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NCAAB + NBA + NHL + NCAAF Best Bets Tuesday 11/18/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing, two
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: that have not had a good season. Man with wookends
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: slump that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've reached
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: a new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn my browins
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: hat man, I don't know what is going on with
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: the Bruins. March eight? Is that what it is? I
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: don't even know it's March ninth. I think who even knows? Man,
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: I don't know what data is anymore. I don't even
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: know what data is anymore. Man, back with you after
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: the worst day that I could possibly have, Back with
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: you as I always am until I die, at least
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday it did not go
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: well for me. Own five the worst month that I've
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: ever had in my eighteen years doing this. I don't
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: know what to even tell you about this anymore slumpy,
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: The slump discontinuous, The slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:22
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: point other than potentially end it all. What's up? Everybody
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: sowed back with you, Toadstool Sports best bets. This is
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: gonna be Wednesday, November eighteenth. I told you, man, I
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: was gonna wear this. Uh what LaMelo ball is? At
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: a LaMelo ball jersey? Here? Number one, baby, we're number
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: one with the Charlotte Hornets. They almost got the outright win.
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: They got us to covery. Yesterday they would go baby,
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: hell yeah, yesterday we were forced reds away from going
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: seven and o last night. Man, that pissed me off
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: because it was it was all but over. It was like,
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: we're gonna go seven and o here baby. College basketball
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: was amazing. Obviously Oakland got the cover and came close
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: to an outright win theirs. They only lost by I
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: think four points. They were in that game could have
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: won it outright, which would have been nice on the
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: little money line hit because I always recommend sprinkling a
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: little bit even with these bigger dogs, Like if you
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: don't want to sprinkle on like a twenty plus point dog,
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: all right, but like twelve and a half or whatever,
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: I'm like, yeah, definitely put like you gotta put like
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: one to three percent of that on the money line.
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: I would say Lafayette also got there, never really in danger.
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: I think West Virginia did push it to about twenty
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: one at a couple of different points. I don't think
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: they were ever actually covering the twenty three and a half.
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: I think the line was actually up to twenty five,
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: but I think we're actually they won by twenty two.
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: I think, but if you got anything between twenty three
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: and I have it twenty five, they all hit so
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: but twenty five was the prenominant number. Shortly after I
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: did the show Tulsa, that line dropped, but it didn't matter.
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: They covered. They almost went outright. Tulsa put up a
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: nice performance there. They did fall behind by a decent
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: margin at one point. I think in the middle of
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: the game. Nice comeback from them. Case State couldn't get
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: margin there and Tulsa almost pulled off the upset. And
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: then North Dakota State. I think that was like a
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: wire to wire outright win as the small home dog,
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: so we got that one right as well. Charlotte Hornets,
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: that was a win the plus eight and a half.
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: They only lost by two. I didn't really see how
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: the game played out, but they were in that game
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: near the end. I think they potentially could have actually
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: pulled off that upset two Dallas Cowboys easy win on
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: Monday Night, which that was the square play. Man. If
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: you wanted to bring up the I'll bring up the
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: market right now. Just show you like how the market
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: the final market reads yesterday looked. Hold on, I could
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: bring up the past days here. Another reason why I
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: liked this website here on pregame Cowboys seventy to take
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: at sixty seven percent of the cash for the final
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: market situation there according to the books to this website tracks.
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: I mean, it's the Dallas Cowboys, even though they're not
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: that good, it's still the Cowboys and they're playing this
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: atrocious Raider team Monday night, the only football game on
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: Definitely a lot of betting action coming into that game.
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: The books. I'm assuming loss of money on the side,
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: and that will obviously the books did lose money on
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: that game on the side, but I just think the
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: public was a broken clock on that one. Like, I
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: think there were a lot of pieces to that situation
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: that I broke down that they were not thinking about
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: at all, and they just happened to be on the
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: right side of that. I mean, the public doesn't always lose,
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: like the square side doesn't always lose a little more
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: often than not. I don't want to be on it.
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: But then we did have the Utah play. Utah got
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: slightly outplayed in the game statistically, but it was a
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: close game and they were winning the game two to
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: one Anaheim. The fact that Anaheim had one goal in
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: basically the entire game that tells you the Utah showed
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: up to play man. Utah was down one nothing early.
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: Anaheim didn't score again until literally the final four seconds
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: of regulation. The game was over. Anaheim had gone to
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: the empty net. Utah was aggressive. I watched the end
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: of that game. Utah had it like in Anaheim. In
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: Anaheim zone. There was a point where Utah almost got
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: the puck and they almost put it in the empty net,
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: but it was an offside. It's like barely past the
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: bloom line, so they had a chance to just put
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: the game away right there off sides, but Anaheim had
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: to bring their goalie back in briefly, and then they
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: had to pull them again because Utah actually got the
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: puck down in Anaeim's end again. And then four seconds
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: left there was just a shitload of traffic in front
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: of the net of Vmlka got caught out of position,
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: multiple duck players there, and they put it into the net.
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: I was so fucking pissed off. And then Utah won
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: in overtime. Bullshit, And yeah, I will show you, I
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: will show you right now that this was absolutely not
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: a square side. Utah reverse line moved up from minus
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: one to ten to minus one twenty eight. Anaheim had
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: sixty eight percent of the tickets and only fifty six
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash, not fifty four fifty six, but whatever.
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: This is definitely a reverse line move. And you had
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: Utah as an anti public road favorite, which is one
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: of the best things that you can have pretty much
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: when the public is on an underdog at home, usually
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: that's a major red flag. And I did think that
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: the market would pan out that way once the game started,
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: So I think I read that game completely correctly as
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: far as what the market was gonna do got the
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: better number on it because the line moved up and
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: moved against the public. Yeah, I mean Utah not a
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: square side. I mean Anaheim is the team with the
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: better record at home. Both teams are on like a skid,
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: but Utah's skid was worse. There's no way the public
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: was on Utah absolutely not Anaheim. Like coming back home.
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: The public's knee jerk reaction is they're the better teams still,
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: They're gonna bounce back, and the odds makers were saying, no,
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: that's not the case. I'm pretty pissed about that. I
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: think I read that correctly. All Right, we gotta get
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: into today. There's a huge college basketball board. I was
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: thinking about maybe I was thinking about maybe doing this
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: last night, but I'm gonna try to just get through
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: this real quick. I don't have that many plays today.
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: I'm on two college basketball games, one NBA and one NHL,
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: and I'm gonna leave it at that. I actually don't
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: love the board today in any of the sports. So
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: even though there's a ton of college basketball, I'm not
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: doing it. Yes, six and one should have been seven
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: and zero with those bands. Yeah, America's team, they have
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: huge fans support though, but that was also part of
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: the handicap last night. You knew a bunch of cowboy
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: fans are gonna show up at that game, like there
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: was no doubt about that. I think they probably had
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: about they probably had the majority of the fans in
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: the stadium. Dirty sock, thank you, sir. Yeah, that's why
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: I don't parlay, because that was a monster day and
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: four fucking seconds away from being seven to zero. Parlays
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: they don't give you good enough odds on them either,
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: but like one thing could just take the whole thing down.
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: But yes, thank you, I try. All right, let's get
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: into today. We do have a lot of college basketball.
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: There was a little bit in the afternoon, but the
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: afternoon ones are just like involving Division two teams, So
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: why would I care. ESPN is a huge double header here.
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: It maybe a triple header. Actually I think it's a doubleheader. Yeah.
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: The ranked matchups are both on ESPN. The first one
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: is number seven in Michigan State number twelve Kentucky and
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: this is neutral site at Madison Square Garden. Don't really
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: know that either team is gonna have like more of
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: an advantage than the other, although I think Kentucky probably
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: does have a larger fan base throughout the country would
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: be my guess. Michigan State is the worst of the
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: two teams. As you can see based on the odds
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: Kentucky they have dropped though now from six point favorite
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: to a four point favorite. Sixty eight percent of the
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: tickets are on Kentucky, seventy three percent of the cash
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: on Michigan State, So the money does seem to be
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: coming out of Michigan State and on the under for
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: what it's worth. And I think those sides are correlated
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: because basically this is a pacing clash. Michigan State likes
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: to play slow, Kentucky likes to play fast. So I
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: think if you like Michigan State, it's probably gonna be
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: a lower scoring game. If if they're gonna cover, it's
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: probably gonna be expected to be a low scoring game.
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: The slower paced team and the underdog. So I do
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: tend to look that way somewhat often. I think the
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: spot sets up okay for Michigan's State. As you know,
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: I faded them back on Thursday against San Jose State
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: because Michigan State was coming off a big win over Arkansas.
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: They had this Kentucky game up next. I said, it's
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: a sandwich. Michigan State plays slow. They won't really try
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: to push push it here. They'll just win easily. Get in,
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: get out, and not cover. That is what happened there,
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: so I think they were saving their effort for this
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: game against Kentucky. So I don't mind how that sets up.
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: Kentucky is coming up a really easy game as well, though,
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: against Eastern Illinois. But they looked pretty good in that
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: win over Eastern Illinois. Kentucky like they're gonna be the
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: public side because the public likes offense. They like these
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: teams to play faster, and I tend to fade that sentiment.
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: The public, I guess, might look at the fact that
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: Michigan State is still undefeated and Kentucky has one loss.
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: Kentucky's loss was at Louisville, though, which not gonna really
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: knock them for that. I did like Louisville in that game.
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: Louisville won, not a bad loss for Kentucky. But Michigan
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: State has been the team that's stepped up better in
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: class just I mean, it's a very small sample size.
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: They won their one big game. Kentucky lost theirs, but
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: Kentucky's was a true road game, Michigan State's was, I believe,
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: a neutral site game, so there's not a whole lot
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: to read into that. I think both teams are gonna
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: show up. Both teams are off of easy wins, like
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: they're both in a decent spot, although Michigan State looked
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: uglier in their last wins, so I think that might
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: be an indicator that maybe that's the way you want
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: to look here. Don't have a strong opinion on this
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: at all, but the market read is saying Michigan State.
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: I'm not really gonna disagree with it. Michigan State three
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: for three to the under, Kentucky three for four to
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: the over. Yeah, I mean it makes sense because they've
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: played both. These teams have mostly played opponents inferior to
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: them as well, so the better team is usually going
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: to control the pace, although in this case, I'm not
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: so sure that's gonna be the case here because these
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: two teams are so close. Although if you look at
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: ken Bomb, if I can bring it up here, let
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: me see, ken Bum does have Kentucky as the better team. Yeah,
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: he's got them fourth in the country and is Michigan
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: State all the way down at thirty second, So just
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: a little bit of something to keep in mind there.
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: And actually as Kentucky is very unlucky right now in
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: Michigan State highing the luck index, so I guess take
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: from that what you want to. Not a whole lot
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: else interesting here, really, I mean, you do have some
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: bigger teams facing smaller teams. North Carolina plays Navy. I
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: mean there's I don't know why I even mentioned these
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: games really just to mention that the ranked team is
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: playing North Carolina is a twenty six point favorite. I
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: have nothing, no read on that game. I do have
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: a read on nj T and Drexel, even though I
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: have not decided to want to give this out as
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: a play. But this line just looks ridiculous, and it's
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: actually gone up since last night. It was nine to
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: nine and a half last night and it's already ten
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: and a half on the one in three Drexel side.
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: They're a double digg of favored against a three and
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: one NJIT team. So if the public looks at this,
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: they got to think like that it's almost free money
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: taking a three and one team as a giant underdog,
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: Like why is that an NJT is undefeated on the
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: road two and zero, although Drexel is one and zero
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: at home. Obviously I see something like that. It's a
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: major red flag, Like, obviously, this has to mean that
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: there's some huge discrepancy in the strength of schedule or
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: something to that extent here, because there's no way that
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: a three and one team would be a huge underdog
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: to one and three team unless just something else going on.
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: The oddspekers are telling you Drexel is the better team.
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: I don't disagree this nj T team. They're just they're
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: they're playing above their pay grade right now. They've pulled
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: off two big upsets on the road against Fordham and
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: on the road against Loyola Maryland. I faded them after
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: that one. They did falter after their first upset, although
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: there was some reason why I didn't decide to go
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: against them in that one against fair which is their
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: only loss. I did decide to fade them after the
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: Loyola Maryland game, and they won anyway against Fairleigh Dickinson,
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: although that was njt's weakest opponents so far. Now they're
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: coming up of that, they're going back on the road again.
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: I know they've been good on the road. They pulled
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: off two straight upsets on the road. Like two things
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: are a possibility here. Either we have nj T completely
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: incorrectly power rated right now, which I guess is possible,
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: or those were both flukes and something is going to
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: even out here and we're gonna see NJIT regress in
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: a major way. And I think that's more likely to
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: be the case, because I don't think the power ring
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: these guys are really this far off. NJIT in the
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: Fordham game shot insanely from the field fifty five percent
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: from three as well forty percent from the field. Fordham
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: was thirty four percent from the field and seventeen percent
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: from three. Fordham out rebounded them, so that was definitely
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: an outlier based on the shooting percentages there. And then
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: the Loyal and Maryland game. Both teams shot pretty poorly
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: in this game, so I wouldn't say that this one
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: was really an outlier, though NJIT did get out rebounded again,
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: although only by one in that one. But I'm gonna
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: lean to Drexel laying the points in this one. Drexel,
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: they played a couple opponents that I think are stronger
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: than anybody j T has played so far, namely Saint
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: Joe's and Syracuse. Even though Syracuse is not a great
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: team right now, there's still an acc team and Drexel
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: did just get wrecked by them by thirty points. So
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: I think Drexel's probably gonna show up here, man, because
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: this is another home game. They're just staying at home.
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: They just got embarrassed on their own floor, and a
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: lot of times when that happens, a team will bounce
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: back off of that. Yeah, if I was gonna play it,
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: I would lay it with Drexel. I won't get there
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: with this one. They've also lost some value. It's up
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: to eleven. Although in this range it's not really you're
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: kind of in I mean, you're in no man's land.
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: You're not really dealing with key numbers of this one
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: of though every possession matters. It's a low total one
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: hundred thirty four and a half. So there is that,
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: which you know. I don't love low totals as far
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: as like laying favorites with the low total, I don't
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: love it. Ken Bomb as Drexela two hundred and eightieth
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: in the country, but he has them really unlucky, like
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: bottom bottom fifty or so in luck Index. They play
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: a really slow tempo bottom like thirty and tempo bottom
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: forty whatever. And he has NJIT I think even worse. Yeah,
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: he has NJT is a bottom twenty five team in
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: the entire country. Has then the fifteenth luckiest team in
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: the country, very weak strength to schedule at three thirty nine,
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: and they do play faster. So Drexel is gonna try
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: to slow the game down here, although that's not great
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: if you want to really lay a ton of points.
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: Drexel is also facing more difficult schedules seventy eighth according
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: to Ken Bombs. So yeah, I would lay it, but
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: it's not my favorite thing on the board today. I'm
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: gonna skip it. But I do have an opinion in
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: that one. Obviously own three against the spread in the
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: last three. Yeah, I think that's gonna regress though, Like
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: teams that are bad against the spread, like I mean,
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: the oddsmakers will tend to try to adjust to account
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: for that, and instead in this game, they're lining them
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: as a massive favorite. So they're doing that for a reason.
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: Unh at Providence, I mean Providence, we went against them
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: here on the show when they went to Colorado in
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: their last game. I thought it was a bad spot.
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: Even though I think Providence probably is better than Colorado,
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: it just wasn't a good spot for them. First her
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: road game elevation. They're coming up of that, and that
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: was a big game. Providence hasn't stepped up well in class,
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: although they've beaten both poor opponents that they've faced, and
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: they're facing New Hampshire here UNH and UNH is definitely
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: a poor opponent. But Providence doesn't Penn State and Wisconsin
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: up after this, So will they be looking ahead traveling
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: back out of elevation? Maybe? Do I really want to
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: deal with New Hampshire here though? No, no, no, no, oh,
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: I don't. They're coming off a real, like ugly loss
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: where they only scored forty four points against George Mason,
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: who I think is a slow paced, defensive team. New
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: Hampshire twenty eight point underdog in this one. I mean,
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: I would probably still have a slight lean to taking
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: the points there, but I don't want to get involved
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: in that. A U team Martin and Florida State interesting
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: just because I started to look at this and I'm like,
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: I think ut Martin's in a bad spot because they've
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: actually pulled off two upsets on the road so far,
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: beating UNLV on the road and beating Bradley on the road.
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: Is fifteen and a half point underdogs in their last game.
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: So this U Team Martin team at three and oh,
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: they are not as good as that record makes them look.
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: This game against Bradley, U Team Martin shot fifty six
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: percent from the field to Bradley's thirty three percent, forty
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: six percent from three to Bradley's fifteen percent. Even though
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: UT Martin did still win despite losing the turnover battle
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: and they won the rebound in battle, I still think
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: it's a ridiculous upset. It's kind of a fluke. The
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: shooting percentages are all outliers. Now they have to step
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: up in class and face Florida State. Even though Florida
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: State is not great right now, it's still an ACC team.
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: There's still probably a I would guess the top seven
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: year or so team here in Ken Palm's rankings. Let
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: me see, Yeah, they're sixty ninth, sixty nine. However, then
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: I look at the Florida State side and they're coming
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: off taking Florida to the limit. So the spot is
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: pretty bad for Florida State, man. I mean, there were
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: seventeen and a half point underdogs, huge rivalry with Florida State,
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: considers themselves to be the little brother. They were at
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: Florida in Gainesville and they almost beat Florida. Took them
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: right to the limit in that one. So that's a
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: horrible spot for Florida State coming off of that. But
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: both teams are in bad spots. Although I would say
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: Florida State's probably in the worst of the two spots.
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: But I just can't do it because both teams are
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: in terrible spots. The money is coming in on Martin
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: ninety one percent of the cash. Florida State dropped from
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: twenty two and a half to twenty one, sixty four
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets on them. I would lean to
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: the over in this game if I was gonna play it.
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: The total went up to one hundred and sixty two
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: and a half. I think both teams you could see
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: have maybe some tired defenses in this one. In Florida State,
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: I believe does like to play fast, yeah, forty seventh
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: in the nation and tempo, so I expect a high
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: scoring game in that one. Probably a lean to an
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: over makes sense for me. In that one, Radford playing
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: South Carolina. South Carolina's coming up a pretty easy win
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: over Presbyterian. Although Presbyterian little brother in the state of
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: South Carolina. South Carolina, even though they're an SEC team,
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: they're not that good. They faced a week schedule, they
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: didn't almost lose to Southern Miss not too long ago.
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: They're playing Radford, they do a Butler and then Northwestern
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: up next, and those are bigger games for South Carolina.
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: It is possible they overlook Radford. And Radford I believe
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: is either in North Way, do they in Virginia. They're
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: in either Virginia, North Carolina, or South Carolina. But I
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: still think Radford is going to try to show up here.
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: And Radford has faced the more difficult schedule than in
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: South Carolina, basically just because they faced the North Carolina
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: on the road and Radford actually stepped up pretty well
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: in that game and only lost by fifteen. That's pretty impressive.
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: And North Carolina is definitely better than South Carolina. So
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: Radford has shown the ability to do that. And now
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: Radford's coming off looking really ugly. In that West Virginia
• 21:32
  Speaker 1: tournament that they were in when they lost ninety two
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: to fifty nine as six and a half point favorites
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: to Right State, which I pointed out the other day,
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: this is just a major outlier of a game. The
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: shooting percentages in this game were absurd fifty one percent
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: for Right State, sixty five percent from three. I don't
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: think you're ever gonna see Right State do that again.
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: Thirty six percent for Radford from the field and twenty
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: four percent from three. I mean, this game it was.
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: It was a bad game for Radford, but those shooting
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: percentages are major outliers. And then Radford lost again. Is
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: an even bigger favorite against Cleveland States or Radford. They
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: look worse than they are right now. They just took
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: those two losses as underdogs. I know this is only
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: their second true road game, but their best performance of
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: the year was actually the one where they played at
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: North Carolina. Coming off those two hideous losses as favorites,
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: Radford I think is being pretty undervalued right here. South
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: Carolina is undefeated, but again, very weak schedule for them
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: and bigger games up next, and South Carolina is a
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: single digit favorite here. They opened ten and a half,
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: which I saw last night and then they dropped to
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: nine and a half. I mean, it looks way too
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: easy to lay the points with South Carolina here, Like,
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: why would an SEC team be a single digit favorite
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: at home against Radford of all teams who's looked awful
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: in their last couple of games. Yeah, I would take
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: the points with Radford there. That line really kind of reeks.
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: But again, if you dive into Radford's box scores there,
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: they're definitely under the radar either better than they look.
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I would take the points with Radford Florida
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: State down to twenty and a half. Yeah, I mean
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: I think there is money probably coming in against Florida
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: State in that one. All right, Eastern Michigan and Detroit
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: Mercy is gonna be one of my two plays here.
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: I'm limiting myself today this one. I'm going against the
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: market at least for now. But this is gonna be
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: a seven pm game, and a game like this, there's
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: no public activity in this game, so it is possible.
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: I mean, right now, you see ninety five percent of
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: the casual Detroit seventy five percent of tickets on Eastern
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: Michigan Detroit flip from a one and a half point
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: dog to a pick them. But this could be some
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: of this action where like there are a lot of
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: betters that just try to basically money line hedge or
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: money line middle I guess, I mean, whatever you want
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: to call it. It's not really a middle because they're
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: trying to play both sides, but they want to take
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: both sides. When the game is close to a pick them,
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: they'll try to take one side as the underdog and
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: drive it towards the other side, and then and drive
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: it towards that side, I mean, and then come back
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: and take the other side also as the underdog, if
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: that makes sense, because if you have both sides as
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: a money line underdog, you're guaranteed a small amount of profits.
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: So that could be what's going on in this game
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: because the guys that do that know they can manipulate
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: this market easily because the public is not going to
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: be playing this game. But I'm looking at the situation
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: and I'm going with Eastern Michigan. I found them at
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: a Pickham price at minus one ten, probably getting somewhere
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: around there. If you want to play moneyline, you might
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: give them as an underdog. Actually shortly Eastern Michigan they've
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: been somewhat tested. I mean, they played at Pitt on
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: the road and they came to within twelve as fifteen
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: and a half point underdogs. Not a bad result for
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: Eastern Michigan there, and that when it gets Pitt. Even
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: though Pit it's not great, but I mean, they're not
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: even I don't even know if I would want to
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: say that they're good, but they're still an acc team
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: that's way better than Eastern Michigan. Then Eastern Michigan lost
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: against that IU Indie team last game, and IU Indy,
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: you know what they do, They just run the floor.
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: Eastern Michigan was actually the favorite in this game, and
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: I think they just couldn't deal with with the pace
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: of of IU Indy because they're one of the fastest
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: paced teams in the country right now. In Eastern Michigan,
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: they actually do like to play somewhat up tempo too,
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: But I just think they got thrown off in that game.
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: And as you can see here, Eastern Michigan they're one
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: of the tenth most unlucky teams in the entire country
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: according to Kent bom So I am looking at that
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: as part of this handicap. They've been very unlucky so far.
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: They're going to this Detroit Mercy team and the Oswegers
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: are telling you Eastern Michigan is the better team because
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: Detroit isn't getting any home court advantage here on the line. So,
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: I mean, if the teams are even, you'd expect Detroit
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: Mercy probably get like one to two points from home court,
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: probably maybe one. But looking at the spot, I think
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: this is really bad for Detroit Mercy. They just went
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: to Toledo ten and a half point underdogs for Detroit Mercy,
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: and they they came pretty close in this game. Man.
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: They were in this game almost wire to wire. Yeah,
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: they came back from being down. They actually I believe,
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: took the lead a couple of points in the second half.
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: They didn't go away, and they stayed within this number
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: against Toledo, who's one of the better MAC teams throughout
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: the rest of the game. Big time performance from Detroit Mercy,
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: high scoring game. Now they're coming off of that and
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: they got to face Eastern Michigan and Detroit Mercy up next.
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: They got Michigan State in three days and that's like
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: the biggest game on their entire schedule. Man, I mean
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: Obviously they're not gonna expect to win that game, but
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: that is a huge game for them, playing one of
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: the bigger brothers in the state of Michigan, massive game
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: for them. So I don't like this at all. I think,
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: even though this is another Michigan opponent, I don't know
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: if you could really even say which one of these
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: teams considers themselves to be a littler brother here. This
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: looks like a sandwich spot to me. The Detroit Mercy
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: is in. I mean, yeah, they've been slightly battle tested
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: because they did face Notre Dame on the road an
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: Toledo on the road, where there are big underdogs in
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: those games. But I think Pitt is probably better than
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: Notre Dame right now, I would guess. Let me see, No,
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: I think I'm actually wrong slightly. Ken Bom actually has
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: a Notre Dame about twelve ranking spots higher right now.
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: We'll see if that continues to be the case. But yeah,
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: I don't like how that spot sets up for Detroit
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: Mercy at all. And for Detroit hold On. Ken Bam
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: does have them pretty low in the luck indext but
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: not as low as Eastern Michigan, and they play really
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: fast Detroit Mercy does, but again, Eastern Michigan they play
• 27:52
  Speaker 1: like kind of a mid tempo, so I don't think
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: they're going to be totally thrown off by having to
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: play fast tempo. Detroit Mercy also very bad defensively, so
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: you're getting the better team and the better defense with
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: Eastern Michigan in this one. Eastern Michigan's actually better defensively
• 28:06
  Speaker 1: than offensively. Although I mean, we're looking at two pretty
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: bad teams here, but I like Eastern Michigan in that one.
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: That's one of the plays, all right. Which other games
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: that I want to talk about here, Kent State, I
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: would fade Kent State here. Kent State looked really good
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: in that same w West Virginia tournament there, the Greenbrier Tournament.
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: They beat Cleveland State, although they should have beaten them
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: by more. I mean West Virginia excuse Kent State did
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: not cover the spread in that one, but they won.
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: And then they turned around and they beat Right State
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: as well, although Kent State also didn't cover in this one,
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: so Kent State did get two wins and non covers there.
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: Although I still think they look pretty good coming off
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: of that tournament. They'll be feeling pretty good, and they
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: do have Cleveland State again next so though I think
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: that game is gonna matter a little bit more to
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: Cleveland State because it is gonna be technically revenge for
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: Cleveland State in quick turnaround time. But you know, Kent
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: State coming up basically winning that part of that tournament
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: because they won both games, and they could be in
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: for a little bit of a letdown. They're playing Eastern
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: Kentucky here. Eastern Kentucky's played Western Kentucky in Vandy, which
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: were not easy games for them. Now they're on the
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: road again, there should be a step down from Vandal,
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: though Kent State is pretty good. I'm gonna stay away
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: from this one, but I would lean probably to fade
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: in Kent State here, although they've gone up from nine
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: and a half to ten. Yeah, I would lean to
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: take the points, taking the points in that one, although
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: I do think it might be a pacing mismatcher Kent State.
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: They're one hundred and eighth and tempoccording to kemp Bomb,
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: so they played pretty fast Eastern Kentucky. Actually, Eastern Kentucky
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: plays fairly fast as well on one hundred and twenty four,
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: so it's not really a huge pacing collision there. So
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: never mind some of these lower teams, I'm not familiar
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: with the pace that they play. Okay, what else? What
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: other games that I even want to talk about here?
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: I mean, holy Cross is staying at Brown in this
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: tournament that Brown is hosting. Holy Cross did just get
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: a win against Hampton, even though they were coming back
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: from playing in Utah. Holy Cross still got the win
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: over Hampton. Brown just lost to Hampton by the same token.
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: So I think people might look towards holy Cross just
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: because of that, because they see the same opponent in
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: the last game, and both of these games are at Brown.
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: Brown was a one and a half point favorite when
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: the game went off against Hampton. Holy Cross I believe
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: was an underdog. Holy Cross is not good. I believe
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: they were an underdog against Hampton. Let me see, Yeah,
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: there were four and a half point underdogs that would
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: indicate that Brown should basically be like five points better
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: than holy Cross here, and yet Brown is only three
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorite in this game. So I
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: think there is maybe some line value on Brown. They're
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: actually down from four to two and a half those
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: money coming in on holy Cross. I don't really understand that.
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: I mean, I think Brown's still the better team being
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: at home, even though there's like nobody in the stands
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: for this thing. I think you got to give them
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: some sort of home advantage, I would think in this game,
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: in addition to the fact that I think they're better
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: than Holy Cross, although the odds makers are telling you that,
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: but based on with the odds were in their common
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: opponent games there against Hampton, it seems like the line
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: should be higher on Brown. So not gonna do anything
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: with that. Kent stay four for five to the over. Yeah,
• 31:32
  Speaker 1: they play fast Kent State Massac or once they blow
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: somebody out, or actually if ken Stake gets blown out,
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: that's what it would be. Georgia Southern playing Georgia Tech.
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: Georgia Tech coming up that big rivalry game where they
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: hung with Georgia. You know, Georgia Tech got up for
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: this game. Man, Georgia fifteen and a half boy favorites.
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: Georgia Tech was definitely gonna show up for that, as
• 31:54
  Speaker 1: they consider themselves to be a little brother in the
• 31:57
  Speaker 1: state of Georgia. I'm not gonna say they came close
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: to pulling off the upset. They didn't really, but they
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: were winning in the second half and then they fell apart.
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: The game was pretty much in hand in the later
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: portions of it, although Georgia Tech did make a run
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: late to make the game close again, but still that
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: was a big game. Coming off of that, I would
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: probably be looking to fade them. Georgia Southern's coming off
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: beating some non Division one team going back out on
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: the road where they've actually Georgia Southern's played competitively on
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: the road, and I know Georgia Tech's the best opponent
• 32:28
  Speaker 1: they'll face so far. But they played East Carolina to
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: within three on the road as five and a half
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: point underdogs, and Florida Gulf Coast three and a half
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: point underdogs on the road in that one. I think
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: those are both two road games, so I know this
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: is They're gonna be a much much bigger underdog in
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: this one. But I would still look towards Georgia Southern
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: in this one. Georgia Tech did already drop from twelve
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: and a half to ten and a half here, I
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: would look to take the points there with Georgia Southern.
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: That one's not a play. Like I said, they're a
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: lot of games. I just don't have a strong opinion here, man,
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: Arkansas is facing Winthrop. I mean, I don't think there's
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: a whole lot to see you with this one. I
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: believe Arkansas is coming out that Central Arkansas. I know
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: the Arkansas is actually the spot might actually set up
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: decently for Arkansas. I forgot they played Samford, which was
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: part of my handicap against Samford the other day, which
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: I think was that Central Arkansas game because these teams
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: were all playing each other. Arkansas was a twenty four
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorite in that game, and it
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: got a little bit dicey, the only one by four,
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: although they were pretty much I mean, they had a
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: pretty comfortable lead in the game, but the fact that
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: Sanford played them that close could me in Arkansas is
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: gonna be kind of in a spot where they're gonna
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: refocus here because they didn't play that well. Winthrop is
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: gonna try to play well as well. Though you know, Winthrop,
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: they don't get to play too many big teams like
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: this and SEC opponents, so I expect them to show
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: up as well. But if both teams are gonna show
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: up with focus, sometimes you do expect the favorite to
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: come through in that one. Arkansas is up from twenty
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: to two twenty two in that one. Montana at Texas
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: A and M. Slight opinion on this one Montana. They're
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: coming off that game against Cal Paul where I thought
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: Montana was gonna fall flat in that game and they
• 34:14
  Speaker 1: just barely covered with the free throws at the very end,
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: not missing any free throws. They could be in line
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: for the letdown after this, you would think, but maybe
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: they'll step up their game because they get to play
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: an SEC team here in Texas A and M, so
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: I could see it going both ways. But I thought
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: they were gonna be in a letdown after that nice
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: upset over UNLV and it didn't happen. Now, this is
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: their first time having a trial to Texas this year,
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: so it's not gonna be that easy for them. Although
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: Texas A and M is down this year and Texas
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: A and M does not score well, they're not good offensively,
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: they're good defensively. Texas A and M, though they're coming
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: off that ugly loss as ten to half point favorites
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: to UCF, which was part of my handicap against UCF yesterday.
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: So to me, this does look like a bounce back
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: spot for Texas A and M here after they had
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: a pick, did a full shooting performance. They did lose
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: at Oklahoma State in the game prior to that too,
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: as road favorites in that one, so it does look
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: like A and M is in a bounce back spot here,
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: and the money is agreeing with that. They're up from
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: fourteen and a half to sixteen and a half, ninety
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: seven percent of the cash on A and M eighty
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: two percent of tickets on Montana, so surprisingly high total
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: on one hundred and sixty four, even though it did
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: drop a little bit. But I don't ever like recently,
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: I don't think A and M. I mean, they do
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: play fast, apparently it's seventy third and tempo, but I
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: don't consider A and M to be like a high
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: scoring team at all, man, So I don't really get that,
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: like they just last couple of years, A and M
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: has been a very very bad shooting team and they
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: are more of like a paint presence team. So I
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: don't know. I don't know if i'd really want to
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: lay the points in that one, but I do lean
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: that way. Gardner Webb at to Paul for Gardner Webb,
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: we did get lucky in that last game. You know,
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: part of my handicap in that game was that Gardner
• 35:58
  Speaker 1: Webb was gonna bounce back after lose to a non
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: Division one team North Greenville or whatever. They did get
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: the money in this game against Elon, only losing by
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: eleven and a half, and they went off at thirteen
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: and a half way favorites. I mean, hopefully only losing
• 36:13
  Speaker 1: by eleven. Excusely, hopefully everybody. Everybody got at least eleven
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: and a half in that one. I think it was
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: eleven and a half when I gave it out and
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: it went up to thirteen and a half. Gardner Webb
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: just came in within that number, but they were getting
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: annihilated in this game, and they were losing by almost
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: thirty points in the second half, So I think Elon
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: took their foot off the gas, which I mean sometimes
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: that does happen with big favorites. They will just get
• 36:35
  Speaker 1: a huge lead and then start focusing on the next game.
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: So that is part of the handicap. Although I think
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: we did get a little bit lucky that Gardner Webb
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: came in within that number. They got blown out in
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: the game. They're going to DePaul now, but Gardner Webb
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: the least thing you could say about them is I mean,
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: at least you could say that they're pretty battle tested
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: because they did play Minnesota and Clemson on the road
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: already as well, So DePaul is not as good as
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: those two teams. I wouldn't saying to Paul's coming up
• 37:02
  Speaker 1: that big game where I gave out to Paul the
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: other day and they almost got the big upset against Northwestern,
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: who's like their bigger brother in the Chicago area. That
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: would have been a huge win for De Paul, and
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: they almost pulled it off. They were close in that game.
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: They had chances to win that game. So I think
• 37:18
  Speaker 1: this is a hangover spot for De Paul here. I
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: don't really see them showing up with a ton of
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: focus here against a very bad, winless Gardner Web team.
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: To Paul's up from twenty and a half to twenty
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: two and a half here seems like a pretty big
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: number there, although I know Gardner Web's been pretty bad,
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: but yeah, I would look to fade to Paul. They
• 37:37
  Speaker 1: aren't really a slow based team though, they're mid tempo
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: team one hundred and fifty fifth, So usually I like
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: to fade like slower teams as big favorites if I can,
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: but I would take the points with Gardner Webb. Do
• 37:48
  Speaker 1: I actually want to do it? No? No, I do not.
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: You're like under in the A and M game. Yeah,
• 37:59
  Speaker 1: I mean A and M. They just seem like they
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: play a lot of unders. That total is high though,
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: Like usually when I see a high total like that,
• 38:05
  Speaker 1: I want to go towards the the over, like because
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: the high totals kind of dissuade the public from playing
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: them over, which is the point. So I don't know, man,
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: I don't know if I agree with that, but I mean,
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: in my mind, it seems like A and M is
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: still a low scoring team. But maybe I have the
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: wrong perception of them right now because I am surprised
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: to see that they're a faster paced team Chicago State
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: and Minnesota Chicago State. I was correct about this game.
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: Chicago State did cover against Illinois. Chicago. Chicago State's an
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: awful team, but this was one of those games like
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: they have these early season games where they will play well,
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: like sometimes they play like Northwestern and they play some
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: of these other teams. They didn't play well against DePaul
• 38:47
  Speaker 1: the other Chicago team they played this year so far,
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: but they stepped it up against Illinois Chicago man and
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: covered as nine and a half point underdogs. And I think
• 38:56
  Speaker 1: they were leading in the second half too. Yeah, and
• 38:59
  Speaker 1: they were in this game. Man, it was a tied
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: game with one thirty four left. So Chicago State's coming
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: off that they might be in a bad spot here. Man,
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: I know it's Minnesota and they might show up for Minnesota, which,
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: by the way, speaking of Minnesota, I actually forgot because
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: I was like, wait, who's Xavier is coaching? Because I
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: talked about Xavier yesterday. You know who their coach is
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: now because he's the son of inside I want to
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: kill myself. Richard Patino, son of Rick Patino's is at Xavier. Now,
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: that's what I was thinking. I'm like, oh, yeah, that's
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: probably not good because that reminded me of that because
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: Richard Patino was Minnesota's coach for a while. Don't even
• 39:38
  Speaker 1: know who they have now. But Minnesota is certainly the
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: better team here. Although Minnesota is coming off, they're coming
• 39:45
  Speaker 1: off kind of a lackluster game against Wisconsin Green Bay
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: or just green Bay. Now, that was that game Green Bay,
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: Minnesota that's that's an NFL game this week. I don't
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: know if that NFL game is at Minnesota two or not,
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: but Minnesota is a twenty five and a half point
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: favorite in this game, and green Bay took them into overtime.
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: So green Bay gave Minnesota everything they could handle. But
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: I think Minnesota was in a bad spot because they
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: had just gone on the road to Missouri that was
• 40:12
  Speaker 1: a big game for them, and they lost the game.
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: I think they were a bit hungover after a step
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: up game taking their first loss. So I expect Minnesota
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: to bounce back here in this one. So I do
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: lean to Minnesota in this one. Actually, I do like
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: this one. Minnesota from twenty five and a half to
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: twenty six though, with a low total of one hundred
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: and forty eight, and so I really want to lay it.
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: I mean, that's the way I would lean. Chicago State
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: is really bad. They are coming off like one of
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: their big games where they almost pulled off the upset
• 40:44
  Speaker 1: against one of those Illinois teams. This will be another
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: big game for them, though, I think like they'll try
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: to probably show up against Minnesota, so I'm not gonna
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: quite get there with that one. But I would lay
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: the points with Minnesota. I was gonna play it. Minnesota.
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: They do crack can bumps top one hundred. They're really
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: slow tempo team though, three forty six in the country,
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: and he has them fairly lucky at seventy fourth in
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: the country in a very weak strength of schedule at
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: three hundred and forty seventh, even though they played Missouri.
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: Kind of shocking to see their strength of schedule be
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: that low, but that is what it is. I guess
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: NBA Sentel one of the great parody accounts out there. Oh,
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: NBA sent Tell's parody. Right, if Lebron's making his season debut,
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: You're right, I might have to rethink that. We'll talk
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: about it when I get to the NFL. They're twenty
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: eight and a half. Minnesota is, dude. FanDuel is screwing you, dude,
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: because right here at sid consensus, twenty six, isn't it? Yeah,
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: twenty six and a half. I mean it's continuing to climb.
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: I mean this again, this is why you need as
• 41:52
  Speaker 1: many books as possible. You're in Pennsylvania, Jeffy, right, you
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: must have at least I think you got like at
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: least eight sports books there in Pennsylvania, and you get
• 42:00
  Speaker 1: an accounted every single sports book, and then you'll definitely
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: find value and you can use different sites that will
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: show you like all the different like the odds that
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: all the different books have, although I use Action Network
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: and I pay for it, so I forget which parts
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: of it are paid and which parts of it are not.
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: Chicago State covered in two of their four losses. Yeah,
• 42:23
  Speaker 1: I mean they're they tend to be a massive underdog
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: because they're really bad, so maybe they get a little
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: bit undervalue too. Montana's played three three to three to
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: the overs. Yeah, they're at Texas A and M though,
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: so well, I was gonna say Texas A and M
• 42:37
  Speaker 1: would be able to control the pace likely in that game,
• 42:40
  Speaker 1: but they want to play fast, so you're just paying
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: the what is that the fan duel at tax i guess? Yeah, Yeah,
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: I mean I would still probably consider getting it getting
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: an accounted at multiple different books though. You can get
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: draft kings. I'm assuming you can get a bunch of
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: stuff and then you'll probably at least be able to
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: find slightly better odds on some of these. All Right,
• 43:09
  Speaker 1: The other big game on ESPN at nine PM is
• 43:12
  Speaker 1: Kansas number twenty fourth in the country against Duke, number
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: five in the country. This is also at Madison Square Garden.
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: I'm expecting a bigger Duke cont engineer because they have
• 43:21
  Speaker 1: fans all over the country. Even though Kansas has a
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: decent fan base, I'm expecting Duke's fan base to be
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: more well represented in this one. Duke is definitely the
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: better team, as you can see by the line here too.
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: I mean, Duke is a big favorite here. They're up
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: from ten to eleven here at ninety nine percent of
• 43:40
  Speaker 1: the cash on them right now, probably not an accurate number,
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: but fifty five percent of tickets on Kansas. It looks
• 43:46
  Speaker 1: like the public is actually looking at this and thinking, well,
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: it's a double digit spread. Duke, you know, they don't
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: have Cooper flag anymore and whatever, and Ca Nipple, I
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: call him Nipple Nipple, and Kansas, I mean also ranked.
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: It's I think it's kind of this thing where public perception,
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: oh two ranked teams is probably gonna be a competitive matchup,
• 44:06
  Speaker 1: and then they start looking to take the points when
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: they think the spread's too big, and I think that
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: might be what's going on here. The money is coming
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: in on the under for what it's worth as well,
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: which I wouldn't disagree with an under here because Duke
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: does like to play pretty slow typically. They're actually mid
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: tempo so far this year, but they were one of
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: the slowest teams in the country last year and they
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: still have I'm assuming they still have the same coach,
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: Shy or so, I don't I mean, unless they've changed
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: their style of play, and I just don't know about it.
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: I would expect you like to see Duke drop in
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: this tempo rating here. Kansas plays somewhat slow as well,
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: two hundred and eleventh, so and I think this is
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: going to be like a playoff style of atmosphere in
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: Kansas is only fifty to fifth defensively according to Kenbum
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: right now or excuse me, offensively and eleventh defensively, so
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: you got a defensive oriented team with Kansas and Duke
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: also cracking the top ten defensively, so you have two
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: good defenses in this game. So I think that's also
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: conducive to an under. I think I like the under
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: better than the side, although I would probably agree with
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: the market and laying it with Duke as well. They
• 45:12
  Speaker 1: are the better team here. I think the public perception
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: is a little bit off here. I still don't think
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: Kansas is this much approved. Ken Bum does have them
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: right outside the top twenty five though, so he actually
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: has these teams almost correctly ranked. Actually, he has Duke
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: number two right now in Kansas number twenty five, so
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: the rankings are not that far off from what ken
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: Bum has right now. Both teams are going to show
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: up for this. Like I said, Duke has had it
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: really easy the last couple of games. You'd expect them
• 45:40
  Speaker 1: to hop to be public though, because they've scored over
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: one hundred points in their last two games, but that
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: is not the case Kansas. Their biggest game was at
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: North Carolina, which is a little bit more difficult than Duke's,
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: which was against Texas, and I think that might have
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: been a neutral site game against Texas, so Duke a
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: little bit less strong was scheduled so far than Kansas,
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: But this early on, I don't think that really matters
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: that much. I still don't think Kansas is that good.
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: Both teams have had a lot of turnover coming into
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: this year, so it's a stay away from me. But
• 46:16
  Speaker 1: probably the strongest opinion on that is towards the under
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: you went with the Kraken on the money line, Well,
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: I mean the market read depending on what you're looking at.
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: I mean it could change like throughout the day. I'll
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: give you my read on that one when I get
• 46:31
  Speaker 1: to it. I forget what I think about that game.
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: Wichita stayed at Boise State. Here people are gonna look
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: at this and I think probably want to go with
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: the three and oh Wichita team because they're getting a
• 46:41
  Speaker 1: ton of points here against a three and one Boise
• 46:45
  Speaker 1: team who everybody remembers has that blemish losing to Hawaii
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: Pacific non Division one team. But Wichita has not really
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: been tested yet. Man. They beat unc Asheville, who I
• 46:55
  Speaker 1: think is way down this year, Prairie View A and
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: M who's really bad, and then they beat this Loyola
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: Chicaigo team which seems to be quite down as well.
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: Now this is Wichita's first true road game of the
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: season and they got to go to Boise. Not an
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: easy spot for Boise. They haven't looked as good, man.
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: I mean, they lost to Hawaii Pacific. They did bounce
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: back and get us a win against Utah Valley, and
• 47:18
  Speaker 1: then we did have them again against Montana State, which
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: is more of a fade of Montana State and Boise
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: could not get margin in that game even though they won.
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: But I think because Boise played poorly. That was the
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: second time they played poorly at home, and the last
• 47:31
  Speaker 1: time they played poorly at home the lost to Hawaii Pacific.
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: They bounce back really nicely with a blowout win, so
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: I do expect Boise to show up here, even though
• 47:40
  Speaker 1: they do have USC Butler on the horizons some bigger
• 47:43
  Speaker 1: conference teams, but I think they will focus because again
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: they had a bad game against Montana State. Wichita is
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: undefeated and it seems to be kind of on the
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: rise again. Wichita. They've made some good pickups coming into
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: the season, so they are definitely going to be improved
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: to some extent. The Wichita State Shockers baby best best
• 48:05
  Speaker 1: team name probably and I think they actually have foam
• 48:12
  Speaker 1: hands that look like this, or people have taken the
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: foam hands and just cut off the ring finger or something.
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: But I would lay it with Boise in this one.
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: Although it looks like the money's coming back on whichitar
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: right now fifty percent of the tickets ninety four percent
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: of the cash on them, It is a pretty low
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: total that's dropping one hundred and forty nine and a
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: half Boise down from ten and a half to ten.
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: I would probably lay it, though, even though I know
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: Boise is an ugly slow tempo team. Uh so asking
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: them to cover my margin is not easy. But ten
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: isn't that much of an ask. Wichita does like to
• 48:42
  Speaker 1: play a little bit faster, so Boise might be able
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: to frustrate them by slowing it down. All right, my
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: last play here. Finally, we're gonna lay it with Pepperdine
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: against the New Orleans. I think this is a major
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: letdown spot for New Orleans. Here where's New Orleans. Pepperdine's
• 49:01
  Speaker 1: already up from three to four and a half, so
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: there is a market agreement on this one. If you
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: want Pepperdine, I would say you got to get on it.
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: Probably hopefully you could still lay somewhere close to three
• 49:10
  Speaker 1: and a half four or whatever moneyline parlayed if you
• 49:14
  Speaker 1: want to, I guess, but I do not like the
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: spot for New Orleans. New Orleans they're coming off playing
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: They started the season with three huge games, all on
• 49:23
  Speaker 1: the road, and they pulled off an upset over TCU.
• 49:26
  Speaker 1: Then they were in a major letdown spot, and even
• 49:28
  Speaker 1: though they were in an in state big brother, little
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: brother situation, they got crushed by LSU. I just think
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: they couldn't keep up that effort two games in a row.
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: But then after that game they had a huge bounce
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: back and they went to other in state big brother Tulane,
• 49:43
  Speaker 1: and they beat them as eleven and a half point underdogs.
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: I mean, Tulane not as good as LSU, but huge
• 49:47
  Speaker 1: win for New Orleans pulling off the upset over Tulane
• 49:50
  Speaker 1: and not only pulling off an upset, but absolutely trashing
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: them on their home floor by twenty two. That is
• 49:56
  Speaker 1: a huge win for New Orleans. And yes, I know
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: New Orleans is going to be better than this year
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: than last year because last year they were throwing games
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: because they were involved in a gambling scandal. So they're
• 50:06
  Speaker 1: probably gonna be maybe even the best team in the
• 50:09
  Speaker 1: Southland this year. Now that Will Wade has already gone
• 50:12
  Speaker 1: from MacNeice. But look at those percentages in this game, dude,
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: New Orleans fifty four percent from the field to Tulane
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: thirty five percent, fifty four percent from three Tulane eleven percent. Again,
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: those are massive outliers. You probably won't see again. Tulane
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: won the turnover battle fourteen to five and still got obliterated.
• 50:32
  Speaker 1: And yes, I know New Orleans did out rebound them
• 50:34
  Speaker 1: by quite a bit. I'm not saying Tulane's really a
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: good team, but that was a huge win for New
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: Orleans man beating one of the better teams in the
• 50:42
  Speaker 1: state of Louisiana. And again, like that run of games
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: have had as crazy and now they have to go
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: out to the Pacific Coast for a late night game
• 50:50
  Speaker 1: that could mess with their biological clock. And if you're
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: not familiar with playing at Pepperdine, and I don't think
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: they are, Pepperdine is a weird venue to have to
• 50:58
  Speaker 1: go to for these unfamiliar teams. Like they have a
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: small arena where the crowd is like basically right on
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: top of you. One of those it's typical for like
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: the West Coast. It's it's a weird arena. Man out
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: in Malibu. This is the Acrosure Holiday Invitational, as they're
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: coming into the holiday season here, but this is at
• 51:18
  Speaker 1: Pepperdine's home stadium in Malibu. I believe that is their
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: home stadium, the Firestone Field House, So Pepperdine, as far
• 51:28
  Speaker 1: as they're concerned, they're in a much better set up
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: here because they're staying on the West Coast. They played
• 51:34
  Speaker 1: their last couple of games at home, and they actually
• 51:36
  Speaker 1: took a loss at home in their last game to
• 51:37
  Speaker 1: Northern Colorado in overtime. Northern Colorado is actually a slight favorite.
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean you could argue it was a
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: big ish game for Pepperdine, I guess, but it was
• 51:48
  Speaker 1: a close spread in the game Northern Colorado. I mean
• 51:50
  Speaker 1: they're a big Sky team, even though they're one of
• 51:52
  Speaker 1: the better big Sky teams. I think this is a
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: bounce back spot for Pepperdine. I mean, they lost at home.
• 51:57
  Speaker 1: They're gonna see what New Orleans did in their last game,
• 52:00
  Speaker 1: and I think that's gonna cause them to notice and
• 52:03
  Speaker 1: be focused here. Knowing that New Orleans has pulled out
• 52:05
  Speaker 1: those two big upsets, I don't think Pepperdine's gonna They're
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: not gonna take them unseeriously by any means. Pepperdine, all
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: of their games have been played on the West Coast
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: and they're continuing to just do that. They actually played
• 52:18
  Speaker 1: pretty well against UCLA, so this Pepperdine team might be
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: a little bit better this year than they have been recently.
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: They took UCLA and then eleven points has almost thirty
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: point underdogs on the roads. That was a good performance
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: for Pepperdine. I know it's a small sample though, and
• 52:34
  Speaker 1: they've only their only wins are against Division two teams.
• 52:37
  Speaker 1: I get it, but I expect them to get this
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: one done here, looking for their first Division one win. Again,
• 52:44
  Speaker 1: we're looking at the New Orleans team. It's still I
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: don't think they're that great. They're one hundred and sixty
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: six according to Kenbom, but he also has an eighteenth
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: in lock, even though yes they've played a difficult schedule,
• 52:55
  Speaker 1: twenty sixth overall, that's difficult. They're fairly fast tembo one
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: hundred and sixty, but eighteenth in locke tells you they're
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: over performing. And again we just saw that those two
• 53:05
  Speaker 1: outlier upset games that they've had. They're up against Pepperdine,
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: who ken Bomb does have is the lesser team. Although
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: they're definitely getting home court advantage here, they do have
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: somewhat of a strong home court advantage. Pepperdine's face a
• 53:17
  Speaker 1: fairly difficult schedule according to Kenbom as well. We saw
• 53:19
  Speaker 1: they face UCLA seventy fourth most difficult, and they're they're
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: a bit more unlucky two hundred twenty first in luck
• 53:29
  Speaker 1: one hundred and eighty sixth tempo wise, so as far
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: as the tempo is concerned, they're a little bit slower.
• 53:37
  Speaker 1: So maybe they'll try to slow this game down a
• 53:39
  Speaker 1: little bit and frustrate New Orleans. There's not really a
• 53:42
  Speaker 1: huge tempo clash here. I think this is just the
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: spot is terrible for New Orleans and the oddsmakers. I mean,
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: they're not gonna be that far off from ken Bum
• 53:51
  Speaker 1: unless is a reason for doing so. So I mean
• 53:53
  Speaker 1: ken Bum literally is just analytics, and he's still compiling
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: data early in the season. So the fact that he
• 53:58
  Speaker 1: has Pepperdine, you know whatever, that was one hundred ranking
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: spots lower in the New Orleans right now, I mean,
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna put more weight into what the odds makers
• 54:08
  Speaker 1: are throwing up there than what ken Bom has there.
• 54:10
  Speaker 1: When there's that a scrapancy like that, even though yeah,
• 54:13
  Speaker 1: you don't really want to necessarily buck those discrapancy's to
• 54:16
  Speaker 1: a large extent, but I think you just got to
• 54:18
  Speaker 1: in this game. Man, I mean this is a bad
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: spot for New Orleans, as I just showed you. So
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: that's my only other playing college basketball here. And they
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: do Vace Fresno next and then Mississippi State, Texas Tech Memphis.
• 54:31
  Speaker 1: So as far as the game's coming up, this Pepperdine
• 54:33
  Speaker 1: game is probably the least important on the schedule remaining.
• 54:38
  Speaker 1: It's a mid mid total in that game as well.
• 54:41
  Speaker 1: So yeah, we're playing on the beach. Yeah, Scottie Pippen,
• 54:48
  Speaker 1: I'm not sure I get that reference. Is Scottie Pippen?
• 54:53
  Speaker 1: What is either coach over there or something? Now it's
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: Bois's you're only playing college basketball. Yeah, it is a
• 55:00
  Speaker 1: weird slate. I agree with you, O sab I agree
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: with that one as well. But yeah, I mean I
• 55:06
  Speaker 1: gave you my two what I think are my strongest
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: situations here. But yeah, it's a weird slate. It's just
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: a lot of mismatches that I just don't really want
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: to get involved in. You see Davis and Nevada. You
• 55:16
  Speaker 1: could argue Nevada is gonna have some sort of bounce
• 55:19
  Speaker 1: back here because they had that bad game where they
• 55:21
  Speaker 1: didn't cover for us against Southern Illinois. Then they came
• 55:24
  Speaker 1: off of that and they went first true road game.
• 55:26
  Speaker 1: They lost to Santa Clara. Although they were underdogs in
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: this game, they lost. They didn't cover. They're coming back home.
• 55:33
  Speaker 1: They're gonna be a favorite here against you See Davis,
• 55:35
  Speaker 1: who's an inferior team. Nevada the three and one to
• 55:38
  Speaker 1: start the season, so Nevada probably won't overlook them. It's
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: only you see Davis's second true road game. In the
• 55:44
  Speaker 1: first game on the road, they lost to Portland, who
• 55:47
  Speaker 1: was not as good as Nevada. Nevada is down from
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: thirteen and a half to twelve, though, But I would
• 55:51
  Speaker 1: probably lay it with Nevada if I was gonna do it.
• 55:54
  Speaker 1: But I don't really have a whole lot to say
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: about that. Troy and San Diego State. San Diego State's
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: off for a long time, dude. It's very strange. They've
• 56:03
  Speaker 1: been off since Sunday, November ninth, and they've only played
• 56:05
  Speaker 1: two games so far against very weak opponents Long Beach
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: and Idaho State, So we don't know what the San
• 56:11
  Speaker 1: Diego State team even is yet. They've had a lot
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: of time off, which can really disrupt your momentum when
• 56:17
  Speaker 1: you've been winning, you just haven't played for a while.
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: And they do have Michigan and Oregon coming up next
• 56:23
  Speaker 1: during the Thanksgiving week, so they might not take Troy
• 56:26
  Speaker 1: seriously here and they might come out slow. Troy has
• 56:29
  Speaker 1: already been on the Pacific Coast. They played two games
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: already out on the Pacific Coast, so they're adjusted to
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: the time zone now because they're in the middle of
• 56:35
  Speaker 1: this road trip. They do have USC up next, but
• 56:38
  Speaker 1: I think San Diego State they've been a good program
• 56:41
  Speaker 1: for a long time, so I think Troy is gonna
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: focus on this because they haven't won on the road trip.
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna try to get a win here on the
• 56:47
  Speaker 1: road trip here. Troy is definitely road tested because this
• 56:50
  Speaker 1: is gonna be their fifth road game already. I would
• 56:53
  Speaker 1: take the points with Troy in this one. San Diego
• 56:56
  Speaker 1: State is a sixteen a sixteen point favorite, and the
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: total is really low and hundred and thirty six, so
• 57:01
  Speaker 1: I do like how that sets up for Troy a
• 57:03
  Speaker 1: bit better. So just a thought on that one. And
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: then Louisiana at Stanford. This is a bad spot, I
• 57:09
  Speaker 1: think for Louisiana. This is the first time they're going
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: out to the Pacific Coast this year for a late
• 57:15
  Speaker 1: ten PM game. I mean, sure they might try to
• 57:18
  Speaker 1: step it up for a game against an ACC team,
• 57:20
  Speaker 1: but it looks pretty difficult to me to have to
• 57:22
  Speaker 1: do that. Stanford. I think they're going to be focused
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: because they're coming off of a game against Montana State,
• 57:27
  Speaker 1: which is why I faded Montana State off of this,
• 57:30
  Speaker 1: where Sanford just didn't do that well in that game.
• 57:33
  Speaker 1: I know they have extra time off that can hurt
• 57:35
  Speaker 1: Sanford's momentum, maybe because they've won all three of their
• 57:38
  Speaker 1: games so far, so I do worry that that might
• 57:41
  Speaker 1: stall their momentum a little bit. But the fact that
• 57:42
  Speaker 1: they only beat Montana State by nine as fourteen and
• 57:45
  Speaker 1: a half point underdogs, and the game was in doubt
• 57:48
  Speaker 1: in the middle of the second half, I mean, Sanford
• 57:50
  Speaker 1: was losing the game. So they're coming off an escape.
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: I think they'll refocus here. It's a tough spot for
• 57:56
  Speaker 1: Louisiana Stanford. I mean, they're not as good as a
• 57:59
  Speaker 1: three and oh rec might suggest though, because they have
• 58:01
  Speaker 1: not played a difficult schedule so far. But the money
• 58:03
  Speaker 1: seems to be in agreement with this. Up from eighteen
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: to twenty and a half. So those are the thoughts
• 58:10
  Speaker 1: on that one. And then we do have I mean,
• 58:13
  Speaker 1: UCLA's playing Sacramento State very late and I U see
• 58:17
  Speaker 1: LA up to twenty eight and a half point favorite.
• 58:19
  Speaker 1: I got pretty much nothing on that one though, U
• 58:22
  Speaker 1: CELA as far as they did last year, though not
• 58:24
  Speaker 1: really a team I wanted to lay points with. They
• 58:26
  Speaker 1: played ridiculously slow again this year at three hundred and
• 58:29
  Speaker 1: fifty six. They're slow and more of a defensive team,
• 58:32
  Speaker 1: So not really a team I want to lay points with. Yeah,
• 58:36
  Speaker 1: I mean, I'm just gonna stay away from that. And
• 58:37
  Speaker 1: then for Presbyterian, they are out on the West coast
• 58:42
  Speaker 1: now because they did I talked about how that was
• 58:44
  Speaker 1: a difficult spot for them at Sacramento State and they
• 58:47
  Speaker 1: lost the game outright, Oh, Sacramento State were favorites. Never mind,
• 58:51
  Speaker 1: so I got that game wrong. I think I said
• 58:53
  Speaker 1: lay it was Sacramento State. Didn't get that right. Presbyterian
• 58:56
  Speaker 1: actually came within two and covered that number. I was like, Oh,
• 58:59
  Speaker 1: it's a difficult spot because Presbyterian is coming up that
• 59:01
  Speaker 1: big step up game against South Carolina, even though they
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: didn't do well, which I think is an in State
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: big brother situation there too. They had to go out
• 59:09
  Speaker 1: to the Pacific Coast. Seem like a difficult spot, but
• 59:13
  Speaker 1: they actually performed pretty well. They got to step up
• 59:15
  Speaker 1: in class to face Cal here though, But I don't
• 59:18
  Speaker 1: really have a whole lot in this game. Cal did
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: just have a pretty difficult game and just lost to
• 59:23
  Speaker 1: Kansas State on the road. Now they're coming back home,
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: so I actually I think the spot is worse for
• 59:27
  Speaker 1: CAL because Presbyterians actually already out in the Pacific time,
• 59:30
  Speaker 1: so now CAL is having to fly back there after
• 59:33
  Speaker 1: taking their first loss of the season in a close,
• 59:36
  Speaker 1: high scoring game as an underdog against Kansas State. So
• 59:39
  Speaker 1: I would actually probably fade CAL in this game. They're
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: up to twenty two from nineteen and a half. You're
• 59:45
  Speaker 1: getting a lot of points with Presbyterian. If you do
• 59:47
  Speaker 1: like that, let's go to the NHL. I'm only gonna
• 59:50
  Speaker 1: have one play here again. I don't like the card
• 59:54
  Speaker 1: today here for the NHL, got Saint Louis at Toronto
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 1: to kick the slate off here. Both teams I think
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 1: kind of underperforming so far here. Saint Louis hasn't played
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 1: for a couple of days. Now they're going out on
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 1: the road. I think that could be a positive. And
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 1: they just took back to back losses at home going
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 1: out on the road. Bennington likely to be back in
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: net here, I would guess, because he's still their better goalie.
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 1: I think they'll probably focus. When you start a road trip,
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 1: you're probably focused, even though he is gonna be revenge
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: against Philadelphia up nexus. Philadelphia just beat them at home,
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 1: but I don't think they're gonna be unfocused when they
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 1: when they're on a slide like this, a couple of
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 1: days off to disrupt that momentum, you go out on
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 1: the road, you focus on a game. Toronto is still
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 1: a pretty big name opponent, so I do think it's
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 1: a focused spot for Saint Louis. For Toronto probably I
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 1: would say the same. I mean, they're on a five
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 1: game slide, they just lost at Chicago. They're coming back home,
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 1: but it's only from a single game road trip, so
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 1: I don't consider that to be a road trip return
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 1: spot where they're gonna be distracted. Really, so I think
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 1: the spot does set up a little bit better for
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 1: for Saint Louis. Here, the spot's positive for both teams.
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 1: We got to figure out what's going on with Toronto
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 1: as it looks like Wall was in net last time
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 1: and maybe that was his first game of the season,
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 1: so and he was one of their starters for a while,
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 1: so they've had some goaltender turn over here. I think
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: some injuries and stuff going on with Toronto. Toronto is
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 1: taking the money. They're down for minus one thirty to
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 1: minus one twenty two, but fifty nine percent of tickets
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: eighty six percent of the cash on them at least now.
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 1: I won't really disagree with Toronto because sometimes when you
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 1: got to match up like this and they're both and
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 1: both teams are going to be focused, sometimes we want
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 1: to look towards the better team, and I think that
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 1: is Toronto, although the oddsbreakers are kind of telling you
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 1: they're both about even as far as the line is concerned.
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 1: I don't want to touch this game though. Oh, Pippen
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 1: went to Pepper And how did I know the Pippen died?
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: How did I not know that? I watched that entire
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 1: that Netflix the document it's not a Net Looks documentary,
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 1: but it's on Netflix. The what was it called again?
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 1: The Bulls documentary? You know what I'm talking about? I
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 1: forget Last Dance whatever it was. Yeah, I should have
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 1: known that from that. It was a good documentary. It's
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 1: like eight episodes. Charles, what's up man? Thanks for hanging
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 1: out again. Seattle at Detroit, sob, this is the game
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 1: you accidentally played. For Seattle. They're starting a road trip.
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 1: I think they do a momentum even though they had
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 1: a couple of days off. I think it is still
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 1: a positive here going out on the road with momentum.
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 1: They beat San Jose in their last game, which is whatever.
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 1: Although our boy Decord is still not back, I assume
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 1: their primary goal. He got hurt a while back. I
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 1: think he's still not back, so probably gonna have to
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 1: deal with Groubauer again in this one for Seattle. Although
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 1: he hasn't been bad. They've won every gamer they've used
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 1: him so far. Oh no, they lost early in the
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 1: season with him, but they've won his last three starts
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 1: and they're three and one with him, actually three to
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 1: zero to one because the only loss was in a shootout.
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 1: Going on the road, I think they will be focused
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 1: on Detroit because Detroit's been playing well, so seems like
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: a focused spot to me for Seattle. Getting to get
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 1: on a home start a road trip for Detroit. They
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 1: just went to the Rangers and they got to win
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: against the Rangers. Decent win there on the road, even
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 1: though we know the Rangers suck in Madison Square Garden.
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 1: But Detroit got the win. They're coming back home. It
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 1: was only a single game road trip, so I don't
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 1: consider it to be a road trip return spot. But
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 1: you know, I mean, the Islanders have been hot recently,
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 1: so maybe Detroit does pay more attention to the Islanders
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 1: because Seattle's an out of conference team for them. So
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 1: I don't disagree with Seattle on this one. And the money,
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 1: I mean, the market reads seems to agree with Seattle.
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 1: Detroit's up for minus one sixty one sixty eight, but
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 1: sixty six percent of the tickets and sixty one percent
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Detroit, so the money seems to
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 1: be agreeing with the Seattle side. Wait, Scottie Pippen died.
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 1: Are you kidding me? No? That didn't happen, right? What? No? Wait?
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 1: What are you talking about? What? No? Not correct? I
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 1: don't know what you're talking about. I was like, there's
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 1: no way, no, I don't see anything about that. Charles,
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 1: You're freaking me out? Man? All Right, what was I
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 1: talking about here? Yeah? I agree with Seattle in that one.
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 1: Well no, uh Scotty Pippen Uh No, his son, I
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 1: think still plays on on Memphis if I remember correctly,
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 1: Pippen went to Pepper dyed. Apparently, no, I said, Pippen Dyne.
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 1: I'm calling Pepperdine Pippen dye because he went because he
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 1: went there. Hell hell, no, you're yeah, you're freaking me out.
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 1: I'm like, Scotty Pittpen died, What the fuck? Dude. He
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 1: was one of the guys that I watched as a kid,
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 1: and I watched that a Bulls team, even though I
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 1: kind of started rooting against them because I was getting
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 1: sick of them winning. But I loved the Bulls initially
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: because they beat that disgusting Detroit Pistons scene with Bill
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 1: Lambier who ended the Celtics dynasty, and that Detroit team
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 1: were just a bunch of thugs. So I liked that
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 1: the Bulls ended their short reign. But then I got
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 1: sick of the Bulls, and it also was partially because
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 1: they got Dennis Rodman, and I'm like, I don't like
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: Dennis Rodman because I didn't like the I didn't like
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 1: the Detroit Pistons. Sorr, I'll give out my NHL play
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 1: right now. We're gonna go with one of these split
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 1: bets here on Tampa Bay. I'm not having fun with
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 1: the regulation bets, so I'm gonna do the more risk
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 1: averse thing here. And I also the thing about these
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 1: split bets that's better is if you have a bunch
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 1: of books available, you can get the best number at
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 1: a different book, potentially on the puck line part of
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 1: it and then on the money line part of it.
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: So combine to actually get a little bit more value
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 1: on this, and this is gonna make a minus one
• 1:06:01
  Speaker 1: puck line on Tampa Bay. That's about plus one oh
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 1: four I think overall in the odds. So I do
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 1: like that, which I think is a little bit better
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 1: than what you get playing them to win regulation. And
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 1: now if they win by one in overtime, it'll push.
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 1: But I like Tampa here. I found them at minus
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 1: one to have a plus one sixty five on the
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: money line. I'll actually I screwed that up. Hang on,
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 1: there was a space in there. There it is, and
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 1: minus one fifty seven on the money line, plus one
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 1: sixty five on the puck line. We're gonna fade New
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 1: Jersey in this one. Even though I'm not really big
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 1: on the injured player theory situations in hockey, but this
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 1: is gonna be the second game for New Jersey after
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 1: the Hughes injury. But New Jersey, I mean, they're coming
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 1: up of a big win over Washington. I think they
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: consider that to be a big win, even though, yeah,
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 1: Tampa is an alright team, but Tampa is still kind
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 1: of I don't know, they're a team that he is
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 1: possible to overlook in a spot like this because they're
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 1: about five hundred New Jersey beating Washington pretty big win there.
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 1: That was the step up game because that was the
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 1: first game with Hughes injured because he sliced his hand
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 1: open and somehow that's going to cause him to be
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 1: out for six to eight weeks. That's crazy, dude. But
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 1: you know, as I say, injured player theory spot, when
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 1: your guy gets injured, first game with him out, you
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 1: step up your game. So maybe that was a fact
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 1: or they stepped it up. They played well. I think
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 1: coming off that game they could be in for maybe
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a letdown after that they've also
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 1: played five overtime games in a row, which is not
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 1: that easy to do. They're playing all this extra hockey,
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 1: and they do a Florida up next on Thursday, and
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 1: though they're the returning champs, man, so I think Florida
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 1: is a bigger game. They did already play both of
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 1: these teams once this year, and they beat them both.
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 1: They actually already beat Tampa on the road, and they
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 1: beat Florida at home, So I think Tampa might be
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 1: in one of these early season kind of revenge spots.
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 1: So though in this case it's both teams being at home,
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 1: but I like how this sets up better for Tampa here.
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 1: Man for sure, it will be the second game without Hughes,
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 1: So maybe in New Jersey does take a little bit
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 1: of a step back for that reason, even though I
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 1: don't put too much weight into that. A couple of
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 1: days off might also disrupt their momentum a little bit
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 1: because they've won a couple of games. Tampa, I think
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 1: they were in a very positive spot because they're staying
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 1: at home and they just took an ugly loss six
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 1: to two to Vancouver. Yes, they're playing a third game
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 1: in four days, but they had yesterday off. They're staying
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 1: at home, and I think they're gonna be angry after
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 1: that loss. And that was with Johansson in net. So
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 1: you're gonna get Vasilevsky back in net here for Tampa
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 1: most likely, So you'll get your better goalie here in
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 1: net for this one. They're gonna be focused on new Jersey.
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 1: I mean, your jersey's been really hot, so you got
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 1: to expect Tampa's gonna bounce back. But also there is
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 1: a stat where when teams are coming off horrendous home
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 1: losses by like four plus goals or something, they were
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 1: a play on team the next game in hockey, and
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 1: we did see that when that wasn't even part of
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 1: my handicap, like that specific trend wasn't in that game
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 1: where I played Tampa against Florida. But that game was,
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 1: you know, of course a playoff revenge spot for Tampa.
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 1: This one is not going to be that. But that
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 1: made it even bigger for Tampa. But I did point
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: out that they had lost ugly to the Rangers at
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 1: home in the previous game, So I think just generally,
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 1: when you have a really ugly loss by a lot
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 1: of goals at home, you do bounce back from it
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 1: in the next game, so that's what I expect here
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 1: looking at what happened in this game. There was an
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 1: empty net goal for Vancouver in this game. This game
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 1: was two to two into the third period, and then
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 1: it was three to two for a bit as well,
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 1: so the game wasn't totally out of reach. Tampa actually
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 1: dominated this game shot wise thirty to eighteen, although you
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 1: could argue that maybe that's because they started flinging up
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 1: shots towards the end, but the game was close into
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 1: the third period, so I'm not really sure I think
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 1: that that was the case. Yeah, Vancouver was the more
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 1: physical team though, out hit them and outface off them,
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 1: but still there were some indicators that that game was
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 1: not as bad for Tampa as it looked. So yeah,
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 1: I like Tampa and this one. The money seems to agree.
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 1: Tampa's already up for minus win fifty five to minus won,
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 1: sixty five, sixty four percent of tickets, eighty two percent
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Tampa. Again, you want to get
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 1: that price down, so I'm recommending the split play there
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 1: or playing it on the playing it in regulation. Still,
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 1: even though I've hated that recently, sob you like that one. Yeah, correct,
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 1: Devils five straight overtime games. Correct. A last game was
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 1: a step up game without Hughes, who is a big
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 1: component of He's a big part of their team. You're
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 1: on Tampa in regulation, I would enjoy that. If you
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 1: get it in regulation, you're gonna win. They win by
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 1: one in regulation, though, you're gonna win him. My BET's
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 1: only gonna push. But that's the one drawback of doing
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 1: it this way. But I like it. Hopefully we get
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 1: a puck line cover there and everybody wins that one.
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 1: On Tampa Islanders at Dallas. The Islanders their hot streak
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 1: did run out in their last game, And I told you,
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 1: I mean, even though I thought it was gonna happen
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 1: in the prior to games too, it finally did happen.
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 1: They got blown out by Colorado in their last game,
• 1:10:59
  Speaker 1: and I think that could maybe hang them over. Man,
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 1: when you're on a hot streak like this and you
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 1: finally lose, I think it does hang you over to
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 1: the next game. They're having to travel out of elevation
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 1: to Dallas. Normally, yeah, Dallas. I mean they're good teams,
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 1: so they're normally gonna draw your attention, which is the
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 1: one thing that kind of worries me about playing Dallas here.
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 1: But the spot doesn't look good to me, for the
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 1: Islanders could be getting tired at the end of the
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 1: road trip to the hangover spot after losing the win streak.
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 1: I think is real Dallas they're on a hot streak
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 1: as well, but they're just staying at home, although they
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 1: do have multiple days off, and you could worry a
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 1: little bit that maybe having multiple days off might kind
• 1:11:35
  Speaker 1: of disrupt their winning momentum. But this game is not
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 1: really surrounded by bigger games, and because the Islanders have
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 1: been hot, I do think Dallas will take them seriously.
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 1: So I lean to Dallas in this game. They did
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 1: drop for minus one seventy five to minus one sixty eight,
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 1: seventy one percent of tickets on the seventy one percent
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 1: of tickets on Dallas eighty three percent of the cash,
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 1: so money seems to agree with that. Right now, I
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 1: lean to Dallas Columbus at Winnipeg Columbus. They're coming off
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 1: a shootout winning from Montreal yesterday and now having to
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 1: travel to Winnipeg. So it's a third game in four
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 1: days and a fourth game in six days. The first
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 1: three of those were all at home, so but it
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 1: is a fifth game in eight days, and that in
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 1: a sixth game in ten days seventh to twelve two,
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 1: with the first three of those being on the road.
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 1: So Columbus not a very well rested team. Here's it's
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 1: seven and twelve. I'm pretty sure, right, because I think
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 1: it was it was six in ten days because they
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 1: had I don't know, maybe I did that math wrong. Yeah,
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 1: I might have done that math wrong. One two. I
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 1: think you might be right. It's it looks like it's
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 1: four days of I don't know, you might be right,
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 1: but yeah, it's a jams schedule for Columbus. They did
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 1: play yesterday. Usually I say going out on the road
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 1: is a focused spot, but and it may well be
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 1: because Winnipeg's a good team. Probably Columbus is gonna try
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 1: to focus here. But they're probably gonna bring Elvis back
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 1: in this game unless he's hurt. Is he hurt? Doesn't
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 1: look like he is, so he's probably gonna re enter
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 1: the building here in this one because they've been using grieves.
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I think it's gonna be a spot where
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 1: they're gonna have a lot of fatigue, even if they
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 1: try to be focused here. Winnipeg, though, as SOB is
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 1: pointing out, yes, Winnipeg is in a bad spot as well,
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 1: coming back from a long road trip, so I don't
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 1: love that either. Winnipeg has been on the road since Tuesday,
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 1: November fourth, They stayed basically in the Pacific time zone well,
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 1: and then they came back up towards their area coming
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 1: back home, so geographically, I mean, it's still kind of
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 1: a long trip though, because going all the way down
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 1: to southern California now back home. I always point out
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 1: when a team comes back home, they tend to be
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 1: a little bit distracted because they have to get back
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 1: to family life. And they do have a bigger game
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 1: up after this on Friday against Carolina, who's been one
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 1: of the best teams in hockey, and they beat my
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 1: Bruins yesterday, so Winnipeg might be looking ahead to that.
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 1: So this is a bad spot for both teams for
• 1:14:05
  Speaker 1: this one. Winnipeg, it looks like they're getting the money
• 1:14:07
  Speaker 1: up for minus one eighty to minus one eighty five,
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 1: probably because of the rest situation favoring Winnipeg here. Seventy
• 1:14:13
  Speaker 1: five percent of the tickets ninety one percent of the
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 1: cash on them, I can't do it. I would actually
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 1: probably go over in this game even though we have
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 1: sixty percent. I know, I know, and my over yesterday
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 1: was not correct. Stayed under in the game that I mentioned.
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 1: I like the over the Buffalo game. I think even
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 1: though it took an empty net to even get to
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 1: one goal below the under below the total there it
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 1: landed six and the total was six and a half.
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 1: But yeah, this game is six juice to the over.
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 1: But sixty percent of the tickets on the over, sixty
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 1: ve percent of the cash in the under. But again,
• 1:14:45
  Speaker 1: when it's two teams in a bad spot, you know me,
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 1: I tend to just say I think the over is
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 1: the way to go in that game. Calgary at Chicago. Uh,
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 1: for Calgary here, they're coming off a shootout loss to Winnipeg.
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 1: That's a big game, step up game for Calgary against Winnipeg.
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 1: I think they might be in the same division, big
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 1: game for them. But now they've had multiple days off
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 1: and they are going on the road to start a
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 1: road trip. So usually that is a focused spot and
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 1: having extra days off can kind of help you bust
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 1: that momentum there. So I don't hate the spot for Chicago,
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 1: even though that last game was a pretty big one
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 1: against Winnipeg. They might still show up. I don't hate
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 1: the spot for Calgary. I meant to say if I
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 1: didn't say that. But Chicago is a decent record, so
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 1: they actually might draw Calgary's focus. And they did also
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 1: just win at Calgary on November seventh, so this is
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 1: a revenge spot. And they embarrassed them in Calgary fourd
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 1: to nothing, so I think Calgary is actually gonna show
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 1: up for this one. Chicago won their last game against Toronto,
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 1: pretty big Original six matchup there. For them staying at
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 1: home a couple of days off might hurt, you know,
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 1: kind of that new momentum they might have started. I
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 1: would lean to Calgary in this game. The money seems
• 1:15:58
  Speaker 1: like it agrees with it, with Chicago up from minus
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 1: one to four to minus one to wait. But eighty
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 1: two percent of tickets, only fifty five percent of the
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 1: cash on Chicago, so Chicago's very public. And again the
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 1: ospeakers are actually telling you Calgary is the better team
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 1: because Chicago isn't even getting the full home ice here.
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 1: And you look at these records that you think that
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 1: that's insane, like it just looks way too easy to
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 1: play Chicago getting that really short price, Calgary terrible record.
• 1:16:24
  Speaker 1: Calgary has been really boud on the road though, two
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 1: eight and one on the road, Chicago four two and
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 1: two at home. I don't really want to try to
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 1: fade that, but I do lean to Calgary in that game.
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 1: And again it's one of those games where the line
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 1: just looks very strange, like Oswiger's telling you the team
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 1: with the way worse record is actually the better team.
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 1: Are pals The New York Rangers continuing to adhere to
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 1: this home road dichotomy they have. They're on the road
• 1:16:51
  Speaker 1: again now, although they're playing a third game in four
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 1: and A's, which is not that easy with two of
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 1: the games being on the road. They were at Columbus,
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 1: came back to New York, of course, won the road game,
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 1: lost the home game. Now they're going back out on
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 1: the road a day off. It's just starting. Will probably
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 1: be back in Net for this one. Probably gonna argue that,
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 1: I mean, again the Rangers on the road, but I
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 1: think it's more of a positive spot for the Rangers
• 1:17:15
  Speaker 1: than a negative because they're coming off a loss at home.
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 1: What else is new? And they're starting a road trip,
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 1: so again they just get to get out of home
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 1: forget about it, go on the road. They're playing Vegas.
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 1: That's a good team, so they probably will be focused
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 1: on Vegas. Vegas has a ton of overtime games, by
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 1: the way. For Vegas, Vegas is coming off an overtime
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 1: loss in Minnesota and coming back home that's pretty ugly loss.
• 1:17:41
  Speaker 1: Though Vegas has been on a slide, so I expect
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 1: Vegas to show up as well. Here the return home
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 1: spot for Vegas, they're playing a third game in four
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 1: days as well, and fourth game in six days, with
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 1: the middle tu being on the road. But the road
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 1: trip return, they've only been on the road since Saturday,
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 1: so it wasn't really a long road trip for them,
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 1: so I don't think that's really gonna be that much
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 1: of a factor, although they do have to go back
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 1: out on the road after this, so they may get
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 1: caught in one of those single game home stands spots
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 1: where they do have to do stuff at home and
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 1: they get a bit too distracted. The money's coming in
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 1: on the Rangers. I'm not gonna disagree with it. The
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 1: Vegas is down for minus one sixty one thirty three
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 1: on the money line, seventy six percent of the tickets,
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 1: eighty nine percent of the cash on the Rangers. The
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 1: money's saying the Rangers again. I don't disagree, correct, Hurricane
• 1:18:27
  Speaker 1: is a big game up next for Winnipeg. I believe
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 1: the Willie Nelson sung on the road again, Yeah, I mean,
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I'm not a huge Willia Nelson fan
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 1: at all, but I don't know, I could probably do it.
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 1: I'm not a huge fan of that song either, really,
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 1: I think it's overplayed and kind of boring. But yes,
• 1:18:51
  Speaker 1: Rangers are on the road, so I mean again, it's
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 1: almost like you should at this point just default to
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 1: them winning on the road. I mean, they're nine to
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 1: one to one on the road Vegas fairly bad, four
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 1: to three and three at home. So I'll agree with
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 1: the money in that one. I'll agree with the Ranger
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 1: side in that one. And then Utah, San Jose, Utah,
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 1: fuck them. They're on a back to back and they
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 1: blew the game yesterday. They had the win, would have
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 1: been a huge win at Anaheim last night. Now they're
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 1: coming off of that, they gotta face San Jose they're
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 1: on a back to back here. They got Vegas up next,
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 1: probably a look ahead spot. Looks like a pretty much
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 1: a sandwich spot with a back to back. Although Utah
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 1: did have some days off prior to yesterday, which is
• 1:19:30
  Speaker 1: why I liked them yesterday, I don't like them here
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 1: San Jose, though. I believe they're returning home from a
• 1:19:36
  Speaker 1: road trip. Yeah, so I don't love that either, even
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 1: though it wasn't a long road trip. It took them
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 1: to Minnesota, Calgary, Seattle. They've been on the road for
• 1:19:45
  Speaker 1: about a week since last Tuesday, so they're pretty rested,
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 1: which might help disrupt their losing momentum, but it also
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 1: might mean they're gonna settle back in at home and
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 1: maybe still get a little bit distracted here and still
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 1: the San Jose team at eight eight and three. I
• 1:19:59
  Speaker 1: still think they're over because they're not as good as that.
• 1:20:02
  Speaker 1: I'd still play San Jose money line if I was
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 1: gonna play this, though Utah down for minus one fifty
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 1: to minus one thirty one, fifty nine percent of the
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 1: tickets eighty five percent of the cash on San Jose.
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 1: Uh So again I agree with the money in that one.
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 1: I would play San Jose. If I was gonna play it,
• 1:20:21
  Speaker 1: you're taking the Rangers again. Uh you should be mad
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 1: at them though, right, But I agree with the Rangers
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 1: this time. I didn't agree with them in that Detroit game. Yeah,
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 1: I mean, that's this is why parlay suck. I mean,
• 1:20:32
  Speaker 1: not only do you get odds that aren't good enough
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 1: on the parlay, and that's why the books want you
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 1: to play them, but you can have like yesterday, if
• 1:20:40
  Speaker 1: I parlor in all my plays, I had a monster
• 1:20:43
  Speaker 1: day six and one by You know, if you straight
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 1: at them all, that's just an enormous day. But then
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 1: if you parley it, that one like four seconds of
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 1: game time takes down your takes down the parlay. It's ridiculous.
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 1: All right, we got to talk about NBA. I guess
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 1: or I have one play in the NBA. This is
• 1:21:00
  Speaker 1: weird stuff going on in the NBA. Let me get
• 1:21:02
  Speaker 1: some more water, as I usually tend to have to
• 1:21:04
  Speaker 1: do here, So I'll bring up the NBA board here quickly.
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 1: Not a ton of games. Then we do have college
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 1: football maction as well, which I don't have anything in
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 1: the maction, but I'll talk about that in a second.
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 1: Try to get this show done here? All right, I'm back.
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 1: What's up? Parloys are fun? Yeah, I mean yeah again.
• 1:22:33
  Speaker 1: I just can't bring myself to do it because like
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 1: I just can't bring myself to do things where I
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 1: know the odds are in my favorite I can't play roulette,
• 1:22:40
  Speaker 1: I can't play slots x's and o's on the Pistons Hawks.
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 1: I don't do anything with x's and o's. So uh, Jeffer,
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 1: you can elaborate if you want, because I don't do
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 1: anything with the x's and o's. I'm gonna give all
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 1: my play right here, right away in the NBA, my
• 1:22:58
  Speaker 1: only one. This is the final play of the day.
• 1:23:01
  Speaker 1: So yeah, best bets, baby, this is gonna make people
• 1:23:04
  Speaker 1: watch the show. Right if I just disperse all the
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 1: best bets throughout the middle of the show, we're gonna
• 1:23:09
  Speaker 1: be on the Golden State Warriors and minus three in
• 1:23:11
  Speaker 1: this one against Orlando. I think this is not a
• 1:23:14
  Speaker 1: good spot for Orlando. I've had a good gauge on
• 1:23:18
  Speaker 1: Orlando after they pulled off that upset at the Knicks.
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 1: They did fall into an injured player spot after that
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 1: with Bnchero getting injured against the Knicks, so they had
• 1:23:28
  Speaker 1: the injured player spot in their favor, I would say
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 1: in the next game, but I still faded them. I
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 1: took Brooklyn. We got the win with Brooklyn plus the points,
• 1:23:36
  Speaker 1: because I thought it was a major letdown spot for
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 1: Orlando off that Knicks upset and they had this big
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 1: game against Houston up next. So I got that right,
• 1:23:44
  Speaker 1: and then I took Orlando in the next game after
• 1:23:47
  Speaker 1: that bad performance against Brooklyn, and they got the cover
• 1:23:50
  Speaker 1: for us on Sunday, taking Houston into overtime. Now, off
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 1: of that game, coming back home, that was a huge
• 1:23:56
  Speaker 1: effort for Orlando. Remember, there's still without Bnchero here and
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 1: Suggs is a game time decision tonight. Although I'm not
• 1:24:03
  Speaker 1: gonna say that Suggs being out is gonna cause this
• 1:24:06
  Speaker 1: to be like an injured player there because I don't
• 1:24:07
  Speaker 1: think the line's gonna really move much for him being out.
• 1:24:10
  Speaker 1: But they're still without Benchero. They're coming off a game
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 1: where they took Houston to the absolute limit as big underdogs,
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 1: and now they're coming back home. Even though yeah it
• 1:24:19
  Speaker 1: is the Warriors, you would like to be focused on
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 1: the Warriors. I just think this is a bad spot. Man.
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 1: Orlando's been adhering to our zigzag the last couple of days.
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 1: So I think it's gonna happen again here a Golden State.
• 1:24:31
  Speaker 1: They're coming off an easy win over New Orleans, so
• 1:24:33
  Speaker 1: they really didn't have to exert themselves on the road
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 1: against New Orleans. I think still without Zion too, I
• 1:24:39
  Speaker 1: think they will show up for this game against Orlando.
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 1: They do have Miami up tomorrow, but Orlando, I mean,
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 1: Miami is a pretty injured team right now. A Golden
• 1:24:47
  Speaker 1: State isn't dealing with a ton of injuries right now.
• 1:24:49
  Speaker 1: It's basically just kuminga. I'm pretty sure. So I think
• 1:24:53
  Speaker 1: we're gonna we're gonna get a good one here and
• 1:24:55
  Speaker 1: against New Orleans. Let me see what the Warriors did
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 1: in this game. As far as a buddy, he actually
• 1:25:00
  Speaker 1: might be hurt too, but I mean he's more of
• 1:25:03
  Speaker 1: a role player. They actually limited Curry and Green's minutes
• 1:25:08
  Speaker 1: a little bit in this game. They played twenty eight
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 1: and twenty five minutes in the game against New Orleans
• 1:25:12
  Speaker 1: because they didn't need them to overwork themselves. So that's
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 1: actually good. So Golden State fairly deep roster, and they
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 1: gave their star players like fewer minutes than they than
• 1:25:24
  Speaker 1: they could have, right, so they're actually gonna be somewhat
• 1:25:26
  Speaker 1: decently rested here. So yeah, we're gonna go with Golden
• 1:25:30
  Speaker 1: State in this one. The money seems like it's definitely
• 1:25:32
  Speaker 1: agreeing with it, with fifty eight percent of the tickets
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 1: on the Magic people. I guess like in the points
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 1: of the Magic at home five hundred team against the
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 1: team that's barely above five hundred Warriors sitting at three
• 1:25:44
  Speaker 1: and a half right now. I did see threes out there,
• 1:25:46
  Speaker 1: though pretty abundantly. I'd probably still lay the three and
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 1: a half, though three is less key in basketball than
• 1:25:52
  Speaker 1: it is in the NFL or in football. Sixty six
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the Warriors. I like it.
• 1:25:59
  Speaker 1: That's my one play in the NBA there, which big
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 1: white guy I don't even know. I don't even know
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 1: who New Orleans has now Boston and my Boston Celtics
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 1: are at Brooklyn. I don't really have a whole lot
• 1:26:15
  Speaker 1: to say about this game. The Celtics close win against
• 1:26:19
  Speaker 1: the Clippers in their last game, maybe they have momentum
• 1:26:22
  Speaker 1: after that going out on the road. I don't think
• 1:26:24
  Speaker 1: that was a win that's gonna put them in a
• 1:26:25
  Speaker 1: letdown spot. So I guess you could argue they have
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 1: momentum here. Brooklyn Celtics are playing Brooklyn twice in a
• 1:26:32
  Speaker 1: row here in a home and home Brooklyn actually has
• 1:26:34
  Speaker 1: some positive momentum here, even though they're returning home from
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 1: a road trip. It was only a two game road
• 1:26:39
  Speaker 1: trip when they went to Orlando and Washington, so coming
• 1:26:42
  Speaker 1: back up the East Coast, they broke their four game
• 1:26:44
  Speaker 1: loss street or the win over Washington, which I think
• 1:26:47
  Speaker 1: one of you guys might have had a loss on
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 1: that one, which that sucks because I don't think I
• 1:26:52
  Speaker 1: really disagreed with the Washington side of the I think
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 1: the final market read was indicating on Brooklyn, though I
• 1:26:59
  Speaker 1: just didn't have a feel for it. Brooklyn coming back home,
• 1:27:02
  Speaker 1: I mean, it's the Boston Celtics. Brooklyn's gonna be you know,
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 1: they're gonna focus on this game just because it is
• 1:27:07
  Speaker 1: the Celtics. Celtics look either taking some of the money
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 1: though throughout from ten and a half to eleven here
• 1:27:13
  Speaker 1: ninety two tickets, ninety percent of the cash on the Celtics.
• 1:27:18
  Speaker 1: I could see it going both ways. I mean, I
• 1:27:20
  Speaker 1: can't read the game, really, I'm usually decent at reading
• 1:27:22
  Speaker 1: the Celtics, but I just don't know how to read
• 1:27:26
  Speaker 1: their win over the Clippers, Like, do the Celtics consider
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 1: that to be a game where they barely escaped and
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 1: got the win, or do they consider that to be
• 1:27:33
  Speaker 1: a big win, Because if they barely escaped, then they're
• 1:27:35
  Speaker 1: probably gonna show up with a lot of focus here.
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 1: If they don't think that that was the case, then
• 1:27:39
  Speaker 1: they're probably gonna overlook the nets, even though they play
• 1:27:42
  Speaker 1: the nets again next, So I could see that going
• 1:27:44
  Speaker 1: both ways. I don't have a good feel for it
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 1: at all. Oh, it was a fan Draymond Green got
• 1:27:51
  Speaker 1: in his face. I'll have to find the event. I
• 1:27:53
  Speaker 1: should use more videos here though it's gonna make this Uh,
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be even longer here. This video if I
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 1: start doing these shows will be even longer if I
• 1:28:03
  Speaker 1: start doing that. There's no situational angle. I mean, there's
• 1:28:06
  Speaker 1: definitely not not enough of one that I can figure
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 1: Detroit Atlanta, hear. I mean, I think Detroit's gonna be
• 1:28:14
  Speaker 1: just generally overvalued because they're twelve and two. They're really
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 1: really hot right now. They haven't lost since losing to
• 1:28:20
  Speaker 1: Cleveland on October twenty seventh, So yeah, I mean they've
• 1:28:25
  Speaker 1: been They haven't lost for like the better part of
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 1: a month. So Detroit's on a huge run here, but
• 1:28:31
  Speaker 1: they faced a somewhat easy schedule here. They haven't faced
• 1:28:35
  Speaker 1: a lot of really great opponents during that stretch, So
• 1:28:38
  Speaker 1: I do think Detroit's a bit overrated right now. I
• 1:28:42
  Speaker 1: don't know what Cunningham's status is because I don't see
• 1:28:44
  Speaker 1: him listed as one of the leaders there. He was
• 1:28:47
  Speaker 1: out against the Pacers. Let me see, last time he
• 1:28:50
  Speaker 1: played was against Washington. So yeah, Cunningham has missed three
• 1:28:55
  Speaker 1: games of first we remember that because I played them
• 1:28:56
  Speaker 1: in the injured player spot against Chicago and then since then, yeah,
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 1: he hasn't played. So is he coming back? That's gonna
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 1: be something to definitely note. I don't think he is, though.
• 1:29:10
  Speaker 1: He's a game time decisions. Let me see. I mean
• 1:29:12
  Speaker 1: that's gonna be the big thing here because Trey Young
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 1: is not coming back yet. Porzingis is a game time
• 1:29:18
  Speaker 1: decision here. I expect he's probably gonna play, though it's
• 1:29:21
  Speaker 1: a big game against the Pistons. He's a game time decision.
• 1:29:24
  Speaker 1: I'm expecting him to play. Cunning him, Yeah, I mean
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 1: there's no news on him. He was ruled out on Monday.
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 1: So is he coming back. I don't know, because maybe
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 1: they held him out. Maybe he was almost back, and
• 1:29:39
  Speaker 1: maybe they held him out because it was a back
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 1: to back situation. Detroit had a lot of rest before.
• 1:29:44
  Speaker 1: They had two games of rest, two days of rest
• 1:29:46
  Speaker 1: before yesterday's game. Easy went over the Pacers yesterday. Now
• 1:29:49
  Speaker 1: they're going out on the road. But it's a back
• 1:29:51
  Speaker 1: to back, so they did play yesterday. Now they have
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 1: no rest and they got to travel to Atlanta. If
• 1:29:57
  Speaker 1: Cunningham comes back, I'm I'm gonna say that you should
• 1:30:01
  Speaker 1: probably lean towards taking Atlanta in this game, which that
• 1:30:03
  Speaker 1: is definitely a situational angle. It would be the reverse
• 1:30:06
  Speaker 1: injured player spot on a back to back. No less
• 1:30:09
  Speaker 1: in Milwaukee up next, I think is a bigger game
• 1:30:13
  Speaker 1: for Detroit than Atlanta. I mean, they might overlook this
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 1: Trey Young list Atlanta team. Milwaukee a better team, and
• 1:30:21
  Speaker 1: I think Milwaukee's in Detroit's division, whereas Atlanta is not.
• 1:30:25
  Speaker 1: Let me see make sure of that. Yes, correct, So
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 1: that's a divisional game coming up next as well, which
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 1: I think makes that game a bit more meaningful for Atlanta.
• 1:30:37
  Speaker 1: They're played pretty well without Trey Young. You gotta give
• 1:30:39
  Speaker 1: them credit for that. Problem I have with Atlanta obviously,
• 1:30:43
  Speaker 1: as they're returning over from a road trip, though, so
• 1:30:44
  Speaker 1: I don't think I can do it. Even though so
• 1:30:47
  Speaker 1: jeff I don't know what is Jeffrey talking about. There
• 1:30:50
  Speaker 1: are some major situational angles here. It's just that they
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 1: conflict with each other. Atlanta returning over from a road trip.
• 1:30:56
  Speaker 1: They took them to the Pacific Coast. They swept the
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 1: road trip, although so the best team they played on
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 1: the road trip was Phoenix, I guess, so it wasn't
• 1:31:04
  Speaker 1: a road trip, but they faced a lot of good opponents.
• 1:31:06
  Speaker 1: But they're returning home from a road trip. They've been
• 1:31:09
  Speaker 1: away for more than a week, so that could be
• 1:31:11
  Speaker 1: a spot where you're gonna get a little bit distracted.
• 1:31:13
  Speaker 1: And it is a little bit worse because they have
• 1:31:15
  Speaker 1: to go back out on the road for a Thursday
• 1:31:17
  Speaker 1: game against the Spurs. So it's a spot where they're
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 1: gonna have to get stuff done at home and they
• 1:31:21
  Speaker 1: don't have a lot of time to do it. Are
• 1:31:23
  Speaker 1: they gonna overlook Detroit They shouldn't. I mean, Detroit is
• 1:31:27
  Speaker 1: one of the best records in basketball, maybe the best
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 1: right now. So yeah, I mean it's a very very
• 1:31:33
  Speaker 1: difficult handicap. The Hawks flip from one and a half
• 1:31:35
  Speaker 1: point dodge at one point favorite. The Pistons are gonna
• 1:31:38
  Speaker 1: be very public. I mean, you see a line like
• 1:31:40
  Speaker 1: this is just pick the winner. It looks so easy
• 1:31:43
  Speaker 1: to take the Pistons, even as a slight underdog too.
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 1: At a twelve and two record. The public's gonna line
• 1:31:48
  Speaker 1: up on the Pistons. Ninety percent of tickets, ninety nine
• 1:31:50
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the Pistons. If Cunningham is
• 1:31:54
  Speaker 1: coming back, I would lean to the Hawks in this game,
• 1:31:57
  Speaker 1: but I don't love the return home spot, so it's
• 1:31:59
  Speaker 1: a day away from me. But yeah, I mean an
• 1:32:06
  Speaker 1: honest game. I think they're both. They're both like in
• 1:32:10
  Speaker 1: bad spots, I would say, especially if it's if it's
• 1:32:13
  Speaker 1: a reverse injured player spot for Cunningham there, I think
• 1:32:18
  Speaker 1: the spot is pretty bad. Longer is better, That's what
• 1:32:22
  Speaker 1: she said Memphis at San Antonio. I mean, not for me,
• 1:32:27
  Speaker 1: it isn't. This is like, this is a grind, dude,
• 1:32:31
  Speaker 1: and I gotta get lunch and stuff. I gotta get
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 1: this thing done. I gotta get the audio of this up.
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 1: I gotta get my Instagram videos done with I could
• 1:32:38
  Speaker 1: do that a little later, although you might miss some
• 1:32:40
  Speaker 1: of the better numbers, which is why I tried to
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 1: get the college basketball ones out a little bit quicker
• 1:32:44
  Speaker 1: because they're those lines move more. Memphis on a bad
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 1: losing streak four games, but they played good opponents. Okay,
• 1:32:52
  Speaker 1: see New York, Boston, Cleveland, the last three of those
• 1:32:55
  Speaker 1: on the road. I mean, I still think Memphis is
• 1:32:57
  Speaker 1: a bit of a mess, but they just lost some
• 1:33:00
  Speaker 1: good opponents. Now they've had multiple days off to try
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 1: to break that losing momentum going down to San Antonio.
• 1:33:07
  Speaker 1: This is gonna be an injured player spot for Memphis
• 1:33:10
  Speaker 1: because John Morant got hurt again in the game against Memphis,
• 1:33:14
  Speaker 1: so it will be a spot for I think Memphis
• 1:33:16
  Speaker 1: will show or against Cleveland. Excuse me, Memphis should show
• 1:33:20
  Speaker 1: up because I think they're gonna step up their game
• 1:33:21
  Speaker 1: without Moran. I think without Morant their chemistry is actually
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 1: probably better too, and having extra days off could up
• 1:33:28
  Speaker 1: disrupt their losing momentum. So it is a positive for Memphis,
• 1:33:32
  Speaker 1: but I also think it's a positive for San Antonio.
• 1:33:35
  Speaker 1: San Antonio they're staying at home. They broke that quick
• 1:33:39
  Speaker 1: losing streak they had against Golden State by beating Sacramento.
• 1:33:43
  Speaker 1: The problem is, or maybe it's not a problem yet,
• 1:33:45
  Speaker 1: but Wemba Wemby got hurt in the game against Sacramento,
• 1:33:49
  Speaker 1: so or actually, no, he got hurt against Golden State.
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 1: I think what am I saying? I think he didn't
• 1:33:54
  Speaker 1: play in the Sacramento game. So I should have pointed
• 1:33:56
  Speaker 1: that out when I was looking at this game, but
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 1: I wasn't sure if he was gonna play or not.
• 1:34:00
  Speaker 1: He didn't play, so that was the injured player spot
• 1:34:03
  Speaker 1: for the Spurs. Actually, this is gonna be the second
• 1:34:05
  Speaker 1: game without Wemba here, so usually you take a little
• 1:34:09
  Speaker 1: bit of a step back, right, So first game without
• 1:34:11
  Speaker 1: him they played, well, he's gonna miss multiple weeks. Yeah.
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 1: The last game he played was that loss for us
• 1:34:17
  Speaker 1: on the show Bullshit, and he got hurt in the game,
• 1:34:20
  Speaker 1: which probably affected San Antonio down the stretch. If he
• 1:34:24
  Speaker 1: didn't get hurt, they probably would have won the game
• 1:34:26
  Speaker 1: bullshit for us there. But now that they stepped up
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 1: their game, they played really well without him. They might
• 1:34:32
  Speaker 1: overlook this Memphis team. It's just not been very good.
• 1:34:36
  Speaker 1: So I lean to Memphis in this game, even though
• 1:34:37
  Speaker 1: originally I was actually thinking otherwise, But I would lean
• 1:34:41
  Speaker 1: towards Memphis. The Spurs are already down from seven to six,
• 1:34:44
  Speaker 1: ninety tickets, ninety five percent of the cash on the Spurs,
• 1:34:47
  Speaker 1: public on the Spurs here, money draw, the line is dropping.
• 1:34:53
  Speaker 1: You know, this is this is close to a play
• 1:34:56
  Speaker 1: for me because of the way the injuries pan out here. Yeah,
• 1:35:00
  Speaker 1: I mean, I like Memphis in this one. Do I
• 1:35:05
  Speaker 1: want to add another play on the fly though? Like this,
• 1:35:09
  Speaker 1: I don't know if I really do, But yeah, I
• 1:35:12
  Speaker 1: mean I like Memphis here, man, because I thought it
• 1:35:15
  Speaker 1: was gonna be an injured player theory spot on both sides.
• 1:35:18
  Speaker 1: But now I'm thinking maybe I should just do it
• 1:35:23
  Speaker 1: because I hadn't handicapped it quite correctly here. So yeah,
• 1:35:27
  Speaker 1: you know what, let's do it. We'll we'll have some
• 1:35:31
  Speaker 1: additional fun here. We'll play the Grizzlies. My NBA has
• 1:35:34
  Speaker 1: been good, man, I just it kind of sucks that
• 1:35:38
  Speaker 1: we don't get a better number on this, which I think,
• 1:35:41
  Speaker 1: you know, some of it has to do with the
• 1:35:42
  Speaker 1: WEMBA uncertainty because we didn't know if he was gonna
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 1: be back or not. Obviously he isn't. But huh, it sucks.
• 1:35:49
  Speaker 1: It looks like the best you can get on this
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 1: is six though, But I mean seven is a key
• 1:35:55
  Speaker 1: number in basketball, but I mean it's you know, it's
• 1:35:58
  Speaker 1: less key than it isn't football. Well, we could still
• 1:36:01
  Speaker 1: do it. I'm gonna still do it. Memphis plus the six,
• 1:36:07
  Speaker 1: let's do it. There you go. It looks real ugly too,
• 1:36:11
  Speaker 1: like the public's gonna want san Antonio in that game.
• 1:36:16
  Speaker 1: But for Memphis, let me just make sure that it's
• 1:36:18
  Speaker 1: the injured player spot for Memphis. I'm pretty sure that
• 1:36:21
  Speaker 1: it is for John Morant. I mean, hold on, Scottie
• 1:36:29
  Speaker 1: Pippen Junior is out, by the way, our guy. Yeah,
• 1:36:33
  Speaker 1: Moran's gonna miss two weeks. He did play in that
• 1:36:35
  Speaker 1: last game on Saturday against Cleveland, so it's the injured
• 1:36:38
  Speaker 1: player spot. It'll be the first game in that recent
• 1:36:43
  Speaker 1: stretch that he's not gonna be starting. So Memphis plus
• 1:36:46
  Speaker 1: the points. Man, yep, there you go, Hell yeah, you
• 1:36:51
  Speaker 1: agree with it? Hell yeah. An innocent man got his
• 1:36:55
  Speaker 1: nose broken at the bar during the Eagles Lions game.
• 1:36:58
  Speaker 1: Eagles fans seem to be the most vine man Grizzlies
• 1:37:02
  Speaker 1: on the money line. I mean, I recommend taking the
• 1:37:04
  Speaker 1: points and putting ten percent of the bet on the
• 1:37:06
  Speaker 1: money line in that case because it's a short line.
• 1:37:09
  Speaker 1: So that's what I would do, ten percent of the
• 1:37:13
  Speaker 1: bet on the money line, ninety percent on the spread
• 1:37:15
  Speaker 1: in that one. Utah Jazz got the win for US
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 1: double overtime against Chicago. Could be a little bit gassed
• 1:37:21
  Speaker 1: after that win. They went all out to beat Chicago. Man,
• 1:37:24
  Speaker 1: even though now they have to go and play the
• 1:37:25
  Speaker 1: La Lakers on the road. So normally you will be
• 1:37:28
  Speaker 1: focused to face the Lakers here, but probably gonna get
• 1:37:33
  Speaker 1: a tired Jazz team, even though you could argue they're
• 1:37:36
  Speaker 1: gonna have momentum going out on the road. It's not
• 1:37:39
  Speaker 1: a good spot for the Lakers because they've been on
• 1:37:41
  Speaker 1: the road since Saturday, November eighth, and they're returning home
• 1:37:44
  Speaker 1: from that and they could be settled in at home
• 1:37:47
  Speaker 1: and maybe even overlook Utah because they have to go
• 1:37:49
  Speaker 1: back out and play Utah five days from now. They
• 1:37:52
  Speaker 1: might be settled in at home and maybe just take
• 1:37:54
  Speaker 1: Utah lightly and whatever. Lakers have been on this big run.
• 1:37:59
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean, it's a bad spot for the Lakers.
• 1:38:01
  Speaker 1: I just I don't love Utah coming up that double
• 1:38:03
  Speaker 1: overtime game. Man, I really don't. As far as the
• 1:38:08
  Speaker 1: Lebron situation, game time decision, is he actually gonna play? Oh? Man,
• 1:38:14
  Speaker 1: he's questionable. I'm gonna look at like roade a world
• 1:38:17
  Speaker 1: and see, because you're right, if Lebron comes back, it
• 1:38:21
  Speaker 1: could be a fade spot that the Lakers are in here.
• 1:38:23
  Speaker 1: You probably want to look to fade them. They do
• 1:38:25
  Speaker 1: have eighty eight percent of tickets, eighty percent of the
• 1:38:27
  Speaker 1: casual and then they're up from twelve to twelve and
• 1:38:28
  Speaker 1: a half. I still probably don't want to do it, though.
• 1:38:31
  Speaker 1: I mean, Utah has been awful on the road one
• 1:38:33
  Speaker 1: and five, although the Lakers are only three and two
• 1:38:36
  Speaker 1: at home and they're laying a ton of points here.
• 1:38:37
  Speaker 1: I get it. Utah's you gotta make sure. Well, we'll
• 1:38:42
  Speaker 1: see what's gonna happen with Philipowski. He's questionable. He's got
• 1:38:46
  Speaker 1: a spraying risk. They're gonna need him, man, because Utah's
• 1:38:49
  Speaker 1: missing some bodies here, so that's not great. Let me
• 1:38:54
  Speaker 1: see what we got for the Lebron situation here. Uh, Lebron,
• 1:39:00
  Speaker 1: are you coming back? Because I think he's been out
• 1:39:02
  Speaker 1: because of the gambling thing. Dude, they recalled him from
• 1:39:06
  Speaker 1: the G League full participant in Monday's practice. We won't
• 1:39:13
  Speaker 1: know yet, but yeah, if he comes back, it is
• 1:39:16
  Speaker 1: an injured player spot. But the thing is, like, will
• 1:39:18
  Speaker 1: they really give him a ton of minutes in his
• 1:39:20
  Speaker 1: first game back? They probably won't. Although he's coming back,
• 1:39:23
  Speaker 1: you might get a little bit more value on the
• 1:39:25
  Speaker 1: Jazz on the lie. But as far as like you know,
• 1:39:29
  Speaker 1: like is the team gonna I mean, maybe the team
• 1:39:31
  Speaker 1: will take a little bit of their They might take
• 1:39:33
  Speaker 1: their foot off the gas a little bit with Lebron
• 1:39:34
  Speaker 1: coming back, and maybe he has to figure out his
• 1:39:37
  Speaker 1: role again with this team. So I mean, you're right,
• 1:39:39
  Speaker 1: it will be a negative if he comes back. I
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 1: would say in that first game back, Yeah, Scotti Pippen
• 1:39:45
  Speaker 1: Junior out for bereave meant for the entire season. Man, Yeah, Lebron,
• 1:39:51
  Speaker 1: I'm the dude. Lebron is first game back, you want
• 1:39:54
  Speaker 1: to look to go under on all his props, Like
• 1:39:56
  Speaker 1: if he's coming back, it's a big thing, and you
• 1:39:58
  Speaker 1: know everybody's just gonna play over on Lebron's props with
• 1:40:01
  Speaker 1: them coming back, And I think you should play them
• 1:40:03
  Speaker 1: all under if you want to actually play them, because
• 1:40:06
  Speaker 1: you don't even know how many minutes he's gonna get,
• 1:40:07
  Speaker 1: and you know, because he's lebron his props are gonna
• 1:40:10
  Speaker 1: be inflated, So there's probably gonna be value playing them
• 1:40:13
  Speaker 1: under Phoenix at Portland. For Phoenix here, they just took
• 1:40:21
  Speaker 1: a loss. They had a nice five game win streak
• 1:40:23
  Speaker 1: and it got snapped against Atlanta. So sometimes when you
• 1:40:26
  Speaker 1: take a loss that cracks a win streak like that,
• 1:40:29
  Speaker 1: sometimes it's not a positive. They're going out on the
• 1:40:31
  Speaker 1: road for one game to Portland, so it's not really
• 1:40:33
  Speaker 1: the start of a road trip. Could be a negative
• 1:40:36
  Speaker 1: spot for Phoenix here. Man, I don't love it, but
• 1:40:38
  Speaker 1: I believe Portland is returning over from a road trip,
• 1:40:41
  Speaker 1: so I don't like that either. They've been a way
• 1:40:43
  Speaker 1: since Saturday, November eighth, they went to the East Coast
• 1:40:46
  Speaker 1: and now they're returning from Texas. Losing both games in
• 1:40:49
  Speaker 1: Texas and returning home. Could be a little bit distracted here,
• 1:40:52
  Speaker 1: and they do have to face Chicago up next, so
• 1:40:54
  Speaker 1: the Chicago's falling off, so they actually probably will be
• 1:40:57
  Speaker 1: more focused on this hot Sun team. It's in the
• 1:41:01
  Speaker 1: West Western Conference there Blazers dropped from four to two
• 1:41:05
  Speaker 1: and a half, but that might be personnel related. Seventy
• 1:41:08
  Speaker 1: eight percent to take his ninety seven percent of the
• 1:41:10
  Speaker 1: cash on the Blazers, So tough reading in that one man.
• 1:41:14
  Speaker 1: The cash percentage is on the Blazers right now, I
• 1:41:17
  Speaker 1: don't want to have anything to do with this game
• 1:41:21
  Speaker 1: as far as like who's in and who's out here
• 1:41:24
  Speaker 1: Grayson Allen and Jalen Green. Actually, Jalen Green is supposed
• 1:41:29
  Speaker 1: to come back, although well they say he's being reevaluated
• 1:41:32
  Speaker 1: in four to six weeks, so he's not coming back.
• 1:41:34
  Speaker 1: So why why does it list his Oh I thought
• 1:41:37
  Speaker 1: that said November eighteen. That was like, why is his
• 1:41:39
  Speaker 1: expected return date? Estimated return date November eighteen though it's
• 1:41:43
  Speaker 1: December eighteen, so Green is out. He's only played like
• 1:41:45
  Speaker 1: three games this year though Grayson Allen is still out,
• 1:41:49
  Speaker 1: so Phoenix is without those two guys. Some injuries. To
• 1:41:52
  Speaker 1: maybe be aware if you're on Portland side. Drew Holiday,
• 1:41:56
  Speaker 1: who's been really good for them, he's doubtful tonight. So
• 1:41:58
  Speaker 1: I think that's that's probably the main reason why the
• 1:42:01
  Speaker 1: Blazers dropped on the line there, because Holiday is gonna
• 1:42:04
  Speaker 1: be out. He's been good for them. Wish the Celtics
• 1:42:06
  Speaker 1: still had him. He didn't play in their most recent game, though,
• 1:42:11
  Speaker 1: so he was out for the previous game too, So
• 1:42:12
  Speaker 1: this isn't really an injured player spot because he did
• 1:42:15
  Speaker 1: not play in the game against Dallas either. So I
• 1:42:19
  Speaker 1: mean this game, I'm staying away from this game. There's
• 1:42:21
  Speaker 1: just a lot going on here. Let's go to college football.
• 1:42:27
  Speaker 1: The Bears number twelve in the NFL Power Rings. Yeah,
• 1:42:29
  Speaker 1: even though there point differential is negative six on the season.
• 1:42:34
  Speaker 1: The Bears, they're They're maybe the worst eight and three
• 1:42:37
  Speaker 1: team in the history of the league. Dude, the Bears suck.
• 1:42:42
  Speaker 1: They're going nowhere. I would probably. I mean, I hate
• 1:42:46
  Speaker 1: the NFL board this week. I know I said that
• 1:42:48
  Speaker 1: last week, and I came up with some pretty decent
• 1:42:50
  Speaker 1: plays last week. I hate the board even more this week.
• 1:42:52
  Speaker 1: I really don't like the NFL board at all. Fading
• 1:42:56
  Speaker 1: the Bears might be an option this week, though there
• 1:42:58
  Speaker 1: are some factors in that game where I kind of
• 1:43:02
  Speaker 1: like that idea. Let's go to this maction slate here
• 1:43:05
  Speaker 1: finishes off. This is bad, dude. You have you mass
• 1:43:08
  Speaker 1: at Ohio and this is so bad. You Mass is
• 1:43:12
  Speaker 1: so bad that Ohio is a thirty three point favorite
• 1:43:14
  Speaker 1: in this game, up from thirty two. When do you
• 1:43:16
  Speaker 1: ever see a MAC team favored by thirty something points?
• 1:43:19
  Speaker 1: This you Mass team. They don't belong in Division one.
• 1:43:22
  Speaker 1: They're gonna be back down in a lower form of
• 1:43:26
  Speaker 1: college football after this year. Fifty nine percent of tickets,
• 1:43:29
  Speaker 1: only fifty five percent of the cash on you Mass,
• 1:43:32
  Speaker 1: So you Mass is a public underdog. I think the
• 1:43:34
  Speaker 1: public is just looking at this and being like, yeah,
• 1:43:37
  Speaker 1: there's no way I'm gonna lay thirty three here. But
• 1:43:40
  Speaker 1: I mean for this, I mean, I don't think you
• 1:43:42
  Speaker 1: could lay thirty three with Ohio though. I mean, I
• 1:43:45
  Speaker 1: know how bad you Mass is, but I mean, come on,
• 1:43:47
  Speaker 1: that line is just so crazy. Jeffery things for hanging out, man,
• 1:43:52
  Speaker 1: I'll see you on the next show Man tomorrow morning,
• 1:43:55
  Speaker 1: I think because Wednesday's basketball. Yeah, Wednesday's basketball slate I
• 1:43:59
  Speaker 1: think has some bigger games on it, but there are
• 1:44:00
  Speaker 1: fewer games, so we'll see how that works. But yeah,
• 1:44:04
  Speaker 1: for this U Mass in Ohio game, CBS Sports at seven.
• 1:44:08
  Speaker 1: Unfortunately it's televised. U Mass still hasn't won a game,
• 1:44:12
  Speaker 1: so I mean, will that motivate them, I guess. I mean,
• 1:44:15
  Speaker 1: you don't want to have an embarrassing season where you
• 1:44:17
  Speaker 1: lose every single game, so I think they might show
• 1:44:21
  Speaker 1: up and try. I mean, they got embarrassed in these
• 1:44:24
  Speaker 1: last two primetime games too, including one at home forty
• 1:44:27
  Speaker 1: five to three to a Northern Illinois team they can't
• 1:44:29
  Speaker 1: even score. But man, I mean this U mass team
• 1:44:33
  Speaker 1: is just that bad. So I mean, I think it's
• 1:44:36
  Speaker 1: a little bit crazy. Don't want to put your money
• 1:44:38
  Speaker 1: on them. Ohio took a pretty difficult loss last week
• 1:44:41
  Speaker 1: on Tuesday against Western Michigan as far as you Mass
• 1:44:44
  Speaker 1: by the way they played last Wednesday, so they actually
• 1:44:48
  Speaker 1: have one fewer day of rest compared to Ohio. Here,
• 1:44:51
  Speaker 1: Ohio got Bowl eligibility again, but I think they had
• 1:44:54
  Speaker 1: their site set bigger man. I think Ohio they're trying
• 1:44:58
  Speaker 1: to get to the MAC Championship again here man, because
• 1:45:00
  Speaker 1: they were in it last year and I believe they
• 1:45:03
  Speaker 1: won it last year. So I think they do have
• 1:45:05
  Speaker 1: a goal to try to win the MAC, and they
• 1:45:07
  Speaker 1: could still do it. I mean, they're third in the
• 1:45:09
  Speaker 1: MAC right now. They have the same record in the
• 1:45:12
  Speaker 1: conference as Central Michigan. The only team above them is
• 1:45:15
  Speaker 1: Western Michigan. But that was a big game for Ohio
• 1:45:18
  Speaker 1: against Western Michigan last week, and we had a winner
• 1:45:20
  Speaker 1: here on the show with Western Michigan. U Mass is
• 1:45:23
  Speaker 1: definitely gonna be a step down from that. And this
• 1:45:25
  Speaker 1: is Ohio's final home game, So I don't like to
• 1:45:28
  Speaker 1: fade teams in their senior day because they're probably gonna
• 1:45:31
  Speaker 1: show up. Although I know they're off a difficult loss
• 1:45:33
  Speaker 1: against Western Michigan. That was a difficult game, but Ohio
• 1:45:36
  Speaker 1: will show up. I mean they'll try to get this game.
• 1:45:38
  Speaker 1: I mean, it's not gonna take much effort. I don't
• 1:45:40
  Speaker 1: think to win a game against U Mass. But they're
• 1:45:43
  Speaker 1: still trying to win the mac here. Ohio is still
• 1:45:47
  Speaker 1: trying to get back to that championship. And their quarterback
• 1:45:50
  Speaker 1: is a senior, Parker Navarro, So the senior day aspect,
• 1:45:54
  Speaker 1: if this doesn't matter a little bit more to them.
• 1:45:56
  Speaker 1: Do I want to lay thirty three? No, don't have
• 1:46:00
  Speaker 1: anything to do with the total. No, the money's coming
• 1:46:04
  Speaker 1: in on the over and it's up to fifty three.
• 1:46:06
  Speaker 1: But I mean, you Mass is a team that just
• 1:46:08
  Speaker 1: can't score, So I mean, if you want the over
• 1:46:11
  Speaker 1: to happen, you, mass is gonna have to do some
• 1:46:13
  Speaker 1: scoring for their part, and they might not be able
• 1:46:15
  Speaker 1: to do it. So yeah, I mean that game is
• 1:46:19
  Speaker 1: definitely a stay away. That game is horrendous. Acron at
• 1:46:23
  Speaker 1: Bowling Green. It's a competitively lined game. At least Bowling
• 1:46:29
  Speaker 1: Green down for three and a half to three. Here,
• 1:46:30
  Speaker 1: Bowling Green looks like they're taking the cash. Those sixty
• 1:46:33
  Speaker 1: of the cash on them, So maybe maybe it was
• 1:46:35
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a setup to try to get
• 1:46:37
  Speaker 1: Bowling Green off of that key number three and a
• 1:46:39
  Speaker 1: half down to three without the hook. Seventy six percent
• 1:46:42
  Speaker 1: of the tickets on Akron, and the money looks like
• 1:46:46
  Speaker 1: it came in a little bit on the under, even
• 1:46:47
  Speaker 1: though that looks like the cash percentage actually is less
• 1:46:50
  Speaker 1: on the under now but pretty low total of forty
• 1:46:53
  Speaker 1: seven with some money showing on the under a little
• 1:46:55
  Speaker 1: bit this game. I don't really have a whole lot
• 1:46:58
  Speaker 1: to say about the under or about the total. I
• 1:47:01
  Speaker 1: should say I don't think either of these teams can
• 1:47:03
  Speaker 1: become Bowl eligible. This is actually Akron's last game of
• 1:47:06
  Speaker 1: the season, and they lost their senior night senior night
• 1:47:10
  Speaker 1: game against Kent State. I mean, that is bad, dude,
• 1:47:13
  Speaker 1: I mean Kent State. I've been talking about how they're overperforming.
• 1:47:16
  Speaker 1: Kent State got their fourth win even though they're actually
• 1:47:19
  Speaker 1: not that good. This is a big rivalry game Kent
• 1:47:23
  Speaker 1: State and Akron. They're both in Ohio, so I think
• 1:47:27
  Speaker 1: Kent State did step step up their effort in this game.
• 1:47:29
  Speaker 1: But if you look at how they won this game,
• 1:47:32
  Speaker 1: they shouldn't have won it. Dude. Akron out gained them
• 1:47:35
  Speaker 1: five point thirty to three seventy four and only lost
• 1:47:38
  Speaker 1: by seven in overtime. I mean, come on, man, Kent
• 1:47:41
  Speaker 1: State was actually blowing them out, I think in the
• 1:47:43
  Speaker 1: second half at one point. But Akron should have won
• 1:47:46
  Speaker 1: this game based on the statistics, man, I mean, I
• 1:47:48
  Speaker 1: don't know how they lost this game. They out first
• 1:47:50
  Speaker 1: down Kent State thirty three to thirteen, they had fewer penalties,
• 1:47:54
  Speaker 1: and they outpossessed them thirty eight to twenty one. I mean, statistically,
• 1:47:59
  Speaker 1: Akron lou this Kent State team out and they actually
• 1:48:02
  Speaker 1: lost the game outright as favorites on Senior Night. So
• 1:48:05
  Speaker 1: I actually think that will motivate Akron coming into this game,
• 1:48:08
  Speaker 1: because you don't want to end your season on a
• 1:48:10
  Speaker 1: note like that. And they look way worse than they
• 1:48:12
  Speaker 1: actually were. I know, Bowling Green is a bit tougher
• 1:48:15
  Speaker 1: than Kent State is, even though they have a worse record.
• 1:48:19
  Speaker 1: Bowling Green a little bit, a little bit better defensively.
• 1:48:21
  Speaker 1: Bowling Green is gonna show up too. They haven't played
• 1:48:23
  Speaker 1: since last Saturday. I think Akron has less rest than
• 1:48:27
  Speaker 1: Bowling Green does because Akron played on Tuesday last week,
• 1:48:32
  Speaker 1: and the extra rest could help Bowling Green because they've
• 1:48:34
  Speaker 1: lost four games in a row. So Bowling Green they
• 1:48:39
  Speaker 1: do have reason to show up in this game. Probably
• 1:48:41
  Speaker 1: not gonna really be focused on playing you mass to
• 1:48:44
  Speaker 1: end the season. Bowling Green, they're not gonna make a bowl.
• 1:48:46
  Speaker 1: The best they can get to his five wins. I
• 1:48:50
  Speaker 1: know occasionally some five win teams can petition to get
• 1:48:53
  Speaker 1: into a bowl game, but usually those are like big
• 1:48:55
  Speaker 1: conference teams that are gonna have a lot of fans
• 1:48:58
  Speaker 1: show up. I see both teams showing up in this game, man,
• 1:49:02
  Speaker 1: so I'm gonna stay away. I mean, I actually lean
• 1:49:07
  Speaker 1: towards taking the points with the Akron here if you
• 1:49:08
  Speaker 1: force my hand on this, but I don't want to
• 1:49:10
  Speaker 1: play the game at all. I mean, if both teams
• 1:49:13
  Speaker 1: do show up, I could see the under being the case,
• 1:49:15
  Speaker 1: especially after Akron played a crazy ice scoring game last week.
• 1:49:19
  Speaker 1: The under seems to make a bit more sense than
• 1:49:21
  Speaker 1: this one. A Bowling Green definitely better defensively than Kent
• 1:49:25
  Speaker 1: State is, and then Western Michigan is at Illinois, that
• 1:49:28
  Speaker 1: Akron Bowling Green games on ESPN U and Western Michigan
• 1:49:31
  Speaker 1: in Northern Illinois and ESPN two to finish this off here.
• 1:49:36
  Speaker 1: Western Michigan just got that big win over Ohio Man,
• 1:49:39
  Speaker 1: but that was their scenidor night as well, was a
• 1:49:41
  Speaker 1: big win, so you could argue they're gonna be in
• 1:49:43
  Speaker 1: a letdown spot here, but they are still trying to
• 1:49:46
  Speaker 1: get into the MATT Championship and there's still only one
• 1:49:49
  Speaker 1: game ahead of really five different teams, so they can't
• 1:49:52
  Speaker 1: really afford to take a loss. So they do just
• 1:49:55
  Speaker 1: love to show up. Focus though it would be I
• 1:49:57
  Speaker 1: think big for them. I don't think they really thought
• 1:50:00
  Speaker 1: they could make the MAC Championship coming into this season,
• 1:50:02
  Speaker 1: but now that they are on the verge of doing so,
• 1:50:05
  Speaker 1: I think they will show up for that reason. For
• 1:50:09
  Speaker 1: Northern Illinois. Northern Illinois just playing out the stretch here,
• 1:50:11
  Speaker 1: They're not going to make a bowl, so I think
• 1:50:13
  Speaker 1: they will consider this to be a big game. It
• 1:50:15
  Speaker 1: is not their final home game though they're on a
• 1:50:17
  Speaker 1: short week. They last played last Wednesday, whereas Western Michigan
• 1:50:20
  Speaker 1: played on Tuesday, so Western Michigan does have one extra
• 1:50:23
  Speaker 1: day off. Northern Illinois not their senior day because they
• 1:50:27
  Speaker 1: actually play on Friday at noon on November twenty eighth.
• 1:50:31
  Speaker 1: It's gonna be one of those holiday games on Black Friday,
• 1:50:34
  Speaker 1: I guess, because that's what people want to watch while
• 1:50:36
  Speaker 1: they're in a food coma after Thanksgiving. Wait, is that
• 1:50:41
  Speaker 1: Thanksgiving or is that the week after day? I don't
• 1:50:42
  Speaker 1: even know what Thanksgiving is now, I apologize, but whatever,
• 1:50:46
  Speaker 1: It's Friday, November twenty eighth. They have this weird noon
• 1:50:48
  Speaker 1: time game against Kids State. For some reason, maybe they'll
• 1:50:54
  Speaker 1: focus more on Western Michigan though, because Western Michigan's been
• 1:50:56
  Speaker 1: a good, you know, pretty good team, Northern Illinois has
• 1:50:58
  Speaker 1: the ability to play spoiler. As far as that's concerned.
• 1:51:04
  Speaker 1: Northern ILLINOI is getting a lot of points. Western Michigan
• 1:51:07
  Speaker 1: up from six to seven. Eighty three percent of the
• 1:51:09
  Speaker 1: tickets on them, but fifty nine percent of the cash
• 1:51:11
  Speaker 1: coming into Northern Illinois. That is a lot of points
• 1:51:13
  Speaker 1: to lay for Western Michigan for an offense that is
• 1:51:16
  Speaker 1: not very prolific. Western Michigan's is not. Northern Illinois is
• 1:51:20
  Speaker 1: a bad offense too. They just run the football pretty much.
• 1:51:23
  Speaker 1: But both teams are okay defensively. And this is a
• 1:51:25
  Speaker 1: low total at thirty eight and a half, So I
• 1:51:27
  Speaker 1: think the taking the points at home does make sense
• 1:51:30
  Speaker 1: to me with Northern Illinois because you're getting more value
• 1:51:33
  Speaker 1: at the points. But the under also makes sense, even
• 1:51:36
  Speaker 1: though I know it seems crazy to go under that
• 1:51:38
  Speaker 1: low of a total. This looks like it's gonna be
• 1:51:40
  Speaker 1: an ugly game. Man. These are two really bad offenses
• 1:51:43
  Speaker 1: and at least one good defense in Western Michigan. I
• 1:51:46
  Speaker 1: think Northern Illinois defense isn't terrible either. Money is showing
• 1:51:49
  Speaker 1: on the under sixty percent of tickets, nine percent of
• 1:51:51
  Speaker 1: the cash on the under in that game. I probably
• 1:51:54
  Speaker 1: prefer the under to the side that's gonna do it.
• 1:51:58
  Speaker 1: Don't love those MAC games. Have a few plays today
• 1:52:01
  Speaker 1: once again, basketball, we got Eastern Michigan as a pick
• 1:52:04
  Speaker 1: em or money line. You might be able to get
• 1:52:06
  Speaker 1: plus one whatever. We'll see pepper nine minus the points,
• 1:52:10
  Speaker 1: but that line is moving. Basketball NBA, we got Golden
• 1:52:13
  Speaker 1: State Warriors minus the points, Memphis plus the points, and
• 1:52:17
  Speaker 1: then in NHL, we're gonna roll with split bet minus one.
• 1:52:21
  Speaker 1: Form your own pock line on the lightning and that's
• 1:52:26
  Speaker 1: gonna do a baby. I appreciate it. Thanks for hanging out.
• 1:52:28
  Speaker 1: Learn a Tone on Twitter, Learn it Tone on Instagram.
• 1:52:33
  Speaker 1: We got the show on audio as well, Spotify and Apple.
• 1:52:36
  Speaker 1: So if you give me a good review over there
• 1:52:38
  Speaker 1: and listen, that helps me out. Like and subscribe to
• 1:52:40
  Speaker 1: the channel here. Tell everybody how hot I've been recently.
• 1:52:43
  Speaker 1: And I shaved my head, so I'm also hot physically
• 1:52:46
  Speaker 1: again as well. And my beard's grown back in, so
• 1:52:49
  Speaker 1: I'm turning back into the sexy version of me that
• 1:52:51
  Speaker 1: doesn't look like a fat, ugly baby. So there you go, baby, Yeah, Like, subscribe,
• 1:52:57
  Speaker 1: leave good comments, tell people about it. Ma'am. We're on
• 1:53:01
  Speaker 1: a nice run right now and I want to continue it.
• 1:53:03
  Speaker 1: We're gonna wind up with a pretty good year. Actually,
• 1:53:06
  Speaker 1: as far as tracking, like whether I'm up or down
• 1:53:08
  Speaker 1: on the year, we're far up enough that we're gonna
• 1:53:11
  Speaker 1: be up for the season or up for the year.
• 1:53:12
  Speaker 1: It's just a matter of how much. And it's gonna
• 1:53:15
  Speaker 1: be a decent year, let's put it that way. After
• 1:53:17
  Speaker 1: last year was a loser, but the two years prior
• 1:53:20
  Speaker 1: were both really really good for me. So this is
• 1:53:22
  Speaker 1: gonna be possibly in the range of the twenty twenty
• 1:53:26
  Speaker 1: two year that I have, which was not as good
• 1:53:28
  Speaker 1: as twenty twenty three, but good. So that's a really
• 1:53:31
  Speaker 1: nice turnaround. Yay me, I guess so looking good. I
• 1:53:36
  Speaker 1: also have a yuke channel covered in yuke on YouTube.
• 1:53:39
  Speaker 1: Maybe I want to consolidate. I don't know. I'm thinking
• 1:53:41
  Speaker 1: about maybe starting to advertise or not average. I starting
• 1:53:44
  Speaker 1: to review non alcoholic beer as a sober man who
• 1:53:48
  Speaker 1: still wants to participate in the craft. I got some
• 1:53:51
  Speaker 1: of my fridge. I'm I gotta point back, but yeah,
• 1:53:54
  Speaker 1: this way there you go. You see that fridge behind me,
• 1:53:57
  Speaker 1: got some of it in there, even though it's a
• 1:53:59
  Speaker 1: mini phrase, which, by the way, I had to. I
• 1:54:02
  Speaker 1: brought that fridge by myself up two flights of stairs,
• 1:54:05
  Speaker 1: by the way, and hurt my back and arms in
• 1:54:08
  Speaker 1: the process. That was that was fun, but I did it.
• 1:54:12
  Speaker 1: I also have a floor above me too that I
• 1:54:15
  Speaker 1: was gonna try to bring it up there or two.
• 1:54:17
  Speaker 1: But it's my attic is unfinished, though unfortunately would be
• 1:54:19
  Speaker 1: a sweet attic, would be sick, a sick man cave.
• 1:54:25
  Speaker 1: I don't know, but I probably have to sell this house,
• 1:54:27
  Speaker 1: so whatever. But anyway, Yes, if non alcoholic beer reviews
• 1:54:32
  Speaker 1: are gonna be something, seems like a niche that's untapped
• 1:54:35
  Speaker 1: pun intended, So maybe I'll do that. I also have
• 1:54:37
  Speaker 1: a patron patron dot com slash and learn the toad,
• 1:54:40
  Speaker 1: and there you can get a Spotify feet of my
• 1:54:42
  Speaker 1: yuke stuff and uh request stuff which will show up
• 1:54:46
  Speaker 1: on the covered in yuke channel. And on Twitter you're
• 1:54:50
  Speaker 1: saying hot sauce. I mean, I don't know, man, hot sauce.
• 1:54:55
  Speaker 1: I got a lot of hot sauces. I I don't
• 1:54:58
  Speaker 1: know for some reason. Yeah, I mean maybe hot sauce.
• 1:55:01
  Speaker 1: I would want to like be like high on the
• 1:55:03
  Speaker 1: hot sauce or something, or just you know, feeling the
• 1:55:06
  Speaker 1: effects of the hot sauce and like review something. Additionally,
• 1:55:08
  Speaker 1: while I'm on the hot sauce, call it hot takes,
• 1:55:11
  Speaker 1: although probably somebody already has that as a name my
• 1:55:14
  Speaker 1: non alcoholic beer review channel. If I do, it would
• 1:55:17
  Speaker 1: be called the Sober Lord, which I tweeted that out.
• 1:55:20
  Speaker 1: It's a good name. I think we'll see, because I'm
• 1:55:23
  Speaker 1: getting some na beer coming in man, so I can
• 1:55:27
  Speaker 1: enjoy it and relax a little bit and have no
• 1:55:30
  Speaker 1: hangover effects. How about that no hangover spot for me?
• 1:55:34
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it. Do hot sauce and beer in
• 1:55:38
  Speaker 1: the same review. Yeah, I mean maybe. But the thing
• 1:55:43
  Speaker 1: I don't like about that is hot sauce will like
• 1:55:45
  Speaker 1: wreck your palate, so you want you want to have
• 1:55:47
  Speaker 1: a clean palate when you do beer. So I don't know.
• 1:55:50
  Speaker 1: I guess I could do the beer first, clean cleanse
• 1:55:53
  Speaker 1: my palate, and then do the hot sauce. I don't know.
• 1:55:56
  Speaker 1: I'm thinking about it. That's gonna do it for now.
• 1:55:58
  Speaker 1: I gotta get this show out, gotta eat some lunch.
• 1:56:00
  Speaker 1: Thanks guys, peace for now.