Latest / The Financial Exchange Show / Election anxiety is causing many to make financial mistakes
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- 0:00Speaker 1: The Financial Exchange is produced by Money Matters Radio and
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- 0:34Exchange with Chuck Zada and Mike Armstrong, your exclusive look
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- 1:01donation today. The DAV five K Boston is presented by
- 1:04Veterans Development Corporation. This is the Financial Exchange with Chuck
- 1:09Zada and Mike Armstrong.
- 1:12Speaker 2: Kicking off hour two of the Financial Exchange. Here Chuck,
- 1:15Mike and Tucker with in we got stocks are they're
- 1:18slumping a little bit?
- 1:19Speaker 3: Shlumping. They're slumping. Don't need that word. What do you mean?
- 1:24I think it's great. Okay, it's not a slump. It's
- 1:26a slump.
- 1:26Speaker 2: Hmm. It's just kind of like womp, you know, a slump.
- 1:29It's like kind of downbeating. But a slump is like womp.
- 1:33Speaker 3: Yeah. I was gonna say a slump would have to
- 1:35be a few days in a row.
- 1:36Speaker 2: Yeah, whereas a slump is just kind of you relax
- 1:39and droop. Okay, that's what stocks are doing now. They're
- 1:41relaxing and drooping.
- 1:42Speaker 3: Got it.
- 1:42Speaker 2: And the Dow is doing that to the tune of
- 1:44two hundred and ninety two points about three quarters of
- 1:47a percent. SMP is down thirty one points about half
- 1:49a percent, in the Nasdaq down seventy six points about
- 1:52four tenths of eighty percent right now. One of the
- 1:55reasons for this the ten year treasury selling off, continuing
- 1:58it's upward move after the FED started cutting short term
- 2:01rates ten years up to four point one seven percent,
- 2:04now up nine point five basis points. We've got the
- 2:09oil movement up as well. West Texas Intermediate up eighty
- 2:12two cents barrel, that's seventy dollars and four cents. But
- 2:15the TRIPA national average for gas prices still sliding down
- 2:19another two tenths of a cent to three seventeen and
- 2:22five tenths of a cent. As we continue to try
- 2:25to make one more run at three dollars a gallon,
- 2:27we'll see if we can get there nationally. This is
- 2:29just a reminder that if you are listening to us
- 2:31in the southeast, you're like, what the heck are those
- 2:33Yankees talking about? You know, gas is already below three
- 2:36a gallon here, thank you. I'm glad to hear that
- 2:39it is. It's just not for us up here and
- 2:41you know, basically anywhere north of Virginia. Also, if you
- 2:45take a look at gold up eleven dollars and ten
- 2:47cents announced to twenty seven to forty one and ten cents,
- 2:51yet another all time high that we're making on the
- 2:53yellow metal. And so that's what we've got moving in
- 2:56markets today. We got stocks down, bonds down, gold up,
- 3:00oil up.
- 3:01Speaker 3: I don't know that there's much that I can think
- 3:03of that really shifts the narrative on interest rates anytime soon.
- 3:08I mean bad data would Yeah, yeah, I know. And
- 3:10that's kind of what I'm thinking, is like, what bad
- 3:12data are we going to get? I guess we can
- 3:13get some really bad earnings forecasts, like nothing about the
- 3:16previous quarter is going to get you there. But if
- 3:18you get a couple of companies saying, now we're seeing
- 3:19some real weakness here, and they got to be big companies,
- 3:21but you got a couple couple companies saying, you know,
- 3:24UPS tells you that they're seeing terrible freight volume for
- 3:27the next.
- 3:28Speaker 2: We don't need any planes anymore. We're going to covered
- 3:31wagon because the demand is so low.
- 3:34Speaker 3: You get a couple of bad forecasts from giant chip
- 3:37companies or something like that, maybe that does it. But
- 3:39now we don't get a lot of data for the
- 3:40next few weeks here, and that which we do is
- 3:44still kind of murky, So you know it, I don't
- 3:47see a huge catalyst for rates down anytime. And then
- 3:51you know, near near future.
- 3:53Speaker 2: Mike, do you know that there is going to be
- 3:55a United States election. I had unfortunately heard it's it's
- 3:58in fifteen days. Yeah, yeah, indeed, And there's a whole
- 4:03group of people who I'm just gonna quote here from
- 4:07the this is the New York Times, I believe. Quote
- 4:10in Westport, Connecticut, a thirty five year old who works
- 4:13for an investment firm is holding off on making any
- 4:15financial investments until after the election. Across the country, in Kenosha, Wisconsin,
- 4:21a man who works in sales said he would love
- 4:23to buy a house and get out of his rental
- 4:24both election day less than a month away. He can't
- 4:27possibly make such a colossal decision. Call it the election
- 4:31shopping slump, slump because actually what they wrote they didn't
- 4:34write slump, they should have. And basically what we end
- 4:38up with is and you've seen this noted by a
- 4:42number of people in different industries, including major executives of
- 4:46airlines automakers, saying, hey, we're expecting some weakness around the election,
- 4:51because I guess there's a large percentage of people that
- 4:55pretty much say, hey, I can't make any financial decision
- 4:58until the election happens. Now, in certain edge cases, I
- 5:02can actually understand this as an example if you are
- 5:06a business that is considering a major expansion, you might say, hey,
- 5:11I want to see if you know there's any change
- 5:14in control of you know, the Houses of Congress or
- 5:17you know, the presidency. Maybe I get some new tax
- 5:20credits or something like that that come in that caused
- 5:22me to reshape how I would expand or not.
- 5:26Speaker 3: I understand that completely. Yeah, if you're buying a car,
- 5:31what are we really doing here? Yeah? I don't really
- 5:34understand the interviews from say the thirty five year old
- 5:37in Westport, Connecticut who works in an investment firm, or
- 5:40the man in Kenosha, Wisconsin. Do you think that that guy.
- 5:43Speaker 2: Works for Bridgewater, because that's the first thing that I
- 5:45thought of, just given that Bridgewater is based right down there.
- 5:49I think it's either in Westport or you know, wherever
- 5:52it's right down that way. Could I'm like, did they
- 5:55just interview some guy from Bridgewater, like on his way
- 5:57out of the office or something.
- 5:58Speaker 3: So here's the other logical stuff that I could point
- 6:00to that would actually make sense here, because I'm just
- 6:04not sure I buy the argument that people are too
- 6:08apprehensive and nervous about the election to actually do shopping.
- 6:11But a few practical things here. I guess if you're
- 6:13looking to buy a home, I think this is misguided.
- 6:16But if you actually think Kamala Harris is going to
- 6:18deliver you a twenty five thousand dollars tax credit to
- 6:20buy that home, then maybe you put it off. Furthermore,
- 6:24just in terms of what we are seeing today, there's
- 6:28like you turn on the TV, or you drive down
- 6:29the highway, or you browse the internet. Generally speaking, we're
- 6:35slammed with ads for products right now. You're slammed with
- 6:39ads for politicians. So I mean the mere fact that
- 6:43more of our eyeballs are being spent on political ads
- 6:46rather than car ads. Maybe it has more to do
- 6:49with that than it does anything about apprehension. Because I
- 6:51don't understand why somebody would be nervous about buying a
- 6:53mattress because of the election, And I have a really
- 6:56tough time connecting those things. But I do understand why
- 6:58you might see fewer mattress ads leading up to the
- 7:00election because that mattress firm matt I don't like the
- 7:04word mattress firm. That mattress company cannot afford as many
- 7:07ads this time of year, this time every four years
- 7:10than they can during a regular October.
- 7:13Speaker 2: But like, just as an example, again, they have some
- 7:17great anecdotes in here. Susan Cordigan, who owns Big City
- 7:21Bride in Chicago, started noticing the trend a year ago
- 7:24when many of her clients conspicuously avoided picking dates in
- 7:27what is usually prime Chicago wedding season October into early November. So, like,
- 7:34you say you're not gonna get married, I really love
- 7:37this woman.
- 7:38Speaker 3: I love you so much that I need to.
- 7:40Speaker 2: Harris gets me right, like, what what are we doing here?
- 7:45Speaker 3: It's a wedding.
- 7:47Speaker 2: Like, I'm sorry, I'm I'm usually at least kind of
- 7:50understanding about things.
- 7:52Speaker 3: I'm yeah, I'm not understanding of this at all either,
- 7:56And so I'm trying to come up with other reasons
- 7:57that it could be true, because it objectively he appears true.
- 8:02I don't think that companies make these statements without them
- 8:05actually believing. We're actually seeing evidence that every four years
- 8:07their sales trip dip.
- 8:08Speaker 2: Well, so there's some interesting stuff that they actually found here.
- 8:12And one of them, hang on, I need to flip
- 8:14to the right page on this just to make sure
- 8:15that I have it right.
- 8:16Speaker 3: Here we go. So this was looking at housing sales,
- 8:21and an analysis of twenty years of housing sales data
- 8:24in Los Angeles, Manhattan, and Miami found that sales dipped
- 8:28in the second half of even years, so not just
- 8:32presidential elections but any election, and rebounded in odd years
- 8:37in the twelve months ending in November of each year.
- 8:40In even years, sales were down year over year by
- 8:42five and a half percent in Los Angeles, two and
- 8:44a half in Manhattan, and two point six in Miami.
- 8:47In the odd years, they were up by four point
- 8:49six in LA, eight point five percent in Manhattan, and
- 8:51ten point two percent in Miami. The pattern was not
- 8:54restricted to historically Democratic strongholds either, as it held in
- 8:58Suffolk County, New York, which typically votes Republican, with sales
- 9:01down point eight percent in election years and up by
- 9:03point eight percent in off years. So I don't know
- 9:08what's going on here, And look, maybe I'm the dummy,
- 9:12you know, maybe everyone out there is like, Chuck, you
- 9:16you can't you can't buy anything in November of an
- 9:18election year, Like don't you know that you can't do that?
- 9:23But like, what what happens if you buy a house
- 9:28in an election year and someone else gets elected? Usually
- 9:32you get to keep the house still. Well, okay, but
- 9:36it's one and I think it's a dumb premise to
- 9:40delay a purchase. But I will admit that I talk
- 9:44to people all the time who are voting based on
- 9:49fear and express their fear frequently that if their candidate
- 9:53isn't elected, then the economy is going to fall apart
- 9:55and therefore my home price. And I think that's dumb.
- 9:58Speaker 2: But I'm just expressing the like, we can't be so
- 10:01afraid all the time, man, Like, here's the thing. Yeah,
- 10:05I'm gonna go on a little tangent if you're afraid
- 10:09right now, like all like angsty and like your insides
- 10:16feel like Tony Romo speaks. If that's you right now
- 10:22in history, what would you have been like at any
- 10:25other point in history in the past. Because by just
- 10:28about any objective measure, outside of like a five year
- 10:34period in the nineteen nineties, this is pretty much the
- 10:38best time to be alive in the history of the world.
- 10:42You think about the healthcare problems that we don't have
- 10:44to deal with right now. You think about the endless
- 10:48wars that have dominated human history, and the sheer number
- 10:51of people that have died. It's not to say that
- 10:53you aren't, you know, seeing some wars going on right now.
- 10:56But my point is, if if you could go back
- 11:00in time and say I'd want to live there, I'm
- 11:04happy to point out all the things that you'd have
- 11:06to deal with then that you don't have to deal
- 11:08with today. And it's not to say that today's perfect. Like, look,
- 11:12if I could get rid of social media and make
- 11:14sure that like everyone never uses it ever again, I'd
- 11:16love to do that. If we could, you know, find
- 11:19a way to actually, uh, you know, get back away
- 11:24from you know, kids needing eight thousand extracurricular activities every
- 11:27day in order to get into you know, college, I
- 11:30think that would be wonderful too. But there's so much
- 11:34stuff now that gives me hope compared to what the
- 11:38world used to be that if all you see is
- 11:41the bad stuff, I just think you're doing yourself a disservice.
- 11:43Speaker 3: Yeah, you know, it's traditionally a great way to get
- 11:45people to stop being nervous and anxious.
- 11:47Speaker 2: Tell them to stop being nervous and anxious. I know
- 11:49That's why I'm doing it.
- 11:51Speaker 3: No, like we honestly, yeah, I agree with you on
- 11:54all these fronts, but we clearly have something going on
- 11:58in society that is making people. It's too much information.
- 12:01It's too much information. It's like social media and too
- 12:05much information.
- 12:06Speaker 2: Don't stop listening to us, but stop listening to everybody else.
- 12:13Speaker 1: Breaking business and financial news first throughout the day, only
- 12:17here on the Financial Exchange Radio Network. The Financial Exchange
- 12:22streams live on YouTube. Like our page and stay up
- 12:25to date on breaking business news all morning. Long Face
- 12:28is the Financial Exchange Radio Network.
- 12:31Speaker 2: Mike, do you know where the name Applebee's comes from? No, Tucker,
- 12:35what about you? No, So it's not actually named after
- 12:39anyone named Appleby interestingly enough, who was founded by Bill
- 12:42and TJ. Palmer back in nineteen eighty. Okay, and they
- 12:46wanted to name the restaurant applebee just because they wanted to,
- 12:51but apparently it was already trademarked, so they also considered
- 12:54naming it cinnamons and peppers before they arrived at apple
- 12:57Bee's spelled with two e's instead of why.
- 13:03Speaker 3: Okay, so it just has no meaning.
- 13:04Speaker 2: No, Okay, maybe, okay, I just I just find it
- 13:09kind of cool. I like to go through like origin
- 13:11stories and different restaurants and stuff like that, Like it's
- 13:14I don't know like Warby, but is like there a
- 13:16thing called an applebee? Is there a plant or spice
- 13:18somewhere that I'm not familiar with that's Alby. It's it's
- 13:21a name I know, but I don't know. Texas at
- 13:23six point seven three six two thirteen eighty five. If
- 13:25you have any insight there, mich let's talk a little
- 13:28bit about auto insurance rates.
- 13:31Speaker 3: We've clearly seen these, you know, multi year.
- 13:34Speaker 2: Now rises in auto insurance rates this year according to
- 13:39the CPI. I mean again, like this is nationally when
- 13:42you look at this, if you take a look at
- 13:44where auto insurance has gone on the CPI, you're still
- 13:47talking north of fifteen percent annually. Its sixteen point three
- 13:51percent over the last twelve months. Uh, if you will
- 13:55get Massachusetts is just a state that I have data for.
- 13:58Cost of auto insurance in Massachusetts is by almost thirty
- 14:01eight percent in the last two and a half years.
- 14:04So you're talking about just significant jumps in the cost there.
- 14:09And so the question that people are asking is, look,
- 14:12what can I do in order to manage that cost?
- 14:16And there's no great answers, by the way, No, there's
- 14:18nothing that's perfect. It's all again, insurance is ultimately about
- 14:21managing risk, and so I think that if you look
- 14:24at it through that lens, you can find some different options. So,
- 14:27first things that you can do, and again this is
- 14:29something where you want to actually talk with your insurance
- 14:32agent to understand what you're doing and how your policy
- 14:35is set up, because there are a million different permutations.
- 14:38Number one, hey, do I want to think about changing
- 14:41my deductible on my auto insurance? If you're not familiar
- 14:46with what a deductible is and how it works, it's
- 14:48basically like how much do you have to pay out
- 14:50of pocket before the insurance takes up and covers the
- 14:53rest of it. So by raising that, you reduce the
- 14:56amount that insurance potentially has to cover, and so that
- 15:00helps to reduce your payment for said insurance. The downside
- 15:04is if you have an accident, you're unhooked for more money.
- 15:07That's kind of a problem.
- 15:08Speaker 3: Yeah, again, other ways to reduce your coverage. In other
- 15:11ways you can you know, you can get rid of
- 15:13certain coverages.
- 15:14Speaker 2: So you might say, look, let's say that I have
- 15:16you know, insurance that right now covers you know, the
- 15:20cost of a replacement vehicle through a rental. You might say, well,
- 15:23maybe I don't need that for some reason, or I'll
- 15:25take the chance that I don't need that. You might say, hey,
- 15:29I think I'm a good driver, maybe I don't need
- 15:32you know, full collision insurance and can do limited collisions
- 15:35such that, Hey, if if I'm the one who causes
- 15:38the accident, I'll have to pay for it, But if
- 15:40someone else causes it, I don't have to.
- 15:43Speaker 3: Is that even legal? A mess? That's the other thing
- 15:45to know about some of these things is that your
- 15:47state the collision was comprehensive.
- 15:50Speaker 2: Yeah, okay, So there's all kinds of different things that
- 15:54you can do. There are some basic requirements that different
- 15:58states have in terms of, you know, the different coverages
- 16:00that you need to have on a vehicle in order
- 16:03to operate it legally. But again, if your cost have
- 16:06been going up and you haven't actually you know, taken
- 16:09some time to look at the policy, preferably with an
- 16:12age who can walk you through. Like what do all
- 16:14of these different things mean? Like what the heck is
- 16:16optional bodily injury to you know, Like, again, it's a
- 16:20little confusing when you look through the fifteen different things
- 16:23that you can change, take some time and actually talk
- 16:26to someone about this, because I'm not saying that you'll
- 16:29be able to, you know, get your rates back to
- 16:31where they were four or five years ago. But maybe
- 16:34you can take you know, five to ten percent off
- 16:36that premium somehow in a way that still doesn't put
- 16:39you too financially at risk and gives you a little
- 16:42bit of breathing room.
- 16:43Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 16:43Speaker 3: I mean where a lot of these insurers make a
- 16:44boltload of their money is that people. It's a sticky business.
- 16:48You don't generally change your insurers every couple of years,
- 16:50and that's how you can actually save money is by
- 16:52doing so and shopping it every few years. The other
- 16:54thing that this is resulting in, though this is not
- 16:56a Massachusett's only issue, auto insurance rates across the country
- 16:59are the ware and Massachusetts is certainly not the worst
- 17:03of it either, Like no across the country, this is
- 17:06a big, big issue. There are a lot more uninsured
- 17:09drivers today out there, which I think is only legal
- 17:14and maybe New Hampshire. I think at every other all
- 17:17other fortnite states it is illegal to drive without car insurance.
- 17:21And you know what that means is you know more
- 17:24uninsured drivers out there. You know, that's going to be
- 17:26a higher pensity for a hit and run. That's going
- 17:28to be a higher propensity for you know, damage to
- 17:31your vehicle that is not covered by somebody else's insurance,
- 17:33which is also going to drive up the cost of
- 17:36insurance for all of us who continue to buy policies
- 17:38out there. Taking a look at markets as we head
- 17:41towards the bottom of the eye.
- 17:42Speaker 2: Down now off three hundred and sixty nine points, almost
- 17:45about zero point eighty five percent. S and P's down
- 17:48thirty seven, about two thirds of a percent, in the
- 17:50Nasdaq down ninety six points, about half a percent. Ten
- 17:53New US Treasury now up nine point three basis points
- 17:56to four point one point six four percent, So you
- 17:59get stocks and bonds in sell off mode today, and
- 18:03that's where we are as we head towards the bottom
- 18:05of the hour.
- 18:05Speaker 3: Quick break here.
- 18:12Speaker 1: Bringing the latest financial news straight to your radio every day.
- 18:17It's the Financial Exchange on the Financial Exchange Radio Network.
- 18:22Text us at six one seven three six two one
- 18:24three eighty five with your comments and questions about today's
- 18:27show and let us know what you think about the
- 18:29stories we are covering. This is the Financial Exchange Radio Network.
- 18:34Speaker 3: Uh, folks, I want to talk to you about the
- 18:36live broadcast coming right up here on the Financial Exchange
- 18:40to me Thursday of this week. It's October twenty fourth,
- 18:43just a few days out. We're doing it down on
- 18:45Cape cod and Hyana's at the Double Tree Resort in Suites.
- 18:49Come check it out. We're going to be doing a
- 18:50live broadcast of the show. You can drop in ask
- 18:53your questions. We'll then be hosting a free lunch in
- 18:55seminar at the Double Tree Resortant Suites in Hyanas. That's
- 18:58again Thursday, October twenty fourth. Joining us will be Ed
- 19:02Lambert from the XTK Morning Show, And after the show,
- 19:06we're gonna be sticking around for an hour or two
- 19:08and just really doing a kind of live Q and A.
- 19:11We've done this a few times in the past and
- 19:13it's always a pretty good time and really an interactive
- 19:17piece here where we have plenty of things that we
- 19:19would talk about, but that's what the show is for.
- 19:21We do that every day for two hours. We really
- 19:24want to feel your questions about the state of the economy,
- 19:26about you know, political promises that are being made on
- 19:29the campaign trail, and just where this whole thing might
- 19:33be going down the road and where you should be
- 19:35focused heading into twenty twenty five. If you would like
- 19:39to register, like I said, only a few days left
- 19:42here you can go to Armstrong Advisory dot com slash
- 19:45events Again. It's Thursday, October twenty fourth live broadcast of
- 19:49the show, followed by a free lunch from the Armstrong
- 19:51Advisory Group. It's a double tree resort and suites. You
- 19:55can go to Armstrong Advisory dot com slash events or
- 19:57give us a call at eight hundred three nine three
- 20:00four zero zero one.
- 20:01Speaker 1: The proceeding was paid for by Armstrong Advisory Group, a
- 20:04registered investment advisor. Nothing in the ad or in any
- 20:06Armstrong guide a specific financial, legal, or tax advice. Consult
- 20:10your own financial, tax into state planning advisors before making
- 20:12any investment decisions. Armstrong may contact you to offer investment
- 20:15advisory services.
- 20:17Speaker 2: Piece from the New York Times here it's the second
- 20:19one that I've seen, not from them, but second one
- 20:21on the topic of home equity lines of credit in
- 20:23the last maybe two or three weeks, and it's talking
- 20:27about how balances on home equity lines of credit have
- 20:30risen along with home equity loans, and.
- 20:33Speaker 3: Basically this actually I think gets it.
- 20:35Speaker 2: You know, the fact that hey, this is a good
- 20:37thing that you're seeing right now in that it's not
- 20:40the excess borrowing of two thousand and four through two
- 20:44thousand and seven that you're seeing.
- 20:45Speaker 3: Well, explain that because a lot of people would probably
- 20:47associate something like this a floating rate mortgage on their
- 20:50home a second mortgage on their home as precisely that,
- 20:54so a couple things on this.
- 20:56Speaker 2: You're exactly right in that a home equity line of
- 20:58credit is a it's again basically a second mortgage on
- 21:03a home, and it is a floating rate loan. The
- 21:06key difference as opposed to, like some of the second
- 21:08mortgages that were taken out previously, are twofold. The first
- 21:11is the regulations and even desire to provide The scale
- 21:17of loans that was were provided back in two thousand
- 21:20and four through two thousand and seven dramatically different. Back then,
- 21:24you'd be like, hey, give me a second mortgage up
- 21:26to one hundred and ten percent the value of my home,
- 21:28and the bank would be like, how about one hundred
- 21:30and twenty percent. Today, most of the time, in order
- 21:33to get the best rates, you're limited to under sixty
- 21:35or seventy percent, and most lenders limit you to under
- 21:38eighty five percent total in terms of the amount that
- 21:40you can borrow against the value of your home.
- 21:42Speaker 3: So that's number one. Number two, if you're.
- 21:44Speaker 2: Trying to deduct that home equity line of credit interest
- 21:48on your taxes, the only way that you can do
- 21:50that is if you actually have proof that you are
- 21:52doing a home improvement project and not buying a boat,
- 21:55car or anything else not associated with the home with it.
- 21:58So that's another piece there. Also, when we look at
- 22:01the overall level of equity in homes compared to the
- 22:05pre financial crisis error, far greater levels of equity as well,
- 22:10and far lower default rates going in. So you look
- 22:14at just about any factor that would lead you to
- 22:16be concerned about this type of behavior, and you're just
- 22:19not there. So this is one thing I think this
- 22:21is a great example of Hey, just because you read
- 22:25certain words on a page doesn't mean that those need
- 22:28to be words that make you nervous. You have to
- 22:29look at the overall context and in the context of
- 22:33this housing market and these levels of housing related debt
- 22:37and foreclosure and so on and so forth, there's not
- 22:41really anything here that concerns me. It's not in my
- 22:44top thirty forty list of things that keep me up
- 22:48at night.
- 22:48Speaker 3: And homecrity lines of credit or homecrity loans are actually
- 22:51what makes a lot of sense in this environment because
- 22:54it means you're probably sticking with your first mortgage at
- 22:56that lower rate, whereas in yours past you might have
- 22:59done a cash out refine nance to do that project.
- 23:01That's just not attractive right now with rates where they are,
- 23:03And so the home equity aligned, while it has its
- 23:06potential dangers and risks, is a perfectly logical solution to
- 23:10cash needs at this point.
- 23:11Speaker 2: Some time, I want to talk about this piece from
- 23:14the Wall Street Journal that I think is just a
- 23:18great piece that unfortunately is going to result in nothing happening.
- 23:21Speaker 3: True.
- 23:22Speaker 2: It's titled It's time to bring four to one ks
- 23:24into the twenty first century, and what it talks about
- 23:27are a couple really basic things. Hey, every time you
- 23:30leave a job, you go to a new place and
- 23:32there's a new four to one K and you got
- 23:33to either do the work of rolling it over or
- 23:35you leave it there and then you forget about it
- 23:37and you don't know where it is, and you can't
- 23:39get the statements because they're mailing them to your old address.
- 23:42And then you die and someone has to go on
- 23:44some website to figure out if you accidentally left money behind,
- 23:46And it's this whole thing before you even get into
- 23:51like investment options and fees and stuff like that.
- 23:53Speaker 3: Right if you haven't had experience with this, like you know,
- 23:57any investment advisor by default has worked on for a while.
- 24:00One K is a fair bit in one way or another.
- 24:02And sometimes it's a fairly simple process where you just
- 24:05tell them like, oh, I'm at this new employer and yeah,
- 24:08I want to roll it over. And you know, even
- 24:10in the most simplest format, they still have to send
- 24:12you a massive check for your balance and then you
- 24:14have to go redeposit at the new company. So that's
- 24:16the easiest type of solution. In less easy solutions, they
- 24:21may require you to print out a form that might
- 24:24be ten pages long. You might need to send that
- 24:26to your HR department. They can get a notarized and
- 24:30may or may not have contact information for who that
- 24:33HR person is anymore. They need to oftentimes, like Chuck said,
- 24:37get it notarized. It can be a genuine, real hassle,
- 24:42and is not surprising to me that there are a
- 24:44band in four to one k's, four O three b's,
- 24:46four fifty seven's all over the place, and for you know,
- 24:50whatever reason, this is also far worse of a problem.
- 24:55Usually from what I see with hospitals, teachers, publicansitutions tend
- 25:00to be far worse on this type of thing than
- 25:02private organizations. For again, I'm not really sure why.
- 25:06Speaker 2: So the ideas that are talked about in here are
- 25:09kind of a couple different ones. The first is, hey,
- 25:11can you, you know, add some level of portability to
- 25:14four oh one K such that if you move from
- 25:17one job to the next, you don't necessarily need to
- 25:21change your account. And the answer is, look, in theory,
- 25:23you can, But the actual mechanics of how four oh
- 25:26one K plans work under ARISA means that you basically
- 25:30can't under that umbrella the way it's currently constructed. It's
- 25:33just not built to do that because the plan is
- 25:37administered by the employer. Ye, and why would the employer
- 25:40be like, yes, you left, and I'm still gonna have
- 25:43the liability of you know, making sure that you're contributing
- 25:46from somewhere else into this plan. No, Like, that's there's
- 25:48a whole mess there. The other thing, if we just
- 25:51talk about logistical items, remember that as part of the
- 25:53Secure Act two point zero, which passed two years ago, now,
- 25:57beginning in two years, if you are in the super
- 25:59cat area of age sixty to sixty three, employers will
- 26:04be required to allow you to make that contribution. Basically,
- 26:07employers will be required to require you to make that
- 26:10contribution through a WROTH four oh one K. Employees are
- 26:14having like plan, custodians are having so much trouble doing this.
- 26:17This was originally supposed to go into effect this year,
- 26:20and they pushed it back two years because they were
- 26:22like that change is too hard. Now, is there a
- 26:25perfect world where hey, when I go into a new employer,
- 26:30in addition to giving them my direct deposit account information,
- 26:33I give them my you know, personal four oh one
- 26:36K information and they do my retirement deposits there and
- 26:39call it a day. Sure, But as long as I'm dreaming,
- 26:42I'd like a purple and pink pony, and that's just
- 26:44not happening.
- 26:45Speaker 3: Unfortunately. Let's be clear about some of this. I mean,
- 26:47some of these are self interested, right, like if you
- 26:50are a constodian one custodian, you don't want the money
- 26:54to leave you. You make money on it. But there's
- 26:57also a good chunk that's set up here in this
- 26:59way for security reasons, and.
- 27:03Speaker 2: ERISA does exist for some really good reasons as well well, Like.
- 27:06Speaker 3: You don't just necessarily want to be able to give
- 27:09your new employer or information and they be able to
- 27:11roll your money out of your old plan and just
- 27:13put it into the new one. That represents a bunch
- 27:16of like theft concerns. On my view, anything that you
- 27:19do in the space to make this easier opens it
- 27:22up to scams too. Right, it wouldn't be that difficult
- 27:25for me to register a business and say, oh yeah,
- 27:27I'm Chuck Zada and I want my four oh one
- 27:31k rolled over here, and if it's an automatic process. Again,
- 27:34there are ways around this, but it's going to require
- 27:39a pretty big investment that I see zero appetite for,
- 27:42where at least people in the meantime is navigating what is, admittedly,
- 27:46even from somebody that works in the industry, a very
- 27:48confusing area of personal finance.
- 27:51Speaker 2: The biggest thing that I would do just to make
- 27:52things easier for people. Look, we've got eight trillion different
- 27:57there's not actually that many. There's like eight different types
- 28:00of retirement accounts. Maybe a dozen more. There's maybe a
- 28:05couple dozen of them if you get all the really
- 28:09weird stuff that's out there. Yeah, there's there's probably a
- 28:11couple dozen. There should be like one.
- 28:16Speaker 3: Yeah, they should make the rules the same across the board.
- 28:19Speaker 2: Hey, this is the the four to oh one Z plan,
- 28:24you know, and regardless of regardless of who you're working for,
- 28:29how you're working, whatever it is, this is how much
- 28:32you can contribute. You can choose if you want, you know,
- 28:35the traditional or Roth version. I think that's basically the
- 28:38only option I would give, and other than that have
- 28:41at it. Yeah, by the way, why does why does
- 28:45Roth get all the publicity in terms of like the
- 28:49traditional irate isn't named after anyone, but like no one
- 28:53even knows who Roth is.
- 28:55Speaker 3: It's a senator or remember the house. I don't remember,
- 28:58couldn't tell you. I think he's a senator, that dead
- 29:00senator now.
- 29:01Speaker 2: But it's someone who is in Congress. Yeah, but why
- 29:03do they get on Is that the only person who
- 29:05came up with this?
- 29:08Speaker 3: You know? They could also last thing on this, The
- 29:12IRS could make it a lot easier to find stuff
- 29:15that's been lost. They're the only group that's getting reports
- 29:18on all this stuff every year, Like hey, if you
- 29:21have a four oh one K, they're required to send
- 29:23a notification to the IRS every single year. And so
- 29:26while we're talking about all this, like, IRS, you could
- 29:28make it a little bit easier for me to discover
- 29:30where exactly any of my stuff is in case I
- 29:32lose I think a lot of blame lands on you
- 29:35if you lose a ten thousand dollars or any dollar
- 29:38four o one K. So I'm not trying to get
- 29:39people out of this entirely, but it does happen, and
- 29:42they can make it a little bit easier to track down.
- 29:44Let's take a quick break here when we return stack Roulette.
- 29:49Speaker 1: This is your home for the most comprehensive coverage of
- 29:52the economy and the trends on Wall Street. This is
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- 30:12Speaker 4: The Ultimate Boston Sports auction to benefit the disabled American
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- 30:36of Massachusetts. The auction begins November fourth at eleven am.
- 30:41That's Monday, November fourth at eleven am. Keep it here
- 30:44on the Financial Exchange and help support our great American heroes.
- 30:49Speaker 3: Mike, what do you got for stack Roulette? America's continued
- 30:52loneliness epidemic is taking new form in a talking pet collar,
- 30:58which is kind of like a chat bought for your dog.
- 31:01I guess which I mean again? Fun idea. You strap
- 31:05it to your dog's neck, just like was it the
- 31:06Incredibles where they have the talking dogs? No, that was
- 31:10up and up they had talking dogs. Thank you? Yep, yep,
- 31:13you're right, uh, and it will talk back to you.
- 31:16You can you can speak to your dog and it
- 31:18will have a pre recorded voice that uh speaks back
- 31:22to you. So from what I can tell it is
- 31:24doing nothing to read into gestures or behavior from the
- 31:28dog in order to interpret it. Just kind of a
- 31:30fun toy. It seems like it's going to be called
- 31:33the Shazam, which is not related to the Superhero movie
- 31:38with isn't that Shazam Shazam shack? No, that's that's Cuzam.
- 31:45Speaker 1: I know.
- 31:46Speaker 2: Shazam was was another one that came out more recently,
- 31:49like ten years ago or so.
- 31:51Speaker 3: Yeah, I heard it was terrible. Yeah, okay, probably had
- 31:54the rock in it.
- 31:55Speaker 4: No, it didn't have the rock I'm seeing, yeah, zach
- 32:01Zachary Levy LEVI sure, fine.
- 32:05Speaker 3: I don't know if you pile DVDs to watch again.
- 32:07If you can find a product that is meant to
- 32:11specifically address the American loneliness epidemic, these things are like
- 32:15two hundred more than that, Oh my god. College starts
- 32:18at four hundred and ninety five dollars for cat and
- 32:20five hundred ninety five dollars for dogs. There's also subscription
- 32:23fees of one hundred ninety five dollars a year for
- 32:26the cat and or two hundred and ninety five dollars
- 32:29for the brain Boost service, which a rep firsh Zam says,
- 32:33is quote what brings all the truly sentient qualities such
- 32:37as empathy, reasoning, social awareness, and self awareness. What. I'm sorry,
- 32:41but we're kind of starting to reach peak stupid here
- 32:45and here's reach peak. No no, no, no, no, no no.
- 32:47Here's the problem with peak stupid. Keep exceeding every time
- 32:50you think you're there, there's more. Yeah, I saw one.
- 32:54Speaker 2: I can't find it right now. I was looking forward
- 32:56because I saw it this morning. It's a service. It's
- 32:59an AI service that basically like monitors your parents phones
- 33:05and emails and stuff like that, and then sends you
- 33:08an alert if it thinks they're feeling like lonely and
- 33:11you need to reach.
- 33:12Speaker 3: Out to them. And I can't think of anything more
- 33:15soul sucking and dystopian than having to spend like someone
- 33:19actually making the decision like, oh, I'm gonna spend money
- 33:22on a service to make sure my parents aren't lonely
- 33:25instead of, I don't know, maybe spending time with your
- 33:28parents your self, you ungrateful little whatever. I can what
- 33:33that exact same service, except rather than telling you that
- 33:36they're lonely, it's just an AI that pretends that it's
- 33:39you in college. Well, this chats with them anyways, to
- 33:41like see how they're doing. Like, it's pretty close. It's
- 33:44pretty dark close to it.
- 33:45Speaker 2: Yeah, and I just the problems that we're now trying
- 33:49to solve are going to take away the last remaining
- 33:52vestiges that we have of being human. It's we're heading
- 33:56for a really dark place. When it's hey, AI, take
- 34:00care of my parents so I can order more door Dash.
- 34:02Speaker 3: Yeah, like that is where we're headed. I can't tell.
- 34:07Loneliness epidemic is going to be treated by AI chatbots,
- 34:11which are going to make us more lonely.
- 34:12Speaker 2: Mike, we're heading for freaking the Like I didn't know
- 34:16that Wally was a documentary.
- 34:18Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, Like, sorry, I.
- 34:21Speaker 2: Can't be bothered because I get eight screens in front
- 34:23of my face. I don't want to get up. Bring
- 34:24me the food day doesn't hold up well, holds up
- 34:29very well in a terrifying sort of way.
- 34:31Speaker 1: Though.
- 34:32Speaker 3: Yeah it's a good one. No, no, no, it's fine. I
- 34:43enjoy it. Wally, how are you doing over there? Well?
- 34:48Speaker 2: Do you ever buy any lottery tickets? Modery em?
- 34:56Speaker 1: All right?
- 34:57Speaker 2: Anyways, Mega millions, Speaking of dystopian lottery, ticket prices going
- 35:01from two dollars to five dollars.
- 35:03Speaker 3: Talk about inflation.
- 35:04Speaker 2: Your jacking price is up by one hundred and fifty
- 35:05percent on the Mega millions.
- 35:07Speaker 3: It's a big story.
- 35:08Speaker 2: Here's the reason why Americans don't start buying now until
- 35:11it's over a billion dollars, and so this will get
- 35:14it over a billion dollars faster, so you can have
- 35:16more larger jackpots. Because everyone likes. Everyone likes to be like, hey,
- 35:22I'm going to be the one who wins that, when
- 35:24really you're not.
- 35:26Speaker 3: And also even just the fantasy of winning a billion
- 35:30dollars versus half a billion dollars, does anyone have a
- 35:34meaningfully different dream on one versus the other? So confused
- 35:38you could lose both pretty easily. You know, it's me.
- 35:42Speaker 2: I bet it's actually fairly easy to spend your way
- 35:44through that if you if you really want to, yeah,
- 35:47you know, quickly, let's take a quick break for the
- 35:50rest of the day. We'll see it tomorrow on the
- 35:52Financial Exchange