Latest / The Death Of Journalism / Episode One Hundred Forty Seven: The Price Of Selling Out
Transcript
- 0:00Welcome to episode number one hundred and forty seven of the Death of the Journalism
- 0:03podcast. My name is John Zigler. I'm your host on today's show.
- 0:07Trump's first criminal trial finally gets started. Title nine gets revised outrageously by the
- 0:13Biden administration, a major update in the NPR scandal, more evidence Tucker Carlson
- 0:19has lost his mind, and as the tide finally turning at least a little
- 0:23bit. We begin this episode with the start of Donald Trump's first criminal trial,
- 0:28this one, of course, in Manhattan on the charges of having paid
- 0:34hush money and creating fraudulent documents and potentially violating campaign finance laws, all related
- 0:43to an affair with Stormy Daniels. This has already been marked by chaos,
- 0:48with a man setting himself on fire and killing himself outside of the courthouse with
- 0:53live media play by play, an awful, horrendous situation. The guy appears
- 0:59to have been a whack jump. He sounds a lot like Tucker Carlson.
- 1:02Frankly, more on Tucker later in this episode. I don't know what relevance
- 1:07this will have as far as all this playing out in the courtroom. I
- 1:11do think it plays into the narrative that this is all a circus and not
- 1:15to be taken fully seriously, for whatever relevance that tragedy may have on the
- 1:21trial itself. We also have the specter of maybe even Michael Avanatti testifying on
- 1:26Trump's behalf, which he is now offered to do. I'm not sure I
- 1:30buy the idea that that's gonna happen, or that the Trump team is even
- 1:34seriously considering it. I'm always very skeptical when someone who wants to be part
- 1:38of the circus says they've been in touch with someone's legal team. That could
- 1:42mean anything. That could be emailing an intern and getting an auto response.
- 1:47Who the hell knows, but that's out there. Could Michael Avenatti, Stormy
- 1:51Daniel's former lawyer, who has been very supportive of Donald Trump as of late
- 1:56in this particular situation former Trump and he who's now in prison, could he
- 2:00actually testify on Donald Trump's behalf. But my whole thing on this trial has
- 2:07been from day one that the facts the law who testifies who doesn't makes no
- 2:14difference whatsoever, none, zero, And for the media to pretend otherwise is
- 2:19frankly hilarious. They're all just pretending that oh, yes, this is going
- 2:23to be a real trial. It's going to be about the facts, the
- 2:25law, and you know, strategy and opening statements and all this really matters,
- 2:31boloney. None of this matters to whether or not there's going to be
- 2:35a conviction or not. My view is there's almost no chance of a not
- 2:39guilty verdict given this jurisdiction, that the only chance Trump has is a hung
- 2:46jury because at least a couple jurors hold out. Because obviously this is a
- 2:51situation where you have a jurisdiction dead set against Donald Trump in New York City.
- 2:55He is an incredibly divisive figure, even if he wasn't the Republican presidential
- 3:00nominee. And it's just comical to pretend that you could possibly find twelve objective
- 3:06people to be jurors in this case under the best of circumstances. But we
- 3:10don't have the best of circumstances. We have OJ Simpson on steroids in both
- 3:15directions here. It is lunacy, absolute lunacy that people think this can be
- 3:23a remotely fair trial, especially during a presidential election. Now, the jury
- 3:28selection process took all of last week. Frankly, I think it should have
- 3:31taken longer. Trying to find twelve objective people here is basically impossible. It
- 3:37appears to me as if most of those who are involved in this process have
- 3:42at least tried to make a good faith effort to find twelve jurors who can
- 3:47be objective. But it's an an inherent impossibility. Whether you are somebody who
- 3:54follows the news, you can't be objective. And if you're someone who doesn't
- 3:58follow the news at all, how could you possibly be trusted to be a
- 4:02juror If you have no idea, for instance, who Donald Trump is or
- 4:06have a strong opinion about that person, that almost makes you more untrustworthy than
- 4:11if you do have a strong opinion about Donald Trump. But that being said,
- 4:16there are some jurors whose descriptions, as have been reported, are a
- 4:21little bit troubling, regardless of which side you're on, People who have no
- 4:26clue about the news, people who have said that they have strong opinions about
- 4:30Donald Trump but have not been open about what those opinions are, and the
- 4:35judges just decided that they're going to believe them that they can be objective.
- 4:40This is one description of the jury as a whole from the Guardian News organization.
- 4:46The jury is made up of seven men and five women who live in
- 4:49different parts of Manhattan, including the Upper East Side, Harlem, Hell's Kitchen,
- 4:55and the West Village. They come from a range of personal backgrounds and
- 4:59employment in histories. Several jurors said they had no strong opinions on Trump,
- 5:04which by the way, might be almost as troubling as people who have strong
- 5:08opinions about Trump, and a few said that they do not closely follow the
- 5:13news. The exact racial makeup of the jury and the ages of the jurors
- 5:17is unclear. As I read through the bio of the twelve people who are
- 5:23currently on this jury, and you know, the chaos surrounding this case means
- 5:28that anything's possible. There's a very good chance that the twelve people currently on
- 5:30the jury are not the twelve people they are going to decide Trump's fate.
- 5:34But as I read the makeup, there aren't any blatant examples of Okay,
- 5:40this jur is clearly going to be trouble for one side or the other.
- 5:44They're a couple whose bio and it's very difficult to tell, well, you
- 5:47can't tell who the person is. You don't know their age. You only
- 5:51really know their gender and their job background, and maybe a little bit about
- 5:56what they think about Trump. So there's a lot of information that would be
- 6:00very helpful and trying to determine which jurors are likely to go in one direction
- 6:08or the other. But there are at least a couple that if you're from
- 6:10the Trump side of this equation, you look at and the go okay,
- 6:14that person could least be objective and maybe willing to hold out for a hung
- 6:20jury. Because that again, I really don't have much of a rooting interest
- 6:25in this other than justice. I actually I don't want Trump to be convicted
- 6:29here, mainly because I think the case is bullshit, and because I think
- 6:32it would be too disruptive to our electoral process. I just also think it
- 6:36would be an affront to do process to have this kind of a trial in
- 6:41the middle of an election year. So my basic sense of fairness is rooting
- 6:46for there to be a hung jury, mainly because I don't think there's any
- 6:49chance that realistically Trump can get out of this without being, you know,
- 6:57being acquitted on everything. There's no chance. Twelve jurors in New York City
- 7:01are gonna quit him of every single charge that he faces here. I just
- 7:04don't think that that's realistic given the nature of humanity and the circumstances at play
- 7:11here. So, if you're Trump, you're looking for a hung jury,
- 7:15and there are at least a few jurors there whose basic bio says, Okay,
- 7:20that's possible, but you probably need two or three of them to be
- 7:26able to hold hands in order to maintain themselves under the pressure that they're going
- 7:30to be under, because assuming this goes as expected, you're gonna have a
- 7:34majority of jurors at least who are thirsting for at least some convictions, and
- 7:41the charges that are being brought against Trump, you're gonna have a judge who
- 7:44desperately wants there to be a verdict. So it's not going to be a
- 7:48situation where realistically one person could hold out for a Donald Trump acquittal. That's
- 7:55possible if somehow a Trump cult member got on the jury, but it seems
- 7:59pretty clear to me that the chances of a Trump cult member in Manhattan being
- 8:03able to get through the vetting process and get on this jury is basically zero.
- 8:07So you're gonna need two or three people and I don't know how realistic
- 8:13that is. I think there's a reasonable chance that Trump does get convicted at
- 8:18least on some of the charges here, and it's basically all because of jurisdiction,
- 8:24all because of the nature of the judge, all because of the nature
- 8:28of the jury pool. And it's just not fair. It's clearly not fair.
- 8:33And I'm not the only person that believes this who's anti Trump. Bizarrely,
- 8:41I have found myself in the same side of things with a lot of
- 8:45people recently that normally I loathe or even worse than that, and certainly don't
- 8:50agree with politically. And that has happened again in the most recent days with
- 8:54regard to Stephen A. Smith of ESPN. Stephen A. Smith, one
- 9:00of my many nemesis on the Penn State Joe Paterno Jerry Sandusky case, a
- 9:05guy with whom I disagree on almost everything, although I will acknowledge he's not
- 9:09dumb and he does have some basic common sense, especially for a liberal,
- 9:13but he's an obvious liberal. He's also happens to be a black man,
- 9:18which is relevant to this particular topic for reasons they'll become obvious in a second.
- 9:22But he went on Fox News Channel, which is weird to begin with.
- 9:26I mean, he's an ESPN personality, and he went on Fox News
- 9:31Channel for obvious reasons given the content of what he was clearly put on the
- 9:35set. But he made two statements are going to play for you. The
- 9:39first one deals with this issue of basic fairness and whether or not he is
- 9:43a Democrat, a lifelong Democrat, a liberal thinks that it's fair from a
- 9:50due process perspective to be putting Donald Trump in this particular situation in an election
- 9:56year. And here's what Stephen A. Smith said on Fox Newschanne, When
- 10:00I think about Donald Trump, I think about this case in New York.
- 10:03I mean, I'm looking at the Democrats right now, and again primarily I
- 10:07have voted Democrats throughout my life, but I'm utterly disgusted with what I'm seeing
- 10:11because it seems to me that they're trying to use the law in the courts.
- 10:15They've clearly politicized this thing with Donald Trump because they can't come up with
- 10:20a strategy to offset the momentum he's clearly gained and at least five polls he's
- 10:24up. He's up in the polls over by and at least five polls that
- 10:28I counted. That's the reality of the situation. Despite the counts against them,
- 10:31the indictments against them, being impeached twice, and all of this other
- 10:35stuff. He is the presumptive GOP nominee and you don't seem to have the
- 10:41issues in your favor. You believe so because of that, you're going to
- 10:45manipulate the system as best as you possibly can to avoid him possibly running for
- 10:50re election again. That appears to be their strategy, but I'm here to
- 10:54tell you it's not working now. I couldn't agree with that more. I
- 10:58have said that consistently on this podcast. Even though I loathed Donald Trump,
- 11:01I loathe what is happening with regard to due process here even more. I
- 11:07think it's more dangerous than certainly anything that Trump is accused of having done in
- 11:13this particular case. And to be clear, I do think that Donald Trump
- 11:16is guilty. I do think that this whole situation involving Stormy Daniels was a
- 11:20scheme. It was a way to try to hide what was happening. He
- 11:24was trying to keep her quiet during an election year. Of course, it
- 11:28really wouldn't have mattered in retrospect whether or not she had come out and told
- 11:31her story. That's the great irony of this whole situation is that I don't
- 11:37think it would have impacted any votes at all. Stormy Daniels wasn't even paid
- 11:41all that much money, but she was paid via Michael Cohen, Trump's personal
- 11:46attorney at the time, in a way that was clearly done to evade all
- 11:52sorts of situations, including campaign finance laws. And there was apparently some document
- 11:58fraud that at least is alleged. Who the hell knows, but the essence
- 12:01of the allegation I do believe to be true. I believe that Donald Trump
- 12:05had an affair with Stormy Daniels, and I believe that he basically conspired to
- 12:11cover it up. The idea that that is now a criminal trial the middle
- 12:13of the twenty twenty four presidential election, where Trump is the Republican nominee,
- 12:20is just beyond absurd. And kudos to Stephen A. Smith for saying it
- 12:24now. He said it on Fox News Channel, so obviously he was going
- 12:28to get a very warm welcome for that message. I don't know what's going
- 12:33on with Stephen A. Smith. He has made some other comments recently that
- 12:37are also seemingly, if not pro Trump, at least defending Donald Trump.
- 12:43I still believe that when it comes down to it, someone like Steven A.
- 12:46Smith is going to probably vote for Joe Biden. But he didn't stop
- 12:50with just an attack on the whole idea of the court case against Trump.
- 12:56He continued with what might even be a bigger issue when it comes to the
- 13:01election itself, and that is the idea that Donald Trump facing ninety one criminal
- 13:07counts and four different indictments, whether or not, somehow that has given Trump
- 13:13some sort of a connection to elements of the black community, specifically the black
- 13:18male community, and that there and there are liberals, especially white liberals,
- 13:22who when they hear this, they just go bananas. Oh my god,
- 13:26this is the worst thing they could possibly ever hear. How outrageous that Trump
- 13:30could ever try to claim he has a connection to the black community because he's
- 13:33under attack from law enforcement, which of course is hypocritical because you know,
- 13:37based upon the liberal narrative about black people, especially black men, this makes
- 13:43perfect sense. And it also seemingly makes perfect sense to Stephen A. Smith.
- 13:48And here's what he said about that. But I got to tell you
- 13:50something. As much as people may have been abhorred by Donald Trump's statement weeks
- 13:56ago talking about how black folks he's hearing, that black folks find him relatable
- 14:01because what he's going through is similar to what black Americans have gone through.
- 14:05He wasn't lying. He was telling the truth. When you see the law,
- 14:11law enforcement, the court system, and everything else being exercised against him,
- 14:16it is something that black folks throughout this nation can relate to. With
- 14:22some of our historic iconic figures, we've seen that happen throughout society. So
- 14:26no matter what race, what ethnicity, you may emanate from, we relate
- 14:31to you when you're suffering like that because we know we have, and that's
- 14:35what he articulated. Now. I have no idea whether or not Stephen A.
- 14:39Smith is correct in his assessment of what level of connection this may or
- 14:45may not create between Donald Trump and elements of the black community. However,
- 14:50I do know that the poll indicayed that Stephen A. Smith is correct here.
- 14:56Now, whether those polls are going to hold out until Nove is a
- 15:01very open question. One of the reasons I have been skeptical, probably more
- 15:05skeptical than any other conservative adea that Donald Trump is a significant favorite to win
- 15:11the presidency because of current polling. And of course I've always found it hilarious
- 15:15that Trump fans, who don't trust any poll at all, they don't trust
- 15:18election day polls, suddenly believe that the same polls that they derided in twenty
- 15:26sixteen, at twenty twenty two, at twenty twenty that you many of which
- 15:31turned out to be accurate, all of a sudden they have very fervent belief
- 15:35in all these polls and that somehow Donald Trump is in fact the favor.
- 15:39Since I've been skeptical of that narrative is that I believe that there's a good
- 15:45chance that to whatever extent the polls are showing that Donald Trump is doing much
- 15:50better with minority voters, specific men, than any Republican has done in honern
- 15:56history, is that that in the end was not going to turn out to
- 16:00be reality. That a lot of these people either are not going to vote,
- 16:04or they may vote for RFK Junior, or they may come home and
- 16:08vote for Joe Biden. That to me has been part of the reason for
- 16:15my skepticism that that that that narrative. I don't I don't I need more
- 16:19of a reason for the black community and the abandoned Joe Biden than simply the
- 16:25fact that you know, Donald Trump is under attack from the criminal justice system.
- 16:30To me, that's an entree for Trump potentially, But I just don't
- 16:34see how that's going to work out when it comes to the final vote.
- 16:40And I have been in the camp that Joe Biden is still the favorite to
- 16:45win this thing for a whole host of reasons involving incumbency as well as what's
- 16:49going on Trump's legal troubles. I do believe that Donald Trump has to at
- 16:56least get a hung jury in this New York case in order to maintain his
- 17:03position as either a slight favor in perception or somebody with a fifty to fifty
- 17:08chance of winning. Now, I don't think that if he gets convicted in
- 17:12this particular case that it's going to be devastating to his chances. In fact,
- 17:17there in some elements of the voting population, it could backfire that they
- 17:22This could be seen very much the same way that Stephen A. Smith sees
- 17:26it, that this is unfair and that there could be theoretically some rallying around
- 17:33because of a conviction especially if it's seen as not being legitimate. So I'm
- 17:38not going to pretend that the election is over if Trump gets convicted in this
- 17:44particular case, but it certainly would behoove his chances very very much for him
- 17:48to at least get a hung jury in this particular case. And I think
- 17:53it's important to at least take a look at the state of the race before
- 17:57we head into this actual trial, so that we have a mark on where
- 18:03things are. And as I look at the current state of the race,
- 18:10I am still of the belief that the data is drifting somewhat significantly towards Joe
- 18:15Biden and away from Donald Trump before this trial ever even begins. Most recently,
- 18:22just over this past weekend, there are two extremely similar and also rather
- 18:29confusing polls from mainstream outlets. One's the NB poll, the other is the
- 18:33NPR Marris Poll, and both of these polls are showing very similar things.
- 18:38Nationally. The first thing that they're showing is that Joe Biden slightly ahead of
- 18:45Donald Trump. But that's not the worst of it if you are a Trump
- 18:51fan. The worst part of this is that the RFK Junior effect, which
- 18:56has always been slightly in Trump's favor. I won't say always, but almost
- 19:02always in Trump's favor. When you look at the averages, especially in these
- 19:07state poles, almost every single sitution, every single state has Trump with a
- 19:14slight advantage a point and a half, maybe even two points. When you
- 19:18add in RFK Junior and the other fringe presidential cadates West and Stein as opposed
- 19:25to going Trump versus Biden head to head, well in both of these most
- 19:30recent polls, the RFK Junior effect is in the opposite direction that RFK Junior
- 19:37actually seems to harm Donald Trump with Joe Biden. Now, you know,
- 19:44one poll could be an anomaly, two holes could just be a coincidence.
- 19:48But if you start to see more than two this, then you have to
- 19:52wonder is something going on here? Now I will be the first to acknowledge
- 19:56this is in exactly the opposite direction that what I would have expected in what
- 20:00I predicted, because when RFK Junior chose his very liberal Sugar Mama vice presidential
- 20:07nominee, I thought that for any rational Now let's be clear, they're lotional
- 20:12voters, especially those that are considering RFK Junior, but in a remotely rational
- 20:18and logical world, that that would mean that anybody who was in a liberal
- 20:22would basically cross r K Junior off their list, that if you were a
- 20:26moderate or center right Republican who was looking for another option, that that would
- 20:33basically disqualify RFK Junior. Well, these two poles give no indication of that.
- 20:38In fact, they give the opposite, And so the RFK Junior effect
- 20:42now suddenly seems to be advantaging Joe Biden also, and this might even be
- 20:49more concerning if you're in the Trump camp, the more likely you are to
- 20:55vote. In other words, if you just consider the most likely voters in
- 20:59these two poless, Biden does much better with those voters than he does with
- 21:06the voters who aren't less likely to vote. Now, you think, with
- 21:08Trump's cult and the enthusiasm that they have, although there's some indications that there's
- 21:14not quite as much enthusiasm in twenty twenty four as there was certainly in twenty
- 21:18sixteen, but that you would think that Trump would advantage among likely voters.
- 21:26But in both of these polls is exactly the opposite, and in fact the
- 21:30most concerning part of one of these polls that I saw. Again, if
- 21:33you're looking at this from the true perspective is that if you take voters who
- 21:37actually voted in twenty twenty in twenty twenty two, Biden cleans Trump's clock.
- 21:45But if you take theoretical voters that didn't vote in twenty twenty or twenty twenty
- 21:52two, Trump crushes Biden. Well, okay, first of all, I'm
- 21:57wondering how could that be. I guess it's possible. I guess this might
- 22:02be the burn it to the ground people that I've referenced in the past many
- 22:06times who seem to like Donald Trump simply for entertainment purposes. But if you
- 22:10didn't vote in twenty twenty or twenty twenty two, what are the chances that
- 22:15you're going to vote in twenty twenty four, an election which the NBC poll
- 22:19indicates Americans have less enthusiasm about than any other preetial cam modern history. So
- 22:27if you votivated to vote in twenty twenty or twenty twenty two, and this
- 22:33campaign is America is the least enthusiastic about, the least interested in for obvious
- 22:38reasons, because you've got two terrible candidates in a repeat election for twenty twenty
- 22:44If you didn't vote in either of those last two elections, why would you
- 22:47suddenly vote in this one. So all of that is exceedingly good news nationally
- 22:55for Joe Biden. Now, I also want to make sure people understand it's
- 22:59almost most absurd, almost absurd to even be talking about national polls anymore.
- 23:06National polls mean very, very little when it comes to who's actually a selection
- 23:11in the electoral college. Except there is a phenomenon, and I have never
- 23:15understood this, although I've talked about it previously in the podcast, where national
- 23:21polls tend to be the first polls that show some sort of a change or
- 23:26a trend. We saw it in the Republican primary process, where the national
- 23:30polls went to Trump first, and when DeSantis started to fade, and there
- 23:36were DeSantis fans that kept holding on to well, what about the you know,
- 23:38Iowa, what about this state or that state? And I was like,
- 23:44no, that those are going to fall eventually, because that's the way
- 23:47this works. There's this inexplicable phenomenon where the national polls go first, the
- 23:52state poles are still holding pretty steady. The key state polls, the only
- 23:56ones that really matter North Carolina, Georgia, Ara in the Wisconsin, Michigan
- 24:00and Pennsylvania. Those are the only states that really matter. If you count
- 24:04only those, Trump is still doing well enough to win, assuming that the
- 24:08polls are accurate. However, I'm of the belief that eventually that's gonna shift,
- 24:15because the history is shown, the national polls go first, and the
- 24:19national polls are shifting in Biden's direction, not badically, but significantly and very
- 24:26very clearly. Now, if you want to look at the other side of
- 24:30this, there's usually another side, especially when it comes to polling. It's
- 24:34interesting to point out that both of these last two polls I've referenced, NBC
- 24:38and NPR, show that Joe Biden's approval rating has increased dramatically in a very
- 24:45short period of time. Now, this is something for which there's no rational
- 24:51explanation. Why would that happen? Really, no reason for it. I
- 24:56mean, I mean, if you stretch, I don't know what you could
- 24:59find. You know, maybe, up until recently, the stock market has
- 25:03been doing exceedingly well. So that's theoretically, I guess, a possibility if
- 25:07you talk about suburban voters and what they care about. Who knows. But
- 25:12there's also the possibility that the high approval rating in relative terms for Joe Biden
- 25:18dimly, an indication that these were bad samples. See. I always look
- 25:23at the approval rating that they give Biden an any national poll, because that
- 25:27will tell you the nature of the sample, because they're asking the same people
- 25:33the question, do you approve of Joe Biden as they are who would you
- 25:34vote for president? And if you get a sample where Joe Biden's approval rating
- 25:40is a you know, somehow all the way up to forty five percent,
- 25:42which I think one of these polls had them in that range, then you
- 25:45have to wonder, okay, as something happened and Biden's approval ratings suddenly increased
- 25:52pretty significantly for no apparent reason, or did you get a bad sample of
- 25:57voters, in which case now you have to question the entire result. And
- 26:03the fact is still pretty close. Only a couple points either way between Trump
- 26:07and Biden indicates that, Okay, you know, maybe that's really not that
- 26:10bad a poll for Trump. So I don't have an answer to that.
- 26:12I don't know whether or not Joe Biden's approval really is suddenly improving fairly significantly
- 26:19for no apparent reason, or whether or not these polls got a bad sample.
- 26:23It could be somewhere in between. But the bigger issue here is that
- 26:30the data not just these two poles. The data is drifting in Joe Biden's
- 26:33favor as we head into this first Trump criminal trial. There are indications,
- 26:40though I mentioned the RFK Junior effect, that the Biden team is still very,
- 26:45very concerned about the RFK Junior effect, and that was proven a few
- 26:49days ago when, rather laughably hilariously, the Biden team put out a basically
- 26:56I guess you'd call it a campaign commercial, with these testimonials for members of
- 27:03the Kennedy family, making sure that everyone knows how important they think it is
- 27:07to vote for Joe Biden, how Joe Biden is the RFK of this generation.
- 27:14Basically the messages don't be fooled by the Kennedy name on RFK Junior,
- 27:19He's not really one of us. We're totally with Joe Biden. And I
- 27:25found this to be laughable on numerous levels. The first is, does anybody
- 27:30really believe that any votes are going to be impacted by members of the Kennedy
- 27:37family in twenty twenty four? Really? Really, I mean, the entire
- 27:41Kennedy name is based upon two men who were assassinated six decades ago. I
- 27:49mean, the number are still that enamored with the Kennedy name is at this
- 27:55point is minuscule. And I guess there could be a handful full of people
- 28:00who think that RFK Junior is a viable candidate because of his last name.
- 28:06See to me, it's gonna be a weird Ziggler analogy. To me,
- 28:08the Kennedy name in this situation is not relevant related to the Kennedy political legacy.
- 28:18It's related to what give a shit at who he is? And the
- 28:22analogy that I'm gonna use is it's a bit like Kim Kardashian. Kim Kardashian
- 28:26became famous because why, well she did she made a sex tape. Why
- 28:32did anyone care about the sex tape? Well, they cared about the sex
- 28:34tape because their last name was Kardashian and we all remembered her dad, Robert
- 28:38Kardashian, from the O. J. Simpson Bronco Chase, where he dramatically
- 28:41read OJ Simpson's suicide note to a national television audience. So the Kardashian name
- 28:48made Kim Kardashian relevant. That's why we have the Kardashian family to this day.
- 28:53By the way, more on her when we talk about Taylor Swift later
- 28:57on in this episode of the podcast. They look forward to but in a
- 29:02weird way, that's the only relevance to the Kennedy name. Oh, it's
- 29:06basically like Kardashian, Oh oh, we care about this person a little bit.
- 29:10They're somewhat relevant because of the fact that their last name is Kennedy.
- 29:15It's not because they are somehow inheriting this significant portion of the voting population.
- 29:23Because there's still a lot of people who vote Kennedy out there. That's just
- 29:27laughable. And the other hilarious part of this is, you know, liberalism
- 29:32in twenty twenty four, especially in the woke era, is based upon this
- 29:37entire concept what that white people don't match, that white legacy is bad,
- 29:42that we really shouldn't give a shit what people think simply because you know,
- 29:48they are lucky in the DNA department that they just happen to be descendants of
- 29:55famous, rich white people. I mean, this goes against everything that the
- 29:59Democratic Party is allegedly in favor of. You're trotting out these old Kennedys as
- 30:06if they're important, as if what they say matters, as if we should
- 30:11really vote based upon what they say. Well, hold on a second.
- 30:15None of these people have accomplished anything in their own lives. The only relevance
- 30:19is that they come from Kennedy DNA. That's it. These old, rich
- 30:25white people. We thought those were evil. I thought rich, old white
- 30:29people were evil. Now you're using them to tell me to who to vote
- 30:33for because or not to vote for in this case, Really that's the message.
- 30:37Don't vote for Ark Junior, even though he has the Kennedy last name.
- 30:41I just found the whole thing to be hilarious, laughable, absurd.
- 30:47Of course, no one in the media will call the Kennedy family or the
- 30:51Biden administration out for this. I mean, because the entire philosophy of this
- 30:56campaign tact that goes against a whole lot of what the Democratic Party claims to
- 31:00stand for in twenty twenty four. I also don't know how effective it's going
- 31:04to be. I really don't. I mean, I just I again,
- 31:07this happened. These last two polls were not impacted by this effort by the
- 31:12Biden administration because it happened way after those perceptions would already be set. So
- 31:17I think it's a coincidence that these last two polls have gotten the results that
- 31:22the Biden team has been trying to get, which is to stop Democrats from
- 31:29voting for RFK Junior in larger numbers than potential Trump voters are voting or at
- 31:36least supporting RFK Junior. And so the RFK Junior issue is set. Yet
- 31:41it's exceedingly important. He's going to be RFK Junior is going to be on
- 31:48the ballot in Michigan, which increasingly looks like it's going to be the key
- 31:52state because even if Trump wins North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, Nevada,
- 31:57which I think he's failed to win all four of those right now, gun
- 32:02to my head, I think Trump wins all four of those states North Carolina,
- 32:07Georgia, Arizona, and Nevada. That could change because of criminal cases
- 32:10or what have you, But right now, if the election were today,
- 32:14I'd feel pretty confident Trump would win all four of those states. That doesn't
- 32:19get him an election win unless you're willing to bet on a two sixty nine
- 32:23two sixty nine tie involving the electoral college votes in Maine and Nebraska, which
- 32:29is very much up in the air, and we have very little polling data,
- 32:30no polling data that I'm aware of in Nebraska, which is baffling to
- 32:35me because that won Nebraska electoral College vote in that congressional district in Omaha could
- 32:39determine the whole thing. But anyway, under the scenario I just outline,
- 32:43where Trump sweeps all those what I call the southern swing states, he still
- 32:49doesn't win the election. Necessarily. He needs at least one more Wisconsin,
- 32:54Michigan, or Pennsylvania. And I think Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. The polls in
- 32:59Pennsylvania are all over the goddamn place. I am you know, I'm just
- 33:02going buy my gut that Trump is probably not going to win Pennsylvania. I
- 33:07think the data in Wisconsin doesn't look particularly good for Trump, although there's some
- 33:12indication he has a chance there. The data is looking best for Trump in
- 33:15Michigan, and there's at least some logic there because Biden's trouble with both the
- 33:22black vote and the Muslim vote, and so RFK Junior is now on the
- 33:27ballot in Michigan. And so based upon the conventional wisdom of a week ago
- 33:31that would be good for Trump. That might not be good for Trump now
- 33:36because of what seems to be an alteration kind of when it comes to whether
- 33:40it is being advantaged or disadvantaged by the presence of R. K. Junior
- 33:45on the ballot. Now, as far as Donald Trump is concerned, you
- 33:50know, look, I have tried to be exceedingly fair to him in all
- 33:52sorts of ways, even though I loathe him and what he has done to
- 33:57conservatism and to the conservative media, and how all the problems I have with
- 34:02a potential Trump's second term. I loathe Joe Biden, I loathed Donald Trump.
- 34:08I have no one to root for in this particular situation. The only
- 34:14thing that Trump gives me is maybe the replacement for Clarence Thomas is going to
- 34:19be a lot better than if Clarence Thomas were to die or retire with Joe
- 34:22Biden or Kamala Harris being president. That's really about all that comes down to.
- 34:27But there's all sorts of other potential problems that Trump brings to the table.
- 34:30And I have to say that, boy, Trump really dodged a bullet,
- 34:37largely because we are desensitized towards his insanity and because the Conservative media is
- 34:43so in the tank for him. You know, the greatest narrative, the
- 34:45most prominent narrative, the most dangerous narrative about Joe Biden is what that he's
- 34:52got some semblance of dementia. His mental acuity is not up to the standards
- 34:58of the job. It's only going to get work in a second term.
- 35:00He's too old, right, You have no idea what he's going to say
- 35:04at any time. He has maybe very little clue of what he's actually saying
- 35:08or doing. He makes a lot of very strange statements. I agree with
- 35:13all that. I agree with all that, But can you imagine if Donald
- 35:19Trump had ever made a public statement on video, or let's even reverse it
- 35:23further. Let's pretend that Joe Biden. Let's pretend for a second that Joe
- 35:29Biden did what I'm about to tell you Donald Trump did on truth Social.
- 35:35So let's pretend Joe Biden goes out in public and on video says what Donald
- 35:43Trump actually did say on truth Social just a few days ago. If this
- 35:49had occurred what I'm about to tell you with Joe Biden, the conservative media
- 35:54would be in a five alarm fire. This would be the most important thing
- 36:00that's ever happened. And oh my god, can you believe this guy's president?
- 36:05And can you believe he might be re elected? This is dangerous for
- 36:07the country, dangerous for the world. Blah blah blah. What I'm referring
- 36:12to is an out of the blue Trump's Trump Social. There's a fortiing slip.
- 36:17Truth Social might as well be called truth Social, the social media company
- 36:22for Donald Trump, since he doesn't post on Twitter anymore unless he's got a
- 36:27really cool mugshot to share, so he posts on truth Social. And this
- 36:31is what he posted just a couple of days ago. Somebelievable folks. Again,
- 36:37just for context, imagine if Joe Biden said this in public on video.
- 36:43Stupid Jimmy Kimmel, who still hasn't recovered from his horrendous performance and big
- 36:47ratings drop as host of the Academy Awards, especially when he showed he suffered
- 36:53from TDS commonly known as Trump Derangement syndrome, to the entire world by reading
- 37:00on air my truth about how bad a job he was doing that night,
- 37:05right before he stumbled through announcing the biggest award of all Picture of the Year.
- 37:12It was a classic choke, and we know it was a classic joke
- 37:15because Trump wrote that in all capital letters, even spelled it correctly. Classic
- 37:19choke, one of the biggest ever in show business. At top it off,
- 37:23he forgot to say the famous and mandatory line and the winner is instead,
- 37:30he stammered around as he opened the envelope. Supposedly his wife and even
- 37:35management begged him not to do it. Don't read his truth, Jimmy,
- 37:39Please don't do this, they said. He was made to look like a
- 37:45fool, which he is, and at the same time go down in television
- 37:50history as the worst host ever of the once vaunted Academy Awards. Exclamation point
- 37:57in all capital letters. Now, that would be completely insane for a presidential
- 38:02candidate with a lot going on in his world to be spouting off about weeks
- 38:07after the Academy Awards had already ended. That would be insane. That would
- 38:12be cuckoo for cocoa puffs on numerous levels. If what Trump had said was
- 38:20remotely accurate. But it wasn't. Forget about the fact. Okay, yes,
- 38:27Jimmy Kimmel during the Academy Awards did read a true social post from Donald
- 38:31Trump. It was probably a dumb idea, especially since what he said wasn't
- 38:35particularly funny and he politicized the entire broadcast. So I'm not even defending Jimmy
- 38:39Kimmel. But so that part is true. What Trump says about Jimmy Kimmel
- 38:45is true. But how in the world Donald Trump got the idea that it
- 38:50was Jimmy Kimmel that botched the final award of the night for Best Picture,
- 38:55I have no idea. I would love to know how Donald Trump got that
- 38:59idea, because it wasn't Jimmy Kimmel that did that. It well Pacino,
- 39:04al Pacino did that. So if you're gonna, for some reason go after
- 39:09Jimmy Kimmel weeks after the Academy Awards out of the blue, when there's a
- 39:14hell of a lot more important things going on in your world and in the
- 39:16world in general, you should at least get the basic facts right. And
- 39:22instead Trump is pretending that Jimmy Kimmel did what al Pacino did. To go
- 39:30back to my premise here, if Joe Biden ever went after the host of
- 39:37the Academy Awards for no apparent reason and then mistook Jimmy Kimmel for al Pacino
- 39:44or vice versa. Every single conservative in the country would be going, my
- 39:49god, the twenty fourth Amendment. This guy is insane. How in the
- 39:52world could he possibly be president of the United States? How could he possibly
- 39:57be re elected? Every single one? And yet what I just told you
- 40:02made a little bit of a ripple on social media, but that was about
- 40:06it. And Trump once again benefits one from desensitization. We're so desensitized to
- 40:14everything about him that even that kind of level of insanity doesn't make a mark.
- 40:19And two, because there's just so much else going on in his world,
- 40:22specifically regarding criminal allegations, that I guess the media just doesn't have enough
- 40:29time for it. It's just astonishing. So I gotta call it both ways.
- 40:32Folks, thanks for listening to today's free drop of the abbreviated show.
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