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The Evolution of Software Cost Estimation in the Era of Generative AI | From COCOMO to Hybrid Intelligence Frameworks

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For more than four decades, the discipline of software cost estimation has been anchored by a singular, foundational assumption: human labor is the primary engine of both reasoning and construction, and the volume of that construction, typically measured in Source Lines of Code (SLOC) or Thousands of Lines of Code (KLOC), serves as a reliable proxy for effort, time, and cost. Frameworks such as the Constructive Cost Model (COCOMO), first introduced by Barry Boehm in 1981 and updated to COCOMO II in 2000, codified this relationship into parametric equations calibrated against…

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