Latest / Toadstool Sports / Sunday BEST BETS | Another Game 7 | NBA Playoffs & MLB & WNBA | 5/17/26

Transcript

Sunday BEST BETS | Another Game 7 | NBA Playoffs & MLB & WNBA | 5/17/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:16
  Speaker 1: You gotta slip in your palm man, a hole in
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: your checks, black coffee on the felt.
• 0:22
  Speaker 2: Man, you look like a mess.
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: Three teen Parlette turned the dust in your head. Now
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: you stare at the chips like they made you this man.
• 0:33
  Speaker 2: But don't you go quiet. Don't you fade from the floor.
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: Your name steal means something on somebody for show.
• 0:41
  Speaker 2: Put the glass.
• 0:42
  Speaker 3: Down, baby, look at me. Now, hold on, hold on,
• 0:53
  Speaker 3: nothing night not now, hold.
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: On, hold on and me, but it don't get the crown.
• 1:14
  Speaker 3: Hold on, hold on, stay with me.
• 1:19
  Speaker 2: Now, what's up? Everybody's towed back with you? Toadstool Sports Sunday,
• 1:33
  Speaker 2: May seventeenth. I hear a lot of noise outside as usual.
• 1:37
  Speaker 2: I don't know what's going on. Don't listen to me
• 1:39
  Speaker 2: about horses ever, Napoleon Solo won the Preakness. I do
• 1:44
  Speaker 2: not know what to say about that. I mean, the
• 1:47
  Speaker 2: horse had decent odds. I just didn't know much about
• 1:49
  Speaker 2: the horse. The horse was not really one on my radar.
• 1:53
  Speaker 2: What can you do? You know if you threw him
• 1:56
  Speaker 2: in the exotics, at least that might have helped you.
• 2:00
  Speaker 2: You know, we kept you alive. I don't know. Don't
• 2:03
  Speaker 2: listen to me about horses. We went three to zero
• 2:05
  Speaker 2: on this show yesterday with Milwaukee Minnesota first five under.
• 2:10
  Speaker 2: The game was tied one to one at the end
• 2:12
  Speaker 2: of five. I think it was a two to one final,
• 2:14
  Speaker 2: so that was easy. The under full game cash as
• 2:17
  Speaker 2: well if you actually went that waven though Minnesota's bullpen
• 2:20
  Speaker 2: discussed me, but that still happened. We got the under
• 2:24
  Speaker 2: with the Red Sox Braves game as well. Red Sox
• 2:27
  Speaker 2: scored two runs late to overcome a two to one
• 2:30
  Speaker 2: deficit and win three to two, so that worked out
• 2:34
  Speaker 2: well for me as a Red Sox fan and still
• 2:38
  Speaker 2: getting the underwright so that was good. And then Buffalo
• 2:42
  Speaker 2: sabers with the win in that hockey game as well.
• 2:45
  Speaker 2: They outplayed Montreal in that game, man, I mean it
• 2:48
  Speaker 2: wasn't what it looked like on the final score. I
• 2:50
  Speaker 2: mean there was some chaos at the end of that game.
• 2:52
  Speaker 2: It was multiple empty net goals whatever. It was a
• 2:55
  Speaker 2: two goal game pretty late in the game. Buffalo was
• 2:58
  Speaker 2: the better team in the game. Though. One thing that
• 3:00
  Speaker 2: I pointed out on my Instagram video when I was
• 3:04
  Speaker 2: giving out the information on that game that I forgot
• 3:06
  Speaker 2: to mention on this show was that Not only was
• 3:09
  Speaker 2: Montreal not that good at home during the playoffs so far,
• 3:13
  Speaker 2: but Buffalo went into that game four and one on
• 3:16
  Speaker 2: the road in the playoffs this season, So Buffalo postseason,
• 3:20
  Speaker 2: I should say, Buffalo has been a really good road
• 3:22
  Speaker 2: team in the playoffs, so that is somebody to keep
• 3:25
  Speaker 2: in mind. Although most of those wins were against the Bruins,
• 3:28
  Speaker 2: but the Bruins were a very good home team this year,
• 3:31
  Speaker 2: so that is something. All Right, we'll move on to today.
• 3:37
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna have two baseball players today. That's all I got.
• 3:39
  Speaker 2: I considered the NBA game pretty strongly. There's a couple
• 3:44
  Speaker 2: of things I don't love about it. I don't know,
• 3:45
  Speaker 2: maybe I'd be too selective about it. And then there's
• 3:49
  Speaker 2: no hockey tonight and there is WNBA, But I just
• 3:52
  Speaker 2: I don't know. I don't have a good feel for
• 3:55
  Speaker 2: the WNBA board that we have here, so I don't know.
• 3:58
  Speaker 2: I'm being pretty selective with the WNA n b A.
• 4:00
  Speaker 2: But we're three and oh, really we should be four.
• 4:02
  Speaker 2: And oh I'm still pissed about not adding Golden State
• 4:06
  Speaker 2: that second day of the season or whatever it was.
• 4:09
  Speaker 2: But whatever, All right, dirty sock, what's up? Tyson. What's up, Kyle?
• 4:15
  Speaker 2: What's up? Yes? Thank you, sir. We had yeah the
• 4:18
  Speaker 2: three and oh sweep yesterday? Nice tip extra on patren
• 4:25
  Speaker 2: you gifted where'd you give the sub? Thank you, sir?
• 4:29
  Speaker 2: You mean on on Patreon? You mean, can you do that?
• 4:33
  Speaker 2: Or what was it? Or on Twitter? I mean, I
• 4:37
  Speaker 2: don't know what we're talking about here. Yeah, I don't
• 4:42
  Speaker 2: know how to set up like tips or whatever.
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: You can.
• 4:44
  Speaker 2: You can send me tips on Twitter, though I know
• 4:46
  Speaker 2: that there's a link there for that, but it's like
• 4:49
  Speaker 2: Venmo and whatever cash app. I'm on both of those, yes, sir.
• 4:55
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna try to do my best to give out
• 4:57
  Speaker 2: good plays here. Speaking of which, the current run, there
• 5:00
  Speaker 2: you go eighty one thirty seven and five now over
• 5:04
  Speaker 2: the last forty three days, over the last like almost
• 5:08
  Speaker 2: two weeks now, I think we've only had two losing
• 5:10
  Speaker 2: days or actually no, maybe one but two days where
• 5:15
  Speaker 2: we I think we're like, i'd have to look it up.
• 5:17
  Speaker 2: I have to figure it out. But I think I'm
• 5:18
  Speaker 2: like eighteen and three now or something over the last
• 5:22
  Speaker 2: ten or so days. I want to I don't know,
• 5:24
  Speaker 2: I have to figure it out. It's gonna take me
• 5:26
  Speaker 2: a while to go back. I don't want to give
• 5:27
  Speaker 2: out incorrect numbers. The number on the screen is correct though,
• 5:31
  Speaker 2: but yeah, something like that. I think we had only
• 5:35
  Speaker 2: two days during that spam where we had any losers
• 5:38
  Speaker 2: at all, and only one of those days was a
• 5:40
  Speaker 2: losing day. It was that two and two day the
• 5:42
  Speaker 2: other day, and it was a small loss. So all right,
• 5:47
  Speaker 2: let's get into it. I don't want this intro to
• 5:49
  Speaker 2: be that long. Oh well, thank you. My patron is
• 5:53
  Speaker 2: just all Yuke stuff right now, though I don't keep
• 5:56
  Speaker 2: it up to date and whatever. I'll have more Yuk
• 5:59
  Speaker 2: work quest coming in. I have a request from one
• 6:03
  Speaker 2: of the subscribers there that I'm going to do, and
• 6:06
  Speaker 2: it's gonna fulfill a request that came from somebody else
• 6:09
  Speaker 2: as well. So I'm gonna I'm gonna knock out two
• 6:11
  Speaker 2: Birds with one Stone with a Queen cover, and it's
• 6:15
  Speaker 2: probably the only There are only like two Queen covers
• 6:18
  Speaker 2: that I probably even have the ability to do, and
• 6:20
  Speaker 2: this is like one of them, and it's still gonna suck.
• 6:22
  Speaker 2: I mean, you can't cover Queen Man Queen Excellent band.
• 6:27
  Speaker 2: Freddie Mercury, I know he was, you know an Indian whatever,
• 6:31
  Speaker 2: but he was. I think he's the best vocalist of
• 6:33
  Speaker 2: all time. I know some of it was because he
• 6:35
  Speaker 2: had extra teeth in his mouth, so his mouth was
• 6:39
  Speaker 2: was bigger. I'm not saying anything about that, but you know,
• 6:43
  Speaker 2: I mean like that was actually true, that like helped
• 6:47
  Speaker 2: his vocal range. All right, anyway, Miami at Tampa Bay
• 6:51
  Speaker 2: is the first baseball game here. The Battle of Florida
• 6:53
  Speaker 2: finishes as we wrap up rivalry weekend. Peacock has this game.
• 6:59
  Speaker 2: It's the early game. It's a twelve fifteen Eastern. These
• 7:03
  Speaker 2: teams have split the series so far, so when I
• 7:05
  Speaker 2: see that, I usually think both teams are going to
• 7:07
  Speaker 2: try to show up and win the series. Tampa Bay
• 7:12
  Speaker 2: used four relief pitchers yesterday, and Miami has had a
• 7:16
  Speaker 2: really good bullpen this year. They also used four though,
• 7:19
  Speaker 2: and you know, you do want to look like who
• 7:20
  Speaker 2: won the game yesterday? Did Miami use like their high
• 7:23
  Speaker 2: levels relief arms. I don't know if they did. They
• 7:25
  Speaker 2: won the game by five yesterday, but whatever, Miami has
• 7:30
  Speaker 2: been a really good bullpen. They're currently ranked second when
• 7:33
  Speaker 2: I ordered this by Whip, and Tampa Bay had been rising,
• 7:38
  Speaker 2: but their eerray is still pretty questionable lot of the bullpen.
• 7:41
  Speaker 2: They're ranked thirteenth in WHIP, but their eras in the
• 7:44
  Speaker 2: mid fours, which is not excellent. Miami's got the better bullpen,
• 7:49
  Speaker 2: Tampa's been the better offensive team. They're eleventh, Miami eighteenth.
• 7:53
  Speaker 2: Uri Perez pitching for Miami. Him this is starting pitching
• 7:56
  Speaker 2: matchup reck kind of like both pitchers. Perez. He has
• 8:00
  Speaker 2: struggled a little bit this year though, four point nine
• 8:02
  Speaker 2: to four ERA, one point three to seven WHIP. He's
• 8:05
  Speaker 2: still super young, although he's already had multiple Tommy John surgeries.
• 8:10
  Speaker 2: I think he's good. He's got good stuff, but he's
• 8:12
  Speaker 2: pretty wild, and he's kind of all over the place,
• 8:15
  Speaker 2: and he's been bad on the road six point five
• 8:17
  Speaker 2: to two Roady Ira, so that's not good. He's been
• 8:21
  Speaker 2: again like kind of a roller coaster this month. Miami
• 8:24
  Speaker 2: has lost four starts in a row of his but
• 8:27
  Speaker 2: some of that really kind of was in his fault.
• 8:29
  Speaker 2: He's allowed more than four and runs only one of
• 8:31
  Speaker 2: those times. This month. He's got a high strikeout rate
• 8:35
  Speaker 2: twenty strikeouts, but ten walks in sixteen innings, way too
• 8:38
  Speaker 2: many walks, multiple in every outing, and only eleven hits
• 8:42
  Speaker 2: a lot. I mean, this is kind of the story
• 8:43
  Speaker 2: with him, Like that's the same if you expand this
• 8:46
  Speaker 2: over the course of the season. He has way over
• 8:48
  Speaker 2: one strikeout per inning, so that's a high straight cut rate.
• 8:51
  Speaker 2: His walk rate is really high, and he doesn't allow
• 8:54
  Speaker 2: a lot of hits, so that's his thing. His control
• 8:57
  Speaker 2: is kind of a problem. Timpa Bay does not have
• 9:00
  Speaker 2: a lot of experience against him, but Freiley and Mullens
• 9:03
  Speaker 2: are combined two for four Offen with a Frayley home
• 9:06
  Speaker 2: run and walk. Do with that information what you want,
• 9:10
  Speaker 2: but it does mean that Perez is unfamiliar to most
• 9:13
  Speaker 2: of Tampa Bay's lineup, and when that is the case,
• 9:16
  Speaker 2: hitters unfamiliar with the picture a lot of times will struggle.
• 9:19
  Speaker 2: And Perez does have kind of a weird jerky motion
• 9:22
  Speaker 2: on the mound, and he's six' eight so his motion
• 9:25
  Speaker 2: is kind of hard to pick up when you haven't
• 9:27
  Speaker 2: seen him. Before SO i do know That Drew rasmussen
• 9:30
  Speaker 2: his picture For Tampa. Bay he's been their best. PITCHER i,
• 9:33
  Speaker 2: mean he's pretty. Solid he's very, consistent three point one
• 9:37
  Speaker 2: SIX era point nine to one. Whip he's been really
• 9:40
  Speaker 2: good at home TO era at, home so maybe the
• 9:43
  Speaker 2: consistency maybe is. Not, YEAH i don't. Know i'm still
• 9:48
  Speaker 2: gonna say he is really, consistent. THOUGH i, mean he
• 9:50
  Speaker 2: had one really kind of bad start At. Pittsburgh other than,
• 9:53
  Speaker 2: that he's allowed three or fewer earned runs and all
• 9:56
  Speaker 2: of his starts this. Month he had two good starts
• 9:59
  Speaker 2: Against toronto that were almost exact to each, other where
• 10:02
  Speaker 2: he allowed three or in runs and six innings in
• 10:04
  Speaker 2: each of. Them eleven to two strikeout walk ratio over that's,
• 10:08
  Speaker 2: man his numbers are good over the course of the. Season,
• 10:10
  Speaker 2: Dude he's got more than one strike up or, inning
• 10:13
  Speaker 2: very very low walk rate and low hit rate as.
• 10:16
  Speaker 2: Well Against, miami his numbers ARE i would say they're still.
• 10:21
  Speaker 2: Good but the batting average allowed is high and thirty
• 10:23
  Speaker 2: one at bats two ninety average but a low six
• 10:26
  Speaker 2: sixty seven, ops five, strikeouts one. WALK i, mean it's
• 10:30
  Speaker 2: not a huge, sample but it's a decent sized. Sample
• 10:34
  Speaker 2: most of the hits he's allowed of, singles so he's
• 10:36
  Speaker 2: allowed some contact but not really any power hitting To miami,
• 10:40
  Speaker 2: here it's a tough game to gauge, man But rasmussen
• 10:44
  Speaker 2: is more. Consistent perez does struggle on the road a.
• 10:48
  Speaker 2: Bit the money does not agree With Tampa, bay BUT
• 10:51
  Speaker 2: i THINK i kind of Leaned tampa. Here they're sitting
• 10:53
  Speaker 2: around a minus one fifty something, favorite basically ninety one
• 10:57
  Speaker 2: percent of the, tickets eighty one percent of the cash
• 10:59
  Speaker 2: on them money coming in towards the over slightly as.
• 11:03
  Speaker 2: Well i'm not SURE i agree with that the totals at.
• 11:06
  Speaker 2: SEVEN i, mean you have two kind of capable bullpens,
• 11:10
  Speaker 2: here two starting pitchers that could potentially pitch, well so
• 11:15
  Speaker 2: DON'T i don't think i'd want an over. Here the
• 11:17
  Speaker 2: oddsmakers are telling you this should be a lower scoring,
• 11:19
  Speaker 2: game BUT i probably Prefer rasmusen. Here miami does have
• 11:23
  Speaker 2: a bullpen, advantage so a first five inning play On
• 11:26
  Speaker 2: tampa makes some sense to me as. Well if you want,
• 11:29
  Speaker 2: to like lay a half run in the first five,
• 11:31
  Speaker 2: innings you could do that or full. GAME i think
• 11:34
  Speaker 2: you'd have to make your own minus one run, line
• 11:36
  Speaker 2: AS i, do AND i am gonna be doing that
• 11:39
  Speaker 2: with one of my plays. Today it's not all totals
• 11:41
  Speaker 2: for me. Today one of them, is but the other
• 11:43
  Speaker 2: one is a, Side so there you. Go that is
• 11:46
  Speaker 2: not my, play Mister pinsey what's? Up thanks for hanging
• 11:50
  Speaker 2: out all? Right next Game Baltimore, washington this, game this.
• 11:57
  Speaker 2: SERIES i should, Say washington won team to three yesterday
• 12:01
  Speaker 2: and they're on the verge of a. Sweep. Here This
• 12:03
  Speaker 2: baltimore team might not be that. Good. Man if you're
• 12:06
  Speaker 2: gonna get swept By, WASHINGTON i don't Think washington's that.
• 12:09
  Speaker 2: Good not a good. Sign baltimore is playing a divisional
• 12:13
  Speaker 2: series Against tampa, next so that's a pretty big. Series
• 12:16
  Speaker 2: BUT i don't Think baltimore is gonna overlook a team
• 12:19
  Speaker 2: that's about to sweep. Them you, Know USUALLY i look
• 12:21
  Speaker 2: to play on the team that's trying to overway the
• 12:23
  Speaker 2: sweep because you get extra. Motivation usually the team that's
• 12:27
  Speaker 2: on the verge of the sweep a lot of times
• 12:28
  Speaker 2: will overlook that. Opponent washington plays The mets. NEXT i,
• 12:32
  Speaker 2: mean it is a divisional. Series The mets have been pretty,
• 12:35
  Speaker 2: bad SO i don't know if that's really a look
• 12:37
  Speaker 2: ahead or. Not but SITUATION i think does Favor baltimore slightly.
• 12:42
  Speaker 2: Here as far as you know bullpen, Usage washington used
• 12:47
  Speaker 2: three relievers. Yesterday their bullpen is pretty. Bad baltimore used.
• 12:51
  Speaker 2: Four baltimore is the better bullpen, though even though neither
• 12:54
  Speaker 2: bullpen is, Good washington is ranked twenty. Fourth this is BY.
• 12:57
  Speaker 2: Whip AS i, Said baltimore's, eighteenth and offense arranged by,
• 13:02
  Speaker 2: Ops washington is, sixth so they are the better hitting.
• 13:06
  Speaker 2: Team baltimore is twenty. First Brandon young getting the start For.
• 13:10
  Speaker 2: Baltimore he's a, GUY i, MEAN i think he has some,
• 13:14
  Speaker 2: talent but his career hasn't really taken. Off his numbers
• 13:17
  Speaker 2: this year or mediocre four point one to FIVE rra
• 13:20
  Speaker 2: one point three to EIGHT whip is definitely too high
• 13:23
  Speaker 2: indicative to THE zra should be higher than it. Is
• 13:26
  Speaker 2: he's been pretty good on the road, though two point
• 13:28
  Speaker 2: four to five R it's in a very small sample, size,
• 13:31
  Speaker 2: though but he looks like he is somewhat starting to
• 13:34
  Speaker 2: pitch a little bit. Better he actually hasn't allowed more
• 13:37
  Speaker 2: than four earned runs in any. Outing he got smacked
• 13:41
  Speaker 2: around in that outing Against, houston but he's actually not
• 13:44
  Speaker 2: allowed that many hits in his last two, outings which
• 13:46
  Speaker 2: are At miami and at home against The. Yankees his
• 13:50
  Speaker 2: walks were an issue in those games. Though he walked
• 13:52
  Speaker 2: three guys in each of, them but he only allowed
• 13:54
  Speaker 2: seven hits and eleven and the third innings six walks
• 13:57
  Speaker 2: was a problem. Though ten strikeouts, fine so he actually.
• 14:01
  Speaker 2: Is he looks like he is pitching a little bit,
• 14:03
  Speaker 2: better though except for the. WALKS i still don't really
• 14:06
  Speaker 2: trust his overall. Numbers his strikeout rates still pretty, low
• 14:09
  Speaker 2: a lot of, walks hit rate isn't too, bad fewer
• 14:12
  Speaker 2: than one per. Inning and he has not been seen
• 14:15
  Speaker 2: before By, washington so that is an extra. Advantage so
• 14:18
  Speaker 2: the couple of things he does have going for. Him
• 14:20
  Speaker 2: he looks like he's kind of in better form right,
• 14:22
  Speaker 2: now But i'd like to see better control, numbers and
• 14:25
  Speaker 2: he's unfamiliar To, washington so he might have an advantage
• 14:28
  Speaker 2: there because they haven't faced him. Before he's also getting
• 14:31
  Speaker 2: to pitch Against Miles, mikols who's been one of the
• 14:34
  Speaker 2: worst pitchers in baseball this. Year he's got pretty bad
• 14:37
  Speaker 2: numbers SEVEN era one point five to THREE. Whip he's
• 14:41
  Speaker 2: been even worse at home eight point ONE. Era AS
• 14:45
  Speaker 2: i point, Out Washington they're pitching has been awful at
• 14:48
  Speaker 2: home for the most. Part they've given up the most
• 14:50
  Speaker 2: runs out of any team at. HOME i think that's
• 14:52
  Speaker 2: that still might be the. Case if it's not they're
• 14:55
  Speaker 2: close to the. Top, Still mikolas is not going deep
• 14:58
  Speaker 2: into his. Outings he's only at five innings twice all.
• 15:02
  Speaker 2: Season that's not good this, month you, know not really
• 15:05
  Speaker 2: any better five to two strike out walk. Ratio whatever
• 15:09
  Speaker 2: strike out rate is. Low he doesn't strike a lot
• 15:11
  Speaker 2: of guys. Out he does induce a lot of ground,
• 15:13
  Speaker 2: balls which is, good but he's allowed too many, hits
• 15:15
  Speaker 2: way over one per. Inning the number of walks isn't
• 15:18
  Speaker 2: really great. Either not a whole lot to like with him,
• 15:21
  Speaker 2: here but he has good numbers Against baltimore in thirty
• 15:24
  Speaker 2: eight career at bats one eighty four batting average allowed
• 15:28
  Speaker 2: five oh seven, ops eleven to three strike out walk.
• 15:31
  Speaker 2: Ratio So baltimore is one of the better matchups for.
• 15:35
  Speaker 2: Him it looks like the money is indicating On. WASHINGTON
• 15:38
  Speaker 2: i still don't THINK i would want to Back, mechalis
• 15:41
  Speaker 2: THOUGH i mean it. WOULD i don't even know what
• 15:43
  Speaker 2: circumstance i'd want to back that, guy like IF i
• 15:46
  Speaker 2: don't even want him. Here but you, know if the
• 15:48
  Speaker 2: situation was better For, washington, maybe BUT i think they
• 15:51
  Speaker 2: don't have the situational advantage. HERE i don't Like micholas
• 15:55
  Speaker 2: at home either we Got baltimore is like a minus
• 15:58
  Speaker 2: one twenty something. Favorite sixty one percent of the, tickets
• 16:01
  Speaker 2: fifty nine percent of the cash On. Baltimore SO i
• 16:04
  Speaker 2: don't know why the. Public is the public really Playing
• 16:07
  Speaker 2: baltimore here when they've lost both games in the. Series
• 16:10
  Speaker 2: i'm not so sure about. That and even probably even
• 16:13
  Speaker 2: more absurd is that money looks like it's coming in
• 16:15
  Speaker 2: on the. UNDER i would not do. That the total
• 16:20
  Speaker 2: is at. TEN i, mean the only THING i will
• 16:22
  Speaker 2: say is that you might have some argument for a
• 16:24
  Speaker 2: first five under Because young does have the unfamiliarity advantage
• 16:29
  Speaker 2: here And mikolas somehow has good matchup numbers. Here that's
• 16:32
  Speaker 2: the BEST i could. SAY i would not go full
• 16:35
  Speaker 2: game if you go under, here, THOUGH i, mean you
• 16:38
  Speaker 2: don't want anything to do with these. Bullpens so And
• 16:41
  Speaker 2: i'm not even recommending a first five hundred. Rows i'm
• 16:43
  Speaker 2: not recommending you do anything with that. Game. Uh but
• 16:46
  Speaker 2: my first instinct was to slightly lean Towards, baltimore but then,
• 16:50
  Speaker 2: again they're laying a favorite. Price but then, again if
• 16:53
  Speaker 2: they're laying a favorite, price it almost looks too easy
• 16:56
  Speaker 2: to Take washington, right Like baltimore twenty and. Twenty why
• 17:00
  Speaker 2: are they a favorite on the, road, right oddsmakers are
• 17:02
  Speaker 2: telling you they're still better Than, Washington so it does
• 17:06
  Speaker 2: look like a very misleading, price which you, know the
• 17:11
  Speaker 2: oddsmakers are kind of indicating something to you with. That
• 17:14
  Speaker 2: it's only to me that's them telling you That baltimore
• 17:17
  Speaker 2: is kind of the right side. There so, yeah do
• 17:20
  Speaker 2: what you want with. That sob what's up? Man, YEAH
• 17:24
  Speaker 2: i KNOW i need to be more exciting and lose
• 17:28
  Speaker 2: some games. Here maybe we'll lose. Today, no the henchmen
• 17:34
  Speaker 2: are not gonna rough me. Up because you use the
• 17:38
  Speaker 2: the legit, sportsbooks even the ones that are in other
• 17:42
  Speaker 2: countries or whatever. Online you have to pay for your
• 17:44
  Speaker 2: bet up, front so they don't have anything to come
• 17:47
  Speaker 2: after you. For like you've already given them the. MONEY i,
• 17:50
  Speaker 2: mean they have to give you back the money as,
• 17:52
  Speaker 2: well and, if of, course if they, don't you could
• 17:55
  Speaker 2: sue Them. POLAND i don't know If i'm going To
• 18:02
  Speaker 2: poland anytime. Soon boston At, atlanta we played the under
• 18:05
  Speaker 2: in each of the first two games in the, series
• 18:08
  Speaker 2: easy winners on both of. THEM i am not gonna
• 18:10
  Speaker 2: give you the under in this game, today, THOUGH i
• 18:12
  Speaker 2: don't think the pitching matchup is good enough, whatever but
• 18:15
  Speaker 2: these two teams have been trending under. Recently AS i pointed,
• 18:19
  Speaker 2: OUT i think now after, Yesterday atlanta has had eight
• 18:22
  Speaker 2: of their last ten games go under the, total which
• 18:25
  Speaker 2: is eight eight and a. Half, here The Red sox
• 18:28
  Speaker 2: have had all over their last seven or eight games
• 18:30
  Speaker 2: go five or fewer. RUNS i think The Red sox
• 18:34
  Speaker 2: have not been able to, hit which is part of
• 18:36
  Speaker 2: the reason, why but their pitching has been pretty. Good
• 18:38
  Speaker 2: Red sox used one relief pitcher, Yesterday, chapman but he's
• 18:42
  Speaker 2: pitched two days in a, row so he is not
• 18:44
  Speaker 2: gonna be available. Today so if they're gonna, win they're
• 18:47
  Speaker 2: gonna need to not have a save. Situation atlanta didn't
• 18:50
  Speaker 2: use anybody out of the. BULLPEN i don't think that's.
• 18:52
  Speaker 2: CORRECT i Know Bryce elder went really deep into the,
• 18:55
  Speaker 2: game BUT i Think atlanta used one guy after. Him
• 18:58
  Speaker 2: but Maybe i'm wrong about. THAT i don't. Know But
• 19:02
  Speaker 2: atlanta's bullpen is really. Good they're number one in bullpen right.
• 19:07
  Speaker 2: Now Red sox also pretty good though at, fifth and
• 19:10
  Speaker 2: both bullpens are pretty. Arrested other than, that The Red
• 19:12
  Speaker 2: sox don't have their clothes are. Available atlanta number two in,
• 19:16
  Speaker 2: offense they have a huge offensive. Edge boston twenty, seventh
• 19:21
  Speaker 2: obviously not. Good The Red sox Have Brian bao listed
• 19:24
  Speaker 2: as a starter, here but and he's still listed as
• 19:27
  Speaker 2: the starter on the board. HERE i don't think they
• 19:29
  Speaker 2: should do. That, man you look At. Bayo his overall
• 19:33
  Speaker 2: numbers are, awful six point four to six E ra
• 19:36
  Speaker 2: one point seven to Four. Whip he's been bad on
• 19:40
  Speaker 2: the road as, well seven point one to One Roady.
• 19:43
  Speaker 2: Ra SO i, mean this is a guy you don't
• 19:44
  Speaker 2: want to. Back but the thing, is it looks like
• 19:46
  Speaker 2: he's in way better form right. Now his last two,
• 19:49
  Speaker 2: starts or his last two, appearances they were not, starts
• 19:53
  Speaker 2: and that's What i'm about to. Say he. Had he
• 19:55
  Speaker 2: had a starter's. Workload he went six and a third
• 19:58
  Speaker 2: innings and seven innings It's philadelphia And, detroit held each
• 20:01
  Speaker 2: of them to one. Run had twelve strikeouts and two
• 20:04
  Speaker 2: walks over that. Span so he pitched really well in
• 20:07
  Speaker 2: those two. Games the caveat is they put an opener
• 20:10
  Speaker 2: in front of him in both, games so it's like
• 20:13
  Speaker 2: when he Does i've talked about this on my. Show
• 20:14
  Speaker 2: when he doesn't start the, game it's like he's in
• 20:17
  Speaker 2: a different headspace and he pitches way. Better so IF
• 20:21
  Speaker 2: i were The Red, Sox i'd do that. Again i'd
• 20:23
  Speaker 2: put an opener in front of him. Again and right,
• 20:25
  Speaker 2: now according to the, board they're not doing. That it's
• 20:28
  Speaker 2: almost like they're, like, oh he's, fixed, now let's let
• 20:30
  Speaker 2: him be a starter, again even though he's been atrocious
• 20:33
  Speaker 2: as a starter and he's been a completely different pitcher
• 20:36
  Speaker 2: as an. Opener so this is a game WHERE i
• 20:38
  Speaker 2: would not go action on. THIS i would wait to
• 20:41
  Speaker 2: see what The Red sox are actually, doing AND i
• 20:44
  Speaker 2: think The Red sox have a better chance to win
• 20:47
  Speaker 2: this game If bao as an opener in front of.
• 20:49
  Speaker 2: HIM i still don't want to Back bao. Though his
• 20:52
  Speaker 2: numbers Against atlanta are bad fifty eight at bats eleven to,
• 20:55
  Speaker 2: four strikeout walk, ratio three to, ten batting, average a
• 20:58
  Speaker 2: loot eight to twenty oh, Pm SO i don't. Know
• 21:01
  Speaker 2: even if they do put an open in front of,
• 21:03
  Speaker 2: HIM i don't really trust him in this. Game Grant
• 21:05
  Speaker 2: holmes is pitching For. Atlanta he's been very. Mediocre four
• 21:09
  Speaker 2: point three to FIVE, era one point three to, one.
• 21:12
  Speaker 2: Whip he's been bad at, home even though it was
• 21:14
  Speaker 2: the opposite last year five point two to one homey
• 21:18
  Speaker 2: ra this. Year holmes not good at home this year
• 21:22
  Speaker 2: for some. Reason he hasn't really been. Good BeO has
• 21:25
  Speaker 2: been in the way better form Than holmes over the last.
• 21:28
  Speaker 2: Month holmes has had two pretty ugly starts this, month
• 21:31
  Speaker 2: but one was at Course field and one was against The,
• 21:33
  Speaker 2: cubs who have a good, offense and maybe give him
• 21:36
  Speaker 2: a pass for, that but he had a nine to
• 21:37
  Speaker 2: seven strike a walk, ratio which is not. Good his
• 21:41
  Speaker 2: numbers overall this year are actually not very good other
• 21:44
  Speaker 2: than the fact that he hasn't allowed that many, hits
• 21:46
  Speaker 2: well below one per, inning but he's got a pretty
• 21:48
  Speaker 2: low strikeout rate and his walk rate is way too,
• 21:50
  Speaker 2: high so that's not. Good and his numbers against The Red,
• 21:54
  Speaker 2: sox though they are actually. Good in twenty nine at
• 21:56
  Speaker 2: bats one thirty eight batting, average allowed four to ninety five,
• 22:00
  Speaker 2: ips ten to three strikeout walk, Ratio So holmes does
• 22:05
  Speaker 2: have the better matchup. Here based on the matchup, numbers
• 22:09
  Speaker 2: the money is indicating Towards, boston though eighty percent of
• 22:12
  Speaker 2: ticket seventy percent of the cash On atlanta part of,
• 22:15
  Speaker 2: it probably because of the price there at minus one
• 22:17
  Speaker 2: sixty or, whatever you, KNOW i, mean the big Edge
• 22:22
  Speaker 2: atlanta has obviously the, offense but that's gonna depend on
• 22:25
  Speaker 2: whether or not The Red sox pitching could Hold atlanta's offense.
• 22:28
  Speaker 2: Down again, HERE i probably lean To atlanta. HERE i,
• 22:33
  Speaker 2: MEAN i just can't Trust Bayo, man even if they
• 22:35
  Speaker 2: put an opener in front of. THEM i know he's
• 22:37
  Speaker 2: been in the better, form But holmes had a couple
• 22:40
  Speaker 2: of difficult. MATCHUPS i Know holmes isn't as good at
• 22:43
  Speaker 2: home this, year but the matchup NUMBERS i think sway
• 22:47
  Speaker 2: me in that direction a little. Bit BUT i can't
• 22:49
  Speaker 2: make it a play or anything like. That it would
• 22:51
  Speaker 2: have to be like a run, line you, know a
• 22:56
  Speaker 2: partial run, line partial money line On. Atlanta but then,
• 22:58
  Speaker 2: again these games have all been so close and low
• 23:01
  Speaker 2: scoring that it's really difficult to want to lay a
• 23:03
  Speaker 2: big price like, that not even that, big but, laying you,
• 23:06
  Speaker 2: know a decent sized price on a favorite in this
• 23:09
  Speaker 2: series at. All next two games will be both of
• 23:12
  Speaker 2: my plays. Here the first, ONE i, mean it looks
• 23:14
  Speaker 2: like it's probably too, obvious but you probably know Where i'm.
• 23:17
  Speaker 2: Going with this the Poop Series Philadelphia pittsburgh because if
• 23:21
  Speaker 2: you remember the score overlay for that had the pee
• 23:24
  Speaker 2: for one of the two teams a zero zero score
• 23:28
  Speaker 2: in the, middle and then the pe for the other,
• 23:30
  Speaker 2: teams so it said poop on the score. Overlay if
• 23:33
  Speaker 2: you guys remember, that there was a kid in the
• 23:35
  Speaker 2: crowd during the series that had the poop overlay on a.
• 23:38
  Speaker 2: Sign oh, man it's become a. Phenomenon but, yes this
• 23:44
  Speaker 2: is the best pet segment This Pittsburgh philly. Game we're
• 23:52
  Speaker 2: gonna go under first five innings under the three and a.
• 23:55
  Speaker 2: HALF i know it's somewhat of a low, number BUT
• 23:57
  Speaker 2: i kind of expected to be. THREE i mean it
• 24:00
  Speaker 2: almost looks too easy because you're basically looking at looking
• 24:03
  Speaker 2: at an ace pitching matchup, here SO i mean looks too.
• 24:07
  Speaker 2: Obvious i'm not gonna go full game BECAUSE i don't
• 24:09
  Speaker 2: love the bullpen's set up. Here philadelphia didn't use anybody
• 24:13
  Speaker 2: out of their bullpen yesterday, though so their bullpen is readily.
• 24:16
  Speaker 2: Available pittsburgh used a. Lot they used five relief, pitchers
• 24:20
  Speaker 2: So philadelphia is going to have a bullpen edge in this.
• 24:23
  Speaker 2: Game their bullpen's been decent at, Fifteenth pirates not so
• 24:28
  Speaker 2: much at twenty, first their eras above four, now So
• 24:31
  Speaker 2: pittsburgh's bullpen could ruin this whole, thing which is Why
• 24:34
  Speaker 2: i'm going to take the bullpens out of the equation.
• 24:37
  Speaker 2: Here And phillies isn't really excellent, either Though pittsburgh has
• 24:41
  Speaker 2: had the better. Offense they're at, ninth BUT i think
• 24:43
  Speaker 2: that our pitching, here at least in the first five
• 24:47
  Speaker 2: can hold them. Down and Then philadelphia hasn't hit that.
• 24:51
  Speaker 2: Well they're at, nineteenth so they are hitting a little bit.
• 24:54
  Speaker 2: Better but look at the starting pitching matchup, here, MAN i,
• 24:57
  Speaker 2: MEAN i just see no other way to approach this.
• 24:59
  Speaker 2: Game Zach wheler is pitching For. Philadelphia he seems like
• 25:02
  Speaker 2: he's kind of flying under the. RADAR i don't, KNOW
• 25:04
  Speaker 2: i haven't heard people really talking about how he's. Back
• 25:07
  Speaker 2: and he's obviously Helping philadelphia quite a bit now that
• 25:11
  Speaker 2: he's back in the, rotation because he's been their ace
• 25:14
  Speaker 2: for years at this, point and he's pitching like it.
• 25:17
  Speaker 2: Again he's got a two point five to FIVE era
• 25:20
  Speaker 2: point ninety three. Whip he's been excellent on the road
• 25:23
  Speaker 2: one point ninety. Six roady Ra philadelphia has won all
• 25:27
  Speaker 2: four of his. Outings he's lowed three or fewer earned
• 25:29
  Speaker 2: runs in all of. Them he's got a twenty two
• 25:31
  Speaker 2: to six strikeout walk ratio in seventeen hits lot on
• 25:34
  Speaker 2: twenty four and two thirds. Innings this looks pretty Uh
• 25:38
  Speaker 2: wheeler esque to. Me it looks like his numbers are
• 25:41
  Speaker 2: right where they should. Be his walk number went down
• 25:43
  Speaker 2: after he walked too many guys in his first, outing
• 25:46
  Speaker 2: which was Against, atlanta so he faced a good offense.
• 25:48
  Speaker 2: There he faced The, a's who are a pretty good,
• 25:50
  Speaker 2: offense so he could deal with these offenses And pittsburgh's,
• 25:54
  Speaker 2: hitting they have not been good against. Him they have
• 25:57
  Speaker 2: a lot of at bats against him one hundred and,
• 25:58
  Speaker 2: twenty especially Because ozuna was in his, division But ozuna
• 26:03
  Speaker 2: has been really bad against. Him ozuna has twenty five
• 26:06
  Speaker 2: strikeouts in sixty four at bats against him and a
• 26:10
  Speaker 2: one to eighty eight batting, average although he has homered
• 26:12
  Speaker 2: off him, twice but overall one hundred and twenty at
• 26:15
  Speaker 2: bats For pittsburgh's hitters against him forty nine, strikeouts nine,
• 26:19
  Speaker 2: walks one seventy five, average five forty one. Ops wheeler
• 26:24
  Speaker 2: pretty dominant numbers, here against these, guys including Against. Ozuna
• 26:28
  Speaker 2: obviously he will be going on Against Paul skeens the
• 26:32
  Speaker 2: other side of this. MATCHUP i, mean what else do
• 26:34
  Speaker 2: we have anything to really say About? Skeens he's the
• 26:36
  Speaker 2: favorite to win THE, nl Say young right, now one
• 26:39
  Speaker 2: point nine to EIGHTY r and zero point sixty four
• 26:42
  Speaker 2: whip ridiculously low. WHIP i, mean it's like, Unsustainable like
• 26:46
  Speaker 2: that is. Insane he's basically he's like not even allowing base.
• 26:50
  Speaker 2: Runners he's at a point where he's allowing a guy
• 26:52
  Speaker 2: to reach base in earned fashion once every two. Innings
• 26:57
  Speaker 2: he's been really good at, home one point five to three,
• 26:59
  Speaker 2: home a lot better than his sixty seven point Five march.
• 27:05
  Speaker 2: Era after that one really bad, outing he's been lights
• 27:08
  Speaker 2: out since. Then he's allowed one or fewer earned run
• 27:11
  Speaker 2: and every outing except one outing Against Saint, louis which wasn't,
• 27:15
  Speaker 2: home but he kind of got unlucky in the, game
• 27:17
  Speaker 2: allowing to him runs and he's staid nine, strikeouts no.
• 27:20
  Speaker 2: Walks he's not allowed a run this month and sixteen.
• 27:24
  Speaker 2: Innings he's only allowed four hits one hit every four
• 27:28
  Speaker 2: innings this, month seventeen, strikeouts no. WALKS i mean this is.
• 27:33
  Speaker 2: Ridiculous over the course of the, season he's allowed one
• 27:36
  Speaker 2: hit every two winning he's literally which is, ridiculous and
• 27:41
  Speaker 2: very few walks and has a high strike gout rate as.
• 27:43
  Speaker 2: Well what, ELSE i, mean do we have to say anything?
• 27:45
  Speaker 2: Else and Also philadelphia has one extra base hitoff And
• 27:50
  Speaker 2: marshan is that Is brad marshand What Rafael, MARSHAN i
• 27:54
  Speaker 2: don't even know who that. Is has a double Offen
• 27:57
  Speaker 2: but overall they have thirty seven at batsone, strikeouts one,
• 28:01
  Speaker 2: walk an eighty one average against, him and two thirteen. Ops,
• 28:06
  Speaker 2: YEAH i, MEAN i think there are gonna be few
• 28:09
  Speaker 2: runs scored. Here the full game total on this is.
• 28:12
  Speaker 2: Seven if you are interested in, THAT i would Probably
• 28:14
  Speaker 2: i'd still agree with the full game. Under but The
• 28:18
  Speaker 2: pittsburgh's bullpen worries. Me uh so we're gonna take the
• 28:22
  Speaker 2: three and a half under in the first five innings.
• 28:24
  Speaker 2: Instead the money looks like it's not even. Agreeing ninety
• 28:27
  Speaker 2: five percent of the tickets ninety four percent of the.
• 28:29
  Speaker 2: Cash is this like a really public? UNDER i don't,
• 28:32
  Speaker 2: know but this looks like an under to. Me, man
• 28:35
  Speaker 2: you got two ace pitchers with really good matchup. Numbers
• 28:38
  Speaker 2: they're both in really good. Form what AM i supposed to?
• 28:41
  Speaker 2: DO i don't. Know let's do it seems too, obvious
• 28:45
  Speaker 2: but sometimes when it's too, obvious it still works out
• 28:48
  Speaker 2: when it's an under like, This so that's what we're gonna.
• 28:50
  Speaker 2: Do the money is also Fading pittsburgh, here by the,
• 28:53
  Speaker 2: way for what that's worth there at minus one thirty
• 28:57
  Speaker 2: something or, so schemes is usually gonna be a your
• 29:00
  Speaker 2: favorite than. That but the money seventy per tickets sixty
• 29:03
  Speaker 2: four percent of the cash On, pittsburgh seems like the
• 29:06
  Speaker 2: money is coming in Towards. PHILADELPHIA i kind OF i
• 29:09
  Speaker 2: see where that is the, thinking because If wheeler can
• 29:13
  Speaker 2: Keep philadelphia in the, GAME i Think philadelphia does have
• 29:16
  Speaker 2: a bullpen edge in this. Game so if it's, close
• 29:18
  Speaker 2: once the starters are out of the, game, Yeah philadelphia
• 29:22
  Speaker 2: may have a chance to win this. Game so those
• 29:25
  Speaker 2: are my thoughts on. That, pittsburgh though they're trying to
• 29:27
  Speaker 2: avoid a sweep. Here philadelphia is on the verge of
• 29:30
  Speaker 2: Sweeping pittsburgh and won the game six to nothing, yesterday
• 29:33
  Speaker 2: so that probably is gonna Motivate pittsburgh a little bit
• 29:36
  Speaker 2: here to try to avoid the. Sweep so there is
• 29:39
  Speaker 2: That philadelphia does not have a look ahead really though
• 29:42
  Speaker 2: they play The reds. Next that's not really a big issue.
• 29:45
  Speaker 2: There so those are my thoughts. There they, Changed, yeah
• 29:51
  Speaker 2: they changed the the poop. Overlay the poop has been.
• 29:56
  Speaker 2: Flushed next game is also going to be a play
• 29:59
  Speaker 2: From so, yeah this is. Who we'll just continue with
• 30:02
  Speaker 2: the best bet. Segment we're gonna do a split bet
• 30:04
  Speaker 2: on The Cleveland indians minus one and a half run.
• 30:07
  Speaker 2: LINE i saw it a plus one forty at the
• 30:10
  Speaker 2: gym book that starts with A, b but that book
• 30:13
  Speaker 2: is kind of hard to, access BUT i think you'll
• 30:15
  Speaker 2: find some numbers that are similar to this out there
• 30:17
  Speaker 2: and the other part of it on the money line
• 30:19
  Speaker 2: and minus one sixty. Five and in, fact it's interesting
• 30:22
  Speaker 2: because the numbers THAT i use here came out to
• 30:24
  Speaker 2: an exactly minus one ten on the minus. One so
• 30:28
  Speaker 2: that's exactly what you. Want it's like playing a straight
• 30:30
  Speaker 2: like spread, play you know WHAT i? Mean right at
• 30:32
  Speaker 2: the minus one, ten if it's out of one, hundred
• 30:35
  Speaker 2: you're putting almost sixty nine of, it sixty nine on
• 30:40
  Speaker 2: the money line part of, it the minus one sixty
• 30:42
  Speaker 2: five and then whatever that. Returns you put that amount
• 30:45
  Speaker 2: of it on the money line or on the run
• 30:48
  Speaker 2: line part of. It excuse me if that makes, sense
• 30:51
  Speaker 2: the plus money part of. It BUT i Like cleveland
• 30:53
  Speaker 2: in this game against The reds man in The battle Of.
• 30:55
  Speaker 2: Ohio cleveland won yesterday to even up the year is
• 31:00
  Speaker 2: at one to. One you, Know i've been talking about
• 31:02
  Speaker 2: HOW i think The reds are. Overrated The reds use
• 31:05
  Speaker 2: four relief pitchers. Yesterday they have a pretty ugly. Bullpen
• 31:09
  Speaker 2: the guys in it are all bad. Looking cleveland has
• 31:12
  Speaker 2: a better. Bullpen they did use four relief pictures yesterday as,
• 31:15
  Speaker 2: well Including, gaddis WHO i believe they're using as a.
• 31:18
  Speaker 2: Closer BUT i Like cleveland's bullpen better than The reds.
• 31:23
  Speaker 2: Anyway cleveland's bullpen is currently ranked tenth. Here The reds
• 31:26
  Speaker 2: are twenty, ninth even though both bullpen's eavras in the
• 31:32
  Speaker 2: Forest cincinnatis is still close to a run. Higher but
• 31:35
  Speaker 2: their whip is also way. Worse so that's what we
• 31:38
  Speaker 2: got going on. There The reds haven't really been that
• 31:41
  Speaker 2: good offensively. Either they moved back up to, seventeenth though
• 31:45
  Speaker 2: after they did, plummet they have moved back up a little.
• 31:47
  Speaker 2: Bit i'll say they're a little bit better Than, cleveland
• 31:49
  Speaker 2: who's at twenty. Second cleveland's not very offensively. Prolific BUT
• 31:55
  Speaker 2: i think we have a lot going for us With. Cleveland,
• 31:57
  Speaker 2: Here Brady singers pitching for The. Reds there are a
• 32:00
  Speaker 2: lot of numbers here that line up for me on
• 32:03
  Speaker 2: Fading Brady singer. HERE i, mean his numbers overall are not.
• 32:07
  Speaker 2: Good five point seven to Niney, ray one point six
• 32:10
  Speaker 2: to SEVEN. Whip he's been worse on the, road even
• 32:13
  Speaker 2: though he pitches in a hitter friendly ballpark In, Cincinnati
• 32:17
  Speaker 2: he's worse on the road seven point oh four ROAD.
• 32:20
  Speaker 2: Era so that's. Bad so we do want to fade
• 32:22
  Speaker 2: him on the. Road, typically The reds have lost three
• 32:25
  Speaker 2: games in a row that he. Started every game this,
• 32:28
  Speaker 2: month he's failed to even go four innings and two
• 32:30
  Speaker 2: out of the. Three granted he did Face pittsburgh and
• 32:33
  Speaker 2: The cubs and did okay against The cubs and Then.
• 32:37
  Speaker 2: Washington those are pretty good, offenses better Than. Cleveland, okay,
• 32:41
  Speaker 2: fine but, STILL i, mean his numbers do not look
• 32:44
  Speaker 2: good this. Month he's allowed well over one hit per.
• 32:46
  Speaker 2: Inning his strikeout rate is pretty. Low four walks would
• 32:49
  Speaker 2: be fine if he was if he had better numbers surrounding,
• 32:53
  Speaker 2: it but he does.
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: Not.
• 32:54
  Speaker 2: OVERALL i mean that's been the case of this whole.
• 32:56
  Speaker 2: Season he's allowed way over one hit per. Inning he's
• 32:59
  Speaker 2: been way too. Hit he's a lot of eleven home,
• 33:01
  Speaker 2: runs which is really. Ugly strike out rate is, low
• 33:04
  Speaker 2: well below one strike up per, inning and the walk
• 33:07
  Speaker 2: rate is. Normal it's, fine so he at least doesn't
• 33:10
  Speaker 2: walk too. Many but the thing About cleveland is they're
• 33:15
  Speaker 2: very familiar With Brady singer because he was On Kansas
• 33:17
  Speaker 2: city up until last, year So cleveland has seen him a.
• 33:20
  Speaker 2: Lot And cleveland has really good numbers against him in
• 33:23
  Speaker 2: ninety one career at, bats fifteen, strikeouts ten. Walks Jose
• 33:27
  Speaker 2: ramirez totally lights him, up twelve for twenty nine with
• 33:31
  Speaker 2: three home. Runs manzardo is five for seven off, Him
• 33:34
  Speaker 2: kwan nine for twenty. FIVE i, mean these guys have
• 33:38
  Speaker 2: knocked him. Around they have fifteen, strikeouts ten, walks three
• 33:41
  Speaker 2: sixty three batting average in nine to fifty three ohps against.
• 33:46
  Speaker 2: Him So singer has really struggled Against, cleveland And cleveland
• 33:49
  Speaker 2: is pretty familiar with, him and he's gonna have to
• 33:52
  Speaker 2: go up Against Gavin, williams who has been pitching well this,
• 33:56
  Speaker 2: season even though his numbers are a little bit weird
• 33:59
  Speaker 2: in the that they're, skewed but his overall numbers are
• 34:02
  Speaker 2: good three point seven FOUR, era one point one SEVEN.
• 34:05
  Speaker 2: Whip he's been good at, home so the home road
• 34:08
  Speaker 2: splits both line up for this play On cleveland two
• 34:10
  Speaker 2: point three to. Nine homie ra For. Williams the only
• 34:13
  Speaker 2: thing That i'm kind of questioning is why Did williams
• 34:15
  Speaker 2: start get pushed? Back he last started Last. Sunday he
• 34:20
  Speaker 2: was supposed to START i Think, friday AND i don't
• 34:23
  Speaker 2: know what, happened but he got pushed back to this. Game,
• 34:26
  Speaker 2: now you might that is concerning because you want pitchers
• 34:30
  Speaker 2: to stay on, Schedule but he's still only like one
• 34:33
  Speaker 2: day removed basically from regular. Rest So i'm not that
• 34:35
  Speaker 2: worried about. It you, know he's been in the league
• 34:38
  Speaker 2: for multiple, years SO i don't think that's really gonna
• 34:40
  Speaker 2: hurt him that. Much but you might also look at
• 34:42
  Speaker 2: what he did recently this month and be, like, well
• 34:44
  Speaker 2: that's not. Good he allowed five and runs in both
• 34:46
  Speaker 2: outings this, month and he allowed eighteen hits in twelve.
• 34:50
  Speaker 2: Innings WHILE i agree that's not. Good his command numbers were, good,
• 34:54
  Speaker 2: though he had thirteen strikeouts in three, walks so that
• 34:57
  Speaker 2: tells me that he might have gotten a li a
• 35:00
  Speaker 2: little bit. UNLUCKY i, MEAN i guess he was putting
• 35:02
  Speaker 2: pitches too far over the, plate which is kind of
• 35:05
  Speaker 2: weird because if you look at his overall numbers this,
• 35:07
  Speaker 2: year he has a good strikeout, rate way over one per.
• 35:10
  Speaker 2: Inning his walk rate is, high so he's actually been
• 35:13
  Speaker 2: walking too many people, typically and he's been hard to,
• 35:16
  Speaker 2: hit well below one hit per, inning which is different
• 35:18
  Speaker 2: than what we saw out of him this. Month BUT
• 35:21
  Speaker 2: i still think he's overall pretty. Good he had a
• 35:24
  Speaker 2: really good month Of. APRIL i don't actually think he's
• 35:27
  Speaker 2: in bad form right, now just because his command numbers
• 35:30
  Speaker 2: look good to. Me so he's still fooling, hitters and
• 35:32
  Speaker 2: he's walking fewer people than he was. Before and The
• 35:36
  Speaker 2: reds have basically never seen. Him Only blade And Nathaniel
• 35:40
  Speaker 2: lowe have seen him. Before they're zero for five against,
• 35:42
  Speaker 2: them although they do a four walks against him and
• 35:45
  Speaker 2: two strikeouts again the. Walks BUT i Think williams has
• 35:49
  Speaker 2: a pretty big edge here man in my. Opinion Plus,
• 35:51
  Speaker 2: cincinnati the rest of their lineup being. Unfamiliar unfamiliar with
• 35:55
  Speaker 2: him should give him a little bit of an extra advantage.
• 35:57
  Speaker 2: THERE i Like. Cleveland that's what we're gonna go with.
• 36:00
  Speaker 2: Here split bet Or there are books that offer a
• 36:02
  Speaker 2: minus one run line, too but they might not give
• 36:04
  Speaker 2: you a better price than what you can get if
• 36:06
  Speaker 2: you split the bet across two. Books the money's not
• 36:10
  Speaker 2: agreeing with me on. This what else is? New eighty
• 36:13
  Speaker 2: one percent of, ticket seventy two percent of the cash On,
• 36:16
  Speaker 2: Cleveland SO i don't. Know we're looking at Wager talk's
• 36:19
  Speaker 2: screen here because pregame is. Dead they're never gonna fix.
• 36:22
  Speaker 2: It minus one sixty or so is the price? HERE i,
• 36:26
  Speaker 2: said minus one sixty five. Whatever and then the money's
• 36:29
  Speaker 2: coming in on the over slightly in this game as,
• 36:31
  Speaker 2: well WHICH i don't have a good feel for the,
• 36:33
  Speaker 2: over but or for the. TOTAL i, mean BUT i
• 36:37
  Speaker 2: like the side. THERE i like how it lines up
• 36:39
  Speaker 2: for the starting, pitching and THEN i Think cleveland has
• 36:41
  Speaker 2: the better bullpen on top of. It so that's what
• 36:44
  Speaker 2: we're gonna go with. There that's my only other play
• 36:47
  Speaker 2: of the, day, Man so we'll try to run through
• 36:49
  Speaker 2: the rest of these. Games, Here New, York New York Yankees.
• 36:52
  Speaker 2: Mets The mets have been just atrocious fielding in this.
• 36:57
  Speaker 2: Game they made some ridiculous feel new mistakes game in this,
• 37:00
  Speaker 2: SERIES i, mean and they still somehow won the game
• 37:03
  Speaker 2: yesterday even though they looked like a bunch OF i don't,
• 37:07
  Speaker 2: know bumbling idiots out. THERE i don't know how The
• 37:10
  Speaker 2: mets won the game, yesterday but they. Did so this
• 37:13
  Speaker 2: series is even one to. One The mets have won
• 37:15
  Speaker 2: four out of their last five games, here so at
• 37:19
  Speaker 2: least there is, that but then includes the sweep Of,
• 37:22
  Speaker 2: detroit who are struggling. Here once we look at this game,
• 37:26
  Speaker 2: though the pitching matchup isn't bad for The mets here,
• 37:29
  Speaker 2: though bullpen, wise The yankees used a lot of relief pitchers.
• 37:32
  Speaker 2: Yesterday they did use, five The mets used. FOUR i
• 37:36
  Speaker 2: think it actually went into extra? Innings oh, no what
• 37:40
  Speaker 2: AM i? Thinking it? Did? Not, no Only, Toronto detroit
• 37:42
  Speaker 2: And Miami Tampa bay. DID i don't know WHAT i
• 37:44
  Speaker 2: was thinking with that? Anyway what AM i looking at? Here?
• 37:49
  Speaker 2: Yeah so. Bullpens both bullpens have been decent this. Year
• 37:53
  Speaker 2: The mets slightly better at, ninth The yankees ELEVENTH i
• 37:57
  Speaker 2: mean they're both decent. BULLPENS i don't think there's a
• 37:59
  Speaker 2: huge edge. There yankees have a huge hitting edge obviously
• 38:02
  Speaker 2: their third and The mets are dead last still at.
• 38:05
  Speaker 2: Thirtieth starting pitching, Though Elma rodriguez is getting his third
• 38:10
  Speaker 2: career start with The yankees and he's struggled a bit
• 38:14
  Speaker 2: five point one to NINE era two point eight. Whip,
• 38:18
  Speaker 2: YEAH i, MEAN i know it's a small sample. Size
• 38:20
  Speaker 2: he was a little bit better in his road start
• 38:23
  Speaker 2: four point five roadyra WHICH i believe we actually had
• 38:25
  Speaker 2: an under in that game that uh that. Won it
• 38:30
  Speaker 2: was this three nothing game At texas where most games go.
• 38:34
  Speaker 2: Under we got a little bit lucky on The rodriguez
• 38:37
  Speaker 2: side of things, there but we Handicapped Nathany YVALDI i
• 38:39
  Speaker 2: think very correctly in that. Game but, Yeah Elma rodriguez,
• 38:43
  Speaker 2: here he's only Faced texas so, far so maybe you
• 38:47
  Speaker 2: have to give him a little bit of a break
• 38:49
  Speaker 2: Because texas had an advantage of the second time because
• 38:52
  Speaker 2: they had just seen him. Already and you, know a
• 38:55
  Speaker 2: lot of these young, pitchers the advantage they have is
• 38:57
  Speaker 2: that they haven't been seen before by the opposing, offense
• 39:00
  Speaker 2: which will be an advantage he has. Today that was
• 39:02
  Speaker 2: not an advantage that he had in his second game
• 39:05
  Speaker 2: Because texas had already seen him. Once but what worries
• 39:08
  Speaker 2: me is That texas is not a good offense and
• 39:10
  Speaker 2: he really kind of struggled in both. Games he had
• 39:13
  Speaker 2: eight walks in eight and two thirds. Innings you can't do.
• 39:15
  Speaker 2: That you can't walk one guy every, inning and he
• 39:18
  Speaker 2: only had five strikeouts ten hits. Allowed, YEAH i, mean
• 39:22
  Speaker 2: he is a bit of a, concern even THOUGH i
• 39:23
  Speaker 2: know he gets a week offense here in The. Mets
• 39:26
  Speaker 2: he didn't look that good against another pretty weak offense In,
• 39:29
  Speaker 2: Texas SO i don't know IF i love. That even
• 39:32
  Speaker 2: though he's unfamiliar to The. Mets, here The mets have
• 39:35
  Speaker 2: a much more established pitcher Going Freddie, peralta and he's
• 39:38
  Speaker 2: pitching pretty well three point ONE dra one point two TO.
• 39:41
  Speaker 2: Whip he's been a little bit worse at home three
• 39:44
  Speaker 2: point five to ONE. ERA i, mean he's new to
• 39:47
  Speaker 2: The mets system this, year but that's not even that
• 39:50
  Speaker 2: bad of a, number and overall his numbers are. Good
• 39:52
  Speaker 2: he's allowed three or fewer earned runs in every outing
• 39:54
  Speaker 2: since his first outing of the. Season he's got more
• 39:57
  Speaker 2: than one strike up per, inning fewer than one on
• 40:00
  Speaker 2: a hit per inning by quite a. Bit so he's
• 40:02
  Speaker 2: doing what he usually. Does he's pretty difficult to, hit
• 40:05
  Speaker 2: and he's a little bit. Wild his walk number is
• 40:07
  Speaker 2: a little bit, high but his strike gut rate is also.
• 40:09
  Speaker 2: High this, month he's continuing to pitch the way that
• 40:12
  Speaker 2: he usually, does including a start at Quarts field where
• 40:15
  Speaker 2: he didn't allow any. Runs, yeah he's pitching pretty. Well
• 40:19
  Speaker 2: numbers against The yankees are not, terrific, though in eighty
• 40:23
  Speaker 2: nine at bats thirty two strike, cuts eleven. Walks that's
• 40:25
  Speaker 2: pretty normal for. Him two fifty eight batting average fine
• 40:29
  Speaker 2: eight ninety one ops is, concerning though he's allowed six
• 40:32
  Speaker 2: home runs to, them a lot of extra base hits in,
• 40:35
  Speaker 2: here a lot of doubles as. WELL i still THINK
• 40:39
  Speaker 2: i might prefer The mets, here, though Like i'd probably
• 40:44
  Speaker 2: prefer the better and more established pitcher, here which Is.
• 40:47
  Speaker 2: Peralta the money's indicating on The, yankees though The yankees
• 40:52
  Speaker 2: are actually an underdog, here and like when are you
• 40:55
  Speaker 2: gonna get The yankees as an? Underdog SO i could
• 40:57
  Speaker 2: kind of see the argument, that you, know The yankees
• 41:00
  Speaker 2: are still the better team so getting them as an
• 41:02
  Speaker 2: underdog is. Ridiculous fifty three, tickets seventy three percent of
• 41:06
  Speaker 2: the cash on The. Yankees but then on the other,
• 41:08
  Speaker 2: hand it almost looks too, Easy like how AM i
• 41:11
  Speaker 2: getting The yankees is an underdog? Here you know WHAT i?
• 41:13
  Speaker 2: Mean Like peralta is definitely the better pitcher, here you
• 41:18
  Speaker 2: know WHAT i, Mean like he's got an established career
• 41:22
  Speaker 2: E rod if you want to call him, that the second,
• 41:24
  Speaker 2: era the new E. Rod he's still. Questionable we don't
• 41:28
  Speaker 2: know what he's gonna, get what he's gonna give. You
• 41:30
  Speaker 2: money is also coming in on the under in this,
• 41:32
  Speaker 2: game which is. Interesting you, KNOW i don't have a
• 41:35
  Speaker 2: good feel for that, really at least slightly to The.
• 41:38
  Speaker 2: Mets but then, again you could make the argument The
• 41:40
  Speaker 2: yankees are kind of in a bounce back, spot as you,
• 41:43
  Speaker 2: know the better team after a loss. Yesterday if you
• 41:46
  Speaker 2: want to make that, argument all, right wayser yeah wayser
• 41:55
  Speaker 2: talk yeah d d os pregame not likely because wager
• 42:01
  Speaker 2: talk is destroying those guys. Anyway they don't even need
• 42:04
  Speaker 2: to do. That Wager talk just has way way better.
• 42:07
  Speaker 2: Content it's not even. Close the better content creators are
• 42:12
  Speaker 2: all over. There which is WHY i follow their stuff all,
• 42:15
  Speaker 2: Right toronto At, detroit which won't even load right? Now
• 42:20
  Speaker 2: what's going on? Here there we? Go these teams have
• 42:24
  Speaker 2: split the series as, well AND i was wrong about
• 42:26
  Speaker 2: both games and both games were a one run win
• 42:31
  Speaker 2: for each team, here so it's been a, close low scoring,
• 42:34
  Speaker 2: series for whatever that's. Worth detroit used four relief pitchers.
• 42:38
  Speaker 2: Yesterday toronto used even more than. That they use. FIVE
• 42:42
  Speaker 2: i don't like either bullpend here really. Though toronto is
• 42:46
  Speaker 2: mediocre at fourteenth And detroit they've struggled out of the
• 42:52
  Speaker 2: bullpen at twenty of THEO. O their erra is actually
• 42:54
  Speaker 2: better because we're arranging this by Whip their rays below,
• 42:57
  Speaker 2: four which isn't that, bad and it's better Than toronto's
• 43:01
  Speaker 2: which is above four. Slightly hitting, Wise detroit's been the
• 43:06
  Speaker 2: better hitting team over the course of the, season but
• 43:08
  Speaker 2: they've dropped a little bit. Recently their offense has not
• 43:11
  Speaker 2: been good. Recently they're at thirteenth on the. Season toronto's
• 43:14
  Speaker 2: still twenty fifth, though so they've struggled over the course
• 43:17
  Speaker 2: of the. Season started. PITCHING i, mean you look at
• 43:20
  Speaker 2: the starting pitchers. Here this looks like a massive edge Towards.
• 43:23
  Speaker 2: Toronto Kevin goussman is pitching for. Them he's been good
• 43:27
  Speaker 2: three point eight SIX, era one point zero nine. Whip
• 43:31
  Speaker 2: he started digging into it a little, more though he's
• 43:32
  Speaker 2: not quite as good on the road four point three
• 43:35
  Speaker 2: to seven. Roadyra we Know detroit has been good at.
• 43:37
  Speaker 2: Home goussman didn't pitch well in his last. Outing he
• 43:41
  Speaker 2: got lit up By Tampa. Bay they got a lot
• 43:43
  Speaker 2: of hits off, him scored six runs and six earned
• 43:47
  Speaker 2: runs and four to two thirds against. Him but you
• 43:49
  Speaker 2: might give him a pass for that because he had
• 43:51
  Speaker 2: faced him to the start before. That so maybe because
• 43:54
  Speaker 2: they just saw, him they figured something out and hit
• 43:57
  Speaker 2: him way better the next. Time AND i think he,
• 44:00
  Speaker 2: generally actually he does not have good numbers Against Tampa.
• 44:02
  Speaker 2: Bay if you remember me handicapping those. GAMES i think
• 44:06
  Speaker 2: he actually struggles historically Against Tampa but he still wound
• 44:09
  Speaker 2: up with an eight one strike out walk ratio out
• 44:11
  Speaker 2: of those two. Outings i'm Not i'm gonna give him
• 44:14
  Speaker 2: a pass for. IT i think he should probably bounce.
• 44:17
  Speaker 2: Back but when we start looking at the numbers, here you,
• 44:21
  Speaker 2: KNOW i, mean the numbers are gonna actually line up
• 44:26
  Speaker 2: well you'll. See you'll. See i'm gonna show You. Goussman
• 44:29
  Speaker 2: he's got very few, walks like he has one of
• 44:32
  Speaker 2: the lowest walk rates In Major League. Baseball he's got
• 44:34
  Speaker 2: fewer than one hit all loud per inning as, well
• 44:36
  Speaker 2: and his strikeout rate is close to nine strikeouts per,
• 44:39
  Speaker 2: nine which is. Good his numbers Against detroit are also really.
• 44:43
  Speaker 2: Good in sixty seven at bats one sixty four batting average,
• 44:47
  Speaker 2: allowed four to thirty seven oh, ps twenty six to
• 44:50
  Speaker 2: seven strike out walk. RATIO i Think goussman lines up
• 44:53
  Speaker 2: to pitch. Well here he's going up Against Jack, flaherty
• 44:56
  Speaker 2: and on the, surface it's, like, Yeah gousman is obviously
• 44:59
  Speaker 2: the way better at these to pitch or His flowerty
• 45:01
  Speaker 2: has been bad this year five point seven to THREE
• 45:03
  Speaker 2: era one point seven to Three whip doesn't have a,
• 45:07
  Speaker 2: WIN i mean really really bad. Stuff his home road
• 45:10
  Speaker 2: split some pretty insignificant. Though but this is gonna get
• 45:13
  Speaker 2: an interesting in a, second because everything looks really bad With.
• 45:16
  Speaker 2: Flowerty detroit's lost his last five starts in a. Row
• 45:21
  Speaker 2: he's only made it five innings once over that entire.
• 45:24
  Speaker 2: Span his strikeout rate still remains pretty, high, though but
• 45:28
  Speaker 2: his walk rate has been pretty. High he's been pretty
• 45:30
  Speaker 2: hittable as, well and that's kind of been the way
• 45:32
  Speaker 2: it's been all. Season he's got way over one strike
• 45:34
  Speaker 2: up er, inning so he is fooling hitters to some.
• 45:37
  Speaker 2: Extent but he has a ton of, walks ridiculous amount of,
• 45:41
  Speaker 2: walks and he's allowed one basically one fewer hit than nks,
• 45:45
  Speaker 2: pitched which is not that. Bad so, overall, yeah his
• 45:49
  Speaker 2: numbers are pretty bad though most of the problem is the.
• 45:51
  Speaker 2: Wildness but then you look at his numbers Against, toronto
• 45:54
  Speaker 2: they're actually really. Good in a big sample ninety four at,
• 45:58
  Speaker 2: bats twenty nine, strikeouts six, walks one thirty eight average
• 46:02
  Speaker 2: allout four forty five. OPS i still don't want to
• 46:06
  Speaker 2: Trust flaherty, Here like this still does look like A
• 46:09
  Speaker 2: toronto game to, me like in the way THAT i
• 46:12
  Speaker 2: would probably lean, here LIKE i would trust Trust goussman
• 46:15
  Speaker 2: more THAN i would Trust, flaherty, Obviously but the money
• 46:18
  Speaker 2: is coming in the other, direction uh sixty five percent
• 46:21
  Speaker 2: of tickets On, toronto seventy seven percent of the cash On.
• 46:23
  Speaker 2: Detroit the money's also coming in on the over sixty
• 46:27
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets on the under sixty eight percent of
• 46:29
  Speaker 2: the cash on the over total is pretty low, though
• 46:32
  Speaker 2: at seven and a, half which is indicating that the
• 46:35
  Speaker 2: oddsmakers kind of think this is going to be somewhat
• 46:37
  Speaker 2: of a pitching, duel AND i actually kind of agree with.
• 46:41
  Speaker 2: That but the way THAT i would do it goes
• 46:43
  Speaker 2: kind of against the. Market BUT i would limit it
• 46:45
  Speaker 2: to first five. INNINGS i would actually play under first five.
• 46:49
  Speaker 2: Innings IF i was gonna play this. GAME i don't
• 46:52
  Speaker 2: want to do. IT i, MEAN i still really have
• 46:54
  Speaker 2: trouble Backing flaherty, here but the matchup numbers do look,
• 46:58
  Speaker 2: good both starting pitchers. THERE i would take the bullpens
• 47:02
  Speaker 2: out of the. Equation don't trust those bullpens in that.
• 47:05
  Speaker 2: Game first five under makes sense to me in that,
• 47:08
  Speaker 2: game but you're probably getting close to three and a
• 47:10
  Speaker 2: half on that, number and it's, like, well we're gonna
• 47:13
  Speaker 2: do the three and a half With wheeler And schemes,
• 47:15
  Speaker 2: instead you. Know but of course that one will, lose
• 47:19
  Speaker 2: and now this one will.
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: Win.
• 47:20
  Speaker 2: Whatever The battle Of. Chicago this has been a split
• 47:24
  Speaker 2: series as. Well White sox Lost game one and then
• 47:28
  Speaker 2: one game two. YESTERDAY i think both teams are gonna
• 47:31
  Speaker 2: show up here because it's to win the series here
• 47:34
  Speaker 2: For chicago, supremacy which The cubs have owned that for
• 47:39
  Speaker 2: a while. Now The White sox not being, good but
• 47:42
  Speaker 2: The White sox are definitely improved this. Season they're still
• 47:44
  Speaker 2: not as good as The. Cubs Though cubs used two
• 47:46
  Speaker 2: relief pitchers, Yesterday White sox used two as. Well The
• 47:52
  Speaker 2: cubs have the better bullpen. Seventh The White sox have
• 47:55
  Speaker 2: really struggled in the bullpen. Arena they're at twenty fifth
• 47:59
  Speaker 2: and bullpen and so The cubs have a way better.
• 48:01
  Speaker 2: Bullpen both offenses have been good Though cubs ranked, Fourth
• 48:05
  Speaker 2: White sox ranked. Eighth Colin ray is getting the start
• 48:09
  Speaker 2: for The cubs. Here he's not exactly their best. Starter
• 48:13
  Speaker 2: AND espn is not even loading any of this for.
• 48:16
  Speaker 2: ME i don't know what to do about. That ray
• 48:18
  Speaker 2: has a four point six to eighty ray one point
• 48:20
  Speaker 2: four to two, whip not great numbers for him. Here
• 48:25
  Speaker 2: his numbers are not good on the road. Either he's
• 48:28
  Speaker 2: way worse on the road six point five to Five.
• 48:31
  Speaker 2: Roadray so a lot of things are lining up Against
• 48:33
  Speaker 2: ray in this. One hasn't been really been that good this.
• 48:38
  Speaker 2: MONTH i, mean he's had a lot of shortened. Starts
• 48:40
  Speaker 2: hasn't gone more than five and a third innings in
• 48:42
  Speaker 2: any of his last four. Outings he's not allowed too
• 48:45
  Speaker 2: many runs in some of, them but he did get
• 48:47
  Speaker 2: hammered in a game Against atlanta in a game against The.
• 48:50
  Speaker 2: Dodgers those are two really good, offenses, though so maybe
• 48:54
  Speaker 2: you give them a little bit of a pass for.
• 48:55
  Speaker 2: That he doesn't have a twelve four strike a walk
• 48:57
  Speaker 2: ratier this, month which is pretty, good but he's allowed
• 49:00
  Speaker 2: way too many hits over the course of the, season you,
• 49:04
  Speaker 2: KNOW i, mean his numbers are not. Horrible he's allowed
• 49:07
  Speaker 2: more than one hit per, inning though by a, bit
• 49:09
  Speaker 2: which is not. Good the walk rate is, okay and
• 49:12
  Speaker 2: the strikeout rate is basically what you expect from. Him
• 49:15
  Speaker 2: he doesn't strike out a ton of guys against The White,
• 49:18
  Speaker 2: sox though he does not do particularly. Well they only
• 49:21
  Speaker 2: have six hitters who have faced him. Before it's twenty
• 49:23
  Speaker 2: two at. Bats it's a small, sample but three sixty
• 49:26
  Speaker 2: four batting, average a lot eleven twenty two, ohps five
• 49:29
  Speaker 2: to three strike out walker. Ratio those numbers are not particularly.
• 49:33
  Speaker 2: Good he will be going up Against Eric, feedtti who
• 49:36
  Speaker 2: actually has the better numbers on the season for The
• 49:38
  Speaker 2: White sox three point seven to seven E, ra one
• 49:42
  Speaker 2: point one to SIX. Whip so this looks you, know
• 49:44
  Speaker 2: you start looking at, this you think maybe The White
• 49:46
  Speaker 2: sox could win this. Game here, Again fetti also isn't
• 49:50
  Speaker 2: good at. Home so the overall numbers and the home,
• 49:53
  Speaker 2: roads let's both Favorite fetti here two point six to
• 49:56
  Speaker 2: six home The. Ray he's doing a lot better this
• 49:59
  Speaker 2: year last, year, man but you look at his numbers this,
• 50:02
  Speaker 2: month they're not really. Good he had two starts where
• 50:06
  Speaker 2: he only made it five, innings one of the two
• 50:08
  Speaker 2: Against Kansas, city which is his most recent. Start he
• 50:10
  Speaker 2: did okay in that when he didn't do well At
• 50:13
  Speaker 2: anaheim the game before, that but that was on the.
• 50:15
  Speaker 2: Road but, overall he's allowed way over one hit wher
• 50:18
  Speaker 2: more than one hit per inning this, month and he
• 50:20
  Speaker 2: only has four strikeouts and three. Walks and he's allowed
• 50:23
  Speaker 2: five home. Runs so there are definitely some questions With fetti.
• 50:28
  Speaker 2: Here he's allowed ten home runs over the course of the.
• 50:30
  Speaker 2: Season that's definitely too. Many his strikeout rate is. Low
• 50:34
  Speaker 2: he's an extreme fly ball. Pitcher he's not really fooling.
• 50:37
  Speaker 2: Guys his walk rate is a little bit. High but
• 50:40
  Speaker 2: the one good thing is he's somehow he hasn't allowed
• 50:42
  Speaker 2: a lot of. HITS i don't know how that's the,
• 50:44
  Speaker 2: Case like how you have way fewer than one hit per,
• 50:47
  Speaker 2: inning but then you allow a lot of home runs.
• 50:49
  Speaker 2: Too it's like when he gets, hit he allows a home.
• 50:52
  Speaker 2: RUN i don't, know BUT i don't THINK i could
• 50:54
  Speaker 2: really Trust vetti here man and his numbers against The
• 50:57
  Speaker 2: cubs are not. Good in ninety seven at, bats twenty
• 51:00
  Speaker 2: four to eight strike out walk ratio is good, enough
• 51:02
  Speaker 2: but three zero nine batting average a lot eight fifty seven,
• 51:05
  Speaker 2: ops that's some pretty bad. STUFF i THINK i would
• 51:09
  Speaker 2: lean over in this. GAME i know both games of
• 51:11
  Speaker 2: this series have gone way over, already but maybe it
• 51:14
  Speaker 2: is a. TREND i mean sometimes when that, happens you
• 51:17
  Speaker 2: get value in fading that and like zig zagging. It
• 51:20
  Speaker 2: but to, ME i, mean you see two bad matt
• 51:23
  Speaker 2: like these both pictures have bad matchup Stats. Fetti even
• 51:27
  Speaker 2: though he has some numbers that are positive, THERE i
• 51:29
  Speaker 2: don't trust. Him, now the totals at eight and a
• 51:31
  Speaker 2: half right now, here so you can get that at
• 51:33
  Speaker 2: over eight and a half rather than over, nine which
• 51:36
  Speaker 2: is the key. Number, yeah that's the WAY i would
• 51:38
  Speaker 2: play that. GAME i like over in that. One, oh
• 51:41
  Speaker 2: The cubs are a bit of a favorite at minus one.
• 51:43
  Speaker 2: Thirty they got fifty eight percent of tickets and cash on.
• 51:46
  Speaker 2: THEM i might Lean White sox first five innings, there
• 51:51
  Speaker 2: just Because fetti does have the better home road splits
• 51:53
  Speaker 2: there and the better numbers this. Season but that's not my.
• 51:57
  Speaker 2: Preference my preference would be to go. Over but IF
• 51:59
  Speaker 2: i was gonna have to do something with the, SIDE
• 52:01
  Speaker 2: i think first Five White sox as a bit of
• 52:03
  Speaker 2: an underdog makes some sense in that. Game all. Right
• 52:07
  Speaker 2: milwaukee At, minnesota we got the first five under correct
• 52:10
  Speaker 2: in that game. Yesterday the full game also went way.
• 52:13
  Speaker 2: Under minnesota's on the verge of getting swept by The,
• 52:17
  Speaker 2: brewers who are definitely the superior of these two, teams
• 52:20
  Speaker 2: Not lake, superior although that is in their area of
• 52:24
  Speaker 2: the country as. Well milwaukee might start looking. Ahead is
• 52:29
  Speaker 2: my problem with? This you know WHAT i? Mean they've
• 52:30
  Speaker 2: already won the. Series milwaukee has a big series up
• 52:34
  Speaker 2: next against The, cobs who are a divisional foe and
• 52:38
  Speaker 2: one of the best teams in The National, league so
• 52:40
  Speaker 2: they could have a look ahead, here not pay attention
• 52:43
  Speaker 2: To minnesota in this, game so that definitely worries. Me
• 52:45
  Speaker 2: the situation definitely Favors minnesota. Here minnesota used two relief
• 52:51
  Speaker 2: pitchers Yesterday milwaukee used, one Just Chad patrick in long.
• 52:55
  Speaker 2: Relief and here's where we start, having you, know prob
• 53:00
  Speaker 2: with back In minnesota here is you can't back their.
• 53:02
  Speaker 2: Bullpen their bullpen's. Awful they're twenty eighth in bullpen and
• 53:07
  Speaker 2: they have one of the worst bullpen rays as. Well
• 53:10
  Speaker 2: brewers bullpen has been improving as we go and they're
• 53:13
  Speaker 2: all the way up to twelve now and they have
• 53:15
  Speaker 2: one of the best bullpen. Erays so The brewers have
• 53:17
  Speaker 2: a big bullpen advantage. Here minnesota is the better hitting
• 53:21
  Speaker 2: team still at. Fourteenth milwaukee is twenty. Fourth milwaukee the
• 53:27
  Speaker 2: starting pitching here is pretty. Interesting milwaukee's gonna be going
• 53:30
  Speaker 2: With Robert, gasser AND i don't think he is really A.
• 53:34
  Speaker 2: GASSER i don't think he throws that high. Heat BUT
• 53:39
  Speaker 2: i don't, know, MAN i, Mean gassler is really hard
• 53:40
  Speaker 2: to figure. Out he. Pitched he made five starts in
• 53:44
  Speaker 2: twenty twenty four and his numbers are actually pretty good
• 53:46
  Speaker 2: at two point five seven e, ray one point zero
• 53:49
  Speaker 2: four whip that, year but his strikeout ray was really,
• 53:51
  Speaker 2: low so that tells you he does not actually throw
• 53:54
  Speaker 2: gas well below one per. Inning but he also only
• 53:57
  Speaker 2: had one, walk so his overall numbers looked really good
• 54:01
  Speaker 2: because his command was all. There last year he was
• 54:05
  Speaker 2: a little bit, sketchyer but he only made two starts last.
• 54:08
  Speaker 2: Year he still had a three point one eighty. R
• 54:10
  Speaker 2: this is all For. Milwaukee one point five to nine
• 54:13
  Speaker 2: whip was a problem, though but he only had five
• 54:16
  Speaker 2: to two thirds innings pitch last. Year did walk four guys,
• 54:20
  Speaker 2: though so his command was way worse after he only
• 54:24
  Speaker 2: walked one guy in twenty eight and he's the previous.
• 54:26
  Speaker 2: Year what are we gonna get from? HIM i don't.
• 54:28
  Speaker 2: KNOW i think it's somewhere in between those. Two. PROBABLY
• 54:31
  Speaker 2: i looked at his minor league numbers this year and
• 54:33
  Speaker 2: they didn't really impress. Me although his strikeout rate was
• 54:36
  Speaker 2: actually really high in the miners this, year but his
• 54:39
  Speaker 2: era was like in the high. Threes his whip was
• 54:41
  Speaker 2: like one point four or, So i'm, like what is
• 54:44
  Speaker 2: this guy doing like he? WAS i don't, know he
• 54:46
  Speaker 2: seemed like he was way too hittable in the miners
• 54:48
  Speaker 2: AND i don't even think he pitched In TRIPLE. A
• 54:51
  Speaker 2: i think he was pitching in like SINGLE. A and
• 54:53
  Speaker 2: now they're bringing him right back up to the. MAJORS
• 54:56
  Speaker 2: i don't know if it's because of an injury or,
• 54:58
  Speaker 2: what but This gasser is really hard to predict what
• 55:02
  Speaker 2: he's gonna do in this. Game. MAN i believe Only
• 55:06
  Speaker 2: Josh bell has ever seen him before because he used
• 55:08
  Speaker 2: to be in The National. League, Yeah bell IS oh
• 55:11
  Speaker 2: for two often with AN. Rbi other than, That minnesota
• 55:15
  Speaker 2: has never faced Gas, er so maybe that is a
• 55:17
  Speaker 2: little bit of an advantage to him because he's unfamiliar to.
• 55:20
  Speaker 2: Them to, ME i don't know IF i want to
• 55:23
  Speaker 2: trust him, though even though his numbers looked good two years,
• 55:26
  Speaker 2: AGO i still think we need to see what he's
• 55:28
  Speaker 2: gonna do this. Season So i'm gonna wait and see with.
• 55:31
  Speaker 2: Him Baley ober is pitching From. Minnesota he's been pretty
• 55:35
  Speaker 2: good this year three point four to SIX, era one
• 55:37
  Speaker 2: point TO. WHIP i mean he alternates between LIKE i
• 55:41
  Speaker 2: love this, guy he's, awesome and then like this guy
• 55:44
  Speaker 2: is like the worst pitcher in, baseball and there's like
• 55:47
  Speaker 2: no in. Between this year he's been, good but he's
• 55:50
  Speaker 2: been good at, home specifically two point four to three homey,
• 55:53
  Speaker 2: ra which is where he is. Today one issue with, him,
• 55:56
  Speaker 2: though is he's coming off a complete game, shutout a
• 55:59
  Speaker 2: two hitch shutout Of, miami seven, strikeouts no earned runs,
• 56:04
  Speaker 2: on no WALKS i mean in that game, Either so
• 56:07
  Speaker 2: he's coming OFF i think his best start of his.
• 56:09
  Speaker 2: CAREER i think that was his first complete game shutout or.
• 56:12
  Speaker 2: Whatever so, yeah they. Celebrated, man you REMEMBER i gave
• 56:16
  Speaker 2: you Guys miami as a play the game after that
• 56:18
  Speaker 2: and we got that game. Right so, yeah he was
• 56:22
  Speaker 2: coming off a big. High now that's the problem here
• 56:25
  Speaker 2: those is he gonna be in like a personal letdown
• 56:27
  Speaker 2: spot because that was his best start of his. CAREER
• 56:30
  Speaker 2: i don't. KNOW i, mean he gets to face In,
• 56:32
  Speaker 2: milwaukee it's a big. Game you're trying to avoid the.
• 56:34
  Speaker 2: Sweep peer he didn't throw too many, Pitches so that's
• 56:37
  Speaker 2: one THING i do like a lot of times when
• 56:40
  Speaker 2: pitcher will go with the full nine, innings now they'll
• 56:42
  Speaker 2: throw a lot of. Pitches but he only threw eighty
• 56:45
  Speaker 2: nine so he was really efficient in that. Game so
• 56:48
  Speaker 2: that doesn't really worry. Me that's right in line with
• 56:50
  Speaker 2: what he does every start So ober overall has been pretty.
• 56:54
  Speaker 2: Good although strikeout rate is down this, year it's not very,
• 56:57
  Speaker 2: high but he hasn't really walked too many. Guys he's
• 56:59
  Speaker 2: allowed very. Few it's really per the amount of, innings
• 57:02
  Speaker 2: so he's been pretty good. Overall he actually had one
• 57:05
  Speaker 2: bad start this month At washington in between a few good,
• 57:09
  Speaker 2: starts but mostly he's been. Good he's allowed three or
• 57:12
  Speaker 2: fewer earned runs and all but two, outings and he's
• 57:15
  Speaker 2: allowed more than four only. Once numbers against The brewers are.
• 57:19
  Speaker 2: Decent in forty one at bats two forty four, average
• 57:22
  Speaker 2: seven to forty two, ops thirteen to two strike out walk.
• 57:25
  Speaker 2: Ratio that's not, bad you, know given THAT i Think
• 57:30
  Speaker 2: minnesota has the better situation, Here gasser is just a
• 57:35
  Speaker 2: total total wildcard. HERE i MIGHT i don't. KNOW i
• 57:40
  Speaker 2: think my lean in this game would probably Be minnesota first.
• 57:42
  Speaker 2: FIVE i don't want to deal With minnesota's, bullpen but
• 57:46
  Speaker 2: given that they have a situational, edge they might have
• 57:49
  Speaker 2: the starting pitching edge. Here it's really hard to, tell.
• 57:51
  Speaker 2: Though milwaukee's laying minus one twenty something here seventy four
• 57:55
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets and eighty percent of the cash On,
• 57:57
  Speaker 2: milwaukee BUT i just think at this Point walkee's probably
• 58:00
  Speaker 2: gonna be a public. Side you're Getting minnesota with perhaps
• 58:04
  Speaker 2: some advantages and an underdog price, There so that's probably
• 58:07
  Speaker 2: HOW i would go in that. Game the money's also
• 58:10
  Speaker 2: indicating on the under there might be some arguments for
• 58:13
  Speaker 2: a first five. Under you the gas or you, know
• 58:16
  Speaker 2: will ride that unfamiliarity. There wouldn't want to do full
• 58:19
  Speaker 2: game because, Again minnesota's bullpen is completely unbackable to, me
• 58:24
  Speaker 2: but the starting pitching might do okay in the, Game
• 58:27
  Speaker 2: so first five under you, know makes some sense to me.
• 58:30
  Speaker 2: There texas At Houston, houston believe it or, not is
• 58:34
  Speaker 2: on the verge of a sweep. Here even THOUGH i
• 58:36
  Speaker 2: Liked texas in both of these. Games Somehow houston's pitching
• 58:41
  Speaker 2: has been pretty good in this series and it's not In.
• 58:44
  Speaker 2: Texas makes no. Sense texas is where a pitching performs really,
• 58:49
  Speaker 2: well not In. HOUSTON i don't know what's going on
• 58:51
  Speaker 2: in the. Series, man Will houston Overlook texas and now
• 58:54
  Speaker 2: that they're on the vergeon of SWEEP i don't. KNOW i,
• 58:56
  Speaker 2: Mean texas might bounce back Because texas is trying to
• 59:00
  Speaker 2: void a sweep. Here houston does not have a bigger
• 59:03
  Speaker 2: series on. Deck they're Playing, minnesota so that's not really
• 59:05
  Speaker 2: a look. Ahead texas is going To, colorado so, WHATEVER
• 59:10
  Speaker 2: i think both teams motivationally will show up for. This
• 59:15
  Speaker 2: now you start looking at, this the starting pitching matchup
• 59:17
  Speaker 2: looks like it should be an advantage To texas here
• 59:19
  Speaker 2: With evaldi, Starting But i'm going to counter that when
• 59:24
  Speaker 2: you look at them numbers, overall there are some counters to. That,
• 59:28
  Speaker 2: Now houston they use four relievers or excusely five relievers,
• 59:32
  Speaker 2: yesterday and their bullpen is already, bad so that's not.
• 59:35
  Speaker 2: Good that's not a good start to the handicap For.
• 59:38
  Speaker 2: Houston texas only used long reliever Cal, quandrill so their
• 59:42
  Speaker 2: better relievers are all available. Here texas has a huge
• 59:45
  Speaker 2: bullpen edge. Here they rank. EIGHTH i think they have
• 59:48
  Speaker 2: the second best bullpend era though To. Atlanta houston is
• 59:53
  Speaker 2: dead last still in both era and whip out of the.
• 59:56
  Speaker 2: Bullpen they're awful. Hitting houston has been the better offense
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 2: their Fifth texas is way down at twenty, six so
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 2: they do have an offensive. Edge houston, does BUT i
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 2: like pitching over offense all, Right so let's look at
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 2: the starting pitching, year because we Know texas has a
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 2: big bullpen, edge but that's been the case this series
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 2: and it hasn't Helped nathan Y. Evaldi he's got pretty
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 2: good numbers. Overall four point one FIVE era isn't, great
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 2: but that number is going down pretty fast because he's
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 2: been pretty good. Recently he's got a one point one
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 2: seven whip, now which is. Good indicates that HIS era
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 2: should probably be lower than it. Is he was really
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 2: really good last year his home road, splits. Though he
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 2: is a little bit worse on the, road which makes.
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 2: Sense texas is a pitcher friendly, park so HIS era
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 2: is four point four on the. Road he's had two
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 2: really good starts in a. Row both of them were
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 2: against The, yankees which is a good sign in a
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 2: way because The yankees are a really good, offense But
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 2: ivaldi just has their. Number he historically does really well
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 2: against them for whatever. Reason AND i BELIEVE i gave
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 2: you guys an under and both those games and they both,
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 2: hit so we have that going for. Us but Now
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 2: evaldi has to face a different, Team, houston And i'll
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 2: show you his matchup numbers in a. Second one other
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 2: concern we got is That ivaldi hasn't pitched for eleven days.
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 2: Now he didn't go on the injury list or, anything
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 2: but he's day to. Day he has an, injury and
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 2: they pushed his start. Back as you can see. Here
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 2: HE i don't know he had an issue with his.
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 2: SIDE i don't even know what that is. LIKE i
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 2: don't know he had what is that like a strained.
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 2: Oblique maybe that's actually not great if you're a starting
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 2: pitcher because that definitely factors into your wind. Up SO
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 2: i don't. Know he's getting up there in age for
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 2: sure at thirty, Six but to, me he looks like
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 2: he is still a good. Pitcher but the problem Is
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 2: houston actually hits him really, well and they have a
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 2: lot of at bats against him one hundred and thirty
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 2: five three oh four batting average nine to seventy three.
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 2: Ops they have good offensive numbers against, him thirty four,
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 2: strikeouts fifteen. Walks they got a eleven home runs off,
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 2: him seven From altuve al twove a lot of home
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 2: runs high home run rate from. Him so it's not
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 2: a great matchup for valdein he will be going up
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 2: Against Peter, lambert who he's an addressing, scenario, man because
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 2: he got drafted by The. Rockies you, KNOW i mean
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 2: The rockies are in an organization where a lot of
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 2: pitchers just go to die because you don't want to
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 2: pitch a course. Field he didn't pan, out and now
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 2: he's twenty nine in his, career never took off. Yet
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 2: here here he is On, houston and he's actually pitching
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 2: pretty well this year two point seven to SIXTY, rra
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 2: one point one to THREE. Whip he's been worse at,
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 2: home but not bad three point three to two HOMEY.
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 2: Ra this, month he's had two seven inning, performances allowing
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 2: combined three on, runs nine, hits ten strike, cuts and
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 2: then five walks is a little bit. Concerning but the
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 2: fact that he shut out The dodgers for seven, innings
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 2: turned around and then pitch well again Against. Seattle he's
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 2: in pretty good form right. Now. MAN i would have
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 2: to say he's got basically one strike up per, inning
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 2: which is. Good he's allowing fewer than one hit per
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 2: inning by quite a. Bit the only problem is the.
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 2: Walks he's walked three or more in the majority of his,
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 2: outings so he needs to get that better. Controlled, Literally
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 2: but he only had one walk in his last down
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 2: and Against, seattle so maybe that is headed in the right.
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 2: Direction And lambert Against, texas though they've actually seen him
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 2: a little, bit they have five hitters who faced him
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 2: twenty two at, bats and they do have good numbers
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 2: against him three to three strike up walk, ratio four
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 2: h nine, average thirteen eighty nine. Ops but this is
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 2: a smaller sample, Size SO i think you can put
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 2: more weight Into evaldi's matchup numbers because the sample size
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 2: is way way. Bigger and you got a note That,
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 2: lambert those those numbers Against texas were all in the.
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 2: Past they were not this. Year so those numbers were
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 2: all when he was like On colorado and struggling and.
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 2: Whatever he looks like a different picture right. Now SO i,
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 2: actually you, KNOW i would not Go houston full game
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 2: BECAUSE i think the situations against. Them the bullpen is
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 2: certainly against, Them BUT i think there are some arguments
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 2: for a first five play On. Houston here they're getting
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 2: the money fifty two, tickets seventy three percent of the
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 2: cash On. Houston evald you, know is off, schedule which
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 2: sometimes can hurt a, pitcher even though a guy that's
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 2: as veteran as he. IS i don't think that's really gonna,
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 2: matter but his matchup numbers, matter and they're not. Good
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 2: texas is a slight favorite. HERE i think If texas
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 2: gets through into the bullpens and they're still in the,
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 2: game THEN i Think texas does have a pretty good
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 2: shot to win the game with their much better. Bullpen
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 2: but first five, Inning houston makes sense to me in this,
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 2: game and that is probably actually my lean in the.
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 2: Game BUT i don't fully Trust lambert, either so leaving
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 2: that one on the. Shelf all, Right i'm gonna take
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 2: a quick. Break we'll finish this, off and then we
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 2: have to talk ABOUT wnba AND. Nba and there's no
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 2: hockey here AND i do not have any more. Plays
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 2: BUT i was close in THE, nba which we'll talk
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 2: about right at the end of the. Show i'll be right,
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 2: back all, right zoom back in. Here next game is,
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 2: Uh Kansas City Saint, louis The battle Of Missouri Saint.
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 2: Louis they just keep, winning, MAN i, MEAN i keep telling,
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 2: YOU i don't think that this is. Good they've won
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 2: both games of the series pretty close. Games So Kansas
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 2: city is in a spot where they're trying to avoid
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 2: a sweep. Here Maybe Kansas city shows up with a
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 2: little more motivation. Here, Uh Saint, louis who do they
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 2: have on? DECK i think they don't play. TOMORROW i
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 2: think Just Saint louis And. Pittsburgh they're the only two
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 2: teams off. TOMORROW i think they play each other starting On,
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 2: tuesday so that is kind of a big. Series it's
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 2: a divisional series against a pretty Good pittsburgh, team So
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 2: Saint louis might be looking ahead to. That SO i
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 2: think the situation does Favor Kansas city. Here Kansas city
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 2: only used one relief pitcher, yesterday so their better relievers are,
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 2: available though their bullpen is not. Good neither of these
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 2: bullpens are. Good Saint louis used three relief pitchers. YESTERDAY
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 2: i believe they had to save the, game So Kansas
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 2: city does have a slight bullpen advantage. Here but both
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 2: bullpens are. Bad Kansas city is twenty, Sixth Saint louis
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 2: is twenty. Second their numbers are pretty. SIMILAR i just
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 2: Think Kansas, city because they're more, arrested they got a
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 2: slight edge. There hitting, wise both teams have been decent
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 2: Ish Saint louis, tenth which is way better than you'd,
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 2: think And Kansas city, fifteenth which is. Fine. Uh Steven
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 2: kolek is starting For Kansas. City his numbers are all
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 2: over the. Place he's got a six point seven FIVE,
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 2: era which is, bad but his one point one to
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 2: three whip is good and indicates that his era is,
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 2: misleading like his era should definitely be better than. That he's
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 2: been really bad on the road, though nine point six
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 2: to four road, era which is interesting because last year
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 2: he was worse at, home which made really little sense
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 2: because he pitched most of the season In San diego
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 2: and that's a very picture friendly park And Kansas city
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 2: was last year, too and that's where he finished the
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 2: season last year after he got. Traded but he's only
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 2: made two starts this. Year and he made one pretty
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 2: decent start against Against, cleveland and then he and that
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 2: was at, home and then he struggled on the road
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 2: against The White. Sox so, like how do we even
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 2: figure out what colic is right? NOW i don't. Know
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 2: he's got nine, strikeouts three walks of our nine hits
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 2: a lot and ten and two thirds. Innings difficult to
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 2: kind of. Interpret you can look at what he did last,
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 2: year which might be a better indicator of what you're
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 2: gonna get out of. Him last, year he posted a
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 2: three point five to ONE era one point one FOR,
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 2: whip which is pretty. Good his strikeout rate was really low.
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 2: Though he just wasn't really a strikeout, pitcher and that
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 2: was his only season as a. Starter he was a
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 2: relief pitcher prior to that For San diego and entered
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 2: the league a little bit later as he is twenty nine.
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 2: Now his numbers Against Saint louis are not good, though
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 2: but it's a small. Sample seventeen at, bats three to
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 2: three strike out walk, ratio three point fifty three batting average,
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 2: allowed nine to seventy nine. Ops. YEAH i, mean given
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 2: the bad matchup, numbers his bad home road, SPLITS i
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 2: don't really Trust colek. Here he is going up Against
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 2: andre Pagan, pionte WHO i don't really trust. Either he's
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 2: got a four point four to SIX era one point
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 2: three SEVEN. Whip not doing great For Saint, louis although
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 2: he's not doing. Terribly he's worse at home, though five
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 2: point nine to one HOMY, ra which is not. Good
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 2: he struggled this month with a seven to five strike
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 2: out walk ratio and six point five five yard across
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 2: two starts more than one hit per inning allowed as.
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 2: Well it was a home start Against milwaukee and they
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 2: are starting to hit. Better and the other start was
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 2: at The a's stadium and he won that. Game we
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 2: got to. Win that was a winner for. ME i
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 2: gave that out on the, show, actually so maybe you
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 2: give him a pass for kind of struggling in those outings.
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 2: There his overall numbers are not very good to me.
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 2: Though strikeout rate is, low well below one per. Inning
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 2: the walk rate is definitely too. High that ratio is really.
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 2: Bad he's allowed fewer than one hit per, inning so
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 2: his best, QUALITY i guess is that he doesn't allow
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 2: that many. Hits his numbers Against Kansas city are pretty decent,
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 2: though in eighty three at, bats fifteen to five strike
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 2: out walk racio two forty one average allowed seven thirty,
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 2: ohps you know the money's coming in Towards Saint louis
• 1:10:51
  Speaker 2: their small favorite here around minus one ten basically picked
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 2: the winner, money kind of indicating towards the over as.
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 2: Well the total is pretty high at, nine although it
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 2: dropped down from. Ten it's high for A Saint louis,
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 2: game for, sure they're more of a pitcher friendly. BALLPARK
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 2: i THINK i zoomed in too much. Here, YEAH i
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 2: Think i'm gonna lean slightly Towards Saint, louis maybe just
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 2: in the first, five BECAUSE i Think Kansas city's bullpen
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 2: has a little bit of an edge. THERE i Think
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 2: pionte might have an edge Over, colec BUT i don't
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 2: really want to Back pionte at home, either and when
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 2: he's not in good, form so that one's not a.
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 2: Play none of the rest of these games Are arizona At,
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 2: colorado which is ON espn. Unlimited all these games in
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 2: the afternoon because it Is sunday and teams have to
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 2: travel after. This these teams have split this series so,
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 2: far SO i, expect you, know motivation on both sides.
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 2: Here this is At. Corsfield colorado used three relief pitchers.
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 2: Yesterday arizona used, four but they were very well rested
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 2: couple of days before. That arizona does probably have the
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 2: better bullpen right. Now they're right, third even though THEIR
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 2: era is a lot higher than, That SO i still
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 2: don't really fully trust that. Bullpen BUT i think they're
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 2: better Than. Colorado's colorado's ranking, seventeenth even Though colorado's Bullpen
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 2: ray is actually slightly. Better hitting, Wise colorado's been better
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 2: and they are better at home as. Well they're. Eleventh
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 2: diamondbacks are twenty, second which surprises me because they're usually
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 2: known as a hitting, team especially because they have a
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 2: good hitting, stadium and so is this one In. Colorado
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 2: Michael soroka is getting the start for The. Diamondbacks he's
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 2: got a DECENT era here three point five to, three
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 2: but his whip is too, high one point three to.
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 2: Two it's not, awful but it's not. Great he's been
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 2: way worse than the road seven point TWO, era so
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 2: that's definitely concerning when you're not good on the road
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 2: and now you're about to pitch a course. Field he's
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 2: been good this month, though and two starts he's only
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 2: allowed one run in twelve to two thirds innings off
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 2: a ten, hits three, walks and eleven, strikeouts so he
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 2: is in good form right. Now he's a lot two
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 2: or fewer earned runs in four of his five starts,
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 2: recently four of his most recent. Five his overall numbers
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 2: are all actually pretty, good more than one strikeoup per.
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 2: Inning the walk rates not really that. High he's allowed
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 2: a couple too many, hits but not really too. Bad so, yeah,
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 2: overall his numbers are not bad Against. Colorado he has
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 2: pretty good numbers here as. Well twenty four at, bats nine,
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 2: strikeouts one, walk, one twenty five average allowed four to
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 2: ninety three oh. Bs so he's been pretty good Against.
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 2: Colorado we got to see how he does in. Coursefield
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 2: On he is a little bit more flyball, heavy which
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 2: is not great in course, field but he's got the
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 2: good matchup. Numbers the worst thing here is that he
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 2: has bad road, numbers so that is a. Concern he
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 2: will be going up Against Michael, lorenzen who does not
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 2: have good. Numbers six point five to FIVE yrra one
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 2: point eight to four. Whip lorenzen's really struggled pitching a
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 2: course field this year and that is unfortunately for him
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 2: where he is today nine point six four home era not.
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 2: GOOD i don't know Why colorado went and got this,
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 2: guy man LIKE i think he was much better suited
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 2: to pitch for Like, texas where he gets a pitching
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 2: a pitcher friendly ballpark all the. Time this, month he
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 2: hasn't been good eight point one ray across two, starts
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 2: one at home that was really, bad and then he
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 2: actually pitched okay on the road in his last outing Against.
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh but he's had seven strikeouts five walks over that.
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 2: Sman his overall numbers are not, great really low strikeout.
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 2: Rate over the course of the, Season he's allowed probably
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 2: the most hits per inning out of any. STARTER i
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 2: think he's allowed a ton of hits sixty seven and
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 2: forty four innings really. Bad the walk rate isn't too
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 2: bad at, fourteen but he is also slightly fly ball,
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 2: leaning which isn't great in the. Stadium but he's allowed
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 2: seven home runs this, season which is not the. Worst
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 2: there are definitely pitchers out there that have allowed more than.
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 2: That and his numbers against The diamondbacks are actually. Good
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 2: in forty eight at bats one twenty five, average four
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 2: twenty six, obs, twelve three strikeout walk. Race it might
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 2: kind of sound, insane BUT i think, that you, know
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 2: looking at the matchup numbers and, WHATEVER i, know the
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 2: home road splits both are completely against these two starting.
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 2: Pitchers give them the matchup. Numbers i'm almost saying That
• 1:15:14
  Speaker 2: i'm leaning under in the first five the game went under,
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 2: yesterday surprisingly low scoring game. Yesterday total is taking a
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 2: lot of money on the over, though fifty four percent
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 2: of the tickets eighty eight percent of the cash on the.
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 2: Over the full games ten and a half first, five
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 2: you're probably looking at like five and a. HALF i,
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 2: MEAN i could see the argument for the under, there
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 2: BUT i still don't want to do. IT i, mean
• 1:15:35
  Speaker 2: the home road splits are too bad money coming in
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 2: A colorado as, well With arizona being about minus one
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 2: p fifty, here fifty percent of tickets eighty three percent
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 2: of the cash On. Colorado doing that information what you,
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 2: want but, YEAH i MEAN i Think soroka generally is
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 2: the better pitcher, though And arizona probably has a slightly better,
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 2: Bullpen So i'm not SURE i see. THAT i, MEAN
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 2: i might slightly Lean arizona, there but it's not Strong
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 2: San francisco at The. A'S i did have a somewhat
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 2: strong lean Towards San francisco, yesterday AS i talked about
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 2: on the, show and they did. Win they almost blew.
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 2: IT i think they were winning six to. One their
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 2: bullpen should be better than it. Is, MAN i don't
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 2: know what's going on with The san fran, bullpen But
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 2: i'm pretty sure they were up six to one late
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 2: and they almost blew. It they still, won. Though now
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 2: The battle of The bay, here even though The a's
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 2: don't play near The bay, anymore they're gonna have to
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 2: call it something else pretty soon when The a's are In.
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 2: VEGUAS i don't, know, man but whatever these teams to
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 2: split the, SERIES i think they're both gonna show up.
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 2: Here San francisco used three relief pitchers, yesterday The a's used.
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 2: Two but The a's still have the lesser bullpen. Here
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 2: they're ranked twenty third and bullpen The. GIANTS i know
• 1:16:48
  Speaker 2: they're only, nineteenth but the era is definitely better than,
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 2: That so, YEAH i think The giants do have the better.
• 1:16:53
  Speaker 2: Bullpen The a's are ranked seventh offensively and The giants
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 2: are not. Good giants are twenty, eighth so The, as,
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 2: yeah not surprisingly have the better offense. Significantly Adrian hauser
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 2: is pitching For San, francisco and of course we have
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 2: to note that this is The A's TRIPLE a stadium
• 1:17:11
  Speaker 2: they play, in so it's very hitter. Friendly Adrian hawser
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 2: is pitching for The. Giants he's not having a good
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 2: season five point seven to NINEY ra one point four
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 2: to eight. Whip he's been better on the. Road none
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 2: of this makes any, sense. DUDE i, mean The giants
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 2: stadium is known as a pitcher friendly. Ballpark houser was
• 1:17:29
  Speaker 2: decent last. Year now all of a, sudden he's really
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 2: struggling to pitch In San. Fraim makes no, sense as
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 2: roadyra is better though at four point eight. Five but
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 2: will he pitch well in this? STADIUM i don't. Know
• 1:17:41
  Speaker 2: he's not that flyball. Heavy his numbers are tilted a
• 1:17:44
  Speaker 2: little bit towards the fly. Ball he's allowed eight home
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 2: runs this. Season he's pitched. Okay this, month he's allowed
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 2: two or one or run and each of his starts
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 2: one was on the road against The, dodgers so give
• 1:17:56
  Speaker 2: him credit for. That but his strikeout rate was low
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 2: seven strikeouts four and those eleven and two thirds, innings
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 2: but only allowing six, hits although two of them are home.
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 2: Runs he's a lot a lot of home runs, recently
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 2: so that's not great. OVERALL i, mean his numbers overall not.
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 2: Great he's allowed definitely too many hits well over one per.
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 2: Inning strike out rate is down it's very. LOW i
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 2: think it was higher than that last. Year, yeah very.
• 1:18:21
  Speaker 2: Low strike out, right and then the walk rate is
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 2: just kind of fine against The. A's they only have
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 2: seventeen at bats against, them but they have hit him all,
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 2: right two ninety four batting, average eight thirty NINE, ops
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 2: three to two strike out walk. Ratio so. Howser he's
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 2: in better form right, now but pitching in This a's,
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 2: STADIUM i probably don't really trust, him and his numbers
• 1:18:43
  Speaker 2: against The a's are not. Great he will be opposed
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 2: By Jeffrey, springs who has been the better of the
• 1:18:48
  Speaker 2: two pitchers overall of the. Season he's got a four
• 1:18:51
  Speaker 2: point two to TWO era one point two to whip
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 2: for The, a's but of course he's been worse in this. Stadium,
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 2: again it is a hitter friendly. Stadium five point three
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 2: to three e R ra at, home that's not. Good this,
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 2: month he's been okay ish one home, start one road.
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 2: Start the road start was of course, better nine, strikeouts three.
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 2: WALKS i think he was the one that we faded
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 2: with The Pyante Saint louis game Because SPRINGS i didn't
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 2: like his matchup numbers or his home road. Splits neither
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 2: pitcher was great in the, game but we did get the.
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 2: Win in the, Game springs gave up four runs on
• 1:19:27
  Speaker 2: seven hits in that one walk. Three, overall his numbers
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 2: are pretty, good though the strike out rate is. Decent
• 1:19:35
  Speaker 2: it's a little bit below one per, inning his walk rate,
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 2: fine and his hit rate is fairly low below one per.
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 2: Inning So springs overall has been, good but he's not
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 2: good in the. Stadium but his numbers are good against The.
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 2: GIANTS i, mean they're a pretty weak hitting. Team they
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 2: have fifty three at bats against, him thirteen to two
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 2: strike out walk, ratio one thirty two, average and three
• 1:19:56
  Speaker 2: seventy one. Ohps springs does appear to have a really
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 2: good matchup here at the very, Least SO i THINK
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 2: i will tilt the scales Towards springs in that. ONE
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 2: i THINK i will Lean a's first five in that.
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 2: ONE i don't want the full game because The giants
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 2: have a better. Bullpen the money is indicating towards The
• 1:20:13
  Speaker 2: giants eighty five percent of tickets eighty percent of the
• 1:20:16
  Speaker 2: cash on The A's they're around the minus one fifty
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 2: or so favorite, there so maybe they're favored a little
• 1:20:21
  Speaker 2: bit too. Heavily you, know you could definitely make that
• 1:20:25
  Speaker 2: argument that The a's shouldn't be that much of a favorite.
• 1:20:27
  Speaker 2: There but, YEAH i do Think springs does have the
• 1:20:32
  Speaker 2: edge there a little. Bit so first Five a's could
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 2: be a way to look at that game and take
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 2: their bullpens out of the. Equation dodgers At. Anaheim anaheim
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 2: is on the version of getting swept, here and they've
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 2: gotten obliterated by The dodgers in this. Series The dodgers
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 2: have outscored them by a combined score of twenty one
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 2: to two in this. Series so The dodgers may be
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 2: in a bad spot. Here, dude they're on the version
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 2: of Sweep they've already dominated the. Series they might not
• 1:21:00
  Speaker 2: Take anaheim. SERIOUSLY i Thought anaheim would do a lot better.
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 2: YESTERDAY i Think soriano got absolutely torched in that. Game so,
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 2: yeah he's not gonna win the Cy young like people
• 1:21:10
  Speaker 2: were talking about really early in the. SEASON i was, like,
• 1:21:13
  Speaker 2: nah like he's, good but his home woes. Continue, Man
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 2: soriano looks like he's still not good at. Home but,
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 2: anyway that's to discuss the next time he, pitches The
• 1:21:24
  Speaker 2: dodgers might look ahead because they Got San diego starting.
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 2: Tomorrow that's a big, series, dude a divisional. Series San
• 1:21:31
  Speaker 2: diego is only a half game behind The dodgers right.
• 1:21:33
  Speaker 2: Now that's, big SO la might just pack it in
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 2: early and forget about this. Game so it is a
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 2: bad spot for The. Dodgers the spot sets up a
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 2: lot better For anaheim. Here anaheim trying to avoid the.
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 2: Sweep anaheim does not have a good bullpen, though so
• 1:21:49
  Speaker 2: that's where it kind of. Starts they only use two
• 1:21:51
  Speaker 2: relief pitchers, yesterday BUT i do not like that bullpen at.
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 2: All dodgers also only use. Two The dodgers definitely have
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 2: the better, bullpen though they're a little bit less rested
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 2: based on what they did the other day two days.
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 2: Ago but The dodgers are ranked fourth in. Bullpen they've
• 1:22:06
  Speaker 2: been a very good bullpen this. Year anaheim. No anaheim twenty,
• 1:22:11
  Speaker 2: seventh way way worse hitting, wise The dodgers are better as.
• 1:22:15
  Speaker 2: Well they ranked number one again And anaheim is where
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 2: are they? At somewhere in the middle, Nineteenth So dodgers
• 1:22:25
  Speaker 2: better hitting as. Well But Roki sasaki is pitching for
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 2: The dodgers. Year he's pretty shaky as a. Starter. Man
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 2: his numbers this year are not very. Good five point
• 1:22:34
  Speaker 2: eight to EIGHTY, ra one point six y THREE. Whip
• 1:22:38
  Speaker 2: he's been worse on the road as, well six point
• 1:22:40
  Speaker 2: eight to NINE. ROADRA a lot of things lining up
• 1:22:44
  Speaker 2: Against sasaki. Here he's been okay this. Month he's gone
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 2: at least five innings in both of his. Starts he's
• 1:22:49
  Speaker 2: allowed three runs in each of, them nine, strikeouts three.
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 2: Walks they were on the road At Saint louis and
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 2: at home Against San francisco, though so those are you,
• 1:22:58
  Speaker 2: know a pitching friendly ballpark and then really Weak San francisco.
• 1:23:02
  Speaker 2: Offense his overall number is not, great although his strikeout
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 2: rate is, fine a little bit below one per, inning
• 1:23:08
  Speaker 2: but he's allowed well over one hit per. Inning a
• 1:23:11
  Speaker 2: lot of walks in here as, well so that's not.
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 2: Good sasaki has not been seen By anaheim, though Except
• 1:23:18
  Speaker 2: Adam frazier is one for two with a single off.
• 1:23:21
  Speaker 2: Him But sasaki does at least have an unfamiliarity ed.
• 1:23:24
  Speaker 2: Here BUT i still kind of lean towards him struggling
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 2: in this, game even though he does have the advantage
• 1:23:29
  Speaker 2: that they haven't seen him. BEFORE i don't know if
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 2: that's Enough, anaheim, though, like how do we handicap this
• 1:23:34
  Speaker 2: With Grayson rodriguez pitching? Here by the, WAY i might
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 2: have made a mistake Between gasser And. RODRIGUEZ i might
• 1:23:41
  Speaker 2: have gotten the two of them mixed up looking at
• 1:23:44
  Speaker 2: the minor league. Numbers SO i apologize IF i. Did Grayson.
• 1:23:47
  Speaker 2: Rodriguez what are we gonna do about this? Man he
• 1:23:50
  Speaker 2: used to be On baltimore and he actually started pitching
• 1:23:53
  Speaker 2: pretty well back in twenty twenty, four but he didn't
• 1:23:56
  Speaker 2: pitch in the majors at all last. YEAR i assume
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 2: he had some major injury issue because he pitched pretty
• 1:24:01
  Speaker 2: well in twenty twenty four With baldemorom was, improving so
• 1:24:04
  Speaker 2: obviously he was gonna continue pitching in the, majors you,
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 2: know barring some sort of. Injury he had a three
• 1:24:11
  Speaker 2: point eight SIX era one point two four whip in
• 1:24:14
  Speaker 2: twenty starts in twenty twenty, four which is pretty. Good
• 1:24:17
  Speaker 2: he was trending in the right. Direction he had a
• 1:24:20
  Speaker 2: really high strike out, rate but his walk rate was
• 1:24:22
  Speaker 2: a little bit, concerning and he didn't allow that many.
• 1:24:24
  Speaker 2: Hits what are we gonna get out of him? Here?
• 1:24:27
  Speaker 2: MAN i don't, know but let me just make sure
• 1:24:29
  Speaker 2: real quick THAT i did. THAT i did not get
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 2: those numbers. Wrong i'm gonna look real quick going back
• 1:24:34
  Speaker 2: To Robert gasser in the, MINORS i THINK i basically
• 1:24:37
  Speaker 2: did get those numbers. Right, No gasser did pitch in TRIPLE, a,
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 2: though so that was my. Mistake so my mistake going
• 1:24:43
  Speaker 2: back To, GASSER i. Apologize gasser did pitch in TRIPLE
• 1:24:47
  Speaker 2: a this, year which makes sense because he's kind of a.
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 2: Prospect BUT i got his numbers. Right his whip was
• 1:24:52
  Speaker 2: almost one and a. Half he did have a really
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 2: high strike out, rate but he did also allow too many.
• 1:24:59
  Speaker 2: Hits so do with that information what you. Want going
• 1:25:02
  Speaker 2: back To gas or who's pitching From milwaukee today and
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 2: his era was in the threes For Grayson, Rodriguez he's
• 1:25:08
  Speaker 2: the one who only pitched in a ball this, Season
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 2: SO i don't know how can we even gauge that at, all,
• 1:25:13
  Speaker 2: dude the fact that he only pitched in like SINGLE,
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 2: a and then they're, like all, right we're calling you up,
• 1:25:18
  Speaker 2: now which probably is Because anaheim just doesn't have starting. Pitching,
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 2: YEAH i mean he, yeah he only pitched in a
• 1:25:27
  Speaker 2: ball this. Season he had such a small sample size
• 1:25:30
  Speaker 2: it's almost like you can just ignore, It LIKE i
• 1:25:32
  Speaker 2: don't even know what to say about. It his numbers
• 1:25:35
  Speaker 2: weren't really, terrific but, whatever you. KNOW i think we
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 2: can kind of gauge what he is based off of
• 1:25:40
  Speaker 2: twenty twenty, four but he is trying to work his
• 1:25:42
  Speaker 2: way back from, injury so he is a bit of
• 1:25:46
  Speaker 2: a question mark. Here and then his numbers against The
• 1:25:50
  Speaker 2: dodgers are not good at, all although it's seventeen at
• 1:25:53
  Speaker 2: bats small, sample but two to three strike out walk,
• 1:25:56
  Speaker 2: ratio five eighty eight oh ps or five eighty eight
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 2: batting average, horrible and fifteen ninety one. Ops so The
• 1:26:04
  Speaker 2: dodgers hitters who have basover have hit him. WELL i
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 2: don't want to Back rodriguez hero though there are a
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 2: lot of things that do line up On anaheim. Here
• 1:26:13
  Speaker 2: not full game though either, bullpen no, way sixty, ticket
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 2: seventy five percent of the cash on The, dodgers though
• 1:26:20
  Speaker 2: in a minus one forty something price, here money coming under The.
• 1:26:24
  Speaker 2: Dodgers BUT i THINK i would still Lean anaheim first
• 1:26:27
  Speaker 2: five here because they have a situational. ADVANTAGE i don't Like,
• 1:26:31
  Speaker 2: sasaki but he is unfamiliar though In rodriguez has bad matchup,
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 2: numbers SO i do worry about that quite a, bit
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 2: So i'm staying off of that game as. Well and
• 1:26:40
  Speaker 2: then the night Game PEACOCK nbc Is San diego And.
• 1:26:44
  Speaker 2: Seattle San diego is on the verge of sweeping, this
• 1:26:47
  Speaker 2: BUT i did tell You San diego is playing The dodgers.
• 1:26:50
  Speaker 2: Next they might just start looking. Ahead, Man they've already
• 1:26:53
  Speaker 2: won this interleague. Series that series against The dodgers is
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 2: going to be, huge So San diego might get caught
• 1:26:59
  Speaker 2: in a look. Ahead though this is a primetime night.
• 1:27:02
  Speaker 2: GAME i Think seattle is still possibly the better team,
• 1:27:06
  Speaker 2: here and they're on the version of getting swept at
• 1:27:08
  Speaker 2: home and Their jesus sized favorite that already kind of
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 2: has me looking Towards seattle here for a number of,
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 2: reasons and the home team usually kind of is a
• 1:27:16
  Speaker 2: little bit more motivated hosting these primetime. Games seattle on
• 1:27:20
  Speaker 2: these two relief pitchers and not any of their really
• 1:27:23
  Speaker 2: good relief pitchers, yesterday so that's good as. Well San
• 1:27:26
  Speaker 2: diego does have a really good. Bullpen both bullpens are,
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 2: good But San diego used five relief pitchers. Yesterday they
• 1:27:32
  Speaker 2: did not Use Mason, miller but they used a bunch
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 2: of their other good relievers. Yesterday, generally these bullpens are
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 2: both really. Good San diego at, Sixth seattle's only, sixteenth
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 2: but they have one of the best bullpen. Ras, ACTUALLY
• 1:27:45
  Speaker 2: i think they have the best bullpen ra right. Now
• 1:27:48
  Speaker 2: SO i forgot About. Seattle my, Apologies so that MEANS
• 1:27:51
  Speaker 2: i Think texas is actually, third not. Second but, Yeah
• 1:27:54
  Speaker 2: seattle's bullpen is good and they set up. Better in
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 2: my opinion based off of which pitchers they use, YESTERDAY
• 1:28:01
  Speaker 2: i Like seattle's bullpen a little bit more Than San
• 1:28:03
  Speaker 2: diego's in this. One hitting, Wise San diego has been pretty.
• 1:28:06
  Speaker 2: Bad they're twenty ninth, now they're really struggling at the.
• 1:28:10
  Speaker 2: Plate seattle has been hitting a little bit better and
• 1:28:12
  Speaker 2: they're up to, sixteenth even though they've lost both games
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 2: in this. Series SO i Think seattle has a hitting
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 2: edge year as. Well Lucas gildo will be getting his
• 1:28:21
  Speaker 2: first start with The. Padres he was on The Red
• 1:28:25
  Speaker 2: sox last. Year The Red sox designated him for, assignment
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 2: AND i think it does kind of tell you something
• 1:28:31
  Speaker 2: that no team like jumped right away to get, Him
• 1:28:34
  Speaker 2: like he started the season as a free agent so
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 2: that kind of tells you that even though he had
• 1:28:38
  Speaker 2: a three point four to ONE era last, year one
• 1:28:41
  Speaker 2: point two to nine whip wasn't that. Great that kind
• 1:28:43
  Speaker 2: of tells you, that you, know these major league teams
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 2: don't even want and that means there's some issue here With,
• 1:28:48
  Speaker 2: gildo and the advanced analytics guys will tell you that
• 1:28:52
  Speaker 2: his numbers last year were, misleading like his underlying metrics
• 1:28:56
  Speaker 2: were not that good with The Boston Red. Sox he
• 1:28:59
  Speaker 2: did pitch better on the road last year though three
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 2: point one eight RODY ra last. Year he's pitching in
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 2: a pitcher friendly. Ballpark. Here he is going up Against,
• 1:29:07
  Speaker 2: seattle Though seattle does have good numbers against him in
• 1:29:10
  Speaker 2: sixty eight at bats two ninety four batting average, allowed
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 2: eight eighty one, ohps eighteen to six strikeout walk, ratio
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 2: so you, know the struggle walk ratio is, fine but
• 1:29:22
  Speaker 2: overall those numbers are not very good For. Gildo he
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 2: will be going up Against George, kirby who has been
• 1:29:28
  Speaker 2: the better pitcher this. Year kirby two point eight four
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 2: E r, eight one point one SIX. Whip so you,
• 1:29:34
  Speaker 2: know basically you could see HOW i went through this
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 2: Handicap this looks like it's gonna be a play for
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 2: me On seattle Right one thing is kind of holding
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 2: me back from. It But kirby has been. Good he's
• 1:29:43
  Speaker 2: debatably Been seattle's best pitcher this, season even though it's
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 2: Usually brian wu H. Kirby he's also been better at
• 1:29:52
  Speaker 2: home slightly but not really significant home roads. Splits he's
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 2: Pretty he's been pretty good. Recently he's allowed to actually
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 2: all season really allowed only more than three ear in runs.
• 1:30:01
  Speaker 2: Once he's allowed more than two earn runs only. Twice this.
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 2: Month he's allowed three earned runs in twelve innings with twelve,
• 1:30:08
  Speaker 2: strikeouts three, walks twelve. Hits and he did that against
• 1:30:11
  Speaker 2: The braves And Houston houston on the, road so he
• 1:30:14
  Speaker 2: did that against some good hitting. Lineups kirby looks good right.
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 2: Now he's got a low strikeout rate on the, season,
• 1:30:21
  Speaker 2: though but his walk rate is somewhat low as. Well
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 2: he hasn't allowed that many hits. Either he's been good.
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 2: Overall but the one thing that's holding me back Is
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 2: San diego has hit him well in the past forty
• 1:30:31
  Speaker 2: four at bats three eighteen batting average seven to seventy
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 2: three oh ps is not that, high but it's a
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 2: little bit higher than i'd want to. See six, strikeouts
• 1:30:39
  Speaker 2: no walks is. Good, Obviously i'm still gonna Lean. SEATTLE i,
• 1:30:44
  Speaker 2: MEAN i just Maybe gilito will be excited to be
• 1:30:46
  Speaker 2: back in the. Majors But, KIRBY i, think is the
• 1:30:49
  Speaker 2: better pitcher. HERE i Think seattle's bullpen lines up a
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 2: little bit better. HERE i think the situation is strongly
• 1:30:55
  Speaker 2: Favoring seattle, here but we have a low total at
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 2: seven and a. Half the money looks like it's hitting
• 1:31:00
  Speaker 2: the under, here and the money looks like it's. Fading
• 1:31:03
  Speaker 2: seattle eighty six percent of, tickets only seventy three percent
• 1:31:06
  Speaker 2: of the cash on. THEM i Like seattle in the, game,
• 1:31:09
  Speaker 2: though But kirby's matchup numbers are really kind of what's
• 1:31:11
  Speaker 2: keeping me off of. It seattle's around minus one sixty,
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 2: something so you'd have to do a split run line
• 1:31:17
  Speaker 2: money line bet. There but that's the WAY i look
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 2: at the baseball board. Today do with that information what you, WANT.
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 2: Wnba AFTER i clear out some of these tabs, Here,
• 1:31:28
  Speaker 2: frank what's up? Man thanks for checking out the. Show,
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 2: yeah it's it's goy, BALL i. Guess, yeah all the
• 1:31:36
  Speaker 2: the goys or the. Athletes, yes all. Right first came
• 1:31:41
  Speaker 2: up IN wnba is ON nbc And peacock and it
• 1:31:43
  Speaker 2: Is vegas And. Atlanta vegas played On, friday so none
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 2: of these teams played. Yesterday vegas one of the best
• 1:31:50
  Speaker 2: teams in the. League, still they won the championship last.
• 1:31:53
  Speaker 2: Year they're playing a fourth straight road game, here, though
• 1:31:56
  Speaker 2: so this is one of the LONGER wnba road trips
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 2: that you'll. See we might actually have an ability to
• 1:32:01
  Speaker 2: fade them in their next game when they return home
• 1:32:03
  Speaker 2: from a road, trip but maybe. NOT i don't. Know
• 1:32:05
  Speaker 2: they're gonna have a lot of time off, though so
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 2: we have to handicap That, accordingly maybe if they sweep
• 1:32:10
  Speaker 2: the road, trip then maybe we do look to fade
• 1:32:12
  Speaker 2: them because The i'm getting a seizure from what's going
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 2: on on MY tv over. THERE i don't know what that,
• 1:32:17
  Speaker 2: is but we'll talk about it when we get to.
• 1:32:19
  Speaker 2: It because if they win, today then their momentum might
• 1:32:22
  Speaker 2: get totally. Stopped plus the return home spot might be.
• 1:32:25
  Speaker 2: Bad but these ARE wnba, players, man they don't have
• 1:32:29
  Speaker 2: fam the, least they just all date each. Other the
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 2: aces are good AND i think they could be in
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 2: a bounce back spot to some extent, here because you
• 1:32:38
  Speaker 2: see what happened in their last couple of. Games they
• 1:32:40
  Speaker 2: blew Out connecticut and then obviously they just didn't pay
• 1:32:43
  Speaker 2: attention To connecticut the next time and they still. Won
• 1:32:46
  Speaker 2: But connecticut covered because you, know when you blow out
• 1:32:49
  Speaker 2: a bad team like you have nothing to gain from
• 1:32:53
  Speaker 2: doing it, again you know WHAT i. Mean connecticut probably
• 1:32:55
  Speaker 2: made some. Adjustments vegas just didn't take them. Seriously they'll
• 1:32:58
  Speaker 2: probably take this game more war seriously now that they
• 1:33:01
  Speaker 2: didn't play that well Against connecticut in their last. Game of,
• 1:33:04
  Speaker 2: Course atlanta is now a team With Angel reese on.
• 1:33:08
  Speaker 2: It Although, ATLANTA i think they're a decent. Team they've
• 1:33:11
  Speaker 2: Beaten minnesota And dallas on the road so, far so
• 1:33:14
  Speaker 2: this is technically a return home, spot which you know
• 1:33:18
  Speaker 2: is usually slightly negative at least even in THE, wnba
• 1:33:23
  Speaker 2: like when you've been away for in this, case like a,
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 2: week you still have to get back to home life and.
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 2: Whatever BUT i don't think they're gonna overlook the returning, champs.
• 1:33:30
  Speaker 2: MAN i just don't think that they, will AND i believe.
• 1:33:33
  Speaker 2: That correct me If i'm, Wrong BUT i Think atlanta
• 1:33:36
  Speaker 2: got eliminated By vegas in the playoffs last? Year AM
• 1:33:39
  Speaker 2: i right about? That, no they got eliminated by By,
• 1:33:46
  Speaker 2: Indiana my. Mistake never, MIND i don't know WHAT i
• 1:33:48
  Speaker 2: was thinking. Anyway, Now, atlanta, Though i'm not really impressed
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 2: by their resume so. FAR i, mean they beat kind
• 1:33:55
  Speaker 2: of an Upstart dallas team in their last. Game dallas
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 2: is STILL i, think kind of a Me yore. Team
• 1:34:00
  Speaker 2: that's you, know they've had the first draft picked the
• 1:34:03
  Speaker 2: last couple of. Seasons, minnesota by the, WAY i keep
• 1:34:05
  Speaker 2: forgetting to mention because they Have, collier but she's actually still.
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 2: Hurt she's like the best player in the. League but
• 1:34:12
  Speaker 2: she got hurt late last, season missed the playoffs, basically
• 1:34:16
  Speaker 2: which is Why minnesota got eliminated. Early and she's still not.
• 1:34:19
  Speaker 2: Back she's supposed to be, back like at some point
• 1:34:24
  Speaker 2: in the next couple of, weeks but she's not. Back
• 1:34:27
  Speaker 2: So atlanta did beat That minnesota team with no college
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 2: THERE'S i think there's still a decent team without, her
• 1:34:32
  Speaker 2: but obviously not as. Good what do we do with this?
• 1:34:34
  Speaker 2: Game While i'm passing on, it OBVIOUSLY i Think i'm
• 1:34:36
  Speaker 2: talking too much about the. Game the money is indicating Towards.
• 1:34:40
  Speaker 2: ATLANTA i kind of disagree with, that. Though you could
• 1:34:42
  Speaker 2: see Initially atlanta was a one and a half point,
• 1:34:45
  Speaker 2: favorite but the money Flipped vegas to a three point.
• 1:34:48
  Speaker 2: FAVORITE i don't know what happened. THERE i don't know
• 1:34:51
  Speaker 2: if there's an. Injury is there might be an injury
• 1:34:52
  Speaker 2: on The atlanta side that's causing. THAT i honestly have no.
• 1:34:55
  Speaker 2: IDEA i don't know if we could tell on the
• 1:34:58
  Speaker 2: injury report. Here, yeah it looks, like, yeah we have
• 1:35:02
  Speaker 2: A howard And jones are both out For, atlanta so
• 1:35:06
  Speaker 2: maybe that's what's going. ON i have no, clue, DUDE
• 1:35:08
  Speaker 2: i don't know enough of these, players BUT i think
• 1:35:10
  Speaker 2: that's probably usually when you see a line move like,
• 1:35:13
  Speaker 2: that it's usually an. Injury so that does mean maybe
• 1:35:16
  Speaker 2: there's an injured player theory set up On, atlanta and
• 1:35:18
  Speaker 2: maybe they shouldn't be getting three points at. Home this
• 1:35:21
  Speaker 2: is a pass for, me, though because, SITUATIONALLY i kind
• 1:35:23
  Speaker 2: of Prefer, vegas but at the three minus three on the,
• 1:35:27
  Speaker 2: ROAD i don't really love. It fifty nine percent of,
• 1:35:29
  Speaker 2: tickets eighty eight percent of the cash On, atlanta plus
• 1:35:31
  Speaker 2: when you're at the end of a road. Trip sometimes
• 1:35:33
  Speaker 2: that travel kind of catches up to. You seattle And
• 1:35:36
  Speaker 2: indiana the next game On peacock AND. Nbc the public
• 1:35:40
  Speaker 2: to me kind of seems like they might be off
• 1:35:42
  Speaker 2: Of indiana because they're sitting at a one to two.
• 1:35:44
  Speaker 2: Record here they're zero and two at, home but they
• 1:35:48
  Speaker 2: had to travel in between the. Two if you look
• 1:35:50
  Speaker 2: at this game they just lost Against, Washington indiana was
• 1:35:53
  Speaker 2: a pretty big favorite in the, game they lost in,
• 1:35:56
  Speaker 2: overtime and you KNOW i talk about one a big
• 1:35:57
  Speaker 2: favorite loses a lot of, times you want to look
• 1:36:00
  Speaker 2: to them to bounce back in the next. Game so,
• 1:36:03
  Speaker 2: yeah that could be the case For. Indiana they were
• 1:36:05
  Speaker 2: an eight and a half point. Favorite they're the better
• 1:36:08
  Speaker 2: team Over. Washington they had an ugly. Loss they had
• 1:36:10
  Speaker 2: a terrible second quarter and that just set them up
• 1:36:14
  Speaker 2: to have to come back in the, game which they,
• 1:36:15
  Speaker 2: did but then they lost in. Overtime but, then if
• 1:36:18
  Speaker 2: you look at this, game there are some THINGS i
• 1:36:19
  Speaker 2: don't love about. It Although washington shot out of their
• 1:36:22
  Speaker 2: minds in the game fifty six, percent that is not
• 1:36:25
  Speaker 2: something you see a lot in THE. Wnba washington did
• 1:36:28
  Speaker 2: go to the free throw line way more as, well
• 1:36:30
  Speaker 2: so they had nine more free throw. Makes indiana actually dominated.
• 1:36:34
  Speaker 2: Possession indiana had twenty four more field goal attempts in the.
• 1:36:39
  Speaker 2: Game you almost never see a team do that and
• 1:36:42
  Speaker 2: lose the game, Outright So indiana didn't shoot particularly. Well
• 1:36:46
  Speaker 2: so there might be some regression points here that would
• 1:36:48
  Speaker 2: put me On indiana this time, here which is that
• 1:36:51
  Speaker 2: mostly That washington just shot too well in the, game
• 1:36:54
  Speaker 2: And indiana played better in this game than it kind
• 1:36:56
  Speaker 2: of looks. Like BUT i don't like the fact That
• 1:36:58
  Speaker 2: indiana dominated the hernover, battles still lost the, game and
• 1:37:01
  Speaker 2: they got dominated in the rebound. Department SO i don't
• 1:37:04
  Speaker 2: love that they're Playing seattle. Here seattle is definitely down this.
• 1:37:09
  Speaker 2: Year seattle's on the their third straight road. Game their
• 1:37:12
  Speaker 2: only win of the season was Against, connecticut who's very.
• 1:37:15
  Speaker 2: Bad indiana's obviously way better than. That seattle Played toronto
• 1:37:19
  Speaker 2: after that and. Lost that's not a great. Sign but
• 1:37:23
  Speaker 2: going to a new venue to face a new team
• 1:37:26
  Speaker 2: that they hadn't seen Before, TORONTO i don't. KNOW i,
• 1:37:30
  Speaker 2: mean they could be in a bounce back spot. Here
• 1:37:32
  Speaker 2: you probably do get up for a game Against, indiana
• 1:37:34
  Speaker 2: BUT i would Lean indiana. Here they're the better. Team
• 1:37:37
  Speaker 2: they're in a bounce back spot. Here they're laying eleven
• 1:37:40
  Speaker 2: and a half points, though so it is pretty. Pricy
• 1:37:43
  Speaker 2: but to, ME i don't think the public would want
• 1:37:45
  Speaker 2: to do. It seventy two percent of tickets On seattle,
• 1:37:48
  Speaker 2: though ninety four percent of the cash On, seattle so
• 1:37:50
  Speaker 2: the money looks like it's coming in On, seattle BUT
• 1:37:52
  Speaker 2: i don't agree with. THAT i would lean towards laying
• 1:37:54
  Speaker 2: it With. Indiana in that. One we Have chicago At.
• 1:37:58
  Speaker 2: Minnesota of, course AS i just meant, To minnesota is
• 1:38:00
  Speaker 2: playing Without. Collier although they are two and one to
• 1:38:03
  Speaker 2: start the season with two road. Wins they are turning
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 2: over from a road, trip which you, know sometimes you
• 1:38:09
  Speaker 2: want to look to fade teams when they do. That
• 1:38:10
  Speaker 2: they've been away for less than a, week though it
• 1:38:13
  Speaker 2: wasn't the worst road. Trip they went To phoenix In.
• 1:38:15
  Speaker 2: Dallas now they're back at. Home they don't have a
• 1:38:17
  Speaker 2: big game on deck Against, toronto SO i don't know
• 1:38:20
  Speaker 2: That minnesota is gonna overlook A chicago team that's improved
• 1:38:23
  Speaker 2: so far this. Year they've won two games as, well
• 1:38:26
  Speaker 2: but their resumes is a little bit uglier because they
• 1:38:29
  Speaker 2: only Beat portland but then they did Beat Golden, state
• 1:38:31
  Speaker 2: which is a decent win. There Beating portland is kind
• 1:38:34
  Speaker 2: of nothing. Though they lost To phoenix, though In minnesota Beat,
• 1:38:39
  Speaker 2: phoenix and, Remember minnesota was super motivated in my, opinion
• 1:38:42
  Speaker 2: in that game Because phoenix is the team in Eliminated
• 1:38:45
  Speaker 2: minnesota from the playoffs last, year SO i think it
• 1:38:47
  Speaker 2: was a revenge spot For. Minnesota so people might look
• 1:38:51
  Speaker 2: at that and, think, oh, well If minnesota Beat, phoenix
• 1:38:53
  Speaker 2: who Beat, chicago, Obviously minnesota then must win this, game,
• 1:38:57
  Speaker 2: Right but you don't want to do. That that transitive
• 1:38:59
  Speaker 2: thing could definitely be. Misleading But, CHICAGO i, mean this
• 1:39:02
  Speaker 2: is their fourth straight road game and they're coming off
• 1:39:05
  Speaker 2: their first loss of the, season so there is the
• 1:39:07
  Speaker 2: potential hangover for them, here which might be a little
• 1:39:11
  Speaker 2: bit of a. Concern minnesota has not won at home.
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 2: Yet they almost won the first game at home they
• 1:39:16
  Speaker 2: covered Against. Atlanta this, time they are favored despite being
• 1:39:20
  Speaker 2: without their best. Player they're at minus four and a,
• 1:39:22
  Speaker 2: half basically going up a little bit to. Five but
• 1:39:25
  Speaker 2: it looks like the money is coming back On. Chicago
• 1:39:28
  Speaker 2: eighty percent of, tickets ninety one percent of the cash On.
• 1:39:30
  Speaker 2: Chicago i'm gonna lead slightly towards laying it With, minnesota
• 1:39:34
  Speaker 2: BUT i don't really have a great read on that.
• 1:39:35
  Speaker 2: One and then we Have toronto AT. La this does
• 1:39:39
  Speaker 2: look like a. ZIGZAG i told you, GUYS i LIKED
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 2: la in the first game Against toronto Because toronto was
• 1:39:43
  Speaker 2: having to fly out to The Pacific coast for the
• 1:39:46
  Speaker 2: first time as a. FRANCHISE la won the, game but
• 1:39:50
  Speaker 2: they actually they actually kind of dominated the game more
• 1:39:53
  Speaker 2: than it looks, like and they only won by. Four
• 1:39:55
  Speaker 2: so that kind of leads me to WANT la. Here
• 1:39:58
  Speaker 2: like when you have a team that didn't finished the
• 1:40:00
  Speaker 2: game well as a big favorite and they only won by,
• 1:40:03
  Speaker 2: four failed to cover like that's, something and they got
• 1:40:05
  Speaker 2: a bit of a scare sort of sometimes we'll see
• 1:40:08
  Speaker 2: that team play better in the next. Game and LIKE i,
• 1:40:11
  Speaker 2: said this was. MISLEADING la was winning this game by twenty.
• 1:40:15
  Speaker 2: Points at one, Point toronto never led AND la was
• 1:40:18
  Speaker 2: leading ninety nine percent of the, game LIKE i think
• 1:40:21
  Speaker 2: literally the only time where they were not leading was
• 1:40:23
  Speaker 2: when it was zero. Zero they did lose the rebound,
• 1:40:27
  Speaker 2: battle which does worry me a little. Bit and the
• 1:40:29
  Speaker 2: other thing that worries me Is toronto had twelve more
• 1:40:32
  Speaker 2: field goal attempts in the. Game that does worry. Me
• 1:40:35
  Speaker 2: But toronto kept themselves in the game by shooting a
• 1:40:38
  Speaker 2: ton of, threes which is what they. Did they also
• 1:40:40
  Speaker 2: hit a ton of free. Throws they hit five more
• 1:40:43
  Speaker 2: of their free, throws so maybe there is some regression.
• 1:40:45
  Speaker 2: THERE i, mean ninety five percent from the free throw
• 1:40:48
  Speaker 2: line is, crazy so there might be some regression there as.
• 1:40:51
  Speaker 2: Well so most things have me looking AT la in this,
• 1:40:56
  Speaker 2: one ALTHOUGH i do worry a little bit Because la
• 1:40:57
  Speaker 2: shot sixty four percent from the, feet so that does
• 1:41:01
  Speaker 2: worry me about Playing la. Here there is gonna be
• 1:41:03
  Speaker 2: some regression. There AND i worried that they didn't even
• 1:41:05
  Speaker 2: win the rebomb. Battle but they obviously pretty much dominated this,
• 1:41:09
  Speaker 2: game and the final score was misleading the fact that
• 1:41:12
  Speaker 2: they only won by. FOUR i, mean they were winning
• 1:41:13
  Speaker 2: this game in dominant fashion for the majority of the,
• 1:41:17
  Speaker 2: game as you could see. Here it got close late
• 1:41:19
  Speaker 2: in the fourth. Quarter going into the fourth, quarter they
• 1:41:21
  Speaker 2: were up eleven and then they almost blew the. Game
• 1:41:24
  Speaker 2: so they did get a. Scare they were only winning
• 1:41:27
  Speaker 2: by two at one point in the fourth. Quarter so
• 1:41:29
  Speaker 2: when the better team gets a scare like, that that
• 1:41:31
  Speaker 2: is WHAT i would go with. HERE i would lean
• 1:41:33
  Speaker 2: towards laying it WITH. La they're around the same price
• 1:41:36
  Speaker 2: seven and a half. Eight they were around that same
• 1:41:38
  Speaker 2: number in the previous, game SO i would zig zag.
• 1:41:41
  Speaker 2: IT i THINK i consider that to be a. Zigzag
• 1:41:43
  Speaker 2: even though they won the. GAME i think they were
• 1:41:46
  Speaker 2: much better in the game than it looks. Like AND
• 1:41:48
  Speaker 2: i would lay. It but it's not gonna quite make
• 1:41:50
  Speaker 2: my card because of some of those OUTLIERS i see
• 1:41:52
  Speaker 2: in the box score of but eighty eight percent of,
• 1:41:54
  Speaker 2: tickets eighty seven percent of the cash On. TORONTO i
• 1:41:57
  Speaker 2: think this is the best OPINION i have IN Thea,
• 1:42:00
  Speaker 2: Again AND i KNOW i said that the last TIME
• 1:42:03
  Speaker 2: la Hosted toronto in the previous, game and they did not.
• 1:42:05
  Speaker 2: Cover they should. Have but at LEAST i didn't put
• 1:42:08
  Speaker 2: it on my. Card i'm not putting this one on it,
• 1:42:10
  Speaker 2: either BUT i would lean TOWARDS. La all, Right then
• 1:42:13
  Speaker 2: we have THE. Nba BEFORE i get out of, here
• 1:42:16
  Speaker 2: we have a game Seven cleveland And. Detroit these teams
• 1:42:20
  Speaker 2: have been, very very home centric in the postseason until
• 1:42:24
  Speaker 2: the last two, games when the road team won each
• 1:42:26
  Speaker 2: of the last two. Games now the question is does
• 1:42:29
  Speaker 2: it go back towards the home team dominating. Again Does
• 1:42:33
  Speaker 2: detroit come back and win at? HOME i mean they
• 1:42:35
  Speaker 2: have been better at. Home they've been better at home
• 1:42:37
  Speaker 2: during the. Postseason cleveland has only won one game on
• 1:42:40
  Speaker 2: the road all, postseason but it was the last game
• 1:42:43
  Speaker 2: they played In, Detroit game. Five there's a lot going
• 1:42:47
  Speaker 2: on in this, game, Man so like the home road,
• 1:42:49
  Speaker 2: splits if you want to call, it that Favored detroit
• 1:42:52
  Speaker 2: here heavily in my, Opinion but there are a lot
• 1:42:55
  Speaker 2: of other things That i've been looking Towards. Cleveland cleveland
• 1:42:57
  Speaker 2: has more, experience SO i think that does is coming
• 1:43:00
  Speaker 2: to play in A game. Seven it's WHY i Picked
• 1:43:03
  Speaker 2: cleveland to win this series in my. BRACKET i think
• 1:43:06
  Speaker 2: the experience does, matter although of Course detroit is getting
• 1:43:08
  Speaker 2: more experience as they. Go cleveland has more scoring options, Though, Man,
• 1:43:13
  Speaker 2: detroit it's really kind of Like cunningham Or bust For.
• 1:43:16
  Speaker 2: Detroit cleveland can move the scoring around, more But detroit
• 1:43:20
  Speaker 2: has the better, defense and you, KNOW i do like,
• 1:43:23
  Speaker 2: defense But detroit is laying points in this. One. Now
• 1:43:27
  Speaker 2: the zigzag would have you looking Towards cleveland, here AND
• 1:43:29
  Speaker 2: i do like the zigzag Because cleveland got annihilated at
• 1:43:33
  Speaker 2: home In game. Six, dude it was a close game
• 1:43:35
  Speaker 2: at halftime and Then cleveland just fell apart in the
• 1:43:38
  Speaker 2: second half and they wound up losing by twenty one.
• 1:43:40
  Speaker 2: Points SO i see, that AND i want to look
• 1:43:43
  Speaker 2: to fade, that you know WHAT i. Mean you see
• 1:43:45
  Speaker 2: a team that just got obliterated at home by some
• 1:43:48
  Speaker 2: outlier margin like, THAT i usually want to look to.
• 1:43:51
  Speaker 2: Zigzag And detroit was a zigzag in that game because
• 1:43:54
  Speaker 2: they lost as a favorite the game prior to, that,
• 1:43:57
  Speaker 2: despite by the, way the only game That cleveland one
• 1:44:00
  Speaker 2: on the road in the, Postseason detroit was winning that
• 1:44:03
  Speaker 2: game by nine with like less than three minutes to,
• 1:44:05
  Speaker 2: go So cleveland easily could have lost that game as.
• 1:44:08
  Speaker 2: Well just putting that out. There but of, course if
• 1:44:11
  Speaker 2: you Played detroit, here you need them to cover as
• 1:44:13
  Speaker 2: a favorite at. Home but the zigzag would have me
• 1:44:15
  Speaker 2: looking Towards cleveland Because detroit just went into their house
• 1:44:18
  Speaker 2: and embarrassed. Them so that would have me looking Towards. Cleveland.
• 1:44:23
  Speaker 2: Here look at the box. Score detroit shot fifty two
• 1:44:26
  Speaker 2: percent from the field forty four percent from. Three those
• 1:44:29
  Speaker 2: are pretty big. Outliers. Man cleveland only shot thirty nine
• 1:44:33
  Speaker 2: percent from the. Field so you gotta think that there
• 1:44:35
  Speaker 2: is gonna be some regression In detroit shooting. Here like
• 1:44:38
  Speaker 2: they're not that great of a shooting. Team most likely
• 1:44:41
  Speaker 2: they're not gonna shoot as well in this game, here
• 1:44:43
  Speaker 2: although they will be at. Home, cleveland they're a good offensive.
• 1:44:47
  Speaker 2: Team you gotta think there is gonna be some positive
• 1:44:50
  Speaker 2: regression for them. Offensively so that does lead me to
• 1:44:53
  Speaker 2: want to look at the zig zag, here which would
• 1:44:55
  Speaker 2: have me Leaning. Cleveland but we have a couple of problems.
• 1:44:58
  Speaker 2: Here detroit won the rebound battle, again which has been
• 1:45:02
  Speaker 2: pretty consistent throughout this. Series they've been kind of the
• 1:45:06
  Speaker 2: better team in that. Regard cleveland could clean up the.
• 1:45:09
  Speaker 2: Turnovers they lost the turnover, battle but that's been something
• 1:45:13
  Speaker 2: that's plagued them in this series as. Well James harden
• 1:45:16
  Speaker 2: usually is a main culprit of. THAT i don't know
• 1:45:19
  Speaker 2: what the deal is with. Him, man how many turnovers
• 1:45:21
  Speaker 2: Did harden have in this? One let me say he
• 1:45:24
  Speaker 2: had eight? Turnovers, dude it's continuing to, Happen. Harden he's
• 1:45:28
  Speaker 2: got to stop turning the ball. Over. Man it's been
• 1:45:31
  Speaker 2: a problem for, him and you know he's made the
• 1:45:33
  Speaker 2: playoffs every single season of his career and he has no.
• 1:45:36
  Speaker 2: Championships it's just, crazy. Dude he was on some super
• 1:45:40
  Speaker 2: teams back with Like Oka. Ce i'm pretty sure he
• 1:45:42
  Speaker 2: was there with Like durant And. Westbrook it's like he
• 1:45:45
  Speaker 2: had chances where he could have done. It, MAN i don't,
• 1:45:47
  Speaker 2: know it's. CRAZY i think he's never gonna win a title. Though. Anyway,
• 1:45:52
  Speaker 2: yeah SO i Like cleveland in this, game but you,
• 1:45:56
  Speaker 2: KNOW i got some issues with, it LIKE i, Said
• 1:45:58
  Speaker 2: and one of the other main issues Is cleveland went
• 1:45:59
  Speaker 2: to the free throw line way, more and you, know
• 1:46:03
  Speaker 2: THE nba officials kind of have a tendency to try
• 1:46:06
  Speaker 2: to even that. Out you, know IT'S i think it
• 1:46:09
  Speaker 2: is rigged to some. Extent but then, again if you
• 1:46:12
  Speaker 2: think this game is rigged In game, seven maybe the you,
• 1:46:16
  Speaker 2: know the league might Want james harder to advance here
• 1:46:20
  Speaker 2: to continue the, storyline you know WHAT i. Mean he's
• 1:46:21
  Speaker 2: still the biggest h like name in this, series so
• 1:46:26
  Speaker 2: we will see what. Happens but, yeah the fact That
• 1:46:28
  Speaker 2: cleveland went to the line thirty times compared To detroit's,
• 1:46:31
  Speaker 2: nineteen And detroit was bad at the line to only
• 1:46:34
  Speaker 2: sixty eight, percent and they probably will improve in that.
• 1:46:37
  Speaker 2: Respect that has me worried a little. Bit but Because
• 1:46:40
  Speaker 2: cleveland got killed at, home Because detroit shot better than
• 1:46:42
  Speaker 2: they normally, Would cleveland shot worse than they normally, WOULD
• 1:46:46
  Speaker 2: i will lean To cleveland plus the points here they
• 1:46:49
  Speaker 2: could also cover and not win, potential though it's a
• 1:46:51
  Speaker 2: slim margin. There the line's four and a half on the,
• 1:46:56
  Speaker 2: game which is basically what it was in the Other detroit.
• 1:46:58
  Speaker 2: GAMES i Think detroit might have actually at three and
• 1:47:00
  Speaker 2: a half at home in some of the, games so
• 1:47:02
  Speaker 2: the line might be a little bit higher now at
• 1:47:04
  Speaker 2: four and a, Half so you might be getting a
• 1:47:05
  Speaker 2: little bit of value With. Cleveland there fifty eight percent of,
• 1:47:08
  Speaker 2: tickets sixty two percent of the cash On. CLEVELAND i
• 1:47:11
  Speaker 2: agree With. Cleveland the money is also coming in on the,
• 1:47:13
  Speaker 2: under sixty three percent of, tickets seventy nine percent of
• 1:47:16
  Speaker 2: the cash on the. Under the problem with that is
• 1:47:18
  Speaker 2: the books know about this. Game sevens have a tendency
• 1:47:21
  Speaker 2: to go way. Under like you get intense depense as
• 1:47:25
  Speaker 2: much as, possible you know WHAT i. Mean it's a game.
• 1:47:27
  Speaker 2: Seven it's like a Super bowl where the unders hit
• 1:47:30
  Speaker 2: a lot more. Frequently but the books know this and
• 1:47:33
  Speaker 2: they've really started to, adjust AND i believe they have
• 1:47:36
  Speaker 2: started over adjusting to. It that's the, Problem like the
• 1:47:39
  Speaker 2: situation always calls for a low scoring, game but they've
• 1:47:43
  Speaker 2: knocked this line all the way down to two oh,
• 1:47:45
  Speaker 2: five which is lower than its men throughout this entire.
• 1:47:48
  Speaker 2: Series like what was it in game one At? Detroit
• 1:47:52
  Speaker 2: In game, one the total was two seventeen and a,
• 1:47:55
  Speaker 2: half and now you're looking at it being two oh,
• 1:47:58
  Speaker 2: five so they've knocked it down twelve points from. Then
• 1:48:01
  Speaker 2: in the previous game In, DETROIT i think it was
• 1:48:03
  Speaker 2: probably around two point. NINE i would guess something like
• 1:48:06
  Speaker 2: that In game, five which also tends to be a
• 1:48:08
  Speaker 2: lower scoring. Game but that's the. Problem there's basically no
• 1:48:11
  Speaker 2: value in grabbing the under here because the total is
• 1:48:13
  Speaker 2: just so much lower because the books know. That and
• 1:48:16
  Speaker 2: in the first round of the, playoffs every game seven
• 1:48:19
  Speaker 2: went Over i'm pretty, sure which Was celtic's seventy six,
• 1:48:23
  Speaker 2: Ers and then these two teams both went to game, seven,
• 1:48:26
  Speaker 2: RIGHT i Think cleveland And Toronto i'm pretty sure they,
• 1:48:29
  Speaker 2: did And Detroit, Orlando i'm pretty. Sure all three of
• 1:48:32
  Speaker 2: those games went, over and it was basically because the
• 1:48:35
  Speaker 2: osmakers over adjusted the total or under adjusted. It, ah
• 1:48:40
  Speaker 2: they adjusted the total way too. Low so, yeah there's
• 1:48:43
  Speaker 2: just no value in. It SO i can't really you,
• 1:48:46
  Speaker 2: KNOW i just can't get a feel for the under
• 1:48:49
  Speaker 2: because it's an under type of. Game but the total
• 1:48:51
  Speaker 2: is so low it's almost like you should start leaning
• 1:48:53
  Speaker 2: towards the. Over BUT i think the better way to
• 1:48:55
  Speaker 2: play it Is. Cleveland you're getting more points than you,
• 1:48:58
  Speaker 2: have like in the series With, cleveland they got the
• 1:49:01
  Speaker 2: zigzag spot still supporting, it and it's a lower total
• 1:49:04
  Speaker 2: than you've ever. Had so if it's a defensive, battle
• 1:49:08
  Speaker 2: that helps the. Underdog. Usually, HOWEVER i will, say Because
• 1:49:11
  Speaker 2: detroit is the better defensive, team they might kind of
• 1:49:14
  Speaker 2: want it to be a defensive game because that might
• 1:49:16
  Speaker 2: help them win the game because that's more their. Style
• 1:49:18
  Speaker 2: SO i will pass on the. Game but that's gonna do. It.
• 1:49:22
  Speaker 2: Man two plays, today my plays as we try to
• 1:49:25
  Speaker 2: continue this hot streak. Again we're gonna go first five
• 1:49:28
  Speaker 2: under three and a half In Philly pittsburgh with an
• 1:49:30
  Speaker 2: elite pitching matchup. There even though it seems too, Obvious
• 1:49:35
  Speaker 2: hopefully we can get it. There skemes is just gonna
• 1:49:37
  Speaker 2: get you through the first inning. Man once he gets
• 1:49:39
  Speaker 2: through the first, inning he's been like lights. Out he's
• 1:49:42
  Speaker 2: been bad in the first inning for whatever, reason a
• 1:49:44
  Speaker 2: couple of times at. Least and then we are going
• 1:49:47
  Speaker 2: with The Cleveland, indians partially on the run, line partially
• 1:49:49
  Speaker 2: on the money, line which is about a Seventy it's
• 1:49:53
  Speaker 2: almost as like a split where you put seventy percent
• 1:49:55
  Speaker 2: of it on the money line part of, it and
• 1:49:58
  Speaker 2: then whatever that turns you put That i'm out of
• 1:50:02
  Speaker 2: it on the run, line if that makes, sense or
• 1:50:04
  Speaker 2: finding minus one run line out there at a decent,
• 1:50:06
  Speaker 2: price that's gonna do. It learn To toad On. Twitter
• 1:50:09
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• 1:50:13
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• 1:50:14
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• 1:50:14
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• 1:50:16
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• 1:50:23
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• 1:50:32
  Speaker 2: learn To toad has everything this show like. It subscribe
• 1:50:36
  Speaker 2: here obviously we're getting a few subscribers trickling in, here
• 1:50:40
  Speaker 2: so maybe the word is out That i'm, hot and
• 1:50:42
  Speaker 2: of course once that starts, Happening i'm gonna cool off.
• 1:50:45
  Speaker 2: SIGNIFICANTLY i, mean this run is totally. Unsustainable we all know,
• 1:50:48
  Speaker 2: this but it's been good And i'm trying to give
• 1:50:51
  Speaker 2: you guys winners here on the. Show i'm gonna just
• 1:50:52
  Speaker 2: continue to try to. Do i'm gonna try to continue
• 1:50:55
  Speaker 2: to do WHAT i. Do that's the way that it.
• 1:50:58
  Speaker 2: Is we're on audio, Well, Apple, Spotify. Speaker check it out,
• 1:51:02
  Speaker 2: there listen Review that all helps me, out but definitely
• 1:51:05
  Speaker 2: like a subscribe to the channel here and you'll get
• 1:51:08
  Speaker 2: the other stuff THAT i, do because AGAIN i keep talking,
• 1:51:10
  Speaker 2: ABOUT i will do AN nfl Win total show at
• 1:51:12
  Speaker 2: some point in the near future covered in youcause my
• 1:51:16
  Speaker 2: yuke channel on. YouTube you can check that Out, patreon dot,
• 1:51:19
  Speaker 2: com slash and learn to tot if you want to
• 1:51:20
  Speaker 2: throw me some support that, way just to give me
• 1:51:23
  Speaker 2: something back for giving you good info on the show,
• 1:51:26
  Speaker 2: here even which is what Dirty sack. Does but you
• 1:51:28
  Speaker 2: do get a little bit of extra stuff. THERE i
• 1:51:30
  Speaker 2: need to be better about, it but it's Mostly ukulele cover.
• 1:51:33
  Speaker 2: Focused Loser cast will be back On, tuesday so you
• 1:51:36
  Speaker 2: can check that show out ten pm Every. Tuesday the
• 1:51:41
  Speaker 2: G Spot giants podcast should be back at some, point
• 1:51:44
  Speaker 2: BUT i Know, ben my co, host is dealing with
• 1:51:47
  Speaker 2: a lot Of Libertarian party stuff right. Now enjoy, that,
• 1:51:52
  Speaker 2: sir and then TONIGHT i will be on The Golden
• 1:51:55
  Speaker 2: Shower Power Hour twitter space hosted By no And Mad.
• 1:52:00
  Speaker 2: Dogs you can go check. Out And i've been on
• 1:52:02
  Speaker 2: that space multiple times. Before it's usually complete, chaos and
• 1:52:06
  Speaker 2: it's gonna be even more chaos this time because it's
• 1:52:08
  Speaker 2: gonna be a lot of people on. It it's gonna be,
• 1:52:10
  Speaker 2: Me brian McWilliams from The lines Of liberty or whatever
• 1:52:14
  Speaker 2: those guys are doing. NOW i Love. Brian he's a
• 1:52:16
  Speaker 2: comedian as. Well he's really. Funny foundering the Piano Coverer
• 1:52:23
  Speaker 2: extraordinaire Canceled man will be on it as. Well that
• 1:52:26
  Speaker 2: guy's great as. Well check out his. Stuff and, then,
• 1:52:30
  Speaker 2: ACTUALLY i don't even know If i'm allowed to say,
• 1:52:32
  Speaker 2: That i'll get my YouTube taken. DOWN i can't. WAIT
• 1:52:34
  Speaker 2: i can't say. That MAYBE i. CAN i don't. KNOW
• 1:52:38
  Speaker 2: i forget WHAT i. APOLOGIZE i forget who else is
• 1:52:40
  Speaker 2: gonna be on. It there'll be a couple other people
• 1:52:42
  Speaker 2: on it as. Well but that's. YEAH i think that's
• 1:52:45
  Speaker 2: about it THAT i have to. Plug that's gonna do.
• 1:52:47
  Speaker 2: IT i appreciate. Everybody let's get some more wins. Today thank, you,
• 1:52:50
  Speaker 2: Sir thanks everybody for hanging. Out let's get some more
• 1:52:53
  Speaker 2: people coming into the. Show that'll do it for. Now Happy,
• 1:52:57
  Speaker 2: sunday go to, church. MAN i don't want to become your,
• 1:53:02
  Speaker 2: church but you, know, Hopefully, yeah this is some good. Advice.
• 1:53:07
  Speaker 2: Peace but don't you go. Quiet don't you fade from the.
• 1:53:12
  Speaker 1: Floor your name steal mean something to somebody for show
• 1:53:16
  Speaker 1: to put the glass. Down, baby.
• 1:53:20
  Speaker 2: Look at me, now.
• 1:53:25
  Speaker 3: Hold, on hold on nothing, nice, now hold, on hold,
• 1:53:35
  Speaker 3: on let me for. That bite's, hard but it don't
• 1:53:47
  Speaker 3: get the. Crown hold, on hold, on stay with me
• 1:53:54
  Speaker 3: now