Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / PGA Round 3 Showdown - Houston Open | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays & Process | 03/28/26
Transcript
- 0:04Speaker 1: All systems going clear the lift.
- 0:35Speaker 2: Let's give a hand. Let's give a hand to old
- 0:39Speaker 2: pontus Niholm. I hope that's how you say his name,
- 0:43Speaker 2: because he was the one golfer I was on yesterday
- 0:45Speaker 2: and he scorched the slate at what sixty three sixty
- 0:49Speaker 2: four hundred dollars. Obviously didn't shoot anything crazy, he wasn't
- 0:52Speaker 2: in the round of the day, but I know a
- 0:54Speaker 2: ton of the people in the discord played him at
- 0:57Speaker 2: that super low price to pair with maybe one of
- 0:59Speaker 2: these top guys who are I'm gonna share my screen
- 1:02Speaker 2: with and shout out to you guys for the tail
- 1:04Speaker 2: great day. We had one of the rounds of the day,
- 1:06Speaker 2: and then we had one of the cheap, cheaper, low
- 1:08Speaker 2: owned guys to pair him with. So let's keep it rolling.
- 1:11Speaker 2: I'm excited to talk some around three showdown with you guys.
- 1:14Speaker 2: I just got done watching some of the round two.
- 1:17Speaker 2: It was a little bit of a weird day because
- 1:19Speaker 2: the way that the weather, the way that the waves
- 1:21Speaker 2: split panned out. It was kind of what I thought
- 1:24Speaker 2: was gonna happen. But my damn guys in week long
- 1:28Speaker 2: decided like, yeah, we're gonna pretend like it's playing difficult.
- 1:30Speaker 2: We're gonna pretend like it's blowing forty and just play
- 1:33Speaker 2: some shitty golf, Thank you very much, Sam Burns. So nonetheless,
- 1:38Speaker 2: can't win them all. Decent showdown day, rough week long day.
- 1:41Speaker 2: So let's bring up my screen. Let's talk who did
- 1:44Speaker 2: well today, who did what and how they did it. Nikolai,
- 1:48Speaker 2: Gary Woodland, Jackson Supermanually, Jason Day, and Max McGreevy all
- 1:51Speaker 2: shot rounds of sixty three or better. Obviously, the course
- 1:56Speaker 2: played a little bit or not a level, a little bit,
- 1:58Speaker 2: a fair bit easier today than it did yesterday. The
- 2:02Speaker 2: round of the day yesterday was six under, and we
- 2:03Speaker 2: saw a few better than that. Obviously, Nikolai shot eight under,
- 2:07Speaker 2: and then we see all these seven under rounds. Let's
- 2:10Speaker 2: talk a little bit. No, I didn't mean to do that.
- 2:12Speaker 2: It did not mean to do that. That happens once
- 2:13Speaker 2: in a while. It really just does. Hold on, I
- 2:17Speaker 2: gotta redial in now, classic modern technology, just putting me
- 2:22Speaker 2: in a bad spot. All right, we're back. We're back.
- 2:26Speaker 2: So let's talk a little bit about how they did it.
- 2:28Speaker 2: I just clicked the wrong button. I hit stop sharing.
- 2:30Speaker 2: So Nikolai and Gary Woodland, Nikolajas straight nuke, Nikolaijas straight
- 2:36Speaker 2: nuke and then got hot. He was kind of that
- 2:38Speaker 2: perfect build of what we were looking for in yesterday's
- 2:41Speaker 2: late The rest of the guys, Gary Woodland and Minually
- 2:44Speaker 2: they didn't necessarily nuke it, but they are long hitters
- 2:48Speaker 2: who got it around with the irons and had a
- 2:52Speaker 2: nice putting day. Obviously, if you just ask anyone in public,
- 2:56Speaker 2: so is Gary Woodland and Minually long off the teeth,
- 2:58Speaker 2: They're gonna say yes. So if you look their stat
- 3:01Speaker 2: line though they didn't necessarily knew it today, but they
- 3:02Speaker 2: are plus drivers of the golf ball stuff that we
- 3:05Speaker 2: were looking for. And then looking at the rest of
- 3:07Speaker 2: the guys, Jason Day and Max McGreevey just national flat stick.
- 3:11Speaker 2: Those are profiles we were never really gonna land on.
- 3:13Speaker 2: But in a showdown, it happens every single day some
- 3:16Speaker 2: guys get hot with the party. Maybe we can find
- 3:18Speaker 2: one of those guys we will randomly we have randomly,
- 3:21Speaker 2: and then Jackson Suber was that random guy like Hogi
- 3:23Speaker 2: who just had the hot irons and the hot putter.
- 3:26Speaker 2: So four out of the six rounds of the days
- 3:29Speaker 2: were kind of predictable and guys that we could have
- 3:32Speaker 2: got on, we did land on some of them, so
- 3:34Speaker 2: hopefully that keeps it going in around two. Let's look
- 3:37Speaker 2: at that wave split that we were talking about, So
- 3:40Speaker 2: looking at I said the PM could possibly play easier
- 3:44Speaker 2: in round two because of the weather, and that did
- 3:46Speaker 2: pan out. It wasn't night and day. But if everyone
- 3:49Speaker 2: tried to stack the AM, and if you got on
- 3:51Speaker 2: some of those PM guys they were under owned for
- 3:52Speaker 2: what they should have been. I could have led you
- 3:54Speaker 2: on the right track. So shout out you for potentially Now.
- 4:00Speaker 2: I know a lot of people in the Discord one showdown,
- 4:02Speaker 2: so great call there. Let's look at the weather for tomorrow,
- 4:06Speaker 2: very very interesting stuff here at Memorial Park. I'm thinking
- 4:10Speaker 2: we have a similar PM and potential split to what
- 4:14Speaker 2: we saw today. You guys can see in the morning
- 4:18Speaker 2: eight o'clock it's gonna be nine to ten million hours,
- 4:20Speaker 2: and then in the PM it's eight mile an hours
- 4:23Speaker 2: seven mile an hour. Though these gusts are fairly similar,
- 4:27Speaker 2: the consistent wind is a little bit down. Now they
- 4:31Speaker 2: did move the tea times up, so I will let
- 4:33Speaker 2: me let me bring these tea times up for tomorrow.
- 4:35Speaker 2: Real quick to show you guys what we're kind of
- 4:37Speaker 2: looking with. It may not be as drastic as we're thinking.
- 4:40Speaker 2: So the first tea time is gonna go out at
- 4:42Speaker 2: eight twenty am, the final TA time is gonna go
- 4:44Speaker 2: out at one pm. I mean, it's not crazy, to
- 4:47Speaker 2: be honest, it's really not crazy. This is Eastern times,
- 4:50Speaker 2: so that's what one fifty five pm Central Time. That's
- 4:55Speaker 2: where they're that's where they're in I believe, yeah, right, yeah,
- 4:58Speaker 2: they're Central Times, so I guess that is one fifty
- 5:02Speaker 2: five pm Central Times. So actually, with that being said,
- 5:06Speaker 2: this wave split could come through. I do think the
- 5:08Speaker 2: PM is going to have the easier conditions. And with
- 5:10Speaker 2: that being said, and like it's not being crazy, it's
- 5:13Speaker 2: not crazy otherwise, but the PM golfers are playing better,
- 5:18Speaker 2: they are better golfers, they will be more chalky. So
- 5:21Speaker 2: I do think those chalky guys, those golfers who are
- 5:25Speaker 2: kind of the cream of the crop of this field
- 5:27Speaker 2: are going to it's eleven. It's just eleven fifty five.
- 5:32Speaker 2: Thank you brother, Thank you brother. Let's let's let's look
- 5:35Speaker 2: at that again because that might redo what I want
- 5:38Speaker 2: to say. Eleven fifty five, Okay, so yeah, I was
- 5:43Speaker 2: doing the times backwards. That's what happens when I talk
- 5:46Speaker 2: too fast and I get the time zones confused. I mean,
- 5:49Speaker 2: I wouldn't be able to do it without you guys.
- 5:51Speaker 2: Thank you for that. So that makes it a little
- 5:58Speaker 2: less crazy. But at the end of the day, the
- 6:01Speaker 2: guys are still going to be playing in the one pm,
- 6:04Speaker 2: two pm, three pm, four pm, which is easier than
- 6:07Speaker 2: this eight am to twelve am. So if it's a
- 6:09Speaker 2: stroke and a half, I mean, if it's if it's
- 6:11Speaker 2: a stroke and a half versus a stroke a half
- 6:13Speaker 2: stroke difference that could come through. So I do think
- 6:16Speaker 2: that that PM split is gonna be be real tomorrow
- 6:20Speaker 2: and it's although it may might be the choky guys
- 6:22Speaker 2: we might have to click them, it is what it is.
- 6:24Speaker 2: I'm gonna be going with pm am again again for tomorrow.
- 6:28Speaker 2: Looking at some of the contest for tomorrow. I have
- 6:30Speaker 2: this one up this PGA Tour showdown ten K. This
- 6:34Speaker 2: is the fifty five dollars six max. Let's let's look
- 6:38Speaker 2: at this contest again and see what we got. So
- 6:42Speaker 2: Saturday fifty five dollars five max six max. Sorry, right,
- 6:48Speaker 2: where did it go? Where did it go there, you
- 6:50Speaker 2: go fifty five dollars six max. This contest, in my opinion,
- 6:54Speaker 2: is one of the best that we've seen, truly, two
- 6:56Speaker 2: thousand up top, and then tenth place gets that ten
- 7:02Speaker 2: percent and it's six entry max. Twohund of six people
- 7:07Speaker 2: can enter, so that's like thirty three people you have
- 7:09Speaker 2: to beat if you max enter it. If everyone max
- 7:11Speaker 2: enters it, you can be thirty three people. I could
- 7:13Speaker 2: be thirty three people. I think there's a great contest
- 7:15Speaker 2: enter and you don't have to enter six lineups. You
- 7:17Speaker 2: can win this with with one to two lineups for sure.
- 7:20Speaker 2: And then looking at this big boy, this five dollars
- 7:23Speaker 2: forty k. I love this payout structure. Five dollars to
- 7:26Speaker 2: win ten k. There's nine nine point five k people
- 7:29Speaker 2: in there. It's better than seventy five thousand like in
- 7:31Speaker 2: some contests. And then tenh place wins that one hundred
- 7:35Speaker 2: and fifty marker, which is a nice little percentage to
- 7:38Speaker 2: ten k in my opinion, better than what we normally
- 7:40Speaker 2: see in this contest. So it really depends, like it
- 7:43Speaker 2: depends how many lineups you want to play, how many
- 7:45Speaker 2: guys you like on a slate. Listen to Tambo saying that,
- 7:47Speaker 2: So let's uh, I want to look at some of
- 7:50Speaker 2: the guys who like missed the cut and talk about
- 7:52Speaker 2: that as well, because I think I think I told
- 7:55Speaker 2: everyone to not play this extremely chalky Marco Penge like
- 8:01Speaker 2: it's things are too good to be true. Marco Pencher
- 8:04Speaker 2: is one good week and he gets blasted all the
- 8:07Speaker 2: way up to whatever price he was, and then he
- 8:09Speaker 2: misses the cut. Don't play him. It worked out for
- 8:12Speaker 2: me not playing him, and I hope it worked out
- 8:13Speaker 2: for you not playing ol Marco penn So that this
- 8:18Speaker 2: minus two cut is kind of crazy. Actually it really is.
- 8:22Speaker 2: So if you had a six and six this week,
- 8:25Speaker 2: shout out you because you're you're in the You're in
- 8:29Speaker 2: the right. Only sixty sixty guys made the cut. It
- 8:31Speaker 2: probably like sixty four or something like that. Wow, So
- 8:37Speaker 2: I did not expect. How many guys do I have
- 8:40Speaker 2: that made the cut? I guess we'll look at my Uh,
- 8:43Speaker 2: don't look at that, don't look at that. Let's look
- 8:45Speaker 2: at this slate plan we have. Sam Burns made the cut,
- 8:49Speaker 2: Ryan Gerard missed the cut. Rasmus Couregard made the cut.
- 8:53Speaker 2: Rye missed the cut. Yesper Lee Pontus so I two
- 8:58Speaker 2: guys missed the cut and Sergeant Right didn't play. I
- 9:06Speaker 2: don't think these outrights are dead, truthfully, because there's a
- 9:09Speaker 2: sixty three sixty two out there. I think that something
- 9:11Speaker 2: does something crazy. But I kind of got off the
- 9:13Speaker 2: beaten path. Let's talk about the site. Let's talk about
- 9:17Speaker 2: where you can make money this week. Let's talk about
- 9:20Speaker 2: player pool, and let's talk about this code code Boots
- 9:23Speaker 2: gets you ten percent off, gets you a free week,
- 9:27Speaker 2: a free week. There's no Boots next week, but there
- 9:30Speaker 2: is a free week, and you can use the slate
- 9:33Speaker 2: plan which we talked about. I saw some people cash
- 9:35Speaker 2: with a slate plan. You can always use it for
- 9:37Speaker 2: the Stone. The Stone had Jason Day as a high
- 9:40Speaker 2: leverage play. The Stone has everything you need from tea
- 9:42Speaker 2: times to bounce back grade to true approach, delta to
- 9:46Speaker 2: all that type of stuff. And also the PGA projections.
- 9:50Speaker 2: The projections are there. Actually this is the week long projections,
- 9:53Speaker 2: but these FanDuel I sawry, these showdown projections will be
- 9:56Speaker 2: up in the near future to simply help you build
- 9:59Speaker 2: a player pool and then do what you want with
- 10:01Speaker 2: that player pool. You want to play twenty five golfers.
- 10:04Speaker 2: You want to play six golfers, be my guest. All
- 10:06Speaker 2: you gotta do is go to the front of the site,
- 10:09Speaker 2: use code boots, Join the nation, and baseball is around.
- 10:12Speaker 2: Guys are cashing in baseball for sure, So you want
- 10:14Speaker 2: all access, use every single sport, use code boots. You
- 10:17Speaker 2: just want the golf stuff. I would just want the
- 10:19Speaker 2: golf stuff. But whatever flow, whatever floats your vote, go
- 10:22Speaker 2: ahead and use that next thing I want to talk about.
- 10:26Speaker 2: It is time to talk about some stats for tomorrow,
- 10:29Speaker 2: some players for tomorrow, some guys who are doing some
- 10:32Speaker 2: potential good things. So here we go looking at let's
- 10:38Speaker 2: look at round two. Let's look at just round two.
- 10:41Speaker 2: SAT's actually know, let's look at round one and two.
- 10:44Speaker 2: So what I'm looking for is golfers to be long.
- 10:47Speaker 2: I still want to go with the with the long golfers.
- 10:49Speaker 2: And then and then you have to be able to
- 10:51Speaker 2: pop with the irons or you have to be able
- 10:53Speaker 2: to pop on the putting greens. So let's look at
- 10:56Speaker 2: those golfers. As soon as you scroll, we see a
- 10:58Speaker 2: ton of l's down the top of the leader board.
- 11:00Speaker 2: At l l LLL. The long hitters are going to
- 11:02Speaker 2: the top. It's not a surprise. It is Memorial Park.
- 11:04Speaker 2: It's just what it's gonna be. So let's see if
- 11:06Speaker 2: we could find some guys towards the top who are
- 11:08Speaker 2: gonna be chalky, but they're gonna play in that better wave.
- 11:11Speaker 2: So min Wule he's gaining one stroke off the t
- 11:15Speaker 2: another zero point seventy six on approach. And this is
- 11:17Speaker 2: also I still don't know how Data Golf does their
- 11:21Speaker 2: stats because it's different than PGA Tour and the way
- 11:23Speaker 2: they aggregated is different in the live versus the uh
- 11:29Speaker 2: like live versus the post round stuff. But it doesn't matter.
- 11:33Speaker 2: I guess this is all relative to this field that
- 11:35Speaker 2: we're looking at, relative to this data set that we're
- 11:37Speaker 2: looking at. So I'm just gonna say it for what
- 11:40Speaker 2: it's worth. One off the ter point seven on approach
- 11:42Speaker 2: one of the greens. It's a very controlled stat line,
- 11:45Speaker 2: a very calm stat line. I do honestly worry about
- 11:49Speaker 2: this plus point seven number, Like I talked about it
- 11:53Speaker 2: in a round one. How his approach play was it
- 11:56Speaker 2: was minus point seven I think, but like that was okay, Minwu,
- 12:00Speaker 2: like that was okay. Like Minwu can can lose that
- 12:03Speaker 2: many strokes on appach because he's not a good approach player.
- 12:05Speaker 2: I don't think he's gonna match this tomorrow. I really don't.
- 12:08Speaker 2: So I don't think Minwu is the greatest play. I
- 12:10Speaker 2: think his approach play is going to take a turn
- 12:12Speaker 2: for the worst tomorrow. So it might be a nice
- 12:13Speaker 2: little fade for you tomorrow. Now. Michael thorpe Burnsen is
- 12:17Speaker 2: a guy who when he's going with the approach, he
- 12:19Speaker 2: sticks on approach, getting two. He's plenty long enough and
- 12:23Speaker 2: the putter is there, but it's not it hasn't popped yet.
- 12:26Speaker 2: Like if Michael thor Burnensen compare these two things with this,
- 12:28Speaker 2: with this plus two putter, with this plus two point
- 12:31Speaker 2: eight putter, Michael Thorpejurnsen is gonna have a beautiful round
- 12:33Speaker 2: tomorrow and get himself into one of the final groups.
- 12:35Speaker 2: And I really think he's a great play at that uh,
- 12:38Speaker 2: at that price that he is, So who is this
- 12:41Speaker 2: right here? Jake Napp? Jake Napp was in a slate plan,
- 12:43Speaker 2: had a nice little round of five hundred a day.
- 12:45Speaker 2: He's going along plus seven off the t plus three
- 12:48Speaker 2: on approach, not doing anything too crazy. Well, leaning on
- 12:51Speaker 2: the putter a little bit more than I'd like, but
- 12:52Speaker 2: he has room to gain, room to gain an approach,
- 12:55Speaker 2: and we know Jake Napp can get an approach, and
- 12:56Speaker 2: we know Jake Napp kind of likes to play from behind.
- 13:00Speaker 2: So I do like that some more guys that see ADDC.
- 13:04Speaker 2: He's long enough off the tee, long enough accurate, that's
- 13:06Speaker 2: why he's losing strokes off the tee. The iron play
- 13:08Speaker 2: is there, and the putter is around average with a
- 13:11Speaker 2: ton of room to spike, So I like ADDC. Potentially
- 13:15Speaker 2: that profile that we are looking for long hitting, his
- 13:19Speaker 2: iron's okay, room to spike, room to spike has kind
- 13:23Speaker 2: of done us well this year. Aldreke Pott Geater. Now
- 13:26Speaker 2: this is a profile that I don't want to chase,
- 13:28Speaker 2: like it's gonna look really enticing. Plus one point seven
- 13:32Speaker 2: on off the t plus two point five on approach,
- 13:34Speaker 2: and you're gonna say to yourself, oh my god, if
- 13:36Speaker 2: only all Drake could put tomorrow. This is not something
- 13:39Speaker 2: I want to chase because there's a reason he's losing
- 13:41Speaker 2: minus too putting. He's a bad putter. You're gonna be
- 13:44Speaker 2: on on tomorrow and sweat all those eight footers all
- 13:46Speaker 2: he missed again, All he missed again. I'd rather go
- 13:48Speaker 2: with the guys who were like plus seven plus zero,
- 13:52Speaker 2: even plus one, because they got it going, They're gonna
- 13:54Speaker 2: keep it going. Not very often, the guys just randomly
- 13:57Speaker 2: find it on the greens. We always say we want
- 13:59Speaker 2: to chase those bad puts, but it just doesn't. It's
- 14:01Speaker 2: not as easy as that. Find the good ball striking
- 14:03Speaker 2: parrot with the bad putting. It doesn't always work like that.
- 14:06Speaker 2: So al Drake might be a chalky guy because of
- 14:08Speaker 2: the profile, but it's not something I do want to chase.
- 14:12Speaker 2: Now I'm down to go back to Rasmus Hoarguard, a
- 14:14Speaker 2: guy that we've been on all all all year long. Actually,
- 14:17Speaker 2: damn it, I did it again. I guess I'm gonna
- 14:21Speaker 2: skip to it again. I've done this so many times
- 14:24Speaker 2: this year. Rasmus Hoyguard is the one golfer that I
- 14:28Speaker 2: am on. I've done this so many times where I've
- 14:31Speaker 2: been going through someone that I like, But he's the
- 14:33Speaker 2: guy that I'm gonna boast at the end of the show.
- 14:35Speaker 2: So let's look at Rasmus Hoyguard while we're here. He
- 14:38Speaker 2: is gaining gaining a stroke off the tee striping the
- 14:42Speaker 2: irons and he is nuking third and driving distance. This
- 14:47Speaker 2: is the exact profile that we want. And he probably
- 14:50Speaker 2: saw big Bro, a little bro, I don't know who's
- 14:53Speaker 2: older shoot that course record today. And he's gonna be like,
- 14:55Speaker 2: I'm gonna fire at pins tomorrow. I am what ten back?
- 14:58Speaker 2: And I'm only I'm ten back, I'm T twenty. I'm
- 15:00Speaker 2: kind of still no, he's sorry, he's what eight back?
- 15:03Speaker 2: T twenty? I'm still in this golf tournament. Like, let's
- 15:05Speaker 2: go shoot at flags. We know that sixty three is
- 15:07Speaker 2: out there, Let's do it. So Rasmus scoreguard is the
- 15:10Speaker 2: one golfer that I am on for tomorrow. So shout
- 15:15Speaker 2: out Rasmus. Let's go to find like two more golfers
- 15:20Speaker 2: who fit the profile that we are looking at. Sahai
- 15:23Speaker 2: Thi Yala, he is not the longest in terms of
- 15:26Speaker 2: this field. We know he's plus in distance, but he's
- 15:28Speaker 2: got a nice profile. Plus point five on approach, plus
- 15:31Speaker 2: point five on the greens. If this man, Sahai Thi Yala,
- 15:36Speaker 2: can find it on approach, can find it on the greens,
- 15:39Speaker 2: we know he can go super low. We know he
- 15:41Speaker 2: can light it up on the greens or even on approach,
- 15:44Speaker 2: and he's been playing such great golf. I think he's
- 15:46Speaker 2: a great play at the price that he is at.
- 15:48Speaker 2: Let's get one more golfer, a long hitter who I
- 15:52Speaker 2: like going into the week, and he had a great
- 15:54Speaker 2: round today stoodar Sean Yellow Miraju, gaining in every single
- 15:59Speaker 2: category but not popping. Let's read this across plus point
- 16:02Speaker 2: four off the t, plus point five on the on approach,
- 16:05Speaker 2: plus point one around the green, plus point six on
- 16:09Speaker 2: the greens. He has the ability to gain any one
- 16:13Speaker 2: of those categories and zoom to have one of the
- 16:16Speaker 2: round of the round rounds of the day. So I
- 16:18Speaker 2: think he is an absolutely amazing play. I think he's
- 16:22Speaker 2: a great play and I'm down. I'm down for Sudarshan.
- 16:26Speaker 2: So that is the one golfer that I'm on that
- 16:28Speaker 2: is the plays potential plays guys that I potentially like.
- 16:34Speaker 2: The skill set. You guys know the skill set that
- 16:36Speaker 2: I like. So there's that. As always, we will close
- 16:40Speaker 2: it with the song of the day. I know you
- 16:42Speaker 2: guys enjoy it because I get some DMS about it.
- 16:44Speaker 2: The song of the day emptiness remains by down swing
- 16:48Speaker 2: some gas Hoody withdrew because of his back back injury.
- 16:54Speaker 2: Song of the day, Emptiness remains down swing. I will
- 16:57Speaker 2: catch you guys tomorrow for the showdown show. It will
- 16:59Speaker 2: be early tomorrow. The showdown show will be early tomorrow,
- 17:04Speaker 2: and then I will do the slate plan once the
- 17:08Speaker 2: round is finished, so tune into that. Any questions you know,
- 17:10Speaker 2: whate to find me. I'll catch you yes tomorrow. Peace,