Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MMA DFS - UFC 316 | 6/07/25 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process

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MMA DFS - UFC 316 | 6/07/25 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:05
  Speaker 1: Fall systems, clear the lifting, What is going on?
• 0:37
  Speaker 2: Everybody happy? Pay per view season? We're back. I mean, man,
• 0:41
  Speaker 2: what an awful fight card last week? Didn't even have
• 0:43
  Speaker 2: fights the week before. I don't even want to waste
• 0:46
  Speaker 2: my breath on that absolute pass. We got thirteen fights
• 0:50
  Speaker 2: pay per view season in New Jersey, USC three sixteen,
• 0:54
  Speaker 2: two title fights, Rob Sugar, Kayla Harrison, Juliana Pana, Plenty
• 0:59
  Speaker 2: of big favorites. That's a broad slighted overview. Two five rounders,
• 1:03
  Speaker 2: tons of big favorites, only two fights in the mid tier.
• 1:07
  Speaker 2: Sets up to be an interesting card. But anytime you
• 1:10
  Speaker 2: got pay per view, anytime there's fights on the screen,
• 1:12
  Speaker 2: I'm excited. Screen, I'm excited anytime it's pay per view season.
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: Prizes get a little bigger, fights get a little better,
• 1:19
  Speaker 2: gets me real pumped up. How are we doing, Big Marley?
• 1:22
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, not the greatest car to come off of,
• 1:25
  Speaker 3: but at least we got another one with some bigger prizes.
• 1:27
  Speaker 3: So hopefully it turns around and this is a better one.
• 1:30
  Speaker 2: Absolutely, little neck, Michael Peterson, what's going on any broad
• 1:34
  Speaker 2: slate overview on your end, Big Marley? Or you want
• 1:37
  Speaker 2: to just jump right.
• 1:38
  Speaker 3: Into it mainly just the focus will be on the
• 1:42
  Speaker 3: two title fights. I think, aside from the main event
• 1:48
  Speaker 3: in Harrison, ownership is somewhat spread out from all the others,
• 1:54
  Speaker 3: so I think those will be the most popular three
• 1:58
  Speaker 3: that everyone kind of gravitates to, and then we can
• 2:02
  Speaker 3: get different by leaving salary on the table. There's a
• 2:04
  Speaker 3: couple plays. I'm looking to hear what you think about it,
• 2:07
  Speaker 3: but I don't know. You're the one that makes me
• 2:08
  Speaker 3: think different. So we'll see how this goes.
• 2:10
  Speaker 2: I guess I think we have your two title fights
• 2:13
  Speaker 2: will definitely get the most ownership. I think Morob clearly
• 2:16
  Speaker 2: will be the chalkiest on the slate. I mean, the
• 2:18
  Speaker 2: dude should be ninety eight hundred. We know DraftKings goes
• 2:21
  Speaker 2: based on salary, based on money line. I mean he's
• 2:24
  Speaker 2: a dfscoed. Everyone knows it. Big favorites. I think he's
• 2:27
  Speaker 2: the highest. Harrison is the biggest favorite ninety seven hundred,
• 2:30
  Speaker 2: so she'll be played, of course in check. But I
• 2:32
  Speaker 2: think the fight, the third highest owned fight is this
• 2:35
  Speaker 2: one right here. Spevak a costa. A lot of it
• 2:38
  Speaker 2: has to do with there's two mid tier fights. Salary
• 2:42
  Speaker 2: is tough on this card. When we get to the
• 2:43
  Speaker 2: lower tier, there's a lot of big favorites, which means
• 2:46
  Speaker 2: a lot of the cheaper tier is full filled with
• 2:48
  Speaker 2: really big underdogs tough to click. If you want Morob
• 2:52
  Speaker 2: and you want some spend ups, you will almost naturally
• 2:55
  Speaker 2: fall in the mid tier with one or two of
• 2:58
  Speaker 2: the fights Spivok at Co minus one ninety to finish
• 3:01
  Speaker 2: Clash the styles closest price fight on the card pretty
• 3:05
  Speaker 2: closely lined. I think everyone's gonna play Morob with one
• 3:10
  Speaker 2: of those two and then one or two more nine
• 3:14
  Speaker 2: eight point nine K fighters that way and leave like
• 3:17
  Speaker 2: three hundred or less dollars. So right away, I just
• 3:19
  Speaker 2: think going Morob Slash Suga with Kayla Harrison and then
• 3:24
  Speaker 2: one of Skiboka Costa. If you do that, I would
• 3:27
  Speaker 2: really be cautious on what you do with your next
• 3:29
  Speaker 2: three spots. I'm not saying I'll make a rule against it.
• 3:32
  Speaker 2: We have thirteen fights, we have plenty of low owned fighters.
• 3:35
  Speaker 2: Just really be cognizant after that. What you do is
• 3:38
  Speaker 2: all I got as my broad slay overview. Who's watching
• 3:42
  Speaker 2: what's going on? Hope everybody out here having a great day,
• 3:45
  Speaker 2: But every day you are listening to this and all
• 3:47
  Speaker 2: we ask like button subscribe button helps you out a
• 3:50
  Speaker 2: ton bringing you shows on this channel every single day.
• 3:53
  Speaker 2: And if you do want to join us at the
• 3:54
  Speaker 2: Nation again, all of our MMA content will be up
• 3:56
  Speaker 2: on Friday. Projections Ownership, everything loaded into sabers Him the
• 4:00
  Speaker 2: best in the business, not just MMA, going on PGA
• 4:03
  Speaker 2: Locks tomorrow, NBA Finals, you can see Big Marley's hat,
• 4:07
  Speaker 2: Go Pacers, MLB of course MMA, obviously, NHL Stanley Cup
• 4:13
  Speaker 2: starts tonight. Excited for that NASCAR Big Boy Prizes all
• 4:16
  Speaker 2: the time. Next thing you know, football will be here.
• 4:18
  Speaker 2: But DJEN seventy five is the code get you seventy
• 4:21
  Speaker 2: five dollars off your first month usually ninety nine dollars
• 4:24
  Speaker 2: a z. You see right here for the Sabersim Core
• 4:26
  Speaker 2: package with all of our content with the discord use
• 4:29
  Speaker 2: the code. DJN seventy five brings you all the way
• 4:31
  Speaker 2: down to twenty four bucks your first month. Absolutely cannot
• 4:35
  Speaker 2: beat that deal. All right, I'm ready to talk some fights.
• 4:38
  Speaker 2: I know, my man, Big Marley's ready to talk some
• 4:40
  Speaker 2: fights bottom the top like always first fight of the night,
• 4:44
  Speaker 2: Chaos Williams taking on, Oh shoot, the best fight just
• 4:48
  Speaker 2: or fight outs completely change up the order on me.
• 4:51
  Speaker 2: So we're gonna go based on the stone. I'm gonna
• 4:54
  Speaker 2: have to find it. So chaos minus one eighty five
• 4:56
  Speaker 2: taking Andreas Gustafson plus one sixty mine is two fifty
• 5:00
  Speaker 2: for this fight to finish minus won ten Williams inside
• 5:04
  Speaker 2: the distance plus two eighty five gus Ofson inside the distance.
• 5:08
  Speaker 2: So Andreas Gustison, you're probably like that name sounds familiar. Yeah,
• 5:12
  Speaker 2: we talked about him last week. He was supposed to
• 5:14
  Speaker 2: fight Trevin Giles. Giles fell weightcutting. I guess Friday morning
• 5:19
  Speaker 2: or something like that hit his head. Had to withdraw.
• 5:22
  Speaker 2: Gust of Sin goes from that card to now the
• 5:25
  Speaker 2: very next week. But man, he went from a decent
• 5:28
  Speaker 2: sized favorite to now a decent size underdog. Definitely a
• 5:32
  Speaker 2: much more difficult fight. I don't know how i'd how
• 5:36
  Speaker 2: I'd be thinking in my mind if I was Justison,
• 5:38
  Speaker 2: I'll throw it to you right on that, Like DFS aside,
• 5:41
  Speaker 2: what are your thoughts, Hevin? What your thought gonna fight?
• 5:44
  Speaker 2: Just last week things completely changed. He's in the process
• 5:47
  Speaker 2: of weight cutting. The next week they book him big
• 5:50
  Speaker 2: boy fight. He's making his UFC debut his pay per view.
• 5:53
  Speaker 2: He gets a good UFC fighter too, I think, better
• 5:56
  Speaker 2: than Giles. And the line indicates how would your mindset be?
• 5:59
  Speaker 2: And then break down this one in terms of DFS.
• 6:03
  Speaker 3: I mean, since he's making his debut, I don't know
• 6:05
  Speaker 3: that his mindset's gonna change all that much, and his
• 6:08
  Speaker 3: style is kind of gonna be the same every time out.
• 6:11
  Speaker 3: To me, it seems like uh. And then stylistically, Williams
• 6:14
  Speaker 3: isn't too crazy different than Giles. It's mostly gonna be
• 6:18
  Speaker 3: a striking match. I think it's just that last week
• 6:20
  Speaker 3: I was picking Gustavsen to knock out Giles, Chaos is
• 6:23
  Speaker 3: gonna be a lot harder to knockout. So I am
• 6:26
  Speaker 3: gonna change my pick on this one because gust of Sin,
• 6:28
  Speaker 3: I think, does the same thing. Gonna go out early,
• 6:31
  Speaker 3: push the pace, try and knock out Chaos, but Chaos
• 6:34
  Speaker 3: has never been knocked out, and I think Chaos probably
• 6:37
  Speaker 3: hits harder than Gustavsen. I also think Chaos holds up
• 6:40
  Speaker 3: better over the course of three rounds, so I see
• 6:43
  Speaker 3: Chaos probably winning twenty nine to twenty eight if it
• 6:46
  Speaker 3: goes to a decision. But I'm gonna pick him to
• 6:49
  Speaker 3: get the knockout in this one, So I do like Chaos.
• 6:51
  Speaker 3: I'm gonna get overweight to him, I think, and then
• 6:54
  Speaker 3: I'll throw a Gustavsin in. For sure, he could break
• 6:56
  Speaker 3: the slate at seventy five hundred dollars, but I I
• 6:59
  Speaker 3: probably had forty plus percent last week before he was canceled,
• 7:04
  Speaker 3: and now I'm going to have at least half of that,
• 7:06
  Speaker 3: maybe fifteen to twenty percent.
• 7:07
  Speaker 2: I would think. I like this fight a lot. I'm
• 7:10
  Speaker 2: picking Chaos too, I'm with you. I just think the
• 7:12
  Speaker 2: power that Chaos has. Gusison just seems like a wild man,
• 7:17
  Speaker 2: like he's gonna continue to walk forward. I think eventually
• 7:19
  Speaker 2: he'll walk forward into a big shot from Chaos. What
• 7:22
  Speaker 2: I love about this fight. If Gustifson wins it, just
• 7:25
  Speaker 2: with his style, it's hard to see him scoring poorly,
• 7:28
  Speaker 2: especially at seventy five hundred. If he wins, I think
• 7:30
  Speaker 2: he's almost surely optimal. So I like a lot of
• 7:33
  Speaker 2: Gustison naturally in the card. I don't like many dogs,
• 7:35
  Speaker 2: plenty of upside, solid money line. Definitely like him, but
• 7:39
  Speaker 2: I like about Chaos obviously minus one ten. The finish
• 7:42
  Speaker 2: is really good, is round one prop plus two to
• 7:44
  Speaker 2: seventy five also very good, but he's he's eighty seven hundred.
• 7:49
  Speaker 2: You can go a Joe Pifer. Let's say at ninety
• 7:52
  Speaker 2: two hundred, build out your team, drop Pifer down to Chaos.
• 7:56
  Speaker 2: Williams Right, there's five hundred bucks. That's how I'm leaving money,
• 8:00
  Speaker 2: money more in the upper tier than I am the
• 8:02
  Speaker 2: lower tier. Like, of course I'd be fine going like,
• 8:07
  Speaker 2: let me say this, I do not like the idea
• 8:08
  Speaker 2: of going Gustuson down to Janel Ashmuz Like. I just
• 8:12
  Speaker 2: think that's really really tough. You're giving up a ton
• 8:14
  Speaker 2: of money line value kind of upside as well, Whereas
• 8:18
  Speaker 2: when you're going Pifer down to Chaos, Chaos actually has
• 8:21
  Speaker 2: a better inside the distance prop. He has a better
• 8:24
  Speaker 2: round one prop, so you're not giving nearly up or
• 8:26
  Speaker 2: nearly as much up going something like that. So I
• 8:29
  Speaker 2: like Chaos and his priced egg plenty of upside, easier
• 8:32
  Speaker 2: to leave money than some other people up top. I
• 8:34
  Speaker 2: think Gus Listens a very strong play at seventy five hundred.
• 8:38
  Speaker 2: Hard for me not to see him winning and then
• 8:41
  Speaker 2: not being optimal on a very favorite heavy card like this.
• 8:44
  Speaker 2: So that's what I got Keif no, you didn't miss it,
• 8:48
  Speaker 2: appreciate hanging out. Hope everyone and yourself are having a
• 8:51
  Speaker 2: great day. All right. Next fight on the card, we
• 8:54
  Speaker 2: have markal Madero's minus two hundred taking on Mark the
• 9:00
  Speaker 2: Shark Chowinsky plus one seventy plus one thirty five for
• 9:03
  Speaker 2: this fight to finish, Madero's plus one seventy five inside
• 9:06
  Speaker 2: the distance, Mark the Shark plus five twenty five. Here
• 9:11
  Speaker 2: we go, underdog time. I gotta say, right from the start,
• 9:15
  Speaker 2: maybe a little little little bias, shout out u w oshcosh.
• 9:19
  Speaker 2: That's where I went sore. Mark Chowinski wentz. Three time
• 9:22
  Speaker 2: All American wrestler is Mark the Shark making his UFC
• 9:26
  Speaker 2: debut eight to O trains out a RUFUS sport c
• 9:29
  Speaker 2: Rod the boys there in Milwaukee. The dude will fight
• 9:33
  Speaker 2: for my dollar. He's seventy three hundred bucks. He has
• 9:36
  Speaker 2: some wrestling upside on a card where I hate underdogs,
• 9:40
  Speaker 2: so automatically I'm definitely playing some Mark the Shark, but
• 9:43
  Speaker 2: MARKU Madero's. He was also supposed to fight last week
• 9:46
  Speaker 2: against blagi Oki. He pulled out on Wednesday because he
• 9:50
  Speaker 2: said he was very ill. He could not eat, he
• 9:53
  Speaker 2: could not train, he couldn't do anything. So that was
• 9:56
  Speaker 2: just a week from this day that he pulled out.
• 10:00
  Speaker 2: I don't know, like I'm not playing Mark hel Madaros
• 10:02
  Speaker 2: in twenty and bow. He's a primary striker without the
• 10:04
  Speaker 2: most volume. Mark's gonna fight for my dollars. Seems durable.
• 10:08
  Speaker 2: All of that, the fight's favor to go the distance
• 10:10
  Speaker 2: at minus one sixty five, I'm not playing Markel by
• 10:13
  Speaker 2: any means. Mark gonna fight for my dollar. Maybe some
• 10:17
  Speaker 2: wrestling upside, he can make it gritty. I just want
• 10:20
  Speaker 2: any win in any seventy five hundred below. I want
• 10:23
  Speaker 2: any win. If it's score sixty, I'm fine with that.
• 10:25
  Speaker 2: I think Mark's one of the most live dogs on
• 10:28
  Speaker 2: this card. Mark Schowinsky's my pick, definitely my preferred play.
• 10:32
  Speaker 2: Shout out u wo, hope he comes through for us.
• 10:34
  Speaker 2: What do you got?
• 10:36
  Speaker 3: Yeah? I mean, he definitely sold me. I'm gonna play
• 10:40
  Speaker 3: more and Mark for sure. Now he might even be
• 10:43
  Speaker 3: an overweight play for me, possibly a core play who
• 10:45
  Speaker 3: we'll see. But pick wise, I did go with Maderos
• 10:50
  Speaker 3: mostly because I didn't like what's it Chowinsky. I didn't
• 10:55
  Speaker 3: like his striking.
• 10:56
  Speaker 2: I mean he'll He's a wrestler that develops striking for sure,
• 11:00
  Speaker 2: there's no doubt about that.
• 11:01
  Speaker 3: I also didn't love his wrestling per se. I thought
• 11:04
  Speaker 3: he'd be he'd have a big grappling edge in this fight,
• 11:07
  Speaker 3: but I'm just not confident he can get the fight
• 11:08
  Speaker 3: to the ground. I do think he should be trying often,
• 11:12
  Speaker 3: and if he does win, I think he has a
• 11:14
  Speaker 3: good chance of scoring well. Whereas Madero's he needs a
• 11:17
  Speaker 3: knockout at eighty nine hundred dollars. If he doesn't get
• 11:20
  Speaker 3: a knockout, I don't know how he makes the optimal lineup.
• 11:24
  Speaker 3: Chowinsky could be sloppy on the feet, so maybe he
• 11:27
  Speaker 3: could snipe him and get that TKO. But that's not
• 11:29
  Speaker 3: Madero's style. He's more of a lateral movement kind of guy.
• 11:33
  Speaker 3: Pick his spots and win at twenty nine to twenty eight,
• 11:36
  Speaker 3: maybe thirty twenty seven type of decision, which I'm not
• 11:38
  Speaker 3: interested in DraftKings, So yeah, I changed this to a
• 11:41
  Speaker 3: two star Madeo's four star Chewinsky in this one. I'm
• 11:47
  Speaker 3: much more interested in the underdog for DFS, and I've
• 11:50
  Speaker 3: got to watch some more fights I only saw. I
• 11:52
  Speaker 3: want to say one or two fights of him, so
• 11:54
  Speaker 3: I might watch some more and like him even more.
• 11:56
  Speaker 3: Because when I did this fight, I want to say,
• 11:58
  Speaker 3: Maderos was minus three twenty five, so money's been coming
• 12:01
  Speaker 3: in on Chewinsky as well, so that makes me like
• 12:03
  Speaker 3: him Moore as well.
• 12:05
  Speaker 2: Yeah, Madero's on Monday was minus two forty, so the
• 12:07
  Speaker 2: line open minus two hundred Monday minus two forty got
• 12:10
  Speaker 2: all the way down to minus three twenty five, like
• 12:12
  Speaker 2: you were saying, and plenty of buyback on the Chewinsky side.
• 12:16
  Speaker 2: The problem with Trewinsky like he's only he's eight and zero.
• 12:20
  Speaker 2: He's fought bad competition, so it's really hard for me
• 12:23
  Speaker 2: to be washing the tape, which I've done and make
• 12:25
  Speaker 2: a like a good gauge on this guy at the
• 12:28
  Speaker 2: end of the day. To be honest, it's mainly just
• 12:30
  Speaker 2: the card. The nature of this card, so many big underdogs,
• 12:33
  Speaker 2: and I don't like Madero's and the guy can wrestle,
• 12:36
  Speaker 2: so just naturally that's pretty much all I need to
• 12:38
  Speaker 2: see on it. If there was no favorite above minus
• 12:41
  Speaker 2: two eighty, I would not have nearly as much interest
• 12:44
  Speaker 2: on Mark Chewinsky at this week. If plenty of other
• 12:47
  Speaker 2: underdogs have the same exact money line. However, because of
• 12:50
  Speaker 2: everything going on with Madero's wrestling, upside will fight for
• 12:53
  Speaker 2: my dollar. Hating the lower tier, I'm definitely gonna be
• 12:56
  Speaker 2: playing a decent amount of Mark Showinski. Yeah, Hubber did
• 13:00
  Speaker 2: take him down, hoping Mark the Shark does the same.
• 13:03
  Speaker 2: I agree the tape I saw. I wasn't that impressed
• 13:05
  Speaker 2: with his wrestling, but I mean, I know uw O
• 13:07
  Speaker 2: is a solid wrestling school, D three being a three
• 13:10
  Speaker 2: time All American, it's pretty impressive, so I'm just basing
• 13:14
  Speaker 2: the stuff on that. Trading at Rufus Sports also good.
• 13:16
  Speaker 2: There's killers at Rufus Sport there. So everything lining up
• 13:19
  Speaker 2: for Mark big big step up in competition though, obviously
• 13:23
  Speaker 2: all right, keep it rolling. Next fight on the card,
• 13:25
  Speaker 2: talk about big favorites. Gonna be talking about some in
• 13:28
  Speaker 2: the next couple fights. Quillin, Sal killed that minus five
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: seventy taking on your now, Oshmuz plus four to twenty
• 13:35
  Speaker 2: plus one ten for this fight to finish, sal Kid
• 13:38
  Speaker 2: plus one sixty inside the distance, Ashmuz plus five twenty
• 13:41
  Speaker 2: five take it away, What'll be doing?
• 13:46
  Speaker 3: I like Seal kild he just looks like he's got
• 13:48
  Speaker 3: big potential. He should be the better striker in this one,
• 13:51
  Speaker 3: more dangerous coming off of a quick win knockout, and
• 13:54
  Speaker 3: then he had like nine takedowns on the Contender series
• 13:57
  Speaker 3: as well, so I think he's gonna have the edge
• 14:00
  Speaker 3: anywhere this fight goes. Ashmoss is an underdog who could
• 14:05
  Speaker 3: score well, could win, could score well if Seuth Kild's
• 14:09
  Speaker 3: just not the real deal. If we're over hyping this kid.
• 14:13
  Speaker 3: But he's not somebody I'm really looking to click on
• 14:15
  Speaker 3: very much. I'm gonna leave him in my player pool.
• 14:17
  Speaker 3: I'd be fine getting anywhere between you know, five and
• 14:19
  Speaker 3: fifteen percent or so, but with my handbuilds, he's not
• 14:23
  Speaker 3: somebody that I'm clicking on, especially over Chewinski or other
• 14:26
  Speaker 3: people will get too later Seal Killed. The only issue
• 14:30
  Speaker 3: with him is the ninety four hundred dollars and the
• 14:32
  Speaker 3: other expensive options on this card. I want to be
• 14:35
  Speaker 3: sprinkling all of them in. I'd imagine I'll be a
• 14:37
  Speaker 3: round field weight on him, and I probably prefer over
• 14:40
  Speaker 3: rather than under. But I'm I'm okay with a wide
• 14:44
  Speaker 3: range on the south Kild side.
• 14:47
  Speaker 2: I am not playing Seal Killed in twenty and below.
• 14:50
  Speaker 2: That's one of the stands I make, and the problem
• 14:52
  Speaker 2: is is just they're so good up top. Like I
• 14:55
  Speaker 2: love Kevin Holland this week, I love Morob like everyone
• 14:58
  Speaker 2: loves Morob Chios. I prefer for cheaper Mr. Zakhana's plus
• 15:02
  Speaker 2: one hundred and round one yo looks great. I don't
• 15:06
  Speaker 2: like Wang Kong much, That's what I was gonna ask you.
• 15:08
  Speaker 2: Like I like Joshua Van Moore. I love Joe Pifer
• 15:11
  Speaker 2: is pretty close too, but I still prefer Piper. If
• 15:13
  Speaker 2: having to choose, I was debating between Wayne Kong and
• 15:17
  Speaker 2: sal Killed for an underweight and then a fade, I
• 15:19
  Speaker 2: just went with Wang because she has pretty much the
• 15:22
  Speaker 2: same inside the distance, and she's three hundred dollars cheaper
• 15:25
  Speaker 2: and the fight is minus one twenty to finish, where
• 15:27
  Speaker 2: this one's plus one ten, like I could see Ariana
• 15:30
  Speaker 2: Disilba pushing a higher pace and making it a dog fight.
• 15:34
  Speaker 2: And again mainly it was a three hundred dollars cheaper
• 15:36
  Speaker 2: but ninety four hundred in a fight favored to go
• 15:38
  Speaker 2: the distance, like he really he probably needs a first
• 15:41
  Speaker 2: round knockout, and what are the odds we're looking at
• 15:43
  Speaker 2: her first round knackout plus four seventy five, so many
• 15:50
  Speaker 2: in the upper tier is much better, So I prefer Ashmuz.
• 15:54
  Speaker 2: I also just think, like, yeah, I'll killed very well.
• 15:57
  Speaker 2: Might be might be the real deal. He's only twenty
• 15:59
  Speaker 2: five years old. But I don't think you know, Ashmoves
• 16:01
  Speaker 2: is a bum by any means. Like, the dude's gonna
• 16:03
  Speaker 2: knock out Sam Patterson. The Dude's gonna fight for my dollar.
• 16:07
  Speaker 2: It's all I really really need when we're talking sixty
• 16:10
  Speaker 2: eight hundred on a favorite heavy card. Yes, three inch
• 16:13
  Speaker 2: height disadvantage, six inch reach disadvantage, but that's nothing new.
• 16:16
  Speaker 2: Oshmves is very small for the lightweight division, So yeah,
• 16:20
  Speaker 2: I prefer ashmus in this one. Actually, with all that
• 16:22
  Speaker 2: being said, Salkill has taken a lot of money. He's
• 16:25
  Speaker 2: a big favorite for a reason. I just ninety eight
• 16:28
  Speaker 2: probably is not enough this week. I'm gonna be hoping
• 16:30
  Speaker 2: he does not get a first round knockout. We'll move
• 16:34
  Speaker 2: to another huge favorites, Ozama Mrzakhana minus six hundred taking
• 16:39
  Speaker 2: on Brentson Robero plus four to twenty five minus eight
• 16:41
  Speaker 2: hundred for this fight to finish. The highest on the card,
• 16:44
  Speaker 2: Verza Khana minus three fifty inside the distance best on
• 16:48
  Speaker 2: the card, Ribero plus four fifty inside the distance, and
• 16:52
  Speaker 2: then we have Murza Khanof in round one at plus
• 16:55
  Speaker 2: one hundred. Yeah, I mean, take it away. I don't
• 16:58
  Speaker 2: know how you don't have some interest in this fight
• 17:00
  Speaker 2: at minus eight hundred to finish.
• 17:03
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean the issue on this one is that
• 17:05
  Speaker 3: Mrza Khanov's ninety six hundred dollars. I definitely like him.
• 17:10
  Speaker 3: He should win with a finish, a knockout probably first
• 17:16
  Speaker 3: round would be great. But even that, if it's not
• 17:18
  Speaker 3: a quick win bonus, what are we looking at like
• 17:21
  Speaker 3: one hundred and five hundred and ten points, let's say,
• 17:23
  Speaker 3: And that's not gonna be a lot at all on
• 17:26
  Speaker 3: this card. So I don't love him at that price,
• 17:29
  Speaker 3: but I definitely want some of them. He should be
• 17:31
  Speaker 3: the better wrestler, a better striker, more powerful. But Robero,
• 17:36
  Speaker 3: on the other hand, I mean nothing special about Roberto,
• 17:39
  Speaker 3: but these are big boys. He could land one shot
• 17:41
  Speaker 3: and be the guy that knocks Mrzakonov out and breaks
• 17:43
  Speaker 3: the slate. At low ownership. Maybe I'm more interested in
• 17:47
  Speaker 3: getting different by throwing Roberto into some lineups, but that's
• 17:51
  Speaker 3: just DFS strategy. My pick is Murza Khanov to go
• 17:54
  Speaker 3: out there and beat this guy and finish them. But
• 17:57
  Speaker 3: I think it'll probably be like a second round knockout
• 17:59
  Speaker 3: and second round I just don't I don't know how
• 18:02
  Speaker 3: it's gonna be enough in the second round because he's
• 18:04
  Speaker 3: not gonna lay in more than one or two takedowns
• 18:07
  Speaker 3: in this fight, and he doesn't strike at a high
• 18:09
  Speaker 3: enough volume for a second round knockout to put him
• 18:11
  Speaker 3: at one hundred and twenty plus points, which we might
• 18:13
  Speaker 3: even need from him on this card.
• 18:15
  Speaker 2: One hundred percent agree with all that. I'm gonna be
• 18:17
  Speaker 2: playing some for the quick win bonus for a first
• 18:20
  Speaker 2: round finish, which is a coin flip, and take whatever
• 18:23
  Speaker 2: score he scores and goes after that. But I mean, yeah,
• 18:27
  Speaker 2: you have Killa Harrison with a lot of wrestling upside
• 18:29
  Speaker 2: twenty five minutes to work for just one hundred more.
• 18:32
  Speaker 2: You have Morob for a lot cheaper. I would be
• 18:34
  Speaker 2: fine plugging in a Harrison team going Harrison down to Marzakhana,
• 18:38
  Speaker 2: leaving at least one hundred. With that, I think you
• 18:41
  Speaker 2: can eliminate some dups going that way. And yeah, one
• 18:43
  Speaker 2: oh eight, like I'll take one oh eight any single day.
• 18:46
  Speaker 2: Doesn't mean it's gonna be enough. I don't know, but
• 18:49
  Speaker 2: at a fraction of the ownership as Harrison and eliminating dupes,
• 18:53
  Speaker 2: I'd be good with that. Now Rebero, I one hundred
• 18:55
  Speaker 2: percent want to play Rebero. He's gonna be leverage off
• 18:58
  Speaker 2: of some ownership from Rzakhana. He's plus four to twenty
• 19:01
  Speaker 2: five to win. He's plus four to fifty to win
• 19:03
  Speaker 2: inside the distance, so almost all of his win equity
• 19:06
  Speaker 2: is finish And yeah, I mean it, big boys only
• 19:09
  Speaker 2: takes one to land. He has five inches in height advantage,
• 19:12
  Speaker 2: ten inches in reach. It just takes one shot. At
• 19:15
  Speaker 2: the end of the day. Do I think he wins. No,
• 19:17
  Speaker 2: but there's plenty of big underdogs as you can see
• 19:21
  Speaker 2: with that are massive, massive money line dogs. Ribero at
• 19:25
  Speaker 2: least if he wins, he's gonna put up a big
• 19:27
  Speaker 2: boy scorer, so I'll be playing some of him. Think
• 19:30
  Speaker 2: Murzakana probably gets a first round knockout though. XT fight
• 19:34
  Speaker 2: on the card, Jew saying Yo taking on check as
• 19:37
  Speaker 2: Sarah guy, we are looking at a Yo is minus
• 19:42
  Speaker 2: six twenty five, Sarahgui plus four fifty, you are minus
• 19:47
  Speaker 2: two hundred for this fight to finish. Yo minus won
• 19:49
  Speaker 2: forty inside the distance, Sarahgi plus five twenty five take
• 19:53
  Speaker 2: it away.
• 19:56
  Speaker 3: Um, yeah, SARAHI is just the only advantage I give
• 19:59
  Speaker 3: him this one is maybe he just he throws harder
• 20:02
  Speaker 3: hooks like he'll he'll try and knock out his opponent.
• 20:04
  Speaker 3: He's gonna go out there and throw wild shots and
• 20:07
  Speaker 3: shoot for the knockout, and if he doesn't get it,
• 20:09
  Speaker 3: he's just not very good. I think that Yo is
• 20:11
  Speaker 3: gonna have a big skill advantage on the feet, and
• 20:14
  Speaker 3: then Sereggi has nothing to offer on the ground. I
• 20:17
  Speaker 3: think if Yo wants to wrestle, he can just have
• 20:18
  Speaker 3: his way on the mat with this guy. So in
• 20:21
  Speaker 3: a decision, Yo should score more than Murza Khanov in
• 20:27
  Speaker 3: a decision, and Yo could knock him out. Yo could
• 20:29
  Speaker 3: finish him. I think I'd probably rather save one hundred
• 20:33
  Speaker 3: dollars and maybe less ownership and go to Yo over
• 20:37
  Speaker 3: a Murza Khanov.
• 20:38
  Speaker 2: Here.
• 20:38
  Speaker 3: I think he could dominate this fight. You really just
• 20:41
  Speaker 3: got to worry about the early knockout. If Seregga gets it,
• 20:44
  Speaker 3: he's on the optimal lineup. But I'm gonna take my
• 20:46
  Speaker 3: chances on him not getting it, and I'll probably end
• 20:48
  Speaker 3: up fading him going overweight. On the Yo side, he
• 20:51
  Speaker 3: looked pretty good to me.
• 20:53
  Speaker 2: Yeah, No, I agree, he looks he looks good for sure.
• 20:55
  Speaker 2: Competition hasn't been great. It hasn't been like Mark Chewinsky poor.
• 21:00
  Speaker 2: But would I also like to see Yo minus one
• 21:03
  Speaker 2: thirty inside the distance he opened Now it's minus one forty,
• 21:06
  Speaker 2: so some money coming that way again. On Monday when
• 21:09
  Speaker 2: I put these odds up minus five to ten, he's
• 21:11
  Speaker 2: now minus six twenty five. All three of these big
• 21:14
  Speaker 2: favorites have taken money a decent amount of it two
• 21:17
  Speaker 2: since Monday. If I'd to rank these four, I probably
• 21:21
  Speaker 2: will go Yo, Murza Khana, Seal killed, and just because
• 21:25
  Speaker 2: I can leave that extra one hundred for Mrza Khana
• 21:28
  Speaker 2: and maybe get different that way. I also, when we're
• 21:31
  Speaker 2: looking at like like by method for finishing submission plus
• 21:36
  Speaker 2: two to seventy five Ko plus one ninety, but just
• 21:39
  Speaker 2: seeing plus two seventy five, there's wrestling upside in this
• 21:42
  Speaker 2: one for Yo, which also could score as well. With
• 21:45
  Speaker 2: all that being said, I'm also playing some Jekka the
• 21:47
  Speaker 2: reason like you said, like he knocked out Lucas Alexander,
• 21:50
  Speaker 2: who I think is a very solid fighter. The dude
• 21:52
  Speaker 2: will just throw and if he lands, anyone might go out.
• 21:55
  Speaker 2: He'll fight hard for your dollar in that first round.
• 21:58
  Speaker 2: For sure. The longer the fight go is definitely the
• 22:00
  Speaker 2: more favors YO. But if I had a rank man,
• 22:04
  Speaker 2: that is tough. If I had to rank these three underdogs,
• 22:10
  Speaker 2: I think I'm going ash muz Ribero Sergi. But it's close.
• 22:15
  Speaker 2: What about you, Damn, I don't know.
• 22:20
  Speaker 3: Maybe probably Roberto Ashmus Serreggi like exposure.
• 22:25
  Speaker 2: Wise, all right, makes some sense. All very close, all right,
• 22:30
  Speaker 2: we'll keep it rolling. Next fight on the card, Woldough
• 22:33
  Speaker 2: Cortos Tacosta a slight underdog against Sergei Spivac minus one
• 22:37
  Speaker 2: thirty seven speed Spivac plus one seventeen is a coast
• 22:41
  Speaker 2: minus one ninety for this fight to finish a coast
• 22:43
  Speaker 2: to the underdog better inside the distance prop plus one
• 22:46
  Speaker 2: forty Spivac plus two fifteen. So I think this fight
• 22:50
  Speaker 2: is the third highest owned fight on the card. Again,
• 22:52
  Speaker 2: the reason for that there's only two mid tier fights
• 22:55
  Speaker 2: and eighty five hundred and seventy seven hundred classifies mid tier.
• 22:58
  Speaker 2: Only two on the card, This one patchy mixed Bautista,
• 23:02
  Speaker 2: that one's favored to go the distance. This one one
• 23:05
  Speaker 2: of the best inside the distance props on the slate.
• 23:08
  Speaker 2: Wrestler and Speedbock four point five six takedowns per fifteen,
• 23:11
  Speaker 2: Striker and Waldo five point seven to six doesn't break
• 23:15
  Speaker 2: the bank. Closest line fight on the card expected to finish.
• 23:19
  Speaker 2: It's just you're easily, easily, easily gonna land on this.
• 23:22
  Speaker 2: It's too easy to do it. With all that being said,
• 23:25
  Speaker 2: Big Marley, So let's just say Speedbok's thirty five percent
• 23:29
  Speaker 2: worrowed up wall those thirty I'm just spitballing. But like
• 23:32
  Speaker 2: more than probably most is projected for. Would that change
• 23:35
  Speaker 2: anything in your mindset of this fight? Or it's gonna
• 23:39
  Speaker 2: be owned. It's owned for a reason. I'm jamming it.
• 23:41
  Speaker 2: It's just how the slate goes.
• 23:46
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean I think it's gonna be It's gonna
• 23:48
  Speaker 3: be owned. It's gonna be owned for a reason. I
• 23:51
  Speaker 3: I'm not positive I'm jamming it. I definitely am interested
• 23:54
  Speaker 3: in both sides. I want a lot of it, but
• 23:57
  Speaker 3: I'm not sold on that. If I like lineups with
• 24:00
  Speaker 3: this being lower owned I'd go with it if this
• 24:04
  Speaker 3: is a big part of my I don't think I'm
• 24:07
  Speaker 3: making it one hundred and fifty this week either, So
• 24:10
  Speaker 3: I'm not exactly sure my plan. I made a couple
• 24:13
  Speaker 3: of handbuilds, ended up deleting them all. I am gonna
• 24:15
  Speaker 3: go into the saber sim and see what I can
• 24:17
  Speaker 3: do there. Yeah, I'm not sure. Maybe you can change
• 24:21
  Speaker 3: my mind, but my plan is to go overweight on Spivak, underweight,
• 24:25
  Speaker 3: well maybe not too much underweight, but underweight to a
• 24:28
  Speaker 3: coast because Spivac could just dominate this fight, maybe even
• 24:32
  Speaker 3: finish in the first round. A Coasta could too, but
• 24:34
  Speaker 3: he could also completely drop the first round and then
• 24:38
  Speaker 3: maybe get a second round knockout, and it not be enough.
• 24:41
  Speaker 3: If Spivak wins, I think he's gonna put up a
• 24:43
  Speaker 3: big score.
• 24:44
  Speaker 2: I think even if Waldo get a six got a
• 24:46
  Speaker 2: second round knockout, it's enough. As seventy nine hundred on
• 24:49
  Speaker 2: this card. I just be on this card. Yeah, I
• 24:52
  Speaker 2: just hate all these underdogs, like anyone A came below Like,
• 24:56
  Speaker 2: I'm good. I'm picking Wall though I prefer I like
• 25:00
  Speaker 2: the four hundred savings. It was really close for me.
• 25:03
  Speaker 2: I think the speed difference on the Waldo side will
• 25:05
  Speaker 2: be the biggest factor. Definitely way faster than Spevak, bigger cage,
• 25:09
  Speaker 2: harder for Spiedvac to grab them. With all that being said,
• 25:12
  Speaker 2: it very well might just take one speedback takedown, and
• 25:15
  Speaker 2: that's all she wrote. I did not like seeing Rogerio
• 25:18
  Speaker 2: de Lima take a coast of down three times as
• 25:21
  Speaker 2: a concern Spievac a way better wrestler, grappler, etc. But
• 25:25
  Speaker 2: it mainly came down to I'm doing this as a
• 25:27
  Speaker 2: pick them fight. One of them is four hundred dollars cheaper.
• 25:30
  Speaker 2: I can build a speedback team, take Spivac out and
• 25:33
  Speaker 2: go Waldo, force myself to leave four hundred plus, and
• 25:36
  Speaker 2: that can cut out a lot of dupes. So on
• 25:38
  Speaker 2: a card, I don't on a card. I'm struggling to
• 25:41
  Speaker 2: get different in some spots like I'm gonna use Sabers
• 25:44
  Speaker 2: sim I'm gonna do what I always do, like I'm
• 25:45
  Speaker 2: gonna I'm gonna get enough different teams go in handbuilding
• 25:48
  Speaker 2: and little stuff like that. I prefer going speedback to
• 25:51
  Speaker 2: Waldo and leaving four hundred plus than I do clicking
• 25:54
  Speaker 2: any of Ribero, Saragai or Ashmuz in a handbuild. So
• 25:58
  Speaker 2: that's kind of where I'm at to different right there
• 26:02
  Speaker 2: in the same like the same fight, just leave the money.
• 26:05
  Speaker 2: With all that being said, both sides will be owned. Yeah,
• 26:09
  Speaker 2: it's owned for a reason, like I like this fight
• 26:11
  Speaker 2: much more than the patchy, mixed Bautista and with so
• 26:13
  Speaker 2: many underdogs that are tough to click like stars and
• 26:17
  Speaker 2: scrubs like it will be played. You only have two
• 26:20
  Speaker 2: mid tier fights to pick, but I'm really confident that
• 26:23
  Speaker 2: a lot of people are gonna go one of these
• 26:25
  Speaker 2: two with Morob or Sean and then Kayla, and I
• 26:29
  Speaker 2: don't wanna if I do that. If I'm playing Morob
• 26:32
  Speaker 2: Kayla a Costa, I'm gonna make sure I'm getting a
• 26:35
  Speaker 2: little different in some other spots. So that's what I
• 26:37
  Speaker 2: got for this one. I think it's the third highest
• 26:39
  Speaker 2: own fight on the card. I think it rightfully is
• 26:43
  Speaker 2: two mid tier fights minus one ninety to finish class
• 26:45
  Speaker 2: the styles heavyweights. It all adds up for sure. It's
• 26:50
  Speaker 2: all I got in this one. Keep rolling. Next fight
• 26:52
  Speaker 2: on the card, we have Wayanne Kong taking on Ariana
• 26:57
  Speaker 2: da Silva. We are looking at minus five fIF for
• 27:00
  Speaker 2: Wang plus four hundred for Da Silva minus one twenty
• 27:03
  Speaker 2: for this fight to finish Wayning plus one twenty five
• 27:06
  Speaker 2: inside the distance Da Silva plus five point fifty. What
• 27:10
  Speaker 2: do you like?
• 27:13
  Speaker 3: Not much? Probably gonna be fight. I don't click on
• 27:18
  Speaker 3: that much. Kong makes sense as an ownership type of play.
• 27:22
  Speaker 3: She has power in her hands. She could strike at
• 27:25
  Speaker 3: decent volume, and d Silva struggles off of her back,
• 27:29
  Speaker 3: so Kong could even land a takedown or two and
• 27:32
  Speaker 3: really control top time here, so she is not out
• 27:35
  Speaker 3: of the possibility of putting up a big score. I
• 27:39
  Speaker 3: just think more likely than not she scores less than
• 27:42
  Speaker 3: ten x here, and I don't love that at ninety
• 27:44
  Speaker 3: one hundred dollars on this card. Specifically, I'm okay with
• 27:47
  Speaker 3: a little bit of her for ownership purposes, but I
• 27:49
  Speaker 3: might prefer going down to Da Silva as my preferred
• 27:54
  Speaker 3: play here because she's only seventy one hundred dollars. She'll
• 27:57
  Speaker 3: help me get in the other expensive fighters I want.
• 27:59
  Speaker 3: I think she can keep this fight close or even
• 28:03
  Speaker 3: win it on the feet. She's dangerous on the ground.
• 28:05
  Speaker 3: She could maybe put Kong in a bad spot or
• 28:08
  Speaker 3: possibly submit her. So I think the Silva's more alive
• 28:11
  Speaker 3: than Vegas does in this one. I'll go with her
• 28:15
  Speaker 3: as my slight preferred play. But this is one where
• 28:17
  Speaker 3: I'm just okay tossing either one of them into a
• 28:19
  Speaker 3: couple of lineups, not anything that I'm gonna be making
• 28:22
  Speaker 3: a point to target.
• 28:24
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I prefer to Silva just because of the savings.
• 28:27
  Speaker 2: Like you said the two thousand, she's gonna come out
• 28:30
  Speaker 2: there and try and fight like she's gonna throw. Could
• 28:33
  Speaker 2: be a high paced fight. She's been knocked out four times.
• 28:35
  Speaker 2: That's a concern. Was just submitted last fight. Wing looks
• 28:39
  Speaker 2: like the better technical kickboxer. She has the ground advantage
• 28:43
  Speaker 2: if she does want to go that way. So at
• 28:45
  Speaker 2: ninety one hundred, I'm getting some because she's gonna be
• 28:47
  Speaker 2: low owned. That's a clear pivot. Like you can go
• 28:50
  Speaker 2: Wang Morab a Coasta speedback fight and like be good
• 28:53
  Speaker 2: with that. The problem is I prefer Van for more
• 28:58
  Speaker 2: Harrison Morob. Obviously Yoh's right in that range. Mrzakano's right there,
• 29:03
  Speaker 2: Chaos Holland the upper tiers is so strong you probably
• 29:06
  Speaker 2: need one hundred plus. She's plus one twenty five inside
• 29:09
  Speaker 2: the distance with maybe some takedown upside she can do it.
• 29:13
  Speaker 2: That's why I am playing some of her, and I
• 29:14
  Speaker 2: prefer her to sell killed and she'll be pretty low owned.
• 29:18
  Speaker 2: But with all that being said, gun to my head,
• 29:21
  Speaker 2: she's not on the optimal This fight probably isn't. Ariana
• 29:24
  Speaker 2: da Silva with the savings though, is my preferred play. Yeah,
• 29:28
  Speaker 2: that's what I got in that one. All right, we'll
• 29:30
  Speaker 2: keep it moving. The second biggest favorite on the card,
• 29:33
  Speaker 2: another favorite that's taking a good amount of money. Joshua
• 29:36
  Speaker 2: Van was minus five to fifty on Monday. Now he
• 29:39
  Speaker 2: is minus seven hundred picking on Bruno Silva plus four fifty,
• 29:43
  Speaker 2: Van plus one fifty five inside the distance, Silva plus
• 29:47
  Speaker 2: four fifty five inside the distance, Van in round one
• 29:50
  Speaker 2: plus four fifty. So right away, look where what stands
• 29:53
  Speaker 2: out to me? Well, obviously the first thing that stands
• 29:56
  Speaker 2: out you look at the stone eight point one significant
• 29:59
  Speaker 2: strikes permit it for Van. Yeah, like Van can strike
• 30:03
  Speaker 2: high volume. He is nasty, young kid, good prospect. Bruno Silva,
• 30:07
  Speaker 2: what stands out, He's plus four to fifty money line,
• 30:10
  Speaker 2: he's plus four to fifty inside the distance. So almost all,
• 30:13
  Speaker 2: like Roberto, almost all of their iniquity is a finish
• 30:17
  Speaker 2: so what are you doing in this one?
• 30:20
  Speaker 3: Yeah, another one. I'm not sure about it. I don't
• 30:23
  Speaker 3: love Van at ninety three hundred dollars because he's a
• 30:26
  Speaker 3: primary striker on a card with a handful of heavy grapplers,
• 30:31
  Speaker 3: and I prefer grapplers over strikers. Van could put up
• 30:35
  Speaker 3: a lot of strikes though, and then get a TKO
• 30:38
  Speaker 3: and he's he's live for one hundred and thirty points
• 30:40
  Speaker 3: in a win, So I'm okay with Van. He's just
• 30:43
  Speaker 3: not a guy that I would want to, you know,
• 30:46
  Speaker 3: put a stamp on rather than a Morab or even
• 30:49
  Speaker 3: a Keyla. But for four hundred dollars less, I'm fine
• 30:53
  Speaker 3: with Van over Klea if that's what I need to do.
• 30:55
  Speaker 3: And then on the other side, I do think Silva's
• 30:57
  Speaker 3: more live than Vegas says as well, Yeah, I do
• 31:00
  Speaker 3: think it's probably based on a finish. He's the more
• 31:04
  Speaker 3: dangerous grappler in this one. He could land a couple
• 31:06
  Speaker 3: of takedowns. It'd be smart of him to be shooting
• 31:08
  Speaker 3: for those takedowns, especially early, and he looked great in
• 31:12
  Speaker 3: the striking against Drdin. But Van's a better striker than Durdin,
• 31:17
  Speaker 3: So yeah, probably finish her bus, but Silva can score. Well,
• 31:21
  Speaker 3: I'm interested in Silva. I like Silva more than all
• 31:24
  Speaker 3: those other cheap dogs we talked about so far. Maybe
• 31:27
  Speaker 3: not Chewinsky, but anybody that's seven k and under, and
• 31:32
  Speaker 3: then Van maybe a ten to twenty five type percent
• 31:37
  Speaker 3: type of play for me.
• 31:37
  Speaker 2: I'm thinking, yeah, uh, the problem, yeah, did who's switching?
• 31:43
  Speaker 2: I was watching. I saw your comment last week. I
• 31:46
  Speaker 2: did tell you you disagreed. I did tell you. So
• 31:48
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna take that victory lap right there. The problem is,
• 31:51
  Speaker 2: so Bruno Silva his his money line plus four or fifty.
• 31:55
  Speaker 2: I was debating between him, the Lipski's, Oh I'm in
• 31:58
  Speaker 2: a place, Mariana de Silva, him, Guy Ashmuz and Ribero.
• 32:07
  Speaker 2: Which one would you fade if you had a fade one?
• 32:11
  Speaker 3: So I'm planning on fading Serreggi so him.
• 32:15
  Speaker 2: Him all right? I think I seeing the plus four
• 32:18
  Speaker 2: to fifty five inside the distance because he was initially
• 32:22
  Speaker 2: a fade for me. I really like Joshua Van, but
• 32:24
  Speaker 2: I'll never forget Charles Johnson Chinningham and Bruno Silva's got power,
• 32:28
  Speaker 2: so just naturally for that thing alone, I think I
• 32:31
  Speaker 2: might change that tag a little bit, but I mean
• 32:34
  Speaker 2: the big, big age difference, it matters a lot for
• 32:37
  Speaker 2: the lower weight classes thirty five to twenty three, twelve
• 32:40
  Speaker 2: year speed matters a lot more. It's definitely Van all
• 32:42
  Speaker 2: day for me. Volume. He can get there in a decision.
• 32:45
  Speaker 2: He scored over one hundred multiple times in a decision,
• 32:48
  Speaker 2: and he finishes just gravy from there. So I think
• 32:51
  Speaker 2: Van's very strong in the upper tier. I'm fine going
• 32:53
  Speaker 2: Harrison taking out Harrison, going Van the four hundred dollars
• 32:58
  Speaker 2: and leaving it and getting different that way. So I
• 33:00
  Speaker 2: like Van Alott at ninety three. If Bruno wins almost
• 33:03
  Speaker 2: surely optimal. All right, A couple fights lefts again, appreciate it. Ever,
• 33:07
  Speaker 2: hanging out like button subscribe button helps us out a ton.
• 33:11
  Speaker 2: PATCHI mix making his UFC debut taking on Mario Batista
• 33:15
  Speaker 2: plus or minus one eighty for PATCHI, plus one sixty
• 33:18
  Speaker 2: for Batista, plus one twenty or plus one twenty for
• 33:21
  Speaker 2: this fight to finish, plus one seventy inside the distance
• 33:24
  Speaker 2: for PATCHI plus five fifty four Batista Patchie round one
• 33:29
  Speaker 2: plus five twenty five. I mean, man, I've been calling
• 33:33
  Speaker 2: for PATCHI to get to the UFC for a long time.
• 33:35
  Speaker 2: I think one of the best bantam weights in the
• 33:37
  Speaker 2: world twenty and one, one of the best grapplers out there.
• 33:40
  Speaker 2: So him by or him inside the distance plus one seventy,
• 33:44
  Speaker 2: him by sub plus two forty him by KO plus
• 33:48
  Speaker 2: one thousand. That says all you got is all you
• 33:50
  Speaker 2: gotta hear Patchi's grappling is elite. Batista has been not
• 33:54
  Speaker 2: quite a run himself though, But again talk about like
• 33:57
  Speaker 2: never forgetting a fight. Try Evan Jones knocking out Mario
• 34:01
  Speaker 2: Batista in the second round just one one punch. I
• 34:03
  Speaker 2: think it was a left hook, just put him down.
• 34:06
  Speaker 2: I'll never forget that. That is scary. Yeah, I'll let
• 34:10
  Speaker 2: you take this one away. This is a big time fight.
• 34:15
  Speaker 3: Yeah, definitely a good fight for watching. I do think
• 34:19
  Speaker 3: it's gonna get ownership with all the mixed hype, so
• 34:25
  Speaker 3: maybe I end up going under the field rather than
• 34:27
  Speaker 3: over the field. On this fight as a whole, I
• 34:30
  Speaker 3: think both guys are very well rounded, could win anywhere.
• 34:33
  Speaker 3: But I would give mix the edge on the ground,
• 34:35
  Speaker 3: Bautista the edge on the feet. But I'm gonna go
• 34:39
  Speaker 3: against the grain in this one. I'm gonna take Bautista
• 34:41
  Speaker 3: to spoil the hype. I think these Bellatore debuts don't
• 34:44
  Speaker 3: always go the way they're supposed to. I think they're
• 34:47
  Speaker 3: also fighting competition that looks a lot better over there
• 34:50
  Speaker 3: in Bellatore than it would in the UFC, and I
• 34:52
  Speaker 3: think Bautista would hang with those guys as well. Bautista
• 34:55
  Speaker 3: is good everywhere, and if he can keep this fight
• 34:57
  Speaker 3: on the feet, I like him to get his hand raised. Bautista, Uh,
• 35:02
  Speaker 3: probably my favorite underdog we've talked about so far. I
• 35:05
  Speaker 3: don't like his ceiling. I do think if he wins,
• 35:07
  Speaker 3: he might not even score ten x here. But I
• 35:09
  Speaker 3: just think he's one of the most live dogs on
• 35:10
  Speaker 3: the card. I'm gonna take him to win a close fight.
• 35:15
  Speaker 2: All right, all right, who's watching? Here we go? This
• 35:19
  Speaker 2: is what the comment I'm looking at the last week's
• 35:21
  Speaker 2: video saying that client quote unquote your words, saying that
• 35:26
  Speaker 2: Client is a step down is wild because I do
• 35:29
  Speaker 2: not believe that's true. That was the one I was
• 35:31
  Speaker 2: referring to. Who's watching? What that is? One hundred percent
• 35:35
  Speaker 2: you That's all I was doing, just just taking a
• 35:37
  Speaker 2: little victory lab and I saw him. I do often
• 35:40
  Speaker 2: had to do it against you. You were yapping too much.
• 35:42
  Speaker 2: Who's watching? So, yeah, come on, you're high? You missed
• 35:45
  Speaker 2: the show. I wish I was high. No. Yeah, I'm
• 35:48
  Speaker 2: literally staring at your comment right here, So come on better,
• 35:51
  Speaker 2: come on, who's watching? Be better? I'm with you. I'm
• 35:53
  Speaker 2: thinking Bautista too. The main reason is just everyone in
• 35:56
  Speaker 2: their mom's on Patchy and the line's not moving much,
• 35:59
  Speaker 2: and mainly for dfs eight hundred dollars savings, play Patchy
• 36:04
  Speaker 2: drop Patchy down to Batista. I don't love that as
• 36:08
  Speaker 2: much as some other spots because I'm with you. I
• 36:10
  Speaker 2: think Bautista could easily win and score sixty eight, and
• 36:13
  Speaker 2: you don't want this fight at all. Whereas it Patchy
• 36:16
  Speaker 2: wins very likely first round, second round, it's submission. He
• 36:20
  Speaker 2: probably doesn't score sixty five in a win. It maybe
• 36:23
  Speaker 2: is in play, but it's harder to see that. But
• 36:26
  Speaker 2: with the eight hundred dollars savings on a card where
• 36:28
  Speaker 2: salary matters a lot, it's Bautista for me. Doesn't mean
• 36:32
  Speaker 2: I won't play Patchy. He's plus one seven inside the distance,
• 36:36
  Speaker 2: can grab a neck at any time. But I'm going
• 36:38
  Speaker 2: against the grain too. I'm going Batista as my preferred
• 36:41
  Speaker 2: favorite or in my preferred play. Sorry, who's watching? Got
• 36:46
  Speaker 2: got me all all riled up? Yeah? No, no, I said,
• 36:50
  Speaker 2: you commented on it. Come on, come on, who's watching?
• 36:53
  Speaker 2: Come on? You don't gotta lie say you missed the
• 36:55
  Speaker 2: show this that you commented on staring at it. Yeah
• 36:58
  Speaker 2: it was. You were incorrect, just like I am all
• 37:00
  Speaker 2: the time, just like Big Marley is all the time.
• 37:03
  Speaker 2: You just gotta eat eat the Hey, I was wrong,
• 37:06
  Speaker 2: Let's move on. That's all you gotta do. Admit when
• 37:08
  Speaker 2: you're wrong. Sometimes four fights left Kevin Holland minus two
• 37:13
  Speaker 2: eighty taking on Vicente Luke plus two forty. We're looking
• 37:17
  Speaker 2: at minus two eighty for this fight to finish. Oh
• 37:19
  Speaker 2: now it's minus two sixty excuse me, minus one thirty
• 37:23
  Speaker 2: five inside the distance for Holland, plus three fifty inside
• 37:25
  Speaker 2: the distance for Luke. Holland in round one plus two
• 37:29
  Speaker 2: point fifty. I like Holland here now opening line minus
• 37:35
  Speaker 2: one sixty for Holland. I really wish I saw that
• 37:37
  Speaker 2: opening line. I just don't, at the end of the day,
• 37:40
  Speaker 2: think Luke can have success wrestling here and when it's
• 37:43
  Speaker 2: on the feet, I'm worried for Luke after the Jeff
• 37:46
  Speaker 2: Neil lockout after seeing the Buckley fight. Kevin Holland can strike,
• 37:50
  Speaker 2: He's got power. He's definitely has the height and reach
• 37:53
  Speaker 2: advantage because you can see four inches in height six
• 37:55
  Speaker 2: inches in reach. If Luke wins, I think it's through wrestling,
• 37:59
  Speaker 2: so I'm gonna play that way. But I think Kevin
• 38:01
  Speaker 2: Holland gets a knockout. I think at eighty eight hundred
• 38:04
  Speaker 2: he's very strong, and I'm fine like leaving four hundred
• 38:07
  Speaker 2: off of Pifer. I'm even fine leaving seven hundred off
• 38:10
  Speaker 2: of Yo to get different. I think Holland has one
• 38:12
  Speaker 2: hundred ten point up side here, So yeah, great fight
• 38:16
  Speaker 2: to target Holland by k always my pick.
• 38:21
  Speaker 3: I'm gonna go on the other side of this one
• 38:23
  Speaker 3: I and more just for ceiling purposes. I do think
• 38:26
  Speaker 3: Holland should have the striking edge here, but he's gonna
• 38:29
  Speaker 3: need the TKO I think because even though Luke is
• 38:34
  Speaker 3: high volume you know in the past, I don't know
• 38:36
  Speaker 3: that he's gonna have that now after the whole brain
• 38:40
  Speaker 3: bleed thing. He is fighting a little bit different these days.
• 38:42
  Speaker 3: He should come out looking to wrestle in this fight.
• 38:45
  Speaker 3: I think it's gonna be hard for Holland to put
• 38:47
  Speaker 3: up an optimal score on this one, so I'm planning
• 38:50
  Speaker 3: to go underweight on him, even though he's super allowed
• 38:52
  Speaker 3: to win, could win in the fight anywhere, really, but
• 38:56
  Speaker 3: he's he hasn't scored over one hundred in like three years,
• 39:01
  Speaker 3: only scored over one hundred twice in the last five years.
• 39:04
  Speaker 3: And this guy fights every week. It seems like Luk,
• 39:07
  Speaker 3: on the other hand, scores over one hundred and almost
• 39:10
  Speaker 3: every single one of his wins. And if Luk wins
• 39:13
  Speaker 3: this fight, I think he's gonna score well again. So
• 39:16
  Speaker 3: I'm gonna be on the Luka side of this one.
• 39:17
  Speaker 3: Not much confidence with the win, but I just feel
• 39:21
  Speaker 3: good about if he wins, he scores well and puts
• 39:24
  Speaker 3: me in a good position to ship a tournament. So
• 39:27
  Speaker 3: I'm on overweight Luk and this one underweight Holland. But
• 39:31
  Speaker 3: should be a fun fight.
• 39:33
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, if Luk wins, it's really hard to
• 39:35
  Speaker 2: not see him optimal. The thing with Holland is like
• 39:38
  Speaker 2: he's fought Reneeda Ritter, who actually might be sought like,
• 39:42
  Speaker 2: might be really good. Roman Delids. He got knocked out
• 39:45
  Speaker 2: in the first that's not good Venom Page, that's like
• 39:48
  Speaker 2: just a boring style fight. Jack Dell is a tough fight.
• 39:51
  Speaker 2: He's fought some decent competition and stuff, but it's not
• 39:54
  Speaker 2: the easiest to score. I just think Luk with I
• 39:57
  Speaker 2: think it's a high paced fight. Most Luk fights are.
• 40:00
  Speaker 2: If he doesn't have success wrestling is forced to strike,
• 40:03
  Speaker 2: I think we could see a high paced striking match there.
• 40:06
  Speaker 2: And if Holland does get the knockout, which is expected, yeah,
• 40:09
  Speaker 2: I think he does score one hundred plus in this one.
• 40:11
  Speaker 2: But what you're saying about the game a lot very true.
• 40:13
  Speaker 2: We also haven't seen Holland this big of a favorite
• 40:16
  Speaker 2: in a long time at minus two to eighty, but
• 40:19
  Speaker 2: both sides one of my favorite fights to target on
• 40:21
  Speaker 2: the card. Excuse me? Is this one three fights left?
• 40:27
  Speaker 2: Get a rematch or not a rematch or rebooking. I
• 40:29
  Speaker 2: should say this fight was supposed to happen. I think
• 40:31
  Speaker 2: like March twenty ninth in Mexico or something. Joe Pifred
• 40:35
  Speaker 2: to pull out due to illness. He is now minus
• 40:37
  Speaker 2: four to ten Kelvin gasm plus three ten on the
• 40:40
  Speaker 2: way back, minus won twenty for this fight to finish
• 40:43
  Speaker 2: Pifer plus one ten inside the distance gas them plus
• 40:46
  Speaker 2: seven hundred Piper and round one definitely taking a good
• 40:49
  Speaker 2: amount of money open plus three hundred now plus two
• 40:52
  Speaker 2: sixty five? Does that intrigue you at all a little? Bits?
• 40:57
  Speaker 2: I think, were you on the Kelvin side? I know
• 40:59
  Speaker 2: Kenny was on the last fight, but were you on Calvin?
• 41:01
  Speaker 2: What are you doing now?
• 41:03
  Speaker 3: Yes? Same thing for me. I'm gonna be on the
• 41:05
  Speaker 3: Kelvin side of this one because of the line. I
• 41:09
  Speaker 3: just I don't I get the Piper hype. I mean,
• 41:13
  Speaker 3: he's a good striker, he's got big time power. People
• 41:16
  Speaker 3: love knockouts, but Kelvin's not going to be easy to
• 41:19
  Speaker 3: knock out. And I feel like Piper doesn't get the
• 41:21
  Speaker 3: knockout here, and if he doesn't get the knockout, he's
• 41:23
  Speaker 3: not gonna score well in a win. So my plan
• 41:26
  Speaker 3: is to fade Pifer, and if he gets the first
• 41:29
  Speaker 3: round knockout, I don't even know that my night's over.
• 41:31
  Speaker 3: I feel like I can still win the optimal without
• 41:35
  Speaker 3: a Pier first round knockout, but Gastulum can hang on
• 41:40
  Speaker 3: this fight striking wise, just neither one of them are
• 41:43
  Speaker 3: high volume guys. Gaslum's been there, been in big fights before.
• 41:47
  Speaker 3: I think judges are dumb enough to even if Piper's winning,
• 41:50
  Speaker 3: they'll give it to Gastolm, possibly in a split decision
• 41:53
  Speaker 3: type of fight. But I do think Gaslom could mix
• 41:55
  Speaker 3: in a couple takedowns along the way and make it
• 42:00
  Speaker 3: more of a twenty nine to twenty eight unanimous decision
• 42:03
  Speaker 3: type of deal. I don't think he has a ceiling
• 42:06
  Speaker 3: for dfs, but he's only seven k. I think he
• 42:08
  Speaker 3: could score anywhere between sixty and eighty. So I'll be
• 42:12
  Speaker 3: overweight to Gasoline in this one. And if I make
• 42:14
  Speaker 3: twenty lineups, I'm not going to click on Piper once.
• 42:17
  Speaker 3: I'll probably need like thirty five plus before I'm interested
• 42:22
  Speaker 3: in Pifer. Maybe even I need to get to fifty
• 42:24
  Speaker 3: before I get me and he Pifer. I'll fade that
• 42:27
  Speaker 3: first round knockout equity and go to the wrestlers instead.
• 42:31
  Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, that makes sense. I'm underweight Pifer. I am
• 42:34
  Speaker 2: going to have him because I prefer him over Wang
• 42:36
  Speaker 2: Kong and Madero's and sal Killed. So he's going to
• 42:40
  Speaker 2: be a pivot up top, and I think he's pretty
• 42:42
  Speaker 2: low owned, mainly for that first round prop though, like
• 42:45
  Speaker 2: if he doesn't get that, if he doesn't get that
• 42:47
  Speaker 2: first round knockout, it's hard to see him being optimal
• 42:49
  Speaker 2: at ninety two hundred. Definitely we'll play some gaslum like
• 42:53
  Speaker 2: you said, like, I don't love his upside, but if
• 42:55
  Speaker 2: he wins at seven k I'll take that all day
• 42:58
  Speaker 2: long on a card like this, Yeah, Pifer's taking some money.
• 43:04
  Speaker 2: Since Monday was minus three sixty five now minus four
• 43:07
  Speaker 2: to ten. His under is taking money as well. I'm
• 43:10
  Speaker 2: gonna play some Pifer gas on m I preferred play though,
• 43:13
  Speaker 2: for the twenty two hundred dollars savings goes a long
• 43:15
  Speaker 2: way on a card like this. All right, Colemine event
• 43:18
  Speaker 2: time tit or title fight, five rounds, twenty five minutes
• 43:23
  Speaker 2: to work if they need it. Kila Harrison minus eight
• 43:26
  Speaker 2: hundred Juliana Payna plus five to fifty minus two ten
• 43:29
  Speaker 2: for this fight to finish, Harrison minus won seventy five
• 43:32
  Speaker 2: inside the distance paynia plus seven to fifty. I mean,
• 43:36
  Speaker 2: how easy are these takedowns going to be? Can paynya
• 43:39
  Speaker 2: get back up at all? Or is it just gonna
• 43:42
  Speaker 2: be laying prey anytime? Harrison's on top damage eventually submission.
• 43:47
  Speaker 2: What does she score? What's enough? What do you want
• 43:49
  Speaker 2: her to score? Are you playing any paynia? There's a
• 43:52
  Speaker 2: lot of questions in this one, mainly just because she's
• 43:55
  Speaker 2: ninety seven hundred, like one eighteen might not be enough,
• 44:00
  Speaker 2: especially with Morob on the card at nine k that
• 44:03
  Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, he wins. He almost always scores above that,
• 44:06
  Speaker 2: so really really interesting game theory fight for dfs.
• 44:11
  Speaker 3: Yeah, for the Harrison side, I am gonna fade Paigne here.
• 44:15
  Speaker 3: I'd rather take my chances on other underdogs. I think
• 44:18
  Speaker 3: I have a better chance of winning. Harrison's just too
• 44:22
  Speaker 3: damn big and too strong and too good at judo
• 44:25
  Speaker 3: for me to think Penna has a chance here. Even
• 44:27
  Speaker 3: if Harrison does slow down, I feel like she's got
• 44:29
  Speaker 3: three or four rounds in the bag at that point.
• 44:31
  Speaker 3: So it's just it's a tough matchup for Penya to win.
• 44:34
  Speaker 3: I'll ex her out completely, and then it's just if
• 44:37
  Speaker 3: I can get to ninety seven hundred dollars Harrison, then
• 44:40
  Speaker 3: I'm definitely cool with it. But I don't think she's
• 44:42
  Speaker 3: must have on this card at that price with five
• 44:46
  Speaker 3: rounds to work with, though she's probably gonna put up
• 44:50
  Speaker 3: a pretty big score. She put up eighty four in
• 44:52
  Speaker 3: her last fight, and that definitely didn't cut it then,
• 44:55
  Speaker 3: wouldn't cut it now. But now she has two more
• 44:57
  Speaker 3: rounds to work with, and if she can spend those
• 45:00
  Speaker 3: two rounds in a dominant position, then we're looking at
• 45:04
  Speaker 3: a possible one twenty one thirty score. So I'm just
• 45:08
  Speaker 3: not sure what I'll do. On the Harrison side. I'm
• 45:09
  Speaker 3: okay with twenty percent, I'm okay with seventy percent, so
• 45:14
  Speaker 3: I'm I'm not sure over there, but I will be
• 45:16
  Speaker 3: fading Paynya, and it'll just be do I have enough
• 45:20
  Speaker 3: underdogs that I'm interested in to get me up to
• 45:22
  Speaker 3: Harrison or not.
• 45:24
  Speaker 2: I'm playing zero Painia in twenty and below. I think
• 45:27
  Speaker 2: I'm playing zero. I might play three hundred teams this week.
• 45:29
  Speaker 2: I might play zero Pania in three hundred. I think
• 45:32
  Speaker 2: I am. I just don't see her doing it. I
• 45:34
  Speaker 2: Payya's not good. Harrison's gonna get on top, Painya's not
• 45:37
  Speaker 2: gonna be able to get back up, and from there
• 45:39
  Speaker 2: it's gonna be pretty pretty easy after that. So I'm
• 45:42
  Speaker 2: playing no Painia. I don't Harrison's one where like if
• 45:46
  Speaker 2: i'd seventy percent totally good. If I thirty percent, I
• 45:50
  Speaker 2: think I'm good because I'm fine. I like the nine
• 45:53
  Speaker 2: k range. She's the highest priced. I can leave money
• 45:56
  Speaker 2: as a pivot and that's all I'll be looking to
• 45:58
  Speaker 2: do it on a card like this, so I have
• 46:00
  Speaker 2: a wide range that I'm fine playing Harrison with. I
• 46:03
  Speaker 2: want to see how my teams look after I build
• 46:05
  Speaker 2: everything else exposures on sabersim et cetera. But thirty percent Harrison,
• 46:10
  Speaker 2: I think I'd roll with it. Seventy percent, of course
• 46:12
  Speaker 2: I would roll with it. But I do expect to
• 46:14
  Speaker 2: be overweight on the fight fade since I'm not playing
• 46:17
  Speaker 2: any payino. I think Harrison makes it look pretty easy.
• 46:22
  Speaker 2: Do want to see her make weight though the way
• 46:24
  Speaker 2: cut's always tough, but she is a big, big girl,
• 46:26
  Speaker 2: that is for sure. Main event time the rematch that
• 46:31
  Speaker 2: I'm not sure how Sugar got, but he did. It's
• 46:34
  Speaker 2: Morab at minus two seventy taking on Sugar plus two
• 46:37
  Speaker 2: thirty plus one ninety five for this fight to finish
• 46:40
  Speaker 2: sewn the underdollar plus three hundred inside the distance Morab
• 46:44
  Speaker 2: plus five twenty five. Yeah. Round one props absolutely do
• 46:48
  Speaker 2: not matter at all. So looking at line movement in
• 46:50
  Speaker 2: this one, Morob opened minus three hundred, went down to
• 46:53
  Speaker 2: like minus two sixty five. Tons of money came in
• 46:57
  Speaker 2: on Morab May twelfth to May thirteenth. He got all
• 47:00
  Speaker 2: the way down to minus four hundred After that, slowly
• 47:03
  Speaker 2: but surely money back on Sean. The line bounced around
• 47:06
  Speaker 2: from like minus three hundred to three twenty five for
• 47:08
  Speaker 2: a while, and just the last couple of days, Shawn's
• 47:11
  Speaker 2: got a good amount of money. Yeah, was minus three
• 47:15
  Speaker 2: thirty five days ago, now it's minus two to seventy.
• 47:18
  Speaker 2: Does that line movement do anything for you? Are you
• 47:21
  Speaker 2: gonna be playing both? Are you making a rule to
• 47:23
  Speaker 2: lock this fights? What are your thoughts on this? Do
• 47:25
  Speaker 2: you see a do you think should sewn? Should have
• 47:28
  Speaker 2: got the rematch? And do you see the fight playing
• 47:30
  Speaker 2: out any different?
• 47:34
  Speaker 3: I mean, I'm definitely cool with him getting the rematch.
• 47:37
  Speaker 3: The UC's starving for stars right now, and O'Malley has
• 47:41
  Speaker 3: the potential to be the biggest one, so it'd be
• 47:42
  Speaker 3: good for them if he did win. But yeah, I
• 47:45
  Speaker 3: just don't see it going much differently. He needs a
• 47:48
  Speaker 3: knockout unless Morob does want to be an idiot and
• 47:51
  Speaker 3: go out there and strike with him. He needs a
• 47:53
  Speaker 3: knockout to win, because if Morob wants to wrestle, he's
• 47:56
  Speaker 3: gonna be landing takedowns in this fight, and he'll be
• 47:58
  Speaker 3: landing a lot of them, and there's gonna up that
• 48:00
  Speaker 3: control time and I think it'll make a decision pretty
• 48:03
  Speaker 3: clear in the Morob side.
• 48:05
  Speaker 2: Uh.
• 48:05
  Speaker 3: If Morob wins a decision, he could score one hundred
• 48:08
  Speaker 3: and fifty points. If O'Malley won that last decision, he
• 48:12
  Speaker 3: would have scored forty nine points.
• 48:15
  Speaker 2: Is that.
• 48:16
  Speaker 3: I don't think it is man No, I think he.
• 48:19
  Speaker 2: Would never win it, Like there was no question if
• 48:22
  Speaker 2: he wins, he ain't gonna score forty nine. But yeah,
• 48:26
  Speaker 2: it'd be a TKO.
• 48:27
  Speaker 3: I think if he wins and he would score well.
• 48:29
  Speaker 3: But I think my plan is just to go I
• 48:32
  Speaker 3: don't I don't know. I guess it depends on how
• 48:33
  Speaker 3: many lineups I make. If I make twenty lineups this week,
• 48:36
  Speaker 3: I think I'm all in on Morom. Just lock that in.
• 48:39
  Speaker 3: At nine K. He has the biggest ceiling on the
• 48:42
  Speaker 3: entire card, and there's multiple people priced ahead of him.
• 48:45
  Speaker 3: So Morob's my favorite play on the entire card. If
• 48:48
  Speaker 3: I was making one hundred and fifty, I would see
• 48:51
  Speaker 3: me being like, I don't know, maybe seventy five percent
• 48:55
  Speaker 3: Morob fifteen twenty O'Malley something like that. I plan on
• 49:02
  Speaker 3: being underweight to O'Malley no matter what. Give me Morob
• 49:05
  Speaker 3: to win. Morob type of decision.
• 49:08
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gonna probably, I'm gonna be underweight. Sean too.
• 49:11
  Speaker 2: I'm not gonna lock Morob. Like I debated though a
• 49:14
  Speaker 2: the line movement on the Sean stuff. It's hard to
• 49:17
  Speaker 2: see Morob losing like he's been so good. With all
• 49:20
  Speaker 2: that being said, he is nineteen and four. He has
• 49:23
  Speaker 2: lost prior to the UFC. I mean the Morales fight
• 49:27
  Speaker 2: back in the day. Let me get yeah, Marlon Morice,
• 49:32
  Speaker 2: that was like Morice. That was one of the best
• 49:34
  Speaker 2: fights you'll ever see if you want to go back
• 49:36
  Speaker 2: and watch it. Insane Banger versus Marlon Morice. Morice had
• 49:40
  Speaker 2: him running, Chelsea Chandler running around the cage. Morob just
• 49:44
  Speaker 2: an absolute freak out on top. Finish it that way.
• 49:47
  Speaker 2: But like he can be hurt. Sewn has power. He
• 49:51
  Speaker 2: was hurt last time. Now it sounds like he should
• 49:54
  Speaker 2: be good to go. No injuries coming into it. I
• 49:57
  Speaker 2: still think it's Morab Morab all day. But if Sewn wins,
• 49:59
  Speaker 2: whatever the win is should be optimal. If Morob wins,
• 50:03
  Speaker 2: it's really hard for him not to be optimal as well.
• 50:05
  Speaker 2: So if I have one hundred percent of this fight,
• 50:07
  Speaker 2: I'm fine. I totally like this fight more than the
• 50:09
  Speaker 2: Harrison paying you fight. I very well might have one
• 50:13
  Speaker 2: hundred percent. It's hard for me not to see Morob
• 50:16
  Speaker 2: optimal in a win only nine K, and it's really
• 50:18
  Speaker 2: hard for me not to see Sean optimal in a
• 50:21
  Speaker 2: win at seventy two hundred. So yeah, that's all thirteen fights.
• 50:25
  Speaker 2: It's gonna be a good one. Sixth Eastern in New Jersey,
• 50:28
  Speaker 2: Live crowd, Big KG do UFC three sixteen Big Boy
• 50:31
  Speaker 2: Prize is. It's gonna be some fun. Any thoughts, final
• 50:35
  Speaker 2: thoughts before we get on out here, Big Marley.
• 50:38
  Speaker 3: No man, Good luck to you, good luck to everybody listening.
• 50:40
  Speaker 2: Let's ship it, ship it is right. Good luck everybody
• 50:44
  Speaker 2: like button subscribe button on the way out helps us
• 50:46
  Speaker 2: out a ton good luck to good luck in baseball
• 50:50
  Speaker 2: and hockey tonight. Good luck in NBA tomorrow. Good luck
• 50:52
  Speaker 2: to your pacers, Big Marley, good luck this weekend for
• 50:56
  Speaker 2: the fights for NASCAR again. If you want all the sports,
• 51:00
  Speaker 2: no better time to joint. DJN seventy five is the code.
• 51:03
  Speaker 2: Get you seventy five dollars off your first month only
• 51:06
  Speaker 2: twenty four dollars four Big Marley, I'm titled Town. Good
• 51:10
  Speaker 2: luck this weekend, Be safe, make some money. Peace,