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Transcript

NFL Week 11 Best Bets · Toadstool Sports

0:01
Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN
0:06
Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
0:09
Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
0:12
Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
0:15
Speaker 1: even know what to tell you above that. I just
0:18
Speaker 1: don't want to do this anymore. I have never seen
0:21
Speaker 1: anything like this. Man with the slump continuing, two straight losses,
0:26
Speaker 1: not a good day at all. Own four that have
0:30
Speaker 1: not had a good season. Man with bookends slump that
0:35
Speaker 1: I'm on, and the slump continues, I've reached a new peak. Actually,
0:40
Speaker 1: I'm going to burn my browins hat Man, I don't
0:43
Speaker 1: know what is going on with the Bruins arch hape?
0:46
Speaker 1: Is that what it is? I don't even know it's
0:48
Speaker 1: March ninth, I think who even knows? Man, I don't
0:52
Speaker 1: know what day is anymore. I don't even know what
0:54
Speaker 1: data is anymore. Man, back with you after the worst
0:58
Speaker 1: day that I could possibly have, act with you as
1:01
Speaker 1: I always am until I die at least oh and two.
1:05
Speaker 1: Yesterday and yesterday did not go well for me. Own
1:08
Speaker 1: five the worst month that I've ever had in my
1:12
Speaker 1: eighteen years doing this. I don't know what to even
1:14
Speaker 1: tell you about this anymore. Slump, the slump discontinuous, the
1:19
Speaker 1: slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please. I don't even
1:24
Speaker 1: know what I should do at this point other than
1:26
Speaker 1: potentially end it all. What's up, everybody, It's towed back
1:35
Speaker 1: with you for toadstool Sports. I'm not gonna get used
1:39
Speaker 1: to that at all. NFL Edition Week eleven. I don't
1:44
Speaker 1: even know what's going on anymore. Today. I don't even
1:47
Speaker 1: know what's going on anymore. I should say, but today,
1:50
Speaker 1: I mean, I'll talk about what happened today tomorrow. I mean,
1:53
Speaker 1: there was a lot going on today. I believe it
1:56
Speaker 1: was three and two in college bass. No, you win
2:00
Speaker 1: one in college basketball if you got the best number
2:03
Speaker 1: on the Irvine game, because they were just right there
2:06
Speaker 1: at the number man, and they pushed on the nine.
2:10
Speaker 1: So I know the number was higher than that. It's
2:14
Speaker 1: like once I did the show this morning, the number
2:16
Speaker 1: was already higher than that. Like I don't know. I
2:18
Speaker 1: mean when I it was a nine, like when I
2:21
Speaker 1: when I was about to do the show, and then
2:23
Speaker 1: as soon as I got to it during the show,
2:25
Speaker 1: it was eleven and a half. Whatever, I think it
2:27
Speaker 1: was back down to ten and a half. I'm calling
2:29
Speaker 1: it a push for my own purposes, but yeah, I
2:32
Speaker 1: mean other than that, three and two in college football,
2:34
Speaker 1: two and zero in hockey, it was a winning day.
2:38
Speaker 1: I think it was eight four and one. Yeah, eight
2:41
Speaker 1: four and one on the day. I mean, I'll take it.
2:43
Speaker 1: It should have been better than that. But whatever, dirty sock? What'sop?
2:48
Speaker 1: Oh you're good night? You're already leaving? What ten and
2:52
Speaker 1: a half they scored with six seconds left? Yeah, I
2:56
Speaker 1: mean fucking bullshit. I mean I did mention you could
2:59
Speaker 1: put that in a moneyline parlay instead. How was my voice?
3:04
Speaker 1: By the way, it seems like it's there's something going on,
3:07
Speaker 1: like I have something in my monitor here. It doesn't
3:09
Speaker 1: sound quite right. I don't know what's going on. Yeah,
3:13
Speaker 1: maybe it's all right. Let me know if it's not.
3:16
Speaker 1: But yeah, it's all Everything is bullshit a couple of
3:21
Speaker 1: those football games. I mean, if you want me to
3:23
Speaker 1: talk about it now, we will, just because I want
3:25
Speaker 1: to get this stuff out of my chew. Here with
3:28
Speaker 1: all these banners here, Notre Dame easy win to kick
3:31
Speaker 1: off the day they annihilated Pitt. Pitt got like a
3:34
Speaker 1: late touchdown or something to make it even look less
3:37
Speaker 1: ugly than it was. Notre Dame completely dominated them. I
3:40
Speaker 1: didn't really look at the stats, but that was what
3:44
Speaker 1: it was. Arkansas probably should have had an outright win.
3:46
Speaker 1: They did cover, but I think it was a wire
3:50
Speaker 1: to wire cover for them, and they're winning outright for
3:53
Speaker 1: a lot of that game, so I think Arkansas should
3:55
Speaker 1: have had the win in that one. So I'm not
3:59
Speaker 1: really totally thrilled about them not hitting on the money
4:02
Speaker 1: line because I'm greedy and lsu. I mean, I know
4:06
Speaker 1: they did have the ball in Arkansas territory towards the end,
4:08
Speaker 1: but I think they were able to just run out
4:10
Speaker 1: the clock, so it was a little bit dangerous that
4:13
Speaker 1: they scored a touchdown they would have actually covered, but
4:15
Speaker 1: seeming like that was unlikely. Michigan State started off real nice.
4:19
Speaker 1: They were seven up, seven nothing out of the gate,
4:21
Speaker 1: they were winning ten to seven, and then they just
4:24
Speaker 1: decided to never score again, and then they wound up
4:27
Speaker 1: losing and not covering. Penn State finally gets a conference
4:31
Speaker 1: whin what can you do? Man? Just this camera a
4:35
Speaker 1: little bit here, get my Houston Houston Oilers Jersey in
4:40
Speaker 1: in view here. This is gonna be a reference to
4:45
Speaker 1: one of the games today, and it's maybe not what
4:47
Speaker 1: you think, but and it's also to anger our friend Andy,
4:52
Speaker 1: who's never really watching the show, but he is a
4:54
Speaker 1: Titans fan. Maybe he'll actually like what I have to
4:57
Speaker 1: say today though, or tonight. And then USC couldn't get
5:01
Speaker 1: it done. USC was in a big hole early. I
5:03
Speaker 1: was pretty surprised. I mean, they're not great defensively, but
5:07
Speaker 1: the fact that Iowa was out to a twenty one
5:09
Speaker 1: to seven lead that was something I did not expect.
5:13
Speaker 1: And then USC came back and took the lead, and
5:17
Speaker 1: they did have the ball with six minutes lefter something
5:20
Speaker 1: when they were up five, so if they had scored
5:21
Speaker 1: on that possession, they would have covered, but they did not.
5:24
Speaker 1: They won by five, so that sucked. But if you
5:27
Speaker 1: had them in like a moneyline parlay, they helped you
5:29
Speaker 1: out Miami. We got an easy blowout win with Miami
5:33
Speaker 1: to finish the college football slate with a win. I
5:37
Speaker 1: don't know how helpful that's going to be in my
5:39
Speaker 1: pick them groups, though, to just be one game above
5:42
Speaker 1: five hundred and the splash pools that I'm in, I mean,
5:46
Speaker 1: college basketball. We started off with a win on Ohio.
5:49
Speaker 1: I mean, they obviously lost the game, but they were
5:52
Speaker 1: never really in danger of not getting that cover. Although
5:55
Speaker 1: I think at the end of the game was like
5:56
Speaker 1: twenty six, but they were thirty one and a half
5:59
Speaker 1: point underdog. They never trailed by that much. They were
6:02
Speaker 1: within like uh they were, I think it within twenty
6:06
Speaker 1: for most of the like late stretch. So that was
6:09
Speaker 1: when Boise State could not get it done. Boise State
6:12
Speaker 1: they looked like they were about to pull away. Man,
6:14
Speaker 1: I mean they were winning at halftime, and then I
6:16
Speaker 1: was like, all right, just turn it on to the
6:18
Speaker 1: second half, just go. They were up out to an
6:20
Speaker 1: eleven point lead, and then they gave up a seventeen
6:24
Speaker 1: to five run and then they were actually trailing at
6:27
Speaker 1: that point. And then they did come back and win,
6:29
Speaker 1: but the red cover was just completely out of the
6:32
Speaker 1: question at that point. After that run. That was bad.
6:35
Speaker 1: Fairley Dickinson got blown out. Basically that was never gonna happen.
6:39
Speaker 1: Bethune Cookman got a ton for us. I think they
6:43
Speaker 1: covered all of the numbers. Bethune cook I think they
6:45
Speaker 1: only lost by like nine. I'd have to go back
6:47
Speaker 1: and look, but Bethune Cookman, they were. I mean, they
6:51
Speaker 1: were out to a nine to eight lead I think
6:53
Speaker 1: in the game, and then I think they kind of
6:54
Speaker 1: threw the lead away. But they were kind of just
6:56
Speaker 1: hanging in that game the whole time. They got the cover.
6:58
Speaker 1: Gardner Webb, I was. I wrote that off as a loss.
7:02
Speaker 1: Gardner Webb is getting destroyed in that game. They were
7:04
Speaker 1: down probably by more than twenty in that game, and
7:07
Speaker 1: somehow they came back and got within the number. So
7:09
Speaker 1: I'll take that. And then you see Irvine, as we discussed,
7:14
Speaker 1: did not hit on the bigger number there, But dude,
7:16
Speaker 1: you see Irvine, I think overnight they were like seven,
7:20
Speaker 1: and then when I entered it into my thing, there
7:22
Speaker 1: were nine, like as I started the show this morning,
7:25
Speaker 1: and then during the show they were already up to
7:27
Speaker 1: like eleven eleven and a half and then it came
7:29
Speaker 1: back down to ten and a half. They probably should
7:31
Speaker 1: have covered all of it. I mean, they were winning
7:32
Speaker 1: the game by more than that for the late stretch
7:35
Speaker 1: of that game, although not find enough to actually make
7:37
Speaker 1: it certain. So I mean hopefully people moneyline parlayd that
7:42
Speaker 1: or something. But for me, I mean it was a
7:44
Speaker 1: push at the nine, but I mean, if you want
7:47
Speaker 1: me to call it a loss on the show, I can,
7:49
Speaker 1: but I mean it was a winning day for me,
7:51
Speaker 1: So I am happy about that. Hockey came through for
7:54
Speaker 1: us today with a couple of close wins. I think
7:56
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay just kind of hanging on to a lead
7:59
Speaker 1: there the whole time, and they wound up winning three
8:01
Speaker 1: to one. I don't know if it was an empty
8:02
Speaker 1: net goal at the end or what, but they were
8:03
Speaker 1: just hanging on to a slim lead, but they were
8:06
Speaker 1: able to get it done. Florida not putting up a
8:09
Speaker 1: lot of offense in that one, and then the Rangers
8:12
Speaker 1: had to be you know, the heart attack kids in
8:14
Speaker 1: their game, and they they took a lead earlier I think,
8:17
Speaker 1: and then the game was tied. I think it was
8:19
Speaker 1: just back and forth tie game. I don't know if
8:22
Speaker 1: the Rangers ever trailed in the game. I'd have to
8:24
Speaker 1: go look and see if they did. But that game
8:27
Speaker 1: went into overtime. It might have actually gone into a shootout.
8:29
Speaker 1: I'm not even sure of the Rangers were able to
8:31
Speaker 1: get it done. The Rangers, they don't lose on the road, baby,
8:35
Speaker 1: I mean, dude, we should just blindly do it. Just
8:37
Speaker 1: bet the Rangers on the road every single time and
8:39
Speaker 1: bet against them at home every single time. You win
8:42
Speaker 1: so much money that way, man, it's just ridiculous. I've
8:46
Speaker 1: never seen a road home dichotomy like that. It's insane.
8:52
Speaker 1: This is CJ. Stroud number seven, h down Houston, which
8:57
Speaker 1: we'll talk about what's going on with that because he's
9:00
Speaker 1: probably never gonna play again. That was That was a
9:04
Speaker 1: hockey parlay for you. Yeah, we'll get into the NFL.
9:07
Speaker 1: Hopefully we can get it. Hopefully we can get this
9:11
Speaker 1: show done more quickly than usual, though that's probably not
9:14
Speaker 1: gonna happen because there are only two teams on buy
9:16
Speaker 1: this week, which are New Orleans and Indy taking a bye.
9:22
Speaker 1: I think after playing in Berlin, my Indianapolis Colts. I
9:26
Speaker 1: should know that. But does my way? Does my throat
9:31
Speaker 1: actually sound bad? I don't know. I mean, I'm doing
9:33
Speaker 1: all these shows. I'm talking too much. I don't know.
9:34
Speaker 1: What do you want me to do? Here? Hold on?
9:36
Speaker 1: Let me I can change a few things here, I can.
9:40
Speaker 1: I'm boosting my volume. How is that? I boosted my
9:43
Speaker 1: volume a little bit on the let me see. Hold on,
9:48
Speaker 1: I'm trying to man, I'm bringing up some of the
9:52
Speaker 1: audio settings here, just trying to make sure that I can. Yeah,
9:57
Speaker 1: I mean, well, I don't know, let me know. I
9:59
Speaker 1: guess if it's uh, I don't know. I just increased
10:03
Speaker 1: it a little bit, but we'll see, uh or hopefully
10:05
Speaker 1: Charles are just joking. Yeah, notre dude. I should just
10:10
Speaker 1: get confident in everything, man. But yeah, on Instagram, I
10:14
Speaker 1: was like, notre dame, it's just gonna kill pit. Pit sucks.
10:18
Speaker 1: Uh dude, I mean that was one of those games
10:20
Speaker 1: where Nardoozi, he basically just told you, like, we're not
10:22
Speaker 1: gonna show up for this game. So I just I
10:24
Speaker 1: just had to do it winning day. Yes, yes, sir,
10:29
Speaker 1: oh thank you? Oh okay. You think I'm always low,
10:35
Speaker 1: but if I if I turn the volume up like
10:37
Speaker 1: too high, depending on how I do it, Like my voice,
10:40
Speaker 1: Like when I listened back to it, it's definitely like
10:45
Speaker 1: it's not popping, but it's like there's too much like gain,
10:48
Speaker 1: Like I can tell like the quality is like suffering,
10:51
Speaker 1: So like I want to increase the volume like in
10:54
Speaker 1: my sound mixer on my computer and then like not
10:58
Speaker 1: have the gain that far up on my scarlet and
11:00
Speaker 1: I took the dynamite stick out because that thing was
11:04
Speaker 1: causing like way too much of a volume increase. And
11:06
Speaker 1: then I could play with it in stream yard as well,
11:09
Speaker 1: Like I could increase it in stream yard a little
11:11
Speaker 1: bit more if you want, like bring it up to
11:13
Speaker 1: about here. Maybe I don't know. How's that. Let me
11:15
Speaker 1: see my level. If I do that, it seems like
11:19
Speaker 1: it seems like it's getting a little bit loud if
11:21
Speaker 1: i'm if I have it up this high, although maybe
11:23
Speaker 1: this will help me. Maybe I'll have the volume up
11:26
Speaker 1: this high and I'll just talk a little bit lighter.
11:29
Speaker 1: Let's get into the NFL slate here, man, We're gonna
11:32
Speaker 1: go through every game as usual. I'm gonna have three plays.
11:35
Speaker 1: I have one that's almost to play for me. Yeah,
11:40
Speaker 1: let's jump right into it. Oh and of course I
11:43
Speaker 1: had the uc irvine. I had the uc irvine page
11:47
Speaker 1: still up. Man. That's gonna piss me off. Yeah that
11:51
Speaker 1: I apologize, man, but it's just I could I did
11:54
Speaker 1: not know that the number in that game was gonna increase,
11:57
Speaker 1: like in the middle of my shell. Like, if I
11:59
Speaker 1: knew that it was gonna do that, I should have
12:00
Speaker 1: given that out right at the beginning of the show.
12:04
Speaker 1: I just doing a chronological order. Man, these basketball games
12:07
Speaker 1: are so difficult to get the best number on, but
12:09
Speaker 1: of course you want to get the best number on.
12:11
Speaker 1: Although in basketball there's usually not that much of a
12:13
Speaker 1: difference between nine and a half, ten and a half, whatever,
12:17
Speaker 1: but of course it could always land somewhere there. You
12:19
Speaker 1: want to get the best number you can. All right,
12:22
Speaker 1: First game up tomorrow morning, Commanders Dolphins, or I should
12:26
Speaker 1: say Redskins of Dolphins. This game is in Madrid, Spain.
12:31
Speaker 1: I am sick of these international games, absolutely sick of it.
12:34
Speaker 1: They keep adding more every fucking year. This is the
12:37
Speaker 1: first time that they're gonna have a Madrid game. So
12:41
Speaker 1: neither of these teams is really familiar with this. They're
12:43
Speaker 1: not familiar with the venue. The Dolphins did play in
12:47
Speaker 1: a London game not too long ago, I want to say.
12:51
Speaker 1: I think it was like Dolphins Chiefs within the last
12:54
Speaker 1: like two or three years. So the Dolphins, I think,
12:57
Speaker 1: like their current lineup. Some of those guys who have
13:00
Speaker 1: saw some experience with traveling over to Europe, but I mean,
13:05
Speaker 1: this is gonna be a totally different thing. And again
13:07
Speaker 1: with the Jaguars, they have a ton of experience going
13:10
Speaker 1: over there. And it didn't matter for them, as they
13:12
Speaker 1: lost horribly in their game. So the experience doesn't seem
13:15
Speaker 1: to matter a whole lot here, I think. And it
13:18
Speaker 1: seemed like it didn't even matter that the Jaguars traveled
13:20
Speaker 1: earlier to get adjusted to the times on that didn't
13:23
Speaker 1: even help them, although usually I think that is more helpful.
13:25
Speaker 1: But out of these two teams, I don't know which
13:27
Speaker 1: team went over there first. Yes, yeah, those are their names, dude.
13:33
Speaker 1: We got to bring the Redskins name back. Man. In
13:35
Speaker 1: this game, the Dolphins were gonna be a pick them,
13:39
Speaker 1: which I think was kind of like maybe the line
13:41
Speaker 1: was thrown out there, just not really knowing who the
13:44
Speaker 1: Redskins quarterback was gonna be, although I think we knew.
13:47
Speaker 1: Jane Daniels is not back. I mean, dude, his elbow
13:51
Speaker 1: was bent backwards. Dude, built backwards, bent backwards. His elbow
13:56
Speaker 1: basically looked like me when I was born. He's not
13:59
Speaker 1: coming back. I know it was his non throwing elbow,
14:01
Speaker 1: but he's done. Marcus Mariota is gonna have to be
14:04
Speaker 1: the guy. So Mariota is in. So it looks like
14:09
Speaker 1: it was going to be a pick them, maybe due
14:10
Speaker 1: to some of that uncertainty, Dolphins are two and a
14:13
Speaker 1: half point favorite, looking like they might be a three
14:15
Speaker 1: point favorite by the time this game goes. Public wants
14:19
Speaker 1: the Dolphins seventy eight percent of the tickets on them
14:22
Speaker 1: fifty four percent of the cash though, so the money
14:24
Speaker 1: is saying otherwise. This is a situation where the Dolphins,
14:31
Speaker 1: I mean just because they won last week. And you
14:32
Speaker 1: remember that was probably my most confident of all my
14:35
Speaker 1: plays last week, the Dolphins plus the points. It was
14:38
Speaker 1: a major letdown spot for the Bills after beating the Chiefs,
14:42
Speaker 1: so I thought it was a terrible spot for the Bills.
14:45
Speaker 1: The Dolphins got it done for us, and they looked
14:47
Speaker 1: really good blowing out the Bills. So now the public
14:51
Speaker 1: was completely off of the Dolphins. Last week, the public
14:53
Speaker 1: was all over the Bills. Now this week, the public
14:56
Speaker 1: is completely shifted to the point where they're on the Dolphins.
14:59
Speaker 1: And not only that, the Dolphins were an underdog last week.
15:02
Speaker 1: Now they're a favorite this week. And the public didn't
15:04
Speaker 1: want them as an underdog, and now they do want
15:06
Speaker 1: them as a favorite. And that is a red flag. Man,
15:09
Speaker 1: when a team goes from an underdog to a favorite
15:11
Speaker 1: in the public, shifts their perception on them from one
15:15
Speaker 1: game to another. That's not a good thing. So I'm
15:18
Speaker 1: obviously going to be looking to fade the Dolphins here.
15:21
Speaker 1: This one is almost a play for me, Like this
15:23
Speaker 1: is the first one that's not on my card right now,
15:25
Speaker 1: and the only thing that's keeping me off of this
15:27
Speaker 1: card is well, just Madrid uncertainty. I just don't love
15:32
Speaker 1: getting involved in these games, although I'm close to doing it.
15:34
Speaker 1: I know I did give out a winner in one
15:36
Speaker 1: of the London games this year. The only time I
15:39
Speaker 1: got involved in the europe Games was the Jets plus
15:42
Speaker 1: the points against the Broncos, and that was a winner.
15:47
Speaker 1: But Madrid, I mean, there's a lot of uncertainty here.
15:49
Speaker 1: And the other problem is last week was the Marcus
15:51
Speaker 1: Mariota injured player theory game again, so he well, but
15:58
Speaker 1: they didn't step up their games, so that was like, well,
16:01
Speaker 1: I guess they tried, Joe. That was the game where
16:02
Speaker 1: you know you have your backup quarterback coming back in
16:05
Speaker 1: you expect your team to like give a little bit
16:07
Speaker 1: more effort in that game. Although granded, that was also
16:10
Speaker 1: a revenge spot for Detroit because Detroit had been knocked
16:14
Speaker 1: out of the playoffs by Washington last year, so you
16:16
Speaker 1: know Detroit brought their game. You know, Dan Campbell, he
16:19
Speaker 1: gets really angry and revenge spots like that, he likes
16:21
Speaker 1: to run up the score. So that's basically what the
16:24
Speaker 1: Lions did in that game. You know, I'd mentioned that
16:27
Speaker 1: I was sort of teetering on the edge there towards
16:32
Speaker 1: just going with the public and that one in like
16:33
Speaker 1: pick them pools and stuff with the Lions, I just yeah,
16:38
Speaker 1: just because of the revenge scenario, Like there was no
16:40
Speaker 1: way I was gonna give out Washington bust the points
16:42
Speaker 1: in that one. But now this is gonna be the
16:45
Speaker 1: second Marcus Mariota game. So usually a team is not
16:49
Speaker 1: in a good spot because usually they step up their
16:51
Speaker 1: effort in that first game with the with the backup
16:54
Speaker 1: quarterback in there, with the injured quarterback, because they know
16:56
Speaker 1: they have to play harder. Then in that second game
16:59
Speaker 1: sometimes they are just tired from doing that or they
17:03
Speaker 1: take a little bit of a step back. So sometimes
17:06
Speaker 1: that's the case, although I don't know that that's gonna
17:08
Speaker 1: be the case in this game, because Mariota has been
17:10
Speaker 1: in and out of this lineup for like the last
17:13
Speaker 1: two seasons. Man because Daniels keeps getting hurt, So maybe
17:17
Speaker 1: it won't really be a situation where Washington like, you know,
17:22
Speaker 1: like they're not gonna take their foot off the gas
17:25
Speaker 1: when they've lost a bunch of games in a row
17:26
Speaker 1: and they've looked really bad in these games, and Miami's
17:29
Speaker 1: gonna let down spot because Miami just pulled off a
17:32
Speaker 1: ridiculous upset winner of the Bills. And not only do
17:35
Speaker 1: they do that, but Miami their players and Mike McDaniel
17:40
Speaker 1: were like celebrating by going to bill There are Buffalo
17:43
Speaker 1: Bills bars in Miami, and they were going to the
17:47
Speaker 1: Bills bars and like trolling the Bills fans, the Patriots
17:50
Speaker 1: that Patron's there. So the Miami was completely over celebrating.
17:55
Speaker 1: And now that team off of beating Buffalo is going
17:58
Speaker 1: out to Madrid where they might just keep the party going. Dude, Like, honestly,
18:03
Speaker 1: the Dolphins, like it's getting ridiculous because I know I'm
18:06
Speaker 1: taking a long time to just talk about this one game,
18:08
Speaker 1: but it's just so ridiculous. You know what, maybe I
18:11
Speaker 1: will just add a play on this game. I'm pretty
18:13
Speaker 1: tempted to do it. Yeah, I think I'm gonna do it.
18:17
Speaker 1: But I would say, if you want to take Washington here,
18:20
Speaker 1: wait until it's a plus three. I'll put it in
18:23
Speaker 1: two and a half right now. But I'm gonna officially
18:26
Speaker 1: count this as a three if the three comes up,
18:29
Speaker 1: and I'm gonna talk about one of these other games
18:31
Speaker 1: that I have a play on in a similar fashion.
18:33
Speaker 1: But I like Washington in this one. I'll give it
18:35
Speaker 1: out at plus two and a half now. But again,
18:37
Speaker 1: I'm gonna count it this plus three if it does
18:39
Speaker 1: hit three, because it looks like it probably will by
18:42
Speaker 1: the time this game kicks off, So keep an eye
18:44
Speaker 1: on it. Public is all over Miami now. I think Miami,
18:49
Speaker 1: just off of that huge win. They're going over to Madrid.
18:51
Speaker 1: It might just be party time for Miami. And you
18:53
Speaker 1: have all these people like John Gruden out there and
18:56
Speaker 1: a lot of other people saying that Miami is gonna
18:59
Speaker 1: make a playoff. Man, they're gonna be that team that
19:01
Speaker 1: goes on this huge run and makes the playoffs because
19:03
Speaker 1: they got tu they got a chan. No, that's not
19:08
Speaker 1: gonna happen Miami. That was a big win that was
19:11
Speaker 1: basically their super Bowl against the Bills. They pretty much
19:15
Speaker 1: know their season is dead. I mean, every week, the
19:19
Speaker 1: talk is like, is McDaniel gonna be fired? And now
19:22
Speaker 1: it's because they beat the Bills. Because of one game,
19:25
Speaker 1: it's gone from oh, McDaniel's gonna be I'll keep the
19:27
Speaker 1: number up here, I'll keep the play up just because
19:30
Speaker 1: I'm talking about it every week, it's McDaniel's gonna get fired,
19:33
Speaker 1: and now just because of one game against the Bills,
19:36
Speaker 1: now it's now it's Miami's gonna make the playoffs. I mean,
19:41
Speaker 1: the perception is shifting so much. It's a huge overreaction.
19:45
Speaker 1: And with Washington, Washington has lost so many games in
19:49
Speaker 1: a row so badly that nobody's gonna want to be
19:51
Speaker 1: on them in any capacity. And you gotta think that
19:54
Speaker 1: leaving the entire country like not only leaving home after
19:58
Speaker 1: a bad loss at home, two losses at home, but
20:01
Speaker 1: leaving the entire country behind, You got to think that
20:03
Speaker 1: that's got to be a positive for Washington because that
20:06
Speaker 1: can just kind of be like a refresh, just get
20:09
Speaker 1: out of there, focus on a football game. So something
20:12
Speaker 1: has got to, you know, help Washington a little bit here.
20:15
Speaker 1: You know, they've just been getting embarrassed pretty much week
20:18
Speaker 1: after week. Miami is not a very good defense either.
20:22
Speaker 1: So this Washington offense with Mariota at the helm, should
20:25
Speaker 1: still be able to put up points in a game
20:27
Speaker 1: against He wasn't even that bad against Detroit last week, really,
20:31
Speaker 1: so they should be able to score against this Miami defense.
20:35
Speaker 1: Both these defenses are terrible, so I think the over
20:38
Speaker 1: also kind of makes sense in this game. It's gone
20:40
Speaker 1: up to forty seven, which is a key number. Sixty
20:43
Speaker 1: eight percent of tickets, only sixty three percent of the
20:45
Speaker 1: cash on the over. I know a lot of these
20:47
Speaker 1: europe games tend to fall so a lot of them
20:49
Speaker 1: tend to fall under because I don't know, you just
20:53
Speaker 1: see just sloppy offense for whatever reason in some of
20:56
Speaker 1: these games. This one, I don't really see that being
20:59
Speaker 1: the case. I don't know what the stadium is like though,
21:03
Speaker 1: like what the turf is like, as long as it's
21:05
Speaker 1: like a decent well, if it's bad quality turf and
21:08
Speaker 1: it's all chopped up, it could be like that Brazil game,
21:12
Speaker 1: the one last year where the offense is just ran
21:15
Speaker 1: like crazy because the defenses couldn't like move to keep
21:19
Speaker 1: up with the offense. So I don't know, but yeah,
21:22
Speaker 1: I think this could be reset time. For Washington. I mean,
21:25
Speaker 1: they've been just blown out in a bunch of games recently,
21:27
Speaker 1: and now they're going on the road Miami. I mean,
21:29
Speaker 1: what is Miami really done this year? I know they
21:32
Speaker 1: had the huge win, they had a big step up
21:34
Speaker 1: game against Buffalo, but other than that, they beat Atlanta
21:37
Speaker 1: with Kirk Cousins at quarterback in Atlanta just was absolute trash.
21:42
Speaker 1: And then the other game they beat the Jets because
21:43
Speaker 1: the Jets turned it over a bunch of times in
21:45
Speaker 1: a Monday night game and the Jets actually outgained them.
21:48
Speaker 1: And those are Miami's wins. Okay, let's see, you know,
21:53
Speaker 1: let's let's roll back the hype on Miami a little
21:56
Speaker 1: bit here, man. And if you look at this game
21:58
Speaker 1: against Buffalo, the yardage actually was pretty close in the game.
22:03
Speaker 1: Miami is only slight. No, Buffalo actually outgained Miami in
22:07
Speaker 1: the game. Miami is plus one in turnover, so statistically
22:11
Speaker 1: the game is actually close, which you wouldn't realize that
22:14
Speaker 1: based on the score. The score was a little bit
22:16
Speaker 1: misleading in that game with I think it was still
22:18
Speaker 1: the right call to go with Miami plus the points.
22:21
Speaker 1: It was an easy win and money line. But yeah,
22:23
Speaker 1: we're gonna go with Washington in this game. I know
22:25
Speaker 1: that was a very roundabout analysis there, but I don't
22:29
Speaker 1: have my thoughts together on that one. So obviously it's
22:34
Speaker 1: gonna be a loss. But that's my weakest of the
22:36
Speaker 1: four plays. Now that I'm gonna give out Washington plus
22:39
Speaker 1: the points. Situationship, yeah, Miami is they're obviously not gonna
22:46
Speaker 1: make the playoffs. Which situational handicaps are the strongest and
22:52
Speaker 1: which are the weakest? I mean, I think the sandwich
22:56
Speaker 1: spot is the most important, but that means it's like
22:58
Speaker 1: a combination of two things happening, where it's like the
23:02
Speaker 1: letdown spot from the week before in addition to a
23:04
Speaker 1: look ahead spot. I think the letdown spot or the
23:07
Speaker 1: hangover spot is like that's like probably the strongest because
23:11
Speaker 1: that just happened to the team, So it affects you
23:14
Speaker 1: both mentally and physically, whereas a look ahead is a
23:17
Speaker 1: little bit less of an impact, I would say, because
23:20
Speaker 1: you haven't played that game yet, So if you're able
23:23
Speaker 1: to kind of put that out of your head mentally,
23:25
Speaker 1: it won't be a factor, but it might still affect
23:28
Speaker 1: you mentally, so that is still an impact. If that
23:31
Speaker 1: makes sense I don't know, And then I mean it
23:33
Speaker 1: also depends on how like the line moves, because like
23:36
Speaker 1: injured player spot, I mean, that's obviously something I use
23:39
Speaker 1: a lot, and then that depends on like does the
23:42
Speaker 1: line completely overreact to it, the same with the reverse
23:46
Speaker 1: injured player spot when a guy comes back. I mean,
23:48
Speaker 1: a lot of it is kind of like feel to
23:50
Speaker 1: be honest, A lot of it is subjective where I'll
23:52
Speaker 1: just I just kind of vibe with the game, man,
23:56
Speaker 1: like I'm serious, like that's I don't know. It feels
23:59
Speaker 1: very obtive, like I just I don't know. I feel
24:02
Speaker 1: like I have a way of seeing things sometimes I
24:04
Speaker 1: just I see it right and I feel it. But
24:07
Speaker 1: it is like recognizing like patterns like this though like
24:10
Speaker 1: where yeah, I mean, I don't know. Hopefully that makes sense.
24:14
Speaker 1: In the day to day sports though, which this doesn't
24:16
Speaker 1: apply to football, but in the day to day sports,
24:19
Speaker 1: the return home spot is a very very negative spot
24:23
Speaker 1: as well, in like basketball in NBA and MLB, I
24:26
Speaker 1: should say, not really as much. In the college sports.
24:29
Speaker 1: It doesn't really have an impact, but if that makes sense,
24:33
Speaker 1: I mean, those are some of the big ones, and
24:35
Speaker 1: then there are some that can be well. Fire coach
24:38
Speaker 1: is actually really really strong. In my opinion, the fire
24:41
Speaker 1: coach spot comes through at such a high rate, especially
24:45
Speaker 1: in football, because you get the coach fired and then
24:49
Speaker 1: you have one week. You're focusing on this one game,
24:52
Speaker 1: this one week, and that's all that week is about.
24:54
Speaker 1: So that seems to work almost every single time, which
24:58
Speaker 1: means I'm gonna get jinxed here with one of my
25:00
Speaker 1: plays here this week. But yeah, my players are all
25:05
Speaker 1: gonna be ridiculously ugly. But yeah, mister Pinsey, hopefully that
25:09
Speaker 1: made sense. I don't know. I mean, you almost have
25:13
Speaker 1: to take each game like on its own merits, though, Like,
25:16
Speaker 1: and I don't do a great job weighing the strength
25:19
Speaker 1: of each one. So like the whole time I've been
25:21
Speaker 1: doing this, I bet like three units essentially every single time,
25:26
Speaker 1: Like bet to win three units every single time, on
25:28
Speaker 1: every single bet, Like, I don't weigh one more heavily
25:31
Speaker 1: than the other. And maybe I should, because sometimes when
25:32
Speaker 1: I do feel really strong, it is actually better. But
25:37
Speaker 1: I don't know, it's just the way I've always done it.
25:39
Speaker 1: I've always had the same amount on each uh on
25:42
Speaker 1: each play, Oh well, thank you. I don't know sometimes
25:46
Speaker 1: I feel like I'm just rambling and it doesn't make
25:48
Speaker 1: any sense anyway. All Right, I think that was that
25:50
Speaker 1: was it for that Washington one. These plays are gonna
25:53
Speaker 1: be so ugly today. Man, We're already a half hour
25:56
Speaker 1: into the show and we've talked about one game. Hell yeah,
26:00
Speaker 1: I'm gonna leave the rest of the best bets to
26:01
Speaker 1: the end. One of them is gonna be Packers Giants.
26:04
Speaker 1: You already know what it's gonna be, So I'm leaving
26:06
Speaker 1: that to the end. Buccaneers Bills. As we are into
26:09
Speaker 1: the one PM slate here with these couple of games,
26:12
Speaker 1: here bills sitting in around a six point favorite. It
26:16
Speaker 1: looks like it's six or six and a half here.
26:18
Speaker 1: I don't think it's gonna hit the touchdown. Sixty percent
26:21
Speaker 1: of the tickets and only fifty seven percent of the
26:23
Speaker 1: cash on the bills, So the bills still look slightly
26:26
Speaker 1: public despite what happened last week, with a little bit
26:30
Speaker 1: less of the money. Although I don't know by the
26:31
Speaker 1: time this game kicks off, I'm not actually sure that
26:33
Speaker 1: the cash percentage will be lower on the bills because
26:36
Speaker 1: I actually lean to the bills as it stands right now,
26:40
Speaker 1: Timpa Bay. They're coming off a tough game against the Patriots.
26:44
Speaker 1: People were hyping up that game. It was may versus Mayfield.
26:47
Speaker 1: You know. I know this is also a big quarterback
26:49
Speaker 1: matchup between Alan and Mayfield here, so it's two MVP
26:54
Speaker 1: candidates here again. But still I think it could be
26:59
Speaker 1: a little bit of a hang over spot coming up
27:00
Speaker 1: that big game against New England, and now Tampa Bay
27:03
Speaker 1: has to travel up to Buffalo, which is a road
27:06
Speaker 1: out of conference games. So sometimes those games matter less
27:09
Speaker 1: on your schedule. I mean, they are the games that
27:11
Speaker 1: do matter less on your schedule because when it comes
27:15
Speaker 1: down to the tie breakers, those are the games that
27:17
Speaker 1: you need the least. Tampa does have a conference game
27:20
Speaker 1: up next against the Rams, so I mean, I'm not
27:23
Speaker 1: saying they're gonna overlook Buffalo. I don't think they will,
27:26
Speaker 1: but maybe they will actually take Buffalo a little bit
27:28
Speaker 1: less seriously because of what Buffalo looked like last week.
27:31
Speaker 1: But also it's an unfamiliar venue for Tampa. It's the
27:34
Speaker 1: road out of conference game. That also kind of adds
27:37
Speaker 1: to why the home team and those games tends to
27:39
Speaker 1: do fairly well. Although I know last week I actually
27:42
Speaker 1: went against one of those home teams that I had,
27:44
Speaker 1: the Ravens against the Vikings, that was all about the spot.
27:48
Speaker 1: I thought the Vikings spot was terrible Buffalo. I mean,
27:51
Speaker 1: you got to think they're in a bounce back spot, man.
27:53
Speaker 1: I mean that was just everybody's talking about that game.
27:56
Speaker 1: That was just a horrendous game. Now they're getting trolled
27:58
Speaker 1: by the Dolphins and just showed you. Buffalo actually outgained
28:02
Speaker 1: the Dolphins in that game. So it wasn't exactly what
28:05
Speaker 1: it looked like it was on the score board, although
28:07
Speaker 1: some of it was Buffalo just getting yardage and garbage
28:10
Speaker 1: time to do anything to try to catch up. But
28:13
Speaker 1: it's an ugly loss, man. It was explainable again because
28:16
Speaker 1: Buffalo had that huge playoff revenge win against Kansas City.
28:21
Speaker 1: Buffalo always beats Kansas City in the regular season and
28:23
Speaker 1: loses in the playoffs, so it was explainable they had
28:27
Speaker 1: to go down to Miami. It was a sweltering heat
28:29
Speaker 1: in Miami. Now Buffalo's coming back home after an ugly loss.
28:33
Speaker 1: I think Buffalo does bounce back here. As far as
28:37
Speaker 1: the weather is concerned, it is gonna be forty degrees,
28:40
Speaker 1: so that might not be great for a team like
28:43
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay that likes to playing warm weather, so that
28:45
Speaker 1: is something to consider. Tampa Bay might get chilled out
28:49
Speaker 1: a little bit in this game. And yeah, I mean
28:54
Speaker 1: that's basic all I have to say about this game. Yeah,
28:57
Speaker 1: lean to Buffalo as it stands. Right now, I'm gonna
29:00
Speaker 1: be watching the market tomorrow morning. I'll I'll do the
29:02
Speaker 1: final market read again and tomorrow morning show, but we'll
29:05
Speaker 1: see four hours. Oh god, no, I will die if
29:09
Speaker 1: I do that. All right, Next game up is Bengals Stealers.
29:14
Speaker 1: This is an interesting one. The Steelers have dropped from
29:17
Speaker 1: a six and a half point favorite to a five
29:18
Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. Although these openers I think
29:20
Speaker 1: were actually the look ahead so these are actually the
29:23
Speaker 1: numbers the week before. So in these cases, I don't
29:27
Speaker 1: think it's actually the money coming into the market that's
29:29
Speaker 1: actually moving the lines. I think these line moves that
29:31
Speaker 1: you see here are one was the week the look
29:35
Speaker 1: ahead line, and then the current line is based off
29:38
Speaker 1: of after it reopened this week, which is a new market,
29:42
Speaker 1: and then it may have moved since then. So sometimes
29:47
Speaker 1: you want to fade like an overreaction here because this
29:50
Speaker 1: can tell you what the overreaction was and not necessarily
29:52
Speaker 1: what the line actually did. Sixty the tickets are on
29:55
Speaker 1: the Steelers, sixty three percent of the cash on the Bengals,
29:59
Speaker 1: So the Bengals actually look like they're taking the money here.
30:01
Speaker 1: Public looks like they expect the Steelers to bounce back.
30:06
Speaker 1: I'm probably gonna lean with the money in this one
30:08
Speaker 1: and lean with the Cincinnati side. Cincinnati, I mean, their
30:12
Speaker 1: season is in dire straits here. I mean they're three
30:15
Speaker 1: and six basically, if they fall to three and seven,
30:18
Speaker 1: probably you're looking at them not making the playoffs. Don't
30:22
Speaker 1: know if Joe Barrow is coming back. I don't know
30:23
Speaker 1: what his status is. He's not coming back this week. Obviously,
30:28
Speaker 1: he's participating in some practices now, practices without pads, so
30:33
Speaker 1: he's definitely weeks away still. So we're looking at Joe
30:37
Speaker 1: Flacco here. But Cincinnati just had a buy and I
30:40
Speaker 1: think that's a positive because they went into that buy
30:42
Speaker 1: in a two game loss streak, including losing to the
30:44
Speaker 1: New York Jets and then losing to the Bears after
30:48
Speaker 1: Cincinnati made a huge comeback in the game, took the
30:50
Speaker 1: lead and then blew it. So I think they had
30:53
Speaker 1: that buy at a good time. Again, when you go
30:56
Speaker 1: into the buy in a bad note, use that buy
30:58
Speaker 1: to prepare to fix some things. So I think this
31:00
Speaker 1: is a positive for Cincinnati. Now, yes, this is a
31:03
Speaker 1: revenge spot for Pittsburgh because Cincinnati did beat Pittsburgh on
31:08
Speaker 1: that Thursday night primetime game big Rogers versus Flacoh battle
31:13
Speaker 1: with the Cincinnati late drive to retake the lead and
31:16
Speaker 1: win in Cincinnati. So yes, the divisional revenge is a thing.
31:22
Speaker 1: So yes, that is a little bit maybe of a
31:23
Speaker 1: motivating factor for Pittsburgh. But Cincinnati is obviously going to
31:27
Speaker 1: be motivated here. Like sometimes that revenge spot works because
31:32
Speaker 1: it's more so that the team that won the first
31:34
Speaker 1: game just they don't take that team seriously again the
31:37
Speaker 1: next time they played them. But Cincinnati is going to
31:40
Speaker 1: take Pittsburgh seriously. I and Cincinnati is the underdog here,
31:43
Speaker 1: so I don't think that the revenge spot is a
31:45
Speaker 1: huge factor here. Pittsburgh they had to play last week
31:49
Speaker 1: and they had to travel off of beating Indianapolis, and
31:53
Speaker 1: I've talked about how that was a misleading win over Indianapolis.
31:57
Speaker 1: Even though I did pick Pittsburgh in my pick coms,
32:00
Speaker 1: I think I added them to my pick five as well,
32:02
Speaker 1: which I'm in the money right now, hopefully it stays
32:04
Speaker 1: that way. Indianapolis had six turnovers in that game. I
32:09
Speaker 1: think Pittsburgh might have actually out I think Indianapolis actually
32:13
Speaker 1: outgained Pittsburgh in the game. So that was part of
32:15
Speaker 1: my handicap last week in Pittsburgh. Bad spot letdown spot
32:19
Speaker 1: after the Colts. After beating the Colts in a misleading way,
32:22
Speaker 1: they had to go out to the Pacific Coast for
32:24
Speaker 1: a night game. Not a good spot there for Pittsburgh.
32:28
Speaker 1: LA I believe had extra time off as well the
32:30
Speaker 1: Chargers did, if I'm not mistaken, So it was a
32:33
Speaker 1: bad spot for Pittsburgh. They lost out at LA. Now
32:37
Speaker 1: they're coming back home. But this is basically two cross
32:41
Speaker 1: country trips in two weeks for Pittsburgh, so I don't
32:43
Speaker 1: really love that. While Cincinnati was on buy, Pittsburgh was
32:47
Speaker 1: having to travel back from the Pacific time zone into
32:49
Speaker 1: I think the Eastern time zone here in Pittsburgh, I'm
32:52
Speaker 1: pretty sure. So I do not like the spot here
32:56
Speaker 1: for Pittsburgh. I mean, this is not a play for me,
32:58
Speaker 1: but I think this spot does set up better for Cincinnati,
33:01
Speaker 1: even though Pittsburgh would ideally like to get that revenge
33:05
Speaker 1: on the Bengals, and of course Pittsburgh could win and
33:08
Speaker 1: not cover as well here, but I'm gonna lean to
33:10
Speaker 1: taking the points with Cincinnati. I also like the under
33:14
Speaker 1: because everybody's gonna look at that first game and be like,
33:16
Speaker 1: oh my god, it was thirty three to thirty one,
33:19
Speaker 1: sixty four points was squared. You're looking at a total
33:22
Speaker 1: of forty nine here. It looks way too easy to
33:24
Speaker 1: take the over. Seventy percent of tickets on the over,
33:27
Speaker 1: but fifty six percent of the cash on the under,
33:30
Speaker 1: so money's coming in on the under. I will agree
33:32
Speaker 1: with that as well. Maybe a little bit concerning because
33:37
Speaker 1: the Bengals defense is atrocious, but and that also is
33:43
Speaker 1: a concern if you're taking the points of the Bengals.
33:45
Speaker 1: Their defense is terrible, but the Steelers offense is not
33:49
Speaker 1: a particularly prolific offense, let's just put it that way.
33:53
Speaker 1: And their defense actually hasn't been that great this year. Either.
33:56
Speaker 1: All right, Texas Titans is one of my players. I'll
33:59
Speaker 1: stay off of that for now. We'll talk about it
34:01
Speaker 1: in a bit. Bears Vikings another divisional matchup, and this
34:05
Speaker 1: is another one that's a second matchup of the year,
34:08
Speaker 1: and there is a revenge component here where the Vikings
34:11
Speaker 1: did beat the Bills. The Bills the Bears. The Vikings
34:16
Speaker 1: beat the Bears at Chicago early in the season. You
34:19
Speaker 1: remember that Vikings made a comeback in the game and won,
34:22
Speaker 1: and everybody was praising JJ McCarthy even though he wasn't
34:25
Speaker 1: even actually good in the game. He just did enough
34:28
Speaker 1: to lead his team back. But it was a lot
34:31
Speaker 1: like the Vikings defense, like buckled down and played well.
34:35
Speaker 1: Caleb Williams just isn't that good in my opinion, so
34:38
Speaker 1: although I don't think McCarthy is either, but there were
34:41
Speaker 1: a lot of reasons why the Vikings did win that one. Now, yes,
34:44
Speaker 1: it is a road revenge spot, and I talk about
34:46
Speaker 1: how if a divisional opponent loses at home in the
34:50
Speaker 1: first matchup, which the Bears did on prime time nonetheless,
34:54
Speaker 1: so that might add more of a motivating factor to
34:57
Speaker 1: the Bears here. Usually it's good to look at that
34:59
Speaker 1: team as an underdog. If they're an underdog in the
35:03
Speaker 1: next game going to that opponent's venue, they're gonna step
35:05
Speaker 1: up their game and play well as an underdog. So
35:07
Speaker 1: that would be one reason to look to the Bears here,
35:11
Speaker 1: but I actually do not in this game. Fifty six
35:15
Speaker 1: percent ticket seventy five percent of the cash on Minnesota,
35:18
Speaker 1: so the money is coming in on Minnesota. Right now,
35:20
Speaker 1: they're a three point favored. It looks think it might
35:22
Speaker 1: actually drop to two and a half. Again, it's been
35:24
Speaker 1: kind of lingering three two and a half all week,
35:27
Speaker 1: So if you do like the Vikings, you might be
35:28
Speaker 1: able to still get the two and a half, or
35:30
Speaker 1: maybe you could play a money line. But looking at
35:34
Speaker 1: this game, this is a misleading spread because it's like,
35:36
Speaker 1: why are the Vikings favored when they're four and five
35:39
Speaker 1: and the Bears are six and three. Vikings also are
35:42
Speaker 1: bad at home, one and three at home, Bears three
35:44
Speaker 1: and two on the road. So it looks really easy
35:48
Speaker 1: to take the points with Chicago, and I think it
35:50
Speaker 1: looks like some of the public are doing that, and
35:53
Speaker 1: I'm not going to buy into that. Again, Minnesota is
35:56
Speaker 1: actually the I think they're the better team, and I
35:59
Speaker 1: think they probably get about two for home field, which
36:01
Speaker 1: is about the most that you get in the NFL.
36:03
Speaker 1: So I think the osregers are still kind of indicating
36:05
Speaker 1: that they are the better team. There's a reason why
36:07
Speaker 1: they're favored here. I think Chicago, I think they're fraudulent, dude.
36:12
Speaker 1: I mean, yes, I have anti Caleb Williams bias because
36:16
Speaker 1: I have just been saying he's not that good. But
36:18
Speaker 1: I just think I'm right. And the Bears, I mean,
36:20
Speaker 1: they've been coasting, man. I mean they beat Dallas when
36:23
Speaker 1: Dallas is in a bad spot and Dallas has a
36:25
Speaker 1: terrible defense. They beat the Raiders in a game where
36:27
Speaker 1: the Raiders outplayed them in basically every phase of the game,
36:30
Speaker 1: and the Bears somehow got a win at the end
36:33
Speaker 1: of that game with a block field goal coming into
36:35
Speaker 1: play at the end. Bears came out of a bye,
36:38
Speaker 1: and they did have a big quarterback revenge scenario against Washington,
36:42
Speaker 1: so they did get that win. But we know Washington
36:45
Speaker 1: they've been pretty bad this year, man, so that win
36:48
Speaker 1: doesn't look that good. The Bears beat the Saints, I
36:50
Speaker 1: mean that's not impressive either. They beat Cincinnati, who has
36:53
Speaker 1: a terrible defense and isn't really that good, and then
36:56
Speaker 1: last week they beat the Giants in a game where
36:59
Speaker 1: there's no way the Bears would have beaten the Giants
37:01
Speaker 1: if Jackson Dark didn't get hurt. Dark got a concussion,
37:04
Speaker 1: and the Giants were winning the game twenty to ten
37:07
Speaker 1: in that game, and then Dark got hurt. Giants never
37:10
Speaker 1: scored again and the Bears came back and won the game.
37:12
Speaker 1: Just ridiculous, absolutely ridiculous. And I had the Giants at
37:17
Speaker 1: plus three and a half on ESPN. They weren't in
37:20
Speaker 1: like my money pick them or anything, but at ESPN
37:23
Speaker 1: the number was three and a half, So the Giants
37:25
Speaker 1: didn't even cover that for my pick on ESPN, which
37:28
Speaker 1: is ridiculous, absolutely ridiculous. But the Bears, their six and
37:34
Speaker 1: three record is very misleading. So yeah, I just don't
37:39
Speaker 1: think the Bears are as good as they look right now.
37:41
Speaker 1: And meanwhile from Minnesota, Minnesota actually needs the game more
37:43
Speaker 1: as well because they're sitting at four and five, and
37:46
Speaker 1: I know sometimes that puts pressure on a team, but
37:49
Speaker 1: still I think you might see Minnesota having a little
37:51
Speaker 1: bit more motivation here just because they're they need to
37:55
Speaker 1: play catch up. But they're in last place in the
37:57
Speaker 1: in the division here, and I don't think they're actually
37:59
Speaker 1: the worst team in this division. I think the Bears are,
38:03
Speaker 1: so I think Minnesota does have incentive from that perspective,
38:09
Speaker 1: and Minnesota did take a loss last week against Baltimore,
38:12
Speaker 1: and that was expected because you remember I talked about
38:14
Speaker 1: that was a bad spot from Minnesota. I gave up
38:17
Speaker 1: Baltimore as a play in that game. Minnesota had just
38:19
Speaker 1: pulled off that big upset over Detroit in the return
38:23
Speaker 1: for McCarthy, and that was a play for me as well.
38:25
Speaker 1: So I've been the Minnesota whisperer. Actually three weeks in
38:28
Speaker 1: a row. I've been on their games and I've been
38:30
Speaker 1: right every single time. Right I give out a play
38:32
Speaker 1: in the Chargers against Minnesota in the Thursday night game,
38:35
Speaker 1: I gave up Minnesota against Detroit, and I gave up
38:38
Speaker 1: Baltimore last week against Minnesota. So I've been whispering hard
38:42
Speaker 1: on the Vikings. So I'm not giving out a play
38:44
Speaker 1: this week on the Vikings game here. But yeah, I
38:47
Speaker 1: mean there's zig zagon there. They've been one of those
38:51
Speaker 1: teams that you like to handicap man because they abide
38:54
Speaker 1: by these like patterns that you see where there's zigzag.
38:57
Speaker 1: They play well, then they don't play well, then they
38:59
Speaker 1: play well again, and you know they get into a
39:00
Speaker 1: letdown spot they don't play well, which was what I
39:03
Speaker 1: think happened last week. And I think they were looking
39:05
Speaker 1: ahead to the Chicago game too. I just think they
39:08
Speaker 1: didn't have as much focus on an AFC team like Baltimore,
39:11
Speaker 1: and Baltimore needed the game even a little bit more
39:14
Speaker 1: because Baltimore started the season so bad. So yeah, I mean,
39:20
Speaker 1: I think Minnesota got caught in a sandwich there. I
39:23
Speaker 1: think part of that was that they were looking ahead
39:24
Speaker 1: to this game. I agree with Minnesota on this one.
39:27
Speaker 1: Not a play for me, though. Panthers Falcons. Falcons have
39:32
Speaker 1: gone up from a three and a half point favorite
39:34
Speaker 1: to a four point favorite. Seventy five percent of tickets
39:36
Speaker 1: on the Falcons, fifty four percent of the cash coming
39:38
Speaker 1: back on the Panthers, so the money is coming in
39:41
Speaker 1: on the Panthers. This is yet another divisional matchup where
39:45
Speaker 1: there's a revenge component the Panthers, which was one of
39:48
Speaker 1: my wins earlier in the season. The Panthers beat the
39:51
Speaker 1: Falcons in Carolina thirty to nothing. So yes, the Falcons,
39:55
Speaker 1: they're gonna remember that, and that was such an embarrassing
39:58
Speaker 1: loss that you got to think that they should remember
40:01
Speaker 1: that and be motivated here. However, I'm probably gonna agree
40:06
Speaker 1: with the market in this one. Inside, but taking the
40:08
Speaker 1: points of Carolina. I mean it's not a play for me,
40:11
Speaker 1: but because I do think there is still that revenge
40:15
Speaker 1: component for Atlanta. But Carolina, they lost last week to
40:19
Speaker 1: the New Orleans Saints. Man, I mean that was ugly.
40:21
Speaker 1: I talked about how that was almost a play for
40:24
Speaker 1: me last week. It made my money pick five where
40:27
Speaker 1: Carolina beat green Bay the week before that, and that
40:30
Speaker 1: was a play for me. Or I told you that
40:32
Speaker 1: green Bay was in a sandwich spot there. Green Bay
40:35
Speaker 1: had that game surrounded by much bigger games. Carolina pulled
40:37
Speaker 1: off the outright upset, and then I think Carolina was
40:40
Speaker 1: in a bad spot coming off that. They were in
40:42
Speaker 1: a letdown spot. They had an ugly game against New Orleans,
40:45
Speaker 1: and now after losing to New Orleans at home, which
40:48
Speaker 1: is about the worst thing you could do this year,
40:50
Speaker 1: I think Carolina will bounce back in a way and
40:54
Speaker 1: show up for this one. They were really bad though.
40:58
Speaker 1: New Orleans actually dominated Caroline in this game yardage three
41:01
Speaker 1: eighty eight to one seventy five. I mean that is bad.
41:04
Speaker 1: That is a red flag. Man in New Orleans had
41:07
Speaker 1: a ton of penalties, Carolina only had one, and Carolina
41:11
Speaker 1: still lost the game. So that isn't a good sign.
41:14
Speaker 1: Like Carolina's sitting at five and five, and laughably they
41:17
Speaker 1: were actually five and four prior to that. They're not
41:20
Speaker 1: that good. Carolina is still pretty much a bottom dweller.
41:24
Speaker 1: But all that being said, I do think this is
41:27
Speaker 1: a bounce back spot for them here, and I think
41:28
Speaker 1: they will show up for a divisional game against Atlanta.
41:31
Speaker 1: I do think Atlanta's gonna try to show up. Atlanta
41:35
Speaker 1: had a big game last week though, in Berlin against Indianapolis,
41:39
Speaker 1: and they took INDI to overtime in that game, and
41:43
Speaker 1: I believe I had Atlanta in ESPN it was five
41:46
Speaker 1: and a half even though the number went off at
41:47
Speaker 1: six and a half. So the people that got plus
41:49
Speaker 1: six and a half one on the Falcons plus the points,
41:52
Speaker 1: and in ESPN the five and a half was a loss.
41:55
Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, a couple of my losses last week
41:58
Speaker 1: and pick them were just so so, you know, what's
42:03
Speaker 1: the word I'm looking for? Maddening? I guess not John Madden.
42:07
Speaker 1: I should have a John Madden drop right now. But yeah,
42:12
Speaker 1: I mean this could be a difficult spot, man. And
42:14
Speaker 1: now at Lynna is having to travel back from Berlin,
42:17
Speaker 1: they opted to not take the buy here, and I
42:19
Speaker 1: did talk about prior to this season teams coming back
42:23
Speaker 1: from those Europe games because they have the option to
42:25
Speaker 1: not take the buy, like the league will give them
42:28
Speaker 1: a bye after that, but the team can request to
42:31
Speaker 1: not have that buy and have it at a different time.
42:33
Speaker 1: And before this season, I'm pretty sure. I mean, I
42:37
Speaker 1: have to go back and look, but I'm pretty sure
42:38
Speaker 1: because I talked about it, teams opting to not take
42:42
Speaker 1: the bye actually showed up in those games, because that
42:46
Speaker 1: basically tells you that they actually wanted to be there
42:48
Speaker 1: and play in that game, and they actually did. Surprise me. Well,
42:51
Speaker 1: but this year that has not been the case. This year,
42:54
Speaker 1: three teams have done that this year and they've all
42:56
Speaker 1: failed to cover the spread, and two of them, unfortunately,
42:59
Speaker 1: were with Cleveland did it against Pittsburgh. Denver did it
43:06
Speaker 1: against the Giants, and that was a spot where the
43:09
Speaker 1: Giants were in a Philadelphia cheese steak sandwich that time
43:12
Speaker 1: at Denver still not only couldn't cover, but Denver had
43:16
Speaker 1: to score thirty three points in the fourth quarter to
43:18
Speaker 1: win that game. They Denver basically had no business winning
43:22
Speaker 1: that game. And then the third one was what was
43:25
Speaker 1: the third one? So Denver did win at least, but
43:28
Speaker 1: they were the only team that actually won. Oh, the
43:30
Speaker 1: third one was no, I was gonna say it was
43:33
Speaker 1: the Jets. No, yeah, it was the Jets. I think. Yeah.
43:37
Speaker 1: After that Jets Denver game, I think the Jets did
43:39
Speaker 1: play as well and they lost, I believe to Dallas.
43:45
Speaker 1: I want to say whatever, it was the team's coming
43:47
Speaker 1: back from the Europe games that play right away. They're
43:50
Speaker 1: all in three against the spread this year and they're
43:52
Speaker 1: one and two straight up with the only win being
43:54
Speaker 1: that ridiculous Denver comeback is a big favorite. So keeping
43:58
Speaker 1: that in mind, I will lean to taking the points
44:01
Speaker 1: of Caroline and this one. I don't want to give
44:04
Speaker 1: it out as a play. London is questionable. You mean London,
44:08
Speaker 1: the city is questionable. I mean that's that's true. That's
44:10
Speaker 1: true because I would not want to go there. It's
44:13
Speaker 1: being infested by people from foreign nations. Let's say that
44:18
Speaker 1: are committing crimes. I don't want to get this channel nuked,
44:23
Speaker 1: but that is what's going on there. But yes, Drake,
44:25
Speaker 1: London might be questionable, so keep an eye on that.
44:27
Speaker 1: He is. He is definitely a difference maker. He's one
44:29
Speaker 1: of the better wide receivers in the league. Yes, correct,
44:34
Speaker 1: Drake London. Yeah, we'll see if he plays or not.
44:37
Speaker 1: I know he missed one of the games. I think
44:41
Speaker 1: it might have been the game against Miami where he
44:43
Speaker 1: didn't play. I forget he missed one of these games, though,
44:47
Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure it was that one because you don't
44:49
Speaker 1: see him on the on the stat sheet, here is
44:51
Speaker 1: the the top receiver. Although that was just an ugly
44:56
Speaker 1: game with Kirk Cousins in there, so nobody really got
44:59
Speaker 1: any receiving yard all right. To finish the one PM
45:02
Speaker 1: Slay Chargers Jaguars, Chargers were a one point favorite. It
45:07
Speaker 1: looks like on the look ahead they were one point favorite,
45:09
Speaker 1: and now they're a three point favorite. So it's going
45:12
Speaker 1: on to this key number three. And I think this
45:13
Speaker 1: is all entirely based off of last week where everybody
45:16
Speaker 1: saw the Chargers beat Pittsburgh. People saw the Jaguars lose
45:21
Speaker 1: to Houston, and now all of a sudden, the Chargers
45:24
Speaker 1: are a three point favorite. I'm not gonna buy it.
45:27
Speaker 1: I like the Jaguars in this one. I mean this one.
45:30
Speaker 1: It hasn't made one of my plays, but I would
45:32
Speaker 1: take the points of the Jags here seventy four percent
45:35
Speaker 1: of tickets, only sixty four percent of the cash on
45:37
Speaker 1: the Chargers, so they are public with less than the
45:39
Speaker 1: money on them. I think you could argue this is
45:41
Speaker 1: a letdown spot for the Chargers here, as they did
45:45
Speaker 1: just have a big win over Aaron Rodgers and the Steelers.
45:48
Speaker 1: I think they consider that to be a big win.
45:50
Speaker 1: It was a primetime game Sunday night, so I think
45:53
Speaker 1: that is big. And now the Chargers having to travel
45:55
Speaker 1: to the Eastern time zone, where the Chargers have done
45:59
Speaker 1: that twice this year, and they have not done well.
46:01
Speaker 1: They're own to two against the spread traveling to the
46:04
Speaker 1: Eastern time Zone, losing outright to the Giants. That was
46:08
Speaker 1: a play for me in that game, Jackson darts to
46:10
Speaker 1: Tabute and that was a bad spot for the Chargers.
46:13
Speaker 1: They were coming off a big win over Denver as well,
46:16
Speaker 1: and then they didn't do well against Miami either. They won,
46:19
Speaker 1: they had to win with a late score at the
46:21
Speaker 1: end of that game. They almost lost to Miami and
46:23
Speaker 1: they did not cover. And then they did play at Tennessee.
46:27
Speaker 1: Is Tennessee in the Eastern time zone. I forget if
46:29
Speaker 1: they're Eastern or Central. I think they're in what Nashville,
46:34
Speaker 1: so is that Central? I don't even know. But the
46:37
Speaker 1: Chargers didn't cover that game either. They won, but they
46:40
Speaker 1: didn't cover so the Chargers road games going east, the
46:44
Speaker 1: Chargers have failed to cover all of them. The only
46:47
Speaker 1: road game they've covered was against the Raiders in the
46:49
Speaker 1: Pacific time zone in Vegas. Soid the Chargers have not
46:53
Speaker 1: done well, and they've been a road favored in all
46:56
Speaker 1: these games where they've traveled east as well, and they've
46:59
Speaker 1: failed to cover all of them. They do have a
47:03
Speaker 1: game against Vague, well, they have a bye, and then
47:05
Speaker 1: they have a divisional game against Vegas. I don't know
47:07
Speaker 1: if Vegas is really gonna be a look ahead though,
47:09
Speaker 1: because they're so bad and the Chargers already easily beat
47:12
Speaker 1: them once. But maybe they'll be looking forward to this
47:14
Speaker 1: buy Jacksonville. They're coming off a pretty misleading loss Dune,
47:20
Speaker 1: I think, although actually, let me see, actually I think
47:22
Speaker 1: Houston did actually outgain them, so I don't think it
47:25
Speaker 1: was actually entirely misleading. Let me seem, yeah, Houston actually
47:28
Speaker 1: dominated them. Houston actually outgained them by two hundred yards.
47:32
Speaker 1: So the fact that Jacksonville was winning the game by
47:34
Speaker 1: so much. Was that was a little bit misleading? A
47:38
Speaker 1: lot of penalties in this game, though. Houston converted a
47:41
Speaker 1: ton of third downs in the game, ten for fifteen.
47:44
Speaker 1: Ridiculous third down rate for Houston in this game. But
47:47
Speaker 1: even though Houston outgained them, I think a lot of
47:49
Speaker 1: it was outgained them by a ton. A lot of
47:52
Speaker 1: it I think was because Houston had to make a
47:54
Speaker 1: huge comeback. Jacksonville was beating them twenty nine to ten oops,
47:58
Speaker 1: twenty nine to ten into the fourth quarter. Oops, what
48:01
Speaker 1: did that do? I don't know. ESPNZUI is weird, man,
48:04
Speaker 1: Oh I think it just brings up the scoring play
48:06
Speaker 1: on the right side or something. Anyway, Jacksonville was winning
48:09
Speaker 1: this game twenty nine to ten in the going into
48:13
Speaker 1: the fourth quarter here, and then Houston came all the
48:16
Speaker 1: way back and won the game. They're winning by one
48:19
Speaker 1: after they failed a two point conversion. So I think
48:21
Speaker 1: some people had minus one and a half and then
48:23
Speaker 1: what happened? Oh yeah, they had a fumble six with
48:26
Speaker 1: like no time left to actually cover the minus one
48:30
Speaker 1: and a half and make sure they covered every number. Insane.
48:34
Speaker 1: Houston scored twenty six points to the fourth quarter and
48:37
Speaker 1: Jacksonville didn't score any I think Jacksonville is gonna be
48:42
Speaker 1: pretty angry after that, man, So I expect Jacksonville to
48:45
Speaker 1: show up in this game. They get the Chargers at home,
48:48
Speaker 1: I think they're gonna be focused on this. Jacksonville. They've
48:52
Speaker 1: been pretty good at home. Actually, they gave up one
48:55
Speaker 1: of their home games to play in London, because that
48:57
Speaker 1: is what always happens with Jacksonville. They were like four
49:00
Speaker 1: two by the league, which is total bs. But Jacksonville's
49:03
Speaker 1: three and one in their home games. Man. They beat
49:06
Speaker 1: Carolina Houston. I know those are not totally impressive wins,
49:10
Speaker 1: although Houston's better than the record looks right now. And
49:12
Speaker 1: they beat Kansas City, remember though, it was kind of
49:15
Speaker 1: on that weird Fluke play, which was the what was it,
49:19
Speaker 1: the what do we want to call it? The the
49:24
Speaker 1: the mistake, what is it? It's stumble bum when Ben
49:28
Speaker 1: Johnson would call it for the Lions. It was the
49:32
Speaker 1: the accidental stumble bumb let's call it that where Trevor
49:35
Speaker 1: Lawrence fell down and it wasn't it was non intentional,
49:39
Speaker 1: and then he got into the end zone for the win. Anyway,
49:41
Speaker 1: crazy win. That was good for me because I gave
49:43
Speaker 1: out Jacksonville as a play in that game. But the
49:45
Speaker 1: point is Jacksonville has been better at home. Their only
49:48
Speaker 1: loss at home was in the letdown spot. Coming off
49:51
Speaker 1: that big Monday night game against Kansas City, huge win,
49:54
Speaker 1: they had to play at home again right away and
49:55
Speaker 1: they lost to Seattle. And Seattle's been playing pretty well,
49:58
Speaker 1: so that's Jacksonville's only home loss. So they've been better
50:01
Speaker 1: at home without a doubt. So yeah, I think you
50:05
Speaker 1: could take the points with them at home. They've also
50:08
Speaker 1: only been a home underdog once and it was that
50:11
Speaker 1: Kansas or no, maybe twice. I don't remember if Seattle
50:14
Speaker 1: was a favorite or not in that game. But the
50:16
Speaker 1: only game where they were at home they were they
50:18
Speaker 1: were an underdog of this magnitude was against Kansas City.
50:22
Speaker 1: They were like a three and a half point underdog.
50:24
Speaker 1: That also is kind of odd, right because Kansas City
50:26
Speaker 1: was a three three or three and a half point
50:29
Speaker 1: favorite in that game and now LA is a three
50:31
Speaker 1: point favorite. The Chargers are a three point favorite against
50:34
Speaker 1: so the Osvigers and basically tell you the Chargers are
50:38
Speaker 1: as good as the Chiefs, And I don't think that's
50:40
Speaker 1: quite true. I think at this point you gotta say
50:42
Speaker 1: that the Chiefs are slightly better than the Chargers, so
50:47
Speaker 1: so the line does look a little bit high from
50:48
Speaker 1: that respect as well. So yeah, I would take the
50:50
Speaker 1: points with the Jags in that game. All right, Seahawks, Rams,
50:57
Speaker 1: this is gonna be a huge game going into the
51:01
Speaker 1: four h five Eastern slate here or the four PM
51:04
Speaker 1: slate because some of the games are four to twenty five.
51:06
Speaker 1: A lot of big games get scheduled in this window.
51:09
Speaker 1: Fifty percent of the tickets are on the Seahawks, of
51:11
Speaker 1: fifty five percent of the cash on the Rams, and
51:13
Speaker 1: the Rams are up from three to bordering on being
51:16
Speaker 1: a three and a half pay favorite. If you like
51:18
Speaker 1: the Rams, hopefully you can get a three of some
51:21
Speaker 1: kind here or maybe money line or money line parlay
51:24
Speaker 1: in some way, because the money is seemingly coming in
51:27
Speaker 1: on the Rams side, and I don't disagree with it.
51:30
Speaker 1: I think the Rams are still gonna be of the
51:32
Speaker 1: mindset like, hey, we're the staple in this division, Like
51:35
Speaker 1: who are these Seahawks? Like all of a sudden, Sam
51:38
Speaker 1: Darnold comes over here, and all of a sudden, they're
51:41
Speaker 1: like a threat to win this division. I think the
51:43
Speaker 1: Rams are gonna be of the mindset like we're gonna
51:46
Speaker 1: show you who actually is still the boss of this division.
51:49
Speaker 1: It is still us, like go away, new guy. I
51:52
Speaker 1: think the Rams are gonna be in that mindset. Yes,
51:55
Speaker 1: the Seahawks have been good this year, but I'm gonna
51:57
Speaker 1: show you the schedule in a minute. Seahawks have played
51:59
Speaker 1: a pretty schedule so far, man, And this could be
52:04
Speaker 1: the game where Sam Donald turns into a pumpkin man,
52:06
Speaker 1: because you remember what happened last year Sam Donald. He
52:09
Speaker 1: had these like big step up games, and there were
52:11
Speaker 1: certain games like right at the end of the season
52:14
Speaker 1: where the pressure just became too much for him and
52:17
Speaker 1: he got wrecked. And that was the game against Detroit,
52:20
Speaker 1: which is a huge divisional game that basically determined it
52:23
Speaker 1: did determine the division and the one seed at the
52:25
Speaker 1: end of the season. And then who was the other
52:28
Speaker 1: team that gave Sam Donald all those problems in the playoffs,
52:31
Speaker 1: by the way, which wound up being a play for
52:34
Speaker 1: me on this show. I gave it a play on
52:35
Speaker 1: that game. Yeah, it was the Rams. It was the
52:38
Speaker 1: Rams defense with Sean McVay. They made Sam Donald look
52:42
Speaker 1: horrible in that playoff game, and it was in this
52:44
Speaker 1: stadium at LA, so it could be a repeat. Man,
52:50
Speaker 1: I know that this is the Seahawks offense now, not
52:52
Speaker 1: the Vikings offense from last year. But Sean McVay, he
52:56
Speaker 1: might have some tricks up his sleeve. Man, he might
52:58
Speaker 1: know what to do against Sam Darnald based on that game.
53:01
Speaker 1: Sam Darnold was horrific in that game against the Rams
53:04
Speaker 1: last year. Luckily for me because again it was a
53:06
Speaker 1: play for me on my show. That was a If
53:08
Speaker 1: you go to my YouTube channel, that was the Chiro
53:11
Speaker 1: practic bed I gave out. That was the precursor of
53:14
Speaker 1: my Instagram videos. I gave up that play on the
53:16
Speaker 1: fly because I decided to make that play last minute.
53:18
Speaker 1: I was lying on my hardwood floors. Go check that out.
53:23
Speaker 1: Proof that I gave it out as a play. Baby.
53:26
Speaker 1: Everything's proven on this everything's documented on this channel. Now,
53:30
Speaker 1: both these teams are coming off blowout wins. The Seahawks
53:33
Speaker 1: blew out Arizona, which is gonna be that is definitely
53:36
Speaker 1: gonna be seen as less good than LA the Rams
53:40
Speaker 1: blowing out the forty nine ers last week. Because everybody
53:44
Speaker 1: knows the forty nine ers are better than Arizona, so
53:47
Speaker 1: I would think that the public would put more weight
53:50
Speaker 1: into the Rams win. But at the public looks like
53:53
Speaker 1: they're on the Seahawks hype a little bit. Man. They've
53:56
Speaker 1: just been a hype this year. The public loves, like,
53:58
Speaker 1: they love the novelty of that. Like the public is
54:01
Speaker 1: just I think they're kind of just sick of the Rams. Like, yeah,
54:04
Speaker 1: the Rams are Matthew Stafford, They're always here or whatever.
54:07
Speaker 1: The public likes, like the Seattle's like their shiny new toy.
54:11
Speaker 1: Seattle and the Patriots are like the two shiny new
54:14
Speaker 1: toys this year. Man, I don't see either of them
54:17
Speaker 1: getting through like the playoffs or whatever once they get there,
54:20
Speaker 1: because they're both probably gonna be in the playoffs now
54:24
Speaker 1: as far as Seattle's concerned. Yeah, they're coming off a
54:26
Speaker 1: blow out win, so are the Rams. The Rams win
54:29
Speaker 1: was probably a little bit bigger because Seattle getting the
54:32
Speaker 1: seasons sweep of Arizona. They're probably not gonna consider that
54:36
Speaker 1: to be that big of a deal. I mean, they
54:37
Speaker 1: were a big favorite against Arizona. I was kind of
54:39
Speaker 1: surprised though that Arizona didn't play very well in this game.
54:42
Speaker 1: Because I thought Arizona might have a chance. I thought
54:45
Speaker 1: they were gonna cover this. But if you look at
54:47
Speaker 1: the stats, Seattle did not outgain Arizona by that much
54:51
Speaker 1: in this game, so it wasn't as much of a
54:53
Speaker 1: blowout as it look like on the scoreboard. Seattle had
54:55
Speaker 1: two fumble return touchdowns in the game, by the way,
54:58
Speaker 1: that put the game almost out of reach early. They
55:02
Speaker 1: were up twenty eight to nothing and it was partially
55:04
Speaker 1: because of too fumble return touchdowns, so that really swung
55:08
Speaker 1: the game. So that was a misleading final result on
55:13
Speaker 1: the scoreboard. But if you look at Seattle, look at
55:15
Speaker 1: Seattle's wins this year, man and telling me if this
55:17
Speaker 1: is really that impressive. They beat Pittsburgh, who that's one
55:22
Speaker 1: of their best wins, Pittsburgh on the road, and I
55:24
Speaker 1: don't think Pittsburgh is as good as they looked. They
55:27
Speaker 1: beat New Orleans at home, Arizona on the road, Jacksonville
55:31
Speaker 1: on the road, and when Jacksonville was in a huge
55:33
Speaker 1: letdown spot after beating Kansas City, they beat Houston at
55:36
Speaker 1: home on Monday night. I mean Houston. Yeah, there were
55:38
Speaker 1: a good defense at least Washington on the road, and
55:42
Speaker 1: Arizona again, I mean, this is not that strong of
55:45
Speaker 1: a schedule for Seattle here, man, like the Rams, the
55:49
Speaker 1: Rams are actually gonna be the best team they faced
55:51
Speaker 1: all season. I would say the other the two best
55:55
Speaker 1: teams that Seattle's faced this year, by the way, are
55:57
Speaker 1: San Francisco and Tampa Bay. And and Seattle lost both
56:02
Speaker 1: of those games at home to San Francisco and Tampa Bay.
56:05
Speaker 1: So and I think the Rams are better than both
56:08
Speaker 1: of those teams. So that's I think that is definitely
56:13
Speaker 1: an indicator of where you should go in this game.
56:16
Speaker 1: Seattle's not stepped up well in class and they've tried
56:19
Speaker 1: to do it, and again, their schedule has been so
56:21
Speaker 1: weak that the Rams are gonna be the best team
56:23
Speaker 1: they faced so far. For the Rams, the Rams also
56:26
Speaker 1: beat Houston already. They played the Eagles Indianapolis. They've already
56:30
Speaker 1: played in San Francisco twice, where Seattle's only played them once,
56:34
Speaker 1: and the Rams played Baltimore and Jacksonville. So both teams
56:38
Speaker 1: played Jacksonville as well, I think, and both teams beat them.
56:42
Speaker 1: The Rams beat them more impressively, although that was in London,
56:45
Speaker 1: but still they destroyed them. And I know the Rams
56:48
Speaker 1: beat Baltimore without Lamar Jackson. I get it. But the Ravens,
56:51
Speaker 1: I mean they're not really They're not a bad team,
56:55
Speaker 1: all right, So on the road, that's still a pretty
56:57
Speaker 1: good win for the Rams. The Rams have facing the
56:59
Speaker 1: more difficult schedule. Both teams are gonna show up for this.
57:02
Speaker 1: I don't think there's gonna be a letdown component, even
57:04
Speaker 1: though I know the Rams got a nice big road
57:06
Speaker 1: revenge win against the forty nine ers. That was a
57:08
Speaker 1: big win. So I would consider it to be a
57:11
Speaker 1: letdown spot if this was a different opponent that they
57:13
Speaker 1: were facing. But come on, man, it's Seattle. This is
57:16
Speaker 1: for first place in the NFC West right now, huge
57:19
Speaker 1: game for both teams. In that situation, you want to
57:22
Speaker 1: lean to the better team. That's gonna be the Rams
57:26
Speaker 1: unless we see something otherwise. So Rams will be my
57:30
Speaker 1: opinion in that game. It's not a play for me, though. Yes,
57:33
Speaker 1: I have the receipts. I got the receipts. Baby, Frank
57:38
Speaker 1: Castanz on back, Baby, Yeah, I want to get some
57:40
Speaker 1: a Seinfeld drops here. I'll try to get some of those. Yeah,
57:46
Speaker 1: let Toad cook, that's gonna that should be. I'll bring
57:50
Speaker 1: up the old toad Weenie roast from Tower getting that
57:53
Speaker 1: graphic with the sizzling sound. Actually, I think we do,
57:56
Speaker 1: we still have that. Let me see. I think I
57:59
Speaker 1: have to switched a Tower Game. But hang ONU, this
58:01
Speaker 1: might change the entire branding. Hang on, Oh my god,
58:04
Speaker 1: I think it did. Oh crap, hold on, it changed
58:07
Speaker 1: to the Tower Game branding. But I think it's in here.
58:09
Speaker 1: Let me see, let me see if I can find it.
58:11
Speaker 1: I just want to go back to it and play it.
58:13
Speaker 1: Oh where's it at? Oh? Man, I miss Tower Gang.
58:17
Speaker 1: Is it here? It's got to be here. Tyler used
58:20
Speaker 1: to just yeah, there it is, baby, all right, back
58:38
Speaker 1: to the branding and it brings up my screen again
58:40
Speaker 1: when I go back to the branding. How about that?
58:44
Speaker 1: Bring back Tower Game? Baby? All right? What else do
58:50
Speaker 1: we have going on here? We have forty nine Ers Cardinals,
58:52
Speaker 1: so all the teams in the NFC West are playing
58:54
Speaker 1: each other. Forty nine Er is up from well, the
58:57
Speaker 1: the look ahead was a one point fase on the
59:00
Speaker 1: forty nine ers. Now it's three and a half. So
59:04
Speaker 1: probably a little bit of an overreaction here for the
59:06
Speaker 1: forty nine ers. Man, I think it's an overreaction to
59:09
Speaker 1: the quarterback situation, and maybe just to the Cardinals looking bad.
59:13
Speaker 1: But both these teams look bad last week. But I
59:16
Speaker 1: think the Cardinals losing to the Seahawks is probably that
59:20
Speaker 1: probably looks worse than the forty nine Ers losing to
59:22
Speaker 1: the Rams by I think they almost lost by the
59:25
Speaker 1: same score too. There were two forty four to twenty
59:29
Speaker 1: two finals last week, which is weird. One of them
59:31
Speaker 1: was they think the Seahawks Cardinals, and the other was
59:34
Speaker 1: Detroit and Washington, and then the forty nine Ers lost
59:37
Speaker 1: to the Rams I think like forty two to twenty
59:39
Speaker 1: six or something. So all those games had the same total,
59:43
Speaker 1: I think too, which is very strange. Landed on the
59:47
Speaker 1: same total. I should say. Forty nine Ers are very
59:50
Speaker 1: public in this game, eighty three percent of tickets, only
59:52
Speaker 1: fifty nine percent of the cash. So you know me,
59:55
Speaker 1: I mean, based on that market read, I'm gonna be
59:56
Speaker 1: leaning towards taking the points of the Cardinals. Now, this
1:00:00
Speaker 1: was gonna be a one point favorite for the forty
1:00:03
Speaker 1: nine Ers. Yeh, that's what the line was going to be.
1:00:04
Speaker 1: But now brock Purty is coming back finally for the
1:00:08
Speaker 1: forty nine Ers, and now all of a sudden that
1:00:09
Speaker 1: means they're a three and a half point favorite. I
1:00:12
Speaker 1: don't like that, man. I think it's an overreaction. This
1:00:14
Speaker 1: is a reverse injured player spot, where again I always
1:00:18
Speaker 1: talk about this when the star player comes back, if
1:00:20
Speaker 1: you even want to call Purty a star, the line's
1:00:23
Speaker 1: gonna overadjust to him coming back, and the team might
1:00:28
Speaker 1: like take their foot off the gas. Although I know
1:00:29
Speaker 1: they lost last week, so maybe they won't do that,
1:00:31
Speaker 1: but they might, you know, just kind of ease up
1:00:34
Speaker 1: a little bit, being like, all right, our guys back,
1:00:36
Speaker 1: here we go. But also they have to get back
1:00:39
Speaker 1: into the rhythm with Purdy, right, so I think it
1:00:42
Speaker 1: takes a little while for the team to like regel
1:00:44
Speaker 1: with that guy that's been out for so long. So
1:00:46
Speaker 1: I don't like this. And I've never been like a
1:00:49
Speaker 1: huge fan of Purty, Like, I don't think he's that good.
1:00:51
Speaker 1: I think it's kind of that. The team's very well coached.
1:00:54
Speaker 1: He's got a lot of talent around him on the offense.
1:00:57
Speaker 1: I think that has something to do with it. Jones
1:01:00
Speaker 1: was not that bad filling in for him and the
1:01:02
Speaker 1: forty nine ers. I mean they have a winning record
1:01:04
Speaker 1: right now. Jones has been playing pretty well, and there
1:01:07
Speaker 1: is an argument that Jones has been playing better than
1:01:09
Speaker 1: brock Party, so adjusting this line pretty much just because
1:01:13
Speaker 1: brock Party is coming back, I don't buy it. So yeah,
1:01:18
Speaker 1: I would take the points of Arizona here. It is
1:01:21
Speaker 1: also revenge because of the forty nine Ers did beat Arizona,
1:01:25
Speaker 1: but it was a really close one point win in
1:01:28
Speaker 1: an ugly sixteen to fifteen game in San Francisco back
1:01:31
Speaker 1: in Week three. So yes, it is technically revenge for Arizona.
1:01:37
Speaker 1: But will both teams really show up for this, I
1:01:41
Speaker 1: don't know, because San Francisco the game against the Rams
1:01:44
Speaker 1: meant more though. San Francisco, yeah, they still have to
1:01:47
Speaker 1: win against teams in their division. But Arizona is the
1:01:50
Speaker 1: bottom dweller in the division right now. Man, so San
1:01:53
Speaker 1: Francisco it is possible. They don't totally take Arizona. Seriously,
1:01:57
Speaker 1: San Francisco, They're having to do a lot of travel
1:02:00
Speaker 1: here too, if you look at what has happened here.
1:02:01
Speaker 1: They don't have the bye until Week fourteen, and I
1:02:04
Speaker 1: know they have a pretty easy remaining schedule here, so
1:02:07
Speaker 1: I expect San Francisco probably will be in the playoffs.
1:02:10
Speaker 1: But and Purty. They'll probably get used to Purdy coming back,
1:02:14
Speaker 1: and they'll probably start winning some games here, especially against
1:02:17
Speaker 1: a bunch of bad teams that they face. They faced, well,
1:02:20
Speaker 1: Arizona's one of them, and I think they might lose
1:02:23
Speaker 1: this game. But they do face Carolina, Cleveland, Tennessee in
1:02:26
Speaker 1: their next three games, so there is that forty nine ers,
1:02:30
Speaker 1: though they've this is going to be their fifth road
1:02:35
Speaker 1: game in seven weeks, going back to October second, they
1:02:38
Speaker 1: were at La, then they went all the way across
1:02:41
Speaker 1: the country to Tampa Bay, had to fly back home
1:02:44
Speaker 1: to face Atlanta, and then they had to go out
1:02:46
Speaker 1: to Houston. Then I don't know if they came back
1:02:48
Speaker 1: home or not, but then they went to the New
1:02:50
Speaker 1: York Giants. Then they had to come back home again.
1:02:53
Speaker 1: So they have at least three maybe four cross country
1:02:56
Speaker 1: trips in here, plus one to Texas, and now they
1:03:00
Speaker 1: got to go back out to Arizona. It's kind of
1:03:01
Speaker 1: a brutal travel situation for San Francisco here man, So
1:03:04
Speaker 1: I don't like that either, and for Arizona. I will
1:03:07
Speaker 1: still repeat what happened when I talked about last week.
1:03:12
Speaker 1: Prior to last week, Arizona, every one of their losses
1:03:15
Speaker 1: was close prior to last week. They had lost by one, three, one, four,
1:03:20
Speaker 1: and four prior to losing by twenty two last week.
1:03:23
Speaker 1: And it was misleading again because Seattle had two defensive
1:03:26
Speaker 1: touchdowns in the game. So Arizona has been close in
1:03:30
Speaker 1: all of their losses, so that's another reason. And maybe
1:03:32
Speaker 1: look towards taking the points with Arizona here. And as
1:03:36
Speaker 1: far as San Francisco against the Rams last week, the
1:03:39
Speaker 1: Rams dominated them yard as wise, I'm pretty sure, so
1:03:43
Speaker 1: it wasn't really that misleading. I know I'm wrong, Holy crap. Yeah,
1:03:47
Speaker 1: I should take that back, man. I gotta get my
1:03:49
Speaker 1: stuff straight because I look at all these games beforehand
1:03:51
Speaker 1: and then I lose track of it in my mind.
1:03:53
Speaker 1: But yeah, I'm wrong. The Rams did have a lot
1:03:55
Speaker 1: more first downs they outpossessed them too, but the Rams
1:03:58
Speaker 1: only outgained them by eighty yards. But maybe it was
1:04:01
Speaker 1: because San Francisco was playing comeback and getting a lot
1:04:04
Speaker 1: of late yards there. So but yeah, I lean to
1:04:10
Speaker 1: Arizona in that one. Okay, man, all right, I gotta
1:04:16
Speaker 1: get more water here as well. Patrick Tillman, Yeah that's right.
1:04:22
Speaker 1: So yeah, it's well, which one do we consider to
1:04:24
Speaker 1: be the well. Last week was really the Veterans Day weekend, right,
1:04:27
Speaker 1: and Arizona was not able to do it for him.
1:04:30
Speaker 1: But maybe they're back home, maybe they'll do something for him.
1:04:33
Speaker 1: I don't know. I'm gonna have one situation where there
1:04:36
Speaker 1: is a situation on the board this week where I'm
1:04:38
Speaker 1: gonna rely on that as part of the handicap though.
1:04:42
Speaker 1: A team stepping up their game for a death, which
1:04:49
Speaker 1: you probably know what that means if you've been following
1:04:53
Speaker 1: if you've been following football, you'll probably know what team
1:04:56
Speaker 1: that is. Yeah, Kardashian was playing comeback one second. I'll
1:05:00
Speaker 1: be back. You guys can stare at the rest of
1:05:02
Speaker 1: this board here. I know it's pretty all right one second. Playoffs.
1:05:26
Speaker 1: Don't talk about the playoffs. You kidding me? Playoffs? I
1:05:31
Speaker 1: just hope we can win a game another game, all right,
1:06:59
Speaker 1: I'll ask you. That's on right now. Crazy that BYU
1:07:02
Speaker 1: is blowing out TCU. I did not expect that type
1:07:06
Speaker 1: of a bounce back from BYU. Man still think BYU
1:07:09
Speaker 1: is massively overrated. Gonna be looking to fade them hard
1:07:13
Speaker 1: if they make the playoffs in college football? All right, Neiland,
1:07:20
Speaker 1: Who's kneland what yes, maybe all right, Ravens Browns Man
1:07:28
Speaker 1: so many games here, what's going on? Ravens are a
1:07:32
Speaker 1: pretty big road favorite here. They're up from an eight
1:07:34
Speaker 1: point favorite to a nine point favorite now at Cleveland.
1:07:37
Speaker 1: Seventy eight percent of ticket seventy nine percent of the
1:07:39
Speaker 1: cash on the Ravens. But this is a total. It's
1:07:42
Speaker 1: down to thirty eight and a half money coming in
1:07:44
Speaker 1: on the under. So this is expected to be a
1:07:46
Speaker 1: pretty low scoring game. If that's the case, I mean,
1:07:49
Speaker 1: I think you've got to look towards taking the points
1:07:51
Speaker 1: in this game if you play it. If it's expected
1:07:54
Speaker 1: to be low scoring and you're getting that many points
1:07:56
Speaker 1: at the home team Cleveland, they're probably gonna show. I mean,
1:08:00
Speaker 1: it's a lost season for Cleveland, but we know they
1:08:03
Speaker 1: lost forty one to seventeen on the road already against Baltimore.
1:08:06
Speaker 1: So this is a divisional This is a divisional revenge
1:08:09
Speaker 1: spot where I actually agree with leaning towards that side
1:08:15
Speaker 1: this game. Cleveland actually outgained Baltimore in this game, three
1:08:20
Speaker 1: twenty three to two forty two. Cleveland actually just had
1:08:23
Speaker 1: two turnovers in the game, and there were some fluke
1:08:25
Speaker 1: touchdowns at the end of the game, so this was
1:08:27
Speaker 1: a very misleading final score. The game was I believe
1:08:30
Speaker 1: twenty four to ten, twenty to ten. I think it
1:08:34
Speaker 1: might have been twenty to ten in the fourth quarter
1:08:36
Speaker 1: or something like that. So that first game between Cleveland
1:08:39
Speaker 1: and Baltimore was not what it seemed to be. Cleveland's
1:08:43
Speaker 1: coming off an ugly loss to the Jets last week,
1:08:46
Speaker 1: so it's gonna be a bounce back spot at Thay
1:08:48
Speaker 1: for Cleveland here. And this was also misleading as the
1:08:52
Speaker 1: Jets had a kickoff return touchdown and then a punt
1:08:55
Speaker 1: return touchdown almost right away in the game, So this
1:08:59
Speaker 1: was a misleading result as well. Here with the Jets
1:09:01
Speaker 1: getting the job done, Cleveland out gained the Jets two
1:09:04
Speaker 1: seventy eight to one sixty nine and lost this game.
1:09:07
Speaker 1: So this was a misleading result as well. I think
1:09:10
Speaker 1: Cleveland's gonna be pretty angry that they lost to the Jets.
1:09:13
Speaker 1: Maybe even they started looking ahead to the Ravens here.
1:09:16
Speaker 1: This is gonna be one of the games that Cleveland
1:09:19
Speaker 1: still will get up for him. Man. I mean, you've
1:09:21
Speaker 1: seen how the Browns play like they're a dead team
1:09:24
Speaker 1: like late in the season. The games they get up
1:09:26
Speaker 1: for these divisional games they'll get up for. Like basically,
1:09:30
Speaker 1: this is just a rule with any team that's like
1:09:32
Speaker 1: not going anywhere in a season, the games that they'll
1:09:35
Speaker 1: get up for are divisional games and primetime games. Basically
1:09:41
Speaker 1: that's the rule. Like those are the games that they
1:09:42
Speaker 1: might actually still bring focus, and this is one of those.
1:09:45
Speaker 1: Obviously they're gonna show up against the Ravens here. Man
1:09:50
Speaker 1: Ravens don't really have anything upcoming, but they are playing
1:09:53
Speaker 1: a third straight road game at least, so that's a
1:09:56
Speaker 1: little bit of a concern for the Ravens and they
1:10:00
Speaker 1: had to buy prior to that. So they're actually literally
1:10:02
Speaker 1: playing three straight road games at Miami and then up
1:10:07
Speaker 1: in Minnesota and now down to Cleveland. So yeah, I
1:10:11
Speaker 1: would take the points of the Browns if I was
1:10:13
Speaker 1: gonna play it. The Cowboys player he yeah, he shot
1:10:18
Speaker 1: himself in a in a porta potty, because that's how
1:10:22
Speaker 1: you want to go out right, Maybe there was something
1:10:25
Speaker 1: else actually going on there, because who was gonna do
1:10:28
Speaker 1: that in a porta potty? Like is that the last thing?
1:10:32
Speaker 1: Like I heard it was clean at least it was.
1:10:36
Speaker 1: It was a port body that smelled of chemicals, which
1:10:39
Speaker 1: I think meant that it was clean. I don't know,
1:10:42
Speaker 1: like it hadn't been recently used, no idea. But who's
1:10:46
Speaker 1: gonna do that, Like if you're gonna if you're gonna,
1:10:50
Speaker 1: you know, end your life or whatever. Dude, I don't
1:10:52
Speaker 1: want to get this channel nuke, this show nuked, whatever.
1:10:55
Speaker 1: But if you're gonna do that, why would you, like,
1:10:57
Speaker 1: why would you choose to do in a porta potty?
1:10:59
Speaker 1: I think there's something were going on there, all right,
1:11:02
Speaker 1: Chiefs Broncos. Huge game in the four to twenty five
1:11:07
Speaker 1: slate here, sixty six per tickets, seventy three percent of
1:11:10
Speaker 1: the cash on the Chiefs, who were going to be
1:11:13
Speaker 1: a two and a half or three point favorite basically,
1:11:15
Speaker 1: and now they're already four with juice, so the actual
1:11:18
Speaker 1: money is coming into the Chiefs in this game. I
1:11:23
Speaker 1: could see this being an under because you're looking to
1:11:25
Speaker 1: two good, good defenses here. I do think the Chiefs
1:11:29
Speaker 1: are the team that has the better offense, though, I
1:11:32
Speaker 1: mean I think that goes without saying. I mean, there's
1:11:33
Speaker 1: a reason why they're favoring on the road Broncos. Their
1:11:37
Speaker 1: offense is pretty bad, to be honest. The Broncos very
1:11:41
Speaker 1: very good defensively, but the Chiefs are right up there
1:11:44
Speaker 1: defensively as well. And the Chiefs are more balanced, see
1:11:47
Speaker 1: because they can actually they can actually play offense. So
1:11:50
Speaker 1: I do agree with the money here. I would lean
1:11:52
Speaker 1: to the Chiefs. I don't really want to lay four
1:11:56
Speaker 1: on the road though Broncos are five and oh at home,
1:12:00
Speaker 1: they've been good at home, got to give them that,
1:12:02
Speaker 1: And the Chiefs have been ugly on the road one
1:12:04
Speaker 1: to three. So there is a home road dichotomy there
1:12:07
Speaker 1: that would tell you maybe to look towards taking the
1:12:10
Speaker 1: points of the Broncos. Pacheco is out in this game
1:12:14
Speaker 1: for the Chiefs, by the way, but I don't think
1:12:15
Speaker 1: that really matters because they don't run the football well anyway,
1:12:18
Speaker 1: So whoever fills in from Kareem Hunt, I guess whoever
1:12:22
Speaker 1: will still be okay, I think. But the Chiefs do
1:12:24
Speaker 1: like a lot of short passing to make up for
1:12:26
Speaker 1: the to make up for the rushing anyway, so I
1:12:30
Speaker 1: don't think that really matters. The Chiefs are also coming
1:12:35
Speaker 1: out of a bye here, and I know everybody's gonna
1:12:37
Speaker 1: be saying Andy Reid he's really good off of a buye.
1:12:40
Speaker 1: That is true. He has a really good record coming
1:12:42
Speaker 1: off of a bye. They went into the buy in
1:12:45
Speaker 1: a bad note losing to Buffalo, so I think they
1:12:47
Speaker 1: had to buy at a good time. So I think
1:12:49
Speaker 1: that is a helpful buye for Kansas City. I mean,
1:12:51
Speaker 1: they're gonna show up because it's Denver. But also looking
1:12:54
Speaker 1: at these teams records eight and two Denver at home,
1:12:57
Speaker 1: why would the five and four Chiefs be favored on
1:13:00
Speaker 1: the road. So the line it looks like one of
1:13:02
Speaker 1: those misleading lines right where you think that the public
1:13:05
Speaker 1: would actually almost start coming in on Denver here because
1:13:07
Speaker 1: they're eight and two. They're like they're like the other
1:13:10
Speaker 1: shining new toy, even though they're in their second season
1:13:13
Speaker 1: with bon Nicks. But I think bon Nicks has been
1:13:15
Speaker 1: worse this year than last year because the league has
1:13:17
Speaker 1: kind of figured him out and figured out what this
1:13:19
Speaker 1: offense is gonna try to do. Denver did lose their
1:13:22
Speaker 1: running back to Dobbins, so they're gonna be probably going
1:13:26
Speaker 1: with R. J. Harvey for the rest of the season.
1:13:30
Speaker 1: Not great for me because I initially drafted him in
1:13:32
Speaker 1: fantasy and then he was not getting enough reps in games,
1:13:35
Speaker 1: so I had to get rid of him. Because I
1:13:38
Speaker 1: had running back injuries and I couldn't have a guy
1:13:40
Speaker 1: that wasn't gonna get that many reps in my line up.
1:13:45
Speaker 1: I could not predict that Dobbins would get hurt. Man,
1:13:48
Speaker 1: So that sucks. So what can you do? But yeah,
1:13:53
Speaker 1: I mean it does look like a misleading line because
1:13:55
Speaker 1: you have the team with the worst record being a
1:13:57
Speaker 1: pretty substantial favorite on the road. Oddsmakers are telling you
1:14:00
Speaker 1: the Chiefs of the better team right now. The Chiefs
1:14:02
Speaker 1: I think have the best odds to win the super
1:14:05
Speaker 1: Bowl even though they're five to four, which is ridiculous.
1:14:08
Speaker 1: But the oddsmakers know something. Man. Again, I know everybody
1:14:13
Speaker 1: mentions the Andy Reid coming out of a bye thing,
1:14:15
Speaker 1: but it is just true. So I mean, I think
1:14:17
Speaker 1: that is another reason to look towards the Chiefs here,
1:14:19
Speaker 1: even though everybody's talking about it. He knows how to
1:14:23
Speaker 1: get his team ready out of a bye and that
1:14:25
Speaker 1: just is what it is. Denver, they did look ugly
1:14:28
Speaker 1: last week, then they do have some extra time as
1:14:30
Speaker 1: well because they played on Thursday. They beat the Raiders
1:14:33
Speaker 1: in a horrifically ugly game ten to seven, So that
1:14:36
Speaker 1: is that does set this up as a positive spot.
1:14:39
Speaker 1: For Denver. So I do think both teams are certainly
1:14:42
Speaker 1: going to show up for this game. They're both in
1:14:44
Speaker 1: positive spots. Maybe the public is off Denver a little
1:14:48
Speaker 1: bit just because they look so bad in that game
1:14:50
Speaker 1: against the Raiders, whereas Kansas City didn't have the opportunity
1:14:54
Speaker 1: to look bad because they went into a bye. But
1:14:56
Speaker 1: the public's not really gonna knock Kansas City much for
1:15:00
Speaker 1: losing to Buffalo because they consider Buffalo to be good obviously,
1:15:04
Speaker 1: and they are so from that respect, Like basically looking
1:15:09
Speaker 1: at what these teams did last Yeah, I could see
1:15:11
Speaker 1: maybe the argument for taking the points with Denver here,
1:15:14
Speaker 1: but I still think the buy is helpful to the Chiefs.
1:15:16
Speaker 1: I still think the market read means something, and the
1:15:19
Speaker 1: fact that it's a misleading line does mean something as well.
1:15:22
Speaker 1: So I would probably lay it with the Chiefs if
1:15:24
Speaker 1: I was gonna play it. But laying that many points
1:15:27
Speaker 1: on the road against this good defense is not something
1:15:30
Speaker 1: I really would really want to do, so probably more
1:15:35
Speaker 1: to it. Yeah, and then Lions Eagles finish off the
1:15:39
Speaker 1: Sunday slate in the Sunday night games. Is a good
1:15:41
Speaker 1: primetime game, two good teams. A NFC battle here, Eagles
1:15:47
Speaker 1: were gonna be a one point fair and now they're
1:15:48
Speaker 1: a three point favorite, and the Lions are a pretty
1:15:51
Speaker 1: public underdog here. You know, I warned against public underdogs
1:15:56
Speaker 1: that you pretty much want to look to fade them
1:15:59
Speaker 1: because you know, in that case you're actually getting a
1:16:01
Speaker 1: good team because they're favored. Usually you're getting a good team.
1:16:04
Speaker 1: In this case, obviously you are because both teams are good.
1:16:08
Speaker 1: But the public is you know, is jumping in on
1:16:11
Speaker 1: the underdog there, and usually you do want to fade
1:16:14
Speaker 1: that if the money is saying otherwise. Seventy two percent tickets,
1:16:17
Speaker 1: only sixty nine percent of the cash on the Lions.
1:16:20
Speaker 1: So the Lions are pretty heavily public here. And of
1:16:22
Speaker 1: course everybody's gonna love what they see out of the
1:16:25
Speaker 1: Lions recently, well basically just because last week they put
1:16:29
Speaker 1: up forty four against Washington, while Philadelphia looked really, really
1:16:34
Speaker 1: bad in that Green Bay game. So everybody saw that
1:16:36
Speaker 1: primetime game in Philadelphia look so bad offensively, the public
1:16:40
Speaker 1: is just gonna come in on Detroit. I mean, Detroit
1:16:42
Speaker 1: just scored forty four points, man, and meanwhile Philadelphia they
1:16:47
Speaker 1: only scored ten in an ugly ten to seven game.
1:16:50
Speaker 1: To ten to seven primetime games last week. What is
1:16:53
Speaker 1: up with that? Denver and the Raiders and Eagles green
1:16:57
Speaker 1: Bay to tend to seven games just ridiculous. But anyway,
1:17:01
Speaker 1: the public, they're gonna see that and be like, oh
1:17:04
Speaker 1: my god, Detroit scored forty four and Philly only only
1:17:08
Speaker 1: scored ten, Like they're gonna just automatically play Detroit because
1:17:12
Speaker 1: of that. Pretty much, so I would not do it.
1:17:15
Speaker 1: I would lean to the Eagles in this game and
1:17:19
Speaker 1: agree with the market. Read here and you can kind
1:17:21
Speaker 1: of explain why the Eagles were pretty lackluster in that
1:17:24
Speaker 1: last game, although I know green Bay was bad too,
1:17:26
Speaker 1: but I gave out green Bay as a play in
1:17:28
Speaker 1: that game and the Eagles, I thought they had to
1:17:30
Speaker 1: buy at a bad time because they had gone into
1:17:34
Speaker 1: the buy in a winning note, and yeah, I thought
1:17:37
Speaker 1: that was gonna disrupt their momentum, which it looks like
1:17:39
Speaker 1: it did. It's just the Green Bay didn't hold up
1:17:42
Speaker 1: their end of the bargain because I thought Green Bay
1:17:43
Speaker 1: was absolutely gonna bounce back from that horrible loss to
1:17:47
Speaker 1: Carolina and that didn't happen. But anyway, that does explain
1:17:52
Speaker 1: why Philadelphia might not have played well in that game.
1:17:55
Speaker 1: The only thing is Detroit. But everybody's gonna be talking
1:17:59
Speaker 1: about this. Dan Campbell, i believe, is eleven and two
1:18:02
Speaker 1: straight up in primetime games as the coach of the Lions,
1:18:06
Speaker 1: which is pretty ridiculous if you think about it. Eleven
1:18:10
Speaker 1: and two in primetime games. So that's not something I
1:18:14
Speaker 1: love the idea of fading, even though I will lean
1:18:18
Speaker 1: to the Eagles here at least for now. I mean,
1:18:20
Speaker 1: we'll talk about it again in the morning. I'll do
1:18:22
Speaker 1: my final market read. But Detroit this year, they played
1:18:26
Speaker 1: three primetime games. By the way, they won at Baltimore
1:18:30
Speaker 1: on Monday night back in Week three. They actually lost
1:18:35
Speaker 1: one of them in a Sunday night game, and this
1:18:37
Speaker 1: is a Sunday night game as well. They lost at
1:18:38
Speaker 1: Kansas City on a Sunday night game, and then they
1:18:42
Speaker 1: won on a Monday night game against Tampa Bay right
1:18:44
Speaker 1: after that. So they're two and one in their primetime
1:18:48
Speaker 1: games this year, which is not as good as eleven
1:18:50
Speaker 1: and two obviously, but still one of those losses, and
1:18:55
Speaker 1: one of those two losses was this year at Kansas City,
1:18:57
Speaker 1: So just something to keep in mind. Probably is slightly
1:19:00
Speaker 1: into Philadelphia for me in that one. As I said,
1:19:04
Speaker 1: all right, best bets time, because one of them is
1:19:07
Speaker 1: on the Monday night game as well, and we did
1:19:09
Speaker 1: already give out an extra one on the Washington side.
1:19:14
Speaker 1: We'll see how that one does. I mean, man, that
1:19:16
Speaker 1: is horrendous. Okay, so Washington's already one of them. We
1:19:21
Speaker 1: got a couple more and this is gonna be one
1:19:24
Speaker 1: of those weeks. Man. We got some real real ugly
1:19:27
Speaker 1: ones in here. The first one up is why I'm
1:19:31
Speaker 1: wearing this jersey because I'm offending all of the Tennessee
1:19:35
Speaker 1: people by wearing the Titans colors. Because we remember the
1:19:37
Speaker 1: Titans are the Oilers and Houston. The Texans decided to
1:19:41
Speaker 1: troll them by creating these alternate jerseys with oiler colors.
1:19:45
Speaker 1: I just like the colors, like I liked the tit
1:19:48
Speaker 1: I like the Titans, and I liked the Oilers because
1:19:50
Speaker 1: of their colors. But I'm getting this Houston with that usageery,
1:19:55
Speaker 1: this Houston jersey with these colors as well, just to
1:19:59
Speaker 1: you know, just to troll them a little bit. Why not.
1:20:02
Speaker 1: But we're going with Tennessee in this one, man, So
1:20:03
Speaker 1: we're going against my Houston jersey here. We're gonna take
1:20:06
Speaker 1: the six. I know you could have gotten seven seven
1:20:09
Speaker 1: and a half in this one on the look ahead,
1:20:12
Speaker 1: but I don't know if the if the market this
1:20:14
Speaker 1: week actually opened up at seven and a half or
1:20:16
Speaker 1: six or whatever, because there was a question as to
1:20:18
Speaker 1: whether or not CJ. Stroud, this dude right here, whether
1:20:22
Speaker 1: he was gonna come back in this game. He is not,
1:20:25
Speaker 1: So it's gonna be Davis Mills again, and that is
1:20:30
Speaker 1: why the line is six and not seven. I think
1:20:32
Speaker 1: it was gonna be at least seven and a half.
1:20:33
Speaker 1: It was probably gonna be higher than that if Stroud
1:20:37
Speaker 1: was gonna play. But that's also pretty interesting because remember
1:20:41
Speaker 1: the Texans played the Titans earlier this year, and if
1:20:43
Speaker 1: you remember what the line was in that game, it
1:20:45
Speaker 1: was at Houston. Houston was a seven point favorite at
1:20:49
Speaker 1: home against the Titans with CJ. Stroud playing. Now you're
1:20:53
Speaker 1: telling me the Texans are almost the same level of
1:20:56
Speaker 1: favorite on the road with a backup quarterback. Really, I
1:21:01
Speaker 1: think that this line is out of control. Dude. Again,
1:21:04
Speaker 1: Texans were a seven point favorite with Stroud at home,
1:21:07
Speaker 1: and yes they won twenty six to nothing or whatever.
1:21:10
Speaker 1: But have we seen enough that that would just say
1:21:12
Speaker 1: that that line should have been that much higher. Now
1:21:15
Speaker 1: you're looking at the Texans being almost the same amount
1:21:18
Speaker 1: of a favorite on the road with Davis Mills in there.
1:21:22
Speaker 1: I don't think so. I think this line should be
1:21:23
Speaker 1: closer to like four four and a half. I mean,
1:21:26
Speaker 1: that just seems ridiculous. Texans are public. Obviously, the public
1:21:30
Speaker 1: is never going to play the Titans. I mean, the
1:21:32
Speaker 1: Titans have done nothing like I think the Titans have
1:21:34
Speaker 1: covered like once maybe twice all season. So I know
1:21:37
Speaker 1: we're going against We're playing on a team that has
1:21:40
Speaker 1: been one of the worst teams against the spread in
1:21:43
Speaker 1: the league. I get it, but I think this is
1:21:46
Speaker 1: a spot to do it. Sixty eight percent of the tickets,
1:21:49
Speaker 1: only sixty three percent of the cash on the Texans,
1:21:52
Speaker 1: so they're public with less of the money coming in
1:21:55
Speaker 1: on them. Yes, the Texans did dominate Jacksonville on the
1:22:00
Speaker 1: stat sheet last week, but the Texans were still losing
1:22:04
Speaker 1: this game twenty nine to ten in the fourth quarter,
1:22:06
Speaker 1: so they took a huge effort from them at the
1:22:10
Speaker 1: end of the game. Huge comeback from the Texans, big game,
1:22:13
Speaker 1: and they put in a big effort. To remember that
1:22:15
Speaker 1: was the injured player theory game too. Because CJ. Stroud
1:22:18
Speaker 1: got knocked out of their game against Denver late in
1:22:21
Speaker 1: the game. So Davis mills first start for him this
1:22:24
Speaker 1: season was the one against Jacksonville. So you know that
1:22:27
Speaker 1: that means that Houston was gonna get up for that
1:22:29
Speaker 1: game because they knew they had to play harder for
1:22:32
Speaker 1: the injured player. And you know that that also means
1:22:34
Speaker 1: that in the second game with him, they're usually gonna
1:22:38
Speaker 1: take a little bit of a step back, man. So
1:22:41
Speaker 1: I think that's what we're gonna see here. Second game
1:22:44
Speaker 1: with Davis Mills's quarterback, This offense is gonna be worse
1:22:48
Speaker 1: than it is with CJ. Stroud. So you're asking Davis
1:22:51
Speaker 1: Mills to cover on the road as a pretty substantial favorite.
1:22:55
Speaker 1: I don't like that. And the total in this game
1:22:57
Speaker 1: is low down to thirty seven. I think it's the
1:22:59
Speaker 1: lowest total on the board as well, So you're also
1:23:03
Speaker 1: taking the points when they're basically at a premium. Because
1:23:05
Speaker 1: the totals so low, you're expecting this game to be
1:23:07
Speaker 1: very low scoring. So I like that idea as well. Also, again,
1:23:11
Speaker 1: Houston did already beat Tennessee twenty six to nothing, so
1:23:14
Speaker 1: Houston might not take Tennessee seriously because they shut them
1:23:18
Speaker 1: out earlier this season, and Tennessee has been so bad
1:23:21
Speaker 1: that I don't think any team is really gonna take
1:23:23
Speaker 1: them seriously at this point. So I think Houston might
1:23:25
Speaker 1: just completely overlook them. Tennessee. They're gonna try to get
1:23:30
Speaker 1: up for this game, and maybe a little bit extra
1:23:32
Speaker 1: motivation just because they got absolutely embarrassed when they played
1:23:35
Speaker 1: Houston earlier this year. And again Houston, I think they're
1:23:39
Speaker 1: actually gonna sandwich. So not only are they gonna letdown Spot,
1:23:42
Speaker 1: and they're coming off multiple big games in a row. Man,
1:23:45
Speaker 1: I mean, look at this schedule. Since they came out
1:23:47
Speaker 1: of the bye, Houston had to go to the Pacific
1:23:50
Speaker 1: Coast and play a Monday night game against Seattle. They
1:23:52
Speaker 1: came back home and played the forty nine ers, they
1:23:55
Speaker 1: played Denver, and then they played a divisional game against Jacksonville.
1:23:58
Speaker 1: Now they go on the road to Base ten t scene.
1:24:00
Speaker 1: By the way, they have not been on the road
1:24:01
Speaker 1: for almost a month since that Seattle game, and by
1:24:05
Speaker 1: the way, they have not been as good on the road.
1:24:08
Speaker 1: Houston on the road lost at the Rams, lost at Jacksonville,
1:24:12
Speaker 1: won at Baltimore, but that was Baltimore without c J.
1:24:14
Speaker 1: Stroud and then Baltimore without Lamar Jackson. Oh my god. CJ.
1:24:19
Speaker 1: Stroud was there, Baltimore was without Lamar Jackson, excuse me,
1:24:24
Speaker 1: and they lost at Seattle on the road. So Houston
1:24:26
Speaker 1: is one and three on the road. Haven't been very
1:24:28
Speaker 1: good on the road, even though I know this is
1:24:30
Speaker 1: a more familiar environment to go into in Tennessee. But
1:24:33
Speaker 1: they're coming off that divisional win, off of a string
1:24:35
Speaker 1: of big games in a row, haven't been on the
1:24:38
Speaker 1: road for about a month. And look what they have
1:24:40
Speaker 1: to do next. They have to turn around and play
1:24:42
Speaker 1: the Buffalo Bills in like four days, man, because they
1:24:45
Speaker 1: got Thursday primetime against Buffalo. So I think this is
1:24:49
Speaker 1: a sandwich spot as well. It's a look ahead spot, man.
1:24:52
Speaker 1: I think they're gonna be looking ahead to that game
1:24:53
Speaker 1: against Buffalo, and then they get Indy and the Chiefs
1:24:56
Speaker 1: after that as well. Chiefs also a primetime game. Those
1:25:01
Speaker 1: are three big games in a row coming up after this, man,
1:25:03
Speaker 1: So I think this is a game where Houston's gonna
1:25:05
Speaker 1: overlook Tennessee. And let's make it even better for Tennessee here,
1:25:10
Speaker 1: because Tennessee is coming out of a bye. And what
1:25:13
Speaker 1: better time to have a bye than when you're a
1:25:15
Speaker 1: terrible team like Tennessee and you've lost four games in
1:25:18
Speaker 1: a row. Yeah, go into a bye and start fixing
1:25:21
Speaker 1: some things. Maybe. So I think that bye came at
1:25:24
Speaker 1: a good time for Tennessee. Losing a bunch of games
1:25:26
Speaker 1: that buy can help you out. Man, when you go
1:25:28
Speaker 1: into the buy in a bad note, you're gonna work
1:25:30
Speaker 1: on things, You're gonna fix things. Yeah, I think Tennessee
1:25:34
Speaker 1: will do enough to cover this number. As ridiculous as
1:25:37
Speaker 1: that sounds, Tennessee, I think is actually covered three times
1:25:42
Speaker 1: this year. They covered on the road against Denver barely
1:25:45
Speaker 1: by like a half point. In the first week, they
1:25:49
Speaker 1: obviously against Arizona on the road, they won the game outright,
1:25:52
Speaker 1: and then they covered their most recent game, they actually
1:25:55
Speaker 1: covered against the Chargers. So they've covered three times. So
1:25:59
Speaker 1: that's not as bad as I thought coming in within
1:26:02
Speaker 1: that number. I mean, the games that they've covered were
1:26:05
Speaker 1: all pretty big spreads that were kind of similar in
1:26:08
Speaker 1: magnitude to this one as well that they were all
1:26:11
Speaker 1: slightly higher than this one. But even so, we'll take Tennessee.
1:26:15
Speaker 1: I know it's horrendous. I know it's ugly. That's what
1:26:18
Speaker 1: we do here. Man, We're gonna continue being ugly here.
1:26:22
Speaker 1: But yeah, that situation sets up really nicely for Tennessee
1:26:25
Speaker 1: in my opinion. Next up, let's continue the ugliness man,
1:26:30
Speaker 1: Giants plus seven, Let's go, babe. I should have worn
1:26:33
Speaker 1: my Jackson Dart jersey again for this to try to
1:26:36
Speaker 1: will him back, because he's not back. He's not playing
1:26:39
Speaker 1: in this game, which is why this line is where
1:26:41
Speaker 1: it is. The pack We're fading the Packers here. Packers
1:26:45
Speaker 1: are a seven point favorite. It looks like you might
1:26:46
Speaker 1: even be able to get seven and a half on
1:26:48
Speaker 1: this because it's seven with juice. So I would maybe
1:26:52
Speaker 1: market watch for a little bit and see if you
1:26:54
Speaker 1: can get the seven and a half. Don't lose the
1:26:55
Speaker 1: seven though, Like you don't want to have to take
1:26:57
Speaker 1: six and a half on this. You can get at
1:26:59
Speaker 1: least seven, maybe seven and a half. We'll see. I'm
1:27:02
Speaker 1: gonna change these in the YouTube description based on what
1:27:05
Speaker 1: I see, because if I'm telling you to, you know,
1:27:07
Speaker 1: watch the market a little bit. We'll see if we
1:27:09
Speaker 1: can get the better numbers on these. Looks like maybe
1:27:11
Speaker 1: you won't be able to get three on Washington but
1:27:13
Speaker 1: we'll see because it's two and a half of less juice.
1:27:17
Speaker 1: Now anyway, eighty seven percent of tickets, sixty two percent
1:27:21
Speaker 1: of the cash on the packers, So the packers are
1:27:23
Speaker 1: extremely public and I think all of it is basically
1:27:26
Speaker 1: the public wants absolutely nothing to do with the Giants.
1:27:29
Speaker 1: I mean, these are the two teams we're on, both
1:27:31
Speaker 1: teams that I think the public wants absolutely nothing to
1:27:35
Speaker 1: do with. They don't want anything to do with the
1:27:36
Speaker 1: Giants and they don't want anything to do with the Titans.
1:27:39
Speaker 1: And it makes sense. I mean, you can understand why,
1:27:41
Speaker 1: but I'm gonna tell you why you should play both
1:27:43
Speaker 1: these teams aside from the fact the market, Reid is
1:27:47
Speaker 1: agreeing with both these By the way, this total drop
1:27:49
Speaker 1: to forty two because Jackson Dart's gonna be out, although
1:27:53
Speaker 1: I'm not so sure that the totals should drop because
1:27:56
Speaker 1: the Giants are gonna be bringing in famous Jamis Base.
1:28:00
Speaker 1: It is not gonna be Russell Wilson, so we don't
1:28:02
Speaker 1: have to worry about Russell Wilson, who's completely washed and
1:28:05
Speaker 1: has looked terrible this year. Nope, we get Jamis Man,
1:28:09
Speaker 1: James Winston, he's electric man and he looks pumped up
1:28:13
Speaker 1: to get his shot to play again. You know he's
1:28:15
Speaker 1: gonna be pumped up because Winston has been this guy
1:28:18
Speaker 1: who I think just gets kind of screwed by the
1:28:20
Speaker 1: teams that he's on. I think he should be a
1:28:22
Speaker 1: starter somewhere. He's supremely talented. It's just that he throws
1:28:25
Speaker 1: too many interceptions and he's an extremely risky quarterback and
1:28:30
Speaker 1: teams just don't let him play because of that. But
1:28:32
Speaker 1: he can make things happen. Man, and dude, I just
1:28:36
Speaker 1: love his vibe. I mean, he vibes with Jackson darsh
1:28:39
Speaker 1: those two guys. They're excited Winston. You know, he's gonna
1:28:42
Speaker 1: be excited to get out there because he hasn't started
1:28:44
Speaker 1: a game in a while. Now he started, you know,
1:28:48
Speaker 1: he hasn't started since last year when Cleveland benched him.
1:28:51
Speaker 1: You know, a guy like that, he's gonna want to
1:28:53
Speaker 1: get his opportunity and get out there and show what
1:28:55
Speaker 1: he can do. So not only do I think this
1:28:57
Speaker 1: is an injured player spot here and the team's gonna
1:29:00
Speaker 1: step up their game because of that. We get extra
1:29:02
Speaker 1: line value because of it too, because darts out. So
1:29:05
Speaker 1: team's gonna step up their game. For that reason, I
1:29:07
Speaker 1: know this is ridiculously This is a ridiculously injured Giants team.
1:29:10
Speaker 1: I get it. They don't have scataboo, they don't have
1:29:12
Speaker 1: neighbors now, they don't have darts, so their main three
1:29:16
Speaker 1: guys are all out. I get it. That's all being
1:29:18
Speaker 1: factored into the line, though, and I think the line's
1:29:20
Speaker 1: overreacting a bit to it. Winston, again, he can make
1:29:24
Speaker 1: some things happen. Tracy is fine as a fill in
1:29:26
Speaker 1: a running back. He's not terrible, I don't think. And
1:29:30
Speaker 1: they got some receivers that could step up a little bit,
1:29:33
Speaker 1: so I don't think this should be this much of
1:29:35
Speaker 1: an underdog here. Again, I think this team's gonna step
1:29:38
Speaker 1: it up because they know all about all the injuries here.
1:29:41
Speaker 1: I think they're gonna rally around Winston as well. He's
1:29:43
Speaker 1: the type of guy that the team is going to
1:29:45
Speaker 1: rally for. He's just that type of guy man. He
1:29:48
Speaker 1: gets his players pumped up for it, gets excited, he
1:29:51
Speaker 1: vibes with his teammates. I like all that. And I
1:29:54
Speaker 1: don't like the spot for green Bay here. So we
1:29:56
Speaker 1: have an injured player spot. Oh and I actually I
1:29:59
Speaker 1: forgot how how could I forget, Not only is this
1:30:02
Speaker 1: an injured player spot for the Giants, I mentioned it
1:30:05
Speaker 1: earlier in the show, though, this is a fired coach
1:30:07
Speaker 1: spot for the Giants as well. The Giants fired Brian
1:30:11
Speaker 1: dave Ball, so now they're elevating I don't even know
1:30:13
Speaker 1: who it is. One of their coaches is being elevated
1:30:17
Speaker 1: into the head coach role now, man, So I think
1:30:21
Speaker 1: that's also a good thing. When a team fires a coach,
1:30:24
Speaker 1: usually the team has a spark for that reason. So
1:30:26
Speaker 1: we have injured player theory plus fired coach all coming
1:30:31
Speaker 1: in on the Giants in this game. So multiple reasons
1:30:33
Speaker 1: why the Giants are gonna put in a big effort
1:30:36
Speaker 1: in this one. When a coach gets fired, Man, the
1:30:38
Speaker 1: team a lot of times the team did not like
1:30:42
Speaker 1: that coach, and they'll play harder for that interim coach
1:30:45
Speaker 1: that's in there, man. So the players might just get
1:30:47
Speaker 1: more excited because the coach is gone. They weren't responding
1:30:50
Speaker 1: to the coach they didn't like him. But if that's
1:30:52
Speaker 1: not the case, and we're in addition to that, the
1:30:55
Speaker 1: players will play hard in that first game because they
1:30:57
Speaker 1: want to prove that they were not the problem. Than
1:31:00
Speaker 1: that the coach was, So now the coach is gone,
1:31:02
Speaker 1: watch what we can do. Man, it wasn't our fault
1:31:04
Speaker 1: that we were sucking, it was the coach. So all
1:31:08
Speaker 1: of that is coming into play here for the Giants. Yeah,
1:31:11
Speaker 1: it is definitely a spot where you want to look
1:31:12
Speaker 1: to play on the Giants, but it's also a bad
1:31:14
Speaker 1: spot for green Bay. Green Bay is on a short week.
1:31:18
Speaker 1: They just played on Monday night against Philadelphia, and I
1:31:20
Speaker 1: know it was an ugly loss, but it was still
1:31:23
Speaker 1: a huge game for them against Philadelphia. It was also
1:31:25
Speaker 1: part of my handicap in that one was that it
1:31:27
Speaker 1: was a playoff revenge spot for green Bay because green
1:31:31
Speaker 1: Bay had lost to Philadelphia in the playoffs last year,
1:31:34
Speaker 1: so they obviously remember that. You want to get revenge
1:31:36
Speaker 1: against the team that ended your season. Green Bay couldn't
1:31:39
Speaker 1: get it done. And now they're coming off that game,
1:31:41
Speaker 1: they have to turn around on a short week. They
1:31:43
Speaker 1: got to travel to the East Coast to New York, which,
1:31:47
Speaker 1: by the way, they have not done that this season.
1:31:51
Speaker 1: So actually, no, they played at Pittsburgh, so I guess
1:31:53
Speaker 1: that is close, and they did win at Pittsburgh. But
1:31:56
Speaker 1: still this is the furthest East. They're gonna have to
1:31:58
Speaker 1: travel this season and then who they have up next?
1:32:01
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, they have to play all three of their
1:32:03
Speaker 1: division opponents again in the next three games. They got Minnesota, Detroit,
1:32:06
Speaker 1: and Chicago up next. So I think this is a
1:32:08
Speaker 1: sandwich spot too, because they're gonna be looking ahead to
1:32:10
Speaker 1: those divisional games. I don't think they're gonna take this
1:32:14
Speaker 1: massively injured Giant team seriously at all. Yeah, nobody's gonna
1:32:18
Speaker 1: think the Giants can do it. I think the Giants
1:32:21
Speaker 1: might win this game outright, hopefully. I don't look like
1:32:23
Speaker 1: an idiot, but we're gonna go with it. Oh and
1:32:26
Speaker 1: let's make this even better. Green Bay, when they've been
1:32:30
Speaker 1: a favorite of six or more points, or six and
1:32:33
Speaker 1: a half or more, whatever it is, green Bay has
1:32:35
Speaker 1: not covered any of those games and they've lost two
1:32:39
Speaker 1: of them outright. So those games were at Cleveland, they
1:32:42
Speaker 1: were like an eight and a half point favorite, and
1:32:45
Speaker 1: that was one of my plays on the show. We
1:32:46
Speaker 1: took Cleveland. That was a winner outright. Then they were
1:32:51
Speaker 1: a six and a half point favorite. At Dallas, they
1:32:54
Speaker 1: did not cover and they tied. They were whatever it was,
1:32:59
Speaker 1: I think eight and a half point nine to a half
1:33:01
Speaker 1: point favorite at Arizona, they didn't cover. Uh, And they
1:33:05
Speaker 1: were thirteen a half point favorite against Carolina and they
1:33:07
Speaker 1: lost outright. So four games green Bay has been favored
1:33:12
Speaker 1: by six and a half or more and they've they're
1:33:15
Speaker 1: own four against the spread in those games and they're one,
1:33:18
Speaker 1: two and one straight up in those games. The only
1:33:21
Speaker 1: game they won was barely beating Arizona. So green Bay
1:33:25
Speaker 1: has been horrible in a big favorite role. So that's
1:33:28
Speaker 1: another reason to take the Giants. So there you go, baby.
1:33:32
Speaker 1: Oh no, Charles, please don't summon demons. Come on, man,
1:33:37
Speaker 1: justin what's up? Man? Yes, congratulations to you in Missouri State.
1:33:41
Speaker 1: I was wrong about that game. I haven't looked at
1:33:43
Speaker 1: the box score yet to see if it was misleading
1:33:45
Speaker 1: in any way, but could uh that was yeah, man,
1:33:49
Speaker 1: congratulations see you in Missouri State. Man. They get the win,
1:33:53
Speaker 1: they could potentially get into their conference championship, I believe,
1:33:59
Speaker 1: and they definitely should be to get into a ball.
1:34:01
Speaker 1: It'll be a big big deal for them, and I
1:34:03
Speaker 1: might if they're in a ball, I might give them
1:34:04
Speaker 1: out as a play in that bowl because the team
1:34:07
Speaker 1: trying to a team that's in a bowl for the
1:34:09
Speaker 1: first time, they usually get really excited about it. So
1:34:12
Speaker 1: we'll see no one knows who, no one knows? Wait who?
1:34:18
Speaker 1: What means what? No one knows what? Who means? I
1:34:21
Speaker 1: don't know what's happening, all right? And then finally we
1:34:24
Speaker 1: are gonna have a play on the Monday Night game
1:34:26
Speaker 1: on Dallas. Right now, it's minus three and a half.
1:34:29
Speaker 1: I mean, you don't I I don't know if you
1:34:33
Speaker 1: have to play this now or not. Because the number
1:34:36
Speaker 1: dropped a little bit to three and a half, you
1:34:37
Speaker 1: might be able to find a three that's juice just
1:34:41
Speaker 1: a little bit. So obviously the three is preferable. I'd
1:34:43
Speaker 1: probably go up to about minus one point fifteen, and
1:34:46
Speaker 1: on the three, I don't like laying minus one twenty though,
1:34:49
Speaker 1: so I might wind up having to recommend the three
1:34:51
Speaker 1: and a half on this. But I like Dallas in
1:34:54
Speaker 1: the Monday night game. This is against the Raiders. Seventy
1:34:56
Speaker 1: three percent of tickets eighty two percent of the cash
1:34:58
Speaker 1: on Dallas, so they're PubL but it looks like the
1:35:00
Speaker 1: money is coming in on Dallas as well. I like
1:35:04
Speaker 1: the setup for Dallas in this game, and I mean
1:35:06
Speaker 1: this is basically gonna be pretty much Dallas' season, and
1:35:09
Speaker 1: I know that doesn't mean the pressure is kind of
1:35:11
Speaker 1: on them a little bit to try to win this game.
1:35:13
Speaker 1: I know it's a road out of conference game, but Dallas,
1:35:16
Speaker 1: they gotta get some wins man to get back to
1:35:18
Speaker 1: five hundred here, and I think this might be a
1:35:21
Speaker 1: spot where they're gonna be able to do it because
1:35:22
Speaker 1: Dallas is coming out of a buye. So the buye
1:35:25
Speaker 1: came in a good time because they lost two games
1:35:28
Speaker 1: going into the buy and one of them was a
1:35:29
Speaker 1: very public game on Monday Night, the game where everybody
1:35:33
Speaker 1: was complaining about how Disney took Monday Night Football away,
1:35:36
Speaker 1: so nobody, nobody was able to watch Monday Night football
1:35:40
Speaker 1: except for me because I have ESPN, I have the
1:35:45
Speaker 1: I have Cable. But yeah, everybody saw that Dallas lost
1:35:49
Speaker 1: that game, or everybody did see it, but everybody at
1:35:51
Speaker 1: least heard that Dallas lost to Arizona at home. So
1:35:55
Speaker 1: I know the public is still on Dallas here just
1:35:58
Speaker 1: because they don't want anything to do with the Raider.
1:36:00
Speaker 1: But I think the fact that Dallas had that ugly loss,
1:36:03
Speaker 1: two ugly losses in a row going into the by
1:36:05
Speaker 1: losing forty four to twenty four to Denver on the
1:36:08
Speaker 1: road and then losing it home to Arizona pretty much inexcusable.
1:36:11
Speaker 1: Though I gave out I didn't give out Arizona as
1:36:13
Speaker 1: a play, but I mentioned that I leaned to Arizona
1:36:16
Speaker 1: in that game. But they had to buy at the
1:36:19
Speaker 1: right time. Man, They're gonna use that buy to fix
1:36:22
Speaker 1: things because they went into the buy in a bad note.
1:36:24
Speaker 1: Now they're coming out of that. It's a primetime game.
1:36:26
Speaker 1: They gotta get a win. If they fall to three,
1:36:30
Speaker 1: six and one, they're probably gonna be screwed. I know
1:36:32
Speaker 1: they have Philadelphia, Kansas City, Detroit all up next, so
1:36:36
Speaker 1: you could argue it's a look ahead, but I don't
1:36:38
Speaker 1: think Dallas can really overlook teams right now coming out
1:36:41
Speaker 1: of this by I think they will show up. Are
1:36:43
Speaker 1: the Raiders. I don't think they're in a great spot. Man.
1:36:46
Speaker 1: They played in a primetime game on Thursday and they
1:36:49
Speaker 1: almost were able to beat Denver. That would have been
1:36:51
Speaker 1: a huge upset. The Raiders were I think like double
1:36:55
Speaker 1: digit underdogs in this game. Right whatever it was, are
1:36:58
Speaker 1: the Raiders. Both teams had like no offense in this
1:37:01
Speaker 1: game was pitiful, but the Raiders were that close to
1:37:04
Speaker 1: winning in Mile High no less on a primetime Thursday game.
1:37:09
Speaker 1: That was a big game for the Raiders. Man, I
1:37:10
Speaker 1: think the Raiders are gonna be in a bit of
1:37:12
Speaker 1: a hangover spot after that. I know it was Thursdays.
1:37:15
Speaker 1: They have a little bit extra time to kind of
1:37:19
Speaker 1: recollect themselves after that, but I don't know if they're
1:37:21
Speaker 1: gonna be able to do it. Man. And remember, Denver
1:37:25
Speaker 1: is a punishing defense, and teams have been really, really
1:37:29
Speaker 1: bad in the game after they played Denver. I think
1:37:31
Speaker 1: teams have only covered like once or twice all season
1:37:35
Speaker 1: after playing Denver. So that's also not a good sign
1:37:38
Speaker 1: as far as Yeah, as far as the Raiders are
1:37:43
Speaker 1: concerned here, because teams have failed to cover most of
1:37:46
Speaker 1: the time coming off the game against Denver. And I
1:37:48
Speaker 1: think there's a reason for it. It's because Denver physically
1:37:51
Speaker 1: punishes you with their defense. So I don't like it.
1:37:55
Speaker 1: This game. Dallas is gonna have to turn it into
1:37:58
Speaker 1: a shootout because I know Dallas they don't a good defense.
1:38:00
Speaker 1: Although Dallas did make two trades. They got KWin and
1:38:03
Speaker 1: Williams from the Jets, and they got I forget who
1:38:06
Speaker 1: else they got. They got one other defensive player in
1:38:08
Speaker 1: a trade, and Dallas actually has a couple of defensive
1:38:11
Speaker 1: players coming back from injury too, so Dallas's defense might
1:38:15
Speaker 1: actually be a little bit better. And the Raiders offense
1:38:17
Speaker 1: is pretty bad, so maybe Dallas will be able to
1:38:21
Speaker 1: hold Vegas's pretty putrid offense and check enough and Dallas,
1:38:26
Speaker 1: you know what they have to do. Man, Dallas still
1:38:28
Speaker 1: is a good offense. Vegas' defense is not good. Dallas,
1:38:31
Speaker 1: they got to put the pedal to the medal on offense,
1:38:33
Speaker 1: So just outscore Vegas. If Dallas turns us into a shootout,
1:38:37
Speaker 1: I don't think Vegas is gonna be able to keep
1:38:40
Speaker 1: up with them. It's expected to be a somewhat high
1:38:43
Speaker 1: scoring game, though the total did drop to forty nine
1:38:45
Speaker 1: and a half. But I could see this game being
1:38:49
Speaker 1: somewhat high scoring. I mean, I think Dallas is gonna
1:38:51
Speaker 1: have to try to make it that way to win
1:38:54
Speaker 1: and to shoot out. I mean, vegas offense shouldn't be
1:38:56
Speaker 1: able to keep up with Dallas' if they try to
1:38:59
Speaker 1: do that. So those are my thoughts on that. But
1:39:03
Speaker 1: we do have, of course, the other thing that we
1:39:05
Speaker 1: were talking about, which is that Dallas might be extra
1:39:10
Speaker 1: motivated here because what we were just talking about, what's
1:39:15
Speaker 1: his name, Marshawn Neland while Dallas was on there by
1:39:21
Speaker 1: Marshawn Neeland, a player who's a starter on Dallas's defense,
1:39:26
Speaker 1: he at least according to the news sources, he committed
1:39:31
Speaker 1: suicide in a porta potty. So you have a player
1:39:35
Speaker 1: who I think was well liked on the team. He
1:39:36
Speaker 1: was still a pretty young guy, like mid twenties, and
1:39:40
Speaker 1: that happens, I think the team is actually gonna rally,
1:39:43
Speaker 1: Like you could you could kind of see it going
1:39:45
Speaker 1: both ways. You could see that maybe the team will
1:39:48
Speaker 1: you know, be in like a sad mood after that.
1:39:51
Speaker 1: But I don't think that's gonna happen here. I think
1:39:52
Speaker 1: Dallas is gonna come out and want to play football
1:39:55
Speaker 1: because at the very least, the game of football can
1:39:58
Speaker 1: be a distraction from that, right, so you don't have
1:40:00
Speaker 1: to think about that death. You can just go out
1:40:02
Speaker 1: and play football. But also it can motivate you to
1:40:05
Speaker 1: just to try to win one for him, you know
1:40:07
Speaker 1: what I mean. So I think more often than not,
1:40:09
Speaker 1: it is going to be a motivating factor to play
1:40:11
Speaker 1: well for one of your teammates who just died. So
1:40:15
Speaker 1: I think that's going to happen here. And if you
1:40:16
Speaker 1: look at there was an article that I saw here.
1:40:18
Speaker 1: Where is it now? Yeah, they held a private vigil
1:40:23
Speaker 1: for him on Tuesday, so they've been going through it
1:40:25
Speaker 1: this week. Man. But I saw one other article. Yeah,
1:40:28
Speaker 1: here it is grieving Cowboys back on field best medicine.
1:40:32
Speaker 1: So I like to see something like this because this
1:40:36
Speaker 1: is from the coach, Brian Schottenheimer. He said quote. This
1:40:41
Speaker 1: is a quote from Uh there is a quote from
1:40:43
Speaker 1: him talking about the Cowboys players. They're like, we're done talking.
1:40:47
Speaker 1: We want to play. And that, as a coach, gets
1:40:50
Speaker 1: you excited. And that was in reference to the neland death.
1:40:55
Speaker 1: So apparently the Cowboys are saying, Okay, we've you know,
1:40:59
Speaker 1: we've had to grieve here. We want to play football. Man.
1:41:02
Speaker 1: So I like that as well. The coach likes hearing that.
1:41:04
Speaker 1: I like hearing that as well. If you want to
1:41:06
Speaker 1: play on a team. It seems like they want to
1:41:08
Speaker 1: go out and play and play well in the wake
1:41:11
Speaker 1: of this tragedy here under these tragic circumstances. And then
1:41:16
Speaker 1: you also have it here, Dak Prescott having dealt with loss.
1:41:20
Speaker 1: That is the best medicine for me. Dak Prescott talking
1:41:23
Speaker 1: about getting back out onto the field, getting back out there,
1:41:26
Speaker 1: handing the ball off and sprinting an extra ten yards
1:41:28
Speaker 1: and making sure I'm doing it hard, you know, et cetera.
1:41:32
Speaker 1: So you like to see quotes like this, man, I
1:41:34
Speaker 1: don't really dive into quotes too much, but of course
1:41:37
Speaker 1: I gave you the quote of from Pittsburgh's coach for
1:41:40
Speaker 1: the Notre Dame play today. So these quotes sometimes they
1:41:43
Speaker 1: can tell you what's going on here, man. So yeah,
1:41:48
Speaker 1: and also it's even bigger. Actually I forgot about this Prescott.
1:41:51
Speaker 1: Dak Prescott's brother actually is a victim of suicide if
1:41:57
Speaker 1: you want to refer to him as if you want to,
1:42:00
Speaker 1: you know, phrase it that way. So Prescott has been
1:42:03
Speaker 1: through it before, man, So he knows like the deal.
1:42:07
Speaker 1: And I guess apparently Solomon Thomas defensive line and his
1:42:10
Speaker 1: sister did as well. That's crazy, man. So there. Yeah,
1:42:14
Speaker 1: there's a lot going on here with the Cowboys. I
1:42:17
Speaker 1: like it. I think it's gonna be I mean, I
1:42:18
Speaker 1: don't like that it's extremely tragic circumstances. That's not what
1:42:22
Speaker 1: I mean. I mean. I like it as far as
1:42:24
Speaker 1: they handicap I think Dallas is gonna come out and
1:42:26
Speaker 1: play really well under these circumstances, So I think you
1:42:29
Speaker 1: gotta do it. Dallas will be the play there, all right?
1:42:36
Speaker 1: Hell yeah, Missouri State can't get to the conference championship.
1:42:40
Speaker 1: It's enough for them to get to what do you
1:42:43
Speaker 1: mean it's not enough for them to get I don't
1:42:45
Speaker 1: understand what you're saying. It's not enough for them to
1:42:47
Speaker 1: be eligible for the ball? Yeah, I mean they have
1:42:49
Speaker 1: more than six wins, so if they petition the league,
1:42:51
Speaker 1: they can get into a ball. I'm pretty sure they
1:42:53
Speaker 1: can make the conference championship. I'll have to look and
1:42:56
Speaker 1: see what the records are, but they're one lost conference
1:42:59
Speaker 1: team and one of the teams I think Kennesa State
1:43:02
Speaker 1: took a loss today, right, one of those two teams
1:43:04
Speaker 1: had to Kennisan Jacksonville State. I think I was wrong,
1:43:07
Speaker 1: But Pedro, what's up? Man? Thanks for hanging out highest
1:43:12
Speaker 1: confidence on the money line for me, because you want
1:43:15
Speaker 1: to look towards like some smaller money lines, probably, or
1:43:17
Speaker 1: do you want me to give you a bigger underdog,
1:43:19
Speaker 1: because my plays this week are Washington Dallas and then
1:43:23
Speaker 1: the bigger under These are against the spread, and then
1:43:25
Speaker 1: the other ones are bigger underdogs Tennessee and the Giants.
1:43:31
Speaker 1: Any combination of those on the money line. You could
1:43:34
Speaker 1: do that too if you want to. Those are my
1:43:35
Speaker 1: most confident plays situationally, So I'll give you those four
1:43:42
Speaker 1: if you want to pick three of the four. Yeah, Washington, Tennessee,
1:43:47
Speaker 1: Giants in Dallas. I know how ugly that sounds, but
1:43:51
Speaker 1: you can go back and watch my analysis on those earlier.
1:43:55
Speaker 1: I like, I like all those situations. Washington is actually
1:43:59
Speaker 1: probably the weakest situation of those. I yeah, I agree.
1:44:04
Speaker 1: I think the Cowboys are definitely gonna show up here.
1:44:06
Speaker 1: The Mile High Club, well, that's the other thing. The
1:44:09
Speaker 1: Raiders are having to come out of Mile High. They're
1:44:11
Speaker 1: coming down out of elevation, so that might be another
1:44:15
Speaker 1: reason why maybe the spot's not great for rate for
1:44:19
Speaker 1: the Raiders for NDS. What topic? All right? Yeah, I'm
1:44:27
Speaker 1: trying to get through all the comments here, but that's
1:44:29
Speaker 1: gonna do it. Man. Are those are the plays for
1:44:31
Speaker 1: the week here. I know I'm going against the Houston
1:44:34
Speaker 1: jersey here, but I worried anyway because this is the
1:44:36
Speaker 1: this is the Houston Tennessee conflict jersey where Houston is
1:44:40
Speaker 1: wearing the oilers colors, which are the Tennessee Titans colors
1:44:43
Speaker 1: in Tennessee gets all pissed off. I'm gonna show it
1:44:46
Speaker 1: to Andy as well, Titans fan. All right, once again
1:44:51
Speaker 1: my plays. The weakest one I think is in the
1:44:53
Speaker 1: stupid Madrid Morning Game. But we'll take Washington plus the
1:44:57
Speaker 1: two and a half. I don't think it'll get to three,
1:44:59
Speaker 1: so we're probably gonna to score that at two and
1:45:00
Speaker 1: a half. Tennessee plus six Giants plus seven I might
1:45:05
Speaker 1: get to seven and a half, but I'll I would
1:45:07
Speaker 1: take either one of those and Dallas. We'll wait on Dallas,
1:45:12
Speaker 1: you know, maybe wait on Dallas to see if the
1:45:14
Speaker 1: three shows up at some point because it might. Although
1:45:16
Speaker 1: they're gonna be a public side, so I don't really know.
1:45:20
Speaker 1: But I like Dallas nonetheless. So those are the plays
1:45:23
Speaker 1: this week. Thank you, sir, Thanks everybody for hanging out,
1:45:26
Speaker 1: Pinsy Charles, Justin Pedro, thanks for checking out the show.
1:45:30
Speaker 1: Who else has been in here tonight? Dirty song? Oh sorry, Alex,
1:45:35
Speaker 1: I didn't see you. Man. The the Twitter comments all
1:45:38
Speaker 1: wind up at the top, man, I apologize, Alex. If
1:45:41
Speaker 1: you're still here, Drake May, what was the comment? Drake May?
1:45:46
Speaker 1: What about Drake May. I do have a Drake May jersey.
1:45:50
Speaker 1: I wore it the other day because I'm I'm coming
1:45:53
Speaker 1: back on board with the Patriots just as an few
1:45:57
Speaker 1: to Bill Belichick, basically because Belichick hates Drake May so
1:46:00
Speaker 1: about that. I wore my Drake May jersey on Thursday
1:46:02
Speaker 1: for that reason. Drake May. I don't know what Alex
1:46:06
Speaker 1: is saying Drake May for though, that he's gonna win
1:46:08
Speaker 1: the MVP, that he's the shiny new toy. He's pretty good.
1:46:14
Speaker 1: I mean, I will tell you that, and yeah, dirty sock, Alex.
1:46:17
Speaker 1: I thank you guys for hanging out. Mister Pinsey, everybody,
1:46:20
Speaker 1: thank you guys for all hanging out. That's gonna do
1:46:23
Speaker 1: it for now. I'll be back in the morning because
1:46:25
Speaker 1: there's gonna be some amount of college basketball, hopefully not much.
1:46:29
Speaker 1: Usually it's light on Sunday because I don't want to
1:46:32
Speaker 1: have to do that much handicapping in the morning. I
1:46:34
Speaker 1: haven't looked at all. And then there is gonna be
1:46:36
Speaker 1: some NBA in NHL as well, but I think it'll
1:46:39
Speaker 1: be on a Sunday. It's usually pretty light though, because
1:46:41
Speaker 1: Sunday is the NFL day, so we'll see Belichick just
1:46:46
Speaker 1: lot lust badly to wake Wow. I thought, dude, I
1:46:49
Speaker 1: thought North Carolina would cover in that game. That's crazy.
1:46:53
Speaker 1: I think I might have put them in my pick seven,
1:46:57
Speaker 1: so that's not I think I put in North Carolina
1:46:59
Speaker 1: plus the points in my seven money thing and splash,
1:47:02
Speaker 1: so that's not good. My other one, the one that
1:47:05
Speaker 1: has the lower conference games available in then I put
1:47:08
Speaker 1: all seven of Oh no, my other one is seven,
1:47:11
Speaker 1: I think, so the other one is a six plus.
1:47:14
Speaker 1: The best bet of the Unfortunately, in that game, my
1:47:16
Speaker 1: best bet, which gives you an extra point if you
1:47:19
Speaker 1: get it, was usc Man. I wish I had picked
1:47:23
Speaker 1: one of my other ones, as the best bets should
1:47:25
Speaker 1: have been Notre Dame, but what can you do. Most
1:47:27
Speaker 1: of my best bets in that one have won this year,
1:47:29
Speaker 1: though I think I'm I've only lost I think three
1:47:32
Speaker 1: of them on the season, maybe four. So unfortunately, twenty
1:47:37
Speaker 1: eight to twelve, I mean, that's not that ugly, but
1:47:39
Speaker 1: they did not cover. Obviously, I thought it was gonna
1:47:42
Speaker 1: be a lower, lower scoring game than even that. It
1:47:44
Speaker 1: went over the total, I think, which is ridiculous. All right,
1:47:48
Speaker 1: that's gonna do it. Thanks guys for hanging out, be
1:47:51
Speaker 1: back in the morning. Learn it tone on Twitter, learn
1:47:54
Speaker 1: it Tone on Instagram. Go check me out at those
1:47:57
Speaker 1: places I like. Subscribe to the show here of course.
1:48:00
Speaker 1: Do all the things leave me a good comment, you know,
1:48:03
Speaker 1: let's get some more eyes on this thing, especially when
1:48:05
Speaker 1: I've been giving out good plays. But maybe people don't
1:48:08
Speaker 1: want to listen to me. I don't know. We're also
1:48:12
Speaker 1: on audio iTunes, slash, Apple, and Spotify. Give me a
1:48:16
Speaker 1: good review over there and listen over there. That helps
1:48:18
Speaker 1: me out. Covering you is my Ukuleley cover YouTube channel,
1:48:22
Speaker 1: so you can check that out as well. Might want
1:48:25
Speaker 1: to try to start consolidating those things, I don't know.
1:48:27
Speaker 1: And then we got Patreon, dot com, slash learned to
1:48:31
Speaker 1: ton and you go check out what I got over there,
1:48:33
Speaker 1: which is not much, but you get you get a
1:48:35
Speaker 1: Spotify feed of Yuke stuff, and you get Yuke requests,
1:48:40
Speaker 1: which only Charles has done so far. I believe that's
1:48:43
Speaker 1: gonna do it. Peace for now, guys,