Latest / Turley Talks / Ep. 3891 Something HUGE is About To Happen in Iran!!!

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Ep. 3891 Something HUGE is About To Happen in Iran!!! · Turley Talks

• 0:00
  [SPEAKER_00]: The liberal globalist order is on its brink and awakening a new conservative age.
• 0:06
  [SPEAKER_00]: Dr. Steve Turley, join me every day as we discover answers to today's toughest challenges and explore the re-bondalization of conservative civilization.
• 0:18
  [SPEAKER_00]: This is Turley Talks.
• 0:22
  [SPEAKER_00]: 8pm tonight.
• 0:24
  [SPEAKER_00]: in just hours, something absolutely massive is about to happen in Iran, something that will end the regime forever.
• 0:36
  [SPEAKER_00]: We're living through one of those moments in history that people will be talking about for generations, the kind of moment that gets a chapter in every textbook,
• 0:54
  [SPEAKER_00]: Simply put, I cannot remember a single day where the news coming out was this consequential.
• 1:00
  [SPEAKER_00]: This fast moving and this world altering.
• 1:05
  [SPEAKER_00]: Because what happens in the next few hours promises to literally change everything.
• 1:14
  [SPEAKER_00]: Hey gang, it's me, Dr. Steve, your patron professor here to help you make sense of the madness with breaking news and analysis.
• 1:20
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• 1:24
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• 1:42
  [SPEAKER_00]: We are now just hours away from the APM Eastern Time Deadline for Iran to either reach a deal and reopen the street of Hormuz or face a massive new wave of escalated military strikes, a likes of which they have never even imagined, Trump gave them 10 days.
• 2:04
  [SPEAKER_00]: And if the deadline passes without a deal, Trump is promising what he is calling, the end of a civilization quote, a whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again.
• 2:19
  [SPEAKER_00]: I don't want that to happen, but it probably will.
• 2:22
  [SPEAKER_00]: However, now that we have complete and total regime change, where different smarter and less radicalized minds prevail, maybe something revolutionarily wonderful can happen.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: Who knows?
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  [SPEAKER_00]: We'll find out tonight.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: One of the most important moments in the long and complex history of the world, 47 years of extortion, corruption, and death will finally end.
• 2:47
  [SPEAKER_00]: God bless the great people of Iran.
• 2:51
  [SPEAKER_00]: This is an extraordinary post.
• 2:54
  [SPEAKER_00]: President Trump is declaring complete and total regime change has already been achieved.
• 3:00
  [SPEAKER_00]: Past tense.
• 3:02
  [SPEAKER_00]: And he's framing tonight, April 7th, APM.
• 3:05
  [SPEAKER_00]: As the moment the 47 year Islamic Republic formally ends, this is likely the most consequential presidential true social post of the entire conflict.
• 3:17
  [SPEAKER_00]: In terms of what to expect, we're looking at a four-hour blitz attack targeting every bridge and power plant in Iran, Trump's also threatened Iran's oil infrastructure, and he's warned the country could be taken out in a single night.
• 3:35
  [SPEAKER_00]: is turning its back on Iran.
• 3:37
  [SPEAKER_00]: North Korea's signal they're done with Iran, China's done, Russia's done, the Houthis are done, Hamas is out of the picture, has been largely out of the picture.
• 3:48
  [SPEAKER_00]: Iran by every objective metric is completely totally isolated and now President Trump is promising to in effect finish the job.
• 3:58
  [SPEAKER_00]: Now, critics keep saying that Trump has not achieved regime change because there's no new flag overtake on, right?
• 4:08
  [SPEAKER_00]: There's no American boots on the ground.
• 4:10
  [SPEAKER_00]: There's no transitional government signing paperwork in front of cameras.
• 4:16
  [SPEAKER_00]: But I would argue that they're measuring regime change by the wrong standard here because Iran is very unique.
• 4:26
  [SPEAKER_00]: The key here is that Iran's regime doesn't rest on a single pillar.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: It rests on three.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: Pillar one is ideology.
• 4:36
  [SPEAKER_00]: They're founding idea.
• 4:38
  [SPEAKER_00]: So the Islamic Republic's entire claim to legitimacy is that it governs in God's name on behalf of the oppressed, for eternity, and they've been commissioned by God to resist
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  [SPEAKER_00]: pillar 2 is patronage.
• 5:00
  [SPEAKER_00]: The regime survives by buying loyalty, giving jobs, contracts, housing, subsidies to the networks of people who keep the system running.
• 5:11
  [SPEAKER_00]: And that includes the regional proxies of Hezbollah Hamas and the Houthis.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: Pillar 3 is coercion.
• 5:19
  [SPEAKER_00]: the Bazaish, the IRGC, the Intelligent Services, these are the enforcers who make sure that those who reject the ideology and can't be bought stay silent.
• 5:33
  [SPEAKER_00]: Now, for this regime to fall, the key here is that all three pillars have to crack simultaneously.
• 5:42
  [SPEAKER_00]: And here's the stunning news they already are.
• 5:46
  [SPEAKER_00]: Let's start with the ideology.
• 5:47
  [SPEAKER_00]: This is fascinating.
• 5:49
  [SPEAKER_00]: It's the single most important statistic you're going to hear about Iran that the legacy media will simply never tell you because they're just too infested with TDS.
• 6:00
  [SPEAKER_00]: In 2023, a senior Iranian cleric, a member of the Assembly of Experts, which is the body responsible for selecting the Supreme Leader, publicly admitted that 50,000 of Iran's 75,000
• 6:20
  [SPEAKER_00]: and they've closed because Iranians simply stopped going.
• 6:25
  [SPEAKER_00]: I'm gonna let that hit you.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: 50,000 mosques.
• 6:29
  [SPEAKER_00]: Two thirds of the country's houses of worship.
• 6:32
  [SPEAKER_00]: Shuttered, not because of bombs, not because of sanctions, but because the Iranian people voted with their feet.
• 6:40
  [SPEAKER_00]: generation after generation, and they voted no to Islamism.
• 6:45
  [SPEAKER_00]: Again, a number of critics of this war have argued that in order for Iran to realign itself effectively with United States, it's going to have to go through some kind of deraticalization, the way post-World War II Germany and Japan went through.
• 7:01
  [SPEAKER_00]: But the problem with that criticism is that the Iranian people have already taken that deraticalization upon themselves.
• 7:11
  [SPEAKER_00]: They are voluntarily deraticalizing.
• 7:15
  [SPEAKER_00]: The ideology is dead in the hearts of the vast majority of the Iranian people.
• 7:21
  [SPEAKER_00]: It's propped up, frankly, by nothing but guns, so that's the third pillar, right?
• 7:27
  [SPEAKER_00]: And polling confirms this, by the way, studies from the Gaman Institute, the most comprehensive surveys of Iranian public opinion ever conducted consistently show that somewhere between 85 and 90% of Iranians
• 7:42
  [SPEAKER_00]: oppose this regime.
• 7:45
  [SPEAKER_00]: The founding idea is gone, pillar one has collapsed.
• 7:50
  [SPEAKER_00]: And then there's pillar two, the patronage network.
• 7:54
  [SPEAKER_00]: The entire system works because loyalists get paid.
• 7:59
  [SPEAKER_00]: When the money stops, this is absolutely key.
• 8:02
  [SPEAKER_00]: You gotta get this.
• 8:03
  [SPEAKER_00]: When the money stops, the loyalty stops.
• 8:07
  [SPEAKER_00]: and the money has stopped.
• 8:11
  [SPEAKER_00]: After years of maximum pressure sanctions, Iran's economy was already online support before the first bomb dropped.
• 8:18
  [SPEAKER_00]: We reported all that for months leading up to this.
• 8:22
  [SPEAKER_00]: The Iranian real has collapsed to one point,
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  [SPEAKER_00]: $45 million per dollar.
• 8:30
  [SPEAKER_00]: $1.45 million per dollar.
• 8:34
  [SPEAKER_00]: Year on year inflation is hit 42%.
• 8:37
  [SPEAKER_00]: It's collapsed 20,000% in value since the revolution back in 1979.
• 8:44
  [SPEAKER_00]: And when the regime tried to solve its budget crisis by proposing a steep tax increase, the Iranian people exploded.
• 8:52
  [SPEAKER_00]: The January protest spread to over 200 cities, Bazaarie merchants, the backbone of Iran's small business economy, the very people who have historically sustained the Islamic Republic shut their shops and marched into the streets for the first time since 1979.
• 9:10
  [SPEAKER_00]: And instead of making a single concession, the regime responded with massacres.
• 9:17
  [SPEAKER_00]: On January 8th and 9th alone, the death toll rose into the thousands, making it the deadliest crackdown in modern Iranian history.
• 9:26
  [SPEAKER_00]: And what did that do?
• 9:29
  [SPEAKER_00]: It effectively destroyed the patronage networks last shred of goodwill.
• 9:35
  [SPEAKER_00]: So pillar two is fracturing.
• 9:38
  [SPEAKER_00]: And then there's pillar three, the coercive apparatus itself.
• 9:44
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• 9:47
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• 11:56
  [SPEAKER_00]: So pillar 3, the coercive apparatus.
• 11:59
  [SPEAKER_00]: This is where the current war enters the picture.
• 12:04
  [SPEAKER_00]: And this is why the strategic situation today is so categorically different from any previous protest wave.
• 12:10
  [SPEAKER_00]: In 2019, in 2022, the Bezige could crush up our horizons because the Bezige were intact.
• 12:18
  [SPEAKER_00]: They were well funded and they were feared.
• 12:20
  [SPEAKER_00]: Today, the Bezige, who haven't been paid in months, are being now hunted down by IDF drones
• 12:30
  [SPEAKER_00]: The IRGC's entire command and control infrastructure has been systematically wiped out.
• 12:35
  [SPEAKER_00]: They're navy, gone, they're air force, gone, their air defense is gone.
• 12:41
  [SPEAKER_00]: The regime is so desperate, it's reportedly bringing 12-year-olds to militia checkpoints.
• 12:48
  [SPEAKER_00]: 12-year-olds.
• 12:51
  [SPEAKER_00]: This is not an intact coercive apparatus.
• 12:59
  [SPEAKER_00]: And here's the absolute key point that most analysts are completely missing.
• 13:05
  [SPEAKER_00]: The Iranian people are not rising up right now.
• 13:11
  [SPEAKER_00]: And that's actually a very smart move.
• 13:14
  [SPEAKER_00]: The worst possible outcome would be for protesters to flood the streets while the regime still has enough physique capacity to massacre them.
• 13:23
  [SPEAKER_00]: They saw what happened in January.
• 13:25
  [SPEAKER_00]: They're waiting.
• 13:27
  [SPEAKER_00]: They're buying their time.
• 13:28
  [SPEAKER_00]: And this time, unlike 2019, 2022, they have a real reason to believe that this is different.
• 13:35
  [SPEAKER_00]: Israeli leadership is publicly committed to providing air cover for protesters when the time comes to make a repeat massacre impossible.
• 13:46
  [SPEAKER_00]: The Iranian people are not passive.
• 13:48
  [SPEAKER_00]: They're strategic.
• 13:50
  [SPEAKER_00]: They're watching the besiege get hunted.
• 13:52
  [SPEAKER_00]: They're watching the IRGC's command structure get dismantled and they're waiting for the moment when the coercive apparatus is too weak to stop them.
• 14:03
  [SPEAKER_00]: Pillar 3 is being demolished from the outside so that the Iranian people can finish the job from the inside.
• 14:11
  [SPEAKER_00]: And then if we zoom out to the regional picture,
• 14:20
  [SPEAKER_00]: is collapsing.
• 14:22
  [SPEAKER_00]: For decades, the regime's entire deterrent was built on an axis of resistance has belonged Lebanon, the Houthis and Yemen, the popular mobilization forces in Iraq, Assad and Syria, Hamas in Gaza, a ring of proxies that could project Iranian power across the entire Middle East.
• 14:46
  [SPEAKER_00]: That ring is gone.
• 14:48
  [SPEAKER_00]: Assad fell in 11 days in December 2024.
• 14:52
  [SPEAKER_00]: Hezbollah was gutted in the Patriot Act in the 12-day war.
• 14:57
  [SPEAKER_00]: The Houthis have been degraded.
• 14:58
  [SPEAKER_00]: The PMF has been struck repeatedly.
• 15:01
  [SPEAKER_00]: The Arab Street mobilization, the Arab Street mobilization, the hundreds of thousands of protesters,
• 15:09
  [SPEAKER_00]: that were supposed to take to the streets in Egypt and Jordan and Syria, a wave of mass Islamic uprising against the United States and Israel protest that Tehran always counted on to make American military action politically toxic never happened.
• 15:30
  [SPEAKER_00]: They simply never materialized.
• 15:35
  [SPEAKER_00]: Ep, in fact, Arab states that once tolerated Tehran's reach are now actively coordinating with the United States and Israel to finish the job.
• 15:46
  [SPEAKER_00]: Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman is reportedly in daily contact with the president encouraging him to keep the pressure on right through to the very end.
• 15:57
  [SPEAKER_00]: The regime's entire regional deterrent, the 40-year strategic architecture of proxies,
• 16:04
  [SPEAKER_00]: an asymmetric reach has been amputated.
• 16:09
  [SPEAKER_00]: So let's put this all together because this is what the legacy media is simply not going to tell you.
• 16:13
  [SPEAKER_00]: This is not regime change the old fashioned way.
• 16:18
  [SPEAKER_00]: This is not regime change the Iraq way.
• 16:22
  [SPEAKER_00]: There is no army of occupation, there is no American general sitting behind a desk in
• 16:34
  [SPEAKER_00]: Iran is a revolutionary state and revolutionary state's die when their founding idea fails when their patronage dries up and when their enforcers can no longer enforce.
• 16:48
  [SPEAKER_00]: All three are happening.
• 16:49
  [SPEAKER_00]: right now.
• 16:51
  [SPEAKER_00]: The ideology was already dead in the hearts of the people 50,000 closed mosques tell you that.
• 16:57
  [SPEAKER_00]: The economy was already collapsing 42% inflation and a real and freefall that tells you that.
• 17:05
  [SPEAKER_00]: And the coercive apparatus is being hunted from the air.
• 17:09
  [SPEAKER_00]: The IDF drones over
• 17:13
  [SPEAKER_00]: What the current military campaign did was not start this collapse.
• 17:18
  [SPEAKER_00]: It accelerated a collapse that was already in motion, passed the point of recovery.
• 17:25
  [SPEAKER_00]: The Iranian people are ready.
• 17:28
  [SPEAKER_00]: They've been ready for years.
• 17:30
  [SPEAKER_00]: They're just waiting for the moment when the guns stop working.
• 17:36
  [SPEAKER_00]: And that moment is now just hours away.
• 17:42
  [SPEAKER_00]: In a world that never stops spinning, Monday night is where we slow down and think together.
• 17:49
  [SPEAKER_00]: Members only live Q&A links below.
• 17:53
  [SPEAKER_00]: Thanks so much for listening this episode of the Turley Talks Podcast.
• 17:57
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• 18:09
  [SPEAKER_00]: Come back again tomorrow for another episode celebrating the rise of a new conservative age.