Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 377 - 10/20/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:0154321 All systems Go with Josh Applebaum starts now.
- 0:14Hello and welcome to episode 377.
- 0:18Of the all systems. Go sports betting podcast.
- 0:22Powered. By Rhythm I'm your host Josh.
- 0:25Applebaum, what's going on, everyone?
- 0:31Happy Monday. A new week begins as we get
- 0:34back. Into the grind after.
- 0:35A big weekend. Here guys, and we got a lot to.
- 0:37Get to on today's. Podcast number one, we have a
- 0:41double header in the NFL. Monday Night Football we.
- 0:43Got an early game and a late. Game and I got one play for you,
- 0:47so I'm going to kind of mention both games.
- 0:49Kind of talk about the first one here, but really going to focus
- 0:52on the 2nd. Game between the Houston.
- 0:54Texans. And the Seattle Seahawks.
- 0:56So one official best bet here for tonight guys and then also.
- 0:59I have a very early early early college football game for you
- 1:03because there is a. System match, which happens to
- 1:05be my #1 System match. You know me, I got a lot of
- 1:08system. That's why we name this.
- 1:09Podcast the All Systems Go pod. But this one is really jumping
- 1:13out as right now the most. Heavily bet college football.
- 1:16Game of the upcoming weekend with one of the sharpest line.
- 1:19Moves super super sharp. Splits and a great rest first
- 1:22tired buy low, sell high on. Ranked first, ranked
- 1:25opportunity. So again, usually we have our
- 1:27Tuesdays where we kind of focus. On early college football moves.
- 1:31I'm going to be writing about this game.
- 1:33For tomorrow's sharp report for visen.com, but kind of wanted to
- 1:36get out ahead of this one because if it continues to move.
- 1:38You know, we want to get a good price here before it before it
- 1:40jumps up too high, so. One play in the NFL to wrap.
- 1:44Up week 7/1. Of the Monday night.
- 1:45Football games here for. Tonight, best bet along with.
- 1:48Happening to be a juice reel sharp mush and juice reel robo
- 1:52Jackson. Best bet pick.
- 1:53And then one very early college football game upcoming for
- 1:57Saturday. Now looking back toward the
- 1:58weekend, guys, we kept the win streak going.
- 2:01If you remember back on Friday, we had Minnesota plus 7 1/2
- 2:05Minnesota. Won that game outright.
- 2:07I remember that was kind of an inflated line with some sharp
- 2:09buyback. So it was great to see the.
- 2:11Gophers get it done there. So a one and oh plus 0.87 unit
- 2:15Friday then Saturday continued to grind. 2:00 and 1:00.
- 2:19Plus 0.54 units. Had a great hit.
- 2:22With the Vandy money line, remember that was kind of a.
- 2:245050 or slight public LSU but the.
- 2:26Line went to Vandy. We had that system match. 2
- 2:29ranked teams. The home favorite on the money
- 2:31line is winning I think is like 7080% of the time over the last.
- 2:34Five years or so. So.
- 2:36Vandy and Diego Pavia able to come through for the team, which
- 2:39was great. And then what I.
- 2:41Really, absolutely loved. Was Penn State the Nittany Lions
- 2:44baby now? They lost the game, but they
- 2:46lost by one point. And if you remember when we were
- 2:49talking about that game, that was the ultimate.
- 2:51Contrarian buy on bad news. Play.
- 2:53And I tried to mention. This through obviously.
- 2:56Talking about on the. Podcast.
- 2:58Writing about it for. The Sharp report for.
- 2:59Vison.com but then. Also our Thursday live.
- 3:02Stream for the rhythm rundown. I tweeted this out.
- 3:05A little clip from the show, but you always.
- 3:08Want to look at or? I'm always inclined to look.
- 3:10At the. Media narrative and the public
- 3:12narrative versus what the betting market is doing because.
- 3:15Sometimes you're going to find where.
- 3:16You know the media and the public is all thinking.
- 3:19One thing and then the betting market is kind of.
- 3:22Going the other way, So the media.
- 3:24And the betting mark or sorry, the media and the, you know,
- 3:26public drunk guy at the bar. Thought process.
- 3:30Was hey, Penn State. Fired their coach.
- 3:32They had their star. Quarterback get hurt.
- 3:34They've lost a few. Games in a row, they're no
- 3:36longer ranked. Everything is bad.
- 3:37Interim coach, all that. Penn State is a dumpster.
- 3:40Fire don't touch them. But why do we play?
- 3:42Penn State, because we saw that line move back toward Penn
- 3:45State. We're kind of a sharp line
- 3:46freeze, 3 1/2 down to three. You're juiced up toward Penn
- 3:50State. You know, if everyone is playing
- 3:51Iowa, why didn't Iowa get up to -4 -, 5 And oh, by the way,
- 3:55Rhythm had that game. I think Penn State getting like
- 3:581 or 1 1/2 so. Great edge there with the.
- 4:00Betting market saying hey sharp line freeze.
- 4:03You better take. Penn State, but junk guys at the
- 4:06bar the. Public The media said Penn State
- 4:08was terrible, so you always want to go with the betting market.
- 4:11Not what the media. Is telling you so.
- 4:12Penn State was a great hit. Losing by 1.
- 4:15Did lose Washington +7. Or plus 6 1/2 that was.
- 4:20A good line. We crushed the closing line.
- 4:22Did you guys see? Washington.
- 4:23The Huskies I believe closed at like plus. 4 1/2 so that's one
- 4:26of those bets where we. Did our part.
- 4:28And they just got rolled in the second-half.
- 4:29That was pretty much. A tied game late into the game
- 4:32and they just gave up a bunch of scores, but with Penn State and
- 4:35Vandy A2. And 1 + 0.54 units Saturday and
- 4:38then Sunday. 3:00 and 2:00. Plus 0.36 units had the Browns
- 4:43with that line moving. Toward the Cleveland.
- 4:45Browns despite the public. Leaning with the.
- 4:47Dolphins, Browns came through. Panthers as well dog.
- 4:50To fave line move against The Jets.
- 4:52Lost the Jags plus. Three, they pretty much.
- 4:55Got rolled in in. London.
- 4:57So that wasn't fun. Then the Chargers money line was
- 5:00really sharp. But they.
- 5:01Obviously lost as. Well, maybe.
- 5:02Maybe the Colts are legit. I don't know, maybe they are,
- 5:05but I always want to mention that again.
- 5:07Read the Sharp rewards for eason.com and definitely sign up
- 5:10if. You want to support the team to
- 5:12get the all systems go official best bet picks from the Juice
- 5:15Reel app because you might. Be saying yourself, Josh.
- 5:17That's a two and two. Record.
- 5:18However, I added the. Cowboys late The Cowboys were a
- 5:21late play for me as a sharp report.
- 5:23Play and I put it in the V sin sharp report as well as the.
- 5:27Juice Reel app. So again, if you follow for
- 5:29$4.99. A week you're.
- 5:31Gonna get every bet I make. As soon as.
- 5:32I make it so one thing that I love is that.
- 5:34Late dog to fave movement. Because if you remember or if
- 5:37you noticed Washington. Actually opened that game as a
- 5:40short favorite. Like -2 on the road and flipped
- 5:42to Dallas -1 1/2 so that was. A dog to fave move.
- 5:46Terry Mclaurin was out, CD Lamb was in, so I did have the
- 5:48Cowboys to make. It a three and 2 + 0.36.
- 5:52Unit Sunday. So that was that was nice.
- 5:54To see as well. So six and three?
- 5:57What is that about two units? Since we last talked on Friday,
- 6:01let's. See if we can keep it rolling
- 6:02here. As we have a big Monday Night
- 6:04Football showdown for tonight. So that being said, I'm going to
- 6:08give you my best bet and then I just want to mention a little.
- 6:10Bit of that Tampa Bay Detroit game.
- 6:12I'm going to tell you why I'm not playing it, but let's start
- 6:14with. Official play here, Houston.
- 6:15Texans. Seattle Seahawks now going.
- 6:18To this one, let's set the stage.
- 6:19This is your 10:00 game here tonight.
- 6:21We have the. Houston Texans.
- 6:23Coming in two and three, they started struggling.
- 6:26They've won a couple. Games in a row I think he
- 6:28started O and three. And one, two straight.
- 6:30But last game out, they dominated the Ravens 44 to 10.
- 6:33Easily covered as a. 2 1/2 point Rd. favorite.
- 6:36You know the Seahawks four and two just.
- 6:38Took down the Jags. 20 to 12 covered as a 1 1/2.
- 6:41Point Rd. Favorite now?
- 6:42What have we seen across the market here?
- 6:44Well, this game opened Seattle around a 2 1/2.
- 6:47Point home favorite. And the public says Seattle's a
- 6:50really good team. Again, Houston's got a losing
- 6:52record. This line is really.
- 6:54Short rush to the window and play Seattle so.
- 6:56Right now you are. Getting 73.
- 6:58Percent of spread bets. Laying the points with Seattle.
- 7:01Now Seattle did creep. Up in some shops. -2 and half up
- 7:04to -3 some books open at -3 and kind of stayed.
- 7:07Three juice towards Seattle. But again, you.
- 7:09Did see this line? Take up a little bit in favor of
- 7:12the Seahawks. -2 and half up to minus.
- 7:14Three. However, while we did see this
- 7:17line creep up a little bit in favor of Seattle.
- 7:19Here -2 and half to -3 The important thing to me is that.
- 7:23Even though you're adjusted slightly towards.
- 7:24Seattle We haven't flown through or passed through the keynote of
- 7:28three and gotten up to 3 1/2. Everywhere, like the odds
- 7:30makers, hey, we're willing to go up 2 1/2 to three.
- 7:33We're willing to juice up Seattle a bit, but we really
- 7:35don't want to hand. Out the hook here to the.
- 7:37Houston Texans So. That to me is noticeable and.
- 7:40If you dig a little deeper. Texans #1 Contrarian play
- 7:43tonight. Right now they are only getting
- 7:4527% of spread bets and the most heavily bet game of the night.
- 7:48You know, technically. Right now, Tampa Bay Detroit is
- 7:51more heavily bet. But remember, so that's a 7:00
- 7:54game by the time you get to 10. Just letting the tickets build
- 7:56up and build, you know, continue to rise.
- 7:58It'll end up. Being typically the last games
- 8:00the most heavily bet game so great contrarian value there to.
- 8:03Take the Texans getting less than half, less than 1/3 of the
- 8:06tickets, I should say. But then, while you're really
- 8:09contrarian at DraftKings. You look at circa.
- 8:12Only 21% of spread bets are on Houston.
- 8:15But they're also. Taking into account 73% of
- 8:18spread dollars. So a really good low bets,
- 8:20higher dollar split in favor of Houston.
- 8:23Now, primetime dogs have been great.
- 8:24For us this year, they're now. 15 and six against the spread,
- 8:2771% this year. They're now 150. 6 and 132 ATS
- 8:3250. 4% with a 4% ROI since 2020. Houston also has a rest first
- 8:37tired advantage as the Texans are coming off a bye week.
- 8:40They did not play last week, meanwhile.
- 8:42Seattle played the Jags. And the Texans.
- 8:45Also have some correlative betting value as a dog in a low
- 8:48total game like this is a very low.
- 8:50Total around 41. You'll get the Tampa, Detroit
- 8:53total that's around 53. So anytime you have a favorite.
- 8:57You want a high total. Anytime you're on a dog, you
- 8:59want a low. Total because the fewer amount
- 9:01of expected points scored. Makes it harder for that
- 9:03favorite to cover the number. Now the important thing for me
- 9:07is getting the hook. On Houston.
- 9:08So Houston is contrarian. They're a little bit of a line
- 9:11freeze kind of some RLM just in terms of not going up to 3 1/2
- 9:15across the board despite everyone playing Seattle.
- 9:18Also you have again these. Rest first.
- 9:20Tired advantages. Correlative.
- 9:21Bedding as well as. Some really good splits.
- 9:24In the primetime dog system match I didn't mention also.
- 9:28But if you pop open the Juice Reel app, one of the two
- 9:32official best bet picks. Again, for those of you who are
- 9:34unfamiliar, Juice Reel where you can follow the all.
- 9:37Systems go official. Best bet picks for 490. 9 a week
- 9:40you're. Also going to get the robo.
- 9:41Jackson best bet picks. So the Juice Reel.
- 9:44AI model. Spits out two best.
- 9:45Bets each day at noon one of the two.
- 9:48Is Houston. Plus the points here.
- 9:51Also you look. At the sharp mush indicator,
- 9:53nothing amazing, but 7% sharp mush edge in favor.
- 9:57Of Houston, so a lot of the bigger, sharper betters here.
- 10:00Who have downloaded juice Trail and synced up their books are
- 10:02also going Houston Texans. But here's the thing, guys, if
- 10:05you're going to play Houston on me tonight.
- 10:06That's what I'm doing. You got to get the.
- 10:08Hook. So if you look across the board.
- 10:10Right now. Basically every book.
- 10:13Is at Texans +3. But there are two books offering
- 10:17the hook. So I'm in Massachusetts and
- 10:19right now ESPN bet has Texans plus 3 1/2 at -125 and Fanatics
- 10:26has Texans plus 3 1/2 at -115. So if you have.
- 10:30Access to ESPN bet or fanatics boom you're able to get that
- 10:34hook at plus 3 1/2 rest of the markets at 3 but I'm going
- 10:38Texans here guys and again the importance of having multiple
- 10:41outs shopping around don't just have your.
- 10:42One sports book like for example.
- 10:44If you have FanDuel, your only shot is +3 or -3 but again.
- 10:48You look at ESPN. Bet fanatics you can get that
- 10:51hook. So having multiple outs.
- 10:52And using your. Odds logic Live odds page
- 10:55shopping around to find the hook.
- 10:57Super, super important because. 3 is the most common key number.
- 11:00And again, you're going to see a lot of.
- 11:02Margins of victory of. 3 So if you can get the hook.
- 11:05You know Texans lose by three. We can cash with the hook here.
- 11:07They went out right? Hey, everyone's happy.
- 11:09But I'm going. To Houston Texans here, plus 3
- 11:121/2 again. Everyone's playing Seattle, but
- 11:15the line is barely budged. Doesn't want to go to the hook.
- 11:18Yeah, there's a couple books with the.
- 11:19Hook, but most of the market is. Refusing to go there.
- 11:22Juice real best bet pick. Number one contrarian play.
- 11:25Rest first. Tired off a by Gimme Texans plus
- 11:293 1/2. That's my one official.
- 11:30Bet here for tonight. Now I had a.
- 11:32Lot of people reach out to me about Tampa Bay, saying you got
- 11:36to take the points of Tampa Bay, right?
- 11:38Well. I'm going to layoff.
- 11:39Tampa Bay in Detroit, because it looks to me like it's a fade,
- 11:42the trendy dog play. On the Lions.
- 11:44Because you open Detroit. -4 1/2 Now Detroit is up to -6 even -6
- 11:501/2. And why is that?
- 11:51Important because the public is on Tampa right now.
- 11:55You are getting 56. Percent of spread bets.
- 11:57And it's not super lopsided, but.
- 11:59More than half the tickets are on Tampa.
- 12:01But the line. Keeps going to Detroit.
- 12:03The Lions only 44% of bets 67% of dollars at DraftKings.
- 12:08At circa. 60% bets 93% of dollars, so again if you.
- 12:12Want to play Tampa? Like what kind of?
- 12:14Complicated it for me is that Hey Tampa?
- 12:17Is a prime time dog. They've done very.
- 12:19Well, this year. And the rhythm recommended play
- 12:22is actually Tampa in the points. I think rhythm has this closer
- 12:25to like a. Five point game.
- 12:27So again. If you want to put take, take
- 12:29Tampa. You are a prime time dog.
- 12:32You do. Have a rhythm edge.
- 12:34But even though you're. Getting a better number.
- 12:36Here you got to ask yourself why?
- 12:38Like why? Are you now getting 6 even 6
- 12:401/2? Why are the odds makers giving
- 12:42you a? Better number on Tampa if
- 12:44everyone's playing Tampa, so. I wouldn't be surprised if you
- 12:47know. Detroit wins by 7.
- 12:48Or more Detroit rolls by double digits I just.
- 12:51Don't want to touch? This game, because rhythm.
- 12:53In my system match with primetime dog says Tampa.
- 12:56But the line movement and the splits are saying.
- 12:59Fade the trendy dog, Tampa and take Detroit so.
- 13:01Again, anytime I I have kind of. Split reasoning.
- 13:05So like reasons to take team A, reasons to take to take team B?
- 13:09To me, typically you want to layoff.
- 13:10Because you want to. Pretty much align all the
- 13:12factors on one. Side with very little.
- 13:14Or no conflicting factors on the other.
- 13:16Side here, you can kind of make a case for both sides and the
- 13:19market is moving toward Detroit. So I don't want.
- 13:21Anything to do with Tampa Bay and Detroit again, you tell me
- 13:25you want Tampa. On the points primetime dog
- 13:27rhythm edge. Hey, I can accept that, but
- 13:30looks. To me, like the real sharp.
- 13:32Play is Detroit because the lines moving toward Detroit even
- 13:34though public is on the buck. So that's a no bet for me in the
- 13:37early game. And my only official play here
- 13:39tonight. Is Houston plus?
- 13:413 1/2 Again, you can get the hook at both Fanatics and ESPN
- 13:45bet now there's one more play that I want to mention.
- 13:48I know it's a. Monday, usually after a big
- 13:51weekend. We're just talking about Monday
- 13:52Night Football, but there was 1 college game.
- 13:54I was just kind of, you know, peeking over to the college
- 13:56football board for this upcoming weekend, and I looked at the
- 14:00most heavily bet game thus far and happens to be one of the
- 14:03most. Sharp plays of the weekend So
- 14:06the game is BYU and Iowa State. This is a.
- 14:10Sunday Saturday game. At 3:30.
- 14:12PM Eastern Time, so it's kind of the the late afternoon window.
- 14:15It's on Fox, so it's the most heavily bet game thus far.
- 14:18Nationally televised primetime now.
- 14:21BYU comes in. 7 and O They're ranked 11th in the country.
- 14:25Iowa State comes in five and two.
- 14:27They're unranked, however. This is right up our alley.
- 14:31Did BYU open as a favorite? They should, right?
- 14:33BYU is the better team. Undefeated ranked Iowa State
- 14:36lost two in a row. Unranked.
- 14:38You would think even with home field you should still have BYU
- 14:40favored, right? Well, Nope, that didn't happen.
- 14:43This game opened a. Lot of shops Iowa.
- 14:45State -1 1/2 - 2. And the public says the wrong
- 14:50team is favored. So right now across the market
- 14:53you are getting nearly 70. Percent of spread bets taking
- 14:57BYU in the. Points.
- 14:58However, even though all this early public betting.
- 15:02Is coming in on BYU and I get it again.
- 15:04This is. The spot that the public falls
- 15:06into every. Time again take the.
- 15:09Better team if they're. The dog, but.
- 15:11Even though we opened BYU as a short favorite in the public's
- 15:14or sorry, even though we opened Iowa State as a short favorite.
- 15:17At home and. Publix all over BYU.
- 15:20This isn't down to a pick em, it's gone.
- 15:21Further toward Iowa State. So Iowa State.
- 15:24Is gone up from -1 F -2 now up to -2 1/2.
- 15:28And a lot of books is the reason why I wanted to.
- 15:29Mention the game today, a lot of books are -2 1/2 -, 115 or -120
- 15:35looking like it may get. Up to three.
- 15:37So that is a dead giveaway to me that this.
- 15:40Sharp money play here. Is Iowa State.
- 15:43If you look at some other factors here, like mentioned
- 15:46Publix all over, all over BYU at DraftKings, if you look at
- 15:52DraftKings right now, only around 30% of bets are on Iowa
- 15:55State. But Iowa State is getting 85.
- 15:58Percent of the money. So a huge, huge low bets higher.
- 16:01Dollar split in. Favor of the cyclones you look
- 16:03over at circa 63% of early bets. On Iowa State, but it accounts
- 16:07for. 82% of the early dollars, so both DK.
- 16:11And circa with a. Really good low bets, higher
- 16:13dollar split. In.
- 16:14Favor of Iowa State. You also have Iowa State as the.
- 16:17System match that. We love to play unranked.
- 16:19Home favors ranked opponent. Remember, this was a couple
- 16:23weeks ago. It was.
- 16:26Was it USC? Against Michigan I.
- 16:29Believe yeah, that came through. So again, you really like to.
- 16:34Buy low and sell high and play that.
- 16:36Team that's fishing. Doesn't make sense.
- 16:38So this is a money line play for me.
- 16:40I got Iowa State on the money line at -135 at DraftKings.
- 16:45The other reason why I wanted to mention today is you can get
- 16:47DraftKings -135 it's also -135 at.
- 16:51FanDuel, but bet MGM. Is -145 Caesar's is -140
- 16:56fanatics. Is -145 basically.
- 16:58All these books or most of the books?
- 17:01Are -145 you can still get a -, 130. 5 again at FanDuel.
- 17:06In a DraftKings so I put it in -135.
- 17:10And again, the reason why I bet. It early and wanted to mention
- 17:12on a Monday pod instead of tomorrow.
- 17:15Is I'd hate to see tomorrow. That you know, Iowa.
- 17:17State's up to. Three, and that money line is
- 17:19now -150 So trying to. Get a good number here early if
- 17:23you look. At that.
- 17:24Unranked home favorites. Ranked opponent money line
- 17:26system it is 57 and 3165 percent, 4% ROI straight up and
- 17:34at DraftKings on the money line 20% bets, 74% dollars on Iowa.
- 17:39State the other. Angle here is just a classic buy
- 17:41low, sell high. Where BYU is undefeated and Iowa
- 17:45State has lost. Two in a row.
- 17:46But the other angle here is a rest first tired play because
- 17:49Iowa State. Is coming off a buy.
- 17:52They haven't played. Since Saturday, October 11th.
- 17:55And obviously, BYU just played this past.
- 17:57Saturday against Utah. Won the game, but they've been
- 18:00in a lot of close games here recently.
- 18:02They only beat Colorado by three.
- 18:04They had. Went to double.
- 18:05Overtime beat Arizona by 6, beat Utah by three.
- 18:08So to me, it feels like a good time to sell.
- 18:10High on BYU and to buy low on Iowa State again Iowa State.
- 18:14Wrestlers. Tired off a buy?
- 18:16Buy low off. Two straight losses, you open as
- 18:18a short favorite, you become more of a favorite.
- 18:20You know the public is all over BYU.
- 18:23This is an early bet for me, so if you want to ride you can.
- 18:26Still get a -. 135 on Iowa State on the money line.
- 18:30That's what I played. So hopefully we put it in now
- 18:33and you give it a few days and hopefully we'll beat the closing
- 18:35line here. But if you give me a a gross
- 18:38unpopular unranked home favors ranked.
- 18:40Opponent. I'm going.
- 18:42To play it every single time. So let's go cyclones.
- 18:46So for tonight. Houston plus 3 1/2 I want
- 18:48nothing to do. With that Bucks game.
- 18:51And an early Iowa State money line.
- 18:53For this weekend, so that about does it for episode 3. 77.
- 18:57Of the All Systems Go sports betting podcast.
- 19:00On a Monday. This is the part of the pod
- 19:02though where we wrap things up. And I always start first by
- 19:04saying thank you. Thank you for listening, thank
- 19:07you for tuning in. Now you got busy lives.
- 19:09You got a lot going on. But you devote. 20 to 30 minutes
- 19:12to breaking down some sharp contrarian bets with me.
- 19:16That means the world to me, so thank you for listening.
- 19:18If you want to help me grow the pod, please could you give it a
- 19:21five star review on Spotify or iTunes?
- 19:23If you want to leave a. Nice comment.
- 19:25Click the follow button, Recommend.
- 19:26Recommend the pod to a friend. If you want to retweet it.
- 19:29When? I put it out.
- 19:30Every afternoon, that'll be. Really awesome as well.
- 19:33So I appreciate you guys. And thank you next if you enjoy
- 19:36the. Style of betting breakdown,
- 19:37data-driven, sharp. Contrarian betting focusing on
- 19:40line movement. Bet split system matches
- 19:43focusing on what the. Numbers the money the.
- 19:45The lines are telling us the numbers, not what our gut
- 19:48instinct and bias and and the guys on ESPN are.
- 19:50Telling us what to do so if this style of betting has appealed to
- 19:53you. You've kind of seen.
- 19:54Some fruits of the labor here. You're tracking the market.
- 19:58You've been provided A blueprint to attack the market here and.
- 20:01Locate sharp money and and take your contrarian approach.
- 20:04If that's the case. And you want to let me know you?
- 20:05Appreciate the pod. Or you want to learn more about
- 20:08data-driven betting? Or you have someone in your life
- 20:10who could use some data-driven tips I would love for you to go
- 20:13to. Amazon.com.
- 20:14And type in the NFL sharp betting playbook.
- 20:17That's my new book. It's about two months old if.
- 20:19You want to pick. Up a copy.
- 20:21It would, really. Make my day.
- 20:22I also wrote another book called the Everything Guide to Sports
- 20:25Betting. So if you.
- 20:25Want to grab that one as well? You'd be you'd be a superhero.
- 20:28In my eyes, I will. Bring the Everything Guide and
- 20:31the NFL Sharp Betting playbook to the sports book.
- 20:33I'll sign them for you. I'll buy you a beer or ginger
- 20:36ale and we'll start the Texans here coming up tonight.
- 20:39Next, have you downloaded rhythm and juice real yet?
- 20:41Well if you haven't, go download them both.
- 20:44Rhythm Fantastic for their AI backed models and predictions
- 20:47for. Game bets and player props as
- 20:49well as. Juice real where you can get all
- 20:51the all systems go official best bet picks.
- 20:53As soon as I make them, they go right to the juice real app.
- 20:56And the cool thing about juice real is you can't like erase a
- 21:00play if you lose, you can't fudge a number after the case.
- 21:03You can't bet it and remove it. You know once you sync your
- 21:05books, you make a bet it goes to juice real.
- 21:07So it's really. Providing a lot of transparency,
- 21:10so. If you want to support the team,
- 21:11get those. $4.99 a week best bets I.
- 21:15Would love for you guys to do that from the juice Reel app.
- 21:17You're also get the Robo Jackson best bet picks, the sharp mush
- 21:19indicators. The arbitrage plays the shop for
- 21:22the best line features, all available when you download
- 21:24Juice Reel. So download Rhythm download.
- 21:26Juice Reel give them a five star review in the App Store while.
- 21:29You're at it next. Do you have a live odds page?
- 21:32If you don't. You need one.
- 21:33It's. So important when you're betting
- 21:34on sports number one, you got to be able to track the market
- 21:37whole point of being a data. Driven better is that?
- 21:40You're interpreting the numbers and you got to be up to date.
- 21:43You got to know the latest line moves.
- 21:44You got to be able to see OK, what did line open at?
- 21:46Where is it now? Pull up line history, shop for
- 21:49the best price, get live in game wagering, live in game scoring
- 21:53and again finding the the book with the hook where you can get
- 21:56Houston plus the hook at ESPN better fanatics and every other
- 21:59book is at 3. So Odds Logic is the best live
- 22:03odds page around. I'd love for you guys to give it
- 22:04a shot. I use it every day and it helps.
- 22:06Me a ton to track the market. You can get a 7 day free trial
- 22:10and. 50% off your first month of service just by.
- 22:13Going to oddslogic dot. Com.
- 22:15Slash Josh 123 Lastly, do you know what a betting exchange is?
- 22:21Well, I've been talking about Novig.
- 22:22Novig is a betting exchange that I've partnered with and what I
- 22:25like about Novig is that they don't kill you with the juice.
- 22:29So if you look at betting through a sports book again,
- 22:32they're going to Jack up the juice it's going to be. -110
- 22:35pretty much the best price you're going to get -115 -, 120.
- 22:39Well, because you're not betting through a book, you're betting
- 22:41through a betting. Exchange.
- 22:43Which means you're betting. Against other betters and you're
- 22:45not betting against the house. And also, if you win, you're not
- 22:48going to get booted or limited. That means you get better juice
- 22:51prices. So for example.
- 22:52I'm looking at this Texan Seahawks game.
- 22:55Right now you. Can get Texans plus 3 1/2 at
- 22:57-113, whereas everyone else is either at 3 or 3 1/2 -. 115 -,
- 23:04120 -, 125. So you can get better.
- 23:06Numbers, which means that you're going to have.
- 23:09Have a better profit. Or return on investment.
- 23:11If you're winning because. Again, you're paying less.
- 23:14Juice so go download novig just search NOVIG and when you
- 23:18deposit. Some money to fund your account.
- 23:21In the promo code field put in. Josh, 123.
- 23:24That's going to give you a. 100% deposit match up to 25.
- 23:28Bucks so that about does it for episode 3. 77.
- 23:31Of the ASG pod. On a big Monday.
- 23:34As always guys. Two final thoughts, one.
- 23:36Whether I see you at the Borgata and Atlantic City, Twin River in
- 23:39Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire, Foxwoods.
- 23:41Or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut, the Encore in
- 23:43Boston, Plain Ridge park casino MGM Springfield, the Nash and My
- 23:48Neck of the Woods on the border of Massachusetts and New
- 23:50Hampshire. And also out in the desert,
- 23:52where the true grinders get down.
- 23:53Where Billy Walters sends his number runners.
- 23:55Where the lowest juice possible is found at the South Point or
- 23:58sweat and sharp contrarian plays.
- 24:00Jumping in the stadium swimming pool when you catch a big ticket
- 24:03at Circa. Whatever it may be, you're going
- 24:05to walk up to me and show me a beautiful Minnesota.
- 24:08Gophers ticket from Friday. Penn State ticket.
- 24:10V&D money line, Browns, Panthers, Cowboys.
- 24:15First one's on me, next one's on you.
- 24:16We'll post about the book and sweat.
- 24:18Some sharp. Data-driven plays together, so
- 24:20as always, guys coming off a six and three weekend or a three
- 24:23and. Six weekend again.
- 24:25Whether you're hot, whether you're cold, whether you're
- 24:27grinding. Whether it feels like you can't
- 24:29miss and and you know. Everything's going your way or
- 24:32when it. Feels like you can't get a
- 24:33winner for the life of you no matter what you do.
- 24:36All the breaks. Are going.
- 24:36Against you, That's betting. Sometimes you're good, Sometimes
- 24:39you're bad. Sometimes you're hot, Sometimes
- 24:41you're. Cold, but we just want to stay
- 24:42even keeled, never get too high or too.
- 24:45Low and just grind the system. Plays when we see them, you
- 24:48know? Bypass the games that have red
- 24:49flags, that's why to me. And you know that.
- 24:51Bucks Lions game. Can make a case for both sides.
- 24:54I don't want any. Part of that, but get down on
- 24:56the games fearless with disciplined.
- 24:58Flat betting, no parlays if we can do that.
- 25:01Find the games that fit our model against the.
- 25:03Public with the house, with the pros flat bet and avoid those
- 25:06parlays and get that CLV we can do that we're going to be
- 25:09successful sports bettors so have.
- 25:11A great Monday night, everybody. Let's go, Texans, and we'll be
- 25:14right back at it tomorrow. For a big episode 378 of the All
- 25:19Systems Go Sports Betting podcast on a big Tuesday
- 25:21tomorrow. So good luck everybody, hope you
- 25:23had a great weekend. Let's go Texans.
- 25:25Let's let's cover this number. Have a great night everybody and
- 25:28I'll see you tomorrow. Good luck.