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Friday Independence Day MLB Bets 7/4/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: We're on OWN seven run over the last two days
• 0:04
  Speaker 1: after tonight, it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's
• 0:07
  Speaker 1: how I'm gonna start off this show. Horrible Sunday one
• 0:10
  Speaker 1: and five. I don't even know what to tell you
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: about that. I just don't want to do this anymore.
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: I have never seen anything like this, Man with the
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: slump continuing. Two straight losses, not a good day at all.
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: OWN four, I have not had a good season. Man
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues,
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: I've reached a new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: my Bruins hat man. I don't know what is going
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: on with the Bruins. Arch hate? Is that what it is?
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: I don't even know it's March ninth? I think who
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: even knows? Man, I don't know what data is anymore.
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what data is anymore. Man, back
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: with you after the worst day that I could possibly have,
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: Back with you as I always am until I die
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: at least oh and two yesterday and yesterday did not
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: go well for me. Own five the worst month that
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this. I
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: don't know what to even tell you about this anymore. Slumpers,
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: the slump of disconvenius, The slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:19
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
• 1:21
  Speaker 1: other than potentially end it all. What's up, everybody, It's towed.
• 1:29
  Speaker 1: Happy Independence Day, everybody. I'm back with you with better
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: off dead for Independence Day obviously July fourth. I've been
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: doing decently on the show the last couple of days,
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: like yesterday was well, yesterday, I gave out two plays.
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: One wound up basically being voided, even though it would
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: have won if you still played it, which was the
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: Royals Mariners that gave out under in the first five innings.
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: And then I commented on the video later because it
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: was announced that Brian Wu actually got pushed back to
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: today because I liked him as part of the handicap,
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: and Logan Evans came back up from Triple A to
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: make the start. He actually did okay, and the game
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: still went under full game and in the first five innings.
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: If you did play it, and you played it regardless
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: of who the starting pitchers were, it's still won. But
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: I wound up not recommending it as a play anymore.
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: When you make a play in baseball, of course, I
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: usually recommend because the starting pitchers are such a big
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: part of the handicap, you could specify these starting pitchers
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: must start for the bet to count, and if they
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: don't wind up starting, then the bet is voided. So
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: that's the way I like to do it. You can
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: specify action, which is the other way to play baseball,
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: which means the bet is gonna stand regardless of who
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: winds up starting. And there are certain places where you
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: do want to do that, but almost always you want
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: to specify these starting pitchers will start. So that's what
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: happened there, and then Seattle Storm and WNBA. I did
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: not expect that line to go back down, man, so
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: I gave it out at minus two. On the show,
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: the line dropped to like minus one. It got into
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: a situation where you could basically get them on the
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: money line and about minus one ten. So if people
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: played that later in the day, they probably got at
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: worst a push on that, hopefully, because the minus two
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: was not a winner. Seattle wound up winning by one
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: point and they actually got massively out rebounded in the game.
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: Other than that, they played well enough to win the game.
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: I mean, obviously they did win. But if you got
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: the minus one, you pushed, if you got a money
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: line play, you won on Seattle. And if you played
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: the minus two, unfortunately, you did lose. So yesterday was
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: oh and one, uh or one on one or one
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: and one or oh and one or two to oh
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: and yeah or two and oh. I guess, depending on
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: what you did with those games yesterday. So isn't that awesome.
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna give up three baseball players today. They're all
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: on sides. I play more baseball sides when you have
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: the first day of a new series. I tend to
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: find more like situations that way. So that's what we're
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: gonna wind up doing here. It's all baseball today. Man.
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: July fourth, every hopefully is gonna go out, celebrate, have cookout,
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: to be with your family. Man, launch some fireworks off
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: if you're near the beach like I am, you know,
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: hang out at the beach, create some big bonfires to
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: try not to get a rested. You know, have some
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: beer although I'm a sober man now, have some burgers,
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: hot dogs, you know, celebrate America. Man or as in
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: the Simpsons episode Homer buys the fireworks, and they're at
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: that beach town. Celebrate the independence of your nation by
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: blowing up a small part of it. Do that as
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: well with some massive fireworks. All right, let's talk about
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: these baseball games, and we have some afternoon baseball, and
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: we have a really early game that's coming up in
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: less than an hour, Boston at Washington at eleven am.
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: I guess in Washington, d C. I guess to celebrate
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: Independence date. I don't. I don't even know, man, But
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: both teams played yesterday, and Washington did play a doubleheader
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: two days ago, So Washington's probably in the worst rest
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: spot because of that, or actually excusan the Red Sox
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: didn't play yesterday. What am I saying is a Red
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: Sox fan, I should know that the Red Sox did
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: not play yesterday. So Red Sox actually do have a
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: fairly significant rest edge in this game. They're starting a
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: road trip, which tends to be a bit more of
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: a focus spot when you start a road trip. Washington
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: is staying at home. But they did just come off
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: beating Detroit twice. They probably feel pretty good about themselves
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: about that, so I think situation lines up better on
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: Boston in this game, the starting pitching matchup. Actually, I
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: kind of like both pitchers in this game, though Red
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: Sox are down for minus one fourteen to minus one
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: twelve is a road favor, and that's how bad Washington
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: is according to the odds makers, sixty percent of tickets
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: seventy one percent of the ash on the Red Sox.
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: I probably would have a slight agreement with the Red
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: Sox side, but I actually think I would probably be
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: looking towards an under in this game, but probably under
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: first five innings we see this total kind of just
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: sitting at eight and a half, but eighty percent of
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: the tickets on the over, sixty percent of the cash
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: on the over. The Red Sox don't really hit as
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: well on the road. But I hate Washington's bullpen. Washington's
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: bullpen is terrible. I kind of like the starting pitching matchup,
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: which is insane that I would be saying that about
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: Giledo at this point, but I think under in the
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: first five innings might be the way to look at
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: this game. That is not gonna be something I'm gonna
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: recommend actually playing, but that's probably the best lean that
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: I would have in this game. As I mentioned, Lucas
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: Gilito pitching for the Red Sox. They picked him up
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: over the offseason. He's had some major struggles this year
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: in some games, although most of them have been at home.
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: He's been better on the road and he's been better recently.
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: Has a three point nine to nine ERA, one point
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: three to three whip ERA on the road two point
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: one five, So much better on the road, and he's
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: been better recently. Had a three point zero four ERA
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: in twenty five to eight strikeout walk ratio in June,
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: and that included getting absolutely bombed by Anaheim and even
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: including that as numbers were that good as after that game,
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: and the Red Sox won that game, which is even
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: more ridiculous. But after that game, the Red Sox can
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: proceeded to win three out of his last four starts
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: as well. He gave up zero runs in three of
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: the four and when at least six innings in three
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: of the four, So Jilldo is actually pitching better as
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: of late. And against Washington he has okay numbers and
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: forty two at bass he has a nice eleven to
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: one strikeout walk ratio. They have some hits against him,
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: but not exactly hard hits two eighty six average is
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: a bit high, but a somewhat low six' eighty three
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: ops with the. OPS i, KNOW i just spout these
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: numbers out of THE. OPS i think about seven point
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: fifty is kind of the, threshold like The mendoza line
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: on the, ops where you can kind of start, Saying,
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: okay this pitcher starts doing poorly against this. Offensive he's
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: allowing over a seven to FIFTY. Ops SO i Think
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: jillido is okay Against washington and their offense. Sucks he's
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: going up Against Michael, soroka WHEN i think is better
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: than his era looks four point SEVENTY ra one point
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: zero three. Whip he's been better at home three point
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: nine ONE, Era so both starting pitchers here do have
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: the better of the home road. Splits washington's lost four
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: straight starts Behind, soroka but a lot of it not
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: exactly his. FAULT a lot of it has been the
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: fault of the bulpe and giving up a lot of
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: runs after he's out of the. Game he's allowed four
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: or fewer earned runs in every start In. Or he
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: did that In june three point four to Ninety iran
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: nine thirty six to nine strike a walk ratio In,
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: june so his numbers were actually pretty good In. June
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: Red sox have very limited playing time against. Him they
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: only have four at bats against. Him they are two
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: for four off, him with no extra base, hits no
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: walks in a, Strikeout so really not a lot to
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: see in that sample. Size so, again probably lean to
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: the starting pitchers doing okay, There. Stacks what's up, Man,
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: Scott thanks for hanging out. Everybody, Yes Happy Independence day to. Everybody,
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: Andrew Happy Independence, day? Man? Coding, yes coding is WHAT
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: i used to do BEFORE i got canceled from the
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: the industry. There but, anyway, yeah lean to first five
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: inning under in that, Game cincinnati At. Philadelphia i'm actually
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: gonna give out a play on, this and it is
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: a nice hefty underdog price On cincinnati at plus one thirty.
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: FIVE i like The reds in this, game, MAN i
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: like The reds in this pitching. MATCHUP i think you
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: might be getting a little bit of value on This
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: reds team right. Now The reds bullpen isn't very, good
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: but neither bullpen is that, good SO i think we
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: can kind of just roll with the full game here both.
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: TEAMS i believe had yesterday, off so there's no real
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: rest advantage one way or the. Other But, PHILADELPHIA i,
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: mean they have been playing some more important series, recently
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: as they Played, houston or they played Well Matt's, Houston,
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: Atlanta San, diego and they just Beat San diego in a,
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: series they might be feeling a little bit good about.
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: Themselves and they did play a doubleheader two days, ago
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: so even though they had yesterday, off maybe a little
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: bit less rest. All cincinnati also played like one and
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: a half games on that day against The Red. Sox But, cincinnati,
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: yes they are, traveling but they're coming in From. Boston
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: not a huge amount of travel there For. Cincinnati AND
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: i do Think cincinnati will have their focus On philadelphia
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: Because philadelphia right now has one of the best records
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: in The National. League and, Yes philadelphia is good at,
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: home BUT i think we could fade them in this. Spot.
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: Man philadelphia is sitting it up for minus one to
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: fifty to minus one fifty, two but they're getting the
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: public action fifty seven percent of the tickets because they
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: have the good. Offense everybody likes their. Offense The cincinnati's
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: offense is, okay and people Like philadelphia just because the
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: record is, better but fifty three percent of the cash
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: coming in On, CINCINNATI i Prefer cincinnati's starting pitcher man
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: in this battle of lefty s here With Andrew, abbott
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: who is really really having a good, season his best
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: season of his. Career one point seven to NINETY, ra
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: one point h two. WHIP i, mean, EVENTUALLY i don't
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: think his numbers are going to be quite this, good but,
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: man he has been good so far this. Year one
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: point four to two ROAD era as, well so he's
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: been better on the. Road On june he had a
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: two point TWO era across five, starts twenty three to
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: four strike a walk. Ratio so he's not a guy
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: that comes in and absolutely blows everybody. Away but his
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: control has been, good not walking a lot of, guys
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: not allowing a ton of. Hits he's been. Good the
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: home run ball maybe a little bit of an, issue
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: BUT i think the home run ball's hurt him more at,
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: home as he's allowed seven of the nine home runs
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: he's allowed at, Home so, again better for his road splits,
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: there and he's on the road. HERE i Know philadelphia
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: is a good hitting, team but he has good numbers against.
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: Them man twenty nine at bats against, them they only
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: have a one seventy two average of five to seventy
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: ozho ps against. Him seven to five strike a walk
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: ratio is a little bit. Iffy but other than, That
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: abbot he has not given up a lot of hard
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: hits against This philly team in his career so, Far
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: SO i like how that pans up For. Abbot he's
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: up Against, louzardo who has really starting to kind of
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: fall off a bit after he was really good early
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: in the. Season four point zero SIX, cra one point
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: four to one. Whip that is a very high whip
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: at this. Point he's been a little bit better at
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: home three point seven to EIGHT era at. Home but
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: he had a pretty bad month Of. JUNE i, mean you,
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: know he got torched in two starts at the last
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: start In. May in the first start In june Against
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: milwaukee And, toronto he got. Blasted but he hasn't totally
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: settled down from. That he has had a five point
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: FOURTY ra In. JUNE a thirty to ten strike a
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: walk ratio is, OKAY i mean really high strikeout, rate
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: but his walk rate continues to be high and he's
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: walked eight guys over the last three, starts which is not,
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: great even though his strikeout rate was still pretty high
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: eighteen strikeouts over that. Span but, again he's just walking
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: too many. Guys, YEAH i, MEAN i just don't think
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: he's in the greatest form right. Now he did walk
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: three guys last time out Against, atlanta SO i think
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: he's a bit more of the iffy starter here and
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: up Against. Cincinnati they don't have a huge sample size against,
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: him and in seventeen at, Bats Austin hayes has two
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: runs off of. Him he has a three to three
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: strikeout walk ratio Against cincinnati's four hitters who have seen.
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: Him that amounts to a three fifty three average against
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: him in one thy two fifteen. Ops SO i actually
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: Like cincinnati in this, game AND i think we can
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: roll with Ab BUT i think we can roll with
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: the full game BECAUSE i don't think there's a huge bullpen,
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: edge especially not For. PHILADELPHIA i think Probably cincinnati would
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: get the slight bullpen edge in that. Game so that
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: is a play THAT i will give. Out you can
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: take the run line if you want to Win, cincinnati
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: AND i recommend because you have to pay a bit
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: more to get plus one and a half runs on.
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: Them you could split the bet half on the run,
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: line half on the money line and kind of do
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: it that, way and then it's basically, like, oh, well
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: If cincinnati loses by, one you'll win like a little
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: bit of. Money of, course if they, win you'll get
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: the whole. Thing you could do it that way if
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: you want, to and be a little bit less risk
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: averse in a, way but, well you do have to
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: put more money on the line to get that to
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: do that split, bet but either way you want to do. It,
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: CINCINNATI i like them in that. Game Saint louis is
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: at The, cubs AND i Think Saint louis does have
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: some advantages in this game because The cubs had to
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: go to extra innings yesterday to finish off sweep In.
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: Cleveland The cubs won one to nothing and innings yesterday
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: While Saint louis wasn't even, playing so there is a
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: disadvantage to The. Cubs even though they're not, traveling they're
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: staying at. Home Saint louis is only traveling in From,
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: pittsburgh which not a huge amount of travel For Saint,
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: louis AND i Think Saint louis probably gonna be a
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: little bit pissed off because they just like The. Cubs
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: they also Swept cleveland when they just face, them but
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: then they went To pittsburgh and not only do they
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: get swept by this Bad pittsburgh, team but they didn't
• 14:22
  Speaker 1: even score a run in the. Series This Saint louis, Team,
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: YEAH i, Mean i've been saying they're not as good
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: as the record would tell, you but they're not as
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: bad as scoring zero runs in an entire series Against. Pittsburgh,
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: Man SO i Think Saint Louis is gonna come out
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: of that series a little bit angry and probably focus
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: on The cubs. Here SO i think there are some
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: reasons to Like Saint louis in this. Game, Again chicago
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: not rested because they played an extra inning game. Yesterday
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: Miles mikolas is pitching For Saint louis, Though so if
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: you Want Saint, louis you got to deal with this.
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: Guy mikolas four point seven to SIX, era one point
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: three to two whip home road, splits very insignificant for.
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: Him he's just not been that. GREAT i, mean he
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: did have a twenty two to four strike out walk
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: ratio In, june which is pretty, good but gave up
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: some hard. Contact gave up six home runs over the,
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: month thirty four hits in twenty six, innings and his
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: team lost three of the five, starts so he was
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: not pitching exactly, great and he got bombed in a
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: couple of. Starts six runs allowed Against toronto And cleveland
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: in his most recent, start although over his last three
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: starts he did have an eighteen to three strike out walk,
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: Ratio so, again his command has been pretty, good but
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: he's been giving up a lot of hard. Contact man
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: because he does pitch to. Contact he's kind of an
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: older guy and he's just kind of that type of.
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: Pitcher doesn't blow guys. Away, really he's a contact. Pitcher
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: his numbers against The cubs are not, great and they
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: have a lot of familiarity with. Him one sixty, seven
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: one hundred and sixty seven at bats excuse, me really
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: nice thirty two to three strike out walk, ratio but
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: they have a three zero five average off him in
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: seven to sixty one. Ohps so, again decent strike out
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: walk numbers but or actually good strike out walk, numbers
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: but he's allowed a lot of hits to This cubs,
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: Team SO i don't know if we could Trust miko
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: Us man given this matchup in this. Role if it
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: was some other pitcher For Saint, LOUIS i would probably
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: be recommending a play On Saint louis, here BUT i
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: don't THINK i can do it here IF i don't
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: Like Colin, ray who's pitching for The cubs. Here four
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: point three SEVEN, era one point three seven. WHIP i
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: told you his good numbers early in the, season when
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: it lasts four point five to three HOME, era so
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: he's a little bit worse at. Home he's been dicey as.
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: Well over the last. Month cubs have won five of
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: his last six or four of us last five. Starts excuse,
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: me but five point one to NINE era over that
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: span not very. Good thirteen to three strike out walk
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: ratios again similar To miko luss where he doesn't walk
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: a lot of, guys doesn't strike out a lot of,
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: guys and he gives up a lot of, contact a
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: lot of. Hits and he also allowed six home runs
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: in that. Month so it's kind of like a mirror.
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: Image both of these starting pitchers almost mirror images of each,
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: other But ray actually has the better matchup numbers in
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: forty two at bats Against Saint louis two fourteen and
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: average five to sixty oh ps seven to five strikeout walk.
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: Ratio SO i Like Saint. Louis given the. Situation the
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: money seems to agree with. It cubs are down for
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: minus one forty eight to minus, one thirty two to
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: eighty four percent of tickets sixty percent of the cash
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: on The. CUBS i agree with. THAT i would still
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: lean To Saint, louis but the matchup pitching matchup numbers
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: look counter to the, Situation SO i like the situation
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: more THAN i like the pitching. Matchup so that's the
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: way THAT i. Lean, Uh BUT i don't think it's
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: very Strong cubs, again because they played yesterday into extra.
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: Innings their bullpen situation kind of negates the fact that
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: they probably have the somewhat better bullpen Than Saint louis. Does,
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: cubs of, course also do have the better. Offense so
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: do with all that information what you will be a
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: slight lean from me on The Saint louis side on
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: the full game in that. One just to factor in
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: the rest scenario as much as, possible we have the
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: subway Series New, York New york taking place. Today both
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: teams played. Yesterday The yankees got swept up In toronto
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: in a four game. Series toronto overtook them in The Al,
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: east which is. Crazy i'm not sad about it being
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: A Red sox. Fan The mets also played yesterday and
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: finished this series Against, milwaukee where they actually played two
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: games the day before, that so neither team is very
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: well rested. Here the starting pitching matchup doesn't look really
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: really great either here for either. Team Marcus stroman is
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: pitching for The. Yankees not a. Fan this, season he's
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: been really bad eight point one sixty one point six
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: to seven whip LIKE i, MEAN i don't even know
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: if we care about his home road. Splits he's just
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: bad both. Ways but he's only made four starts this.
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: Season so he pitched early in the, season got. Injured
• 18:50
  Speaker 1: he was really bad early in the, season and then
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: he came. Back he did have his best start coming
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: back from injury against The a's At New, york but
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: he still only had one strikeout in five innings in
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: that game of walk to, guys although he held him
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: to one or and run on a home. Run But
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: i'm not ready to say That stroman is all of
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: a sudden gonna be like blowing guys. AWAY i, mean
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: he's kind of a mediocre. Pitcher he's up there in
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: age a. Bit he's, short so we never like, that,
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: Right like imagine IF i was out there, pitching that
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: wouldn't be, good. Right the only short pitcher has ever
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: really been that, good as Paid Rum. Martinez Marcus stroman
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: is not. Him he's five to seven. Man he's one
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: of the shortest starting. Pitchers he belongs a tower. Gang.
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: Basically stroman against who are you facing? Here against The
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: mets does actually have good numbers against The, mets though
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: seventy six at bats pretty bad though fifteen to ten
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: strike a walk ratio that's not. Good but he has
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: only with two twenty four average six forty three oh.
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: Ps So stroman does have good matchup. Numbers BUT i
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: hesitate man because he has so little playing time this.
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: SEASON i don't think he's that. Great The mets offense
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: does have the ability to put up numbers if they
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: actually are starting to come back and play, well which
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: maybe they are because they've did beat The brewers twice
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: in a. Row so maybe The mets are finally actually
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: breaking out of that horrific streak that they. Had now
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: The Pride month is. Over Baby Justin hagenman is listed
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: as the starter for The. Mets no, Idea who this guy?
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: Is one point FIVE vra zero point eighty THREE. Whip
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: he's twenty eight years, old and he's never pitched in
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: the majors until this. Year and he's only made two
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: short stints this. Season so even though his numbers look
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: pretty good over that, span five, strikeouts no, walks one
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: on and run out of five hits and six, innings
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: that would equate to one good, start but he's done
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: that in two, outings so he's been, effective but he's
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: not pitching a lot of. Innings so you're probably expecting
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: Hagen men is probably not going to pitch deep into this.
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: Game The mets bullpen is going to have to come,
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: in and The mets bullpend not really well. Rested neither
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: bullpen is very well rested, Here mets bullpen really both
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: bullpen's have actually kind of been struggling recently, Too SO
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: i think probably the way to look at this game
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: might be a little bit of a lean towards an
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: OVER i, mean the total isn't nine and a. Half
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: it looks like The mets actually are undecided on the picture,
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: now SO i don't even know if it's gonna Be
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: hagenman or what they're. Doing they might be going with
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: a bullpen, game who, knows so possibly a look towards
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: the over in this. Game, again the, books they're gonna
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: throw a total nine and a half out there only
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: if they think it's gonna be a fairly high scoring.
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: Game so do with all that info what you. Will
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: AS i always, SAY i hate repeating, myself but next,
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: Up i'm gonna give out a play on The Tampa
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: Bay rays Against. Minnesota HERE i JUST i, Mean tampa's
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: been playing better Than minnesota has, recently BUT i think
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: it's a bad spot From. Minnesota So i'll go With
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: tampa short minus one oh two money line, price even
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: though it does look like in the market it looks
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: like the public is On tampa eighty four percent of
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: tickets and, cash SO i don't love. That and we've
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: Seen minnesota just kind of sitting at minus one, ten
• 21:53
  Speaker 1: so Market reid hasn't really shaped up, yet although On
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: Action network it did look like more of the money
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: was coming in On, tampa even THOUGH i think the
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: public is also probably On tampa because they have been,
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: hot they have the better. Record But tampa's good on the. Road,
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: man away from that Stupid steinbrunner. Field they playing at,
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: home they don't really have a huge home. Advantage they're
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: actually twenty and fourteen on the, road which is pretty,
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: good even though The twins are certainly better at. Home
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: they're bad on the road To twins twenty two and
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: seventeen at. Home but this is a return home spot
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: for The. Twins, man which is part of the reason
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: WHY i want to fade them. Here twins just went To,
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: detroit which is a big divisional, series even though this,
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: also you, know is a somewhat big series against a
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: pretty Good tampa. Team but they just went To detroit
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: and then they went down To Miami. MINNESOTA i, mean
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: they haven't been playing. Well they lost both, series and
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: now they're coming back. Home and sometimes the tendency for
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: betters will, be, oh this team's coming back home, now
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: so they're gonna bounce back and do. Better but that's
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: not really the way that it. Works. MAN a lot
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: of times the team when they return over from a road,
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: trip they get caught in a little bit of a.
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: Distraction they have to get back to family. Life you,
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: know things, happen you have stuff to do at. Home
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: And minnesota did also play yesterday At. Miamno it was
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: getaway day and they played. Early it was an afternoon,
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: game but still they played yesterday And tampa didn't. Play
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: So tampa has a rest advantage because they got yesterday.
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: Off And minnesota's bullpend hasn't been pitching. Well though they
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: didn't use a lot of their bullpen, yesterday their bullpen
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: has not been pitching, well And tampa's BULLPEND i think
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: has to have the edge. Here they're the better bullpen
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: at this point and they're, rested SO i Think tampa
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: has the bullpen. EDGE i Think tampa has an offensive
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: edge here, too Because minnesota is hitting nothing to really look.
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: At tampa just lot had lost three games in a
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: row and then finally beat The. A's so they are
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: coming off to losing series Against baltimore in The. A's
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: SO i Think tampa they're not really that hot right now,
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: either they were hot before. THAT i think they're gonna
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: be ready to, go. MAN i, mean they're in this
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: battle for THE Al east right, NOW i think they're
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: gonna be. Focused you start a road, trip you finally
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: beat The a's after you've been playing badly at, home
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: you break that you, know lost, streak get out on the.
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: ROAD i think it's a good situation to get out
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: on the. Road and of, course AS i, Said tampa's
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: home advantage isn't even that great at playing in a
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: spring training stadium this, year SO i like the situation For. Tampa,
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: MAN i really like jumping on teams that are starting
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: a road trip against teams returning from road, trips because
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: he had this focused disparity where the team starting the
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: road trip usually tends to be more, focus whereas the
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: team returning home tends to be unfocused because they have
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: to return back to family, life whereas the team getting
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: out on the road is like putting all those distractions,
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: away you know WHAT i, mean and just getting to
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: focus on. Baseball Zach lutel is pitching For, tampa and
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: he's pitching pretty. Well three point six to ONE, era
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: one point seven, whip fairly insignificant home road. Splits he
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: was good in the month Of, june very good control,
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: wise twenty three to two strike at walk. Ratio he
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: actually had four straight, starts so he didn't walk, anybody and,
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: actually uh six of seven starts going back Into may
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: didn't walk. Anybody walked a couple in his last out,
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: um but it was still a seven, inning one run
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: performance Against. Baltimore his command has been. Good he's allowed
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: three or fewer runs in every start going all the
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: way back to all but one start going all the
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: way back to Early. April the only Start re allowed
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: more than that was a four run outing At Fenway,
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: park which is not an easy place to. Pitch still
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: had a six zero streke a walk ratio on that
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: outing and had a three r in the month Of.
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: June even those team lost three out of the five
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: starts that he made prior to, that they were on
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: this nice run where they'd won eight straight starts of
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: his so lttel he is continuing to pitch. Well it's
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: a matter of he's gonna Get he's gonna have to
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: get some run. Support BUT i think he can do
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: that in this. GAME i think he's the preferable of
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: the two starters. Here he's definitely the more consistent of
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: the two. Starters good numbers Against minnesota are decent numbers
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: and seventy one at. Bats, yeah they are familiar with,
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: them but two thirty nine, average seven to forty oh,
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: ps seventeen to five strike a walk ratio fairly good
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: numbers other than the fact that they have four home
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: runs off. Him SO i like latel he's pitched. WELL
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: i like coming matches up, here AND i don't Like
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: Chris paddock From minnesota as. Much four point SEVEN, era
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: one point two to three. Whip paddock has been better
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: at home, though three point five EIGHT era at, home
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: but he's not really in good form right. Now man
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: In minnesota's. Lost they lost five of his six. Appearances In,
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: june he had a six point oh SIX cra even
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: though he did post a twenty three to five strike
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: out walk. RATIO a lot of that was because he
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: had won really good ten strike up performance Against, seattle
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: and since then not anywhere near as good out with
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: the strike out walk. Ratio he's failed to go more
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: than five innings in all but one start since. Then
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: he's not going deep into. Games his team going back
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: into Late may has actually lost seven of his last eight,
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: starts not a good. Sign they've lost most of his
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: starts on the. Season, actually, OVERALL i just don't Think
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: paddock is his. Trustworthy he's given up too many home runs.
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: Too he gave up six home runs in the month
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: Of june, there which is also not good up Against.
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: Tampa let me, SEE i have to switched To tampa.
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: Here tampa has okay numbers against him in twenty one
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: at bats two eighty six average where they have very
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: few extra base, hits so a pretty low six fifty TWO.
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: Ops SO i Know lattel's ops allowed to the opposing
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: lineup is actually higher Than. Paddox's BUT i still Think
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: paddock is the least the less trustworthy of the two pitchers,
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: here and a four to one strike out walk ratio
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: for him Against. Tampa BUT i Prefer tampa in this, one.
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: MAN i think that is the way to look in this.
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: GAME i think the spot sets up nicely for, it
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: SO i will recommend The rays in that game against
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: The Twins pittsburgh At. Seattle according to the board here
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: That i'm looking at with the pregame, Here pittsburgh is
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: undecided on a, pitcher SO i don't know if it's
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: gonna Be faulter or. Not BECAUSE espn does Have faulter
• 27:49
  Speaker 1: listed right. Now seattle is staying at. Home seattle played
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: yesterday Against Kansas city and use some of their, bullpen
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: and they did play a night, game So seattle has
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: definitely at a rest Disadvantage jimi than now we're getting
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: into kind of the late after noon games here at,
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: least But seattle having to go from a night game
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: to an afternoon game, here it's not the greatest rest
• 28:08
  Speaker 1: spot For seattle. Here pittsburgh was off, yesterday But pittsburgh
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: might be in line for a little bit of a
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: letdown because they got to be feeling a little bit
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: high after Sweeping Saint louis and shutting them out over
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: a three game. Series but, again they do have a
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: rest advantage, Here pittsburgh, does but Overall seattle does have
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: the better, bullpen SO i guess you have to kind
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: of factor all that in better bullpend For, seattle but
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: a rest, disadvantage and they did use some of their bullpen.
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: Yesterday if it Is falter on the mound For, pittsburgh
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: he does have a three point six to TWO era
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: one point two to two, whip which is not, bad
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: but he has faltered more on the road with a
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: four point one to nine ROAD, era which isn't as.
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: GOOD i wasn't good in the month Of june at,
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: all with a five point one FOUR era and eleven
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: to ten strikeout walk ratio really really alarming. Numbers there
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: too many. Walks not a strikeout. Guy last, outing he
• 28:57
  Speaker 1: only went one to two thirds against The, mets BUT
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: i don't know if there might have been a rain
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: delay in that game because he wasn't really pitching that
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: bad or usually like or throwing a lot of, pitches
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: SO i don't really know Why falter came out of that.
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: Game pittsburgh has actually won five of his last six,
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: starts which is kind of, crazy and then won eight
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: of his last ten, starts which is wild to think.
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: About so he's been limiting the damage at the very.
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: Least up Against, seattle he does have good. Numbers in
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: thirty seven at, bats he has a sixteen to zero
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: strikeout walk, ratio very high strikeout rate and no walks
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: crazy one eighty nine average a lot to them in
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: four or five ops. A falter does appear to match
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: up pretty well Against seattle if it is going to be,
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: him but we don't even know if it is going
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: to be, him and it is going to Be Brian
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: wu For, seattle who was originally slated to start yesterday
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: two point nine to three E, ra a point nine
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: to seven. WHIP i, mean he's been really, good even
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: better at home two point zero wait HOMEY ra three
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: point one to NINETY ra and five starts In june
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: with a thirty three to eight strike out walk, ratio
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: but his run support has been awful recently And seattle
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: has actually lost five of his last seven, starts which
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: is crazy Because wu has been pitching, well so it
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: has not been his. Fault he's going up against a
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: pretty Weak pirates line up, here who are only one
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: for five off in lifetime with no extra base, hits no,
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: walks no, strikeouts only Two pirate. Sitters i've ever Seen wu,
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: before so matchup, wise it looks like both those pitchers
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: match up pretty. Well a very low total down from
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: seven and a half to, seven so maybe kind of
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: indicating that maybe it is going to be faltering this,
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: game but who, Knows maybe an under is worth looking
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: at in this. Game but With seattle's bullpen being a
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: bit unrested In pittsburgh not having a very good bullpen
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: kind of want to look like first five inning under
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: maybe in this game, otherwise but even that would worry
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: me because you have to go under a really low,
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: total and With pittsburgh's pitching question marks, here even If
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: falter is on the, mound there are some question marks around,
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: him SO i still wouldn't want to actually have money on.
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: This seattle actually down for one nine in mist one
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: seventy six as, well probably because they played yesterday and
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: In pittsburgh does have the rest rest. Advantage excuse me
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: For pittsburgh finishing this. Off my last Play i'm gonna
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: give out is The Texas rangers minus one oh. Five
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: texas is arrested. Team they did not play, yesterday SO
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: i like how this sets up For. Texas they are
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: starting a road. Trip yes they're having to go out
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: to The Pacific, oast but it's a little bit easier
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: for a central team Like texas to go out to
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: The Pacific, coast especially with a day, off you can
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: kind of acclimate and adjust to the time zone. Difference
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: it's a lot more difficult for a team like An
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: East coast team with no time, off having to go
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: all the way out to The West. Coast and play
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: like a later game that's gonna be going you, know
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: probably until like. Midnight their biological clock time at least
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: For texas is a six point Forty eastern, game so
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: it's really only gonna go slightly late into the night
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: for you, know a central team Like, Texas SO i
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: don't worry about that that. Much texas has some momentum as,
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: well as they just Beat baltimore, twice which you beat
• 31:59
  Speaker 1: a bad team Like, baltimore you carry that momentum out
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: on the. ROAD i think that's a positive situation as.
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: Well SO i like the spot For, texas don't like
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: it as much For San. Diego San diego had yesterday
• 32:10
  Speaker 1: off as, well but they're returning home from a long road.
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: Trip well not long road, trip but they went To
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: cincinnati And, philly so they did have to go all
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: the way to The east. Coast and now they're coming
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: back from, that and they actually didn't do. Well they
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: lost both, series and now they're coming back. Home so
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: AGAIN i think the like generals send like this general
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: sense from like the public or whatever's gonna, Be oh,
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: well they're gonna bounce back now that they're at, home
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: especially you, Know San. Diego they're actually a lot better
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: at home than they are on the. Road they're pretty
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: bad on the, road As i've pointed out multiple. Times
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: but again a return home spot like, this you're flying
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: back cross. Country so Actually San diego has more travel
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: Than texas does here because they're traveling from The eastern time,
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: zone so they have to adjust more Than texas does.
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: Here SO i think it's a bad. Spot and again
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: when you return, home that think it's a distraction. Spot
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: you got to get back to family. Life SO i
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: do not like the spot For San. Diego think it's
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: a much better spot For. Texas both bullpens are, good
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: but we'll include them both in the in the game, here,
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: man BECAUSE i don't think there's a huge advantage one
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: way or the other as far as the bullpen is,
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: Concerned SO i think we can leave it. In, Yes
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: San diego is the better. Offense that is something to worry,
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: about but we're gonna roll With, texas and we're actually
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: gonna roll With kumar rock or WHO i. Know he's
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: had a, really really shaky start to his major league
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: career six point one to THREE era one point five
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: to four with this, year which is not. Good, Obviously
• 33:29
  Speaker 1: he's been really bad on the road eleven point three FOUR,
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: era but this is a pitcher friendly park, man and
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: he has been pitching better recently as his team has
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: won his last three, starts and he got no run
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: support behind him in those starts, either and they still
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: won them all even though, granted, Yes White Sox pittsburgh
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: those are weak offenses for sure In seattle is An oka.
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: Offense but he actually started pitching well after a bad
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: start to Start june Against. Tampa the last three starts
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: he allowed, zero two and two orn runs when at
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: least five innings in all THREE i had a fourteen
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: to five strike a walk, ratio which is definitely. Better
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: because his wildness has been a. Concern he throws. Hard
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: he has the ability to strike guys out at the
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: major league, level so that means he's ceiling is pretty.
• 34:14
  Speaker 1: High anybody that can strike guys out like that has
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: a high. CEILING a lot of times you gotta worry
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: about their, wildness which is the case With. Rocker he
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: gives up too many walks and he gives up too many.
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: Hits but over the last month he hasn't been as
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: prone to giving up, hits SO i think that's a
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: good sign as. Well rocker seems to be kind of
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: rounding you to form a little. Bit and the other
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: advantage he's gonna have here Is San diego has not
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: seen him. Before the other advantage excuseually that he is
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: going to have. Here San diego has never Seen rocker,
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: Before SO i think that's gonna Help. Rocker his road, numbers,
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: yeah they're, bad but, again he's pitching in a very
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: picture friendly park here as, well SO i think that
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: might bode well for him. HERE i like. IT i
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: like how it sets up For, rocker AND i think
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: he is the preferable picture of A Randy, vazquez WHO
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: i never really. Liked people are gonna look at this and, thing,
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: oh San diego's back at. Home they have the picture
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: with the way better. Era this is easy right Takes San,
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: diego BUT i completely disagree with. That, Again rocker is
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: a lot better than what his numbers would. Suggest vazquez
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: three point eight four era looks, good but on one
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: point three to nine whip is, awful so that is not.
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: Good he hasn't better at. Home it's a more picture
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: friendly park three point one four era at, home yet
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: he has allowed more home runs at home seven to
• 35:27
  Speaker 1: five on the, road so home run disparity doesn't really
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: mattered for. Him which park is, pitching and even though
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: this is a less home run conducive, ballpark but with
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: a one point three to nine, whip there's something wrong
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: With vazquez. Man he just walks way too many guys
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: and his strikeout rate is never. High his numbers In
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: june pretty. Alarming even though San diego won four of
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: his six, starts he had a four point three FOURTH
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: era and a sixteen to twelve strikeout walk ratio and
• 35:51
  Speaker 1: give up six. Bombs that is not. Good and he
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: only went five innings in two of those six, starts
• 35:58
  Speaker 1: so he's not getting deep into. Game so the bullpend
• 36:01
  Speaker 1: may very well have to come in earlier For San diego,
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: here so that can kind of have that like domino
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: effector if you think the bullpends are close to being about,
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: equal especially when both bullpends are rested and they're both pretty,
• 36:13
  Speaker 1: good the team that has to go to the bullpen
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: first a lot of, times that's gonna carry over into
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: that's gonna reflect in the bullpen, usage you know WHAT i.
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: Mean it's gonna mean that you probably want to go
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: against that. Team but, yeah Vaz, KEUZ i mean just
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: all season, long he's just been walking too many. Guys
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: that's just his. Thing doesn't strike out a lot of,
• 36:31
  Speaker 1: guys walks too many. Guys he doesn't allow that many,
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: runs but he doesn't go deep into. Games AND i
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: know he's allowed four or fewer runs in all but
• 36:38
  Speaker 1: one start all, season but his numbers are just not very. Good,
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: again giving up, three four runs whatever is not as
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: impressive when you don't go deep into. Games his last
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: outing At, CINCINNATI i know it was at a very
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: hit or friendly, park but he only went four and a,
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: third gave up nine, hits four and, runs two, walks three.
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: Strikeouts he's not a very good form right. Now man
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: up against The Texas rangers, offense we're LOOKING i think
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: they have very limited playing time against The, yeah Only
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: burger has seen him before and he's one for three
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: with AN rbi, double no, walks no, strikeouts so not
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: a whole lot to. See so, Yes texas's offense is
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: a bad, offense and they're not familiar With vesquez. Either
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: But veskez there is more footage on him because he's
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: been around for. Longer The rocker. Has rocker has the
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: way way higher. Ceiling SO i think when it's a
• 37:27
  Speaker 1: bad situation For San, diego they have a picture that
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: just walks way too many. Guys man up against a
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: guy again that is a strikeout machine and has better.
• 37:37
  Speaker 1: STUFF i think we're gonna go with the young picture
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: with the better stuff in the better spot, here, Man
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: Texas rangers on the money, line there is the final
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: Play i'm actually gonna give, Out and the money seems
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: to really agree with. This San diego down for minus
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: one to, fifteen minus one oh, seven fifty eight percent
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: of the tickets on, them seventy seven percent of the
• 37:54
  Speaker 1: cash coming in On. Texas so the money seems to
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: agree with. NAME i like, it and that is The
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: toronto is coming off sweeping The. Yankees here we'll Talk
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: anaheim against The Blue. Jays. Here toronto could be in
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: a letdown, spot. MAN i, mean they just overtook The
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: Al east from The yankees and swept them in a
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: four game, series and they're staying at, home so it
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: looks like they might be right for a let down.
• 38:17
  Speaker 1: Here the thing Is anaheim, AGAIN i keep Saying anaheim
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: is not as good as the record tells you that they.
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: Are they have a bad run differential that they did
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: just Beat atlanta. Yesterday BUT i did tell you on
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: the SHOW i Liked anaheim in that game. YESTERDAY i
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: WISH i gave it out as a play Because SORIANO
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: i much preferred him Over Bryce elder in that game.
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: Yesterday So anaheim is coming up a pretty nice series
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: as well At atlanta and having to travel all the
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: way up To. Toronto so it's not exactly a great
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: spot For anaheim. Either both teams in somewhat of letdown,
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: territory hero The toronto's in the bigger letdown. Spot Kyle
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: hendrix is pitching For anaheim. Here haven't liked this guy
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: in years four point six to SIXTY ra one point
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: three whip not, good BUT i mean some of his
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: numbers As I'm gonna show you suggests that maybe he
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: won't be that bad. Here he is bad on the
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: road though five point four to FOUR, era but In
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: june he had a three point two to ONE era
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: across five. Starts his team won four of the five,
• 39:16
  Speaker 1: starts including a shutout against The yankees for six. Innings
• 39:19
  Speaker 1: he went at least five in every one of those
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: outings and twenty one to five strike out walk ratio
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: over those. Games So hendricks actually has been pitching reasonably
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: well as of. Late so he is in decent form right.
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: Now so maybe not a guy that you really want
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: to fade right. Now up Against, toronto he has okay
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: numbers as, well small sample size sixteen at bats only
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: his one strikeout against, him but no, walks two point
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: fifty average six eighty eight. Ohps hendricks again doesn't look
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: like the worst matchup for him up Against. Toronto he's
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: going up Against Eric, lauer who has just Joined toronto's,
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: rotation was a relief pitcher for a. While he's not
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: a guy that's gonna go that, deep but he has
• 39:59
  Speaker 1: been pitching pretty a fect actively two point six E
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: ra one point zero seven whip on the, season two
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: point two five. Home THE ira has been better at.
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: Home In june two point four NINETY ira across six,
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: appearances his team. Won his last five, appearances he had
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: a twenty five to seven stray walk, ratio but he
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: only made it five innings twice out of all those.
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: Appearances so even though he's not allowing a lot of.
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: Runs his command has been pretty, good but he's not
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: going deep into. Games he's coming. In he's gonna give
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: you probably somewhere around in the neighborhood of four innings
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: to allow two or so runs keep you in the.
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: Game and that's basically in the name of the game
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: for lour. There so he is kind of more of a,
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: WORKMAN i GUESS i would, say not brandom. WORKMAN i
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: don't know where that guy is now used to be
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: on The Red sox allower up Against let me see
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: who are we up against? Here who AM i even
• 40:50
  Speaker 1: talking about? Here what DID i just up? Against? Anaheim? Right? Yeah?
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: Anaheim let me see twenty five at bats even have
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: three hitters who've ever seen him. Before they have a
• 40:59
  Speaker 1: one to two strike out walk ratio against. Him Sol
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: air has a home run off, him two forty average
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: allowed in seven thirty six obs lower mediocre numbers Against.
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: Anaheim SO i think probably would have a slight lean To.
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: ANAHEIM i think the, uh the letdown, SITUATION i just
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: think is worse For. TORONTO i, mean that was a
• 41:21
  Speaker 1: huge sweep that they're coming off of. There toronto's down
• 41:24
  Speaker 1: for minus one sixty five to minus one fifty, eight
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: eighty five percent of, tickets eighty five percent of the,
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: cash so they're very. PUBLIC i would probably limit it
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: to first five, innings, though Because anaheim's bullpen is just,
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: Terrible SO i would probably Look anaheim first five innings
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: as an. Underdog that would probably be the better way
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: to look at that game if you wanted to actually
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: play the. Game i'll let me just make SURE i
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: was looking At hendrix against the right opponents. HERE i
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: THINK i was. Right, yeah, yeah because his number suck
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: against The, brave So i'm pretty SURE i switched At. Toronto,
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: Okay detroit is That. Cleveland cleveland just got swept At.
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: Chicago they've been awful. Recently, Man they've lost what is
• 42:00
  Speaker 1: a seven games in a row, now not playing well at.
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: All their offense is. Bad cleveland not a very good.
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: Team they're technically returning home from a road, trip but
• 42:09
  Speaker 1: it was only a one series road trip to The,
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: cubs so it's not really a spot where they're gonna be.
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: Distracted and of, course With detroit being their, OPPONENT i
• 42:17
  Speaker 1: don't think they're gonna be unfocused against the team that
• 42:20
  Speaker 1: has like the best record in. Baseball so they're probably
• 42:23
  Speaker 1: not gonna be. Unfocused by the. Way, Detroit i've been
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: watching a For love of The game for some nineties nostalgia.
• 42:31
  Speaker 1: THERE i threw that on because it's On netflix right.
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: Now it's gonna be off Of netflix, SOON i. Think
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: With Kevin costner as the Old detroit starting pitcher, there
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: who WAS i believe going for IF i remember, correctly
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: going for a perfect game against The yankees to try
• 42:47
  Speaker 1: to prevent them from winning the division against The Red.
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: Sox so it's an Anti yankee movie, Too so how about?
• 42:54
  Speaker 1: That and it's Got john. C rilly in. IT i
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: like that guy as A costner's catcher. There so you,
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: know if you want to throw on a baseball, movie
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: a movie that's gonna make dudes cry a little, bit
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: there you. Go you can throw that game on its
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: nineties nostalgia. Baby, Anyway, Yeah detroit is At cleveland. Here
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: detroit does have the better bullpen of the, TWO i would,
• 43:16
  Speaker 1: say but both teams did play, yesterday And detroit played
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: two games the day before, yesterday So detroit they did
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: have to use their bullpen a bit yesterday because ends
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: did not really do well for them. Yesterday AS i,
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: SAID i thought he was a bit of a Mirage. Detroit,
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: yeah so neither team And cleveland had to go to
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: extra innings, yesterday so neither team has a good bullpen
• 43:37
  Speaker 1: rest scenario. Here so that kind of eliminates itself to
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: the point where maybe he's still kind of lean To
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: detroit because of. That BUT i think we want to
• 43:46
  Speaker 1: look at the starting pitching matchup. Here i'm not gonna
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: give out a play on, this BUT i kind of
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: like the starting pitching. Matchup Rhys olsen is making his
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: comeback For. Detroit he's one of their young arms here
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: and he's. Good he's basically their second best starting pitcher
• 43:59
  Speaker 1: besides school. Ball, Obviously olson has been hurt And detroit's
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: still chugging along and doing really. Well and If olsen
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: comes back and he's pitching as well as he has
• 44:09
  Speaker 1: over the last few, seasons that's really gonna help This detroit. Team,
• 44:13
  Speaker 1: man with that one to two punch between those two,
• 44:15
  Speaker 1: starters it'll be good this. Season he was pretty good
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: as well before he got. Hurt two point nine SIX,
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: era one point one seven, whip a little bit worse
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: on the road three point seven SIX, era so not
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: as good on the. Road but before he got, hurt
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: he was pitching. Well he got hurt in Mid may
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: and In may had a nineteen to five strike a
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: walk ratio one point seven to TWO era in the
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: month Of. May so he was starting to pitch better
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: and clean it up after he was walking too many
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: guys for a while this. Season but he is a
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: guy that can definitely strike guys out at the major league.
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: Level he has good, stuff. Man he has multiple seasons
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: under his belt that you can look at for his,
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: numbers you know That olsen is. Good cleveland certainly has
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: seen him. Before but his numbers are good Against cleveland
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: and fifty one at, bats two thirty five, average six
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: point eighty three, ohps eight to four strike out walk,
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: Ratio So olsen matches up pretty well Against cleveland. Here
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: he's a good, picture. MAN i, mean the only question
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: is how is he gonna do coming back from? Injury
• 45:12
  Speaker 1: AND i, know again there are handicappers that see this
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: in opposing. Ways there are a lot of handicappers who are,
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: LIKE i don't want anything to do with the picture
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: coming back from, injury and there are other pictures WHICH
• 45:23
  Speaker 1: i kind of subscribe or other. HANDICAPPERS i kind of
• 45:25
  Speaker 1: subscribe to this other camp where these handicappers are, like,
• 45:29
  Speaker 1: well if this picture is a, veteran they're used, to you,
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: know kind of the ins and outs of how this.
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: Goes they're used to coming back from. Injury Although olsen is,
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: young so maybe he's not quite as used to. It
• 45:39
  Speaker 1: but with like veteran, pictures at least you kind of
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: want to go with them because they're like excited to
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: get back on the. Hill they want to get back out.
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: There they've made rehab, start so they are ready to.
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: Go the only question, is as WHICH i think is
• 45:53
  Speaker 1: kind of a nod towards the other guys who like
• 45:55
  Speaker 1: to stay away from those, pictures is that you don't
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: know if that picture is gonna be on a pitch
• 45:59
  Speaker 1: count in their first game. Back that's kind of the,
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: issue like are they gonna just be totally unleashed and
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: get like a full starter's, workload or are they gonna
• 46:07
  Speaker 1: be limited a little bit and maybe give you about
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: five innings or. So so that's kind of the question
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: remains to be. Seen but if you look first five
• 46:14
  Speaker 1: innings in this, game you can kind of expect That
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: olson's probably gonna get you the first. Five he's going
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: up Against Slade, checoni WHO i think is a pretty
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: talented young pitcher as. Well three point six FOUR, era
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: one point three to one whip isn't very. Good he
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: walks too many. Guys he's been bad at home as
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: well so far five point seven to NINETY. Ra but
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: it's a small sample size because basically at the same
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: point That olson got, Hurt chackony came back from. Injury
• 46:40
  Speaker 1: Soch cony had a delayed start of the. Season and
• 46:43
  Speaker 1: this is his first time pitching With. Cleveland, well he's
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: new To cleveland this, YEAR i should, say let me rephrase,
• 46:50
  Speaker 1: that so this is his first season With. Cleveland he's
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: overall been fairly good, though even though his walk numbers
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: too high and the month Of junior had a twenty
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: five to nine strike a walk, ratio which is. Decent
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: didn't allow more than three or runs in any. Start
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: he's over the course of the entire season he's only
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: allowed more than three One so though his last outing
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: wasn't great he gave up three runs only went four
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: and two thirds Against Saint, louis but in the prior
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: four starts he went at least five in every one
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: of Those stars pitched ok against The yankees as, well
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: had a two point SEVEN era over that span of
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: five starts In. June, Chaconi, YEAH i mean he is
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: pitching pretty well recently And detroit actually Surprisingly detroit has
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: seen him before BECAUSE i think he actually pitched Against
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: detroit earlier this year because otherwise they wouldn't have seen
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: him Because chaconi was in The National. League he was On.
• 47:40
  Speaker 1: Arizona so, yeah he did pitch Against detroit once this
• 47:43
  Speaker 1: year At detroit Where detroit is pretty, good And chaconi
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: went six innings and only allowed one run against, them six,
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: strikeouts two, walks five, Hits so he had a good
• 47:52
  Speaker 1: outing Against detroit. There but that does Mean detroit is
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: now familiar with, Them so that might Mean detroit might
• 47:58
  Speaker 1: have a little bit of an easier time hitting him
• 48:01
  Speaker 1: this time because they did see him earlier this. Year but,
• 48:04
  Speaker 1: overall if you look at what he did in that
• 48:06
  Speaker 1: basically in that, start seventeen of bats For detroit against,
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: him five to, one string a walk. Ratio torklsen did
• 48:12
  Speaker 1: have a home run off, him but he held him
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: to two thirty five average seven forty. Eight ohp has
• 48:17
  Speaker 1: a little bit high because of that home, run but, overall,
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: YEAH i, MEAN i think both starting pitchers line up
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: okay in this. One EVEN i think you could probably
• 48:25
  Speaker 1: Expect chaconi to do a little bit. Worse BUT i
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: think first five inning under is probably the way to
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: lean in this. Game the total is sitting at eight
• 48:31
  Speaker 1: sixty three against eighty two percent of the cash on the,
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: UNDER i would want to exclude the bullpends after all
• 48:36
  Speaker 1: their usage over the last couple of. DAYS i think
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: both starting pitchers may do well, here, though so that's
• 48:42
  Speaker 1: probably the way THAT i would Look. Detroit, actually they're
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: up for minus one of five to minus one to
• 48:47
  Speaker 1: sixteen as a road favorite hero Though detroit not really
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: as good on the, road and the public is going
• 48:51
  Speaker 1: to be all Over detroit Because cleveland's been, awful so
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: obviously the public is gonna be on the team with
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: a better. Record But detroit looks too public to take
• 49:00
  Speaker 1: as an only seventy one percent of the, cash so
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: some of the professional money looks like it's taking a
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: stab With cleveland as the home underdog. THERE i don't
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: know IF i would go that, far but you, KNOW i,
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: mean we'll see what it remains to be, seen because
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: just If olsen is at full, strength he is the
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: better of the two. Pitchers but we'll see what actually happens.
• 49:19
  Speaker 1: There Man milwaukee is At. Miami milwaukee coming up a
• 49:22
  Speaker 1: big series against The, mets man where they did have
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: to play two games two days, ago So milwaukee not
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: exactly in the greatest rest spot. Here miami also played,
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: yesterday but they played in the. AFTERNOON i think both
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: teams actually did play in the, afternoon so they're having
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: to play, tonights so they at least kind of have a,
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: like at least a day to kind of prepare for.
• 49:43
  Speaker 1: This miami is staying at, home So miami does have
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a travel edge A milwaukee's having
• 49:47
  Speaker 1: to travel down From New, york but they are staying
• 49:50
  Speaker 1: in The eastern time. Zone Quinn priester is gonna be
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: on the mound For. Milwaukee. Now of, course both these
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: bullpends are not very good and they're not totally rested,
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: either so that is something to keep in mind. Here
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: miami didn't use much of their bullpen, yesterday but they
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: did use some of their better relievers, yesterday SO i
• 50:04
  Speaker 1: don't think we could trust either bullpen, here But Quinn
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: priester for The. Brewers he's looking like a guy The
• 50:10
  Speaker 1: Red sox shouldn't have gotten rid of. Man The Red
• 50:12
  Speaker 1: sox had him very briefly at the end of last,
• 50:14
  Speaker 1: year and he was awful last. Year but he's still
• 50:17
  Speaker 1: very young and he is starting to pitch. Well his
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: numbers this year are actually pretty good at this point
• 50:21
  Speaker 1: three point three FIVE era now one point two to THREE.
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: Whip he's done a little bit worse on the road
• 50:26
  Speaker 1: three point six SIX era on the. Road but he's
• 50:29
  Speaker 1: been pitching well recently And milwaukee has won his last six.
• 50:34
  Speaker 1: Starts milwaukee's won every single one of. Them he's got
• 50:36
  Speaker 1: at least five innings in all but, one and he's
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: gone six or more and four of the. Six in
• 50:42
  Speaker 1: the month Of june he had a one point nine
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: to EIGHTY rra and five. Starts his team won every,
• 50:47
  Speaker 1: one of, course and had a twenty nine to five
• 50:49
  Speaker 1: strike a walk. Ratio So priester actually pitching really. Well
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: and he's coming off a seven, inning eleven, strikeout one,
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: run excuse, me one hit shutout Against, colorado and, Yes
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: colorado is a bad, offense but he's allowed one or
• 51:03
  Speaker 1: fewer earned runs in four of his last five starts as, Well,
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: PRIESTER i mean he is a good form right, now.
• 51:10
  Speaker 1: MAN i don't think there's anything else that you could
• 51:12
  Speaker 1: really say about. That he is pitching pretty well right,
• 51:15
  Speaker 1: now and he's facing a Weak miami lineup now who
• 51:18
  Speaker 1: has not seen him very much at. All sanchez is
• 51:20
  Speaker 1: one for three with two strikeouts off, him and the
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: rest Of miami's lineup hasn't even seen, him so it
• 51:26
  Speaker 1: looks fairly good For priest during this. Matchup sandy Al
• 51:29
  Speaker 1: contra is gonna be on the mound From miami and
• 51:31
  Speaker 1: his numbers are bad this year six point nine TO,
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: eightyra one point four a whip. Is he's really struggling
• 51:37
  Speaker 1: to come back from major injury and surgery issues over
• 51:40
  Speaker 1: the last couple of. Seasons very, unfortunate but he hasn't
• 51:43
  Speaker 1: better at. Home five point zero THREE era is still not,
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: good but, better and he's pitching a little bit better
• 51:48
  Speaker 1: as of. Late In, june he made five, starts his
• 51:52
  Speaker 1: team won three of. Them he had a four point
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: three FOUR, era but at twenty three to five strike
• 51:57
  Speaker 1: out walk race just Al contra actually even though his
• 52:00
  Speaker 1: strikeout stuff isn't really exactly. There his command started to
• 52:04
  Speaker 1: get a little bit, better and he gave up two
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: or excuse three or fewer earned runs in four of
• 52:08
  Speaker 1: the five and then he did get torch last time
• 52:11
  Speaker 1: out Against, arizona which was At. Arizona they're a good hitting,
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: team it's a good hitting ballpark, there So i'm not
• 52:17
  Speaker 1: gonna fault him that much for, that and they still
• 52:18
  Speaker 1: let him go six. Innings he was still. Efficient he
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: didn't walk anybody in that, start had four, strikeouts so
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: it wasn't all that bad for, him And miami actually
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: wound up winning that, game which is, crazy even though
• 52:30
  Speaker 1: he allowed seven earned runs in the. Game so Al
• 52:33
  Speaker 1: condra does seem like he is sort of kind of
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: becoming a little bit better, again and he's going to
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: be up Against milwaukee, here who is a good. Offense
• 52:42
  Speaker 1: milwaukee is the way better of these two. Offenses but
• 52:45
  Speaker 1: he's been pretty good against some limited sample size sixty
• 52:48
  Speaker 1: one at bats. Mostly hoskins is the one guy who's
• 52:51
  Speaker 1: really seen him a lot at forty one at, bats
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: but they haven't done well against him in these sixty
• 52:55
  Speaker 1: one at, bats twenty two to seven strike a walk
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: ratio one sixty four average five oh nine. Ops so
• 53:03
  Speaker 1: both starting, Pitchers i'm actually gonna, say are not in
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: terrible form right. NOW i kind of like a first
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: five inning under, here, man BECAUSE i don't want to
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: do anything with the. Bullpenz we have sixty eight percent
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: of tickets on the over fifty one percent of the
• 53:16
  Speaker 1: cash coming in on the. Under the only Reason i've
• 53:19
  Speaker 1: not added this as a play right now is because
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: every number THAT i saw at The massachusetts books was
• 53:23
  Speaker 1: you had to lay minus one thirty to get it
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: at under four and a, half AND i was, like
• 53:26
  Speaker 1: why CAN'T i just find it at under four and
• 53:29
  Speaker 1: lay less of a price on. IT i don't, know
• 53:32
  Speaker 1: but if you could do, THAT i would probably recommend
• 53:35
  Speaker 1: this as a play under in the first five innings
• 53:37
  Speaker 1: BECAUSE i don't want anything to do with the, bullpens
• 53:39
  Speaker 1: AND i do Think priester is an under the radar
• 53:42
  Speaker 1: picture right now who actually probably has the upper hand
• 53:45
  Speaker 1: here In milwaukee with their much better offense Than. MIAMI'S
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: i think probably has the upper hand, here and the
• 53:50
  Speaker 1: money is kind of reflecting that as. Well up for
• 53:52
  Speaker 1: minus one of five to minus one twenty three On,
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: milwaukee sixty eight percent of tickets they are, public but
• 53:57
  Speaker 1: eighty two percent of the, cash so this looks like
• 53:59
  Speaker 1: public and professionals are all on The milwaukee. Side SO
• 54:03
  Speaker 1: i agree with, that BUT i think the strongest play
• 54:05
  Speaker 1: in that game is under in the first five. Innings
• 54:10
  Speaker 1: baltimore At, atlanta And atlanta lost yesterday staying at. Home
• 54:13
  Speaker 1: now they just lost a series To anaheim At. Homer
• 54:16
  Speaker 1: anaheim continues to Overperform, man BUT i did Say anaheim
• 54:20
  Speaker 1: had the better of the matchup. Yesterday baltimore was resting.
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: Yesterday they're coming in From texas with a day off
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: on a two game Loss, streek So baltimore does have
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: a rest advantage. Here although their bullpen is pretty, bad
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: and they Have, blewett Who atlanta got rid of because
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: he blows so many games and just blows in, general
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: so he might he might appear in This he will
• 54:42
  Speaker 1: probably appear in this series against the team that tossed him,
• 54:45
  Speaker 1: away which is, ridiculous but he's. Awful but in this,
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: Game baltimore does have the rest. Edge they Got Charlie morton,
• 54:50
  Speaker 1: pitching and he is old and really difficult to figure
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: out a five point six THREE era one point five
• 54:56
  Speaker 1: to seven Whip on the. Season obviously those numbers aren't.
• 54:59
  Speaker 1: Good four to NINE era on the road obviously not.
• 55:02
  Speaker 1: Good but he had a really really bad start to the.
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: Season his team lost, LIKE i don't, know his first twelve,
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: appearances and then they won five straight appearances of his
• 55:12
  Speaker 1: after they moved him to the bullpen and then moved
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: him back into the starting. Rotation it was like he
• 55:17
  Speaker 1: became a different, pitcher and he's been reasonably good since.
• 55:20
  Speaker 1: Then even though they did lose his last, start he
• 55:22
  Speaker 1: didn't pitch that badly Against. EXAs he had a two
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: point eight EIGHT era in five starts In. June they
• 55:28
  Speaker 1: won four of the five he had thirty and he
• 55:30
  Speaker 1: had a thirty two to eight strike a walk. Ratio
• 55:32
  Speaker 1: So morton actually started pitching, better which is really insane and.
• 55:38
  Speaker 1: RIDICULOUS i, mean it looked like this guy's career was.
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: Over they send him in the, bullpen and now all
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: of a, sudden he's an effective pitcher. Again really. Crazy
• 55:46
  Speaker 1: up against The, braves fifty two at batsworth against, him
• 55:49
  Speaker 1: they have a two to fifty average but a fairly
• 55:51
  Speaker 1: high eight thirty three oh ps because he has a
• 55:53
  Speaker 1: fifteen to nine strike a walk Ratio that is too many.
• 55:56
  Speaker 1: Walks he's allowed home runs To olsen and Pro. Fi
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: and it looks Like profar is. Back when did he come,
• 56:02
  Speaker 1: back BECAUSE i know he was suspended FOR. Peds it
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: looks like he just came back On july, second so
• 56:08
  Speaker 1: that will Help atlanta's. Offense So profi is. BACK i
• 56:11
  Speaker 1: didn't even realize. That, yeah So atlanta does have one
• 56:15
  Speaker 1: of their top hitters back, There. Profar and it looks
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: like he is hitting, well even though he's probably not
• 56:21
  Speaker 1: ON pds, ANYMORE i. Guess but he's hit, WELL i
• 56:24
  Speaker 1: guess in the two games that he's played so. Far But.
• 56:27
  Speaker 1: Morton the one other thing About morton, though that leads
• 56:30
  Speaker 1: me to believe that maybe he might actually do okay
• 56:32
  Speaker 1: here is that he was On atlanta last year and,
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: man so he's comfortable pitching in this. Stadium but the
• 56:38
  Speaker 1: team that got rid of you the previous, year the
• 56:40
  Speaker 1: first time you go back and you face that, team
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: you tend to be a little bit pumped up for.
• 56:44
  Speaker 1: It so that might be a little bit of a
• 56:45
  Speaker 1: motivating factor From morton in that game as. Well but
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: he is going up Against spencer Stride, or who is
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: the way younger pitcher and the better. Pitcher he's got
• 56:53
  Speaker 1: a three point eight SIX, era one point one four
• 56:56
  Speaker 1: whip a THREE era at home all this year he's
• 57:00
  Speaker 1: in For. Atlanta he's been pitching, well even though his
• 57:02
  Speaker 1: walk numbers are too, high but he strikes a lot
• 57:05
  Speaker 1: of guys. Out Spencer striker is more like. It three
• 57:08
  Speaker 1: point SIXTY r in the month Of june in six,
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: starts the only one three of the, six but had
• 57:15
  Speaker 1: a forty two to fourteen strike a walk. Ratium, again
• 57:18
  Speaker 1: that's too many, walks but it's a high strikeout rate
• 57:21
  Speaker 1: and he's hard to. Hit he doesn't allow a lot of.
• 57:23
  Speaker 1: Hits So strider he also is trying to come back from,
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: injury so he's been kind of working his way. Back
• 57:28
  Speaker 1: but he is kind of back and for him at this,
• 57:30
  Speaker 1: point so he is pitching well right now and his
• 57:33
  Speaker 1: career Against, baltimore they only have one hit in fifteen
• 57:35
  Speaker 1: of bats against, him with nine strikeouts in one walk
• 57:39
  Speaker 1: oh sixty seven average and one ninety two oh. Ps
• 57:41
  Speaker 1: so it's small sample size With strider has absolutely Dominated,
• 57:46
  Speaker 1: atlanta so or excuse he has Dominated. Baltimore he's On.
• 57:50
  Speaker 1: Atlanta what AM i? Saying the money looks like it's
• 57:52
  Speaker 1: coming in On. Baltimore atlanta down for might his one
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: seventy three to minus one seventy, one seventy five percent
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: of the tickets on, them but fifty six percent of
• 57:59
  Speaker 1: the cash On, baltimore which makes some sense Because baltimore
• 58:03
  Speaker 1: does have the rest edge at. Least LIKE i, said
• 58:05
  Speaker 1: if you wanted to fire On baltimore on the money,
• 58:07
  Speaker 1: LINE i would, say exclude their, bulpen, though probably go
• 58:11
  Speaker 1: first five, innings although well maybe even actually don't because
• 58:14
  Speaker 1: they at least rested their bullpen, yesterday so maybe you
• 58:17
  Speaker 1: could go full game on. THAT i kind of like
• 58:20
  Speaker 1: the under a little bit better in the first five.
• 58:22
  Speaker 1: INNINGS i wouldn't want anything to do with the bullpends
• 58:24
  Speaker 1: in the under situation, here but total actually has gone
• 58:27
  Speaker 1: up a little bit to nine from a nine juicee
• 58:30
  Speaker 1: under seventy three percent of tickets eighty one percent of
• 58:32
  Speaker 1: the catch on the, over money coming in on the.
• 58:34
  Speaker 1: OVER i don't necessarily agree with, that BECAUSE i think
• 58:37
  Speaker 1: both starting pitchers might actually do oka in this, one
• 58:39
  Speaker 1: SO i might be looking under first five, There White
• 58:42
  Speaker 1: sox At. Colorado it is finally. Happening. Man we have
• 58:46
  Speaker 1: the historically Bad White sox from last year against the
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: even more historically Bad Colorado rockies from this. Year we
• 58:54
  Speaker 1: have this matchup of the two worst teams in baseball right,
• 58:57
  Speaker 1: Here Baby White Sox. Rockies it. Fun everybody's gonna love this.
• 59:01
  Speaker 1: One colorado actually Beat houston yesterday and they're staying at.
• 59:06
  Speaker 1: Home maybe a little bit of a letdown spot For,
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: colorado but they have a travel edge because The White
• 59:11
  Speaker 1: sox are coming in from The West coast and they
• 59:13
  Speaker 1: did just have a big series against The. Dodgers even
• 59:15
  Speaker 1: though they got. Swept they are having to travel time
• 59:18
  Speaker 1: zones and move into. Elevation so maybe not the greatest
• 59:21
  Speaker 1: spot for The White sox. Either houser is pitching for
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: The White. Sox he's been pretty good one point NINE,
• 59:28
  Speaker 1: era one point one to SEVEN. Whip he's been more
• 59:31
  Speaker 1: hittable on the, road though three point zero four roadra
• 59:33
  Speaker 1: and pitching a corps field might be a bit of
• 59:35
  Speaker 1: a different. Story but he's been good. Recently The White
• 59:38
  Speaker 1: sox have actually won three of his last five starts
• 59:40
  Speaker 1: two point six FOUR era over that. Span In june
• 59:43
  Speaker 1: twenty three to ten string a walk ratio too many,
• 59:46
  Speaker 1: walks but not horrible and he allowed three or fewer
• 59:50
  Speaker 1: earned runs in every, outing which actually has been the
• 59:52
  Speaker 1: case all. Season he's actually been pretty good all, season,
• 59:55
  Speaker 1: shockingly and he is facing a Bad colorado. Offense it's
• 59:59
  Speaker 1: just a matter of how gonna respond to pitching in
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 1: this high elevation of course. Field But colorado hasn't hit
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 1: him well in the, past and fifty one of bats
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 1: fifteen to four strike out walk ratio one ninety six,
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 1: average allowed five to eighty two. Ops So howser has
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 1: done well against The rockies. Historically he's up Against, senzatella
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 1: who is the worst of the two pitchers six point
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 1: six NINETY ra one point nine to three whip really,
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 1: bad even worse at home with a seven point zero
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 1: one HOME. Era not a good form recently, either with
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 1: eleven strikeouts to fourteen walks In, june even though his
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 1: team somehow won three of the five. STARTS i don't understand,
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: how because, YEAH i, mean it doesn't even make any, sense,
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 1: Man he's just been bad, overall more walks of strikeouts
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 1: five point five SIX era over that. Month not. Good
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 1: up against The White, sox they are a very bad
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 1: offense though twenty eight at bats really all Of it
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 1: Is rojas almost with twenty at, bats but they have
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 1: hit him well three fifty seven, average nine hundred. Ops
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 1: rows has a home run off, him he has three
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 1: strikeouts to two, Walks so it does look Like howser
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 1: probably does have the upper hand here and the money
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 1: is coming Into. Chicago this is, insane. Man The White
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 1: sox are a road. Favorite when are you ever gonna see?
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 1: That that's how absolutely terrible The rockies Are White sox
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 1: road favored against, them sixty two percent against sixty nine
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on The White sox up for
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 1: a minus one to, fifteen minus one to twenty, five
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 1: so the money is coming in on them as. Well
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 1: that's just. CRAZY a total of eleven with these offenses
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 1: being so. BAD i kind of think that total is too.
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 1: HIGH i mean that's a coarse field. Total, yeah the
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 1: pitching isn't, great but seventy one percent of tickets on
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 1: the over eighty seven percent of the cash on the. Under,
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 1: usually when the total is that, big the odds makers
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 1: are doing that for a, reason and you want to
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: look towards zone. Over but in this, CASE i don't
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 1: really think. SO i, mean both offices are just so.
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 1: Bad THAT i think maybe an under might make, sense
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 1: and that when in the public doesn't even seem to
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 1: like the under idea and that one even though sometimes
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 1: they will kind of be more leaning towards an under
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 1: in a game like this with bad. Offenses but, yeah
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 1: SO i mean leans to The White sox and the
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 1: under in that game for, me and the market seems
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 1: to be also having those same. Leans houston at The.
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 1: Dodgers dodgers staying at home off a sweep of The White.
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 1: Sox they're hot right, Now out've won what is that
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 1: nine of their last ten something like. That staying at
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 1: home not a bad spot for The. Dodgers houston coming
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 1: in from, elevation traveling From colorado to The Pacific coast
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 1: for this AV a loss. Yesterday houston did have to
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 1: use some of their bullpen. Yesterday both teams did play yesterday. Bullpen,
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 1: OVERALL i would Say houston has the better, bullpen but
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 1: maybe the rest scenario a little bit worse on The
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 1: houston side of. IT i still kind of prefer their.
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 1: BULLPEN A lance mccallers is pitching For, houston and he's
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 1: been a roller coaster so. Far man trying to come
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 1: back from injury six point six one one point six
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: to two. Whip he actually got injured again and then
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 1: tried to come. Back but he has a ZERO era
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 1: on the road so far this, season so he's gotten
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 1: lit up at home in some, starts but in three
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 1: roads starts he hasn't even allowed to, run which is
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 1: kind of. Ridiculous Against White, Sox texas And pittsburgh though
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 1: so really bad, offenses nothing like what he's gonna face
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 1: here with The. Dodgers and last time out he tried
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: to come back from. Injury he'd been off for a
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 1: couple of, weeks and he got lit up against The
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 1: cubs in his last, start had one, strikeout four, walks
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 1: eight aurn runs, allowed three on. Runs he got, destroyed
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 1: and of course that was at, home where his two
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 1: really bad starts this year both been at. Home cubs
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 1: really good, offense but obviously so were The. DODGERS i
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 1: don't think we could trust McCullers right, now, man and
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 1: we have to wait to see if he bounces. Back and,
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 1: unfortunately because it looked like he was bouncing back really
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 1: nicely and then he got hurt, AGAIN i think he
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 1: will probably return to for him. Again but it might
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 1: not be here against a really Good dodgers, scene, which
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 1: by the, way The Red sox game has, begun so
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 1: this is gonna be a Delayed at least you guys
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 1: got to see the video live of me handicapping that,
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 1: game because this video is gonna be out a little bit.
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 1: Late but my plays don't start, yet so at least
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 1: there is that. Anyway, Mccullors, YEAH i, mean it is
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 1: sad because he's probably getting more death threats those bad
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 1: starts that he had at home. Again he's a guy
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 1: that's been really good For houston for a while and
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 1: the home crowd of his is just threatening him and
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 1: his family death. Threats and he's not crying Like Kettle marte.
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 1: EITHER i don't. Know it's just all awful. THOUGH i,
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 1: mean they should not be treating him that. WAY i,
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 1: mean give him a. Break he's coming back from. Injury
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 1: he's been really good for your. TEAM i like. MCCULLORS
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 1: i hope he does. Better we'll see what. Happens he's
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 1: going up Against Ben. Casparius it was really difficult to
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 1: handicap three point nine to SEVENTY ra this year one
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 1: point one to three. Whip he's only been in the
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 1: league since last. Year he's twenty six years. Old number
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 1: is good this, year, obviously pitching fairly well for The
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 1: dodgers in his first kind of full. Season worse at home,
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 1: though four point four to five yar at home doesn't
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 1: get you d been to games. Though he's generally gonna
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 1: kind of get you three four, innings give you kind
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 1: of an opener type of, deal and then be out
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 1: of the. Game last time, out gave up six runs
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 1: To Kansas, city who's an offense that can't even, Hit
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 1: so that is a bit. CONCERNING i would say jacking
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 1: is era up to six point two in the month
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 1: Of june with a twelve to five strike a walk,
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 1: Ratio so he's not exactly a great form right. Now
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 1: don't know if we could Trust, casparius BUT i Believe
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 1: houston has never seen him, before so he might have
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: a little bit of an edge in that regard just
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 1: Because houston's never seen him. Before but you're gonna have
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 1: to get The dodgers' bullpen into this, game so it's
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a concern because of. That the
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 1: money looks like it's coming in On, houston even though
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 1: the money line is up for my one seventy three
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 1: and one seventy, six seventy six percent tickets only seventy
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash ON. La so it looks like
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 1: the money is kind of FADING la here and going With,
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 1: houston just BECAUSE i guess they have the kind of
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 1: more proven, picture at least over his. CAREER i don't
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 1: know IF i love. THAT i might be leaning is
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 1: an over totals at, nine which is fairly high for a.
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 1: Reason eighty six percent of ticket is only seventy eight
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the. Over of, course public's
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 1: gonna like an over in A dodgers, Game BUT i
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 1: don't know if you could trust, Either like pitching staff
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 1: here right, Now, man with no rest and with these
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 1: starting pitchers maybe being a little bit iffy right, NOW
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 1: i think maybe you'll see some runs come home in that,
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 1: game even Though houston's offense not very. Good dodgers' offense obviously.
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 1: Is Kansas city is At. Arizona arizona just lost to
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 1: in a row at home To San francisco after winning
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 1: the first two against the little bit difficult to try
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 1: to bounce back from, that maybe because that's a tough, Series,
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 1: man Big Divisional. Series arizona's, bullpen of, course, stinks so
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 1: they are the worst. Bullpend Kansas city is having to
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 1: come in From, seattle, though So Kansas city is having
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 1: to travel in From. Seattle both teams played. YESTERDAY i
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 1: still Give Kansas city the bullpen, edge even with both
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 1: bullpens being a little bit. Unrested Kansas city does have
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 1: the better. Bullpend on the, surface it looks Like Kansas
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 1: city does have the way better starting here With Boo
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 1: bitch pitching two point two five r one point one
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 1: to three whip really, good even better on the road
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 1: one point eight to eight ar round the. Road but
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 1: he is in a very hitter friendly park here In Chase,
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 1: field and he hasn't been quite as good as of,
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 1: late with a four point two to THREE era In
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 1: june thirty one to nine strike a walk, ratio so
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 1: the strikeouts were still, there but the walks were. High
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 1: and couple that With Kansas city not being able to.
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 1: Hit Kansas city lost four of his last five, starts
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 1: So boobach may actually have a more difficult match up. Here,
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 1: man he's not pitching quite as well as he was
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 1: earlier in the. Season arizona is a good hitting team
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 1: is a good hitting. Ballpark twenty two at bats in
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 1: his career Against, arizona they have a two seventy three.
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 1: Average naylor has a home run off him in an
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 1: eight ninety five, ops so his numbers aren't very good Against,
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 1: arizona even THOUGH i know Boob bach is a lot
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 1: better this year than he was in past. Seasons two
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 1: to one strike a walk ratio against, him not really
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 1: much that you can really take away from, That But
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 1: boobach might not do that well in the, start and
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 1: he's going up Against Eduardo, RODRIGUEZ i think surprising him
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 1: at actually be the pitcher that's in the better form
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 1: out of the two of. Them right. Now he's got
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 1: a five point one to THREE era and one point
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 1: five to SIX, whip which doesn't look. Good four point
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 1: nine SIX era at home is a little bit, better
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 1: but he had a one point nine to EIGHTY ra
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 1: in five starts In. June his team only won two
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 1: of the five Because arizona they weren't really helping him
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 1: out with a lot of run. Support in some of these.
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 1: Games he had a twenty eight to nine strike a walk,
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 1: ratio so his wildness is still a, concern but he
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 1: has not been allowing a lot of, runs racking up
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 1: a pretty good amount of. Strikeouts he allowed two or
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 1: fewer earned runs in all five of those, starts although
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 1: he faced some somewhat weak Offenses Miami White, Sox toronto's,
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 1: Okay seattle's, Okay cincinnati's. Okay SO i guess you have
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 1: to kind of just figure, out you, know take from
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 1: all that what you. Will but of course he is
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 1: facing a very weak offense this time In Kansas. City,
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 1: Obviously arizona has a huge hitting edge in this, game
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: But Kansas city has a bullpen. Edge BUT i think
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 1: the starting pitching edge might not be what it looks
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 1: like on the, surface where you'd think the boo, bitch
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 1: because he is the better pitcher, overall is the way
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 1: to look. Here But i'm not so sure about. That
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 1: rodriguez against this Bad royals. Lineup in sixty three at
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 1: bat's career wise one fifty nine, average four to forty three,
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 1: ops fifteen to five straight out walk, ratio so e
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 1: rod has actually been the better of the. Two and
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 1: it looks Like Kansas, city shockingly is actually. Public when
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 1: would you Think Kansas city would be? Public man with
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 1: the way that they've been playing. Recently But arizona hasn't
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 1: been playing that well. Either fifty three percent of, tickets
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 1: only fifty one percent of the cash On Kansas City
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 1: arizona down to minus one oh. NINE i agree with.
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 1: IT i Think arizona. OVERALL i, mean, yeah they've been playing,
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 1: really really, poorly but, Again arizona has a, massive massive
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 1: offensive edge yere and that might wind up being the.
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 1: Difference if the starting pitching edge is actually PROBABLY i
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 1: would slightly say it's actually even in favor Of arizona.
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 1: Here and then you have the. Bullpen you gotta worry
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 1: About arizona's. Bullpen that is. True so if you want
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 1: to go first five innings on, This arizona to be
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 1: winning through the first FIVE i don't hate that. Either
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 1: but if you go full, game you're Getting arizona's offense
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 1: for the full, game so that does help as. Well
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 1: SO i lean To arizona in that. Game, zach what's up?
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 1: Man yah, boo betch that's. Right you wait for me
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 1: to talk about The. ROYALS i should have known it
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 1: was you WHEN i saw the comment come. In, then,
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 1: UNFORTUNATELY i lean against your royals again in that, game
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 1: but we will. See and to finish it, off we
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 1: have The battle of The Bay San francisco at The,
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 1: a's although it's not really The battle of The bay,
• 1:10:37
  Speaker 1: now is? It because The a's are in The Sacramento
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 1: TRIPLE A stadium, now which is. Ridiculous The a's are
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 1: returning home from a long road. Trip then went To
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 1: detroit and then all the way out to The East
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 1: coast To New york and then To. Tampa SO i
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 1: think The a's are in a bad spot, man returning
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 1: home to a very kind of unfriendly part to then
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 1: they don't have an edge at home really at. All
• 1:10:59
  Speaker 1: they've been pretty bad at. Home The a's fifteen and
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 1: twenty seven at. Home so it's a bad spot for The. A's.
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 1: Man they're not a very good. Team they're returning home
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 1: from a very long road trip cross, country bad bad,
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 1: spot and they could be a little bit. Distracted other
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 1: than the fact that Maybe San francisco will draw their
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 1: focus a little. Bit the only thing that might help
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 1: The a's a little bit besides that is That San
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 1: francisco did play, yesterday so The a's do have a
• 1:11:22
  Speaker 1: rest advantage just because they didn't play, yesterday but they
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 1: were traveling quite a, bit so still a bad spot
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 1: for The, a's bad spot for both, teams And San
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 1: francisco is coming off that big divisional series Against. ARIZONA
• 1:11:35
  Speaker 1: i don't like how this sets up for either team. Here.
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 1: Man San francisco, does of, course have the way better.
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 1: Bullpend this is actually really the best bullpend in baseball
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 1: against the, worst which is. Insane San francisco's is the,
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 1: best The a's is the, worst Although San francisco did
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 1: have to use some of, it or, no they, didn't
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 1: actually excuse, Me Robbie ray pitched a complete game, yesterday
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 1: So San francisco's bullpen has actually. Rested so both bullpen's
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 1: arrested coming into this. Game so obviously you got to
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 1: give the bullpen edge To San. Francisco do you give
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 1: them the starting pitching edge with a forty two year
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 1: Old Justin verlander on the, Mound i'm not so. Sure
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 1: four point two SIX era this, year one point three
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 1: to nine whip a little bit better on the road
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 1: three point five EIGHTY. Ra but this is gonna be
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 1: a weird stadium to pitch. In, man very. Strange very
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 1: home run can do The. Ballpark verlander only made three
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 1: starts In june as he was hurt for about a
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 1: month came. Back he did okay four point oh TWO,
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 1: era fourteen to four strago walk. Ratio his team lost
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 1: all three of those. Starts but, Again San francisco can't
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 1: hit right. Now. Man their offense is, terrible so the
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 1: one advantage The a's really do have ears that they're
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 1: hitting is better Than San. Francisco's but, Still verlander might
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 1: actually do. Well he's been pitching okay. Recently he has
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 1: good numbers against The a's, here and The a's bats
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 1: might be you, know distracted and in that bad spot
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 1: after returning. Home fifty three at, Bats verlander has against
• 1:12:56
  Speaker 1: to be selling to a one to eighty nine, average
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 1: five sixty six, ops ten to seven strike a walk
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 1: ratio is not very, good but the rest of the
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 1: number is pretty good For verlander against The. A's but,
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 1: Again verlander is probably worse this year than he has
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 1: been at any point in his, career so we'll see
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 1: what he can. Do he's at least kind of been serviceable, recently,
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 1: though and he's up AGAINST Jp, sears who's not pitching.
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 1: Well five point zero NINE era on the season one
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 1: point three. Whip he's way worse at home six point
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 1: six EIGHTY. Ra the home run ball has been a
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 1: huge issue for him at, home twelve home runs allowed
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 1: out of the eighteen he's allowed this, year which both
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 1: those numbers are, awful but twelve at home really. Bad
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 1: six point six to eight home. Hera So sears has
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 1: really had issues pitching in This sacramento. Stadium he wasn't
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 1: great In june over six, starts four point nine ONE,
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 1: era twenty four to eleven StrEG a walk. Ratio he's
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 1: kind of consistently mediocre throughout that. Span he's An oka
• 1:13:56
  Speaker 1: pitcher in. General he is facing a pretty bad offense here,
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 1: though In San, francisco and he has done okay against
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 1: them in the past and fifty two at bats thirteen
• 1:14:05
  Speaker 1: to three strike out walk ratio two point fifty, average
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 1: six to seventy SIX. Obs So sears actually hasn't done
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 1: that bad against. Them and given you know how bad
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 1: the offense is on The San francisco, side and given
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 1: that you might see a distracted offense on the side
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 1: Of oakland or The, a's you might always Say, oakland
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 1: especially because they're listed as oak on the board here
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 1: and you might see a distracted offense from or a
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 1: kind of letdown. Scenario offense From San francisco isn't even
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 1: a good offense. ANYWAY i might be looking under in
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 1: this one, too, Man just like the corps field, game
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 1: you have really high totals in these, stadiums this one at,
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 1: ten BUT i could see it going under with this
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 1: matchup like this in first five. Innings under maybe would
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 1: make sense as, well but you probably want to go
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 1: full game with the under Because San francisco's bullpend is
• 1:14:52
  Speaker 1: really good and rested. In San francisco's offense just isn't that.
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 1: Good ninety four percent of takes nine nine percent of
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 1: the couch on the. Over the over is very, public
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 1: BUT i don't really agree with the, over And San
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 1: francisco looks like they're a public underdog on the road
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 1: here with sixty six percent of the tickets and. Cash
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 1: But oakland creeping up a, little Or a's up from
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 1: minus one o five to minus one, away probably because
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 1: they have the rest advantage Because San francisco played. Yesterday
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 1: but there's no way THAT i would do anything With
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 1: oakland or The a's excuse me in that situation returning
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 1: on from a road, TRIP i just would not do.
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 1: It so that's gonna do it for. Me, Man let's
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 1: have a happy fourth. Here what else we got? Here?
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 1: OH i Missed Colin clippers or coin. CLIPPERS i was.
• 1:15:35
  Speaker 1: CALLING i was a calling nice name coin, clippers apparently
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 1: as A cubs. Fan, SORRY i missed coin. Clippers, man
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 1: when do? Those? Dude? Wait when do? Those how do
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 1: we get how do we get? Comments BEFORE i even
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 1: created the video at one thirty three, Am crochet on
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 1: the Cy Young. FUTURE i, mean that's, difficult. Man you're
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 1: gonna have to. Go you're going up against school ball, there,
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 1: man so we will see you, think, Uh tucker is
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 1: gonna hit home run off of so you're talking About
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 1: Kyle talker off Of miles Mikel. US i believe is
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 1: what you're talking about, there, Right you think he's gonna.
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 1: HOMER i never go with home run, props, man because
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 1: that's the. Thing the public loves home run. Props they
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 1: love to root for guys to hit home. Runs guys
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 1: will only like the best home runners in the league
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 1: only hit home runs once every like ten to eleven at.
• 1:16:24
  Speaker 1: Bats you never get good enough odds on the home run,
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 1: props SO i recommend hits plus runs plus. RBIs if
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 1: you want to go with an offensive player prop to
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 1: do damage against a. Pitcher that's gonna do. It. Man once,
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 1: again the PLAYS i gave out today all full game run,
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 1: Line Cincinnati, Reds Tampa Bay, Rays Texas. Rangers that's gonna
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 1: do it for. Me learn to toad On, twitter give
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 1: send go dot, com slash towergate, toad Uh patreon dot
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 1: com slash learn to, TOAD i think is where it.
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 1: Is that's not totally set up, yet but we'll see
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 1: What i'm gonna do with. That it's probably gonna involve
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 1: a lot of yuke. Content you can go find covered
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 1: in you on YouTube WHERE i am posting more of
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 1: my stuff, now double posting What i'm posting On, twitter
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 1: and go check out The Better Off dead audio or
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 1: on all audio, platforms And i'm monetizing. That so if you,
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 1: listen it'll help me. Out uh, yeah subscribe to everything
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 1: rate it On, apple you, know on the audio. Platforms,
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 1: subscribe you, know like comment on the YouTube. Stuff go
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 1: check me out On, instagram interact with you there BECAUSE
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 1: i do have The instagram up as. Well happy, forth.
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 1: Everybody let's have some fun. Party you, know don't party
• 1:17:32
  Speaker 1: so hard that you get yourselves, in you, know a dangerous,
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 1: situation but definitely have. Fun happy for, it, Baby peace,
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 1: out