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Mets/Phillies MLB + NFL + WNBA Best Bets Monday 9/8/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's how I'm gonna
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: start off this show. Horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: next have not had a good season. Man with wookends
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues. I've
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: reached a new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn my
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: Bruins hat man. I don't know what is going on
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: with the Bruins arch hape. Is that what it is?
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: I don't even know it's It's March ninth, I think
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: who even knows? Man, I don't know what data is anymore.
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: But I don't even know what data is anymore. Man,
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: back with you after the worst day that I could
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: possibly have, Back with you as I always am until
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: I die, at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: it did not go well for me. Own five the
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: worst month that I've ever had in my eighteen years
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: doing this, I don't know what to even tell you
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: about this anymore. The slump, the slump discontinues, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: I should do at this point other than potentially end
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: it all. What's up, everybody, It's towed back with you
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: better off dead. Monday, September eighth, slight losing day on
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: the show yesterday? Who was two and two? I mean,
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: not gonna have a winning day every day, man, At
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: least it wasn't terrible. But football wound up just being
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: one and two yesterday, which is really unfortunate because in
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: my at least in my ESPN, pigs can pick, and
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: you have to pick every game. I was ten and
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: five against the spread, although some of the games we
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: got like way different numbers on some of the games
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: that where the number landed, so I had to go
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: like in the other direction on it. But I mean
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: there were games where it actually like wound up in
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: the middle to like the Denver game wound up middling,
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: so like there might have been guys with tickets on
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: Denver minus six and a half and on Tennessee plus
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: nine and the game landed eight. So they scooped the
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: entire pile on a game like that, which is crazy.
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: I mean, it looked it looked like Denver wasn't gonna
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: cover that number at all. But there was that, and
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: then in Arizona. Actually I don't think it happened with Arizona.
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: I think Arizona just wound up covering it. But I
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: wound up getting a win on that one in pigskin
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: pick ups because the number was three and a half
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: on that and then number went off at like six.
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: So like, you know what you have to do, man Like,
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: if you're getting a number that's so much better than that,
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: you just have to do it, even if you don't
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: even love that side. You know, that's just a week
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: one thing in ESPN though, so it's all it's more
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: about numbers. But yesterday, yeah, we started out all right.
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: The baseball game that we had won with the Cincinnati Reds.
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: They took the lead fairly early on and they hung
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: on for three to two win. After they were losing
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: one nothing, they were up three to one for a
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: decent amount of the game. So we did win on
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: the Cincinnati Reds that over that was one of my leans.
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: I hate it when I have like these leans. I'm like,
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: I kind of want to do it. And those happened
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: easily in the Seattle and Braves game that went way
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: over the total. Seattle went over by themselves again, but
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: what can you do? NFL, we got the win on
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: the Jets. The Jets blew the game though, I mean
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: they covered, but they didn't hit on the money line,
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: and obviously, well I don't know if it's obvious to everybody,
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: but like when I give on an NFL underdog, the
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: implication is that you should put like ten percent of
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: that bet on the money line. Especially when you're playing
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: a team that's plus three. You're pretty much saying you
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna win the game outright, so you want
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: to put a little bit of that bet on the
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: money line. So the money line portion of it did
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: not hit, unfortunately, but the majority of the bet one
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: on the Jets plus three. Obviously that's that's still a winner.
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: But they pretty much blew the game. I mean, they
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: had the game in hand, they're winning the game late
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: in the game, I think they're winning the game by
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: multiple scores in the fourth quarter, and they blew it.
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: Just like the Night Game. I mean, we could recap
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: some of these games real quickly, but some craziness in
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: the n offlment Aaron Rodgers. Dude, I like because I
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: like Aaron Rodgers. I like the fact that he's out
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: there basically silencing critics. And I got one part of
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: that handicap wrong. Aaron Rodgers apparently did want to stick
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: it to the Jets because he said it in the post.
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: Came inta grow I was like, whoa, man. I didn't
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: realize you felt that way, Aaron. But dude, I mean
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: I have to side with Aaron Rodgers, man. I mean,
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: he gets unbelievable amounts of hate just because he refused
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: the vaccine and whatever, and people just because of that
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: and because of their political meanings, people are like, alw
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: he's washed, he's done. No. I mean, look at what
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: he's doing. Even though he's like in his forties. He's
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: better than Brett Favre was at that age. Rogers, it's
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: the Ayahuasca trips. Man. Rogers keeps himself in decent shape.
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: He doesn't look as old as Fire did at that time.
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: And Aaron Rodgers is not out texting the female employees
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: of his team and demanding they come to his hotel either,
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: Like Brett Favre was so Aaron Rodgers and fives Parkinson's
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: now by the way, eh Aaron Rodgers though, Yeah, I
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: mean I like the fact that he's still out there
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: doing it. Man. He had a really good game yesterday
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: against a pretty solid defense too, so and we still
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: got so I like that because Aaron Rodgers did well.
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: The Steelers won, but the Jets still covered. So I
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: was like, all right, it's kind of the best of
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: every everything there. The Giants they couldn't do anything to
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: it offensively. Their defense showed up well enough in the game.
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: Part of that handicap was the Giants are gonna have
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: to score at least a little bit, like I was
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: expecting the game to probably be like in the when
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: he's on maybe on both sides. The Giants they can't
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: get anything done. Dude. Russell Wilson sucks. He was like
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: forty five percent completion percentage. He is useless, dude. He
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: needs to be out of there, like the Giants need to.
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: They got to just put Jackson Dart in there. I mean,
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: they don't have anything to lose. They're not expecting to
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: do anything this season. Russell Wilson, he is washed. He's done.
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: We've known this for a while now. There's no way
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: that he shouldn't have even been the starting QB for
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: the Steelers last year, and the fact that they made
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: it to the playoffs with him is absolutely insane. I
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: don't even know how they did that. He is so bad.
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: And that was the reason why that Giants play had
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: no chance. Russell Wilson is a fucking terrible quarterback at
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: this point, horrible. And that was that, and then Houston
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: probably should have covered. I mean, that was such a
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: low scoring game. If you were gonna tell me that
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: the Rams were only gonna have two scores in the
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: entire game, would have been like, yeah, load up on Houston,
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: buddy boy. And Houston had more scores than the Rams did.
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: Houston scored three times. Houston had a six to nothing
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: leave for a while in that game, and they had
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: a chance to back door it at the end too well,
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: but they were trying to win the game at that
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: point though, So a fourteen to nine loss when you
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: have a plus three, that's just brutal, dude. It was
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: a low scoring game, which is what I thought it
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: would be defense. I thought the Houston defense would would
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: get them through. I thought, you Sai had a pretty
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: solid chance to win that game, and they still did.
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: I mean, they were driving at the end of the game.
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: They're in Rams territory, and I think they must have
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: turned it over on downs or something. I didn't see
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: what happened, but obviously at that point you're down five,
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: you have to go for the touchdown. But I'm like,
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: kick the field goal, let's cover the spread. Man. That
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: one probably should have been a winner on Houston. It
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: just pisses me off man, because I went like two
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: and three in my pick five money entry that I have,
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: which is for a decent amount of money. Two and
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: three very brutal. And that was because one of the
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: other players that I lost in my pick five was
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: the Atlanta Falcons. That was brutal, dude, if you bet
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: on the Falcons, man, especially if you had them at
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: the better number at plus two and a half. Either way, though,
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: they should have won that game. They took the lead
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: late in the game, they had the lead with in
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: the final two minutes of the game. They had the lead,
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: and then they gave up a game winning score and
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: there was a bullshit roughing the passer call because Baker
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: Mayfield just gets the calls. Michael Pennix isn't gonna get
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: those calls when he's basically a rookie here, So that
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: was bullshit. And then even after all that, the Falcons
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: still got into field goal range to try to retie
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: the game right at the end. If you guys saw this,
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: and their kicker is normally pretty much spot on man
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: yume way ku, and they're in a dome. It was
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: a forty four yard field goal in a dome. That's
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: for cou That's like a pretty high percentage field goal,
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: to be honest, and he missed it, and that would
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: have at least sent the game into overtime. You still
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: had had a chance with the Falcons in overtime, maybe
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: with some of that home magic. Put Kirk Cousins in
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: just in overtime, Dude, Kirk Cousins, they might have won
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: that game. Of Kirk Cousins was was in just for
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: the final drives because that's that is his thing. Although
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: I know Pennic's got them in a field goal range
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: at the end, so he did enough. But yeah, and
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: Kirk Cousins man the one thing that he does really
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: really well is late game like two minute drill situations.
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: He's really good at, like the hurry up offense. Put
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: him back in Jody, what's up man? Uh? Tampa money line? Well,
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: I would say I would say you lucked out on that.
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: I'm just I'm pissed, man. I mean, I know that
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: Atlanta was the like the side of the professionals around
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: because the line moved from like plus two and a
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: half on Atlanta to Atlanta went off as like a
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: one to one and a half point favorite. So I
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: was like, Yeah, that one looks strong enough that I'm
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: gonna throw it in my pick five and drain him
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: my pick five. I had them at plus two and
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: a half. I'm pretty sure too, it might have been
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: plus one and a half. Either way. It's like they
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: gotta win the game pretty much. But man, that pissed
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: me off. Oh yeah, there was a green dildo. That
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: was actually the second green dildo thrown in the NFL
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: this year. There was one thrown in one of the
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: preseason games. I can't remember which preseason game it was,
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: but there wasn't green dildo one of the preseason games.
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: The game yesterday was the Cleveland Browns is where it
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: was thrown, which kind of makes sense because I mean,
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: those fans don't have anything to really cheer for, right,
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: so throw green dildo onto the field. They should have
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: won the game. If you saw that game, I told you, guys,
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: Cleveland Browns plus the points I thought was the right side.
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: In that game, Cincinnati, their offense again was really bad,
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: although they finally got a win in Week one, but
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: it was close and they got they lucked out to it.
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure Cleveland missed a field goal right at
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: the end of the game, game winning potential field goal
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: at the end, and they missed it. Man, So yeah, oh,
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: I thought I thought that was another chat that came up.
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: But yeah, Andrew, it was Cincinnati at Cleveland Denver at
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: eight and a half. You should listen to me, man,
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: because I told people that that I leaned to the
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: Ands plus the points as well. Denver. They never had
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: a chance to cover that. To be honest, I mean
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: that game, they shouldn't have even won by eight. Tennessee
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: was right in that game. It was a great defensive
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: performance from really from both teams yesterday. But Tennessee's defense
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: was really good in that game we'll talk about on
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: the Monday Night game tonight, and I have two baseball plays,
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: so we got to get into that. Man, I'm rehashing
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: all the NFL all right, and the NFL Sunday Night
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: game was probably one of the most insane games that
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: we've ever seen. It was a score of Goami too,
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: which if you guys are not familiar with that, it
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: means a unique score in the NFL that no NFL
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: game has ever landed on that final before it wound
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: up being forty one to forty. Seems kind of weird
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: that that's actually a score of Gomi because that's not
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: that weird of a final result. You would have expected
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: that would have happened at some point, but it had not.
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: And you can follow the score of Gami twitter account.
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: They tweet out every NFL result. This is not a
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: score of Goami. This is not a score gm Hey
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: score with Gomi. Yeah, which I thought if you looked
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: at the scores yesterday, I would have thought that the
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: Colts thirty three to eight win over Miami that could
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: have been a score of Goami, but it wasn't. Apparently
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: that when had happened once before that was probably the
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: weirdest final score out of all of them. Colts, by
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: the way, the team that I roofed for, they scored
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: on every single offensive possession. Oh, Daniel Jones, he's no
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: good baby. Maybe it's just that Miami's defense is that bad.
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: Miami looks so bad. Dude, Mike McDaniels. I can't believe
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: he hasn't been fired yet. That Miami team, holy shit,
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: they're bad. They are so bad. They might be they
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: might be the last place team in the AFC East. Dude, Miami,
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: holy crap. But yeah, the Sunday night game, oh my god,
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: I mean that game was over. I told you I
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: leaned to the Ravens. The Ravens covered the plus one
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: and a half if you got the early number on that,
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: which was what ESPN had, so so that still wound
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: up being a correct pick for me. But geez, the
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: Ravens again, they don't dominated the Bills. Man third game
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: in a row that they've dominated the Bills, and second
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: game in a row they wound up losing the game. Anyway,
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: The Ravens had that game completely in hand. They were
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: completely out gaining the Bills. If you guys saw it,
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: they were winning forty to twenty five. With four minutes
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: left in the game, the Bills got a really quick
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: touchdown to cut it back to one score. Baltimore basically
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: had a shot to pretty much run most of the
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: clock out, and Derek Henry fumbled the football at one
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: of the most inopportune times. It's crazy. It is crazy
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: how it's almost like Buffalo just wills Baltimore to fumble
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: at the worst possible times. Because you guys, remember the
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: playoff game last year. Mark Andrews caught a pass across midfield,
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: Baltimore was driving to potentially win the game, fumbles the
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: football in Buffalo territory, and then they still had a
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: chance to get the game or to send it into overtime.
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: At the end, Andrews drops the two point conversion pass.
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: It's insane. It's like Buffalo just causes this mental thing
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: when it's in Buffalo against Balton. I don't know, man,
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: but yeah, Henry had that crucial fumble. Buffalo got the
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: ball back, they scored again. They missed the two point conversion,
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: so then they had to get the ball back again,
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: and I think they had time outs left, and they
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: got the ball back again, got into field goal range,
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: and Buffalo's kicker is injured, Tyler Bass, who was injured
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: during preseason, and then I guess he came back and
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: then he got injured again. So I'm thinking, oh, this
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: is gonna be awesome because Buffalo during preseason they were
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: using one of their backup running backs as their kicker,
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: Ray Davis. I don't even know if he's still there now.
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: They might have cut him. I don't even know what.
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: I'm like, this guy should be the kicker, man. It's hilarious,
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: it's awesome. But no, they actually they signed Matt Prater,
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: the former a Denver Bronco and Detroit lyon kicker who
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: probably was retired. I mean, he looks like he's sixty
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: years old. He's probably like forty five forty sixty years old.
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: It's a Morton Anderson out there again. Everybody, if you
• 15:02
  Speaker 1: remember that guy from from my day, I think he
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: was the oldest kicker in the league and he was
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: still doing well out there for the Atlanta Falcons, although
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: I think, yeah, he was the one that won that
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: game against the Minnesota Vikings, right in one of those
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: Vikings games that all the Vikings fans don't want to
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: ever remember if I remember correctly, I don't know. I
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: was a kid, I seem to remember that, but anyway, Yeah,
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: Matt Prader kicked the game winning field goal in that
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: game at his ancient age. Tyler Bass needs to come
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: back from Buffalo, though, I don't really know if they
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: could trust Matt Praterer at this point. Let's get into today, man,
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: It is a shorter card, but I don't want this
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: video to be that long. We do have one w
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: NBA game, which is Connecticut at Atlanta Atlanta. I mean,
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: they're the only team with anything to play for here.
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: They are tied for the number two seed I believe,
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: or they might be right behind Vegas for the number
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: two seed in the playoffs. Atlanta's going to be playing
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: to try to get the better seed if they can.
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: But this is against Connecticut, man, so I'm not sure
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: that I really expect Atlanta to show any full sort
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: of focus in this game. They did just beat LA twice,
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: which is probably gonna knock LA out of the playoffs
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: pretty much. And Indiana, by the way, even though they're
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: now without Caitlin Clark even for the playoffs, and without
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: Sophie Cunningham, Indiana is going to be in the playoffs
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: now because they annihilated Washington yesterday, oh my god, and
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: LA won. So the last playoff spot is It's come
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: down to the last couple of days. Man, the last
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: playoff spot is going to be either LA or Seattle.
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: I know it's very exciting. Seattle better get it though.
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: If you want like the if you think the better
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: teams should get in it, better be Seattle. Seattle is
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: definitely better than LA. But Connecticut is the worst team
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: in the league basically, and they're at Atlanta here. I mean,
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: Connecticut might just show up just because they don't really
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: have anything else to play for it at this point.
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: So you're going on the road to face one of
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: the best teams in the league, so why not show up.
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: Atlanta's up to a thirteen and a half point favorite
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: from twelve and a half, but I would not lay
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: the points in that situation. I mean, Atlanta doesn't need
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: to win by margin here. They want to win to
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: get better seeding. But I don't think it's gonna be
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: a game where they have extreme focus. Major League Baseball, Man,
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna give you two moneyline favorites, two road favorites,
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: is what I'm gonna give you. So you already know
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: what one of the plays is gonna because it's in
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: the title of the show here. But yeah, so yeah,
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: let's get into it. I guess all these games are
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: in the evening. I think every team is starting a
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: new series. Because it's Monday. There are a few teams
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: off today as well. Kansas City is at Cleveland. Cleveland
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: is returning home from a road trip where they went
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: to Boston and Tampa Bay. They wound up winning the
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: last three games at Tampa Bay, which kind of surprises me.
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: The last two games are close. They were both one
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: run wins. Tampa I think is the better team over Cleveland.
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: But Cleveland, I mean, they're not right now, playing like
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: they're a team that's out of it. I think they
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: know that they're not gonna make a playoff, but they're
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: playing out the stretch here. I think they will be
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: motivated here just because they have an opportunity to overtake
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: Kansas City and the standings again and they could spoil
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: the rest of Kansas City season because I think Kansas
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: City is more of the mindset that they think they
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: could still make the playoffs because they were buyers at
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: the trade deadline and Cleveland was not. Although yet Cleveland's
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: only half came behind them. But Cleveland's are turning over
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: from a road trip, like I said, and that's never well,
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: I don't want to say never, but typically it's not
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: a good spot when you return home from a road trip.
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: It can lead to some distractions, especially when you know
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: you're not going to make the playoffs. You have to
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: get back to family life that comes into play. So
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: that is a factor potentially for Cleveland, although Kansas City
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: maybe one of the teams that they would actually focus for.
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: Both teams have pretty good bullpends in pretty weak offenses. Year.
• 18:50
  Speaker 1: Cleveland has the somewhat better bullpen. The rest scenarios a
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: little bit in Cleveland's favor as well, I would say,
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: on the bullpen side. But both teams in decent shape
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: bullpen wise. Here Cleveland surprising, actually is fifth in bullpen
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: he or Oh, actually Kansas City's tied with them now
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: they're both fourth. What am I saying? Man? I thought
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: Kansas City was lower than them, but Kansas City's moved
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: back up. Crazy to see. Uh So both bullpens are good,
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: Like I said, both offenses are not good. Cleveland is
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: particularly bad, uh, second worst in ops and all baseball
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: and actually a significant gap there. This Cleveland offense is
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: very bad. Kansas City is also bad, but a little
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: bit better than that. Uh. Ride Bergere is pitching for
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: Kansas City. One of their acquisitions of the trade deadline,
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: they got two San Diego pitchers. Uh. Somehow, Brige are
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: actually having a decent season two point six one ERA,
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: one point zero nine WHIP and he's better on the
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: road as well, two point three to five yarround the road,
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: which seems odd to me because San Diego and Kansas
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: City are both pitcher friendly ballparks. He's made about a
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: month worth. It starts with Kansas City, and he's been
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: good the whole time. He had a two point five
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: to four ERA with them in the month of August.
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: He's allowed two or one earned run in every one
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: of the starts, all six of them. His one start
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: this month, he did walk three guys against Anaheim, but
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: he won hit them through five innings six strikeouts, so
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: it's still a good start from him. I'm not ready
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: to say that he's like that, He's like all of
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: a sudden wild or anything. Like that he's facing a
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: week Cleveland offense here in Cleveland has actually never faced
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: him before, so that could be another little bit of
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: an edge to Bergere because they haven't seen him before.
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: So sometimes the hitters when they haven't seen a pitcher before,
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: they have to kind of adjust to him the first
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: time they see him. Slay Chacone and he's pitcher for Cleveland.
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: He's been a little bit all over the place this year.
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: This is his first season with Cleveland. Four point seven
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: eighty RA, one point three whip. He's some worse at
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: home five point three seven ERA at home. He got
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: lit up in his last start by the Red Sox.
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: Eleven hits, seven are in runs at Fenway. Had eight
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: strikeouts and no walks though, so his strikeout stuff was
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: still there. Like his command numbers. His strikeout walk ratio
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: has been good for a while, but his EIRA has
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: been terrible of the last month plus because he's just
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: been allowing a lot of hits and a lot of runs,
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: a lot of home runs. He's allowed nine home runs
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: since the start of August, so he's giving up a
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: ton of hard contact. Man. It's it's basically it appears
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: that he's just throwing a bunch of fastballs and sometimes
• 21:24
  Speaker 1: it's striking guys out, but if guys make contact, they're
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: hitting him hard. So he's one of those guys, one
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: of those types of pitchers against Kansas City, very small
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: sample size, seven at bats, only three of their hitters
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: have faced him before, but they're three for seven off him.
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: Home run from yaz four to twenty nine average oneenty
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: four to twenty n ie ops from those Kansas City
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: hitters against him. So yeah, I mean, even though that's
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: a small sample size, I would still I would lean
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: to Kansas City here, but the money is completely disagreeing
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: with it, which is insane because to me, it seems
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: like Kansas City has the starting pitching edge here. Everything
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: else is kind of a wash in the game, and
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: Cleveland is in the worst situation because they're returning over
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: road trips. So it's very weird that Kansas City seventy
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: nine percent of tickets, only fifty one percent of the
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: cash Cleveland down for minus one thirteen to minus one
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: oh five. So the market, Reid says, Cleveland, I don't
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: really agree with it, And then we do see money
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: coming in on the under seventy two percent of tickets
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: on the over ninety two percent of the cash in
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: the under total has already dropped down to seven and
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: a half, very low total. So seems like the money
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: is thinking this is gonna be a low scoring game
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: on both sides. I mean, I can kind of see that,
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: especially that given that both pitchers are somewhat unfamiliar to
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: the opposing offenses and the offenses are not good. Uh
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: So that's what we have going on there, Washington at Miami,
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: this is a game that I don't think is gonna
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: be a low scoring game. Miami just ended a lost streak.
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: They had a five game loss streak, and they just
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: beat Philadelphia yesterday. Now, on the one hand, beat like
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: winning a game to end a loss streak will potentially
• 23:04
  Speaker 1: carry over into the next game and you'll have like
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: some new found momentum from that. But on the other hand,
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: they just beat Philadelphia and that's a huge win. So
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: it could be a bit of a letdown spot from
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: Miami coming into this game. They are staying at home.
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: Washington is traveling in from Chicago, and they might be
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: in a letdown spot too because they just beat the
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: Chicago Cubs. In that series. That was a big series
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: win for Washington, a team that does not have a
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: whole lot left to play for here, by the way,
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: I did forget to mention, Kansas City is starting a
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: road trip, so Kansas City is in a more focused
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: spot as far as that's concerned, too, because when a
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: team starts a road trip, getting out of home, especially
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: after an ugly loss like they just had to Minnesota,
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: I tends to refocus you a little bit more. But Washington,
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: they may show up for a game against Miami though,
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: because Miami is a divisional foe that's ahead of that
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: at the very least, so maybe Washington will show up.
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: Neither of these teams have a whole lot left to
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: play for it, I mean, they're both playing out the stretch.
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: Both bullpens are bad on this matchup. Washington's is even
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: worse than Miami's. Miami has had a ton of bullpen usage,
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: though they probably have the least rested bullpen in all
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: baseball right now, so that's not a good thing for
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: them either. Uh. The starting pitching doesn't look great to
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: me either. Cade Cavali is pitching for the Nats. He's
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: in his second season, although he only made one start
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: last year. This season, he has a four point eight
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: five yarra one point four to eight whip, not good numbers,
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: and he's been atrocious on the road nine point four
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: to five yar round the road. He's coming off a
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: good start against this exact Miami team. He went five
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: innings touring runs a lot on four hits, six strikeouts,
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: one walk, so he had a good outing there. He
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: wasn't particularly good the previous month aolthough he faced a
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: bunch of pretty solid offenses Yankees, Philly, twice A's, so
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: the Marlin's offense was a step down for him. But
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: the fact that the Marlins just faced him and the
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: Marlins were not familiar with him at the time, I
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: think that means the Marlins can do a little bit
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: better against In this time out, because a pitcher who
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: hasn't been seen before has a little bit of an
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: advantage more often than not because the hitters haven't figured
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: him out yet. But now that the hitters have just
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: seen him, they might actually do better against In this
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: time I mean, it does mean that his numbers are
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: good against Miami, but keep in mind that was all
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: the first start that he had against Miami. There were
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: only two for sixteen off him, no extra base hit,
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: six strikeouts, one walk. For this current Miami lineup against
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: him one twenty five average three oh one ops. But
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: again take that with a real grain assault there, because
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: second start for a new a newcomer like this against
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: that same offense, it usually doesn't go as well. Jansen
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: Junk is pitching for Miami. He's been injured for a bit.
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: He was having a pretty good season though before that
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: he had an elbow issue, which those things could linger
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: a little bit. Who knows, we'll see four point zero
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: nine ERA one point one to three whip on the season.
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: He hasn't been a very good pitcher throughout his career,
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: but he was pitching pretty effectively from Miami this season.
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: He's been worse at home though, four point five to
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: forty ERA, so both starting pitchers are in the worst
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: of their home roads split here. He wasn't as good
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: leading up to his injury in the month of August
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: five point eight six ERA seventeen to five strike a
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: walk ratio was fine, but he was allowing more runs.
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: He was basically consistently going about five innings allowing three
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: on runs every time out so mediocre at best. So
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: that means Washington did not face him recently, but they
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: have seen him before because he's been around longer. Up
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: against Washington. I think he faced them earlier this year,
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: and I think he does have good numbers against them Washington.
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: I mean, neither team has a really good offense. Miami
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: is just better than Washington's, but neither team very good offensively.
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: Washington's only three for thirteen off him with a home
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: run from Bell two thirty one average six ninety two ops.
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: But again, now that Washington is seen junk, at some
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: point they might actually do a little bit better answer.
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: So I do think the over is the way to
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: lean in this game. The total has gone up a
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: little bit to eight juice to the over, eighty one
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets, ninety eight percent of the cash on
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: the over. That's the way I would look in this game.
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: Seems like some of the money's coming in on Miami.
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: With another down for minus one twenty eight to minus
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: one twenty one, sixty two percent of tickets on them,
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: eighty one percent of the cash on Miami. I would
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: worry about Miami's bullpen, though, man, even though I know Washington.
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: This is really bad. Miami's is so unrested right now
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: that I think if you want in Miami, you would
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: have to go first five innings. I don't really disagree
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: that Junk generally is better than Cavali right now, though,
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: And Cavali's in that like very tricky spot where it's
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: now his second start against this team and he's doing
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: it right away, so I think that does make it
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: a bit of a worse spot for him. Mets Philadelphia,
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: I'll give out at the end of the show, is
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: one of the best bets. Cubs at Atlanta. I mean,
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: on the surface, this looks like it's a huge starting
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: pitching mismatch in favor of the Cubs, but when you
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: dig into it, it seems a little bit questionable. Atlanta.
• 28:08
  Speaker 1: They are staying at home, and they lost to Seattle badly,
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: so I think they're gonna be a little bit pissed off.
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: They just lost the last two games by I combined
• 28:17
  Speaker 1: twenty eight to four score. Absolutely ridiculous four score, Oh man.
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: I mean that's basically how many runs they gave up
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: in those last two games. Atlanta. I mean, they're playing
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: out the stretch. I don't have a whole lot left
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: to play for, but with the Cubs coming into their house,
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: it might be a game that Atlanta does show up for.
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: Cubs obviously are gonna show up still as well. I mean,
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: they're still fighting for playoff positioning. They're way behind of
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: their division now, but they're in one of the playoff
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: spots right now. I think they're trying to make sure
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: they do get one of those playoff spots. And they're
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: probably gonna be a little bit angry because they just
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: lost that series to Washington, so they're starting to go
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: out on the road. I think that's a good spot
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: for Chicago. It's a focus spot when you go out
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: on the road a good team like that with a
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: couple of losses. The Cubs do have the better bullpen
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: and the better offense here out of the two teams,
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: and they have the better starting pitcher, so it's like, yeah,
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: it does on the surface seem like it's a really
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: cheap price on the Cubs here. It seems on the
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: surface and it looks almost way too easy to take
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: the Cubs, which is why I don't really want to
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: do it. The Cubs have some somewhat light bullpen usage,
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: even though they used five relief pitchers yesterday, they didn't
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: use many of them for very many pitches, so some
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: of them probably are available again today. Atlanta only us
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: two relief pitchers yesterday, so their bullpen is pretty rested
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: as well. Show ta I Minaga is pitching for the Cubs.
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: He's having a solid season, more than solid. Three point
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: one five VRA point nine to three whip. He's actually
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: better on the road, I think, oh no, it's I
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: think he was at one point better on the road,
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: but now is Thera is almost the same between home
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: and away. Actually very slightly worse on the road, but
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: not significant at all. He is pitching well. He's giving
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: up three or fewer earned runs in every start going
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: all the way back through his last start of July.
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: I had a thirty two to five strike a walk
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: ratio in August two point six five ERA last time out,
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: though he did just face this Atlanta team, so Atlanta's
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: recently familiar with him because they just saw him and
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: his strikeout rate. It was a little bit down in
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: that outing. He only had two strikeouts, but he only
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: had one walk, five hits, allowed three and runs and
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: six innings. It was still a good start from him,
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: he picked up a win barely. They hung on for
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: the win for him in that one against the Braves.
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: He actually doesn't have good numbers and forty two at bats,
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: seven to four strike a walk race YO two eighty
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: six average allowed, and eight to ninety five ohps. So,
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: like I said, even though Limanaga is definitely the better
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: pitcher on the surface here, if you dig into those
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: numbers a little bit, it starts getting a little bit diceier.
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: He's going up against Bryce Elder, who I am on
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: record saying I don't think he's good. His numbers still
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: not good this season five point five to four ERA,
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: one point four to three whips. So again, it almost
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: looks way too easy to just take the Cubs, who
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: are the better team. Elder also stinks at home six
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: point nine to eighty r at home. However, over his
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: last three starts, he's gone six or more innings in
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: all three he's allowed two or fewer earned runs in
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: all of them. He has a fifteen to four strikeout
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: walk ratio over that span, and those were against the Mets,
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia and the Cubs, with the last two of those
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: being on the roads. That was against three good hitting teams.
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: That doesn't mean the Cubs just saw him. So both
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: of these starting pitchers had that slight disadvantage where they
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: both just faced this opponent. But Elder went seven innings,
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: give up four hits, no eer and runs one under
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: and run six strikeouts no walks. Elder, believe it or not,
• 31:42
  Speaker 1: is in really good form over those last few starts. Man,
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: but the Cubs did just see him, so maybe they'll
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: bring in and hit him better this time. But they
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: haven't been good against him in their careers, which includes
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: that one start obviously, but forty eight at bats seven
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: to three strike up walk ratio is not that great,
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: but one sixty seven average for eighty seven ops. So
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: Elder actually has the better matchup numbers here, which is
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: crazy to think about. And he's in really good form
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: right now. Eighty percent of the tickets in this game
• 32:10
  Speaker 1: arend the Cubs and sixty five percent of the cash
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: on the Braves, so the money coming in on the Braves.
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: And I know the professional money has been on the
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: Braves a lot this year, and the Braves have mostly
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: been a money at burner, but the professionals are of
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: the mindset the Braves are still they are not as
• 32:28
  Speaker 1: bad as the record. Looks like they have more talent
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: than that. I do agree with that, and this line
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: does look way too short. It's basically at a pick
• 32:35
  Speaker 1: em price. It's up from minus one to ten to
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: minus one to eleven on the Cubs. It's like literally
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: a pick the winner price. It looks so short. It's like, well,
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: how are the Cubs that small of a favorite? Right?
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: So it looks way too easy to take the Cubs,
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: So I just don't think you can do it. Man.
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: Total has gone up a little bit, which kind of
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: surprises me because actually because I don't expect Imanaga to
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: really be that bad. I mean, he's a good pitcher,
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: and l does have a good matchup here, so I'm
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: actually I kind of would lean towards an under in
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: this game. Seventy nine percent of tickets on the over,
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: eighty eight percent of the cash in the over. I
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: somewhat disagree with that. I mean, the bullpens are both
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: at least decent and somewhat well rested here, So yeah,
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: I don't really see the over in that game. It's interesting.
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: I don't I'm not really tempted to play Atlanta either though,
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: so because I think they are on the wrong side
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: of almost every part of the matchup except for the
• 33:29
  Speaker 1: specific matchup numbers against the specific lineups. I'm going to
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: give out a play on the Brewers against the Rangers
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: as well as you already know what that play is
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: going to be too. That'll be at the end of
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: the show. Minnesota is at Anaheim. Anheims are turning on
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: from road trip. I believe I know they're staying at home.
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: What am I saying they were turning over from road
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: trip last yearies against the AA's. My apologies, and they
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: did just win yesterday to kind of salvage that series
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: where they were giving up a lot of runs against
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: the A's, where they finally got it done in the
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: final game beat the A's Yes today four to three.
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: Anaheim's staying at home. Anaheim's bullpen is terrible. Though both
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: of these teams have bad bullpens. I think Anaheims is
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: even worse than Minnesota's. Minnesota doesn't have a great offense
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: and Anaheim has the better offense of the two. Minnesota
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: is coming in from Kansas City, so they have to
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: travel to the Pacific Coast from Kansas City a little
• 34:21
  Speaker 1: bit of a difficult spot. They did just break a
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: last streak though, break a leg. I almost said Minnesota
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: had six losses in a row and they finally ended
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: that last street. So sometimes that will give you momentum
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: they could carry over to your next game. So maybe
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: not necessarily the worst spot for Minnesota, but having to
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: travel up to the Pacific coast still not easy. The bullpens,
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: I mean they're not good bullpens. Anaheim didn't use a
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: lot of theirs over the last couple of days, but
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: there's still not a good bullpen. Minnesota's usage has been
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: worse over the last couple of days. Also not a
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: good bullpen. I don't like either starter here either. Simeon
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: Woods Richardson is pitching for Minnesota four point five to
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: three ERA one point four whip. He's in bad on
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: the road five point nine to five roadra had a
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: decent start last time out against the Coup E Susan.
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: Against the White Sox the Cubs, it would be a
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: lot more impressive White Sox. He went five innings, two
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: ear and runs, allowed seven strikeouts three walks, more strikeouts
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: than you usually get out of him. But the number
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: one walks was too high. I don't trust him, man,
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: I really don't. His starts before that were all pretty bad.
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: He actually came back from injury to start before then
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: didn't do well at Toronto. Prior to getting injured, he
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: didn't do well either. He'd gone four starts in a row,
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: failing to even make it five innings. I'm not expecting
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: much out of him in this game. His numbers against
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: Anaheim is a small sample size fifteen at bats, although
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: most of their hitters have faced him at least once.
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: He has six strikeouts, no walks against him, but a
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: two sixty seven average, seven thirty three ops, one home
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: run allowed from Nido, who was three for three off him,
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: so his numbers are mediocre against Anaheim. Anaheim's got the
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: very young Caden Dana pitching for them. He's only twenty
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: one years old, so there is definitely room for improvement here.
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: He pitched last year a little bit for Anaheim, and
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: he did not do well last year. He's improved on
• 36:13
  Speaker 1: that a little bit this year with a four point
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: nine to one ERA one point three to six whips,
• 36:17
  Speaker 1: so he's trending in the right direction, but he hasn't
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: been good at home this year seven point five era.
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: I know it's a very small stample. He's like pitched
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: three times so far, and he's coming off his one
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: good start so far where he lasted five innings against
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: Kansas City, gave a one on and run, four strikeouts,
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: one walk, But that was against Kansas City, very weak
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: lineup in a pitcher friendly ballpark. Minnesota is not a
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: very intimidating lineup either though, and Minnesota has never faced
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: dana before, so he might have a little bit of
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: an edge just because he has the unfamiliarity there where
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: Minnesota might struggle to figure him out at first. So
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: I do think there are reasons to lean towards Anaheim here.
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: They do have the better offense, they don't have to
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: worry about the travel The travels by the Minnesota is
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: in his bad and I do think Anaheim has a
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: starter that might be in a better position here to
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: do better in this game. Anheim's down for just one
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: twenty eight to minus one eighteen on the money line,
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: but they do have seventy six percent of the cash
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: on them in eighty percent of the tickets around Minnesota,
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: so Minnesota is public here, which is interesting, and Anaheim
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: is taking taking the cash, so we'll see what happens
• 37:27
  Speaker 1: man again in that game. But uh yeah, I mean
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: I would lean towards Anaheim. I do agree with the
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: market and that one. I worry a little bit about
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: that though. I mean, Dana, I don't know if one
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: start can really make you completely trust him. I mean,
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: he could potentially implode. I would slightly lean to an
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: over in this game too, although the after the total
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: went up to nine and a half, it's now money
• 37:48
  Speaker 1: coming in in the under, so it does look like
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: that was kind of a setup where the professionals just
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: wanted to drive that up to the key nine and
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: a half so they could take the under nine and
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: a half. Seventy one percent of tickets are on the over,
• 37:59
  Speaker 1: fifteen percent of the cash on the under. There's no
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: way I would trust an under with those two bullpens though, man, So,
• 38:05
  Speaker 1: I mean I would slightly lean to the over there.
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: But I think the better look is the Anaheim's side
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: in that game, maybe even full game, I guess, But
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: if you want to exclude Anheim's bullpen, first five innings
• 38:16
  Speaker 1: might be where they have the biggest edge. Although both
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: bullpens are bad, so I mean, I guess you're gambling
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: a little bit by including the bullpens Cincinnati at San Diego.
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: San Diego's are turning home from a quick trip to Colorado.
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: They won the last two games of that. I don't
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: consider that to really be a road trip return because
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: they're only gone for a few days, so it's not
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: really a spot where you've been gone for a long time.
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: You have a lot of stuff to do back at home.
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: San Diego's got to still fight, man, They're in a
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: wildcard spot right now. They could potentially win their divisions
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: still as well because the Dodgers have not been playing well,
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: so San Diego's got stuff to play for. Cincinnati is
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: trying to hang on. They're one game above five hundred.
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: They're trying to potential to make a wildcard spot. They
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: did just beat the Mets twice, so they beat one
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: of their wildcard opponents and one of their teams. Who's
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: the wildcard competition there now they're starting a road trip,
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: but going out to the Pacific Coast might be a
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: little bit of an issue because you have to adjust
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: to the time zone. So usually starting a road trip,
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: you will be focused whe they're coming off some big wins.
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: They're having to go out to the Pacific Coast again.
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: The travel spot's a little bit iffy there for them.
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: San Diego is one of the teams that's particularly good
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: at home as well. They have a much better home
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: record than road record. San Diego has the better bullpen.
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati I would say has the better offense. Probably San
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: Diego's has really kind of struggled this year that they
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: moved up a little bit. Actually, San Diego has overtaken
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati by point oh one in team ops, so that's crazy.
• 39:43
  Speaker 1: San Diego's offense has actually finally broken out a little
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: bit because throughout most of the season they had been
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: the worst of the two offenses. So both offenses are
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: mediocre at this point if you look at the season
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: as a whole. San Diego definitely has a better bullpen.
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: Both bullpens arrested though coming in to this one, even
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: though Cincinnati had that close win yesterday and I gave
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: him out on the show and they were able to
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: get that thing done for us as a win on
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: the show for us. Nick Lodolo's pitcher for Cincinnati three
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: point two two ERA one point zero four whip. He's
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: having a good season, good on the road two point
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: five two ERA, and this is a pitcher friendly park,
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: so it's the opposite of where he pitches at home,
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: which is a hitter friendly park. He had his start
• 40:26
  Speaker 1: pushed back. Thus you might have to worry about his
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: scheduling a little bit, because he was supposed to start
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: a few days ago, I think. And his start didn't happen,
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: if you remember that, because I gave it out on
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: the show. I gave out an under in the first
• 40:37
  Speaker 1: five innings or something, and then he got scratched. And
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: I said, well, because usually almost every time it's implied
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: that when you make one of my baseball plays, you're
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: saying these pitchers must start, which is usually the default anyway,
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: unless I say otherwise. That is the case. So when
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: I gave that one out, he got scratched, So it
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: wound up not being a play, luckily, because it would
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: have been wrong. With Lodola pitching, it may have not
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: been wrong. But his last start wasn't that good against
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: the Dodgers. But again he did get hurt, so we'll
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: see what happens. He's having a good season overall, but
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: because he's been dealing with the injury. He's coming back.
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: I worry a little bit about that, even though at
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: this point you could argue that he's a veteran, and
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: sometimes when these veterans come back, they do well because
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: they're like pumped up to get back out there. But
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: again I do worry a little bit about it. About
• 41:23
  Speaker 1: his scheduled start, which he was scheduled to start at
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: a few days ago. I worry about that being pushed
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: back a bit, and he his injury I think is
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: probably related to blisters. He's had finger blister issues recently.
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: He has forty five at bats in his career against
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: San Diego and he's done well against them. Twelve to
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: three strike a walk race here, two hundred average allowed,
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: five to sixty one ops allowed. So Lodolo has done
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: well against San Diego. San Diego is gonna go with you,
• 41:52
  Speaker 1: Darvish five point seven five y one point one to
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: eight whip, so his whip is good. His whip indicates
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: it is Thera should be better. I mean, he started
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: the season pretty late. He is an aging or an
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: aged veteran at this point, but he has been better
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: at home this year. Three point five to five era
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: He's still been struggling a little bit though. Man, it's
• 42:12
  Speaker 1: not a good sign that three of his last four
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: starts the only last of four innings he gave up
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: three or more and runs in all three of those.
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: Had one good start there against the Dodgers there, but
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: his last start was at home against Baltimore and he
• 42:23
  Speaker 1: still didn't do that well again, only lasted four innings,
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: he gave up three on runs, did have six strikeouts.
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: His strike out walk ratio has been all right recently.
• 42:33
  Speaker 1: Usually his walks tend to be a bit of a
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: concern for him usually, but it's kind of a mix
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: bad with him. Man, it's really hard to gauge what
• 42:40
  Speaker 1: you're gonna get out of Darvish against Cincinnati and his career.
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: His numbers are good. It's not a huge sample, but
• 42:46
  Speaker 1: thirty three at bats, eight to three, strike out walk ratio,
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: two twelve average five twenty oh ps. So overall he's
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: been fine, better than fine against Cincinnati. We have a
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: pretty low total here at seven and a half of
• 42:59
  Speaker 1: though it's gone up a little bit. Juice to the
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: over now seventy six percent of tickets eighty percent of
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: the cash on the over. I would probably still need
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: to do an under though, man, because you're looking at two
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: either decent or good bullpens here that are decently rested,
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: picture friendly park, mediocre offenses. Both starters have good matchup
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: numbers at least, so I slightly need to do an
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: under in this game. And San Diego has eighty four
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets and only seventy two percent of the cash,
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: so they are a public side there, which I would
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: agree with the Cincinnati side as well, just I think
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: Darvish is a little bit more questionable. If you go
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: with Cincinnati, maybe you want to go first five innings
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: because San Diego does have a bullpen advantage here, so
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: maybe Cincinnati first five innings money line makes a little
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: bit of sense there as well. Saint Louis at Seattle,
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: when you first look at this, the scheduling spot is
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: not good for Seattle. They're returning home from a long
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: road trip. They were on the road for three series.
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: They went to the East coast, so they're having to
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: travel across the country. Readjust to the time zone, three
• 43:58
  Speaker 1: hours difference, no time aff They just ended the road
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: trip with a bang. Like I said, They beat Atlanta,
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: scoring twenty eight runs over the last two games. So yeah,
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: it's a bad scheduling spot for Seattle. They got to
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: return home, They got to get back to home life. Whatever.
• 44:13
  Speaker 1: They do need to keep winning because they're trying to
• 44:15
  Speaker 1: maintain a wildcard spot, or actually I think they're out
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: of the wildcard spots right now. They're battling with my
• 44:21
  Speaker 1: Red Sox for one of them, they could potentially win
• 44:24
  Speaker 1: the division. Actually, I think they're closer to being a
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: division leader than a wildcard right now. So Seattle does
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: still need to play, They need to get these wins.
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: But are they really going to be focused on Saint Louis.
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: I'm not so sure about that. Saint Louis does have
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: to travel to the Pacific Coast as well, but they're
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: starting a road trip with some momentum as they did
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: just win two series in a row against the Bay
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: Area Teams or the former Bay Area As and the
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: Bay Area San Francisco Giants. Going out on the road
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: with momentum, though it is a better spot, certainly a
• 44:56
  Speaker 1: better spot than what Seattle is in. Though Saint Louis
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: might actually bring some focus in this game. Both teams
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: have pretty solid bullpens for the most part, and they're
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: both pretty rested here, so the bullpens situation looks pretty
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: good for both teams. Seattle has the better offense. Saint
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: Louis's offense has been terrible recently, so something to keep
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: in mind there. We're in Seattle on Seel's dropped a
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: little bit as far as their bullpenning ra, but they're
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: still pretty good. The problem with playing against Seattle, though,
• 45:23
  Speaker 1: is the starting pitching matchup is really really against Saint
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: Louis here. So that's the problem I have with this, man, Like,
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: this looks like a really nice spot to face Seattle.
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: I was hoping it would be a better pitching matchup
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: to do that, but you're getting Seattle's best pitcher basically
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: against one of the cardinals worst. So I don't think
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: we can really do it. Man, Miles Michels is pitching
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: for the Cardinals. Not great numbers this year four point
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: eight to nine y RA, one point three to three whip.
• 45:50
  Speaker 1: He's in really bad on the road six point seventy
• 45:53
  Speaker 1: nine Roadie Rod though. I know this is a pitcher
• 45:55
  Speaker 1: friendly park, but he's not that good man. He's allowed
• 45:58
  Speaker 1: one and run a piece in his last two outvotings,
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: which is solid, but one was against the Pirates, the
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: league's worst batting and against the A's he didn't strike
• 46:07
  Speaker 1: out with anybody, so that is definitely a bit concerning,
• 46:09
  Speaker 1: even though he held them pretty much off the board.
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: I don't trust Micholas in the spot against Seattle. His
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: numbers are pretty horrific. In seventy eight at bats fifteen
• 46:18
  Speaker 1: to five, strike a walk racios. Alright, but three point
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: fifty nine batting average allowed one thousand ops very bad.
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: But if you're looking for player props, here Eugenio Suarez,
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: who was one of the pickups for Seattle at the
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: trade deadline. They got him from Arizona. He's nine for
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: nineteen with four home runs against Mikolas, with three walks
• 46:37
  Speaker 1: in three strikeouts. That is crazy. So out of the
• 46:41
  Speaker 1: five home runs Micholas is allowed to Seattle, four of
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: them are Suarez. It's like they picked him up just
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: for this specific game. Man Not really, but that would
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: be crazy if they did so. I don't trust Mikolas
• 46:54
  Speaker 1: though in this spot. Brian wu is pitching for Seattle.
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: He is obviously the better of the two pitchers. It's
• 46:59
  Speaker 1: not even close. Three point two Era point nine to
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: seven whip. He's really good at home two point three
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: to five yr at home. Seattle pretty much all their
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: pitchers better at home. As I always say, He's coming
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: off kind of an if he start against Tampa Bay,
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: but that was at a very hitter friendly ballpark in Tampa.
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: But it's not an easy place to pitch. Give up
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: three on runs and five innings, three strikeouts, three walks
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: a little bit concerning, but Wo by no means isn't
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: bad at form right now. Last month he had a
• 47:28
  Speaker 1: thirty nine to six strike a walk race. You're two
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: point two seven ERA. He allowed no more than three
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: on runs in any start across that entire span. The
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: one thing about Wu, though, is that this is the
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: most innings he's ever thrown by far, so he's been
• 47:43
  Speaker 1: ramping it up since he joined the league in twenty
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: twenty three. This is his longest season. This is basically
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: his first actual full season in the majors, but he's
• 47:52
  Speaker 1: already gone about forty uh He's gone forty eight innings
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: basically over what his inning count was last year, and
• 47:58
  Speaker 1: he hasn't shown really signs of wearing down. He's still
• 48:01
  Speaker 1: been really good over the past months, so maybe we
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: don't really have to worry about that with Wu. He
• 48:06
  Speaker 1: is the better of the two pitchers here and up
• 48:08
  Speaker 1: against us Saint Louis. Let me see, I was looking
• 48:12
  Speaker 1: at the braves there. I was like, man, his numbers
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: aren't that good. Small sample size though, Saint Louis has
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: actually never even seen Wu before, so Wu should have
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: a bit of an extra advantage there because Saint Louis
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: has never seen him before. So there's just no way
• 48:25
  Speaker 1: that I can come in and fade Seattle in this one.
• 48:28
  Speaker 1: Seattle's up for minus two hundreds and minus two to fifteen.
• 48:31
  Speaker 1: Although they're public eighty seven percent of tickets, obviously they
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: would be a public side here eighty percent of the cash.
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: I mean, Saint Louis doesn't have a whole lot left
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: to play for really though, but they probably I think
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: they will get up for a game like this though
• 48:43
  Speaker 1: against a good offense. To start a road trip, you
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: want to kick it off on the right foot. I
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: would have. I mean, I would still have a slight
• 48:51
  Speaker 1: lean to Saint Louis just because of the situation. You
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: could take like a run line with them to come close.
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: But it worries me a bit money is kind of
• 48:59
  Speaker 1: coming in on the under as well, sitting at seven
• 49:01
  Speaker 1: and a half year down from seven and a half
• 49:03
  Speaker 1: juice to the over, ninety tickets only eighty five percent
• 49:06
  Speaker 1: of the cash in the over. I don't know if
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: I would trust that either. I don't know if you
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: could trust Mikolas at all. Arizona at San Francisco. This
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: game is actually gonna be televised on Fox Sports one.
• 49:18
  Speaker 1: I think it's basically the one national televised game of
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: the Mets, Philadelphia's on MLB network. San Franciscos was turnning
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: over from a road trip and they went to Colorado
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: and Saint Louis. So not the greatest spot for San Francisco.
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: They lost their win streak two days ago as well
• 49:32
  Speaker 1: got hung over into the last game. It looks like
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: so again, returning over from a road trip tends to
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: not be a great spot. San Francisco probably has resigned
• 49:42
  Speaker 1: to the fact that they know they're not gonna make
• 49:43
  Speaker 1: the playoffs at this point, even though they did just
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: get really hot, Arizona's only a half game behind them.
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: Arizona did just lose a loss, lose a wind streak though,
• 49:51
  Speaker 1: excuse me, Finally, the Red Sox were able to salvage
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: a win in that series. Arizona. When you lose a
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: win streak like that, sometimes it will hang you over.
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: But they are starting a road trip and they're actually
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: traveling less than San Francisco is, so going out on
• 50:05
  Speaker 1: the road might be a bit of a better spot
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: for Arizona. Really, in Arizona a half game behind San Francisco,
• 50:11
  Speaker 1: they know they're out of it. They might actually be
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: a little bit more motivated than San Francisco here, But
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: the pitching matchup looks like it's very in favor of
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: San Francisco. San Francisco has the way better bullpen. Arizona
• 50:23
  Speaker 1: is the way better offense though, so Arizona's got a
• 50:26
  Speaker 1: scheduling edge here and an offensive edge here. But usually
• 50:29
  Speaker 1: I like the pitching better, like pitching matters more than hitting. Typically,
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: but San Francisco they have they definitely have the better bullpen,
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: even though they used a little bit yesterday, the usage
• 50:41
  Speaker 1: was similar from Arizona. Arizona is the worst bullpen, and
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: Arizona's starting pitching, I think the starting pitching is not
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: even close. It's a huge mismatch in favor of San
• 50:49
  Speaker 1: Francisco Nebill Chrismad is pitching for the Diamondbacks. I don't
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: know what you're gonna get out of this guy, man.
• 50:55
  Speaker 1: I don't think he's very good. He does have a
• 50:57
  Speaker 1: two point one four ERA, which is kind of ridiculous
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: because his whip is one point three three, so indicative
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: that his ERA should be higher. He is worse on
• 51:06
  Speaker 1: the road two point five to three ERA, even though
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: this is a hit or excuse me, a pitcher front
• 51:10
  Speaker 1: the ballpark in San Francisco. He's he hasn't been good
• 51:15
  Speaker 1: this season. Man. He has a fourteen to six strike
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: a walk ratio, which is not good. It's not a
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: high strike up rate, it's not a lot of walk
• 51:21
  Speaker 1: so again, the fact that his ERA is that low,
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: I think it's misleading. He's only made four starts this year,
• 51:28
  Speaker 1: or four appearances at least. I don't know if they're
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: all starts, allowing two or fewer on runs and all
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: of them. But again, I think it's misleading. He's not
• 51:35
  Speaker 1: as good as that. Logan Webb is obviously the much
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: more established pitcher and the most much more trustworthy pitcher
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: here for San Francisco. Three point one seven ERA one
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: point two to three whip. He's good at home two
• 51:48
  Speaker 1: point eight five home ERA. He's been good over the
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: past month. He's allowed more than more than two hour
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: in runs only twice and more than three only once.
• 52:00
  Speaker 1: San Francisco's won five of his last six starts. He's
• 52:03
  Speaker 1: picked up wins in four of those. Pitch well in
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: course Field last time out, giving up two hour runs
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: and five innings, seven strikeouts, two walks. Pretty solid, especially
• 52:13
  Speaker 1: given it's a bad ballpark to pitch in a high elevation.
• 52:17
  Speaker 1: Now he's going up against a d Backs team that
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: can hit, but he's done pretty well against him in
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: the past one hundred and twenty one at bats, twenty
• 52:23
  Speaker 1: five to six strike a walk, raceire two fifty six
• 52:26
  Speaker 1: batting average, six thirty oh ps allowed. So Webb does
• 52:30
  Speaker 1: have the upper hand of the starting pitching matchup here.
• 52:32
  Speaker 1: Even though it is a bad spot for San Francisco.
• 52:35
  Speaker 1: They had seventy nine percent to take. It's only seventy
• 52:37
  Speaker 1: eight percent of the cash on San Francisco, so they
• 52:40
  Speaker 1: are public with a little bit of the money coming
• 52:42
  Speaker 1: in against them. Money seems to be coming in on
• 52:44
  Speaker 1: the overall a little bit as well, but I wouldn't
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: really agree with that in a ballpark like this is
• 52:48
  Speaker 1: a bad San Francisco offense with the logan web on
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: the mound, I mean yeah, I mean if you want
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: to go Arizona. I mean, it's really tough to argue
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: for Arizona here, man, just because they have a pitching
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: disadvantage throughout the entire game. So basically it's bad situation
• 53:05
  Speaker 1: for San Francisco, but pitching edge in a big time
• 53:09
  Speaker 1: way for San Francisco. Show It's like which one of
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: those wins out. It's very, very difficult to figure that out.
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: So I don't like that game at all. Red Sox
• 53:16
  Speaker 1: are at the A's. The Red Sox are traveling in
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: from Arizona. It is a worst spot for the A's,
• 53:23
  Speaker 1: I would say, even though they are staying on the
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: Pacific coast. They did just have a road trip to
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis and then Anaheim lost the last game. Now
• 53:30
  Speaker 1: the returning home, they might get up for it because
• 53:32
  Speaker 1: it is a game against the Red Sox. I mean,
• 53:34
  Speaker 1: it's a team that carries a lot of weight behind
• 53:37
  Speaker 1: their name and they're facing one of the best pitchers
• 53:39
  Speaker 1: in baseball here, So the A's might get up for it.
• 53:41
  Speaker 1: But when you're a team like the A's that's out
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: of it, sometimes in your turn home it's a little
• 53:45
  Speaker 1: bit of a distracted spot because you've been away from
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: home for a while. Red Sox not a huge deal
• 53:51
  Speaker 1: having to travel from Arizona up to Sacramento. I don't
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: think so it's a I believe it's a shift of
• 53:57
  Speaker 1: one time zone, although Zona basically doesn't have They do
• 54:02
  Speaker 1: not even have time zones. I don't even know what
• 54:03
  Speaker 1: they have going on in Arizona. Red Sox did break
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: a three game loss street or the win yesterday. The
• 54:08
  Speaker 1: Red Sox offense does have some injuries right now. Both
• 54:14
  Speaker 1: offenses are good. The A's offenses is better than the
• 54:16
  Speaker 1: Red Sox offense, although it's slight. But given that the
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: Red Sox have much injuries, the A's offensive edges a
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: little bit more than that. But the Red Sox have
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: a big bullpen edge year. However, how is the Red
• 54:28
  Speaker 1: Sox pitching gonna do in this A's ballpark? I don't know,
• 54:31
  Speaker 1: But I mean the A's haven't even really done well
• 54:33
  Speaker 1: in their own home. I mean it's not really their
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: own home stadium either. It's a triple a ballpark that
• 54:38
  Speaker 1: they're playing in, so it hasn't really been an advantage
• 54:40
  Speaker 1: for the A's. Red Sox do have the better bullpen,
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: didn't use a ton of it yesterday. They did use
• 54:45
  Speaker 1: Chapman though, and he had four strikeouts in win inning
• 54:48
  Speaker 1: because a guy reached on a strikeout. Don't see that usually.
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: Chapman has been really really lights out, which is crazy.
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: The A's definitely have the worst bullpen, and they had
• 54:58
  Speaker 1: a little bit more usage, saying the Red Sox did
• 55:01
  Speaker 1: as well. Red Sox have Garrett Crochet pitching. We know
• 55:04
  Speaker 1: he's good two point six to seventy RRA one point
• 55:07
  Speaker 1: eight whip on the season, better on the road to
• 55:09
  Speaker 1: two point four to six Roady Iral. This is a
• 55:12
  Speaker 1: difficult part to pitch, and he kind of got launched
• 55:16
  Speaker 1: in his last game man. He gave up four home
• 55:18
  Speaker 1: runs to Cleveland. Even though he did have four strikeouts,
• 55:20
  Speaker 1: no walks, went six innings. They still won the game.
• 55:24
  Speaker 1: The Red Sox tad, but that was a bad start
• 55:26
  Speaker 1: from Crochet. You got to kind of figure out, like
• 55:28
  Speaker 1: is that an outlier though? Because he was good throughout
• 55:31
  Speaker 1: the month of August three point one to ninety RA
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: thirty nine to four strike a walk ratio. The one
• 55:36
  Speaker 1: thing to watch with Crochet is he's well over the
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: most innings he's ever thrown in a season, although to me,
• 55:43
  Speaker 1: it doesn't really show that he's like totally wearing down.
• 55:46
  Speaker 1: Although I guess it's a little bit of a concern
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: that he did give up that many hard hits to
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: a Cleveland team it doesn't hit very well, but he
• 55:52
  Speaker 1: was pitching well prior to that, so you could maybe
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: chalk that up to being an outlier. So it's difficult
• 55:57
  Speaker 1: to tell is he wearing down. I don't know, man,
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: I worry about him a little bit coming into this game. Uh,
• 56:04
  Speaker 1: the A's have Luise Morales pitching. Oh wait, I forgot
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: to say Croche against the A's. Let me see here.
• 56:10
  Speaker 1: Croche against the A's does have good numbers. It's a
• 56:13
  Speaker 1: small thirteen at bat sample size though, five strikeouts, no walks,
• 56:16
  Speaker 1: one fifty four average allowed four to sixty two ops,
• 56:20
  Speaker 1: so he does have good matchup numbers. Luise Morales is
• 56:23
  Speaker 1: pitching for the A's though, and he's still doesn't even
• 56:25
  Speaker 1: have a headshot on ESPN's website. Yet He's been pretty good. Man.
• 56:30
  Speaker 1: He has a one point five to ninety RRA point
• 56:33
  Speaker 1: nine to nine whip in his rookie season here. He's
• 56:36
  Speaker 1: actually been better in this stadium, go figure one point
• 56:40
  Speaker 1: two to ninety RA here, so he has the advantage
• 56:43
  Speaker 1: of the splits. He hasn't a lot more than two
• 56:45
  Speaker 1: runs in any of his outings. He's gotten at least
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: five innings in his last four outings, which are all starts,
• 56:50
  Speaker 1: and he gave up two or fewer runs and every
• 56:52
  Speaker 1: one of those, like I said, one or if you
• 56:55
  Speaker 1: are in all of the all of them except his
• 56:57
  Speaker 1: most recent one. On the season, he's got a thirty
• 57:01
  Speaker 1: to eleven strike a walk ratio. He's a lot fewer
• 57:03
  Speaker 1: hits than innings pitched by quite a bit, which is
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: also really good. He's been really difficult to hit man,
• 57:09
  Speaker 1: even in that start against Saint Louis last time, but
• 57:11
  Speaker 1: it was on the road, give up two or runs
• 57:13
  Speaker 1: five to two thirds innings Morales. He kind of looks
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: like he's the real deal, man. I mean, he's consistently
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: pitching well, and of course the Red Sox have never
• 57:21
  Speaker 1: faced him before, so that gives him an edge against
• 57:24
  Speaker 1: this Red Sox lineup. It's an interesting one, man, Where
• 57:29
  Speaker 1: are we looking here, Red Sox. They're public seventy percent
• 57:33
  Speaker 1: of the tickets. They do have eighty five percent of
• 57:35
  Speaker 1: the cash on them, though, throw up for minus one
• 57:37
  Speaker 1: sixty minus one sixty three. I don't know, man. I
• 57:41
  Speaker 1: think Morales could duel Crochet in the early part of
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: this game. And Morales is the fresher pitcher because he
• 57:47
  Speaker 1: hasn't pitched that much this season. So I could see
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: an argument for the A's because it's an unfamiliar environment
• 57:53
  Speaker 1: to the Red Sox too. I could see a bit
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: of an argument for the A's in the first five innings,
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: though I don't really want to do that in the
• 57:58
  Speaker 1: return home spot. The under in the first five innings
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: seems to make sense to me too. I mean, I
• 58:04
  Speaker 1: wouldn't want to deal with the A's bullpen, but I
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: could see both pitchers doing fairly well here. Seventy seven
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: percent take its ninety six percent of the cash on
• 58:11
  Speaker 1: the over though, and the total is up to nine,
• 58:13
  Speaker 1: although that is a pretty low total for a game
• 58:16
  Speaker 1: at this Sacramento stadium. Usually you see ten or above.
• 58:20
  Speaker 1: So some interesting stuff going on there. Maybe some ways
• 58:24
  Speaker 1: to think about that game. And then Colorado at the
• 58:25
  Speaker 1: Dodgers is very difficult to handicap. Dodgers have not decided
• 58:29
  Speaker 1: on a starting pitcher, and there's still minus three forty
• 58:32
  Speaker 1: on the money line. I mean, there's no value in
• 58:35
  Speaker 1: doing that, man, Dodgers, you don't even know who their
• 58:37
  Speaker 1: starting pitcher is gonna be. They were turning over from
• 58:39
  Speaker 1: a road trip to the East Coast where they finally
• 58:42
  Speaker 1: won a game against Baltimore. After the previous game, Yamamoto
• 58:46
  Speaker 1: had the no hitter dashed with one out to go,
• 58:49
  Speaker 1: and then they wound up actually losing the game four
• 58:52
  Speaker 1: to three, but they finally bounced back to The Dodgers
• 58:54
  Speaker 1: did break a five game loss streak. They're still trying
• 58:57
  Speaker 1: to maintain their lead in the NLST. I mean, the Dodgers,
• 59:01
  Speaker 1: once they make the playoffs are still gonna be dangerous though.
• 59:05
  Speaker 1: But they're in a bad spot here returning home across country. Man,
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: So it's not a great spot for them, even though
• 59:10
  Speaker 1: they did just break their losing momentum. Yes, they do
• 59:13
  Speaker 1: have to show up and keep winning to keep pace
• 59:15
  Speaker 1: with San Diego here, Dodgers, they would like to win
• 59:19
  Speaker 1: the division obviously and probably improve their seeding as well.
• 59:24
  Speaker 1: You know, Colorado is going to be focused, So I mean,
• 59:26
  Speaker 1: this is one of the types of games they will
• 59:27
  Speaker 1: show up for against the team that's leading their division.
• 59:31
  Speaker 1: They did just lose those last couple of games to
• 59:33
  Speaker 1: San Diego, like I said, but they're going out on
• 59:34
  Speaker 1: the road now, so I think it's a little bit
• 59:36
  Speaker 1: better spot for them. They're only traveling in from Colorado,
• 59:39
  Speaker 1: so it's less of a time zone shift for them.
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: Going out on the road, you tend to be a
• 59:43
  Speaker 1: bit more focused. They got Chase Dolland around the mount
• 59:47
  Speaker 1: who is at least a young talented pitcher, even though
• 59:49
  Speaker 1: I know his number sucked this year six point seven
• 59:51
  Speaker 1: to seven ERA one point six whip, but he's actually
• 59:54
  Speaker 1: been pretty serviceable on the road three point six to
• 59:57
  Speaker 1: four roadiel, right, so pitching a course field it has
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 1: been really bad for him, but he's been better on
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 1: the road, man, So there's something to consider there. It's
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 1: basically like you can't even really look at what his
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 1: recent numbers aren't necessarily because he's just so much worse
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 1: at home than he is on the road. Up against
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 1: the Dodgers, his numbers are not great in twenty eight
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: at bats four to three strike a walk race you're
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 1: two eighty six batting average allowed seven to eighty three
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 1: ops allowed. But he just faced them at home, remember,
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 1: and they lit them up in course field. So that
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 1: was I think the only time the Dodgers faced them,
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 1: But that does mean, oh no, they faced him twice.
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 1: What am I saying? Both times in course field. The
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 1: first time he did a little bit better, but he
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: only had one strikeout. He had more strikeouts last time out,
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 1: but didn't do as well. But that was their second
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 1: time facing him, so they were more familiar with him.
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 1: But this is on the road this time, man, so
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 1: he might actually do better. It's a bad spot for
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 1: the Dodgers. We don't even know who they're starting pitchers.
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 1: But honestly, and I know, Colorado is the worst bullpen.
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 1: Both bullpens are bad, but Colorado. You don't really want
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 1: any part of that bullpen. They're not that well rested either.
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 1: Dodgers a little bit better rested here Colorado. I could
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 1: see an argument for taking Colorado on the run line
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 1: in the first five innings. Man, you probably get a
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 1: really big price on them, and Dollander on the road
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 1: actually might be able to hold them in this game,
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 1: especially if the Dodgers are going with like a bullpen
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 1: game or some garbage here. That is a possibility that
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: Colorado can kind of can kind of hang around for
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 1: the first part of this game. So that's probably the
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 1: way that I would lean there. I don't know what
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 1: else I was gonna say there, but that's about it.
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 1: Although the Dodgers are really they're a good offense at home.
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 1: They're like the best offense runs per game wise at
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: home in all baseball. Let's get to the best bets,
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 1: all right, Yeah, we'll get to the best bets because
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: they're both in baseball. Actually, that was the breakdown. I
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: always forget to throw the graphics out there, man, and
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 1: then I will talk about Monday Night football really quick.
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 1: Don't want this video to go that long though. We
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: do have two plays, and I'm worried about this first
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 1: play now because the money seems to shifted against it.
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 1: But first play is the Mets minus one twenty. I
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 1: know this is revenge for Philadelphia. Okay, Philadelphia just got
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 1: swept on the road by the Mets, but it's not
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 1: road revenge at least, so at least Philadelphia didn't get
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 1: swept at home against them. But Philadelphia they're definitely sitting
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 1: more comfortably, man, So the Mets have to have more
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 1: motivation here because the Mets are trying to make sure
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 1: they at least stay ahead of those wildcard teams. And
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 1: the Mets probably want to beat Philadelphia more than Philadelphia
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 1: wants to beat them because the Mets are behind them. Man,
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 1: the Mets need to close the gap. Philadelphia's are turning
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 1: over from a road trip, and you know, I keep
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 1: harping on that, and when teams are turning on from
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 1: road trips, they can lack focus a little bit. And
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 1: I know it's a game against the Mets, but again,
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 1: I think the game means a little bit more to
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 1: the Mets here. Philadelphia lost a wind streak against Miami
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 1: with that last game yesterday too, so not really the
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 1: greatest spot for Philadelphia here. Philadelphia has the worst bullpen,
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 1: so I think if you're taking the Mets here, you're
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 1: getting the better pitching all around here. Man, Philadelphia only
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 1: these two relief pitchers yesterday though, so their bullpen's rested,
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 1: but so is the Mets. The Mets have one of
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 1: them more rested bullpens in baseball right now, So the
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 1: Mets bullpen, I think is fine to go with, even
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 1: though they're kind of a mediocre bullpen, that Phillies bullpen
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 1: is still worse on the season in ERA fairly significantly.
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 1: And then we're looking at obviously the hitting, well, actually
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 1: not obviously. I was gonna say obviously Philadelphia is the
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 1: better bats, but they actually don't. The Mets have been
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 1: so good recently offensively that they've now overtaken the Phillies
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 1: in ops at least on the season, So the Mets
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 1: don't even really have a hitting disadvantage here. They've actually
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 1: been the better hitting team recently. Philadelphia. I think they
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 1: do hit better at home, though, but I do think
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 1: the Mets have an edge in the starting pitching here,
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 1: with Nolan McLain pitching really really talented rookie for the
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 1: Mets here one point three to seven e RA point
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 1: seven to six whip, he's a great he's a little
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 1: bit worse on the road two point seven to seventy
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 1: array in the road. I mean, his ERA at home
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 1: is zero. And the one thing that does worrying me is, yes,
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 1: I know Philadelphia did just face him, but even if
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 1: they're familiar with him now and he does worse this
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 1: time out, which that is a factor. You know, philadelphiaels
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 1: completely unfamiliar with him the first time. They're gonna know
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 1: what he's gonna throw at them this time. But still
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 1: he shut them out for eight innings man, six strikeouts,
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: no walks, four hits allowed. He's continuing to pitch well,
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 1: and even if he does a little bit worse, I
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 1: still don't think he's gonna get absolutely hammered in this game.
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 1: I hope I don't have to eat my words. But
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 1: he's got a nice twenty eight to seven strike a
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 1: walk ratio. So far, he's only allowed thirteen hits and
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 1: twenty six and a third innings. He is pitching well, man.
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 1: He's allowed two or zero in runs in every outing
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 1: he's got at least six innings, and all of his
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 1: outing except his debut, which was an outing where he
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 1: did walk four, and he did walk three in his
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 1: most recent outing at Detroit, but still a good star
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 1: game of two hour and runs, only three hits, seven strikeouts,
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 1: difficult place to pitch too, So I'm fine with Nolan
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 1: mclan to this one man. His numbers against Philly, of course,
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 1: are good. In twenty seven at bats, a lot of
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 1: at bats because he lasted eight innings. They didn't even
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 1: have an extra base hit off, six strikeouts, no walks,
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 1: one forty eight average two ninety six oh ps. So
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 1: I still expect them to do well here. Man. I
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 1: know it looks weird to lay a price with the
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 1: Mets on the road here. They flip from plus one
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 1: oh nine to minus won twenty here, so the initial
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 1: money did flip them to the favor. Although we see
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 1: sixty eight percent of tickets sixty two percent of the
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 1: cash on the Mets, So that makes me worry slightly
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 1: now that the Mets are a public team. But I
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 1: don't really see how the Mets could be that public
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 1: because you gotta think the public is gonna be looking
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: at this and actually thinking that maybe it will be
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 1: revenge for Philadelphia, because they've got to be looking at
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 1: this and thinking, well, wait a minute, if Philadelphia has
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 1: the better record, so how are they an underdog here?
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 1: And yes, the other thing I'm concerned about is the
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 1: Mets are bad on the road. They're nine games the
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 1: will a five hundred on the road. Philadelphia are really
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 1: good at home, twelve games above five hundred at home,
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 1: So yes, that does worry me but again, the oddsmakers
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 1: are not just giving money away here, So I don't
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 1: actually think the public is looking at that and taking
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 1: the Mets laying a favorite price on the road like that.
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: It just that doesn't jive with the way that I
• 1:06:01
  Speaker 1: look at these games man. And the other part of
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 1: the sandicap is that Aaron Nola is pitching for Philadelphia,
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 1: and I know throughout his career he's been a lot
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 1: better than this. He should be better than this, but
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 1: he's struggling to come back from I think he had
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 1: Tommy John surgery. He's trying to come back from that.
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 1: And sometimes guys, and when they're in their thirties like
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: he is, sometimes it doesn't take. His season has been really,
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 1: really rough. It's been rough guys six point seven to
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 1: eighty RA one point five one whip. He's been slightly
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 1: better at home six point five to five y r
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 1: at home. Really hasn't been good man. Since coming back
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 1: from injury in August, he's allowed four or more in
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 1: runs and three of the four outings, even though Philly
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 1: did win three of the four last time out against
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 1: the Mets, a good lineup, he got pretty much, he
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 1: got hit a little bit hard to give up six
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 1: ron runs. So they did only give up six hits,
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 1: six strikeouts six six six not good though, so you
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 1: want to stay away from this dem and did only
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 1: have two walks. I mean, it wasn't as bad of
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 1: a start as it looked like, I guess, but he
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 1: is allowing a lot of runs recently, man allowing too
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 1: many hits as well along too many home runs. He's
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 1: allowed four home runs over those four outings, and he
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 1: faced mostly fairly weak offenses. Washington twice and then Atlanta
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 1: and then Milwaukee was the only really solid offense that
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 1: he face. But now he's facing a Mets offense that's
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 1: been one of the best in baseball over the last
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 1: few weeks. And his numbers against the Mets are not great,
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 1: and they have a ton of experience against him. They
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 1: have two hundred and ninety eight at bats against him.
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 1: He has a pretty bad eighty four to forty two
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 1: strikeout walk rat shop That is a ton of walks,
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 1: two seventy nine batting average in eight to fifty four ohps,
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 1: and they do have sixteen home runs off him, so
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 1: they have a lot of familiarity with him, and they've
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 1: been able to hit him pretty well, so a lot
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 1: more familiarity, and that's that side. Even though I know
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 1: it is a factor that when a team faces a
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 1: new pitcher for the second time, they tend to do better.
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 1: But to me, this looks like it's a big pitching
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 1: edge to the Mets here. Man, he had situational edge.
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: Mets I think actually have the open edge and the
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 1: offensive edge at this point too. So I like the
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 1: Mets in this game, man, and the Mets I think
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 1: have a little bit of a motivational edge here too,
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 1: even though it is a little bit of revenge for Philadelphia.
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 1: I like the Mets in that one. So we'll go
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 1: to the Mets money line there. Sorry, I wasn't getting
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 1: into the comments, guys. Jody Bill's Ravens was an easy over.
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 1: I liked you the under in that game yesterday. Man, Yeah,
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 1: I mean both offenses are really really good, but I
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 1: thought the public was just the public was definitely on
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 1: the over in that game. Was a Sunday night game.
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 1: I thought it was gonna be more of like a
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 1: playoff atmosphere that was gonna look more like that playoff game.
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 1: I thought it was gonna be like twenty four to
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 1: twenty one like something in that ballpark. It was crazy
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 1: to see that. Nate, what's up Man, Thanks for hanging out.
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 1: And then let's get to the final play, which is
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee minus won twenty. I know we're going with some
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 1: road favorites that maybe almost look too easy. Milwaukee, though,
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 1: where are we at here? Where are they? This is
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 1: a National League game, I think, isn't it? Or is it? No?
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 1: It's a is it interleague? It is inter league? Yeah?
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 1: What am I saying? Milwaukee? They look like they do
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 1: have a lot of the cash on them. They have
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 1: only fifty seven percent of tickets been eighty nine percent
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 1: of the cash on them, so surprising. Milwaukee' is not
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 1: that public. They're down for minus one eighteen of mist
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 1: one thirteen. Something's got to give here, man, Texas they
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 1: give up very few runs at home, but Milwaukee scores
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 1: a lot of runs on the road. But Texas's bullpen
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 1: has actually been pretty bad recently, so that's part of
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 1: the handicap. Man. Texas's bullpen really really hurt me in
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 1: that last series, or almost did. We did get the
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 1: win on the Texas side, and that one play and
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 1: then the under got smashed by Texas's bullpen, which you
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 1: wouldn't have thought because they have a pretty good bullpen.
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 1: But in this game, man, I think Texas is in
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a hangover spot, a little bit
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 1: of a letdown spot. They're coming off a big divisional
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 1: series against Houston. Yes, I know Texas is still trying
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 1: to play for a wildcard spot ward win the division. Here.
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 1: I get that they're in the mix there, but that
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 1: was a big series, man, probably bigger than an interleague
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 1: series is to them. Milwaukee coming in off of sweeping Pittsburgh's,
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 1: They're already in the middle of a road trip. They
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 1: got some momentum, and they look like they're playing with
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 1: some motivations still. I mean sweeping Pittsburgh. They didn't lack
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 1: focus against Pittsburgh, so I think they will show up
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 1: in this game. And they have decent padding in their division.
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 1: But some of this is about the matchup as well.
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee does have the significantly better offense, so there is
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 1: that Texas's offense is not good. Milwaukee's the top ten offense.
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 1: Texas is a bottom for offense, so that's not good
• 1:10:37
  Speaker 1: for Texas. Texas, again, their bullpen hasn't been as good recently.
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 1: They did use a decent amount of it in that
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 1: series too, so that worries man. Milwaukee's bullpen is actually
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 1: one of them more rested in baseball, so I'm fine
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 1: with going full game on this. Milwaukee actually their bullpen
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 1: has actually moved up to actually where I'm at looking,
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 1: let me see, Milwaukee, they're up to tenth in bullpen area,
• 1:10:59
  Speaker 1: so they're right behind Texas now Texas ninth, So there's
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 1: not a huge even bullpen discrepancy between the two teams
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 1: at this point. And I think we have a starting
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 1: pitching edge, believe it or not, with Jose Kingtana for
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 1: the Mets, even though I don't really love him. I mean,
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 1: he's a junk pitcher, but he's a veteran who kind
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 1: of knows how to get through these games. Man, he's
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 1: got a three point seven two ERA. I know his
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 1: whip isn't very good one point three to one whip.
• 1:11:22
  Speaker 1: That does worry me a little bit, but he's been
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 1: way better on the road two point five to seven ERA,
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 1: and this is a pitcher friendly park against a pretty
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 1: weak offense, so I think he should do pretty well here.
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 1: He did pretty well last time out against Philly, even
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 1: though that's a good offense, three on runs. He did
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 1: walk too many guys though, three, so I am worried
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 1: that he has multiple walks in his last three outings,
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 1: but the last two a against Philly and Arizona. So
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 1: he's really stepping down in class to face this Texas
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 1: lineup that really does not hit well, and against Texas
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 1: he's done really well. They're one for twenty four against
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 1: him lifetime with no extra base hits. The only hit
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 1: was a single from more eleven strikeouts, no walks, forty
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 1: two average eighty three oh ps. So I know it's
• 1:12:05
  Speaker 1: not a big sample size, but Kintana has really had
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 1: his way with this Texas offense. So I think he's
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 1: the much more preferable pitcher that Jacob Lasts who's getting
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 1: the call for Texas. His numbers are all right this
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 1: year three point one five ERA, one point two a whip,
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 1: but he's a converted reliever, he's in his late twenties.
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 1: I just don't think he's as good as his numbers look.
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 1: Two point seven to sixty RA at home. I know
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 1: he's better at home, but he hasn't really had like
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 1: a full starter's workload. Very often this season. I know
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 1: he's done it. In his last start, he pitched decently
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 1: at Arizona, went five and a third, but he only
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 1: had one strikeout, two walks, held them to tour in runs,
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 1: which is good. But I don't think he's a very
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 1: trustworthy pitcher man. I don't think he's gonna go that
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 1: deep into this game. And then you're gonna have to
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 1: deal with Texas's bullpen situation where they're not that rested.
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 1: It's a situation I don't really love man. So hopefully
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 1: you don't hear the landscape and that's going on up
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 1: front either. But yeah, anyway, I don't trust Lasts here. Man.
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 1: I don't think he's gonna last Jacob Last. I don't
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 1: think he's gonna last that long in this outing here
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 1: against this Milwaukee offense. Man, So yeah, I don't think
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 1: he's that trustworthy. Milwaukee does only have six at bats
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 1: against somebody. Do you have a three thirty three average,
• 1:13:18
  Speaker 1: seven to sixty two oh ps off him, two to
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 1: one strike a walk ratio. So I think Cantana was
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 1: the more trustworthy pitcher here, and that's the way we're
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 1: gonna go with the Brewers in that one. Those are
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 1: the two best bets, and we have Monday night football.
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 1: This game is not gonna be again. We're gonna give
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 1: out a play on. It's a little bit difficult to read.
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 1: The Vikings moved up from pick him to a one
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 1: point road favorite. You know, the odds makers, they're not
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 1: really throwing money away here by lining the Vikings as
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 1: a favorite. To me, I thought the Bears would be
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 1: the more public side here because everybody kind of likes
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 1: they buy into the Caleb Williams thing. The Bears have
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 1: Ben Johnson now as their offensive coordinator. He's a good excuse.
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 1: He as their head coach. He was Detroit's offsive coordinator.
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 1: He's an offensive mind. He's a very good offensive coach.
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 1: But I think there's gonna be some growing pains here
• 1:14:07
  Speaker 1: man for the Bears. They have to implement his new system.
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 1: They have to get used to it. I don't really
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 1: trust Cale Williams, as you know on the show. I
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 1: don't think Caleb Williams is that good. There are some
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 1: reports out there that he doesn't really understand the offense.
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 1: He's not that smart. I don't like him. Fifty take
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 1: a sixty six percent of the catch on the Bears,
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 1: but I kind of lean in the other direction year
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 1: as it stands right now. Don't know if that might
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 1: change as I watch the market throughout the day, but
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 1: we'll see. But the Vikings, even though I know they
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 1: have a rookie quarterback making his first actual start, JJ McCarthy,
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 1: he did play in the preseason, so at least he
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 1: has some games under his belt. And the one other
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 1: thing about McCarthy is at least he knows the system
• 1:14:45
  Speaker 1: because he was here last year. He was supposed to
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 1: be their starter last year, but he got injured in
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 1: the preseason last year, so at least he was there
• 1:14:52
  Speaker 1: learning the system. He was studying behind Sam Darnald, who
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 1: I don't think is that good. I mean, Donald made
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 1: that horrific mistake. They were about win the game against
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 1: San Francisco yesterday and they were like within the San
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 1: Francisco ten yard line and Donald like ran into his
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 1: own offensive lineman or hit his own offensive lineman with
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 1: his throw with his throwing arm and fumbled the football
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 1: way and lost the game. That was brutal. Sam Donald
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 1: not actually good. Donald was a product of the system here, man,
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 1: And that's why I also think McCarthy will be okay
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 1: in this game because the Vikings are a system. I
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 1: think they have the better coach as it stands right now,
• 1:15:28
  Speaker 1: Kevin O'Connell. He's actually a solid coach. Man. I'm not
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 1: gonna say that he's necessarily better than Ben Johnson, but
• 1:15:35
  Speaker 1: at least he's a more experienced head coach. I mean,
• 1:15:37
  Speaker 1: he's been there for a while. His system has been
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 1: in place here with Minnesota for a while, and again
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 1: McCarthy has spent the last year learning it at the
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 1: very least. So I think it's gonna really be like
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 1: kind of a plug and play with McCarthy. I don't
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna put him in a position that's gonna,
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 1: you know, force him to have to like shoulder the
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 1: load here, because he has a lot of talent around
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 1: him on this offense, man. I mean, they got solid
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 1: town and especially justin Jefferson so and they got one
• 1:16:03
  Speaker 1: of the league's best tight ends Hawkinson. They got who's
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 1: their running back? I can't even remember, uh. They They
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 1: have solid, solid offensive players though, man, So I don't
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 1: think that McCarthy's gonna come out there and be asked
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 1: to do too much, you know, let me. See right,
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 1: they have Aaron Jones now and they've got Jordan Mason
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 1: man who was really good uh when he came in,
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 1: uh when Christian McCaffrey was hurt last year. Mason was
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 1: on the forty nine ers last year. He was really
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 1: really good. So this is actually a sick running back tandem.
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 1: Jones was good last year. I had him on my
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 1: fantasy team last year, and they picked up at him
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 1: Thieln so that's gonna help them with their wide receiver depth.
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 1: While at Addison who was on my fantasy team is
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 1: Addison Allison. I get those names confused all the time,
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 1: whichever it is. While he's on the on the suspension
• 1:16:53
  Speaker 1: list there for whatever the hell he did, probably trug
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 1: driving or some shit, but anyway, Yeah, I think the
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 1: Vikings are the way to look here, man, and I
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 1: think they actually have the better defense. I mean, the
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 1: Bears may have a decent defense and may generally be improved,
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 1: but this Vikings defense, I think is gonna be pretty menacing.
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 1: I think the Bears O line has a lot of problems,
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 1: which is also not gonna help Caleb Williams. I think
• 1:17:15
  Speaker 1: the Vikings could give give him a lot of problems here.
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 1: The Vikings. Yeah, they're they're pretty solid defense man, and
• 1:17:23
  Speaker 1: they will they will attack you. I'm pretty sure it's
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 1: a pretty pretty blitz heavy scheme coming from the Minnesota
• 1:17:29
  Speaker 1: Vikings there. So again, yeah, I think the Vikings there's
• 1:17:32
  Speaker 1: more continuity there right now. So in the first game,
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 1: I do think that matters. So I think the Vikings
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 1: are the side that I would look for in this game.
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 1: What color, Yeah, you should be able to bet on
• 1:17:44
  Speaker 1: that every time. There should be a Caleb Williams nail
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 1: color prop man. But anyway, yeah, that's gonna do it
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 1: for me. Man, he was drunkenly racing while shooting guns. Yeah,
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 1: and punching his pregnant girlfriend. That sounds right. Yeah. Whatever
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 1: his name is, it's a Is it Addison or Allison?
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 1: I gotta look that up. I don't even know. But
• 1:18:03
  Speaker 1: he's on my fantasy team. Man, I have rosh g
• 1:18:06
  Speaker 1: Rice too. My team are the Thugs, although because I
• 1:18:10
  Speaker 1: have Courtland Sutton on my team, my team is called
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 1: Sutton on the Dock of the Bay. But I lost
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 1: this week because I got a zero from Xavior Worthy.
• 1:18:21
  Speaker 1: Because my opponent's tight end, Travis Kelthy Kelsey injured. M
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 1: kealthy is how he says it because he's gay. Yeah,
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 1: injured my wide receiver there and Worthy, So I took
• 1:18:31
  Speaker 1: a zero from Worthy. I would have been a lot
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 1: closer of a matchup. Man. I scored over one hundred
• 1:18:36
  Speaker 1: points this week despite the zero from Worthy in a
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 1: half point PPR, which is a solid score, and I
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 1: still lost, I think going up against the commissioner, So
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 1: I'm not happy about that. It was either against him
• 1:18:48
  Speaker 1: or his father. I forget because they have the same name,
• 1:18:51
  Speaker 1: and I forget which one of the because it says
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 1: the same name on the thing. I forget which one
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 1: of them is which. But that's gonna do it for me.
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 1: Man once again, Mets and Brewer's money line. Those are
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 1: the two plays today. Learn to toad on Twitter, Learn
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 1: to Tone on Instagram. Better off Dead like subscribe to
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 1: the channel man, if you haven't already, get more people
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 1: to come over here. Review on Spotify and Apple Man,
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 1: give me a good review over there. Everything helps out.
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 1: Covered in Yuke is my Yuke project on you Tobe.
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 1: I gotta get my last couple of covers up there,
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 1: and then Patreon dot com, slash. Learned to Toad there's
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 1: a Spotify yuke feed which I'm a little bit behind
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 1: on that. I apologize. I gotta get a couple of
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 1: those covers up there as well. My voice sucks right
• 1:19:33
  Speaker 1: now too, so hopefully that gets better. Talking on the
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 1: show all the time doesn't do me any favors, so
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 1: I have to somehow, Like maybe I have to dial
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 1: it back a little bit, because I'm talking into a
• 1:19:45
  Speaker 1: mic here man, So if you can hear me talking
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 1: like this, maybe I should just I gotta find a
• 1:19:50
  Speaker 1: way to just not talk as loudly. Man. I don't
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 1: know what to do, but that's gonna do it. Everybody,
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 1: have a happy Monday. Let's kick off the week right
• 1:19:56
  Speaker 1: and peace