half. Some threes are popping up. So I
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: am against the move, which is not the best feeling
• 27:30
  Speaker 1: in the world. I was on the Patriots in the
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: super bowl. So I've been waiting all off season to
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: flip the script on that bet. And I don't know,
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: this is like a makeup call for me. This is
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: like when the know, the rest throw the flag that
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: really wasn't there. Cause they missed the last one that
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: that's how I feel betting on the Seahawks in this situation.
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: I love that Seattle is getting a team that to me,
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: they're rated up there with the Rams and they, and
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: they have not been getting the same sort of love
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: because everyone's obsessed with the new moves that the Rams
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: have made at home banner drop in front of the 12s,
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: all those things, this place is going to be rocking.
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: And this is a trend play to historically Superbowl winners
• 28:08
  Speaker 1: have performed well in week one, the following season, the
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: champ has won its opener straight up in nine of
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: the last 10 seasons. Now they've gone roughly 500 against
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: the number, but if you're just wanting to first be
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: on the side of the winner, and then if you're
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: comfortable with the number, you know, that's kind of how
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: you get there. But more than anything, this is not
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: about betting the team that just won the Superbowl, because
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: I think that, that I know where you're going with this.
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: It's the other direction. And it just so happens to
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: be this game, but I would have faded the Patriots
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: no matter who they were playing. Same fading the Superbowl losers.
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: What has real appeal here? Superbowl losers are six and
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: 20 against the spread in the last 26 games. That's
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: the angle for me is betting against new England more
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: than it is betting on Seattle.
• 28:55
  Speaker 2: And I don't know if people remember because this game
• 28:59
  Speaker 2: start to run together. But the game last year, week
• 29:03
  Speaker 2: one for the Patriots, was against the Raiders in Foxborough,
• 29:06
  Speaker 2: and they lost that game to the worst team in
• 29:09
  Speaker 2: the NFL. I have a feeling that it's just maybe
• 29:12
  Speaker 2: they're sleepy week one. I don't know what it is,
• 29:14
  Speaker 2: but you add in all of the postseason distractions that
• 29:16
  Speaker 2: this team has had. I lost a lot of money
• 29:19
  Speaker 2: on the Patriots last year. I was very wrong about them.
• 29:23
  Speaker 3: But once again, I'm going back to the well. I
• 29:26
  Speaker 3: haven't learned my lesson.
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: One thing I am concerned about, though, because again, I'm,
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: I'm on the wrong side of it. The action is
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: going the way of the New England Patriots. Nicky Manwari
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: has not been ruled in for this game. And Ty Okada,
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: who's the other starting safety, it also looks like he's
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: not going to play. So you're going up against a
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: team that now has A.J. Brown that can take the
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: top off. And Drake May, who's as good a deep
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: ball passer as there is in the NFL. I'm a
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: little concerned about that.
• 29:55
  Speaker 2: Well, I was going to give this as an option later,
• 30:00
  Speaker 2: but I'm also going to take A.J.
• 30:01
  Speaker 3: Brown for an anytime touchdown while that is still. You
• 30:05
  Speaker 3: got it.
• 30:05
  Speaker 2: You got to feed your guy to keep him happy.
• 30:07
  Speaker 2: That was his least favorite thing about being in Philly
• 30:09
  Speaker 2: was that there was way too many mouths to feed.
• 30:12
  Speaker 3: And now he's your guy. You got to feed him
• 30:14
  Speaker 3: week one.
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: Sorry.
• 30:15
  Speaker 3: Anytime touchdown.
• 30:15
  Speaker 4: A.J.
• 30:16
  Speaker 3: Brown plus 155 over on DraftKings. Give it to me twice.
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: I am. I'm with you on that. This feels like
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: this is going to be one of those concerted effort
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: bets or at least strategy bets on our side, but
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: strategy on the new England Patriots side, it feels a
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: little bit like the, the incentive chase that we go
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: on at the end of the season where teams are like, no,
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: let's get this guy involved for a very particular reason,
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: getting AJ Brown involved in the red zone, getting him
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: involved on deep passing plays. That, that is definitely something
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: that they're going to try and do. And if you're
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: dealing with injuries, in Seattle secondary, then we like that
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: even more. I think there's a strong edge to be
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: had there. So we like Seattle. You and I are
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: both on that. So you track it in the app
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: minus three and a half, AJ Brown touchdown. And what
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: was the other one that you.
• 31:05
  Speaker 3: Said to throw a peg?
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: It's like the super bowl all over again. Hopefully we're
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: on the right side this time. Were you on, were
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: you on Seattle in the super bowl?
• 31:16
  Speaker 3: I didn't pick a side. I only had props.
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: And Jake Bobo's gone, too.
• 31:21
  Speaker 3: I know, my king.
• 31:25
  Speaker 5: No.
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: All right, let's get to the other one. The Rams
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: and the 49ers. This game is being played in Australia, mate.
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: The land down under. Rams minus three. Three and a half.
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: Give me a one to ten rating on the Australian accent. Crikey.
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: Total sitting at 48 and a half. The Niners.
• 31:46
  Speaker 2: It's actually so funny that you did that because when
• 31:49
  Speaker 2: I fell asleep waiting for the FSU SMU game to
• 31:51
  Speaker 2: start last night with all of my lights on, I
• 31:54
  Speaker 2: was watching videos of the baby Irwin kid wrestling snakes for.
• 32:01
  Speaker 3: Like an hour.
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: Steve Irwin. Great job with the children, by the way.
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: They have picked up where he left off big time.
• 32:07
  Speaker 2: If Robert was five years older, I would slide in
• 32:09
  Speaker 2: his DM a year ago.
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: I think you should do it anyway. I support that decision.
• 32:14
  Speaker 3: He's like 24.
• 32:15
  Speaker 2: I feel like you gotta be 30 to ride this
• 32:17
  Speaker 2: ride at this point.
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: He's mature. You know, he's a mature 24. Anyone dancing
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: with the stars.
• 32:23
  Speaker 2: Also anyone who is like that good of a person
• 32:25
  Speaker 2: should not be with me.
• 32:26
  Speaker 3: I would ruin their life.
• 32:28
  Speaker 1: If you think kangaroos are wild. Anyway, uh, the 49ers
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: overachieved a bit last year, given all the injuries they had,
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: they won 12 games. They want to play off game
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: on the road in Philadelphia, but this year they get
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: a load back. Nick Bosa. He should play. No, no, no.
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: You're not doing that to me again. George Kittle. They
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: added Mike Evans. They are loaded, but they're not as
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: loaded as the Rams. No team beefed up like the
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: Rams did. Miles Garrett, Trent McDuffie, Aaron Donald's back. I
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: think I, I know where you and I land on
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: this so we can give our reasons why, but our
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: second thoughts on the 49ers.
• 33:02
  Speaker 3: I have a question.
• 33:03
  Speaker 2: When Aaron Donald is ruled in, and this is what
• 33:06
  Speaker 2: I'm waiting for to get to the window.
• 33:07
  Speaker 3: Do we see this line move at all? Because that's
• 33:09
  Speaker 3: what I'm waiting on.
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: I don't think so.
• 33:12
  Speaker 3: Ah, Evan, what do you think? Because that's truly what
• 33:15
  Speaker 3: I'm waiting on in this.
• 33:16
  Speaker 5: I don't think, I mean, you're at three and a
• 33:18
  Speaker 5: half right now. I don't think he's going to move
• 33:19
  Speaker 5: off to four. I just don't think he's like currently
• 33:23
  Speaker 5: worth that at this point. Cause we don't know what
• 33:26
  Speaker 5: he is. And I think, do we actually have news
• 33:30
  Speaker 5: on like.
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: Did he, is he there? He's there.
• 33:33
  Speaker 3: He traveled.
• 33:34
  Speaker 5: So now we're just waiting to see if.
• 33:36
  Speaker 3: He will be traveling. They're leaving tomorrow.
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: Yeah. Got it.
• 33:40
  Speaker 5: I don't think it's going to move the line at all.
• 33:42
  Speaker 5: uh even from like a perspective.
• 33:44
  Speaker 4: I'm gonna do it right now i'm gonna do it
• 33:47
  Speaker 4: i i did you know peek behind the curtain i
• 33:51
  Speaker 4: sent you and gifford a text and i said that's
• 33:55
  Speaker 4: number popped to four and a half we pounce so
• 33:58
  Speaker 4: while i may be on the wrong side of the move.
• 34:00
  Speaker 5: It might it might get to four four and a
• 34:02
  Speaker 5: half is just a little aggressive like i could see
• 34:05
  Speaker 5: it you know, on game day.
• 34:06
  Speaker 3: All right, I'm not going to do it. I literally
• 34:08
  Speaker 3: had my finger on the button. No, I'll say this.
• 34:11
  Speaker 5: One thing I will say, it has a better chance
• 34:14
  Speaker 5: of going to four than it does of going back
• 34:15
  Speaker 5: to three. So you could probably just hold.
• 34:18
  Speaker 2: Oh yeah, I don't, I didn't think it was going
• 34:20
  Speaker 2: to go back because you can't, it can't go back
• 34:22
  Speaker 2: if you rule Aaron Donald and that doesn't, well, it
• 34:24
  Speaker 2: should also.
• 34:25
  Speaker 5: But my point is this, if Aaron Donald doesn't play,
• 34:28
  Speaker 5: I still don't see it going backwards because it doesn't like,
• 34:31
  Speaker 5: that's not the impact it's going to have. So you'll
• 34:33
  Speaker 5: get three and a half, no matter what.
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: Yeah.
• 34:35
  Speaker 5: Okay.
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: And people are not going to stop betting the Rams.
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: I mean, let's not forget this. The NFL is one
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: of the, one of the rare leagues that's out there
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: where the public can, can move a line or halt
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: a line and they will be all over. Do you
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: have the betting splits in front of you, Evan, for
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: this game? I would think it is. At least 60%
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: of the tickets.
• 34:57
  Speaker 3: I was going to say 60 would be the number
• 34:58
  Speaker 3: that I'd be at.
• 34:59
  Speaker 2: I would even probably put it higher than that because
• 35:02
  Speaker 2: when do.
• 35:02
  Speaker 3: We get injury reports since it's like a Friday game?
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: We should have them now. I mean, essentially today I
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: would think we'd have a better idea, but the only
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: reason that I wouldn't be higher than 60 just guessing
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: is because the 49ers have a trillion fans around the country.
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: So they've got plenty of support. This is not a
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: completely obscure team that they're playing against.
• 35:24
  Speaker 5: And I'll say this, your line to the public being
• 35:27
  Speaker 5: able to impact these games hits even further when you
• 35:32
  Speaker 5: talk about these island games, when the game is alone
• 35:35
  Speaker 5: at night and there's so much lead up to it.
• 35:37
  Speaker 5: So you do get a lot more action in that situation.
• 35:41
  Speaker 5: For us, we got 56% of the tickets, 68% of
• 35:43
  Speaker 5: the money. And even if you look at DraftKings right now,
• 35:46
  Speaker 5: they've got 68% of the tickets on Rams at three
• 35:49
  Speaker 5: and a half, 87% on the money line. So From
• 35:53
  Speaker 5: both perspectives, as you can understand, it's pretty Ramsey.
• 35:57
  Speaker 3: I did it. I'm not a coward.
• 36:02
  Speaker 2: Stop saying I look like Chicken Little because he's a
• 36:04
  Speaker 2: coward and I am not a coward.
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: All right, so let me give you my cap on
• 36:08
  Speaker 1: this while Kendra basks in the glory of slamming the buttons.
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: This one is simple and it's all about the travel
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: and fading the all hype squad of the LA Rams.
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: San Francisco is not a slouch and given the weird
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: neutral site aspect of this game, even more of a
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: reason to be on a divisional underdog, a good place
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: to find yourself in general, early in the season, all
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: of these teams are closer than the perception would suggest
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: at the beginning of the year, since 2022, this rivalry,
• 36:40
  Speaker 1: even foreign for most games in this rivalry, not surprisingly
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: decided by one score. So all the Rams could win
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: winning by three is not a stretch. And then we
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: get home on this ticket. Now, Evan, check me on this,
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: but I believe divisional underdogs in week one.
• 36:58
  Speaker 3: That's where I was going.
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: To go since 2016 have gone 31 and 16 against
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: the spread. That is an eye popping 66% against the spread.
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: And that's just divisional dogs. No matter where the game
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: is being played, obviously neither is a home field. Advantage
• 37:18
  Speaker 1: in this, but is that something that you have? Yeah.
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: Sounds right to me.
• 37:22
  Speaker 5: Sounds right to me.
• 37:24
  Speaker 3: It's yeah.
• 37:25
  Speaker 2: I was going to say it's the divisional thing for me,
• 37:27
  Speaker 2: but also like the travel. I put 10 toes down
• 37:31
  Speaker 2: on someone who has flown 115 hours and 75,000 miles
• 37:33
  Speaker 2: this year. That if they were an East Coast team
• 37:39
  Speaker 2: flying to England or Germany or Spain or wherever in
• 37:44
  Speaker 2: God's country they're playing games anymore and it were a six,
• 37:47
  Speaker 2: seven hour flight and you wanted.
• 37:48
  Speaker 3: To do this, fine.
• 37:50
  Speaker 2: 16 hours sitting upright, overdosed on melatonin.
• 37:54
  Speaker 3: It's going to take you two days to come out
• 37:56
  Speaker 3: of that.
• 37:57
  Speaker 2: Like you've done melatonin or like anything of the sort.
• 38:02
  Speaker 2: It takes forever to turn back on out of that.
• 38:04
  Speaker 2: You're not just going to land a plane and they're
• 38:06
  Speaker 2: sure as shit, not going to have enough lay flat
• 38:09
  Speaker 2: beds for all of them. Even if you're in comfort plus,
• 38:11
  Speaker 2: sitting for 16 hours. There's just, I'm sorry, there's no
• 38:16
  Speaker 2: way that this is not going to impact them at all.
• 38:18
  Speaker 2: On top of it being divisional and neutral site. I
• 38:21
  Speaker 2: hate that they took this away from the 49ers for
• 38:24
  Speaker 2: a home game and the fans and the people who
• 38:26
  Speaker 2: work at the stadiums, but it might at the end
• 38:29
  Speaker 2: of the day, work out.
• 38:30
  Speaker 3: For them in a weird way.
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: I've never taken melatonin, but I have taken an Ambien
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: and there's no way I could have played a football
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: game the next day.
• 38:38
  Speaker 3: What's the allergy meds that people take to sleep?
• 38:42
  Speaker 2: I can't take Benadryl because it's pink and I'm allergic
• 38:44
  Speaker 2: to it, but also same thing takes forever to come
• 38:48
  Speaker 2: out of that sleep.
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: Well, I mean, somebody that, that works for the Rams
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: clearly thinks this is a good idea. And I I'm
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: with you. I disagree. I did find some numbers on
• 38:59
  Speaker 1: teams that arrived first to international games. And this is
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: such an extreme example that this, this is, does it fit?
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: You can be the judge of that, but I'll, I'll,
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: get to that in a moment. This is another factor though.
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: This is as healthy as the 49ers are going to
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: be all year. We don't know if you want to
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: bet San Francisco, you might want to do it early
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: because we don't know what kind.
• 39:22
  Speaker 2: Of electromagnetic field CMC was healthy all of last year.
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: Like there's no way that happens again. Mike Evans is
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: hamstring and groin already giving him fits. So we like
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: the 49ers crop wise. I really like a, this was
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: one that, um, that Jill gave out on the podcast
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: and we did the touchdown show. You may have been traveling,
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: traveling for that, but one of his favorite week one
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: bets was Devante Adams. Anytime touchdown plus one 30, the
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: second that showed up, I bet it. So I'm in
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: on that. Um, and CMC receptions, I think could be
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: an interesting way to look. That's four and a half
• 40:02
  Speaker 1: right now is where the line is set. Just trying
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: to avoid the pass rush. That's going to be a
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: big problem for, uh, for the 49ers. Their offensive line
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: is good, but that's the strength of the Rams is
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: they're going to be able to get after the quarterback.
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: And CMC is awesome. So it's not much of a
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: stretch to say he's going to catch five or six
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: passes in this game.
• 40:23
  Speaker 3: We're here. We're here.
• 40:26
  Speaker 1: Also, I was told that the pro projection likes Dajon
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: Stribling under his receptions at three and a half. You
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: can bet that with your money. I'm not doing it.
• 40:36
  Speaker 2: You got to wait for later in the season when
• 40:39
  Speaker 2: everyone's decimated.
• 40:40
  Speaker 3: He's young and spry.
• 40:41
  Speaker 2: He can run away from those electromagnetic fields for a
• 40:44
  Speaker 2: season or two.
• 40:46
  Speaker 5: The most fun bet in this Rams game from our
• 40:48
  Speaker 5: pro projections, Matthew Stafford under one and a half rushing attempts.
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: These are the kinds of sweats that I just don't,
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: I just, I have a hard time with that.
• 40:59
  Speaker 3: I don't enjoy that.
• 41:00
  Speaker 2: No, he's just such an old man. I like honestly
• 41:03
  Speaker 2: get scared when he takes off. I like kind of
• 41:05
  Speaker 2: clutch my.
• 41:06
  Speaker 3: Pearls a little.
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: That's gotta be heavily juiced though. Cause the guy doesn't
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: run very often.
• 41:11
  Speaker 5: It says it's minus one 30 on our tool at
• 41:13
  Speaker 5: a fun sports book, but still that's a, it's a
• 41:16
  Speaker 5: fun one.
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: You know, with the QB sneak counts as a rush attempt, right?
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: Oh yeah. It's in a handicap.
• 41:24
  Speaker 5: It's gotta be.
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: Yeah.
• 41:25
  Speaker 5: You, if you like the 49ers, you like to bet
• 41:27
  Speaker 5: even more.
• 41:28
  Speaker 4: No.
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: Yikes. Also before I move on and we do our
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: plant the flag on these games, Kendra, this is a must.
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: If we are fading the Rams partially because of the travel,
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: we have to fade both of these teams in week two.
• 41:46
  Speaker 3: Oh, but not even, yeah, duh, not even a question.
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: No bye week. They're just coming back. So I've got this.
• 41:54
  Speaker 1: It's going to get gross. Don't look it up. I
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: want your reaction. The 49ers, they're both at home. The
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: 49ers are playing against the Miami Dolphins.
• 42:03
  Speaker 2: Ugh.
• 42:05
  Speaker 1: And the Rams are at home against the Giants on
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: Monday Night Football. That one's a little more palatable. But yeah,
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: we are betting the Miami Dolphins in week two. We
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: can write that in. I might do it now.
• 42:16
  Speaker 3: Who is we?
• 42:17
  Speaker 1: No, me and you. We're doing this. This is this.
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: If we are fading the Rams because of travel, both
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: teams have to be faded next week.
• 42:26
  Speaker 2: I think that we need to come up with a
• 42:28
  Speaker 2: way to also veto this.
• 42:30
  Speaker 3: Pick them.
• 42:32
  Speaker 2: Because this could get really fucking ugly on your end.
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: Yes, I plan on it. I think that we we
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: could almost like treat it like like having timeouts, you know,
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: in football. Like we have three vetoes that we can use.
• 42:48
  Speaker 3: I'm going to use all of mine by week five.
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: Well, not for the season. What about like two per week?
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: You have two vetoes that you can use per week.
• 42:58
  Speaker 3: I think you get one per week.
• 42:59
  Speaker 1: Okay, one. That gives two. Two, I think it would
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: probably get a little bit.
• 43:03
  Speaker 3: One per week. A little too impressive.
• 43:07
  Speaker 5: Plant the flag, get it set up.
• 43:09
  Speaker 2: I'm trying to plant my flag here, okay?
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: You're really planting your flag in that thing. All right,
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: let's plant the flag on the first couple of games
• 43:16
  Speaker 1: here on the NFL Sleight presented by DraftKings. We have
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: Seahawks Patriots. We have Rams 49ers. Your best bet for
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: either one of these games.
• 43:27
  Speaker 2: I think we are holding hands running into the sunset
• 43:30
  Speaker 2: week one, because we're both on the same things.
• 43:33
  Speaker 3: My best bet is going to be AJ.
• 43:34
  Speaker 2: Brown for an anytime plus one 55 over on draft Kings.
• 43:37
  Speaker 1: I love it.
• 43:39
  Speaker 3: Love it so much. You got to feed your guy.
• 43:41
  Speaker 2: Don't even read in a book next week on the sideline.
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: No, no librarian shit. We want AJ Brown in the
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: end zone. Happy as a clam. I'm just going to
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: throw one of our favorite bets of week one in there.
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: 49ers plus three and a half. last 26 international games,
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: the team that arrived first, which is San Francisco 17
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: and nine ATS her, my deep dive. This is an
• 44:09
  Speaker 1: extreme version of that trend because they're in Australia. Is
• 44:13
  Speaker 1: it news? Is it noise? We'll find out, but I'm
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: all in, we are all in on the San Francisco 49ers.
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: Why would you place these bets at draft Kings? Because
• 44:24
  Speaker 1: all draft Kings customers are getting a profit boost every
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: game day in the month of September. And that is
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: why the crown is yours. Ah, doesn't it feel good?
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: We have previewed the first two games, the rest of
• 44:38
  Speaker 1: them coming up on Thursday, rejoice. The favorites will return
• 44:43
  Speaker 1: in two days. Final picks locked in for week one.
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: and we're going to have a contest that you can
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: be a part of. You can go up against us
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: $ 50 to enter. We'll share the link in the coming
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: episodes of how you can hop in on that. It'll
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: be five picks per week against the spread, and you
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: can see how you match up against us. You can
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: catch all of our future episodes on the action network,
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: YouTube page, or wherever you download your favorite podcasts. Good luck, Kendra.
• 45:09
  Speaker 4: Good luck.
• 45:10
  Speaker 3: Good luck.
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you, please gamble responsibly. If you or
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is
• 45:29
  Speaker 1: available 24-7 at 1-800-GAMBLER.