Latest / AST SpaceMobile Podcast / Anpanman - Need for Speed: Bluebird 6 and the Race for 5G Space Dominance
Transcript
- 0:06This is the AST Space Mobile podcast.
- 0:10Where we just basically turn the phone be seamless, regardless of
- 0:14where you are. We don't want the user even to
- 0:16know that it's connected by satellite.
- 0:21Listen, the opportunity that we have is very, very, very large.
- 0:27Hey everyone and thanks for joining.
- 0:29I wanted to fire fire up a space and just talk about ASD 6 mobile
- 0:35quickly because I think the tweet overnight definitely is
- 0:39worthy of discussion. And so for those that don't
- 0:42know, yesterday this company HEO Space published a photo which
- 0:50they took of Bluebird 6 with the antenna array fully deployed.
- 0:54You can see the large phased array in the foreground and then
- 0:58in the back of the tuna can that we call it, you can see a bit a
- 1:02bit of the tail. And so what's great is that now
- 1:07we obviously have visual confirmation.
- 1:09Probably, you know, the company would have preferred not to have
- 1:13had this image out there because I think the, the fully deployed
- 1:17satellite, they would have probably have liked to have kept
- 1:20under wraps for as long as possible.
- 1:22Just from a competitive perspective.
- 1:25Although you can assume that any competitor that wanted to get a
- 1:29look at this thing probably could pay any number of
- 1:33companies to get a picture of it.
- 1:36And I'm sure the Chinese have analyzed it very closely with
- 1:39the, the various space assets that they have.
- 1:42But but yeah, it was great to see the, the satellite out there
- 1:46in space. And then we were fortunate
- 1:49enough to get HD Space Mobile to retweet it.
- 1:52Obviously the cat's out of the bag.
- 1:53So they decided, hey, let's just go ahead and go with this and
- 1:57we'll, we'll turn this into a cool tweet.
- 2:01And so they, importantly, they talked about the fact that they,
- 2:06they gave a hint as to the performance of these Block 2
- 2:11satellites. And so in the tweet, they say
- 2:14take a peek at Bluebird 6, the largest commercial
- 2:16communications array in Leo, a seed from space, 2400 square
- 2:20feet designed to connect directly to everyday
- 2:22smartphones, expected to greatly exceed 120 megabits per second
- 2:26peak data speeds. And so I wanted to talk about
- 2:29that in particular, especially in light of SpaceX coming out
- 2:34very publicly at Mobile World Congress talking about achieving
- 2:39potential 150 megabits per second, 150 megabits per second
- 2:45peak speeds for their V2 satellites.
- 2:48And so, you know, this is something that they pounded the
- 2:52table on. And then of course, the, the
- 2:54company's proxies, which of course AST has proxies as well,
- 2:58which are, which are people like me.
- 3:01But some of the X proxies for SpaceX, you know, they, they
- 3:06pushed out that information, which was a bit, you know, I
- 3:10would say not fully accurate because then I, you know, the,
- 3:14the folks that were pushing this information were saying that
- 3:17individual users could get 150 megabits per second, you know,
- 3:22peak data speeds, which is true if there's only one user in a
- 3:26cell. But then if there are multiple
- 3:27users in the cell, then they would have to divide that speed
- 3:29amongst them. It's just like the analogy would
- 3:32be, you know, cable Internet, if everybody in your neighborhood
- 3:36is using it, then the speeds go down because that the throughput
- 3:40for a particular part of the neighborhood is shared.
- 3:42And so obviously not everybody is, is on the Internet at the
- 3:46same time or they're not doing something super data intensive.
- 3:50And so it's rare that you will really feel the pinch, you know,
- 3:55if, if a bunch of people are using it all the same time, most
- 3:59unless you're streaming something.
- 4:01But even then, for example, on your phone, if you're watching
- 4:04video, that's typically, you know, degrade it down.
- 4:07Maybe it's standard definition because on the small screen, you
- 4:09don't need obviously the high resolution.
- 4:13But but yeah, this, this disclosure from AST, they, they
- 4:17talked about expectations to greatly exceed 120 megabits per
- 4:22second. And by the way, AST is under the
- 4:24same constraints. That's 120 megabits per second
- 4:27within a cell, right? And so within that cell, that
- 4:32footprint, if there's like 5 users, then they're, they're not
- 4:35going to get unless 1, you know, 1 user is, is doing something
- 4:39and the other four are, are reading, but they don't need
- 4:41the, you know, it's not drawing data demands.
- 4:43Then they would get under 20 megabits per second peak speeds.
- 4:46But if all five are using at the same time, then you would have
- 4:49to divide that capacity by all 5.
- 4:53But the disclosure they think key thing that I'm interested in
- 4:56and this is by the way, this, this 120 megabits per second
- 4:58figure is something that the company has you know, or
- 5:03disclosed and and presented at length for a number of years.
- 5:07And in order to achieve that, you obviously need additional
- 5:11spectrum, right? Because at least for now, what's
- 5:14disclosed is that we're, we're currently around 4/4 bits per
- 5:19Hertz in terms of throughput, but that's expected to improve.
- 5:23And I'll talk a bit more about that.
- 5:25But you know, 120 megabits is something that they kind of
- 5:29viewed as the standard that they're looking to achieve.
- 5:32That said, there are other technologies out there that the
- 5:36company will bring to bear, which is like MIMO where you
- 5:39utilize 2 satellites to increase capacity and throughput for
- 5:45specific cells. So they're both beaming down to
- 5:48that cell. Then you also have carrier
- 5:50aggregation. What does that mean?
- 5:52You're actually sewing together a bunch of different spectrum
- 5:56and if your phone has the ability to do carrier
- 5:58aggregation, then you know, then then you can achieve even
- 6:02higher, higher speeds. And so, you know, AST space
- 6:05mobile satellites can do two of those things together to
- 6:09increase throughput, right. And so, but besides that, you
- 6:13know, there are other technologies like Cohere, which
- 6:16is using different frequency, you know, adjustments where they
- 6:22can potentially increase throughput of terrestrial and
- 6:24satellite networks, you know, several multiples.
- 6:28But this disclosure last night, though, it's unclear what
- 6:33they're referring to, you know, what technology would be used to
- 6:37greatly exceed 120 megabits per second.
- 6:39It may just be that the satellite, the performance is
- 6:43going to be higher an individual satellite.
- 6:45And so that's what I wanted to focus on where this disclosure,
- 6:49you know, perhaps, and this would be a master class type of
- 6:52move, but for AST to kind of stick with 120 and just, you
- 6:56know, keep keep pounding the table on that.
- 7:00It would be really funny if that's that was part of the
- 7:03plan. Like we're going to keep pushing
- 7:041:20. And then of course, you know,
- 7:06SpaceX, not to be outdone Starlink says, hey, we're going
- 7:08to do 150 when in fact in their back pocket AST is like actually
- 7:13the real number is 200, but we're not going to we're not
- 7:15going to spring that on everyone until the the constellations up
- 7:18and running. And that's that's actually a
- 7:20possibility, right. And so going back to what let,
- 7:23let's talk about SpaceX and Starling for a second.
- 7:25So for Starling to achieve right now, I think they get around 4
- 7:29megabits per second or six megabits per second per cell to
- 7:32be shared by all users with their current generation direct
- 7:35to cell satellites. It was called MV one.
- 7:39They have a very small phased ray.
- 7:40It's like 2.5 meters by 2.5 meters around there, but they're
- 7:46really, you know, crappy service.
- 7:47It's minimally viable product, right?
- 7:50It's it's for texting low band data.
- 7:52Even recently the I forgot what the advertising association is
- 7:57association is called but T-Mobile has because of
- 8:00complaints they had to walk back their claims, right that they
- 8:03can do broadband data or any of this stuff.
- 8:06But but they're going to be coming out with this V2
- 8:08satellite. It's much bigger.
- 8:10And so it's kind of funny because the industry used to be
- 8:12like, hey, we don't need something big and what ASD is
- 8:15doing is terrifying. But then everybody is moving
- 8:17towards bigger satellites because that's what you need in
- 8:20order to communicate to a low powered antenna in your phone.
- 8:24You're going to need a very large aperture that's
- 8:26high-powered and can beam down very accurate and effective, you
- 8:32know, signals to your phone. And so Starlink is moving.
- 8:37They're, they're, they're developing this new satellite
- 8:40called V2. It's going to have a 5m by 5m
- 8:43array, so much bigger, but not as big obviously as what AST is
- 8:47wielding. And this is either going to have
- 8:5220 kilowatts of power generation versus what AST is doing today,
- 8:55which is 100 call it's called 100.
- 8:58But that's how like it's going to be better, right?
- 8:59And there, but it's going to still have a regenerated
- 9:03architecture. It's the all the brains and
- 9:05processing that, you know, be is going to happen in the
- 9:09satellite. And then we believe that they're
- 9:11going to try to do software based fix cells and and and try
- 9:17to compete at that level, right. And so there's going to be some
- 9:20compromises as always with their architecture.
- 9:23And because it's obviously they want to, I guess they want to
- 9:27keep it backwards compatible with 30 they already have in
- 9:30orbit. But to achieve 150 megabits per
- 9:32second peak speed, it's going to require an entirely new
- 9:35satellite, right? And it's going to that's all it
- 9:38requires and doesn't have the novel unfolding mechanism has
- 9:43kind of a more traditional unfurling type of solar panels.
- 9:48And then the phased ray gets, I think it's within the satellite,
- 9:53but then it gets pushed out and maybe it unfolds in a certain
- 9:55way. But but that satellite is, is
- 10:00going to need Starship to be fully functional and, you know,
- 10:03on a commercial cadence to get launched.
- 10:05And so it's going to take time for them to get there, right,
- 10:08150 whereas the satellites where we're pushing out today,
- 10:11granted, you know, it's, it's taking quite a while, but the
- 10:14block 2 satellites are already going to be at this 120 megabits
- 10:18per second peak speeds. But then last night we were told
- 10:21expected to greatly exceed that. And so the first question you
- 10:25have to ask yourself and for me, having been a former investment
- 10:30banker and advice companies on MA deals and, and when you do
- 10:33that, you're always and you know it also public disclosures,
- 10:37whether it's earnings or other type of events, you're always
- 10:42asking your general counsel and your outside legal counsel, what
- 10:46is the threshold of materiality, right.
- 10:48And so if I make a claim and I'm a publicly traded company, what
- 10:54is the threshold of what is material?
- 10:57What's not material? You know, do you say greatly,
- 11:01you know, materially significant, all these different
- 11:04type of adjectives where if you go to a, you know, a legal
- 11:11advisor, scat in arms, you pick any number of these, you know,
- 11:15corporate attorneys, you would ask them, you know, what, what's
- 11:18what's permissible? Like what, what's going to, what
- 11:20can we say that's not going to get us into trouble, right?
- 11:23And, and maybe, you know, for us to not get sued.
- 11:26And so when going back through what was disclosed last night, I
- 11:31kind of went through the exercise of what I used to do as
- 11:33a banker. It's like, OK, what does
- 11:35greatly, what threshold legal level would would a internal
- 11:40general corporate counsel be comfortable with you saying
- 11:43greatly exceeds 120 megabits per second, right?
- 11:47And so just to give you some idea of levels, right, like
- 11:50let's say the service, what could get to 140 megabits per
- 11:56second like that would give you. So that's like 20% higher than
- 11:59120 that would meet the materiality threshold.
- 12:03But is it would be very thin. It would be moderate, like
- 12:05you're still opening yourself up for legal, you know,
- 12:09implications because you're saying greatly exceeds and then
- 12:12and then 100 and 4400, call it 150.
- 12:16That really is like moderately exceeds.
- 12:18It doesn't really meet the threshold.
- 12:22And so I think if you were an attorney that was kind of fast
- 12:25and loose, so you you might say, OK, well, yeah, you can go out
- 12:28with those words. But if you were a, a good
- 12:33practicing attorney, you would say, no, that doesn't you, you
- 12:35can't go out and say greatly exceeds if, if it's only 140
- 12:39where you start getting into the realm of comfort where you could
- 12:42say, OK, yeah, that, that greatly exceeds.
- 12:45I think 180 would be defensible. Like, you know, 50% higher than
- 12:49120 would be greatly. That would be kind of Fair and
- 12:54seem like a proper characterization of technical
- 12:58superiority. And so that could fit.
- 13:00But then I think we're, and then if you, if you're a really
- 13:05conservative attorney, you might say, OK, if you, if you're going
- 13:08to say greatly exceeds, then then you have to prove to me or
- 13:12you have to be all comfortable or the road map has to show or
- 13:15the satellites currently do this, that they can get to call
- 13:19it north of 200, right? 200-222-3240.
- 13:24And so that's why this disclosure last night, I think
- 13:26is really important because the company is like very careful
- 13:31about some of these these claims, right?
- 13:35On the one hand, obviously you know, they're they're doing
- 13:37their best in terms of meeting timing deadlines for launch and
- 13:41production. But when it comes to these type
- 13:43of claims, like I think they're very careful, right?
- 13:46And so to make the claim that greatly exceeds 120, I think
- 13:51you're probably looking at 180 megabits is kind of the low end
- 13:55that's somewhat defensible. But to be safe, you should be
- 13:58probably comfortable with the fact that the satellite can
- 14:01deliver 200 two 2240, right? And so now the question is like,
- 14:07is that, is that level something that an individual satellite can
- 14:12deliver? Does it need like cohere
- 14:14technology or are we talking about MIMO?
- 14:17And so just to peel that layer back a bit there, I think it was
- 14:21like in 2021-2022, there was an article where a Bell was
- 14:27interviewed and someone had asked him, you know, how fast
- 14:30can these things go? And, and this was obviously way
- 14:33back long ago. When when the satellites were
- 14:36still in in a concept, right. And so his According to him,
- 14:42with MIMO, you could get to call IT7750 megabits per second peak
- 14:47speeds within a cell, right, MIMO meaning you're utilizing
- 14:49more than one satellite. And so it's not another one
- 14:53possibility that this and an individual satellite could get
- 14:56to 202 forty, depending on how much spectrum are you using.
- 15:00Obviously, if you throw more spectrum at the problem, then
- 15:02you can definitely get the speed tire right.
- 15:04And so that that may be it, but it could be a combination of
- 15:07these things. But what's interesting is that
- 15:11in the Q4 update, and I remember when I heard this on the call,
- 15:14I, I did a double take and I was like, what was, did I just hear
- 15:18that correctly? And this is what I tweeted
- 15:21today. There was a question from Leiden
- 15:25to who's a retail investor and, and asks thoughtful questions.
- 15:30He's he's someone that we all know quite well.
- 15:32But in particular, I think, you know, the bell was answering a
- 15:37question and he kind of hinted at the ability to go at higher
- 15:41speeds and not necessarily be with in combination with other
- 15:45satellites, but using AI. And so here, let me just read
- 15:49this. So this paragraph is he says,
- 15:52now we do see many other opportunities for the technology
- 15:56that we are starting to see usage of them.
- 15:58One is radar, another is power generation, AI data centers,
- 16:03another one is multiplying the spectrum usage.
- 16:06So, so that that in of itself that could hint that, you know,
- 16:11use utilizing AI algorithms to use spectrum more efficiently,
- 16:15but then also that it could be pointing to the company's
- 16:18partnership with Cohere. So, and let me finish this.
- 16:22So we believe in combination, sorry, we believe in combining
- 16:26our large aperture with our AI capability.
- 16:29We'll create a multiplier for the spectrum.
- 16:32So the 50 megahertz we have you know it will fill a multiple of
- 16:36that. It could be 3 times that, it
- 16:38could be 10 times that. And so that's the first time
- 16:41like I've heard that three times like that seems reasonable to me
- 16:4610 times like what do you mean by that?
- 16:50And and so when you look at multiplying spectrum, it's not
- 16:54leveraging multiple satellites, it's just using one satellite,
- 16:56but then using AI to more efficiently, I guess, reuse the
- 17:02spectrum and deploy it. And so to get, you know,
- 17:07capacity of three times and up to 10 times, it seems like
- 17:12they're doing some pretty interesting things on the
- 17:14engineering front, right? And so that's why I think, you
- 17:18know, with that, with that update last night of the greatly
- 17:24exceeds 120 megabits per second. And then you, you kind of tie
- 17:27that, tie that back to what was said in the Q4 call, which I
- 17:32think all of us were surprised. Like we, we heard that and we're
- 17:35like, OK, what do you mean by that?
- 17:37I think there's this road map, there's a plan for the, you know
- 17:43what, what has been generally for the last several years kind
- 17:46of the minimum threshold of 120 megahits per second peak speeds.
- 17:50Now the company is looking to extend well beyond that.
- 17:52And from a competitive perspective, let's just say, you
- 17:57know, the current satellites, they can do 120, There's
- 17:59probably going to be perhaps a multiple of that.
- 18:03And then of course, you're going to have Block 3 satellites in
- 18:07Block 4 and Block 5. So there's going to be multiple
- 18:09iterations, whereas Starlink is now, you know, they're
- 18:12delivering just for comparison, their, their current satellites
- 18:16that are out there direct to sell there.
- 18:18They can do what, 7 megabits per second per cell.
- 18:20And then, you know, a bell saying we can do with our
- 18:23current satellites 120 or perhaps more, right?
- 18:27Perhaps three times that, perhaps 10 times that 10 times.
- 18:30I'm not sure what you're referring to, but, but, but he
- 18:33say he said it. So they're, they're thinking
- 18:35about it. There's some type of development
- 18:37going on and it's in the in the realm of possibility.
- 18:40And so then you move on to block 3 satellites, which use, which
- 18:45are going to be, you know, starting production at the end
- 18:47of this year. And they're going to be
- 18:49leveraging mid band spectrum, which for those that don't know,
- 18:53mid band spectrum is, you know, 2 gigahertz around there.
- 18:56It's what essentially what Starlink uses today.
- 18:59So it, it doesn't have good coverage or propagation, but it
- 19:03can carry a lot of data. And so that satellite, once that
- 19:08gets deployed, you know what, where do we end up with peak
- 19:12speeds, right? Like, if you're imagine like
- 19:14your phone, if you can do a carrier aggregation and you,
- 19:16you're talking to a low band Bluebird and a mid band
- 19:18Bluebird, what throughput could you achieve with that, right.
- 19:23Because the, the mid band Bluebirds are going to have much
- 19:25higher data throughput just given the spectrum that they're
- 19:28using. And so, yeah, it's, I don't
- 19:34know, it's, I'm kind of dumbstruck, right?
- 19:36Like the, the, the potential service levels at that we might
- 19:42achieve with subscribers, whether that's consumers or
- 19:45government or military is probably in I think the company
- 19:51is, is kept this stuff on the wraps, right?
- 19:53Like they're not, they're, they're pretty secretive.
- 19:56And I think that's, that's to the frustration of a lot of new
- 19:59investors. But for people who've been
- 20:01around for a long time, it's kind of par for the course.
- 20:04Like they don't. They don't.
- 20:07They don't pound the table and give away all the cards, right,
- 20:10Like they only give what they need to and the weather that
- 20:13satellite design or parameters like if you talk, even, you
- 20:17know, private conversations with management, like they they don't
- 20:19they don't tell you a ton when it comes to your specs or, or
- 20:24what they're doing behind the scenes.
- 20:26But, but now we're starting to see some hints of that because I
- 20:29think, I think obviously the company is now at this point of
- 20:33approaching commercialization. And so some of these competitive
- 20:36things like they're going to be pretty well known like because
- 20:39the service is going to be up and running.
- 20:40And so I, I feel like maybe the company at this point is more
- 20:43comfortable in disclosing these things.
- 20:45But, but I feel like this, you know, we're at this point where
- 20:52maybe our expectations aren't high enough, right, in terms of
- 20:56what the service is actually going to be.
- 20:58And you know, the company, if you see Scott at investor
- 21:01conferences or Urbell talking, they're, they, they speak very,
- 21:05they're very confident from a competitive perspective and the
- 21:08service that they're going to provide.
- 21:10And obviously the M&O partners, they keep putting money into
- 21:13this. And so, and they obviously know
- 21:18the, the road map and I've seen it.
- 21:20There was a hint of this, I think in 2024 when Light Shed
- 21:24partners had hosted one of the decision makers at Verizon and
- 21:28asked why'd you guys pick AC space mobile over, you know,
- 21:32over Starlink and, and they said, well, we looked, we
- 21:36evaluated both companies, Rd. maps and we just viewed AST as
- 21:39much, much more attractive. And so I think now is public
- 21:44investors were starting to see that, right?
- 21:45Like the company is now they're coming out and they're dropping
- 21:50the hints, right? So three times to 10 times of
- 21:54what they had originally disclosed.
- 21:57And then you've got the sweet overnight greatly exceeding 120,
- 22:01right? And so again, going back to the
- 22:04master class, you know, example it, what if AST is like a yeah,
- 22:09A120120120 and then Starlink's like, OK, engineers, we're going
- 22:13to focus on beating that. We're going to be 30 megabits
- 22:15per second better. And then when the constellation
- 22:18is up, AST is like surprise bitches, it's actually 200 or
- 22:23240 or 250 or whatever it is, right?
- 22:25That would be hilarious. That would be absolutely
- 22:28hilarious. And and the market would be in
- 22:32complete shock, right? As as would I perhaps not us,
- 22:36right, because we're kind of heard out of the curve on this
- 22:39stuff. But but yeah, that would be a
- 22:42competitive master class of, you know, for your fast following
- 22:47competitor, you basically give them the wrong bread crumbs,
- 22:51right? You say this is what we're we're
- 22:53we're engineering towards. And then at the last minute
- 22:56you're like surprise, actually, it was much higher.
- 22:59And so you you've spent all this time and energy, you know, for
- 23:02example, Starlink is, is they're working on their ASIC right now.
- 23:07And you know, maybe that will take, I don't know, another two
- 23:11years, three years. But what if I think someone at
- 23:16Max 33 is said that Sterling had been working on developing this
- 23:20ASIC for the last year or two. And So what if they were kind of
- 23:24focused on developing that ASIC with a specific performance
- 23:29threshold in mind and it ended up being well behind what they
- 23:33have to go deliver versus competition like that would just
- 23:37be hilarious. So but yeah, that's that's kind
- 23:41of the what I wanted to discuss. I mean, obviously there's, I
- 23:45tweeted yesterday as we continue to wait, there's, there's, we've
- 23:49got this launch coming up. I, I'm, I, I do want to say
- 23:53unfortunately, I'm not sure I'm going to be able to make the
- 23:54launch like if it's at the end of this month, we've got spring
- 23:58break plans And so I might have to watch it online, which is OK
- 24:02because I think I've, I resigned myself to the fact that there's
- 24:06going to be a lot more Falcon 9 and blue Blue origin launches.
- 24:10It won't be as cool as the first ever Blue Origin launch, but but
- 24:14yeah, depending on when the, the date of launch gets set, which I
- 24:18expect it will get set pretty soon.
- 24:21I may or not may or may not be able to make it.
- 24:24But aside from that, you know, I did point out like we've got the
- 24:28FCC application kind of being mulled over at and, and U.S.
- 24:33market application could be granted any day now.
- 24:37And then we've got some speculation.
- 24:39You know, we we talked about the, the company kind of made it
- 24:44seem like instead of a batch of three or two batches of three,
- 24:47we're going to get one batch of 6 delivered in April.
- 24:50And So what does that mean? Well, that could be a batch of 6
- 24:54getting split up into two for Falcon 9 or then the latest
- 24:58there that we have is that either New Glenn 4, which got a
- 25:02special temporary authority yesterday to launch either four
- 25:07or five is going to take up a batch of 6 sometime in May.
- 25:11And so for those that don't know, Blue Origin filed for an
- 25:15STA special temporary authorization for Blue Origin,
- 25:21New Glen 4-5 and six. And so yesterday four got
- 25:26approved. I'm assuming that five and six
- 25:28will get approved this or next week.
- 25:31And based off our due diligence, I don't think they have enough
- 25:34payloads to fill all three of those.
- 25:36And so it's likely that one of those, at a minimum, perhaps 2
- 25:40will be for AST Space Mobile. And as we know, Scott
- 25:43reiterated, 45 satellites launched at a minimum this year.
- 25:47And so in order to achieve that, it's either going to be a lot of
- 25:51Falcon Nines or, you know, many Falcon Nines, but then also a
- 25:56few new, new Glens sprinkled in there delivering 6 satellites.
- 26:01And so exciting times. I know obviously everyone's
- 26:04concerned about, you know, the current conflict in Iran and the
- 26:08market day-to-day trades on tweets from administration
- 26:13officials or what Trump is saying or what is Iran saying.
- 26:17But it's important to in these type of environments to know
- 26:20what you own and understand the risks, right?
- 26:23And so I think for those who have followed the space sector
- 26:27and for HD Space Mobile in particular, you've got massive
- 26:31tailwinds, right? Because with conflict comes more
- 26:33defense spending. And obviously it's not just I
- 26:37ran as an adversary, but you know, unfortunately there's
- 26:39China, there's, there's Russia and space leadership and
- 26:44sovereignty. You know, there's a saying he
- 26:46who, who controls the sea, controls the world.
- 26:49And you know, I, I have this investment in Kraken, which is,
- 26:53which is a play on that. But then I was thinking this
- 26:55morning, like there should be a, an exact mirroring of that
- 26:59statement of he who controls space controls the world, which
- 27:02is absolutely true. Like if you look at this current
- 27:05conflict, the US by having observation, intelligence,
- 27:12communications, GPS, all these different, you know,
- 27:17capabilities in space, it it allows the US and allies to
- 27:22control that theater, right? Like bringing to bear munitions
- 27:27that are laser guided or you know, that that depend on space
- 27:31guidance. You know, you've got fighters,
- 27:35bombers, all kinds of things, right, ships, you know,
- 27:40vehicles. And so I think what this
- 27:45conflict has kind of shown is the fact that you need to have
- 27:49absolute space dominance and be able to leverage the
- 27:53technologies because it becomes as, as Pete Headset has said,
- 27:59we're not going into these these fights looking for a fair fight.
- 28:03We want to have an overwhelming advantage, right?
- 28:06And so in order to achieve and maintain that advantage, it's
- 28:11going to require ongoing and continuous development of space
- 28:15assets, right? And so ACS in the Nexus of that,
- 28:18as are some of these other companies as well.
- 28:21So, yeah, there's going to be machinations like noise of the
- 28:26market up and down. But one thing is absolutely true
- 28:29and undeniable. It's the inexorable rise in
- 28:34spending from defense for space, right?
- 28:37And so putting aside commercial applications, we want to have
- 28:42military superiority in space. And as part of that money is
- 28:45going towards these companies, whether it's AST, Rocket Lab,
- 28:51you know, Carmen, any number of these, you know, companies that
- 28:56are focused on, you know, Planet Labs, for example, Black Sky,
- 29:00all this stuff is what gives us edge, right?
- 29:02And so in an environment where the markets are uncertained,
- 29:06what you can be certain of it is defense spending and and money
- 29:10going to these companies in order to keep US at the
- 29:12forefront. So I'll end it with that.
- 29:15But yeah, I, I think what an interesting disclosure from the
- 29:20Q4 earnings call and then tying that together with, with the
- 29:25tweet last night, I think there's great things ahead, you
- 29:31know, Great Expectations here, the need for speed, right?
- 29:34And so while Starling continues to catch up and they're they're
- 29:39aiming low, we're aiming pretty damn fucking high.
- 29:42I'll end it there. Thanks.
- 29:45Thanks for listening to the AST Space Mobile Podcast.
- 29:48If you enjoyed this episode and you'd like to help support the
- 29:51podcast, please share it with others, post about it on social
- 29:54media, or leave a rating and review.
- 29:57To catch all the. Latest news about AST Space
- 30:00Mobile, make sure to subscribe. Thanks again and I'll see you
- 30:03next time. We're doing something very, very
- 30:09big and I think with this technology we can really affect
- 30:12billion lives. AFT Space Mobile is the only
- 30:15company that has proven technology to deliver several
- 30:19mobile connectivity. Directly from the state to the.
- 30:22Everyday smartphone people will just basically turn their phone
- 30:27can be seamless, regardless of where you are.
- 30:29We don't want the user even to know that it's connected by
- 30:31satellite. Our role is to bring this into
- 30:35reality, always in partnership with the MMO Listen.
- 30:51Waffles.