Latest / Investor Exchange / Why Coliwoo Is Singapore’s Hidden Co-Living Powerhouse
Transcript
- 0:02Welcome to The Debate. Today, we're diving into the investment case for Kohli
- 0:07Wu Holdings Limited, trading on the SGX under W8W.
- 0:11As the dominant pure play co-living operator in Singapore, Kohli Wu is currently
- 0:16priced at about S$55 after its initial public offering.
- 0:20The central question is this, does its current low valuation,
- 0:25around 11.6 times core price-to-earnings, reflect a mispriced high-growth opportunity?
- 0:32I'm arguing that the stock is an immediate buy because the market is fundamentally
- 0:36misreading its operational strength.
- 0:38And I'm coming at this from, well, a different angle.
- 0:42While I agree the co-living sector has some structural tailwinds,
- 0:45the market's skepticism after what you'd call a broken IPO is often justified.
- 0:50I believe prudence is absolutely necessary here.
- 0:53Investors should be cautious until we see real confirmation that this growth
- 0:57can stabilize what are, frankly, some very complex reported earnings and overcome
- 1:01significant operational risks.
- 1:03The true strength of this company is really only evident when you look past
- 1:08the, ah, accounting noise.
- 1:09If we strip out the volatile non-cash items, specifically the fair value adjustments
- 1:15on their investment properties, we get to core PATMI.
- 1:19That's Core Profit After Tax and minority interests.
- 1:23And that figure surged an incredible 62.6% year-on-year in FY 2025 to S$22.9 million.
- 1:34On top of that, the recurring high-margin rental income from their owned assets
- 1:39grew a very robust 23.9%.
- 1:42The market is pricing this like a stagnant property trust, but underneath,
- 1:46it's performing like a high-growth hospitality platform. That's a compelling
- 1:50case for the core business. I'll give you that.
- 1:53But investors can't just ignore volatility, especially when that volatility
- 1:57is what's defining the market's perception.
- 1:59The headline total revenue actually dipped 10.4% in FY 2025.
- 2:05Mainly because of the absence of some non-recurring retrofitting income that
- 2:09inflated the prior year's numbers.
- 2:11More critically, the reported net profit was only SS 15.0 million.
- 2:16That's significantly lower than your core figure because it was weighed down
- 2:20by those exact non-cash fair value losses.
- 2:24I mean, when the official reported profit gets cut by a third due to these factors,
- 2:27it's understandable why the market is demanding a bit of prudence.
- 2:30But the valuation gap is just undeniable when you factor in the pipeline.
- 2:35Koliwu is planning a massive 36% capacity expansion.
- 2:40They're aiming for 4,000 rooms by the end of 2026.
- 2:44And this isn't just theoretical. It's backed by secured projects like Koliwu
- 2:48Midtown and the large-scale Pasir Riz Resort.
- 2:52So they're offering genuine yield plus growth, committing to a dividend of at
- 2:57least 40% of core earnings.
- 2:59That forecasts a yield over 4.5% for this fiscal year. the growth is pretty
- 3:04much locked in and the market hasn't priced it.
- 3:06I'm not so sure I'm convinced by that line of reasoning because that growth
- 3:11visibility is severely threatened by operational risks.
- 3:16Chief among them is the master lease expiry risk.
- 3:19A huge portion of their current revenue relies on these master leases that can
- 3:24just be reclaimed by landlords or get hit with steep rent hikes on renewal.
- 3:28If just one of those major leases
- 3:31doesn't get renewed, how much of a drag would that be on core pat me?
- 3:34That's a material vulnerability. And then you add the 46% net debt to equity
- 3:39ratio, which, while it's moderate, it does expose them to lingering interest rate sensitivity.
- 3:44The hybrid model owning 11 of their own properties is their precise structural
- 3:49defense against that lease expiry risk.
- 3:52It gives them a stable earnings floor that these pure asset light operators just don't have.
- 3:58But the true competitive advantage here, the real moat, is regulatory.
- 4:03Singapore's Urban Redevelopment Authority, the URA, mandates a strict three-month
- 4:08minimum stay for private residential homes.
- 4:11Koliwu, with its specialized licenses, is uniquely positioned to legally exploit
- 4:17the huge demand for these intermediate-term stays that platforms like Airbnb simply cannot touch.
- 4:24That moat justifies a clear premium. That's a compelling point about the URA
- 4:29protection, and I do acknowledge its strength.
- 4:32But we have to come back to the valuation ceiling and execution.
- 4:36A target valuation of S$0.70, based on that 15 times core PE you mentioned,
- 4:43it already implies a price-to-book ratio of about 2.8 times.
- 4:46That's an ambitious price for a property company.
- 4:49Any delay, even a small one, in the execution of those key pipeline projects
- 4:53will make that valuation look
- 4:55excessive and very quickly. The risk of disappointment is just too high.
- 4:59Look, at the end of the day, the market is misjudging the structure of the business.
- 5:03It's missing the inherent growth story, the powerful tailwinds in co-living,
- 5:08and management's proven ability to execute what they call space optimization to drive margins.
- 5:14At S$55, this is a clear asymmetric opportunity for investors who can look past
- 5:20that short-term fair value volatility.
- 5:23And while I agree the core business shows promise, The volatility and the very
- 5:28significant execution risks demand continued prudence.
- 5:32I think investors should really focus on seeing sustained, reliable delivery
- 5:36of that core PATMI and, critically, the on-schedule opening of those pipeline
- 5:41assets before they adopt a definitive buy position.