Latest / Toadstool Sports / Sunday BEST BETS | Putting it On Ice | NHL & WNBA Playoffs & MLB Divisional Series & NFL| 10/4/26
Transcript
- 0:17Speaker 1: You got a slip in your palm and a hole
- 0:20Speaker 1: in your chest.
- 0:21Speaker 2: Black coffee on the felt, man.
- 0:23Speaker 1: You look like a mess. Three-team parlay turned to dust
- 0:28Speaker 1: in your head.
- 0:29Speaker 2: Now you stare at the chips.
- 0:31Speaker 1: Like they made you this mad. But don't you go quiet,
- 0:35Speaker 1: don't you fade from the floor. Your name still means
- 0:39Speaker 1: something to somebody for sure.
- 0:42Speaker 3: Put the glass down, baby. Look at me now Hold on,
- 0:52Speaker 3: hold on Not tonight, not now Hold on, hold on
- 1:02Speaker 3: Let me pull you out That fella fights hard But
- 1:11Speaker 3: it don't get the.
- 1:13Speaker 4: Crown Hold on, hold.
- 1:18Speaker 2: On, stay with me now.
- 1:40Speaker 5: First three games all loss. Stanford, absolutely terrible. I have
- 1:44Speaker 5: nothing else to say about that.
- 1:46Speaker 2: Wrong call.
- 1:48Speaker 5: The handicaps seemed right. They were just awful. Probably should
- 1:52Speaker 5: have stayed off that one. Michigan State wasn't as bad
- 1:56Speaker 5: as it looked, I will say. I'm not going to
- 1:58Speaker 5: say they were definitely the right side because they got
- 2:00Speaker 5: blown out, but they constantly were turning the ball over
- 2:04Speaker 5: on downs. I don't think I've ever seen that many
- 2:07Speaker 5: turnovers on downs by one team in a game.
- 2:10Speaker 2: What can you do, man?
- 2:11Speaker 5: They're just constantly going for it on fourth down and
- 2:13Speaker 5: not getting it. And that was what happened in that game.
- 2:17Speaker 5: They should have at least scored more than they.
- 2:19Speaker 2: Did in the game.
- 2:20Speaker 5: It should have been at least closer than it was.
- 2:23Speaker 5: Auburn did what Auburn always does to me, man. Every
- 2:28Speaker 5: time I play Auburn, they find a way to blow
- 2:30Speaker 5: the cover as an underdog usually.
- 2:33Speaker 2: Again, they did it. They were hanging around in that game.
- 2:36Speaker 2: Looked like it should have been an Auburn cover. I
- 2:38Speaker 2: think they were covering.
- 2:40Speaker 5: pretty much the whole game and then they wind up
- 2:43Speaker 5: giving up a late touchdown to not cover uh after
- 2:47Speaker 5: i'm pretty sure they were within three in the fourth
- 2:49Speaker 5: quarter pretty pissed about that uh i think they had
- 2:52Speaker 5: chances maybe at the very end to maybe get a
- 2:55Speaker 5: score back at the end too and that didn't happen
- 2:57Speaker 5: uh so all of that went terribly and of course
- 3:00Speaker 5: the two out of the three uh additional leans that
- 3:04Speaker 5: i had that i thought were strong i believe i
- 3:05Speaker 5: believe arizona covered right did they I think they did.
- 3:08Speaker 2: I'd have to go back and look. TCU should have.
- 3:12Speaker 2: They missed by a half point, depending on what number
- 3:14Speaker 2: you got.
- 3:14Speaker 5: And then Missouri was an easy cover, so that one
- 3:18Speaker 5: almost made the cut for me. That was my next
- 3:21Speaker 5: one in line. I should have added that one. That
- 3:23Speaker 5: was in my contest entry, at least, but that still
- 3:26Speaker 5: didn't go well. So I'm not happy about that. And
- 3:29Speaker 5: then we did win on Washington late. They could have
- 3:32Speaker 5: won that game outright. I mean, USC not very good.
- 3:35Speaker 5: USC's defense not very good. Washington, wire-to-wire cover, I think,
- 3:39Speaker 5: in that game for Washington. They lost, but they covered.
- 3:43Speaker 5: And then we won the other two games. We had
- 3:45Speaker 5: Tampa Bay in hockey. They were out to a 2-0 lead,
- 3:49Speaker 5: and then it was 2-1 for a while, and they
- 3:51Speaker 5: wound up covering the minus-1.5 part of the bet on
- 3:54Speaker 5: the empty net, and it would have been a push otherwise.
- 3:57Speaker 5: But they should have won that game more easily. I
- 3:59Speaker 5: looked at the statistics. Tampa won that game correctly, rightfully,
- 4:05Speaker 5: whatever you want to say. Tampa was the correct winner
- 4:08Speaker 5: in that game. Yeah, they kind of dominated the game statistically,
- 4:12Speaker 5: so it should have been easier. And then speaking of easy,
- 4:15Speaker 5: nothing gets easier than that under in the Yankees-Rays game
- 4:18Speaker 5: that I gave out. It was a 1-0 Ray win,
- 4:23Speaker 5: not Robbie Ray. He definitely didn't win. Rays with the
- 4:28Speaker 5: 1-0 win. Rasmussen had a no-hitter into the eighth inning,
- 4:32Speaker 5: which was broken up by Austin Wells, who Doubled down
- 4:36Speaker 5: the right field line. And then stupidly, he tried for
- 4:39Speaker 5: third base and he got thrown out. Just terrible base running.
- 4:45Speaker 5: Because the Yankees would have had a runner in scoring
- 4:47Speaker 5: position with, I don't know how many outs there were
- 4:50Speaker 5: at that point.
- 4:52Speaker 2: Either zero or one, I think. I'm sorry, I'm losing.
- 4:56Speaker 2: I'm completely losing it here. Yeah, that was stupid. But yeah,
- 5:00Speaker 2: the under was the easy winner in that one.
- 5:03Speaker 5: Even if it went into extra innings, I wasn't really
- 5:05Speaker 5: concerned at all about that thing getting close to not
- 5:08Speaker 5: going under. All right, we move on to today. You
- 5:11Speaker 5: guys can check out my NFL show that I did
- 5:14Speaker 5: last night. I gave out one NFL play. My opinion
- 5:17Speaker 5: on the Europe game that's about to start, because it'll
- 5:20Speaker 5: probably start before I'm done with this show. My lean
- 5:22Speaker 5: in that game was towards Indianapolis. I believe the market
- 5:25Speaker 5: is still agreeing with that, so... The numbers gone up
- 5:28Speaker 5: to like four, four and a half, though, from three
- 5:30Speaker 5: and a half. But my opinion on that game was
- 5:32Speaker 5: to lay the points with Indianapolis. It's not a play
- 5:35Speaker 5: for me or anything like that. So that was just
- 5:37Speaker 5: a mild opinion for me in that game. I think
- 5:41Speaker 5: Washington in the worst of the letdown spots there.
- 5:43Speaker 2: All right. Hockey. I do kind of like the hockey
- 5:46Speaker 2: board here.
- 5:46Speaker 5: I'm going to have two hockey plays out of the
- 5:49Speaker 5: five games, which seems like maybe I'm pushing it a
- 5:51Speaker 5: little bit, but I like both spots. Not in the
- 5:55Speaker 5: afternoon game, though. Winnipeg at Detroit. I don't know what
- 5:57Speaker 5: to do with this game. I believe neither team played yesterday.
- 6:00Speaker 5: There are going to be some teams that are on
- 6:02Speaker 5: back-to-backs today. Detroit only has one game so far. They
- 6:07Speaker 5: lost at home to the Rangers 2-0. That's a bad-looking loss, dude,
- 6:13Speaker 5: getting shut out at home like that. But I think
- 6:15Speaker 5: part of the reason why was it was Detroit's first
- 6:17Speaker 5: game of the season. A lot of times teams come
- 6:19Speaker 5: in cold. the first game of the season so I
- 6:22Speaker 5: think the Rangers had a little bit of an advantage
- 6:24Speaker 5: and that they'd already played one or two games prior
- 6:27Speaker 5: to that so I think it was a bad spot
- 6:29Speaker 5: for Detroit in a way now they're staying at home
- 6:32Speaker 5: off of getting shut out at home so I think
- 6:33Speaker 5: it's a decent spot for Detroit to bounce back here
- 6:37Speaker 5: I'm not really sold on Winnipeg this year I don't
- 6:40Speaker 5: like either team this year that much but Winnipeg went
- 6:43Speaker 5: into overtime in their last game and lost to the
- 6:45Speaker 5: Bruins and Now they go out on the road. I mean,
- 6:48Speaker 5: it's not exactly an unfocused spot for Winnipeg. I mean,
- 6:50Speaker 5: that was their first game as well. But a 4-3
- 6:54Speaker 5: overtime loss looks better than a 2-0 loss to the Rangers.
- 6:58Speaker 5: So I think I lean Rangers in this one, but
- 7:01Speaker 5: the money completely disagrees with me on this. Or, excuse me,
- 7:05Speaker 5: I think I lean Detroit in this game. Excuse me,
- 7:07Speaker 5: but the money completely disagrees with me on this. 55%
- 7:10Speaker 5: of tickets, 86% of the cash on Winnipeg. So the
- 7:13Speaker 5: money's coming in on Winnipeg. It's basically like a pick-em
- 7:16Speaker 5: price there. Detroit may be a very slight favorite. I
- 7:19Speaker 5: like Detroit in that one, but it's a very mild
- 7:22Speaker 5: lean for me.
- 7:25Speaker 2: That's even putting it mildly, I guess.
- 7:27Speaker 5: I have almost no opinion on this, but my lean
- 7:30Speaker 5: would slightly be Detroit. But the money looks like it
- 7:32Speaker 5: disagrees with me. Get some water here. I have something
- 7:37Speaker 5: stuck in my throat, man. This is ridiculous. It's oats
- 7:41Speaker 5: from oatmeal. I don't know what to tell you. But, yeah,
- 7:46Speaker 5: I like Detroit in that one.
- 7:47Speaker 1: All right.
- 7:48Speaker 2: Utah at the Rangers.
- 7:51Speaker 5: Remains to be seen if the Rangers are going to
- 7:52Speaker 5: suck ass at home again like they did last year.
- 7:54Speaker 5: But they're 1-0 at home so far. They're 2-1 on
- 7:58Speaker 5: the season base. I think, yeah, none of these games
- 8:00Speaker 5: have gone into overtime.
- 8:01Speaker 2: They're 2-1.
- 8:04Speaker 5: They're on a two-game win streak right now. They played
- 8:06Speaker 5: two games on the road out of the first three.
- 8:09Speaker 5: Now they're back home after shutting out the Red Wings.
- 8:12Speaker 2: Utah has looked good so far. Utah's 2-0.
- 8:15Speaker 5: I think Utah's probably the better of these two teams,
- 8:18Speaker 5: although their wins look good. They've won by a combined 10-1,
- 8:21Speaker 5: but they did it against teams that aren't really considered
- 8:23Speaker 5: to be that good, Chicago especially and Columbus. So to me,
- 8:28Speaker 5: it looks like the public is actually putting more weight
- 8:30Speaker 5: into the Rangers' start to the season. Rangers are public,
- 8:35Speaker 5: 63% of tickets on them, 81% of the cash on Utah, though,
- 8:39Speaker 5: rangers are about a minus 130 favorite here um to
- 8:43Speaker 5: me it seems a little crazy to see the rangers
- 8:45Speaker 5: favored even though you got to give them a little
- 8:47Speaker 5: bit for home ice of course but the odds makers
- 8:49Speaker 5: are kind of telling you these teams are close to
- 8:51Speaker 5: evenly matched and i'm not sure that that's accurate i
- 8:54Speaker 5: think utah is the better of these two teams uh
- 8:56Speaker 5: so i think maybe utah is actually getting a little
- 8:58Speaker 5: bit short changed here i don't really want them after
- 9:01Speaker 5: they've looked really good to start the season though they
- 9:03Speaker 5: have to go to a pretty unfamiliar spot going to
- 9:06Speaker 5: New York. So I don't really want that. Although the
- 9:08Speaker 5: Rangers really were bad at home last year. And again,
- 9:11Speaker 5: we'll see if that continues money's back in Utah in
- 9:14Speaker 5: this game though. That's what I got to say on
- 9:17Speaker 5: that one, man. That one is, I have like no
- 9:20Speaker 5: opinion on that game. It's really difficult to figure out.
- 9:23Speaker 5: Next game is going to be one of my plays. Um,
- 9:31Speaker 5: We've had a play in every one of this team's
- 9:34Speaker 5: games so far, and we're going to zigzag again and
- 9:36Speaker 5: take the Florida Panthers again here, where I think they
- 9:39Speaker 5: remain under the radar, man. Oddsmakers continue to tell you
- 9:42Speaker 5: they're one of the best teams in the league. They
- 9:45Speaker 5: started out with a win for us on the show,
- 9:47Speaker 5: beating Carolina. Big win in overtime. Florida beating the returning
- 9:53Speaker 5: champs in their banner-raising ceremony. And then the game after that,
- 9:57Speaker 5: I said, well, this is a bad spot for Florida,
- 9:59Speaker 5: having to go out to the west coast adjust to
- 10:01Speaker 5: west coast time um having to play a San Jose
- 10:04Speaker 5: team that I think is under the radar here and
- 10:07Speaker 5: San Jose got up to a three nothing lead but
- 10:09Speaker 5: credit to Florida for coming all the way back and
- 10:11Speaker 5: tying that game and sending it into overtime. But we
- 10:14Speaker 5: did get the win on the show with San Jose.
- 10:16Speaker 5: They were able to win in overtime. After a loss
- 10:18Speaker 5: like that for Florida, I think Florida does bounce back
- 10:21Speaker 5: after that. They've had two days off now, so I'm
- 10:23Speaker 5: not really worried about two overtime periods for them so far.
- 10:26Speaker 5: They're now adjusted to West Coast time. Part of that
- 10:29Speaker 5: handicap was I thought they might look ahead to Anaheim
- 10:31Speaker 5: because Anaheim was at least a playoff team last year.
- 10:34Speaker 5: So I think Florida might bounce back here. They also
- 10:37Speaker 5: played better in that San Jose game than it looks
- 10:39Speaker 5: like on the scoreboard. San Jose outshot them, but Florida
- 10:43Speaker 5: was the way more physical team, way more hits, way
- 10:45Speaker 5: more face-offs won. So Florida was not all bad in
- 10:49Speaker 5: that game. And for Anaheim here, I think Anaheim's in
- 10:54Speaker 5: a bad spot. Anaheim opened the season with a huge
- 10:57Speaker 5: win over the Golden Knights, and that was a revenge
- 10:59Speaker 5: game as the Knights were the team that ended Anaheim's
- 11:02Speaker 5: season last year, so that was a monster win for Anaheim.
- 11:06Speaker 2: Huge win there. Now they get Florida.
- 11:09Speaker 5: It is their home opener for Anaheim, but And Anaheim,
- 11:12Speaker 5: I believe is better at home typically, but still, um,
- 11:16Speaker 5: this is an out of conference game after a huge win.
- 11:19Speaker 5: So I think this is kind of a letdown and
- 11:21Speaker 5: I think it's a sandwich spot because Anaheim is Edmonton
- 11:23Speaker 5: after this. And even though that's going to be a
- 11:25Speaker 5: revenge game for Edmonton, because Anaheim actually eliminated them from
- 11:29Speaker 5: the playoffs last year, Anaheim is in a divisional sandwich here, uh,
- 11:34Speaker 5: between Vegas and Edmonton. They're both in the same division
- 11:37Speaker 5: as Anaheim. So I think this is a sandwich, um,
- 11:41Speaker 5: I think Florida, because they didn't make the playoffs last year,
- 11:44Speaker 5: it makes it a little bit easier to overlook them, man.
- 11:46Speaker 2: And Florida is a road favorite in this game for
- 11:49Speaker 2: a reason.
- 11:49Speaker 5: And the public might not be totally on board with
- 11:51Speaker 5: that here. Anaheim looked really good in that win over Vegas.
- 11:55Speaker 5: If you dive into the box score a little bit, though,
- 11:58Speaker 5: Anaheim got outplayed in this game. Vegas had 10 more
- 12:01Speaker 5: shots on goal. Although part of the reason for that
- 12:04Speaker 5: was that Anaheim was up 4-0. But to me, it
- 12:06Speaker 5: seems like it's a little bit of a red flag
- 12:08Speaker 5: that Anaheim had a 4-0 lead going into the third period,
- 12:11Speaker 5: and they almost blew the game. Vegas scored three in
- 12:15Speaker 5: the third. That's not good if you're Anaheim. And yes,
- 12:18Speaker 5: I realize that Vegas is... amount of shots probably increased
- 12:21Speaker 5: because they were way behind, so they probably got into
- 12:24Speaker 5: desperation mode. But still, they outshot Anaheim in the game
- 12:27Speaker 5: by quite a bit. Vegas won the face-offs as well.
- 12:30Speaker 5: So that game wasn't really what it looked like on
- 12:32Speaker 5: the scoreboard. So I think Florida is catching Anaheim at
- 12:36Speaker 5: a good time, and I think they might actually be
- 12:38Speaker 5: a little bit under the radar here, although Florida is
- 12:41Speaker 5: sitting with 85% of the tickets on them here. But
- 12:44Speaker 5: I would take that with a little bit of a
- 12:45Speaker 5: grain of salt because I don't think the public is
- 12:47Speaker 5: playing hockey here.
- 12:49Speaker 2: On an NFL Sunday.
- 12:50Speaker 5: I don't think the public is really getting that involved
- 12:52Speaker 5: in hockey. Um, 91% of the cash on Florida as well.
- 12:56Speaker 5: So it looks like some of the real money is
- 12:57Speaker 5: agreeing with me on this. Uh, the line has not
- 13:00Speaker 5: gone down. It doesn't look like at the very least,
- 13:02Speaker 5: it's kind of gone up a little bit into the
- 13:05Speaker 5: minus one 40 range, but yeah, Florida money line is
- 13:07Speaker 5: going to be my play in that one. And the
- 13:10Speaker 5: next game will be my other play. Uh, we get
- 13:13Speaker 5: both hockey plays out of the way real quick. I
- 13:15Speaker 5: only have three plays on the day. Um, Calgary on
- 13:19Speaker 5: the money line is my other play here. This is
- 13:21Speaker 5: a quick revenge spot for Calgary. They're playing Seattle. I
- 13:24Speaker 5: think both of these teams are bad, but Calgary has
- 13:26Speaker 5: looked worse to start the season.
- 13:28Speaker 2: They're 0-2.
- 13:29Speaker 5: They played the Kraken in the first game, and they
- 13:32Speaker 5: lost horribly, 6-1. And I think the public is going
- 13:35Speaker 5: to think, well, and Seattle even is going to think, well,
- 13:37Speaker 5: if we could go into Calgary and beat them 6-1,
- 13:40Speaker 5: of course we're going to beat them in Seattle, right?
- 13:43Speaker 5: That's going to be what the sense is here about
- 13:45Speaker 5: this game. I don't think that's accurate, man. I think
- 13:48Speaker 5: when you get embarrassed on your home ice by a
- 13:51Speaker 5: team and then you face that team again on their
- 13:53Speaker 5: home ice really quickly after that, I think it becomes
- 13:56Speaker 5: a zigzag spot, road reversal revenge spot, whatever you want
- 14:00Speaker 5: to call it. I think that team that lost at
- 14:02Speaker 5: home will be a little bit extra motivated and they'll
- 14:05Speaker 5: have the adjustments to make, whereas the team that won,
- 14:07Speaker 5: they have no adjustments to.
- 14:09Speaker 2: Make because they know what they did.
- 14:11Speaker 5: Everything worked for them, so they have nothing to change,
- 14:13Speaker 5: whereas for Calgary, they could change everything. They have a
- 14:17Speaker 5: lot of stuff to fix. Both these teams are on back-to-backs.
- 14:21Speaker 5: I forgot to mention the back-to-backs, by the way. Utah
- 14:24Speaker 5: is on a back-to-back, by the way, so that gives
- 14:27Speaker 5: them a little bit of a negative against New York.
- 14:29Speaker 5: Utah was in Columbus yesterday while the Rangers were off,
- 14:32Speaker 5: I'm pretty sure. So Utah is at a rest disadvantage
- 14:35Speaker 5: against the Rangers. I should have pointed that out. In
- 14:38Speaker 5: this game, Calgary and Seattle both played yesterday. So there's
- 14:41Speaker 5: no rest disadvantage for either. Well, there's a rest disadvantage
- 14:44Speaker 5: for both teams if you want to look at it
- 14:46Speaker 5: that way. Now, if you look at this first game, yeah,
- 14:48Speaker 5: Seattle did out-shoot Calgary. Calgary was a little bit better
- 14:52Speaker 5: in the physicality department, winning the hits and winning the
- 14:55Speaker 5: face-offs by a little bit. Calgary just got off to
- 14:58Speaker 5: a bad start in that game, and then it was
- 15:00Speaker 5: just kind of over after that.
- 15:01Speaker 2: So I don't know.
- 15:02Speaker 5: The game was at least slightly misleading, I would say.
- 15:05Speaker 5: And after that, Seattle lost their next game. But if
- 15:09Speaker 5: you look at what happened in that game, they played
- 15:10Speaker 5: a big game against Edmonton. And this was a one-goal
- 15:13Speaker 5: game late in the game. So Seattle's coming off a
- 15:16Speaker 5: big game that was tied going into the third period.
- 15:19Speaker 5: And then it was tied until the last few minutes
- 15:23Speaker 5: of the game when when Dreisaitl scored to break the
- 15:27Speaker 5: tie with only a couple minutes left in the game,
- 15:29Speaker 5: and then the last goal was an empty netter at
- 15:31Speaker 5: the end. So Seattle played really tough against Edmonton, man.
- 15:34Speaker 5: When you take Edmonton basically to the wire like this
- 15:37Speaker 5: as a big underdog, I think Seattle's going to come
- 15:39Speaker 5: up flat after this. I think it's a hangover spot
- 15:42Speaker 5: for Seattle after a huge performance against Edmonton where they
- 15:46Speaker 5: were close to pulling off the upset here. And they
- 15:49Speaker 5: did play Edmonton reasonably well statistically, although Edmonton was the
- 15:52Speaker 5: way better physical team in the game but still coming
- 15:56Speaker 5: off of that I think Seattle is going to be
- 15:57Speaker 5: flat the question is are they going to overlook the
- 16:00Speaker 5: flames here and I think they might again because they.
- 16:02Speaker 2: Already beat them easily in the home opener and oh.
- 16:06Speaker 5: Yeah look at who Seattle has next by the way
- 16:08Speaker 5: yeah they have to play Vegas next the team that
- 16:11Speaker 5: won the conference last year huge game for Seattle Seattle
- 16:14Speaker 5: is actually in a divisional sandwich as well so both
- 16:17Speaker 5: teams that I'm fading are in a sandwich between the
- 16:20Speaker 5: same two teams in the same division just in the
- 16:22Speaker 5: reverse order Both teams are sandwiched in between Edmonton and Vegas, just.
- 16:28Speaker 2: In the other order.
- 16:29Speaker 5: I think it's a bad spot for Seattle here, man.
- 16:32Speaker 5: This is a quick revenge angle for the Flames, and
- 16:35Speaker 5: it's a divisional sandwich for Seattle, in my opinion, coming
- 16:38Speaker 5: off a really tough performance against the Oilers. Now they've
- 16:42Speaker 5: got to play a team they already beat. I don't
- 16:44Speaker 5: really see Seattle putting that much focus into this because
- 16:48Speaker 5: they already easily beat the Flames. Seattle's got Vegas on deck.
- 16:52Speaker 5: Bad spot for Seattle, man. I like the Flames in
- 16:55Speaker 5: this one. They're going to be in an embarrassed mood, man.
- 17:00Speaker 5: Nobody's going to want them. They've been outscored 10-2 so far,
- 17:03Speaker 5: and their losses are to bad teams. Seattle, I don't
- 17:06Speaker 5: think Seattle's a good team, man. And Vancouver is probably
- 17:09Speaker 5: even worse. So this looks bad for Calgary so far.
- 17:13Speaker 5: They lost 4-1 to Vancouver yesterday. No one is going
- 17:16Speaker 5: to want Calgary here. Look at the box score, though,
- 17:19Speaker 5: in that game. This was a closer game than it
- 17:21Speaker 5: was on the scoreboard, man. In fact, Calgary was winning
- 17:24Speaker 5: the game at the beginning of the third period. They
- 17:28Speaker 5: had a horrible third period, and one of the goals
- 17:30Speaker 5: was an empty net goal. But the game was close statistically,
- 17:33Speaker 5: and Calgary led almost the entire game. So it was
- 17:38Speaker 5: not exactly what it appeared on the scoreboard there. So, yeah,
- 17:41Speaker 5: we'll take Calgary.
- 17:42Speaker 2: In this one.
- 17:43Speaker 5: Seattle's a public side, 88% of tickets, 70% of the
- 17:46Speaker 5: cash on them. They're about a minus 150 or so favorite.
- 17:49Speaker 2: The number's gone down a little bit.
- 17:51Speaker 5: It's not really in that range where I would recommend
- 17:53Speaker 5: making like a plus one puck line or anything like
- 17:55Speaker 5: that because you have to lay minus 200 or something
- 17:57Speaker 5: for the plus one and a half. So I say
- 18:00Speaker 5: just take the shot with the underdog. We did it
- 18:02Speaker 5: with San Jose the other day. Making plays like this,
- 18:04Speaker 5: you're going to lose some of them.
- 18:05Speaker 2: You know what I mean?
- 18:06Speaker 5: Because you're playing underdogs, so they're not expected to win, but.
- 18:10Speaker 2: It's all about value, right?
- 18:11Speaker 5: It's all about does this team have a better chance
- 18:13Speaker 5: to win than what the oddsmakers are giving you on this?
- 18:15Speaker 2: And I think the answer is yes.
- 18:17Speaker 5: And like I said with the San Jose game, you
- 18:19Speaker 5: don't need to win– even half of these plays to
- 18:22Speaker 5: profit when you're playing a game at an underdog price
- 18:24Speaker 5: like this, you only have to hit probably like 47,
- 18:27Speaker 5: 48% of these.
- 18:28Speaker 2: So that's what we're going to do there. Um, whatever
- 18:31Speaker 2: the math works out to. All right. And then the
- 18:33Speaker 2: final game is Vegas at Vancouver.
- 18:35Speaker 5: Obviously Vegas is a huge favorite here.
- 18:38Speaker 2: Vancouver got the win, uh, over the flames.
- 18:40Speaker 5: Vancouver is actually two and one right now. Uh, they
- 18:43Speaker 5: looked really good against the Oilers in the first two
- 18:46Speaker 5: games really, but I think they maybe look too good, uh,
- 18:48Speaker 5: in those games I'm not so sure they're going to
- 18:51Speaker 5: match up too well with Vegas here Vegas also is
- 18:55Speaker 5: on rest I'm pretty sure whereas Vancouver played yesterday I'm
- 18:57Speaker 5: pretty sure Vegas didn't so I think Vegas actually has
- 19:00Speaker 5: a rest advantage in this game the only thing about
- 19:03Speaker 5: Vegas is they are kind of in a sandwich well
- 19:06Speaker 5: not really a sandwich they do play two divisional teams
- 19:09Speaker 5: in a row though or I mean surrounding this game
- 19:12Speaker 5: they do they're coming off a big game against Anaheim
- 19:14Speaker 5: though but that game is a little bit bigger to
- 19:16Speaker 5: Anaheim right Anaheim looking for revenge They were able to
- 19:19Speaker 5: get revenge, pull off the upset against Vegas. Vegas coming
- 19:23Speaker 5: off an upset. Maybe they will actually refocus. And they're
- 19:26Speaker 5: starting a quick road trip. And sometimes starting a road
- 19:28Speaker 5: trip will focus you as well. So I don't really
- 19:30Speaker 5: want to fade Vegas in this game. And Vancouver, they've
- 19:34Speaker 5: looked better than they actually are so far at least. So, yeah,
- 19:38Speaker 5: I don't really want to do it. Although Vegas is
- 19:39Speaker 5: still a public side. Everybody still knows Vegas is the
- 19:43Speaker 5: better team. but they're also laying minus 240 something on
- 19:47Speaker 5: the road which I don't think the public is too
- 19:51Speaker 5: excited about 88% of tickets 64% of the cash on
- 19:55Speaker 5: Vegas so the money is fading Vegas in that one
- 19:59Speaker 5: I don't have a strong opinion on it I mean
- 20:01Speaker 5: I would not really want to play Vancouver in that
- 20:03Speaker 5: one though I'll tell you that Vegas team total over
- 20:07Speaker 5: Might make some sense in that one. I think you're
- 20:09Speaker 5: looking at a Vancouver team that's not good, let's say.
- 20:13Speaker 5: And I think they're not good defensively, so maybe Vegas
- 20:16Speaker 5: team total over makes sense in that one.
- 20:19Speaker 2: You'll probably need them to score four goals, though. All right, WNBA.
- 20:25Speaker 5: This one, I'm skipping the WNBA board today. I don't
- 20:28Speaker 5: have a good opinion on New York and Atlanta. This
- 20:31Speaker 5: is an interesting series where I believe Atlanta... won two
- 20:35Speaker 5: out of the three regular season matchups here.
- 20:37Speaker 2: Let me see. Let me make sure that that's right.
- 20:41Speaker 2: Let's see.
- 20:42Speaker 5: Yeah, so New York won the first game in Atlanta, actually,
- 20:48Speaker 5: early in the season, and then they played twice in
- 20:50Speaker 5: a span of three days in September, and Atlanta won
- 20:54Speaker 5: both those games in New York. So that's interesting. So
- 20:58Speaker 5: the road team has actually won every single game in the.
- 21:01Speaker 2: Season series here. between these two teams, which is interesting.
- 21:05Speaker 5: I don't know if I would put that much weight
- 21:06Speaker 5: into that here, though, because the Liberty are not actually
- 21:08Speaker 5: good on the road. They're only 12-10 on the road,
- 21:11Speaker 5: and Atlanta's a solid 15-7 at home. Atlanta is the
- 21:15Speaker 5: better team. They're definitely going to be favored in this series. Now,
- 21:18Speaker 5: the Liberty, obviously, are not pushovers, but they look pretty
- 21:21Speaker 5: good in sweeping the Lynx out of the playoffs. In
- 21:25Speaker 5: the eight-versus-one matchup, the Liberty were able to win both
- 21:29Speaker 5: games against the.
- 21:31Speaker 2: The number one seed, the best team in the league, crazy.
- 21:34Speaker 2: The Liberty were able to do that.
- 21:35Speaker 5: Although the Liberty gave the links some problems during the
- 21:38Speaker 5: regular season, man, they look pretty good against them during
- 21:41Speaker 5: the regular season. I think the dream or a little
- 21:43Speaker 5: bit of a worse matchup for the Liberty here.
- 21:45Speaker 2: Um, I don't know.
- 21:47Speaker 5: Atlanta is just a physical defensive team, a Liberty. I mean,
- 21:50Speaker 5: they're an okay team as well. I think they could
- 21:53Speaker 5: definitely compete still, but I don't know, man. I don't,
- 21:56Speaker 5: I don't really want the Liberty off of beating the links.
- 21:58Speaker 5: You know, nobody's going to give Atlanta credit for sweeping Washington.
- 22:01Speaker 3: Right.
- 22:02Speaker 2: But I was somewhat impressed by that.
- 22:04Speaker 5: Uh, Washington's a good defensive team and Atlanta was able
- 22:07Speaker 5: to pretty much manhandle them or woman handle them. Although
- 22:10Speaker 5: there were probably some men in this league anyway. Um,
- 22:13Speaker 5: I think Atlanta just kind of goes under the radar
- 22:15Speaker 5: here because nobody's going to care that they beat Washington.
- 22:18Speaker 2: Everyone expected that.
- 22:19Speaker 5: Nobody expected New York to, well, you know, I mean,
- 22:23Speaker 5: basically nobody expected New York to beat Minnesota here.
- 22:27Speaker 2: So I think people are going to be more impressed
- 22:28Speaker 2: by that.
- 22:29Speaker 5: Although the money is actually coming in on New York
- 22:31Speaker 5: in this one, but I would hesitate on that. Even
- 22:33Speaker 5: though they did win the one time they played in
- 22:35Speaker 5: Atlanta this year. 56% of the tickets, 73% of the
- 22:37Speaker 5: cash on New York. Atlanta is a three-and-a-half, four-point favorite here, basically.
- 22:44Speaker 3: I don't know.
- 22:45Speaker 2: I think I kind of lean Atlanta in this one.
- 22:47Speaker 5: I just think an eight seed coming off upsetting the one,
- 22:50Speaker 5: I tend to just think is going to be a
- 22:51Speaker 5: little bit overvalued, man.
- 22:54Speaker 2: I don't think I love it.
- 22:55Speaker 5: And the Liberty have not been able to beat Atlanta since, like,
- 22:58Speaker 5: June or whatever it was.
- 22:59Speaker 2: So I don't know.
- 23:01Speaker 5: It looks like a worse matchup for New York to
- 23:03Speaker 5: me than Minnesota was, which sounds kind of crazy. But
- 23:06Speaker 5: if you look at how they played against those teams,
- 23:09Speaker 5: during the regular season that seems to be the case
- 23:12Speaker 5: um and i don't like the liberty as a road
- 23:14Speaker 5: team either so um yeah i'm gonna lean atlanta in
- 23:18Speaker 5: that one slightly again i think nobody cares that atlanta
- 23:22Speaker 5: beat washington i think everybody's kind of gonna care oh
- 23:25Speaker 5: new york beat minnesota that's huge so whatever calvin what's
- 23:30Speaker 5: up man I do not like the Cardinals. It is
- 23:35Speaker 5: not a mismatch. I like the Giants in that game.
- 23:39Speaker 5: You can watch my NFL show. I'm going against the market, though,
- 23:42Speaker 5: so I have concerns about that. You can watch my
- 23:45Speaker 5: NFL show from last night if you want the details
- 23:47Speaker 5: on it. But basically, I think nobody's going to give
- 23:50Speaker 5: the Giants any credit for beating Tennessee last week in
- 23:52Speaker 5: a horrible game, ugly game, whereas for Arizona... They're having
- 23:57Speaker 5: to travel cross country. They're leaving the Pacific time zone
- 23:59Speaker 5: for the first time this year. And they're coming off
- 24:01Speaker 5: a huge game against the 49ers where they almost came
- 24:04Speaker 5: back and they almost had a chance to win that
- 24:07Speaker 5: game and a huge divisional game as a big underdogs.
- 24:10Speaker 5: I think it's a flat spot for Arizona. I do
- 24:12Speaker 5: not like Arizona in that game. Um, Yeah, I mean,
- 24:15Speaker 5: that game, I'm passing on that game, but I like
- 24:17Speaker 5: the Giants in that one situationally. I don't like that
- 24:21Speaker 5: the market read is against me, though.
- 24:23Speaker 2: So I don't know. That game has given me some
- 24:25Speaker 2: problems trying to figure it out.
- 24:27Speaker 5: But my situational handicapping is telling me the Giants are
- 24:31Speaker 5: the right side. The one thing I don't like about
- 24:32Speaker 5: the Giants, though, is they're in the second game of
- 24:35Speaker 5: the injured player theory spot. Now, our last game was
- 24:38Speaker 5: the injured player theory spot. which usually a team steps
- 24:41Speaker 5: up in that first game without their star quarterback. They
- 24:45Speaker 5: step up their effort. But the thing was, they didn't
- 24:46Speaker 5: really do that.
- 24:47Speaker 2: Like, yeah, they won.
- 24:50Speaker 5: So a lot of times when that team wins in
- 24:51Speaker 5: a game like that, then they do take a step
- 24:53Speaker 5: back in the next game. Problem was, like, they had
- 24:55Speaker 5: an awful performance. Like, they barely beat Tennessee. So I
- 24:58Speaker 5: don't really... See the letdown coming for the Giants there.
- 25:02Speaker 5: And if anything, nobody's going to want the Giants after
- 25:04Speaker 5: they look so bad against Tennessee.
- 25:08Speaker 2: Looking as bad as you possibly can in a win.
- 25:11Speaker 5: Whereas on the flip side, Arizona looked as good as
- 25:13Speaker 5: you could possibly look in a loss.
- 25:15Speaker 2: You know what I mean? So, yeah, I lean Giants
- 25:18Speaker 2: in that one. All right.
- 25:20Speaker 5: The other WNBA game is Vegas and Golden State. These
- 25:23Speaker 5: are the conference championship series, by the way. This was
- 25:26Speaker 5: pretty much the expected matchup here. Vegas and Golden State.
- 25:31Speaker 2: No, these are not... What am I saying? Conference finals. No,
- 25:33Speaker 2: they don't split by conference.
- 25:35Speaker 5: It just feels that way because it's two East teams
- 25:37Speaker 5: against two West teams. That's actually not what it is.
- 25:40Speaker 5: Maybe these are the de facto conference.
- 25:42Speaker 2: Finals, though, at this point.
- 25:44Speaker 5: But no, yeah, I forgot. They just do an eight-team playoff,
- 25:47Speaker 5: and that's it. It doesn't matter what conference each team
- 25:49Speaker 5: is from. I forgot about that. Anyway, Vegas is playing
- 25:52Speaker 5: Golden State here. Vegas won all three regular season matchups,
- 25:57Speaker 5: so Vegas does have... what appears to be a matchup
- 26:00Speaker 5: edge here. My issue with that is that everyone is
- 26:03Speaker 5: picking Vegas here. Nobody's going to want Golden State. They're
- 26:05Speaker 5: kind of an up-and-coming team. Vegas definitely has.
- 26:09Speaker 2: More experience here.
- 26:10Speaker 5: And New York and Atlanta, by the way, are both
- 26:12Speaker 5: experienced teams, so I don't really think there's a huge
- 26:14Speaker 5: experience edge one way or the other there. Vegas has
- 26:17Speaker 5: an experience edge over Golden State, but Golden State, I
- 26:19Speaker 5: believe they were in the playoffs last year for the
- 26:22Speaker 5: first time, I think, so they're on the rise here. Vegas,
- 26:28Speaker 5: of course, won the championship last year. Vegas is a
- 26:30Speaker 5: massively experienced team, and once you get into this level
- 26:34Speaker 5: of the playoffs, experience does matter.
- 26:37Speaker 2: This game's on NBC and Peacock, by the way, both
- 26:39Speaker 2: games in the afternoon.
- 26:41Speaker 5: So what do we do with this game, man?
- 26:43Speaker 2: I think the public is going to be on Vegas.
- 26:46Speaker 5: Vegas, I think, is going to get credit for beating
- 26:49Speaker 5: the Fever, although that series had to go three games.
- 26:51Speaker 2: It was a tough series.
- 26:53Speaker 5: I thought Indiana might win that series because Indiana actually
- 26:56Speaker 5: gave Vegas a lot of problems during the regular season.
- 26:58Speaker 5: They blew Vegas out twice in Vegas during the regular season.
- 27:03Speaker 5: So I thought Indiana was actually potentially going to win
- 27:05Speaker 5: that series. That didn't happen. But I think Vegas looks
- 27:09Speaker 5: good in beating Indiana, right? Because everybody hypes up Indiana.
- 27:12Speaker 5: They're a good offense. Kaitlin Clark, et cetera. I think
- 27:16Speaker 5: that's going to make Vegas look good, whereas... Golden State
- 27:19Speaker 5: did not look good, having to go three games to
- 27:22Speaker 5: beat Dallas, and they almost lost in the final home
- 27:25Speaker 5: game to Dallas. Golden State was like a 7-7.5 point
- 27:28Speaker 5: favorite in that game, and they almost lost. Dallas was
- 27:31Speaker 5: winning almost that entire game. But if you dig into
- 27:34Speaker 5: that box score, Golden State had a terrible shooting performance
- 27:37Speaker 5: in the game. They only shot 35% from the field.
- 27:41Speaker 5: That's going to have some positive regression, man. I mean,
- 27:43Speaker 5: no team... especially out of the playoff teams. No team
- 27:47Speaker 5: is going to consistently shoot that poorly. Even if Golden
- 27:50Speaker 5: State is a better defensive team than offensive team, Golden
- 27:55Speaker 5: State's going to have some positive regression here. So I
- 27:57Speaker 5: actually like Golden State in this game, but my hesitations
- 28:00Speaker 5: are Vegas has experience here, and Vegas won all three
- 28:05Speaker 5: regular season matchups against Golden State, so there might be
- 28:07Speaker 5: a matchup problem. But because Vegas looked better in beating Indiana,
- 28:11Speaker 5: the Golden State did in barely getting by Dallas.
- 28:15Speaker 2: That's going to make Golden State look bad. So I
- 28:17Speaker 2: think Golden State's.
- 28:18Speaker 5: Undervalued here, and I think they're pretty good at home,
- 28:20Speaker 5: and they're a good defense. So I actually like Golden
- 28:23Speaker 5: State here. Vegas is good on the road too, but
- 28:26Speaker 5: Golden State has one of the better home records in
- 28:28Speaker 5: all of the WNBA as well, and we don't see
- 28:32Speaker 5: any percentages on this. This is the game with the
- 28:34Speaker 5: much lower total, though, and that's because Golden State's a
- 28:37Speaker 5: good defense.
- 28:37Speaker 2: I mean, what else can we say? They're one of
- 28:39Speaker 2: the best, I believe. So I believe that's why this
- 28:42Speaker 2: total is as low as it is.
- 28:43Speaker 5: The total's higher in the other game Uh, basically because
- 28:46Speaker 5: I think the Liberty are the worst.
- 28:48Speaker 2: Of the remaining defenses here. But, um, yes.
- 28:52Speaker 5: So I, I lean golden state in that one. I
- 28:54Speaker 5: just don't think I can bring myself to do it.
- 28:57Speaker 2: Um, well, thank you, sir. Um, yes. Matchups. Uh, yeah,
- 29:03Speaker 2: I do all situational stuff.
- 29:04Speaker 5: So I'm trying to figure out like, what is this
- 29:07Speaker 5: team's mental state?
- 29:08Speaker 2: Basically? Like, that's all I do. I only do matchup
- 29:10Speaker 2: stuff in baseball pretty much. Yes, sir.
- 29:13Speaker 5: Um, I only have one actual NFL play. I hate
- 29:17Speaker 5: the NFL board this week, man. This week has been
- 29:20Speaker 5: the most confusing NFL board for me so far.
- 29:24Speaker 2: So I've had a lot of problems trying to break
- 29:25Speaker 2: it down. All right. Will I be able to get
- 29:28Speaker 2: this done before the Europe game kicks off? I don't
- 29:31Speaker 2: think so. Although I hate these Europe games, man.
- 29:33Speaker 5: As I said, I do lean to the Colts in
- 29:36Speaker 5: the London game, which I think is starting in about
- 29:37Speaker 5: 10 minutes. um you know do what you want with
- 29:40Speaker 5: that info it's not a game I would want my
- 29:42Speaker 5: money on but uh yeah I lean Colts in that
- 29:44Speaker 5: game slightly uh Colts are having to lay a decent
- 29:47Speaker 5: amount of points in that one though all right the
- 29:49Speaker 5: NL NLDS series are continuing here, or the NLDSs are
- 29:55Speaker 5: continuing here.
- 29:55Speaker 2: For some reason, the AL has today off.
- 29:57Speaker 5: I don't really know exactly why it's scheduled this way,
- 30:00Speaker 5: but the NL continues here. We do have both home
- 30:04Speaker 5: teams are up 1-0 now. Games were close yesterday, though.
- 30:09Speaker 5: Both home teams are big series favorites here, but both
- 30:13Speaker 5: games were close, man. First game, the afternoon game, is
- 30:16Speaker 5: going to be San Diego and Milwaukee. If you saw
- 30:19Speaker 5: how that game ended.
- 30:21Speaker 5: Last night, it was pretty crazy, man. College has been
- 30:25Speaker 5: killing me. College is doing really poorly for me right now.
- 30:29Speaker 5: I'm below 500, I think, at.
- 30:32Speaker 2: The very least. Not good.
- 30:34Speaker 5: I think I have some good situations that I've played
- 30:37Speaker 5: in college, and they have not worked out.
- 30:40Speaker 2: It's not going well.
- 30:40Speaker 5: Two years ago, I did not have a good college season.
- 30:43Speaker 5: Last year, I was really good, but I had a huge,
- 30:47Speaker 5: huge run in college last I believe it was the
- 30:50Speaker 5: later part of last year. I was really, really good
- 30:53Speaker 5: in the second half of the college season, so I'm
- 30:55Speaker 5: hoping to be able to do that again this season
- 30:58Speaker 5: and hope it just starts going well, given that I
- 31:03Speaker 5: know how to situationally handicap everything. The situations need to
- 31:07Speaker 5: just come around, man.
- 31:09Speaker 2: That's what we need in college football.
- 31:11Speaker 5: All right, but yeah, San Diego and Milwaukee, the way
- 31:14Speaker 5: that that game ended yesterday was crazy, dude.
- 31:16Speaker 2: It was a close game. It was 2-2. Neither starter
- 31:20Speaker 2: lasted long, by the way.
- 31:21Speaker 5: Robbie Ray was not good for San Diego. And San
- 31:24Speaker 5: Diego's bullpen pitched the majority of the game and kind
- 31:27Speaker 5: of saved the game. But that does mean San Diego's
- 31:30Speaker 5: bullpen is a little bit unrested now after that. But
- 31:32Speaker 5: so is Milwaukee's because Mizurowski, I think, didn't even go
- 31:36Speaker 5: more than like four innings in the game yesterday. He
- 31:38Speaker 5: was not at his best either. even though he was
- 31:40Speaker 5: throwing 105 miles an hour out there at the beginning
- 31:43Speaker 5: of the game. San Diego was able to get to
- 31:46Speaker 5: him for two runs. Both starting pitchers gave up two runs.
- 31:49Speaker 5: They were both out of the game earlier than expected.
- 31:52Speaker 5: So the bullpens had a lot of extra work in
- 31:54Speaker 5: that game yesterday. So I would not want to play
- 31:57Speaker 5: an under in this game just because I liked the
- 31:59Speaker 5: under in yesterday's game, but the bullpens are not rested.
- 32:02Speaker 5: Now after yesterday, a lot of the better relievers had
- 32:05Speaker 5: to come into that game yesterday. Um, you know, me
- 32:07Speaker 5: Gil came in for more than an, I think he
- 32:09Speaker 5: pitched an inning and a third for Milwaukee to, to
- 32:12Speaker 5: save the game yesterday and get his first playoff save,
- 32:15Speaker 5: I believe. And San Diego, I don't think they use
- 32:17Speaker 5: Mason Miller, but I might be wrong about that. They,
- 32:19Speaker 5: they use more a hone and, uh, I forget who
- 32:22Speaker 5: else they had in there, but yeah, I think maybe
- 32:26Speaker 5: San Diego's bullpen sets up a little bit better in
- 32:28Speaker 5: this one out of the two good bullpens just because
- 32:30Speaker 5: of who they used out of the bullpen yesterday, San
- 32:33Speaker 5: Diego might have a slight bullpen edge in this one
- 32:35Speaker 5: for that reason. Now, the way that the game ended yesterday,
- 32:41Speaker 5: which I was about to say, is Milwaukee broke a
- 32:44Speaker 5: 2-2 tie. Wilson Contreras, is that his name? No, William Contreras, right?
- 32:49Speaker 5: I'm like, wait, Wilson Contreras is on the Red Sox.
- 32:52Speaker 5: William Contreras hit a home run, I believe in the
- 32:55Speaker 5: seventh inning, to break the 2-2 tie, make it 3-2 Milwaukee.
- 33:00Speaker 5: Then what happened is in the top of the, I
- 33:03Speaker 5: believe it was in the top of the ninth inning
- 33:04Speaker 5: against McGill with one out San Diego had one out,
- 33:08Speaker 5: one on, and runner on first, I believe. And Ty
- 33:12Speaker 5: France smashed a pitch from McGill. I don't know if
- 33:15Speaker 5: you guys saw this, but Milwaukee is playing with the
- 33:18Speaker 5: roof closed. And I think there's a reason why they're
- 33:20Speaker 5: doing that. And it's because Milwaukee, as I've mentioned, they're
- 33:23Speaker 5: not a power hitting team. San Diego is more of
- 33:26Speaker 5: a power hitting team. So Milwaukee, they play a lot
- 33:28Speaker 5: of small ball. So I think they're doing this intentionally.
- 33:31Speaker 5: Close the roof at home just in case San Diego,
- 33:34Speaker 5: you know, skies something like this. Maybe it'll fuck with
- 33:38Speaker 5: San Diego's power hitting, and that's exactly what happened in
- 33:41Speaker 5: the game yesterday. Ty France hit what I'm pretty positive
- 33:45Speaker 5: was going to be a home run, and instead, and
- 33:48Speaker 5: that would have been a, it would have been to
- 33:49Speaker 5: take the lead 4-3 in the top of the ninth,
- 33:52Speaker 5: and instead it bounced off the rafters. It went so high,
- 33:56Speaker 5: it was up off the rafters in the roof, and
- 33:58Speaker 5: that slowed the ball down, and it still continued going
- 34:02Speaker 5: forward a bit, but it slowed it down enough that
- 34:05Speaker 5: it landed in you know, it just came down in
- 34:07Speaker 5: left field and it was caught by the left fielder
- 34:09Speaker 5: from Milwaukee. And by rule, if a batted ball hits
- 34:14Speaker 5: some part of the ceiling or whatever, the rule is
- 34:17Speaker 5: the ball is in play. So it could like take
- 34:19Speaker 5: some weird ricochet and, you know, the hitter could get
- 34:23Speaker 5: lucky because maybe it'll ricochet weird and, you know, and
- 34:27Speaker 5: nobody will be able to get to it. And I
- 34:28Speaker 5: think if it hits like part of the roof and
- 34:30Speaker 5: then somehow goes, lands foul after that, I think that's actually.
- 34:33Speaker 2: A ground rule defensively.
- 34:34Speaker 5: Double maybe I want to I forget how or maybe
- 34:37Speaker 5: it's not maybe it's a foul ball that happens.
- 34:39Speaker 2: I forget but by rule It is still in play.
- 34:44Speaker 5: So the the outfielder can catch it for an out
- 34:46Speaker 5: and that's what happened in that one yesterday Which is
- 34:49Speaker 5: the correct call.
- 34:49Speaker 2: I'm not gonna complain about the call. That was correct
- 34:52Speaker 2: by rule.
- 34:52Speaker 5: That is correct that After it got knocked down in
- 34:56Speaker 5: the rafters the outfielder caught it for an out That
- 34:58Speaker 5: is what the rule says the umpires got together and
- 35:01Speaker 5: discussed it. They were correct about the call and They
- 35:04Speaker 5: got it right initially, and they let the call stand,
- 35:09Speaker 5: which was correct. But it's just, you know, just I
- 35:14Speaker 5: think the rule itself is just kind of bullshit. Or,
- 35:18Speaker 5: I mean, I don't know how to fix it really, though. Like,
- 35:20Speaker 5: I mean, maybe the way to fix it is just
- 35:22Speaker 5: call that a ground rule double, right? Because then it's
- 35:24Speaker 5: like kind of this, you know, it's like you kind of,
- 35:29Speaker 5: you satisfy both teams in a way by doing that, right?
- 35:33Speaker 5: Maybe it wouldn't have been a home run. Maybe it
- 35:35Speaker 5: shouldn't be an out because the guy just slaughtered that ball.
- 35:39Speaker 5: So if you make that a ground rule double, I
- 35:41Speaker 5: think that makes more sense. Then at least it's not
- 35:45Speaker 5: an out for the offense. And on the other side,
- 35:49Speaker 5: it's not a home run either. So maybe that's sort
- 35:52Speaker 5: of the middle ground there to satisfy both teams sort
- 35:56Speaker 5: of in a way when something that crazy happens.
- 35:58Speaker 2: But yeah, I think Milwaukee has.
- 35:59Speaker 5: The roof closed intentionally for And they got lucky in
- 36:04Speaker 5: that regard.
- 36:04Speaker 2: Or maybe it's smart of them. I don't know what
- 36:06Speaker 2: you want to call it. But, yeah, that's how San
- 36:09Speaker 2: Diego wound up losing the game yesterday. Very, very brutal. Now,
- 36:15Speaker 2: in this game.
- 36:16Speaker 5: I actually like San Diego in this game, though. I
- 36:18Speaker 5: like San Diego to actually even the score here. Michael
- 36:22Speaker 5: King has been good in his playoff career. I believe
- 36:24Speaker 5: he has like a two-career ERA in the playoffs. So
- 36:27Speaker 5: Michael King has been good in the playoffs. And I believe,
- 36:31Speaker 5: let me make sure, I believe I saw that he's
- 36:33Speaker 5: like 5-0.
- 36:34Speaker 2: Let me see. Michael King, playoff stats, 3-0. Excuse me.
- 36:38Speaker 5: He's 3-0 with a 2.05 playoff ERA. that's pretty good.
- 36:44Speaker 5: He's made five playoff appearances, and he has 27 strikeouts
- 36:48Speaker 5: in 15 innings and a. 8 whip. So yeah, Michael
- 36:51Speaker 5: King has been a good playoff pitcher, man. He also
- 36:54Speaker 5: had a good season. 3.21 ERA, 1.18 whip. He's not
- 36:59Speaker 5: as good on the road, which makes sense, because San
- 37:03Speaker 5: Diego's ballpark is a better pitching ballpark.
- 37:06Speaker 2: King's ERA was like a run higher on the road
- 37:08Speaker 2: at 3.64, but.
- 37:11Speaker 5: King is a playoff warrior, man, and he had a
- 37:13Speaker 5: one-hit shutout against the Cubs when he pitched in that
- 37:16Speaker 5: series earlier. So I think King is going to do
- 37:19Speaker 5: well again here, and he's also good against Milwaukee. He's
- 37:22Speaker 5: really good against them. They have 63 career at-bats against them.
- 37:25Speaker 5: They have 21 strikeouts, so a third of their at-bats
- 37:29Speaker 5: have resulted in strikeouts against them. Three walks, very low
- 37:33Speaker 5: number there. 190 average and 465 OPS. King has basically
- 37:37Speaker 5: dominated the Brewers when he's faced them. So I think
- 37:40Speaker 5: King actually has a matchup edge in this one, even
- 37:43Speaker 5: though I think Logan Henderson is the better pitcher.
- 37:47Speaker 2: Henderson's really young, dude.
- 37:49Speaker 5: He has never pitched in the postseason before. Even though
- 37:51Speaker 5: he had a great season, 2.47 ERA,. 84 whip.
- 37:55Speaker 2: I like Henderson.
- 37:56Speaker 5: We got some wins with him on the show this year.
- 37:59Speaker 5: I think he does typically fly under the radar, but
- 38:01Speaker 5: in the playoffs, man, King has really good matchup numbers,
- 38:05Speaker 5: and King has been a really good playoff pitcher. He's
- 38:07Speaker 5: got the playoff experience here that Henderson does not have,
- 38:10Speaker 5: and we saw Mizurowski. Mizurowski did pitch in the postseason
- 38:14Speaker 5: last year, so he has some experience. He didn't look
- 38:16Speaker 5: that good yesterday, although Milwaukee was still able to get
- 38:20Speaker 5: the win. Henderson has not pitched in the postseason yet.
- 38:23Speaker 5: He hasn't pitched since September, so he Might be a
- 38:26Speaker 5: little bit thrown off, whereas King is going to remain
- 38:28Speaker 5: on schedule here. I think that's an advantage to King
- 38:31Speaker 5: as well, because these starting pitchers like to stay on schedule.
- 38:34Speaker 5: So the fact that King was able to pitch basically
- 38:36Speaker 5: on his normal rest in the Cubs series, that's going
- 38:39Speaker 5: to help him here. Whereas Henderson might have too much
- 38:42Speaker 5: time off, which might affect him a little bit here.
- 38:45Speaker 5: You don't have to worry about Henderson's innings, though. He
- 38:47Speaker 5: didn't throw that many innings this year. So these young guys,
- 38:49Speaker 5: you've got to worry about their innings. You don't have
- 38:52Speaker 5: to worry about that with him, and Henderson was really
- 38:54Speaker 5: excellent at home, 1.84 home ERA. He only faced San
- 38:58Speaker 5: Diego once, and he did do okay in that start.
- 39:01Speaker 5: He went six and a third at San Diego, allowed
- 39:03Speaker 5: three earned runs there. But if you look at his
- 39:05Speaker 5: numbers that he accumulated in that start, they're not really
- 39:08Speaker 5: that good. San Diego's offense has 19 at-bats against him,
- 39:11Speaker 5: 263 average, 895 OPS. That is because they had two
- 39:15Speaker 5: home runs against them. One was Ty France who got
- 39:18Speaker 5: robbed last night as I mentioned and then the other
- 39:21Speaker 5: was Jackson Merrill. They have six strikeouts, no walks against Henderson.
- 39:26Speaker 2: What do we do?
- 39:27Speaker 5: What do we do with this one, man? I think
- 39:29Speaker 5: San Diego the side. I like San Diego.
- 39:32Speaker 2: In this one.
- 39:32Speaker 5: 56% of tickets, 55% of the cash on Milwaukee. Milwaukee's
- 39:36Speaker 5: a public side here. Less of the money coming in
- 39:39Speaker 5: on them. Milwaukee around a minus 140-something favorite. I'm tempted
- 39:44Speaker 5: to do this because King has the better matchup numbers here.
- 39:49Speaker 5: He's got postseason experience. He's on schedule. None of that
- 39:53Speaker 5: is the case with Henderson here. The only thing Henderson
- 39:55Speaker 5: does have going for him is the home road splits
- 39:58Speaker 5: are in his favor here. And I do think that
- 40:01Speaker 5: he might be the more talented of the two pitchers here. Yeah,
- 40:04Speaker 5: I mean, I think I'm going to stay off it.
- 40:06Speaker 5: That would be my hesitation here. But I like San
- 40:08Speaker 5: Diego in this one. And, of course, I'm going to
- 40:10Speaker 5: be pissed when they... actually win and I did not
- 40:13Speaker 5: actually have a bet on it maybe you want to
- 40:16Speaker 5: go first five with this I don't know I'm torn
- 40:18Speaker 5: on that because the bullpens both got used yesterday so
- 40:22Speaker 5: you could go first five San Diego but Milwaukee used
- 40:25Speaker 5: their closer yesterday and San Diego did not use theirs
- 40:28Speaker 5: so San Diego might have a little bit of a
- 40:30Speaker 5: bullpen edge because of the usage yesterday like I said
- 40:33Speaker 5: so there is an argument to go full game with
- 40:35Speaker 5: San Diego there too yeah those are my thoughts on
- 40:39Speaker 5: that I like San Diego there Atlanta and LA this
- 40:43Speaker 5: one is a lot harder to figure out both games
- 40:45Speaker 5: on Fox Sports won by the way Atlanta we don't
- 40:48Speaker 5: know who they're pitching I don't know if it's going
- 40:50Speaker 5: to be Chris Sale or if it isn't I think
- 40:52Speaker 5: Sale would still be on too short of rest here
- 40:54Speaker 5: so I don't think it's.
- 40:56Speaker 2: Going to be him and they used him in relief.
- 40:58Speaker 5: The other day too after he started game one I
- 41:01Speaker 5: guess it was against Atlanta you know I mean San
- 41:05Speaker 5: Diego's using their game one pitcher Kings so I guess
- 41:08Speaker 5: theoretically Atlanta could I guess use Sale here But, you know,
- 41:14Speaker 5: like I said, he pitched in relief.
- 41:15Speaker 2: Let me see. When did Sale last pitch? When did
- 41:18Speaker 2: he actually start? Let me see. Sale started on the 29th.
- 41:26Speaker 5: So, yeah, I guess in theory he would be on schedule,
- 41:29Speaker 5: I guess, to start again, even though he pitched in
- 41:30Speaker 5: relief on the 1st. So Sale might actually start this game.
- 41:35Speaker 5: It's unclear right now. We know Sale was good on
- 41:38Speaker 5: the season. He had an elite season, even though he's old.
- 41:42Speaker 5: He has really good numbers against the Dodgers, too, and
- 41:44Speaker 5: a huge sample size. I think it matters a lot.
- 41:49Speaker 5: If Sale is pitching for Atlanta, that gives Atlanta a
- 41:52Speaker 5: way better chance than if anybody else pitches for them.
- 41:54Speaker 5: The rest of Atlanta's starting rotation, I don't like any
- 41:57Speaker 5: of them. And Tyler Molle is day-to-day. I don't think
- 42:00Speaker 5: it'll be him because he pitched game two. So I
- 42:03Speaker 5: think it's going to be Sale or it's going to
- 42:05Speaker 5: be some semblance of a bullpen game for Atlanta here.
- 42:08Speaker 5: Dodgers did win the game yesterday 5-2. Atlanta kind of
- 42:12Speaker 5: went with a bullpen game yesterday. And this is what
- 42:14Speaker 5: I'm saying, man. Even though Atlanta's bullpen is good, that's
- 42:17Speaker 5: going to take its toll. Atlanta sort of went with
- 42:19Speaker 5: a bullpen-ish game yesterday. That's going to wind up taking
- 42:23Speaker 5: its toll, where Scooble went six innings, although the Dodgers
- 42:26Speaker 5: still used four relief pitchers, which isn't great, but they
- 42:29Speaker 5: didn't really overuse any of them.
- 42:31Speaker 2: So theoretically, some of those guys could pitch again today.
- 42:34Speaker 5: Atlanta has the better bullpen, but if they keep going
- 42:36Speaker 5: bullpen games like this, their bullpen's going to get taxed.
- 42:39Speaker 2: You know what I mean?
- 42:40Speaker 5: The Dodgers have Blake Snell pitching this game. Snell is good,
- 42:45Speaker 5: and he barely pitched this year, just like last year.
- 42:48Speaker 5: Snell is one of their better starters. He's got a
- 42:50Speaker 5: lot of experience. He's got playoff experience. He had good
- 42:53Speaker 5: numbers when he did pitch this year, 1.9 ERA, 1.1 WIP.
- 42:58Speaker 5: He was a little bit worse at home, but a 2.14 ERA,
- 43:04Speaker 5: not exactly bad. The concern with him is he wasn't
- 43:07Speaker 5: going that deep into some of his most recent outings,
- 43:09Speaker 5: but the thing is I think they just kind of
- 43:11Speaker 5: limited him a little bit to get ready for the playoffs.
- 43:13Speaker 5: Like they were letting him go his full starts up
- 43:15Speaker 5: until mid-September. So I think they just wanted to rest
- 43:18Speaker 5: him a little bit to get ready for the playoffs.
- 43:20Speaker 5: So I think, you know, I'd be okay with that
- 43:24Speaker 5: as far as, you know, like if I'm Snell, I
- 43:28Speaker 5: think that's okay with me.
- 43:29Speaker 2: You know what I mean? Get a little bit rested.
- 43:31Speaker 5: And Snell has good numbers against Atlanta in 96 career at-bats.
- 43:35Speaker 5: They have not been able to hit him very well.
- 43:36Speaker 5: 198 batting average. 637 OPS, pretty low as well. They
- 43:41Speaker 5: do have a lot of walks against him. That's the
- 43:43Speaker 5: one thing that Snell is not good at is he's wild.
- 43:46Speaker 5: He walks too many guys, but he's also really hard
- 43:48Speaker 5: to hit. 34 strikeouts, 13 walks against the Braves in
- 43:52Speaker 5: his career. He is a good strikeout pitcher. Now, if
- 43:56Speaker 5: it's Sale against Snell, I would say the under makes
- 43:59Speaker 5: the most sense in this game, and it looks like
- 44:00Speaker 5: maybe that's the case because the total is.
- 44:02Speaker 2: At seven here.
- 44:03Speaker 5: If it's Snell against anybody else, I think the Dodgers
- 44:06Speaker 5: probably win the game again. Dodgers are at about minus
- 44:10Speaker 5: 150-something here, but if it's Snell against Sale... Then I
- 44:13Speaker 5: think maybe you look towards Atlanta slightly, like as a
- 44:17Speaker 5: decent-sized underdog, like make a plus-one run line or something.
- 44:20Speaker 2: Although I'd prefer the under. If it's Snell against Sale,
- 44:24Speaker 2: the under makes a lot of sense.
- 44:26Speaker 5: I think we have to watch this. If it's Snell
- 44:31Speaker 5: against Sale, if you follow my Instagram, you'll see. I'd
- 44:36Speaker 5: consider adding a play on the under if it's Snell
- 44:38Speaker 5: against Sale. Maybe I'm not going to do it, though, anyway.
- 44:41Speaker 5: The Dodgers are really public, though. 86% of tickets, 87%.
- 44:45Speaker 2: Of the cash.
- 44:46Speaker 5: I don't think I like that. The money is also
- 44:48Speaker 5: backing the over, by the way. In both of these
- 44:50Speaker 5: two games today, the money's backing the over. I'm not
- 44:53Speaker 5: so sure about that. San Diego-Milwaukee looks more like at
- 44:56Speaker 5: least a first five under, but with the bullpen usage,
- 45:00Speaker 5: even though the bullpens are good, the bullpens might struggle
- 45:03Speaker 5: a little in that game. That game is a little
- 45:05Speaker 5: bit harder to figure out the total there, although the
- 45:07Speaker 5: first five under... might make some sense in San Diego
- 45:11Speaker 5: and Milwaukee, but you're going to be looking at probably
- 45:12Speaker 5: a three on that number. Atlanta and Dodgers, again, if
- 45:16Speaker 5: it's Sale, I think the under makes sense. If it's
- 45:19Speaker 5: not him, then I think the Dodgers probably find a
- 45:22Speaker 5: way to win the game. But yeah, that's all I
- 45:26Speaker 5: got on these games, man. It's hard to figure out
- 45:28Speaker 5: because Sale matters a lot. Atlanta's pitching is such that
- 45:32Speaker 5: Sale is really good and they don't have any other
- 45:34Speaker 5: starters that are really that good. It's just the way
- 45:36Speaker 5: that it is, man, although generally Atlanta does have the
- 45:39Speaker 5: better bullpen. The Dodgers have the better offense, though, and
- 45:42Speaker 5: I think San Diego and Milwaukee, I think their offenses,
- 45:45Speaker 5: even though Milwaukee was the better offense on the season,
- 45:47Speaker 5: I think their offenses are a little bit evenly matched,
- 45:50Speaker 5: to be honest, with San Diego having a much better
- 45:53Speaker 5: offensive second half and being the better power hitting of
- 45:57Speaker 5: the two teams. That's what I got, man. Oh, and
- 46:01Speaker 5: we'll do the final NFL market read here in a second.
- 46:03Speaker 5: But the plays that I have today are going to
- 46:04Speaker 5: be the Jets plus three and a half. That's my
- 46:07Speaker 5: only NFL play on a board that I really don't like.
- 46:09Speaker 5: And I do have a Monday night play as well
- 46:11Speaker 5: on the Saints, which you guys can see my analysis
- 46:15Speaker 5: on both of those.
- 46:16Speaker 2: Games if you watch my NFL show. But, yes, we're
- 46:18Speaker 2: going to be on the Jets.
- 46:20Speaker 5: And then we're on two hockey plays today, the Florida
- 46:22Speaker 5: Panthers money line and the Calgary Flames money line. Those
- 46:26Speaker 5: are both sandwich spots for their opponents, so I like
- 46:29Speaker 5: both of those plays in hockey today. So hockey, you know,
- 46:32Speaker 5: we're not going to go undefeated. We started off 3-0.
- 46:35Speaker 5: I like that, but we're not going to go undefeated
- 46:37Speaker 5: in hockey, man, especially when I play underdogs like this.
- 46:39Speaker 5: But the goal is profit, so I'm trying to just
- 46:42Speaker 5: find spots and play them. So let's keep it going
- 46:44Speaker 5: with hockey. Hockey's off to a good start. Traditionally, it's
- 46:49Speaker 5: been one of my better sports, so hopefully we can
- 46:50Speaker 5: get the job done with hockey again here. As far
- 46:53Speaker 5: as the NFL market read here, The money was heavily
- 46:57Speaker 5: indicating on Indianapolis. That game just kicked off. We'll see
- 47:00Speaker 5: what happens in that game. Indy went off like a 4.5,
- 47:02Speaker 5: 5-point favorite in that one, so we'll see. The market
- 47:07Speaker 5: read is still cash percentage on Buffalo, but I like
- 47:11Speaker 5: New England in that one, as I already said. You're
- 47:13Speaker 5: fading the public, at least, if you like New England
- 47:16Speaker 5: in that one. Buffalo is public. It looks like they
- 47:18Speaker 5: do have some of the cash percentage on them too,
- 47:20Speaker 5: but I told you I don't agree with all the
- 47:22Speaker 5: market reads here. That one, yeah, that one I don't
- 47:27Speaker 5: have too, like I'm not wishy-washy on that particular game really.
- 47:30Speaker 2: I think New England is the side in that game.
- 47:33Speaker 5: Because they just look so hideous. I feel like nobody's
- 47:36Speaker 5: going to want them. The Margarita is still agreeing with
- 47:38Speaker 5: my play on the Jets. Chicago's the public side. They're
- 47:41Speaker 5: with less of the money on them. Arizona is getting
- 47:44Speaker 5: the money, although they're a public side as well, although
- 47:46Speaker 5: they are getting a pretty solid cash percentage on them there.
- 47:50Speaker 5: Like I said, I'm kind of disagreeing with the market
- 47:52Speaker 5: on that one. The line also flipped from the Giants
- 47:55Speaker 5: being a favorite all the way to potentially Arizona being
- 47:58Speaker 5: like a three-point favorite. I don't think it's actually going
- 48:00Speaker 5: to hit the key number three, but yeah, getting the
- 48:02Speaker 5: Giants as a dog in a spot like that, I
- 48:04Speaker 5: think to me it makes sense.
- 48:06Speaker 2: So I'm still leaning Giants there.
- 48:08Speaker 5: The market is heavily siding with Houston, which I do
- 48:12Speaker 5: agree with in that game. Again, to see all my analysis,
- 48:15Speaker 5: you can check out last night's show. Heavy market agreement
- 48:18Speaker 5: on Cincinnati. I also do agree with that one. Green
- 48:22Speaker 5: Bay is public with less of the money on them.
- 48:25Speaker 5: This one was really difficult for me to figure out
- 48:27Speaker 5: in my mind because I think both teams are in
- 48:29Speaker 5: positive spots here, but I guess I'll agree with the
- 48:32Speaker 5: lean towards Tampa getting the points there just because the
- 48:35Speaker 5: injured player theory situation they're in I think gives them
- 48:38Speaker 5: a little bit of extra value there in that one.
- 48:41Speaker 2: Rams in Philadelphia, the Rams.
- 48:42Speaker 5: Are definitely looking like a public side even though they
- 48:45Speaker 5: have a slight cash percentage on them. I think I'm
- 48:47Speaker 5: going to stick to leaning towards Philly in that one
- 48:50Speaker 5: because they've been good at home against the Rams.
- 48:52Speaker 2: They look so bad on Monday night.
- 48:55Speaker 5: Even though the Rams were a lot better than they are,
- 48:57Speaker 5: Philadelphia looks so bad on Monday night.
- 48:59Speaker 4: The Rams.
- 49:00Speaker 5: Looked good in their loss on Sunday night, although the
- 49:03Speaker 5: Rams should have won that game statistically. They dominated statistically.
- 49:07Speaker 5: Normally I would want to jump on a team like that,
- 49:09Speaker 5: but the Rams are coming off the bigger effort game,
- 49:13Speaker 5: I would say, and having to travel a lot. And
- 49:16Speaker 5: Philly has been good against them at home, and getting
- 49:18Speaker 5: points with Philly at home.
- 49:20Speaker 2: to me, that seems to be the right way to
- 49:22Speaker 2: play that game.
- 49:23Speaker 5: The public is on Baltimore, and a little bit of
- 49:25Speaker 5: a cash percentage on Baltimore, but I don't have too
- 49:27Speaker 5: many hesitations with leaning towards Tennessee in that game. It
- 49:32Speaker 5: doesn't make the cut for me as far as a play,
- 49:34Speaker 5: but I would not lay the points with Baltimore in
- 49:36Speaker 5: that one.
- 49:37Speaker 2: Tennessee remains my.
- 49:40Speaker 5: opinion in that game and it's a low total too
- 49:42Speaker 5: so you want to take double digit underdogs with a
- 49:44Speaker 5: low total and I don't think the spot is great
- 49:46Speaker 5: for Baltimore either Minnesota the public is on them and
- 49:50Speaker 5: less of the money on them so the market read
- 49:52Speaker 5: is definitely saying Miami I agree with that it's a
- 49:55Speaker 5: low total and you're getting a ton of points here
- 49:57Speaker 5: Minnesota like I said they're the most overrated 3-0 team
- 50:01Speaker 5: They've gotten out-yarded in every single game. They didn't even
- 50:04Speaker 5: run a play in the red zone last week. This
- 50:08Speaker 5: is not a good Minnesota team, and especially not a
- 50:10Speaker 5: good offense. And you need offense to cover a double-digit
- 50:15Speaker 5: number like this in the NFL. So Miami, I'm pretty sure,
- 50:18Speaker 5: is the right side there. And it's a 3-0 team
- 50:20Speaker 5: versus an 0-3 team, the only instance of that, where
- 50:23Speaker 5: I'm always going to look towards the 0-3 team.
- 50:26Speaker 2: I'm going to guess that historically.
- 50:28Speaker 5: 0-3 teams against 3-0 teams do pretty well at covering.
- 50:32Speaker 2: I don't agree with Denver-San Francisco.
- 50:34Speaker 5: The money coming in on Denver in that game, I
- 50:36Speaker 5: think the spot is better for San Francisco in that one.
- 50:39Speaker 2: I don't know what else to say about that.
- 50:41Speaker 5: That's probably the one where I'm disagreeing the most with
- 50:43Speaker 5: the market read, and I don't like doing it, but yeah,
- 50:47Speaker 5: I kind of like San Francisco in that one.
- 50:50Speaker 2: Vegas does look like they've become a public underdog. Go figure.
- 50:54Speaker 5: Vegas, the public wants Vegas as the underdog because they're 3-0.
- 50:58Speaker 2: I like the Chiefs in that one, man.
- 51:00Speaker 5: I'm going to remain with that opinion. I would lay
- 51:03Speaker 5: the points with the Chiefs in that one if I
- 51:05Speaker 5: was going to play it. Seattle is a public side.
- 51:08Speaker 5: They do have more cash on them, and given the situation,
- 51:10Speaker 5: I do lean to Seattle still in that game. And
- 51:13Speaker 5: then Detroit, Carolina, I was leaning Carolina here. This is
- 51:18Speaker 5: a strong market read on Detroit here, though. I still
- 51:22Speaker 5: think I like Carolina, plus the points, for all the
- 51:25Speaker 5: reasons I stated last night. I'm shocked that the public
- 51:28Speaker 5: doesn't seem to be siding with Detroit in this one.
- 51:32Speaker 5: I don't know why they wouldn't be, because even though
- 51:34Speaker 5: Detroit had a close call against the Jets last week.
- 51:37Speaker 2: Everybody loves Detroit's offense.
- 51:39Speaker 5: Carolina losing to the browns the public's not you would
- 51:43Speaker 5: not think the public would want them at all after
- 51:45Speaker 5: a loss like that although it was kind of a
- 51:46Speaker 5: misleading loss um you'd think the public would remain on
- 51:50Speaker 5: the side of detroit here um so i don't know
- 51:52Speaker 5: what's going on with that i think i still am
- 51:54Speaker 5: going to lean carolina there though and then the market
- 51:57Speaker 5: is kind of still agreeing with me on new orleans
- 51:59Speaker 5: but we'll see about that but i do like the
- 52:01Speaker 5: spot for new orleans in that one and that is
- 52:04Speaker 5: uh it that is the market read there uh All right, Calvin,
- 52:09Speaker 5: you're the only one in the chat today, man. I
- 52:10Speaker 5: appreciate it.
- 52:11Speaker 2: Thanks, man.
- 52:12Speaker 5: Thanks for hanging out. Learn to Toad on Twitter. Learn
- 52:14Speaker 5: to Toad on Instagram. Like, subscribe to the channel here.
- 52:17Speaker 5: Give me comments, good comments if you can. Hype on mobile,
- 52:21Speaker 5: whatever the hell that does. I don't know. Listen on audio, Apple, Spotify, Spreaker.
- 52:25Speaker 5: We're getting some surges in the numbers there, so let's
- 52:29Speaker 5: keep that going.
- 52:29Speaker 2: I like that. Covered in you because my ukulele cover
- 52:32Speaker 2: channel on YouTube. You can check that out.
- 52:34Speaker 5: Patreon.com slash Learn to Toad if you want to support
- 52:37Speaker 5: me over there.
- 52:39Speaker 2: Loser cast every Tuesday night.
- 52:41Speaker 5: And I'm going to be on, let me figure out
- 52:42Speaker 5: what his name actually is. I'm going to be on
- 52:44Speaker 5: a podcast tonight, which is Tommy. I called him Tommy Burgos,
- 52:49Speaker 5: Tommy Borum. I think that's a fake name though. He
- 52:52Speaker 5: bores everybody. Um, I'm going to be on his podcast
- 52:56Speaker 5: and I don't know if it's going to be live
- 52:58Speaker 5: or just recording it tonight, but I guess, uh, you can, uh,
- 53:02Speaker 5: find that, uh, he's at Tommy Borum jokes. I'm going
- 53:04Speaker 5: to be on his show tonight. Um, America Floats, I
- 53:08Speaker 5: think is the name of it. I don't know, but
- 53:10Speaker 5: we'll see.
- 53:10Speaker 2: Let me see.
- 53:10Speaker 5: Is that the name of the show? Yeah, I believe
- 53:14Speaker 5: that's the name of the show. So you can find
- 53:16Speaker 5: that somewhere. He's on YouTube at Tommy Borum, I guess.
- 53:21Speaker 5: Whatever it is, I'm going to be on his show tonight.
- 53:24Speaker 5: So be on the lookout for that. And that's going
- 53:26Speaker 5: to do it.
- 53:27Speaker 2: Calvin, thanks, man. Calvin Coolidge is what I really want
- 53:31Speaker 2: to call you.
- 53:31Speaker 5: Calvin candle uh calvin coolidge silent cow one of the
- 53:35Speaker 5: least bad u.s presidents because he you know he gets
- 53:40Speaker 5: he doesn't get spoken about at all uh so that's
- 53:42Speaker 5: how you know he wasn't that bad because he's not
- 53:44Speaker 5: considered to be a good president so that's how you
- 53:47Speaker 5: know he wasn't that bad he was a uh hands-off
- 53:50Speaker 5: president for um yeah more so than most as far
- 53:53Speaker 5: as the economy is concerned so uh yeah he gets
- 53:57Speaker 5: blamed for the depression but it was not uh it
- 53:59Speaker 5: was not his fault That's going to do it.
- 54:02Speaker 2: I appreciate it, guys. Peace.
- 54:09Speaker 1: If the dark starts talking, hand me the phone.
- 54:13Speaker 2: Let somebody answer.
- 54:15Speaker 4: Let somebody know you do.
- 54:19Speaker 1: Not have to lose this round alone. Hold on, not tonight,
- 54:32Speaker 1: not now Hold on, hold.
- 54:38Speaker 4: On Let me pull you out That bad luck bites
- 54:46Speaker 4: hard But it don't get the crown Hold on.
- 54:54Speaker 3: Hold on Stay with me now
- 55:00Speaker 1: Hold on, hold on You're still here now guitar solo