Latest / INSIGHT TODAY / What sources say about Trump's last-minute rally cancellations
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: There is that surprising schedule change from the White House tonight,
- 0:03Speaker 1: with just five days to go until the midterm elections
- 0:06Speaker 1: next Tuesday. The president is canceling his final two scheduled
- 0:10Speaker 1: rallies for this cycle, leaving just one more in Florida
- 0:14Speaker 1: tomorrow on his schedule. Now, of course, few politicians have
- 0:19Speaker 1: logged more miles than this president. Today, he actually held
- 0:22Speaker 1: his 25th rally this month, that one in South Carolina
- 0:26Speaker 1: for Republican Senator Darlene Graham. But in the closing days
- 0:30Speaker 1: of this campaign and hours and minutes of an election
- 0:33Speaker 1: that is going to have a major impact on the
- 0:35Speaker 1: rest of his presidency, it's notable that Trump is scrapping
- 0:39Speaker 1: rallies that he had planned in Iowa and in Kansas.
- 0:43Speaker 1: Those are both traditionally red states where Republicans are right
- 0:46Speaker 1: now fighting Democrats to hang on to their seats. And
- 0:50Speaker 1: the White House now says instead the president is going
- 0:53Speaker 1: to hold tele-rallies to stretch his message even further to
- 0:56Speaker 1: a bigger audience. But it may have been the president's
- 0:59Speaker 1: answer that was the most revealing about what's going on
- 1:03Speaker 1: when he was asked why he's adjusting his schedule.
- 1:07Speaker 2: You not going to Kansas has nothing to do with
- 1:10Speaker 2: you being sick and traveling?
- 1:11Speaker 3: Oh, you're sick, you ass-necked one. You are sick. Who
- 1:14Speaker 3: are you with?
- 1:15Speaker 2: I'm with Reuters, sir.
- 1:16Speaker 3: You are a sick guy.
- 1:17Speaker 4: Reuters is terrible, by the way.
- 1:18Speaker 5: Well, we just want to make.
- 1:19Speaker 6: Sure you're doing well.
- 1:19Speaker 2: Look at this guy.
- 1:20Speaker 3: He's way out of shape. Look at how badly... He
- 1:23Speaker 3: comes to me. Sir, you're not going to go to Kansas.
- 1:26Speaker 3: I'm not going to Kansas because he's doing very well.
- 1:28Speaker 2: I'm going to do a tell-around.
- 1:30Speaker 3: Tomorrow I'm doing Florida.
- 1:31Speaker 2: He said, what's the reason?
- 1:33Speaker 3: After doing, what, 28... He says, what's the reason for this, sir,
- 1:38Speaker 3: that you're not going to Kansas? You know what the
- 1:40Speaker 3: reason is? I don't feel I have to go to Kansas.
- 1:43Speaker 3: I'm going to Florida tomorrow, and I'll do if something
- 1:46Speaker 3: else comes up. But he said, you're not going to Kansas, sir.
- 1:51Speaker 3: Are you feeling well?
- 1:52Speaker 7: You've been following me.
- 1:53Speaker 3: For two weeks.
- 1:54Speaker 8: I feel perfect.
- 1:56Speaker 3: You are disgusting. Put yourself in shape.
- 1:58Speaker 2: You look like hell.
- 2:02Speaker 1: Now, that reporter from Reuters, Jacob Bogage, asked a straightforward
- 2:05Speaker 1: question about the president's schedule. He got an irritated answer,
- 2:09Speaker 1: as you heard there, especially given it's the president himself
- 2:13Speaker 1: who has touted his own ability to maintain a busy schedule.
- 2:19Speaker 3: So the one thing I can say is that no
- 2:22Speaker 3: president has ever worked so hard On a midterm. Nobody's
- 2:27Speaker 3: ever campaigned like I have for midterms. I haven't. I've
- 2:31Speaker 3: been doing this stuff for a week and a half,
- 2:32Speaker 3: two weeks. I did more rallies than I've ever done
- 2:35Speaker 3: for myself. You know, I've done 26 of them now.
- 2:41Speaker 9: I have worked very hard.
- 2:43Speaker 3: I've done 14 rallies in nine days.
- 2:47Speaker 9: And that's a lot.
- 2:48Speaker 3: I'm going to Georgia. But it's a strain on your voice.
- 2:53Speaker 2: It's a strain.
- 2:54Speaker 3: You know, it's not normal.
- 2:55Speaker 9: I'm doing something different.
- 2:57Speaker 8: I'm working like a dog.
- 3:00Speaker 1: Now, there's another reason why canceling these final two rallies
- 3:04Speaker 1: of the 2026 midterms stands out to those of us
- 3:07Speaker 1: who have covered Trump for years. If you'll remember, during
- 3:10Speaker 1: the final 72 hours before the 2018 midterms, President Trump
- 3:14Speaker 1: held seven rallies. in Montana, Florida, Georgia, Tennessee, Ohio, Indiana,
- 3:20Speaker 1: and Missouri. He told his team then he wanted to
- 3:22Speaker 1: be on the road as much as possible, especially in
- 3:25Speaker 1: those final few days as voters were casting their ballots. Tonight,
- 3:30Speaker 1: sources say, though, that some Republican officials are relieved by
- 3:33Speaker 1: the president's decision to cancel those final two rallies. One
- 3:37Speaker 1: top Republican official told my colleague Jeff Zeleny, quote,' Thank
- 3:41Speaker 1: God he hasn't moved the needle anywhere.' and a second
- 3:44Speaker 1: official saying, quote, everyone who has seen the president who
- 3:48Speaker 1: wants to see him. In the meantime, in Kansas, Senator
- 3:51Speaker 1: Roger Marshall, where, of course, the president was expected to
- 3:54Speaker 1: go and rally on his behalf, offered this reaction to
- 3:57Speaker 1: the news that the president is no longer coming.
- 4:01Speaker 10: Senator, any reaction to the president canceling the in-person rally
- 4:04Speaker 10: this weekend?
- 4:05Speaker 2: I'm not sure yet.
- 4:07Speaker 8: I think they think that by doing so well in
- 4:09Speaker 8: the polls that he's got probably got better places to
- 4:11Speaker 8: spend his time. I'm not sure.
- 4:16Speaker 1: Now, we don't have insight into the senators polling, but
- 4:18Speaker 1: a brand new CNN poll actually found that Senator Roger
- 4:21Speaker 1: Marshall's race is still very close. Actually, as you can
- 4:24Speaker 1: see here, it's within the margin of error. If there's
- 4:27Speaker 1: been a surge in his numbers, we have not seen
- 4:29Speaker 1: it materialize yet in the polling. And there's a similar
- 4:32Speaker 1: story playing out in Iowa, where CNN's latest poll of
- 4:35Speaker 1: polls shows a one point race. Now, both of these contests,
- 4:39Speaker 1: as it stands tonight, could go either way. That's the
- 4:41Speaker 1: exact kind of toss-up races that the president has said
- 4:44Speaker 1: are best dealt with him showing up in person.
- 4:50Speaker 3: But the rallies are very well attended, and I think
- 4:53Speaker 3: we've changed the whole, you know, we've done a lot
- 4:56Speaker 3: of them over the last week and a half, a lot.
- 5:00Speaker 3: I think we've really turned it around, and I think
- 5:03Speaker 3: the rallies have turned it, frankly. But I think the
- 5:05Speaker 3: rallies have really, these rallies have energized, they've really energized.
- 5:11Speaker 5: The Republican Party.
- 5:13Speaker 3: And, you know, we're doing so well. It's just raised
- 5:18Speaker 3: him to a level that, you know, nobody can believe, Larry.
- 5:21Speaker 3: I mean, it's just amazing. He went up 14 points
- 5:24Speaker 3: or something. And that was my rally. As an example,
- 5:27Speaker 3: we're up in Texas.
- 5:28Speaker 7: We weren't.
- 5:29Speaker 2: We're up in Alaska.
- 5:30Speaker 6: We weren't.
- 5:31Speaker 3: We're up, everybody, every place that I've gone to, we're up.
- 5:35Speaker 5: Our tele-rally is somehow, like, A better option for President Trump,
- 5:40Speaker 5: knowing his style and what he would say is his
- 5:42Speaker 5: strong suit?
- 5:44Speaker 6: Listen, he's done teller rallies for a very long time now.
- 5:46Speaker 6: Remember in 2016, we've done plenty of teller rallies. I
- 5:50Speaker 6: think his point is, is he's trying to hit more
- 5:52Speaker 6: in the short amount of window. I mean, that's the
- 5:53Speaker 6: argument they're trying to make. And there is feeling among
- 5:56Speaker 6: at least the Republicans, maybe Chris will tell us differently,
- 5:58Speaker 6: that Kansas is stabilized. So they're reassessing the plans. They
- 6:01Speaker 6: feel Kansas isn't as necessary.
- 6:03Speaker 2: But tele-rallies is.
- 6:04Speaker 6: A very effective way of hitting a much broader audience
- 6:07Speaker 6: in a faster amount of time.
- 6:08Speaker 5: I don't know. I hear tele-rally. I think Zoom. Is
- 6:12Speaker 5: that effective?
- 6:14Speaker 10: I think the bigger question is to what extent does
- 6:17Speaker 10: having Donald Trump making news in your local market help
- 6:21Speaker 10: or hurt? And the reality is, on the one hand,
- 6:24Speaker 10: Donald Trump's job approval is not great. Right now, there's
- 6:28Speaker 10: very little polling I can find that would have any
- 6:30Speaker 10: good news for what people think about the Trump brand.
- 6:32Speaker 11: On the other hand.
- 6:33Speaker 10: partisanship matters. And in really red states, Donald Trump won
- 6:39Speaker 10: by double digits. And look, I don't think that these
- 6:42Speaker 10: Republican candidates in these states are necessarily going to win
- 6:45Speaker 10: by double digits. But that's the tradeoff that they're trying
- 6:47Speaker 10: to weigh right now. Is a president who is unpopular
- 6:51Speaker 10: on average across the country, is it possible for him
- 6:54Speaker 10: to still somehow be a net benefit across a variety
- 6:57Speaker 10: of red states? I think it's a very open question
- 6:59Speaker 10: how strong a force partisanship is. And the red state
- 7:02Speaker 10: nature of some of these places will wind up being
- 7:04Speaker 10: in the midterm.
- 7:04Speaker 11: I mean, the truth is the president still has an
- 7:07Speaker 11: upside down approval in these red states. He has an
- 7:10Speaker 11: upside down approval in Texas, Iowa, Kansas. And, you know,
- 7:14Speaker 11: I think we can all kind of sugarcoat this, but
- 7:17Speaker 11: the truth is it's not a good headline for anyone
- 7:20Speaker 11: to have rallies canceled. That sounds like a deflating balloon
- 7:25Speaker 11: on a campaign. And so I think the truth is
- 7:29Speaker 11: that the president is probably hurting a lot of these
- 7:32Speaker 11: candidates and people recognize that. And perhaps he doesn't want
- 7:36Speaker 11: to be seen with people who are about to lose.
- 7:39Speaker 11: I think a really telling fact over the last several
- 7:42Speaker 11: weeks is places he's gone, he hasn't actually juiced Republican turnout.
- 7:47Speaker 11: He's been to Texas many times. They still are lagging
- 7:50Speaker 11: considerably in Republican and rural counties. And so I think
- 7:55Speaker 11: the fact of the matter is that And the world
- 7:59Speaker 11: and maybe the White House is finally recognizing that Donald
- 8:01Speaker 11: Trump is hurting Republicans more than helping them. He's probably
- 8:05Speaker 11: juicing Democratic turnout in these states that he's going to.
- 8:09Speaker 4: The best person to push Republicans to vote is the president.
- 8:14Speaker 4: And he does that when he is live and in
- 8:17Speaker 4: person and we're in an attention economy. The clips of him,
- 8:21Speaker 4: whether he's saying ridiculous things or not, go far and wide.
- 8:25Speaker 4: So I wonder the strategy of this, of what feels
- 8:28Speaker 4: like a Zoom meeting. Look, we've all done Zoom meetings
- 8:30Speaker 4: at home. We're a little bit more distracted than when
- 8:33Speaker 4: we are in person. And the base that he needs
- 8:35Speaker 4: that comes out to these rallies also are motivated and
- 8:38Speaker 4: they go tell their friends and neighbors and then they
- 8:40Speaker 4: door knock because that's also what you need. You need
- 8:41Speaker 4: people within the community knocking on doors, canvassing, doing those
- 8:45Speaker 4: phone calls. And I really think that his advisors and
- 8:48Speaker 4: his administration is really robbing him of that base that
- 8:52Speaker 4: he does so well with.
- 8:53Speaker 5: Let's talk about that base because we are As you know,
- 8:55Speaker 5: five days out, there's new CNN polling that shows that
- 8:59Speaker 5: Democrats are leading in key Senate races. Republicans, though, consistently
- 9:03Speaker 5: argue these polls undercount the president's true base of support.
- 9:08Speaker 5: I mean, you're in the trenches, Kristen. You're looking at
- 9:10Speaker 5: these issues all the time. I mean, talk to voters.
- 9:12Speaker 5: Do these polls reflect what you're actually seeing and hearing?
- 9:16Speaker 10: So what my polls are showing is only a slightly
- 9:19Speaker 10: better environment for Republicans nationally, but still not a good one.
- 9:23Speaker 10: It's still predicting a very poor election night coming up.
- 9:27Speaker 10: I think the big question, and this is one that
- 9:28Speaker 10: pollsters can't answer ahead of time, much as people want
- 9:31Speaker 10: us to, is in elections when Donald Trump is on
- 9:34Speaker 10: the ballot, there is a type of voter who turns
- 9:36Speaker 10: out the pollsters find very difficult to poll. But in
- 9:39Speaker 10: the midterms, those voters typically stay home. And their absence
- 9:42Speaker 10: in polls is not as big a deal because they're
- 9:45Speaker 10: also absent at the ballot box. So the question is,
- 9:47Speaker 10: does that continue this time around? Those polls may be missing.
- 9:51Speaker 10: a slice of the Trump base, but it may be
- 9:53Speaker 10: the exact same slice of the Trump base that isn't
- 9:55Speaker 10: planning to participate in the midterm anyways. And that's the
- 9:58Speaker 10: unknowable question that is going to determine are the polls
- 10:01Speaker 10: right or is there some kind of polling error that
- 10:04Speaker 10: misses by undercounting Republicans? But bear in mind, polling error
- 10:07Speaker 10: can go both ways. And there have been instances within
- 10:10Speaker 10: the last calendar year. of polls in states like Virginia saying,
- 10:14Speaker 10: you know, we think Abigail Spanberger's going to win, but
- 10:16Speaker 10: we're not so sure about the AG's race. And in
- 10:18Speaker 10: the end, Democrats overperformed in those polls. So polling error
- 10:20Speaker 10: can happen, and you can't necessarily predict ahead of time
- 10:24Speaker 10: exactly what way it's going to go.
- 10:25Speaker 5: So when you think about that strategically, I mean, you
- 10:28Speaker 5: don't want to be overconfident, but you also don't want
- 10:30Speaker 5: to be canceling rallies, maybe reflecting defeat. So how do
- 10:35Speaker 5: you play that?
- 10:36Speaker 6: I mean, listen, I've always told candidates from the beginning,
- 10:38Speaker 6: you're either running hard or you're running scared. And each
- 10:40Speaker 6: individual campaign has to do that. And this administration has
- 10:42Speaker 6: spent a lot of money because they made a decision
- 10:44Speaker 6: to run hard. Certainly President Trump has done more rallies
- 10:47Speaker 6: than anybody else in this election cycle.
- 10:48Speaker 5: Yeah, he was very offended by the question about feeling well.
- 10:52Speaker 8: Because it was a silly, it was. It was a
- 10:55Speaker 8: silly question.
- 10:55Speaker 5: No, no, no.
- 10:56Speaker 4: Move forward.
- 10:57Speaker 5: Pass forward.
- 10:57Speaker 10: Next.
- 10:57Speaker 6: Here nor there. But I think the point is, is
- 11:02Speaker 6: with Trump, when he's out there, you know, he has
- 11:04Speaker 6: an impact. I think they are missing that window. But
- 11:06Speaker 6: as you get close to the end, there's only so
- 11:08Speaker 6: much time left that you can invest this time into.
- 11:10Speaker 5: Democrats can't risk being overconfident and having pie in their.
- 11:13Speaker 11: Face, though. Have you met Democrats? I feel like ever overconfident.
- 11:17Speaker 11: It's like basically even in a pretty good environment, people
- 11:21Speaker 11: are still very, very anxious.
- 11:23Speaker 4: I think.
- 11:24Speaker 11: I think most Democrats recognize the consequences of this election.
- 11:28Speaker 11: And what I'm really surprised by is you're seeing in
- 11:32Speaker 11: the early voting in states, and, you know, you can't
- 11:35Speaker 11: really tell that much in many states, but in some
- 11:37Speaker 11: states like Texas and Nevada and Georgia, there will be
- 11:40Speaker 11: a strong majority of people who vote early. And what
- 11:44Speaker 11: we're seeing is that not only are Democrats coming out
- 11:47Speaker 11: more than Republicans, but in a reverse from some of
- 11:51Speaker 11: the general elections we've had in the past, It's more
- 11:54Speaker 11: the people who are coming out to vote for Democrats
- 11:56Speaker 11: are people who haven't voted before, who are occasional voters.
- 12:00Speaker 11: And they're mostly younger. A lot of them are Latino
- 12:04Speaker 11: in states like Texas and Nevada. So I think we
- 12:07Speaker 11: are actually seeing this election, this midterm, energizing newer voters.
- 12:12Speaker 11: And they're in this election coming into the Democratic Party.
- 12:15Speaker 5: Evaluate whether you think that some of the low propensity
- 12:19Speaker 5: or low turnout that might be possible is a reflection
- 12:22Speaker 5: of the quality of candidates.
- 12:24Speaker 4: I wanted us to get to that. I think that
- 12:27Speaker 4: Trump also doesn't want to stand next to losers. And
- 12:30Speaker 4: a lot of the picks for the Republicans across some states,
- 12:34Speaker 4: not all of them, feel like losers. Michael Watley, when
- 12:38Speaker 4: put next to Roy Cooper, is lacking. Mike Collins, next
- 12:41Speaker 4: to the John Ossoff, the rising, budding superstar of the
- 12:44Speaker 4: Democratic Party, falls flat. Trump, at the end of the day,
- 12:47Speaker 4: is a New York City guy that came from reality TV,
- 12:49Speaker 4: and he knows when the production doesn't cut it. So
- 12:52Speaker 4: it makes sense to me that for some of these,
- 12:54Speaker 4: like a Ken Paxton that fall flat right next to him,
- 12:57Speaker 4: he doesn't feel like he's getting an ROI on flying
- 13:00Speaker 4: Air Force.
- 13:00Speaker 5: One over there.
- 13:01Speaker 11: I mean, Ken Paxton, it's like he insults Ken Paxton.
- 13:04Speaker 11: It's not even like Democrats insult Ken Paxton. He attacks
- 13:07Speaker 11: his looks, his personality. I mean, it's like almost not
- 13:10Speaker 11: really an endorsement to be with him.
- 13:12Speaker 9: Just showing the polling for likely voters right now in Kansas,
- 13:17Speaker 9: for example, no clear leader.
- 13:19Speaker 4: Mm-hmm.
- 13:19Speaker 9: It's still a red state. Everyone in any other year
- 13:23Speaker 9: would be expecting a Republican to win this, and he
- 13:26Speaker 9: very well could. But what do you make of bailing
- 13:30Speaker 9: at the last minute? I wonder who made the call, honestly.
- 13:34Speaker 7: If I were running in Kansas, if I were running
- 13:36Speaker 7: in Iowa, I would not want President Trump's help right now.
- 13:40Speaker 8: Unless you're running as a Democrat.
- 13:41Speaker 7: Unless I'm running as a Democrat, and then.
- 13:42Speaker 5: It's all good.
- 13:43Speaker 7: I mean, we've been watching these rallies. It's like asking
- 13:46Speaker 7: your grandpa to come help you out at Thanksgiving. Like
- 13:48Speaker 7: it doesn't sound what is going on at these rallies
- 13:50Speaker 7: sounds bizarre. And every day there's a new bizarre headline,
- 13:53Speaker 7: a new bizarre clip, a new bizarre thing that the
- 13:56Speaker 7: president has said. And in a close race, I think
- 13:58Speaker 7: what you want to do is avoid that kind of.
- 14:01Speaker 9: Yeah, it's interesting. CNN spoke with the chairwoman of the
- 14:04Speaker 9: Kansas Republican Party about this switch up, and she says
- 14:08Speaker 9: it would have energized the base in a close race.
- 14:11Speaker 9: And she also was like, yo, we told you so. No,
- 14:13Speaker 9: she didn't say it that way. She said earlier this year,
- 14:15Speaker 9: Herbert had urged the RNC to take the Kansas Senate
- 14:17Speaker 9: race seriously. People laughed in my face, she said. Who's
- 14:20Speaker 9: laughing now?
- 14:21Speaker 8: I mean, this is this is like almost every state
- 14:24Speaker 8: party chair's dream is to be able to say on
- 14:26Speaker 8: National TV, you should have paid attention to us more.
- 14:28Speaker 8: But their dream.
- 14:30Speaker 1: Is to win.
- 14:30Speaker 9: Well, that's nobody wants to be the Cassandra of the party.
- 14:35Speaker 9: That's not that fun.
- 14:36Speaker 8: But look, I do wonder, actually, if exhaustion is a
- 14:40Speaker 8: part of this, because I was in North Carolina last
- 14:43Speaker 8: week seeing Donald Trump. He seemed tired. He seemed exhausted.
- 14:47Speaker 8: And he was talking about on stage how much traveling
- 14:50Speaker 8: he was doing.
- 14:51Speaker 9: Yes, he's talked a lot about how much he's working.
- 14:53Speaker 8: I think we should pay attention to that schedule. And
- 14:55Speaker 8: it has been kind of breakneck for a man who
- 14:57Speaker 8: is 80 years old.
- 14:58Speaker 2: I have a slightly different theory, maybe. I mean, it's
- 15:00Speaker 2: just a hypothesis, really. Not even a theory because you
- 15:02Speaker 2: can't test it. But I feel like there are a lot.
- 15:06Speaker 2: If you look at the polls, especially in the last
- 15:07Speaker 2: couple of days, I know CNN had a poll yesterday
- 15:09Speaker 2: showing a lot of movement for the Dems. I think
- 15:11Speaker 2: there's a lot of late deciders who are starting to move.
- 15:13Speaker 2: They're getting internal results in their campaigns, and they don't
- 15:15Speaker 2: know where the bottom's going to drop out in a
- 15:17Speaker 2: lot of places. So rather than assigning him to go
- 15:20Speaker 2: to Kansas or some other place of an important locale,
- 15:22Speaker 2: they're actually just trying to spray the block because people
- 15:25Speaker 2: are moving all of a sudden late now.
- 15:27Speaker 8: That's not a bad theory. And I do wonder what the...
- 15:30Speaker 8: I mean, I saw Trump last week. I saw Vance
- 15:32Speaker 8: a couple of times this week. You know, going into
- 15:35Speaker 8: these states, I do wonder how much effect it really has.
- 15:39Speaker 8: The effect of, like, local news coverage, for instance, which
- 15:42Speaker 8: is always the argument, right? Oh, you'll get a lot
- 15:44Speaker 8: of coverage on local TV and local newspapers. It's just
- 15:46Speaker 8: not how people get information anymore. You're rallying up your base.
- 15:51Speaker 8: You know, the marginal utility of going out there.
- 15:54Speaker 9: But it's like a free commercial every week, right? No,
- 15:58Speaker 9: you're giving me doubts. Okay, I understand it.