Latest / DarkHorse Podcast / Unholy War: A Conversation with Tucker Carlson on DarkHorse
Transcript
- 0:00Hey folks, welcome to the DarkHorse podcast Inside Rail.
- 0:05It's going to be a strange one.
- 0:06You've probably noticed that this is not the usual set.
- 0:09I am of course sitting with Tucker Carlson, a friend of mine.
- 0:12In his set, he has graciously agreed not only to talk to me today on DarkHorse, but also to let me use his studio.
- 0:21So thank you for that and welcome to DarkHorse.
- 0:23Oh, it's an honor.
- 0:24We talk so much on the phone and I think if he was one of the world's wise and sane people, it's just a blessing to have you here.
- 0:30So thank you.
- 0:30Thank you.
- 0:31That's very nice of you to say.
- 0:34I will say this is a mission for me and let me just say upfront, I don't do interviews.
- 0:42I'm not a journalist.
- 0:43I'm a biologist as you know, and I have discussions with people who are worth having discussions with so I'll probably talk more than I would if I was interviewing you.
- 0:53But let me tell you a little bit about what my mission is and why I decided to come here to talk to you.
- 1:01I've known you for some time.
- 1:02We met, you probably remember in 2017 when Evergreen melted down and you reached out.
- 1:11You wanted to talk to me about the story and at the time I thought having been brought up as a liberal that you were a terrible guy and I got your invitation and I thought long and hard about whether or not to accept it because I assumed that what you would do is you would make use of the fact that I, a liberal, was being backed against the wall by other liberals that as a professor at a radical college that I got what I deserved and that it was a Faustian bargain I was making by coming on your show because I needed to get the story to a wider audience or they would succeed in doing to me what they attempted to do but that it was going to be humiliating and costly and you and I had never met.
- 2:05In fact, we didn't meet in person that day.
- 2:07I was in a remote studio and when I got there, I was late in traffic, got there, I was literally sweaty, we were late from the commute and they threaded the microphone down my shirt and plopped me in a chair, I didn't get to brush my hair or wipe the sweat off my brow or any of these things and you and I started talking and what I was very surprised to encounter was that you were incensed on my behalf, that you were compassionate and that you saw this as an unfair demonization of a fellow American who deserved better and it rocked my world because here I was faced with this arch conservative, someone who'd been painted as a demon and he was expressing compassion for me and it was clearly genuine at the same moment that my colleagues who knew me and knew that the allegations against me were false completely abandoned me with one exception, I will say.
- 3:16There was one courageous person on the faculty, Mike Parros, a big animal vet who also happened to be a professor.
- 3:23He was having none of it but the rest of the faculty abandoned me and Heather completely and yet you stepped in.
- 3:30So first of all, let me just say thank you for that and thank you for the friendship that has evolved since that time.
- 3:40I really appreciate it.
- 3:41Well, I always am with the man against the mob, period, and I really appreciate especially now men of principle and bravery and I saw both of those and also by the way, I agreed with you.
- 3:54I don't think we should reduce people to their race.
- 3:56Like I've never thought that, I never will think that.
- 3:58No matter how much pressure there is in me to think that, I will never think that.
- 4:01Me either.
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- 6:28So to the mission that brings me here today, I have watched you being raked over the coals in the last year, especially for bigotry.
- 6:44That's the accusation against you.
- 6:47And I will tell you, I have a complicated relationship with questions of antisemitism.
- 6:54I grew up in LA.
- 6:56I think you grew up in La Jolla.
- 6:57Not terribly far apart.
- 6:59I didn't experience much antisemitism of note growing up at all.
- 7:05You know, the occasional joke about Nazis, but nobody meant it.
- 7:10It wasn't an important issue on the playground where I grew up.
- 7:15And then I did encounter some when I became a professor.
- 7:18There's a kind of reflexive anti-Jewish sentiment amongst American academics.
- 7:25But again, it was tolerable.
- 7:28People, you know, when they know you, they look past it and it certainly doesn't afflict everybody, but it's definitely present on an American college campus.
- 7:38But in recent years, the amount of antisemitism that I encounter is tremendous.
- 7:45I believe it.
- 7:46I don't know if it's bots.
- 7:47Some of it surely is.
- 7:49I don't know if it's paid shills who are either trying to gin up discord in the American populace or if antisemitism is politically useful.
- 8:02I don't know what it is, but I do encounter a lot of it now.
- 8:04It's a regular feature of my life.
- 8:06I will say that there's a wide spectrum of antisemites.
- 8:11You know, there are flat out Gasta Jews people.
- 8:13I run into them.
- 8:15There are also people who have kind of a reflexive distrust of Jews, which frankly, you know, when I know somebody like that, I don't toss them out.
- 8:27I try to model what I think Jewish values are and hopefully that breaks through.
- 8:37So in any case, as the accusations of antisemitism have been leveled at you, I've had a familiar experience.
- 8:47It's the Tucker Carlson experience, right?
- 8:50Somebody says he's a bigot.
- 8:53The evidence is out.
- 8:54He's finally said the quiet part out loud.
- 8:56And then you click through to the supposed evidence and you find Tucker Carlson talking about how terrible it is that we have an open southern border and you realize, okay, that's not bigotry.
- 9:06That's just being rational.
- 9:09So I've had that experience many times having nothing to do with Jews or antisemitism or anything like that.
- 9:16And I'm having that experience again when I hear you accused of having bigotry against Jews.
- 9:23Yeah.
- 9:23When I click through to the evidence, it's not there.
- 9:27And more importantly, when I listen to you, especially your monologues, which I want to get back to, but when I listen to your monologues, I hear a very thoughtful, careful presentation that does not show any evidence of bias against people based on what lineage they come from at all.
- 9:52I hear an American patriot.
- 9:54You and I disagree on some things.
- 9:56I don't think it's all that many, but I know that we do.
- 9:59I am a liberal.
- 10:00You are a conservative, but I don't find bigotry.
- 10:04And lastly, let me just say that you and I had lunch together in Pennsylvania before the election.
- 10:12Last September.
- 10:13You had an event, I think it was in Lancaster, and I happened to be in Pennsylvania and, you know, it was a number of hours drive.
- 10:21It's like, look, okay, we're in close proximity.
- 10:23I want to go talk to Tucker.
- 10:26And when I did that, one of the things on my mind was that I wanted to have a conversation where there were no cameras present, you know, the stakes were low, and we could actually talk about the experience of being an American Jew, your experience of interacting with other Americans.
- 10:42And I could sort of gauge where you were and just see if there was anything lurking in you that I needed to know about.
- 10:49And again, I wouldn't have abandoned you as a friend if I had found some sort of reflexive distrust, but I didn't find it.
- 10:56It's not there as far as I can tell.
- 10:59So in any case, as you've been raked over the coals, I've felt that it was my obligation to actually give my perspective as a Jew, an American, and somebody who knows you personally, and just say, you know what, that's a false accusation based on everything I can see in my personal experience.
- 11:21I appreciate it.
- 11:22I mean, there's so much to say, but I appreciate your saying that I've been called a bigot for so many years because I have been.
- 11:31And it happened for really for the first time around 2017 when I interviewed you.
- 11:37And the core premise of that interview, and we both shared that assumption, were exactly the same age from exactly the same part of the country.
- 11:44So I do think the way we grew up informs our views.
- 11:48But our both Southern Californians in our mid 50s was that you should not reduce someone to his race.
- 11:53And the whole promise of America is that the individual matters and that you can kind of leave behind the sins or the triumphs for that matter of your ancestors.
- 12:04You can kind of be responsible for the choices that you make, which I have always believed that.
- 12:10I think it's, by the way, I think it's a fundamentally Christian perspective.
- 12:13I think it's the basis of Western civilization, so I think it's worth defending, but it's also my default.
- 12:17So anyway, I felt that way my whole life and they call me a bigot, anti-black or whatever.
- 12:25And it bothered me at first.
- 12:27But the truth is, I don't have that many black friends.
- 12:30You know, I like to really close by, like, you don't come to your house for dinner type friends.
- 12:34And both of them are like, please.
- 12:36I also never was ever hassled not one time by black people in public.
- 12:39Never.
- 12:41Black people always like hugged me at the airport.
- 12:43I'd be like, okay.
- 12:44You know, it didn't have, like, personal effects on me.
- 12:47I grew up in a very Jewish world.
- 12:48I grew up in La Jolla, went to La Jolla Country Day School.
- 12:50I don't know what percentage Jewish it was.
- 12:52It was a lot.
- 12:53And a million Jewish friends have been in the media my whole life.
- 12:56Just a fact, lots of Jews in the media.
- 12:58Lots of them are friends of mine.
- 12:59So this round has been totally disruptive of my personal life in a way that I grieve over, because in the end, I care about individual people, not all people, to care about, like, people I know and love.
- 13:14And it's driven some of them away from me and in ways that are so painful.
- 13:18I'm not whining, but I'm just saying, like, I've thought a lot about this because it has been so painful.
- 13:24And I would say two things.
- 13:25I think the core problem about our this whole discussion is the conflation of the nation state, the modern nation state of Israel with all Jews.
- 13:35And for the record, I've never been I said this a thousand times.
- 13:37It's true.
- 13:38I've never been against Israel.
- 13:40Took my family there on vacation.
- 13:41So I mean, I didn't not an Israel hater.
- 13:44But the second you say that the modern state of Israel is the same as global Jewry.
- 13:50And then you say that the United States has no divergent interest from Israel or exactly the same country of exactly the same interest.
- 13:57You're on a collision course, man.
- 13:59And it's going to hurt a lot of people on a personal level as well.
- 14:05So you can't criticize Israel because that makes you an anti-Semite.
- 14:08That has been the rule for a long time.
- 14:10And I've just kind of lived with it because it wasn't worth it.
- 14:12But the second we started moving toward a war with Iran, I knew that we were because it's my job and I had a very clear picture of what that would mean for the United States.
- 14:20Unfortunately, I think it's turning out to be true.
- 14:23I feel sad about it.
- 14:25But I made a conscious decision.
- 14:27I know I'm going to take a lot of grief for this.
- 14:28I didn't realize how much.
- 14:30No idea.
- 14:31But I was like, I'm going to say something because I don't want to go to war with Iran.
- 14:33It's just kind of that simple.
- 14:35And so that's the first thing.
- 14:37This was all inevitable, unfortunately.
- 14:40And the second thing is that there are people who seem to be trying to inspire hatred.
- 14:49And it's no one I know really well personally, but it's a couple of very loud voices who are trying to make people hate them.
- 14:58And I don't understand what that is.
- 15:00And I'll suppose, you know, I hate even to use their names.
- 15:03I'll just name one because I sort of know them as Mark Levin.
- 15:06And watching his attacks, I mean, I kind of get it.
- 15:08Like I'm in the way of his agenda.
- 15:10He wanted to war with Iran.
- 15:11I have the year of Trump.
- 15:13I had the year of Trump.
- 15:14He does too.
- 15:15So, you know, turning me into a Nazi is helpful to getting to his goal.
- 15:21I get it.
- 15:22He's a goal oriented guy.
- 15:23Not mad about it.
- 15:24I understand what's up.
- 15:26Watching the way that he's responded to Megyn Kelly has been like a radicalized and embarrassing experience for me because I know Megyn Kelly.
- 15:36He does too.
- 15:37And Megyn Kelly is sincerely moderate on this question.
- 15:40Most of her friends are Jewish.
- 15:43She's always liked Israel.
- 15:45She did show after show about how October 7th was terrible.
- 15:48Great.
- 15:50And she said like she refused to denounce me.
- 15:53I think that's how it started or something like that.
- 15:55I mean, he's my friend.
- 15:56I'm not going to denounce him.
- 15:57Candace Owens or something.
- 15:58I'm not going to announce her.
- 15:59They have called her a Nazi.
- 16:02Like actually a Nazi.
- 16:04So what's the effect of that?
- 16:05And at some point you realize like the effect of a system is what it does.
- 16:09So if you wind up doing something over and over and over, that's the point of what you're doing is to affect that outcome.
- 16:17And they have not turned people to their side, to their cause.
- 16:23They haven't convinced anybody.
- 16:25They've instead inspired hatred.
- 16:29And I feel like it's on purpose.
- 16:30Like what's the point of that?
- 16:32And I don't know the answer.
- 16:33I don't know why you would ever want to inspire hatred of yourself.
- 16:37Levin is doing that, but he clearly wants it.
- 16:42And I think there's a complicated psychology there maybe.
- 16:45Maybe there's a strategy that's so advanced I can't understand it.
- 16:48Maybe there are spiritual elements at play.
- 16:50I really don't know.
- 16:51But if your goal was to turn down the temperature to make people more supportive of the Netanyahu government, which is a totally fine goal as far as I'm concerned.
- 16:58I disagree, but I don't think it's illegitimate to want people to like Netanyahu or something.
- 17:03This is the opposite of what you would do.
- 17:06So clearly we've exceeded my intellectual capacity.
- 17:10Like I don't understand what this is, but I know it's not what they're claiming it is or else Bibi and I've called these real, I know a lot of people in the Israeli government, I've been there a number of times and I know them.
- 17:22I've dealt with them for many decades and I've called over and been like, dude, this is not helping you.
- 17:28I don't understand why you're allowing this.
- 17:29They're controlling the message to pretty directly actually.
- 17:34And this is the wrong message.
- 17:35It's not going to help you in the end.
- 17:37If you want allies in the United States, don't behave like this.
- 17:39I've literally said that.
- 17:40I said it to Danny Dannon, who is a long time Israeli political figure ambassador to Israeli ambassador to the United Nations.
- 17:48I'm a reasonable guy, smart guy.
- 17:49And I said this to him and he's like, yeah, tough.
- 17:52So clearly there is a strategy here.
- 17:55Again, I'll just stop at this that I don't understand and but it's not, it's bad, it's dividing our country.
- 18:02You run into real antisemitism?
- 18:03Yeah, I believe you.
- 18:04I believe you.
- 18:06And I'm very jaded about that.
- 18:07Everyone's like, oh, people hate me.
- 18:09I believe that you're running into real antisemitism.
- 18:11In fact, one of the reasons I don't want to go on X.
- 18:13It's crazy.
- 18:17A hatred of all kinds based on people's bloodlines.
- 18:20And like we live in a country that has no majority of anything.
- 18:28And so if that's the state of play where my tribe hates your tribe, I don't see a winning tribe and I don't see a place where my grandkids can live comfortably or yours or anybody's.
- 18:39Like that's just a total dead end.
- 18:41Tribalism is a total dead end.
- 18:43And I've spent a lot of my life abroad as you have as well.
- 18:45And you've seen it.
- 18:46It's not resolved quickly.
- 18:48It's resolved like in a thousand years if you're lucky and it leads to violence right away.
- 18:53So don't have that.
- 18:54Don't do that here, but we're doing it.
- 18:57We are doing it.
- 18:58And among the things that we should talk about is the modern West.
- 19:04You're describing the modern West.
- 19:06You wouldn't do this if you wanted the modern West to survive.
- 19:10Exactly.
- 19:11The fundamental principle undergirding the modern West is that we put lineage aside and we collaborate as a people because collaboration is a good thing to do.
- 19:21And you and I also remember, you know, the eighties and nineties and it just wasn't like this.
- 19:27It's not that there was no bigotry or anything, but we knew what direction we were heading.
- 19:33It was totally unacceptable to act like this.
- 19:35It was totally unacceptable.
- 19:37And the idea that you would parse someone else's religious views in public.
- 19:43I mean, the working assumption I grew up with as a Southern California WASP was our religious views are right.
- 19:49That's what I mean.
- 19:50That's our religion.
- 19:51So we think we're right.
- 19:52But let's be honest, everyone's religious views sound pretty kooky when exposed to the light of day.
- 19:56So how about we don't do that?
- 19:58And how about if we have Mormon neighbors or Jewish neighbors or in my case, Roman Catholic neighbors.
- 20:03What's the point of like getting into how their doctrine differs from ours?
- 20:08Like we're confident that ours is right and theirs is wrong, but we can also see them as really great people.
- 20:12And the last thing we're going to do is sit down and be like, let's talk about transubstantiation.
- 20:17That sounds really crazy.
- 20:19It's like, why would you do that unless you wanted to permanently be at war with your neighbors?
- 20:24And all of a sudden I'm reading all this stuff online about various people's religious views.
- 20:29And I have gotten into it myself with the Christian Zionists.
- 20:32I have explained their religious views on camera.
- 20:34I feel bad about doing that.
- 20:36I knew what their views were.
- 20:37I didn't want to talk about it until they were driving America's foreign policy.
- 20:41Anyway, I just feel like this is not a good road to get down and we need to reestablish a little bit of Anglo-Saxon, sorry to brag about my culture, but restraint here where there are certain things we don't talk about at dinner and one of them is your sex life and another is your religious beliefs.
- 20:56And we've often been made fun of for that.
- 20:59Like, oh, you know, you guys are so constipated.
- 21:02You could never talk about anything real.
- 21:04Yeah, not in public.
- 21:05You don't actually because it causes fractures that don't heal.
- 21:09That's why we don't do that.
- 21:10Let's get back to that soon.
- 21:13Couple of points.
- 21:14No, I mean, look, you're being cautious about something.
- 21:19I think we've got a five alarm fire on this front.
- 21:22Yes.
- 21:22There's a reason we don't do this.
- 21:24And among the many strengths of your monologues, and I want to talk about them at some point, but among the many strengths, you're a guy with religious convictions.
- 21:34Yes.
- 21:34You make no secret of that.
- 21:37When you talk in your monologues, I hear you talking as a patriot, as a secular person, I hear you talking in a way that I can completely relate to.
- 21:47And it places your religious beliefs exactly where they should be relative to me.
- 21:52I can respect those as your beliefs.
- 21:55You're not asking me to accept them and they are not informing your beliefs about policy.
- 22:00They're not, we're not allowed to.
- 22:02We're not allowed to.
- 22:03The founders were very clear about this.
- 22:05And it's not that they didn't have religious beliefs of their own.
- 22:07They were clear about it because it's a slippery slope to hell.
- 22:11It's a slippery slope back into the past where the only thing that matters is what tribe you're from.
- 22:17So people haven't traveled enough.
- 22:18I really think that's part of it.
- 22:19They haven't.
- 22:20Totally agree.
- 22:21I used to always push back against, oh, Americans don't have a passport.
- 22:25They've never been anywhere.
- 22:26Because like, I love America and I hate to hear the ugly American stereotype repeated and I've always been really defensive of American Americans.
- 22:32I still am.
- 22:32However, that is one criticism that's totally real.
- 22:37And I know people who planned this disaster that we're in right now.
- 22:41I know a lot of them and some of them are really well informed.
- 22:45Some are not informed at all.
- 22:47They have no idea.
- 22:49Ted Cruz didn't know the population of Iran.
- 22:51And he acted like it was like, you know, final round of Jeopardy.
- 22:55And I was asking an unfair question.
- 22:56It's like you're trying to overthrow the government so you should know who lives there and how many of them there are.
- 23:02And he didn't know anything.
- 23:03And it's not just Ted Cruz.
- 23:04I don't mean to beat up on Ted Cruz.
- 23:05There was enough problems.
- 23:06But I would say that's like very common.
- 23:09And that ignorance fails to inform decision making and it fails to shape perceptions in ways that are super dangerous.
- 23:16And one of them is a lot of people who are making decisions in this country have no experience of chaos, tribal conflict, protracted generational conflict.
- 23:26They just haven't seen it.
- 23:27They have no idea what that is.
- 23:28They can't imagine not being able to get to the store.
- 23:31They can't imagine a country in which ATMs don't work or currency is worthless.
- 23:34They just they or in which like a 15 year old with an automatic weapon controls their block, they can't imagine that.
- 23:40And because they can't, that's all real.
- 23:41By the way, that's the state of play in a lot of the world most of the time.
- 23:45But they just they're so far removed from reality and they're so unbelievably ignorant that they can murder someone else's religious leader and expect that would cause the country to collapse.
- 23:55Are you a drug, son?
- 23:57Do you like what?
- 23:59Let's just murder the Ayatollah, the head of Shia Islam.
- 24:02And that will that will do what?
- 24:04Tell me what that will do.
- 24:06Well, the government will clash.
- 24:07People will see that Shia Islam is invalid.
- 24:09First of all, our job is to tell people their religion is invalid.
- 24:14What are you doing?
- 24:15You're doing my grandchildren to terror attacks at the mall.
- 24:21Yes, 100 percent.
- 24:23I mean, what?
- 24:25I mean, look, I think we have.
- 24:28To paint with a broad brush, three choices about how to live.
- 24:33We can live in a system of warlords where there's no order and order establishes itself based on who has power in your local environment.
- 24:43We can live under some kind of totalitarian regime or we can.
- 24:49Take the prototype that we have in the West and we can go back to improving it.
- 24:54Right.
- 24:54The West is the alternative to these other ways of living.
- 24:57And if you've experienced those other ways, there is no way you would gamble on destabilizing what we've got.
- 25:05So well put.
- 25:06That is so well put.
- 25:07Everyone should spend a year traveling the world.
- 25:11We should subsidize it.
- 25:12Fine.
- 25:13Happy to.
- 25:14I mean, it's much more productive than most things we subsidize, like drug addiction and or college.
- 25:19Or college.
- 25:21Exactly.
- 25:22So I'm not clever enough to have thought of that, but that is exactly right.
- 25:26To spend a year.
- 25:27And by the way, rich people used to do that.
- 25:28My great grandmother and my waist-grant grandmother went to the same high school, amazingly, 120 years ago.
- 25:34Both were rich girls and both of them spent the next year, not in college.
- 25:38There was no question of that.
- 25:40But traveling the world with a nanny.
- 25:42Now, I know it sounds like incredibly Victorian.
- 25:44Well, it was the Victorian period for one thing, but for another Edwardian.
- 25:47But that was considered a true education.
- 25:51And I actually knew my great grandmother who survived the 1906 earthquake in San Francisco, took their boat to Oakland in the middle of the fires.
- 25:59And she was a remarkable person.
- 26:01And she was remarkable because she had wisdom born of seeing things.
- 26:06She'd just been everywhere, seen everything.
- 26:08She never had a job in her entire life.
- 26:10She lived like 90, never had a job.
- 26:12But everybody in the family went to her for advice because she had seen everything.
- 26:16And part of it was because she'd been everywhere.
- 26:19I think that really matters.
- 26:20There's nothing more education.
- 26:21Yes.
- 26:22There just isn't.
- 26:22You know, you dive into another culture and the point is it's on every channel.
- 26:29You're taking in actual real information about the world, not something that somebody believes is true.
- 26:35And it transforms you.
- 26:37And if you've seen the alternatives to what we have, and look, I have no shortage of complaints about the way the West functions and how it falls down on its values, but why do I not want to live under either of the alternatives?
- 26:53And back to your earlier point about antisemitism and the strangeness of the activities that are causing it to rise and where they're coming from, the very people who should be most terrified of antisemitism are behaving in exactly the way that is causing antisemitism.
- 27:10It is, and this is from my perspective, I feel in a bind.
- 27:16I am being asked to choose one of two teams.
- 27:20I can either go with the vocal Jews of the moment with a few notable exceptions, or I can effectively confront them and join the other team.
- 27:34I don't want to have to choose.
- 27:35I'm an American.
- 27:36My being Jewish is not supposed to put me on a team.
- 27:40And yet I'm watching the exact preconditions that lead to an anti-Jewish genocide.
- 27:51I'm watching that happen in real time in my own country.
- 27:55And I'm being asked, which side are you on?
- 27:58And my point is I am on the side that wouldn't do that.
- 28:01I am on the side of every single other American that wants to put these things aside and figure out collectively as we're supposed to, what is in our interest?
- 28:11I'm happy to have that discussion.
- 28:13It's a reasonable discussion to have, but to accuse people of being antisemitic, or in my case, that's not quite going to work, is it?
- 28:21So they're going to have to go to self-hating Jew or something like that.
- 28:24Have you been called that?
- 28:25Sure.
- 28:26Oh, of course.
- 28:27Of course.
- 28:27And you know, I've been called that in very close quarters, like friends and family.
- 28:32And it's vile.
- 28:34And I will point out, it's hard to take it in person.
- 28:36I got to say that in person is not the Internet.
- 28:38When someone comes up to you face to face and it's happened to me recently, from Jewish friends, former friends, I guess, getting right in your face and say that, oh, it hurts because you know that they know or they don't.
- 28:54They've either lost track of what they know or they know and they're saying it anyway.
- 28:58And it stops you in your tracks when it happens.
- 29:03I think they really mean it.
- 29:04I think that I think I've watched this.
- 29:06I covered black politics 30 years ago.
- 29:08I knew Al Sharpton really well.
- 29:10And I mean, really well, I travel with them a lot around the world.
- 29:14And Sharpton had good qualities.
- 29:17Very funny, but totally fraudulent.
- 29:20I mean, truly, he's a criminal, right?
- 29:22I mean, he was a nice, he was a criminal.
- 29:24But you would run into black people like normal black people, smart, know what's up.
- 29:30And they would all say Sharpton.
- 29:33They would never criticize Sharpton ever because they felt under attack and they felt they had nowhere to go.
- 29:41Like Sharpton may be what he is, but he's on our side and there's no way I'm going to denounce him in public.
- 29:47You saw this happen with whites in 2016 with Trump.
- 29:50That's really a lot of this was about whites feeling totally threatened through affirmative action, DEI, the kind of thing that happened to you at Evergreen, where all of a sudden you could just say like, well, the white shouldn't reproduce.
- 30:04Like white people are bad.
- 30:06Like they're at the bottom of the totem pole now.
- 30:07And there was so much of that that whites are like, we feel really, really threatened.
- 30:12Of course, being white, they didn't say it mostly, but they felt it for sure.
- 30:16And here comes Trump.
- 30:17And really the promise of Trump was to save white people.
- 30:19Just a fact, sorry.
- 30:21And working class people who are you talking about?
- 30:24Talking about, you know, former Democrats, ethnic Democrats, but white people.
- 30:29And they voted for Trump.
- 30:30And, you know, of course that didn't work.
- 30:33But you see it now with Jews.
- 30:35They feel totally threatened.
- 30:37By the way, if we could turn on the temperature a little bit and you ask, like some people who've called me names or said, I'm never talking to you again, are you really in favor of what Netanyahu is doing?
- 30:46And you're like, Israel, great.
- 30:48He's not helping Israel.
- 30:50It got crushed last night in Tel Aviv.
- 30:52Like, how is that helping?
- 30:53It's not.
- 30:54And they'd be like, you're right.
- 30:56And Netanyahu is kind of an idiot, actually.
- 30:57He's just a great tactician politician, but he's not a strategist.
- 31:00He has no long term vision for Israel that's healthy or going to work.
- 31:03He's a destructive force.
- 31:05But they can't say that because they feel so under attack.
- 31:10Partly because of people.
- 31:11Maybe I'm answering my own question because people like Mark Levin, who are like, the Nazis are coming! And normal people, normal Jews are like, man, that's terrifying.
- 31:21I better not say anything against Israel.
- 31:26It's my only hope.
- 31:28I think Jews are starting to feel strongly the way that a lot of blacks felt, a lot of whites felt, and now you can see where this is going.
- 31:39Is that fair, do you think?
- 31:40Oh, 100%.
- 31:41And I think what's happened is that primordial features of human nature are being triggered by events that are causing this to unfold.
- 31:52And that basically, you and I will easily remember what it felt like to be an American in the aftermath of 9-11.
- 32:02Yes.
- 32:03Right.
- 32:03I remember thinking that George W.
- 32:06Bush was a lightweight and an embarrassment as a president.
- 32:13I think I was broad minded enough to have been able to say before 9-11 that I think he's the kind of guy who you could really get along with at the barbecue.
- 32:22But that he had no place in the White House.
- 32:25And after 9-11, there was just a sense from all sorts of people who felt as I did about him, that he shouldn't be in that position, that it was dangerous, that he was our leader and that we had been attacked.
- 32:37And you know, there was just, it galvanized us.
- 32:42And I now think that story is a lot more complicated and not as presented than I thought at the beginning.
- 32:52But nonetheless, the point is human beings, when they are being attacked, circle the wagons.
- 32:58It's a natural phenomenon and it exists for obvious reasons.
- 33:02And so to your earlier point about the amplifying of the very things that cause antisemitism, including leveling false accusations, which of course cause unbearable resentment amongst people who are falsely accused.
- 33:18These things create a scenario in which Jews are now threatened by a growing wave of antisemitism.
- 33:26And hated.
- 33:27And hated.
- 33:28And so the point is the tendency to want to circle the wagons and just simply go to the people who are experiencing it too is overwhelming.
- 33:36But if we do that, we will end the West and it can't be allowed to happen.
- 33:43It's so obviously happening.
- 33:45I was sitting in a meeting in 1995 with Bill Crystal, who I then worked for.
- 33:49And in the meeting was a guy called Jay of Lefkowitz, who was later someone who helped Jeffrey Epstein, weirdly.
- 33:55But this was long before that, nine years before that.
- 33:58But we're sitting there and I'll never forget Crystal, who was clever, not wise, but clever and nice to me.
- 34:07I was grateful to have the job.
- 34:09I remember him saying, and I'm quoting,"A little antisemitism is good for the Jews.
- 34:14It reminds them of who they are." And I just didn't grow up in a world where anybody endorsed that kind of thing.
- 34:21I was like, well, I'll never forget that as long as I live.
- 34:23A little antisemitism is good for the Jews.
- 34:25It reminds me of who they are.
- 34:26And I remember thinking, hey, I just don't think that's actually true.
- 34:29It's not good for the Jews or anyone else.
- 34:32But he really believed that.
- 34:34And clearly you see it with, I saw it with Al Sharpton.
- 34:38He was constantly telling audiences how much they were hated.
- 34:42Why was he doing that?
- 34:43Because it increased his power.
- 34:45And I really believe that that is what's going on right now.
- 34:49If you scare the crap out of people and they really have, they're literally Nazis, not people who disagree with what's going on in Gaza or think like the West Bank should have its own government or like we shouldn't go to work with the Ra.
- 35:01You know, it's kind of where I am.
- 35:03But people who are literally genocidal in their intent, you know, people will follow you if you say that.
- 35:14I mean, that's true demagoguery.
- 35:17And I think it's like the craziest thing I've ever seen.
- 35:22Ever.
- 35:23Well, I will say one of the things that this is doing to me as I'm trying to review how we ended up here, a place I would not have imagined we could end up, is that I don't feel like the Judaism that is being represented in the world is familiar.
- 35:47I know that it exists, but it's not what I grew up with.
- 35:51I grew up in a secular Jewish home in which the values were decidedly Jewish and they were explicit.
- 36:01And what we did was think through difficult issues very carefully.
- 36:08And I will tell you, the Holocaust played a big role in my upbringing.
- 36:14I'm sure.
- 36:15I maybe you, I did not at the point that I became cognizant understand how recent it was.
- 36:23I now, of course, do because I've lived for 57 years.
- 36:27But the idea that this is something that can happen.
- 36:34Yes, it can happen here.
- 36:36And you need to understand what happened and you need to understand who lived.
- 36:43The people who told themselves, it's bad, it will pass.
- 36:49They're resettling us to the east, whatever.
- 36:52Those people died.
- 36:54The people who saw it early didn't and people who understood it didn't.
- 37:00So in any case, my point is.
- 37:02Can I say as an Episcopalian, and this is not a compliment to the Episcopal Church, but it not so different from Reform Judaism.
- 37:10Reform Judaism was actually kind of modeled on the Episcopal churches.
- 37:13You may or may not know, but it was.
- 37:15Yeah, Temple Bethel is kind of like an Episcopal Church sort of, or started that way.
- 37:20German Jews, rationalists, let's explain this.
- 37:22Let's think through all the hard problems, de-emphasis on the miraculous, emphasis on the rational, very similar.
- 37:31The one lesson that I got from hearing about the Holocaust constantly growing up in a very Jewish school was exactly what you said right then, is that don't lie to yourself.
- 37:43I'm not Jewish, so I wasn't thinking about it in those terms, but the lesson is universally applicable.
- 37:49You see the leaves changing, it's probably fall.
- 37:51Don't tell yourself it's not.
- 37:53And Hannah Arendt, who I always loved Hannah Arendt, and I just think Hannah Arendt was really a kind of a genius and a non-conventional thinker.
- 38:04But that was kind of the lesson that I took from her books, not just Eichmann and Jerusalem, but she wrote a lot of magazine pieces, which I read, and she kept saying that, like, just don't lie to yourself.
- 38:15And I have taken that my whole life and maybe to the extreme, like I'm probably too jumpy about certain things, but like, look at the trend lines.
- 38:24And I would say they are it.
- 38:26We should be panicked, not just for Jews, though for Jews, but for all of us, because tribalism kills everybody in the end and we should be panicked about its rise.
- 38:38Panicked.
- 38:38Oh, absolutely.
- 38:39We are looking at a return to an evolutionary mode of being.
- 38:47And to give it its due, I will just say that the way history worked until five minutes ago, until the invention of the modern West, was that populations displace each other or they get displaced.
- 39:01That's the game.
- 39:03And unfortunately, I now see, first of all, I see myself being spoken for as a Jew.
- 39:10I find Benjamin Netanyahu speaking for me and I don't know what I am supposed to resign from so that he no longer has that right.
- 39:20I don't know where it comes from.
- 39:21What's more, I want to know where the tradition that I grew up with, which I will defend, went.
- 39:29I feel like, you know, I've been sort of looking into it.
- 39:32I'm not, you know, deeply embedded in Judaism.
- 39:36I have a good friend, an increasingly good friend who is a scholar of Jewish mysticism.
- 39:42I learn a lot from him about these various things.
- 39:45I also increasingly realize that my tradition emerges from Maimonides, who, you know, I barely knew who Maimonides was, but he was a 12th century philosopher, Jewish philosopher and medical doctor in Spain.
- 40:02And he had this hard headed, very rigorous Jewish approach to thinking.
- 40:10And he was actually well respected outside of Judaism because he was so insightful.
- 40:16And in any case, my point is we are seeing a very, in my opinion, foolish version of this tradition and a very dangerous one because it sort of hybridizes these, I think most of the, I don't like the term Zionism because it morphs on you.
- 40:38Right.
- 40:38Sometimes Zionism just means that you believe that the state of Israel should exist, in which case, okay, I'll sign up for that.
- 40:47Sometimes it means that you want to see it expanded in some way.
- 40:54And it's like, hey, hold on, wait a minute.
- 40:56We've got a lot riding on not just overwhelming people because they come from a different branch of the tree.
- 41:03So, no, I'm not signed up for that.
- 41:06But my sense is we, here's what's exactly, I'm just laughing as, I wish I could put it as crisply as you just said that those are exactly my views.
- 41:15It's crazy.
- 41:17And so I think this is the thing that I haven't heard anybody else say it, maybe others have.
- 41:22But the thing that is so confusing about what's going on in the present, what's now begun in Iran, is if I just look at it like an anthropologist.
- 41:36That's a holy war.
- 41:38It's a holy war, but it's being led by secular Jews.
- 41:43Exactly.
- 41:44And it is that secularness that cloaks it, that makes it look like something it isn't.
- 41:50And I'm not saying, look, I am no fan of the Iranian theocracy, right?
- 41:56I couldn't be more frightened by that structure for the same reason I don't want to see a holy war initiated by Israel.
- 42:06Frankly, holy war has no place in a world where we should be moving towards the values of the modern West.
- 42:14Because it's hard to resolve them, very hard.
- 42:16Well, I mean, it gets resolved by one population displacing another period at the end.
- 42:20And the point is, you know, if you want to talk about the Holocaust, that's what it was.
- 42:26Right.
- 42:27It was a population taking advantage of the fact that there was another population that couldn't defend itself that had some wealth.
- 42:33And the point is you can create growth by exterminating those people and taking their stuff.
- 42:37Right.
- 42:38That's what it is.
- 42:39And that's that's a go to strategy.
- 42:41So to the extent that anybody on Earth is advocating for, hey, let's paint those people as demons and then we'll exterminate them and take their stuff.
- 42:50Right.
- 42:50That is not a way the world can go on.
- 42:53Now, it did go on that way, but it did not go on that way in the nuclear era.
- 42:58We can't play that game anymore.
- 43:00It has to end.
- 43:01And I'm going to I don't think that this discussion is going to be a win for me in the world.
- 43:08I think I'm going to pay dearly for having had it.
- 43:10Really?
- 43:11Oh, yeah.
- 43:12Oh, yeah.
- 43:12But I just live on another planet.
- 43:14This seems like the most reasonable, moderate American conversation you could ever have.
- 43:19That's the problem with it.
- 43:20Yeah, I guess I don't understand the country as well as I thought I did.
- 43:23Well, no, I think you and I understand a version of the country that works to an extent.
- 43:31Again, it's a prototype.
- 43:32It doesn't work brilliantly, but it works.
- 43:34And we understand the aspiration of what it's supposed to do if it really works.
- 43:38Right.
- 43:39And of course, that's hard to let go of once you've seen it.
- 43:43And we are being forced to let go of it.
- 43:47And, you know, I will say I've been accused in very close quarters of having a martyr complex.
- 43:55I do not.
- 43:56My life is personally so good.
- 44:00I am not eager to leave it one.
- 44:02I feel the same way.
- 44:03Instant sooner than I have to.
- 44:04However, I'm also aware that what it is to be a man is to face the fact that there are hills worth dying for.
- 44:15And I don't want to.
- 44:17But the point is we have to defend the hill that is the modern West and we have to defend it from this impulse to view the world through a lens of what lineage do you come from and what are we entitled to and, you know, deeds to land that go back millennia or whatever it is.
- 44:32That's not the way this can work if we are to continue as a species.
- 44:37So I don't know how we can turn down the temperature and get people who have already chosen the team to rethink whether that was a reasonable thing to do, but they are signing us up for a an unthinkable conflagration.
- 44:54And, you know, to have Benjamin Netanyahu in a position to steer the United States.
- 45:01And I think that is what has happened.
- 45:04You can tell that by what Marco Rubio has said.
- 45:06And if we take the mild version, you know, where he says it was the timing that was forced by Israel.
- 45:13Okay, that's still unacceptable.
- 45:17If we take the more aggressive interpretation and the fact is we were forced into this because Israel wanted it, that is completely unacceptable.
- 45:26And we cannot.
- 45:30We cannot survive this way.
- 45:32And I will I don't know how to say this delicately, but your sense that anti-Semitism is being amped up and it seems essentially deliberate.
- 45:46And you've heard, as you said, from Bill Crystal, the idea that must circulate somewhere, that a bit of anti-Semitism is good because it reminds you as to who they are.
- 45:54We don't need that reminder.
- 45:56We can be very academic.
- 45:58We can understand these things based on patterns of history and we do.
- 46:04So we don't need this amped up.
- 46:06But the question...
- 46:07Can I just say, though, I understand I think it's poison.
- 46:11I think Bill Crystal himself is poison.
- 46:13I have a lot of thoughts about Bill Crystal, who I know intimately.
- 46:16However, it's not strictly speaking false.
- 46:19If you look at the coherent populations, like if your goal is to keep, you know, a genetic mix intact, if your goal is to keep religion intact and you look around the world, like what groups have pulled that off?
- 46:30Jews, obviously top of the list.
- 46:32The Armenians.
- 46:34The Armenians are really...
- 46:35I mean, in California, you grew up there.
- 46:38When we were kids, the Armenian...
- 46:40I mean, people didn't think Jews did not think, at least in the world I lived in, they didn't think of, "We're the Jews and everybody else." It was like they were just kind of like everybody else, at least in the world I lived in, they were.
- 46:49But the Armenians were definitely distinct.
- 46:54Like Armenians marry Armenians, they go to Armenian church.
- 46:58Why is that?
- 46:58Because they got genocided by the Ottoman Turks.
- 47:02And they were literally...
- 47:04They bombed the Turkish consulate in Los Angeles when I was a kid.
- 47:08I'll never forget it.
- 47:08Armenians did.
- 47:10Because they were still so mad about this thing that happened at the tail end of the First World War, 70 years before, whatever it was.
- 47:17So it had the effect, their suffering and their insistence on telling their children about that suffering, had the effect, probably made their kids jumpy and paranoid probably.
- 47:26That's the downside.
- 47:27But it did have the effect of keeping them coherent as a group.
- 47:30Just a fact.
- 47:31So like it's not...
- 47:33Like as an evolutionary strategy, it's not crazy.
- 47:38Oh, I'm not saying that it is not logically true that a bit of antisemitism will cause that.
- 47:44Right.
- 47:44On the other hand, I think it very quickly gets to where we are now.
- 47:47Right, exactly.
- 47:47No, you're right.
- 47:48You see it as a logical filter for things, a litmus test for the quality of someone's character.
- 47:55And again, to go back to my own upbringing, the stories of various genocides, especially the Nazi genocide, was such an important feature of...
- 48:14I mean, it's at the core of my being, right?
- 48:17And I will just say we are living in such an incoherent era that, you know, I watch Darryl Cooper being slandered much as you are.
- 48:27And then I listened to his piece on Baba Yar.
- 48:32And I think, what planet am I living on?
- 48:34There's no way that somebody who harbors a deep bigotry against Jews could have made that piece.
- 48:40And I would ask people to go listen to it.
- 48:43No one will.
- 48:44No one's slandering him will.
- 48:46Oh, no one's slandering him will.
- 48:48But I guess I'm worried about a different pattern.
- 48:54Something that you've experienced and I've experienced is that there is a way people are driven away from hearing us.
- 49:01I also agree that you and I are having a reasonable conversation.
- 49:04And whether you're right or wrong or I'm right or wrong or we together are right or wrong, it would be valuable for people to hear this conversation.
- 49:12At least it's an insight into how thinking people are parsing this moment and coming up with a different conclusion than you have.
- 49:19It's worth it for that.
- 49:21But they won't.
- 49:21And the reason that they won't is that there's a particular strategy.
- 49:26Strategy involves saying something along the lines of, I'll use the version that I get, it's something like if you don't understand that Bret is an intellectual lightweight who doesn't have a clue what he's talking about, I can't help you.
- 49:46Now, the effect of that, I call it gaslighting by ricochet.
- 49:51And the idea is if you actually listen to what I say, that's not the impression you're going to come up with.
- 49:57You can disagree with me.
- 49:59You may think I'm being stupid about something, but you're probably not going to come away with the idea that I'm just a pure faker or that I'm motivated by greed or whatever.
- 50:09It's not consistent.
- 50:11However, the person who doesn't know me, who thinks, well, that's interesting.
- 50:18I wonder, maybe I'll just take a listen and they go to listen to me and they find that actually sounds like a reasonable person.
- 50:27Then they start to think, oh, wait, am I a sucker?
- 50:31If I don't see the thing that I've been told is so obvious, I can't be helped if I don't see it.
- 50:36And the point is that will cause them not to want to listen because they're damned if they do and damned if they don't.
- 50:42If they hear what I have to say and it sounds reasonable, then they are opening themselves up to that ricochet landing on them.
- 50:50So the point is you at the moment, as I understand it, are resonating with young men, but you're losing our generation.
- 51:01Our generation has accepted a slander about you without sitting down and listening to your monologues.
- 51:07If they did sit down and listen to your monologues, they would have quite a moment because then they would have to say, well, wait a second.
- 51:18This actually sounds like a reasoned, moderate, well-intentioned analysis of the moment.
- 51:26Disagree with you or not.
- 51:28It doesn't sound like zealotry or bigotry or anything like that.
- 51:34So it is these strategies that are shaping our world.
- 51:38The people who need to hear us aren't going to hear us because there's a booby trap that prevents them from getting there.
- 51:45And, you know, I know my instinct is always to go listen to the people that I'm not supposed to get along with.
- 51:53It's always that.
- 51:54Because you live with us yourself multiple times.
- 51:56Here's the threat, though, that I think that is not often enough acknowledged, which is that you become what they call you.
- 52:06I really feel that that's part of...
- 52:10So if you accept that, you know, hatred, tribal hatred destroys societies, but it does empower some people.
- 52:21Mm hmm.
- 52:21Right.
- 52:23So the incentive is just set up to make certain people, demagogues, want to increase hatred.
- 52:29I think there's a spiritual principle there, too.
- 52:31I won't bore you with it.
- 52:32But I think evil feeds on hatred.
- 52:33That's my view.
- 52:34But whatever the motive, it's clearly baked in that they want people to hate.
- 52:41And I think it works.
- 52:43I think if you call someone something enough and you repeat it like an incantation, like a spell, no, you were getting very sleepy bread.
- 52:51You were getting very sleepy.
- 52:51No, you were an anti-Semite.
- 52:52You were an anti-Semite.
- 52:53And you're like, your first thought is, well, not an anti-Semite.
- 52:57Like, how that's outrageous.
- 52:58What a slander.
- 52:59I have all these Jewish friends.
- 53:00Dun, dun, dun, dun, dun.
- 53:01You know, it's like everyone goes through this, all literal people.
- 53:03They'll be like, you hate black people.
- 53:05Be like, actually, I like black.
- 53:05I'm always kind of like black people.
- 53:08But after all, you're like, why are all the blacks calling me racist?
- 53:12It's outrageous.
- 53:14And by the way, you don't see a lot of blacks standing up and like defending me.
- 53:17I don't think I like the blacks anymore.
- 53:20I don't know what I mean.
- 53:21And you can actually become what they call you.
- 53:26And that is a true risk, I think.
- 53:28And luckily, it's baked into my religion.
- 53:30You're not allowed to do that.
- 53:32You, when Christians ask for forgiveness, they have to follow it with forgiveness of others.
- 53:40So you are not allowed to hold hatred against people, period.
- 53:43Or you won't be forgiven by God.
- 53:44That is Christian doctrine.
- 53:46So it can be, if you stick with that, it's self-correcting.
- 53:50Like you're saved from hatred.
- 53:52You're saved from becoming a Nazi.
- 53:54But people who aren't disciplined about it, if you call them Nazis long enough, guess what happens?
- 53:59They don't become less Nazi.
- 54:00They become more Nazi.
- 54:01Yeah, you actually, you lower the cost.
- 54:03Yeah.
- 54:04Because they've already...
- 54:04You grow into the slur.
- 54:06Yeah.
- 54:07And that's like, I sincerely believe as a religious person, that's soul imperiling.
- 54:12Like, actually, you could go to hell for that.
- 54:14But it's certainly disabling in this life.
- 54:17Like, if you start to think that way.
- 54:19So I don't know.
- 54:21I've said this a bunch of times.
- 54:22I don't think anyone hears anything I say.
- 54:23But I just want to say it again.
- 54:25If you're being called names, the number one job you have, even before you defend yourself, is to make certain you don't become what they're calling you.
- 54:34That's extremely wise.
- 54:37I think it also leads to another principle I've been trying to formulate.
- 54:43We have all of these instances in recent history of groups claiming victim status in order to gain power.
- 54:58And I'm not arguing that there is no victim status worth designating in any of these cases, but the point is it becomes an excuse for an offensive action.
- 55:11All right.
- 55:13When that happens, I am always on the lookout for people who could take advantage of this new status and don't, who challenge it.
- 55:24Right.
- 55:24So for example, during the woke revolution, there were numerous prominent intellectual blacks who stood up against it and I stood shoulder to shoulder with them.
- 55:37In fact, I did an episode of DarkHorse called the intellectual black round table where I gathered, I think it was five of them and we talked and I just wanted the world to understand A, this is not a universal belief amongst blacks.
- 55:53B, there's an alternative C, the bench of black intellectuals is quite deep and you need to know all these things in order to know what's going on in the street when people are claiming white supremacy is everywhere.
- 56:06It accounts for everything.
- 56:09And the only solution is to topple the system and transfer all the wealth or whatever it was.
- 56:15So I'm always on the lookout for the people who are in the category that could take advantage of these false portrayals and don't it's also the case when it comes to trans activism.
- 56:29We have all of these people who have been using this idea of gender transition as a weapon and we have a small number of people who have gender dysphoria, have transitioned in whatever way and have stood up against it and we should be standing shoulder to shoulder with them.
- 56:47I totally agree.
- 56:48So my point is I also feel an obligation as a Jew to stand up for the other set of values that I think are better and that really characterized Judaism, at least in America, much more so than today when we were growing up.
- 57:06Right.
- 57:06That careful tradition, the one that holds the values very deeply would not create false portrayals in order to advance a political agenda, much less a military.
- 57:17It was the world's, I'm very familiar with reform.
- 57:19Reform Judaism is what I grew up around.
- 57:23And I'm very familiar with it, certainly with the tone of it.
- 57:25And it was always like, it was like the least aggressive.
- 57:33It was just very much in tone and spirit like the church that I grew up in.
- 57:37You ask a question and be like, well, it's hard.
- 57:40You know, it would always be like, it's hard.
- 57:41Well, that's and you could make fun of that.
- 57:43And I've certainly made fun of it a lot with my own church.
- 57:47But you're not going to get a lot of extremists coming out of that period.
- 57:52It acknowledged the complexity of every human decision and of the human condition.
- 57:57And I think there's something nice about that.
- 57:59Well, this is uncomfortable.
- 58:02I don't think I'm talking about reform Judaism, though.
- 58:04I think the thing I'm talking about would have been found in many.
- 58:09Did you grow up going to Temple?
- 58:10No.
- 58:11Oh, wow.
- 58:12Well, I will tell you, I felt a little left out by that.
- 58:16My family was secular, atheist and, you know, decidedly scientific.
- 58:22You were not Barmitzvud?
- 58:23No, I wasn't.
- 58:24Oh, wow.
- 58:25I wanted to be.
- 58:26And what happened, I mean, this will tell you a lot about me.
- 58:31What happened was I asked to go to Hebrew school for the purpose of being Barmitzvud.
- 58:38I thought it seemed like a thing I should do, even though I wasn't a believer.
- 58:43A lot of Jews aren't believers.
- 58:44That's one of the strange things about Judaism is it's not really about belief in that sense, or it's not about faith.
- 58:51It can be.
- 58:52For many it is, but for many it's not.
- 58:54And you remain Jewish.
- 58:54You don't lose your Jewishness just because you're secular.
- 58:57So I asked and my parents saw no reason not to and signed me up and I went and I remember asking questions about things that didn't add up in the portrayal that we were being given.
- 59:22And I expected it to be like the family dinner table.
- 59:28And the family dinner table, you could ask any question and it was taken seriously and that's how I grew up.
- 59:35And that was not the response that I got.
- 59:39I got a response that was basically designed to sort of, I mean, I now know what the response is because I've seen bad professors do it.
- 59:48Right.
- 59:48You know, the professor who doesn't really know their subject doesn't want to be asked questions that reveal that.
- 59:54Parents are the same way.
- 59:56Well, it's funny.
- 59:57My house wasn't like this.
- 59:58Neither was mine.
- 59:59My father would answer any question and never judge you for asking it.
- 1:00:02Yeah.
- 1:00:02My family was like that and my grandfather particularly.
- 1:00:06So my grandfather was very good with kids.
- 1:00:09He took them very seriously.
- 1:00:10He was tremendously fun.
- 1:00:12It wasn't like he was a super serious guy.
- 1:00:14He was very fun and very adventurous.
- 1:00:17Take you out into the, you know, climb mountains and stuff with him.
- 1:00:20But anyway, you could ask him any question about anything and he would answer it as well as he could and then you'd ask the next question.
- 1:00:28And when you finally got to the place where he couldn't answer the question, he'd say, I don't know.
- 1:00:32And here's what we might do to figure out the answer.
- 1:00:34Anyway, it was like having the world's best, you know, personal tutor or mentor or something like that.
- 1:00:42What a blessing.
- 1:00:43What did he do for a living?
- 1:00:45Well, he was kind of a, I mean, I hate to say it, but he was either a failure in the sense of doing things for a living.
- 1:00:56He was too principled.
- 1:00:58He got blacklisted for his political beliefs.
- 1:01:01He was a chemist, went to college, but didn't finish it, got hired away, I think, by RCA Records to develop, you know, the first vinyl to replace the lacquer records that had existed.
- 1:01:15So anyway, you know, he worked in the industry and eventually he got a job in pollution control.
- 1:01:22He was an inspector inspecting factories.
- 1:01:24He was a very committed environmentalist.
- 1:01:26And so he was inspecting factories for pollution and things like that.
- 1:01:30And then Proposition 13 happened and he got fired.
- 1:01:33So he wasn't successful in the sense of a career.
- 1:01:37However, I do think the real meaning, his name was Harry.
- 1:01:42It's a great guy.
- 1:01:44The real meaning of Harry is that he was very wise about many things.
- 1:01:51He had seen a lot and he understood a lot and he was wicked smart.
- 1:01:57And that he passed this on to any young person who would listen, you know, especially me and Eric, but really my friends all remember him too.
- 1:02:06Right.
- 1:02:06I don't, I barely remember my friend's grandparents.
- 1:02:10You know, I met a bunch of them, but they were old and it was hard to relate to them and all that.
- 1:02:14But my grandfather made an impression on every friend of mine he ever met.
- 1:02:18And they, you know, they asked about him right up until his death.
- 1:02:21You know, how old were you when he passed?
- 1:02:23It was 2000.
- 1:02:27Oh, he lived a long time.
- 1:02:28Yeah, he did.
- 1:02:29He made it to 94.
- 1:02:32Yeah.
- 1:02:34But anyway, I've forgotten exactly why we were talking about Harry.
- 1:02:38Oh, it was just a question of what the, what the culture was in my house.
- 1:02:44It was secular.
- 1:02:45It was intellectually committed and rigorous and it, you know, it wasn't trying to be mild.
- 1:03:00Right.
- 1:03:00It was, it was trying to do the right thing based on what the patterns of the world and the evidence suggested the right thing was.
- 1:03:10And I don't see that in the culture at the moment.
- 1:03:17No, I don't. And I don't understand how, you know, Netanyahuism or whatever it is has overwhelmed it.
- 1:03:25Right.
- 1:03:25I, at very least, look, you can do what you want.
- 1:03:29We, that's, you know, our personal freedom is effectively sacred in the West as it should be.
- 1:03:34But I feel entitled to continue that tradition and not be suspected of a moral defect for doing so.
- 1:03:44Well, I couldn't agree more, of course.
- 1:03:46In fact, it's the thing I feel most strongly.
- 1:03:49And I think my right to express my views, my conscience, to defend myself.
- 1:03:56I mean, I think the Bill of Rights, these are natural rights bestowed by God.
- 1:03:59That's my opinion.
- 1:04:01That's my deepest belief.
- 1:04:01So I'm totally committed to everything you just said.
- 1:04:05And I grew up weirdly in a non-Jewish household, but also secular household with exactly the same vibe.
- 1:04:13My father was a wonderful man and very rigorous intellectually and also extremely open-minded.
- 1:04:18Extremely.
- 1:04:19It was never like, I can't believe you think that.
- 1:04:21Never.
- 1:04:22And that was a massive advantage for me.
- 1:04:25I do think that world is dying because I think the systems are played out and the systems that I love and support.
- 1:04:31Liberal democracy.
- 1:04:33I think it's not growing anywhere in the world.
- 1:04:37There's no ...
- 1:04:37And here's one measure of it.
- 1:04:39There's no country that I'm aware of in which the legislative body is getting stronger.
- 1:04:44They're all becoming weaker.
- 1:04:45The legislative body, of course, is the most democratic of all bodies.
- 1:04:48It is the voice of the people.
- 1:04:50It's the people's house.
- 1:04:50But that's true in every country with a system like ours, or a parliamentary system.
- 1:04:55And in every country that I'm aware of, those systems are becoming superfluous.
- 1:04:59They're becoming the Roman Senate.
- 1:05:02And that is a measure of a bunch of different things.
- 1:05:04Maybe it's the end of a life cycle.
- 1:05:05Maybe it's an expression of people's frustration with the awkwardness of the democratic system.
- 1:05:10It doesn't work very efficiently.
- 1:05:12Whatever it is, it's a global trend where power is vesting in the executive, where people are less free to say what they think.
- 1:05:21This is throughout the West.
- 1:05:23It may have to do maybe most obviously with the rise of China.
- 1:05:26The most successful country in the world is China.
- 1:05:29And so why wouldn't the rest of the world ape its system?
- 1:05:32I don't think that's crazy.
- 1:05:34It's non-optimal.
- 1:05:35It's the opposite of what I want, but I'm not in charge of history.
- 1:05:38And that I think is happening.
- 1:05:39There's no question about it.
- 1:05:40When Rome rose, when Carthage rose, when Persia rose, Britain rose, when any global empire ascended, other regions, other cultures, aped their system.
- 1:05:52You imitate the successful.
- 1:05:54And I think that we're seeing that.
- 1:05:56And I think we're living downstream of that.
- 1:05:58We think that we are the headquarters of the world from which all trends emanate, but actually we're not.
- 1:06:06China is.
- 1:06:08And I think it's been misread in the United States as some secret collusion between American business interests and the CCP, which is of course totally real.
- 1:06:15They have been secretly colluding for sure, but it's much bigger than that.
- 1:06:17It's not just that Apple makes its iPhones in the East.
- 1:06:21It's that their system appears to be more successful than ours.
- 1:06:26Therefore, our social system, our political system will to some great extent mirror theirs.
- 1:06:33I don't think that, I think that's just explicable.
- 1:06:35Again, I'm going to spend the rest of my life fighting that, not because I hate the Chinese.
- 1:06:39I don't hate the Chinese, by the way, at all.
- 1:06:43But I'm not Chinese.
- 1:06:45I'm American and I've been here my whole life and I'm not leaving and I plan to defend our system even if it's dying, but it is dying.
- 1:06:52That's the point I'm making.
- 1:06:53It is dying.
- 1:06:54And so we shouldn't be surprised when many more people in Great Britain are arrested for Facebook posts than were arrested in Russia last year, three times.
- 1:07:02How can that be the country that wrote the Magna Carta?
- 1:07:04How can they be arresting people for their opinions?
- 1:07:07Well, they're doing it more enthusiastically than this totalitarian hellhole under Vladimir Putin because the West, its systems are dying.
- 1:07:17Well, I think there's another element to it.
- 1:07:23And I don't think it's wholly incompatible with the model you just painted, but I think I have a more cynical view of what's happening and that it effectively, we are witnessing an evolutionary dynamic where the founders built a system that had dynamism built into it that is necessary to protect that system from what they couldn't foresee, right?
- 1:07:50They built a system that could modify itself so that it could change with the times, but it's not dynamic enough.
- 1:08:00What we need is an immune system that is capable of fending off the evolution of corrupting forces.
- 1:08:09And the problem is we have an industrial strength constitution that protects rights which are fundamental to defending our individual liberty.
- 1:08:23That is absolutely galling to people who wish to hoard power.
- 1:08:28Oh, of course.
- 1:08:30Of course it would be.
- 1:08:31It was designed to be.
- 1:08:32Right.
- 1:08:33It's a middle finger in the face of tyrants.
- 1:08:35Absolutely.
- 1:08:36So the point is, over time, tyranny is evolving and it's like a parasite that is breaking through the defenses of the Republic because at the end of the day, there are lots of people who would love to have asymmetric power over the rest of us.
- 1:09:00Why wouldn't they?
- 1:09:01Of course.
- 1:09:02They don't.
- 1:09:02They're not deeply moral people.
- 1:09:04Some of them have no moral sense whatsoever.
- 1:09:07And in light of that, you can imagine looking at the American system and saying, you know, that First Amendment is a real problem, right?
- 1:09:18They can talk about anything.
- 1:09:20Like who was crazy enough to give them that right?
- 1:09:23And figuring out how you would target it.
- 1:09:25What would the preconditions need to be in order for the public to agree to demand censorship of themselves or something like that?
- 1:09:33Well, we've now seen multiple iterations of this, right?
- 1:09:37Whether, you know, it's the war on terror or it's COVID or whatever.
- 1:09:43You can get the population scared enough and wound up enough that they will actually sign up for, you know, being tyrannized.
- 1:09:53And the problem is that the Constitution is good enough that the breakdown is slow, right?
- 1:09:58They're chipping away at it.
- 1:10:00Patriot Act was a major blow.
- 1:10:03The NDAA of 2012 was a major blow.
- 1:10:07COVID was an incredibly major blow, but, you know, it's slow going.
- 1:10:12It's a multi-generation project.
- 1:10:15But, you know, the tools are getting better.
- 1:10:17The ability, you know, if you're itching to censor the population and you can leverage AI to do some job that the public believes needs to be done for the good of us all, well, it's pretty much game over.
- 1:10:34If you can replace the currency with a central bank digital currency that can be turned off if you say things that displease the regime, it's game over.
- 1:10:43So and your point about, you know, the legislative branch being the most democratic, of course it is.
- 1:10:50It's also the biggest problem for that reason.
- 1:10:52And if you want to control the system, you can do exactly what was done here, which was that the presidency, which was designed to be checked by the judiciary and legislative branch, had extra powers tacked onto it rather rapidly in recent decades because the people who had a stranglehold on gaining access to that office didn't see any reason not to do it, which is why I think they freaked out at the possibility of Trump being elected is because they'd loaded the powers of an emperor into this office.
- 1:11:26And then suddenly somebody showed up.
- 1:11:30It's possible to get there.
- 1:11:31So real.
- 1:11:32Yeah.
- 1:11:33So real.
- 1:11:34This office is too powerful for you.
- 1:11:37It certainly can't be in the hands of somebody we don't have control over.
- 1:11:40So that, I mean, that raises such an interesting question about 2028.
- 1:11:45This has occurred to me and the office is even more powerful, much more powerful.
- 1:11:51Venezuela, whatever that was, taking out Maduro operation proves it.
- 1:11:58That was done without congressional notification, much less authorization.
- 1:12:03And it was unprecedented for many reasons.
- 1:12:07And whether you like it or don't like it, nothing like that has ever happened before.
- 1:12:11And it was a decision made by one man.
- 1:12:14And so that means the executive of the United States, the presidency, is more powerful than it's ever been.
- 1:12:21It's also better funded than it's ever been.
- 1:12:23And it has more technological power by far than it's ever had to control the population.
- 1:12:29So at that point, if you're the permanent state and you've made clearly some accommodation with the current president, obviously, but the next guy, can you really pass it on to someone you can't control at this point?
- 1:12:46I don't think you can.
- 1:12:47They can't afford it.
- 1:12:49Truly at this point, where the president of the United States at this stage and things change, but right now can do basically whatever he wants for whatever reason without explaining himself.
- 1:13:00And we know that because it's happened.
- 1:13:02So I don't know.
- 1:13:04It raises the stakes for the next election, whether or not you believe elections are real, it raises them.
- 1:13:10And I think that may be sort of real.
- 1:13:11I don't really know the answer, but they're probably more real than you suspect and less real than you hope.
- 1:13:19Well said.
- 1:13:20But however, the next guy is chosen, like it can't be someone.
- 1:13:24It just absolutely can't be someone.
- 1:13:26You can't hand a toddler a gun.
- 1:13:29It can't be someone who directly opposes the permanent government, the true stakeholders.
- 1:13:33Can it?
- 1:13:37Can it exist at multiple levels?
- 1:13:42Let's put it this way.
- 1:13:43What you need is a George Washington like figure, somebody who will willingly limit his own power because it's the right thing to do.
- 1:13:56And I think not enough of the population understands that that's what George Washington was, but George Washington could have been king.
- 1:14:03It was the natural thing in the mind of the public with him having won the Revolutionary War.
- 1:14:08You know, a debonair gentleman, he was the king.
- 1:14:14He could have been, but he decided he didn't want that job.
- 1:14:18Right.
- 1:14:18So we need somebody with that strength of character.
- 1:14:21And the problem is we have a system that for exactly the reasons you've just outlined will stop at nothing to prevent such a person from attaining the office because it will see that as an existential threat.
- 1:14:33And so truly we can't get there, but we have to get there.
- 1:14:37And you know, that's sometimes that's the nature of history.
- 1:14:41I do at this moment.
- 1:14:43Go ahead.
- 1:14:45I think that's what we can't get there, but we have to get there.
- 1:14:48And I think we have to get there because the current arrangement can't continue.
- 1:14:53You'll either have because the spread between what the people who own the government want, the voters want, the citizens want, and what the government actually does is just too wide.
- 1:15:02Just too wide.
- 1:15:04It's too obvious that it's too wide.
- 1:15:05Yeah.
- 1:15:06And they're not getting what they pay for.
- 1:15:08They're not getting what they're entitled to.
- 1:15:09They're being ignored and humiliated.
- 1:15:11Can I ask you something just to clarify that?
- 1:15:13Of course.
- 1:15:14I think what you're saying is that the degree to which what the government does is not in the interests of the public and not intended to be.
- 1:15:24Yeah, and not intended to be.
- 1:15:26We get an excuse.
- 1:15:27You know, there's always a rationalization for why this policy is good for Americans, but let's face facts.
- 1:15:33The leak in our system that allows forces to purchase policy that is not in the interest of the public is too great.
- 1:15:42It's totalizing.
- 1:15:44And, you know, anything that's in the interests of the outside special interests and the public would get done anyway.
- 1:15:53You don't need to pay for that.
- 1:15:54If it's in the interests of the public and the interests of the special interests, then nobody opposes it.
- 1:15:59So what we get is a Congress that is effectively doing only that which will be paid for, which is inherently against the interests of the public.
- 1:16:10That's why it's paid for.
- 1:16:11That is exactly right.
- 1:16:13And it's not by the way, if you were to go through as someone who spent his whole life in Washington, I can tell you if you're going to go through all the kind of perfidious influences on the on the government, you know, like what are those special interests?
- 1:16:25What are they paying for?
- 1:16:26How bad are the outcomes for average Americans?
- 1:16:29It's a long list, you know, and you know what the list is.
- 1:16:34It's basically everyone who's paying to lobby Washington.
- 1:16:38Israel is near the top.
- 1:16:40Is it the top?
- 1:16:40I don't know.
- 1:16:41Kind of matter at pharma that I am at Israel, but that's just me.
- 1:16:44But there are a lot.
- 1:16:45There's a rivalry, right?
- 1:16:46The difference in what makes the behavior of people like Mark Levin almost suicidal.
- 1:16:51Is it rather than just doing it?
- 1:16:55Got to get out there and talk about it and rub everyone's noses in it.
- 1:16:58And so the current war, which was led by Israel and our government, I know this for a fact, our government would not have done this except for pressure from Netanyahu.
- 1:17:09Because everyone said that out loud, Netanyahu said it out loud to a lot of different people.
- 1:17:14He's been caught saying it.
- 1:17:16Our secretary of state said it.
- 1:17:17Whatever they're revising now, he said it.
- 1:17:20I watched it.
- 1:17:22And the advocates are saying it.
- 1:17:23It's like all of the frustration that Americans feel over the fact that their government doesn't serve them is now focused on one among a number of lobbies.
- 1:17:35Why would you want that?
- 1:17:37Basically, there's this deep reservoir of frustration like what the hell are they doing?
- 1:17:39I'm not benefiting.
- 1:17:40Why are the airports so crappy?
- 1:17:41Why are the roads bad?
- 1:17:42Why can't my kids get educated at public school?
- 1:17:44Like all these different things, most of which aren't actually connected to Israel.
- 1:17:49All of a sudden, this is the outlet for all of that frustration.
- 1:17:56Are you kidding?
- 1:17:57Are you on drugs?
- 1:17:58What are you doing?
- 1:17:59Why would you do this?
- 1:18:00Why would you push the United States into something that most people don't want, which happens all the other day?
- 1:18:07The administration comes out and they're like, no, you can continue to spray poison over America.
- 1:18:13The people who push for that didn't immediately go on Twitter and be like, yeah, America, you're getting more poison.
- 1:18:19They don't want to be known.
- 1:18:22You know, whatever chemical lobby pushed for that was shameful, but they didn't brag about it.
- 1:18:29Bragging about it is not a good idea for you or anyone else.
- 1:18:32Like, again, I'm sorry, I'm going back to the same point, but it's like, that's very self-destructive behavior, I think.
- 1:18:38Well, I must tell you what I do, my value in the world, comes from the same place.
- 1:18:49I'm a biologist.
- 1:18:51I think about complex systems.
- 1:18:53And the thing about complex systems is they defy the normal toolkit.
- 1:18:57They defy the toolkit that works for complicated systems.
- 1:19:01And most of the people that we have trying to steer us in one way or another don't understand the distinction, and they are constantly harming us because whatever they think is going to happen when they intervene in a complex system is guaranteed not to happen.
- 1:19:14So what I try to do, and if you walk into a tropical forest, the first thing you have to know is that we don't know how it works.
- 1:19:22Okay.
- 1:19:22We just don't.
- 1:19:23It actually immediately violates the first principle of ecology, which is that two species can't inhabit the same niche indefinitely.
- 1:19:33It's not supposed to happen.
- 1:19:35And yet you have 300 species of trees doing almost the identical thing without an explanation.
- 1:19:40So you walk into the tropical forest, you have to know, we don't know how this works.
- 1:19:45Can I just interrupt you and say whenever I hear an expert in a topic begin the explanation with, "We don't really understand this, I trust you." Well, everything you say after you say that, I listen to carefully.
- 1:19:56Everything you say I take seriously and think about later, that admission at the outset is the price of admission for me to trust you.
- 1:20:06Well, I appreciate that.
- 1:20:07And I think it's a good proxy.
- 1:20:09And I will say that principle you just outlined to the 10th power when you're dealing with complex systems.
- 1:20:16Oh, yes.
- 1:20:17Complex systems are special and you'll harm yourself every time.
- 1:20:21And this is, you know, all of modern medicine is us making this mistake.
- 1:20:25Totally agree.
- 1:20:26You're intervening in a human body, which is a layered system of complex systems, and you're going to have unintended consequences.
- 1:20:34Unless you can tell me why people sleep.
- 1:20:36I'm not going to believe you when you say you understand the human body completely.
- 1:20:39Yeah.
- 1:20:39Well, we're starting to get a handle that way.
- 1:20:40We know where they sleep.
- 1:20:42I'm just saying like the beginning of...
- 1:20:46I'm trying not to swear this year well to say it.
- 1:20:48My father always said this.
- 1:20:48He goes, "The beginning of wisdom is knowing what an asshole you are." He would always say that.
- 1:20:53And I just, I think that's the wisest thing I've ever heard.
- 1:20:56Just remember, I know nothing.
- 1:20:58I feel division is severely limited.
- 1:20:59My time horizon is short.
- 1:21:01I'm a human being.
- 1:21:02I can't even understand my wife half the time.
- 1:21:05Like, I don't understand this.
- 1:21:06I'm doing my best.
- 1:21:07If you start there...
- 1:21:08If you start with the epistemic humility, you've got a shot.
- 1:21:12Yes, you do.
- 1:21:13So, all right.
- 1:21:13So what I do is I look at a system that I know I don't know anything about, and I entertain a model.
- 1:21:20And I say, "Does this model explain anything about this that I don't already know?" And if something explains things I don't know, I think, "Okay, that model might have some truth to it." And then I see if there are predictions that might give me more confidence in it.
- 1:21:38So anyway, what I'm telling you is that there is a skill to approaching a system where you know you don't have, you know, a thousandth as much information as you'd like.
- 1:21:46And you know it doesn't work by rules that you can look up somewhere and trying to figure out what it is and why it works that way.
- 1:21:54And you alluded to the possewood principle.
- 1:21:58The purpose of a system is what it does, right?
- 1:22:00That's a cybernetic principle.
- 1:22:01It actually comes from complicated systems, not complex ones.
- 1:22:05But nonetheless, these kinds of tools are very useful if you're trying to put together an explanation for historical events where all you have are the public narratives, which are mostly lies or rationalizations or whatever they are.
- 1:22:22Incomplete at best.
- 1:22:24Yeah, I mean...
- 1:22:26Okay, they're lies.
- 1:22:28Incomplete.
- 1:22:28And there's a lot of false signal there.
- 1:22:31So here's the unsettling conclusion that's hard to escape with our current reckless adventure in Iran.
- 1:22:46This was not in Trump's interest.
- 1:22:49True.
- 1:22:50This is actually existential for his presidency and fairly directly.
- 1:22:55Not only might he lose the House, which he's likely to anyway, but and the Senate, which would of course hobble him in his ability to do anything.
- 1:23:06But if he loses the House and Senate, he will likely be impeached and convicted, which means there won't even be a remainder of this presidency.
- 1:23:14I would expect that risk to loom prominently in his thinking and to have prevented him from doing this.
- 1:23:24Right?
- 1:23:24This is felt as a betrayal to many of us, including me, who supported him in part on the basis that he promised no new wars.
- 1:23:32And this one was, of course, principle on the list of wars that those of us who were worried about it were fearing because of this course been on the neocon agenda since 9-11 and presumably before.
- 1:23:48So, okay.
- 1:23:49I have a mystery on my hands.
- 1:23:51Why would a president who already had an uphill battle in the midterms, why would he engage in an action that seems very likely to end his presidency?
- 1:24:05That's, that's a paradox.
- 1:24:08Similarly, why is the question, isn't it?
- 1:24:12It's a good one.
- 1:24:14Why would we agree to participate in something that has a strong possibility of ending in a military quagmire of a kind that we now have many familiar examples, a kind that traumatizes and angers the public and degrades our ability to have a functional society because it burns through resources like crazy?
- 1:24:44Why would we do that?
- 1:24:48And I don't know that the conclusion that I'm considering is true or could be true.
- 1:24:57It seems impossible.
- 1:25:01But I keep finding myself returned to this as the best explanation for these events, simply because I haven't heard one that explains the evidence better.
- 1:25:14This feels like someone wished to burn down the Trump presidency and hobble the United States.
- 1:25:28And the problem is that that's hard to dispel because the first part of it, the burning down of the Trump presidency, feels like a natural response to.
- 1:25:43Whatever it was that threw everything at preventing Trump from being elected and failed.
- 1:25:51In other words, you had.
- 1:25:55I don't know how many of the phenomena were the same entity, but there was every slander thrown at him.
- 1:26:03There was massive lawfare.
- 1:26:07He faced two assassination attempts that, as far as I can tell, were not seriously even investigated and he won in a convincing way.
- 1:26:23The people who are pushing this war, the neocons, switch sides.
- 1:26:30They actually became Democrats, which I didn't see that coming.
- 1:26:35That did not seem possible.
- 1:26:37And yet there they were.
- 1:26:39So the question is, if you were in those meetings, whatever they sound like, and they were talking about the problem of Trump and I know what we'll do, we'll do this, we'll do that.
- 1:26:51Right.
- 1:26:52Nothing's working.
- 1:26:54I bet there are a lot of contingency plans.
- 1:26:57Right.
- 1:26:57What do we do if the worst happens and he gets elected?
- 1:27:00Right.
- 1:27:01Well, a, the president and I'm not, you know, I've never met the man, but given what Marco Rubio said, given what I see on my feed, I feel like.
- 1:27:21This president probably wouldn't have done this if he had had a real choice.
- 1:27:25I think maybe that's wishful thinking.
- 1:27:29I will tell you, given that the Democrats didn't run a candidate who was not a middle finger to the American public and the Constitution, I would vote for him again in the same circumstance.
- 1:27:41But I definitely voted no new wars and specifically Iran.
- 1:27:47That was high on my list of priorities.
- 1:27:49And so I do feel like, well, wait a minute.
- 1:27:52Did I just find out that my vote doesn't matter because it doesn't matter who's in office because we're going to war with Iran anyway.
- 1:27:59So the long winded question that I'm trying to ask is, is there any chance that the purpose of this system is what it's just done?
- 1:28:09And that really the idea is Trump beat them every step of the game to this point, but they weren't going to allow him to win in the end.
- 1:28:19And burning down his presidency was a feature, not a bug.
- 1:28:25Of course.
- 1:28:27Of course.
- 1:28:28Yeah, you got it.
- 1:28:29You got everything you said is true.
- 1:28:31Wish it wasn't, but it is.
- 1:28:34Everything you said is true.
- 1:28:35And he didn't want to do it.
- 1:28:37Obvious to me.
- 1:28:39And he didn't feel he had a choice.
- 1:28:42And there are a lot of ways to read that.
- 1:28:43I mean, he basically said I'm not giving away any.
- 1:28:45I talked to him a lot about this before it happened and giving away anything that he didn't say in public.
- 1:28:50It was obvious.
- 1:28:51You know, well, I hope we can reach accommodation.
- 1:28:55And and there's, you know, there's so much lying about everything.
- 1:28:58And you're hearing people say, well, the diplomacy was always fake in order to buy time and all that stuff.
- 1:29:03And maybe there were elements of diplomacy that were fake.
- 1:29:05I don't know the answer.
- 1:29:05I hope that they weren't.
- 1:29:08But big picture from the president's perspective, from what I can tell, just from his public statements.
- 1:29:17You know, if they if they could have just hit Iran without any of this stuff, without any of these surprise attack.
- 1:29:23I mean, you know, they didn't go through all this stuff.
- 1:29:25And he didn't he wanted a peaceful resolution.
- 1:29:29You could blame some men on the Iranians.
- 1:29:31It's a talk about a complicated society, 86 year old leader, you know, divisions of power that are hard for non-Persians to understand.
- 1:29:40I mean, there's a lot about Iran that was confusing.
- 1:29:42There was a lot of turmoil within the country.
- 1:29:44A lot of that was inspired by CIA and Mossad.
- 1:29:47Some of it was totally real, like wasn't a great regime.
- 1:29:50It was not only repressive, but it was corrupt and inefficient.
- 1:29:55And it was also suffering under sanctions for 45 years.
- 1:29:58So there are a lot of factors, but there was a lot of unrest in the country.
- 1:30:00That's totally real.
- 1:30:02The Iranians kind of couldn't put their best case forward.
- 1:30:06They retreat.
- 1:30:07You know, there's a lot that's their fault, too.
- 1:30:09And this is my read of it, informed read of it.
- 1:30:11But but fundamentally, no, he he this was not his first choice at all.
- 1:30:17And so the question becomes, well, then why did he make that choice?
- 1:30:20And it's clear to me that the secretary of state wanted to convey.
- 1:30:25Secretary of State's a little smarter than people think.
- 1:30:27This is my read of it.
- 1:30:29A lot of people remember Rubio from 2016 when Trump humiliated him on stage and he looked like the definition of the beta.
- 1:30:36And he's not very smart.
- 1:30:37He's smart.
- 1:30:38That's real.
- 1:30:39And he's subtle in his thinking.
- 1:30:43And he's just a lot.
- 1:30:44This is my read of knowing him.
- 1:30:46I think Marco Rubio is a lot smarter than people think that he is.
- 1:30:49And a good guy, too, by the way, I will also say funny and fun to be around.
- 1:30:55But I don't believe for a second that he said that accidentally.
- 1:30:58It's just no chance of his high stakes stuff.
- 1:31:00This is like days after the war starts.
- 1:31:02How did this war start?
- 1:31:03And you just accidentally say we had no choice.
- 1:31:05Israel dragged us into it.
- 1:31:06It's not something a secretary of state says accidentally.
- 1:31:08Period.
- 1:31:10And so I do think there was resentment.
- 1:31:13I don't know on his part, but I think there was.
- 1:31:15I know there was resentment.
- 1:31:17The administration wanted the public to know.
- 1:31:19There's no question in my mind.
- 1:31:20Yeah, there's no question in my mind.
- 1:31:23And but what really happened and what.
- 1:31:27Really made it impossible not to go.
- 1:31:30Clearly, it was impossible not to go.
- 1:31:31That was the calculation, obviously, just by its effects, we can see that.
- 1:31:35You think the president doesn't understand macro energy policy?
- 1:31:39You think he doesn't know that there's a straight at the end of the Persian Gulf called Hormuz through which a lot of the world's energy flows and Iran controls it effectively.
- 1:31:48And then if it goes bad, the midterms are a loss.
- 1:31:51Well, yeah, that they can stop shipping with drones.
- 1:31:55You think he didn't know that?
- 1:31:56Trump is not.
- 1:31:59On some level, Trump is very smart.
- 1:32:02And I'm not guessing at all.
- 1:32:03He understands this kind of stuff.
- 1:32:06And there are lots of ways in which Trump is silly or seems buffoonish or whatever.
- 1:32:09But on the high level stuff, like competitions for power, who's smarter than that?
- 1:32:16He's really smart.
- 1:32:17So, yes, he understood all of that.
- 1:32:19He understood the risks.
- 1:32:20Not all the risks.
- 1:32:22I do think he was sold on the idea that we could kill the Ayatollah.
- 1:32:25It's one of the dumbest things this country has ever done.
- 1:32:27But I do think he probably believed that.
- 1:32:29But big picture of the risks.
- 1:32:31All those bases, vulnerable, are weapon shortage, totally real, well-known, talked about in public.
- 1:32:38These are not classified facts here.
- 1:32:41He got it.
- 1:32:42And he did it anyway.
- 1:32:43So, I don't know the answer.
- 1:32:45I'm not hiding anything.
- 1:32:46I don't have special knowledge.
- 1:32:47But I think that your question like, well, why did we do it despite the obvious risks to us?
- 1:32:54And the people encouraging it also were not stupid.
- 1:32:58They must have understood this.
- 1:33:00And there are a lot of different explanations, some bigger than others.
- 1:33:04I would say at the immediate level, I mean, I know this to be true, Israel is growing in power.
- 1:33:11It has a highly ambitious leader who is tactically gifted, but above all, willing to roll the dice.
- 1:33:20Like, Netanyahu is a bold man.
- 1:33:22And boldness is a huge component of leadership.
- 1:33:24It just is.
- 1:33:26And he's an historic figure.
- 1:33:29And I don't like him, of course.
- 1:33:30But if you're him or if you're Erdogan or Xi or Putin or anybody who's managed to tame a country as complex as all countries are and want to expand, you do not want to be told what to do, period.
- 1:33:44And so getting the United States out of the Middle East is, of course, a long-term objective of Israel.
- 1:33:52I don't fault them for it.
- 1:33:53By the way, maybe we should get on the Middle East.
- 1:33:54I don't know.
- 1:33:55You could argue it both ways.
- 1:33:56It's definitely an objective.
- 1:33:59And it's working.
- 1:34:00It's working.
- 1:34:01For a bunch of you, I can borrow you for hours on the subject, but it's working.
- 1:34:05But why would you want to destroy the US economy, impoverish the American people, cause dissent and strife, potentially civil war?
- 1:34:14I mean, if this doesn't slow down, that's where we're going.
- 1:34:16At some point, I pray it doesn't.
- 1:34:18But clearly we're on that trajectory.
- 1:34:20Why would you want that?
- 1:34:22And now we're getting into really deep waters.
- 1:34:24And I'm not confident enough in my view to express it, but I do agree with you wholeheartedly that the purpose of a system is what it does.
- 1:34:33And this system has done this.
- 1:34:36And it wasn't hard to predict.
- 1:34:37I'm a man of middling IQ.
- 1:34:40I've never had my IQ taken, but it's not 180 at all.
- 1:34:44And this was super obvious to me.
- 1:34:46Super obvious.
- 1:34:47Like it couldn't be more obvious.
- 1:34:48And not only was it obvious, I said it many times, versions of this in public.
- 1:34:52And not one time did anyone ever come back with, "Actually, I don't think you're seeing this right.
- 1:34:58This is what could happen." Not one time.
- 1:34:59It was always shut up Nazi.
- 1:35:01And we've discussed at length why people would say shut up Nazi.
- 1:35:05Like there's a benefit to them from saying that.
- 1:35:07But also at some point you'd think some person would be like, "Actually, there's a geostrategic rationale here that you don't see.
- 1:35:14And because I am interested in the topic and travel a lot, you'd think someone would call me and say, I'd be like, you don't get it.
- 1:35:19This is going to restrain China and preserve dollar dominance." And not one person, despite spending, I spent all day talking about this stuff.
- 1:35:28Not one person said that to me.
- 1:35:31So as far as I know, there was never a real plan to benefit the United States that I heard.
- 1:35:37Now making sure Iran didn't become a nuclear on power, I get it.
- 1:35:40Everyone gets that.
- 1:35:41That's why that was the talking point.
- 1:35:43But the truth is this greatly enhances the chances Iran becomes a nuclear on power.
- 1:35:47Buys one from Pakistan.
- 1:35:49They don't need a nuclear program, they have nuclear weapons.
- 1:35:52Buy one.
- 1:35:53What world are you living in?
- 1:35:54All right.
- 1:35:54I want to ask you about a couple of things before we wrap up.
- 1:35:58Hit me with it.
- 1:35:58One of them is closely related to what we were just talking about.
- 1:36:03The question of whether or not somebody's intent here is actually to burn down the Trump presidency and maybe to hobble the US or drive them out of the Middle East or both.
- 1:36:13There's something very conspicuous to me about us.
- 1:36:19Our coalition now having twice violated the most obvious international norms with respect to negotiations for peace.
- 1:36:31And this is such a provocative move.
- 1:36:37The idea that you would destroy the concept of negotiation in order to tie your hands in the future.
- 1:36:45I can't think of another reason to do it.
- 1:36:47Why have a State Department?
- 1:36:48You've got Twitter.
- 1:36:49You can just issue your decrees.
- 1:36:52Right.
- 1:36:52But the idea of attacking on Purim, having led the Iranians into the belief that we were honestly interested in seeking peace or the prior instance of literally attacking a negotiation delegation, I believe it was in Qatar.
- 1:37:16These things are so diabolical because they effectively take options that we must have off the table.
- 1:37:28Why would you agree to negotiate if you knew that the negotiation itself might be a ruse or worse that it would be used to literally target you for death?
- 1:37:41So those things also seem like moves designed to force our hand in a way that should be intolerable to every American.
- 1:37:54Don't take our right to negotiate for peace off the table ever.
- 1:37:57I don't care who we're dealing with and how unlikely it is that that will ever be useful to us.
- 1:38:02We need that option every time and only a fool eliminates it.
- 1:38:09Yeah, I've seen it up close.
- 1:38:12I mean, there's so much to say.
- 1:38:13I don't want to be boring.
- 1:38:14I will say at the part of the difficulty for me in analyzing it is I know Steve Whitcoff well and I love Steve Whitcoff.
- 1:38:22Like he's just a great guy.
- 1:38:23And so he is, sorry, just a fact.
- 1:38:27I know his son, Zach, who's an excellent guy and very smart.
- 1:38:30And so I just don't want to believe that he had knowledge of this.
- 1:38:36And in fact, I don't believe it.
- 1:38:37I'll just say it.
- 1:38:38I know Whitcoff.
- 1:38:39I just don't see him doing that.
- 1:38:41And I could be completely wrong.
- 1:38:43And the evidence suggests I am wrong, but at this stage I don't believe it.
- 1:38:46And I think it's also possible that Whitcoff kind of played no conscious role in that.
- 1:38:51That he, I know he's very enthusiastic.
- 1:38:52I've talked to him a lot about this, about his efforts at resolving these two conflicts in Russia, Ukraine and with Iran.
- 1:39:02And very enthusiastic about reaching a negotiated settlement as his boss, the president, was very genuinely, I think, enthusiastic.
- 1:39:09But along the way, these things happened.
- 1:39:11And I think if we do find out that the United States knowingly created like Potemkin diplomacy in order to lull its adversaries into defenselessness, people should go to prison for that.
- 1:39:29That's disgusting.
- 1:39:30It hurts all Americans.
- 1:39:31It's not a defense of the Ayatollah or Putin or whatever.
- 1:39:33It's like, as you just said, that is stripping from us, one of our prerogatives as a sovereign nation, which is to reach a negotiated settlement if we so choose.
- 1:39:44I do think the Israeli perspective is very different.
- 1:39:46I think Israel is very different from the country I visited.
- 1:39:48Maybe you visited years ago.
- 1:39:51You've never been there?
- 1:39:51Never been.
- 1:39:52I'd love to go, although I must tell you, I would be afraid to go at this point.
- 1:39:57For sure. For sure.
- 1:39:59Yeah, I wouldn't recommend it.
- 1:40:01I was just there.
- 1:40:02Israel has changed a ton.
- 1:40:03Countries change and we're sort of ossified and caught in our previous understandings of things.
- 1:40:09That's true everywhere.
- 1:40:10It's true in our country.
- 1:40:11It's true internationally and Israel is very different.
- 1:40:14And you described Benjamin Netanyahu as a secular leader.
- 1:40:16Of course, that's true.
- 1:40:18He grew up in Philadelphia.
- 1:40:19He's not a religious extremist.
- 1:40:22However, for a lot of reasons, partly because of massive demographic change in Israel, massive demographic change in a lot of directions, but public sentiment there is less secular than it used to be, much less secular.
- 1:40:37And the politics or system, the parliamentary system is influenced by minority coalitions more than ours is.
- 1:40:43And one of his key minority coalitions believes in religious war.
- 1:40:47I don't know if he does, but he's been using the phrase Amalek, which is a reference to the Amalekites who were a historic enemy of Israel.
- 1:40:54They're the ones that pursued the Hebrews through the Red Sea as they escaped slavery in Egypt.
- 1:41:00And so it's a very well-known group and God prescribes in the Old Testament their total slaughter, men, women, children, infants, and animals.
- 1:41:09And so to use that, and that's a feature of the Old Testament.
- 1:41:11That's fine.
- 1:41:13But to use that in a modern context in the middle of a war to describe your opponent as Amalek in the middle of a war and to do it repeatedly, not just in the heat of the moment after September 7th, which I saw him do that.
- 1:41:25I was like, "Ooh, that's heavy." But then people get upset.
- 1:41:28We said a lot of stuff after 9-11.
- 1:41:29Yeah.
- 1:41:30Maybe October 7th, right?
- 1:41:32Did I say September?
- 1:41:33Sorry.
- 1:41:34Yeah.
- 1:41:35October 7th, the attacks in Southern Israel from Gaza.
- 1:41:39Yeah.
- 1:41:39I was like, "They're mad.
- 1:41:40I get it.
- 1:41:41We were that way too." But when he kept saying it, and when he said it the other day, I was like, "Ooh, this is a smart guy who doesn't say things by accident.
- 1:41:48Amalek?
- 1:41:49That's a different vision of war from the one we in the West are used to.
- 1:41:52That's total war.
- 1:41:53That's kill everything.
- 1:41:55That's genocide." It actually derives, I believe, from Moses's laws for war, which specify the conditions in which you obliterate everyone and replace them.
- 1:42:06Well, yes.
- 1:42:06And in the specific case of the Amalekites, God, of course, this is a huge debate.
- 1:42:12I think it's between Samuel in God and ...
- 1:42:16Samuel, did I get that right?
- 1:42:17I think it's Samuel.
- 1:42:18I've read it a couple of times, but God says, "Kill them all." And he doesn't.
- 1:42:23He doesn't kill them all.
- 1:42:25And he spares the animals, for example, and some of the children.
- 1:42:29And God prevents him from becoming king.
- 1:42:33And I think maybe mangling this slightly, but not too much, because he didn't follow God's instructions, which is a theme throughout the Bible.
- 1:42:39Just follow God's instructions.
- 1:42:40God, you're not.
- 1:42:42And the instruction in this case was kill all of them.
- 1:42:44That's God's command, not a product of human desire.
- 1:42:47So anyway, that's an extraordinary thing to say.
- 1:42:51And I think it ...
- 1:42:51I don't know that that's the actual Israeli plan, is to kill every Persian.
- 1:42:54I don't think it is, but it describes a mindset that's different from ours.
- 1:42:59And we are bound to this country in this war.
- 1:43:02We've described them as a partner in the war.
- 1:43:03It's a joint operation.
- 1:43:05That's like ...
- 1:43:05Whoever came up with that really deserves punishment, because that's crazy.
- 1:43:09But it also means that they have different incentives and motives than we do.
- 1:43:14And ending diplomacy would be one of them, because if your opponent is Amalek, you're not going to negotiate with them.
- 1:43:20Why would you?
- 1:43:20It's the inverse of the ...
- 1:43:21Exactly.
- 1:43:23Exactly.
- 1:43:24Yes.
- 1:43:25And I will say, I'm no religious scholar, but the choice of an attack on Perim, Perim, I guess it's pronounced, is shocking in its own right.
- 1:43:37Because as I understand the story of this holiday, one of the, I believe, 10 most major Jewish holidays, it is a story of Esther, who was Jewish and had married the king in Persia.
- 1:43:57And there was some palace intrigue, an advisor, I think a cousin of the king is outraged at the Jews and orders them to be killed.
- 1:44:13And Esther steps in and reveals that she is Jewish and prevents the genociding of the Jews in Persia.
- 1:44:23This is correct.
- 1:44:23That's exactly what it says.
- 1:44:25And then the advisor who recommended the genociding of the Jews is himself impaled to death.
- 1:44:31Esther is sent by her dad into the king's harem, and she's like total smoke show and charming and basically subverts this plot against her people.
- 1:44:42And she ends it.
- 1:44:43She ends the plot.
- 1:44:44And then, but the kicker is, and this is what the holiday celebrates, is the genocide of the people who might have attacked the Jews and 70,000 of them, it says, in the book, which is in the Christian Bible, so I've read it, and they only stop when their arms get tired from killing.
- 1:45:02And so it's the only book of the Christian Bible, and I think of the Torah that doesn't mention God.
- 1:45:09And its inclusion is a little confusing to me, but whatever, I didn't stack the Bible, but it's there, but what it describes is a killing of people who weren't actually posing an imminent threat and killing all of them.
- 1:45:26So it's a different, look, I'm not even judging, I'm just saying that's a different way of looking at conflict from the way that we do.
- 1:45:32Well, I mean, I think you're being too generous.
- 1:45:35I'm trying.
- 1:45:37I don't like attacking other people's religions, I just don't.
- 1:45:39I'm sorry.
- 1:45:40That's the thing I said up top.
- 1:45:42It's very confusing to have the secular prosecution of a holy war.
- 1:45:48That is so deep.
- 1:45:50And I think we have to wrap our minds around this because...
- 1:45:54I don't understand it, do you?
- 1:45:56Well, this brings me to the other thing I want to talk about, which is Netanyahu himself.
- 1:46:02Which I have a very uneasy feeling about this person, not just that I don't like what he's doing and what he stands for.
- 1:46:14But there are a number of things here that I'm having trouble looking past.
- 1:46:19One is that he was very unpopular before October 7th and that war caused his nation to rally around him as is natural.
- 1:46:30But I think it set the world up.
- 1:46:33To my way of thinking, I was as troubled by October 7th as anyone.
- 1:46:38I'm not Israeli, so I didn't feel it in the personal way.
- 1:46:41Yeah, but it was awful.
- 1:46:42But I'm a student of history and specifically of genocide enough to have felt what that was, what its purpose was, and to be very troubled by the fact that it could possibly happen in Israel under those circumstances.
- 1:46:58I was perplexed by it at the time.
- 1:47:00I remained perplexed.
- 1:47:01You can't kill kids at a music concert, rave, sorry.
- 1:47:04Right, you can't, but how could it have happened?
- 1:47:06That troubled me.
- 1:47:07I don't know the answer.
- 1:47:09Can I say one thing?
- 1:47:10There's a lot of censorship in Israel more than we acknowledge.
- 1:47:13It's a military state, obviously.
- 1:47:15It's a heavily militarized state, but it's governed with the help of the military.
- 1:47:20And there were a number of Israelis, patriotic Israelis who'd served in the IDF directly after that attack in October who said out loud,"No, that's not possible.
- 1:47:37This is one of the most heavily surveilled borders in the world." Like no, one of them is called Efret Finiksen, who is an Israeli liberal.
- 1:47:45I had her on DarkHorse.
- 1:47:47Oh, was she good?
- 1:47:48She was great.
- 1:47:49I mean, I had her on right after October 7th.
- 1:47:51Did she talk about this?
- 1:47:52Oh, we talked about it extensively.
- 1:47:53I don't think she's living in Israel anymore.
- 1:47:55I've never met her, but I've just admired her.
- 1:47:57She's a big Bitcoin person.
- 1:47:58I don't think I agree with her, but I like her.
- 1:48:00She's smart and she seems honest.
- 1:48:03She basically ...
- 1:48:04I don't want to speak for her.
- 1:48:04I don't know her.
- 1:48:06But she basically stopped talking about that.
- 1:48:10I don't even know if that video is still up.
- 1:48:11There was a concerted effort to censor anybody who said, "Wait, what?" Charlie Kirk said that.
- 1:48:16"What?" As a lover of Israel, he said, "I don't think this doesn't make any sense." Oh, he was very specific.
- 1:48:22In fact, he highlighted something that I myself had in trying to figure out what had happened.
- 1:48:29I had done the calculations myself about how you can't park an Apache helicopter of which Israel has apparently 48 more than an hour from that border in Israel, if you just take the top speed of ...
- 1:48:47Oh, yeah.
- 1:48:47Yeah.
- 1:48:48So there's a question about even if you got caught with your pants down somehow, which is almost unthinkable, what happened after?
- 1:48:57It's a little hard to explain.
- 1:48:59And Charlie said that on the Patrick Bet David podcast very famously.
- 1:49:04And obviously, a whole other thread is we had the very public, very brutal killing of Charlie Kirk and it tells the same story as the assassination attempts against President Trump about the failure to properly investigate Jeffrey Epstein, which is that we don't have an FBI. I know.
- 1:49:30We have something that obstructs our investigations rather than conducts them.
- 1:49:36So anyway, I don't know what to make of any of that.
- 1:49:38And of course, it's not hard to imagine very dark things.
- 1:49:43But nonetheless, what I thought was required after October 7th was that Netanyahu needed to step down or be removed from power and replaced with a leader who was not in part responsible for Hamas's power in Gaza.
- 1:50:01And I must tell you, if there are Israelis listening to this, you have to understand how that looked from at least my vantage point here in the US.
- 1:50:12You cannot have this person conducting a major military operation in Gaza having been partially responsible for this in having cynically supported Hamas.
- 1:50:23Whatever decision he made and for whatever reason he made the decision to support Hamas, to divide the Palestinians, he could not be a legitimate person to preside over that invasion.
- 1:50:37So in light of that, I just wanted...
- 1:50:40I've never met Netanyahu, but I have watched him for a long time and I couldn't be more disturbed by the person that I see.
- 1:50:53He looks to me, first of all, I think I detect when he discusses the United States and the relationship between our countries.
- 1:51:01I hear the words that he says and I understand them, but I feel his disdain.
- 1:51:07Exactly.
- 1:51:09It's palpable.
- 1:51:10I'm the only other person I know who's ever said that, but I could not agree with you more.
- 1:51:17I just feel it.
- 1:51:18There is a resentment.
- 1:51:19He's in a subordinate position.
- 1:51:21He is undeniably a man of history.
- 1:51:24He has shaped historic events.
- 1:51:26He has moved borders.
- 1:51:27Yes.
- 1:51:27He has moved populations.
- 1:51:29You could say it's good or bad.
- 1:51:30I think it's bad, but whatever.
- 1:51:32He's a man of history and he understands himself that way.
- 1:51:35Yes.
- 1:51:36Here he is having to suck up to American donors, American members of Congress get permission from the president of the United States.
- 1:51:45Look at it from here.
- 1:51:45I'm a big believer even if I don't like someone.
- 1:51:47Think about what he's thinking.
- 1:51:48What's his perspective?
- 1:51:50Netanyahu's perspective is one of resentment as the subordinate partner always is resentful.
- 1:51:56The subordinate partner who feels himself to be superior.
- 1:52:00Yes, exactly, but diminished by this relationship.
- 1:52:04Of course he has deep resentment from the United States.
- 1:52:06It's very obvious and I know him and I've detected it in my conversations with him.
- 1:52:11It's the most obvious thing ever.
- 1:52:15It is a kind of species of ...
- 1:52:18You see this with rich people.
- 1:52:19They're all convinced that their household help love them.
- 1:52:22I've always noticed this my whole life.
- 1:52:25She loves me.
- 1:52:26I got her her green card.
- 1:52:28She loves me.
- 1:52:29I doubt she loves you.
- 1:52:30She's washing her underwear.
- 1:52:31She's a human being.
- 1:52:33I don't think she loves you actually.
- 1:52:34She probably is grateful in some ways, resentful in others.
- 1:52:38That's just the nature of those relationships.
- 1:52:41In his case, he's a hollow man who I don't think has deep beliefs other than in his destiny.
- 1:52:48I do think the destiny of Israel, I think he believes his father was a historian, wrote a lot about this.
- 1:52:53His personal life is in total disarray.
- 1:52:57His wife is a very famous, Sarah is a very famous person in Israel and reviled.
- 1:53:02She's famously hostile to him.
- 1:53:06Since we're just being honest, I'll just say I don't trust a man whose wife hates him.
- 1:53:09I'm not even blaming him for that.
- 1:53:11I don't know the dynamic.
- 1:53:12I'm not in their marriage.
- 1:53:13I think that if you are making decisions on which the fate of nations hang, you need to have a button down at home.
- 1:53:19If you don't, I think it's very difficult to make wise decisions.
- 1:53:23I think there is a kind of sweaty desperation to him.
- 1:53:26Now, he's running a small country in the middle of hostile neighbors.
- 1:53:29I get it.
- 1:53:30However, I think a man like that is not strong.
- 1:53:33He's fundamentally weak at the core and it's the weak men who are the most dangerous.
- 1:53:37By far, strong men are never ...
- 1:53:39They're very straightforward.
- 1:53:40They don't lie.
- 1:53:40Netanyahu lies a lot, including to US officials who really dislike him for it.
- 1:53:45Let me just say that.
- 1:53:46They really dislike him for it.
- 1:53:48I often hear people say the US government is controlled by Israel.
- 1:53:52They do apply pressure points unduly.
- 1:53:53They just got us into this war.
- 1:53:54That's all true.
- 1:53:56If you actually ...
- 1:53:57Since I'm really from DC and you talk to people who work in the federal bureaucracies, including the intel agencies, including the FBI, including the White House, they are hostile because the relations are so hostile on a personal level.
- 1:54:12You talk to people with Pentagon.
- 1:54:13The IDF has an outpost in our Pentagon.
- 1:54:17Tons of people I know who work there, they don't hate Israel.
- 1:54:20They believe it has a right to exist, whatever that means.
- 1:54:22They don't like the IDF because they're high handed, arrogant, nasty.
- 1:54:28The relations between these countries on a personal level is bad.
- 1:54:32You never hear that about the Spanish contingent to NATO or something.
- 1:54:37Never.
- 1:54:38I think the relationship between the United States and Israel is a lot less healthy on every level, micro to macro.
- 1:54:46I think Netanyahu both causes that and reflects it.
- 1:54:50I think he's a genuinely dangerous person.
- 1:54:52The last thing I'll say, he's in his 70s.
- 1:54:55You notice this.
- 1:54:57The older leaders who tend to make the really reckless decisions.
- 1:55:01That's interesting.
- 1:55:02I do think that.
- 1:55:03I mean, we just had a face off between a 79 year old president of the United States and an 86 year old Ayatollah of Iran and it didn't end well.
- 1:55:10I think there's a lot of evidence that men lose their capacity for wise decision making in their age, certainly for quick decision making.
- 1:55:17There does set into some men a kind of nihilism.
- 1:55:20I'm going to be dead anyway.
- 1:55:21I do think they think that.
- 1:55:22I think the ones I know, Rupert Murdoch, that absurd Mitch McConnell, guys like that, I mean, they're on their way out.
- 1:55:33They're in their 90s and they both have, and I know them both, they have this kind of like one last war.
- 1:55:39It's like, what are you even thinking?
- 1:55:42Well, I would, this is a strange thing for me to say, but I try to be a very careful thinker about these things.
- 1:55:49And that is the kind of thing, a pattern that you would expect amongst non-believing older men.
- 1:55:59Believing older men have a reason to keep reins on those instincts and.
- 1:56:07Depends on what you believe.
- 1:56:09Well, if you believe in a higher power that is fundamentally about moral decency, you have a reason to maintain your moral posture.
- 1:56:18I think there's evidence the Ayatollah was happy to be martyred.
- 1:56:23Certainly there were reports to that effect that he stayed above ground and he knew he was going to get prostate cancer and he knew he was going to die and he wanted to be martyred.
- 1:56:28And I think there is strong overwhelming evidence from Netanyahu's public statements that he sees this as his and his nation's destiny and that he believes God has signed off on this, approves of it.
- 1:56:40And so I do think it depends, I mean, it really depends.
- 1:56:44If you believe in a God that wants reconciliation between people, obviously this is your grave sense, but if you believe in a God that is a triumphalist God who wants you to subdue and eliminate your enemies, this is what God wants.
- 1:56:58Well, this is also an uncomfortable topic for me, but one I've been thinking about for decades.
- 1:57:04I would say this is also a distinction, which I don't think we in the West have grappled with properly between the Old Testament God and Jesus.
- 1:57:15The fundamental lesson of Jesus, as I see it, is the broadening of the in-group and the humanizing of the out-group.
- 1:57:27And that is resonant in the golden rule, it's resonant in the story of the Good Samaritan.
- 1:57:34That's really the point.
- 1:57:35And that's taken to its natural conclusion that leads to this Western view of, hey, let's put the lineage stuff aside and make wealth by collaborating.
- 1:57:45Exactly.
- 1:57:46So I'm concerned, again, I see the disdain from Netanyahu, but I also see, I'm trying to figure out how to phrase it, but a kind of Moses complex, but a godless Moses complex.
- 1:58:01The thing about Moses is that it's a partnership with God and God is pushing Moses around to do the right thing, to get his people in line.
- 1:58:12Against his will.
- 1:58:13Right?
- 1:58:13Very much so.
- 1:58:15But Netanyahu, I think, clearly views himself.
- 1:58:19Not only is he a historic figure already, no matter what else he may do, but he views himself in that light.
- 1:58:27And I think he is trying to do something transformative that will be his legacy.
- 1:58:33There's no question.
- 1:58:34And the question is, what looks to me like expansionist tendencies that seem to be very much on his mind, do not appear to me to be in the interest of the modern state of Israel, which does have this strong Western thread to it, but it's in competition with this thread that comes from lineage against lineage violence as it's viewed in the Torah.
- 1:58:58That's exactly right.
- 1:58:59So I don't know what to do about that.
- 1:59:01That seems to me very dangerous.
- 1:59:04And I guess the last thing I will say is that I don't know if it is my mind playing tricks on me or not.
- 1:59:10But given what I do know about Netanyahu and what I know about where he stood with respect to his own population prior to October 7th, I feel like I'm looking at a crime boss and that this is a person who has decided that they are entitled to do things that a normal person would not feel entitled to do.
- 1:59:33And literally to anyone who stands in his way, I personally worry about this because simply speaking my mind, which is my right as an American and should be defended by every other American, even if you disagree with every single word I say, the fact that I should be entitled to put my model on the table and tell you why I believe it and tell you where I'm worried about it and all of that, that shouldn't be controversial at all.
- 1:59:57And yet when looking at this person who sees the world in, you know, kill or be killed in terms and may view anyone in the West who speaks in opposition to his view as a existential threat to his people, if that's how he sees it, I worry about what he might do to anyone who stood in the way of what I think is an extremely reckless program that is not in the United States interest and not in Israel's interest.
- 2:00:27I couldn't agree more.
- 2:00:28I think everything you've said is just true and easy to prove based on the last three years of behavior or more.
- 2:00:36I mean, I first interviewed Netanyahu 25 years ago.
- 2:00:38He's been, I will give him points for endurance.
- 2:00:40He's an amazing political figure.
- 2:00:43I don't think that because someone disagrees with me or does something awful that that person doesn't have remarkable strengths.
- 2:00:51He clearly does.
- 2:00:52He's highly intelligent.
- 2:00:53He's charismatic.
- 2:00:55And he's hung around.
- 2:00:55He's hung around.
- 2:00:57Young for his age?
- 2:00:58No, no, no, no.
- 2:00:59He's an amazing guy.
- 2:01:00I mean, I think that, you know, and I think it's fair to say that it's not an endorsement, obviously.
- 2:01:05He's a huge threat to the United States and to his own country, but he's an amazing person.
- 2:01:09And so I wouldn't underestimate him.
- 2:01:13How do you take control of the United States military if you're not even American?
- 2:01:20And, you know, there are all these theories about it, these dark theories, he's doing this, he's doing that.
- 2:01:24But part of it, and I don't know if those are true or not.
- 2:01:26I wonder.
- 2:01:27But what I do know is true is that his force of will is remarkable.
- 2:01:31Yes.
- 2:01:32And by the way, that gets you more than we admit.
- 2:01:35You can talk things into existence.
- 2:01:37I've seen it many times.
- 2:01:38I've known people in leadership who've done it.
- 2:01:40And there is a kind of supernatural element in my opinion, but even leaving that aside, it's just true.
- 2:01:44If you speak something, it does tend to become real.
- 2:01:48You can bend reality to your will.
- 2:01:51I've seen it.
- 2:01:53And he has done that.
- 2:01:54And so you have to sort of say, wow, man, you know, you're not disagree with everything.
- 2:02:00I think it's evil, but, you know, props for imposing your will on the world.
- 2:02:05He is a formidable human being.
- 2:02:10Big time. Big time.
- 2:02:11Big time.
- 2:02:12So, yep.
- 2:02:13All right.
- 2:02:14Well, the last thing I want to say, I don't want to leave this conversation before I mention it.
- 2:02:19I've been watching you for a long time since you had me on in 2017.
- 2:02:24And I am a big fan of your monologues, not just their content, but the way you produce them, the way you deliver them.
- 2:02:37And I've had this thought, you know, I was a professor for 14 years.
- 2:02:43And I think most professors aren't any good at the job at all.
- 2:02:47They don't know their subjects very well.
- 2:02:49You wouldn't expect them to.
- 2:02:50They were trained narrowly, and then they're expected to teach broadly, and they don't know how.
- 2:02:55They don't even know what it is they're supposed to be teaching.
- 2:02:57So they teach in a defensive way that doesn't allow people to question them.
- 2:03:02When I watch your monologues, and you've had some excellent ones of late, ones that go on for sometimes an hour, and it appears that you're not reading it off of anything, you're just talking.
- 2:03:17And my thought is actually that Tucker's a guy, I don't want to say you've missed your calling because I think you're doing what you need to be doing, but that you had another calling that you didn't follow, that you could have been an excellent professor, the kind of professor that you think about many years after the course is over, somebody who made things clear that were otherwise difficult to understand.
- 2:03:43I will say in the recent context, this has been made even clearer for the following reason.
- 2:03:51I look at the conflict in the Middle East, and I spend a huge fraction of my time trying to understand what could possibly explain the things that I'm seeing.
- 2:04:02That's just what I do.
- 2:04:03This is strange.
- 2:04:04It has paradox after paradox in it.
- 2:04:07What explains it?
- 2:04:10And I haven't found anybody else who's putting a model on the table that even touches it.
- 2:04:16I can't even figure out what most people think we're doing in it, right?
- 2:04:20What is the goal?
- 2:04:21What is the victory condition?
- 2:04:24But when I listen to you, two things happen.
- 2:04:28One, you're presenting a model that, I don't know if it's true or not, but I do know that it's a match for the stuff I can check independently.
- 2:04:37It's a very strong sign that it is credible in some important way.
- 2:04:43The other thing is that I learn things about the conflict that I didn't know already, right?
- 2:04:49I hear you talk, and it is a regular occurrence that you will introduce some fact or observation that I wasn't paying attention to that fits.
- 2:04:58That's another very strong sign that you're telling us something that has real currency under it.
- 2:05:05In any case, A, I wanted to say, "Look, I'm impressed at what you do." It is very difficult to deliver.
- 2:05:12Why?
- 2:05:13No.
- 2:05:15In the last six weeks, I've been in places that are at the center of the news.
- 2:05:21I've been in Amman, Jordan, Abu Dhabi, Dubai, Doha, Tel Aviv, Riyadh.
- 2:05:29I've been in all those cities.
- 2:05:30I have friends in all those cities.
- 2:05:31I know the cities, and I've been in and out of those cities since 9-11.
- 2:05:35This happens to be a topic.
- 2:05:37I'm hardly an expert.
- 2:05:38I don't speak Arabic or Hebrew, but I definitely have spent a lot of time in the Middle East a lot.
- 2:05:44I'm interested in it, and I like the people.
- 2:05:47I've always liked the people, even if I disagree with their governments.
- 2:05:52It is weird to see all those cities burning.
- 2:05:54It's very upsetting to me.
- 2:05:57There's that.
- 2:05:59No, I don't use a teleprompter.
- 2:06:00I just say what I think, but I know a lot about the subject, or I think I know a lot about the subject, so that's easy.
- 2:06:06I actually tried to be a teacher.
- 2:06:07That was my goal, but I hadn't graduated from college.
- 2:06:10I wanted to be a boarding school teacher because boarding school was so formative for me, and I tried to teach at the American School in Marrakech because I wanted to live abroad because my father was working abroad a lot, so we always had an appreciation for travel, but they were like, "No, you're a loser." That was actually my goal.
- 2:06:30I first applied to CIA because I wanted to live abroad and have an interesting life.
- 2:06:34They're like, "No, you did drugs.
- 2:06:35We can't let them hire you," and then I tried to work at the American School in Marrakech, and they were so dismissive.
- 2:06:41They're like, "You're too dumb to teach in a boring school." I was like, "Okay, I'm going to journalism." Luckily, I had a lot of children and a lot of nephews, so there's always an audience for me to give my lectures.
- 2:06:55Well, you're doing a great job, and I will say I was pleased.
- 2:06:59I don't know if you saw it, but my friend Jeffrey Tucker, you know, Jeffrey Brownstone Institute.
- 2:07:06I'm a Brownstone fellow, a proud one.
- 2:07:08I love Brownstone.
- 2:07:09It's the only institution I know of any size that actually works at the moment.
- 2:07:12It's a great place.
- 2:07:13I love that.
- 2:07:15In any case, he posted on X a couple of days ago about your monologues.
- 2:07:22He said, "Look, I don't care if you disagree with Tucker or not.
- 2:07:26You have to understand how difficult what he's pulling off is," and he noted that you don't use a teleprompter and that you appear to be just speaking from- It's actually way, I mean, since you do a similar job, I'll just say what you probably already know, which is it's way easier than reading teleprompter.
- 2:07:41Reading teleprompter is really hard.
- 2:07:43Reading teleprompter sucks.
- 2:07:44No question about it.
- 2:07:44To do it naturally, like you're just kind of talking, is, I mean, I did it for 30 years.
- 2:07:49I got pretty good at it, but like, no, that's super hard.
- 2:07:52You know what's not hard is conversation.
- 2:07:54Well, I hope I don't regret saying this because neither you nor I know if you're right, but there's a principle that I adhere to, which is that the best asset you can have in delivering an argument is the luxury of being right.
- 2:08:17Exactly.
- 2:08:18If you're actually right, you have all kinds of leeway and it doesn't really matter where the conversation goes.
- 2:08:25That's so true.
- 2:08:26And by the way, the beauty of giving monologues is you get to choose the topic.
- 2:08:30Well, that's true.
- 2:08:32We're talking about what I want to talk about.
- 2:08:34So you don't hear me giving a lecture on like women's fashion, you know what I mean, or American football or something.
- 2:08:42It's only things I think I understand.
- 2:08:45Well, in any case, you do a brilliant job of it.
- 2:08:47Thank you.
- 2:08:47Thank you for what you've been doing.
- 2:08:49I think you've you have stayed very clear in your mission as a patriot.
- 2:08:56It's obvious to me that that's what you are and you've been mercilessly punished for it, which I find despicable.
- 2:09:07So I hope that what comes out of this is that people who think that they disagree with you or me or both of us will listen to what this conversation sounds like, even if only to understand what the mindset of other people is that have arrived at a very different conclusion.
- 2:09:25Well, thank you.
- 2:09:25I hope that's right.
- 2:09:26All right.
- 2:09:27And let's hope that this war ends quickly and with as little bloodshed as possible.
- 2:09:33Thank you, Bret.