Latest / 3 and Out with John Middlekauff / Seahawks Trade for Quenton Nelson, 49ers Trade for DeForest Buckner & Bud Elliott Interview | College Football Playoff, NIL Money, Super Conferences & Lincoln Riley
Transcript
- 0:15Speaker 1: What is going on, my friends? John Middlecoff, 3NOW Podcast.
- 0:19Speaker 1: How are we doing? Hopefully everyone is doing well, enjoying life.
- 0:22Speaker 1: We have trades galore. Well, really two. And the Colts
- 0:26Speaker 1: are stocking the cupboards in the NFC West. Seattle Seahawks,
- 0:30Speaker 1: the 49ers, trade for Quinn Nelson and DeForest Buckner. Obviously,
- 0:34Speaker 1: DeForest Buckner coming home where he was once drafted. And
- 0:37Speaker 1: the 49ers who had traded him to the Colts. So
- 0:40Speaker 1: he traded him to the Colts, traded him back to
- 0:41Speaker 1: the 49ers and Quinn Nelson, who is a future Hall
- 0:44Speaker 1: of Famer. I'd call it a John Schneider steal. because
- 0:49Speaker 1: you get a third-round pick for a guy that's a
- 0:51Speaker 1: plug-and-play stud at left guard, as long as you can
- 0:54Speaker 1: move Zabel to right guard. We'll dive into it all.
- 0:56Speaker 1: And then Bud Elliott, who is a member of the
- 1:00Speaker 1: Cover 3 podcast with guys like Tom Fornelli and Danny Connell,
- 1:05Speaker 1: and covers recruiting and just big college football guy in
- 1:08Speaker 1: the South. I'm a very loyal Cover 3 listener, so
- 1:13Speaker 1: I DM'd him and I said, hey, will you come on?
- 1:16Speaker 1: He's like, yeah, when do you want me? I was like, tomorrow.
- 1:17Speaker 1: And he's like, yeah, let's do it. So we had
- 1:20Speaker 1: a good talk on and off the air. So that'll
- 1:22Speaker 1: be after some reaction to the trades, and that will
- 1:24Speaker 1: be the show for the day. Other than that, you
- 1:28Speaker 1: guys know the drill. If you subscribe to the Coward
- 1:31Speaker 1: Podcast and listen to us through there, make sure you
- 1:33Speaker 1: subscribe to the Three and Out Show, Three and Out Podcast.
- 1:37Speaker 1: And we're up on Netflix. You can hit the alerts
- 1:39Speaker 1: and never miss an episode. We also got content on
- 1:41Speaker 1: the YouTube page. I actually just threw my top five
- 1:45Speaker 1: teams heading into week eight in the National Football League.
- 1:50Speaker 1: But let's transition into the 49ers and Seattle Seahawks. And
- 1:55Speaker 1: I don't think Seattle making the trade earlier in the
- 1:58Speaker 1: day prompted the 49ers to get aggressive and make sure
- 2:03Speaker 1: that they landed the plane. But I don't think it hurt.
- 2:07Speaker 1: And I think anytime that you have a team that
- 2:11Speaker 1: is circling the drain, fires a GM, is going nowhere,
- 2:15Speaker 1: but is littered with a lot of players that other
- 2:17Speaker 1: teams would like. Like Miami, it's like they're terrible, but
- 2:21Speaker 1: who on their team right now, how many guys truly
- 2:25Speaker 1: would teams be lined up for that aren't on rookie contracts?
- 2:28Speaker 1: Or guys they just drafted? You know, I mean, Chop Robinson.
- 2:33Speaker 1: So it's what makes this, I said this about the Eagles.
- 2:36Speaker 1: Like they don't have that many players to trade. They
- 2:39Speaker 1: have a bunch of underachieving guys making a ton of
- 2:41Speaker 1: money on defense. And then offensively, like Devontae Smith hurt.
- 2:46Speaker 1: Saquon Barkley couldn't finish the game. They said he was
- 2:50Speaker 1: on a pitch count. He could barely move. So it's
- 2:53Speaker 1: like you have these guys. Quentin Nelson, I did the math,
- 2:57Speaker 1: has missed three games in his NFL career. Buckner, while
- 3:01Speaker 1: he's battled some injuries, has been a complete badass when
- 3:05Speaker 1: he's on the field. And obviously the 49ers have a
- 3:08Speaker 1: connection with him. And I think both guys, and this
- 3:11Speaker 1: is where I'm always a proponent of, and the Ravens
- 3:14Speaker 1: historically did a really good job of this under Ozzie,
- 3:18Speaker 1: is acquiring your type guys. Acquiring players that fit your culture.
- 3:26Speaker 1: They talk about this in the business world all the time.
- 3:28Speaker 1: Culture is not the company. Culture is the people inside
- 3:32Speaker 1: the walls, inside the building. Culture, like a football team,
- 3:37Speaker 1: is the reflection of the players you draft. So when
- 3:41Speaker 1: you watch Seattle absolutely throttle the Chiefs physically, and really
- 3:46Speaker 1: that's just the way they play now for several years,
- 3:49Speaker 1: that's the culture they've created, going back to Pete. If
- 3:53Speaker 1: you watch the 49ers play, and listen, no team needed
- 3:56Speaker 1: a bye week worse than the Niners, when they're just semi-healthy,
- 4:01Speaker 1: you better have your chin strap buckled up Because Fred Warner,
- 4:05Speaker 1: he doesn't play by these no helmet to helmet rules.
- 4:08Speaker 1: He doesn't give a shit. They are coming to crack skulls.
- 4:12Speaker 1: And honestly, I've said this forever. I don't apologize for
- 4:15Speaker 1: watching football for the violence. I miss it a lot
- 4:17Speaker 1: of the times in this seven on seven world we're in.
- 4:21Speaker 1: And both these two teams truly value a certain type
- 4:24Speaker 1: of wiring. certain type of guy the way they play
- 4:28Speaker 1: and you got to make decisions you can't keep everybody
- 4:31Speaker 1: and Seattle like their run games having issues right part
- 4:35Speaker 1: of that is their running backs had been hurt so
- 4:37Speaker 1: they were playing third fourth fifth string guys but the
- 4:40Speaker 1: other part is like they're like our interior offensive line
- 4:42Speaker 1: is not good enough we drafted this guy who's going
- 4:45Speaker 1: to be a really good player and already is really
- 4:46Speaker 1: solid in Zabel from North Dakota State Well, Quentin Nelson
- 4:50Speaker 1: is a left guard. That's the only position he played
- 4:53Speaker 1: in college. Pretty sure that's the only position he's ever
- 4:55Speaker 1: played in the NFL. He's a plug-and-play Hall of Famer
- 4:58Speaker 1: at left guard. So Zabel, you got to move, which
- 5:01Speaker 1: I would imagine clearly they're pretty comfortable with. Which, you know,
- 5:04Speaker 1: former right guard in high school, wing T offense. It's
- 5:08Speaker 1: a big difference. Putting your hand down is why a
- 5:10Speaker 1: lot of guys aren't comfortable going different tackle spots. It's
- 5:13Speaker 1: why it makes swing tackles, usually the guy that's not
- 5:17Speaker 1: the starter, but has the ability to play left and
- 5:19Speaker 1: right tackle in a pinch, a valuable asset. And they
- 5:23Speaker 1: got him for nothing. DeForest Buckner is a guy who
- 5:28Speaker 1: has talked about retirement before with neck or back injuries,
- 5:32Speaker 1: question marks. There's risk involved. Based on the play and
- 5:37Speaker 1: based on the person, if he's healthy, you feel excellent
- 5:40Speaker 1: about it. Now, he's a free agent in 27. So
- 5:45Speaker 1: is Quentin Nelson, which factors into the trade value. But
- 5:50Speaker 1: Quentin Nelson is a first ballot Hall of Famer. He's
- 5:54Speaker 1: one of the greatest interior offensive linemen, I would say,
- 5:57Speaker 1: of the internet era. And he plays guard. So when
- 6:02Speaker 1: the trade happened, hell, I follow a lot of Niner accounts.
- 6:04Speaker 1: People are like, why didn't the 49ers trade for that?
- 6:07Speaker 1: Why didn't they make that move? And I think it
- 6:10Speaker 1: goes back to, well, they don't value guards that highly.
- 6:14Speaker 1: They just don't. And I think John Schneider clearly does,
- 6:18Speaker 1: but I think he'd also tell you, I gave up
- 6:20Speaker 1: a third round pick for him. If someone with his credentials,
- 6:24Speaker 1: that many Pro Bowls, that many All Pros, just a
- 6:27Speaker 1: certified badass, was a wide receiver, was a corner, was
- 6:32Speaker 1: a defensive lineman, it would have cost me triple that.
- 6:36Speaker 1: The equivalent of that guy on the open market would
- 6:38Speaker 1: have been a first-round pick. That's why the Colts with
- 6:41Speaker 1: Jonathan Taylor. They leaked out today, like, he's going to
- 6:45Speaker 1: be a cornerstone of our turnaround. AKA, if you even
- 6:48Speaker 1: want to have a conversation, it starts with the number one.
- 6:51Speaker 1: So it's like, I get this guy for half the season,
- 6:55Speaker 1: and if he leaves, someone's going to give him... I
- 6:58Speaker 1: don't think people quite understand how much money this guy's
- 7:01Speaker 1: going to get on the open market. Linderbaum, who is
- 7:04Speaker 1: not nearly as good as this guy, just got $ 60
- 7:07Speaker 1: million guaranteed and $ 27 million a year. So if Quentin Nelson,
- 7:11Speaker 1: I know he's 30, but like Jason Kelsey, Trent Williams,
- 7:15Speaker 1: we have some recent history of Hall of Famers thriving
- 7:19Speaker 1: from 31 to 35. You don't think someone's going to
- 7:22Speaker 1: give this guy three years, $ 100 plus million and a
- 7:25Speaker 1: $ 75 million guaranteed? I'll promise you that that number's coming.
- 7:29Speaker 1: And Seattle, probably, they're just renting this, but they feel good.
- 7:32Speaker 1: Their GM that just went to Minnesota, third-round pick. They
- 7:35Speaker 1: got comp picks for guys like Kenneth Walker and Moffitt. So,
- 7:39Speaker 1: they were willing to give more than other teams, like
- 7:41Speaker 1: the Packers were involved. Well, the Packers don't have a
- 7:44Speaker 1: first-round pick. So, and you're not guaranteed... You know, if
- 7:50Speaker 1: you're them, you could easily be drafted in 15 or
- 7:52Speaker 1: you could be drafted in 25. Their pendulum on how
- 7:56Speaker 1: the season's going to play out is a pretty big swing.
- 7:59Speaker 1: It'd go a lot of different ways. Seattle knows, like,
- 8:02Speaker 1: we're winning double-digit games. Is that number 10 or is
- 8:06Speaker 1: that number 12? You know, the Niners just lost. We're
- 8:10Speaker 1: two games behind them now. And we got to play
- 8:13Speaker 1: them again. We have not played the Rams yet, who
- 8:16Speaker 1: I get they just kicked the shit out of the Raiders,
- 8:17Speaker 1: but got some issues. We still control our own destiny.
- 8:20Speaker 1: The 49ers are thinking that too. We definitely control our
- 8:23Speaker 1: own destiny because we're in the driver's seat right now.
- 8:25Speaker 1: But we need reinforcements. And when you're talking third and
- 8:28Speaker 1: fourth round picks, especially Quentin Nelson, no-brainer. Which, again, I
- 8:34Speaker 1: haven't talked to anyone with Seattle. I would assume they
- 8:36Speaker 1: are very, very comfortable and confident that Zabel, who's, I think,
- 8:40Speaker 1: left tackle in college, kind of like a Logan Mankins thing,
- 8:43Speaker 1: could play the other position. And then that solidifies those
- 8:48Speaker 1: two spots with high-end run blockers with Price and Charbonnet
- 8:55Speaker 1: coming back. And actually, Wilson, who's been on my fantasy team,
- 8:58Speaker 1: is not terrible. And all of a sudden, you feel
- 9:00Speaker 1: pretty good about your run game. And you just need
- 9:03Speaker 1: Sam Darnold to not turn the ball over. We know
- 9:05Speaker 1: how great the defense is. But it all gets back
- 9:08Speaker 1: to the... You don't make the profit when you sell something.
- 9:12Speaker 1: You make the profit how much you pay for it.
- 9:15Speaker 1: What was your purchase price? Third round pick? When, at worst,
- 9:20Speaker 1: I'm getting bounced in the first round and I feel
- 9:22Speaker 1: pretty good about my chances of winning a playoff game
- 9:24Speaker 1: or two? in the mid-20s, so what are we talking,
- 9:27Speaker 1: a pick.
- 9:27Speaker 2: In the 80s?
- 9:29Speaker 1: When I already know I'm getting recouped on that based
- 9:32Speaker 1: on other comp picks from previous players and my general manager? Yeah, here,
- 9:37Speaker 1: take it. But the part of the reason is like,
- 9:40Speaker 1: why weren't other people bidding? Because I think a lot
- 9:42Speaker 1: of people view this as not a premium position. Third
- 9:45Speaker 1: round picks are pretty valuable, whether I use that pick
- 9:48Speaker 1: to make other trades or just use that pick on
- 9:50Speaker 1: a player. And maybe based on my pick structure, I'm
- 9:55Speaker 1: missing some other picks. I can't just give up a
- 9:57Speaker 1: pick for a guard. Somewhat of a luxury item. And
- 10:00Speaker 1: I think there's some truth there. But for Seattle, this
- 10:02Speaker 1: is probably one of the easier trades John Schneider will
- 10:04Speaker 1: ever make. Just a fucking no-brainer. It's like, that's all
- 10:07Speaker 1: I got to give up for this guy? Even if
- 10:09Speaker 1: it's more than likely going to be a rental. Because
- 10:11Speaker 1: I would doubt they're going to give... you know, a
- 10:15Speaker 1: guy $ 100 million in the offseason at 31 years old,
- 10:17Speaker 1: they'll probably just let him walk and then get a
- 10:18Speaker 1: comp pick from that. So it's just excellent business. And
- 10:22Speaker 1: the 49ers, it was kind of unique. I would imagine, listen, it's,
- 10:28Speaker 1: you think the Seattle just wanted to let Kobe Bryant
- 10:31Speaker 1: and Kenneth Walker and Moffitt and all these guys just walk?
- 10:33Speaker 1: It's salary cap league. You got to make tough decisions.
- 10:36Speaker 1: And the 49ers made a very tough decision to trade
- 10:40Speaker 1: DeForest Buckner after the Super Bowl run in 2019. They
- 10:44Speaker 1: did get the 13th overall pick, which could have been
- 10:46Speaker 1: Tristan Wurst, but they traded back a spot and they
- 10:48Speaker 1: got Javon Kinlaw, which clearly is something they would like
- 10:51Speaker 1: a do-over on. Who actually, I give Kinlaw respect, it
- 10:55Speaker 1: looks like he's going to have a long NFL career.
- 10:57Speaker 1: But he never lived up to that pick. And because
- 11:00Speaker 1: of paying other guys, they made a tough decision, but
- 11:03Speaker 1: they loved him. He was a team captain. He was
- 11:07Speaker 1: essentially Fred Warner before Fred Warner in terms of the
- 11:09Speaker 1: heartbeat of the defense. He's everything you look for when
- 11:12Speaker 1: you have a team like a Seattle Seahawks or the 49ers.
- 11:15Speaker 1: He's your type guy. It's why Chris Ballard went and
- 11:18Speaker 1: traded that pick for him to add to his team.
- 11:21Speaker 1: His problem is they could never figure out the quarterback position,
- 11:23Speaker 1: and they were always in this hamster wheel, and part
- 11:26Speaker 1: of the big reason they could never make the playoffs.
- 11:29Speaker 1: It wasn't DeForest Buckner's fault. So it's like, I can
- 11:33Speaker 1: get a guy, who is going to be a free
- 11:35Speaker 1: agent that I know extremely well, high character, tough, badass,
- 11:41Speaker 1: plays the run, and gives me interior pass rusher. We
- 11:44Speaker 1: also just need help inside. And I only have to
- 11:47Speaker 1: give up a fourth round pick? Here you go. But again,
- 11:51Speaker 1: it's like, well, how'd you get him for so cheap?
- 11:53Speaker 1: There are some injury, there's injury history with him. Let
- 11:56Speaker 1: me bring up, I mean, he's having a good season. He's,
- 12:00Speaker 1: you know, on pace for nine, 10 sacks as an
- 12:03Speaker 1: interior pass rusher. But it gets back to the last
- 12:06Speaker 1: couple of years, he missed a bunch of games. You know,
- 12:08Speaker 1: he played 10 last year and he played 12 the
- 12:11Speaker 1: year before. So you're talking about a guy that's missed seven, five,
- 12:14Speaker 1: I mean, almost a full season over the course of
- 12:15Speaker 1: a couple of years, 12, 13 games, which is, You know,
- 12:20Speaker 1: a problem when you're talking about an older player. You know,
- 12:23Speaker 1: DeForest Buckner, Quentin Nelson's 30. I would guess Buckner's mid-30s.
- 12:27Speaker 1: Because he was, yeah, 32, will be 33 this offseason.
- 12:31Speaker 1: So he's not that old, but for NFL standards, you know,
- 12:33Speaker 1: he came into the league in 2016. So you're talking
- 12:37Speaker 1: for a guy, and historically, very, very durable in his
- 12:40Speaker 1: 49er career. Never missed one game in 16, 17, 18,
- 12:45Speaker 1: and 19. And then has a lot of 16, 14, 16, 16, 16.
- 12:50Speaker 1: I mean, this guy is someone that plays. And he's
- 12:55Speaker 1: also just a unique body type with the size, the length,
- 12:58Speaker 1: the toughness. He's everything you want. And the 49ers know
- 13:03Speaker 1: exactly what he is because this John and Kyle have
- 13:06Speaker 1: been around him. So I think both these two trades
- 13:09Speaker 1: are just two teams that the 49ers want to get
- 13:12Speaker 1: back to their third Super Bowl under Kyle Shanahan. And
- 13:15Speaker 1: Seattle has absolutely zero thought of not being exactly where
- 13:19Speaker 1: they were last year, as they should. They have an
- 13:21Speaker 1: elite defense. The only thing to me that can really
- 13:23Speaker 1: hold them back is the ability not to run and
- 13:27Speaker 1: Sam Darnold throwing interceptions in key moments. It's like, I
- 13:30Speaker 1: think it's fair to say the only thing that holds
- 13:32Speaker 1: the 49ers back is health. If they are healthy, and
- 13:36Speaker 1: this is a big, you know, DeForest Buckner getting traded
- 13:38Speaker 1: to a team on a bye is kind of sweet.
- 13:40Speaker 1: It's like, I get to chill a little. Get out
- 13:43Speaker 1: of football purgatory. And they're very dependent on me. I'm
- 13:48Speaker 1: an immediate starter right next to Osa. Hopefully Bosa comes back.
- 13:53Speaker 1: And all of a sudden, we got the makings. We
- 13:54Speaker 1: got a good linebacking core. Secondary's playing well. You know,
- 13:58Speaker 1: it's underrated. We talk so much with the 49ers about
- 14:02Speaker 1: Kyle Shanahan. He gets so much of the praise, rightfully so,
- 14:05Speaker 1: and Purdy, the offense. They're a defensive team. And the
- 14:09Speaker 1: defense against Atlanta just ran out of juice, right? They
- 14:12Speaker 1: got no pressures. They just run it out of bodies.
- 14:15Speaker 1: I mean, they desperately need Bosa back. If Bosa can
- 14:18Speaker 1: be healthy, which is a major if. I mean, an
- 14:20Speaker 1: absolute major if. But if he is healthy, like, their
- 14:25Speaker 1: D-line and spots could be excellent. With Osa and Buckner
- 14:28Speaker 1: rushing the passer, with Bosa outside. I mean, before Bosa
- 14:31Speaker 1: pulled his calf at practice, he looked fucking incredible.
- 14:37Speaker 3: He was.
- 14:38Speaker 1: It's like, this is an all-pro. But he's just a
- 14:41Speaker 1: tightly wound guy whose body doesn't always stick together. But
- 14:46Speaker 1: I appreciate these two teams being aggressive. That's what aggressive
- 14:51Speaker 1: people take advantage of opportunities. And the Colts right now
- 14:56Speaker 1: are one gigantic opportunity. Now, Jonathan Taylor is the big
- 15:01Speaker 1: name for the Colts. Just what are you willing to
- 15:03Speaker 1: trade for a stud running back that makes a ton
- 15:07Speaker 1: of money? These are tough decisions. These all look great
- 15:12Speaker 1: on paper. I think a lot of people around the
- 15:14Speaker 1: league are like, I wouldn't give it up that for
- 15:15Speaker 1: Quentin Nelson that's going to walk. I wouldn't give it
- 15:17Speaker 1: up that for a 32-year-old guy who's dealt with injuries
- 15:21Speaker 1: and said he might have to retire because he's battled
- 15:27Speaker 1: herniated discs. There's risk involved with all these type maneuvers.
- 15:33Speaker 1: I got news for you. There's risk in everything we
- 15:36Speaker 1: do in life. If I get in the car and
- 15:37Speaker 1: drive to the gym, someone could T-bone me. Life's one
- 15:41Speaker 1: big risk. So I appreciate the people that have just
- 15:45Speaker 1: run right into it. And Seattle and the 49ers, they've
- 15:49Speaker 1: just consistently been two of the more aggressive organizations in
- 15:52Speaker 1: the league. And it's why the rivalry is still going
- 15:55Speaker 1: really strong, which is somewhat ironic that these two big
- 15:59Speaker 1: trades a day, one's a defensive tackle, one's a guard,
- 16:02Speaker 1: and they're going to play against each other. Hell, they
- 16:04Speaker 1: might play against each other twice, right? Another game in
- 16:08Speaker 1: the regular season, another game in the playoffs. I mean,
- 16:10Speaker 1: last year they played each other three times. Sign me
- 16:12Speaker 1: up for that. I need to tell you about this
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- 18:01Speaker 2: Okay.
- 18:01Speaker 1: Excited for this one. I, uh, I've been a loyal
- 18:04Speaker 1: listener of the cover three pod now for, for two years.
- 18:07Speaker 1: My wife will fall asleep on Saturday nights and I'll
- 18:09Speaker 1: have my ear pods in laying in bed, listening, uh,
- 18:13Speaker 1: To one of my guys here, Bud Elliott, I was like,
- 18:16Speaker 1: you know, I like this guy. He's got some strong opinions.
- 18:19Speaker 1: He'll let it fly. And I reached out on Twitter,
- 18:23Speaker 1: and I said, hey, man, will you come on my podcast?
- 18:25Speaker 1: He hit me right back. He's like, I'm in it.
- 18:28Speaker 1: He's got a fascinating background that I want to dive into,
- 18:31Speaker 1: a Florida State, Alabama guy. So, Bud, Cover 3 Podcast,
- 18:36Speaker 1: how you doing, brother?
- 18:37Speaker 2: Doing well, man. How you been? First time on the show,
- 18:39Speaker 2: but I've enjoyed it.
- 18:41Speaker 1: I've been doing good, man. Yeah. I was looking at
- 18:44Speaker 1: your LinkedIn page, and I've heard you talk about this
- 18:46Speaker 1: on the podcast. There can't be many people talking about
- 18:49Speaker 1: football for a living that have a law degree.
- 18:54Speaker 2: Yeah, there's a couple of us. Ryan Nanny, who was
- 19:00Speaker 2: at SB Nation and now does a show with Godfrey
- 19:04Speaker 2: over there, an independent show, and Clay Travis, I think, too,
- 19:09Speaker 2: is also– for a while, I think a lot of
- 19:11Speaker 2: it was a lot of lawyers went to the blogosphere,
- 19:15Speaker 2: and then a couple of them emanated out of that,
- 19:19Speaker 2: of which I was one. But yeah, it's a helpful background,
- 19:22Speaker 2: certainly with all the conference realignment stuff and the NCAA
- 19:26Speaker 2: lawsuit stuff and all of that. It's like, hold on,
- 19:29Speaker 2: let's cut through the BS here. This is nothing. Or
- 19:33Speaker 2: sometimes it's like, actually, this is something. We've got to
- 19:35Speaker 2: take a look at this.
- 19:37Speaker 1: So you graduate high school in 2003, correct?
- 19:40Speaker 2: I did. Yeah. Yeah.
- 19:41Speaker 1: So you and I are the same age. So you
- 19:43Speaker 1: go to Florida State at a high school and then
- 19:46Speaker 1: you get a law degree. Did you have plans of
- 19:48Speaker 1: working at a big law firm? somewhere in a big
- 19:51Speaker 1: city or did you always aspire to... You went to
- 19:54Speaker 1: Florida State and Alabama, two of the most historic college
- 19:56Speaker 1: football programs. I would just say football teams in all
- 20:00Speaker 1: of America, pro high school or college. So how did
- 20:03Speaker 1: you get where you're at now?
- 20:05Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 20:05Speaker 2: So, uh, really no plans, uh, to do it, honestly. Um,
- 20:09Speaker 2: just got pretty blessed. I had a good LSAT day.
- 20:12Speaker 2: And so, um, you know, had a couple, couple full
- 20:15Speaker 2: ride offers for law school and, uh, you know, Bama was,
- 20:18Speaker 2: you know, pretty, uh, ascended at that time as a,
- 20:21Speaker 2: as a law school. And so I, you know, pick
- 20:22Speaker 2: them and, uh, I actually was a business law class,
- 20:27Speaker 2: and it just kind of made sense to me. I
- 20:30Speaker 2: just read the book and kind of knew the material.
- 20:36Speaker 2: I started messing around with some of the football analytics stuff.
- 20:39Speaker 2: At the time, obviously, Florida State had Bobby Bowden. He
- 20:42Speaker 2: was obviously one of the best coaches of all time.
- 20:45Speaker 2: That was really in the twilight of his career when
- 20:48Speaker 2: stuff was not going so well. A lot of his
- 20:51Speaker 2: top lieutenants had left and gone on 200 programs. Eventually,
- 20:55Speaker 2: you just run out of competent assistants if your staff
- 20:57Speaker 2: just gets picked over every year. I started writing about
- 21:00Speaker 2: that at SB Nation, actually. That started to bloom and
- 21:06Speaker 2: help grow SB Nation's network by getting more contributors, both
- 21:11Speaker 2: to what at the time was Tomahawk Nation for FSU,
- 21:14Speaker 2: but then also bringing a lot of other contributors as well.
- 21:18Speaker 2: And I had messed up my shoulder playing softball. And
- 21:22Speaker 2: the guy who did the surgery on me was James Andrews,
- 21:25Speaker 2: who's a pretty famous surgeon, right? His group. And he
- 21:29Speaker 2: was also, I believe, Bama's team surgeon at the time.
- 21:33Speaker 2: And so I didn't have to go and move my
- 21:35Speaker 2: car and go all the way across campus to do
- 21:38Speaker 2: some of my rehab check-ins. They're like, hey, if you
- 21:41Speaker 2: know Alabama, the law school is right across the parking
- 21:44Speaker 2: lot from the football facility. He's like, hey, our PTs
- 21:47Speaker 2: will be there on this day and this day and
- 21:49Speaker 2: this day. Just go check with them. And so that
- 21:51Speaker 2: was really kind of nice. So I ended up meeting
- 21:53Speaker 2: some of the guys on that 07 Bama staff, which
- 21:57Speaker 2: was Nick's first staff there. That kind of struck home
- 22:01Speaker 2: with me as far as, wow, the way they're doing
- 22:04Speaker 2: stuff here is a little bit different than very late-stage,
- 22:07Speaker 2: old-school Bobby Bowden. That kind of inspired me to keep
- 22:11Speaker 2: writing about, obviously, a lot of the good things about
- 22:15Speaker 2: FSU's program, but also some of the problems that they
- 22:17Speaker 2: were having there and how they probably needed to– to
- 22:20Speaker 2: make some changes. It just kind of kept blossoming from there.
- 22:22Speaker 2: I got into the sports betting space and did pretty
- 22:25Speaker 2: well with that, luckily. I didn't have to practice very long, honestly.
- 22:31Speaker 2: I passed the bar and practiced for a while, but
- 22:34Speaker 2: not that long, honestly. It just became a career.
- 22:39Speaker 1: You were in your early, mid-20s when Saban really– I mean,
- 22:43Speaker 1: watching that documentary. I was a GA at Fresno State.
- 22:46Speaker 1: I got there in 08, and McIlwain had just left.
- 22:50Speaker 1: His first day on the job, a limo picks him
- 22:52Speaker 1: up and he goes right to Julio's house. I would
- 22:54Speaker 1: imagine Signetti was on that staff. Jeff Collins, I think,
- 22:58Speaker 1: was one of Nick's first guys. Obviously, he ended up
- 23:02Speaker 1: going through a lot of guys over the years, but
- 23:04Speaker 1: that first staff, if you look back, those early years
- 23:06Speaker 1: were pretty impressive.
- 23:08Speaker 2: It really was like his coaching tree is, and you
- 23:11Speaker 2: see it in the doc, which I haven't got all
- 23:13Speaker 2: the way through yet, but you know, football season's kind
- 23:15Speaker 2: of busy. It's pretty nuts, man. Like just like the
- 23:18Speaker 2: guys who, who came through there. So you were at
- 23:21Speaker 2: GA at Fresno then?
- 23:22Speaker 1: Yeah. With Pat Hill in 08 and 09. Nussmeyer then
- 23:25Speaker 1: replaced McElwain. Yeah. So, I mean, it was the same
- 23:29Speaker 1: thing with Coach Hill. I mean, it's, it's obviously a
- 23:32Speaker 1: different level than the Bobby Bowden or Nick Saban, but
- 23:34Speaker 1: it's just, you start losing as you get older. Some
- 23:37Speaker 1: of these assistants, you know, it's Nick was a pretty unique,
- 23:40Speaker 1: had unlimited resources and had Jimmy funneling them guys. I mean, that's,
- 23:44Speaker 1: you see Dan Lanning, right? I mean, he makes a
- 23:46Speaker 1: huge fake and it's, it's, it's a difficult, it's harder
- 23:50Speaker 1: than I think we all, and I'm guilty. I'm sure
- 23:51Speaker 1: you are too. Then we crushed some of these guys. It's,
- 23:54Speaker 1: You get, you know, if you work, I understood watching landing,
- 23:58Speaker 1: you've worked with this guy, you like them. It's tough
- 24:00Speaker 1: because if you're sitting in that guy's shoes, I'm sure
- 24:02Speaker 1: you're coach. I'm ready. Someone had to give Dan landing
- 24:05Speaker 1: a shot, you know.
- 24:07Speaker 2: No doubt. And like on, on the marriage or thing,
- 24:09Speaker 2: like I, I had real concerns about that preseason. And yet, like,
- 24:14Speaker 2: like you said, landing has a really good track record
- 24:17Speaker 2: of hiring coordinators. Right. And I was like, okay, like,
- 24:21Speaker 2: Given the talent on this roster, given how important this
- 24:23Speaker 2: season is, it's kind of like a push the chips
- 24:25Speaker 2: to the middle of the table season. You kind of
- 24:27Speaker 2: got to trust that he's not going to make that
- 24:30Speaker 2: big of a mistake. And it just didn't work out.
- 24:34Speaker 2: The drop-off from Will Stein to Merringer is pretty drastic.
- 24:39Speaker 2: It sucks, but it's a bit of a lost season
- 24:42Speaker 2: for Oregon. I imagine they're probably going to clean house
- 24:44Speaker 2: there and go in a different direction.
- 24:46Speaker 1: Back to the Bama thing, when you got there in 07,
- 24:50Speaker 1: I mean, within a couple years, you're still there finishing
- 24:52Speaker 1: up law school. He's become a power.
- 24:54Speaker 2: Yeah. Right? I mean, did– So they lose to Tebow
- 24:57Speaker 2: in 08, right? And then they beat him in 09.
- 25:00Speaker 2: And they were– like, they had that thing humming. It
- 25:03Speaker 2: was really that– you know, because 07 was– they lose
- 25:06Speaker 2: to Louisiana Monroe, right? With the whole– like, the famous
- 25:09Speaker 2: yellow school bus story and whatnot. And then by 08, like–
- 25:13Speaker 2: I think was flipped fast. You know, you have Terrence
- 25:15Speaker 2: Cody come in, you know, they signed Marcel Darius. They
- 25:18Speaker 2: signed obviously Julio and a bunch of guys in those
- 25:22Speaker 2: first two classes. And it was just, you could tell
- 25:25Speaker 2: it was like a very different operation than most of
- 25:26Speaker 2: what college football was running.
- 25:29Speaker 1: And that to me is like, you know, you watch
- 25:32Speaker 1: that documentary and you and I grew up Nebraska, Miami,
- 25:36Speaker 1: you go to Florida state, but you know, for what
- 25:39Speaker 1: they have 10 plus years of being in the top five,
- 25:41Speaker 1: I might be low balling them.
- 25:43Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 25:43Speaker 2: It was like 14 top five finishes, which is insane.
- 25:46Speaker 2: You know?
- 25:46Speaker 1: Yeah. So those teams, I remember being young, I was
- 25:49Speaker 1: probably in junior high and DJ Williams was at De
- 25:53Speaker 1: La Salle and you know, it was pretty rare for,
- 25:55Speaker 1: I grew up in California. I, you know, Tom Brady
- 25:58Speaker 1: was a little older, but, these guys that would go
- 26:02Speaker 1: across the country to the best schools. Now it's Alabama, Oklahoma.
- 26:06Speaker 1: They were coming to Southern California. It's much more par
- 26:10Speaker 1: for the course with the way the operations happen. But
- 26:13Speaker 1: back then, it was basically when the year started, there
- 26:16Speaker 1: were two or three teams that if they lost a game,
- 26:18Speaker 1: it was stunning. And I do think, and I heard
- 26:21Speaker 1: Danny Connell talking about this, and I totally agree. I
- 26:24Speaker 1: think we've got to shift our mindset. I mean, you watch, like,
- 26:27Speaker 1: BYU is obviously a really solid team. But they're not
- 26:31Speaker 1: good enough to just go on the road to play
- 26:33Speaker 1: any team that's probably going to end up 500 or better.
- 26:36Speaker 1: But that would have been a top 10 team going
- 26:38Speaker 1: on the road against a team going 6-6, 7-5. I
- 26:41Speaker 1: think moving forward with the transfer portal, unless we get
- 26:44Speaker 1: a dramatic change, the day and age of– I pointed
- 26:47Speaker 1: at my wife. She was really into the Saban documentary.
- 26:50Speaker 1: I'm like, you do know that's Jalen Hurts, Tua Tonga-Bailoa,
- 26:53Speaker 1: and Mack Jones. Those are his three quarterbacks. It looks
- 26:55Speaker 1: like that in every other position. Those days are dead.
- 26:58Speaker 2: I mean, you talk about Danny. We were talking about
- 27:02Speaker 2: Jeremiah Smith on the show, and Danny was probably the
- 27:04Speaker 2: only guy that really got to throw to Randy Moss
- 27:08Speaker 2: at the power forward level in college. Because if you recall,
- 27:11Speaker 2: Randy was suspended by Florida State, so he couldn't play,
- 27:14Speaker 2: but he could be on the roster for that one year.
- 27:16Speaker 2: So Danny got to throw to him in practice all
- 27:19Speaker 2: the time. And that team also had Lavernius Coles, Peter Warrick,
- 27:23Speaker 2: and I think E.G. Green. And I'm like, dude... If
- 27:26Speaker 2: Moss was eligible, he's like, oh, we're not losing a game.
- 27:30Speaker 2: Those guys were obviously insane, but if you have Randy Moss,
- 27:35Speaker 2: that's a little bit– it just kind of changes the game.
- 27:40Speaker 2: I think it's honestly a good thing because prior– everybody
- 27:45Speaker 2: who signed with a Bama or a Georgia or an
- 27:47Speaker 2: Ohio State, they all were probably the best player on
- 27:51Speaker 2: their high school team. In many cases, they were the
- 27:54Speaker 2: best player in their city. you know, and they'd never
- 27:57Speaker 2: grown up playing against another guy, for the most part,
- 28:00Speaker 2: who could check them. So, of course, they're going to
- 28:02Speaker 2: believe they're going to go and start at Bama or
- 28:04Speaker 2: Ohio State. And under the old rules, eventually, like, you're
- 28:08Speaker 2: going to run into somebody who's about as good as you,
- 28:10Speaker 2: you know, and you don't get to play. Now, you
- 28:13Speaker 2: get the transfer and you actually get to play. And
- 28:15Speaker 2: college is, like, such an inherently short window, you know,
- 28:18Speaker 2: via the rules. So now, like, you don't have all
- 28:20Speaker 2: these former four and five stars just sitting on these rosters.
- 28:23Speaker 2: You're not rotting, but, like, They say waiting your turn,
- 28:26Speaker 2: but sometimes these guys' turn never came. I'm sure everybody
- 28:29Speaker 2: who's been at one of those schools as coach dudes
- 28:31Speaker 2: are like.
- 28:31Speaker 1: Oh, yeah.
- 28:31Speaker 2: He would have been a two-year starter at Arkansas. He
- 28:34Speaker 2: would have been a two-year starter at Minnesota. And now
- 28:37Speaker 2: they get a chance to go do so.
- 28:40Speaker 1: I think I got my start in just football at
- 28:44Speaker 1: Fresno State, which we had a bunch of NFL guys.
- 28:47Speaker 1: And you look back, it's like there's just no way
- 28:50Speaker 1: those guys would have been there long. And I– Listen,
- 28:54Speaker 1: I love college football as much as the next guy,
- 28:56Speaker 1: but I think I've been a big proponent of this,
- 28:59Speaker 1: you know, this 2014 playoff. We need to separate. Like
- 29:02Speaker 1: I went to undergrad at Cal Poly, which is D1AA.
- 29:05Speaker 1: They have their own playoffs. Does Fresno State, Boise State,
- 29:08Speaker 1: that level need to have their own playoffs? And what's
- 29:11Speaker 1: the point in just giving this one? I know you
- 29:13Speaker 1: have a playoff. You had Boise as the 12th seed. 124,
- 29:16Speaker 1: it'll be the same thing. They'll give one away. What's
- 29:19Speaker 1: the point? Why not have their own? ESPN Fox can
- 29:22Speaker 1: have those games on as well. We need to separate
- 29:25Speaker 1: this because those players– it's pretty rare. Ashton Gentry, I
- 29:28Speaker 1: remember reading an article, turned down seven figures to leave
- 29:30Speaker 1: Boise State. That's very– San Diego State corner last year
- 29:34Speaker 1: that Miami drafted. Those are going to disappear as we
- 29:38Speaker 1: move forward. They won't even exist. Everyone will leave because
- 29:41Speaker 1: how can you not? I'm a big proponent of everyone
- 29:46Speaker 1: should play everyone on your own level. If I'm these
- 29:49Speaker 1: TV networks, as we quadruple the money moving forward, hey guys,
- 29:54Speaker 1: we need scheduling agreements where we only play each other.
- 29:57Speaker 2: Well, I think you're going to.
- 29:58Speaker 1: Is that inevitable? I guess I didn't even ask the question.
- 30:01Speaker 2: I don't know if 12 out of 12 is inevitable,
- 30:03Speaker 2: but it wouldn't shock me to see 11 in the future.
- 30:07Speaker 2: Right now, obviously, we're mandating 10 out of 12. I
- 30:11Speaker 2: think the main reason why you have the– I don't
- 30:14Speaker 2: want to call it the charity G6 spot, but the
- 30:17Speaker 2: mandated G6 spot is antitrust. It's far cheaper for them–
- 30:23Speaker 2: to give up one of those playoff spots than it
- 30:25Speaker 2: is to go through a big antitrust suit. And so
- 30:27Speaker 2: I think that's really why they try to do that.
- 30:31Speaker 2: You talk to G6 fans and a lot of them
- 30:34Speaker 2: don't want it because they're like, hey, we're the same division.
- 30:37Speaker 2: I'm like, sure, technically, but guys, let's be realistic about it.
- 30:43Speaker 2: I know a lot of the GMs at the G6 level.
- 30:44Speaker 2: I know a lot of the coaches at the G6 level. Publicly,
- 30:47Speaker 2: they wouldn't, for the most part, say this, but privately,
- 30:50Speaker 2: they know they can't compete on that level. I get
- 30:53Speaker 2: a lot of hate from JMU fans online because they're like, hey,
- 30:56Speaker 2: we made it close against Oregon. Yeah, but nobody saw
- 30:59Speaker 2: that because it was 38-3 with two minutes left in
- 31:02Speaker 2: the second quarter and everybody turned on Packers-Bears. It was like, okay,
- 31:05Speaker 2: good night on that. Maybe it wasn't technically garbage time,
- 31:09Speaker 2: but it's hard for you to tell me that Oregon
- 31:12Speaker 2: had perfect focus there in the second half of that ballgame.
- 31:15Speaker 2: I would love to see a G6 playoff. I don't
- 31:17Speaker 2: know if it's going to happen because a lot of
- 31:20Speaker 2: those schools moved up to get some of that D1 money.
- 31:23Speaker 2: But at the same time, I think you should do
- 31:25Speaker 2: it in a way that is like, hey, if you
- 31:27Speaker 2: guys want to put the table stakes up to play
- 31:30Speaker 2: at this level, whether you're a Memphis or a Boise
- 31:33Speaker 2: or maybe a Liberty, if you guys actually want to
- 31:36Speaker 2: put the money up, you can be in. But there's
- 31:38Speaker 2: kind of a minimum spend in order to ensure quality
- 31:41Speaker 2: of product here for the playoff that you need to
- 31:43Speaker 2: at least spend so we can be sure that if
- 31:46Speaker 2: you're in the playoff, your athletes can at least compete.
- 31:50Speaker 2: And some of your best G6s have athletes who can compete.
- 31:53Speaker 2: at the very top of their roster. We know this
- 31:55Speaker 2: because those guys get plucked in the portal. What they
- 31:58Speaker 2: don't typically have is 20 of them. When they get
- 32:01Speaker 2: into one of these playoff games, you've got to worry
- 32:04Speaker 2: about this guy, you've got to worry about this guy,
- 32:05Speaker 2: but we're going duck hunting on these three. These three
- 32:08Speaker 2: guys would not be on our P4 roster at all,
- 32:10Speaker 2: and they certainly wouldn't start for us. We're going to
- 32:11Speaker 2: go after them. We're going to take advantage. I think
- 32:13Speaker 2: that's why you see the games be so lopsided.
- 32:16Speaker 1: What you guys talk a lot about in the podcast,
- 32:18Speaker 1: and it's obviously well-reported now, the money getting invested into
- 32:21Speaker 1: these rosters. You just pick a team. It's like $ 28 million.
- 32:25Speaker 1: Can you explain to me... how much of that money
- 32:29Speaker 1: obviously changes by the school is like the school coming
- 32:32Speaker 1: up with. And then you have to subsidize the rest
- 32:35Speaker 1: from individual boosters, just giving you, let's just pick a
- 32:39Speaker 1: number $ 30 million roster for an average power for big school.
- 32:43Speaker 1: Like where's that money coming from?
- 32:44Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 32:44Speaker 2: So I think for the most, like that probably the
- 32:47Speaker 2: heaviest like rev share spend on a football roster is
- 32:51Speaker 2: probably close to 18.
- 32:53Speaker 1: Right.
- 32:53Speaker 2: So if you're at 30, that means you have like
- 32:56Speaker 2: 12 of additional, right? Now that could be from some
- 32:58Speaker 2: brand partners, whether it's like a Nike or an Adidas
- 33:01Speaker 2: or whatever you have as far as your brand partners.
- 33:04Speaker 2: So you might have a Learfield or a NoCap or
- 33:08Speaker 2: some of these companies that do your MMR deals for you, right?
- 33:12Speaker 2: So that they're able to spend some of that. And
- 33:14Speaker 2: then you also have your folks out there that give
- 33:16Speaker 2: a lot of rich alumni. Maybe they're not so rich
- 33:19Speaker 2: that they can own an NFL team, But they essentially
- 33:22Speaker 2: act as like a shadow owner of the college team
- 33:25Speaker 2: by helping to fund the roster. Just like they would
- 33:27Speaker 2: help fund the head coach buyout or some of the
- 33:30Speaker 2: head coach salary, right? So that's really kind of where
- 33:33Speaker 2: it comes from.
- 33:34Speaker 1: My question is, so if I need to raise, if
- 33:39Speaker 1: I want to compete in the highest level, an extra $ 20,
- 33:41Speaker 1: $ 25 million from my booster pack. And let's just say
- 33:45Speaker 1: you take a group of seven, eight guys that are
- 33:47Speaker 1: multimillionaires and you get several million from each guy. Back
- 33:52Speaker 1: when we were younger, if you donated, even to a
- 33:54Speaker 1: big school, several million dollars, you were a maid guy,
- 33:57Speaker 1: you're getting a suite. Well, this is now– and that's
- 34:00Speaker 1: for a 10-year deal. This is now on a yearly basis.
- 34:03Speaker 1: So if I stroke you a $ 4 million check to
- 34:06Speaker 1: help out, that's only lasting six months of the season.
- 34:10Speaker 1: So every single year, these ADs' jobs– And then if
- 34:14Speaker 1: it doesn't go well, like Sark, right? If you have
- 34:17Speaker 1: them barely in the playoffs, but let's say they lose
- 34:19Speaker 1: a couple here and they miss, or even they're one
- 34:22Speaker 1: and done. Some of these guys are like, I just
- 34:24Speaker 1: wrote you a $ 5 million check. And now you're coming
- 34:25Speaker 1: back and asking maybe for more.
- 34:27Speaker 2: Right.
- 34:28Speaker 1: I mean, how does this sustain? Cause like you said,
- 34:31Speaker 1: some people just love it, but you get to a
- 34:33Speaker 1: point of like 20, $ 30 million over the course of five,
- 34:36Speaker 1: six years. And we have one playoff win to show
- 34:39Speaker 1: for it. I mean, I, I would start– it's like
- 34:42Speaker 1: at least if I own an NFL team or even
- 34:43Speaker 1: a tiny percentage, like my money is growing. This is
- 34:46Speaker 1: like what's my return here?
- 34:48Speaker 2: Well, I think this is why you're seeing a lot
- 34:50Speaker 2: of schools go and set up these private entities that
- 34:53Speaker 2: I think eventually will own these college teams, right? Like
- 34:57Speaker 2: for instance, University of Tennessee Medical Center is not owned
- 35:01Speaker 2: by Tennessee, right? They put their name on it. I
- 35:04Speaker 2: think eventually you'll have– like Lexington, Kentucky Football Club licensed
- 35:09Speaker 2: the UK name to the football club. Now, they'll still
- 35:12Speaker 2: have to be students, obviously. It's also potentially a way
- 35:16Speaker 2: around Title IX. If it's a private entity that's employing
- 35:21Speaker 2: these guys and not the school, do you actually have
- 35:23Speaker 2: to fund all these Olympic sports from a business standpoint?
- 35:26Speaker 2: Then your donors become investors in those type of entities
- 35:30Speaker 2: that actually do make money. Gotcha. We're not there yet,
- 35:34Speaker 2: but I think that's where this is going.
- 35:37Speaker 1: So you think, which feels kind of inevitable. From a business.
- 35:41Speaker 2: Case, it makes sense to have some Olympic sports. From
- 35:45Speaker 2: the holistic business of a university, it makes sense to
- 35:49Speaker 2: have some Olympic sports. Have a well-rounded student education. Does
- 35:54Speaker 2: it make sense to fly your volleyball team all over
- 35:56Speaker 2: the country? Probably not. right?
- 35:59Speaker 1: But it never, it never did really.
- 36:01Speaker 2: No, but increasingly I think as these schools become a
- 36:05Speaker 2: little more business focused, we're like, hold on a second,
- 36:08Speaker 2: we're doing what we're like this sport, which with no
- 36:12Speaker 2: travel loses 4 million a year guaranteed and sells 1200
- 36:16Speaker 2: tickets a night. Like we're flying them weekly. Like what
- 36:21Speaker 2: are we, what are we doing here? You know, like,
- 36:23Speaker 2: like play some local teams.
- 36:25Speaker 1: So you, As we trend toward this business kind of
- 36:28Speaker 1: operation a little more, not quite the NFL, but more
- 36:32Speaker 1: under that umbrella, are you a believer in this super
- 36:35Speaker 1: conference inevitability?
- 36:37Speaker 2: I don't think it'll come via like– I don't think
- 36:41Speaker 2: the Big Ten and the SEC are going to merge.
- 36:43Speaker 2: I think what probably happens is you have some schools,
- 36:47Speaker 2: and like Dan Wetzel of ESPN, I'll give him a shout,
- 36:49Speaker 2: has talked a lot about this. He's like, what happens
- 36:52Speaker 2: when Ohio State wakes up and says, hold on, Florida
- 36:55Speaker 2: State and Miami don't share equally with Wake and Duke anymore.
- 36:59Speaker 2: There's all these success initiatives. There's unequal revenue sharing. Ohio
- 37:04Speaker 2: State brings in more money to the Big Ten, I assume,
- 37:06Speaker 2: than what? Purdue, Rutgers, Maryland, Northwestern throw in another one combined.
- 37:13Speaker 2: Why are we equally sharing there? Is it schedule convenience?
- 37:16Speaker 2: Is it tradition? I think inevitably that's probably where the
- 37:19Speaker 2: breakoff comes where Some schools break off and decide to
- 37:22Speaker 2: form a separate, maybe scheduling alliance at first, what may
- 37:27Speaker 2: become a super league. But I don't think it's going
- 37:29Speaker 2: to be like, hey, guess what? The Big Ten and
- 37:31Speaker 2: the SEC are merging. I don't think that's how it's
- 37:33Speaker 2: going to go down.
- 37:34Speaker 1: So the irony is everyone blasting Notre Dame, and I'm
- 37:38Speaker 1: guilty of this, because a lot of people were reporting,
- 37:41Speaker 1: why don't Ohio State and Michigan just go independent? Why
- 37:43Speaker 1: didn't Miami's AD just came out? I mean, guns a-blazin'
- 37:46Speaker 1: last week, which I was like, you know what? He's
- 37:48Speaker 1: not wrong. So does everyone follow that model? And then
- 37:50Speaker 1: they're all just kind of under the umbrella. And then
- 37:53Speaker 1: more and more of the top guys follow USC. You know,
- 37:55Speaker 1: you go around the country. But then the TV deals.
- 38:00Speaker 1: My issue with college football has always been like the
- 38:02Speaker 1: power of the NFL is Jerry's brand or the 49ers
- 38:06Speaker 1: shares equally with the Jacks and the Arizona Cardinals. And
- 38:08Speaker 1: that's the thing with football is everyone's always, you know,
- 38:11Speaker 1: USC always was so offended that Oregon State, they're sharing
- 38:14Speaker 1: money with Arizona State. But that's part of the power
- 38:18Speaker 1: of a business model, and there's so many cooks in
- 38:20Speaker 1: the kitchen with college football.
- 38:22Speaker 2: I think that's it, too. Also, pretty much every NFL
- 38:25Speaker 2: team is in a major city, to where if you
- 38:28Speaker 2: have one, you know you're going to have sufficient demand.
- 38:31Speaker 2: You have an NFL team, and if it doesn't work,
- 38:34Speaker 2: the franchise can also move to a city that will
- 38:37Speaker 2: support them in theory. So I don't think it works
- 38:40Speaker 2: quite that same way in college. Yeah, that's true.
- 38:53Speaker 1: The sacrifice made by American heroes is often carried by
- 38:56Speaker 1: those who love them the most. Educational scholarships from Folds
- 39:00Speaker 1: of Honor offer a hopeful path forward for the families
- 39:04Speaker 1: of fallen or disabled U.S. service members and first responders.
- 39:08Speaker 1: Yet this year, over 8,000 qualified applicants could not be
- 39:12Speaker 1: fully funded. Together, we can change that. Help every deserving
- 39:16Speaker 1: applicant be met with a resounding yes. Donate today at foldsofhonor.org.
- 39:29Speaker 1: One thing I wanted to ask you is, I've always
- 39:31Speaker 1: had a theory that fit matters, where a coach is.
- 39:34Speaker 1: Maybe a little in the transfer portal, it's a little
- 39:37Speaker 1: different because you can buy guys. But growing up on
- 39:38Speaker 1: the West Coast... Pete Carroll was a California guy. Jeff Tedford,
- 39:42Speaker 1: California guy. Chris Peterson, California guy. So they're cultural on
- 39:47Speaker 1: the West Coast. They understand those people. Nick Saban, I
- 39:50Speaker 1: know he's from West Virginia, but he feels like a Southerner.
- 39:53Speaker 1: Urban Meyer is a little bit of an outlier, could
- 39:54Speaker 1: bounce around, but he's an all-time great coach. Kirby Smart
- 39:57Speaker 1: fits in the SEC. And you look at Lincoln, small town,
- 40:03Speaker 1: Texas guy. He basically– listen, I don't blame him. They
- 40:07Speaker 1: offered him so much money, he couldn't say no. Most
- 40:09Speaker 1: human beings in similar situations, whatever their profession is, at
- 40:13Speaker 1: a certain point have a price. But it clearly is
- 40:16Speaker 1: an unmitigated disaster, right? I mean, we're year five, and
- 40:21Speaker 1: they don't even feel remotely close. So, I mean, what–
- 40:26Speaker 1: are you a believer in the fit batters? And would
- 40:28Speaker 1: you say, do you think he regrets that move leaving
- 40:31Speaker 1: Oklahoma for USC at this point in time?
- 40:33Speaker 2: I mean, I don't know if he were like regrets
- 40:35Speaker 2: the move. Um, I mean, from a personal standpoint, he's
- 40:38Speaker 2: got a $ 70 million buyout still, right. I believe, or
- 40:42Speaker 2: something close there, like USC is private, but the numbers are,
- 40:44Speaker 2: are fairly, fairly well reported at this point. Uh, I
- 40:48Speaker 2: think he's probably like, hey, we made some mistakes. We
- 40:50Speaker 2: think we fixed some of those mistakes. The results aren't
- 40:53Speaker 2: showing yet. I'll give him credit. I think their new
- 40:55Speaker 2: front office is really good. But sometimes maybe a guy's
- 41:00Speaker 2: just better as a coordinator than he is as a
- 41:02Speaker 2: head coach. Muschamp, I think, was very much that way
- 41:06Speaker 2: on the defensive side. The way some guys run practice,
- 41:10Speaker 2: can you run an effective offense under Will Muschamp? He's
- 41:14Speaker 2: had multiple pretty established offensive coordinators who just could never
- 41:17Speaker 2: produce points. I think maybe sometimes you have guys who
- 41:20Speaker 2: are just better as coordinators, and maybe they shouldn't be
- 41:23Speaker 2: the dude running the program. USC, they just seem to
- 41:27Speaker 2: not really play defense for the most part, despite having
- 41:29Speaker 2: at least a pretty decent amount of defensive talent this year.
- 41:32Speaker 2: The D-line's pretty good. Their young guys are probably the
- 41:35Speaker 2: best players on the team, though, so if you want
- 41:37Speaker 2: to point to something like supporting Lincoln's argument, it's like, hey,
- 41:41Speaker 2: we've made important changes. But I think the counter to
- 41:44Speaker 2: that is like, look, all those changes can stay, right?
- 41:47Speaker 2: You have an awesome GM now. Like you have a
- 41:49Speaker 2: really good front office now. Lincoln, none of that's really you, man.
- 41:53Speaker 2: Like we could have somebody else come in here that
- 41:55Speaker 2: can run offense and defense and keep this front office.
- 41:57Speaker 2: So that's a different change too in college football. Like
- 41:59Speaker 2: some of these programs have really good GMs that might
- 42:02Speaker 2: be better at being a GM than their head coaches
- 42:04Speaker 2: at being a head coach.
- 42:05Speaker 1: For sure. And that's why, like, LSU last year when
- 42:09Speaker 1: they made– when they pulled the trigger, like if you
- 42:11Speaker 1: look at LSU and Penn State, LSU had a clear
- 42:13Speaker 1: target in lane. Penn State was clearly just fishing, right?
- 42:17Speaker 1: They were hoping to catch something. So if you look
- 42:19Speaker 1: at USC, if you are– they have financial troubles of
- 42:22Speaker 1: their own, right? If you do a little research on
- 42:24Speaker 1: the university and the operation. But if they are able
- 42:27Speaker 1: to get a big money guy, who is their Lane Kiffin?
- 42:30Speaker 1: Who is their urban– like that guy you'd say doesn't
- 42:33Speaker 1: exist because even I was talking with Coward. I was like,
- 42:35Speaker 1: you know, when I was a kid, they would just
- 42:37Speaker 1: go hire Bob Chesney. He's like, Bob Chesney is not
- 42:39Speaker 1: a fit there. And they're like, yeah, he's kind of right.
- 42:41Speaker 1: He feels more like a Notre Dame, Michigan, UCLA. Like
- 42:44Speaker 1: it doesn't make that much sense. And if you're Bob Chesney,
- 42:46Speaker 1: you'd probably say, no, you're like, I'm not dealing with
- 42:48Speaker 1: this shit show.
- 42:49Speaker 2: Do you think some of these schools hamstring themselves a
- 42:51Speaker 2: little bit by having to get a big name?
- 42:56Speaker 1: Would you consider Bob Chesney a big name?
- 42:59Speaker 2: I think now, like if you're– No, no, when they
- 43:02Speaker 2: hired him. No, I would. But my point is like
- 43:06Speaker 2: if you're USC and in theory if you have to
- 43:09Speaker 2: go get a big name, does that limit your pool
- 43:12Speaker 2: so much that maybe you're not considering the best candidate?
- 43:15Speaker 1: I don't even need a big name. I'm just talking
- 43:17Speaker 1: like a specific– this guy is the fit to change.
- 43:21Speaker 1: Like I don't think they're– They have that. Because when
- 43:23Speaker 1: they hired Lincoln, they went after this big, sexy name, right?
- 43:26Speaker 2: Sure, right. I mean, LSU kind of did the same
- 43:29Speaker 2: thing with Brian Kelly, too. It didn't work out, maybe
- 43:33Speaker 2: because of fit. You just go get a competent football coach,
- 43:37Speaker 2: and you already have a really good front office. If
- 43:40Speaker 2: USC's winning, that's kind of a bandwagon town, man. People
- 43:44Speaker 2: are going to show up, and if they're not winning,
- 43:45Speaker 2: they won't. Now, sure, the new pop, you get kind
- 43:49Speaker 2: of the new car smell from the coach who people recognize.
- 43:52Speaker 2: who's media savvy, certainly in that town, who can sell
- 43:55Speaker 2: a vision, can get people excited about the program early.
- 43:58Speaker 2: You can't discount that. But sometimes I worry these programs
- 44:02Speaker 2: are limiting themselves too much by going for a name
- 44:05Speaker 2: that everybody will know, as opposed to just hiring a
- 44:07Speaker 2: guy that gives you the best chance to win that.
- 44:10Speaker 1: What made Lincoln somewhat unique is you kind of knew
- 44:12Speaker 1: Caleb was coming with him.
- 44:17Speaker 2: Right.
- 44:17Speaker 1: It's not the case, but it shows you you're not
- 44:20Speaker 1: really just hiring him for a couple years of whoever
- 44:22Speaker 1: he can bring with him. Ideally, the guy's there for
- 44:24Speaker 1: a long period of time. Can't it sustain? Lincoln inherited.
- 44:28Speaker 1: I know he took him to another level, a little
- 44:31Speaker 1: like Bilotti with Chip Kelly, but Oklahoma was a pretty
- 44:34Speaker 1: high-level operation getting a lot of NFL guys.
- 44:37Speaker 2: No doubt. Yeah, exactly. You know, like I'm here in
- 44:40Speaker 2: Florida and you know, a lot of my Gator fan
- 44:42Speaker 2: buddies were like, John Summerall, are you kidding me? Like,
- 44:45Speaker 2: like blah, blah, blah. Like, like when you go, I'm like, guys,
- 44:47Speaker 2: do you know John? Like this guy can coach his
- 44:50Speaker 2: ass off and he wanted Troy and he wanted Tulane.
- 44:53Speaker 2: And he also was a heck of a recruiter when,
- 44:56Speaker 2: when he was the linebackers coach at Kentucky under Stoops.
- 44:59Speaker 2: And like, so he's been in this league. He knows,
- 45:01Speaker 2: like he knows how to deal with that level of player.
- 45:04Speaker 2: And he's also gone and won at the small schools. Like,
- 45:06Speaker 2: His teams play hard. They stay pretty motivated. I think
- 45:09Speaker 2: he's really, really good. So far, I think they're pretty
- 45:11Speaker 2: happy with him, especially after the win over Texas and
- 45:14Speaker 2: smoking Ole Miss. I do think you could limit yourself
- 45:18Speaker 2: a little bit if you just go after this big name.
- 45:20Speaker 1: Do you think you could create toughness? If you look
- 45:24Speaker 1: at Kirby, Nick, those guys are tough guys. Cignetti, tough guy.
- 45:28Speaker 1: Kyle Whittingham, say what you want, has been a little rocky.
- 45:31Speaker 1: He's a tough guy, and his teams have always been tough.
- 45:33Speaker 1: Dan Lanning, having a rough season, but he's a defensive guy. Sark,
- 45:38Speaker 1: you can't really fake it. And Lincoln, they're offensive guys.
- 45:42Speaker 1: They dream about a sweet go route, a vertical route,
- 45:45Speaker 1: where even DeBoer. I knew people at Fresno State were like,
- 45:50Speaker 1: he's not your typical former offensive lineman. He's much more
- 45:52Speaker 1: of an analytical, score points guy. And I saw, I
- 45:55Speaker 1: think Reggie Ragland on Instagram was going nuts. They don't
- 45:58Speaker 1: run nine on seven. Like they don't have a physical,
- 46:00Speaker 1: they're not, he's not a physical coach. And if you
- 46:03Speaker 1: go back to look at Washington, you're like, yeah, they
- 46:04Speaker 1: were just kind of bombs away. And I do think
- 46:08Speaker 1: Sark's a good example of like, he's clearly a smart guy.
- 46:10Speaker 1: He's good with boosters. Like he brings a lot to
- 46:12Speaker 1: the table, but you just like, you can try to
- 46:15Speaker 1: buy it, but you have to kind of nurture it
- 46:18Speaker 1: and create it as well.
- 46:21Speaker 2: Totally. And like, that's something I think you want in
- 46:23Speaker 2: your football team, but there's also guys who I think
- 46:25Speaker 2: have tough football teams who don't win, right? Like, you know,
- 46:28Speaker 2: Venables at Oklahoma, right? They made the playoff last year,
- 46:31Speaker 2: but overall, like, do you think they're happy they signed
- 46:34Speaker 2: him to that extension? I'll chat right now, right? Yeah, exactly.
- 46:37Speaker 2: So like, You can get a guy whose best attribute
- 46:40Speaker 2: is toughness in defense, but sometimes those guys don't allow
- 46:42Speaker 2: you to score any points. It's kind of hard to
- 46:45Speaker 2: thread that needle. With Kirby, the offensive line is probably
- 46:49Speaker 2: going to be really, really good. Kind of the same
- 46:50Speaker 2: thing with Mario. So if you get a guy that's
- 46:52Speaker 2: tough to stuff, he's tough to stuff.
- 46:53Speaker 1: He's a good example, too.
- 46:54Speaker 2: Right. They're almost certainly going to be tough and physical
- 46:57Speaker 2: up front on the offensive side of the ball, and
- 46:59Speaker 2: they'll stay committed to the run game, which I think
- 47:01Speaker 2: matters a lot. But yeah, I think... certain coaches you
- 47:04Speaker 2: do question like is that a tough team like are
- 47:07Speaker 2: they gonna and it's not spread or not obviously you
- 47:09Speaker 2: have some spread teams that are certainly pretty tough uh
- 47:12Speaker 2: but like you do have to pair the creativity with
- 47:15Speaker 2: the toughness i think kentucky is a pretty tough team
- 47:18Speaker 2: right but they're not just man balling into the line
- 47:21Speaker 2: non-stop right like i think will stein does a great
- 47:24Speaker 2: job of scheming it open for them to pair that
- 47:25Speaker 2: with the toughness.
- 47:27Speaker 1: You uh yesterday put out your uh your playoff bracket,
- 47:32Speaker 1: your 12 teams, you had five SEC teams and three
- 47:37Speaker 1: Big Ten teams. You had Indiana, Notre Dame, Georgia, Miami
- 47:40Speaker 1: as your top four. Then you had Ohio State, Ole Miss,
- 47:43Speaker 1: both going 10-3, so I guess losing in the championship game.
- 47:47Speaker 1: And BYU, UCLA, you got them dropping a couple games
- 47:50Speaker 1: here down the stretch.
- 47:50Speaker 2: I do, yeah.
- 47:51Speaker 1: Texas, LSU, Bama, and then Boise, who's clearly pretty good,
- 47:56Speaker 1: 11-1 in the dance, which I think most people would
- 47:58Speaker 1: agree with you there. That UCLA losing some games here,
- 48:02Speaker 1: and then if you were predicting, so do you have
- 48:05Speaker 1: Bama beating LSU or the other way around?
- 48:07Speaker 2: I'm trying to remember how this went. I think it
- 48:09Speaker 2: was because what I do is I actually run my
- 48:11Speaker 2: model to simulate all the games, and then I take
- 48:14Speaker 2: the most likely result as opposed to just picking teams.
- 48:16Speaker 2: I think if you just pick teams, you're going to
- 48:18Speaker 2: get some results that just don't make logical sense. So
- 48:21Speaker 2: if you actually run your model to simulate all the
- 48:22Speaker 2: games through the rest of the season, then you're going
- 48:25Speaker 2: to get a result that at least is defensible. So basically,
- 48:29Speaker 2: I think I have LSU beating Bama. There's still a
- 48:38Speaker 2: Texas-LSU game remaining, right? And then there's also a Bama-LSU
- 48:42Speaker 2: game remaining. And then LSU also has another one, which
- 48:46Speaker 2: I think is at Tennessee. This whole SEC two-loss thing
- 48:50Speaker 2: is wild. The thing that produced the five SEC teams
- 48:54Speaker 2: and the three 9-3 SEC teams is this. If you
- 48:58Speaker 2: look at the non-conference record for the two-loss SEC teams,
- 49:01Speaker 2: and I kind of blasted the SEC last year. I
- 49:04Speaker 2: was like, look, man, it's not that great of a
- 49:06Speaker 2: league this year. Not every year is created equal. You
- 49:09Speaker 2: have to look at each year's results independent from each other.
- 49:13Speaker 2: Last year, they weren't that great. This year, all those
- 49:16Speaker 2: two-loss teams in the SEC, they're 6-1 against the other
- 49:19Speaker 2: power four leagues. and they won their games by more
- 49:21Speaker 2: than two scores on average. They dominated everybody else non-conference.
- 49:26Speaker 2: People are like, oh, three losses. My standpoint here is
- 49:29Speaker 2: I think on the committee, it's far easier to jump
- 49:32Speaker 2: a 9-3 over a 10-2 than it is to take
- 49:33Speaker 2: a 10-2 over an 11-1. or an 11-1 over a 12-0.
- 49:39Speaker 2: I think as the losses mount for both teams you're comparing,
- 49:43Speaker 2: I think it's easier just to make a quality judgment.
- 49:47Speaker 2: If you look at the wins those SEC teams are
- 49:49Speaker 2: going to have, I think they're going to be a
- 49:51Speaker 2: lot better than what these 10-2 teams from the ACC
- 49:56Speaker 2: Big 12 or Big 10 are going to have this year.
- 49:59Speaker 1: Do you think UCLA would be a lock at 10-2
- 50:01Speaker 1: if they lose to Michigan and USC? Because using that
- 50:04Speaker 1: argument right there of some 9-3 teams, I think they're
- 50:07Speaker 1: kind of better.
- 50:08Speaker 2: I don't think they're a lock, and the reason is this.
- 50:10Speaker 2: It's kind of the Jordan-Travis rule where FSU got left
- 50:14Speaker 2: out in 2023, right? Because Jordan-Travis got hurt, and the
- 50:20Speaker 2: committee basically said, we don't think that the backup can play.
- 50:24Speaker 2: They're not one of the four best teams without their starter.
- 50:28Speaker 2: If you lose to Michigan and to USC in your
- 50:31Speaker 2: final two games– I think they're still in, but I
- 50:34Speaker 2: don't think it's a total lock because I think there's
- 50:36Speaker 2: some chance the committee would say, all right, hold on
- 50:38Speaker 2: a second. This is not their starter. The backup's kind
- 50:42Speaker 2: of been figured out. The passing game is really limited.
- 50:45Speaker 2: Are we sure that this is one of the best
- 50:48Speaker 2: 12 teams right now? I do lean to them being in, obviously,
- 50:51Speaker 2: and I had them in my playoff, but I don't
- 50:53Speaker 2: think it's a stone-cold lock.
- 50:55Speaker 1: What were your expectations to run it back a little
- 50:58Speaker 1: bit when that Jordan Travis moment happened and they ran
- 51:00Speaker 1: the table? Were you expecting them to get left out?
- 51:03Speaker 1: Were you shocked? Were you pissed?
- 51:04Speaker 2: I was definitely pissed, yeah. I think if you look
- 51:07Speaker 2: at that team and you look at the other teams
- 51:08Speaker 2: in that playoff, think about who was on that defense.
- 51:12Speaker 2: These are guys that are still kind of tearing up
- 51:14Speaker 2: the NFL.
- 51:16Speaker 1: Versus Fisk.
- 51:17Speaker 2: Yeah. Right? I think three or four of the guys.
- 51:21Speaker 1: Bernardo Green is a starter for the Niners. He's good.
- 51:24Speaker 2: Yeah. Tatum Bethune, obviously. They had a lot of dudes
- 51:28Speaker 2: on that defense. If you look at that, do I
- 51:33Speaker 2: think they would have scored a lot of points against
- 51:34Speaker 2: Michigan or Alabama? Who was the fourth in the playoff
- 51:37Speaker 2: that year?
- 51:39Speaker 1: TCU.
- 51:40Speaker 2: Right. Do I think they would have scored a lot? No,
- 51:43Speaker 2: TCU was 22.
- 51:44Speaker 1: Maybe that was Georgia that year, too.
- 51:45Speaker 2: Ohio State. Who did Washington beat, what, Texas that year
- 51:50Speaker 2: in the Sugar Bowl? That was the Pennix game, yeah.
- 51:53Speaker 2: Do I think they would have scored a lot of points? No,
- 51:55Speaker 2: definitely not. Do I think the defense would have held
- 51:57Speaker 2: those offenses with a Jalen Milrow Alabama or that Michigan
- 52:01Speaker 2: offense with JJ? I think they would have probably made
- 52:04Speaker 2: it a game. I wouldn't pick FSU in those games,
- 52:07Speaker 2: but I thought the process was a little shady, but
- 52:12Speaker 2: I think it's a shady sport.
- 52:14Speaker 1: Do you think– one thing I wrote down, we live
- 52:16Speaker 1: in inflationary times. Do you think we need to look at–
- 52:18Speaker 1: 12-0 was kind of the expectation for the elite team.
- 52:25Speaker 1: And 11-1, it was a devastating week, whatever week that was. Hopefully,
- 52:29Speaker 1: it didn't derail your entire year. Is 9-3 like the
- 52:32Speaker 1: old 11-1 nowadays, like moving forward? Do we got to
- 52:35Speaker 1: get more used to– I mean, with 2014 playoff, obviously,
- 52:38Speaker 1: there's going to be a ton of– but just– You
- 52:40Speaker 1: could have a really good season in this transfer portal times.
- 52:43Speaker 1: Nine and three is pretty good. But in our mind
- 52:45Speaker 1: of watching it, especially if you're over 40 years old,
- 52:48Speaker 1: you're like, that's average at best.
- 52:51Speaker 2: Well, I mean, look, the numbers just kind of prove
- 52:53Speaker 2: this out. If you look at the gap between your
- 52:57Speaker 2: number one team, and I put this on Twitter today,
- 53:00Speaker 2: the number one team and a former top 30 team,
- 53:04Speaker 2: just from a decade ago, the gap has shrunk by
- 53:07Speaker 2: five points on the point spread. So if you're playing
- 53:10Speaker 2: a bunch of field goal games as opposed to a
- 53:12Speaker 2: bunch of games that have a spread of a touchdown, cumulatively,
- 53:15Speaker 2: you play a lot more of those field goal games
- 53:16Speaker 2: over the course of the year, you're going to pick
- 53:19Speaker 2: up more losses. So I think in certain conferences, or
- 53:22Speaker 2: if you have a real legitimate non-conference schedule where you're
- 53:25Speaker 2: playing a major opponent in the non-conference, 9-3 is a
- 53:29Speaker 2: pretty damn good accomplishment. And there are teams out there,
- 53:32Speaker 2: I'm like, That's a good team. They went 8-4, right?
- 53:35Speaker 2: But they played good football this year. Maybe they didn't
- 53:37Speaker 2: get all the breaks. 7-5 is a little bit harder
- 53:41Speaker 2: to buy because most teams still have at least two
- 53:43Speaker 2: gimme games. The chance that all your conference opponents are
- 53:46Speaker 2: legitimately awesome is still pretty low, regardless of what league
- 53:49Speaker 2: you're in. But yeah, man, 9-3, look at the preseason
- 53:54Speaker 2: Vegas numbers. There were not that many 10.5, 11.5 win
- 53:55Speaker 2: totals this year. Most of them came either with the Irish, Miami, or...
- 54:01Speaker 2: or some of the top Big 12 teams like a
- 54:03Speaker 2: Texas Tech.
- 54:05Speaker 1: Obviously, Lane, 9-3. Lane's fine. He's got a $ 120 million
- 54:09Speaker 1: contract or whatever. But when you look at Texas and Bama,
- 54:13Speaker 1: you would say, listen, the standard for Nick, they lost
- 54:16Speaker 1: two games back-to-back for the first time since 07. It
- 54:20Speaker 1: had been a pretty good run. But Keelan Russell is
- 54:21Speaker 1: clearly going to buy him no matter how weird. They
- 54:24Speaker 1: could miss the playoffs, in my opinion, as long as
- 54:25Speaker 1: Russell says, I'm back, that he's good. The Sark thing,
- 54:29Speaker 1: Let's say he makes the playoffs, but he's one and
- 54:31Speaker 1: done to an opponent who's viewed as an equal or
- 54:34Speaker 1: a below. Does he survive this with how much money?
- 54:38Speaker 1: We just talked about how much money is getting stroked
- 54:40Speaker 1: from these human beings, and they're going to need even
- 54:42Speaker 1: more next year.
- 54:43Speaker 2: Like if you were to go on the road and
- 54:44Speaker 2: lose to a BYU or something like that in the playoff, right?
- 54:48Speaker 1: Yes. That would be a good example. Go on the
- 54:51Speaker 1: road to BYU and lose.
- 54:53Speaker 2: Right.
- 54:54Speaker 1: Ohio State would be like, okay, rematch. But BYU, I
- 54:57Speaker 1: don't think many Texas boosters– are going to view them
- 54:59Speaker 1: as a superior program.
- 55:01Speaker 2: Or if you lost to Ohio State's backup. What if
- 55:05Speaker 2: Sayan is actually out for the year? A lot of people,
- 55:08Speaker 2: I think, suspect.
- 55:09Speaker 1: You go on the road to the Rose Bowl and
- 55:10Speaker 1: lose to UCLA. You'd definitely stay in Los Angeles.
- 55:14Speaker 2: Yeah, man. I think they would probably look at pulling
- 55:16Speaker 2: the trigger on that. Because some of the problems that
- 55:19Speaker 2: have plagued these Sark teams continue to rear their heads
- 55:22Speaker 2: this year. Just like the inconsistency. You've got a $ 50
- 55:24Speaker 2: million roster, basically. Right. And that's a number where I
- 55:30Speaker 2: think most people do these calculations don't have arch is
- 55:32Speaker 2: a huge number because he like, apparently he doesn't take
- 55:35Speaker 2: that much, I guess, and gets a lot of outside
- 55:37Speaker 2: brand deals. So if you're like spending close to 50
- 55:41Speaker 2: independent of your, your QB one, and you're not like
- 55:45Speaker 2: at least getting a home playoff game, what, what are
- 55:47Speaker 2: we doing here? Especially like when you beat Ohio state
- 55:50Speaker 2: and your schedule is not saying it's easy, but it's
- 55:53Speaker 2: not like after that, like some of their, their locations
- 55:56Speaker 2: of these games, It's not like they're going to Athens. So, yeah,
- 56:02Speaker 2: I think they'd probably take a look at it.
- 56:04Speaker 1: I would say the Oklahoma and Florida losses are, for
- 56:07Speaker 1: good teams, teams that are in the top two, are
- 56:09Speaker 1: two of the worst losses of the year. I mean,
- 56:10Speaker 1: the Arch meltdown in the Oklahoma, and they had no offense.
- 56:14Speaker 1: And in the.
- 56:16Speaker 2: Florida game, they were kicking their ass.
- 56:19Speaker 1: Who outplayed Arch? And it feels like Arch, everyone's kicking
- 56:22Speaker 1: him when he's down, but given the hype, it has
- 56:24Speaker 1: been pretty underwhelming.
- 56:26Speaker 2: I mean, Florida, to borrow the basketball analogy, they kind
- 56:29Speaker 2: of just played hack-a-shack. Okay, Arch is not going to
- 56:31Speaker 2: make his free throws on his hots. Florida blitzed him
- 56:35Speaker 2: like 65% of the time. It was a crazy number.
- 56:39Speaker 2: And he just never really made them pay. So the
- 56:43Speaker 2: Arch thing is frustrating because the good is like really,
- 56:45Speaker 2: really good. It's just the bad is like, man, how
- 56:50Speaker 2: is the floor this low for a guy that's been
- 56:54Speaker 2: in school this long?
- 56:57Speaker 1: I would have said that if he had a big
- 56:58Speaker 1: game against Texas, Trinidad would have probably been in the
- 57:01Speaker 1: driver's seat given that Jeremiah Smith's quarterback's out and that
- 57:04Speaker 1: thing could go off the rails a little bit, not
- 57:06Speaker 1: because of Jeremiah Smith, because he might not be able
- 57:08Speaker 1: to throw. Do you think that game hurt his chances
- 57:11Speaker 1: to win it? Because from an NFL standpoint, it was
- 57:14Speaker 1: the first time I went, oh, that was– he's playing
- 57:17Speaker 1: an NFL defense and it felt– Yeah. He felt small.
- 57:20Speaker 1: It's kind of like you watch Bryce Young against Tampa
- 57:23Speaker 1: on Sunday and He'd been playing awesome. It's like, this
- 57:25Speaker 1: is a great story. And then you're like, geez, what's
- 57:27Speaker 1: going on here? Because it rears its ugly head with
- 57:30Speaker 1: these small guys when you play this physical defense, and
- 57:33Speaker 1: they just get swallowed. I'm not saying Trinidad got swallowed,
- 57:37Speaker 1: but that was the first time in a while that
- 57:39Speaker 1: I thought, wow, he couldn't just run away from these
- 57:42Speaker 1: guys and make plays. He was throwing balls into the dirt.
- 57:45Speaker 2: He does kind of occasionally have these periods where he
- 57:47Speaker 2: just kind of goes into a funk. It's almost like
- 57:50Speaker 2: a pitcher who loses it for an inning. And then
- 57:52Speaker 2: all of a sudden he kind of seems to get
- 57:54Speaker 2: it back.
- 57:55Speaker 1: Happened in the Louisville game. It's happened in some games
- 57:58Speaker 1: like the third quarter where they kind of just hit
- 58:00Speaker 1: the skids for like three series.
- 58:02Speaker 2: Right. It's like, okay, that's a ball that Ole Miss
- 58:05Speaker 2: schemes up, needs to be hit, and the game's probably
- 58:08Speaker 2: over and just missed it. But look, C.J. Carr had
- 58:12Speaker 2: that too against BYU. They scheme open a post route.
- 58:15Speaker 2: There's nobody within 10 yards of the guy, and you
- 58:17Speaker 2: just air mail it. Like that's on like a third
- 58:19Speaker 2: and eight. Yeah. You don't get that many wide-open shots
- 58:22Speaker 2: like that on third and eight. You've got to hit those.
- 58:26Speaker 2: I think it hurt Trinidad's case for sure. The other
- 58:28Speaker 2: thing that will hurt Trinidad is this. I think if
- 58:31Speaker 2: Kamario Taylor had stayed healthy, there's a chance at the
- 58:34Speaker 2: end of the year that Ole Miss was having to
- 58:35Speaker 2: play a 50-35 type game in the Egg Bowl on
- 58:39Speaker 2: national TV against Kamario. Ole Miss comes out on top
- 58:44Speaker 2: and Trinidad's thrown for 400 yards and five touchdowns. Now
- 58:49Speaker 2: that game doesn't get top billing because Camaro is out
- 58:51Speaker 2: for the year, according to the report. So they do
- 58:54Speaker 2: still have some tough games left. If he goes and
- 58:56Speaker 2: beats Georgia and Oxford, then I think he's right back
- 59:00Speaker 2: in this thing. But all season I've maintained, hey, whoever
- 59:04Speaker 2: balls in South Bend, November 7th, Miami at Notre Dame,
- 59:07Speaker 2: is probably going to win this thing because recency bias
- 59:10Speaker 2: in the Heisman is real. And, like, that's probably a
- 59:13Speaker 2: game that, like, one of the QBs can go off in.
- 59:15Speaker 2: I think that's the guy that will probably win it.
- 59:17Speaker 2: Or maybe Tony if he goes for, like, 203.
- 59:21Speaker 1: If you, let's say, four guys get the invite list,
- 59:23Speaker 1: who would you say, as we sit here today, who
- 59:26Speaker 1: would you bet on the four being?
- 59:27Speaker 2: I mean, Jeremiah's going to New York. Like there's, there's
- 59:29Speaker 2: no doubt.
- 59:30Speaker 1: He's in.
- 59:31Speaker 2: I think he's a lock. Like, like even if his
- 59:33Speaker 2: numbers dropped off, I think people would say, hold on.
- 59:35Speaker 2: Like this guy might be the best receiver we've ever
- 59:39Speaker 2: seen play college football. Like he's got to go to, like,
- 59:41Speaker 2: he's got to be on so many ballots.
- 59:43Speaker 1: Right.
- 59:44Speaker 2: And then, shoot.
- 59:46Speaker 1: Everyone agrees he's the best player in the league. It's
- 59:49Speaker 1: like when Saquon ran for 2000. He might not win
- 59:51Speaker 1: the MVP, but he's the best offensive player in the league.
- 59:54Speaker 2: Exactly. I have a hard time seeing Mensah not go.
- 59:57Speaker 2: Pretty deep into the season, he had thrown more touchdowns
- 59:59Speaker 2: than incompletions. I don't know if he'll win it. Do
- 1:00:05Speaker 2: you think you get two from one team, or do
- 1:00:06Speaker 2: you think Tony doesn't go?
- 1:00:08Speaker 1: How rare does that happen? I mean, I guess Leinard Bush.
- 1:00:12Speaker 1: I mean, it's a pretty rare thing. It feels like
- 1:00:14Speaker 1: there's a lot of hype behind it, you know?
- 1:00:16Speaker 2: Right. Mac Jones Devante in the COVID year, I think, right?
- 1:00:22Speaker 1: It's crazy to say Mac Jones that loud.
- 1:00:24Speaker 2: Yeah, seriously, right? I'm trying to think who else here. Like,
- 1:00:27Speaker 2: does Bachmeier get an invite if they go and run
- 1:00:29Speaker 2: the table and win the Big 12? I think, like,
- 1:00:32Speaker 2: he's a story people like, certainly. And then maybe CJ Carr.
- 1:00:37Speaker 2: Mesta Maker, I guess, is the other one. If they
- 1:00:40Speaker 2: light up Texas Tech and they run the table, I
- 1:00:43Speaker 2: think there's actually still a chance they could make the
- 1:00:45Speaker 2: Big 12 championship game if they get a lot of
- 1:00:46Speaker 2: chaos around them. He's played super well. I actually thought
- 1:00:52Speaker 2: in a losing effort, he played his butt off against
- 1:00:55Speaker 2: Houston down there in Houston. That's like, oh man, this guy,
- 1:00:59Speaker 2: he might be the best QB in college football.
- 1:01:02Speaker 1: And what, this is only the second year starting of
- 1:01:04Speaker 1: his life?
- 1:01:05Speaker 2: Is that true? He didn't start in high school, correct?
- 1:01:08Speaker 2: He didn't really start the first year in college. He
- 1:01:10Speaker 2: started the bowl game. I remember talking to Cole Kublik
- 1:01:14Speaker 2: about this because Cole had the call. Cole's at ESPN
- 1:01:17Speaker 2: and SC Network. I remember talking to him. He's like,
- 1:01:20Speaker 2: they're starting this kid who didn't even start in high
- 1:01:23Speaker 2: school at all.
- 1:01:23Speaker 1: I was like, Wow.
- 1:01:25Speaker 2: I heard an interview with him.
- 1:01:27Speaker 1: I think he's a Texas kid, right? Yeah. He played
- 1:01:29Speaker 1: at a power high school, and the guy that he
- 1:01:31Speaker 1: backed up is like a star baseball player at Baylor.
- 1:01:33Speaker 1: So it's not like he was some random kid.
- 1:01:38Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 1:01:39Speaker 1: And he's a good example in this. Again, I don't
- 1:01:41Speaker 1: want to keep you too long. The college, you saw
- 1:01:43Speaker 1: Dante Moore go back. I think a lot less people
- 1:01:45Speaker 1: feel bad. He's been paid a lot of money. It
- 1:01:47Speaker 1: was a shitty situation. But at the end of the day,
- 1:01:51Speaker 1: like he's still relative to this quarterback class, probably still
- 1:01:54Speaker 1: going to get drafted really high. Honestly, give me a
- 1:01:56Speaker 1: top five pick and have made money. Everything's going to
- 1:01:58Speaker 1: work out. I would bet on, but mess. The maker's
- 1:02:00Speaker 1: a good example of like, I talked to my buddies
- 1:02:03Speaker 1: in the NFL. They're like, he might be the best prospect,
- 1:02:06Speaker 1: but I don't even think he's going to come out.
- 1:02:07Speaker 1: And he, him and Eric are like this. And who knows?
- 1:02:10Speaker 1: I mean, there's a lot, if you're going to be
- 1:02:12Speaker 1: the number one overall pick, but, They can give him
- 1:02:14Speaker 1: $ 5 million. He likes where he's at. He feels comfortable.
- 1:02:17Speaker 1: I would imagine if he were to return, they would
- 1:02:19Speaker 1: probably be a preseason top 12, 15 team. Who knows?
- 1:02:23Speaker 1: Maybe does Eric Morris get a job? Does he go
- 1:02:27Speaker 1: with him?
- 1:02:27Speaker 2: If he comes back, if it was not for the
- 1:02:31Speaker 2: Morris thing, that's probably your first $ 10 million kid at QB.
- 1:02:37Speaker 2: Such a known commodity legitimately passing. Do you really think
- 1:02:40Speaker 2: Dante was going to go two last year? I don't know.
- 1:02:43Speaker 1: I think he would have been in the discussion for
- 1:02:45Speaker 1: the 10, like a team trades back up or, you.
- 1:02:47Speaker 2: Know, kind of Matt Barkley ish to me. Like remember
- 1:02:50Speaker 2: whenever it was like, Oh, Barkley come back to school.
- 1:02:51Speaker 2: He passed up being like a surefire first rounder.
- 1:02:53Speaker 1: Like I'd say historically with his skills, he's like a
- 1:02:57Speaker 1: first rounder, but like the second overall pick felt wild.
- 1:03:01Speaker 1: Like is he Jaden Daniels? You know what I mean?
- 1:03:03Speaker 1: I know skill wise, no chance.
- 1:03:05Speaker 2: Like some of the pocket presence stuff. I, I, I've
- 1:03:08Speaker 2: always had a bit of concern with, you know, like
- 1:03:10Speaker 2: when it's really clean, but there's guys in the NFL
- 1:03:13Speaker 2: who fit that same profile and then they've had long careers,
- 1:03:15Speaker 2: you know, so maybe it was a.
- 1:03:17Speaker 1: High character guy by all accounts. He's got all that
- 1:03:19Speaker 1: stuff working for him.
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- 1:05:11Speaker 1: Terms and conditions apply. Before I get you out of here,
- 1:05:21Speaker 1: I know you have a pretty cool company that you've created, started,
- 1:05:26Speaker 1: and it's a sports card on the blockchain. Am I
- 1:05:30Speaker 1: saying that correctly?
- 1:05:31Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, yeah.
- 1:05:33Speaker 1: You tell us.
- 1:05:34Speaker 2: Yeah, so it's Level Up Sports. You can hit us up, levelupsports.com.
- 1:05:38Speaker 2: So it's pretty sure the first of its kind, actually
- 1:05:42Speaker 2: asset-backed sports trading cards. And the asset is a small
- 1:05:46Speaker 2: piece of the player's college earnings. So if you're the
- 1:05:49Speaker 2: type of guy out there that likes finding prospects early,
- 1:05:52Speaker 2: like you want to invest in them, you want to
- 1:05:54Speaker 2: help support them, in their career. You know, we go out,
- 1:05:57Speaker 2: we secure a small, like non-predatory percentage, obviously, of the
- 1:06:01Speaker 2: guy's college earnings in exchange for upfront money. You know,
- 1:06:04Speaker 2: we're able to actually put that out on blockchain. And
- 1:06:06Speaker 2: we represent each of those little slices of the player's
- 1:06:09Speaker 2: college earnings as a really slick digital trading card that's
- 1:06:13Speaker 2: actually a collectible in its own right. So you can
- 1:06:15Speaker 2: buy and sell and trade on there. And we just
- 1:06:17Speaker 2: launched last week and I'm really excited about it.
- 1:06:20Speaker 1: Who are, I mean, is it players at all? Like, freshmen, juniors, sophomores,
- 1:06:25Speaker 1: doesn't matter? Do you have to get in early? Can
- 1:06:27Speaker 1: you buy at any time? How does that work?
- 1:06:29Speaker 2: Yeah, so we can't reveal who the guys are yet
- 1:06:31Speaker 2: because this is actually an SEC-regulated financial product, right? So
- 1:06:34Speaker 2: there's rules on who I can say. But the first
- 1:06:37Speaker 2: drop will be within a week or two of when
- 1:06:40Speaker 2: this airs. So definitely, if you want to get on
- 1:06:42Speaker 2: the wait list, levelupsports.com. We'll have some updates. And obviously,
- 1:06:45Speaker 2: the folks on the wait list will get that first
- 1:06:47Speaker 2: notification of who the first is. player is, you know,
- 1:06:50Speaker 2: some of the guys are going to be players that
- 1:06:51Speaker 2: everybody will know. And some of the guys will be
- 1:06:53Speaker 2: players who, you know, your kind of prospect heads will
- 1:06:57Speaker 2: know as well. But, you know, some freshmen, you know,
- 1:06:59Speaker 2: some guys who are finishing up their junior or senior
- 1:07:02Speaker 2: year of high school. And we also are doing, you know,
- 1:07:04Speaker 2: college basketball. You know, we have a number of players
- 1:07:07Speaker 2: across other sports as well. So kind of something for
- 1:07:10Speaker 2: everybody we're trying to design.
- 1:07:12Speaker 1: That's awesome. Who's your, as we sit here today, who
- 1:07:16Speaker 1: you got winning the natty?
- 1:07:18Speaker 2: Man, I think it might be LSU.
- 1:07:22Speaker 1: I didn't expect that.
- 1:07:24Speaker 2: Yeah, but they seem to be coming together. I know
- 1:07:27Speaker 2: Auburn was in a letdown spot, but man, they smoked them.
- 1:07:32Speaker 1: They throttled them.
- 1:07:33Speaker 2: The game was over fast. I know a lot of
- 1:07:36Speaker 2: SEC teams who, behind the scenes, really wanted Leavitt and
- 1:07:41Speaker 2: were not really willing to dump their incumbent starter, but
- 1:07:45Speaker 2: they thought he was better than the guy coming back. Right.
- 1:07:48Speaker 2: And ultimately, obviously, you know, Lane got them there at LSU,
- 1:07:52Speaker 2: you know, getting traded as greenback, I think matters a
- 1:07:54Speaker 2: ton for that team. Like that guy, he looks like
- 1:07:57Speaker 2: a first rounder tight end to me. I mean, I'm
- 1:07:59Speaker 2: not a, Not an NFL scout, but.
- 1:08:01Speaker 1: Like, dude, top 15 pick.
- 1:08:04Speaker 2: He's like twitchy Antonio Gates. So that'll play in the league.
- 1:08:10Speaker 2: They just look really good. I obviously, I trust Lane's
- 1:08:13Speaker 2: play calling. I trust Baker. They just, the only thing
- 1:08:16Speaker 2: I don't trust is Lane not to, not to slip
- 1:08:18Speaker 2: up and blow a stupid game. Like, I think you'll
- 1:08:20Speaker 2: have been very ready for Alabama. Is he going to
- 1:08:22Speaker 2: have them ready, you know, to go play one of
- 1:08:24Speaker 2: these remaining road games that they really should win. That
- 1:08:26Speaker 2: that's kind of been like the bugaboo a little bit
- 1:08:29Speaker 2: for Lane throughout his career.
- 1:08:31Speaker 1: I did think, and I know Cincinnati's a Big 12 team,
- 1:08:33Speaker 1: but they're the little guy money-wise compared to Texas Tech.
- 1:08:36Speaker 1: And I thought them kicking Texas Tech's butt after the
- 1:08:41Speaker 1: big money guy had talked and talked and belittled and
- 1:08:45Speaker 1: then them tagging him on Twitter. That was cool. That's
- 1:08:49Speaker 1: college football. That's a throwback to when coaches used to
- 1:08:52Speaker 1: hate each other. We don't get enough of that anymore.
- 1:08:55Speaker 2: I love it. Absolutely. I think Cincinnati's staff, man, their
- 1:08:58Speaker 2: front office, staff, I think they're a killer. Honestly. Satterfield,
- 1:09:04Speaker 2: I think, is fine as a coach. I don't think
- 1:09:05Speaker 2: he's as bad as people think. I don't think he's
- 1:09:07Speaker 2: like Nick Saban, but they do not have a lot
- 1:09:10Speaker 2: of money to play with, and they just consistently put
- 1:09:14Speaker 2: together a competitive roster in a P4 conference. It's They
- 1:09:18Speaker 2: do a really good job with D2 and D3 and
- 1:09:20Speaker 2: finding guys that really– they assign a guy. That just
- 1:09:23Speaker 2: kind of makes sense, man, for what they do. Much
- 1:09:25Speaker 2: like Indiana finds good fits, on a smaller scale, I
- 1:09:28Speaker 2: think Cincinnati does that as well. Zach and those guys
- 1:09:30Speaker 2: do a good job. One of his number twos is
- 1:09:33Speaker 2: now at Penn State. Now that Penn State actually has
- 1:09:36Speaker 2: a full offseason to actually put together a transfer class,
- 1:09:39Speaker 2: interested to see what they do up there. Maybe a
- 1:09:41Speaker 2: little better results this time.
- 1:09:42Speaker 1: Well, I could nerd out. Obviously, you're big into recruiting,
- 1:09:45Speaker 1: so these GMs, I mean, their jobs. I mean, it's
- 1:09:47Speaker 1: become NFL-like. I mean, it's become a profession, and it pays.
- 1:09:51Speaker 1: I got buddies that dabble. I know people that have left,
- 1:09:55Speaker 1: and they're making more money working in college football than
- 1:09:57Speaker 1: they were working for their pro team.
- 1:09:59Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, some of these guys, even some of
- 1:10:01Speaker 2: these number twos are making a quarter million or more.
- 1:10:04Speaker 2: It's a pretty decent living doing something you love.
- 1:10:07Speaker 1: Yeah, not exactly living in some high-priced town either, so
- 1:10:10Speaker 1: the money goes a lot farther. Yeah. Well, I appreciate it, bud.
- 1:10:13Speaker 1: Cover three podcasts. I listen mainly Saturday nights. I stay
- 1:10:17Speaker 1: up way too late when I have to get up
- 1:10:19Speaker 1: early on Sunday, but you guys record basically. It feels
- 1:10:22Speaker 1: like every day you guys are posting stuff.
- 1:10:24Speaker 2: Yeah, so during the season, we are Monday, Tuesday, recruiting
- 1:10:27Speaker 2: episode with Andrew Ivins and myself comes out on Wednesdays.
- 1:10:32Speaker 2: Every other Wednesday, we're on CBS Sports Network on the
- 1:10:34Speaker 2: cable channel, and then, of course, Saturday nights for sure.
- 1:10:38Speaker 1: Well, I appreciate you, bud. Have a great day, man.
- 1:10:40Speaker 2: Enjoyed it. Appreciate you having me on.
- 1:10:44Speaker 3: The volume.