Latest / Toadstool Sports / Monday BEST BETS | NHL End Days | MLB & NHL | 4/13/26

Transcript

Monday BEST BETS | NHL End Days | MLB & NHL | 4/13/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight
• 0:07
  Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you above that. I
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four,
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: that's have not had a good season. Man with wookends
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues. I've
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: reached a new peak. Actually, I'm gonna burn my brons
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: hat Man, I don't know what is going on with
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: the Bruins arch hape? Is that what it is? I
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: don't even know it's It's March ninth, I think who
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: even knows? Man, I don't know what data is anymore.
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what data is anymore. Man, back
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: with you after the worst day that I can possibly have,
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: Back with you as I always am until I die,
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday it did
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: not go well for me. Own five. The worst month
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: that I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: To the slump, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues. Somebody
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what I
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: should do at this point other than potentially end it all.
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: What's up, everybody, It's towed back with you toadstool Sports, Monday,
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: April thirteenth.
• 1:40
  Speaker 2: You know, we continue with the hot streak.
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: I forgot to throw the ticker up there for most
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: of the day yesterday, there you go, eighteen and six.
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: Run now actually, whoops, hold on, it's over the last
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: nine days. I think, now right, I better fix that.
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: I gotta be accurate about it, all right, There we go, Yeah,
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: yesterday three and two day on the show show. Didn't
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: love what I was seeing in the market with the
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: Minnesota Twins, but that was an easy win if you
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: went full game. We went first five with it didn't
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: even matter. Todd Bradley, I think, pitched pretty well again.
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: Max Schurzer might not have it anymore. We got the
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: win with that one the Yankees. At least, you know,
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: as a Yankee hater, I could I could be okay
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: with that result. I thought they were gonna win the game. Man,
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: Drew Asmussen did not have any effect. Maybe he just
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: hires a a housekeeper or something, you know what I mean,
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: like hires a a caretaker for his baby or just
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: makes his wife do it. I don't know, man, he
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: seemed he seemed to well arrested, so I have no idea. Yeah,
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: and then the Yankees still almost came back. Aaron Judge
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: in a home run, still didn't do it. We did
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: add a winner with Texas the late ad. That was
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: a winner. Close game kind of, but Texas had the
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: slight lead most of the way and got it done.
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: Hockey did not get it done the Islanders, although I
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: think they did have the better stats in the game
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: in a lot of ways. But Montreal had three goals
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: in like a fifty second span to break the zero
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: zero tigh, and then the game was over just based
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: on those fifty seconds. Just you can't do that, man,
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: Like just this burst of goals happens and then you're done.
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: I hate that. And then we kind of got lucky,
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: I guess with the back door Indiana Pacers cover.
• 3:33
  Speaker 2: That number was all over the place, dude, like.
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: Caesar's had the number completely down, like they it wasn't
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: even on the board last I saw, and there were
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: books that had that number all the way between like
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: twelve and a half and sixteen. I'm like, what is
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: going on right now? We're sitting on the fourteen from
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: the show. I think you probably pretty easily could have
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: gotten fifteen. Fifteen and a half didn't even matter though,
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: because they wound up losing by twelve after they were
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: losing by like twenty four in the third quarter. Detroit
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: probably just kind of called off the dogs there. But
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: that is part of the handicap, you know what I mean,
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: A big favor that doesn't need the game at all. Like,
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: of course they might do that. They're way ahead, yeah,
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: I mean, there definitely is a chance they're gonna just
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: start putting in all bench players and whatever. And hilariously,
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: by the way, my Boston Celtics bench every starter yesterday
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: and still one against the Magic Oh my god. You know,
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: I'm getting a little bit excited about the playoffs, the
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: NBA playoffs. I mean, we're gonna try to make some
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: money with it, of course, but the I don't know, man,
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: my hopes are probably too high because I don't think
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: anybody's gonna beat Oklahoma City, but Celtics. It would be
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: a disappointment if they don't make the final. At this point,
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: I will say that. All right, let's get into today.
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: It's kind of a small ish board today. The NBA,
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: I believe doesn't start till tomorrow, right, I hope so,
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: because I didn't handicap it yet. Yeah, I believe that's right. Yeah,
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: So the playing games start Tuesday for the NBA, so
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: we will talk about those when that. When those happen.
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: We're gonna have ten or so baseball games today, more
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: than I am used to on a Monday still, and
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: we have a hockey to talk about today. I think
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: there's about ten or eleven hockey games today. I'm gonna
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: have two hockey plays in one baseball play here, so
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: we're gonna get into it right now. We have an
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: afternoon game, which is late afternoon over here on the
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: East coast, but it's afternoon on the West coast. Houston
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: at Seattle. This is a four game series. This is
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: the only series that is continuing into Monday. And Houston's
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: lost six games in a row, so they're trying to
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: avoid a sweep here. So immediately, I'm thinking, well, you're
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: probably gonna get extra effort out of Houston here because
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: they're trying to avoid the sweep. Seattle might take them
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: a little bit less seriously because they're on the verge
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: of sweeping. I don't know that Seattle's gonna be looking
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: ahead to San Diego, but maybe because San Diego's playing
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: well right now, so they might look ahead to that. Yesterday,
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: easy six to one win for Seattle. But Seattle has
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: some advantages here, man. I mean they're playing like they're
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: the better team. Of course, they have a rested bullpen
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: coming into this game. They have the better bullpen. They
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: only use two relief pitchers yesterday, well Houston used four,
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: So Houston already with the lesser bullpen. And it's significant
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: as Seattle is like a top three bullpen right now.
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: Houston is the worst according to the Whip. Offensively, Houston
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: is still good second in ops. Seattle is third worst. Still. Yeah,
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: you gotta give Houston an offensive edge still, but I
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: think pitching beats hitting, and I do not see this
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: is a good pitching matchup for Houston. Mike Burrows is
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: pitching for Houston. Not off to a good start. In
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: his first season with Houston. Still a young guy could
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: turn it around. But five point six three ERA one
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: point seventy five whip camerally get on board with that.
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: He did lower his walk numbers last time out, only
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: walking one at Course Field, but he's still allowed eight
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: hits in that outing, so he's along too many hits.
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: That's actually been the problem. He's been hard hit. It's
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: more that than the walks. Really, that's been the problem
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: with him so far against Seattle, they've seen him a
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: little bit. Sixteen at bats. Does have too many walks
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: there five to four strike out walk ratio, but three
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: of them are cal Rawley. I think he just pitches
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: around him two point fifty average, allowed seven to seventy
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: five ops. Not a whole lot you could take away
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: from that. Really, I don't know if I trust him
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: in this in this game though, and Seattle has at
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: least seen him before and not done horribly against him.
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: George Kirby, on the other hand, I think he's the
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: more proven pitcher. Of course, he's off to a pretty
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: good start this season three point sixty RA point nine whip.
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: They haven't given him a lot of run support, really,
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: he's been pretty good for the most part this season,
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: though hasn't allowed a lot of hits, and that's the
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: main difference between him and Borrows a little bit better
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: strike out walk ratio sixteen to five, but only thirteen
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: hits and twenty innings pitched, whereas Borrows is allowed way
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: more hits than innings pitched. George Kirby also pretty notorious
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: for being better at home than on the road, though
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: that hasn't really been the case so far this year,
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: but small sample size last year three point three to
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: eight homere compared to five point one six on the road.
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: So he's at home here today. He's better at home.
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: He's been pretty good against the Astros in the past,
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: one hundred and thirty at batsworth twenty five to three,
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: strike out walk ratio two thirty eight, batting average allowed,
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: five p fifty six ops. I think you have to
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: give Seatutle the pitching edge pretty much everywhere in this game,
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: So I can't. I cannot play the side here, man,
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: because on the one hand, situation motivation I think does
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: indicate on Houston the pitching matchup looks like it is
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: pretty largely in favorous.
• 9:00
  Speaker 2: That is factor into the line.
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: To some extent, they're all the way up from minus
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: one fifty five to minus one sixty eight, sixty seven
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets, fifty six percent of the cash on
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: Seattle money, indicating towards Houston.
• 9:13
  Speaker 2: I'm not sure that Houston is gonna be able to
• 9:15
  Speaker 2: get it done.
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: Man. You know, I I don't know. I think if
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: I was gonna play this game, I would find some
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: way to play Seattle here. Maybe you know, Houston under
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: their team total maybe is worth a look here. But
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: the total in the game is seven and a half.
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: I mean it is a pitcher or yeah, pitcher friendly ballpark.
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: But you know, Seattle's pitching seems to line up really
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: well in this game. So maybe that's the way you go,
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: and you take the Burrows question mark out of the equation.
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: But still I think Seattle like a split beat run
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: line money line. To me, it still makes sense in
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: that game, but the money and the situation don't line
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: up with it. So I'm staying off of it. Josh,
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: what's up? Man? Three and three for nine?
• 10:03
  Speaker 2: That's not good.
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: That's that's why I said I did not want to
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: actually make a play on the Mets. I thought they
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: might win. But yeah, I mean I did not think
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: the Bruins are the right call at all. The Bruins
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: had just clinched a playoff spot after missing the playoffs
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: last year. Columbus is still trying to make the playoffs.
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: There's no way that I would have played the Bruins.
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: I think you got extremely lucky on that one. I
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: talked about the game on the show yesterday. I almost
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: added the Blue Jackets to my card yesterday. That was
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: my second strongest hockey lead of the day yesterday. So yeah,
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to tell you, man. You know,
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: I'm just giving you exactly what I think and which
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: games I would actually which games you know, I recommend
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: actually putting money on. Let's put it that way. Arizona
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: at Baltimore. This is a game that I actually kind
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: of wanted to maybe get involved in, but we have
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: no idea who Baltimore's starting pitcher is right now. Arizona
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: just one one multiple series in a row against the
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: Mets and Philadelphia, so I see them as maybe being
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: in a letdown spot here. Baltimore is staying at home here.
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: They did just beat San Francisco. Baltimore is hot right now,
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: but I don't see that being as much of a
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: letdown spot, So I think maybe the momentum will continue
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: for Baltimore staying at home here Arizona. Excusing Arizona of
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: course only coming in from Philadelphia, So I don't like
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: that at all. The gut feeling. Yeah, no, I don't
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: like that whatsoever. I thought they were gonna lose, you know,
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: as a Bruins fan, I'm like, yeah, whatever, Like maybe
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: it seems like they're trying to play so that they
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: get Buffalo in the first round so they can avoid Carolina,
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: Like I guess that's the motivation they have. But I
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: don't think that's enough. I don't know. I didn't agree
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: with that. I thought Columbus is gonna win that game.
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: Probably they should have this game. Yeah, Arizona Baltimore. Arizona's
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: bullpen is terrible. They also used five relief pitchers yesterday.
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: Baltimore only used two and used nun yes for three pitches.
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: So Baltimore has a bunch of advantages in the bullpen here.
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: They've been the better offense as well so far this year.
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: Arizona's struggling offensively. They're like a bottom five offense right now.
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: Based on ops, Baltimore top six. Baltimore is in the
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: top eight in bullpen whip as well.
• 12:37
  Speaker 2: Arizona, we know they're not a good bullpen.
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: Dude. I think they're maybe overperforming a little bit here.
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: They're actually sixth, but their bullpenny ray is worse than Baltimore's.
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: But I still don't think Arizona's bullpen is good whatsoever. Again,
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: they can't even mix and match. They have no left
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: handed throwers in their bullpen. I don't trust any of that.
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: I don't trust Ryan Nelson, who's on the mound today either.
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: All those numbers are fine this year, four point two ERA,
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: one point seven whip. He is coming off a good
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: outing against the Mets, but you know the Mets have
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: been struggling. They got some injuries in their lineup as well.
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: I think Soto has been out. Nelson did hold them
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: to one run in five to two thirds. Still don't
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: know if I trust him overall. He has a twelve
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: six strikeout walk ratio, hasn't allowed many hits ten hits
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: in fifteen inchs pitch. Still, I think he overperformed last year.
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: Based on his entire career, I don't think Nelson is
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: a trustworthy pitcher against Baltimore. His numbers are pretty bad
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: in thirty at bats, two strikeouts, no walks.
• 13:38
  Speaker 2: That's fine.
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: Pete Alonzo has absolutely destroyed him five for eleven with
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: four home runs and one of those strikeouts four thirty
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: three average allowed, fifteen thirty three ohps. That's Nelson allowing
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: that to Baltimore. Baltimore has no starting pitcher listed. I'd
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: probably still lean to Baltimore on the money line here, man.
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: I don't know if they're gonna announce a pitcher that
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: might skew the money line more towards them. I have
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: no idea, no clue is gonna be pitching for Baltimore here.
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: I mean, if you wanted to really gamble, I would
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: probably Yeah, my lean would be Baltimore on the money
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: line there. Like, I just don't see this setup being
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: good for Arizona here. So, I mean, unless you have
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: some absolute trash starter for Baltimore here, I think it
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: kind of makes sense. Cubs at Philadelphia. Cubs did just
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: end well only a two game losing streak. They salvaged
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: the last game of the series against Pittsburgh. Now they're
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: starting a road trip, which I think usually is a
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: positive spot. Usually have focus to start the road trip,
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: especially after getting through that game yesterday and they had
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: to escape Chicago almost got swept by Pittsburgh. So I
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: don't know you. I mean, Pittsburgh's playing well, so maybe
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: you consider that to be a big game. And does
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: that mean they're gonna be in a letdown here because
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: it was a dramatic win.
• 15:00
  Speaker 2: Whatever, I don't know, man.
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: I see it more as an escape for the Cubs
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: and maybe they will be focused to start the road
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: trip here Philadelphia, though they're staying at home and they
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: have not been playing well. They've lost four of the
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: last five games at home. So I don't see this
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: being a bad spot for the Phillies. I think they
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: will show up. But I think they have a starting
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: pitching he atge in this game as well, which we
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: will talk about in a second. The Phillies, they did
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: use a lot of relief pitchers yesterday four the Cubs
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: used three. Philly has had a better bullpen than last
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: year so far this year. I'm looking at offense right now,
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: though both of these offenses have been disappointing so far,
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: both kind of middle of the pack offenses so far,
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: but I think they both have enough talent on their
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: offenses they should be turning it around a little bit.
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: Phillies have had the second best bullpen whip so far
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: this year, although their era IS is significantly higher than that,
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: but that's indicating their bullpen's have been doing well so
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: far this year. The Cubs bullpen has not been doing
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: as well. They're like middle of the pack, But I
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: think they're both I would say okay bullpens based on
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: what we've seen so far, what we've seen so far,
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: and trying to also take into account that they had
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: a lot of these same guys last year. Javier assad
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: is pitching for the Cubs here, the mad Seerian. He's
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: only made one start so far this year. Really, I
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: think he's a guy that they just kind of stick
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: in the rotation. Is like an end of rotation type
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: of guy when they need an arm in there. He
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: was good, I mean for the most part against Tampa
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: Bay and went five to two thirds of one hit
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: shutout ball. The only problem was two walks, and his
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: strikeout rates is not that high. Three strikeouts. He's never
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: been a strikeout guy, but yeah, I mean that's good.
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: He got he got to start under his belt. He
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: pitched well, so he has momentum on his side here.
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: But the Phillies are a better offense than Tampa Bay
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: and thirty four at bats career wise against the seven
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: to six strikeout walk ratio, that's pretty bad. Two sixty
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: five batting average lot seven eighty seven OPS. Don't really
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: like those numbers. They're not great numbers for a sad there.
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: He's going up against Christopher Sanchez, who is sort of
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: in the Cy Young conversation so far this year one
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: point six y five ERA so far the season with
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: through three starts, but his whip is definitely too high,
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: one point three to five whip, which indicates that his
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: ERA should be higher than that. But also you look
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: at his numbers so far this year, it was really
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: just this most recent start at San Francisco or he
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: a lot of eleven hits in five innings that that
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: was clearly his worst start of the season. But also
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: the defense like didn't let him get out of the game.
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: It looks like because he gave up two undern runs
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: in that game, I don't know what happened. It looks
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: like the defense just couldn't end the innings for him
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: or whatever happened in that game. Overall, he has a
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: really good twenty three to four strike at walk ratio
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: though in sixteen to third innings pitched and too many
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: hits allowed just because of that one start. But to me,
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: that looks like more of a blip. I mean, I
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: think he is going to bounce back from that, but
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: I think he doesn't have good numbers against the Cubs.
• 18:06
  Speaker 2: Yeah, twenty five at bats.
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: It's not a big sample, but four to four strikeout
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: walk ratio, two to eighty batting average allowed, eight to
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: ninety nine ohps allowed. Now, a lot of this might
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: have been before Sanchez was as good as he was
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: last year. Like last year he really like sort of
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: like rose to the next level and became like a
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: side young conversation pitcher, you know what I mean. He
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: was still pretty decent a couple of years prior to that, though,
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: just not like he rose to like almost an elite
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: level last year. But I don't really see any reason
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: to think that that shouldn't like I would think that
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: he would be at least as good as he was
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: in like twenty twenty four to twenty twenty three this year.
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: So that would be my read on him. But maybe
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: it's not the best matchup for him. Maybe some of
• 18:50
  Speaker 1: those numbers were before he got that good though. The
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: money is all coming in on the Cubs though, Philadelphia
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: up to minus one seventy nine from minus one fifty five.
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: Seventy three percent of the tickets on Philadelphia. Cubs have
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: seventy one percent of the cash.
• 19:06
  Speaker 2: I don't really see it, you know.
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: I mean, I know Sanchez doesn't have the greatest numbers
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: here against the Cubs. He's pretty clearly the better pitcher
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: over a sad though. I don't know, man, I think
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: Philly might be in more of the bounced back spot.
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: I would not want the Cubs here. The money is
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: saying the Cubs, so you know, I wouldn't listen to
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: my like mild opinions necessarily though, because the money does speak,
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: and these are professional betters making these bets here. Uh
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: so that's being factored in. But then again, this is
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: pregame dot com. They have the best free tool out
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: there to view this shit. I just keep an eye
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: on it like pretty much all day and see like
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: where the the market is shifting. Because it's gonna be
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: an evening game, so the market these numbers could move
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: because right now I don't think that many bets have
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: been tracked. I can see an argument for an over
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: in this game, though, because even though the Bullpens they
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: think are fine both starters, you know, they don't have
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: the greatest matchup numbers here, So the total being an
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: eight kind of in no man's land there. It's a
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: little bit of a hitter friendly park. These are pretty
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: capable offenses, So I do kind of leanto an over
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: in this game, maybe more so than the side here
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: eighty five percent of the tickets and ninety five percent of
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: the cash on the over for what that's where that
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: has flipped to eight juice to the over. I still
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: don't know if I would want to do that with
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: Sanchez on the mound, though, because he could have a
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: really good outing in any particular outing. Again, yet, not
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: a game that I'm getting involved in. Washington at Pittsburgh.
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh is coming off a good series against the Cubs,
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: so it's possible they're in a bit of a letdown spot,
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: especially the way they blew the game yesterday. They had
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: a six to three lead in like the eighth inning.
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: I did yesterday. I lost that game. Now they're returning home.
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: It's only a single series road trip return, so it's
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: not really that bad. But still, Pittsburgh, that was a
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: huge series for them in the way they lost that
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: game yesterday, that could hang them over into this game. Washington, though,
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: they just swept the Brewers, so they could be in
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: a letdown spot as well. That was a big series
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: for them. They were a pretty heavy underdog in every
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: one of those games and won the ball, which is
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: pretty insane. And I think they were losing yesterday's game
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: early as well and came back and won. So I
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: don't like the spot for either team here as far
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: as the bullpen's Washington used four relievers yesterday. Their bullpen
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: is also terrible. Pittsburgh used three. Pittsburgh pretty clearly has
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: the better bullpen. They've been the slightly lesser offense so far.
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: But I don't know. I still don't know if I
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: buy Washington's hot offensive start Pittsburgh I might actually buy
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: a little bit more as far as what their offense
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: has done so far. Bullpen wise, though, yeah, Pittsburgh has
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: been the better bullpen, even though I think they're kind
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: of a mediocre bullpen. Washington's is one of the worst
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: in baseball. They're bottom four right now. Pittsburgh's in the
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: bottom third whip wise, which still isn't really that good,
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: but you got to give them the bullpen advantage over Washington.
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: Cade Cavali is pitching for Washington. He's been kind of
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: alright so far two point five one ERA, but a
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: one point four to seven whip is clearly too high,
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: and the problem has been the walks. He's a lot
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: fewer than one hit per inning, but eleven to nine
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: strike out walk ratio. That's not gonna do it. Man.
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: He's failed to make it five innings the two of
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: his three starts. The walks are out of control. Literally,
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: Like I think he might be like a decently talented
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: pitcher here, but he is twenty seven at this point. Still,
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: his career hasn't taken off, and he's walking way too
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: many guys, so that's not really a good sign. Pittsburgh
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: has seen him before a little bit eleven at bats,
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: one strikeout, two walks, only a one eighty two average,
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: though one of those hits is a triple from Gonzales
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: seven to twenty one oh ps allowed a little bit high,
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: but we can't. I don't know what we could gain
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: from this because it's such a small sample size. But
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: he's going up against Paul Skeens, so obviously you have
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: to give Skeens the pitching edge. And I don't know
• 23:08
  Speaker 1: if the betters might shy away from him at all
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: because he has a five point two five ERA so
• 23:13
  Speaker 1: far the season, one point two to five whip. But
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: public is probably still gonna bet him because everybody knows
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: he's an elite pitcher. Uh. He had one really bad
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: start in that opener, and then since then he's only
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: allowed two runs and eleven and a third inning, So
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: he's obviously back in form, other than the fact that
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: you'd like to see him stop walking two guys in
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: every start. He's gotta get that a little bit more
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: under control. But still Skeens. He has a one point
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: five to ninety RA and his two starts in April
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: eleven to four strike at walk ratio. I mean, we
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: know who he is. He is, who we thought that
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: he that he was. I don't do enough drops on
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: the show anymore, man, I'm gonna I'm gonna find that
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: one right now, just for the hell of it. Four
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: picks against Grossman and two fumbles. What do you see
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: about the Bears of shut him down that way?
• 23:57
  Speaker 3: Now, you know?
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: I mean, we just let's wait.
• 24:00
  Speaker 3: The Bears are what we thought they were. What the
• 24:03
  Speaker 3: what we thought they were? We played them in preseason.
• 24:06
  Speaker 3: Who the hell takes a third game in the preseason,
• 24:08
  Speaker 3: likes book, We played them in the third game.
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: Everybody played three.
• 24:12
  Speaker 4: Quarters their Bears or who we thought they were. Now,
• 24:16
  Speaker 4: that's why we took the damn field. Now, if you
• 24:19
  Speaker 4: want to crown them, they crown their ass. But they
• 24:22
  Speaker 4: are who we thought they were, and we let them
• 24:24
  Speaker 4: about the hook.
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: Thanks coach, like minutes away. That's a disappointed coach was
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: That was one of the reporters that clapping at the
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: end of that. I don't even I don't even know
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: r I p to Dennis green Man U anyway, Paul
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: Skins against Washington. They only have nine at bats against him,
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: which seems kind of crazy, but three strikeouts, no walks. Uh,
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: the only hit is a dobble from noon yez one
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: to eleven average a lot three thirty three ohps. I
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: mean obviously, yeah, I think Skeens has an upper hand
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: with the starting pitching here you're paying too much of
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: a price for Skiens probably though minus two thirteen ninety
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: two percent of the tickets, only ninety percent of the
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: cash on Pittsburgh. I don't think I would want Pittsburgh here.
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: The money is indicating on the under for what that's worth.
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: It's seven and a half juice to the under here.
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: Of course, it's a Skiens game, so it's gonna be
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: a low total. But you know, you could make the
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: argument Cavale might actually pitch okay in this game here.
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: I wouldn't really want to trust washing its bullpen though
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: sixty percent of ticket really either bullpen, sixty percent of
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: the tickets on the over, seventy four percent of the
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: cash on the under. First five inning under maybe makes
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: sense here, men, I don't know. I just don't really
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: see a great angle of attack in that game. But
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: first five under, I guess maybe makes sense. The money's
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: coming in in that direction. Maybe Cavali can can do
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: enough to hang around in that game. And Skeens, I
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: think should probably pitch well. So that's what you got
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: going on in that game. I know that's going really
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: out on a limb there, right. Skeens is probably gonna
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: pitch it well today Anaheim at the Yankees. Yankees are
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: returning home from Tampa. But it was only a single
• 26:14
  Speaker 1: series road trouble. There's still no time off having to
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: travel back from Tampa. Maybe not the greatest travel spot here,
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: but they also should probably be in bounced back mode.
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: I mean, it wasn't a long trip. One series, and
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: they've lost five games in a row, and we know
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: that they're a better team than that, they're better than
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: the Angels, so maybe it's bounced back time for then.
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: The Angels are traveling in from beating Cincinnati two out
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: of three, including yesterday's game. Angels do not have a
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: good bullpen. They used three relief pitchers yesterday. The Yankees
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: also used three. But I'm gonna give the Yankees a
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: bullpen edge here. Yankees bullpen is mediocre. I would say
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: they've been kind of trailing off a little bit of
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: the angels bullpen, like bottom third bullpen. I don't think
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: they're good. Yankees have not been good offensively so far,
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: though they're in the bottom several offenses so far. Obviously,
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: I think they're not gonna stay there. The Angels have
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: in the middle of the pack but Yankees offense not
• 27:15
  Speaker 1: a good form right now. Still, maybe the way they
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: can break out of that is by facing youse Kakuchi,
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: who is notoriously not good on the road. Last year
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: he had a what am I looking at here? I
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: want to tell yeah, here is home road spits last
• 27:30
  Speaker 1: year five point h four road ERA last year compared
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: to two point nine to three at home this year.
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: It hasn't been that extreme so far, but last year
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: big sample size, and just throughout his career he's been
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: way better at home, regardless of where he's pitching at home,
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: very very strange. I don't know, just some mental thing.
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: But he also hasn't been good this year. Six point
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: seven to five ERA, one point seven to seven whip
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: is really bad. Sixteen strikeouts is good in fourteen to
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: two thirds innings, six walks isn't even that bad, but
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: twenty hits allowed, he's been getting hit hard. He has
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: a seven point eight to forty ERA and his two
• 28:06
  Speaker 1: April starts thirteen to five strike a walk ratio. None
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: of this is good, Although surprisingly his numbers against the
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: Yankees are actually not bad. In ninety nine at bats
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: to twenty two average allowed, six to ninety two ops,
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: thirty five to fourteen strike at walk raceio is still
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: not good, although maybe you give him a little bit
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: of a pass for that because eight of those walks
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: aroun Aaron Judge like pitching around him and whatever. So overall, yeah,
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: his numbers are actually not as bad as you would
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: think against the Yankees, but he's still bound on the road.
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: This is a hitter friendly ballpark. He's still not a
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: good pitcher in my opinion, So some things, yeah, I
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: would like I would be leaning towards him not pitching well.
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: Here Will Warren is pitching for the Yankees. I think
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: he has the split advantage here, the home road splits
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: because he was actually pretty good at home last year.
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: He's been decent this year so far. Three point zero
• 28:57
  Speaker 1: seven ERA one point three whip is definitely too high.
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: Fourteen to five strike out walk ratio. I mean, that's
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: not really that bad. He's allowed almost one hit per inning.
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: It's just hard to gauge. Like just his numbers are
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: just okay, like pretty much across the board. One thing
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: that I do not like is that he's failed to
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: make it five innings and two of his three starts,
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: including a home start his last time out, where he
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: walked three guys, so that's not great. Up against Anaheim,
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: he has decent numbers against them in thirty at bats
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: twelve to three, strike out walk ratio, two thirty three
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: average allowed, seven H three OPS. Those numbers are fine,
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: although the OPS is a little bit high. Nido has
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: really been Nido against him though, three for six of
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: the home run six RBIs, so that's where a lot
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: of that damage came. The Yankees should win this game,
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: but I keep saying that and then they don't. But
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: they are back at home here and they have the
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: probably I would say they still have the better offense,
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: even though they haven't been in the greatest shape. They
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: have the better bullpen here. I think they have the
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: starting pitching advantage here as well, just based on the
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: home road splits and whatever, and the numbers this year
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: current form. Minus one eighty three is the number right
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: now up for minus one sixty five eighty six percent tickets,
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: ninety four percent of the cash on the Yankees. Money
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: kind of coming in towards the Yankees here. I could
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: see an argument for the over in this game, although
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: you know, perhaps because Warren is good at home, usually,
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: and he's a little bit harder to gauge maybe, even
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: though Kakuchi does have the decent matchup numbers here, so
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: that kind of gives me hesitation as well to want
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: to fade him here. But a lot of other things
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: say that he's definitely fatable here. Maybe you go Yankees
• 30:46
  Speaker 1: over their team total man to finally start busting out
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: of this offensive rot that they're in against a bad
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: pitching team, you know what I mean, a game of
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: the high total as well. Yankees over their team total
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: could be at a approach in that game, maybe a
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: better approach than other methods there. But I feel like
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: I've said that before and that hasn't happened either. Miami
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: at Atlanta. Atlanta is at a disadvantage in that they
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: played the night game last night, which I know it's
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: no longer an ESPN night game, but having to play
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: the night game on Sunday night quick turnaround time where
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: the other teams get to have a little bit more
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: time to get ready for the next game. Although there
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: a lot of times they're going to be traveling though,
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: and flying in Atlanta is at least not traveling. They're
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: staying at home, so at least that can kind of
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: counter that a little bit. But they did play the
• 31:32
  Speaker 1: night game and they blew out Cleveland thirteen to one,
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: so maybe Atlanta looks a little bit too good right now.
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: I don't expect them to continue being as good as
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: they have been, but they have the best bullpen in
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: baseball right now, which still I mean, if your bullpen
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: as Oswaldo Bido in it, I don't see how you
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: can be the best bullpen in baseball. So I don't know.
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: I expect that to regress a little bit. They have
• 31:57
  Speaker 1: the third best offense right now as well. I think
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: there is some regression in story, although I'm not gonna
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: knock Atlanta really for what they've done so far. They
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: only use one relief pitcher yesterday, so their bullpen is
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: in good shape. On Miami, they've been playing pretty well
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: most of the year as well. They only use one
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: relief pitcher as well. Miami still is ranked seventh in
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: bullpen whip and they're still ranked seventh in offensive ops
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: as well, so Miami has been playing pretty well as well.
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: They're having to travel, they're coming in from Detroit, but
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: they did get swept in Detroit, so the situational spot
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: I think is better for Miami. You got Atlanta coming
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: off a nighttime primetime blowout, whim Miami a little bit
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: more time to gather themselves and maybe in bounce back spot,
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: a bounce back spot coming up that Detroit sweep there.
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: Uri Perez is pitching from Miami. I think I do
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: prefer him over Grant Homes here. But he hasn't been
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: that good this season so far. I think he is
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: gonna turn it around. I mean, Perez super talented pitcher.
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: It's just multiple Tommy John surgeries when you're like twenty
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: one twenty two that you know is questionable. But he
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: did start pitching pretty well again last year. This year though,
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: five point zero six ERA and one point three to
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: eight whip not good stuff, although I think he is
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: going to get better. His strikeout stuff is there. Eighteen
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: strikeouts and sixteen innings, only thirteen hits allowed. Those numbers
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: are all good. It's just his wildness has come back.
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: He's allowed nine walks so far, but really it was
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: one start against the Yankees re allowed six walks. His
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: other two starts were good, although granted they were both
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: at home. This is a road start, so his one
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: road start didn't go well. He's going up against the Braves,
• 33:41
  Speaker 1: and the Braves do have good numbers against him in
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: thirty one at bats, not a huge sample, but they've
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: hit four home runs off of him, three point fifty
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: five average, twelve eighteen ops and six to three strikeout
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: walk ratio. Perez don't like the matchup numbers for him there, man,
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: he hasn't been good against them. He is going up
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: against Grant Holmes. Like I said, Holmes is actually better
• 34:03
  Speaker 1: at home, and he's pitched pretty well so far this
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: year two point five to five yrra at one point.
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: Oh wait, whip. He's been really really I mean this
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: is kind of the way that he pitches, so I
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: was gonna say it's weird. But he's only a lot
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: of eleven hits in seventeen to two thirds ending, so
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: he's been very difficult to hit. But he also is wild.
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: He's walked two plus hitters in all three of his
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: starts so far, fourteen to eight strike a walk race.
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: He his strikeout rate is not as high as you
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: would want to see it, and his walk rate is
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: way too high, so that is a problem. Holmes is
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: definitely too wild. But his last two starts are both
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: on the road. Last year he was better at home,
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: and he is at home here against Miami. They have
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: eighteen of bats against him. They only have three hits,
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: no extra base hits, nine strikeouts, three walks, which again
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: is probably too many walks, but one sixty seven batting
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: average allowed, four to fifty two o ps allowed in
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: a low strikeouts. So Holmes does appear to have the
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: better matchup numbers here. But I don't like the situation.
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: I can definitely envision a world where Urie Perez outpitches
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: Grant Homes. I think Perez's ceiling is definitely higher. I
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: think he is the better pitcher when he's at his best,
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: but right now he's not the picture that's in the
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: better form. So I do hesitate with this game quite
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: a bit, man. I mean, it's not gonna be my play.
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: I'll tell you that Atlanta is up for minus one
• 35:27
  Speaker 1: thirty five to minus one forty seven, eighty six percent
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: of the tickets fifty one percent of the cash on Atlanta.
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: So Atlanta we see a big ticket versus cash just
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: verrier there where the public is all over the braves.
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: The money seems to not be agreeing with that at all.
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: So the money is indicating on Miami here. You know,
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna I'll land in slight agreement with that. I'll
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: lean to Miami in that one, But I think mostly
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: would be a situation will play. You'd have to bank
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: on Perez to have a bounce back here. But then again,
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: has really only had one bad start, so I don't
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: know if I'm I don't know if it's truly accurate
• 36:05
  Speaker 1: to say that he's really in like terrible form right
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: now because his most recent start was not that bad start.
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I could definitely a visional world where Miami
• 36:13
  Speaker 1: does get that thing done. I am gonna lean that
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: way and lean with the market in that one, but
• 36:17
  Speaker 1: it's not a strong opinion for me, not strong enough.
• 36:21
  Speaker 1: It looks like a strong market read though, mister Pinze.
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: What's up, Kyle? What's up? All right? Thanks for hanging
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: out everybody, even though I'm an ass. All right, My
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: Boston Red Sox are at Minnesota. The Red Sox better
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: win this matchup, man. The Red Sox finally have a
• 36:40
  Speaker 1: little bit of a streak going. They've won four of
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: the last five games. They just won two games in
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: a row against Saint Louis, although they won in pretty
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: much blowout, so sometimes you could make the argument there's
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: a let down here. But I think if anybody's gonna
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: be in a let down, I think it might be
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: Minnesota because they did just beat Detroit in a four
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: game series. They swept them, and then they took two
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: out of three from Toronto. I don't think Minnesota is
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: this good at all. Like I'm expecting them to regress
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: in a pretty major way here. They could be in
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: a letdown spot if you're beating Toronto by a pretty
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: significant margin two games in a row. They're returning home
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: from Toronto. It was only a one series road trip,
• 37:18
  Speaker 1: but still it's a return home spot, which might not
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: be the greatest for them. Minnesota bullpen wise, they used
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: two relief pitchers yesterday, which is not a lot, but
• 37:29
  Speaker 1: their bullpen is not good. The Red Sox also only
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: used two. I'm giving the Red Sox a bullpen edge here.
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: Their bullpen has been fine so far this year. They're
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: at eleventh right now in Whip. Minnesota's I think stinks,
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: even though I think they're somewhere middle of the pack
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: right now, Where are they I don't even know where they.
• 37:49
  Speaker 2: Are right now.
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: Actually, no, they're worst. They're the second worst bullpen right
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: now in WHIP Minnesota is so yeah, Red Sox have
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: the bullpen edge. Minnesota has hit okay, some bread this year,
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: which is weird to me. They're eleventh in offensive ops
• 38:05
  Speaker 1: right now, Red Sox twenty first. But looking at who
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: these teams have in their lineups, I don't think that
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: there's a big gap between these two offenses. I think
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: the Red Sox probably actually have the better offense, but
• 38:16
  Speaker 1: hasn't been the question. Hasn't been the case yet. I'm
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: gonna answer your question in a minute. Garrett Crochet is
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: pitching for the Red Sox, though, I mean, we know
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: he's one of the best pitchers in baseball. Three point
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: one two EIRA so far, one point zero four whip
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: fine numbers here, really good, twenty two to four strikeout
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: walk ratio, fourteen hits a lound, seventeen to third innings
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: all good numbers here. He had one kind of shaky
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: outing against Houston, bounce back fine with a win against
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: the Brewers. He's pitching against the Twins here, who are
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: not really a prolific offense, even though they've hit better
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: than you would expect this year. Crosshe has fine numbers
• 38:56
  Speaker 1: against them. In forty at bats sixteen to five strike
• 38:59
  Speaker 1: out walker two twenty five average allowed seven to eleven ops.
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: So the OPS is just slightly high. But I think
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: that you got to expect Crchet is gonna pitch well here.
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: Bailey ober is pitching for Minnesota. He's not doing well here.
• 39:16
  Speaker 1: Five point two seven ERA one point two four whip
• 39:19
  Speaker 1: is not that bad, but still not great. And what's
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: really bad is his strikeout rate his way down. He's
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: got seven strikeouts and thirteen and two thirds innings, four walks.
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: It's not a good ratio, dude. I mean, you might
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: be able to tolerate the four walks if he was
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: striking guys out, but he is not. On He's allowed
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: some hard contact on a bunch of runs here as well.
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: Against the Boston Red Sox, his numbers are actually good though,
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: in twenty six at bats seven strikeouts, no walks, two
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: thirty one average allowed five hundred ops. So you know,
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: the Red Sox might actually struggle against him a little
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: bit here. A lot of money coming in on the
• 39:58
  Speaker 1: under in this one, and I'm probably gonna lean that
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: way as well. Fifty three percent of tickets ninety five
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the under. Both teams scored
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: a lot of runs the last couple of games, so
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: I think the public is not gonna want to play
• 40:12
  Speaker 1: an under in this game. Even if they see Garrett
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: Crochet on the mound. I still am not even sure
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: they're gonna want to do that full game total seven
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: and a half, though, I don't know, especially in Minnesota.
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: Their bulpin is so untrustworthy. You might be able to
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: go under first five innings, but I still don't even
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: know if you can trust over that much. So this
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: game is a stay away. The Red Socks are all
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: the way up to minus one sixty six on the
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: money line, from minus one thirty five sixty five percent
• 40:37
  Speaker 1: of the tickets on them sixty three now fifty seven
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Minnesota, so the money is
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: coming in on Minnesota. I think the Red Sox should
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: win here. I think they have the edge in most
• 40:50
  Speaker 1: ways in this game, but I think the money is
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: at least kind of signaling that the Red Sox are
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: too highly priced here, and yeah, you're gonna have to
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: pay a little bit of a tax with Kroschet on
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: the mound, I think there's no doubt about that. And
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: the Red Sox just have a lot of weight behind
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: their name, you know what I mean. When they're playing well,
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: they're gonna pay a little bit of a tax for
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: them as well. So I think they should win the game.
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: They better fucking win the game. But the money is
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: indicating that there's no value on the Red Sox at
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: the very least, So that's a stay away from me.
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: The money indicating on the Twins there at that price
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: in what situation like this is not a realistic scenario
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: where you have massive, deflated saggy naturals or very tiny,
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: fake hard acups. No, I'm gonna go with the naturals. Obviously,
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: Naturals are better every single time, even if they're saggy,
• 41:54
  Speaker 1: fake and hard. Is like the worst thing possible you
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: could have at least said they were fake and natural
• 42:00
  Speaker 1: feeling or something hard makes it sound like they're these old,
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: like really really bad implants. Yeah, there's no way I'm
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: not going with that shit. Absolutely not. Naturals win every
• 42:12
  Speaker 1: single time. Cleveland at Saint Louis. Cleveland was in that
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: night game last night, so it might not be the
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: greatest spot for them having to turn around to travel
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: after playing at night, although they got blown out, so
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: maybe they will bounce back from a blowout here, but
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: they're having to travel to Saint Louis after that. Saint
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: Louis is staying at home, so they have a bit
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: of an advantage here and that they played earlier and
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: they're staying at home trying to bounce back from getting
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: blown out in a couple of games with Saint Louis
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: being above five hundred is ridiculous, Like they're not a
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: good team. They're not gonna wind up above five hundred
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: on the season, you know. So I don't know that
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: I want anything to do with Saint Louis here. I
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: just I think they're a bad team. Looking at their offense,
• 42:56
  Speaker 1: they've been mediocre. Eighteenth so far, Cleveland's fifteenth in ops
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: so far, so Cleveland has actually had the better offense anyway.
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: Bullpen wise, Cleveland eighteenth, middle of the pack. Saint Louis
• 43:09
  Speaker 1: is twenty second and really really bad bullpen era from
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis. I think, yeah, it's pretty clear that Cleveland
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: does have the better bullpen, and if you base it
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: on last year. That should be the case as well.
• 43:22
  Speaker 1: Cleveland only US one long relief man yesterday, so their
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: bullpen is in good shape. Saint Louis only US two
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: relief pitchers, so their bullpen's not in horrible shape either,
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: but Cleveland is the better bullpen. Gavin Williams is pitching
• 43:37
  Speaker 1: for Cleveland. Good numbers so far the season, two point
• 43:40
  Speaker 1: four ERA, one point eight whip. If you look at
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: his number zone more detail, it is crazy though, Like
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: I don't think I've ever seen a more lopsided like
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: pitching line on the season. I know it's still early,
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: but he's been unhittable. He's allowed five hits in seventeen
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: to two thirds innings, which is crazy, so hitters are
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: not able to hit him whatsoever. But he's allowed fourteen walks.
• 44:10
  Speaker 2: Over that time span.
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: He has almost one walk and inning, and yet his
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: width is still basically one. That's how few hits he's allowing.
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: I don't think I've ever seen anything like that. Like
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: he's so wild that it's like hitters just have no
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: idea like what to do up there. But he's got
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: to get this walk number down. Man, He's walked three
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: or more in all of his starts so far, five
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: or more and two of the three. You can't keep
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: doing that, Like, eventually, he's not gonna be this unhittable,
• 44:38
  Speaker 1: you know. Twenty five to fourteen strike a walker is
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: you know, Yeah, it's a ton of strike ups. He's
• 44:43
  Speaker 1: going out there and throwing real hard way more than
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: one strike up er inning. But this walk number is
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: very alarming. I'm gonna say that. Is he gonna pitch
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: well in this game? Yeah, he might. Saint Louis has
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: not done well against him. Then we have five hitters
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: who have seen him before, one for twelve, no extra
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: base hits, one strikeout, which you think with Williams on
• 45:06
  Speaker 1: the mound, they'd be more and more than one walk,
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: but that's not the case. Eighty three batting average is
• 45:12
  Speaker 1: what that is in a two thirty seven OPS. So
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: Williams has done well against Saint Louis, and I think
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: he is better than Matthew Libertaire, who I'm not a
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: fan of. For Saint Louis, He's got a three point
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: three eighty RA, which is pretty good, but one point
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: five whip is not good. He's putting too many guys
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: on base. He's not striking guys out, and he's allowing
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: too many hits and his walk number is not good.
• 45:36
  Speaker 1: Ten to five strike out walk ratio. That's bad. That's
• 45:39
  Speaker 1: not gonna cut it. Four home runs allowed in three
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: starts not really good either. Nineteen hits and sixteen innings
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: also bad. Granted, yeah, he allowed one run and he
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: his first two starts. I don't think he's that good though.
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis has won all three of his starts, but
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: and he has no wins and I don't really see
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: of that continuing. Really uh lebratory up against Cleveland, though
• 46:06
  Speaker 1: he's done well against them and twenty five at bats
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: five to six strikeout walk ratio, though that is not good.
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: That is too many walks. One sixty batting average allowed
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: though forty three ohps no extra base hits allowed, so
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: he has not been hit by Cleveland. Still, the money
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: is coming in on Cleveland, even though they dropped for
• 46:25
  Speaker 1: minus one twenty to minus one oh nine. I don't
• 46:28
  Speaker 1: like the situational set up. Like I said, short turnaround
• 46:31
  Speaker 1: time off the night game plus travel. Both teams are
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: in bounced back spots, though off of getting kind of
• 46:37
  Speaker 1: blown out. Seventy percent of tickets, ninety two percent of
• 46:40
  Speaker 1: the cash on Cleveland. Money is coming in on Cleveland.
• 46:43
  Speaker 1: I do think they have a pitching edge throughout this
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: entire game. The money is coming in on the under
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: as well, fifty six percent tickets, seventy five percent of
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: the cash on the under. And you know, I have
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: a slight lean lean towards Cleveland here, but I think
• 46:59
  Speaker 1: maybe the under is the better lean here. This is
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: not the game that I'm playing, obviously, but yeah, I
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: mean the total did drop a little bit from eight
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: and a half to eight. I could see the argument
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: for the under. Both pitchers have good starting pitching numbers
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: against the opponents. Still, there are reasons to not trust
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: either pitcher, like I just laid out, although you know,
• 47:20
  Speaker 1: you gotta weigh all the factors, like you're never gonna
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: find like a perfect play, you know what I mean.
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: Like mine isn't either, But but it's I think it's
• 47:28
  Speaker 1: good enough that it will be a play. But yeah,
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: I don't know what else I had to say about this,
• 47:35
  Speaker 1: but yeah, it's I don't know, like there are decent
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: reasons to play one thing or the other in these games.
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: I'm just staying away the next game up is the
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: is the game that I actually want though. Oh but
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: I was gonna say, like Saint Louis's bullpen isn't that
• 47:52
  Speaker 1: good either though, So if you go, like what do
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: you do? You go first five inning under and then
• 47:56
  Speaker 1: you're relying basically on these two pitchers that are also
• 47:58
  Speaker 1: still kind of questionable. I don't know. It's a stay away.
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: The next game is my play. I don't like that
• 48:11
  Speaker 1: we're gonna be an hour in and only have gotten
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: through just a shorter ish baseball board today. Don't like it,
• 48:19
  Speaker 1: but we're gonna be on the Texas Rangers on the
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: money line, if you can figure that out already. I
• 48:25
  Speaker 1: know we had them yesterday too, And a lot of
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: times I will be looking to fade a team that
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: I got right in a prior game because they could
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: be in a letdown spot. But I think the A's
• 48:35
  Speaker 1: are in a horrendous spot here, so we're gonna fade them.
• 48:38
  Speaker 2: The money is agreeing with me here.
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: I also like to starting pitching matchup for US here,
• 48:43
  Speaker 1: so a lot of things line up for me on
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: Texas here. They're up to minus one twenty five right now.
• 48:47
  Speaker 1: I only saw minus one twenty seven but obviously, if
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: you can.
• 48:50
  Speaker 2: Find a better money line number, do it.
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: Uh sixty nine percent taket seventy nine percent of the
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: cash on Texas. I started this handicap, and I'm looking
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: at the A's here. They were turning home from a
• 49:01
  Speaker 1: road trip where they went to New York. They've been
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: on the road for a week, so you know, I
• 49:06
  Speaker 1: always talk about this when teams were turned on from
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: road trips and they're flying across the country with no
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: time off, changing three time zones. It's not a good spot, dude.
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: You have to get back to home life. It's a distraction.
• 49:18
  Speaker 1: You got stuff to do. The A's could be in
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: a major letdown spot because they won the last five
• 49:23
  Speaker 1: games on the road trip. It was their most successful
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: road trip in like seven years or something like that.
• 49:28
  Speaker 1: They beat the Yankees and the Mets the last five
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: games of that road trip, and they've allowed no runs
• 49:35
  Speaker 1: in three of the last four games. With this A's
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: pitching step, that is not gonna continue. I'm sorry it's not.
• 49:42
  Speaker 1: And now, yeah, we'returning home from all that. It could
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: be a letdown spot. Plus switching three time zones over,
• 49:49
  Speaker 1: plus the distraction of returning back home.
• 49:52
  Speaker 2: I think this is bad even though.
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: I know Texas is a divisional rival. These teams are
• 49:56
  Speaker 1: tied atop the division right now, but that's just good.
• 49:59
  Speaker 1: That's to motivate both teams though, so I think that
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: throws that out a little bit. Yeah, Texas just beat
• 50:04
  Speaker 1: the Dodgers yesterday, but they're staying in California. They're only
• 50:08
  Speaker 1: going from La up to Sacramento now here. So the
• 50:12
  Speaker 1: Rangers are already in this time zone, so they're not
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: gonna have to change time zones at all. I think
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: that's a huge advantage for them here coming into this one.
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: The A's also playing this stupid you know, Triple A
• 50:23
  Speaker 1: Stadium or yeah, Triple A Stadium, I think is what
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: it is, right yeah, where they just don't even seem
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: to have any home advantage here, Like they're pictures. Most
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: of them do worse here, including their picture today by
• 50:34
  Speaker 1: the way. So yeah, I don't think it's an advantage
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: to them, even though, yes, we're gonna have to deal
• 50:40
  Speaker 1: with the picture that I think is never pitched in
• 50:41
  Speaker 1: this stadium before, So that is one maybe concern here,
• 50:45
  Speaker 1: But I think this is still a strong play here
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: man for Texas as far as what they did yesterday.
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: As far as bullpen usage, they use three relief pitchers,
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: but I think they have the better bullpen, so I
• 50:59
  Speaker 1: think we can kind of doge this and the A's
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: used four, but again, I think we have the better
• 51:05
  Speaker 1: bullpen with Texas here. Looking at the offenses, Texas is
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: fourteenth so far on offense and the A's are twenty second.
• 51:12
  Speaker 1: A's have struggled offensively so far this season, middle though
• 51:15
  Speaker 1: they did start hitting better during that road trip and
• 51:18
  Speaker 1: they're back in a hit or friendly stadium here, but
• 51:20
  Speaker 1: they actually haven't hit well at home so far this year.
• 51:23
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna say that Texas is really the better
• 51:25
  Speaker 1: offense here, but at least so far this year, they
• 51:28
  Speaker 1: have been. But also I think better pitching counteracts better
• 51:31
  Speaker 1: hitting anyway, and Texas definitely has the better bullpen. They're
• 51:35
  Speaker 1: tenth right now in bullpen Whip, the A's are twenty first,
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: but I think it's pretty clear Texas has the better bullpen.
• 51:41
  Speaker 1: Their pitching has been good for years, like good pitching
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: coaching there as well, so I think that is the case,
• 51:47
  Speaker 1: and I think we have the better starting pitcher on
• 51:48
  Speaker 1: the mound here with Nathany Vivaldi, who had a really
• 51:52
  Speaker 1: good season for Texas last year, and we might get
• 51:55
  Speaker 1: value on him because he hasn't gone He hasn't been
• 51:57
  Speaker 1: good this year so far. He's got a seven point
• 52:00
  Speaker 1: nine to eight e rais so far and a one
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: point eight four whip, So why would I want to
• 52:04
  Speaker 1: play on him here? Well, again, he's not this bad, clearly,
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: unless you think at the age of thirty six he's
• 52:11
  Speaker 1: gonna completely fall off a cliff, which I don't think
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: is the case. Last year he had a one point
• 52:16
  Speaker 1: seven to three ERA and point eight five whip and
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: twenty two starts, and fine, yeah, you could argue that's
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: a fluke kind of that was an outlier, but okay,
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: his other two seasons with Texas's ERA was in the
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: mid threes and his whip was in the one ones.
• 52:30
  Speaker 1: So he's still good, you know what I mean. Again,
• 52:34
  Speaker 1: unless he's completely fallen off of a sudden cliff at
• 52:37
  Speaker 1: the age of thirty six, which maybe you know, but
• 52:41
  Speaker 1: if you look at his numbers this year, I think
• 52:42
  Speaker 1: you can you can make the case that that is
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: certainly not the case, because he has nineteen strikeouts and
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: fourteen to two thirds innings. Man and only five walks,
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: so his command is clearly still there. His strikeout stuff
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: is clearly still here, and he's showing signs of moving
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: in the right to I know his two road starts
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: were bad. I get it, and I know he's on
• 53:04
  Speaker 1: the road here, so that is a concern, I will
• 53:07
  Speaker 1: say that. But he's also trending in the right direction
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: because his best start of the season by far was
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: his last outing at home against Seattle, and I know
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: that's a more picture friendly parks. Seattle hasn't been hitting well.
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: I get all that, but he's in better form as
• 53:22
  Speaker 1: of that start. Going up against the A's, he actually
• 53:26
  Speaker 1: doesn't have good numbers, and I know we're gonna have
• 53:28
  Speaker 1: to dodge this. I usually a lot of times I
• 53:30
  Speaker 1: weigh these matchup numbers too heavily, though. Fifty at bats,
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: seventeen to four, strike a walk ratio, three hundred average,
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: eight to twelve ops. I get it. That's not good.
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: But I still think he's the better of the two
• 53:42
  Speaker 1: pitchers here. Man. He's going up against Louis Severrino, and
• 53:47
  Speaker 1: one thing about seven Reeno is that look at his
• 53:50
  Speaker 1: home road splits. Last year. He was absolutely horrible at
• 53:55
  Speaker 1: home last year six point one ERA at home in
• 53:59
  Speaker 1: this state last year, the stadium that kills pitchers, and
• 54:02
  Speaker 1: on the road three point oh two, So he was
• 54:05
  Speaker 1: His ERA was three runs worse at home last year
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: in a season long sample size, So I don't think
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: that bodes well for him. He also hasn't pitched in
• 54:14
  Speaker 1: this stadium yet this year, and he's still been awful
• 54:17
  Speaker 1: on the road. So far. He has a five point
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: four ERA one point eight women. You might say, yeah,
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: but those numbers are better than the Evaldi. Yeah, but
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: look at his dig into his numbers a little bit deeper.
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: Seventeen to thirteen strike a walk ratio that is horrendous.
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: He's walked ten guys in two starts this month so far.
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: I know one of them was against the Yankees, but
• 54:36
  Speaker 1: still that's unacceptable. And yeah, he's allowed fewer than one
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: hit per inning, but he's allowing an insane amount of walks.
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: And now he's going into a stadium where he pitches terribly.
• 54:46
  Speaker 1: And and you want to talk about bad matchup numbers
• 54:49
  Speaker 1: with the Evaldi, seven Reinos are even worse against the Rangers.
• 54:53
  Speaker 1: In seventy five of bats, thirteen to six strike out,
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: walk ratio. They have six home runs against them, three
• 54:58
  Speaker 1: twenty batting average, a lot of oneenty twelve ops. So
• 55:02
  Speaker 1: I think we do have a started pitching advantage here,
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: I mean, just knowing who these pitchers are. But even
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: if you want to go with the matchup numbers there, yeah,
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: eval these are bad, but seven renos are even worse.
• 55:14
  Speaker 1: So we're gonna do it. And the money's also coming
• 55:16
  Speaker 1: in in the under. By the way, even though you
• 55:18
  Speaker 1: look at the matchup numbers that think that maybe you
• 55:20
  Speaker 1: should think.
• 55:21
  Speaker 2: Over in this game.
• 55:22
  Speaker 1: Money is coming in on the under though, But I'm
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: not gonna really try to figure out, you know, a
• 55:28
  Speaker 1: total here. The total is actually really low for an
• 55:30
  Speaker 1: A's game at eight and a half. What's going on here? Uh?
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: Usually you see the every A's game at home being
• 55:36
  Speaker 1: like ten, like at the lowest. I don't see how
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: this is an eight total. So you know what, I
• 55:43
  Speaker 1: might agree with with an over in this one, even
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: though the money's coming in in the under. The total
• 55:47
  Speaker 1: being at eight in an A's game at home makes
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: no sense to me with seven reno on the mount
• 55:53
  Speaker 1: plus the A's bullpen. But texas Is pitching is pretty good.
• 55:56
  Speaker 1: But then again, you have all the bad matchup numbers
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: I wouldn't really disagree over in this game, or eight
• 56:02
  Speaker 1: and a half sorry is the total. That's still really
• 56:04
  Speaker 1: low for an A's home game though. But my play
• 56:07
  Speaker 1: is the Texas Rangers. I think we get a bunch
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: of advantages there. I think it's a very strong situational
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: angle there, which I don't do as much of baseball,
• 56:15
  Speaker 1: but that one lines up with what I think is
• 56:17
  Speaker 1: the pitching edge as well, so I like it. Rangers
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: is my one baseball play. And then we do have
• 56:26
  Speaker 1: Mets Dodgers, which is the ESPN and MLB unlimited game
• 56:30
  Speaker 1: late at night, also the bailout game. By the way,
• 56:33
  Speaker 1: Fox Sports one has Cubs Phillies, which is also one
• 56:36
  Speaker 1: of the better games of the day. Mets, they got
• 56:40
  Speaker 1: some injuries they're dealing with man, you know, like Sodo
• 56:43
  Speaker 1: is injured right now. He's on the injured list. Looks
• 56:47
  Speaker 1: like they have a couple of pitchers who are out
• 56:49
  Speaker 1: right now as well. But still, I mean, I think
• 56:52
  Speaker 1: the Mets are better than what they look like right now.
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: The Mets have lost five straight games. They're traveling across
• 56:57
  Speaker 1: country here, but for them, it might be a good thing,
• 57:00
  Speaker 1: you know, I mean, first game. Maybe it's not because,
• 57:02
  Speaker 1: as I always talk about these East Coast teams going
• 57:04
  Speaker 1: out west to play a late night game, it does
• 57:07
  Speaker 1: mess with your biological clock. So I don't like that.
• 57:10
  Speaker 1: But when things are not going well for you at home,
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: one of the best things you can do is just
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: leave go out on the road. Don't listen to the media,
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean, just go focus on baseball.
• 57:20
  Speaker 1: And they're not going to overlook the Dodgers, So I
• 57:22
  Speaker 1: think it is a focused.
• 57:24
  Speaker 2: Spot for the Mets here.
• 57:26
  Speaker 1: Biological clock might start messing with them late in the game, though,
• 57:30
  Speaker 1: Dodgers are staying at home, so that is some advantage
• 57:32
  Speaker 1: to the Dodgers. They don't have to travel. They did
• 57:35
  Speaker 1: lose yesterday. I'm looking at the matchup numbers here a
• 57:39
  Speaker 1: little bit. As far as the bullpen used to yesterday,
• 57:41
  Speaker 1: Dodgers use four relief pitchers, which is not that great.
• 57:45
  Speaker 1: The Mets probably have the better bullpen, and they only
• 57:48
  Speaker 1: used one and it was Manaiah whose long relief right
• 57:51
  Speaker 1: now for them, So the Mets have the more rested bullpen.
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: I think they have the better bullpen. They're actually fourth
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: in bullpen whips so far ninth, which is not that bad.
• 58:01
  Speaker 1: But based on like last year as well, I think
• 58:04
  Speaker 1: the Mets too have the better bullpend here and they're
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: the more rested one Dodgers. We're not gonna argue against
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: them having the best offense though they do. The numbers
• 58:13
  Speaker 1: bear that out, and I think that's legitimate they do.
• 58:15
  Speaker 1: The Mets offense has been struggling, so yeah, the Dodgers
• 58:18
  Speaker 1: have a better offense. Mets are down at twenty third,
• 58:21
  Speaker 1: although I expect the Mets to do better, but again,
• 58:24
  Speaker 1: Soto is out right now. The pitching matchup in this game,
• 58:28
  Speaker 1: though it is pretty ugly for a game it's gonna
• 58:31
  Speaker 1: be a highly you know, televised game or whatever. We
• 58:34
  Speaker 1: don't get a very elite pitching matchup here. David Peterson
• 58:37
  Speaker 1: is pitching for the Mets. Not off to a good
• 58:40
  Speaker 1: start here, and you know, I have talked about him
• 58:42
  Speaker 1: for years or I'm like he's overvalued, you know, he's
• 58:46
  Speaker 1: like his underlying metrics stink.
• 58:47
  Speaker 2: This guy's not good.
• 58:49
  Speaker 1: He's not as good as his numbers look. Well, right now,
• 58:52
  Speaker 1: he's probably about as good as his numbers look. Maybe
• 58:54
  Speaker 1: he's better than his numbers look. Six point one four
• 58:57
  Speaker 1: one point eight four whip that's some bad stuff. Man
• 59:01
  Speaker 1: fourteen to six strike out walk ratio is not terrific,
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: but his problem has been hits. He's allowed twenty one
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: hits in fourteen to two thirds innings. He's been getting
• 59:09
  Speaker 1: knocked around. Not good, not in good form over his
• 59:13
  Speaker 1: last two starts either. Going up against the Dodgers is
• 59:17
  Speaker 1: not gonna be an easy task either, and his numbers
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: are not good against them in one hundred and fourteen
• 59:22
  Speaker 1: at bats.
• 59:22
  Speaker 2: They're very familiar with them. He does have a twenty
• 59:25
  Speaker 2: six six.
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: Strike out walk ratio against them, which is pretty good,
• 59:27
  Speaker 1: but uh, seven home runs allowed to them, three twenty
• 59:32
  Speaker 1: five batting average allowed, nine to eleven ops. None of
• 59:35
  Speaker 1: that is good. So I'm not really expecting a good
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: outing for Peterson here. Dodgers have Justin Robleski pitching who
• 59:43
  Speaker 1: is having to make some starts to them, I think
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: in place of injured starters. I'm guessing he's not the best,
• 59:49
  Speaker 1: but he's been serviceable so far. He's still young, He's
• 59:54
  Speaker 1: mostly lived out of the bullpen, but he's made at
• 59:58
  Speaker 1: least one start this year. He's got a four ERA
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 1: this season, one point two to whip. Those are not
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 1: horrible numbers. Actually, I think he's made either two starts
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 1: or at least he's made two outings that are basically
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 1: starter workloads. But he's not a strikeout guy, and he
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 1: has too many walks in nine innigs pitch we're looking
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 1: to a really small sample size here. Hasn't allowed many
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 1: runs or really many hits, but four strikeouts, five walks.
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 1: That's not very good. So you know, he's not a
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 1: strikeout guy. He's walking too many guys. One advantage he
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 1: may have here, though, is the Mets have never faced
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 1: him before, So I talk about that with these young
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 1: pitchers when they haven't been seen before, they have a
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: little bit of an advantage over hitters that haven't seen
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 1: them before. But how much do we really trust Robleski.
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 1: I don't know. He's only been in the league since
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 1: twenty twenty four. Career era is four point seventy four WHIP,
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 1: one point two eight. I mean, his numbers are all
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 1: like very mediocre across the board, Like he's not terrible,
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 1: he's not good either. Really difficult to gage that we're
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 1: gonna get out of him. But I would say he's
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 1: in somewhat better position than Peterson is in this game
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 1: because he has the unfamiliarity factor. The Dodgers are up
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 1: for minus fifty one seventy seven. Dodgers do have the
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 1: edge in the travel spot here where they don't have
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 1: to travel. Mets do have a better bullpen, though, eighty
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 1: six percent of tickets ninety three percent of the cash
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 1: on the Dodgers. It sounds crazy, but I think if
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: you want to go Dodgers, maybe you go first five
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 1: innings with it. But then again, I said the Mets
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 1: might start getting tired at the end of the game,
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: so maybe not. I mean, maybe I'll slightly agree with
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 1: Dodgers full game here. Money's also coming in in the under,
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 1: and I don't know if I agree with that. I mean,
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 1: I could see both starting pitchers struggling here. I mean,
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 1: this is not an elite starting pitching matchup, although the
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: bullpens are decent here. But I could see the arguments
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: for the over. The totals at nine, which is fairly
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 1: high for reason, although of course the main reason is
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 1: the Dodgers hit the cover off the ball sixty four
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets on the over ninety one percent of
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 1: the cash on the under. Though you know, perhaps another
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 1: good approach here would be to go Dodgers over their
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 1: team total. Perhaps, But then again, the Mets bullpend is
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 1: pretty good, so you know, there are multiple ways to
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 1: attack this. I just don't see any really worthy of it,
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean, Like, I just don't really
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 1: have a strong method of attack in that game. All Right,
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 1: we're gonna get to hockey in a second, and that'll
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 1: be the end of the show. I'm gonna close some
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 1: of these windows here. We're gonna look at hockey. We're
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 1: gonna have two hockey players. It's a fairly big hockey
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 1: board today as we come down the stretcher. And of
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 1: course there are only a few teams that have some
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 1: real motivation here left. So I have two plays. They're
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 1: very similar, actually, and you might you might be able
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 1: to guess what they are. You try to guess in
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 1: the comments and see if you're right as well. So
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 1: I'll be right back in a second. I would why
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 1: are you betting the Mets again, I would not do
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: that at all on a cross country travel spot. Good
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 1: luck with that with David Peterson on the mound, Yeah,
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 1: good luck with that. I don't hate my money, so
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 1: I would never do that, dirty sock. What's up, man,
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out, all right, I'll be back in
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 1: a second, all right. The other thing I will say
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: about the Dodgers is that it might be a situation
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 1: where maybe you actually get a little bit of value
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 1: on the Dodgers because they don't have a name starter going.
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 1: They have one of their starters who's not like a
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 1: legit starter going, you know what I mean. There might
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 1: be some value on the Dodgers for that reason. Oh,
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 1: you're fucking with me, all right? Okay, hockey a lot of.
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 2: Games today, man.
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 1: I think it was like eleven hockey games here, and
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 1: hockey continues regular season through Thursday. Actually, so yeah, we
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 1: got a lot of hockey today. I got two plays.
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 1: Like I said, they're both really similar in nature, and
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 1: you might be able to guess what they are because
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 1: there are only certain teams that have motivation, and you
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 1: know how I do things, Detroit is that Tampa Bay.
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 1: This is a game where neither team has anything left
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 1: to play for now, you got to figure out what's
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 1: Detroit's mindset gonna be. And I don't want to try
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 1: to guess that they just got eliminated on Saturday with
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: that loss in New Jersey that eliminated Detroit from the playoffs.
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 1: Could be a dream crusher scenario, which we talk about
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 1: here on the show, Like obviously their goal was to
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 1: make the playoffs, and they've came close and fell short.
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 1: And when that happens that first game after your dream
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: gets crushed, a lot of times you just are not
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 1: in the right mental state, you know what I mean,
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 1: you don't play well. I could see that happening to
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 1: them here, but maybe they'll get up for it because
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 1: it is against Tampa Bay. Tampa Bay doesn't have a
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 1: ton to play for here, but they're already in the playoffs,
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 1: but they could move seeding. I just don't know how
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 1: much that really matters to them, you know what I mean,
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 1: Like I don't think they care, like whether they're gonna
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 1: play Montreal or you know, they could potentially I guess, well,
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: I guess they could potentially get into the top seed
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 1: here and then they'd get like the Bruins or the Senators,
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 1: So maybe they would prefer that. So I guess maybe
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 1: there's a little bit and they'd get home ice of course,
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 1: so maybe that's a little bit of motivation, I guess
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 1: On the side of Tampa playing for home ice. Usually
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 1: it's over valued though in the market, and Tampa's is
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 1: running over from a road trip, so that is not
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 1: a good spot. Really, They've been a waste its last
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 1: Monday they went up. They were staying in the Eastern
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 1: time zone though they went up to the Northeast coming
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 1: back from that. But still a lot of times it's
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 1: a distracted spot when you return back home. So that
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 1: could be the case with them. They got family stuff
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 1: to do. They already know they're gonna make a playoffs.
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 1: Tampa's a very public side. It minus one ninety six,
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: ninety two percent of tickets, ninety five percent of the
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 1: cash on them. I don't want to try to figure
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 1: out the side here. Man. It looks like it might
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 1: be a bad spot for both teams. So this could
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 1: possibly be a game where an over is worth consideration.
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 1: Here you might get less intense defense on both sides
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 1: because it is a potential last spot for both teams. Here.
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 1: Total is high for a reason at six and a half,
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 1: So I wouldn't really argue with an over in that game.
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 1: Rangers at Florida, Yeah, you want to talk about two
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 1: disappointed teams, but these teams have both been eliminated for
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 1: a while now, they're just playing out the stretch. It's
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 1: gonna be a matter of kind of which team is
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 1: gonna have the better motivation here. Rangers to just get
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 1: shut out against Dallas. They are getting to play the
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 1: back to back champs in Florida. They did just beat
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 1: Florida back at home though, on March twenty ninth, three
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 1: to one. But maybe it is the game where the
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 1: Rangers get up for it. The Rangers have notoriously played
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 1: better on the road this year, significantly. Florida's returning home
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 1: from a road trip here, which is not good. They've
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 1: been on the road since April fourth, so you know,
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 1: I like to fade teams are turning home from road
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: trips because they can get distracted. They got home life
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 1: to get back to, especially when Florida has I guess
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 1: somewhat of a bigger game remaining against Detroit might not
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: be the greatest spot for them. I mean, they're a
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 1: dead team at this point. I'd lean Rangers in this game, Uh,
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 1: not one that I would really want to have my
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 1: money on. And they've gone all the way up from
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 1: minus one ten to minus one forty five, so some
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 1: money has come in on the Rangers side. Maybe it
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 1: has to do with a goaltending change or something, but yeah,
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 1: I mean i'd still lean that way, but it's getting
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 1: a bit pricey to play a dead team as a
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 1: road favorite like that. I don't think I would want
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 1: to do it. Seventy one percent of tickets, seventy two
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the Rangers. That is not
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 1: going to be one of my plays obviously. All right,
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 1: ASU fan, what's up? Man? Is that Arizona state? Why
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 1: is there nothing to bet on there is? I just
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 1: gave out my one playing baseball today is the Texas
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 1: Rangers on the money line, So you can go back
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 1: and see my analysis on that on Instagram. I'm gonna
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 1: post my more like uh what do we call it?
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 1: More focused analysis on it as well. Once I get
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 1: done here. Check it out, man, learn a toad. Thanks
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 1: for showing up, man, thanks for checking out the show.
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 1: But yeah, learn to toad on Instagram. I'm gonna post
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 1: it there Texas Rangers, and then we are We're gonna
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 1: have two hockey plays. I'm gonna give out here, but
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 1: I just break down every single game on the board
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 1: on this show man, just giving my thought process on
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 1: the games. You know, So I am gonna have two
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 1: hockey plays here that I like. So I am gonna
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 1: do that as I go through the process here. Arizona State, Yes,
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 1: cheers to you as well. Yeah, I mean, I'm not
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 1: a Bobby Hurley fan. I'll tell you that they fired him, right.
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 1: I don't know, I got nothing really against Arizona State.
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 1: Just not a Bobby Hurley fan. I'm more of a
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 1: Duke cater, so that that would be why. But I
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 1: also think he's just a lunatic. I don't know. I mean,
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 1: I hope Arizona State gets better. You know, we want
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 1: to see these teams be more competitive generally. So yeah,
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 1: but yeah, Arizona State, you know, I mean, I'm talking
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 1: to all basketball here where they've made a little bit
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 1: more noise. But h James Harden like, that's that's the
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 1: that's the big Arizona State name there.
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 2: I remember watching him in college. Man, I'm old.
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 1: I'm way older than that too, but yeah, I remember
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 1: hired to college.
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 2: Getting a hard on at watching him hit threes.
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 1: All right, Carolina at Philadelphia, Carolina really has nothing to
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 1: play for here. They are pretty much locked in. I
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 1: mean they are, they're locked into the one seed here
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 1: in the Metro Division. I think they still have not
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 1: completely guaranteed themselves whole mice throughout the Eastern Conference, but
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 1: they're pretty close to that. And meanwhile, they're playing a
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 1: Flyer team that needs to get a win. The Flyers
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 1: are still not cluched a playoff spot, and they're sitting
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 1: here one point above Washington and two above Columbus. So
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 1: the Flyers absolutely have to keep winning these games here. Now,
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 1: I think I don't know there was a reason. I'm like,
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 1: wait a minute, why is this not one of my plays?
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 1: Like Philadelphia should be on my card here. I forget
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 1: why there's some reason why I don't have Philadelphia on
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 1: my card here. But I like Philadelphia in this game though, Caroline.
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're doing a lot of travel. They're doing
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 1: this weird travel leg here from Utah in elevation now
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 1: going to Philadelphia, very very strange, with not a lot
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 1: to get up for for Carolina here at this point,
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 1: possibly looking ahead to the playoffs, a bunch of road
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 1: games in a row here, Maybe that's not that great either.
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia has clear motivation here, but of course that'll be
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 1: factored into the line. But then again you're kind of
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 1: you're like, you're getting them as a slight underdog here. Possibly,
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 1: So when you're getting a team priced that cheaply and
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 1: you know they have a ton of motivation, that's something
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 1: that you want. I think this is why I didn't
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 1: want to play them. They were turning on from a
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 1: road trip. It's not the worst, I guess, but they
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 1: did go out to Winnipeg. That was where their last
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 1: game was on Saturday. They got a huge win against
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 1: Winnipeg seven to one.
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 2: Maybe they'll look a little bit too good.
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 1: Usually I don't like to play teams that are coming
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 1: off a massive win like that. But they need to
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 1: keep winning obviously, because they're trying to make the playoffs.
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 1: The return home spot, you know, I typically say, yeah,
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 1: it's kind of a distracted spot. You return back home,
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 1: you have to get back to home life. Obviously, they
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 1: can't overlook this game. They're playing the top team in
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 1: the conference. They need to win to make the playoffs. Here,
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 1: it's almost getting to be like a win in you're
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 1: in situation. Though. I don't love playing teams that are
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 1: in that situation because the pressure just mounts on them,
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 1: and usually it's factor too much into the line, and
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 1: it's better to take a team that This is a
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 1: kind of a hint as well. I think it's a
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 1: little bit better to take a team that has to win,
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 1: but they also need the other teams to lose. Whereas Philadelphia,
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 1: the spot that they're in is they control their own destiny,
• 1:12:56
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean. And when that's the case,
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 1: I think the pressure is on them and you get
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 1: hyper focus. We gotta win, we gotta win, we gotta win,
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 1: and I actually think it becomes kind of a bad thing.
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 1: So yes, I leaned to Philadelphia in this game. Not
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 1: gonna make my card though, but yeah, I would play
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia if I was gonna add this to my card.
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 1: And I do think that, yes, it's probably the strongest
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 1: lean that I'm leaving off of my card in hockey.
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 1: Here they're minus one oh nine, they flip from plus
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 1: one ten. I think you'd probably find them as an
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 1: underdog out there at some of the books. Fifty eight
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets, seventy four percent of the cash on
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 1: the flyers. It looks like the real money is coming
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 1: in on the flyers, and I do agree with that
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 1: you grew up with Harden. Yeah, that was I think
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 1: how old is Harden right now? I think he was
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 1: probably there when I was in college or actually, no,
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 1: I think I had already graduated from college, probably when
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 1: I was watching Harden at Arizona State. I forget, Yeah,
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 1: I think so. Yeah, I think I was already post
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 1: college there. I think I'm older than Harden by a
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 1: few years. But maybe I'm wrong about that. I think. No,
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 1: I think that's the case. I don't know how old
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 1: to see. I don't even know. Hurley is a mad man.
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 1: He's insane. Yeah, so it is close. Yeah, I graduated
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 1: college in seven so now you know how old I am.
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 1: But yeah, alright, Dallas at Toronto, and this is a game.
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 1: I don't see a whole lot of motivation here on
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 1: either side of this game. Dallas is pretty close to
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 1: being I think they actually they pretty much are locked
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 1: into the two seed here. There's seven points behind Colorado,
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 1: who already clinched the division, and the one seed. I
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 1: think Dallas is six points ahead of Minnesota on So Dallas,
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 1: I think they're pretty much locked in. They really don't
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 1: have much to play for here. They won three games
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 1: in a row. How excited are they gonna be to
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 1: go to Toronto. I don't know. They get more of a
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 1: test in a TV game in their last game against Buffalo,
• 1:14:52
  Speaker 1: so maybe they're gonna put more focus on that game
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 1: to kind of test themselves before going into the playoffs.
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 1: I don't think they give a shit about Toronto. Man.
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 1: Toronto's lost five games in a row, and this is
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 1: Toronto's final home game, so maybe they do want to
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 1: give the fans something and try to get up for this.
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 1: They get to play one of the better teams in
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 1: hockey here. I think maybe there will be at least
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 1: maybe a little bit of motivation on the Toronto side.
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 1: That would be my lean in this game. There's no
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 1: way I would play Dallas here. There a minus one
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 1: seventy one is a road favorite that might not have
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 1: any motivation really, ninety two of the tickets, ninety eight
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Dallas.
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 2: Yeah, no, I would lean Toronto here.
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 1: An over makes sense to me as well, because you
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 1: might have two teams that just don't have a lot
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 1: to play for here. So seventy eight percent of tickets,
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 1: eighty six percent of the cash on the over, the over,
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 1: the total has gone up to six juice to the over,
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 1: so I don't disagree with that over. I know Dallas
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 1: does tend to play like lower scoring games, but it
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 1: seems like Dallas is not gonna have the most intense
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 1: defensive effort in that game. And yeah, I would slightly
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 1: lean to Toronto as well, like I said at the
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 1: plus make your own plus one line or something like that, Yes, sir,
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 1: all right, Minnesota at Saint Louis, Minnesota, they I don't
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 1: think I have a ton to play for here either,
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 1: as there's six points back of Dallas, so I don't
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 1: really think they can catch them other twelve points ahead
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 1: of the top wild card versus Utah, who I believe
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 1: is the next closest team in their division. So Minnesota effectively,
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 1: they're pretty much locked into this three seeds, so they
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 1: really don't have much to play for here, and they've
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 1: been playing like it. They've lost a couple of games
• 1:16:32
  Speaker 1: in a row because they're kind of well, they've they've
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 1: got up for the Dallas game and then they ran
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 1: into a Nashville team that obviously is fighting for their
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 1: playoff lives. So you know, Minnesota actually looked like they
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 1: kind of still showed up for those games. I don't
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 1: know if they will hear them a third straight road
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 1: game really nothing to really play for here. They do
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 1: have Anaheim left, which might be a better test for them.
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 1: Don't really know if they care that much about Saint Louis.
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis is also eliminated. Don't know if that's gonna
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 1: be like a dream Crusher spot though, because I think
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis just got eliminated. They're like the most recent
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 1: team to get eliminated them in Seattle, so and they
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 1: won and still got eliminated. So against Chicago they won.
• 1:17:15
  Speaker 1: So I don't know what their mindset is gonna because
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 1: when teams get eliminated a lot of times they will
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 1: like I mentioned with Detroit, it's possible they just come
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 1: in with a very like lackluster performance man an emo
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 1: performance the dream Crusher. Maybe they get up for it though,
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 1: because it's against Minnesota and they get a shot at
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 1: one of the better teams here at home. Don't know.
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 1: It's tough to gauge the mindset of some of these teams. Man, Like,
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 1: if you're Saint Louis, you kind of had to know
• 1:17:44
  Speaker 1: you probably weren't gonna make the playoffs anyway prior to
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 1: that Saturday, you.
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 2: Know, I don't know.
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 1: The money looks like it initially came in in on
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis. Flip them from plus one ten to minus
• 1:17:56
  Speaker 1: one twenty seven. And I will say that when you
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 1: see the better team like Minnesota as the underdog, that
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 1: has to have you taking notice, right because you think
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 1: the public would be like, oh, I'm gonna play Minnesota here, Like,
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 1: how do I get the better team as an underdog here?
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 2: You know what I mean?
• 1:18:10
  Speaker 1: But of course it's all about motivation and Minnesota doesn't
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 1: have any, and maybe they're resting.
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 2: Some guys in this game. I don't know.
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 1: But the money looks like it's coming in on Minnesota,
• 1:18:19
  Speaker 1: like the actual money fifty percent of tickets, sixty five
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 1: percent in the cash on Minnesota. I still don't think
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 1: I would. I mean, it looks like a trap to me,
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 1: getting the better team as an underdog like that, I
• 1:18:31
  Speaker 1: would not want to do that. I'd probably slightly lean
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 1: in Saint Louis, but I don't want to do that either. Again,
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 1: I don't know what their mindset is gonna be. The
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 1: money is also coming in in the under which surprises
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 1: me because I think I would lean over in that
• 1:18:43
  Speaker 1: game when you have two teams that seem like they
• 1:18:45
  Speaker 1: have pretty questionable motivation at best. There usually it means
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 1: defensive intensity is not there. So I think an over
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 1: makes more sense in that game probably than any other
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 1: way to look at that game. San Jose at Nashville,
• 1:18:59
  Speaker 1: this is going to be one of my plays. We're
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 1: gonna take the San Jose Sharks on the money line,
• 1:19:10
  Speaker 1: man balls to the wall. Let's just do it plus
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 1: one thirty two. I mean, if if you want to
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 1: go more risk averse, I guess you could go split that,
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 1: make your own plus one puck line here, which I
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 1: am doing in my other play, by the way, because
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 1: it's a bigger underdog that we're gonna deal with in
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 1: that one. If you wanted to do it that way,
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 1: you could do it that way. I think this is
• 1:19:30
  Speaker 1: a close enough like to toss up price.
• 1:19:33
  Speaker 2: That money line just makes sense here.
• 1:19:35
  Speaker 1: Plus, I think we have a good motivational spot to
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 1: play San Jose here. Even though both teams are gonna
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 1: be motivated, this is a spot where I think all
• 1:19:43
  Speaker 1: the pressure is on one team and not so much
• 1:19:45
  Speaker 1: on the other. So I like San Jose here, and
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna I'm about to describe that in a second here.
• 1:19:50
  Speaker 1: But yes, again, I was gonna say, if you wanted
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 1: to split this and do like part on the plus
• 1:19:55
  Speaker 1: one and a half puck line, part on the money line,
• 1:19:59
  Speaker 1: or find a plus one puck line out there, I
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 1: would not tell you to not do it that way either.
• 1:20:03
  Speaker 1: I think that's a fine way to do this as well.
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 1: This way you're putting less money on it, but you're
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 1: gonna need them to win the game outright to win
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 1: the bet. All right, San Jose has lost three in
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 1: a row, man, and we know they're still alive. They're
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 1: trying to make the playoffs, so though it's really unlikely
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 1: at this point because they're four points back five points
• 1:20:23
  Speaker 1: back actually of the Kings here. So that's why I
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 1: like this, because it's like the pressure is not on
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 1: this team. Nobody really expected San Jose to even be
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 1: this close to making the playoffs this year. They've had
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 1: a big step up this year, so I think they're
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 1: kind of just playing loose right now, man, even though
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 1: they're not eliminated yet, which will motivate them. But I
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 1: think the pressure is actually on Nashville, because Nashville is
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 1: one point out of that last wildcard spot right now
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 1: and kind of expected to win this game here, I
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 1: would say, so, I don't like that for Nashville here,
• 1:20:53
  Speaker 1: and I don't like the specific spot either. San Jose
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 1: just lost to Vancouver at home. Dude, that is a
• 1:20:59
  Speaker 1: bad loss. San Jose was a favorite in that one.
• 1:21:02
  Speaker 1: Vancouver is the worst team in the NHL. San Jose's
• 1:21:05
  Speaker 1: gotta win the same playoff contention, and they take that
• 1:21:07
  Speaker 1: loss after losing the previous two games five to two
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 1: and six to one. Although granted those were against motivated
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 1: teams that are both probably making the playoffs Edmonton and Anaheim.
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 1: But still, yeah, I mean you could make the argument
• 1:21:22
  Speaker 1: that maybe coming up those big games, playing a third
• 1:21:24
  Speaker 1: game in four days.
• 1:21:25
  Speaker 2: I don't know what happened there, but they lost to Vancouver.
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 1: I think you're gonna get a huge effort out of
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 1: San Jose now going on the road, trying to stave
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 1: off elimination. Here, they're an underdog leaving home in bounce
• 1:21:38
  Speaker 1: back mode, coming off a horrible loss.
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 2: I think I like it, man, I.
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 1: Think you're gonna get a huge effort out of them here,
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 1: and they just played Nashville on April fourth and lost
• 1:21:47
  Speaker 1: at home six to three to them, So I think
• 1:21:50
  Speaker 1: you're gonna see some adjustments here. It's like that it's
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 1: a quick revenge angle, quick road revenge, but it's not
• 1:21:57
  Speaker 1: really that. Oh, the team gets angry and they want revenge.
• 1:22:00
  Speaker 1: It's kind of a bad naming for it, because really
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 1: what it is is that Nashville might not take San
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 1: Jose as seriously because they just went into San Jose
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 1: and beat them, and San Jose is going to be
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 1: the team that has all the adjustments to make off
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 1: of what went wrong in this game. And if you
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 1: look at this game, it was way closer than it
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 1: looked on the scoreboard. Nashville scored a shorthanded goal in
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 1: an empty net goal in the final like two and
• 1:22:24
  Speaker 1: a half minutes of the game, after it was a
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 1: tied game early in the third period and a one
• 1:22:29
  Speaker 1: goal game prior to those goals, so this was kind
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 1: of a misleading result. Nashville did win the game slightly
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 1: statistically with more shots and more face offs, but it
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 1: wasn't by that significant of a margin, and San Jose
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 1: was the more physical team in the game hits wise,
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 1: so that final score was still misleading, like it probably
• 1:22:49
  Speaker 1: should have been like a four to three Nashville win
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 1: based on the stats in that game. So yeah, I
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 1: think we're actually getting a little bit of value on
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 1: San Jose here. And for Nashville, they're coming off a
• 1:22:58
  Speaker 1: big win over Minnesota and it was against you know,
• 1:23:01
  Speaker 1: a Minnesota team that didn't really have a ton to
• 1:23:03
  Speaker 1: play for and they still only beat them two to one.
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 1: But granted it was in a return home spot, So
• 1:23:08
  Speaker 1: I do talk about that when teams like Nashville, you know,
• 1:23:11
  Speaker 1: they return home for a road trip like that, they
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 1: could be distracted, but obviously they weren't because they were
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 1: playing the Wild and they have their playoff lives on
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 1: the line here. So they got that huge win. But
• 1:23:22
  Speaker 1: this could be a little bit of a letdown spot here, man,
• 1:23:24
  Speaker 1: And they do have Anaheim remaining, and maybe that's a
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 1: bigger game because Anaheim is in the playoffs right now,
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 1: and you know, Anaheim is also kind of a direct
• 1:23:34
  Speaker 1: competitor with them, I think, right or wait a minute, no, well,
• 1:23:39
  Speaker 1: maybe it depends if Anaheim falls out of this divisional
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 1: It would depend on whether or not the Kings overtake Anaheim.
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 1: Would really be what's going on there if Anaheim falls
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 1: into the wildcard race, is what I'm saying. But still
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 1: I think this could be a little bit of a
• 1:23:53
  Speaker 1: letdown for Nashville, even though usually I like a team
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 1: in their second game back home, not as much if
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 1: they're coming off.
• 1:23:59
  Speaker 2: A nice win in their first. So yeah, well we'll
• 1:24:01
  Speaker 2: do it.
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 1: We'll take San Jose to give you a big effort here,
• 1:24:05
  Speaker 1: whereas they think the pressure is actually on Nashville here
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 1: they're down for minus one fifty five forty eight, and
• 1:24:11
  Speaker 1: I think it's, you know, we're kind of doing a
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 1: regular season style of handicap here as well, where I
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 1: think Nashal is in a little bit of a letdown
• 1:24:17
  Speaker 1: spot a San Jose is in a bounced back spot here.
• 1:24:20
  Speaker 1: So yeah, we'll take San Jose money line there, all right,
• 1:24:27
  Speaker 1: Buffalo at Chicago, and this is a game where you
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 1: could argue that Buffalo has some motivation here, I guess
• 1:24:33
  Speaker 1: because they're trying to maintain the one seed here in
• 1:24:37
  Speaker 1: the conference, in the in the division. They're probably not
• 1:24:40
  Speaker 1: going to overtake Carolina though for the one seed in
• 1:24:43
  Speaker 1: the conference.
• 1:24:43
  Speaker 2: But they're playing well. They've won three games in a row.
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 1: They've had a lot of rest, although a lot of
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 1: rest can hurt you sometimes when you're on a win streak,
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 1: the rest can kind of disrupt you. And I don't
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 1: know if Buffalo is going to be that excited to
• 1:24:55
  Speaker 1: go to Chicago here, man, and then they have a
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 1: bigger game against Dallas on TV to finish off the season.
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I don't love the spot for Buffalo here,
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 1: and they're probably gonna be overpriced in the market Chicago.
• 1:25:07
  Speaker 1: I mean, really, what they have to play for is
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 1: just trying to get a win at home at the
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 1: end of the season.
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 2: Here, they're on a three game losing street.
• 1:25:13
  Speaker 1: They lost two games pretty badly at home here, so
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 1: I think you might get an effort out of Chicago
• 1:25:18
  Speaker 1: and this one, this is their biggest remaining game. I
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 1: would say, even though it's an out of conference game,
• 1:25:23
  Speaker 1: Buffalo's laying minus two hundred on the road here. I
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 1: think that is too high a price for a spot
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 1: like this where their motivation is not necessarily like all
• 1:25:32
  Speaker 1: out for this game, you know what I mean. Ninety
• 1:25:35
  Speaker 1: seven percent of tickets, ninety nine percent of the cash
• 1:25:37
  Speaker 1: on Buffalo. They're already in.
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 2: The playoffs at the very least.
• 1:25:40
  Speaker 1: I would look towards Chicago probably on the puck line,
• 1:25:43
  Speaker 1: and that one you're gonna get them is a pretty
• 1:25:44
  Speaker 1: big underdog in that game. Colorado at Edmonton, Colorado really
• 1:25:48
  Speaker 1: doesn't have anything to play for here. They're already locked
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 1: into the one seed in the conference, so I think
• 1:25:54
  Speaker 1: it's pretty much they're just on cruise control right now,
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 1: whereas Edmonton did clinch a playoff spot, but they do
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 1: have a chance to move up or down in the standing,
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 1: so there may be a little bit more motivation there
• 1:26:05
  Speaker 1: for Edmonton. Colorado did just lose to Vegas the other day.
• 1:26:09
  Speaker 1: That was the one that I left off my card,
• 1:26:11
  Speaker 1: and it was a winner on a three and oh
• 1:26:13
  Speaker 1: day that we had on Saturday, but I could have
• 1:26:16
  Speaker 1: been four and oh. I almost added Vegas to my card.
• 1:26:19
  Speaker 1: I stayed away from it. It was a close game overtime.
• 1:26:22
  Speaker 1: Now Colorado's going out on the road to play Edmonton,
• 1:26:25
  Speaker 1: but again, really the only motivation for Colorado that I
• 1:26:29
  Speaker 1: could see here is that they get to play the
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 1: team that won the conference last year, and they get
• 1:26:33
  Speaker 1: to play a good team, so maybe Colorado will get
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 1: up for that reason. Edmonton is returning on from a
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 1: road trip. They've been on the road since Tuesday. They
• 1:26:41
  Speaker 1: did go down to the Pacific Coast, down to southern
• 1:26:43
  Speaker 1: California after playing in Elevation, so it's not really the
• 1:26:47
  Speaker 1: greatest spot for them. Again, the return home can be
• 1:26:50
  Speaker 1: a distraction because home life interferes with what you're trying
• 1:26:54
  Speaker 1: to do. Here. They're not gonna overlook Colorado, though I
• 1:26:57
  Speaker 1: wouldn't imagine this is their biggest remaining regular season game.
• 1:27:01
  Speaker 1: The motivation I think is stronger on Edmonton. I will
• 1:27:03
  Speaker 1: lean to Edmonton here. Colorado down for minus one thirty
• 1:27:06
  Speaker 1: one to minus one twenty fifty seven percent of tickets
• 1:27:09
  Speaker 1: and eighty eight percent of the cash on Edmonton. The
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 1: money is agreeing with the Edmonton side there. I'm gonna
• 1:27:15
  Speaker 1: slightly agree with that as well. By the way, we
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 1: still don't really see the percentages on that San Jose
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 1: Nashville game LA Kings at Seattle. This game is on ESPN.
• 1:27:25
  Speaker 1: I don't know exactly why. Although the Kings are fighting
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 1: to maintain the last wildcard spot, and it's really it's
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 1: pretty much gonna be them or in Nashville at this point,
• 1:27:36
  Speaker 1: highly unlikely it's gonna be one of the other teams,
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 1: But I think that sets us up for those two
• 1:27:41
  Speaker 1: plays there the teams that are almost eliminated, which I
• 1:27:44
  Speaker 1: actually like LA. They've won four games in a row here, Man,
• 1:27:48
  Speaker 1: they just beat Edmonton, so I guess they could be
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 1: in a little bit of a letdown spot off of
• 1:27:52
  Speaker 1: a big win like that, But I think you know
• 1:27:54
  Speaker 1: you're gonna get motivation out of them, and they've been
• 1:27:56
  Speaker 1: better on the road than at home this season, So
• 1:27:59
  Speaker 1: going out on the road to play maybe a defeated
• 1:28:02
  Speaker 1: Seattle team because Seattle got eliminated, I believe on Saturday
• 1:28:06
  Speaker 1: despite beating Calgary. It's just that the teams they needed
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 1: to lose didn't lose. So it's possible they're in a
• 1:28:12
  Speaker 1: little bit of a dream crusher spot here. But it
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 1: is their final home game. They get a chance to
• 1:28:17
  Speaker 1: play spoiler against the Kings and potentially eliminate them from
• 1:28:21
  Speaker 1: the playoffs, although Seattle does have Vegas and Colorado to
• 1:28:25
  Speaker 1: finish off the season, which maybe they'll get up for
• 1:28:27
  Speaker 1: one or both of those games. This game is a
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 1: hard read for me, man, but LA clearly has more
• 1:28:33
  Speaker 1: motivation here trying to make the playoffs. But you're gonna
• 1:28:36
  Speaker 1: pay for that in this case, you know what I mean.
• 1:28:39
  Speaker 1: They're up to minus one forty nine for minus one
• 1:28:41
  Speaker 1: forty four, eighty three percent of tickets, ninety seven percent
• 1:28:44
  Speaker 1: of the cash on LA. I think I hear of stupid. Yeah,
• 1:28:50
  Speaker 1: it's the stupid TV, you know, the automated the emergency
• 1:28:55
  Speaker 1: broadcast system. I hate that. I just hear it in
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 1: my left ear. It's so here, dude, Maybe I should
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 1: just have my TV off. But anyway, Yeah, LA eighty
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 1: three percent of tickets, ninety seven percent of the cash
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 1: on them. The money looks like it is coming into LA.
• 1:29:10
  Speaker 1: But I think you're probably being charged too much of
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 1: a price for LA in a spot like this, I'd slightly.
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 1: I actually don't know, man, I don't really have a good,
• 1:29:22
  Speaker 1: a good opinion on this game. I could see the
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 1: arguments for both sides in that one. Money is slightly
• 1:29:28
  Speaker 1: saying the kings. I guess, you know, take that for
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 1: what you want. And then, of course that means the
• 1:29:34
  Speaker 1: last game. Here is the last play, and it is
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 1: which let me get it up here and there it is,
• 1:29:42
  Speaker 1: let me get a boner? Is what I meant to say.
• 1:29:45
  Speaker 1: Maybe is this play good enough to be bone or inducing?
• 1:29:48
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 1:29:48
  Speaker 2: We're on the Winnipeg Jets.
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 1: I'm recommending a split bet on this one, partially on
• 1:29:53
  Speaker 1: the plus one and a half puck line at minus
• 1:29:55
  Speaker 1: one sixty five, partially on the money line at plus
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 1: one fifty eight. If you wanted to find like a
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 1: plus one puck line out there at a.
• 1:30:03
  Speaker 2: Book that has that, you could do that as well.
• 1:30:06
  Speaker 1: If you wanted to go just money line and put
• 1:30:08
  Speaker 1: less money on it to win more, you can do
• 1:30:11
  Speaker 1: that as well. But this is in that price range
• 1:30:12
  Speaker 1: where I usually try to split the bet make your
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 1: own plus one puck line. The amounts that I have here,
• 1:30:19
  Speaker 1: I usually show you what it is in terms of
• 1:30:21
  Speaker 1: one hundred just so it's easier to see. Basically sixty
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 1: four of that went on the minus side of it,
• 1:30:27
  Speaker 1: which is the puck line, and then the amount to
• 1:30:30
  Speaker 1: win from that is what you put on the money line.
• 1:30:33
  Speaker 1: And then that is effectively making your own plus one
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 1: puck line at a price of minus one oh three
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 1: in this case, and it means that if they lose
• 1:30:42
  Speaker 1: by one, your bet will push. So that's what we're
• 1:30:44
  Speaker 1: doing here Winnipeg. Like I said, they're in the same
• 1:30:47
  Speaker 1: boat as San Jose basically except that, Yeah, Winnipeg probably
• 1:30:51
  Speaker 1: expected to make the playoffs this season. I mean, they
• 1:30:54
  Speaker 1: have the best goaltender in hockey. They were one of
• 1:30:57
  Speaker 1: the top seeds in the playoffs last year, though I
• 1:30:59
  Speaker 1: thought they were a little bit old overrated, but I
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 1: think they expected better this season. But now that they're here,
• 1:31:06
  Speaker 1: I think they can play a little bit loose man
• 1:31:07
  Speaker 1: because they lost Hellobook for a huge chunk of the season.
• 1:31:10
  Speaker 2: He's back right now.
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 1: They're trying to make the playoffs still and it's gonna
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 1: take a lot of help.
• 1:31:15
  Speaker 2: So again, Winnipeg Andst.
• 1:31:17
  Speaker 1: San Jose, they don't control their own destiny, although I
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 1: know Nashville doesn't either. But you know, I think you're
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 1: getting these teams at underdog prices and their motivation is
• 1:31:26
  Speaker 1: pretty huge, and they can play a little bit still,
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 1: kind of looser because they know that they don't control
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 1: their own destiny. So it's like, yeah, you gotta win,
• 1:31:34
  Speaker 1: but the other chips have to fall the right way,
• 1:31:36
  Speaker 1: and you have no control over that, you know what
• 1:31:38
  Speaker 1: I mean. So I think that takes the pressure off you.
• 1:31:40
  Speaker 1: Both teams need to win and need other teams to lose.
• 1:31:43
  Speaker 1: So I think that's a better spot here, you'll get
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 1: you'll get some motivated effort out of Winnipeg here and Vegas.
• 1:31:51
  Speaker 1: I just am not sure what the motivation might be
• 1:31:53
  Speaker 1: from them here. I guess yeah, the motivation is they're
• 1:31:56
  Speaker 1: trying to still win their division because they could potentially fall,
• 1:31:59
  Speaker 1: but to clinch the playoff spot now. And I know
• 1:32:02
  Speaker 1: Vegas has been playing really well with that spark after
• 1:32:05
  Speaker 1: firing the coach, which I forgot to mention when it happened,
• 1:32:09
  Speaker 1: it'd happened here. As you can actually tell, they were
• 1:32:12
  Speaker 1: able to win five of their last six games now,
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 1: the only loss being in a shootout with John Tortorella
• 1:32:18
  Speaker 1: in there.
• 1:32:18
  Speaker 2: He's a maniac dude.
• 1:32:20
  Speaker 1: He's from Boston, which you know makes him feel familiar
• 1:32:25
  Speaker 1: to me, but I also think he's kind of an ass.
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 1: But they've been really good with him there. But maybe
• 1:32:30
  Speaker 1: you gotta take up with a little bit of a grain
• 1:32:31
  Speaker 1: of salt, because they beat Vancouver twice in there, and
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 1: Calgary and lost to Seattle and those teams are all bad.
• 1:32:39
  Speaker 1: And then they beat Colorado where Colorado had no motivation.
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 1: But now look at the spot that Vegas is in now, Yeah,
• 1:32:45
  Speaker 1: they're playing with a lot of motivation under Tortorella. Does
• 1:32:49
  Speaker 1: look like at some point, I think the spark is
• 1:32:51
  Speaker 1: gonna fizzle a little bit there, and maybe it happens
• 1:32:54
  Speaker 1: here because they're turning over from a road trip. They've
• 1:32:57
  Speaker 1: been on the road since April fourth, so it's a
• 1:32:59
  Speaker 1: long road. They went up to Canada, went into elevation,
• 1:33:04
  Speaker 1: they beat Colorado, who's the best team in the NHL,
• 1:33:07
  Speaker 1: and now they're coming back home. I think it could
• 1:33:09
  Speaker 1: be a distracted spot, man. I mean, yes, they're fighting
• 1:33:12
  Speaker 1: for playoff positioning, and yeah, they did lose at Winnipeg
• 1:33:16
  Speaker 1: four to one back on March twenty fourth, but I
• 1:33:18
  Speaker 1: don't know that that's enough to get Vegas up enough
• 1:33:21
  Speaker 1: for this game to win this game by what they
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 1: need to win by here to cover this whole thing,
• 1:33:26
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean. I think Winnipeg's going to
• 1:33:28
  Speaker 1: give you a competitive effort here. I think it could
• 1:33:30
  Speaker 1: be a distraction for Vegas here. They more recently lost
• 1:33:35
  Speaker 1: to Seattle, by the way, and that's who they play next,
• 1:33:37
  Speaker 1: So you could make the argument it's a sandwich spot
• 1:33:39
  Speaker 1: because their only loss in the Tortorella era was to
• 1:33:43
  Speaker 1: Seattle and they play them next, So maybe they want
• 1:33:46
  Speaker 1: Seattle there, but it's a return home spot. I think
• 1:33:49
  Speaker 1: it's a letdown spot. Up the huge win against Colorado,
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 1: Vegas clinched a playoff spots, they might be riding that
• 1:33:55
  Speaker 1: high as well. Winnipeg just had one of the ugliest
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 1: losses you'll ever see at home with a playoff spot
• 1:34:02
  Speaker 1: potentially on the line. They lost seven to one to Philadelphia,
• 1:34:05
  Speaker 1: but Philadelphia was also motivated to try to get a
• 1:34:07
  Speaker 1: playoff spot. But I mean, come on, man, you cannot
• 1:34:10
  Speaker 1: lose seven to one. I think any team that loses
• 1:34:13
  Speaker 1: that badly at home, they're worth a look in the
• 1:34:16
  Speaker 1: next game, man, because they're gonna be in usually a
• 1:34:18
  Speaker 1: big bounce back mode and give you a much better
• 1:34:21
  Speaker 1: effort in the next game. So I like it pretty much.
• 1:34:24
  Speaker 1: The situation lines up really nicely. Like regular season wise,
• 1:34:28
  Speaker 1: I might be looking at this game as well if
• 1:34:30
  Speaker 1: it was a regular season play but I think the
• 1:34:32
  Speaker 1: playoff motivation coming into play makes it a little bit better.
• 1:34:35
  Speaker 1: The money is kind of indicating on Vegas right now.
• 1:34:37
  Speaker 1: They dropped for minus one to seventy seven to minus one,
• 1:34:40
  Speaker 1: seventy eighty two percent of the tickets, ninety four percent
• 1:34:42
  Speaker 1: of the cash on them. I'm not gonna put too
• 1:34:45
  Speaker 1: much weight into that right now. I'm gonna rely on
• 1:34:47
  Speaker 1: the situational handicapping that I always do.
• 1:34:49
  Speaker 2: Winnipeg will be the play.
• 1:34:51
  Speaker 1: I think they might have the goaltending edge here as
• 1:34:54
  Speaker 1: long as Hella Book is actually playing for them, which
• 1:34:56
  Speaker 1: I'm not one hundred percent sure that he is. We
• 1:34:59
  Speaker 1: can look it's starting goalies here for a minute, or
• 1:35:02
  Speaker 1: whatever the hell the daily face off is, what the
• 1:35:07
  Speaker 1: the name of the site is that I look at
• 1:35:10
  Speaker 1: for that. Nothing is really confirmed yet. They're projecting that
• 1:35:13
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be Hello Book against Heart in this one,
• 1:35:16
  Speaker 1: so I think Winnipeg would have a goaltending edge if
• 1:35:18
  Speaker 1: that was the case. Of course, I think Hello Book's
• 1:35:20
  Speaker 1: the best in hockey. But I think it's a pretty
• 1:35:23
  Speaker 1: significant goaltending edge if that's the goaltending matchup, So I
• 1:35:26
  Speaker 1: like that too. Again, these market numbers might change because
• 1:35:30
  Speaker 1: this is a late night game, so I'm not gonna
• 1:35:32
  Speaker 1: rely too much on the market read on that one
• 1:35:34
  Speaker 1: this early in the morning.
• 1:35:36
  Speaker 2: Winnipeg will be the play and that's it.
• 1:35:38
  Speaker 1: Man, that was the last game on the board, right
• 1:35:41
  Speaker 1: I think some yeah, all right, that's gonna do it. Man,
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 1: I appreciate it. Thanks everybody for hanging out the place
• 1:35:47
  Speaker 1: Aday one more time. Texas Rangers money Line, San Jose
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 1: Sharks money line, and Winnipeg Split Bet money line, puck Line.
• 1:35:57
  Speaker 1: Let's get it done, man, Let's have another winning day.
• 1:36:00
  Speaker 1: I think we've had like eight winning days in a row,
• 1:36:03
  Speaker 1: and I it's this streak is nine days because I
• 1:36:06
  Speaker 1: had one day that I passed on the entire board.
• 1:36:09
  Speaker 1: So we've had no losing days over that span. So
• 1:36:13
  Speaker 1: let's let's keep it going. We've had some close ones
• 1:36:16
  Speaker 1: yesterday especially, we needed the Indiana basis to backdoor.
• 1:36:19
  Speaker 2: That to give us a three two day yesterday. But
• 1:36:22
  Speaker 2: let's keep it up.
• 1:36:23
  Speaker 1: Man, We're hot right now. Want to keep it going
• 1:36:25
  Speaker 1: and I'm doing I'm trying my best. That's gonna do it.
• 1:36:28
  Speaker 1: I appreciate it, regulars, newcomers, even though sometimes have an ass.
• 1:36:32
  Speaker 2: Thanks everybody.
• 1:36:33
  Speaker 1: Learn to Toad is where I'm at, like basically everywhere Twitter.
• 1:36:37
  Speaker 1: You'll have to deal with my bigoted shit posting on Twitter, though,
• 1:36:42
  Speaker 1: learn a tone on Instagram where I post the short
• 1:36:44
  Speaker 1: form betting content obviously, like subscribe, tell everybody about the
• 1:36:48
  Speaker 1: show here. Let's boost this channel. Let's get it, monetize
• 1:36:51
  Speaker 1: all that stuff. You'll get notified when I come back.
• 1:36:53
  Speaker 1: Every morning I'm here, I do some extra shows. I
• 1:36:56
  Speaker 1: am gonna do a couple of specials coming up where
• 1:36:59
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna fill out my NBA playoff bracket once the
• 1:37:02
  Speaker 1: playoff field is actually set. I'm gonna do the NHL
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 1: one as well shortly after that, and I'm gonna try
• 1:37:08
  Speaker 1: to get Clint from Liberty Lockdown back onto talk about
• 1:37:12
  Speaker 1: what he thinks about the NBA playoffs and give his
• 1:37:14
  Speaker 1: NBA playoff picks as well. He's a Laker fan, so
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 1: that's always fun Celtics versus Lakers. No, no animosity there.
• 1:37:22
  Speaker 1: We have fun. We bust balls, you know. So I'm
• 1:37:24
  Speaker 1: gonna see if he wants to do it and come
• 1:37:26
  Speaker 1: back sometime this week to do that. So be on
• 1:37:30
  Speaker 1: the lookout for a new episode of Bald if that happens.
• 1:37:34
  Speaker 1: We're on audio with this as well, so listening over
• 1:37:36
  Speaker 1: there helps me out. The listener numbers have gone up,
• 1:37:38
  Speaker 1: which I like, but I want to get even more
• 1:37:40
  Speaker 1: and more, man because I know you got to deal
• 1:37:42
  Speaker 1: with ads on there, but it's how we monetize. We're
• 1:37:45
  Speaker 1: not making them much at all, and I'd like to
• 1:37:47
  Speaker 1: make more. So we're on Spreaker, Apple, Spotify. All that helps.
• 1:37:52
  Speaker 1: Review over there helps me out as well reviewing the show.
• 1:37:55
  Speaker 1: I have a yuk channel as well at Covered in Yuke,
• 1:37:58
  Speaker 1: which I might try to murder to this one, and
• 1:38:00
  Speaker 1: if I do that, this channel here might change the name.
• 1:38:03
  Speaker 1: Although I am gonna for Jeffrey, I am going to
• 1:38:05
  Speaker 1: keep the Toadstool sports branding on the sports part of
• 1:38:09
  Speaker 1: it though, I'm gonna keep that name, but the overall
• 1:38:12
  Speaker 1: channel might change its name to I don't know. I
• 1:38:16
  Speaker 1: have to think of a good name for it, the
• 1:38:18
  Speaker 1: Toad's abode.
• 1:38:19
  Speaker 2: I don't know, the toad hob.
• 1:38:21
  Speaker 1: I have no idea. We'll think about it. I'm rambling.
• 1:38:25
  Speaker 1: I would else, So I have to plug here, Patreon,
• 1:38:27
  Speaker 1: dot Com, slash Learn to Toad, some bonus yuke stuff there,
• 1:38:30
  Speaker 1: and I've opened it up a little bit over there
• 1:38:31
  Speaker 1: on I know I gotta do better at that stuff.
• 1:38:34
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna do some yuke jam sessions. Man, That's my plan,
• 1:38:37
  Speaker 1: but I know I keep saying that and I haven't
• 1:38:39
  Speaker 1: started it yet. My voice hasn't been good and my
• 1:38:42
  Speaker 1: thumb is kind of messed up. Right now, but I
• 1:38:44
  Speaker 1: don't know. Play through it though. And Loser Cast will
• 1:38:49
  Speaker 1: be back tomorrow night. You check that out as well, the
• 1:38:51
  Speaker 1: new comedy podcast. And uh, there may be a show
• 1:38:56
  Speaker 1: that I may be joining with the guys from netflim
• 1:39:00
  Speaker 1: Desk Squad. We might be doing a regular show, the
• 1:39:04
  Speaker 1: three of Us, the three animals, Lobster, Raven, Toad. So
• 1:39:08
  Speaker 1: we'll see if that starts happening. Might be something in
• 1:39:12
  Speaker 1: the works there. I don't know. I don't know if
• 1:39:13
  Speaker 1: I'm allowed to say it, but nobody watches this show anyway,
• 1:39:15
  Speaker 1: so that's gonna do it. Let's have a winning day.
• 1:39:18
  Speaker 1: I need a better sign off. I'll think of one,
• 1:39:21
  Speaker 1: maybe besides peace Scissors