Latest / Three For The Money / NFL Week 13 Gambling Picks, Lions Bounce Back, 33 Monster Stats, Eagles Squeak By Again?

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NFL Week 13 Gambling Picks, Lions Bounce Back, 33 Monster Stats, Eagles Squeak By Again? · Three For The Money

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  MUSIC
• 1:04
  OK, OK, OK.
• 1:06
  We're here.
• 1:07
  We're back.
• 1:08
  It's free for the money.
• 1:10
  New episodes every Thursday.
• 1:14
  And it's week 13.
• 1:16
  It's week 13 of the NFL season.
• 1:17
  Thanksgiving is over.
• 1:19
  The celebration of food and football is over.
• 1:24
  If you tailed the show, you probably had an amazing Thanksgiving, an amazing Black Friday,
• 1:32
  and you probably took a huge dump in your pants on Sunday.
• 1:38
  The Sunday slate was not great for the boys, but you know, if you put together our records
• 1:45
  from Thursday and Friday with the Sunday records, you know, you're probably sitting OK, depending.
• 1:54
  So, Chris, how did you do?
• 2:00
  Exactly how you said.
• 2:01
  I had a great Thanksgiving with 3-0 and 1 Black Friday, 1 game, 1-0.
• 2:08
  And then Sunday was terrible.
• 2:11
  But all in all, when you put all the days together, which is what I'm choosing to do
• 2:15
  because it makes me feel better, I want 7, 6, and 1, and I will not apologize for winning.
• 2:23
  That's how I'm choosing to look at it so I don't get sad.
• 2:28
  Sean, how did you do?
• 2:32
  Amazing Thanksgiving on top of the world.
• 2:38
  Bad Sunday.
• 2:40
  Awful.
• 2:42
  Awful.
• 2:44
  Overall though, I went for the whole weekend, I went 9, 8, and 1.
• 2:50
  Chris, like you just said, I will not apologize for winning.
• 2:54
  I won 9 of my picks and I pushed on one of them.
• 3:00
  Not a loss.
• 3:02
  So, I've been pushing a lot recently.
• 3:07
  I think I have like 5 pushes now.
• 3:12
  Oh, yeah.
• 3:14
  But yeah.
• 3:17
  I'm ready to just kind of kick this week in the dust, if I'm being honest though.
• 3:23
  We're going to kick this week into balls, that's what we're going to do.
• 3:27
  We're going to take it like it's ours.
• 3:30
  Well, I was saying I would take last week and just forget about it and let's just go into this week with a fresh clean slate.
• 3:40
  That's what I would really like.
• 3:42
  Yeah, kicking them in the balls.
• 3:45
  Okay, week 13.
• 3:47
  Oh, I went 7 and 5 last week.
• 3:50
  Again, shit Sunday, but won all my Thanksgiving and Black Friday bets.
• 3:56
  That's in the past.
• 3:58
  I'm going to kick this week on.
• 4:01
  It's week 13.
• 4:04
  These double digit weeks have me feeling pretty sad about how much football is left.
• 4:12
  But yeah, we're not going to get into that.
• 4:16
  First game, we got the Broncos at the Texans.
• 4:19
  The Texans are favored by three and a half here.
• 4:23
  We're going to kick the Texans lost against the Jaguars in a close game, not close enough for us.
• 4:35
  Unfortunately, he was like a couple of inches off from making that field goal to tie it up.
• 4:42
  But yeah, the Broncos last week, who'd they murder?
• 4:46
  They murdered the Browns.
• 4:48
  Yeah, Broncos look kind of real.
• 4:51
  Pretty, well, real here and there.
• 4:56
  Their defense has definitely stepped up.
• 4:58
  I am going to throw it to Chris.
• 5:00
  What do you think about this game?
• 5:02
  Well, I had the Texans last week and like you said, oh, oh, so close to actually going to overtime to win that game, potentially winning that game.
• 5:11
  I'm backing him again this week.
• 5:14
  The Texans, I mean, both teams do kind of need this win.
• 5:20
  But the Texans need it more.
• 5:23
  Like they need to prove that they're actually for real and be like an actual decent team.
• 5:28
  So I felt like they're just beaten, like kind of, they're kind of beating some cupcakes and then choking against the real teams they play like the Jags, who are fraudulent, but they're higher level than the Texans, if that makes sense.
• 5:44
  So I'm taking the Texans, they need this one and yeah, if they want to actually make the playoffs, they need this one.
• 5:50
  So I'm taking the Texans.
• 5:52
  Will, what are you taking?
• 5:54
  I am taking the Broncos here.
• 5:57
  Okay, awesome.
• 5:58
  It seems that the Broncos are sort of coming into form.
• 6:03
  I feel like their team is a more complete team. They have more better guys at each position than the Texans who, you know, last year were complete dog shit.
• 6:16
  And I mean, so are the Broncos.
• 6:18
  But now that the Broncos have a decent coach, it seems like they're putting it together. Their defense is lights out.
• 6:27
  I think that's plus three and a half here. I think that's, I think that's the move. I think that's the move. So I'm going to take it.
• 6:36
  Sean, what do you think?
• 6:38
  I am honestly leaning towards this under, under 47 and a half, I believe.
• 6:49
  Yeah, Broncos have won five straight, you know, three of those wins are against current playoff teams and four, four of those five wins have come at home in Denver.
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  So I wasn't too sure what to do with this one against a good Houston team on the road.
• 7:15
  These two are battling for a playoff spot right now. And I think it can get a little bit gross and sweaty.
• 7:23
  So I, I, I think it's reaching to say that they're going to score 48 points under 47 and a half. That's my play.
• 7:34
  That sounds good. That, uh, yeah, that seems really high. Honestly,
• 7:39
  It really does.
• 7:41
  Yeah.
• 7:42
  I'm counting on each of these teams to, to score, how many touchdowns is that? I don't even know.
• 7:51
  At least five.
• 7:53
  You're not going to bless us with your math skills this week, Will.
• 7:59
  I already did. It's at least five.
• 8:02
  At least five touchdowns, right?
• 8:05
  Yeah.
• 8:06
  Yeah, we did. Yeah.
• 8:09
  It's like six or seven or something. Anyway, next game, we got the Lions at the Saints, the Saints stink.
• 8:18
  I dislike them. They're borderline unwatchable. They're four point dogs at home. This line seems right.
• 8:28
  It does seem kind of a little bit of an overcorrection for, for the lion side of it. Me personally, this is what I think IMO.
• 8:41
  Just because like they lost against the Packers and the Packers have shown that they aren't a decent team, but it's Thanksgiving and you know,
• 8:51
  if you're, if you're in gambling circles, you know about the, the moon on Thanksgiving and the Lions. So I think this was just like last week was a stroke of bad luck.
• 9:01
  Lions Thanksgiving, they always lose the moon, definitely not on their side.
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  Important, important factor you got to have there.
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  But the moon won't be out this time. So I will be taking Lions minus four visiting the New Orleans Saints. Saints will not go marching.
• 9:23
  Sean, what do you think?
• 9:26
  I am on the same thing.
• 9:29
  You know, Lions struggled against the Bears, got the dub.
• 9:34
  And you know, like you just said, the, the moon tried to warn us about the Lions and you don't go against the moon.
• 9:46
  It controls the tides.
• 9:49
  Why can't it control football games?
• 9:52
  It can. And you know, it obviously it can.
• 9:56
  And you know, the Saints, the Saints are really no better right now. I mean, they're struggling as well back to back losses against Astro Dobbs and B. John Robinson and the ATL defense.
• 10:10
  I mean, Saints have a lot of injuries. And especially in their skill positions, I think Chris Alave's questionable right now.
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  Derek Carr, I did already doesn't have anybody to throw to.
• 10:24
  And the Saints are just fucking terrible at home.
• 10:29
  They're awful.
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  No, two, two on a win-loss record and oh and four against the spread.
• 10:36
  And I think this is a perfect game for the Lions to get back on track back to winning.
• 10:43
  And you know, their lines are pretty good on the road to their four and one.
• 10:50
  And when loss and against the spread. So I think this is this is free money right here.
• 10:56
  Lions minus four is the play.
• 10:58
  Chris, do you agree?
• 11:01
  I mean, it's clean sweep. We're all in lines minus four.
• 11:05
  Their defense, the Lions defense is terrible.
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  But the Saints offense. I mean, like you said, Alave is questionable. Michael Thomas is on IR, I believe.
• 11:15
  Or she should heed. I can't remember if he's questionable or out definitely for this game.
• 11:20
  But either way, I mean, who's who's cargant a third?
• 11:25
  He can only check it down to Kamara so many times.
• 11:29
  This is a get right game for the Lions who actually who need it bad.
• 11:35
  I kind of lean towards this over just because both the defense is kind of stink.
• 11:39
  The Lions, I don't I can't see the Saints keeping up with the Lions in this one.
• 11:45
  And it's in a dome. So Jared Goff, when the one football is being played inside rocks.
• 11:50
  So Lions minus four all day. I love it.
• 11:54
  Let's go. The Lions are back.
• 11:57
  Next game should be amazing. I think there's a lot of teams on by this week.
• 12:05
  There are way too many teams on by this week. Yeah, we were choosing the games to go over this week.
• 12:15
  All the games that were going over in this slate, like I don't want to talk about any other games.
• 12:24
  Like all the other games this week are not good. I don't want to talk about them.
• 12:30
  I don't think they're worth talking about. I mean, I get what you're saying. Definitely.
• 12:39
  Yeah, week 13 is not for the faint of heart. Only the real degenerates are here.
• 12:48
  So with the Cowboys being on by. They're not on by.
• 12:54
  They play Thursday. You're right. Tonight they play tonight. Yes. Check out bandits pick.
• 13:01
  And it's so back. You had to take a week off or two. Whatever.
• 13:11
  Cowboys aren't playing Sunday. So that means that the game of the week will not be the Cowboys.
• 13:16
  I'm hoping it's this game the 49ers at the Eagles. The Eagles are home dogs by three.
• 13:25
  I am going to throw this to Sean to open it up.
• 13:33
  This this line makes no sense.
• 13:36
  Eagles are the only 10 and one team in the league right now.
• 13:41
  They're home underdogs.
• 13:46
  The Eagles are one of four teams who have not lost at home yet.
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  In their home underdogs. Yes.
• 13:56
  It may make sense of this.
• 13:58
  Because all of their wins are by the hairs of their chinny chin chin.
• 14:04
  I guess but like. They are.
• 14:08
  Last few weeks last few weeks at least. Yeah. Yeah.
• 14:15
  I did find.
• 14:18
  I okay let me.
• 14:20
  I really want to take this over.
• 14:23
  I really want to because this is the game of the week. And this is the best game of the entire weekend.
• 14:31
  This.
• 14:33
  It's it's sad that this isn't prime time but whatever.
• 14:38
  But I did find a tasty little stat on.
• 14:43
  Trincent.
• 14:45
  Jalen Hertz is 19 and oh when he is an underdog.
• 14:52
  This man is hitting at a 100% win rate.
• 14:57
  That is in saying.
• 15:01
  Yes.
• 15:04
  And you know. Eagles haven't lost at home yet. I don't think.
• 15:09
  They very well could lose this game but.
• 15:14
  It's not a trap. If you know it's a trap.
• 15:17
  You get me. Yes. So I'm going to lay the Eagles money line here.
• 15:23
  Plus money. Unbeaten at home. 19 and oh as a dog like.
• 15:28
  I'm going to throw it to Chris because he looks.
• 15:32
  Disheveled.
• 15:34
  I hate that you.
• 15:37
  Said that.
• 15:39
  I hate that you brought. I did not know that he was undefeated as a dog.
• 15:44
  I'm still I'm still taking the Niners minus three.
• 15:47
  Like you said this line makes no sense.
• 15:50
  So.
• 15:52
  It doesn't. I got it. I just think the Niners.
• 15:55
  Are better right now. Right now they are better.
• 15:58
  They are beating this shit out of everyone and the Eagles like you said will are just.
• 16:03
  They're finding ways to win late. And that's all you really need to do.
• 16:08
  But eventually your luck will run out. It's the NFL.
• 16:11
  So.
• 16:13
  Niners minus three. I don't.
• 16:16
  I don't love it now. I was feeling pretty confident until Sean.
• 16:20
  Spoke.
• 16:22
  But.
• 16:25
  Still with my gut Niners minus three. I think they're.
• 16:28
  As of right now the better team and I.
• 16:30
  Pray to God this is the NFC championship.
• 16:32
  So.
• 16:33
  Will what do you got.
• 16:35
  That's not the first time I've heard that either.
• 16:37
  What would you say.
• 16:39
  I was feeling pretty good until Sean spoke.
• 16:41
  I'm not saying anything.
• 16:43
  I'm not saying anything.
• 16:45
  I'm not saying anything.
• 16:47
  I'm not saying anything.
• 16:49
  I'm not saying anything.
• 16:52
  What do you got.
• 16:55
  So.
• 16:58
  I think.
• 17:00
  That this line.
• 17:02
  Does make sense.
• 17:04
  I feel like this line is correct.
• 17:08
  I.
• 17:11
  It's.
• 17:13
  It's like who are the Eagles going to be underdogs against.
• 17:18
  What.
• 17:19
  What other team would they be underdogs against.
• 17:22
  I could.
• 17:24
  Well.
• 17:25
  I could very well see the spread.
• 17:27
  If this if the Eagles were away this the spread would make sense to me.
• 17:32
  But it's the fact that they're at home that they don't get any like.
• 17:36
  Home love.
• 17:37
  Yeah.
• 17:38
  At all. Like that's what it's like.
• 17:40
  Because.
• 17:41
  If you're at home.
• 17:42
  I feel like you get a little bit of a push on.
• 17:45
  Like the number right.
• 17:47
  Like you get home field advantage is worth three points.
• 17:50
  So like if this if this game was away with the spread to be six and a half.
• 17:56
  Yes.
• 17:57
  Do you think that's correct.
• 17:59
  No I know I don't think it would.
• 18:01
  No.
• 18:02
  Okay well that's that's what I'm trying to say.
• 18:04
  I think it would be I think it would be four and a half.
• 18:08
  If we're going off this I think it would be four and a half if you were to ask me.
• 18:12
  Last week I would probably say three.
• 18:15
  But going off this I would say probably four and a half.
• 18:20
  Okay.
• 18:22
  I think maybe on a neutral field it might be six.
• 18:26
  Or at the Niners it might be six.
• 18:28
  Either way doesn't matter.
• 18:30
  Moving on.
• 18:31
  I will be taking the Eagles here.
• 18:33
  It just it seems like.
• 18:36
  Like I said they would they.
• 18:38
  They win these games late they win these games by the hairs of their chinny chin chin.
• 18:44
  And I feel like I've been fading up the past couple weeks and it's kind of burned me.
• 18:51
  So I will be taking the Eagles here.
• 18:54
  No wait I didn't fade them last week.
• 18:56
  They just didn't cover last week because they only won by three.
• 19:01
  Because I have three and a half.
• 19:03
  That sucked.
• 19:05
  But this is three.
• 19:07
  But this is three and it's at home and their dogs.
• 19:10
  I feel like this is a good spot to take the Eagles in.
• 19:13
  I will be taking the Eagles.
• 19:15
  Okay.
• 19:16
  Next game.
• 19:17
  Sunday night football.
• 19:19
  It is chiefs at the Packers.
• 19:21
  The Packers are six point underdogs at home.
• 19:26
  Christopher what do you have on this game.
• 19:30
  I hate it.
• 19:32
  I'm fading the chiefs again.
• 19:34
  Packers plus six and a half.
• 19:38
  The chiefs like I know they beat up on the Raiders.
• 19:43
  Cool.
• 19:44
  The Raiders are not a good football team.
• 19:46
  Like they're fun to watch right now.
• 19:48
  They got some mojo going on paper.
• 19:50
  They are they're just not a good football team.
• 19:53
  The Packers I mean they're not great but they're putting it together.
• 19:56
  Their defense has played well less well enough the last few weeks and the chiefs the chiefs offense.
• 20:03
  Like it's just not impressive whatsoever.
• 20:07
  I mean I think I saw a stat that yeah here Patrick Mahomes threw it to someone not named through it to not completed through it to someone not named where she writes four times against the Raiders.
• 20:20
  I don't think you can do that multiple weeks in a row and win a game by a touchdown.
• 20:25
  I just give me the Packers plus six and a half here.
• 20:28
  I just I would have a good feeling with the chiefs offense right now to win by a touch.
• 20:33
  I know they just did it but to back them again I can't do it.
• 20:37
  So Packers plus six and a half.
• 20:39
  Sean what do you want.
• 20:43
  Because a ride in high after their Thanksgiving their big Thanksgiving win thanks to the moon.
• 20:52
  You know Patty Mahomes can't cover small spreads but he can sure cover these these bigger ones.
• 21:00
  And I do think the chiefs win by a touchdown here.
• 21:06
  I will be I will be taking chiefs minus six.
• 21:10
  I may also lay their team total which was 23 and a half the last time I checked.
• 21:19
  Chiefs can put up 24 on the Packers.
• 21:23
  Yeah they can.
• 21:26
  And if they can do that they can cover.
• 21:29
  So I don't I don't see any reason why Patrick Mahomes like I saw like a thing where he hasn't been like the number one quarterback of the week or whatever since like October of last year.
• 21:47
  Like he hasn't had the most impressive stats out of every other quarterback or whatever since last year.
• 21:54
  Yeah it's it's it is go time right now for these these teams that are in playoff positions.
• 22:02
  You know trying to secure the best seed that they can.
• 22:06
  And you know chiefs go for nothing but the one seed.
• 22:11
  I think they they got to put up points here.
• 22:14
  Yeah chiefs minus six and a half.
• 22:17
  Will what do you got.
• 22:19
  Well it's a prime time game so I have the under it's an auto bet obviously.
• 22:25
  So I am choosing to double dip on this game.
• 22:29
  This game does sort of have my brain in a pretzel.
• 22:33
  I think that.
• 22:36
  Chiefs are struggling right now.
• 22:38
  It's it's tough to bet on them.
• 22:40
  But I also think the Packers pulling pulling that game out of their ass is tough to sort of repeat that magic.
• 22:49
  And I guess I mean the Lions aren't I guess like their their defense isn't that great.
• 22:56
  So I don't know this this game had me in a pretzel.
• 23:01
  Is this like a Packers like overvalued I feel like the Packers are kind of on the same sort of wavelength as the Raiders.
• 23:13
  It's it's just like fighting in my head.
• 23:19
  I can I can just foresee the panel.
• 23:25
  For Sunday Night Football making all their picks and all of them choosing the chiefs.
• 23:31
  I am and I hate that because that means the Packers are going to win.
• 23:38
  And I don't want to bet on the Packers.
• 23:40
  And I don't really want to bet on the chiefs either.
• 23:44
  But if I had to choose.
• 23:47
  I think I'm going to choose the chiefs here.
• 23:49
  It's just they got to string together some wins to establish dominance or this could be a perfect spot where the chiefs lose.
• 24:01
  And everyone's like oh the chiefs can't do it.
• 24:03
  They can't do it again.
• 24:04
  And then they do it again.
• 24:07
  I don't know.
• 24:08
  See this is I mean I'm playing mental gymnastics right now.
• 24:12
  It's it's tough.
• 24:14
  So what what is your bet.
• 24:20
  I'm basically just the under that but you said you were double dipping but what do you take.
• 24:32
  It's like if I take the chiefs and the Packers cover I'm going to feel like an idiot.
• 24:39
  But if I take the Packers and the chiefs blow them out I'm going to feel like a idiot.
• 24:46
  This is a no no win situation for me.
• 24:50
  I don't know.
• 24:51
  I'm going to take the chiefs.
• 24:54
  We're just I'm just they're just a better team.
• 24:57
  I'm just going to take them.
• 24:59
  Let me circle that.
• 25:01
  Let me be frank.
• 25:02
  I do not think the Packers will win this game.
• 25:04
  I just think they're going to keep it within the touchdown.
• 25:08
  They could.
• 25:09
  So let me just say that I have no confidence in them winning this game.
• 25:12
  I think they've lose by four.
• 25:15
  That's just my my I did what what people think like oh he's thinking the Packers are going to win.
• 25:21
  No no they're not talented enough.
• 25:23
  But when I kind of wish I hadn't said that because if they do if they do when I look like a genius but whatever Packers plus six and a half.
• 25:34
  All right.
• 25:35
  Well next game.
• 25:37
  Bangles at Jags Monday night football.
• 25:42
  Jags are home favorites by eight and a half.
• 25:44
  This game is going to stink.
• 25:49
  Okay I'm obviously betting the under.
• 25:53
  But what are you guys taken.
• 25:56
  Because I don't want to bet either side here.
• 26:01
  I hate this game.
• 26:03
  I hate these teams.
• 26:05
  They make me angry.
• 26:08
  I want zero Z E R O points to be scored in this game.
• 26:15
  I want this game to end in a tie at zero zero.
• 26:20
  It'll be the only time I will accept the tie in the NFL.
• 26:25
  With that being said under 38 is my pick.
• 26:29
  And that's not just a prime time under pick like I know they're hot right now but I really want this game to go under.
• 26:37
  I really I really I want this game to be bad for no reason.
• 26:44
  I think it's gonna watch.
• 26:46
  I want to watch these these fans suffer.
• 26:50
  Because they've been these Bengals and Jags fans they've been riding high recently.
• 26:57
  Well Bengals not so much after you know losing Joe Burrow and all that but.
• 27:04
  That these past few years with these with these franchises these these fans are getting a little too full of themselves and they need to take it down a notch and zero points by tying by tying zero points.
• 27:22
  I would I would love that.
• 27:27
  I am taking under 38 because it's prime time.
• 27:34
  And I'm taking that because I have no idea what to do with the side in this game.
• 27:38
  I feel like eight and a half is is a lot.
• 27:42
  I know the Bengals don't have a quarterback but eight and a half.
• 27:46
  That's a lot.
• 27:47
  I felt that's a lot of points with a fraudulent Jags team.
• 27:50
  So I'm just gonna rock prime time.
• 27:53
  I hate both these teams.
• 27:55
  So under 38 wouldn't be the worst thing in the world to see as a fan but prime time when in doubt take the under.
• 28:04
  I know it's a it's a square as it can get.
• 28:07
  But this is the year of the square apparently so I'm taking under 38.
• 28:11
  This the this fraudulent Jags team is currently sitting in the one seed.
• 28:18
  They're gonna lose in the playoffs.
• 28:20
  Yeah.
• 28:21
  Well maybe not first round because I don't know who's gonna be the whoever they plan.
• 28:26
  Well if they're the one seed they will play in the first round.
• 28:29
  They're gonna lose.
• 28:30
  I don't care.
• 28:31
  They're not that good.
• 28:33
  They're not.
• 28:35
  They're trying to play a good team.
• 28:37
  They fold.
• 28:38
  So they're a fraudulent.
• 28:41
  I don't care.
• 28:42
  The Steelers a few years ago were like 13 and three or some shit and they got ran in the playoffs by the Browns.
• 28:50
  So I don't.
• 28:52
  Oh yeah.
• 28:53
  You can you can shove your record up your ass.
• 28:55
  You're they're fraudulent.
• 28:57
  Oh yeah.
• 28:58
  I remember that.
• 28:59
  That's the Browns be the Browns Baker Mayfield game.
• 29:03
  Yeah.
• 29:04
  They beat the shit out of them.
• 29:05
  Yeah.
• 29:07
  Yeah that game was that game was fun.
• 29:10
  I was on the winning side of that.
• 29:12
  I remember I had the over.
• 29:14
  I think the Browns got it themselves.
• 29:17
  All right now that our main slate of games are done let's go into our surefire picks of the week double unit guaranteed not to lose.
• 29:27
  Chris.
• 29:30
  Sean.
• 29:31
  Okay.
• 29:34
  What is it.
• 29:37
  I bet this earlier in the season and it just happened to be one of the games that failed to uphold the stat but.
• 29:50
  I double unit surefire guaranteed winner is the New England Patriots team total under 17 and a half.
• 30:01
  They cannot put up points to save their lives.
• 30:06
  If Matt Jones had a gun to his head he could not score three touchdowns.
• 30:12
  He couldn't he can't do it.
• 30:14
  He can't do it.
• 30:16
  Do you know how many games they have scored how many games they've scored 17 points or more in.
• 30:24
  In 11 games.
• 30:27
  To to to to.
• 30:31
  They have failed to score 17 points and nine of their 11 games.
• 30:38
  One of those this week one that they scored more than I believe I think they scored 20 against the Eagles.
• 30:45
  I think you're right.
• 30:47
  And then the other one was the the bills.
• 30:50
  Oh yeah that yeah that weird game yeah that weird ass game.
• 30:55
  So yeah that is my double unit surefire guaranteed not to lose play Chris are you ready or should I throw it to will.
• 31:03
  I'm ready I just had to write something down.
• 31:05
  All right.
• 31:06
  Well you'll see why I had to write something down because for my surefire double unit guaranteed not to lose play of the week.
• 31:14
  I got stacked from our good friends over at Trent Center and it's a it's a mouthful so bear with me for a second.
• 31:24
  I will.
• 31:25
  I will need to go slow.
• 31:27
  Yeah.
• 31:28
  I'm sure.
• 31:30
  Since 2007.
• 31:33
  When a team who is playing the Pittsburgh Steelers lost their last game.
• 31:40
  And the Steelers won their last game and the spread is more than three and a half.
• 31:45
  The underdog is 35 17 and one against the spread 7 2 and 1 in their last 10.
• 31:54
  Cardinals plus five and a half is my surefire double unit guaranteed not to lose better the week.
• 32:03
  Does everyone get that.
• 32:04
  I got it.
• 32:05
  I got it.
• 32:06
  Okay.
• 32:07
  Okay.
• 32:08
  It took me a couple of seconds.
• 32:10
  That is a mouthful.
• 32:11
  I will say it is that is a mouthful.
• 32:14
  It was almost too specific for me because you know I love a weirdo stat but I had to ride with it.
• 32:22
  That it was great.
• 32:24
  7 2 and 1 in last 10.
• 32:26
  That's right.
• 32:27
  Cardinals plus five and a half will tell me your surefire play the week.
• 32:32
  Okay.
• 32:33
  So my surefire pick double unit play of the week are the is the dolphins at the commanders under 50.
• 32:43
  Okay.
• 32:44
  Here we go.
• 32:45
  Got this stat from the great folks over at the trend center.
• 32:49
  You know they always got tons of stats.
• 32:52
  I think there was like 33 stats for this game.
• 32:56
  We were doing a research for this episode.
• 32:59
  Lots to choose from.
• 33:01
  But I got a doozy right here.
• 33:03
  All right.
• 33:04
  This one's called well rested unders.
• 33:07
  Okay.
• 33:08
  So 2018 if both teams are rested for more than seven days the under is 89 43 and 2.
• 33:19
  Okay.
• 33:20
  Both of these teams played either Thanksgiving or the Black Friday game.
• 33:27
  They're more than seven days rest.
• 33:30
  I will be taking the under 50 is quite high in the NFL season.
• 33:36
  This season unders are hitting at a astronomical rate.
• 33:43
  But you know what you got us so you're probably making a ton of money on these unders.
• 33:49
  Also 50 just so high for anyone honestly.
• 33:55
  I do see this as sort of a zigzag play because they both of these teams have shown that they can put up points but going under 50.
• 34:04
  What is it?
• 34:05
  I think there's supposed to be some rain for this game.
• 34:09
  Let's go.
• 34:10
  I might as well just put this in after the show.
• 34:13
  You probably based on the reports I've read there's but I mean based on that standalone it could be Sunday and 75 I would bet it.
• 34:20
  But I heard they're supposed to be rain and it's in.
• 34:26
  It's in Washington right there.
• 34:29
  Are we are we boring you will.
• 34:33
  Sorry.
• 34:36
  No no it's good but I did hear there's supposed to be some rain and land over this week so.
• 34:42
  Oh yes I love that bet under 50 double unit sure fire play of the week.
• 34:49
  What other those are done.
• 34:51
  Let's just get into the rest of our cards.
• 34:54
  Chris.
• 34:56
  What's the rest of your card.
• 34:58
  All right we'll start off with yours dolphins managers under 50.
• 35:01
  I saw that stat and I fell in love.
• 35:04
  I was upset that you beat me to it with your sure fire but I'm I'm still going to bet it still going to win money.
• 35:10
  So how can you how can you go wrong.
• 35:13
  Then it's not necessarily fading Sean I'm taking Patriots plus six.
• 35:18
  The chargers should not be six point favorites on the road against another NFL team.
• 35:24
  I know the Patriots the Patriots are terrible.
• 35:27
  But if the Patriots cover this number that team is going to be an ugly ugly ugly game so we could definitely both win these both won our bets Falcons jets under 34 both these offenses are atrocious.
• 35:43
  Oh yeah.
• 35:45
  So this might be back.
• 35:48
  Who not this week.
• 35:50
  Not this week.
• 35:51
  Not this week.
• 35:52
  He just returned to practice.
• 35:55
  21.
• 35:57
  It's like 21 days of like practice or something.
• 36:01
  Yeah.
• 36:02
  Before he's like really activated.
• 36:04
  Yeah I think I think they said it would be like 15 is the earliest he could come back or something like that if he does but we'll get there when we get there.
• 36:14
  I don't know why he would.
• 36:16
  I don't know why he would come back now.
• 36:18
  Just for fun.
• 36:19
  Who cares.
• 36:20
  Like he's.
• 36:22
  He's not going to make the playoffs.
• 36:25
  He just wants to play ball man.
• 36:27
  He loves ball.
• 36:29
  He also just wants to be the only guy who's come back from a torn Achilles and played in the same year.
• 36:37
  I don't believe he tore his Achilles.
• 36:39
  I'm no doctor but something's fishy there.
• 36:44
  All right.
• 36:45
  Anyway Falcons jets under Falcons jets under 34.
• 36:51
  What else.
• 36:54
  Is that all I got.
• 36:57
  Yeah that's all I got shit.
• 36:59
  Okay.
• 37:00
  Yeah okay.
• 37:01
  Yeah.
• 37:02
  So this is the only other two.
• 37:03
  I'll probably add some more because that feels a little light.
• 37:06
  But yeah as of right now is the only two again.
• 37:09
  Sean what is the rest of your card.
• 37:12
  Well I only had two and then I just added three more.
• 37:17
  I'm tailing both of y'all surefire picks as well as the Falcons jets under.
• 37:24
  I love that stat of.
• 37:27
  Totals below 37 heaven and saying hit rate so I will be writing that but my other two plays are Titans money line against the Colts again.
• 37:41
  Somehow the Titans are one of the four teams who are unbeaten at home.
• 37:48
  It's kind of hard not to take the Titans here.
• 37:52
  It's it.
• 37:54
  Colts are injury bugged so badly there.
• 37:59
  They've got so many injury problems that Titans can.
• 38:04
  This is a very much another like will levis game.
• 38:07
  Hopefully you can get it done again.
• 38:10
  But then I also have the dolphins minus nine and a half against the Manders on the road.
• 38:18
  The commanders are.
• 38:20
  They're just as bad.
• 38:21
  They're just as bad as the Saints at home.
• 38:24
  They're terrible.
• 38:25
  They're terrible against the spread.
• 38:27
  They haven't won a game against the spread at home all season.
• 38:32
  And also I think Tyree kill is just gonna eat.
• 38:36
  He is gonna feast.
• 38:38
  This is the last thing was Thanksgiving but this man is gonna feast after.
• 38:46
  Stuff about the fine and everything.
• 38:48
  Yeah, yeah, yeah.
• 38:50
  Yeah, but yeah, those are my only two plays I felt like this I might have more again like.
• 38:56
  Like Chris said it feels a little light but.
• 38:59
  These games weren't really worth looking into if I'm being honest.
• 39:03
  Yep.
• 39:04
  So.
• 39:06
  What are your remaining plays.
• 39:08
  So I only have one right now.
• 39:11
  And it is the Cardinals plus five and a half probably will take that Pat's team total.
• 39:19
  Let me write that down.
• 39:22
  Made some excellent points there.
• 39:26
  Yeah, you know, taking the Cardinals because of Chris's sure fire pit those are sure fire pick right Chris.
• 39:34
  Yes, sir.
• 39:35
  Yeah, I'm taking Cardinals plus five and a half here.
• 39:41
  I may end up taking Titans money line.
• 39:43
  I don't know.
• 39:44
  It just seems every time I take the Titans it's doesn't go great.
• 39:48
  But you know what, whatever who cares it's only money can't take it when you die.
• 39:56
  But yeah, that's all I got from my car.
• 39:58
  That's been my philosophy last few days.
• 40:01
  Can't take it with you.
• 40:02
  Who cares.
• 40:03
  I'm not going to be a fan of that.
• 40:05
  Midweek betting has scared me off a little bit might dabble either the rest of this week or next week. We'll see.
• 40:17
  What are you using? What is it Chris?
• 40:19
  I added two more.
• 40:21
  While you guys are talking on the fly.
• 40:24
  Titans money line.
• 40:26
  And Rams minus three and a half because the Rams.
• 40:30
  Might be starting Joe flacco.
• 40:33
  Rams minus three and a half times my line because I mean go Titans and they are in feed at home and I hate the cults.
• 40:42
  So that was my in-depth research for those two that I wrote down while you guys are talking.
• 40:50
  Hell yeah.
• 40:52
  Hell yeah.
• 40:53
  Let me write that down too.
• 40:59
  Cool.
• 41:00
  Cool.
• 41:01
  Well that's the games this week.
• 41:05
  Little short things to touch on.
• 41:08
  This past week I cashed three college football futures.
• 41:13
  I had the under five and a half wins.
• 41:17
  Jesus Chris.
• 41:18
  Sorry.
• 41:21
  I had under five and a half wins for Florida.
• 41:24
  I had Chris's over 10 and a half Michigan wins.
• 41:31
  That already hit but yeah.
• 41:33
  Yeah.
• 41:34
  It officially cashed I think.
• 41:36
  Yes.
• 41:38
  And then over 11 and a half wins for Georgia.
• 41:42
  Yeah that was like free money.
• 41:44
  You take a look at their schedule that was just.
• 41:47
  That was like free money.
• 41:49
  There was a couple close calls.
• 41:51
  But not really.
• 41:53
  Kind of.
• 41:54
  Yeah kind of.
• 41:56
  Maybe he's probably not.
• 41:57
  No.
• 41:58
  Okay.
• 41:59
  Well.
• 42:00
  So yeah.
• 42:01
  Three college football futures cash those.
• 42:03
  Let's see.
• 42:04
  We went to the Titans game.
• 42:08
  I think Henry had 73 yards rushing and we all bet his rushing over and I got it at 72 and a half.
• 42:20
  What a snipe.
• 42:21
  Did he really end up with 73.
• 42:23
  I'm going back and checking right now.
• 42:25
  Yeah.
• 42:26
  He did.
• 42:27
  Awesome.
• 42:28
  And it was like it was his last play of the game before they like took him out and he got.
• 42:33
  He we needed like we needed two yards and he got two yards exactly.
• 42:39
  And I was like.
• 42:41
  That was close.
• 42:42
  That was close.
• 42:44
  Yes.
• 42:45
  That was a little too close for comfort.
• 42:47
  I thought he was going to I thought he was going to cook a little bit more than.
• 42:51
  Cashing it late in the fourth quarter against the Carolina Panthers but.
• 42:57
  Whatever.
• 42:58
  It did a cash is a cash a win is a win.
• 43:01
  Henry still the king two touchdowns 73 yards.
• 43:05
  Can't ask anything else but from the king.
• 43:09
  Yes.
• 43:11
  I think that's all of the gambling news from my side.
• 43:16
  I'm not sure Chris wants to talk about his gambling.
• 43:19
  It's been rough out here man ever since Thanksgiving it's been rough college football or college basketball
• 43:25
  and college football I guess not being kind to me but I'm just got to ride with it.
• 43:30
  Yes.
• 43:31
  You can't you can't stop shooting because that means you lost confidence.
• 43:35
  So you got to keep riding with it.
• 43:38
  Right.
• 43:39
  How did your college football futures go because I know you had 22 of them.
• 43:44
  It wasn't great.
• 43:45
  I need to go back and check the numbers.
• 43:47
  I know I was under I was under 500 record wise the ones I put double unit on did pretty well except for Air Force.
• 43:54
  I had over eight.
• 43:56
  They start out like five and oh I think five and one and over eight pushed disgusting disgusting but South Carolina under six double unit on that.
• 44:09
  Michigan over 10 and a half double unit.
• 44:11
  I think I had a couple more.
• 44:13
  I like I said I had a lot and you go back and check the check the records but it wasn't great but I think like from a unit wise I came out slightly ahead.
• 44:22
  So dubs a dub I guess.
• 44:25
  There you go.
• 44:26
  There you go.
• 44:28
  It's not being great out here.
• 44:32
  We need to take out a second mortgage here pretty soon responsibly.
• 44:37
  In my gambling news I lost all of my college futures.
• 44:45
  Yeah I didn't win a single one.
• 44:49
  I mean I think like five.
• 44:53
  Not that many.
• 44:54
  It's like good but it's not terrible.
• 44:56
  It's not good.
• 44:59
  But I am still in the hunt on almost all of my NFL futures.
• 45:07
  I do need to check on Austin Eckler though.
• 45:09
  Need to see what his stats are.
• 45:12
  Yeah my NFL futures are looking pretty good.
• 45:14
  I mean bears under seven or six and a half whichever Wintol that was that that cash weeks ago.
• 45:20
  I wasn't sweating that.
• 45:23
  I am going to be probably the world's biggest Falcons fan for a while since they're like the only ones that can win the NFC South besides the Saints and I did bet the Saints to not make the playoffs and if they don't win the division they're not making the playoffs so need that.
• 45:47
  I also have the Niners over 12 and a half wins.
• 45:53
  That was not their line but I took it.
• 45:55
  I upped it.
• 45:57
  Yeah so but I cashed.
• 46:02
  It hasn't settled yet but Josh Allen over six and a half rushing touchdowns.
• 46:08
  That was just free money he hit that like three weeks ago.
• 46:12
  Yeah.
• 46:15
  I also have the Bears under seven and a half wins which means they'll have to completely win out for the rest of the season which is not going to happen.
• 46:27
  And I have a three leg parlay of division winners that are is looking sick at a plus three 65 Niners Eagles in chief saw the win their divisions.
• 46:41
  Looking all but settled at this point if I'm being honest.
• 46:46
  Yeah so feeling good about that one.
• 46:48
  So I'm making up for my college losses.
• 46:52
  By winning all my NFL futures.
• 46:56
  I do.
• 46:58
  I do.
• 46:59
  I do need Austin Eckler to rush for 325 more yards to cash his over on his season.
• 47:09
  Four more weeks.
• 47:11
  Very doable.
• 47:13
  It's doable.
• 47:15
  I'm looking for a clean sweep.
• 47:18
  No.
• 47:20
  They're definitely going to try.
• 47:22
  They're in the hunt.
• 47:24
  Yeah.
• 47:26
  We'll see what happens.
• 47:28
  I can't believe I bet on the Panthers to win the division.
• 47:30
  Jesus Christ.
• 47:32
  Oh God.
• 47:34
  I had an apparel.
• 47:39
  It wasn't straight up but yeah.
• 47:42
  One of the one of my NFL futures that have already has already lost to us the Panthers over seven and a half wins.
• 47:50
  I don't think they're going to win another game for the rest of the season.
• 47:54
  So it was at seven and a half.
• 47:56
  Yeah.
• 47:58
  Oh my God.
• 48:03
  I'm so sorry.
• 48:05
  I was just trying to get a little fancy.
• 48:08
  But I did.
• 48:10
  I had him in a parlor like I said all division winners and I placed that before I saw one preseason game of the Panthers and I watched him play somebody.
• 48:22
  It was just every play Bryce Young was running for his life.
• 48:27
  I was like hopefully these are the backup or like practice squad line like no they were the starters and it's carried over and I saw it and I was like yep this is a loser.
• 48:38
  So did you guys see that video after the Panthers Titans game of Bryce and Levis like dapping it up.
• 48:49
  No.
• 48:50
  Dude, Levis looked like a giant human being next to him.
• 48:57
  Like he like major like Bryce Young came up to like Levis is like maybe his under boob.
• 49:04
  Maybe.
• 49:05
  And I was like oh my God.
• 49:08
  I didn't realize like I knew he was small.
• 49:10
  And like he's not the first quarterback to be small.
• 49:14
  And I was like you know Drew Brees wasn't that tall either and Russell Wilson isn't that tall right now so I mean like he's not the first one but I was like oh my God.
• 49:26
  You're a child.
• 49:27
  He's also very scrawny.
• 49:29
  Yeah.
• 49:30
  So that is not what Levis is pretty jacked.
• 49:33
  So yeah he's he's pretty jacked but I was like he looked like a giant human being I was like oh my God.
• 49:43
  So the Panthers picked this guy first overall.
• 49:46
  Traded like a lot.
• 49:49
  Take him first overall.
• 49:51
  Yep.
• 49:52
  And then fired their coach 11 games in.
• 49:55
  All it takes is a loss to the Titans and you're fucking out of here like coach killers.
• 50:03
  You're a fucking Meyer Frank Reich who's next.
• 50:07
  Well they're not gonna.
• 50:10
  They're gonna be in the hot seat next.
• 50:15
  Okay.
• 50:16
  Well I think that's it.
• 50:18
  Yeah I'm ready.
• 50:19
  I'm ready to bounce.
• 50:20
  All right let's.
• 50:21
  Yeah I'm tired of this.
• 50:23
  Tired of talking to y'all.
• 50:26
  And it wants to leave.
• 50:28
  He's like oh so you have better things to do.
• 50:31
  No late for an appointment.
• 50:33
  No.
• 50:34
  He's annoying to go.
• 50:36
  He's annoying to go.
• 50:41
  He's gonna do it all right.
• 50:44
  Just staring at the door.
• 50:46
  Maybe there's a ghost.
• 50:48
  Maybe there's a game on.
• 50:50
  Nope.
• 50:51
  No game.
• 50:53
  Okay well thank you so much for listening and watching.
• 50:57
  We really really appreciate it.
• 51:00
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• 51:02
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• 51:07
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• 51:10
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• 51:13
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• 51:15
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• 51:18
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• 51:20
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• 51:21
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• 51:22
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• 51:24
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• 51:26
  So yeah thank you so much.
• 51:30
  Thank you so much for watching.
• 51:32
  Like comment subscribe.
• 51:34
  Link is in the bio for everything.
• 51:38
  And stay tuned for bandits pick.
• 51:41
  Perhaps an all dog parlay.
• 51:43
  He's got to hit one of these sooner or later.
• 51:46
  He's been sleeping outside the last two months.
• 51:48
  He's got us hit one.
• 51:50
  Yeah.
• 51:51
  He's it's been it's been cold.
• 51:54
  It's been cold lately.
• 51:56
  For for bandit.
• 51:58
  So all right.
• 52:00
  Well that's going to be it for us.
• 52:02
  There's three of us.
• 52:03
  Now what's the money.